2025 Oscar Predictions: Best Actor (Part 2)

My October Predictions:

1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist
2. Timothee Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
3. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
4. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave
5. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice

6. Daniel Craig, Queer
7. John David Washington, The Piano Lesson
8. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain
9. Glen Powell, Hit Man
10. Paul Mescal, Gladiator 2

Mescal’s only here because Joker 2 might have single-handedly destroyed the entire superhero genre and I don’t know who else to put in. It’s still Craig vs Stan for that 5th slot unless A Complete Unknown completely blows. Globe Comedy feels like Eisenberg vs Powell right now.

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Jesus Alonso wrote:

I am inclined to think that, precisely because it’s bombing, AMPAS and Hollywood might want to vindicate The Apprentice. Just a hunch. Maybe just focusing on Strong, who I can see winning – after watching the film – specially if Culkin is moved to Lead, as plenty are saying he should.

Even if he is truly a lead that doesn’t mean he will change categories. Both actor and supporting actor essentially have three spots almost locked and then a broad range of contenders for 4 and 5. Even if Strong is seen by many as having the best performance there is more than that needed to win and with a movie performing weekly after massive coverage the realistic state of the film right now is that it’s going to drop further and further and a globes nom for acting will most likely not even save momentum

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Word on the street is Paul Mescal is the real deal in Gladiator 2 👀

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