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2021 London Assembly election: Difference between revisions

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Marginal Seats: remove illogical targets for parties finishing 3rd or lower
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|5.95
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|2nd
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===Green Targets===
{| class="wikitable" style="width:550px"
!rowspan=1 width="50px"|Rank
!rowspan=1 width="225px"|Constituency
!colspan=2 width="175px"|Winning party 2016
!rowspan=1 width="100px"|Swing to gain
!rowspan=1 width="100px"|Green's place 2016
!rowspan=1 width="100px"|Result
|-
|1
|[[Merton and Wandsworth (London Assembly constituency)|Merton and Wandsworth]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|16.9
|3rd
|
|-
|2
|[[West Central (London Assembly constituency)|West Central]]
{{party name with colour|Conservative Party (UK)}}
|17.5
|3rd
|
|-
|3
|[[Ealing and Hillingdon (London Assembly constituency)|Ealing and Hillingdon]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|17.5
|4th
|
|-
|4
|[[Lambeth and Southwark (London Assembly constituency)|Lambeth and Southwark]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|18.9
|3rd
|
|-
|}

===UKIP Targets===
{| class="wikitable" style="width:550px"
!rowspan=1 width="50px"|Rank
!rowspan=1 width="225px"|Constituency
!colspan=2 width="175px"|Winning party 2016
!rowspan=1 width="100px"|Swing to gain
!rowspan=1 width="100px"|UKIP's place 2016
!rowspan=1 width="100px"|Result
|-
|1
|[[Havering and Redbridge (London Assembly constituency)|Havering and Redbridge]]
{{party name with colour|Conservative Party (UK)}}
|11
|3rd
|
|-
|2
|[[Croydon and Sutton (London Assembly constituency)|Croydon and Sutton]]
{{party name with colour|Conservative Party (UK)}}
|14.25
|4th
|
|-
|3
|[[Bexley and Bromley (London Assembly constituency)|Bexley and Bromley]]
{{party name with colour|Conservative Party (UK)}}
|15
|3rd
|
|-
|}
===Liberal Democrat Targets===
{| class="wikitable" style="width:550px"
!rowspan=1 width="50px"|Rank
!rowspan=1 width="225px"|Constituency
!colspan=2 width="175px"|Winning party 2016
!rowspan=1 width="100px"|Swing to gain
!rowspan=1 width="100px"|Lib Dem's place 2016
!rowspan=1 width="100px"|Result
|-
|1
|[[South West (London Assembly constituency)|South West]]
{{party name with colour|Conservative Party (UK)}}
|12.57
|3rd
|
|-
|2
|[[Croydon and Sutton (London Assembly constituency)|Croydon and Sutton]]
{{party name with colour|Conservative Party (UK)}}
|14.1
|3rd
|
|
|-
|-

Revision as of 23:42, 29 December 2018

Next London Assembly election
← 2016 on or before 7 May 2020

25 London Assembly Seats
13 seats needed for majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Jeremy Corbyn Theresa May Jonathan Bartley & Siân Berry
(job share)
Party Labour Conservative Green
Leader since 12 September 2015 11 July 2016 September 2016 &
September 2018 respectively
Last election 12 seats 8 seats 2 seats

  Fourth party Fifth party
  Vince Cable
Leader Gerard Batten Vince Cable
Party UKIP Liberal Democrats
Leader since 17 February 2018 20 July 2017
Last election 2 seats 1 seat

London Assembly constituencies

The next election to the London Assembly is due to be held on Thursday 7 May 2020.[1]

Background

In the 2016 London elections, the Labour Party won the post of London Mayor, as well as 12 seats in the London Assembly elections. The party polled over 1 million votes, which represented the best-ever result for any political party in a London Assembly election. The Conservative Party were the runners-up, winning 8 seats, followed by the Green Party (2 seats), the UK Independence Party (2 seats) and the Liberal Democrats (1 seat). The Women's Equality Party, meanwhile, achieved 3.5% of the regional list vote, failing to reach the 5% minimum threshold required for representation.

The following year, in the snap election on 8 June 2017, Labour polled 55% of the popular vote in London, winning 49 of 73 London seats in the British House of Commons. In the 2018 borough elections across the capital, Labour saw their best result in over 45 years, winning 47% of the vote.

Since the previous election, Peter Whittle, the top-voted UKIP Assembly member and the party's Mayoral candidate in 2016, left the party in December 2018.

Electoral system

The election system used is called the Additional Member System. There are 14 constituencies that elect one member each to the Assembly. These seats have previously only ever been won by the Labour Party or the Conservative Party. The remaining 11 seats are distributed by a second vote, by a modified D'Hondt method of closed-list voting, with a 5% minimum threshold. These seats have been won by other parties too. The overall result is a compromise between constituency representation and London-wide proportional representation.

Candidates

London Assembly election, 2020[2]
List Candidates Votes Of total (%) ± from prev.
Liberal Democrats Caroline Pidgeon, Hina Bokhari, Lucy Salek, Chris Maines, Joyce Onstad, Rob Blackie, Irina von Wiese, Hussain Khan, Ben Mathis, Michael Bukola, Adrian Hyyrylainen-Trett, Adetokunbo Fatukasi, Charley Hasted, Reetendra Banerji

The Liberal Democrats announced a shortlist of 15 people to be list candidates. These were voted on by the party membership, with the results announced in late November 2018.[3][4]

Marginal Seats

The following lists are based on the 2016 results and may not be the actual seats targeted in a campaign.

Labour Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2016 Swing to gain Labour's place 2016 Result
1 Havering and Redbridge

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #0087DC;" data-sort-value="Conservative Party (UK)" |

Conservative 0.4 2nd
2 Croydon and Sutton

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #0087DC;" data-sort-value="Conservative Party (UK)" |

Conservative 3.2 2nd
3 West Central

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #0087DC;" data-sort-value="Conservative Party (UK)" |

Conservative 4.75 2nd
4 South West

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #0087DC;" data-sort-value="Conservative Party (UK)" |

Conservative 5.02 2nd

Conservative Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2016 Swing to gain Conservative's place 2016 Result
1 Merton and Wandsworth

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #E4003B;" data-sort-value="Labour Party (UK)" |

Labour 1.15 2nd
2 Ealing and Hillingdon

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #E4003B;" data-sort-value="Labour Party (UK)" |

Labour 3.95 2nd
3 Barnet and Camden

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #E4003B;" data-sort-value="Labour Party (UK)" |

Labour 4.35 2nd
4 Brent and Harrow

style="width: 2px; color:inherit; background-color: #E4003B;" data-sort-value="Labour Party (UK)" |

Labour 5.95 2nd

See also

References

  1. ^ "Electing the Mayor and Assembly". London City Hall.
  2. ^ https://libdemelections.nationbuilder.com/gla-top-up-list-2020
  3. ^ https://www.markpack.org.uk/156414/lib-dem-london-shortlist/
  4. ^ https://www.markpack.org.uk/156681/lib-dem-london-assembly-candidates/