World Drug Report 2013
World Drug Report 2013
World Drug Report 2013
2013
UNITED NATIONS
New York, 2013
United Nations, May 2013. All rights reserved worldwide. ISBN: 978-92-1-148273-7 e-ISBN: 978-92-1-056168-6 United Nations publication, Sales No. E.13.XI.6 This publication may be reproduced in whole or in part and in any form for educational or non-profit purposes without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgement of the source is made. UNODC would appreciate receiving a copy of any publication that uses this publication as a source. Suggested citation: UNODC, World Drug Report 2013 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.13.XI.6). No use of this publication may be made for resale or any other commercial purpose whatsoever without prior permission in writing from the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime. Applications for such permission, with a statement of purpose and intent of the reproduction, should be addressed to UNODC, Research and Trend Analysis Branch. DISCLAIMER The content of this publication does not necessarily reflect the views or policies of UNODC or contributory organizations, nor does it imply any endorsement. The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of UNODC concerning the legal status of any country, territory or city or its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Comments on the report are welcome and can be sent to: Division for Policy Analysis and Public Affairs United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime P.O. Box 500 1400 Vienna Austria Tel.: (+43) 1 26060 0 Fax: (+43) 1 26060 5827 E-mail: wdr@unodc.org Website: www.unodc.org
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PREFACE
The findings of the World Drug Report 2013 deliver important lessons for the forthcoming high-level review of the commitments that countries reaffirmed in 2009 on the measures for drug control. These measures are laid out in the Political Declaration and Plan of Action on International Cooperation towards an Integrated and Balanced Strategy to Counter the World Drug Problem. At the global level, there has been an increase in the production and misuse of new psychoactive substances, that is, substances that are not under international control. The manufacture and use of substances that are under international control remain largely stable as compared with 2009, although trends in drug supply and demand have been unequal across regions and countries and across drug types. Member States that are party to the three international drug control Conventions, which were adopted to protect the health and welfare of mankind, remain committed to the drug control system. Evidence shows that while the system may not have eliminated the drug problem, it continues to ensure that it does not escalate to unmanageable proportions. We have to admit that, globally, the demand for drugs has not been substantially reduced and that some challenges exist in the implementation of the drug control system, in the violence generated by trafficking in illicit drugs, in the fast evolving nature of new psychoactive substances, and in those national legislative measures which may result in a violation of human rights. The real issue is not to amend the Conventions, but to implement them according to their underlying spirit. While intensified competition in trafficking in cocaine has led to growing levels of violence in Central America, the problem will not be resolved if drugs are legalized. Organized crime is highly adaptive. It will simply move to other businesses that are equally profitable and violent. Countering the drug problem in full compliance with human rights standards requires an emphasis on the underlying spirit of the existing drug Conventions, which is about health. Advocacy for a stronger health perspective and an interconnected re-balancing of drug control efforts must take place. As experience has shown, neither supply reduction nor demand reduction on their own are able to solve the problem. For this reason, a more balanced approach in dealing with the drug problem is a necessity. This includes more serious efforts on prevention and treatment, not only in terms of political statements, but also in terms of funds dedicated for these purposes. This years World Drug Report shows the extent of the problem associated with new psychoactive substances and the deadly impact they can have on their users. The issue of new psychoactive substances is one that the international
community will review at the high-level session of the Commission on Narcotic Drugs in 2014. As is the case with traditional drugs, international action against these substances must focus on addressing both supply and demand. The paucity of knowledge on the adverse impacts and risks to public health and safety, coupled with the fact that new psychoactive substances are not under international control, underscores the importance of innovative prevention measures and sharing of good practices between countries. The multitude of new psychoactive substances and the speed with which they have emerged in all regions of the world is one of the most notable trends in drug markets over the past five years. While the existing international control system is equipped to deal with the emergence of new substances that pose a threat to public health, it is currently required to provide a response commensurate with the unprecedented fast evolving nature of the phenomenon of new psychoactive substances. Some countries have adopted innovative approaches to curb the rise of these substances, but the global nature of the problem requires a response based on international cooperation and universal coverage. Such a response should make use of all the relevant provisions of the existing international drug Conventions. In addition, in strengthening the international control system, a systematic evaluation of the appropriateness of some of the innovative approaches at the national level should be encouraged. The detection and identification of emerging substances is a fundamental step in assessing the potential health risks of new psychoactive substances and, as such, scientific, epidemiological, forensic and toxicological information on these substances needs to be collected, updated and disseminated. As requested by the Commission on Narcotic Drugs in its resolution 56/4 on enhancing international cooperation in the identification and reporting of new psychoactive substances, the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) is ready to assist the international community by building a global early warning mechanism that will provide Governments with the necessary information on new psychoactive substances, particularly scientific data that are essential in the development and implementation of evidence-based responses.
WORLD DRUG REPORT 2013
As we approach 2014 and the withdrawal of international forces from Afghanistan, that country requires concerted efforts on the part of the international community. The United Nations, and particularly UNODC, will need to provide far greater assistance to bring counter-narcotic programmes into the mainstream of social and economic development strategies so as to successfully curb the current cultivation and production of opium and the worrying
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PREFACE
high use of opiates among the Afghan population. UNODC is working to achieve this through its country programme, one of its largest in the world, as well as its integrated regional programme for Afghanistan and neighbouring countries. The trends in new emerging routes for trafficking of drugs and in the production of illicit substances indicate that the continent of Africa is increasingly becoming vulnerable to the drug trade and organized crime, although data from the African region is scarce. While this may further fuel political and economic instability in many countries in the region, it can also lead to an increase in the local availability and consumption of illicit substances. This, therefore, requires the international community to invest in evidenceinformed interventions for the prevention of drug use, the treatment of drug dependence, the successful interdiction of illicit substances and the suppression of organized crime. The international community also needs to make the necessary resources available to monitor the drug situation in Africa. Regarding people who inject drugs and who live with HIV, the World Drug Report 2013 shows that there have been some improvements. Those countries which implemented a comprehensive set of HIV interventions were able to achieve a reduction in high-risk behaviours and in the transmission of HIV and other blood-borne infections. This holds the promise that countries can achieve the targets set out in the 2009 Political Declaration and Plan of Action by implementing and expanding prevention and treatment services for people who inject drugs. However,
there is still an immense task ahead to achieve the commitment made by the General Assembly in the 2011 Political Declaration on HIV and AIDS: Intensifying Our Efforts to Eliminate HIV and AIDS, which sets out the target of reducing new HIV infections by 50 per cent among people who inject drugs. This warrants significant scaling up of evidence-based HIV interventions in countries where the epidemic is driven by injecting drug use. Illicit drugs continue to jeopardize the health and welfare of people throughout the world. They represent a clear threat to the stability and security of entire regions and to economic and social development. In so many ways, illicit drugs, crime and development are bound to each other. Drug dependence is often exacerbated by low social and economic development, and drug trafficking, along with many other forms of transnational organized crime, undermines human development. We must break this destructive cycle in order to protect the right of people to a healthy way of life and to promote sustainable economic growth and greater security and stability. It is, therefore, important that drugs are addressed when developing the post-2015 development agenda.
