2018 Ontario general election: Difference between revisions
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| election_date = {{Start date|2018|06|07}} |
| election_date = {{Start date|2018|06|07}} |
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| elected_members = 42nd Legislative Assembly of Ontario |
| elected_members = 42nd Legislative Assembly of Ontario |
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| next_election = |
| next_election = 2022 Ontario general election |
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| next_year = |
| next_year = 2022 |
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| seats_for_election = 124 seats of the [[Legislative Assembly of Ontario]] |
| seats_for_election = 124 seats of the [[Legislative Assembly of Ontario]] |
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| majority_seats = 63 |
| majority_seats = 63 |
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| image1 = |
| image1 = Douglas Robert Ford 2018.jpg |
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| image1_size = 175x175px |
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| colour1 = {{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|nohash}} |
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<!-- NDP --> |
<!-- NDP --> |
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| image2 = Horwath |
| image2 = Andrea Horwath (cropped).jpg |
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| image2_size = 175x175px |
| image2_size = 175x175px |
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| colour2 = {{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|nohash}} |
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The '''2018 Ontario general election''' was held on June 7, 2018, to elect the 124 members of the [[42nd Parliament of Ontario]].<ref name="torstar elxn set jun 2018">{{cite news|last1=Ferguson|first1=Rob|title=Ontario moves election date to June 7, 2018|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2016/10/19/ontario-moves-election-date-to-june-7-2018.html|access-date=October 31, 2016|work=[[Toronto Star]]|date=October 19, 2016}}</ref> The [[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario]], led by [[Doug Ford Jr.|Doug Ford]], won |
The '''2018 Ontario general election''' was held on June 7, 2018, to elect the 124 members of the [[42nd Parliament of Ontario]].<ref name="torstar elxn set jun 2018">{{cite news|last1=Ferguson|first1=Rob|title=Ontario moves election date to June 7, 2018|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2016/10/19/ontario-moves-election-date-to-june-7-2018.html|access-date=October 31, 2016|work=[[Toronto Star]]|date=October 19, 2016|archive-date=May 7, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210507171737/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2016/10/19/ontario-moves-election-date-to-june-7-2018.html|url-status=live}}</ref> The [[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario]], led by [[Doug Ford Jr.|Doug Ford]], won 76 of the 124 seats in the legislature and formed a majority government. The [[Ontario New Democratic Party]], led by [[Andrea Horwath]], formed the Official Opposition. The [[Ontario Liberal Party]], led by incumbent Premier [[Kathleen Wynne]], lost [[official party status]] in recording both the worst result in the party's 161-year history and the worst result for any incumbent governing party in [[Ontario]]. The [[Green Party of Ontario]] won a seat for the first time in their history, while the [[Trillium Party of Ontario]] lost its single seat gained by a [[Crossing the floor|floor-crossing]] during the [[41st Parliament of Ontario|41st Parliament]]. |
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==Background== |
==Background== |
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The ''Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015''<ref>{{Cite canlaw|short title =Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015|abbr =S.O.|year =2015|chapter =31|link= https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/s15031}}</ref> increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal [[Canadian federal electoral redistribution, 2012|2013 Representation Order]] for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in [[Northern Ontario]] set out in the 1996 redistribution. |
The ''Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015''<ref>{{Cite canlaw|short title =Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015|abbr =S.O.|year =2015|chapter =31|link= https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/s15031}}</ref> increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal [[Canadian federal electoral redistribution, 2012|2013 Representation Order]] for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in [[Northern Ontario]] set out in the 1996 redistribution. |
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The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016,<ref>as a result of the {{Cite canlaw|short title =Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2016|abbr =S.O.|year =2016|chapter =33|section =36|link= https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/s16033}}</ref> recommended the creation of the additional districts of [[Kiiwetinoong]] and [[Mushkegowuk—James Bay]], carved out from the existing [[Kenora—Rainy River (provincial electoral district)|Kenora—Rainy River]] and [[Timmins—James Bay (provincial electoral district)|Timmins—James Bay]] ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124.<ref>{{cite web |
The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016,<ref>as a result of the {{Cite canlaw|short title =Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2016|abbr =S.O.|year =2016|chapter =33|section =36|link= https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/s16033}}</ref> recommended the creation of the additional districts of [[Kiiwetinoong]] and [[Mushkegowuk—James Bay]], carved out from the existing [[Kenora—Rainy River (provincial electoral district)|Kenora—Rainy River]] and [[Timmins—James Bay (provincial electoral district)|Timmins—James Bay]] ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124.<ref>{{cite web|url= https://www.attorneygeneral.jus.gov.on.ca/english/about/pubs/fnebc/|title= Report: Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission|author= <!--Not stated-->|date= August 8, 2017|access-date= May 1, 2018|archive-date= March 19, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180319204331/https://www.attorneygeneral.jus.gov.on.ca/english/about/pubs/fnebc/|url-status= live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|last1=Benzie|first1=Robert|title=Ontario to get 17 new ridings, including a constituency that is largely Indigenous|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2017/08/08/ontario-to-get-17-new-ridings-including-a-constituency-that-is-largely-indigenous.html|access-date=December 10, 2017|work=[[Toronto Star]]|date=August 8, 2017|archive-date=December 6, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171206135922/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2017/08/08/ontario-to-get-17-new-ridings-including-a-constituency-that-is-largely-indigenous.html|url-status=live}}</ref> This was implemented through the ''Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017''.<ref>{{Cite canlaw|short title =Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017|abbr =S.O.|year =2017|chapter =18|link= https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/S17018}}</ref> |
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The new districts have been criticized as undemocratic, as they have a population of around 30,000 people compared with over 120,000 people in some southern Ontario constituencies. ''[[National Post]]'' columnist Josh Dehaas suggested that the small population sizes of the ridings might violate the [[Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms]].<ref>{{cite web|title=Ontario Liberals' plan for two new ridings could violate the Charter and cost PCs the election|url=https://nationalpost.com/opinion/josh-dehaas-ontario-liberals-plan-for-two-new-ridings-could-violate-the-charter-and-cost-pcs-the-election|work=[[National Post]]|access-date=January 13, 2017|date=August 3, 2017}}</ref> |
The new districts have been criticized as undemocratic, as they have a population of around 30,000 people compared with over 120,000 people in some southern Ontario constituencies. ''[[National Post]]'' columnist Josh Dehaas suggested that the small population sizes of the ridings might violate the [[Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms]].<ref>{{cite web|title=Ontario Liberals' plan for two new ridings could violate the Charter and cost PCs the election|url=https://nationalpost.com/opinion/josh-dehaas-ontario-liberals-plan-for-two-new-ridings-could-violate-the-charter-and-cost-pcs-the-election|work=[[National Post]]|access-date=January 13, 2017|date=August 3, 2017}}</ref> |
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In September 2017, a research firm analyzed the impact of redistribution if the boundaries had been in effect for the previous election.<ref>{{cite web |
In September 2017, a research firm analyzed the impact of redistribution if the boundaries had been in effect for the previous election.<ref>{{cite web|url= https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/OTM-1709-Counting-Seats-Not-Votes.pdf|title= Public Opinion Research: Ontario This Month|author= <!--Not stated-->|date= September 2017|website= innovativeresearch.ca|publisher= Innovative Research Group|pages= 17–23|access-date= May 20, 2018|archive-date= May 20, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180520193159/https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/OTM-1709-Counting-Seats-Not-Votes.pdf|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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===Change of fixed election date=== |
===Change of fixed election date=== |
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Under legislation passed in 2005, Ontario elections were to be held on "the first Thursday in October in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election", subject to the [[Lieutenant-Governor of Ontario]]'s power to call an election earlier.<ref>{{Cite canlaw|short title =Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2005|abbr =S.O.|year =2005|chapter =35|section =1|subsection=3|link= https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/s05035}}</ref> As the current government had a [[Majority government|majority]], the passage of a [[non-confidence motion]] was not a likely option for calling an early election, though Premier [[Kathleen Wynne]] stated in June 2015 that she would likely advise to dissolve the Legislature in spring 2018 rather than in October of that year in order to avoid any conflict with municipal elections and take advantage of better weather and longer days.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2015/06/04/ontario-to-add-15-mpps-move-2018-election-date-ahead.html|title=Ontario to add 15 MPPs, move 2018 election date ahead|work=[[Toronto Star]]|last=Benzie|first=Robert|date=June 4, 2015|access-date=October 25, 2015}}</ref> |
Under legislation passed in 2005, Ontario elections were to be held on "the first Thursday in October in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election", subject to the [[Lieutenant-Governor of Ontario]]'s power to call an election earlier.<ref>{{Cite canlaw|short title =Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2005|abbr =S.O.|year =2005|chapter =35|section =1|subsection=3|link= https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/s05035}}</ref> As the current government had a [[Majority government|majority]], the passage of a [[non-confidence motion]] was not a likely option for calling an early election, though Premier [[Kathleen Wynne]] stated in June 2015 that she would likely advise to dissolve the Legislature in spring 2018 rather than in October of that year in order to avoid any conflict with municipal elections and take advantage of better weather and longer days.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2015/06/04/ontario-to-add-15-mpps-move-2018-election-date-ahead.html|title=Ontario to add 15 MPPs, move 2018 election date ahead|work=[[Toronto Star]]|last=Benzie|first=Robert|date=June 4, 2015|access-date=October 25, 2015|archive-date=November 1, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151101085543/http://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2015/06/04/ontario-to-add-15-mpps-move-2018-election-date-ahead.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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To put this on a statutory footing, in October 2016 [[Attorney General of Ontario]] [[Yasir Naqvi]] introduced a bill in the Legislative Assembly which, in part, included moving the election date to "the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election",<ref name="torstar elxn set jun 2018"/> and it came into effect in December 2016.<ref>{{Cite canlaw|short title =Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2016|abbr =S.O.|year =2016|chapter =33|section =7|link= https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/s16033}}</ref> |
To put this on a statutory footing, in October 2016 [[Attorney General of Ontario]] [[Yasir Naqvi]] introduced a bill in the Legislative Assembly which, in part, included moving the election date to "the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election",<ref name="torstar elxn set jun 2018"/> and it came into effect in December 2016.<ref>{{Cite canlaw|short title =Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2016|abbr =S.O.|year =2016|chapter =33|section =7|link= https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/s16033}}</ref> |
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The [[Ontario Liberal Party]] attempted to win their fifth consecutive general election, dating back to [[2003 Ontario general election|2003]]. The [[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario]] won their first election since [[1999 Ontario general election|1999]], and the [[Ontario New Democratic Party]] attempted to win their second election (having previously won in [[1990 Ontario general election|1990]]). Numerous other extra-parliamentary political parties also vied for votes. |
The [[Ontario Liberal Party]] attempted to win their fifth consecutive general election, dating back to [[2003 Ontario general election|2003]]. The [[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario]] won their first election since [[1999 Ontario general election|1999]], and the [[Ontario New Democratic Party]] attempted to win their second election (having previously won in [[1990 Ontario general election|1990]]). Numerous other extra-parliamentary political parties also vied for votes. |
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The Liberals under [[Kathleen Wynne]] headed into the 2018 campaign trailing far behind the Progressive Conservatives, led by former [[Toronto City Council]]lor [[Doug Ford Jr.|Doug Ford]]. The Liberals' standing with voters had been badly hurt when they partially privatized Hydro One in 2015, after campaigning against it in the 2014 election, as well as rising criticism over "ballooning provincial debt, high electricity prices and costly, politically expedient decisions".<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://nationalpost.com/news/ontario-election-live-results-analysis-liberal-collapse-doug-ford-victory-how-it-happened|title=How a historic Liberal collapse and PC upheaval turned Ontario election into a wild horse race|date=June 7, 2018|work=[[National Post]]|access-date=June 12, 2018|first=Tom|last=Blackwell}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/opinion/star-columnists/2018/05/30/the-day-kathleen-wynne-lost-the-2018-election.html|title=The day Kathleen Wynne lost the 2018 election|work=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=June 12, 2018|date=May 30, 2018|first=Bob|last=Hepburn}}</ref> In early April, the CBC published their analysis of aggregate polls showing that Ford and the Progressive Conservatives were ahead of the other parties averaging 42.1% support, compared to 27.2% for the governing Liberals, 23.4% for the NDP and 5.7% for the Greens<ref>{{cite news|last1=Grenier|first1=Eric|title=With nine weeks to go, the Ontario election is Doug Ford's to lose|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/grenier-ontario-poll-tracker-1.4603291|access-date=April 7, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|date=April 6, 2018}}</ref> and with 11 Liberal MPPs announcing they would not be running for re-election or having already resigned their seats in the months leading up to the election.<ref>{{cite news|last1=Crawley|first1=Mike|title=11 Liberals won't run in Ontario election, and that's a problem for Kathleen Wynne|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-election-liberal-incumbents-not-running-1.4606871|access-date=April 7, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|date=April 7, 2018}}</ref> |
The Liberals under [[Kathleen Wynne]] headed into the 2018 campaign trailing far behind the Progressive Conservatives, led by former [[Toronto City Council]]lor [[Doug Ford Jr.|Doug Ford]]. The Liberals' standing with voters had been badly hurt when they partially privatized Hydro One in 2015, after campaigning against it in the 2014 election, as well as rising criticism over "ballooning provincial debt, high electricity prices and costly, politically expedient decisions".<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://nationalpost.com/news/ontario-election-live-results-analysis-liberal-collapse-doug-ford-victory-how-it-happened|title=How a historic Liberal collapse and PC upheaval turned Ontario election into a wild horse race|date=June 7, 2018|work=[[National Post]]|access-date=June 12, 2018|first=Tom|last=Blackwell}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/opinion/star-columnists/2018/05/30/the-day-kathleen-wynne-lost-the-2018-election.html|title=The day Kathleen Wynne lost the 2018 election|work=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=June 12, 2018|date=May 30, 2018|first=Bob|last=Hepburn|archive-date=June 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612232821/https://www.thestar.com/opinion/star-columnists/2018/05/30/the-day-kathleen-wynne-lost-the-2018-election.html|url-status=live}}</ref> In early April, the CBC published their analysis of aggregate polls showing that Ford and the Progressive Conservatives were ahead of the other parties averaging 42.1% support, compared to 27.2% for the governing Liberals, 23.4% for the NDP and 5.7% for the Greens<ref>{{cite news|last1=Grenier|first1=Eric|title=With nine weeks to go, the Ontario election is Doug Ford's to lose|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/grenier-ontario-poll-tracker-1.4603291|access-date=April 7, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|date=April 6, 2018|archive-date=April 7, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180407015133/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/grenier-ontario-poll-tracker-1.4603291|url-status=live}}</ref> and with 11 Liberal MPPs announcing they would not be running for re-election or having already resigned their seats in the months leading up to the election.<ref>{{cite news|last1=Crawley|first1=Mike|title=11 Liberals won't run in Ontario election, and that's a problem for Kathleen Wynne|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-election-liberal-incumbents-not-running-1.4606871|access-date=April 7, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|date=April 7, 2018|archive-date=April 9, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180409184047/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-election-liberal-incumbents-not-running-1.4606871|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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According to Wynne, voters were offered a "stark choice", between "cutting and removing supports from people" with "billions in cuts", which she alleged the Progressive Conservatives would do if they won the election, and expanding investments in social programs such as [[prescription drug]]s and [[childcare]], which the Liberal platform promised.<ref>{{cite news|title=Ontario voters facing 'stark choice' in June, says Kathleen Wynne|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/03/12/ontario-voters-facing-stark-choice-in-june-says-kathleen-wynne.html|access-date=April 7, 2018|work=[[Toronto Star]]|date=March 12, 2018|first=Kristin|last=Rushowy}}</ref> |
According to Wynne, voters were offered a "stark choice", between "cutting and removing supports from people" with "billions in cuts", which she alleged the Progressive Conservatives would do if they won the election, and expanding investments in social programs such as [[prescription drug]]s and [[childcare]], which the Liberal platform promised.<ref>{{cite news|title=Ontario voters facing 'stark choice' in June, says Kathleen Wynne|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/03/12/ontario-voters-facing-stark-choice-in-june-says-kathleen-wynne.html|access-date=April 7, 2018|work=[[Toronto Star]]|date=March 12, 2018|first=Kristin|last=Rushowy|archive-date=April 8, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180408073735/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/03/12/ontario-voters-facing-stark-choice-in-june-says-kathleen-wynne.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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In March 2018, the Liberals tabled a pre-election budget in the provincial legislature which promised billions of dollars in new spending for free childcare and expanded coverage for [[Dentistry|dental care]] but replaced the government's previous [[Government budget balance|balanced budget]] with a $6.7 billion [[Deficit spending|deficit]] projected to last until 2024–2025.<ref>{{cite news|title=Ontario budget 2018: Liberals run deficit, introduce new spending in pre-election budget|url=https://globalnews.ca/news/4111673/ontario-budget-spending-liberals-election/|access-date=April 7, 2018|work=[[Global News]]|agency=[[Canadian Press]]|date=March 28, 2018 |
In March 2018, the Liberals tabled a pre-election budget in the provincial legislature which promised billions of dollars in new spending for free childcare and expanded coverage for [[Dentistry|dental care]] but replaced the government's previous [[Government budget balance|balanced budget]] with a $6.7 billion [[Deficit spending|deficit]] projected to last until 2024–2025.<ref>{{cite news|title=Ontario budget 2018: Liberals run deficit, introduce new spending in pre-election budget|url=https://globalnews.ca/news/4111673/ontario-budget-spending-liberals-election/|access-date=April 7, 2018|work=[[Global News]]|agency=[[Canadian Press]]|date=March 28, 2018|first1=Shawn|last1=Jeffords|first2=Paola|last2=Loriggio|archive-date=April 8, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180408074530/https://globalnews.ca/news/4111673/ontario-budget-spending-liberals-election/|url-status=live}}</ref> PC leader Doug Ford called the budget a "spending spree".<ref name="watt">{{cite news|title=Veering left is right for Kathleen Wynne|url=https://www.thestar.com/opinion/star-columnists/2018/04/01/jaime-watt-veering-left-is-right-for-wynne.html|access-date=April 7, 2018|work=[[Toronto Star]]|date=April 1, 2018|first=Jaime|last=Watt|archive-date=April 5, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180405185049/https://www.thestar.com/opinion/star-columnists/2018/04/01/jaime-watt-veering-left-is-right-for-wynne.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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===Mood of the voters=== |
===Mood of the voters=== |
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According to ''[[Toronto Star]]'' columnist [[Susan Delacourt]], voters were motivated by a desire for change{{em dash}}such desire being more driven by emotion than by ideology{{em dash}}and one researcher estimated that more than half of the electorate was undecided in who they were likely to vote for.<ref>{{cite news |
According to ''[[Toronto Star]]'' columnist [[Susan Delacourt]], voters were motivated by a desire for change{{em dash}}such desire being more driven by emotion than by ideology{{em dash}}and one researcher estimated that more than half of the electorate was undecided in who they were likely to vote for.<ref>{{cite news|last= Delacourt|first= Susan|date= May 29, 2018|title= What is it that is driving Ontario voters?|url= https://www.thestar.com/opinion/star-columnists/2018/05/24/what-is-it-that-is-driving-ontario-voters.html|work= [[The Toronto Star]]|access-date= May 29, 2018|archive-date= May 29, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180529193737/https://www.thestar.com/opinion/star-columnists/2018/05/24/what-is-it-that-is-driving-ontario-voters.html|url-status= live}}</ref> The ''[[Huffington Post]]'' reported that half of voters were basing their vote intentions on how best to block the party they oppose.<ref>{{cite news|last= Omer|first= Mohammed|date= May 30, 2018|title= Ontario Election 2018: Poll Finds Half of Decided Voters Making Choice Based on Party They Dislike|url= https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2018/05/30/ontario-election-2018-poll-finds-half-of-decided-voters-making-choice-based-on-party-they-dislike_a_23446906/|work= [[HuffPost]]|access-date= June 2, 2018|archive-date= June 12, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180612141626/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2018/05/30/ontario-election-2018-poll-finds-half-of-decided-voters-making-choice-based-on-party-they-dislike_a_23446906/|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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In February 2018, Campaign Research conducted a [[gap analysis]] on voter intentions in Ontario, and determined the following: |
In February 2018, Campaign Research conducted a [[gap analysis]] on voter intentions in Ontario, and determined the following: |
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{| class="wikitable" |
{| class="wikitable" |
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|+ Voter gap analysis by party (February 2018)<ref>{{cite web |
|+ Voter gap analysis by party (February 2018)<ref>{{cite web|url= https://www.campaignresearch.ca/single-post/2018/02/22/analysis-of-voter-support-ceilings-for-major-ontario-parties|title= Analysis of Voter Support Ceilings for Major Ontario Parties|last= Yufest|first= Eli|date= February 2018|publisher= Campaign Research|access-date= June 13, 2018|archive-date= June 13, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180613084631/https://www.campaignresearch.ca/single-post/2018/02/22/analysis-of-voter-support-ceilings-for-major-ontario-parties|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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!style="width:75px;"|Liberal !!style="width:75px;"|PC !!style="width:75px;"|NDP !!style="width:400px;"|Highlights |
!style="width:75px;"|Liberal !!style="width:75px;"|PC !!style="width:75px;"|NDP !!style="width:400px;"|Highlights |
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|June 12, 2014|| The Liberal Party under [[Kathleen Wynne]] wins a majority government in the [[2014 Ontario general election|41st Ontario general election]]. Progressive Conservative leader [[Tim Hudak]] announces his intention to step down following the [[2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election|selection of his successor]].<ref>{{cite news|title=Ontario election 2014: Tim Hudak to step down|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-tim-hudak-to-step-down-1.2674255|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=June 12, 2014|date=June 12, 2014}}</ref> |
