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Introduction: As the largest developing country, China has some of the worst air quality in
the world. Heavy smog in January 2013 led to unprecedented public concern about the
health impact of exposure to particulate matter. Conducting health impact assessments of
particulate matter has thus become an urgent task for public health practitioners.
Combined estimates of the health effects of exposure to particulate matter from
quantitative reviews could provide vital information for epidemiology-based health impact
assessments, but estimates for the Chinese population are limited.
Results: In terms of short-term effects, the combined excess risks of total non-accidental
mortality, mortality due to cardiovascular disease, and mortality due to respiratory disease
were 0.36% (95% con-fidence interval [95%CI]: 0.26%, 0.46%), 0.36% (95%CI: 0.24%,
0.49%), and 0.42% (95%CI: 0.28%, 0.55%), for each 10 g/m3 increase in PM10. A 10
g/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with a 0.40% (95%CI: 0.22%, 0.59%) increase in
total non-accidental mortality, a 0.63% (95%CI: 0.35%, 0.91%) increase in mortality due to
cardiovascular disease, and a 0.75% (95%CI: 01.39%, 1.11%) increase in mortality due to
respiratory disease. For constituent-specific mortality, increases of 0.403.11% were
associated with an increase of 10 ng/m3 for nickel in PM. The summary estimate ranges of
hospital utilization were 0.08% _0.72% and 0.58% _1.32% for a 10 g/m3 increase in
PM10 and PM2.5. In terms of long-term effects, a 10 g/m3 increase of PM10 corresponded
to 2367% increase in the risk of mortality.
Conclusion: Short exposures to PM10 and PM2.5 are associated with increases in mortality,
but evidence of constituent-associated health effects, long-term effects and morbidity in