Vučković I., et al., Relative Age Effect and Selection of Young... PHYSICAL CULTURE 2013; 67 (2): 113-119
Igor Vučković
Aleksandar Kukrić
Borko Petrović
Radenko Dobraš
796.323.2.015.83
Original scientific paper
University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Physical Education and Sport, BIH
RELATIVE AGE EFFECT AND SELECTION
OF YOUNG BASKETBALL PLAYERS
Summary
Purpose of the present study was to examine whether influence of relative age effect (RAE) exists or not in the selected 13 year old
basketball players. Subjects were 20 basketball players (HT=177.35cm±6.73, BW=61.42kg±8.98, average age 13 years and 7 months
±.28, average experience in basketball training 4 years and 6 months ±1.15). Sample was divided in two groups: 11 players born in first
half of the year and 9 players born in the second half of the year. One-way ANOVA was used in order to analyze the differences between
the two groups of players in set of anthropometric variables (body height, arm span, standing reach height, body weight and percentage
of body fat), motor variables (velocity of neuromuscular reaction time, vertical jump, 5 meters sprint, 10 meters sprint, 20 meters sprint,
T-test, Zig-zag test, ball throw from sitting position, Sit-ups for 30 seconds and standing forward bend) and one functional variable (20-M
shuttle run test). Subjects do not differ in applied set of parameters, except in on variable (sit-ups for 30 seconds, p=.040). It was concluded
that RAE does not exist in this sample of examinees.
Key words: BASKETBALL COACHES / PUBERTY / PHYSICAL CHARACTERISTICS
INTRODUCTION
Puberty is the period of growth where human’s body size rapidly develops. During the first
and second year of puberty, annual growth is 8-12
cm (Marković, & Bradić, 2009). This period is called
adolescent growth spurt. The beginning of the adolescent growth spurt and year of the most significant annual growth are indicators of child maturity.
Children who enter puberty earlier than average age
are called accelerants. On the other side, there are
children who enter puberty later than average age.
This is particularly important information because
accelerants, at that moment have significantly betterdeveloped motor and functional abilities than their
peers hence have potential advantage in selection
process. In that way, that children sometimes can be
privileged in basketball, compare to children who
mature lately. Although these advantages disappear
with maturation to adulthood, it can result in a loss of
certain number of talented basketball players.
In last thirty odd years, children begin with
basketball earlier than their fathers and mothers did.
The same situation goes for many other modern era
athletes – Wayne Gretzky, one of the best hockey
players of all time, first time used skates aged three
(Morrison, 2011). Early introduction to basketball
training creates conditions of early adoption of basketball skills such are shooting, passing, ball control,
movement without ball etc. However, early introduc-
Corespondence to: Igor Vučković, University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Physical Education and Sport, Bulevar
vojvode Petra Bojovića 1, 78000 Banja Luka, Republic of Srpska, BIH. E-mail: ackojoki@teol.net
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Vučković I., et al., Relative Age Effect and Selection of Young... PHYSICAL CULTURE 2013; 67 (2): 113-119
tion to basketball training makes children born within
first six months of calendar year privileged (Addona,
& Yates, 2010)! Following two examples support that
notion. Example 1: there is a running competition in
sport school of five years old boys. One was born in
January, and other one in December of the same year.
Five years old boy born in January is almost 20%
older than boy born in December. Older boy was
a little bit faster. Does this mean that he will be always faster than his peer? Example 2: In “basketball
shool”, eight and nine year old boys train together.
In play one on one, boy born in January dominates
his 23 months younger opponent. Does this mean
that currently better player will be better for 10 or
15 years, when they will become “real” basketball
players? Some coaches (not just basketball ones)
will give advantage in selection to currently better
players, ignoring just described phenomenon. The
phenomenon that we talk about is called the Relative age effect (RAE). RAE was discovered when
Barnsley, Thompson and Bamsley (1985) were analysing data from Canadian-American professional
hockey league (NHL) – season 1982/1983. During
that season, almost double numbers of players were
born within first quarter of the year (32% from January to March), than in last quarter (16.2% from October to december). RAE was more drastic in younger
hockey leagues in Canada, where ratio of players
who were born in the first quarter was three times
greater than in the last quarter of the year. There are
numerous evidences of the existence of RAE phenomenon (Malina, Bouchard, & Bar-Or, 2004). In an
extensive study, Torres-Unda et al., (2013) analysed
Relative age effect. They studied association of anthropometric and physiological characteristics with
maturity of young basketball players (aged 13 and
14) and their basketball successfulness. Anthropometric parameters were: length measures, body mass
and skinfolds. Stamina, 20m dash, jump and dribbling speed tests were utilized to assess physiological
parameters. Analysis of the anthropometric characteristics showed that better basketball players were
taller, heavier and more muscular. Physiological tests
confirmed higher quality of better basketball players
in jumping, stamina, agility (especially with the ball)
and speed tests. These skills correlated with average
points scored in the competitive season. Most of the
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selected (better) basketball players were born in the
first half of the year. It means that coaches mainly
chose more mature players. Findings of study conducted by Delorm, Chalabaev and Raspaud (2011)
confirmed that RAE should be taken into account
when considering children who leave basketball and
who were born in the second half of the year. Addona
and Yates (2010) claim that globally nothing is done
to prevent RAE. Meanwhile, experienced basketball
coaches for years are warning younger colleagues to
avoid the trap of promoting biologically older children. This was subject of debates in many seminars.
