The study focuses on how to reduce poverty by facilitating the inclusion of Zambian SMEs in the m... more The study focuses on how to reduce poverty by facilitating the inclusion of Zambian SMEs in the miningindustry and link them to global value chains. In the past 15 years, Zambia has adopted a series ofNational Development Plans aiming at the support of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Despitethese plans, poverty levels are still high to over 60%. The main research question was what the barriersare that hold back local SMEs to join the Zambian mining chains and how to overcome them. The studyadopted an embedded multiple case study approach that included Lumwana, Konkola and Kansanshimines and the SMEs in the proximity of these mines. Primary data was collected through a surveyinvolving 150 members of the Mining Suppliers and Contractors Association of Zambia, and 35 indepth interviews with immediate stakeholders in the three selected mines, government authorities,NGOs, and experts. Data processing involved use of EQS for a structural equation modeling and selfadministered questionnaire for qualitative data. Data analysis framework focused on RMSEA values,FIT indices, and multiple regression analysis for quantitative data while theory construction involvedcoding the indicators that measure variables into themes, categories and subcategories which wereexpanded with detailed explanations, and thereafter summaries and conclusions. The conclusion of the study was that despite public and private support, SMEs continue to be excluded from supplying to the mine. The study recommends the formation of Zambia National content development and monitoring board for managing local content policies for inclusive growth, formation of Mining incubator to support SMEs upgrade to reach international requirements, formation of the mining commission of Zambia to implement mining policy, and form the supplier development working group to implement the private and public policies to improve capacity of SMEs to supply to the mines
The persistence of poverty, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, means that public policy in this ... more The persistence of poverty, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, means that public policy in this region continues to debate the right mix of supply- versus demand-side interventions that can move large groups of households out of extreme or ultra-poverty. There is unlikely to be a single approach that can transition all poor or ultra-poor households out of poverty. This paper describes the use of secondary evaluation data from four government unconditional cash transfer programmes (UCTs) to identify high- and low-flyers, that is, those households that are able to use the income shock to significantly improve their living standards and those who aren’t. The authors attempt to categorize the high- and low-flyers to create typologies based on their pre-shock characteristics. They also look at post-treatment behaviours to see what participants of these programmes did with the cash to improve (or not) their living standards. Putting together these different pieces of information (pre-tre...
University of Zambia Journal of Agricultural and Biomedical Sciences
Agriculture in Sub-Sahara Africa is considered as an engine of economic growth and has the potent... more Agriculture in Sub-Sahara Africa is considered as an engine of economic growth and has the potential to reduce rural poverty of smallholder farmers through increased food security and household income. However, most of Sub-Sahara Africa countries are faced with low agricultural productivity and this has undermined the potential to reduce rural poverty. The study focused on smallholder cotton producers in Zambia. Cotton is grown in Central, Eastern and Southern Provinces of Zambia and is an important cash crop which contributes over $60 million to the economy. It also supports over 150,000 households. However, productivity of smallholder cotton farmers in Zambia is low, around 800 kg per hectare or less. While in West Africa productivityis over 1000 kg perhectare. Agriculturalproductivity is defined as a measure of value of output for a given level of inputs. Efficiency is defined as the actual productivity of a farm relative to a maximal potential productivity.Thisshowsthatefficienc...
The ensuing assessment is on whether Zambia's persistent Least Developed Country (LDC) status... more The ensuing assessment is on whether Zambia's persistent Least Developed Country (LDC) status has a bearing on its vulnerability to the Middle Income Trap (MIT). Using an adapted unit root model, Granger causality tests were conducted to establish which variables affect Zambia's GDP per capita income level and predispose it to the MIT. Thus, per capita income, labour productivity, agriculture share to GDP, and manufacturing industry share to GDP were investigated. The results have shown that agriculture share of GDP strongly affects GDP per capita income while manufacturing share of GDP has a weaker effect on GDP per capita. The results further indicate that changes in agriculture share of GDP strongly affects the manufacturing output. Therefore, Zambia should increase investment in agriculture and manufacturing to maintain a positive GDP per capita income growth and to catalyze growth in the secondary sectors.
