Joe Ross - Spreads - A Whole New Way To Trade PDF
Joe Ross - Spreads - A Whole New Way To Trade PDF
Joe Ross - Spreads - A Whole New Way To Trade PDF
What Is a Spread?
Spread trading in futures is as old as the hills, yet it is an entirely new concept for
most current traders in futures. In this introductory piece, we will show you that
spreads can be the most conservative, safest way to trade in the futures markets.
But first, what exactly is a spread?
A spread is defined as the sale of one or more futures contracts and the purchase
of one or more offsetting futures contracts. You can turn that around to state that a
spread is the purchase of one or more futures contracts and the sale of one or
more offsetting futures contracts. A spread is also created when a trader owns (is
long) the physical vehicle and offsets by selling (going short) futures.
Furthermore, a spread is defined as the purchase and sale of one or more offsetting
futures contracts normally recognized as a spread by the fact that the two sides of
the spread are actually related in some way. This explicitly excludes those exotic
spreads put forth by some vendors, which are nothing more than computer
generated coincidences which are not in any way related. Such exotic spreads as
Long Bond futures and Short Bean Oil futures may show up as reliable computer
generated spreads, but bean oil and bonds are not really related. Such spreads fall
into the same category as believing the annual performance of the U.S. stock market
is somehow related to the outcome of the Super Bowl sporting event.
In any case, for tactical reasons in carrying out a particular strategy, you want to
end up with:
1. simultaneously long futures of one kind in one month, and short futures of
the same kind in another month. (Intramarket Calendar Spread)
2. simultaneously long futures of one kind, and short futures of another kind.
(Intermarket spread)
3. long futures at one exchange, and short a related futures at another
exchange. (Inter-exchange Spread)
4. long an underlying physical commodity, and short a futures contract.
(Hedge)
5. long an underlying equity position, and short a futures contract. (Hedge)
6. long financial instruments, and short financial futures. (Hedge)
The primary ways in which this can be accomplished are:
Intramarket Spreads
Officially, Intramarket spreads are created only as calendar spreads. You are long
and short futures in the same market, but in different months. An example of an
Intramarket spread is that you are Long July Corn and simultaneously Short
December Corn.
Intermarket Spreads
An Intermarket spread can be accomplished by going long futures in one market,
and short futures of the same month in another market. For example: Short May
Wheat and Long May Soybeans.
Intermarket spreads can become calendar spreads by using long and short futures in
different markets and in different months.
Inter-Exchange Spreads
A less commonly known method of creating spreads is via the use of contracts in
similar markets, but on different exchanges. These spreads can be calendar spreads
using different months, or they can be spreads in which the same month is used.
Although the markets are similar, because the contracts occur on different
exchanges they are able to be spread. An example of an Inter-exchange calendar
spread would be simultaneously Long July Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) Wheat,
and Short an equal amount of May Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBOT) Wheat. An
example of using the same month might be Long December CBOT Wheat and Short
December KCBOT Wheat.
Why Spreads?
The rationale behind spread trading is one of the best-kept secrets of the insiders of
the futures markets. While spreading is commonly done by the market insiders,
much effort is made to conceal this technique and all of its benefits from outsiders,
you and me. After all, why would the insiders want to give away their edge? By
keeping us from knowing about spreading, they retain a distinct advantage.
Spreading is one of the most conservative forms of trading. It is much safer than
the trading of outright (naked) futures contracts. Lets take a quick look at some of
the benefits of using spreads:
1. Intramarket spreads require considerably less margin, typically around 25% 75% of the margin needed for outright futures positions.
2. Intramarket spreads offer a far greater return on investment than is possible
with outright futures positions. Why? Because you are posting less margin
for the same amount of possible return.
3. Spreads, in general, trend more often than outright futures.
4. Spreads are often trending when outright futures are flat.
5. Spreads can be filtered by virtue of seasonality, backwardation, and carrying
charge differentials, in addition to any other filters you might be using in your
trading.
Would you want to have been long soybeans during this same period??
