Practica Dirigida Probabilidades-1311!21!2
Practica Dirigida Probabilidades-1311!21!2
Practica Dirigida Probabilidades-1311!21!2
SEGUNDO DADO
1
1 1.1
PRIMER 2 2.1
DAD0 3 3.1
4 4.1
5 5.1
6 6.1
a)funciòn de probabilidad
X f(x)=P(X=x)
0 0.6944
1 0.2778
2 0.0278
1.0000
SOLUCION
Y
X 1
1 1.1
2 2.1
3 3.1
4 4.1
5 5.1
6 6.1
n(Ω)= 6*6=
1
1 1.1
2 2.1
3 3.1
4 4.1
5 5.1
6 6.1
SOLUCION
SEAN LOS EVENTOS
Suma cuatro= A=
Suma once= B=
P(AUB)=
SOLUCION
e---o
n(Ω)= P5= 5!=
P(A)= 6/120
solucion
15B
12N N1
27
P(N1)= 12/27
P(N2/N1)= 11/26
SOLUCION ALTERNATIVO
P(2N)=
n(A)= C(12,2)= 66
P(A)= 0.19
SOLUCION
12B
8N
20
P(2BU2N)= P(2B)+P(2N)
P(2B)= P(B1*B2)=
P(2N)= P(N1*N2)=
SOLUCION
12B
8N
20
SOLUCION
a) REINTEGRANDO
P(C*T)= P(C)*P(T)=
B) SIN REINTEGRARLA
P(C)*P(T)=
SOLUCION
n(Ω)= 2*2*2*2= 16
a) P(O=4)= P(O1*O2*O3*O4)= P(O1)*P(O2)*P(O3)*P(O4)=
b) P(O=1)= P(O1*Oc2*Oc3*Oc4)+
P(Oc1*O2*Oc3*Oc4)+
P(Oc1*Oc2*O3*Oc4)+
P(Oc1*Oc2*Oc3*O4)+
P(O1)*POc2)*P(Oc3)*P(Oc4)+
P(Oc1)*P(O2)*P(Oc3)*P(Oc4)+
P(Oc1)*P(Oc2)*P(O3)*P(Oc4)+
P(Oc1)*P(Oc2)*P(Oc3)*P(O4)+
4C1*(1/3)^1*(2/3)^3
0.3951
c) P(0=3)= 4C3*(1/3)^3*(2/3)^1
0.0988
d) P(O=0)= (2/3)^4
0.1975
SOLUCION
8B
5N
2R
15
METODO ALTERNATIVO
b) P(2B*1N)= 8C2*5C1/15C3 =
SOLUCION
a) P(J=3)= P(J1*J2*J3)
Con combinatoria
b) P(as,dos,tres) 0.0029
c) P(R1*C2*S3)= P(R1)*P(C2/R1)*P(S3/R1*C2)
(4/52)*(4/51)*(4/50)
0.0005
SOLUCION
2B
3N
P(N1*N2)= P(N1)*P(N2)
(3/5)*(4/10)
0.240
SOLUCION
SOLUCION
n(Ω)= 5P3=
60
A: Nùmero mùltiplo de cuatro n(A)=
312 124
412 324
512 524
P(A)=
B: Mùltiplo de tres
123 432
213 435
234 543
312 534
324 321
345 342
n(B)= 18
P(B)= 0.3
SOLUCION
8R
4A
6V
18
n(Ω)= 18C3= 816
a) P(3R)= 8C3/18C3=
b) P(2R*1V)= 8C2*6C1/18C3 =
c) P(2A*Ac)= 4C2*14C1/18C3 =
SOLUCION
n(Ω)= 6*6*6*6*6*6=
U: Nùmero de unos obtenidos
P(U≥1)= 1- P(U=0)
P(1)= 1/6
P(1c)= 5/6
P(U=2)= 6C2*(1/6)^2*(5/6)^4
a
A: aparece el nùmero
N: No aparece el numero uno
AANNNN
P(U<=2)= P(U=0)+P(U=1)+P(U=2)
(5/6)^6+6C1*(1/6)^1*(5/6)^5+6C2*(1/6)^2*(5/6)^4
0.9377
Hallar
P(U=1/U<=2)= P(U=1)/P(U<=2)=
P(U=1)= 0.4019
Hallar
P(3<=U<=6)= P(U=3)+P(U=4)+P(U=5)+P(U=6)
1-P(U<=2)
0.0623
solucion
2B 3B
3N 5N
4R 4R
9 12
I II
SOLUCION
P(1*2*3*….*50)= P(1)*P(2/1)*P(3/1*2)****P(50/1*2*3*…49)
1/P50
3.29E-65
SOLUCION
P(ACIERTO)= 0.2
P(NO ACIERTO)= 0.8
P(A=2) P(A1)(PA2)
0,2*0,2
0.04
SOLUCION
F
P(A=1)= P(A1*F2)+P(F1*A2)
0.32
P(A=2)= P(A*A)=
P(A<=1)= P(A=0)+P(A=1)=
SOLUCION
P(I)= 0.3
P(Ic ) 0.7
P(T)= 1-P(I=0)
1- P(I1c*I2c*I3c)=
1-P(I1c)*P(I2c)*P(I3c)
1- 0,7*0,7*0,7
0.657
¿Cuàl es la probabilidad de no torpedear el barco?