Yury Fedotov Executive Director United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime
CONTENTS
iii vii ix
Introduction New psychoactive substances: concepts and definitions The recent emergence and spread of new psychoactive substances Conclusions and future course of action
59 60 67 113 i vii
xv xvii
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EXPLANATORY NOTES
The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. A dotted line represents approximately the line of control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. Disputed boundaries (China/India) are represented by cross hatch due to the difficulty of showing sufficient detail. The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Countries and areas are referred to by the names that were in official use at the time the relevant data were collected.
All references to Kosovo in the present publication should be understood to be in compliance with Security Council resolution 1244 (1999). Since there is some scientific and legal ambiguity about the distinctions between drug use, drug misuse and drug abuse, the neutral terms drug use and drug consumption are used in this report. The data on population used in this report are from: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. Available from http://esa.un.org/wpp. References to dollars ($) are to United States dollars, unless otherwise stated. References to tons are to metric tons, unless otherwise stated.
The following abbreviations have been used in this Report: AIDS acquired immunodeficiency syndrome ATS amphetamine-type stimulant BZP N-benzylpiperazine CICAD Inter-American Drug Abuse Control Commission (Organization of American States) mCPP m-chlorophenylpiperazine DEA Drug Enforcement Administration (United States of America) EMCDDA European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction Europol European Police Office GDP gross domestic product ha hectare HIV human immunodeficiency virus INTERPOL International Criminal Police Organization LSD lysergic acid diethylamide MDA methylenedioxyamphetamine MDE methylenedioxyethylamphetamine MDMA methylenedioxymethamphetamine 3,4-MDP-2-P 3,4-methylenedioxyphenyl-2-propanone MDPV methylenedioxypyrovalerone 4-MMC 4-methylmethcathinone NPS new psychoactive substance P-2-P 1-phenyl-2-propanone PMK piperonyl methyl ketone THC tetrahydrocannabinol WHO World Health Organization
WORLD DRUG REPORT 2013
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The World Drug Report presents a comprehensive overview of the latest developments in drug markets. It covers production, trafficking, consumption and related health consequences. Chapter 1 of this years report examines the global situation and the latest trends in the different drug markets and the extent of illicit drug use, as well as the related health impact. Chapter 2 addresses the phenomenon of new psychoactive substances (NPS), which can have deadly consequences for their users but are hard to control, with dynamic, fastmutating producers and product lines which have emerged over the past decade.
for drug dependence: only an estimated one in six problem drug users had received treatment in the preceding year.
to Europe via Brazil, Portugal and lusophone countries in Africa. The cocaine market seems to be expanding towards the emerging economies in Asia.
ficking or use. Significant increases have been noted in Asia, Oceania and Central and South America and the Caribbean. In Central America, intensified competition in trafficking of cocaine has led to growing levels of violence. Cocaine has long been perceived as a drug for the affluent. There is some evidence which, though inconclusive, suggests that this perception may not be entirely groundless, all other factors being equal. Nonetheless, the extent of its use is not always led by the wallet. There are examples of wealthy countries with low prevalence rates, and vice-versa. Arguably, parts of East and South-East Asia run a higher risk of expansion of cocaine use (although from very low levels). Seizures in Hong Kong, China, rose dramatically, to almost 600 kg in 2010, and had exceeded 800 kg by 2011. This can be attributed to several factors, often linked to the glamour associated with its use and the emergence of more affluent sections of society. In the case of Latin America, in contrast, most of the increase appears to be linked to spill-over effects, as cocaine is widely available and relatively cheap owing to the proximity to producing countries. In North America, seizures and prevalence have declined considerably since 2006 (with the exception of a rebound in seizures in 2011). Between 2006 and 2011, cocaine use among the general population in the United States fell by 40 per cent, which is partly linked to less production in Colombia, law enforcement intervention and inter-cartel violence. While, earlier, North America and Central/Western Europe dominated the cocaine market, today they account for approximately one half of users globally, a reflection of the fact that use seems to have stabilized in Europe and declined in North America. In Oceania, on the other hand, cocaine seizures reached new highs in 2010 and 2011 (1.9 and 1.8 tons, respectively, up from 290 kg in 2009). The annual prevalence rate for cocaine use in Australia for the population aged 14 years or older more than doubled from 1.0 per cent in 2004 to 2.1 per cent of the adult population in 2010; that figure is higher than the European average and exceeds the corresponding prevalence rates in the United States.
Cocaine
The global area under coca cultivation amounted to 155,600 ha in 2011, almost unchanged from a year earlier but 14 per cent lower than in 2007 and 30 per cent less than in 2000. Estimates of the amounts of cocaine manufactured, expressed in quantities of 100 per cent pure cocaine, ranged from 776 to 1,051 tons in 2011, largely unchanged from a year earlier. The worlds largest cocaine seizures (not adjusted for purity) continue to be reported from Colombia (200 tons) and the United States (94 tons). However, there has been an indication in recent years that the cocaine market has been shifting to several regions which have not been associated previously with either traf-
Amphetamine-type stimulants
There are signs that the market for amphetamine-type stimulants (ATS) is expanding: seizures and consumption levels are increasing, manufacture seems to be spreading and new markets are developing. The use of ATS, excluding ecstasy, remains widespread globally, and appears to be increasing in most regions. In 2011, an estimated 0.7 per cent of the global population aged 15-64, or 33.8 million people, had used ATS in the preceding year. The prevalence of ecstasy in 2011 (19.4 million, or 0.4 per cent of the population) was lower than in 2009.