|June 12, 2014|| The Liberal Party under [[Kathleen Wynne]] wins a majority government in the [[2014 Ontario general election|41st Ontario general election]]. Progressive Conservative leader [[Tim Hudak]] announces his intention to step down following the [[2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election|selection of his successor]].<ref>{{cite news|title=Ontario election 2014: Tim Hudak to step down|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-tim-hudak-to-step-down-1.2674255|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=June 12, 2014|date=June 12, 2014|archive-date=June 12, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190612091914/https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-tim-hudak-to-step-down-1.2674255|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|July 2, 2014|| [[Tim Hudak]] resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives.<ref name=resign1>{{cite news|title=Tim Hudak to quit July 2 amid Tory revolt|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/06/19/tim_hudak_to_quit_july_2_amid_tory_revolt.html|access-date=June 18, 2014|work=[[Toronto Star]]|date=June 18, 2014|first=Robert|last=Benzie}}</ref> [[Simcoe—Grey (provincial electoral district)|Simcoe—Grey]] MPP [[Jim Wilson (Ontario politician)|Jim Wilson]] is named interim leader.<ref>{{cite news|first=Richard|last=Brennan|title=Progressive Conservatives pick Jim Wilson as interim leader|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/07/02/progressive_conservatives_pick_jim_wilson_as_interim_leader.html|work=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=July 2, 2014|date=July 2, 2014}}</ref> |
|July 2, 2014|| [[Tim Hudak]] resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives.<ref name=resign1>{{cite news|title=Tim Hudak to quit July 2 amid Tory revolt|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/06/19/tim_hudak_to_quit_july_2_amid_tory_revolt.html|access-date=June 18, 2014|work=[[Toronto Star]]|date=June 18, 2014|first=Robert|last=Benzie|archive-date=June 22, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140622014810/http://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/06/19/tim_hudak_to_quit_july_2_amid_tory_revolt.html|url-status=live}}</ref> [[Simcoe—Grey (provincial electoral district)|Simcoe—Grey]] MPP [[Jim Wilson (Ontario politician)|Jim Wilson]] is named interim leader.<ref>{{cite news|first=Richard|last=Brennan|title=Progressive Conservatives pick Jim Wilson as interim leader|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/07/02/progressive_conservatives_pick_jim_wilson_as_interim_leader.html|work=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=July 2, 2014|date=July 2, 2014|archive-date=July 7, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140707060942/http://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/07/02/progressive_conservatives_pick_jim_wilson_as_interim_leader.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|July 24, 2014|| The Liberals pass their May 1 budget in its final reading. |
|July 24, 2014|| The Liberals pass their May 1 budget in its final reading. |
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|May 9, 2015|| [[Patrick Brown (politician)|Patrick Brown]], the [[Conservative Party of Canada|Conservative]] federal [[Member of Parliament (Canada)|MP]] for [[Barrie (electoral district)|Barrie]], is [[2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election|elected leader]] of the Progressive Conservative Party.<ref>{{cite web|title=Barrie MP Patrick Brown resigns seat as he shifts to lead provincial PCs|url=https://ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/barrie-mp-patrick-brown-resigns-seat-as-he-shifts-to-lead-provincial-pcs|work=[[Ottawa Citizen]]|access-date=May 18, 2015|date=May 13, 2015}}</ref> |
|May 9, 2015|| [[Patrick Brown (Canadian politician)|Patrick Brown]], the [[Conservative Party of Canada|Conservative]] federal [[Member of Parliament (Canada)|MP]] for [[Barrie (federal electoral district)|Barrie]], is [[2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election|elected leader]] of the Progressive Conservative Party.<ref>{{cite web|title=Barrie MP Patrick Brown resigns seat as he shifts to lead provincial PCs|url=https://ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/barrie-mp-patrick-brown-resigns-seat-as-he-shifts-to-lead-provincial-pcs|work=[[Ottawa Citizen]]|access-date=May 18, 2015|date=May 13, 2015|archive-date=November 5, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201105072434/https://ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/barrie-mp-patrick-brown-resigns-seat-as-he-shifts-to-lead-provincial-pcs|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|September 24, 2015|| [[Ontario Provincial Police]] lay charges in relation to the [[Sudbury (provincial electoral district)|Sudbury]] by-election scandal.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/gerry-lougheed-opp-charged-sudbury-byelection-1.3241605|title=Gerry Lougheed Jr., Ontario Liberal fundraiser, charged in Sudbury byelection scandal|work=[[CBC News]]|date=September 24, 2015|access-date=September 26, 2015}}</ref> |
|September 24, 2015|| [[Ontario Provincial Police]] lay charges in relation to the [[Sudbury (provincial electoral district)|Sudbury]] by-election scandal.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/gerry-lougheed-opp-charged-sudbury-byelection-1.3241605|title=Gerry Lougheed Jr., Ontario Liberal fundraiser, charged in Sudbury byelection scandal|work=[[CBC News]]|date=September 24, 2015|access-date=September 26, 2015|archive-date=September 26, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150926004548/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/gerry-lougheed-opp-charged-sudbury-byelection-1.3241605|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|November 1, 2016||[[Ontario Provincial Police]] announce charges under the provincial act against Gerry Lougheed and Patricia Sorbara (CEO and director of the 2018 Liberal campaign) for alleged bribery during a 2015 byelection.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2016/10/31/top-liberals-face-elections-act-charges-in-sudbury-case.html|title=Top Liberals face Elections Act charges in Sudbury case|website=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=November 1, 2016 |
|November 1, 2016||[[Ontario Provincial Police]] announce charges under the provincial act against Gerry Lougheed and Patricia Sorbara (CEO and director of the 2018 Liberal campaign) for alleged bribery during a 2015 byelection.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2016/10/31/top-liberals-face-elections-act-charges-in-sudbury-case.html|title=Top Liberals face Elections Act charges in Sudbury case|website=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=November 1, 2016|date=October 31, 2016|first1=Rob|last1=Ferguson|first2=Robert|last2=Benzie|archive-date=November 1, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161101042923/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2016/10/31/top-liberals-face-elections-act-charges-in-sudbury-case.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Sorbara announced that she will step down from the campaign.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2016/11/01/wynne-adviser-to-step-down-after-opp-charges-related-to-sudbury-byelection.html|title=Wynne adviser to step down after OPP charges related to Sudbury byelection|website=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=November 1, 2016|date=November 1, 2016|first1=Robert|last1=Benzie|first2=Rob|last2=Ferguson|archive-date=November 2, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161102162202/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2016/11/01/wynne-adviser-to-step-down-after-opp-charges-related-to-sudbury-byelection.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|January 24, 2018|| [[CTV News]] reports that [[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario|Progressive Conservative Party]] leader [[Patrick Brown (politician)|Patrick Brown]] is accused by two women of committing sexual misconduct. Brown denies the allegations.<ref name="browndeny">{{cite news| url=https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/patrick-brown-denies-sexual-misconduct-allegations-from-two-women-resigns-as-ontario-pc-leader-1.3774686| title=Patrick Brown denies sexual misconduct allegations from two women, resigns as Ontario PC leader| first1=Rachel| last1=Aiello| first2=Glen| last2=McGregor| date=January 24, 2018| work=[[CTV News]]}}</ref> |
|January 24, 2018|| [[CTV News]] reports that [[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario|Progressive Conservative Party]] leader [[Patrick Brown (Canadian politician)|Patrick Brown]] is accused by two women of committing sexual misconduct. Brown denies the allegations.<ref name="browndeny">{{cite news| url=https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/patrick-brown-denies-sexual-misconduct-allegations-from-two-women-resigns-as-ontario-pc-leader-1.3774686| title=Patrick Brown denies sexual misconduct allegations from two women, resigns as Ontario PC leader| first1=Rachel| last1=Aiello| first2=Glen| last2=McGregor| date=January 24, 2018| work=[[CTV News]]| access-date=January 25, 2018| archive-date=January 25, 2018| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180125142957/https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/patrick-brown-denies-sexual-misconduct-allegations-from-two-women-resigns-as-ontario-pc-leader-1.3774686| url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|January 25, 2018|| Patrick Brown resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.<ref name="brownresigns">{{cite news| url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/patrick-brown-resigns-ontario-pc-1.4503040| title=Patrick Brown resigns as Ontario PC leader after sexual misconduct allegations| first=Mike| last=Crawley| date=January 25, 2018| work=[[CBC News]]}}</ref><ref>{{cite press release| url=https://www.ontariopc.ca/statement_from_ontario_pc_leader_patrick_brown| title=Statement from Ontario PC Leader Patrick Brown| date=January 25, 2018| publisher=[[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario]]}}</ref> |
|January 25, 2018|| Patrick Brown resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.<ref name="brownresigns">{{cite news| url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/patrick-brown-resigns-ontario-pc-1.4503040| title=Patrick Brown resigns as Ontario PC leader after sexual misconduct allegations| first=Mike| last=Crawley| date=January 25, 2018| work=[[CBC News]]| access-date=March 14, 2020| archive-date=March 2, 2020| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200302141942/https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/patrick-brown-resigns-ontario-pc-1.4503040| url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite press release| url=https://www.ontariopc.ca/statement_from_ontario_pc_leader_patrick_brown| title=Statement from Ontario PC Leader Patrick Brown| date=January 25, 2018| publisher=[[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario]]| access-date=January 25, 2018| archive-date=January 25, 2018| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180125072457/https://www.ontariopc.ca/statement_from_ontario_pc_leader_patrick_brown| url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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|January 26, 2018|| Progressive Conservative Party caucus chooses [[Nipissing (provincial electoral district)|Nipissing]] MPP [[Vic Fedeli]] as [[Interim leader (Canada)|interim leader]].<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-progressive-conservatives-interim-leader-patrick-brown-election-1.4505104|title=Vic Fedeli chosen as interim leader of Ontario PCs with election looming|date=January 26, 2018|website=CBC News|access-date=January 26, 2018}}</ref> |
|January 26, 2018|| Progressive Conservative Party caucus chooses [[Nipissing (provincial electoral district)|Nipissing]] MPP [[Vic Fedeli]] as [[Interim leader (Canada)|interim leader]].<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-progressive-conservatives-interim-leader-patrick-brown-election-1.4505104|title=Vic Fedeli chosen as interim leader of Ontario PCs with election looming|date=January 26, 2018|website=CBC News|access-date=January 26, 2018|archive-date=January 26, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180126215233/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-progressive-conservatives-interim-leader-patrick-brown-election-1.4505104|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|March 10, 2018|| [[Doug Ford, Jr.|Doug Ford]] is elected leader of the Progressive Conservatives on the third ballot of the [[2018 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election|party's leadership election]].<ref>{{cite news|title=Doug Ford named new Ontario PC leader|url=https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/doug-ford-named-new-ontario-pc-leader-1.3837319|access-date=March 21, 2018|work=[[CTV News]]|agency=[[Canadian Press]]|date=March 10, 2018}}</ref> Fedeli continues as Leader of the Opposition for legislative purposes until the election due to Ford not having a seat in the Legislature.<ref>{{cite news|title=Ford 'the boss': Fedeli|url=http://www.thesudburystar.com/2018/03/11/ford-the-boss-fedeli|access-date=March 14, 2018|work=[[Sudbury Star]]|publisher=[[Postmedia Network]]|date=March 11, 2018}}</ref> |
|March 10, 2018|| [[Doug Ford, Jr.|Doug Ford]] is elected leader of the Progressive Conservatives on the third ballot of the [[2018 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election|party's leadership election]].<ref>{{cite news|title=Doug Ford named new Ontario PC leader|url=https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/doug-ford-named-new-ontario-pc-leader-1.3837319|access-date=March 21, 2018|work=[[CTV News]]|agency=[[Canadian Press]]|date=March 10, 2018|archive-date=March 11, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180311143328/https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/doug-ford-named-new-ontario-pc-leader-1.3837319|url-status=live}}</ref> Fedeli continues as Leader of the Opposition for legislative purposes until the election due to Ford not having a seat in the Legislature.<ref>{{cite news|title=Ford 'the boss': Fedeli|url=http://www.thesudburystar.com/2018/03/11/ford-the-boss-fedeli|access-date=March 14, 2018|work=[[Sudbury Star]]|publisher=[[Postmedia Network]]|date=March 11, 2018|archive-date=March 15, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180315073847/http://www.thesudburystar.com/2018/03/11/ford-the-boss-fedeli|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|April 11, 2018||First Leaders Debate hosted by the Jamaican Canadian Association. Andrea Horwath, Mike Schreiner, and Premier Kathleen Wynne were in attendance.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://ipolitics.ca/2018/04/05/doug-ford-bails-on-first-ontario-election-leaders-debate/|title=Doug Ford bails on first Ontario election leaders debate|date=April 5, 2018|work=[[iPolitics]]|access-date=April 12, 2018|first=Marieke|last=Walsh}}</ref> |
|April 11, 2018||First Leaders Debate hosted by the Jamaican Canadian Association. Andrea Horwath, Mike Schreiner, and Premier Kathleen Wynne were in attendance.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://ipolitics.ca/2018/04/05/doug-ford-bails-on-first-ontario-election-leaders-debate/|title=Doug Ford bails on first Ontario election leaders debate|date=April 5, 2018|work=[[iPolitics]]|access-date=April 12, 2018|first=Marieke|last=Walsh|archive-date=April 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180412083305/https://ipolitics.ca/2018/04/05/doug-ford-bails-on-first-ontario-election-leaders-debate/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|April 16, 2018||The Ontario NDP release their full election platform.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.ontariondp.ca/platform|title=Andrea Horwath's Change for the Better|website=Ontario NDP|access-date=April 18, 2018}}</ref> |
|April 16, 2018||The Ontario NDP release their full election platform.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.ontariondp.ca/platform|title=Andrea Horwath's Change for the Better|website=Ontario NDP|access-date=April 18, 2018|archive-date=April 17, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180417143905/https://www.ontariondp.ca/platform|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|May 7, 2018||First televised debate hosted by [[CityNews]]: Toronto-focused debate with Ford, Horwath and Wynne<ref>{{cite news |url=http://toronto.citynews.ca/2018/04/20/cityvote-debate-ontario-election/ |title=Ford, Horwath, Wynne to face off in Toronto-focused CityNews debate May 7 |work=[[CityNews]] |access-date=April 21, 2018 |date=April 20, 2018 }}</ref> |
|May 7, 2018||First televised debate hosted by [[CityNews]]: Toronto-focused debate with Ford, Horwath and Wynne<ref>{{cite news |url=http://toronto.citynews.ca/2018/04/20/cityvote-debate-ontario-election/ |title=Ford, Horwath, Wynne to face off in Toronto-focused CityNews debate May 7 |work=[[CityNews]] |access-date=April 21, 2018 |date=April 20, 2018 |archive-date=April 20, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180420144433/http://toronto.citynews.ca/2018/04/20/cityvote-debate-ontario-election/ |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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|May 9, 2018||Electoral Writ issued.<ref name="cbc101">{{cite news| url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/ontario-election-101-1.4653863| title=Election 101: Here's what you need to know about the Ontario election| date=May 9, 2018| website=cbc.ca}}</ref> |
|May 9, 2018||Electoral Writ issued.<ref name="cbc101">{{cite news| url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/ontario-election-101-1.4653863| title=Election 101: Here's what you need to know about the Ontario election| date=May 9, 2018| website=cbc.ca| access-date=May 9, 2018| archive-date=May 9, 2018| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180509080823/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/ontario-election-101-1.4653863| url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|May 11, 2018||Leaders' debate in [[Parry Sound, Ontario|Parry Sound]].<ref>{{cite web| url=https://www.parrysound.com/news-story/8592643-wynne-ford-and-horwath-debate-in-parry-sound-friday/| title=Wynne, Ford and Horwath debate in Parry Sound Friday| first=Sarah| last=Bissonette| date=May 7, 2018| website=parrysound.com}}</ref> |
|May 11, 2018||Leaders' debate in [[Parry Sound, Ontario|Parry Sound]].<ref>{{cite web| url=https://www.parrysound.com/news-story/8592643-wynne-ford-and-horwath-debate-in-parry-sound-friday/| title=Wynne, Ford and Horwath debate in Parry Sound Friday| first=Sarah| last=Bissonette| date=May 7, 2018| website=parrysound.com| access-date=May 7, 2018| archive-date=May 8, 2018| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180508060336/https://www.parrysound.com/news-story/8592643-wynne-ford-and-horwath-debate-in-parry-sound-friday/| url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|May 17, 2018||Candidate nominations close at 2 PM local time.<ref>{{cite web| url=https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/internal-theft-of-data-on-60000-customers-of-ontarios-private-407-freeway-could-be-linked-to-pc-party-recruitment| title=Ontario PC candidate resigns after private 407 freeway confirms 'internal theft' of data on 60,000 customers| date=May 16, 2018| first=Tom| last=Blackwell| work=[[National Post]]}}</ref> |
|May 17, 2018||Candidate nominations close at 2 PM local time.<ref>{{cite web| url=https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/internal-theft-of-data-on-60000-customers-of-ontarios-private-407-freeway-could-be-linked-to-pc-party-recruitment| title=Ontario PC candidate resigns after private 407 freeway confirms 'internal theft' of data on 60,000 customers| date=May 16, 2018| first=Tom| last=Blackwell| work=[[National Post]]}}</ref> |
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|May 26, 2018||[[Early voting|Advance voting]] starts at voting locations and returning offices.<ref name="advon">{{cite web| url=https://barrie.ctvnews.ca/advance-voting-begins-for-provincial-election-1.3946918 |
|May 26, 2018||[[Early voting|Advance voting]] starts at voting locations and returning offices.<ref name="advon">{{cite web| url=https://barrie.ctvnews.ca/advance-voting-begins-for-provincial-election-1.3946918| title=Advance voting begins for provincial election| date=May 26, 2018| website=ctvnews.ca| access-date=May 28, 2018| archive-date=May 28, 2018| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180528134320/https://barrie.ctvnews.ca/advance-voting-begins-for-provincial-election-1.3946918| url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web| url=https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2018/media/May%2026%202018%20Advance%20Voting%20for%20Provincial%20General%20Election%20Starts%20Today.pdf| title=Advance Voting for Provincial General Election Starts Today| website=elections.on.ca| access-date=May 27, 2018| archive-date=May 28, 2018| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180528021713/https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2018/media/May%2026%202018%20Advance%20Voting%20for%20Provincial%20General%20Election%20Starts%20Today.pdf| url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|May 27, 2018||Second televised debate, moderated by [[Steve Paikin]] and [[Farah Nasser]], held at the [[Canadian Broadcasting Centre]] in Toronto and aired on [[CBC Television|CBC]], [[CTV Television Network|CTV]], [[Global Television Network|Global]], [[TVOntario|TVO]], [[CPAC (TV channel)|CPAC]], [[CHCH-DT|CHCH]] and other outlets. Attended by Wynne, Ford, and Horwath.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/first-on-election-televised-debate-1.4616852|title=Kathleen Wynne, Doug Ford, Andrea Horwath invited to face off in televised debate on May 27|date=April 12, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=April 12, 2018}}</ref> |
|May 27, 2018||Second televised debate, moderated by [[Steve Paikin]] and [[Farah Nasser]], held at the [[Canadian Broadcasting Centre]] in Toronto and aired on [[CBC Television|CBC]], [[CTV Television Network|CTV]], [[Global Television Network|Global]], [[TVOntario|TVO]], [[CPAC (TV channel)|CPAC]], [[CHCH-DT|CHCH]] and other outlets. Attended by Wynne, Ford, and Horwath.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/first-on-election-televised-debate-1.4616852|title=Kathleen Wynne, Doug Ford, Andrea Horwath invited to face off in televised debate on May 27|date=April 12, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=April 12, 2018|archive-date=April 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180412205708/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/first-on-election-televised-debate-1.4616852|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|May 30, 2018||Advance voting ends at advance voting locations.<ref name="advon" /> |
|May 30, 2018||Advance voting ends at advance voting locations.<ref name="advon" /> |
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|June 1, 2018||Advance voting ends at returning offices.<ref name="advon" /> |
|June 1, 2018||Advance voting ends at returning offices.<ref name="advon" /> |
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|June 2, 2018||Premier Wynne concedes that the Liberals will not win the election.<ref>{{cite news |
|June 2, 2018||Premier Wynne concedes that the Liberals will not win the election.<ref>{{cite news|last= Benzie|first= Robert|date= June 2, 2018|title= Wynne concedes she will lose Thursday's election, urges voters to elect Liberal MPPs as check on Ford or Horwath|url= https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/06/02/wynne-concedes-she-will-lose-thursdays-election-urges-voters-to-elect-liberal-mpps-as-a-check-on-ford-or-horwath.html|work= [[Toronto Star]]|access-date= June 2, 2018|archive-date= June 2, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180602161540/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/06/02/wynne-concedes-she-will-lose-thursdays-election-urges-voters-to-elect-liberal-mpps-as-a-check-on-ford-or-horwath.html|url-status= live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|last= Giovannetti|first= Justin|date= June 3, 2018|title= Ontario's NDP, PCs jockey for majority in wake of Wynne's early concession|url= https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-ontario-grapples-with-wynnes-early-concession-speech-as-pcs-and-ndp/|work= [[The Globe and Mail]]|access-date= June 4, 2018|archive-date= June 4, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180604104928/https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-ontario-grapples-with-wynnes-early-concession-speech-as-pcs-and-ndp/|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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|June 6, 2018||Special ballot voting at returning office or through home visit ends at 6:00 PM EST.<ref name="advon" /> |
|June 6, 2018||Special ballot voting at returning office or through home visit ends at 6:00 PM EST.<ref name="advon" /> |
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===Issues=== |
===Issues=== |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%;" |
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|+ 2018 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms<ref>{{cite news |
|+ 2018 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms<ref>{{cite news|author= <!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.-->|title= Ontario election guide: What you need to know before you vote|url= https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-ontario-election-guide/|work= [[The Globe and Mail]]|date= May 15, 2018|access-date= May 21, 2018|archive-date= May 21, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180521210038/https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-ontario-election-guide/|url-status= live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Platforms For Ontario Election: The Promises Each Party Made To Voters |url=https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2018/06/06/platforms-for-ontario-election_a_23452713/ |work=[[HuffPost]] |agency=[[Canadian Press]] |date=June 6, 2018 |access-date=January 4, 2019 |archive-date=January 5, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190105042759/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2018/06/06/platforms-for-ontario-election_a_23452713/ |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Platform tracker: Party promises and policies on issues that mean most to Ontario voters |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/platform-tracker-ontario-parties-election-1.4676595 |work=[[CBC News]] |access-date=January 4, 2019 |archive-date=December 28, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181228014043/https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/platform-tracker-ontario-parties-election-1.4676595 |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Plan For The People |url=https://www.ontariopc.ca/plan_for_the_people |website=Ontario PC Party |access-date=27 May 2020 |language=en |archive-date=January 17, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190117132248/https://www.ontariopc.ca/plan_for_the_people |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Change for the Better |url=https://www.ontariondp.ca/sites/default/files/Change-for-the-better.pdf |website=Ontario NDP |access-date=May 27, 2020 |archive-date=June 24, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200624090206/https://www.ontariondp.ca/sites/default/files/Change-for-the-better.pdf |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Artuso |first1=Antonella |title=NDP's Sanctuary Ontario must have broad reach, activist says |url=https://torontosun.com/news/provincial/ndps-sanctuary-ontario-must-have-broad-reach-activist-says |access-date=22 June 2020 |publisher=Toronto Sun |date=May 21, 2018 |archive-date=June 25, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200625135257/https://torontosun.com/news/provincial/ndps-sanctuary-ontario-must-have-broad-reach-activist-says |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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* Construct the [[Light Rail Transit|LRT]] line in [[Hamilton, Ontario|Hamilton]] |
* Construct the [[Light Rail Transit|LRT]] line in [[Hamilton, Ontario|Hamilton]] |
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* Electrify the existing [[GO Transit|GO lines]] and the [[Union Pearson Express]] |
