Despite the important role that total factor productivity (TFP) has played in the growth literatu... more Despite the important role that total factor productivity (TFP) has played in the growth literature, few attempts have been made to change the methodology to estimate it. This paper proposes a methodology based on a state-space model to estimate TFP and its determinants. With this methodology, it is possible to reduce the measurement of our ignorance. As a by-product, this estimate yields the capital share in output and the long-term growth rate. When applied to Chile, the estimation shows a capital share around 0.5 and long-term growth of TFP around 1%. Capital accumulation tends to explain the growth rate in the fast growth periods under the econometric estimation more than the traditional growth accounting methodology.
The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 2017
The Chilean Electronic Market for Annuities was created in 2004 in order to correct several malfu... more The Chilean Electronic Market for Annuities was created in 2004 in order to correct several malfunctions of the market for annuities. The Chilean Pension System is composed of two phases. On the accumulation phase, savings are collected and managed by asset managers. The payout phase consists in pension payments mainly in the form of annuities and programmed withdrawals. The market for annuities is the interface between these two phases and therefore, any excessive transaction costs in this market will have direct implication in the final pension.
Empirical analyses of annuities markets have been limited to a few developed countries and restri... more Empirical analyses of annuities markets have been limited to a few developed countries and restricted by data limitations. Chile provides excellent conditions for research on annuities due to the depth of its market and the availability of data. The paper utilizes an extensive dataset on individual annuities to examine econometrically a measure of market performance-money's worth ratios (MWRs), or the ratio of the expected present value of annuity payments to the premium. The results show that annuitants in Chile have generally got a good deal for their premiums, as indicated by MWRs higher than one and also higher than those estimated for other countries. The difference between Chile and other countries is striking considering that annuities in Chile are indexed to prices. The wide range of indexed instruments in Chile, allowing providers to hedge their risks while extracting higher returns, helps explain the difference. The high degree of market competition has also contributed to this outcome. Efforts to improve market transparency through a new electronic quotation system have decreased the dispersion of MWRs. Finally, MWRs tend to decrease for contracts with longer durations, reflecting pricing for higher longevity and reinvestment risks. These results are consistent with separate research on the annuity rate, and indicate the need to ensure competition and market transparency, as well as to develop appropriate financial instruments for providers in order to ensure good outcomes for annuitants.
Empirical analyses of annuities markets have been limited to a few developed countries and restri... more Empirical analyses of annuities markets have been limited to a few developed countries and restricted by data limitations. Chile provides excellent conditions for research on annuities due to the depth of its market and the availability of data. The paper utilizes a panel of life insurance company data to examine econometrically the main determinants of the annuity rate, defined as the internal rate of return on annuities. The results indicate that the annuity rate is determined by the risk-free interest rate, the share of privately-issued higher yield securities in the portfolio of providers, as a proxy for the spread over the risk-free rate, the leverage of providers, the level of broker's commissions, the market share of individual providers, the level of the premium, and the degree of market competition. The results also show that efforts to improve market transparency produced structural shifts in the parameters of the annuity rate equation. The results are consistent with separate research on money's worth ratios, and indicate the need to develop appropriate financial instruments, allowing providers to hedge their risks while extracting higher returns, and also to ensure competition and transparency in annuities markets, in order to ensure good outcomes for annuitants.
Despite the important role that total factor productivity (TFP) has played in the growth literatu... more Despite the important role that total factor productivity (TFP) has played in the growth literature, few attempts have been made to change the methodology to estimate it. This paper proposes a methodology based on a state-space model to estimate TFP and its determinants. With this methodology, it is possible to reduce the measurement of our ignorance. As a by-product, this estimate yields the capital share in output and the long-term growth rate. When applied to Chile, the estimation shows a capital share around 0.5 and long-term growth of TFP around 1%. Capital accumulation tends to explain the growth rate in the fast growth periods under the econometric estimation more than the traditional growth accounting methodology.
The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 2017
The Chilean Electronic Market for Annuities was created in 2004 in order to correct several malfu... more The Chilean Electronic Market for Annuities was created in 2004 in order to correct several malfunctions of the market for annuities. The Chilean Pension System is composed of two phases. On the accumulation phase, savings are collected and managed by asset managers. The payout phase consists in pension payments mainly in the form of annuities and programmed withdrawals. The market for annuities is the interface between these two phases and therefore, any excessive transaction costs in this market will have direct implication in the final pension.
Empirical analyses of annuities markets have been limited to a few developed countries and restri... more Empirical analyses of annuities markets have been limited to a few developed countries and restricted by data limitations. Chile provides excellent conditions for research on annuities due to the depth of its market and the availability of data. The paper utilizes an extensive dataset on individual annuities to examine econometrically a measure of market performance-money's worth ratios (MWRs), or the ratio of the expected present value of annuity payments to the premium. The results show that annuitants in Chile have generally got a good deal for their premiums, as indicated by MWRs higher than one and also higher than those estimated for other countries. The difference between Chile and other countries is striking considering that annuities in Chile are indexed to prices. The wide range of indexed instruments in Chile, allowing providers to hedge their risks while extracting higher returns, helps explain the difference. The high degree of market competition has also contributed to this outcome. Efforts to improve market transparency through a new electronic quotation system have decreased the dispersion of MWRs. Finally, MWRs tend to decrease for contracts with longer durations, reflecting pricing for higher longevity and reinvestment risks. These results are consistent with separate research on the annuity rate, and indicate the need to ensure competition and market transparency, as well as to develop appropriate financial instruments for providers in order to ensure good outcomes for annuitants.
Empirical analyses of annuities markets have been limited to a few developed countries and restri... more Empirical analyses of annuities markets have been limited to a few developed countries and restricted by data limitations. Chile provides excellent conditions for research on annuities due to the depth of its market and the availability of data. The paper utilizes a panel of life insurance company data to examine econometrically the main determinants of the annuity rate, defined as the internal rate of return on annuities. The results indicate that the annuity rate is determined by the risk-free interest rate, the share of privately-issued higher yield securities in the portfolio of providers, as a proxy for the spread over the risk-free rate, the leverage of providers, the level of broker's commissions, the market share of individual providers, the level of the premium, and the degree of market competition. The results also show that efforts to improve market transparency produced structural shifts in the parameters of the annuity rate equation. The results are consistent with separate research on money's worth ratios, and indicate the need to develop appropriate financial instruments, allowing providers to hedge their risks while extracting higher returns, and also to ensure competition and transparency in annuities markets, in order to ensure good outcomes for annuitants.
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