A Bengoa 2011
A Bengoa 2011
A Bengoa 2011
ABENGOA
Fiscal Year 2011 Earnings Presentation
Forward-looking Statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information relating to Abengoa that are based on the beliefs of its management as well as assumptions made and information currently available to Abengoa. Such statements reflect the current views of Abengoa with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Many factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Abengoa to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including, among others: changes in general economic, political, governmental and business conditions globally and in the countries in which Abengoa does business; changes in interest rates; changes in inflation rates; changes in prices; decreases in government expenditure budgets and reductions in government subsidies; changes to national and international laws and policies that support renewable energy sources; inability to improve competitiveness of our renewable energy services and products; decline in public acceptance of renewable energy sources; legal challenges to regulations, subsidies and incentives that support renewable energy sources and industrial waste recycling; extensive governmental regulation in a number of different jurisdictions, including stringent environmental regulation; our substantial capital expenditure and research and development requirements; management of exposure to credit, interest rate, exchange rate and commodity price risks; the termination or revocation of our operations conducted pursuant to concessions; reliance on third-party contractors and suppliers; acquisitions or investments in joint ventures with third parties; unexpected adjustments and cancellations of our backlog of unfilled orders; inability to obtain new sites and expand existing ones; failure to maintain safe work environments; effects of catastrophes, natural disasters, adverse weather conditions, unexpected geological or other physical conditions, or criminal or terrorist acts at one or more of our plants; insufficient insurance coverage and increases in insurance cost; loss of senior management and key personnel; unauthorized use of our intellectual property and claims of infringement by us of others intellectual property; our substantial indebtedness; our ability to generate cash to service our indebtedness changes in business strategy and various other factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described herein as anticipated, believed, estimated, expected or targeted. Abengoa does not intend, and does not assume any obligations, to update these forward-looking statements.
Agenda
Conclusions
Appendix
Agenda
Conclusions
Appendix
Growth
Deleverage
Diversification
5
Revenues
EBITDA
7,089 M
46% (4,860 M FY 2010)
1,103 M
36% (812 M FY 2010)
Net Income
257 M
24% (207 M FY 2010 figure)
2.1x
from 3.8x at FY 2010
Note: Figures exclude contribution from Telvent for all periods presented *Subject to shareholders approval
Crystallizing Value Reducing company leverage securing returns and growth options
Investment of 300 M in new Class B shares FR stable presence within our Board of Directors through nominee of a member, Mr. C. Santiago
First Reserve
2
Reduction of corporate net debt of 725 M and increasing overall liquidity by 391 M Great returns generation for Abengoa: 27% IRR
Telvent Sale
2
CEMIG Agreement
2
Sale of five power transmission lines to CEMIG, in line with asset rotation strategy Cash proceeds at corporate level of 479 M
7
Projects promoted by
External
EPC Margin Positive working capital O&M Margin Equity contribution (< EPC margin) Asset rotation option
Projects promoted by
Internal
1,587
708
102 606
870
915
1,041 817
717
2.4x
1.6x
1.2x
0.2x
2008
2009
2010
2011
2008
2009
2010
2011
Capex - Internal
5,043