Executive summary
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While use is steady in the traditional markets of North America and Oceania, there seems to be an increase in the market in Asias developed economies, notably in East and South-East Asia, and there is also an emerging market in Africa, an assessment that is borne out by increasing diversions of precursors, seizures and methamphetamine manufacture. The estimated annual prevalence of ATS use in the region is higher than the global average. At the global level, seizures have risen to a new high: 123 tons in 2011, a 66 per cent rise compared with 2010 (74 tons) and a doubling since 2005 (60 tons). Mexico clocked the largest amount of methamphetamine seized, more than doubling, from 13 tons to 31 tons, within the space of a year, thus surpassing the United States for the first time. Methamphetamine continues to be the mainstay of the ATS business; it accounted for 71 per cent of global ATS seizures in 2011. Methamphetamine pills remain the predominant ATS in East and South-East Asia where 122.8 million pills were seized in 2011, although this was a 9 per cent decline compared with 2010 (134.4 million pills). Seizures of crystalline methamphetamine, however, increased to 8.8 tons, the highest level during the past five years, indicating that the substance is an imminent threat. Methamphetamine manufacture seems to be spreading as well: new locations were uncovered, inter alia, in Poland and the Russian Federation. There is also an indication of increased manufacturing activity in Central America and an increase in the influence of Mexican drug trafficking organizations in the synthetic drugs market within the region. Figures for amphetamine seizures have also gone up, particularly in the Middle East, where the drug is available largely in pill form, marketed as captagon pills and consisting largely of amphetamine. Europe and the United States reported almost the same number of amphetamine laboratories (58 versus 57) in 2011, with the total number remaining fairly stable compared with 2010. While ecstasy use has been declining globally, it seems to be increasing in Europe. In ascending order, Europe, North America and Oceania remain the three regions with a prevalence of ecstasy use that is above the global average.
The areas of cannabis eradicated increased in the United States, possibly indicating an increase in the area under cultivation. Cultivation also seems to have gone up in the Americas as a whole. In South America, reported cannabis herb seizures rose by 46 per cent in 2011. In Europe, seizures of cannabis herb increased, while seizures of cannabis resin (hashish) went down. This may indicate that domestically produced cannabis continues to replace imported resin, mainly from Morocco. The production of cannabis resin seems to have stabilized and even declined in its main producing countries, i.e. Afghanistan and Morocco. Many countries in Africa reported seizures of cannabis herb, with Nigeria reporting the largest quantities seized in the region. In Europe, cannabis is generally cultivated outdoors in countries with favourable climatic conditions. In countries with less favourable climatic conditions, such as Belgium and the Netherlands, a larger number of indoor plants are found. It is difficult to compile an accurate picture of cultivation and eradication, as this varies widely across countries and climatic zones. Plant density fluctuates wildly, depending on the cultivation method (indoor or outdoor) and environmental factors.
Cannabis
Providing a global picture of levels of cannabis cultivation and production remains a difficult task: although cannabis is produced in practically every country in the world, its cultivation is largely localized and, more often than not, feeds local markets. Cannabis remains the most widely used illicit substance. There was a minor increase in the prevalence of cannabis users (180.6 million or 3.9 per cent of the population aged 15-64) as compared with previous estimates in 2009.
Member States have responded to this challenge using a variety of methods within their legislative frameworks, by attempting to put single substances or their analogues under control. It has generally been observed that, when a NPS is controlled or scheduled, its use declines shortly thereafter, which has a positive impact on health-related consequences and deaths related to the substance, although the substi-
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tution effect has inhibited any in-depth research on the long-term impact of NPS scheduling. There are of course, instances when scheduling or controlling a NPS has had little or no impact. Generally, the following kinds of impacts have been observed after the scheduling of a NPS:
(a) The substance remains on the market, but its use de-
clines immediately. Examples include mephedrone in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, BZP in New Zealand, legal highs in Poland, mephedrone in Australia and MDPV in the United States of America; (b) Use of the substance declines after a longer interval, maybe a year or more (e.g. ketamine in the United States); (c) Scheduling has little or no immediate impact on the use of the substance, e.g. 3,4-methylenedioxy-Nmethylamphetamine (MDMA), commonly known as ecstasy, in the United States and other countries.
What makes NPS especially dangerous and problematic is the general perception surrounding them. They have often been marketed as legal highs, implying that they are safe to consume and use, while the truth may be quite different. In order to mislead the authorities, suppliers have also marketed and advertised their products aggressively and sold them under the names of relatively harmless everyday products such as room fresheners, bath salts, herbal incenses and even plant fertilizers. Countries in nearly all regions have reported the emergence of NPS. The 2008-2012 period in particular saw the emergence of synthetic cannabinoids and synthetic cathinones, while the number of countries reporting new phenethylamines, ketamine and piperazines declined (as compared with the period prior to 2008).
Further, there are cases of NPS disappearing from the market. This has also been the case with the majority of the substances controlled under the 1961 Convention and the 1971 Convention. Of the 234 substances currently under international control, only a few dozen are still being misused, and the bulk of the misuse is concentrated in a dozen such substances. It is obvious that legislations to control NPS are not a one size fits all solution, and there are always exceptions to the rule. However, a holistic approach which involves a number of factors prevention and treatment, legal status, improving precursor controls and cracking down on trafficking rings has to be applied to tackle the situation. There is a lack of long-term data which would provide a much-needed perspective: no sooner is one substance scheduled, than another one replaces it, thus making it difficult to study the long-term impact of a substance on usage and its health effects. The problem of NPS is a hydra-headed one in that manufacturers produce new variants to escape the new legal frameworks that are constantly being developed to control known substances. These substances include synthetic and plant-based psychoactive substances, and have rapidly spread in widely dispersed markets. Until mid-2012, the majority of the identified NPS were synthetic cannabinoids (23 per cent), phenethylamines (23 per cent) and synthetic cathinones (18 per cent), followed by tryptamines (10 per cent), plant-based substances (8 per cent) and piperazines (5 per cent). The single most widespread substances were JWH-018 and JWH-073 among the synthetic cannabinoids; mephedrone, MDPV and methylone among the synthetic cathinones; and m-chlorophenylpiperazine (mCPP), N-benzylpiperazine (BZP) and 1-(3-trifluoromethylphenyl)piperazine (TFMPP) among the piperazines. Plant-based substances included mostly kratom, khat and Salvia divinorum.