Coaches mutually exchange experiences and it could
be said that significant attention is given to RAE as
a potential threat. Many coaches know the proverb:
„If you want good basketball player, look for tall parents, ex players if possible”. If a child is the tallest
player in a selection, it is unlikely that coach will ignore that, even if he was born in the second half of
the year. Certainly, there are coaches who will, for
selfish interest and short-term success (champions
of the state in the youngest category for example),
push children who are physically dominant at that
moment.
Purpose of this study was to examine whether
influence of the effect of relative age (ERA) exists
or not in the selected 13 year old basketball players. Considering earlier studies on RAE, it could be
presumed that older group of basketball players will
achieve better results in all tested variables. Obtained
results helped coaches to get to know about ERA issue and in very convincing and exact way to prove
thesis that in selection process of young basketball
players, those who are „late” in biological maturation
should not be rejected.
METHOD
Subjects
Subjects were 20 basketball players born in
the same year (average age 13 years and 7 months
±.28, average experience in basketball training 4
years and 6 months ±1.15). All subjects are members of two best teams in “pioneer” category (Basketball club “Šampion-Alfom” and Basketball club
Vučković I., et al., Relative Age Effect and Selection of Young... PHYSICAL CULTURE 2013; 67 (2): 113-119
“Basket 2000”) in region (“Areal basketball board
Banjaluka”) with population of 500.000 inhabitants.
Coaches of these two teams suggested their 10 best
players each. Last year and a half they train one hour
four times a week on average. Apart from training
sessions, they play around twenty games in season.
Eleven boys were born in the first half of the year
(group 1), and nine boys were born in the second half
of the year (group 2). Boys gave their consent for
measuring and testing procedures.
tor tests and test of aerobic endurance were finished.
Statistical computations were done by statistical
software SPSS 11 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was utilized to confirm
normal distribution. Descriptive statistics were done
after that. At the end, One-way ANOVA was used in
order to establish the differences between the groups.
RESULTS
Variables
From anthropometric domain, 5 measures
were taken: body height, arm span, standing reach
height, body weight and percentage of body fat. Motor abilities were tested by: velocity of neuromuscular
reaction time, vertical jump, 5 meters sprint, 10 meters sprint, 20 meters sprint, T-test, Zig-zag test, ball
throw from sitting position, Sit-ups for 30 seconds
and standing forward bend. Stamina was assessed by
20-M shuttle run test. Relative oxygen consumption
was calculated by indirect method.
All measurements and tests were recommended by Reiman and Manske (2009), and body height
was measured by body height measuring apparatus
(SECA 210), arm span and standing reach height
(centimetre tape on wall), body weight and percentage of body fat (TANITA BC 418A), velocity of
neuromuscular reaction time, vertical jump, 5 meters
sprint, 10 meters sprint, 20 meters sprint, T-test, Zigzag test (Physical Ability Test PAT 02, Uno Lux), ball
throw from sitting position (centimetre tape), Sit-ups
for 30 seconds (electronic stopwatch) and standing
forward bend (Swedish bench with attached ruler).
Procedure
Measurements and testing were performed
during two mornings. First day subjects had body
height, arm span, standing reach height, body weight
and percentage of body fat measured and one-half of
motor tests. On the second day, the rest of the mo-
Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test confirmed
that all variables had normal distribution. In Table 1,
there are presented means, standard deviation and established significant difference between the groups.
Based on mean values (Mean) it is noticeable
that older group of basketball players (group 1) made
better results in most of measured and tested variables (Table 1). Group 2 had better results in tests for
assessment of the velocity of neuromuscular reaction
time and 5 meters sprint. They had lower percentage of body fat, as well. Analysis of variance showed
that there are no statistically significant differences
between basketball players born in the first half of
the year and basketball players born in the second
half of the year in all variables, except sit-ups for 30
seconds (p<.05).