* Electrify the existing [[GO Transit|GO lines]] and the [[Union Pearson Express]] |
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* Remove tolls on the [[Ontario Highway 412|Highway 412]] and prevent tolls for the [[Ontario Highway 418|Highway 418]]<ref>{{cite web|last=Streck |first=Aaron |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/4248121/ndp-remove-durham-highway-tolls-if-elected/ |title=Durham highway tolls will be removed if elected, say NDP candidates |work=[[Global News]] |date=June 1, 2018 |access-date=June 7, 2018}}</ref> |
* Remove tolls on the [[Ontario Highway 412|Highway 412]] and prevent tolls for the [[Ontario Highway 418|Highway 418]]<ref>{{cite web |last=Streck |first=Aaron |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/4248121/ndp-remove-durham-highway-tolls-if-elected/ |title=Durham highway tolls will be removed if elected, say NDP candidates |work=[[Global News]] |date=June 1, 2018 |access-date=June 7, 2018 |archive-date=June 12, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612143944/https://globalnews.ca/news/4248121/ndp-remove-durham-highway-tolls-if-elected/ |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name|short}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name|short}} |
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|"Care over cuts"<ref>{{cite news |
|"Care over cuts"<ref>{{cite news|last= Akin|first= David|author-link= David Akin|date= May 18, 2018|title= For the Wynne Liberals, the Ontario election has always been 'Save the Furniture'|url= https://globalnews.ca/news/4217379/david-akin-ontario-liberals-save-the-furniture/|work= [[Global News]]|access-date= May 20, 2018|archive-date= May 20, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180520204901/https://globalnews.ca/news/4217379/david-akin-ontario-liberals-save-the-furniture/|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name|short}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name|short}} |
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|"For the People"<ref>{{cite news |
|"For the People"<ref>{{cite news|author= <!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.-->|title= Doug Ford, Ontario PCs unveil campaign bus and 'For The People' slogan|url= http://toronto.citynews.ca/2018/04/15/doug-ford-ontario-pcs-unveil-campaign-bus-people-slogan/|work= [[CityNews]]|location= Toronto|date= April 15, 2018|access-date= May 20, 2018|archive-date= May 21, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180521020845/http://toronto.citynews.ca/2018/04/15/doug-ford-ontario-pcs-unveil-campaign-bus-people-slogan/|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name|short}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name|short}} |
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|"Change for the better"<ref>{{cite news |
|"Change for the better"<ref>{{cite news|last= Powers|first= Lucas|date= April 16, 2018|title= Ontario NDP platform proposes big spending on health care, social services|url= http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-ndp-andrea-horwath-election-platform-1.4621345|work= [[CBC News]]|access-date= May 20, 2018|archive-date= May 19, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180519232724/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-ndp-andrea-horwath-election-platform-1.4621345|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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|"Changeons pour le mieux"<ref>{{cite news |
|"Changeons pour le mieux"<ref>{{cite news|author= <!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.-->|date= April 26, 2018|title= La plateforme néo-démocrate est enfin disponible en français|url= https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/1097613/plateforme-neo-democrate-francais-ontario|language= fr|work= [[Ici Radio-Canada Première]]|access-date= May 20, 2018|archive-date= May 20, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180520193737/https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/1097613/plateforme-neo-democrate-francais-ontario|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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|''Let's change for the better'' |
|''Let's change for the better'' |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Green|colour&name|short}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Green|colour&name|short}} |
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|"People Powered Change"<ref>{{cite news |
|"People Powered Change"<ref>{{cite news|last= Janus|first= Andrea|date= May 14, 2018|title= Basic income, road tolls for transit part of Ontario Green Party's election platform|url= http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-green-party-election-platform-1.4661664|work= [[CBC News]]|access-date= May 20, 2018|archive-date= May 20, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180520145910/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-green-party-election-platform-1.4661664|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Libertarian|colour&name|short}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Libertarian|colour&name|short}} |
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|"The Party of Choice"<ref>{{cite interview |last=Small |first=Allen |interviewer=Tasha Kheiriddin |title=Ontario Libertarian Party leader Allen Small shares his views on election issues |url=https://omny.fm/shows/tasha-kheiriddin/libertarian-party-of-ontario-leader-allen-small-sh |location=Toronto |date=May 18, 2018 |work=[[Global News]]}}</ref> |
|"The Party of Choice"<ref>{{cite interview |last=Small |first=Allen |interviewer=Tasha Kheiriddin |title=Ontario Libertarian Party leader Allen Small shares his views on election issues |url=https://omny.fm/shows/tasha-kheiriddin/libertarian-party-of-ontario-leader-allen-small-sh |location=Toronto |date=May 18, 2018 |work=[[Global News]] |access-date=May 30, 2018 |archive-date=June 12, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612113132/https://omny.fm/shows/tasha-kheiriddin/libertarian-party-of-ontario-leader-allen-small-sh |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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* [[Postmedia Network]] |
* [[Postmedia Network]] |
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** ''[[The London Free Press]]''<ref>{{cite news |
** ''[[The London Free Press]]''<ref>{{cite news|author= <!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.-->|title= Of choices we have, Ford's PCs are best|url= https://lfpress.com/opinion/editorials/pov-our-choice-for-ontario-is-ford|work= [[The London Free Press]]|publisher= [[Postmedia Network]]|date= June 1, 2018|access-date= January 27, 2019|archive-date= March 21, 2019|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20190321172653/https://lfpress.com/opinion/editorials/pov-our-choice-for-ontario-is-ford|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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** ''[[Toronto Sun]]''<ref>{{cite news |
** ''[[Toronto Sun]]''<ref>{{cite news|author= <!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.-->|title= Our choice for Ontario is Ford|url= http://torontosun.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-our-choice-for-ontario-is-ford|newspaper= [[Toronto Sun]]|publisher= [[Postmedia Network]]|date= June 2, 2018|access-date= June 2, 2018|archive-date= June 2, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180602121954/http://torontosun.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-our-choice-for-ontario-is-ford|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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** ''[[National Post]]''<ref>{{cite news |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.--> |title= Ontario's choice is clear, if less than ideal: A Progressive Conservative government|url= https://nationalpost.com/opinion/np-view-ontarios-choice-is-clear-if-less-than-ideal-a-progressive-conservative-government|work= [[National Post]]|publisher=[[Postmedia Network]]|date= June 1, 2018}}</ref> |
** ''[[National Post]]''<ref>{{cite news |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.--> |title= Ontario's choice is clear, if less than ideal: A Progressive Conservative government|url= https://nationalpost.com/opinion/np-view-ontarios-choice-is-clear-if-less-than-ideal-a-progressive-conservative-government|work= [[National Post]]|publisher=[[Postmedia Network]]|date= June 1, 2018}}</ref> |
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** ''[[Ottawa Citizen]]''<ref>{{cite news |
** ''[[Ottawa Citizen]]''<ref>{{cite news|author= <!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.-->|title= The Progressive Conservatives should form the next Ontario government|url= https://ottawacitizen.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-the-progressive-conservatives-should-form-the-next-ontario-government|work= [[Ottawa Citizen]]|publisher= [[Postmedia Network]]|date= June 2, 2018|access-date= January 27, 2019|archive-date= November 6, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20181106171136/https://ottawacitizen.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-the-progressive-conservatives-should-form-the-next-ontario-government|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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* ''[[Ajax News Advertiser]]''<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.durhamregion.com/opinion-story/8629987-change-is-needed-in-ontario/ |work=Ajax News Advertiser |date=May 31, 2018 |title=Change is needed in Ontario}}</ref> |
* ''[[Ajax News Advertiser]]''<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.durhamregion.com/opinion-story/8629987-change-is-needed-in-ontario/ |work=Ajax News Advertiser |date=May 31, 2018 |title=Change is needed in Ontario |access-date=June 2, 2018 |archive-date=June 12, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612141053/https://www.durhamregion.com/opinion-story/8629987-change-is-needed-in-ontario/ |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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* ''[[Toronto Star]]''<ref>{{cite news |
* ''[[Toronto Star]]''<ref>{{cite news|author= <!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.-->|title= Ontario voters should back NDP to stop Doug Ford|url= https://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/2018/06/01/ontario-voters-should-back-ndp-to-stop-doug-ford.html|work= [[Toronto Star]]|date= June 1, 2018|access-date= June 2, 2018|archive-date= June 2, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180602151801/https://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/2018/06/01/ontario-voters-should-back-ndp-to-stop-doug-ford.html|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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*[[Metroland Media Group]] |
*[[Metroland Media Group]] |
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** ''[[The Hamilton Spectator]]''<ref name="thespec1">{{Cite news|url=https://www.thespec.com/opinion-story/8649165-the-spectator-s-view-ford-pcs-say-take-them-on-faith-that-s-not-enough/|title=The Spectator's view: Ford PCs say take them on faith – that's not enough|date=June 5, 2018|work=[[The Hamilton Spectator]]|publisher=[[Metroland Media Group]] |
** ''[[The Hamilton Spectator]]''<ref name="thespec1">{{Cite news|url=https://www.thespec.com/opinion-story/8649165-the-spectator-s-view-ford-pcs-say-take-them-on-faith-that-s-not-enough/|title=The Spectator's view: Ford PCs say take them on faith – that's not enough|date=June 5, 2018|work=[[The Hamilton Spectator]]|publisher=[[Metroland Media Group]]|access-date=June 6, 2018|archive-date=June 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612140756/https://www.thespec.com/opinion-story/8649165-the-spectator-s-view-ford-pcs-say-take-them-on-faith-that-s-not-enough/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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** ''[[Niagara Falls Review]]''<ref name="thespec1"/> |
** ''[[Niagara Falls Review]]''<ref name="thespec1"/> |
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* ''[[Le Droit]]''<ref>{{cite news |
* ''[[Le Droit]]''<ref>{{cite news|last= Jury|first= Pierre|date= June 5, 2018|title= Pour le NPD|trans-title= For the NDP|language= fr|url= https://www.ledroit.com/opinions/editoriaux/pour-le-npd-6117966d8785adcb0bdfd318dc74ed16|work= [[Le Droit]]|access-date= June 6, 2018|archive-date= June 7, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180607002333/https://www.ledroit.com/opinions/editoriaux/pour-le-npd-6117966d8785adcb0bdfd318dc74ed16|url-status= live}}</ref> |
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* ''Toronto Star'' (Riding of [[Guelph (provincial electoral district)|Guelph]] only)<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/2018/05/21/guelph-voters-should-consider-making-history-and-sending-the-greens-mike-schreiner-to-queens-park.html|title=Guelph voters should consider making history and sending the Greens' Mike Schreiner to Queen's Park|author=Toronto Star Editorial Board|date=May 22, 2018|work=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=March 16, 2019}}</ref> |
* ''Toronto Star'' (Riding of [[Guelph (provincial electoral district)|Guelph]] only)<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/2018/05/21/guelph-voters-should-consider-making-history-and-sending-the-greens-mike-schreiner-to-queens-park.html|title=Guelph voters should consider making history and sending the Greens' Mike Schreiner to Queen's Park|author=Toronto Star Editorial Board|date=May 22, 2018|work=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=March 16, 2019|archive-date=April 3, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403203648/https://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/2018/05/21/guelph-voters-should-consider-making-history-and-sending-the-greens-mike-schreiner-to-queens-park.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* ''[[The Globe and Mail]]''<ref>{{cite news |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.--> |title=Globe editorial: For Ontario voters, leadership and vision are not on offer|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/editorials/article-globe-editorial-for-ontario-voters-leadership-and-vision-are-not-on/ |work= |
* ''[[The Globe and Mail]]''<ref>{{cite news |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.--> |title=Globe editorial: For Ontario voters, leadership and vision are not on offer |url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/editorials/article-globe-editorial-for-ontario-voters-leadership-and-vision-are-not-on/ |work=[[The Globe and Mail]] |date=June 5, 2018 |access-date=June 5, 2018 |archive-date=June 6, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180606103106/https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/editorials/article-globe-editorial-for-ontario-voters-leadership-and-vision-are-not-on/ |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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* ''[[Waterloo Region Record]]''<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.therecord.com/opinion-story/8650655-the-record-s-view-in-an-era-of-disruption-ontario-voters-should-seek-stability/|title=The Record's view: In an era of disruption Ontario voters should seek stability|date=June 4, 2018|work=[[Waterloo Region Record]]|access-date=June 6, 2018}}</ref> |
* ''[[Waterloo Region Record]]''<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.therecord.com/opinion-story/8650655-the-record-s-view-in-an-era-of-disruption-ontario-voters-should-seek-stability/|title=The Record's view: In an era of disruption Ontario voters should seek stability|date=June 4, 2018|work=[[Waterloo Region Record]]|access-date=June 6, 2018|archive-date=March 23, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220323052812/https://www.therecord.com/opinion/editorials/2018/06/04/the-record-s-view-in-an-era-of-disruption-ontario-voters-should-seek-stability.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Laurentian Media Group]]<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.sudbury.com/editorial/editorial-were-endorsing-change-this-provincial-election-940199|title=Editorial: We're endorsing change this provincial election|date=May 31, 2018|work=[[Northern Life (newspaper)|Northern Life]]|publisher=[[Laurentian Media Group]]|access-date=June 7, 2018}}</ref> |
* [[Laurentian Media Group]]<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.sudbury.com/editorial/editorial-were-endorsing-change-this-provincial-election-940199|title=Editorial: We're endorsing change this provincial election|date=May 31, 2018|work=[[Northern Life (newspaper)|Northern Life]]|publisher=[[Laurentian Media Group]]|access-date=June 7, 2018|archive-date=June 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612141336/https://www.sudbury.com/editorial/editorial-were-endorsing-change-this-provincial-election-940199|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|Politicians and public figures |
|Politicians and public figures |
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* [[Justin Trudeau]]<ref>{{cite news|url= |
* [[Justin Trudeau]]<ref>{{cite news|url=https://ipolitics.ca/2018/05/04/trudeau-dropping-in-on-wynne-days-before-election-campaign/|title=Trudeau dropping in on Wynne days before election campaign|first=Marieke|last=Walsh|date=May 4, 2018|work=[[iPolitics]]|access-date=June 5, 2018|archive-date=June 8, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180608204802/https://ipolitics.ca/2018/05/04/trudeau-dropping-in-on-wynne-days-before-election-campaign/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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*[[Hazel McCallion]] (Riding of [[Mississauga—Lakeshore (provincial electoral district)|Mississauga—Lakeshore]] only)<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/05/24/hazel-mccallion-stars-in-a-tale-of-two-endorsements.html |title=Hazel McCallion stars in 'A Tale of Two Endorsements' |work=[[Toronto Star]] |first1=Kristin|last1=Rushowy |first2=Robert|last2=Benzie |first3=Rob|last3=Ferguson |date=May 24, 2018}}</ref> |
*[[Hazel McCallion]] (Riding of [[Mississauga—Lakeshore (provincial electoral district)|Mississauga—Lakeshore]] only)<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/05/24/hazel-mccallion-stars-in-a-tale-of-two-endorsements.html |title=Hazel McCallion stars in 'A Tale of Two Endorsements' |work=[[Toronto Star]] |first1=Kristin |last1=Rushowy |first2=Robert |last2=Benzie |first3=Rob |last3=Ferguson |date=May 24, 2018 |access-date=September 18, 2018 |archive-date=June 12, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612135838/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/05/24/hazel-mccallion-stars-in-a-tale-of-two-endorsements.html |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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* [[Andrew Scheer]]<ref>{{cite news|url=https://globalnews.ca/video/4242765/andrew-scheer-says-doug-ford-best-choice-in-election-slams-ontario-ndps-past|title=Andrew Scheer says Doug Ford 'best choice' in election, slams Ontario NDP's past|date=May 24, 2018|work=[[Global News]]|access-date=May 24, 2018}}</ref> |
* [[Andrew Scheer]]<ref>{{cite news|url=https://globalnews.ca/video/4242765/andrew-scheer-says-doug-ford-best-choice-in-election-slams-ontario-ndps-past|title=Andrew Scheer says Doug Ford 'best choice' in election, slams Ontario NDP's past|date=May 24, 2018|work=[[Global News]]|access-date=May 24, 2018|archive-date=June 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612151812/https://globalnews.ca/video/4242765/andrew-scheer-says-doug-ford-best-choice-in-election-slams-ontario-ndps-past|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Hazel McCallion]]<ref>{{cite news|first=Ali|last=Raza|url=https://www.mississauga.com/news-story/8628446-hazel-mccallion-endorses-pc-leader-doug-ford-and-liberal-finance-minister-charles-sousa/|title=Hazel McCallion endorses PC Leader Doug Ford and Liberal Finance Minister Charles Sousa|date=May 30, 2018|work=[[The Mississauga News]]|access-date=May 30, 2018}}</ref> |
* [[Hazel McCallion]]<ref>{{cite news|first=Ali|last=Raza|url=https://www.mississauga.com/news-story/8628446-hazel-mccallion-endorses-pc-leader-doug-ford-and-liberal-finance-minister-charles-sousa/|title=Hazel McCallion endorses PC Leader Doug Ford and Liberal Finance Minister Charles Sousa|date=May 30, 2018|work=[[The Mississauga News]]|access-date=May 30, 2018|archive-date=June 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612144228/https://www.mississauga.com/news-story/8628446-hazel-mccallion-endorses-pc-leader-doug-ford-and-liberal-finance-minister-charles-sousa/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Kevin O'Leary]]<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2018/04/06/kevin-oleary-shark-tank-tory-leadership-debt_a_23405088/|first=Ryan|last=Maloney|title=Kevin O'Leary Taps 'Sharks' To Help Pay Back Tory Leadership Debt|date=June 4, 2018|work=[[HuffPost]]|access-date=June 4, 2018}}</ref> |
* [[Kevin O'Leary]]<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2018/04/06/kevin-oleary-shark-tank-tory-leadership-debt_a_23405088/|first=Ryan|last=Maloney|title=Kevin O'Leary Taps 'Sharks' To Help Pay Back Tory Leadership Debt|date=June 4, 2018|work=[[HuffPost]]|access-date=June 4, 2018|archive-date=June 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612135843/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2018/04/06/kevin-oleary-shark-tank-tory-leadership-debt_a_23405088/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Mel Lastman]]<ref>{{cite news|url=http://torontosun.com/news/provincial/hes-a-straight-shooter-mel-lastman-endorses-doug-ford|title='HE'S A STRAIGHT SHOOTER': Mel Lastman endorses Doug Ford|first=Antonella |
* [[Mel Lastman]]<ref>{{cite news|url=http://torontosun.com/news/provincial/hes-a-straight-shooter-mel-lastman-endorses-doug-ford|title='HE'S A STRAIGHT SHOOTER': Mel Lastman endorses Doug Ford|first=Antonella|last=Artuso|date=June 1, 2018|newspaper=[[Toronto Sun]]|access-date=June 2, 2018|archive-date=June 3, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180603020452/http://torontosun.com/news/provincial/hes-a-straight-shooter-mel-lastman-endorses-doug-ford|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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*[[Stephen Harper]]<ref>{{Cite tweet |user=stephenharper |first=Stephen |last=Harper |author-link=Stephen Harper |number=1001235470938849280 |date=May 28, 2018 |access-date=June 7, 2018 |title=A year since @CPC_HQ elected @AndrewScheer as Leader, I can think of no one better to be Canada's next Conservative Prime Minister. Great seeing Andrew in Toronto, we both agree we must first get the job done in Ontario with Conservative Premier @fordnation!}}</ref> |
*[[Stephen Harper]]<ref>{{Cite tweet |user=stephenharper |first=Stephen |last=Harper |author-link=Stephen Harper |number=1001235470938849280 |date=May 28, 2018 |access-date=June 7, 2018 |title=A year since @CPC_HQ elected @AndrewScheer as Leader, I can think of no one better to be Canada's next Conservative Prime Minister. Great seeing Andrew in Toronto, we both agree we must first get the job done in Ontario with Conservative Premier @fordnation!}}</ref> |
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*[[Jagmeet Singh]]<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ndp-brampton-rally-1.4672197|title=Andrea Horwath, Jagmeet Singh team up at Brampton event to keep pushing NDP in polls|first=Andrea |
*[[Jagmeet Singh]]<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ndp-brampton-rally-1.4672197|title=Andrea Horwath, Jagmeet Singh team up at Brampton event to keep pushing NDP in polls|first=Andrea|last=Janus|date=May 21, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=June 5, 2018|archive-date=June 8, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180608165849/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ndp-brampton-rally-1.4672197|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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*[[Michael Coren]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal">{{Cite news|url=https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/charles-pascal/ontario-election-progressive-voters_a_23452719/|last1=Coren|first1=Michael|last2=Dias|first2=Jerry|last3=Farber|first3=Bernie M.|last4=Gardner|first4=Kay|last5=Hudson|first5=Sandy|last6=Miller|first6=David|last7=Pascale|first7=Charles|last8=Rebick|first8=Judy|last9=Wong-Tam|first9=Kristyn|title=It's Time For Progressive Voters To Rally Around Andrea Horwath|work=[[HuffPost]]|access-date=June 6, 2018}}</ref> |
*[[Michael Coren]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal">{{Cite news|url=https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/charles-pascal/ontario-election-progressive-voters_a_23452719/|last1=Coren|first1=Michael|last2=Dias|first2=Jerry|last3=Farber|first3=Bernie M.|last4=Gardner|first4=Kay|last5=Hudson|first5=Sandy|last6=Miller|first6=David|last7=Pascale|first7=Charles|last8=Rebick|first8=Judy|last9=Wong-Tam|first9=Kristyn|title=It's Time For Progressive Voters To Rally Around Andrea Horwath|work=[[HuffPost]]|access-date=June 6, 2018|archive-date=June 7, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180607012338/https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/charles-pascal/ontario-election-progressive-voters_a_23452719/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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*[[Jerry Dias]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
*[[Jerry Dias]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
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*[[Bernie Farber]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
*[[Bernie Farber]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
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*[[Kay Gardner]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
*[[Kay Gardner (politician)|Kay Gardner]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
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*[[David Miller (Canadian politician)|David Miller]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
*[[David Miller (Canadian politician)|David Miller]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
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*[[Judy Rebick]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
*[[Judy Rebick]]<ref name="huffpost-pascal" /> |
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Line 455: | Line 455: | ||
*[[Olivia Chow]]<ref>{{Cite tweet |user=oliviachow |first=Olivia |last=Chow |author-link=Olivia Chow |number=998978918433472512 |title=After June 7, life will be more affordable and hopeful. @AndreaHorwath message of #Change4Better is getting through |date=May 22, 2018 |access-date=June 7, 2018}}</ref> |
*[[Olivia Chow]]<ref>{{Cite tweet |user=oliviachow |first=Olivia |last=Chow |author-link=Olivia Chow |number=998978918433472512 |title=After June 7, life will be more affordable and hopeful. @AndreaHorwath message of #Change4Better is getting through |date=May 22, 2018 |access-date=June 7, 2018}}</ref> |
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*[[Elizabeth May]]<ref name="cbc-green">{{cite news|title=Mike Schreiner hosts rally in Guelph with David Suzuki, Elizabeth May|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/kitchener-waterloo/guelph-mike-schreiner-david-suzuki-elizabeth-may-1.4630234|date=April 22, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|first=Carmen |
*[[Elizabeth May]]<ref name="cbc-green">{{cite news|title=Mike Schreiner hosts rally in Guelph with David Suzuki, Elizabeth May|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/kitchener-waterloo/guelph-mike-schreiner-david-suzuki-elizabeth-may-1.4630234|date=April 22, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|first=Carmen|last=Ponciano|access-date=June 7, 2018|archive-date=June 8, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180608165833/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/kitchener-waterloo/guelph-mike-schreiner-david-suzuki-elizabeth-may-1.4630234|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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*[[David Suzuki]]<ref name="cbc-green" /> |