3,286 2,619
2008
2009
2010
2011
2008
2009
2010
2011
1% 6% 11%
15%
Revenues FY 2001
1% 2% 6% 9%
21% 19%
Geographies
Spain Rest of Latin America Asia & Oceania Africa
18% 64%
10
of revenues coming from external activities, and 55% from external with equity activities
Note: Figures exclude contribution from Telvent for all periods presented
11
45% 55%
FY 2010
FY 2011
Note: Figures exclude contribution from Telvent for all periods presented *In addition, E&C had revenues from internal projects of 354 M for FY 2011 which get eliminated in consolidation
12
Bookings (M)
By Type
External
44%
Latam
4,343 3,631
41% 19%
Europe Africa
24%
USA
By Sector
Solar 22% 39% 3% 9% Environment T&D Conventional Power 14% Industrial Plants Others
By Size
< 100 M
36% 39%
2010
2011
13%
25%
13
FY2011 E&C Bookings 2011 Landmark Projects awarded through highly competitive bids
Country
Project
CSP South Africa ALUR bioethanol plant Morelos combined cycle plant Zapotillo water project
Activity
Amount
Detail
100 MW trough 50 MW tower
725 M
120 M$
70 ML capacity
440 M$
640 MW
566 M$
108 M
64 MW 14
Pipeline 72,537
By Geography
Asia
6% 17% 30%
By Type
2% 21%
Latam Europe
Bids Presented
20% 27%
Africa USA
38,378
15,346
53,848
By Sector
T&D 22% 25% Conventional Power Environment 22% Solar Industrial Plants Others
By Size
< 100 M
20%
100-500 M
52% 28%
1% 14% 16%
> 500 M
2011
Denied Awarded
2012
New projects identified Pending to be awarded Under study
Proposal and sales team 2011: 414 people (2012e: 502 people) 60% expected to convert to advanced opportunities Average win rate: 10-15%
15
Concession-type Infrastructures Excellent year for all our plants and transmission assets
Revenues of FY 2011, an increase of 39% due mainly to new solar thermal assets in operation
EBITDA achieved in FY 2011, with overall margins of 70% for the segment of solar power produced and 99.5% of availability on our power transmission assets
Total investment during FY 11: 1,411 M in Solar, 851 M in Transmission, 69 M in Water and 200 M in Cogeneration and Others project finance facilities raised, signed and fully secured to back up our announced capex plan, obtained through a balanced mix of sources new assets commenced operation during the year
16
Concession-type Infrastructures Strong results driven by increased capacity and strong operational performance
EBITDA (M) 299
14 39 93 2 4 6
Revenues (M)
10 427 308
3
208
10
43 4
26
FY 2010 2%
FY 2011
Cogeneration Water
151 193
Solar Transmission
FY 2010
Organic Growth
Solnovas
SPP-1
Helioenergy 1
ATN
ATEs
FY 2011
17
Location SPP1 Helioenergy 1-2 Solacor 1-2 Solaben 2-3 Helios 1-2 Solana Mojave Solaben 1-6 Tlemcen-Honaine Tenes Qingdao Cogen. Pemex ATN Manaus Norte Brasil Linha Verde ATS ATE VIII Algeria Spain Spain Spain Spain USA USA Spain Algeria Algeria China Mexico Peru Brazil Brazil Brazil Peru Brazil
Capacity 150 MW 50 MW x2 50 MW x2 50 MW x2 50 MW x2 280 MW 280 MW 50 MW x2 200 ML/day 200 ML/day 100 ML/day 300 MWe 572 km 586 km 2,375 km 987 km 872 km 108 km
Fully Funded?
34 42 39 41 41 65 55 41 11 17 10 60 10 38 66 13 30 2
Total
615
Note: Blue colour indicates change from previously reported date of entry in operation
18
Concessional Asset Portfolio Significant capacity increase when completing capex plan
Concession-type infrastructures
Solar (MW) 1,653 250 910 493 493 Dec 2011 E2013/14 Dec 2011 3,903 E2013/14 Transmission (km) 8,831
4,928 3,903
Cogeneration (MW)
Dec 2011
Dec 2011
E2013/14
In operation
Under development
19
Excluding retroactivity
of revenues for the period, a 41% increase Y-o-Y, due to higher commodity prices and increase in volumes sold increase due to capacity expansion, with average plant utilization of 93% throughout the year EBITDA achieved in FY 2011, a year affected by challenging volatility in crush spread margins and returns below historical average