For comparison reasons, interesting are mean
values of 13-year-old boys from six European countries (“Physical development and physical abilities
of primary school children”, 2009). These are presented in table 2, and it is clear that children from
Serbia are taller and heavier than children from other
five European countries, but their abdominal repetitive strength is among poorer results. On the other
hand, basketball players who participated in the present study are taller, heavier and have better repetitive
strength of abdominal muscles than their European
peers from six countries. It was expected, considering that tested subjects are actively engaged in basketball.
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Vučković I., et al., Relative Age Effect and Selection of Young... PHYSICAL CULTURE 2013; 67 (2): 113-119
Table 1. Descriptive statistics and differences between the groups
Variable
Group
Mean
SD
Min.
Max.
F
Sig.
Body height (cm)
1
2
177.55
177.10
6.31
7.59
169.20
166.40
189.50
187.00
.021
.888
Arm span (cm)
1
2
182.18
179.78
7.11
7.07
172.00
170.00
194.00
189.00
.569
.460
Standing each height (cm)
1
2
231.36
230.67
8.21
9.22
219.00
217.00
244.00
242.00
.032
.860
Velocity of neuromusc. reaction time (s)
1
2
.51
.50
9.23E-02
5.36E-02
.29
.43
.64
.59
.103
.751
Vertical jump (cm)
1
2
38.17
36.59
5.33
4.87
32.00
29.00
49.00
45.00
.472
.501
Sprint 5 meters (s)
1
2
1.81
1.79
8.66E-02
6.65E-02
1.69
1.67
2.00
1.90
.482
.496
Sprint 10 meters (s)
1
2
2.65
2.67
.11
8.12E-02
2.50
2.53
2.94
2.79
.132
.721
Sprint 20 meters (s)
1
2
4.09
4.16
.18
.13
3.83
3.91
4.54
4.33
1.128
.302
T-test (s)
1
2
11.64
11.81
.64
.85
10.43
10.37
13.04
13.32
.269
.611
Zig-zag test (s)
1
2
7.43
7.63
.36
.53
6.93
6.94
8.00
8.72
.966
.339
Ball throw from sitting position (m)
1
2
8.09
7.73
1.30
.68
6.20
6.90
11.10
8.90
.569
.460
Sit-ups for 30 seconds (number of repetitions)
1
2
29.27
25.56
4.27
2.92
23.00
21.00
35.00
30.00
4.917
.040*
Standing forward bend (cm)
1
2
12.45
14.56
7.81
6.77
1.00
1.00
23.00
22.00
.403
.534
20-M shuttle run test (ml·min ˉ¹·kgˉ¹)
1
2
43.20
42.30
6.21
4.01
35.12
35.48
52.93
47.71
.140
.712
Body mass (kg)
1
2
64.18
58.04
10.10
6.40
51.10
45.50
84.20
64.90
2.491
.132
Percentage of body fat (%)
1
2
16.73
14.81
2.30
2.68
13.50
11.40
20.40
18.90
2.957
.103
Table 2. Some physical characteristics and abilities of primary school children from different countries
Serbia
Belgium
Spain
Slovakia
Lithuania
Estonia
166.07
159.50
159.20
163.10
163.20
160.30
Body mass (kg)
56.80
48.60
51.60
50.50
49.40
48.10
Sit-ups 30 sec.
23.77
24.10
22.80
25.80
25.70
24.50
Body heigth (cm)
According to Karalejić and Jakovljević (2009)
best 13-year-old basketball players from Serbia made
following results in tests of motor abilities: Vertical
jump – 40.60cm, Sprint 20 meters – 3.60s, T-test –
11.03s and Zig-zag test – 7.10s. Results of 13-yearold boys from Serbia are better than in basketball
players from present study. However, in a later study,
116
conducted on sample of best 13-year-old basketball
players from Serbia, results are somewhat different: average body height was 171.06 cm, body mass
56.91 kg, and average time in test Sprint 20m – 3.79s
(Jakovljević, Pajić, Gardašević, & Višnjić, 2011).
Vučković I., et al., Relative Age Effect and Selection of Young... PHYSICAL CULTURE 2013; 67 (2): 113-119
DISCUSSION
Present study examined whether influence of
relative age effect (RAE) exists or not in the selected
13 year old basketball players. Results indicate that
there are no statistically significant differences between basketball players born in the first half of the
year and basketball players born in the second half
of the year in most of variables (exception is variable Sit-ups for 30 sec.; p<.05). Therefore, it could be
stated that there is no influence of RAE on basketball
players’ selection from the present study. It might be
that similar quality of players from these two teams
(best in region) was significant advantage compare
to other teams. It is known fact that important role
in modern basketball means every position in team
should be covered with quality players. It is a wish
of every basketball coach to have 3 to 4 good players
for each position.