*[[David Suzuki]]<ref name="cbc-green" /> |
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* Ontario Convenience Stores Association<ref>{{cite tweet |user=OntarioCStores |author=Ontario Convenience Stores Association |number=1002902718929727490 |title=Small businesses need a business friendly government going forward as we have been ignored for years |date=June 2, 2018 |access-date=June 2, 2018}}</ref> |
* Ontario Convenience Stores Association<ref>{{cite tweet |user=OntarioCStores |author=Ontario Convenience Stores Association |number=1002902718929727490 |title=Small businesses need a business friendly government going forward as we have been ignored for years |date=June 2, 2018 |access-date=June 2, 2018}}</ref> |
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* Ottawa Police Association<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-police-union-endorses-pcs-1.4685840|title=Ottawa police union endorses PCs|date=May 31, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=May 31, 2018}}</ref> |
* Ottawa Police Association<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-police-union-endorses-pcs-1.4685840|title=Ottawa police union endorses PCs|date=May 31, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=May 31, 2018|archive-date=May 31, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180531211503/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-police-union-endorses-pcs-1.4685840|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* United Steelworkers Local 2251<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/provincial-election-unions-organized-labour-1.4684174/|title=Sault Ste. Marie Steelworkers take flack for backing PC candidate: 'this is democracy'|first=Erik |
* United Steelworkers Local 2251<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/provincial-election-unions-organized-labour-1.4684174/|title=Sault Ste. Marie Steelworkers take flack for backing PC candidate: 'this is democracy'|first=Erik|last=White|date=May 31, 2018|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=May 31, 2018|archive-date=May 31, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180531173633/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/provincial-election-unions-organized-labour-1.4684174|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Elementary Teachers' Federation of Ontario]]<ref>{{cite news|title=Ontario's largest education union opts to endorse NDP over Liberals|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-ontarios-largest-education-union-opts-to-endorse-ndp-over-liberals/|first=Caroline |
* [[Elementary Teachers' Federation of Ontario]]<ref>{{cite news|title=Ontario's largest education union opts to endorse NDP over Liberals|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-ontarios-largest-education-union-opts-to-endorse-ndp-over-liberals/|first=Caroline|last=Alphonso|date=May 10, 2018|work=[[The Globe and Mail]]|access-date=June 1, 2018|archive-date=May 29, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180529215244/https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-ontarios-largest-education-union-opts-to-endorse-ndp-over-liberals/|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Canadian Union of Public Employees]]<ref>{{cite web|title=Canada's NDP: Working together|url=https://cupe.ca/canadas-ndp-working-together|work=CUPE|access-date=June 2, 2018}}</ref> |
* [[Canadian Union of Public Employees]]<ref>{{cite web|title=Canada's NDP: Working together|url=https://cupe.ca/canadas-ndp-working-together|work=CUPE|access-date=June 2, 2018|archive-date=March 23, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220323052811/https://cupe.ca/canadas-ndp-working-together|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Ontario Steelworkers]]<ref>{{cite web|title=Ontario Steelworkers Endorse Andrea Horwath and the NDP|url=https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/ontario-steelworkers-endorse-andrea-horwath-and-the-ndp-684338631.html|work=Newswire|access-date=June 3, 2018}}</ref> |
* [[Ontario Steelworkers]]<ref>{{cite web|title=Ontario Steelworkers Endorse Andrea Horwath and the NDP|url=https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/ontario-steelworkers-endorse-andrea-horwath-and-the-ndp-684338631.html|work=Newswire|access-date=June 3, 2018|archive-date=June 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612141847/https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/ontario-steelworkers-endorse-andrea-horwath-and-the-ndp-684338631.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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* [[Amalgamated Transit Union]]<ref>{{cite press release|title=ATU Canada Endorses the NDP|url=http://atucanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/NDP-Endorsement.pdf|work=ATU|access-date=May 15, 2018}}</ref> |
* [[Amalgamated Transit Union]]<ref>{{cite press release|title=ATU Canada Endorses the NDP|url=http://atucanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/NDP-Endorsement.pdf|work=ATU|access-date=May 15, 2018|archive-date=June 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612162051/http://atucanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/NDP-Endorsement.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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=== Candidate nominations === |
=== Candidate nominations === |
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In February 2018, the PC leadership overturned the nomination of candidates Karma Macgregor in [[Ottawa West—Nepean (provincial electoral district)|Ottawa West—Nepean]] and Thenusha Parani in [[Scarborough Centre (provincial electoral district)|Scarborough Centre]] because of irregularities and allegations of ballot stuffing at their nomination meetings.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-west-nepean-nomination-contest-overturned-1.4529749|title=Party overturns Ottawa West-Nepean PC nomination|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=May 31, 2018 |
In February 2018, the PC leadership overturned the nomination of candidates Karma Macgregor in [[Ottawa West—Nepean (provincial electoral district)|Ottawa West—Nepean]] and Thenusha Parani in [[Scarborough Centre (provincial electoral district)|Scarborough Centre]] because of irregularities and allegations of ballot stuffing at their nomination meetings.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-west-nepean-nomination-contest-overturned-1.4529749|title=Party overturns Ottawa West-Nepean PC nomination|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=May 31, 2018|date=February 9, 2018|archive-date=May 23, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180523152532/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-west-nepean-nomination-contest-overturned-1.4529749|url-status=live}}</ref> Both candidates denied these claims.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/pcs-to-hold-new-nomination-contests-in-ottawa-west-nepean-scarborough-centre|title=PCs to hold new nomination contests in Ottawa West-Nepean, Scarborough Centre|date=February 9, 2018|work=[[Ottawa Citizen]]|agency=[[Canadian Press]]|access-date=May 31, 2018|archive-date=May 27, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180527111200/http://ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/pcs-to-hold-new-nomination-contests-in-ottawa-west-nepean-scarborough-centre|url-status=live}}</ref> The nomination meetings were reorganized, and both candidates lost the nomination at those meetings. However, the PC leadership decided not to overturn the nomination meeting's result in [[Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas (provincial electoral district)|Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas]], where a similar situation took place, because of an ongoing police investigation on this situation.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/02/09/tories-overturn-two-controversial-nominations-as-they-clean-house-in-post-patrick-brown-era.html|title=Tories overturn two controversial nominations, as they clean house in post-Patrick-Brown era|last=Benzie|first=Robert|date=February 9, 2018|work=[[Toronto Star]]|access-date=May 31, 2018|archive-date=June 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180612142346/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/02/09/tories-overturn-two-controversial-nominations-as-they-clean-house-in-post-patrick-brown-era.html|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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In March 2018, the NDP nominated Lyra Evans as their candidate in [[Ottawa—Vanier (provincial electoral district)|Ottawa—Vanier]]. Evans was the first openly [[transgender]] candidate nominated by a major party to run in an Ontario general election.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/lyra-evans-candidate-ontario-transgender-1.4585594|title=NDP candidate hopes to give LGBT community greater voice at Queen's Park|work=[[CBC News]]|date=March 26, 2018|access-date=May 13, 2018}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/ndp-in-ottawa-vanier-nominate-ontarios-first-transgender-candidate-for-mpp|title=NDP in Ottawa-Vanier nominate Ontario's first transgender candidate for MPP|first=Paula|last=McCooey|date=March 26, 2018|work=[[Ottawa Citizen]]|access-date=May 13, 2018 |
In March 2018, the NDP nominated Lyra Evans as their candidate in [[Ottawa—Vanier (provincial electoral district)|Ottawa—Vanier]]. Evans was the first openly [[transgender]] candidate nominated by a major party to run in an Ontario general election.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/lyra-evans-candidate-ontario-transgender-1.4585594|title=NDP candidate hopes to give LGBT community greater voice at Queen's Park|work=[[CBC News]]|date=March 26, 2018|access-date=May 13, 2018|archive-date=May 10, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180510094146/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/lyra-evans-candidate-ontario-transgender-1.4585594|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/ndp-in-ottawa-vanier-nominate-ontarios-first-transgender-candidate-for-mpp|title=NDP in Ottawa-Vanier nominate Ontario's first transgender candidate for MPP|first=Paula|last=McCooey|date=March 26, 2018|work=[[Ottawa Citizen]]|access-date=May 13, 2018|archive-date=May 5, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180505043216/http://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/ndp-in-ottawa-vanier-nominate-ontarios-first-transgender-candidate-for-mpp|url-status=live}}</ref> |
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===Incumbents not running for reelection=== |
===Incumbents not running for reelection=== |
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Line 512: | Line 512: | ||
|[[Kenora—Rainy River (provincial electoral district)|Kenora—Rainy River]] |
|[[Kenora—Rainy River (provincial electoral district)|Kenora—Rainy River]] |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
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|[[Sarah Campbell]]<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/thunder-bay/rickford-kenora-rainy-river-2018-1.4411133|title=Sarah Campbell to leave politics; Greg Rickford to run in Kenora - Rainy River |work=[[CBC News]] |access-date=January 12, 2018 |date=November 21, 2017 |first=Jeff |last=Walters}}</ref> |
|[[Sarah Campbell]]<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/thunder-bay/rickford-kenora-rainy-river-2018-1.4411133 |title=Sarah Campbell to leave politics; Greg Rickford to run in Kenora - Rainy River |work=[[CBC News]] |access-date=January 12, 2018 |date=November 21, 2017 |first=Jeff |last=Walters |archive-date=February 4, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180204235636/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/thunder-bay/rickford-kenora-rainy-river-2018-1.4411133 |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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|Glen Archer |
|Glen Archer |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
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Line 519: | Line 519: | ||
|[[Kitchener—Conestoga (provincial electoral district)|Kitchener—Conestoga]] |
|[[Kitchener—Conestoga (provincial electoral district)|Kitchener—Conestoga]] |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Independent|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Independent|background}}| |
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|[[Michael Harris (politician)|Michael Harris]]<ref>{{cite tweet |user=Michaelharrispc |first=Michael |last=Harris |author-link=Michael Harris (politician) |number=982682488626712576 |title=Please see my statement below |date=April 7, 2018 |access-date=May 19, 2018}}</ref> |
|[[Michael Harris (politician, born 1979)|Michael Harris]]<ref>{{cite tweet |user=Michaelharrispc |first=Michael |last=Harris |author-link=Michael Harris (politician, born 1979) |number=982682488626712576 |title=Please see my statement below |date=April 7, 2018 |access-date=May 19, 2018}}</ref> |
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|– |
|– |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
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Line 526: | Line 526: | ||
|[[London North Centre (provincial electoral district)|London North Centre]] |
|[[London North Centre (provincial electoral district)|London North Centre]] |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}}| |
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|[[Deb Matthews]]<ref name="auto">{{cite news |url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2017/10/06/two-more-wynne-cabinet-ministers-say-they-wont-run-again-in-next-junes-ontario-election.html |title=Two more Wynne cabinet ministers say they won't run again in next June's Ontario election |date=October 6, 2017 |first=Rob|last=Ferguson |work=[[Toronto Star]]}}</ref> |
|[[Deb Matthews]]<ref name="auto">{{cite news |url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2017/10/06/two-more-wynne-cabinet-ministers-say-they-wont-run-again-in-next-junes-ontario-election.html |title=Two more Wynne cabinet ministers say they won't run again in next June's Ontario election |date=October 6, 2017 |first=Rob |last=Ferguson |work=[[Toronto Star]] |access-date=October 6, 2017 |archive-date=October 6, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171006201858/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2017/10/06/two-more-wynne-cabinet-ministers-say-they-wont-run-again-in-next-junes-ontario-election.html |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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|Kate Graham |
|Kate Graham |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
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Line 533: | Line 533: | ||
|[[Markham—Unionville (provincial electoral district)|Markham—Unionville]] |
|[[Markham—Unionville (provincial electoral district)|Markham—Unionville]] |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}}| |
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|[[Michael Chan (Canadian politician)|Michael Chan]]<ref name="retire201804">{{cite news| url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/04/05/liberal-cabinet-ministers-michael-chan-and-tracy-maccharles-mpp-grant-crack-say-they-are-retiring.html| title=Liberal cabinet ministers Michael Chan and Tracy MacCharles, MPP Grant Crack say they are retiring| first=Robert| last=Benzie| date=April 5, 2018| work=[[Toronto Star]]}}</ref> |
|[[Michael Chan (Canadian politician)|Michael Chan]]<ref name="retire201804">{{cite news| url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/04/05/liberal-cabinet-ministers-michael-chan-and-tracy-maccharles-mpp-grant-crack-say-they-are-retiring.html| title=Liberal cabinet ministers Michael Chan and Tracy MacCharles, MPP Grant Crack say they are retiring| first=Robert| last=Benzie| date=April 5, 2018| work=[[Toronto Star]]| access-date=April 5, 2018| archive-date=April 5, 2018| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180405192305/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/04/05/liberal-cabinet-ministers-michael-chan-and-tracy-maccharles-mpp-grant-crack-say-they-are-retiring.html| url-status=live}}</ref> |
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|Amanda Yeung Collucci |
|Amanda Yeung Collucci |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
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Line 540: | Line 540: | ||
|[[Parkdale—High Park (provincial electoral district)|Parkdale—High Park]] |
|[[Parkdale—High Park (provincial electoral district)|Parkdale—High Park]] |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
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|[[Cheri DiNovo]]<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/06/07/karpoche-makes-history-with-ndp-win-becoming-the-first-tibetan-ever-elected-to-public-office-in-north-america.html |title=NDP's Bhutila Karpoche wins Parkdale-High Park, becoming first Tibetan ever elected to public office in North America |work=[[Toronto Star]] |date=June 7, 2018 |first=Brendan |last=Kennedy}}</ref> |
|[[Cheri DiNovo]]<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/06/07/karpoche-makes-history-with-ndp-win-becoming-the-first-tibetan-ever-elected-to-public-office-in-north-america.html |title=NDP's Bhutila Karpoche wins Parkdale-High Park, becoming first Tibetan ever elected to public office in North America |work=[[Toronto Star]] |date=June 7, 2018 |first=Brendan |last=Kennedy |access-date=September 18, 2018 |archive-date=November 18, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181118105841/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/06/07/karpoche-makes-history-with-ndp-win-becoming-the-first-tibetan-ever-elected-to-public-office-in-north-america.html |url-status=live }}</ref> |
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|[[Bhutila Karpoche]] |
|[[Bhutila Karpoche]] |
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|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
||
Line 557: | Line 557: | ||
|[[Scarborough Centre (provincial electoral district)|Scarborough Centre]] |
|[[Scarborough Centre (provincial electoral district)|Scarborough Centre]] |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}}| |
||
|[[Brad Duguid]]<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2017/09/08/brad-duguid-wont-run-in-2018-provincial-election.html |title=Brad Duguid won't run in 2018 provincial election |first=Robert |last=Benzie |date=September 8, 2017 |work=[[Toronto Star]]}}</ref> |
|[[Brad Duguid]]<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2017/09/08/brad-duguid-wont-run-in-2018-provincial-election.html |title=Brad Duguid won't run in 2018 provincial election |first=Robert |last=Benzie |date=September 8, 2017 |work=[[Toronto Star]] |access-date=September 8, 2017 |archive-date=September 8, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170908133028/https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2017/09/08/brad-duguid-wont-run-in-2018-provincial-election.html |url-status=live }}</ref> |
||
|Mazhar Shafiq |
|Mazhar Shafiq |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
||
Line 564: | Line 564: | ||
|[[Simcoe North (provincial electoral district)|Simcoe North]] |
|[[Simcoe North (provincial electoral district)|Simcoe North]] |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Independent|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Independent|background}}| |
||
|[[Patrick Brown (politician)|Patrick Brown]]<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/patrick-brown-ontario-election-1.4578747|title=Former PC leader Patrick Brown not running in Ontario election|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=March 16, 2018 |
|[[Patrick Brown (Canadian politician)|Patrick Brown]]<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/patrick-brown-ontario-election-1.4578747|title=Former PC leader Patrick Brown not running in Ontario election|work=[[CBC News]]|access-date=March 16, 2018|date=March 15, 2018|agency=[[Canadian Press]]|archive-date=March 17, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220317153906/https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/patrick-brown-ontario-election-1.4578747|url-status=live}}</ref> |
||
|– |
|– |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}}| |
||
Line 571: | Line 571: | ||
|[[Welland (provincial electoral district)|Welland]] (now [[Niagara Centre (provincial electoral district)|Niagara Centre]]) |
|[[Welland (provincial electoral district)|Welland]] (now [[Niagara Centre (provincial electoral district)|Niagara Centre]]) |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
||
|[[Cindy Forster]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.niagarathisweek.com/news-story/8034226-cindy-forster-pledges-to-keep-fighting-for-causes-she-believes-in/|title=Cindy Forster pledges to keep fighting for causes she believes in|first=Paul|last=Forsyth|date=January 3, 2018|website=niagarathisweek.com|access-date=January 12, 2018}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.stcatharinesstandard.ca/2018/01/03/forster-wont-seek-re-election-in-welland|title=UPDATED: Cindy Forster calling it quits|last=nurun.com|website=St. Catharines Standard|access-date=January 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180104073157/http://www.stcatharinesstandard.ca/2018/01/03/forster-wont-seek-re-election-in-welland|archive-date=January 4, 2018|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
|[[Cindy Forster]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.niagarathisweek.com/news-story/8034226-cindy-forster-pledges-to-keep-fighting-for-causes-she-believes-in/|title=Cindy Forster pledges to keep fighting for causes she believes in|first=Paul|last=Forsyth|date=January 3, 2018|website=niagarathisweek.com|access-date=January 12, 2018|archive-date=January 4, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180104073456/https://www.niagarathisweek.com/news-story/8034226-cindy-forster-pledges-to-keep-fighting-for-causes-she-believes-in/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.stcatharinesstandard.ca/2018/01/03/forster-wont-seek-re-election-in-welland|title=UPDATED: Cindy Forster calling it quits|last=nurun.com|website=St. Catharines Standard|access-date=January 12, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180104073157/http://www.stcatharinesstandard.ca/2018/01/03/forster-wont-seek-re-election-in-welland|archive-date=January 4, 2018|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
|Jeff Burch |
|Jeff Burch |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}}| |
||
Line 615: | Line 615: | ||
|} |
|} |
||
[[Elections Ontario]] used electronic vote tabulator machines from [[Dominion Voting Systems]] for counting the ballots. Tabulators were deployed at 50 per cent of polling stations at a cost of {{CAD|32,000,000}}.<ref name="domtabs">{{cite web| url=https://www.macleans.ca/politics/ontarios-experiment-with-vote-counting-machines-could-change-elections-to-come/ |
[[Elections Ontario]] used electronic vote tabulator machines from [[Dominion Voting Systems]] for counting the ballots. Tabulators were deployed at 50 per cent of polling stations at a cost of {{CAD|32,000,000}}.<ref name="domtabs">{{cite web| url=https://www.macleans.ca/politics/ontarios-experiment-with-vote-counting-machines-could-change-elections-to-come/| title=Ontario's experiment with vote-counting machines could change elections to come| first=Tom| last=Yun| date=June 7, 2018| website=[[Maclean's]]| access-date=June 21, 2018| archive-date=November 15, 2020| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201115030200/https://www.macleans.ca/politics/ontarios-experiment-with-vote-counting-machines-could-change-elections-to-come/| url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="dombackup">{{cite news| url=https://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/elections-ontario-has-utmost-confidence-in-new-vote-counting-machines-but-has-backup-plan-too| title=Elections Ontario has 'utmost confidence' in new vote-counting machines but also has backup plan| first=David| last=Reevely| date=June 7, 2018| work=[[Ottawa Citizen]]| access-date=January 27, 2019| archive-date=November 15, 2020| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201115030100/https://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/elections-ontario-has-utmost-confidence-in-new-vote-counting-machines-but-has-backup-plan-too| url-status=live}}</ref> This election was the first time Ontario used vote counting machines for a provincial election, although tabulators have been used in Ontario civic elections for more than 20 years, and also in a 2016 [[by-election]] in [[Whitby—Oshawa (provincial electoral district)|Whitby-Oshawa]]. |
||
The original paper ballots marked by voters will be kept for a year along with the digital scans of each ballot by the tabulator.<ref name="dombackup" /> |
The original paper ballots marked by voters will be kept for a year along with the digital scans of each ballot by the tabulator.<ref name="dombackup" /> |
||
Line 671: | Line 671: | ||
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-collapsible" style="text-align:right; font-size:90%" |
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-collapsible" style="text-align:right; font-size:90%" |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! colspan="20" |Results by riding - 2018 Ontario general election<ref group=a>{{cite web |
! colspan="20" |Results by riding - 2018 Ontario general election<ref group=a>{{cite web|url= https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/202/pdf/en|title= Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate: 2018 General Election|author= <!--Not stated-->|website= elections.on.ca|access-date= December 3, 2019|archive-date= December 3, 2019|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20191203115416/https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/202/pdf/en|url-status= live}}; {{cite web|url= https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/195/pdf/en|title= Statistical Summary by Electoral District: 2018 General Election|author= <!--Not stated-->|website= elections.on.ca|access-date= December 3, 2019|archive-date= December 3, 2019|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20191203115302/https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/195/pdf/en|url-status= live}}</ref> |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! rowspan="3" scope="col" | Riding |
! rowspan="3" scope="col" | Riding |
||
Line 1,198: | Line 1,198: | ||
{{reflist|group=a}} |
{{reflist|group=a}} |
||
===Detailed analysis=== |
===Detailed results and analysis=== |
||
{{election table||title=Elections to the [[42nd Parliament of Ontario]] (2018)}}<ref>{{cite web |
{{election table||title=Elections to the [[42nd Parliament of Ontario]] (2018)}}<ref>{{cite web|url= https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/193/pdf/en|title= General Election Summary of Candidates Elected and Valid Votes Cast|author= <!--Not stated-->|website= elections.on.ca|access-date= December 3, 2019|archive-date= December 3, 2019|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20191203124041/https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/193/pdf/en|url-status= live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=Résultats|url=https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/468/pdf/en|publication-date=|access-date=August 28, 2021|archive-date=August 17, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210817035536/https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/468/pdf/en|url-status=live}}.</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=data|url=https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/471/pdf/en|publication-date=|access-date=August 28, 2021|archive-date=August 17, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210817035535/https://results.elections.on.ca/api/report-groups/1/report-outputs/471/pdf/en|url-status=live}}.</ref> |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! colspan=2 rowspan=2 | Political party |
! colspan=2 rowspan=2 | Political party |
||
Line 1,315: | Line 1,315: | ||
|{{n/a|New}} |
|{{n/a|New}} |
||
