Boeing 787 Lessons Learnt
Boeing 787 Lessons Learnt
Boeing 787 Lessons Learnt
Presented by
Burkhard DOMKE
Head of Engineering Intelligence Future Projects Office
Acknowledgements
Felix Lutsch, EIXG 787 Overall Aircraft Design, Weight, and Performance Analysis Iain Morgan, EIXV Long Range Sector Manager Peter Brink, EIXDI Detailed Analysis of 787 Structural Design, Manufacturing and Supplier Facilities Matthias Heimerl, YDI Supplier Business Intelligence Louis Nobre and Norio Yamanouchi, Airbus Japan Local Supplier Information Joanne Potter, PAWT1 / TWA Production Status & Ramp-up Issues
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October 2008
Page 2
Overview
Design Issues Weight Issues Engine Issues Certification Issues Production Issues Travelled Work Lay-up Rates Ramp Up Schedule Issues
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October 2008
Page 3
Fuselage Lightning strike protection Body join across window concept Mid body section join assembly
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Aft body join assembly (including pressure bulkhead) Aft body and APU tail cone join MLG doors Pi-Box seat rails Hybrid sine-wave floor beams Single-piece frames
October 2008
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October 2008
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Outboard Wing (Section 12) Issues with wiring definition and design changes due to lightning strike protection Engineering changes were interrupted by the center wing box issue
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In April, Boeing announced a revised wing design incorporating significant weight savings from LN20* onwards A customer presentation indicates a post-EIS increase in MTOW from 219 to 227 tonnes from LN20 onwards. A Boeing source dated August 2008 advertised a revised airframe supporting this weight increase. This includes strengthening of the outboard wing, the center wing box, the wing leading edges, the MLG wheel well, and the center fuselage as well as enhancing manoeuvre load alleviation. Delivery of LN21 in 4Q 2009 leaves a tight schedule to achieve such a redesign and its incorporation into early production.
TI - Boeing 787 Lessons Learnt - EIXDI - Ref. PR0813399 - Issue 2 October 2008 Page 6
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1 2
TI - Boeing 787 Lessons Learnt - EIXDI - Ref. PR0813399 - Issue 2 October 2008 Page 7
3
Body join S41/S43 and S46/S47 Initial concept ran the join right across the window (1) Concept altered after barrel mating demonstration Windows eliminated on LN1 (2)
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No mitigation observed, not even on later models like the 787-10 (3) Affected passengers may not be happy!
1
TI - Boeing 787 Lessons Learnt - EIXDI - Ref. PR0813399 - Issue 2 October 2008 Page 8
Overview
Design Issues Weight Issues Engine Issues Certification Issues Production Issues Travelled Work Lay-up Rates Ramp Up Schedule Issues
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October 2008
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7500
ADS.G
ADS.E
ADS.H
ADS.C
ADS.A
ADS.B
ADS.F
ADS.J
ADS.K
7000
230
ADS.(K++)
ADS.D
6500
6000 220 Dez 02 Mrz 03 Jun 03 Sep 03 Dez 03 Mrz 04 Jun 04 Sep 04 Dez 04 Mrz 05 Jun 05 Sep 05 Dez 05 Mrz 06 Jun 06 Sep 06 Dez 06 Mrz 07 Jun 07 Sep 07 Dez 07 Mrz 08 Jun 08 Sep 08
Program launch
155
150
145 200 Dez 02 Mrz 03 Jun 03 Sep 03 Dez 03 Mrz 04 Jun 04 Sep 04 Dez 04 Mrz 05 Jun 05 Sep 05 Dez 05 Mrz 06 Jun 06 Sep 06 Dez 06 Mrz 07 Jun 07 Sep 07 Dez 07 Mrz 08 Jun 08 Sep 08
Firm Configuration
September 2005 Firm Configuration (3 month delay)
ATO
October 2008
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95.4
94.6
94.4
95.5
92.8
ADS B
ADS C
ADS D
ADS E
ADS F
ADS G
ADS H
ADS J
ADS K
ADS K Ad.