Statisticians are mostly dealing with the phenomenon of RAE. From large databases, they check
distribution of players’ birthdays and relate that with
their successfulness – engagement in a league of
certain quality. In Côté, Macdonald, Baker and Abernethy (2006), Delorme and Raspaud (2009) studies significant influence of RAE on NBA basketball
players selection and professional French players
could not be found. In season 2012/2013 of basketball Euroleague (http://www.euroleague.net/competition/players), existence of RAE is evident: analysis
of players shorter than 200 cm, it could be said that
more players were born in the first half of the year
-113, than in the second half of the year - 69. As for
players taller than 200 cm, the difference is smaller:
94 players were born in the first half of the year, and
79 in the second half of the year. Hence, RAE is more
frequent in shorter players. To the authors’ knowledge, articles studying connections between athletes’
physical qualities and RAE are very rare. Considering subjects’ body height, results of this study are not
consistent to those of Delorm and Raspaud (2009). In
their study, on the population of young French players, pubertal boys born in the first half of the year
are significantly taller than their peers born 79 in the
second half of the year. Body height is the most important factor of selection in this age (Karalejić, &
Jakovljević, 2001). It seems that children coaches
from our study are better informed about RAE than
French colleagues are. Comparing our results with
those from Torres-Unda et al. (2013), it could be said
there are certain differences. While present study did
not show statistically significant differences in most
of measures and abilities, analysis of Spanish authors
showed that elite selected basketball players, aged 13
and 14, better in all measured and tested dimensions
than their non-elite peers where. Young elite basketball players where taller, heavier, more muscular,
faster on 20 meters, better in jumping, endurance and
agility. Most of elite players were born in the first
half of the year. Thus, presence of RAE among their
subjects is evident. The differences in relation to our
study probably come from the fact that our subjects
are part of two best teams, and their subjects are part
of two different quality ranks: elite and non-elite.
It is interesting to compare RAE analysis in
sports where body height is not that important like it
is in basketball. Results from authors who examined
relation of RAE and anthropometric, motor and physiological indicators on population of young football
players are in line with existence of differences between pubertal boys born in the first and second half
of the year. In S. Gil, Ruiz, A. Irazusta, J. Gil, and J.
Irazusta (2007) study, most of the selected 14-yearold boys were born in the first half of the year. Moreover, older 14-year-old boys were taller, faster and
more agile. They had bigger absolute and relative
oxygen consumption. Authors claim that older peers
are more frequent in senior category. Similar results
where obtained on population of young football players (Musch, & Hay, 1999; Helsen, Van Winckel, &
Williams, 2005; Carling, Le Gall, Reilly, & Williams,
2009) and hockey players (Sherar, Baxter-Jones,
Faulkner, & Russell, 2007; Bruner, Macdonald,
Pickett, & Côté, 2011). Cobley, Abraham and Baker
(2008) found that for school teams (football, rugby
and netball) there is a higher percent of children who
were born in the first part of the year.
CONCLUSION
Coaches of teams that participated in the present study did not make discrimination in the selec-
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Vučković I., et al., Relative Age Effect and Selection of Young... PHYSICAL CULTURE 2013; 67 (2): 113-119
tion process during their work in the past. Privileging
of children born in the first half of the year has not
been noted in this study. There was not reason for that
either, because younger players did not significantly
trail older players in measured and tested variables.
It is quite possible that younger group has few accelerants, which makes these two groups almost equal
in measured characteristics and abilities. Second possibility refers to potential genetic predisposition for
playing basketball in members of the younger group.
With respect to that, small sample of subjects could
be limitation of this study. Obviously, it would be
usefull to apply all these measures and tests on larger
population of young basketball players. Herewith,
reliability of conclusion would be greater. Further-
more, it would be interesting to compare RAE of
young Serbian basketball players with RAE of players from other countries, applying measurements nad
tests from our study. Third recommendation could be
to consider and examine biological age (maturity) of
young basketball players.
The results of this study could have practical
application in training of younger basketball player
categories. Recommendation for coaches is to take
in consideration dangers and traps of RAE. Particular
effort should be invested in motivating young players, who were born in the second half of the year,
not just to stay in basketball, but to train hard and
regularly.
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