{{Canadian party colour|ON|Freedom|row-name}} |
{{Canadian party colour|ON|Freedom|row-name}} |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Paul McKeever]] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Paul McKeever (politician)|Paul McKeever]] |
||
|14 |
|14 |
||
|– |
|– |
||
Line 1,324: | Line 1,324: | ||
|0.04% |
|0.04% |
||
|0.20{{decrease}} |
|0.20{{decrease}} |
||
{{Canadian party colour|ON| |
{{Canadian party colour|ON|Ontario Party|row-name}} |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|Jason Tysick |
|style="text-align:left;"|Jason Tysick |
||
|5 |
|5 |
||
Line 1,530: | Line 1,530: | ||
|} |
|} |
||
===Summary analysis=== |
|||
'''Incumbents MPPs who lost their seats''' <ref>{{Cite web |title=These are all the places Ontario Liberals were beaten on election night |url=https://macleans.ca/politics/this-is-how-the-ontario-liberals-were-decimated-on-election-night/}}</ref> |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;" |
|||
|+ Party candidates in 2nd place<ref name="EOREsults2018">Summarized from {{cite web|url= https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2018/results/officialresults-yellowbook/votescastbycandidate/pdf/Valid%20Votes%20Cast%20for%20Each%20Candidate%20-%202018%20Provincial%20General%20Election.pdf|title= Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate: 2018 Provincial General Election|author= <!--Not stated-->|publisher= [[Elections Ontario]]|access-date= May 23, 2019|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20181228175029/https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2018/results/officialresults-yellowbook/votescastbycandidate/pdf/Valid%20Votes%20Cast%20for%20Each%20Candidate%20-%202018%20Provincial%20General%20Election.pdf|archive-date= December 28, 2018|url-status= dead}}</ref> |
|||
38 incumbent Liberal MPPs lost their re-election races, as well as a one [[Trillium Party of Ontario|Trillium party]] MPP. |
|||
* ‡ means that the Incumbent was originally from a different riding |
|||
* "b.e." is a short term for "[[By-election]]" |
|||
{| class="wikitable" |
|||
|+ |
|||
!Constituency |
|||
!Party |
|||
!Name |
|||
!Year first elected |
|||
!Seat held by party since |
|||
!Defeated by |
|||
!Party |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
|[[Ottawa Centre (provincial electoral district)|Ottawa Centre]] |
|||
! rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Party in 1st place !! colspan="4"|Party in 2nd place !!rowspan="2"|Total |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Yasir Naqvi]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] |
|||
|[[1995 Ontario general election|1995]] |
|||
|[[Joel Harden]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
|[[Ottawa West—Nepean (provincial electoral district)|Ottawa West-Nepean]] |
|||
!PC !!NDP !!Liberal !! Grn |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Bob Chiarelli]] |
|||
|2010 b.e. |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[Jeremy Roberts (politician)|Jeremy Roberts]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
|[[Kingston and the Islands (provincial electoral district)|Kingston and the Islands]] |
|||
{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|row-name}} |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
| |
|||
|[[Sophie Kiwala]] |
|||
| 59 |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
| 17 |
|||
|[[1995 Ontario general election|1995]] |
|||
| |
|||
|[[Ian Arthur]] |
|||
| 76 |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
|[[Barrie—Innisfil (provincial electoral district)|Barrie-Innisfil]] |
|||
{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|row-name}} |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
| 31 |
|||
|[[Ann Hoggarth|Ann Hogarth]] ‡ |
|||
| |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
| 9 |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
| |
|||
|[[Andrea Khanjin]] |
|||
| 40 |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
|[[Northumberland—Peterborough South (provincial electoral district)|Northumberland—Peterborough South]] |
|||
{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|row-name}} |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
| 5 |
|||
|[[Lou Rinaldi]] ‡ |
|||
| 2 |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
| |
|||
(previously served from 2003-2011) |
|||
| |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
| 7 |
|||
|[[David Piccini]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
|[[Peterborough (provincial electoral district)|Peterborough—Kawartha]] |
|||
{{Canadian party colour|ON|Green|row-name}} |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
| 1 |
|||
|[[Jeff Leal]] |
|||
| |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
| |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
| |
|||
|[[Dave Smith (Peterborough, Ontario politician)|Dave Smith]] |
|||
| 1 |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
|[[Ajax (provincial electoral district)|Ajax]] |
|||
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Total |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
| 37 |
|||
|[[Joe Dickson]]‡ |
|||
| 61 |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] |
|||
| 26 |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
| – |
|||
|[[Rod Phillips (politician)|Rod Phillips]] |
|||
| 124 |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Durham (provincial electoral district)|Durham]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Granville Anderson]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[Lindsey Park]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Brampton North (provincial electoral district)|Brampton North]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Harinder Malhi]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
|[[Kevin Yarde]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Brampton West (provincial electoral district)|Brampton West]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Vic Dhillon]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] (riding created) |
|||
|[[Amarjot Sandhu]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Mississauga East—Cooksville (provincial electoral district)|Mississauga East—Cooksville]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Dipika Damerla]] |
|||
|[[2011 Ontario general election|2011]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] (riding created) |
|||
|[[Kaleed Rasheed]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Mississauga—Lakeshore (provincial electoral district)|Mississauga—Lakeshore]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Charles Sousa]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] |
|||
|[[Rudy Cuzzetto|Rudy Cuzetto]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Mississauga—Malton (provincial electoral district)|Mississauga—Malton]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Amrit Mangat]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
|[[Deepak Anand]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Mississauga—Streetsville (provincial electoral district)|Mississauga—Streetsville]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Bob Delaney (politician)|Bob Delaney]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] (riding created) |
|||
|[[Nina Tangri]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Markham—Stouffville (provincial electoral district)|Markham—Stouffville]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Helena Jaczek]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
|[[Paul Calandra]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Newmarket—Aurora (provincial electoral district)|Newmarket—Aurora]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Chris Ballard (politician)|Chris Ballard]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[Christine Elliott]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Richmond Hill (provincial electoral district)|Richmond Hill]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Reza Moridi]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] (riding created) |
|||
|[[Daisy Wai]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Vaughan—Woodbridge (provincial electoral district)|Vaughan—Woodbridge]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Steven Del Duca]] |
|||
|2012 b.e. |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
|[[Michael Tibollo]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Scarborough—Agincourt (provincial electoral district)|Scarborough—Agincourt]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Soo Wong]] |
|||
|[[2011 Ontario general election|2011]] |
|||
|[[1987 Ontario general election|1987]] (riding created) |
|||
|[[Aris Babikian]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Scarborough Southwest (provincial electoral district)|Scarborough Southwest]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Lorenzo Berardinetti]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[Doly Begum]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Eglinton—Lawrence (provincial electoral district)|Eglinton—Lawrence]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Michael Colle]] |
|||
|[[1995 Ontario general election|1995]] |
|||
|[[1999 Ontario general election|1999]] (riding created) |
|||
|[[Robin Martin]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Willowdale (provincial electoral district)|Willowdale]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[David Zimmer]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[Stan Cho]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Beaches—East York (provincial electoral district)|Beaches—East York]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Arthur Potts (politician)|Arthur Potts]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[Rima Berns-McGown]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Davenport (provincial electoral district)|Davenport]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Cristina Martins]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[Marit Stiles]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Spadina—Fort York (provincial electoral district)|Spadina—Fort York]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Han Dong (politician)|Han Dong]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
|[[Chris Glover]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Etobicoke Centre (provincial electoral district)|Etobicoke Centre]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Yvan Baker]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[Kinga Surma]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Etobicoke—Lakeshore (provincial electoral district)|Etobicoke—Lakeshore]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Peter Milczyn]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[Christine Hogarth]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Etobicoke North (provincial electoral district)|Etobicoke North]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Shafiq Qaadri]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|'''[[Doug Ford Jr.|Doug Ford]]''' |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[York South—Weston (provincial electoral district)|York South—Weston]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Laura Albanese]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] |
|||
|[[2007 Ontario general election|2007]] |
|||
|[[Faisal Hassan]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Burlington (provincial electoral district)|Burlington]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Eleanor McMahon]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[Jane McKenna]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Milton (provincial electoral district)|Milton]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Indira Naidoo-Harris]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
|[[Parm Gill]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Oakville (provincial electoral district)|Oakville]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Kevin Flynn (politician)|Kevin Flynn]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[Stephen Crawford (politician)|Stephen Crawford]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas (provincial electoral district)|Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Ted McMeekin]] |
|||
|2000 b.e. |
|||
|''(new riding)'' |
|||
|[[Sandy Shaw (politician)|Sandy Shaw]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[St. Catharines (provincial electoral district)|St. Catharines]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Jim Bradley (politician)|Jim Bradley]] |
|||
|[[1977 Ontario general election|1977]] |
|||
|[[1977 Ontario general election|1977]] |
|||
|[[Jennie Stevens]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Cambridge (provincial electoral district)|Cambridge]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Kathryn McGarry]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[Belinda Karahalios]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Kitchener Centre (provincial electoral district)|Kitchener Centre]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Daiene Vernile]] |
|||
|[[2014 Ontario general election|2014]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|[[Laura Mae Lindo]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Sudbury (provincial electoral district)|Sudbury]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Glenn Thibeault]] |
|||
|2015 b.e. |
|||
|2015 b.e. |
|||
|[[Jamie West]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Thunder Bay—Atikokan (provincial electoral district)|Thunder Bay—Atikokan]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|||
|[[Bill Mauro]] |
|||
|[[2003 Ontario general election|2003]] |
|||
|1999 (riding created) |
|||
|[[Judith Monteith-Farrell]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Kanata—Carleton (provincial electoral district)|Kanata—Carleton]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Trillium|colour&name|short}} |
|||
|[[Jack MacLaren]] |
|||
|[[2011 Ontario general election|2011]] (as a PC) |
|||
|2017 (floor crossing) |
|||
|[[Merrilee Fullerton]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;" |
||
|+ Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results<ref name="EOREsults2018">Summarized from {{cite web |author=<!--Not stated--> |title=Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate: 2018 Provincial General Election |url=https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2018/results/officialresults-yellowbook/votescastbycandidate/pdf/Valid%20Votes%20Cast%20for%20Each%20Candidate%20-%202018%20Provincial%20General%20Election.pdf |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181228175029/https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2018/results/officialresults-yellowbook/votescastbycandidate/pdf/Valid%20Votes%20Cast%20for%20Each%20Candidate%20-%202018%20Provincial%20General%20Election.pdf |archive-date=December 28, 2018 |access-date=May 23, 2019 |publisher=[[Elections Ontario]]}}</ref> |
|||
|+ Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results<ref name="EOREsults2018"/> |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
! colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Parties !!Seats |
! colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Parties !!Seats |
||
Line 1,581: | Line 1,868: | ||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
||
|style="text-align:right;"| 90 |
| style="text-align:right;" | 90 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
||
|style="text-align:right;"|22 |
| style="text-align:right;" |22 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|colour&name}} |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Green|colour&name}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Green|colour&name}} |
||
|style="text-align:right;"|1 |
| style="text-align:right;" |1 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|colour&name}} |
||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|colour&name}} |
||
|style="text-align:right;"|11 |
| style="text-align:right;" |11 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Total |
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Total |
||
|style="text-align:right;"|124 |
| style="text-align:right;" |124 |
||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 1,631: | Line 1,918: | ||
| || || || ||8 ||8 |
| || || || ||8 ||8 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;" |{{Canadian party colour|ON| |
|style="text-align:left;" |{{Canadian party colour|ON|Ontario Party|colour&name}} |
||
| || || || ||5 ||5 |
| || || || ||5 ||5 |
||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 1,695: | Line 1,982: | ||
|align="center"|13 |
|align="center"|13 |
||
|align="center"|124 |
|align="center"|124 |
||
|} |
|||
===Most marginal 2-way and 3-way contests=== |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;" |
|||
|+ Top 10 marginal 2-way contests (2018)<ref name="EOREsults2018"/> |
|||
! Riding !! colspan="2"|1st !! colspan="2"|2nd !! 1st vs 2nd |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Scarborough—Guildwood (provincial electoral district)|Scarborough—Guildwood]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||33.3% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||33.1% |
|||
|0.2% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Thunder Bay—Atikokan (provincial electoral district)|Thunder Bay—Atikokan]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||36.2% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||36.0% |
|||
|0.2% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Brampton Centre (provincial electoral district)|Brampton Centre]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||38.4% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||38.1% |
|||
|0.3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Ottawa West—Nepean (provincial electoral district)|Ottawa West—Nepean]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||32.8% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||32.5% |
|||
|0.3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Don Valley West (provincial electoral district)|Don Valley West]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||38.9% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||38.5% |
|||
|0.4% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Brantford—Brant (provincial electoral district)|Brantford—Brant]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||42.0% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||40.9% |
|||
|1.1% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Brampton North (provincial electoral district)|Brampton North]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||37.5% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||36.3% |
|||
|1.2% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Sault Ste. Marie (provincial electoral district)|Sault Ste. Marie]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||42.0% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||40.7% |
|||
|1.3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Brampton West (provincial electoral district)|Brampton West]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||39.4% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||38.1% |
|||
|1.3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Kitchener—Conestoga (provincial electoral district)|Kitchener—Conestoga]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||39.6% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||38.0% |
|||
|1.6% |
|||
|} |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;" |
|||
|+ Top 10 marginal 3-way contests (2018)<ref name="EOREsults2018"/> |
|||
! Riding !! colspan="2"|1st !! colspan="2"|2nd !! colspan="2"|3rd !! 1st vs 3rd |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Ottawa West—Nepean (provincial electoral district)|Ottawa West—Nepean]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||32.8% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||32.5% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||29.3% |
|||
|3.5% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Scarborough—Guildwood (provincial electoral district)|Scarborough—Guildwood]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||33.3% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||33.1% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||27.6% |
|||
|5.7% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[York South—Weston (provincial electoral district)|York South—Weston]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||36.1% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||33.0% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||27.8% |
|||
|8.3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Don Valley East (provincial electoral district)|Don Valley East]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||35.9% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||33.1% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||27.4% |
|||
|8.5% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Humber River—Black Creek (provincial electoral district)|Humber River—Black Creek]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||37.4% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||30.3% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||27.9% |
|||
|9.5% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Toronto—St. Paul's (provincial electoral district)|Toronto—St. Paul's]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||36.0% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||33.4% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||26.3% |
|||
|9.7% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[St. Catharines (provincial electoral district)|St. Catharines]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||36.6% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||33.6% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||24.5% |
|||
|12.1% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Ottawa South (provincial electoral district)|Ottawa South]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||39.6% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||29.2% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||27.2% |
|||
|12.4% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Thunder Bay—Atikokan (provincial electoral district)|Thunder Bay—Atikokan]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||36.2% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||36.0% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||23.2% |
|||
|13.0% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[[Kingston and the Islands (provincial electoral district)|Kingston and the Islands]] |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP|background}} | ||39.2% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|Liberal|background}} | ||27.5% |
|||
|{{Canadian party colour|ON|PC|background}} | ||26.1% |
|||
|13.1% |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 1,728: | Line 2,136: | ||
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|ON|Progressive Conservative}}; width:30px;" align="center"; data-sort-type="number"| '''[[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario|Progressive Conservative]]''' |
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|ON|Progressive Conservative}}; width:30px;" align="center"; data-sort-type="number"| '''[[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario|Progressive Conservative]]''' |
||
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP}}; width:30px;" align="center"; data-sort-type="number"| '''[[Ontario New Democratic Party|New Democrat]]''' |
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|ON|NDP}}; width:30px;" align="center"; data-sort-type="number"| '''[[Ontario New Democratic Party|New Democrat]]''' |
||
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|ON|Green}}; width:30px;" align="center"; data-sort-type=" |
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|ON|Green}}; width:30px;" align="center"; data-sort-type="number"| '''[[Green Party of Ontario|Green]]''' |
||
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|ON|Independent}}; width:30px;" align="center"; data-sort-type="number"| '''Other''' |
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|ON|Independent}}; width:30px;" align="center"; data-sort-type="number"| '''Other''' |
||
! style="width:60px;" class=unsortable |{{nowrap|Margin<br />of error}} |
! style="width:60px;" class=unsortable |{{nowrap|Margin<br />of error}} |
||
Line 1,741: | Line 2,149: | ||
|| || || || || || || || || || || || |
|| || || || || || || || || || || || |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [[Forum Research]] || {{dts|June 6, 2018}} || [ |
| [[Forum Research]] || {{dts|June 6, 2018}} || [https://web.archive.org/web/20210623201005/https://forumpoll.com/data/61ff94c8-9f04-44cf-92cf-5e623f24e66afinal%20poll%20ON.pdf PDF] || 21 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''39''' || 34 || 5 || 1 || ±3 pp || 2,178 || IVR || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''5''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| Research Co. || {{dts|June 6, 2018}} || [https://researchco.ca/2018/06/06/ontario-final-2018/ HTML] || 20 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''39''' || 37 || 4 || 1 || ±3.8 pp || 661 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''2''' |
| Research Co. || {{dts|June 6, 2018}} || [https://researchco.ca/2018/06/06/ontario-final-2018/ HTML] || 20 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''39''' || 37 || 4 || 1 || ±3.8 pp || 661 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''2''' |
||
Line 1,749: | Line 2,157: | ||
| [[Pollara]] || {{dts|June 5, 2018}} || [https://www.pollara.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/Pollara_ONElxn2018-MDBJun3-5_FnlPoll.pdf PDF] || 17 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''38''' || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''38''' || 6 || 2 || ±3.3 pp || 906 (1/3) || Online/telephone (rolling) || '''0''' |
| [[Pollara]] || {{dts|June 5, 2018}} || [https://www.pollara.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/Pollara_ONElxn2018-MDBJun3-5_FnlPoll.pdf PDF] || 17 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''38''' || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''38''' || 6 || 2 || ±3.3 pp || 906 (1/3) || Online/telephone (rolling) || '''0''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [[Ipsos Reid|Ipsos]] || {{dts|June 5, 2018}} || [https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Call-Poll-June-6-2018 HTML] || 19 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''39''' || 36 || || 6* || ±3.1 pp || 1,501 || Online/telephone || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''3''' |
| [[Ipsos Reid|Ipsos]] || {{dts|June 5, 2018}} || [https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Call-Poll-June-6-2018 HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181008005904/https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Call-Poll-June-6-2018 |date=October 8, 2018 }} || 19 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''39''' || 36 || || 6* || ±3.1 pp || 1,501 || Online/telephone || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''3''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [[Mainstreet Research]] || {{dts|June 4, 2018}} || [https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/pcs-on-course-to-form-government-if-ford-can-survive-latest-scandal/ HTML] || 20.2 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''39.0''' || 34.3 || 4.9 || 1.7 || ±1.7 pp || 3,320 || IVR || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''4.7''' |
| [[Mainstreet Research]] || {{dts|June 4, 2018}} || [https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/pcs-on-course-to-form-government-if-ford-can-survive-latest-scandal/ HTML] || 20.2 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''39.0''' || 34.3 || 4.9 || 1.7 || ±1.7 pp || 3,320 || IVR || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''4.7''' |
||
Line 1,783: | Line 2,191: | ||
|[[Pollara]] || {{dts|May 28, 2018}} || [https://www.pollara.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Pollara-ONelxn2018_PostDebate-MethoDataBrf.pdf PDF] || 17 || 32 || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''43''' || 5 || 2 || ±3.5 pp || 800 || Online || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''11''' |