P(I=2)= 0.189
P(I=3)= 0.027
P(I<=1)= P(I=0)+P(I=1)
0.784
P(I=0/I<=1)= P(I=0)/P(I<=1)=
0.4375
SOLUCION
Y
X 1
1 1.1
2 2.1
3 3.1
4 4.1
5 5.1
6 6.1
n(Ω)= 6*6=
A= {(1,2), (1,4),(1,6),(2,2),(2,4),(2,6),(3,2),(3,4),(3,6),(4,2),(
A∩B= {(1,2),(1,4),(1,6),(3,2),(3,4),(3,6),(5,2),(5,4),(5,6)}
P(A/B)= P(A∩B)/P(B)=
En el espacio muestral del lanzamiento de dos dados, se definen los siguientes even
𝐴={(𝑥,𝑦);𝑥+𝑦≤4}
𝐵={(𝑥,𝑦);𝑥+𝑦≥3}
Y
X 1
1 1.1
2 2.1
3 3.1
4 4.1
5 5.1
6 6.1
Hallar
a) P(A) 5/36
b) P(B) 35/36
c) P(A∩B) 5/36
d) P(Ac∩B) 30/36
e) P(A-B)= 1/36
36
SEGUNDO DADO
2 3 4 5 6
1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6
2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6
3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6
4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6
5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6
6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6
GRAFICA
f(x)
0.6944
0.2778
0.0278
0 1 2
2 3 4 5 6
1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6
2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6
3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6
4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6
5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6
6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6
36
2 3 4 5 6
1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6
2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6
3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6
4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6
5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6
6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6
{(1,3),(2,2),(3,1)} n(A)= 3
{(5,6),(6,5)} n(B)= 2
a
u
i
15B
11N N2
26
12/27*11/26 0.19
0.4947
P(B1)*P(B2/B1)=
(12/20)*(11/19)= 0.3474
P(N1)*P(N2/N1)=
(8/20)*(7/19)= 0.1474
P(N1)*P(N2/N1)= 8/12*7/11
0.4242
(4/40)*(4/40)= 0.0100
P(C1*T2)=
P(C1)*P(T2/C1)=
(4/40)*(4/39)=
0.0103
0.6667
(1/3)*(1/3)*(1/3)*(1/3)= 1/81= 0.0123
(1/3)*(2/3)*(2/3)*(2/3)
(2/3)*(1/3)*(2/3)*(2/3) P(O=2)= 4C2*(1/3)^2*(2/3)^2
(2/3)*(2/3)*(1/3)*(2/3) 0.2963
(2/3)*(2/3)*(2/39*(1/3)
P(O<=1)= P(O=0)+P(O=1)
0.5926
P(O=0/O<=1)= P(O=0)/P(O<=1)=
0.3333
con reemplazamiento
0.3077
P(J1)*P(J2/J1)*P(J3/J1*J2)
(4/52)*(3/51)*(2/50)
0.0002
0.0002
6B
4N
10
0.3333
12
132 152
432 352
532 452
0.2
453
423
231
132
243
354
0.0686
0.2059
0.1029
46656
1-(5/6)^6 0.6651
actamente?
0.2009
6C2*(1/6)^2*(5/6)^4
0.4286
R*I)*P(R*II)
1*2*3*…49)
1-P(A=2) 0.96
FORMA ALTERNATIVA
FORMA ALTERNATIVA
P(I1c*I2c*I3c)= P(I1c)*P(I2c)*P(I3c)= 0,7*0,7*0,7= 0.343
2 3 4 5 6
1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6
2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6
3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6
4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6
5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6
6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6
36
),(2,6),(3,2),(3,4),(3,6),(4,2),(4,4);(4,6),(5,2),(5;4),(5,6),(6,2),(6,4),(6,6)}
),(3,6),(5,2),(5,4),(5,6)} n(A∩B)= 9
9/18 0.5
P(A∩B)= P(A)*P(B)=
9/36= (18/36)*(18/36)
pendientes
2 3 4 5 6
1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6
2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6
3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6
4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6
5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6
6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6
0.1389
x
P(A)= 0.0833
P(B)= 0.0556
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ENDIENTES