Role of technology
The Internet seems to play an important role in the business of NPS: 88 per cent of countries responding to a UNODC survey said that the Internet served as a key source for the supply in their markets. At the same time, a Eurobarometer survey found that just 7 per cent of young consumers of NPS in Europe (age 15-24) used the Internet to actually purchase such substances, indicating that, while the import and wholesale business in such substances may be increasingly conducted via the Internet, the end consumer still retains a preference for more traditional retail and distribution channels.
Executive summary
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which is equivalent to one-fifth of the numbers who have tried cannabis and close to around half of the number who have used drugs other than cannabis. While cannabis use has clearly declined among adolescents and young people in Europe over the past decade, and the use of drugs other than cannabis has remained largely stable, the use of NPS has gone up. Within Europe, Eurobarometer data for 2011 suggest that five countries account for almost three-quarters of all users of NPS: United Kingdom (23 per cent of the European Union total), followed by Poland (17 per cent), France (14 per cent), Germany (12 per cent) and Spain (8 per cent). The United Kingdom is also the country that identified the most NPS in the European Union (30 per cent of the total during the 2005-2010 period). The United States identified the largest number of NPS worldwide: for 2012 as a whole, a total of 158 NPS were identified, i.e. twice as many as in the European Union (73). The most frequently reported substances were synthetic cannabinoids (51 in 2012, up from 2 in 2009) and synthetic cathinones (31 in 2012, up from 4 in 2009). Both have a serious negative impact on health. Excluding cannabis, use of NPS among students is more widespread than the use of any other drug, owing primarily to synthetic cannabinoids as contained in Spice or similar herbal mixtures. Use of NPS among youth in the United States appears to be more than twice as widespread as in the European Union. In Canada, authorities identified 59 NPS over the first two quarters of 2012, i.e. almost as many as in the United States. Most of the substances were synthetic cathinones (18), synthetic cannabinoids (16) and phenethylamines (11). In a national school survey, widespread use was reported among tenth-grade students for Salvia divinorum (lifetime prevalence of 5.8 per cent), jimson weed or Datura (2.6 per cent), a hallucinogenic plant, and ketamine (1.6 per cent). NPS are also making inroads in the countries of Latin America, even though, generally speaking, levels of misuse of such substances in the region are lower than in North America or Europe. Reported substances included ketamine and plant-based substances, notably Salvia divinorum, followed by piperazines, synthetic cathinones, phenethylamines and, to a lesser extent, synthetic cannabinoids. Brazil also reported the emergence of mephedrone and of DMMA (a phenethylamine) in its market; Chile reported the emergence of Salvia divinorum and tryptamine; Costa Rica reported the emergence of BZP and TFMPP, two piperazines. For many years, New Zealand has played a key role in the market for piperazines, notably BZP. A large number of NPS are also found in Australia, similar to the situation in Europe and North America. Overall, 44 NPS were identified during the first two quarters of 2012 in the Oceania region, equivalent to one quarter of all such substances
identified worldwide. Australia identified 33 NPS during the first two quarters of 2012, led by synthetic cathinones (13) and phenethylamines (8). According to the UNODC survey undertaken in 2012, the second-largest number of countries reporting the emergence of NPS was in Asia. The emergence of such substances was reported from a number of countries and areas, mostly in East and South-East Asia (Brunei Darussalam; China; Hong Kong, China; Indonesia; Japan; Philippines; Singapore; Thailand; Viet Nam), as well as in the Middle East (Bahrain, Israel, Jordan, Oman, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates). Hong Kong, China, reported the emergence of a number of synthetic cannabinoids (such as JWH-018) and synthetic cathinones (4-methylethcathinone and butylone). Indonesia informed UNODC of the emergence of BZP. Singapore saw the emergence of a number of synthetic cannabinoids (including JWH-018) and synthetic cathinones (3-fluromethcathinone and 4-methylecathinone). Oman witnessed the emergence of synthetic cannabinoids (JWH018). Japan reported the emergence of phenethylamines, synthetic cathinones, piperazines, ketamine, synthetic cannabinoids and plant-based substances. The two main NPS in Asia in terms of consumption are ketamine and kratom, mostly affecting the countries of East and South-East Asia. Ketamine pills have been sold for several years as a substitute for ecstasy (and sometimes even as ecstasy). In addition, large-scale traditional consumption of khat is present in Western Asia, notably in Yemen. In total, 7 African countries (Angola, Cape Verde, Egypt, Ghana, South Africa, Togo and Zimbabwe) reported the emergence of NPS to UNODC. Egypt reported not only the emergence of plant-based substances (Salvia divinorum) but also the emergence of synthetic cannabinoids, ketamine, piperazines (BZP) and other substances (2-diphenylmethylpiperidine (2-DPMP) and 4-benzylpiperidine). Nonetheless, the overall problems related to the production and consumption of NPS appear to be less pronounced in Africa. There are, however, a number of traditionally used substances (such as khat or ibogaine) that fall under the category of NPS and that, in terms of their spread, may cause serious health problems and other social consequences.
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logue scheduling, generic scheduling, application of the medicines law and other creative approaches, all have their pros and cons. Most have improved the situation and have taught valuable lessons in planning for future control regimes. However, what is missing is coordination at the global level so that drug dealers cannot simply exploit loopholes, both within regions and even within countries. The establishment of a global early warning system is needed to inform Member States of emerging substances and to support them in their response to this complex and changing phenomenon.1 While the international drug control conventions offer the possibility of scheduling new substances, the sheer rapidity of emerging NPS makes this a very challenging undertaking. What is needed is an understanding and sharing of methods and lessons learned in regional responses to the situation involving NPS before exploring the setting up of a global response to the problem.
In its resolution 56/4 of 15 March 2013, the Commission on Narcotic Drugs encouraged the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime to share and exchange ideas, efforts, good practices and experiences in adopting effective responses to address the unique challenges posed by new psychoactive substances, which may include, among other national responses, new laws, regulations and restrictions.
1
2010 2011 Opiates Amphetamines Opioids
Fig. 2.
120 115 110 105 100
Cannabis
Cannabis use has increased globally, particularly in Asia since 2009. Although epidemiological data is not available,
Fig. 1. Trends in drug use, 2006-2011
experts from the region report a perceived increase in use. The regions with a prevalence of cannabis use that is higher than the global average continue to be West and Central Africa (12.4 per cent), Oceania (essentially Australia and New Zealand, 10.9 per cent), North America (10.7 per cent) and Western and Central Europe (7.6 per cent). Cannabis use in North America and in most parts of Western and Central Europe is considered to be stable or declining.
