Tony Awards predictions: Official winners odds for every category

After an extraordinary season boasting 36 productions of musicals, plays, and revivals, Broadway will toast its nominees and crown new winners at the upcoming 77th annual Tony Awards. If predicting the winners seems overwhelming with so many terrific contenders to choose between – especially one of the most competitive Best Musical races in recent memory – check out our official odds below for all 26 categories with our projected winners highlighted in gold.

These official odds for the Tonys are derived from the predictions from our Experts who write about theatre year-round, our in-house team of Editors, the Top 24 Users who did the best predicting last year’s ceremony, the All-Star Top 24 who have the highest scores when you combine predictions from the last two years, and all our Users who make up the largest and often savviest bloc of predictors.

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The Tonys will air its first round of awards, called “The Tony Awards: Act One,” on Pluto TV on the “ET” channel at 6:30pm ET before the 77th annual Tony Awards commences at 8:00pm ET on CBS and Paramount+. Julianne Hough returns to host “Act One,” this time with co-host Utkarsh Ambudkar; Skylar Astin will host the simulcast of the Tony Awards that be screened in Damrosch Park at Lincoln Center for the Performing Arts; Ariana DeBose also returns to helm the main telecast.

Below, see our 2024 Tony Awards predictions in all 26 categories. Make or edit your own predictions until 6:00pm ET the evening of the ceremony.

WATCH Tony Awards predictions: Best Musical race remains a toss up

MUSICALS

BEST MUSICAL
Suffs — 71/20
Hell’s Kitchen — 18/5
The Outsiders — 4/1
Illinoise — 4/1
Water for Elephants — 9/2

BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
Merrily We Roll Along — 23/10
Cabaret — 31/10
Gutenberg! The Musical! — 17/5
The Who’s Tommy — 69/20

BEST ACTRESS (MUSICAL)
Maleah Joi Moon, “Hell’s Kitchen” — 7/2
Kelli O’Hara, “Days of Wine and Roses” — 37/10
Maryann Plunkett, “The Notebook” — 4/1
Eden Espinosa, “Lempicka” — 9/2
Gayle Rankin, “Cabaret” — 9/2

BEST ACTOR (MUSICAL)
Jonathan Groff, “Merrily We Roll Along” — 16/5
Brian d’Arcy James, “Days of Wine and Roses” — 39/10
Brody Grant, “The Outsiders” — 9/2
Eddie Redmayne, “Cabaret” — 9/2
Dorian Harewood, “The Notebook” — 9/2

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS (MUSICAL)
Lindsay Mendez, “Merrily We Roll Along” — 5/1
Kecia Lewis, “Hell’s Kitchen” — 11/2
Bebe Neuwirth, “Cabaret” — 6/1
Shoshana Bean, “Hell’s Kitchen” — 6/1
Nikki M. James, “Suffs” — 13/2
Leslie Rodriguez Kritzer, “Monty Python’s Spamalot” — 13/2
Amber Iman, “Lempicka” — 7/1

BEST FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL)
Daniel Radcliffe, “Merrily We Roll Along” — 10/3
Steven Skybell, “Cabaret” — 9/2
Brandon Victor Dixon, “Hell’s Kitchen” — 9/2
Sky Lakota-Lynch, “The Outsiders” — 6/1
Joshua Boone, “The Outsiders” — 13/2
Roger Bart, “Back to the Future: The Musical” — 13/2

BEST DIRECTOR (MUSICAL)
Maria Friedman, “Merrily We Roll Along” — 31/10
Michael Greif, “Hell’s Kitchen” — 4/1
Danya Taymor, “The Outsiders” — 9/2
Jessica Stone, “Water for Elephants” — 9/2
Leigh Silverman, “Suffs” — 9/2

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Suffs — 17/5
Stereophonic — 19/5
Here Lies Love — 9/2
The Outsiders — 9/2
Days of Wine and Roses — 9/2

BEST MUSICAL BOOK
Suffs — 16/5
The Outsiders — 4/1
Hell’s Kitchen — 4/1
Water for Elephants — 9/2
The Notebook — 9/2

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
Merrily We Roll Along — 18/5
Illinoise — 18/5
Stereophonic — 4/1
Hell’s Kitchen — 9/2
The Outsiders — 9/2

