Elnur İsmayıl
Elnur Ismayıl is a research fellow of Foreign Policy and Security issues. His teaching and research interests cover foreign policy and security issues in the post-Soviet countries, energy security, ethnic conflicts and EU’s Neighborhood policy. He has numerous published articles and analyses on Russian foreign policy, security problems in the post-Soviet countries and energy security issues in the Caspian Sea basin. In addition to his native Azeri, Mr.Ismayil speaks English, German, Russian and Turkish languages.
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Books by Elnur İsmayıl
between the British Empire and Azerbaijan (Safavid Empire) date back to
the sixteenth century. Later, at the end of the nineteenth century, the British
Empire became interested in the region because of Azerbaijan’s oil industry.
At the beginning of the twentieth century, two-thirds of the foreign capital
invested in the Baku oil industry was owned by British companies. During
World War I, Britain and the Entente forces attempted to prevent the Baku
oil from falling into the hands of their rival forces, particularly the Ottoman
and German Empires.
could cooperate or pursue different strategies over regional issues in the last
three decades. The success and failure of the cooperation in the mentioned
region mostly rely on the bilateral relations of those actors. The region, which
is in Russia’s sphere of interest, could lead the Kremlin to regain its Great
Power status. Energy security and pipeline politics were at the center of geopolitical rivalry in the region, where the interests of the powers were focused
on a zero-sum game with the importance of ensuring pipeline routes along
with a carefully constructed geostrategic map.
Papers by Elnur İsmayıl
independence after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Moldova's location on the border with Ukraine and
its strategic importance for Romania, as well as the Kremlin's long-term support for the Communist and
Socialist parties against the pro-EU coalition in power, have increased Russian-Western rivalry over the
country. In fact, during the crisis that started with Russia's invasion of Crimea in March 2014 and after
its military intervention in Ukraine in February 2022, the possibility of the Transnistrian issue turning
into a conflict between the parties again emerged, raising the question of whether Transnistria would be
the next target of the Kremlin's expansionist policy. In the post-Cold War era, Moldova again faces the
geopolitical question of “Quo vadis?” This article explains the current state of the separatist problem in
Moldova's Transnistria and Gagauzia regions, assesses the possibility of Russia's invasion of Transnistria
following its occupation of Crimea and intervention in Ukraine, and how Chisinau's efforts to integrate
into Euro-Atlantic institutions will affect its relations with Russia.
between the British Empire and Azerbaijan (Safavid Empire) date back to
the sixteenth century. Later, at the end of the nineteenth century, the British
Empire became interested in the region because of Azerbaijan’s oil industry.
At the beginning of the twentieth century, two-thirds of the foreign capital
invested in the Baku oil industry was owned by British companies. During
World War I, Britain and the Entente forces attempted to prevent the Baku
oil from falling into the hands of their rival forces, particularly the Ottoman
and German Empires.
could cooperate or pursue different strategies over regional issues in the last
three decades. The success and failure of the cooperation in the mentioned
region mostly rely on the bilateral relations of those actors. The region, which
is in Russia’s sphere of interest, could lead the Kremlin to regain its Great
Power status. Energy security and pipeline politics were at the center of geopolitical rivalry in the region, where the interests of the powers were focused
on a zero-sum game with the importance of ensuring pipeline routes along
with a carefully constructed geostrategic map.
independence after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Moldova's location on the border with Ukraine and
its strategic importance for Romania, as well as the Kremlin's long-term support for the Communist and
Socialist parties against the pro-EU coalition in power, have increased Russian-Western rivalry over the
country. In fact, during the crisis that started with Russia's invasion of Crimea in March 2014 and after
its military intervention in Ukraine in February 2022, the possibility of the Transnistrian issue turning
into a conflict between the parties again emerged, raising the question of whether Transnistria would be
the next target of the Kremlin's expansionist policy. In the post-Cold War era, Moldova again faces the
geopolitical question of “Quo vadis?” This article explains the current state of the separatist problem in
Moldova's Transnistria and Gagauzia regions, assesses the possibility of Russia's invasion of Transnistria
following its occupation of Crimea and intervention in Ukraine, and how Chisinau's efforts to integrate
into Euro-Atlantic institutions will affect its relations with Russia.
Rusya’nın son yıllardaki tatbikatları, Sovyetler Birliği dönemindeki Varşova Paktı üyesi ittifak devletleriyle gerçekleştirdiği tatbikatları aratmamaktadır. Tarihsel olarak bakıldığında Soğuk Savaş sonrasında uzun bir dönem devam ettirilemeyen bu tatbikat Zapad-2009’la yeniden hayat kazanmıştır. Rus-Gürcü savaşı ve Kırım işgali sonrasında ise, Rusya’nın gövde gösterileri yeni bir savaş hazırlığı olarak değerlendirilmektedir.