350
300 Number of drug users (millions)
8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0%
Annual prevalence of population age 15-64 (percentage) 6.7% 6.9% 5.0% 5.2%
300
250 250 203
4.6% 4.8%
172
155 38 16 2008
149 39 15 2009
153 39 16 2010
167
4.0%
38 18 2006 2007
39 16 2011 2006
0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Amphetamine-type stimulants
Use of ATS, excluding ecstasy, remains widespread globally, and appears to be increasing. Although prevalence estimates are not available from Asia and Africa, experts from these regions continue to report a perceived increase in the use of ATS. While the use of ATS was already a problem in East and South-East Asia, there are reports of increasing diversion of precursor chemicals, as well as increased seizures and manufacture of methamphetamine, combined with an increase in its use. Current data from the drug use survey in Pakistan, for instance supports this assessment. Use of ATS is emerging in Pakistan, with a reported annual prevalence of 0.1 per cent among the general population.3 High levels of ATS use are reported in Oceania (2.1 per cent in Australia and New Zealand), Central and North America (1.3 per cent each) and Africa (0.9 per cent), while the estimated annual prevalence of ATS use in Asia (0.7 per cent) is comparable with the global average.
Ecstasy
Overall, use of ecstasy (i.e., methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA)) has been declining, although it seems to be increasing in Europe. The three regions with a high prevalence of ecstasy use continue to be Oceania (2.9 per cent), North America (0.9 per cent) and Europe (0.7 per cent). Use continues to be associated with young people and recreational and nightlife settings in urban centres. For example, of the 2 million past-year users of ecstasy in Europe, 1.5 million were between 15 and 34 years of age.4
Opioids
The use of opioids (heroin, opium and prescription opioids) has increased in Asia since 2009, particularly in East, South-East, Central and South-West Asia. While reliable data do not exist for most parts of Africa, experts report an increase in the use of opioids there. North America 3.9 per cent), Oceania (3.0 per cent), the Near and Middle East/South-West Asia (1.9 per cent) and East and SouthEastern Europe (1.2 per cent) show a prevalence of opioid use that is higher than the global average. The use of opiates (heroin and opium) has remained stable in some regions, nevertheless, a high prevalence is reported in the Near and Middle East/South-West Asia (1.2 per cent), primarily in Afghanistan, Iran (Islamic Republic of ) and Pakistan, as well as Central Asia (0.8 per cent), Eastern and South-Eastern Europe (0.8 per cent), North America (0.5 per cent) and West and Central Africa (0.4 per cent).
Cocaine
The two major markets for cocaine, North America and Western and Central Europe, registered a decrease in cocaine use between 2010 and 2011, with annual prevalence among the adult population in Western and Central Europe decreasing from 1.3 per cent in 2010 to 1.2 per cent in 2011, and from 1.6 per cent to 1.5 per cent in North America. While cocaine use in many South American countries has decreased or remained stable, there has been a substantial increase in Brazil that is obvious enough to be reflected in the regional prevalence rate for 2011. Australia has also reported an increase in cocaine use.
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime and Pakistan, Ministry of Narcotics Control, Drug use in Pakistan 2013: technical summary report (March 2013).
Fig. 3.
Annual prevalence of non medical use of tranquillizers and sedatives among the general population in highprevalence countries
12.9 12.6 12.0 11.9 10.4 10.0 9.1 7.8 7.8 6.9 6.7 5.3 5.1 4.3 4.1 3.3 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.9
Estonia Norway Portugal Lithuania Italy Former Yugoslav Rep. of Macedonia Canada Mexico El Salvador Bolivia (Plurinational State of) Hungary Netherlands Turkey Germany Nicaragua Poland United States of America Finland Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Australia
young adults. For instance, in the United States of America, the annual prevalence of non-medical use of cough syrups among students in eighth, tenth and twelfth grades was reported as 2.7 per cent, 5.5 per cent and 5.3 per cent, respectively.12 When cough syrup containing dextromethorphan is taken in quantities higher than the recommended dosages, the dextromethorphan acts as a dissociative hallucinogen, producing effects similar to those created by other hallucinogens such as ketamine and phencyclidine.13
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, data from the annual report questionnaire (2007-2011).
Pacific Islands. In many countries, the most common sources of prescription drugs are friends and relatives who have been prescribed them by a physician.8 The sale of counterfeit prescription drugs through black markets and loosely controlled pharmacies in developing countries is quite common, while unregulated Internet pharmacies are fast becoming a common source.9
A high prevalence rate for injecting drug use is also noted in Central Asia (1.3 per cent), which has a rate of more
12 Lloyd D. Johnston and others, Monitoring the Future: National Results on Adolescent Drug UseOverview of Key Findings, 2011 (Ann Arbor, Michigan, University of Michigan, Institute for Social Research, 2012). 13 World Health Organization, Dextromethorphan: pre-review report. 14 This estimate is based on information provided by 83 countries that together account for 81 per cent of the global population aged 15-64.
Table 1.
Region
Estimated number and prevalence of people who inject drugs among the general population aged 15-64, 2011
Subregion Estimated number Low Best 997,574 3,427,561 2,006,470 1,421,091 5,692,005 699,191 3,786,472 952,948 253,394 3,777,948 2,907,484 870,464 128,005 14,023,092 High 6,608,038 4,019,041 2,101,572 1,917,468 7,031,647 758,421 4,677,484 1,334,013 261,729 4,156,492 2,987,155 1,169,337 158,919 21,974,136 Low 0.05 0.47 0.63 0.31 0.16 1.25 0.19 0.17 0.03 0.64 1.23 0.23 0.49 0.24 Injecting drug users Prevalence (%) Best 0.17 0.55 0.65 0.45 0.20 1.33 0.25 0.36 0.03 0.68 1.26 0.27 0.53 0.31 High 1.12 0.64 0.68 0.61 0.25 1.44 0.30 0.50 0.03 0.75 1.30 0.36 0.66 0.48
AFRICA AMERICA North America Latin America and the Caribbean ASIA Central Asia and Transcaucasia East and South-East Asia Near and Middle East/ South-West Asia South Asia EUROPE Eastern/South-Eastern Europe Western/Central Europe OCEANIA GLOBAL
304,925 2,908,787 1,935,144 973,643 4,328,212 659,582 2,959,863 462,269 246,498 3,553,859 2,821,599 732,260 118,628 11,214,411
Sources: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, data from the annual report questionnaire; progress reports of the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) on the global AIDS response (various years); the Reference Group to the United Nations on HIV and Injecting Drug Use; estimates based on United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime data; and national Government reports.