Post EIS
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4 2
1.0
-2.6
-2 -4 ADS A ADS B ADS C ADS D ADS E ADS H ADS J ADS K ADS K Ad. Post EIS
787-8
Design. 7E7-300 7E7 base 7E7-8 Key Date Jan 03 Jul 03 Nov 03 Mrz 04 Jun 04 Nov 04 Mrz 05 Okt 05 Mai 06 Aug 06 Dez 06 Jul 07 Apr 08 Aug 08 Status ADS A ADS B ADS C ADS D ADS E ADS F ADS G ADS H ADS J ADS K ADS K Ad. Post EIS Pax 245 228 223 221 221 251 255 252 252 248 248 248 248 248 Standard 3cl LR 3cl LR 3cl LR 3cl LR 3cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR MTOW 214.6 202.9 205.3 216.6 216.6 215.9 215.9 215.9 217.7 217.7 219.5 219.5 219.5 227.9 MZFW 153.8 147.4 149.7 154.2 154.2 154.2 154.2 154.2 154.2 154.2 156.5 156.5 156.5 161.0 MWE 96.1 89.7 92.8 95.4 95.4 94.6 94.4 95.5 96.5 96.5 98.9 98.9 100.0 101.2 DMWE 0.6 -5.7 -2.6 -0.1 -0.1 -0.9 -1.1 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.4 3.4 4.5 5.7 Range 7490 7500 7650 8420 8420 6884 6723 6547 6680 6750 6590 6490 6370 6890 Comments initial configuration information extensive compsites, more electric (no bleed), sakurai hili, cap.reduced span increase, longer nose/tail, reduced LG-length, growth revised TE, conv. hili multifunct, revised tail, growth tracing skipped span inc., changed nose/tail/HTP/VTP, D3 derated, AI rules changed inc. fuse/cabin length, inc. VTP, revised wing ref area VTP increased, new aft galley arrangement untraceable MWE increase, recovery growth no changes untraceable MWE increase, partial recovery growth no weight changes, untraced performance reduction untraceable MWE increase growth
787-8
787-9
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Design. Key Date 7E7-400 Jan 03 7E7 stretch Jul 03 Nov 03 7E7-9 Mrz 04 Jun 04 Nov 04 Mrz 05 787-9 Okt 05 Mai 06 Aug 06 Dez 06 Jul 07 Apr 08
Status
ADS A ADS B ADS C ADS D ADS E ADS F ADS G ADS H ADS J ADS K ADS K Ad.
Pax 294 277 276 273 273 286 290 286 286 284 284 284 284
Standard 3cl LR 3cl LR 3cl LR 3cl LR 3cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR 2cl LR
MTOW 221.1 219.8 230.0 230.0 230.0 230.7 230.7 244.9 244.9 244.9 244.9 244.9 247.2
MZFW 171.0 163.8 167.8 167.8 167.8 169.6 170.6 174.2 176.9 176.9 179.2 179.2 181.4
MWE 98.5 93.8 98.5 98.5 98.5 98.8 99.3 102.9 103.9 103.9 106.4 106.4 108.4
DMWE -4.4 -9.1 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.1 -3.6 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.5 3.5 5.5
Range 6735 7500 7950 7970 7970 6727 6494 7261 7170 7200 6940 6870 6810
Comments initial configuration information extensive compsites, more electric (no bleed), sakurai hili, cap.reduced span increase, longer nose/tail, reduced LG-length, growth revised TE, conv. hili multifunct, revised tail tracing skipped span increase, changed nose/tail/HTP/VTP, AI rules changed inc. fuse/cabin length, inc. VTP, revised wing ref area span inc., revised MLG, VTP increased, new aft galley arrangement, growth untraceable MWE increase no changes untraceable MWE increase no weight changes despite span increase!, untraced performance reduction traced ADS K span increase MWE impact, growth
October 2008
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4,300
3,250 2,900
2,100
1,900
1,850
1,800
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October 2008
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1690 lbs
3921 lbs
October 2008
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Overview
Design Issues Weight Issues Engine Issues Certification Issues Production Issues Travelled Work Lay-up Rates Ramp Up Schedule Issues
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October 2008
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Engine Issues
General Electric GEnx Achieved certification of GEnx-1B in March 2008 Rumoured to have missed SFC target by 2-3% Supplemental type certificate expected in March/April 2009, coinciding with estimate by FAA source that certification flight testing may start as late as March/April and another rumour that initial flight testing might switch to GEnx engines
Rolls-Royce Trent 1000 Achieved certification in August 2007 Rumoured to have missed book SFC by 3-4%
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Rumoured to need a revised LPT with broader chord blades, which would entail a redesign of the turbine casing. As the casing is a long lead item, the revised engine might not be available in time for certification flight testing
Quick engine change Original concept advertised an engine could be swapped in 1 hour. While this is technically feasible, the requirement remains a question. Boeing now estimates the time for an engine swap to be 3.75 days, with the ultimate objective being 6 hours for a quick engine change (QEC)