... Other RHVP staff provided useful inputs at various stages include; James Carnegie, AnabelaMab... more ... Other RHVP staff provided useful inputs at various stages include; James Carnegie, AnabelaMabota, Ngonidzashe Mararike, PJ Musi, Chozi Nkhata, Duncan ... scale traders in the local purchase of food aid appears to have been successful in protecting their volume of business. ...
Over the past decade, several African governments have launched cash transfer (CT) programmes as ... more Over the past decade, several African governments have launched cash transfer (CT) programmes as part of social protection systems, with the aim of reducing poverty and hunger. Such programmes can also have significant impacts on rural livelihoods by inducing investments in productive activities and changing household labour allocation. In this paper, we look beyond the protective function of CTs and provide evidence on their impacts on labour supply. We use data from the second wave of the impact evaluation of the Zambia Child Grant model of the Social Cash Transfer programme. We focus on the response of households’ labour supply in terms of off-farm paid labour and own-farm labour. We find that CTs cause a shift from agricultural wage labour to own-farm labour and that overall have no work disincentives on-farm households.
Objectives: We examined associations between accelerators (interventions impacting ≥2 SDG targets... more Objectives: We examined associations between accelerators (interventions impacting ≥2 SDG targets) and SDG-aligned well-being indicators among adolescents 16–24 years old in Zambia.Methods: We surveyed adults from 1,800 randomly sampled households receiving social cash transfers. We examined associations between accelerators (social cash transfers, life-long learning, mobile phone access) and seven well-being indicators among adolescents using multivariate logistic regressions.Results: The sample comprised 1,725 adolescents, 881 (51.1%) girls. Mobile phone access was associated with no poverty (adjusted Odds Ratio [aOR] 2.08, p < 0.001), informal cash transfers (aOR 1.82, p = 0.004), and seeking mental health support (aOR 1.61, p = 0.020). Social cash transfers were associated with no disability-related health restrictions (aOR 2.56, p = 0.004) and lesser odds of seeking mental health support (aOR 0.53, p = 0.029). Life-long learning was associated with informal cash transfers (a...
The study focuses on how to reduce poverty by facilitating the inclusion of Zambian SMEs in the m... more The study focuses on how to reduce poverty by facilitating the inclusion of Zambian SMEs in the miningindustry and link them to global value chains. In the past 15 years, Zambia has adopted a series ofNational Development Plans aiming at the support of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Despitethese plans, poverty levels are still high to over 60%. The main research question was what the barriersare that hold back local SMEs to join the Zambian mining chains and how to overcome them. The studyadopted an embedded multiple case study approach that included Lumwana, Konkola and Kansanshimines and the SMEs in the proximity of these mines. Primary data was collected through a surveyinvolving 150 members of the Mining Suppliers and Contractors Association of Zambia, and 35 indepth interviews with immediate stakeholders in the three selected mines, government authorities,NGOs, and experts. Data processing involved use of EQS for a structural equation modeling and selfadministered questionnaire for qualitative data. Data analysis framework focused on RMSEA values,FIT indices, and multiple regression analysis for quantitative data while theory construction involvedcoding the indicators that measure variables into themes, categories and subcategories which wereexpanded with detailed explanations, and thereafter summaries and conclusions. The conclusion of the study was that despite public and private support, SMEs continue to be excluded from supplying to the mine. The study recommends the formation of Zambia National content development and monitoring board for managing local content policies for inclusive growth, formation of Mining incubator to support SMEs upgrade to reach international requirements, formation of the mining commission of Zambia to implement mining policy, and form the supplier development working group to implement the private and public policies to improve capacity of SMEs to supply to the mines
The persistence of poverty, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, means that public policy in this ... more The persistence of poverty, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, means that public policy in this region continues to debate the right mix of supply- versus demand-side interventions that can move large groups of households out of extreme or ultra-poverty. There is unlikely to be a single approach that can transition all poor or ultra-poor households out of poverty. This paper describes the use of secondary evaluation data from four government unconditional cash transfer programmes (UCTs) to identify high- and low-flyers, that is, those households that are able to use the income shock to significantly improve their living standards and those who aren’t. The authors attempt to categorize the high- and low-flyers to create typologies based on their pre-shock characteristics. They also look at post-treatment behaviours to see what participants of these programmes did with the cash to improve (or not) their living standards. Putting together these different pieces of information (pre-tre...