Fig. 4.
Changes in the prevalence of people who inject drugs use among the adult population aged 15-64, 2008-2011
Increase in prevalence 10.0 Belarus Moldova (Republic of) Afghanistan Pakistan Viet Nam Chile 100.0
Fig. 5.
Changes in the number of people who inject drugs among the adult population aged 15-64, 2008-2011
Increase in number 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 Russian Pakistan Federation Viet Nam Belarus Moldova (Republic of) Argentina Afghanistan Kazakhstan Nepal
Portugal Italy Australia Kenya Georgia Indonesia South Africa Thailand Spain
Source: UNODC and Reference Group to the United Nations on HIV and Injecting Drug Use.
Note: A ratio of 1.0 indicates no change in the estimates. Chart shows countries where the prevalence of injecting drug use has at least either doubled (ratio is 2.0 or greater) or halved (ratio is 0.5 or less). Changes in prevalence may reflect improved reporting on prevalence estimates, as well as changes in injecting behaviour.
Ukraine Malaysia Spain Georgia Australia Kenya Thailand Indonesia Italy South Africa Brazil United States
Source: UNODC and Reference Group to the United Nations on HIV and Injecting Drug Use.
Note: Changes may reflect improved reporting on prevalence estimates, as well as changes in injecting behaviour.
than four times the global average. Injecting drug use also remains a serious public health concern in a number of countries in East and South-East Asia, with the region accounting for 27 per cent of the global total. South Asia has the lowest level of injecting drug use (0.03 per cent, mostly as a result of the low prevalence rate reported in India), considerably lower than that of any other region. Countries and areas with the highest rates of injecting drug use more than 3.5 times the global average are Azerbaijan (5.2 per cent), Seychelles (2.3 per cent), the Russian Federation (2.3 per cent), Estonia (1.5 per cent), Georgia (1.3 per cent), Canada (1.3 per cent), the Republic of Moldova (1.2 per cent), Puerto Rico (1.15 per cent), Latvia (1.15 per cent) and Belarus (1.11 per cent). China, the Russian Federation and the United States are the countries with the largest numbers of people who inject drugs. Combined, they account for an estimated 46 per cent, or nearly one in two, people who inject drugs globally.
Along with the estimates of the total number of people who inject drugs, the global total and prevalence rates of people who inject drugs living with HIV for 2011 is also lower than the estimated 3 million (18.9 per cent prevalence among people who inject drugs) previously presented by the Reference Group to the United Nations on HIV and Injecting Drug Use for 2008. These reduced estimates are in large part a result of the availability of more reliable information on HIV prevalence among people who inject drugs. The total number of people who inject drugs and are living with HIV in a particular region is a function of three variables: the prevalence of HIV among people who inject drugs; the prevalence of people who inject drugs; and the total population in the region aged 15-64. These variables are depicted in figure 8. There is relatively little regional variation in the prevalence of HIV among people who inject drugs, especially in comparison with the variation observed in the prevalence of people who inject drugs. The one exception is Oceania (based on data from Australia and New Zealand), where the prevalence of HIV among people who inject drugs is noticeably lower than in all other regions. Overall, the Russian Federation, the United States and China account for one half (46 per cent) of the global number of people who inject drugs that are living with HIV (21 per cent, 15 per cent and 10 per cent, respectively).
AFRICA AMERICA North America Latin America and the Caribbean ASIA Central Asia and Transcaucasia East and South-East Asia Near and Middle East/South-West Asia South Asia EUROPE Eastern/South-Eastern Europe Western/Central Europe OCEANIA GLOBAL
36,506 222,053 159,836 62,217 440,559 54,858 256,396 108,539 20,767 466,243 419,715 46,528 1,095 1,166,456
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, data from the annual report questionnaire; progress reports of the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) on the global AIDS response (various years); the Reference Group to the United Nations on HIV and Injecting Drug Use; estimates based on United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime data; and national Government reports. 15 The estimate is based on the reporting of the HIV prevalence rate among people who inject drugs from 106 countries.
Map 1.
Prevalence of people who inject drugs among the general population aged 15-64, 2011 or latest year available
IDU
0.01 - 0.08 0.08 - 0.19 0.19 - 0.37 0.37 - 0.73 0.73 - 5.21 No data provided
Map 2.
Prevalence of HIV among people who inject drugs, 2011 or latest year available
HIV among IDU 0.00 - 1.50 1.50 - 5.92 5.92 - 9.10 9.10 - 15.07 15.07 - 52.42 No data provided
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, data from the annual report questionnaire; progress reports of the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) on the global AIDS response (various years); the Reference Group to the United Nations on HIV and Injecting Drug Use; estimates based on United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime data; and national Government reports.
Note: The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. Dashed lines represent undetermined boundaries. Dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. The final boundary between the Sudan and South Sudan has not yet been determined.
Fig. 6.
Changes in the prevalence of HIV among people who inject drugs, 2008-2011
Increase in prevalence 10.0 100.0
Fig. 7.
Changes in the number of people who inject drugs living with HIV from 2008 to 2011
Increase in number
100,000 200,000
Decrease in number
Philippines Czech Republic Belarus Greece Tunisia Romania Finland Bulgaria Switzerland Slovenia Lithuania Libya Bangladesh Pakistan Colombia Egypt Georgia Mexico Afghanistan Canada Kenya Kazakhstan Viet Nam Russian Federation Israel Poland Austria New Zealand Argentina Netherlands Nepal Brazil Oman Turkey
Source: UNODC and Reference Group to the United Nations on HIV and Injecting Drug Use.
Note: Ratio of latest to previous Reference Group estimates of the prevalence of HIV among injecting drug users. A ratio of 1.0 indicates no change in the estimates. Chart shows countries where the prevalence of HIV among injecting drug users has either at least doubled (ratio is 2.0 or greater) or halved (ratio is 0.5 or less). Changes may reflect improved reporting on prevalence estimates as well as changes in injecting behaviour and HIV infection.
Pakistan Belarus Moldova (Republic of) Nepal Malaysia Azerbaijan Myanmar Italy Canada Argentina South Africa Spain Kenya United States Indonesia Thailand Ukraine Russian Federation Brazil China
Source: UNODC and Reference Group to the United Nations on HIV and Injecting Drug Use.