Although you would have made money on the trade, you would have suffered from
serious whipsaw during the entire length of the trade.
At one point, there was a major draw-down on your margin account as prices
plunged below your entry point. Who needs such aggravation? Certainly, we dont
look forward to the kind of trading represented by what would have happened on this
outright soybean trade. Prices were choppy and sloppy throughout the duration.
Perhaps you think you would have gone in and out while prices were chopping
around. However, it is never a good idea to churn your own account. Commissions
and fees would have taken a substantial amount from your available capital.
The spread made 11 points. The outright soybean trade made 12.25 points. But to
get that extra point and one-quarter you had to put up more than three times the
margin, and you had to withstand a huge draw-down.
The following two Intramarket trades in Soybean meal were taken based on
seasonality.
The first of the two was entered not only on the basis of seasonality, but also by
virtue of the formation known as a Ross hook (Rh). The second of the two trades
was entered because of seasonality and the fact that the spread seemed to be
bouncing off an uptrend line.
Rh
The 2nd spread trade, Long July meal and Short December meal
was entered at a spread value of 5. At the time of this writing, we
are still in it at a value of 10.4. Unrealized paper profits are $540.
We didnt have to be in the following spread for very long in order to take some fat
profits out of lean hogs.
We entered this spread long Bellies, and short Lean Hogs at a value
of 17.50. The exit was at 22.52, for a profit of $2,008.
Lastly, we show an inter-exchange spread. This one was made between Kansas City
wheat and Chicago wheat.
We went Long Kansas City wheat and Short Chicago wheat on a seasonally based
trade when prices made a 1-2-3 low and then broke out past the #2 point.
Our entry was at 12.75 (a negative value), and we were looking for the trade to
become positive. It far exceeded our expectations by moving to a spread value of
13. We exited at 8. This spread made us 20.75 points, or $1,037.50. The margin
required to put on this spread was $1,243.00: $743 for the Chicago wheat leg of the
spread, and another $500 for the Kansas City wheat leg of the spread.
8.00
2
1
-12.75
3
Intermarket and Inter-exchange spreads usually, but not always, require the posting
of two margin amounts, since the exchanges do not offer the lowered margin
requirements that are available for intra-market spreads. Nevertheless, there are
many Intermarket and Inter-exchange spreads that can make you considerable
amounts of money.
On the next page, we show you an Intermarket spread which does carry lowered
exchange markets. It is a spread between the 30-year T-bond and the Ten-year
notes. Some people think that interest rate futures hardly ever trend, and that
spreads between them are usually flat. We are of a different opinion, as you will
soon see.
3-17 1/2
26/32nds
We entered this spread Long Ten-Year notes and Short T-bonds. The spread value
at entry was 26/32nds. Our exit was when the spread value was 3 points + 17-1/2
32nds. Each point in this spread was worth $1,000. 17-1/2 32nds was worth
$546.88. Total for the spread was $2,734.25. Margin was $1,148.
Compare the spread margin of $1,148 with regular T-note margins of $1,890 for an
outright futures position.
What would have happened had you been long outright T-Note futures during that
same time period? Get set for a shock!!
You would have lost a lot of money in outright futures during the same period that
you were making $2,734.25 in the spread.
How can this be? It is because T-bond futures fell much faster than T-note futures.
T-note futures plunged. But the melt down in T-bond futures was much more
severe. You see, it can happen that even while futures are plummeting, it is possible
to make a significant amount of money in a spread, and you can do so without fear
that insiders are going to run the stops. This is why the Chicago Board of Trade is
willing to offer reduced margins for this Intermarket spread.
Compared with the $2,734.25 we made in the spread, you would have lost about 5
1/2 points in an outright T-note futures trade. The loss would have been $5,500.
11/13
12/20
to spread trades. And much, much more. We put you on the path to what we
believe is the safest and most profitable way to trade in the futures markets.
Does the lost art of spread trading sound interesting to you?
Are you itching to see the kind of money you can make trading spreads?
If you think this might be for you, then you can get started right now.
Go immediately to:
www.tradingeducators.com