|[[Pollara]] || {{dts|May 28, 2018}} || [https://www.pollara.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Pollara-ONelxn2018_PostDebate-MethoDataBrf.pdf PDF] || 17 || 32 || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''43''' || 5 || 2 || ±3.5 pp || 800 || Online || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''11''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! colspan="12" | Media consortium leaders' debate in Toronto (May 27, 2018)<ref name="CBC debate">{{cite news|title=The third and final televised debate of the provincial election campaign in Toronto|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LerC609ml3A |
! colspan="12" | Media consortium leaders' debate in Toronto (May 27, 2018)<ref name="CBC debate">{{cite news|title=The third and final televised debate of the provincial election campaign in Toronto|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LerC609ml3A|work=[[CBC Television]]|date=May 27, 2018|access-date=May 28, 2018|archive-date=May 27, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180527234433/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LerC609ml3A|url-status=live}}</ref> |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [[Mainstreet Research]] || {{dts|May 27, 2018}} || [https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/ndp-surge-past-pcs-into-the-lead/ HTML] || 16.0 || 37.9 || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}}| '''39.3''' || 4.5 || 2.4 || ±2.39 pp || 1,682 || IVR || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''1.4''' |
| [[Mainstreet Research]] || {{dts|May 27, 2018}} || [https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/ndp-surge-past-pcs-into-the-lead/ HTML] || 16.0 || 37.9 || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}}| '''39.3''' || 4.5 || 2.4 || ±2.39 pp || 1,682 || IVR || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''1.4''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [[Ipsos Reid|Ipsos]] || {{dts|May 27, 2018}} || [https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Horserace-Poll-May-28-2018 HTML] || 22 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''37''' || 34 || || 7* || ±3.2 pp || 1,241 || Online/telephone || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''3''' |
| [[Ipsos Reid|Ipsos]] || {{dts|May 27, 2018}} || [https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Horserace-Poll-May-28-2018 HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180529203834/https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Horserace-Poll-May-28-2018 |date=May 29, 2018 }} || 22 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''37''' || 34 || || 7* || ±3.2 pp || 1,241 || Online/telephone || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''3''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [[Abacus Data]] || {{dts|May 26, 2018}} || [http://www.onpulse.ca/blog/ndp-leads-by-4-as-final-debate-looms HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190712210610/https://onpulse.ca/blog/ndp-leads-by-4-as-final-debate-looms |date=July 12, 2019 }} || 23 || 33 || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}}|'''37''' || 4 || 2 || ±3.5 pp || 800 || Online || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''4''' |
| [[Abacus Data]] || {{dts|May 26, 2018}} || [http://www.onpulse.ca/blog/ndp-leads-by-4-as-final-debate-looms HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190712210610/https://onpulse.ca/blog/ndp-leads-by-4-as-final-debate-looms |date=July 12, 2019 }} || 23 || 33 || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}}|'''37''' || 4 || 2 || ±3.5 pp || 800 || Online || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''4''' |
||
Line 1,801: | Line 2,209: | ||
| [[Leger Marketing|Leger]] || {{dts|May 22, 2018}} || [https://web.archive.org/web/20180820141951/http://leger360.com/admin/upload/publi_pdf/Ontarios_provincial_politics_May2018.pdf PDF] || 21 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''37''' || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}}|'''37''' || || 5* || ±3.09 pp || 1,008 || Online || '''0''' |
| [[Leger Marketing|Leger]] || {{dts|May 22, 2018}} || [https://web.archive.org/web/20180820141951/http://leger360.com/admin/upload/publi_pdf/Ontarios_provincial_politics_May2018.pdf PDF] || 21 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''37''' || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}}|'''37''' || || 5* || ±3.09 pp || 1,008 || Online || '''0''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [[Ipsos Reid|Ipsos]] || {{dts|May 21, 2018}} || [https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Horserace-May-22-2018 HTML] || 23 || 36 || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}}|'''37''' || || 4* || ±3.5 pp || 1,000 || Online || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''1''' |
| [[Ipsos Reid|Ipsos]] || {{dts|May 21, 2018}} || [https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Horserace-May-22-2018 HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180523101110/https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Horserace-May-22-2018 |date=May 23, 2018 }} || 23 || 36 || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}}|'''37''' || || 4* || ±3.5 pp || 1,000 || Online || {{Party shading/NDP (Canada)}} | '''1''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [[Abacus Data]] || {{dts|May 18, 2018}} || [http://onpulse.ca/blog/entering-the-long-weekend-the-pc-lead-evaporates-as-ndp-momentum-builds HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180804225956/http://www.onpulse.ca/blog/entering-the-long-weekend-the-pc-lead-evaporates-as-ndp-momentum-builds |date=August 4, 2018 }} || 24 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''35''' || 34 || 5 || 2 || ±1.9 pp || 2,824|| Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''1''' |
| [[Abacus Data]] || {{dts|May 18, 2018}} || [http://onpulse.ca/blog/entering-the-long-weekend-the-pc-lead-evaporates-as-ndp-momentum-builds HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180804225956/http://www.onpulse.ca/blog/entering-the-long-weekend-the-pc-lead-evaporates-as-ndp-momentum-builds |date=August 4, 2018 }} || 24 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''35''' || 34 || 5 || 2 || ±1.9 pp || 2,824|| Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''1''' |
||
Line 1,811: | Line 2,219: | ||
| [[Hill+Knowlton Strategies|H+K Strategies]] || {{dts|May 15, 2018}} || [https://web.archive.org/web/20190201203200/http://hkinsights.ca/election-survey-data/ HTML] || 23 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''38''' || 32 || || 7* || ±2.5 pp || 1,500 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''6''' |
| [[Hill+Knowlton Strategies|H+K Strategies]] || {{dts|May 15, 2018}} || [https://web.archive.org/web/20190201203200/http://hkinsights.ca/election-survey-data/ HTML] || 23 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''38''' || 32 || || 7* || ±2.5 pp || 1,500 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''6''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [[Ipsos Reid|Ipsos]] || {{dts|May 14, 2018}} || [https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-May-15-2018 HTML] || 22 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''40''' || 35 || || 3* || ±3.5 pp || 1,000 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''5''' |
| [[Ipsos Reid|Ipsos]] || {{dts|May 14, 2018}} || [https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-May-15-2018 HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180516103441/https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-May-15-2018 |date=May 16, 2018 }} || 22 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''40''' || 35 || || 3* || ±3.5 pp || 1,000 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''5''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| Innovative Research || {{dts|May 12, 2018}} || [https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Ontario-Election_May-Polling-Wave-2-1.pdf PDF] || 27 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''35''' || 31 || 6 || 1 || N/A || 1,529 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''4''' |
| Innovative Research || {{dts|May 12, 2018}} || [https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Ontario-Election_May-Polling-Wave-2-1.pdf PDF] || 27 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''35''' || 31 || 6 || 1 || N/A || 1,529 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''4''' |
||
Line 1,823: | Line 2,231: | ||
| Innovative Research || {{dts|May 9, 2018}} || [https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/CanadaThisMonth_OntarioPolitics.pdf PDF] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180516103536/https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/CanadaThisMonth_OntarioPolitics.pdf |date=May 16, 2018 }} || 28 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''38''' || 28 || 6 || 1 || N/A || 915 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''10''' |
| Innovative Research || {{dts|May 9, 2018}} || [https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/CanadaThisMonth_OntarioPolitics.pdf PDF] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180516103536/https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/CanadaThisMonth_OntarioPolitics.pdf |date=May 16, 2018 }} || 28 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''38''' || 28 || 6 || 1 || N/A || 915 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''10''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
!colspan="12"| [[Citytv|City]] Toronto leaders' debate (May 7, 2018)<ref name="CITY debate">{{cite news|title=Ontario Provincial Election 2018: CityNews Leaders' Debate|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-Fi2ISh4wE |
!colspan="12"| [[Citytv|City]] Toronto leaders' debate (May 7, 2018)<ref name="CITY debate">{{cite news|title=Ontario Provincial Election 2018: CityNews Leaders' Debate|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-Fi2ISh4wE|work=[[Citytv|City]]|date=May 7, 2018|access-date=May 16, 2018|archive-date=November 13, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201113145143/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-Fi2ISh4wE&gl=US&hl=en|url-status=live}}</ref> |
||
|} |
|} |
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{{small|<sup>*</sup>Includes support for the Green Party}} |
{{small|<sup>*</sup>Includes support for the Green Party}} |
||
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! style="width:20px;" data-sort-type="number" |Lead |
! style="width:20px;" data-sort-type="number" |Lead |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| Campaign Research || {{dts|May 16, 2018}} || [http://www.liunalocal183.ca/News/ViewArticle/tabid/70/ArticleId/288/LIUNA-SHARES-POLL-SHOWING-WYNNE-DEL-DUCA-LIBERALS-PAYING-PRICE-FOR-UNFAIR-LABOUR-POLICIES.aspx HTML] || 27 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''35''' || 32 || 5 || 2 || ±2.3 pp || 1,871 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''3''' |
| Campaign Research || {{dts|May 16, 2018}} || [http://www.liunalocal183.ca/News/ViewArticle/tabid/70/ArticleId/288/LIUNA-SHARES-POLL-SHOWING-WYNNE-DEL-DUCA-LIBERALS-PAYING-PRICE-FOR-UNFAIR-LABOUR-POLICIES.aspx HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180521221834/http://www.liunalocal183.ca/News/ViewArticle/tabid/70/ArticleId/288/LIUNA-SHARES-POLL-SHOWING-WYNNE-DEL-DUCA-LIBERALS-PAYING-PRICE-FOR-UNFAIR-LABOUR-POLICIES.aspx |date=May 21, 2018 }} || 27 || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}| '''35''' || 32 || 5 || 2 || ±2.3 pp || 1,871 || Online || {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} | '''3''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
!colspan="12"| Leaders' debate in [[Parry Sound, Ontario|Parry Sound]] (May 11, 2018) |
!colspan="12"| Leaders' debate in [[Parry Sound, Ontario|Parry Sound]] (May 11, 2018) |
||
Line 2,059: | Line 2,467: | ||
|[[Abacus Data]] |
|[[Abacus Data]] |
||
|{{dts|May 6, 2018}} |
|{{dts|May 6, 2018}} |
||
|[http://onpulse.ca/blog/new-data-as-first-debate-looms-ford-and-pcs-dip-as-ndp-rises HTML] |
|[http://onpulse.ca/blog/new-data-as-first-debate-looms-ford-and-pcs-dip-as-ndp-rises HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180508035113/http://onpulse.ca/blog/new-data-as-first-debate-looms-ford-and-pcs-dip-as-ndp-rises |date=May 8, 2018 }} |
||
| 29 |
| 29 |
||
|{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} |'''35''' |
|{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} |'''35''' |
||
Line 2,167: | Line 2,575: | ||
|[[Abacus Data]] |
|[[Abacus Data]] |
||
|{{dts|April 8, 2018}} |
|{{dts|April 8, 2018}} |
||
|[http://onpulse.ca/blog/the-42nd-ontario-general-election-its-anyones-game HTML] |
|[http://onpulse.ca/blog/the-42nd-ontario-general-election-its-anyones-game HTML] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180413125736/http://onpulse.ca/blog/the-42nd-ontario-general-election-its-anyones-game |date=April 13, 2018 }} |
||
| 28 |
| 28 |
||
|{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} |'''40''' |
|{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}} |'''40''' |
||
Line 2,409: | Line 2,817: | ||
| ±4% |
| ±4% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|{{sort|2018-01-25|25 January 2018}} || colspan="10" |'''[[Patrick Brown (politician)|Patrick Brown]] resigns as Ontario PC leader ''' |
|{{sort|2018-01-25|25 January 2018}} || colspan="10" |'''[[Patrick Brown (Canadian politician)|Patrick Brown]] resigns as Ontario PC leader ''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| Innovative Research |
| Innovative Research |
||
Line 3,157: | Line 3,565: | ||
| ±3% |
| ±3% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|{{sort|2015-05-09|9 May 2015}} || colspan="10" |'''[[Patrick Brown (politician)|Patrick Brown]] is elected leader of the [[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario|Ontario PC Party]]''' |
|{{sort|2015-05-09|9 May 2015}} || colspan="10" |'''[[Patrick Brown (Canadian politician)|Patrick Brown]] is elected leader of the [[Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario|Ontario PC Party]]''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|[[Forum Research]] |
|[[Forum Research]] |
||
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==References== |
==References== |
||
{{reflist}} |
{{reflist}} |
||
== Further reading == |
|||
* {{cite journal |last1=Perrella |first1=Andrea |last2=Kiss |first2=Simon J. |last3=Kay |first3=Barry J. |title=Conservative Populism, or Unpopular Liberalism? Review of the 2018 Ontario Provincial Election |journal=Canadian Political Science Review |date=February 2021 |volume=14 |issue=1 |pages=118–146 |url=https://ojs.unbc.ca/index.php/cpsr/article/view/1790 |language=en |issn=1911-4125}} |
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==External links== |
==External links== |
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{{Ontario elections}} |
{{Ontario elections}} |
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{{DEFAULTSORT:Ontario general election, 2018}} |
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[[Category:2018 Ontario general election| ]] |
[[Category:2018 Ontario general election| ]] |
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[[Category:2018 elections in Canada |
[[Category:2018 elections in Canada]] |
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[[Category:2018 in Ontario]] |
[[Category:2018 in Ontario]] |
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[[Category:General elections in Ontario|2018]] |
[[Category:General elections in Ontario|2018]] |
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[[Category:June 2018 events in Canada]] |
[[Category:June 2018 events in Canada]] |
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[[Category:Doug Ford]] |
Latest revision as of 02:16, 31 July 2024
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124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 63 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 56.67% (5.38pp)[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead by the result in each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2018 Ontario general election was held on June 7, 2018, to elect the 124 members of the 42nd Parliament of Ontario.[2] The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario, led by Doug Ford, won 76 of the 124 seats in the legislature and formed a majority government. The Ontario New Democratic Party, led by Andrea Horwath, formed the Official Opposition. The Ontario Liberal Party, led by incumbent Premier Kathleen Wynne, lost official party status in recording both the worst result in the party's 161-year history and the worst result for any incumbent governing party in Ontario. The Green Party of Ontario won a seat for the first time in their history, while the Trillium Party of Ontario lost its single seat gained by a floor-crossing during the 41st Parliament.
Background
[edit]Redistribution of seats
[edit]The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015[3] increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.
The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016,[4] recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124.[5][6] This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017.[7]
The new districts have been criticized as undemocratic, as they have a population of around 30,000 people compared with over 120,000 people in some southern Ontario constituencies. National Post columnist Josh Dehaas suggested that the small population sizes of the ridings might violate the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.[8]
In September 2017, a research firm analyzed the impact of redistribution if the boundaries had been in effect for the previous election.[9]
Change of fixed election date
[edit]Under legislation passed in 2005, Ontario elections were to be held on "the first Thursday in October in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election", subject to the Lieutenant-Governor of Ontario's power to call an election earlier.[10] As the current government had a majority, the passage of a non-confidence motion was not a likely option for calling an early election, though Premier Kathleen Wynne stated in June 2015 that she would likely advise to dissolve the Legislature in spring 2018 rather than in October of that year in order to avoid any conflict with municipal elections and take advantage of better weather and longer days.[11]
To put this on a statutory footing, in October 2016 Attorney General of Ontario Yasir Naqvi introduced a bill in the Legislative Assembly which, in part, included moving the election date to "the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election",[2] and it came into effect in December 2016.[12]
Prelude to campaign
[edit]The Ontario Liberal Party attempted to win their fifth consecutive general election, dating back to 2003. The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario won their first election since 1999, and the Ontario New Democratic Party attempted to win their second election (having previously won in 1990). Numerous other extra-parliamentary political parties also vied for votes.
The Liberals under Kathleen Wynne headed into the 2018 campaign trailing far behind the Progressive Conservatives, led by former Toronto City Councillor Doug Ford. The Liberals' standing with voters had been badly hurt when they partially privatized Hydro One in 2015, after campaigning against it in the 2014 election, as well as rising criticism over "ballooning provincial debt, high electricity prices and costly, politically expedient decisions".[13][14] In early April, the CBC published their analysis of aggregate polls showing that Ford and the Progressive Conservatives were ahead of the other parties averaging 42.1% support, compared to 27.2% for the governing Liberals, 23.4% for the NDP and 5.7% for the Greens[15] and with 11 Liberal MPPs announcing they would not be running for re-election or having already resigned their seats in the months leading up to the election.[16]
According to Wynne, voters were offered a "stark choice", between "cutting and removing supports from people" with "billions in cuts", which she alleged the Progressive Conservatives would do if they won the election, and expanding investments in social programs such as prescription drugs and childcare, which the Liberal platform promised.[17]
In March 2018, the Liberals tabled a pre-election budget in the provincial legislature which promised billions of dollars in new spending for free childcare and expanded coverage for dental care but replaced the government's previous balanced budget with a $6.7 billion deficit projected to last until 2024–2025.[18] PC leader Doug Ford called the budget a "spending spree".[19]
Mood of the voters
[edit]According to Toronto Star columnist Susan Delacourt, voters were motivated by a desire for change—such desire being more driven by emotion than by ideology—and one researcher estimated that more than half of the electorate was undecided in who they were likely to vote for.[20] The Huffington Post reported that half of voters were basing their vote intentions on how best to block the party they oppose.[21]
In February 2018, Campaign Research conducted a gap analysis on voter intentions in Ontario, and determined the following:
Liberal | PC | NDP | Highlights | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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= Not voting for party; not considered |
Events leading up to the election (2014–2018)
[edit]Date | |
---|---|
June 12, 2014 | The Liberal Party under Kathleen Wynne wins a majority government in the 41st Ontario general election. Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces his intention to step down following the selection of his successor.[23] |
July 2, 2014 | Tim Hudak resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives.[24] Simcoe—Grey MPP Jim Wilson is named interim leader.[25] |
July 24, 2014 | The Liberals pass their May 1 budget in its final reading. |
May 9, 2015 | Patrick Brown, the Conservative federal MP for Barrie, is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.[26] |
September 24, 2015 | Ontario Provincial Police lay charges in relation to the Sudbury by-election scandal.[27] |
November 1, 2016 | Ontario Provincial Police announce charges under the provincial act against Gerry Lougheed and Patricia Sorbara (CEO and director of the 2018 Liberal campaign) for alleged bribery during a 2015 byelection.[28] Sorbara announced that she will step down from the campaign.[29] |
January 24, 2018 | CTV News reports that Progressive Conservative Party leader Patrick Brown is accused by two women of committing sexual misconduct. Brown denies the allegations.[30] |
January 25, 2018 | Patrick Brown resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.[31][32] |
January 26, 2018 | Progressive Conservative Party caucus chooses Nipissing MPP Vic Fedeli as interim leader.[33] |
March 10, 2018 | Doug Ford is elected leader of the Progressive Conservatives on the third ballot of the party's leadership election.[34] Fedeli continues as Leader of the Opposition for legislative purposes until the election due to Ford not having a seat in the Legislature.[35] |
April 11, 2018 | First Leaders Debate hosted by the Jamaican Canadian Association. Andrea Horwath, Mike Schreiner, and Premier Kathleen Wynne were in attendance.[36] |
April 16, 2018 | The Ontario NDP release their full election platform.[37] |
May 7, 2018 | First televised debate hosted by CityNews: Toronto-focused debate with Ford, Horwath and Wynne[38] |
May 9, 2018 | Electoral Writ issued.[39] |
May 11, 2018 | Leaders' debate in Parry Sound.[40] |
May 17, 2018 | Candidate nominations close at 2 PM local time.[41] |
May 26, 2018 | Advance voting starts at voting locations and returning offices.[42][43] |
May 27, 2018 | Second televised debate, moderated by Steve Paikin and Farah Nasser, held at the Canadian Broadcasting Centre in Toronto and aired on CBC, CTV, Global, TVO, CPAC, CHCH and other outlets. Attended by Wynne, Ford, and Horwath.[44] |
May 30, 2018 | Advance voting ends at advance voting locations.[42] |
June 1, 2018 | Advance voting ends at returning offices.[42] |
June 2, 2018 | Premier Wynne concedes that the Liberals will not win the election.[45][46] |
June 6, 2018 | Special ballot voting at returning office or through home visit ends at 6:00 PM EST.[42] |
June 7, 2018 | Election day. Fixed-date of the 2018 provincial election. |
Campaign period
[edit]Issues
[edit]Issue | Liberal | PC | NDP |
---|---|---|---|
Budget |
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Child care |
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Education |
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Environment |
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Healthcare |
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Electricity |
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Regulation |
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Taxation |
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Transportation |
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Party slogans
[edit]Party | English | French | Translation of French (unofficial) |
---|---|---|---|
█ Liberal | "Care over cuts"[54] | ||
█ PC | "For the People"[55] | ||
█ New Democratic | "Change for the better"[56] | "Changeons pour le mieux"[57] | Let's change for the better |
█ Green | "People Powered Change"[58] | ||
█ Libertarian | "The Party of Choice"[59] |
Endorsements
[edit]Type | Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | No endorsement |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Media | |||||
Politicians and public figures |
|
||||
Unions and business associations |
Candidates
[edit]Candidate nominations
[edit]In February 2018, the PC leadership overturned the nomination of candidates Karma Macgregor in Ottawa West—Nepean and Thenusha Parani in Scarborough Centre because of irregularities and allegations of ballot stuffing at their nomination meetings.[90] Both candidates denied these claims.[91] The nomination meetings were reorganized, and both candidates lost the nomination at those meetings. However, the PC leadership decided not to overturn the nomination meeting's result in Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas, where a similar situation took place, because of an ongoing police investigation on this situation.[92]
In March 2018, the NDP nominated Lyra Evans as their candidate in Ottawa—Vanier. Evans was the first openly transgender candidate nominated by a major party to run in an Ontario general election.[93][94]
Incumbents not running for reelection
[edit]Results
[edit]76 | 40 | 7 | 1 |
Progressive Conservative | New Democratic | Liberal | G |
Elections Ontario used electronic vote tabulator machines from Dominion Voting Systems for counting the ballots. Tabulators were deployed at 50 per cent of polling stations at a cost of CA$32,000,000.[109][110] This election was the first time Ontario used vote counting machines for a provincial election, although tabulators have been used in Ontario civic elections for more than 20 years, and also in a 2016 by-election in Whitby-Oshawa. The original paper ballots marked by voters will be kept for a year along with the digital scans of each ballot by the tabulator.[110]
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The percentage of votes cast for the Progressive Conservatives by riding.
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The percentage of votes cast for the NDP by riding.
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The percentage of votes cast for the Liberals by riding.
-
Change in Progressive Conservative vote share by riding compared to the 2014 Ontario election.
-
Each dot represents five-thousand votes for the party of the associated colour. Data is based on individual riding results. Dots are placed at random positions within the ridings that they belong to.
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A cartogram showing popular vote in each riding.
-
The disproportionality of elections to the Legislative Assembly in the 2018 election was 17.96 according to the Gallagher Index, significantly in favour of the PCs.