Recycling:
revenues achieved in FY 2011, a good period in both volumes and margins, with 12% growth Y-o-Y EBITDA achieved in FY 2011, maintaining margins at 19% despite volatility in zinc prices of residues treated in FY 2011
21
2,553
562
19%
19%
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2010
FY 2011
22
Technology Update - Solar Introducing breakthrough innovations to continue leading the CSP future
16 Patents Applications
2007: PS10
2010-11: Eureka
2012: PS50
23
Enzymatic Hydrolisis
2009
1 40 30 0.23
2011
0.8 70 20 0.24
2013
0.6 80 10 0.25
3.29
0.97 70%
0.30 70%
14 Patents Applications
24
Agenda
Conclusions
Appendix
25
Revenues
EBITDA
Net Income
7,089 M
46% (4,860 M FY 2010) Bookings
1,103 M
36% (812 M FY 2010) Backlog
257 M
24% ( 75% excl. non recurring items) Pipeline
4,343 M
3,631 M FY 2010 Tot. Net Debt to Tot. EBITDA
7,535 M
6,253 M FY 2010 Corp. Net Debt to Corp. EBITDA
73 B
Providing great visibility for E&C division
5.0x
from 5.5x at FY 2010
2.1x
from 3.8x at FY 2010
1,412 M
including divestments and before interest and taxes payment
26
FY 2010
FY 2011
E&C
46%
48%
44%
50%
6%
Recurrent Activities
6%
4,860 M
*Figures exclude contribution from Telvent for all periods presented
7,089 M
27
87 56 142 286
69% 44% 6%
1,103 36%
FY 2010
FY 2011
32% 42%
33%
40%
26%
Recurrent Activities
27%
812 M
*Figures exclude contribution from Telvent for all periods presented
1,103 M
28
7,535* 3,832
2,624 1,078
Concession-type
35,570
34,257
463 16,800
(1)
850
Industrial Production
* Excluding Telvent
(1) Illustrative
29
By Type*
External
20%
USA Europe
74%
7,535 6,253
22% 25%
RoW
By Sector
Solar 12% 2% 9% 48% 10% 19% T&D Environment Conventional Power Industrial Plants Others
By Size
< 100 M
22%
100-500 M
51% 27%
> 500 M
Dec 2010
Dec 2011
Backlog at Dec 11 represents 2.1x 12M of E&C revenues 53% of backlog from emerging markets
*In addition, E&C has 245 M of backlog at Dec.2011 from internal projects whose revenues eliminate in consolidation
30
2,709
94 15 93 232
2,709
736
Recycling
1,676
3,614
3,614
777
1,539 14 45 182 503 2012e 2013e 33
226
777
490
128
128 2014e
128
86 42 2014e
Our 3.6 B capex plan is identified and committed to be executed during the next three years
Capex plan financing and commitments from partners already secured, with nearly 2.3 B of project finance
31
Reinforced Capital Structure Improving capital structure from effective company management and corporate transactions
M Corporate Debt Corporate Cash, Equiv. & STFI Total net corporate debt N/R Debt N/R Cash Equiv. & STFI Total net N/R debt Total Net Debt Pre-operational debt(1) Total consolidated EBITDA LTM Total corporate EBITDA LTM Total Net Debt / Total EBITDA Corporate net debt / Corporate EBITDA
Total Net Debt / Total EBITDA
(excluding debt from pre-operational activities)
Dec 2010
5,043 (2,766) 2,277 4,050 (1,131) 2,919 5,196 2,094 942 606
Dec 2011
4,830 (3,346) 1,484 5,390 (1,406) 3,984 5,468 3,181 1,103 717
5.5 3.8
5.0 2.1
3.3 1.77
2.1 0.14
Net Debt relates to projects under construction which are not yet generating EBITDA Net Debt as defined by bank and bond facilities includes N/R cash and equiv. and STFI. Corp. EBITDA as defined by bank and bond facilities.
32
(919)
5,196
(300)
5,467
EBITDA
NWC
Capital Increase
Capex
Disposals
33
Debt Maturity Profile Sound maturity profile and liquidity position at December 31, 2011
Corporate Debt (M)
3,346 Average cost corp. debt: 7.9%
Committed Capex needs Convertible Bonds Corporate Debt Syndicated Loans No refinancing needs at corporate level through July 2013 Proactive management of maturities: extension process for syndicated loans currently underway Strong liquidity level:
1,529
807
556 166 Liquidity 2012e
1,781
224
1,282 275 2013e
1,613
250
498
42 200 256
2014e
407
407
2015e
1,363
Subsequent
1,406 407
Liquidity 2012e
3,911 481
2013e
347
2014e
244