Note: Calculation based on 2011 adult population. Changes may reflect improved reporting on prevalence estimates, as well as changes in injecting behaviour and HIV infection.
Fig. 8.
Prevalence rates for people who inject drugs and prevalence and number of people who inject drugs living with HIV (by region)
Population (aged 15-64)
(1,000's) Oceania Western/ Central Europe Eastern/ South-Eastern Europe South Asia Near and Middle East / South-West Asia East and South-East Asia Central Asia and Transcaucasia latin America and the Carribbean North America North America Africa Africa
0.53 0.27 1.26 0.03 0.36 0.25 1.33 0.45 0.65 0.17
1.0 6.7 14.9 8.4 24.0 8.7 8.5 6.9 13.5 11.8
1.3 58.2 433.8 21.2 228.8 328.1 59.2 98.7 270.7 117.5
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, data from the annual report questionnaire and national Government reports.
Note: IDUs stands for injecting drug users.
The region with the highest prevalence of HIV among people who inject drugs is the Near and Middle East/ South-West Asia (24 per cent). This is driven primarily by high rates of HIV among people who inject drugs in Pakistan (37.0 per cent) and Iran (Islamic Republic of ) (15.1 per cent). Almost 30 per cent of the global population who inject drugs and are living with HIV, however, are in Eastern and South-Eastern Europe. Similar to Pakistan, Ukraine has a large population of people who inject drugs, with a very high prevalence of HIV (22.0 per cent). International data show that rates of HIV prevalence are much higher among prison inmates than the general population.16 From the annual report questionnaire, the reported prevalence rate of HIV in the prison population varies from 0.2 per cent in Hungary to 15 per cent in Kyrgyzstan; these rates are between 2 and 37 times higher than in the general adult population.
inject drugs is 51.0 per cent, meaning that 7.2 million people who inject drugs were living with HCV in 2011.17 The largest numbers of people who inject drugs and are living with HCV are found in East and South-East Asia, Eastern and South-Eastern Europe and North America. The highest HCV prevalence rates among people who inject drugs in countries with predominantly large numbers of people who inject drugs (more than 100,000 to help ensure that a stable prevalence can be determined) are mostly located in North America and East and South-East Asia: Mexico (96.0 per cent), Viet Nam (74.1 per cent), United States (73.4 per cent), Canada (69.1 per cent), Malaysia (67.1 per cent), China (67.0 per cent) and Ukraine (67.0 per cent). The global prevalence of the hepatitis B virus (HBV) in 2011 among people who inject drugs is estimated at 8.4 per cent, or 1.2 million people, based on reporting from 63 countries. The highest prevalence of HBV among people who inject drugs is found in the Near and Middle East/South West Asia (22.5 per cent) and Western and Central Europe (19.2 per cent). As is the case for other infectious diseases, such as tuberculosis and HIV, the prevalence of hepatitis and, in particular, hepatitis C, is very high among the prison
Estimated number of people who inject drugs, and number of people who inject drugs living with hepatitis B and hepatitis C
7.0 Number of people who inject drugs 6.0 Hepatitis C among people who inject drugs Hepatitis B among people who inject drugs
Number (millions)
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0 Near and Middle East / South-West Asia Central Asia and Transcaucasia North America East and South-East Asia South Asia
AFRICA
AMERICAS
ASIA
EUROPE
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, data from the annual report questionnaire and national Government reports. 16 United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, International Labour Organization, United Nations Development Programme and World Health Organization, policy brief on HIV prevention, treatment and care in prisons and other closed settings: a comprehensive package of interventions (2012).
Fig. 10.
Primary drug of concern for people in treatment, by region (2011 or latest year available)
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% North America Latin America and the Caribbean ASIA Eastern and Western and Central SouthEurope Eastern Europe EUROPE OCEANIA
AFRICA
AMERICAS
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, data from the annual report questionnaire, supplemented by national Government reports.
10
population: more than 10 per cent in most cases and up to 42 per cent in Finland and 45 per cent in New Zealand.
44 years, and such deaths can largely be prevented. UNODC estimates that there were between 102,000 and 247,000 drug-related deaths in 2011, corresponding to a mortality rate of between 22.3 and 54.0 deaths per million population aged 15-64. This represents between 0.54 per cent and 1.3 per cent of mortality from all causes globally among those aged 15-64.20 The extent of drug-related deaths has essentially remained unchanged globally and within regions.
Drug-related deaths
Drug-related deaths show the extreme harm that can result from drug use. These deaths are invariably premature, occurring at a relatively younger age. For example, according to the European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction (EMCDDA), the mean age for drugrelated deaths for countries in Europe varies from 26 to
Table 3.
Estimated number of drug-related deaths and mortality rates per million population aged 15-64 for 2011
Region Number of drug-related deaths Estimate Lower estimate 17,336 47,813 3,613 16,125 8,087 7,382 1,685 102,040 Upper estimate 55,533 47,813 8,097 118,443 8,087 7,382 1,980 247,336 Mortality rate per million aged 15-64 Estimate 61.9 155.8 15.0 37.3 24.9 32.1 80.8 45.9 Lower estimate 29.4 155.8 11.4 5.8 24.9 32.1 69.6 22.3 Upper estimate 94.3 155.8 25.6 42.4 24.9 32.1 81.8 54.0
Africa North America Latin America and the Caribbean Asia Western and Central Europe Eastern and South-Eastern Europe Oceania Global
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, data from the annual reports questionnaire, the Inter-American Drug Abuse Control Commission (CICAD) and the European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Louisa Degenhardt and others, Illicit drug use, in Comparative Quantification of Health Risks: Global and Regional Burden of Disease Attributable to Selected Major Risk Factors, vol. 1, M. Ezaati and others, eds. (Geneva, World Health Organization, 2004). Data for Africa have been adjusted to reflect the 2011 population. The wide range in the estimates for Asia reflects the low level of reporting from countries in the region. The best estimate for Asia is towards the upper end of the range, because a small number of highly populated countries report a relatively high mortality rate, which produces a high regional average. 18 Those who regularly use opiates, cocaine or amphetamines, are people who inject drugs or are diagnosed with dependence or substance use disorders. 19 Member States may report treatment episodes rather than persons in treatment, include only inpatient services or provide data that is geographically limited (e.g. for only the capital city).
20 According to World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision (United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs), an average of 18.94 million deaths will occur each year for those aged 15-64 from all causes of mortality during the period 2010-2015.