Party | Votes | Seats | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive Conservative | 2,326,632 | 9.25pp | 76 / 124 (61%)
| ||
New Democratic | 1,929,649 | 9.84pp | 40 / 124 (32%)
| ||
Liberal | 1,124,218 | 19.08pp | 7 / 124 (6%)
| ||
Green | 264,487 | 0.24pp | 1 / 124 (0.8%)
|
Synopsis of results
[edit]Results by riding - 2018 Ontario general election[a 1] | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Riding | Winning party | Turnout [a 2] |
Votes[a 3] | ||||||||||||||||
Party | Votes | Share | Margin # |
Margin % |
PC | NDP | Lib | Green | Ind | Other | Total | ||||||||
Ajax | PC | 19,078 | 39.1% | 3,948 | 8.1% | 54.6% | 19,078 | 15,130 | 12,607 | 1,224 | 220 | 601 | 48,860 | ||||||
Algoma—Manitoulin | NDP | 17,105 | 58.6% | 9,962 | 34.1% | 53.1% | 7,143 | 17,105 | 2,365 | 1,025 | – | 1,573 | 29,211 | ||||||
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | PC | 25,214 | 56.0% | 15,496 | 34.4% | 55.4% | 25,214 | 9,718 | 8,116 | 1,195 | – | 755 | 44,998 | ||||||
Barrie—Innisfil | PC | 22,121 | 50.0% | 9,460 | 21.4% | 54.3% | 22,121 | 12,661 | 5,543 | 3,190 | – | 757 | 44,272 | ||||||
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte | PC | 20,445 | 44.7% | 7,554 | 16.5% | 57.0% | 20,445 | 12,891 | 6,210 | 5,354 | 335 | 454 | 45,689 | ||||||
Bay of Quinte | PC | 24,224 | 48.0% | 8,161 | 16.2% | 56.5% | 24,224 | 16,063 | 7,511 | 1,730 | 379 | 535 | 50,442 | ||||||
Beaches—East York | NDP | 24,064 | 48.2% | 10,584 | 21.2% | 61.2% | 9,202 | 24,064 | 13,480 | 2,128 | 161 | 879 | 49,914 | ||||||
Brampton Centre | NDP | 12,892 | 38.4% | 89 | 0.3% | 50.3% | 12,803 | 12,892 | 5,825 | 1,053 | – | 1,025 | 33,598 | ||||||
Brampton East | NDP | 18,062 | 46.9% | 5,166 | 13.4% | 51.2% | 12,896 | 18,062 | 6,398 | 523 | – | 616 | 38,495 | ||||||
Brampton North | NDP | 14,877 | 37.5% | 497 | 1.3% | 51.7% | 14,380 | 14,877 | 8,410 | 1,366 | – | 591 | 39,624 | ||||||
Brampton South | PC | 15,652 | 41.0% | 2,733 | 7.2% | 51.6% | 15,652 | 12,919 | 7,212 | 1,472 | – | 914 | 38,169 | ||||||
Brampton West | PC | 14,951 | 39.4% | 490 | 1.3% | 49.9% | 14,951 | 14,461 | 7,013 | 999 | – | 537 | 37,961 | ||||||
Brantford—Brant | PC | 24,437 | 39.4% | 635 | 1.1% | 47.7% | 24,437 | 23,802 | 5,553 | 2,741 | – | 1,655 | 58,188 | ||||||
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | PC | 26,874 | 54.7% | 15,037 | 30.6% | 57.2% | 26,874 | 11,837 | 6,041 | 2,927 | – | 1,449 | 49,129 | ||||||
Burlington | PC | 25,504 | 40.4% | 7,451 | 11.8% | 58.4% | 25,504 | 18,053 | 15,515 | 2,828 | – | 1,155 | 63,055 | ||||||
Cambridge | PC | 17,793 | 37.0% | 2,154 | 4.5% | 63.4% | 17,793 | 15,639 | 11,191 | 3,018 | – | 490 | 48,131 | ||||||
Carleton | PC | 25,798 | 51.3% | 14,490 | 28.8% | 55.2% | 25,798 | 11,308 | 9,768 | 1,985 | 91 | 1,308 | 50,258 | ||||||
Chatham-Kent—Leamington | PC | 24,078 | 51.9% | 7,520 | 16.2% | 62.0% | 24,078 | 16,558 | 3,736 | 1,643 | 358 | – | 46,373 | ||||||
Davenport | NDP | 27,613 | 60.3% | 19,055 | 41.6% | 56.8% | 7,370 | 27,613 | 8,558 | 1,624 | 69 | 585 | 45,819 | ||||||
Don Valley East | Lib | 13,012 | 35.9% | 1,028 | 2.8% | 55.2% | 11,984 | 9,937 | 13,012 | 917 | – | 367 | 36,217 | ||||||
Don Valley North | PC | 18,046 | 44.4% | 5,489 | 13.5% | 53.8% | 18,046 | 8,476 | 12,557 | 1,039 | – | 489 | 40,607 | ||||||
Don Valley West | Lib | 17,802 | 38.9% | 181 | 0.4% | 61.3% | 17,621 | 8,620 | 17,802 | 1,268 | – | 466 | 45,777 | ||||||
Dufferin—Caledon | PC | 29,704 | 53.1% | 18,323 | 32.7% | 56.6% | 29,704 | 11,381 | 6,972 | 7,011 | – | 888 | 55,956 | ||||||
Durham | PC | 28,575 | 47.0% | 9,322 | 15.3% | 59.9% | 28,575 | 19,253 | 10,237 | 2,360 | – | 382 | 60,807 | ||||||
Eglinton—Lawrence | PC | 19,999 | 40.4% | 957 | 1.9% | 60.1% | 19,999 | 8,985 | 19,042 | 1,190 | – | 311 | 49,527 | ||||||
Elgin—Middlesex—London | PC | 29,264 | 55.5% | 12,341 | 23.4% | 59.4% | 29,264 | 16,923 | 3,857 | 2,029 | – | 694 | 52,767 | ||||||
Essex | NDP | 26,134 | 47.9% | 2,711 | 5.0% | 56.1% | 23,423 | 26,134 | 3,026 | 1,920 | – | – | 54,503 | ||||||
Etobicoke Centre | PC | 24,432 | 43.0% | 4,724 | 8.3% | 61.9% | 24,432 | 10,311 | 19,708 | 1,329 | 162 | 883 | 56,825 | ||||||
Etobicoke—Lakeshore | PC | 22,626 | 38.3% | 3,225 | 5.5% | 58.6% | 22,626 | 19,401 | 14,305 | 2,138 | – | 523 | 58,993 | ||||||
Etobicoke North | PC | 19,055 | 52.5% | 9,845 | 27.1% | 50.6% | 19,055 | 9,210 | 6,601 | 1,026 | – | 414 | 36,306 | ||||||
Flamborough—Glanbrook | PC | 22,454 | 43.5% | 4,824 | 9.4% | 60.6% | 22,454 | 17,630 | 7,967 | 2,307 | – | 1,230 | 51,588 | ||||||
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | PC | 19,952 | 41.0% | 4,543 | 9.3% | 55.4% | 19,952 | 10,610 | 15,409 | 1,427 | – | 1,292 | 48,690 | ||||||
Guelph | Grn | 29,082 | 45.0% | 14,998 | 23.4% | 61.1% | 14,084 | 13,929 | 6,537 | 29,082 | – | 945 | 64,577 | ||||||
Haldimand—Norfolk | PC | 28,889 | 57.1% | 15,280 | 30.2% | 59.2% | 28,889 | 13,609 | 4,656 | 2,095 | – | 1,344 | 50,593 | ||||||
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | PC | 32,406 | 56.7% | 17,264 | 30.2% | 59.7% | 32,406 | 15,142 | 5,655 | 2,551 | – | 1,389 | 57,143 | ||||||
Hamilton Centre | NDP | 23,866 | 65.2% | 18,136 | 49.6% | 48.9% | 5,730 | 23,866 | 3,982 | 2,102 | 156 | 739 | 36,575 | ||||||
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | NDP | 22,518 | 51.1% | 9,834 | 22.3% | 53.1% | 12,684 | 22,518 | 5,320 | 1,884 | – | 1,614 | 44,020 | ||||||
Hamilton Mountain | NDP | 24,406 | 54.6% | 11,515 | 25.8% | 56.2% | 12,891 | 24,406 | 4,134 | 2,300 | – | 986 | 44,717 | ||||||
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | NDP | 23,921 | 43.2% | 6,732 | 12.2% | 62.3% | 17,189 | 23,921 | 10,960 | 2,302 | 247 | 771 | 55,390 | ||||||
Hastings—Lennox and Addington | PC | 22,374 | 50.2% | 7,933 | 17.8% | 59.1% | 22,374 | 14,441 | 5,180 | 1,924 | – | 602 | 44,521 | ||||||
Humber River—Black Creek | NDP | 11,573 | 37.4% | 2,206 | 7.1% | 47.3% | 9,367 | 11,573 | 8,642 | 485 | – | 862 | 30,929 | ||||||
Huron—Bruce | PC | 27,646 | 52.4% | 12,320 | 23.3% | 63.5% | 27,646 | 15,326 | 7,356 | 1,804 | – | 670 | 52,802 | ||||||
Kanata—Carleton | PC | 23,089 | 43.2% | 7,497 | 14.0% | 62.3% | 23,089 | 15,592 | 9,090 | 2,827 | – | 2,855 | 53,453 | ||||||
Kenora—Rainy River | PC | 9,748 | 48.6% | 2,255 | 11.2% | 54.1% | 9,748 | 7,493 | 2,123 | 707 | – | – | 20,071 | ||||||
Kiiwetinoong | NDP | 3,232 | 49.9% | 1,467 | 22.7% | 45.8% | 1,765 | 3,232 | 983 | 406 | – | 91 | 6,477 | ||||||
King—Vaughan | PC | 29,136 | 56.6% | 17,124 | 33.3% | 55.5% | 29,136 | 7,921 | 12,012 | 1,754 | – | 638 | 51,461 | ||||||
Kingston and the Islands | NDP | 21,788 | 39.2% | 6,476 | 11.6% | 57.3% | 14,512 | 21,788 | 15,312 | 3,574 | – | 458 | 55,644 | ||||||
Kitchener Centre | NDP | 20,512 | 43.4% | 7,432 | 15.7% | 58.3% | 13,080 | 20,512 | 9,499 | 3,234 | – | 955 | 47,280 | ||||||
Kitchener—Conestoga | PC | 17,005 | 39.6% | 686 | 1.6% | 59.9% | 17,005 | 16,319 | 6,035 | 2,853 | – | 762 | 42,974 | ||||||
Kitchener South—Hespeler | PC | 16,511 | 38.9% | 770 | 1.8% | 55.8% | 16,511 | 15,741 | 6,335 | 3,198 | 275 | 423 | 42,483 | ||||||
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | PC | 27,906 | 58.3% | 11,108 | 22.0% | 60.8% | 27,906 | 16,800 | 3,143 | 1,660 | – | 915 | 50,424 | ||||||
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston | PC | 26,194 | 52.0% | 10,855 | 21.6% | 62.0% | 26,194 | 15,339 | 5,359 | 2,410 | 440 | 601 | 50,343 | ||||||
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes | PC | 30,002 | 61.3% | 20,314 | 41.5% | 60.2% | 30,002 | 9,688 | 6,543 | 2,347 | – | 389 | 48,969 | ||||||
London—Fanshawe | NDP | 25,272 | 55.7% | 11,753 | 25.9% | 49.6% | 13,519 | 25,272 | 3,797 | 2,050 | – | 753 | 45,391 | ||||||
London North Centre | NDP | 25,757 | 47.6% | 9,056 | 16.7% | 54.9% | 16,701 | 25,757 | 8,501 | 2,493 | – | 661 | 54,113 | ||||||
London West | NDP | 32,644 | 55.3% | 15,511 | 26.3% | 60.6% | 17,133 | 32,644 | 5,847 | 2,211 | – | 1,161 | 58,996 | ||||||
Markham—Stouffville | PC | 25,912 | 48.1% | 11,905 | 22.1% | 58.6% | 25,912 | 10,997 | 14,007 | 2,153 | – | 777 | 53,846 | ||||||
Markham—Thornhill | PC | 18,943 | 50.4% | 9,783 | 26.0% | 52.2% | 18,943 | 8,010 | 9,160 | 859 | – | 576 | 37,548 | ||||||
Markham—Unionville | PC | 29,305 | 62.4% | 20,849 | 44.4% | 54.7% | 29,305 | 7,778 | 8,456 | 996 | – | 405 | 46,940 | ||||||
Milton | PC | 18,249 | 41.7% | 5,185 | 11.8% | 56.1% | 18,249 | 9,740 | 13,064 | 2,200 | – | 536 | 43,789 | ||||||
Mississauga Centre | PC | 17,860 | 40.9% | 5,814 | 13.3% | 49.8% | 17,860 | 12,046 | 11,102 | 1,149 | – | 1,553 | 43,710 | ||||||
Mississauga East—Cooksville | PC | 17,862 | 41.1% | 4,739 | 10.9% | 51.5% | 17,862 | 9,871 | 13,123 | 1,498 | – | 1,051 | 43,405 | ||||||
Mississauga—Erin Mills | PC | 19,631 | 41.6% | 6,610 | 14.0% | 55.1% | 19,631 | 13,021 | 11,965 | 1,296 | – | 1,265 | 47,178 | ||||||
Mississauga—Lakeshore | PC | 22,520 | 42.3% | 3,884 | 14.0% | 59.3% | 22,520 | 9,735 | 18,636 | 1,572 | – | 736 | 53,199 | ||||||
Mississauga—Malton | PC | 14,712 | 39.1% | 2,361 | 6.3% | 48.4% | 14,712 | 12,351 | 7,813 | 674 | 1,187 | 874 | 37,611 | ||||||
Mississauga—Streetsville | PC | 20,879 | 43.5% | 8,486 | 17.7% | 55.5% | 20,879 | 12,393 | 12,344 | 1,349 | – | 999 | 47,964 | ||||||
Mushkegowuk—James Bay | NDP | 4,827 | 51.8% | 2,032 | 21.8% | 54.0% | 2,795 | 4,827 | 1,332 | 167 | – | 203 | 9,324 | ||||||
Nepean | PC | 23,899 | 45.1% | 8,789 | 16.6% | 58.7% | 23,899 | 15,110 | 10,383 | 2,739 | – | 826 | 52,957 | ||||||
Newmarket—Aurora | PC | 24,813 | 47.7% | 12,408 | 23.9% | 59.0% | 24,813 | 12,405 | 11,840 | 1,859 | 447 | 649 | 52,013 | ||||||
Niagara Centre | NDP | 21,618 | 44.2% | 3,285 | 6.7% | 56.1% | 18,333 | 21,618 | 5,779 | 1,803 | 217 | 1,124 | 48,874 | ||||||
Niagara Falls | NDP | 30,161 | 50.8% | 9,035 | 15.2% | 54.6% | 21,126 | 30,161 | 5,554 | 2,057 | – | 483 | 59,381 | ||||||
Niagara West | PC | 24,394 | 52.8% | 10,625 | 23.0% | 63.3% | 24,394 | 13,769 | 4,859 | 2,590 | – | 578 | 46,190 | ||||||
Nickel Belt | NDP | 23,157 | 63.5% | 15,139 | 41.5% | 55.4% | 8,018 | 23,157 | 3,182 | 1,137 | – | 973 | 36,467 | ||||||
Nipissing | PC | 17,598 | 49.9% | 4,604 | 13.1% | 58.2% | 17,598 | 12,994 | 2,794 | 997 | – | 860 | 35,243 | ||||||
Northumberland—Peterborough South | PC | 27,386 | 45.3% | 12,582 | 20.8% | 64.6% | 27,386 | 14,804 | 14,603 | 2,740 | – | 890 | 60,423 | ||||||
Oakville | PC | 24,837 | 43.7% | 4,510 | 7.9% | 62.5% | 24,837 | 9,424 | 20,327 | 1,986 | – | 297 | 56,871 | ||||||
Oakville North—Burlington | PC | 25,691 | 46.4% | 12,195 | 22.0% | 60.2% | 25,691 | 13,496 | 13,487 | 2,052 | – | 625 | 55,351 | ||||||
Orléans | Lib | 24,972 | 39.0% | 2,463 | 3.8% | 62.8% | 22,509 | 14,033 | 24,972 | 1,603 | 435 | 398 | 63,950 | ||||||
Oshawa | NDP | 24,301 | 44.9% | 1,707 | 3.2% | 54.6% | 22,594 | 24,301 | 4,278 | 1,957 | – | 1,013 | 54,143 | ||||||
Ottawa Centre | NDP | 29,675 | 46.1% | 8,564 | 13.3% | 61.2% | 10,327 | 29,675 | 21,111 | 2,266 | – | 1,024 | 64,403 | ||||||
Ottawa South | Lib | 20,773 | 39.6% | 5,454 | 10.4% | 56.9% | 15,319 | 14,250 | 20,773 | 1,618 | – | 456 | 52,416 | ||||||
Ottawa—Vanier | Lib | 20,555 | 42.9% | 6,323 | 13.2% | 51.5% | 10,252 | 14,232 | 20,555 | 1,955 | – | 964 | 47,958 | ||||||
Ottawa West—Nepean | PC | 16,590 | 32.8% | 175 | 0.3% | 57.0% | 16,590 | 16,415 | 14,810 | 1,937 | – | 793 | 50,545 | ||||||
Oxford | PC | 29,152 | 55.7% | 13,235 | 25.3% | 59.2% | 29,152 | 15,917 | 3,620 | 2,254 | 335 | 1,033 | 52,311 | ||||||
Parkdale—High Park | NDP | 32,407 | 59.4% | 22,586 | 41.4% | 62.4% | 9,821 | 32,407 | 9,271 | 2,544 | – | 506 | 54,549 | ||||||
Parry Sound—Muskoka | PC | 22,662 | 48.1% | 12,277 | 26.0% | 59.2% | 22,662 | 10,385 | 4,071 | 9,438 | 219 | 368 | 47,143 | ||||||
Perth—Wellington | PC | 23,736 | 50.7% | 9,351 | 20.0% | 60.3% | 23,736 | 14,385 | 5,062 | 2,746 | – | 914 | 46,843 | ||||||
Peterborough—Kawartha | PC | 22,904 | 37.7% | 2,386 | 3.9% | 62.7% | 22,904 | 20,518 | 14,946 | 2,024 | – | 398 | 60,790 | ||||||
Pickering—Uxbridge | PC | 22,447 | 42.2% | 5,414 | 10.2% | 58.9% | 22,447 | 17,033 | 10,851 | 2,105 | 373 | 384 | 53,193 | ||||||
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | PC | 33,350 | 69.2% | 25,284 | 52.5% | 59.7% | 33,350 | 8,066 | 4,701 | 1,436 | – | 646 | 48,199 | ||||||
Richmond Hill | PC | 22,224 | 51.2% | 10,116 | 23.3% | 52.2% | 22,224 | 7,490 | 12,108 | 1,248 | – | 301 | 43,371 | ||||||
St. Catharines | NDP | 18,911 | 36.6% | 1,558 | 3.0% | 58.1% | 17,353 | 18,911 | 12,671 | 1,923 | – | 792 | 51,650 | ||||||
Sarnia—Lambton | PC | 26,811 | 52.7% | 7,816 | 15.4% | 60.9% | 26,811 | 18,995 | 2,246 | 1,856 | 71 | 851 | 50,830 | ||||||
Sault Ste. Marie | PC | 13,498 | 42.0% | 414 | 1.3% | 54.5% | 13,498 | 13,084 | 3,199 | 1,044 | – | 1,292 | 32,117 | ||||||
Scarborough—Agincourt | PC | 18,582 | 50.4% | 8,153 | 22.1% | 51.3% | 18,582 | 6,434 | 10,429 | 635 | 189 | 602 | 36,871 | ||||||
Scarborough Centre | PC | 15,266 | 38.4% | 2,019 | 5.1% | 53.2% | 15,266 | 13,247 | 8,791 | 919 | – | 1,481 | 39,704 | ||||||
Scarborough—Guildwood | Lib | 11,972 | 33.3% | 74 | 0.2% | 52.9% | 11,898 | 9,917 | 11,972 | 878 | 66 | 1,174 | 35,905 | ||||||
Scarborough North | PC | 17,413 | 51.0% | 9,093 | 26.7% | 50.8% | 17,413 | 8,320 | 7,519 | 543 | – | 318 | 34,113 | ||||||
Scarborough—Rouge Park | PC | 16,224 | 38.6% | 963 | 2.3% | 55.5% | 16,224 | 15,261 | 8,785 | 1,014 | – | 731 | 42,015 | ||||||
Scarborough Southwest | NDP | 19,835 | 45.7% | 6,270 | 14.4% | 56.0% | 13,565 | 19,835 | 8,228 | 1,174 | – | 641 | 43,443 | ||||||
Simcoe—Grey | PC | 34,094 | 55.9% | 20,650 | 33.9% | 57.1% | 34,094 | 13,444 | 8,780 | 4,192 | – | 453 | 60,963 | ||||||
Simcoe North | PC | 25,236 | 46.9% | 10,158 | 18.9% | 58.9% | 25,236 | 15,078 | 9,523 | 3,632 | – | 320 | 53,789 | ||||||
Spadina—Fort York | NDP | 24,677 | 49.6% | 12,907 | 26.0% | 53.4% | 10,834 | 24,677 | 11,770 | 1,815 | – | 635 | 49,731 | ||||||
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | PC | 26,780 | 61.5% | 17,364 | 39.9% | 54.1% | 26,780 | 9,416 | 5,386 | 1,596 | – | 360 | 43,538 | ||||||
Sudbury | NDP | 17,386 | 48.1% | 8,981 | 24.8% | 54.2% | 8,405 | 17,386 | 8,108 | 1,504 | 82 | 682 | 36,167 | ||||||
Thornhill | PC | 28,889 | 61.1% | 19,755 | 41.8% | 56.2% | 28,889 | 9,134 | 6,985 | 1,043 | – | 1,208 | 47,259 | ||||||
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | NDP | 11,793 | 36.3% | 81 | 0.3% | 54.7% | 7,555 | 11,793 | 11,712 | 880 | – | 585 | 32,525 | ||||||
Thunder Bay—Superior North | Lib | 11,973 | 39.9% | 813 | 2.7% | 53.8% | 5,395 | 11,160 | 11,973 | 838 | – | 669 | 30,035 | ||||||
Timiskaming—Cochrane | NDP | 16,806 | 61.2% | 10,646 | 38.8% | 53.1% | 6,160 | 16,806 | 2,476 | 723 | – | 1,296 | 27,461 | ||||||
Timmins | NDP | 8,978 | 57.4% | 4,344 | 27.8% | 48.1% | 4,634 | 8,978 | 1,378 | 273 | – | 370 | 15,633 | ||||||
Toronto Centre | NDP | 23,688 | 53.7% | 11,702 | 26.5% | 54.3% | 6,234 | 23,688 | 11,986 | 1,377 | – | 863 | 44,148 | ||||||
Toronto—Danforth | NDP | 32,938 | 64.2% | 24,807 | 48.4% | 61.6% | 8,131 | 32,938 | 7,216 | 2,248 | 228 | 508 | 51,269 | ||||||
Toronto—St. Paul's | NDP | 18,843 | 36.0% | 1,345 | 2.6% | 60.7% | 13,780 | 18,843 | 17,498 | 1,690 | – | 591 | 52,402 | ||||||
University—Rosedale | NDP | 24,537 | 49.7% | 13,639 | 27.6% | 56.6% | 10,431 | 24,537 | 10,898 | 2,652 | 220 | 674 | 49,412 | ||||||
Vaughan—Woodbridge | PC | 21,687 | 50.5% | 7,945 | 18.5% | 56.0% | 21,687 | 6,254 | 13,742 | 972 | – | 291 | 42,946 | ||||||
Waterloo | NDP | 27,315 | 50.5% | 10,342 | 19.1% | 61.8% | 16,973 | 27,315 | 6,577 | 2,613 | – | 566 | 54,044 | ||||||
Wellington—Halton Hills | PC | 31,659 | 54.0% | 17,572 | 30.0% | 61.1% | 31,659 | 14,087 | 7,492 | 5,066 | – | 320 | 58,624 | ||||||
Whitby | PC | 26,471 | 45.8% | 5,313 | 9.2% | 60.3% | 26,471 | 21,158 | 7,441 | 1,958 | – | 768 | 57,796 | ||||||
Willowdale | PC | 17,732 | 43.6% | 6,917 | 17.0% | 50.5% | 17,732 | 10,481 | 10,815 | 932 | 233 | 453 | 40,646 | ||||||
Windsor—Tecumseh | NDP | 25,221 | 58.4% | 13,544 | 31.4% | 47.8% | 11,677 | 25,221 | 3,513 | 1,909 | 863 | – | 43,183 | ||||||
Windsor West | NDP | 20,276 | 52.1% | 9,203 | 23.7% | 43.3% | 11,073 | 20,276 | 5,722 | 1,393 | – | 435 | 38,899 | ||||||
York Centre | PC | 18,434 | 50.1% | 9,817 | 26.7% | 52.9% | 18,434 | 8,617 | 7,865 | 843 | – | 1,002 | 36,761 | ||||||
York—Simcoe | PC | 26,050 | 57.3% | 15,395 | 33.8% | 54.9% | 26,050 | 10,655 | 6,182 | 2,195 | – | 409 | 45,491 | ||||||
York South—Weston | NDP | 13,455 | 36.1% | 1,165 | 3.1% | 49.2% | 12,290 | 13,455 | 10,379 | 946 | – | 228 | 37,298 |
- ^ "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate: 2018 General Election". elections.on.ca. Archived from the original on December 3, 2019. Retrieved December 3, 2019.; "Statistical Summary by Electoral District: 2018 General Election". elections.on.ca. Archived from the original on December 3, 2019. Retrieved December 3, 2019.
- ^ including spoilt ballots
- ^ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
Detailed results and analysis
[edit]Political party | Party leader | MPPs | Votes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidates | 2014 | Dissol. | 2018 | ± | # | % | ± (pp) | |||
Progressive Conservative | Doug Ford | 124 | 28 | 27 | 76 | 48 | 2,326,523 | 40.19% | 9.08 | |
New Democratic | Andrea Horwath | 124 | 21 | 18 | 40 | 19 | 1,929,966 | 33.34% | 9.68 | |
Liberal | Kathleen Wynne | 124 | 58 | 55 | 7 | 51 | 1,124,346 | 19.42% | 19.10 | |
Green | Mike Schreiner | 124 | – | – | 1 | 1 | 264,519 | 4.57% | 0.31 | |
Libertarian | Allen Small | 117 | – | – | – | – | 42,822 | 0.74% | 0.04 | |
None of the Above | Greg Vezina | 42 | – | – | – | – | 16,146 | 0.28% | 0.20 | |
Independents and no affiliation | 32 | – | 2 | – | – | 8,226 | 0.14% | 0.06 | ||
Trillium | Bob Yaciuk | 26 | – | 1 | – | – | 8,091 | 0.14% | 0.13 | |
Northern Ontario | Trevor Holliday | 10 | – | – | – | – | 5,912 | 0.10% | 0.08 | |
Consensus Ontario | Brad Harness | 10 | – | – | – | – | 2,682 | 0.05% | New | |
Freedom | Paul McKeever | 14 | – | – | – | – | 2,565 | 0.04% | 0.20 | |
Ontario Party | Jason Tysick | 5 | – | – | – | – | 2,316 | 0.04% | New | |
Moderate | Yuri Duboisky | 16 | – | – | – | – | 2,199 | 0.04% | 0.03 | |
Communist | Dave McKee | 12 | – | – | – | – | 1,471 | 0.03% | 0.01 | |
Canadians' Choice Party | Bahman Yazdanfar | 5 | – | – | – | – | 1,239 | 0.02% | 0.01 | |
Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda | Queenie Yu | 3 | – | – | – | – | 1,078 | 0.02% | New | |
Ontario Alliance | Joshua E. Eriksen | 3 | – | – | – | – | 802 | 0.01% | New | |
New People's Choice Party | Daryl Christoff | 3 | – | – | – | – | 634 | 0.01% | New | |
Special Needs | Hilton Milan | 5 | – | – | – | – | 631 | 0.01% | ||
People's Political Party | Kevin Clarke | 6 | – | – | – | – | 628 | 0.01% | 0.01 | |
Confederation of Regions | vacant | 2 | – | – | – | – | 386 | 0.01% | ||
Stop Climate Change | Ken Ranney | 2 | – | – | – | – | 340 | 0.01% | New | |
Canadian Economic Party | Patrick Knight | 2 | – | – | – | – | 321 | 0.01% | New | |
Go Vegan | Paul Figueiras | 2 | – | – | – | – | 256 | – | 0.02 | |
Cultural Action Party | Arthur Smitherman | 3 | – | – | – | – | 215 | – | New | |
Multicultural Party of Ontario | Wasyl Luczkiw | 2 | – | – | – | – | 191 | – | New | |
Party of Objective Truth | Derrick Matthews | 2 | – | – | – | – | 176 | – | New | |
Pauper | John Turmel | 2 | – | – | – | – | 112 | – | ||
Social Reform Party | Abu Alam | 2 | – | – | – | – | 67 | – | New | |
Vacant | 4 | |||||||||
Blank and invalid ballots | 61,426 | 1.06 | ||||||||
Total | 825 | 107 | 107 | 124 | 5,806,286 | 100.00% | ||||
Registered voters / turnout | 10,246,066 | 56.67% | 5.38 |
Incumbents MPPs who lost their seats [114]
38 incumbent Liberal MPPs lost their re-election races, as well as a one Trillium party MPP.