2015e Subsequent
34
Agenda
Conclusions
Appendix
35
H1 2011 Guidance
Q3 2011 Update
FY 2011 Actual
Revenues
5,975 960
6,850 1,050
7,089 1,103
EBITDA
36
Revenues M
EBITDA
Corp. EBITDA
2012e Guidance
7,550 - 7,750
8%
1,275 - 1,325
18%
780 800
10%
Corporate Leverage
Targets
~3x
>15%
37
Conclusions
Growth
Deleverage
Diversification
38
Agenda
Conclusions
Appendix
39
Results by Activity
M 2011
Engineering and Construction E&C Total 3,526 3,526 2,302 2,302 53% 53% 438 438 259 259 69% 69% 12.4% 12.4% 11.3% 11.3%
Concession-type Infrastructure
Solar Water Transmission Cogen. & other Total 131 21 238 37 427 59 15 203 31 308 122% 38% 17% 19% 39% 93 10 193 3 299 43 10 151 4 208 116% 0% 28% -25% 44% 71.0% 47.6% 81.1% 8.1% 69.9% 72.9% 65.7% 74.4% 12.9% 67.4%
Industrial Production
Bioenergy Recycling Other Total 2,225 630 281 3,136 1,575 562 113 2,250 41% 12% 149% 39% 152 121 93 366 212 108 25 345 -28% 12% 272% 6% 6.8% 19.2% 33.1% 11.7% 13.5% 19.2% 22.1% 15.3%
Total
7,089
4,860
46%
1,103
812
36%
15.6%
16.7%
40
(M)
Operating (Gross)
Net Assets(1)
ABG Equity
Partners
Trasmission CSP
Cogeneration
212 83 0 39
8,892 3,101
3,183
6,284
6,073
2,165
3,574
334
2,531
We invest in Concession-type Infrastructure projects where we have a technological edge, targeting a shareholders equity IRR of 10% - 15% (excluding upsides from EPC margin, O&M and asset rotation)
(1) Net assets calculated as gross assets less accumulated D&A
41
M Consolidated after-tax profit Non-monetary adjustments to profit Variation in working capital & Discont. activities Cash generated by operations Net interest paid / Tax paid & Discont. activities A. Net Cash Flows from Operating Activities Capex Other investments/ Disposals B. Net Cash Flows from Investing Activities C. Net Cash Flows from Financing Activities Net Increase/Decrease of Cash and Equivalents Cash and equivalent at the beginning of the year Exchange rate differences & Discont. activities Cash and equivalent at the end of the year
Dec 2010 215 502 336 1,053 (279) 774 (2,094) 1 (2,093) 2,740 1,421 1,546 (42) 2,925
Dec 2011 182 767 847 1,796 (443) 1,353 (2,913) 755 (2,158) 1,613 808 2,983 (53) 3,738
42
Committed (M) Solar Algeria Helioenergy 1 and 2 Solacor 1 and 2 Solaben 2 and 3 Helios 1 y 2 Solana Mojave Biofuels Hugoton Cogeneration Cogen. Pemex Desalination Tlenclem Tenes Quindgao Transmission ATN Manaus Norte Brasil Linha Verde ATS ATE VIII Recycling Aser Sur
Capacity
Abengoa (%)
Country
Entry in Operation
ABG Corporate
Partners
Debt
150 MW 100 MW 100 MW 100 MW 100 MW 280 MW 280 MW 90 ML 300 MW 200,000 200,000 m3/day 100,000 m3/day 572 Km 586 km 2,375 km 987 km 872 km 108 km 110,000 tn m3/day
51% 50% 74% 70% 100% 100% 100% 100% 60% 51% 51% 92% 100% 51% 51% 51% 100% 100% 100%
Algeria Spain Spain Spain Spain US US US Mexico Algeria Algeria China Per Brasil Brasil Brasil Peru Brazil Europe
Q2 11 Q3 11 / Q1 12 Q1 12/ Q2 12 Q3 12 / Q4 12 Q3 12 / Q4 12 Q3 13 Q2 14 Q3 13 Q3 12 Q4 11 Q1 13 Q3 12 Q4 11 Q3 12 Q1 13 Q3 12 Q3 13 Q4 12 Q3 13
5,081 293 561 574 580 555 1,369 1,149 419 419 460 460 511 209 167 135 2,471 254 675 876 238 402 26 60 60
2,170 7 71 137 115 773 1,067 265 265 93 93 108 19 74 15 918 15 592 70 219 22 60 60
22 4 4 14
1,614
57 57 10 10 11 3 8 189 5 161 23
Total Committed
* Amounts based on the companys best estimate as of December 30, 2011. Actual investments or timing thereof may change.
9,002
3,614
1,073
289
2,252
43
1,539 7 71 137 115 513 696 232 232 93 93 94 19 60 15 736 15 465 57 177 22 15 15
22 4 4 14
1,149
503
124
379
128
42
86
260 243 33 33
73 51 23 23
187 192 10 10
128
42
86
34 34 10 10 9 3 6 151 5 127 19
14 14 182
1 1 54
2 2 38
11 11 90
127 13 42 45 45
36 5 13 45 45
34 4
57 4 29
2,709
807
226
1,676
777
224
63
490
128
42
86
* Amounts based on the companys best estimate as of December 30, 2011. Actual investments or timing thereof may change.