University of Zambia Journal of Agricultural and Biomedical Sciences
Agriculture in Sub-Sahara Africa is considered as an engine of economic growth and has the potent... more Agriculture in Sub-Sahara Africa is considered as an engine of economic growth and has the potential to reduce rural poverty of smallholder farmers through increased food security and household income. However, most of Sub-Sahara Africa countries are faced with low agricultural productivity and this has undermined the potential to reduce rural poverty. The study focused on smallholder cotton producers in Zambia. Cotton is grown in Central, Eastern and Southern Provinces of Zambia and is an important cash crop which contributes over $60 million to the economy. It also supports over 150,000 households. However, productivity of smallholder cotton farmers in Zambia is low, around 800 kg per hectare or less. While in West Africa productivityis over 1000 kg perhectare. Agriculturalproductivity is defined as a measure of value of output for a given level of inputs. Efficiency is defined as the actual productivity of a farm relative to a maximal potential productivity.Thisshowsthatefficienc...
The ensuing assessment is on whether Zambia's persistent Least Developed Country (LDC) status... more The ensuing assessment is on whether Zambia's persistent Least Developed Country (LDC) status has a bearing on its vulnerability to the Middle Income Trap (MIT). Using an adapted unit root model, Granger causality tests were conducted to establish which variables affect Zambia's GDP per capita income level and predispose it to the MIT. Thus, per capita income, labour productivity, agriculture share to GDP, and manufacturing industry share to GDP were investigated. The results have shown that agriculture share of GDP strongly affects GDP per capita income while manufacturing share of GDP has a weaker effect on GDP per capita. The results further indicate that changes in agriculture share of GDP strongly affects the manufacturing output. Therefore, Zambia should increase investment in agriculture and manufacturing to maintain a positive GDP per capita income growth and to catalyze growth in the secondary sectors.
... Other RHVP staff provided useful inputs at various stages include; James Carnegie, AnabelaMab... more ... Other RHVP staff provided useful inputs at various stages include; James Carnegie, AnabelaMabota, Ngonidzashe Mararike, PJ Musi, Chozi Nkhata, Duncan ... scale traders in the local purchase of food aid appears to have been successful in protecting their volume of business. ...
Over the past decade, several African governments have launched cash transfer (CT) programmes as ... more Over the past decade, several African governments have launched cash transfer (CT) programmes as part of social protection systems, with the aim of reducing poverty and hunger. Such programmes can also have significant impacts on rural livelihoods by inducing investments in productive activities and changing household labour allocation. In this paper, we look beyond the protective function of CTs and provide evidence on their impacts on labour supply. We use data from the second wave of the impact evaluation of the Zambia Child Grant model of the Social Cash Transfer programme. We focus on the response of households’ labour supply in terms of off-farm paid labour and own-farm labour. We find that CTs cause a shift from agricultural wage labour to own-farm labour and that overall have no work disincentives on-farm households.
Objectives: We examined associations between accelerators (interventions impacting ≥2 SDG targets... more Objectives: We examined associations between accelerators (interventions impacting ≥2 SDG targets) and SDG-aligned well-being indicators among adolescents 16–24 years old in Zambia.Methods: We surveyed adults from 1,800 randomly sampled households receiving social cash transfers. We examined associations between accelerators (social cash transfers, life-long learning, mobile phone access) and seven well-being indicators among adolescents using multivariate logistic regressions.Results: The sample comprised 1,725 adolescents, 881 (51.1%) girls. Mobile phone access was associated with no poverty (adjusted Odds Ratio [aOR] 2.08, p < 0.001), informal cash transfers (aOR 1.82, p = 0.004), and seeking mental health support (aOR 1.61, p = 0.020). Social cash transfers were associated with no disability-related health restrictions (aOR 2.56, p = 0.004) and lesser odds of seeking mental health support (aOR 0.53, p = 0.029). Life-long learning was associated with informal cash transfers (a...
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Papers by Gelson Tembo