Q3 2012 OfficeSnapshot
Q3 2012 OfficeSnapshot
Q3 2012 OfficeSnapshot
Vacancy
17%
Net Absorption
204,583 SF
Deliveries
60,053 SF
Asking Rent
$19.71 SF
feet), evidencing the shrinking inventory of Class A larger blocks of office space. However, Lenovo was the breadwinner in terms of large leases, with a 70,000 square foot expansion for
Q3 12 Q3 11
891.2K 9.1% 9.7% 50.26
Economic Indicators
eight and one half year. As expected, this quarters growth has led to a decrease in the vacancy rate for the Triangle office market (all classes) lowering it 0.5 percent to its current rate of 17.0 percent. Despite the positive momentum over the past year, the Triangle office market is still a tenants market. Concessions are not yet drying up although landlords are holding on their rental rates and the amount of tenant improvements they are willing to provide in order to get a deal closed. It has become more common for landlords to maintain their asking rates, but in return for a month or two more in free rent to maintain values. As a result of these practices, the market rental rates have remained relatively flat over the past three months, and we should expect this through mid-2013. Investment sales activity in the region continues to post robust numbers, with nearly $80 million in deals closed in the past three months. In the largest year-to-date office transaction, Americas Real Estate Partners completed the sale of their three-building Class A portfolio to Investcorp in September 2012. Cassidy Turley represented the seller in the 287,000 square
Net Absorption
2,000
Square Feet ('000s)
05
06
08
09 20 10
20 11
07
20
20
20
20
20 12
foot transaction for $48.4 million. Institutional investors continue to be attracted to the Triangles real estate investment opportunities, indicating how strong the areas economy is viewed on a national level.
20
Vacancy Rate
20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Historical Average
Forecast
A fair amount of activity is boiling underneath the surface, awaiting post-election certainty. The fourth quarter should be robust in terms of getting deals finalized, especially in the RTP/I-40 submarket. Renewals will continue to be consummated with little to no downsizing, indicative of the growing role of organic growth in the market. As large blocks of Class A space continue to be more scarce, tenants will turn more frequently to Class B options to fulfill their needs, boosting absorption in that sector. Asking rental rates will stabilize and then begin to increase in 2013.
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aveRage
(claSS a)
Submarket
Cary Chapel Hill Central Durham Downtown Raleigh and Cameron Village Eastern Wake County Northern Durham North Raleigh* Southern Wake County West Raleigh and US 70 / Glenwood I-40 / RTP / South Durham 119 35 53 80 20 30 177 11 150 187 5,706,957 1,521,338 3,046,833 4,522,876 526,964 1,325,593 8,308,103 243,587 8,582,258 12,881,835 206,344 31,226 31,590 11,740 35,950 222,822 190,892 809,792 274,984 321,526 520,136 137,631 506,226 1,401,656 100,681 1,024,791 2,857,431 14.2% 18.1% 10.6% 11.5% 26.1% 38.2% 16.9% 41.3% 11.9% 22.2% (38,493) 6,977 (31,717) (5,331) 17,247 43,860 98,959 12,572 75,399 25,110 (14,748) (1,585) (51,516) (39,850) (31,035) 16,665 144,022 2,008 179,276 268,678 133,000 132,000 18,000 $20.37 $23.00 $21.58 $21.38 $16.65 $20.55 $20.45 $17.17 $21.19 $19.87 $20.66 $24.12 $23.99 $22.60 N/A $21.23 $21.67 $17.79 $21.61 $20.37
TOTal
Office asking rents converted to Full Service *Includes Six Forks Rd, Falls of the Neuse Rd & US 1/Capital Blvd
Ofce Submarkets
Raleigh / Durham
Office Submarkets
Raleigh / Durham
TenanT
Lenovo The county of Durham Unknown Stantec
Sf
70,302 49,692 34,015 27,000
TRanSacTiOn Type
Lease lease Lease Renewal
SuBMaRkeT
RTP/RDU
1
3 11
Raleigh Durham Int. Airport
10
40
12
13
5 6
15 9
440
14
40
Sf
152,366
SelleR/BuyeR
america's Re partners/investcorp
pRice
$27,600,000
SuBMaRkeT
RTp/RDu
7
40
72,082
$14,100,000
RTp/RDu
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Orange County North Durham Central Durham South Durham RTP / I-40 Corridor Cary Southern Wake County Eastern Wake County 9. West Raleigh 10. US 70 / Glenwood Ave. 11. Six Forks Road 12. Falls of Neuse Road 13. US 1 / Capital Blvd 14. Downtown Raleigh 15. Cameron Village
173,305 63,144
$8,000,000 $6,600,000
David finger
Senior Vice President Managing Principal
3110 Edwards Mill Road Suite 210 Raleigh, NC 27612 Tel: 919.789.4255 Fax: 919.789.0268 Email: David.Finger@cassidyturley.com
The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources considered to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. Copyright 2012 Cassidy Turley.
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