44
Capex Plan Capex Plan financing fully secured through a balanced mix of sources
Projects Solar
Helioenergy 1 Helioenergy 2 Solacor 1 y 2 Solaben 2 y 3 Helios 1 y 2 Solana Mojave Commercial Banks Commercial Banks Commercial Banks Commercial Banks Commercial Banks + Instituto de Crdito Oficial European Investment Bank - KFW Entwiklungsbank Federal Financial Bank Federal Financial Bank Federal Financial Bank Commercial Banks + Banobras State Banks Pool State Banks Pool State Banks Pool BNDES - Fondo de Desemvolvimiento da Amazonia BNDES BNDES BNDES Commercial Banks May 2010 August 2010 December 2010 June 2011 December 2010 September 2011 September 2011 June 2010 May 2007 November 2008 July 2009 Q2 y Q3 2011 November 2010 December 2010 Q3 2011 20 Years 20 Years 20 Years 20 Years 20 Years 30 Years 25 Years 13 Years 20 Years 17 Years 17 Years 18 Years Until 20 Years Until 16 Years Until 20 Years Until 14 Years 30 years 158 M 158 M 178 M Solacor 1 176 M Solacor 2 169 M Solaben 2 171M Solaben 3 144 M Helios I 145 M Helios II 1,450 M$ 1,200 M$ 134 M$ 460 M$ 233 M$ 185 M$ 880 MRMB 800 MBRL 295 MBRL 300 MBRL Pending 344 M$
Financial Institution
Biofuels
Hugoton
Cogeneration
Cogeneracin Pemex
Desalation
Tlenclem Tenes Quingdao
Transmissions*
Manaus Norte Brasil Linha Verde ATE VIII ATS
*Facility size refers to bridge loan amount Lote I pending amount assignation from BNDES
45
Ranking
Maturity
Spread / Coupon
Strike
Swap/Cap Swap/Cap
Syndicated Loan 2005 Syndicated Loan 2006 Syndicated Loan 2007 Forward Start Facility Tranche A Forward Start Facility Tranche B Efecto coste amortizado Total Syndicated Facilities Loan with Official Credit Institute Loan with the European Investment Bank Total Forward Start Facilities
Senior Unsecured Senior Unsecured Senior Unsecured Senior Unsecured Senior Unsecured
Euribor + 67.5 bps Euribor + 67.5 bps Euribor + 67.5 bps Euribor + 275-300 bps Euribor + 275-300 bps
167 100 224 993 65 289 -1 1,838 150 109 259 307 163 128 437 1,035 3,132
Inabensa Financing Contract Guarantee (total 376 M) Senior Unsecured Abener Financing Contract Guarantee (total 300 M) Senior Unsecured
Revolving credit facilities Abengoa SA (around 24 different contracts total 136 M)
Senior Unsecured
all-in 285 bps all-in 285 bps Euribor + 125-430 2011-2012 bps various various
Senior Unsecured Notes Senior Unsecured Notes Senior Unsecured Notes Total Senior Notes
Senior Convertible Notes
2014 Senior Unsecured Convertible Notes 2017 Senior Unsecured Convertible Notes Total Senior Convertible Notes
Adj. to accounting value (derivative converts.+market value)
01/07/14 01/02/17
Total Senior Notes Total Corporate Recourse Debt Avg. Cost: 7.9%
1,657 4,789
46
2012 Guidance
M
E&C Evolution
E&C Concession-Type Infrastructures Industrial Production 3,085
2009 2010 2011 2012e
4,100
4,860 3,444
1,542 2,250 308
219 2009
308 2010
427 2011
465
3,526
4,100
2012e
2009
2010
2011
2012e
3,085
2009
2010
2011
2012e
47
Hydro 1% Biomass Others 1% 2% Wind 5% Solar CSP 1% Solar PV 7% Energy costs 49%
Losses Capacity Payments 12% 12% 1% 5% 5% Risk Premium Adjustment Services Peak Services CESUR Auction
65%
Distribution 15%
Costs
Source: Protermosolar
Accumulated system costs since 2004: 148,360 M Abengoas retribution since 2004: 161 M (0.11%)
48
Special Regime Costs CSP costs represent 2.1% of special regime accumulated costs
6,855 6,214
842 1,076
6,451
937 879 1,177 1,404
3,338
482
1,608
1,731
1,701
1,073
249 284 528 12
2005
2,665
2,490
,2.387
8,987
210
2007
174
2010
426
2011
Solar CSP
Solar PV
Wind
CHP
Source: CNE
49
ABENGOA
Thank you