TI - Boeing 787 Lessons Learnt - EIXDI - Ref. PR0813399 - Issue 2 October 2008 Page 16
Composite Fuselage In-flight Fire/Flammability Resistance (NM373 25360SC) Lithium-Ion battery Installation (NM375 25359SC) Operation Without Normal Electrical Power (NM378 No. 250711SC) Seats With Non-traditional, Large, Non-Metallic Panels (NM384 25370SC)
Other FAA reported concerns: Compressed schedule and phased approach Heat dissipation through composite skins
October 2008
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Overview
Design Issues Weight Issues Engine Issues Certification Issues Production Issues Travelled Work Lay-up Rates Ramp Up Schedule Issues
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October 2008
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October 2008
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Fastener shortages, primarily affecting but not limited to Mitsubishi. Root causes are Late change to sleeved fastener design for lightning strike protection Alcoa unable to meet demand in time Unbalance in fastener inventory across supply chain To tackle the parts shortages Boeing has now taken a consolidated approach to inventory management across the supply chain.
October 2008
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October 2008
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35 part numbers still missing by July 2008 LN1 primary structure still not complete by end of August 2008 after 15 months in FAL Completion now planned for October 6th
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* Corroborating source believed to be Vought internal (Design News, 1st March 2008)
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Ship 2 went to Seattle 2 months late from last schedule change Several 1000 parts short and no insulation, wrong hardware, no system components, full of FOD and unworked discrepancies generated by Vought Stringer wrinkles and delamination going undetected by Vought quality No inventory control oversight and accountability Inability to attract competent technicians to the facility Novice student inspectors, no competent management organization in-house Ships 3, 4, 5, and 6 all have more defects than the fatigue model
October 2008
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October 2008
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LN5 was to enter FAL 31st August 2008 DELAYED Center fuselage was undergoing assembly and systems integration at Global Aeronautica. Completion of the wiring approximately 30-40% with major structures fairly complete. Center fuselage systems installation targeted to be 75% complete on delivery Aft body section S47/S48 in the final systems installation at Vought. Due to arrive with 96% of systems installed. Wing ship set delivered on 23rd August with high level of completion but still some wiring outstanding. Alenia horizontal stabilizer and the first Spirit GEnx-compatible pylons delivered
TI - Boeing 787 Lessons Learnt - EIXDI - Ref. PR0813399 - Issue 2 October 2008 Page 25
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The following chart has been reproduced from a video of a Boeing lecture held by Al Miller, Boeing Director ,787 Technology Integration, at the University of Washington in November 2007
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The Boeing chart is indexed to the 1980 technology level in material lay-down rates. It can be established that a rate of 0.5 lbs per hour was achieved by manual lay-down at that timeframe. Matching the result with the Spirit figures as above seems to indicate that the current production rate is less than a third of the targeted initial rate and almost one order of magnitude below the forecast for recurring production. This will have a significant impact on tooling and facility investment in order to support the targeted ramp-up in production figures
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Demonstrated
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500
200
Had a lofty goal of 100 lbs/hr Wont achieve that with LN1
100
(lbs/hour)
50 40 30 20 10 5
Demonstrated
19 lbs/hr
Multi-head 30 lbs/hr
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8-9 lbs/hr
October 2008
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Despite this and the additional delays incurred since April 2008, launch customer ANA announced in September 2008 that they agreed with Boeing that first delivery is to happen in August 2009.