- ‡ means that the Incumbent was originally from a different riding
- "b.e." is a short term for "By-election"
Parties | Seats | |
---|---|---|
█ Progressive Conservative | █ New Democratic | 90 |
█ Progressive Conservative | █ Liberal | 22 |
█ Progressive Conservative | █ Green | 1 |
█ New Democratic | █ Liberal | 11 |
Total | 124 |
Parties | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
█ Progressive Conservative | 76 | 37 | 11 | 124 | ||
█ New Democratic | 40 | 61 | 23 | 124 | ||
█ Liberal | 7 | 26 | 88 | 3 | 124 | |
█ Green | 1 | 2 | 117 | 4 | 124 | |
█ Libertarian | 1 | 77 | 78 | |||
█ None of the Above | 20 | 20 | ||||
█ Northern Ontario | 2 | 10 | 12 | |||
█ Independent | 1 | 10 | 11 | |||
█ Trillium | 8 | 8 | ||||
█ Ontario Party | 5 | 5 |
Regional analysis
[edit]Party | Toronto | 905 Belt | Ham/Niagara | Central | East | Midwest | Southwest | North | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive Conservative | 11 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 76 | |
New Democratic | 11 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 40 | ||
Liberal | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | ||||||
Green | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
Total | 25 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 124 |
Most marginal 2-way and 3-way contests
[edit]Riding | 1st | 2nd | 1st vs 2nd | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scarborough—Guildwood | 33.3% | 33.1% | 0.2% | ||
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | 36.2% | 36.0% | 0.2% | ||
Brampton Centre | 38.4% | 38.1% | 0.3% | ||
Ottawa West—Nepean | 32.8% | 32.5% | 0.3% | ||
Don Valley West | 38.9% | 38.5% | 0.4% | ||
Brantford—Brant | 42.0% | 40.9% | 1.1% | ||
Brampton North | 37.5% | 36.3% | 1.2% | ||
Sault Ste. Marie | 42.0% | 40.7% | 1.3% | ||
Brampton West | 39.4% | 38.1% | 1.3% | ||
Kitchener—Conestoga | 39.6% | 38.0% | 1.6% |
Riding | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 1st vs 3rd | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ottawa West—Nepean | 32.8% | 32.5% | 29.3% | 3.5% | |||
Scarborough—Guildwood | 33.3% | 33.1% | 27.6% | 5.7% | |||
York South—Weston | 36.1% | 33.0% | 27.8% | 8.3% | |||
Don Valley East | 35.9% | 33.1% | 27.4% | 8.5% | |||
Humber River—Black Creek | 37.4% | 30.3% | 27.9% | 9.5% | |||
Toronto—St. Paul's | 36.0% | 33.4% | 26.3% | 9.7% | |||
St. Catharines | 36.6% | 33.6% | 24.5% | 12.1% | |||
Ottawa South | 39.6% | 29.2% | 27.2% | 12.4% | |||
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | 36.2% | 36.0% | 23.2% | 13.0% | |||
Kingston and the Islands | 39.2% | 27.5% | 26.1% | 13.1% |
Significant results among independent and minor party candidates
[edit]Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:
Riding | Party | Candidates | Votes | Placed |
---|---|---|---|---|
Algoma—Manitoulin | █ N.Ont. Heritage | Tommy Lee | 1,366 | 4th |
Kanata—Carleton | █ Trillium | Jack MacLaren | 1,947 | 5th |
Mississauga—Malton | █ Independent | Caroline Roach | 1,187 | 4th |
Scarborough Centre | █ Libertarian | Matthew Dougherty | 1,040 | 4th |
Timiskaming—Cochrane | █ N.Ont. Heritage | Shawn Poirier | 1,105 | 4th |
Opinion polls
[edit]Campaign period
[edit]Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | Liberal | Progressive Conservative | New Democrat | Green | Other | Margin of error |
Sample size |
Polling method | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election | June 7, 2018 | Archive | 19.6 | 40.5 | 33.6 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 6.9 | |||
Forum Research | June 6, 2018 | 21 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 1 | ±3 pp | 2,178 | IVR | 5 | |
Research Co. | June 6, 2018 | HTML | 20 | 39 | 37 | 4 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 661 | Online | 2 |
EKOS | June 6, 2018 | 18.9 | 39.1 | 35.1 | 4.5 | 2.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,230 | IVR | 4.0 | |
Pollara | June 5, 2018 | 17 | 38 | 38 | 6 | 2 | ±3.3 pp | 906 (1/3) | Online/telephone (rolling) | 0 | |
Ipsos | June 5, 2018 | HTML Archived October 8, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 19 | 39 | 36 | 6* | ±3.1 pp | 1,501 | Online/telephone | 3 | |
Mainstreet Research | June 4, 2018 | HTML | 20.2 | 39.0 | 34.3 | 4.9 | 1.7 | ±1.7 pp | 3,320 | IVR | 4.7 |
Leger | June 4, 2018 | HTML | 18 | 39 | 38 | 5* | N/A | 1,008 | Online | 1 | |
Pollara | June 4, 2018 | 17 | 39 | 37 | 6 | 1 | ±3.0 pp | 1,083 (1/4) | Online/telephone (rolling) | 2 | |
Pollara | June 3, 2018 | 20 | 38 | 37 | 5 | 1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,275 (1/4) | Online/telephone (rolling) | 1 | |
Forum Research | June 2, 2018 | 18 | 38 | 37 | 5 | 2 | ±3 pp | 2,349 | IVR | 1 | |
Abacus Data | June 2, 2018 | HTML Archived August 4, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 23 | 33 | 37 | 5 | 2 | ±1.9 pp | 2,646 | Online | 4 |
Pollara | June 2, 2018 | 20 | 37 | 37 | 5 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,447 | Online/telephone | 0 | |
EKOS | May 31, 2018 | 19.3 | 38.6 | 34.9 | 5.9 | 1.2 | ±3.1 pp | 990 (2/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3.7 | |
Research Co. | May 31, 2018 | HTML | 18 | 38 | 39 | 4 | 1 | ±3.7 pp | 701 | Online | 1 |
Forum Research | May 29, 2018 | 19 | 39 | 35 | 5 | 2 | ±2 pp | 2,602 | IVR | 4 | |
H+K Strategies | May 29, 2018 | HTML | 19 | 37 | 39 | 6 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | 2 | |
EKOS | May 29, 2018 | 19.1 | 37.9 | 38.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | ±3.2 pp | 945 | IVR | 0.5 | |
Angus Reid | May 29, 2018 | 17 | 37 | 39 | 5 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 773 | Online | 2 | |
Innovative Research | May 29, 2018 | 22 | 34 | 36 | 6 | 2 | N/A | 958 | Online | 2 | |
Innovative Research | May 29, 2018 | 21 | 34 | 37 | 6 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 611 | Telephone | 3 | |
Pollara | May 28, 2018 | 17 | 32 | 43 | 5 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | Online | 11 | |
Media consortium leaders' debate in Toronto (May 27, 2018)[116] | |||||||||||
Mainstreet Research | May 27, 2018 | HTML | 16.0 | 37.9 | 39.3 | 4.5 | 2.4 | ±2.39 pp | 1,682 | IVR | 1.4 |
Ipsos | May 27, 2018 | HTML Archived May 29, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 22 | 37 | 34 | 7* | ±3.2 pp | 1,241 | Online/telephone | 3 | |
Abacus Data | May 26, 2018 | HTML Archived July 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | 23 | 33 | 37 | 4 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | Online | 4 |
EKOS | May 24, 2018 | 20.4 | 34.9 | 35.6 | 7.0 | 2.1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,021 | IVR | 0.7 | |
Forum Research | May 23, 2018 | 14 | 33 | 47 | 4 | 2 | ±3 pp | 906 | IVR | 14 | |
Innovative Research | May 23, 2018 | 26 | 36 | 31 | 6 | 1 | N/A | 1,074 | Online | 5 | |
Pollara | May 22, 2018 | HTML | 18 | 37 | 38 | 5 | 2 | ±3.3 pp | 870 | Online | 1 |
Leger | May 22, 2018 | 21 | 37 | 37 | 5* | ±3.09 pp | 1,008 | Online | 0 | ||
Ipsos | May 21, 2018 | HTML Archived May 23, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 23 | 36 | 37 | 4* | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | Online | 1 | |
Abacus Data | May 18, 2018 | HTML Archived August 4, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 24 | 35 | 34 | 5 | 2 | ±1.9 pp | 2,824 | Online | 1 |
Mainstreet Research | May 18, 2018 | HTML | 22.3 | 41.9 | 29.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | ±2.02 pp | 2,350 | IVR | 12.6 |
EKOS | May 17, 2018 | 23.3 | 39.1 | 29.8 | 5.4 | 2.3 | ±2.9 pp | 1,124 | IVR | 9.3 | |
H+K Strategies | May 15, 2018 | HTML | 23 | 38 | 32 | 7* | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | 6 | |
Ipsos | May 14, 2018 | HTML Archived May 16, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 22 | 40 | 35 | 3* | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | Online | 5 | |
Innovative Research | May 12, 2018 | 27 | 35 | 31 | 6 | 1 | N/A | 1,529 | Online | 4 | |
Leaders' debate in Parry Sound (May 11, 2018) | |||||||||||
Mainstreet Research | May 11, 2018 | HTML | 22.1 | 42.3 | 28.4 | 5.4 | 1.8 | ±1.95 pp | 2,534 | IVR | 13.9 |
Forum Research | May 9, 2018 | 22 | 40 | 33 | 4 | 2 | ±4 pp | 777 | IVR | 7 | |
Innovative Research | May 9, 2018 | PDF Archived May 16, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 28 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 1 | N/A | 915 | Online | 10 |
City Toronto leaders' debate (May 7, 2018)[117] |
*Includes support for the Green Party
Best Premier and Party Leader Approval Ratings
[edit]Date | Firm | Best Premier ratings | Approval ratings | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ford | Horwath | Wynne | ||||||||
Ford | Horwath | Wynne | Approve | Disapprove | Approve | Disapprove | Approve | Disapprove | ||
June 6, 2018 | Research Co. | 36% | 55% | 54% | 34% | 29% | 64% | |||
June 2, 2018 | Forum Research | 27% | 31% | 17% | 27% | 55% | 41% | 34% | 23% | 65% |
June 2, 2018 | Abacus Data | 25% | 48% | 42% | 20% | 21% | 56% | |||
May 31, 2018 | Research Co. | 23% | 28% | 15% | 33% | 56% | 52% | 34% | 27% | 64% |
May 29, 2018 | Forum Research | 29% | 30% | 16% | 30% | 53% | 40% | 32% | 23% | 65% |
May 29, 2018 | Angus Reid | 25% | 34% | 15% | ||||||
May 29, 2018 | Innovative Research | 23% | 30% | 14% | 30% | 54% | 48% | 23% | 25% | 59% |
May 26, 2018 | Abacus Data | 27% | 45% | 44% | 15% | 19% | 60% | |||
May 23, 2018 | Forum Research | 30% | 33% | 15% | 32% | 51% | 43% | 26% | 19% | 69% |
May 23, 2018 | Innovative Research | 24% | 26% | 19% | 27% | 57% | 46% | 20% | 24% | 61% |
May 22, 2018 | Leger | 23% | 28% | 12% | ||||||
May 18, 2018 | Abacus Data | 26% | 46% | 42% | 13% | 17% | 60% | |||
May 12, 2018 | Innovative Research | 24% | 26% | 16% | 31% | 52% | 44% | 17% | 21% | 62% |
May 9, 2018 | Forum Research | 34% | 49% | 42% | 25% | 20% | 71% |
Major Regional Polls – Toronto
[edit]Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | Lib | PC | NDP | Gre | Oth | Margin of error |
Sample size |
Polling method | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Campaign Research | May 16, 2018 | HTML Archived May 21, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 27 | 35 | 32 | 5 | 2 | ±2.3 pp | 1,871 | Online | 3 |
Leaders' debate in Parry Sound (May 11, 2018) | |||||||||||
Mainstreet Research | May 7, 2018 | 31.1 | 36.6 | 23.1 | 5.9 | 3.4 | ±2.19 pp | 2,000 | IVR | 5.5 | |
CityTV Toronto leaders' debate (May 7, 2018)[117] |
Pre-campaign period
[edit]Polling organisation | Last date of polling | Source | Lib | PC | NDP | Gr | Oth | Polling type | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos | May 7, 2018 | HTML | 26 | 40 | 29 | – | 5 | Online/telephone | 1,197 | ±3.2% |
EKOS Research | May 6, 2018 | 24.4 | 41.1 | 25.6 | 6.5 | 2 | IVR | 2,018 | ±2.2% | |
Abacus Data | May 6, 2018 | HTML Archived May 8, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 29 | 35 | 29 | 5 | 2 | Online | 1,755 | ±2.4% |
Nanos Research | May 6, 2018 | 28.5 | 41.1 | 24.3 | 5.9 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||
Pollara | May 4, 2018 | HTML | 23 | 40 | 30 | 6 | 1 | Online | 1,010 | ±3.1% |
Leger | April 23, 2018 | HTML | 26 | 43 | 26 | – | Online | 1,000+ | ||
Nanos Research | April 22, 2018 | 30.6 | 42.2 | 21.4 | 5.3 | Telephone | 2,098 | ±2.1% | ||
Forum Research | April 18, 2018 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 4 | 2 | IVR | 1,126 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | April 18, 2018 | HTML | 28.2 | 44.9 | 21.3 | 4.0 | 1.6 | IVR | 1,763 | ±2.33% |
Ipsos | April 9, 2018 | HTML | 27 | 40 | 28 | – | 5 | Online | 800 | ±4.0% |
Innovative Research | April 9, 2018 | HTML | 29.9 | 42.5 | 20.7 | 6.9 | 1.1 | Online | 600 | ±4.0% |
Abacus Data | April 8, 2018 | HTML Archived April 13, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | 28 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 2 | Online | 4,177 | ±1.5% |
EKOS Research | April 5, 2018 | 29.3 | 43.0 | 20.7 | 5.2 | 1.8 | IVR | 1,067 | ±3.0% | |
Mainstreet Research | April 4, 2018 | HTML | 23.9 | 50.3 | 18.3 | 5.2 | 2.4 | IVR | 1,969 | ±2.21% |
Forum Research | March 29, 2018 | 29 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 728 | ±4% | |
Innovative Research | March 20, 2018 | 26 | 44 | 22 | 7 | 1 | Telephone | 603 | ±4.0% | |
Mainstreet Research | March 18, 2018 | HTML | 26.2 | 47.0 | 18.6 | 6.4 | 1.8 | IVR | 2,003 | ±2.23% |
Campaign Research | March 14, 2018 | HTML | 27 | 43 | 23 | 5 | 1 | Online | 1,637 | ±2.4% |
Leger | March 14, 2018 | 26 | 42 | 24 | – | 8 | Online | 1,008 | ±3.087% | |
Ipsos | March 14, 2018 | HTML | 32 | 39 | 25 | – | 3 | Online | 803 | ±4.0% |
Forum Research | March 11, 2018 | 23 | 44 | 27 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 923 | ±3% | |
10 March 2018 | Doug Ford is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party | |||||||||
Angus Reid | March 7, 2018 | 24 | 50 | 22 | – | 4 | Online | 807 | ±3.4% | |
DART | February 27, 2018 | 19 | 44 | 24 | – | 13 | Online | 962 | ±3.6% | |
Nanos Research | February 26, 2018 | 30.5 | 43.5 | 23.2 | 2.8 | Telephone | 502 | ±4.4% | ||
Forum Research | February 23, 2018 | 21 | 46 | 24 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,005 | ±3% | |
Ipsos | February 19, 2018 | HTML | 29 | 38 | 26 | – | 7 | Online | 802 | ±4.0% |
Forum Research | February 17, 2018 | 24 | 49 | 19 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 949 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | February 11, 2018 | HTML | 28 | 43 | 20 | 8 | 1 | Online | 1,426 | ±2.5% |
Leger | January 2018 | HTML | 33 | 36 | 26 | Online | 996 | ±3.1% | ||
Innovative Research | January 29, 2018 | 32 | 36 | 21 | 9 | 2 | Online | 1,027 | ||
26 January 2018 | Vic Fedeli is appointed as interim leader of the Ontario PC Party | |||||||||
Forum Research | January 25, 2018 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 751 | ±4% | |
25 January 2018 | Patrick Brown resigns as Ontario PC leader | |||||||||
Innovative Research | January 17, 2018 | 35 | 38 | 18 | 8 | 1 | Online | 1,040 | ||
Forum Research | January 13, 2018 | 24 | 43 | 24 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,022 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | January 11, 2018 | HTML | 34 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 2 | Online | 1,544 | ±2.5% |
Mainstreet Research | January 6, 2018 | 32 | 43 | 18 | 7 | IVR | 2,375 | ±2.01% | ||
Nanos Research | December 18, 2017 | 33.5 | 41.4 | 20.5 | 4.0 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||
Ipsos | December 14, 2017 | HTML | 28 | 36 | 28 | – | 9 | Online | 829 | ±4.0% |
Campaign Research | December 6, 2017 | HTML | 35 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 2 | Online | 1,495 | ±2.5% |
Forum Research | November 30, 2017 | 24 | 40 | 26 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 861 | ±3% | |
Innovative Research | November 17, 2017 | 31 | 41 | 19 | 8 | 1 | Telephone | 607 | ±4.0% | |
Campaign Research | November 9, 2017 | HTML | 32 | 35 | 23 | 9 | 1 | Online | 1,263 | ±2.8% |
Nanos Research | October 29, 2017 | 29.2 | 38.3 | 26.0 | 6.4 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||
Forum Research | October 25, 2017 | 24 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 946 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | October 11, 2017 | HTML | 32 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 1 | Online | 1,347 | ±2.7% |
Forum Research | September 27, 2017 | 22 | 44 | 27 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 801 | ±3% | |
Innovative Research | September 18, 2017 | 35 | 40 | 18 | 5 | 1 | Telephone | 608 | ±4.0% | |
Campaign Research | September 11, 2017 | HTML | 33 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 0 | Online | 1,133 | ±2.9% |
Ipsos | September 11, 2017 | HTML | 32 | 39 | 22 | – | 7 | Online | 800 | ±4.0% |
Forum Research | August 24, 2017 | 25 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 981 | ±3% | |
Nanos Research | August 17, 2017 | 31.2 | 42.2 | 19.5 | 6.7 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||
Innovative Research | July 19, 2017 | HTML | 36 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 1 | Telephone | 605 | ±4.0% |
Campaign Research | July 10, 2017 | HTML | 31 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | Online | 943 | ±3% |
Innovative Research | June 27, 2017 | HTML | 35 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 1 | Telephone | 600 | ±4.0% |
Forum Research | June 14, 2017 | 23 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,003 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | June 12, 2017 | HTML | 30 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 1 | Online | 1,118 | ±3% |
Mainstreet Research | May 25, 2017 | HTML | 29 | 43 | 24 | 5 | – | IVR | 2,000 | ±2.19% |
Campaign Research | May 13, 2017 | HTML | 37 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | Online | 864 | ±4% |
Forum Research | May 10, 2017 | 28 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 3 | IVR | 1,103 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | April 11, 2017 | HTML | 31 | 36 | 25 | Online | 979 | ±3% | ||
Innovative Research | April 5, 2017 | 29 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 2 | Online | 779 | ||
Forum Research | March 30, 2017 | 19 | 43 | 28 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 884 | ±3.3% | |
Mainstreet Research | March 12, 2017 | HTML | 30 | 40 | 24 | 6 | – | IVR | 2,531 | ±1.95% |
Forum Research | February 16, 2017 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,120 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | February 12, 2017 | HTML | 29 | 39 | 27 | 4 | – | IVR | 2,524 | ±1.95% |
Campaign Research | January 29, 2017 | HTML | 28 | 50 | 15 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 676 | ±4% |
Forum Research | November 21, 2016 | 24 | 43 | 24 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,184 | ±3% | |
Nanos Research | November 19, 2016 | 31.9 | 39.9 | 22.2 | 5.2 | 0.8 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | |
Mainstreet Research | November 2, 2016 | HTML | 25 | 43 | 27 | 6 | – | IVR | 2,524 | ±1.95% |
Forum Research | October 18, 2016 | 24 | 43 | 23 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,124 | ±3% | |
Innovative Research | September 24, 2016 | 33 | 38 | 20 | 8 | – | Telephone | 600 | ±4.0% | |
Ipsos | September 22, 2016 | HTML | 40 | 35 | 20 | 5 | – | Online | 800 | ±4% |
Mainstreet Research | September 18, 2016 | HTML | 28 | 43 | 23 | 6 | – | IVR | 2,562 | ±1.94% |
Forum Research | September 13, 2016 | 25 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,154 | ±3% | |
Ipsos | September 9, 2016 | HTML | 35 | 37 | 23 | 5 | – | Online | 800 | ±4% |
8 September 2016 | Premier Kathleen Wynne prorogues the legislature | |||||||||
Forum Research | August 15, 2016 | 28 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,097 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | July 12, 2016 | 35 | 42 | 17 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,183 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | June 21, 2016 | 30 | 40 | 21 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,173 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | May 31, 2016 | 30 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,172 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | May 18, 2016 | HTML | 36 | 38 | 20 | 5 | – | IVR | 2,537 | ±1.95% |
Forum Research | April 25, 2016 | 34 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,157 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | March 23, 2016 | 30 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,225 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | February 29, 2016 | 27 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,148 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | February 16, 2016 | HTML | 33 | 36 | 26 | 5 | – | IVR | 2,623 | ±1.91% |
Forum Research | December 20, 2015 | 31 | 34 | 26 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,003 | ±3% | |
Ipsos | November 9, 2015 | HTML | 44 | 31 | 20 | 4 | – | Online | 1,002 | ±3.5% |
Forum Research | November 4, 2015 | 30 | 36 | 26 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,158 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | November 1, 2015 | HTML | 28 | 40 | 25 | 7 | – | IVR | 2,506 | ±1.96% |
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 30 | 40 | 24 | 7 | – | IVR | 4,610 | ±1.5% |
Forum Research | August 13, 2015 | 26 | 35 | 33 | 4 | 2 | IVR | 1,001 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | July 5, 2015 | 26 | 32 | 35 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 678 | ±4% | |
Ipsos | May 20, 2015 | HTML | 34.13 | 32.37 | 25.19 | 8.31 | – | Online | 1,002 | ±3.5% |
Innovative Research | May 19, 2015 | 34 | 35 | 24 | 6 | – | Telephone | 606 | ±4.0% | |
Forum Research | May 11, 2015 | 24 | 33 | 36 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,001 | ±3% | |
9 May 2015 | Patrick Brown is elected leader of the Ontario PC Party | |||||||||
Forum Research | April 30, 2015 | 29 | 36 | 24 | 9 | 2 | IVR | 912 | ±3% | |
Innovative Research | April 26, 2015 | 40 | 33 | 18 | 8 | 1 | Online | 1,017 | ||
Forum Research | March 26, 2015 | 29 | 34 | 27 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 881 | ±3% | |
Environics | March 25, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 33 | 27 | 7 | – | Telephone | 989 | ±3.1% |
Forum Research | February 27, 2015 | 32 | 39 | 21 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 996 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | January 30, 2015 | 37 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,028 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | December 20, 2014 | 35 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,058 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | November 29, 2014 | 37 | 37 | 17 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,054 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | November 1, 2014 | 40 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 2 | IVR | 1,104 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | October 1, 2014 | 36 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,079 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | August 21, 2014 | 39 | 32 | 19 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,229 | ±3% | |
2 July 2014 | Jim Wilson becomes interim leader of the Ontario PC Party | |||||||||
2 July 2014 | Tim Hudak resigns as leader of the Ontario PC Party | |||||||||
2014 election | June 12, 2014 | HTML | 38.65 | 31.25 | 23.75 | 4.84 | 1.51 |
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Further reading
[edit]- Perrella, Andrea; Kiss, Simon J.; Kay, Barry J. (February 2021). "Conservative Populism, or Unpopular Liberalism? Review of the 2018 Ontario Provincial Election". Canadian Political Science Review. 14 (1): 118–146. ISSN 1911-4125.