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Illinoise — 16/5
Hell’s Kitchen — 39/10
The Outsiders — 4/1
Water for Elephants — 9/2
Here Lies Love — 9/2

SCENIC DESIGN (MUSICAL)
Here Lies Love — 5/1
Hell’s Kitchen — 6/1
Back to the Future: The Musical — 6/1
Cabaret — 6/1
The Outsiders — 6/1
Water for Elephants — 13/2
Lempicka — 7/1

COSTUME DESIGN (MUSICAL)
Cabaret — 69/20
Suffs — 37/10
The Great Gatsby — 4/1
Hell’s Kitchen — 9/2
Water for Elephants — 9/2

LIGHTING DESIGN (MUSICAL)
Illinoise — 17/5
Cabaret — 39/10
The Outsiders — 4/1
Hell’s Kitchen — 9/2
Water for Elephants — 9/2

SOUND DESIGN (MUSICAL)
Hell’s Kitchen — 17/5
Here Lies Love — 39/10
Merrily We Roll Along — 4/1
Cabaret — 9/2
The Outsiders — 9/2

WATCH Tony Awards predictions: ‘Stereophonic’ and ‘Appropriate’ lead among plays

PLAYS

BEST PLAY
Stereophonic — 31/10
Mary Jane — 4/1
Prayer for the French Republic — 9/2
Jaja’s African Hair Braiding — 9/2
Mother Play — 9/2

BEST PLAY REVIVAL
Appropriate — 27/20
Purlie Victorious — 43/20
An Enemy of the People — 59/20

BEST ACTRESS (PLAY)
Sarah Paulson, “Appropriate” — 16/5
Jessica Lange, “Mother Play” — 39/10
Rachel McAdams, “Mary Jane” — 4/1
Betsy Aidem, “Prayer for the French Republic” — 9/2
Amy Ryan, “Doubt” — 9/2

BEST ACTOR (PLAY)
Leslie Odom Jr., “Purlie Victorious” — 17/5
Jeremy Strong, “An Enemy of the People” — 37/10
Michael Stuhlbarg, “Patriots” — 9/2
William Jackson Harper, “Uncle Vanya” — 9/2
Liev Schreiber, “Doubt” — 9/2

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS (PLAY)
Kara Young, “Purlie Victorious” — 17/5
Sarah Pidgeon, “Stereophonic” — 18/5
Celia Keenan-Bolger, “Mother Play” — 9/2
Quincy Tyler Bernstine, “Doubt” — 9/2
Juliana Canfield, “Stereophonic” — 9/2

BEST FEATURED ACTOR (PLAY)
Corey Stoll, “Appropriate” — 7/2
Will Brill, “Stereophonic” — 39/10
Eli Gelb, “Stereophonic” — 4/1
Jim Parsons, “Mother Play” — 4/1
Tom Pecinka, “Stereophonic” — 9/2

BEST DIRECTOR (PLAY)
Daniel Aukin, “Stereophonic” — 16/5
Lila Neugebauer, “Appropriate” — 39/10
Kenny Leon, “Purlie Victorious” — 4/1
Whitney White, “Jaja’s African Hair Braiding” — 9/2
Anne Kauffman, “Mary Jane” — 9/2

BEST SCENIC DESIGN (PLAY)
Appropriate — 17/5
Stereophonic — 18/5
An Enemy of the People — 9/2
Purlie Victorious — 9/2
Jaja’s African Hair Braiding — 9/2

BEST COSTUME DESIGN (PLAY)
Jaja’s African Hair Braiding — 82/25
Purlie Victorious — 39/10
Stereophonic — 4/1
Appropriate — 9/2
An Enemy of the People — 9/2

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN (PLAY)
Stereophonic — 69/20
An Enemy of the People — 39/10
Appropriate — 39/10
Grey House — 9/2
Prayer for the French Republic — 9/2

BEST SOUND DESIGN (PLAY)
Stereophonic — 16/5
Jaja’s African Hair Braiding — 4/1
Appropriate — 4/1
Grey House — 9/2
Mary Jane — 9/2

PREDICT the 2024 Tony Awards through June 16

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

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