October 2008
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2007 1,6
8 8
2008 2,9
35 43
2009 5,8
69 112
2010 7,0
84 196
2011 7,0
84 280
2012 7,0
84 364
2013
2014
2015
2016
Implicit Monthly Production Rate at 12 months Explicit BCA Communication Implicit Aggregate Output Implicit Monthly Production Rate at 12 months Explicit BCA Communication Implicit Aggregate Output Implicit Monthly Production Rate at 12 months Explicit BCA Communication Implicit Aggregate Output Implicit Monthly Production Rate at 12 months Explicit BCA Communication Implicit Aggregate Deliveries
Oct 05
1,6
8 8
2,9
35 43
5,8
69 112
7,3
87 199
10,1
121 320
10,3
124 444
1,6
8 8
2,9
35 43
5,9
71 114
10,2
122 236
10,3
124 360
10,3
124 484
10,3
124 732
10,3
124 856
10,3
124 980
0 0
0 0
2,1 25 25 2 24 24
1,8 21 21
5,8 69 94 3 36 60
3,3 40 61
9 108 408
10,7 128 459
10 120 528
10,9 131 590 11,4 137 727
Assumed Monthly Production Rate at 12 months Implicit Annual Production Implicit Aggregate Production Implicit Monthly Production Rate at 12 months 787 Production Rates Implicit Aggregate Production Output Implicit Monthly Delivery Rate at 12 months Annual Deliveries to Airlines Implicit Aggregate Deliveries Implicit Monthly Production Rate at 12 months Annual Production Rate Annual Production Rate
3Q/08
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2Q/08
0,0 0
Jul 08
2,0 23 23 2,1 25 25
2,9 35 58 5,4 65 90
Supplier A, B figures believed to be close to actual Boeing production plan EIXDI estimate matching 777 ramp-up profile with further rate increase required to support current sales activities for 2020 slots Key supplier has committed to a peak rate of 7 per month, but negotiations for a higher rate have failed.
October 2008
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Alenia, Hawker de Havilland Investing in second autoclave and further equipment to support production ramp-up.
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Spirit, Vought, Global Aeronautica No investment in facilities or equipment, preparing for more gradual ramp-up Spirit unilaterally shut down the production of CFRP fuselage barrels in January 2008. Production was slated to restart in 3Q 2008
October 2008
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October 2008
Page 33
Overview
Design Issues Weight Issues Engine Issues Certification Issues Production Issues Travelled Work Lay-up Rates Ramp Up Schedule Issues
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October 2008
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October 2008
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October 2008
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Overview
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October 2008
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Backup
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41 46 48 47
Wing-to-Body Fairing (Boeing-Winnipeg)
44
43
Forward Fuselage (KHI) Center Wing Box (FHI) Main Landing Gear Wheel Well (KHI) Leading Edge (Spirit) Wing Box (MHI)
45 11
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October 2008
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October 2008
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ADS.K Ad.
SPP Range
8000
7500
ADS.B
ADS.C
ADS.A
ADS.E
ADS.F
ADS.G
ADS.J
280 275
ADS.H
7000
ADS.D
ADS.K
6500
6000 270 Dez 02 Mrz 03 Jun 03 Sep 03 Dez 03 Mrz 04 Jun 04 Sep 04 Dez 04 Mrz 05 Jun 05 Sep 05 Dez 05 Mrz 06 Jun 06 Sep 06 Dez 06 Mrz 07 Jun 07 Sep 07 Dez 07 Mrz 08 Jun 08 Sep 08
Program launch
180
MZFW
175
170
165 220 160 215 Dez 02 Mrz 03 Jun 03 Sep 03 Dez 03 Mrz 04 Jun 04 Sep 04 Dez 04 Mrz 05 Jun 05 Sep 05 Dez 05 Mrz 06 Jun 06 Sep 06 Dez 06 Mrz 07 Jun 07 Sep 07 Dez 07 Mrz 08 Jun 08 Sep 08
ATO
MTOW
October 2008
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103.9
103.9
98.5 ADS B
98.5 ADS C
98.8 ADS D
99.3
ADS E
ADS F
ADS G
ADS H
ADS J
ADS K
ADS K Ad.
5.5 3.5
ADS K Ad.
-4.4
-6
-4.4
-4.4
-4.1
-3.6
October 2008
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