11
Drug-related deaths in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Within the United Kingdom, data from England and Wales show that drug misusea was responsible for 10 per cent of deaths from all causes for those aged 20-39 in 2011.b Heroin and morphine accounted for most of the deaths, but between 2010 and 2011 the number of deaths associated with these two drugs declined by 25 per cent, from 791 to 596. This decline might have been associated with the heroin drought experienced in the United Kingdom starting in 2010. However, over the same time period, the number of deaths related to the use of methadone, reportedly mixed with benzodiazepines and/or alcohol, increased by 37 per cent, from 355 to 486.c A similar situation was observed in Scotland, where there was a 19 per cent decline in the number of deaths involving heroin and morphine, from 254 in 2010 to 206 in 2011, with a simultaneous 58 per cent increase in the number of deaths associated with methadone, from 174 in 2010 to 275 deaths in 2011.d Across the United Kingdom, the involvement of multiple substances implicated in drug-related deaths, notably the use of opiates/opioid analgesics, benzodiazepines and alcohol, has been noted,e highlighting the increased risk associated with polydrug use.
a The definition of this indicator is (a) deaths where the underlying
cause is drug abuse or drug dependence or (b) deaths where the underlying cause is drug poisoning and where any of the substances controlled under the Misuse of Drugs Act 1971 are involved. b Based on data from the United Kingdom, Office for National Statistics, Deaths relating to drug poisoning in England and Wales, 2011, Statistical Bulletin (August 2012). c Ibid. d Drug-related Deaths in Scotland in 2011 (National Records of Scotland, August 2012). e Hamid Ghodse and others, Drug-related Deaths in the UK: Annual Report 2012 (International Centre for Drug Policy, St. Georges, University of London, London, 2013).
Fig. 11.
Cumulative unweighted average of perceived trends in drug use in Africa by drug type
10.00 9.00 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
and flunitrazepam was also commonly reported among those injecting drugs.23 In Nigeria, cannabis remains the most commonly used substance, but opioid use is also perceived to be increasing. The misuse of prescription opioids such as pentazocine and codeine-containing cough syrups is considered to be particularly problematic.24 South Africa reported an increase in the use of heroin, methamphetamine and methcathinone, while cocaine use remained stable. Treatment facilities across the country reported that heroin use was a growing concern. Polydrug use was also reported as a common phenomenon among drug users in treatment, e.g. the use of cannabis and methaqualone among methamphetamine users and methamphetamine among heroin users, as was the use of benzodiazepines, narcotic analgesics and codeine-containing preparations.25 In North Africa, recent information on drug use is available from Algeria and Morocco. While the overall prevalence of different drugs is low in Algeria (use of any illicit drug was reported among 1.15 per cent of the adult population), an increase in the misuse of cannabis and tranquilizers and sedatives has been reported, while the use of opioids and ATS is considered stable. However, an increase in injecting ATS was reported.26 In Morocco, use of can23 Rapid situational assessment of HIV prevalence and related risky behaviours among people who inject drugs in Nairobi and coast provinces of Kenya, in Most-At-Risk Populations: Unveiling New Evidence for Accelerated Programming (Kenya, Ministry of Health, National AIDS and STI Control Programme, March 2012). 24 Information provided by Nigeria in the annual report questionnaire (2012). 25 Siphokazi Dada and others, Monitoring alcohol and drug abuse trends in South Africa (July 1996-June 2011): phase 30, SACENDU Research Brief, vol. 14, No. 2 (2011). 26 Information provided by Algeria and Morocco in the annual report questionnaire (2012).
21 Gilles Raguin and others, Drug use and HIV in West Africa: a neglected epidemic, Tropical Medicine and International Health, vol. 16, No. 9 (2011), pp. 1131-1133. 22 Seychelles, Ministry of Health, Injecting drug use in the Seychelles, 2011: integrated biological and behavioural surveillance study, round 1 (2011).
cocaine had increased, and that currently between 70 per cent and 80 per cent of crack users were also using heroin.21 Similarly, heroin trafficking through the coastal regions of East Africa is believed to have caused an increase in heroin and injecting drug use. In a behavioural surveillance study among people who inject drugs in Seychelles, heroin was the most commonly injected substance; other substances commonly used by injectors included cannabis and alcohol.22 In Kenya, heroin was the primary drug used by people who inject drugs, while polydrug use of cannabis
12
nabis and ATS was reported as stable, while the use of cocaine and opiates had increased.
The Americas
In the Americas, a high prevalence of most illicit drugs, essentially driven by estimates in North America, was observed, with the prevalence of cannabis (7.9 per cent) and cocaine (1.3 per cent) being particularly high in the region.
North America
In North America, the annual prevalence of all illicit drugs has remained stable and, except for opiate use, is at levels much higher than the global average. Overall, use of illicit drugs in the United States has remained stable, at an estimated 14.9 per cent of the population aged 12 years and older in 2011, compared with 15.3 per cent in 2010.27 Prevalence of cannabis use has also remained stable, though at high levels: 11.5 per cent
27 United States, Department of Health and Human Services, Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, Results from the 2011 National Survey on Drug Use and Health: Summary of National Findings, NSDUH Series H-44, HHS Publication No. SMA 12-4713 (Rockville, Maryland, 2012).
in 2011, compared with 11.6 per cent in 2010 among the population aged 12 years and older. Cannabis use has continued to increase among high-school students. In 2011, an estimated 1 in 15 high-school seniors was a daily or near-daily user of cannabis. Synthetic marijuana, otherwise known as Spice or K2, was assessed for the first time; approximately 11.4 per cent of high school students reported its use in the previous year. The overall prevalence of non-medical use of psychotherapeutics (pain relievers, tranquilizers and sedatives, and stimulants) among persons 12 years or older in the past year also declined, from 6.3 per cent in 2010 to 5.7 per cent in 2011. Similarly, a decline was observed in the use of inhalants, cocaine, prescription painkillers, amphetamine and tranquillizers among high-school students. While the prevalence of ecstasy use in 2011 remained stable among the general population, past-year use of ecstasy increased among twelfth graders and declined slightly for eighth and tenth graders. In Canada, the reported use of cannabis in the past year among the population aged 15 years and older declined from 10.7 per cent in 2010 to 9.1 per cent in 2011.28 The
28 Information provided by Canada in the annual report questionnaire (2011). It is reported that, with high sampling variability and a coef-
13
Fig. 12.
14.0 Annual prevalence (%) 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0
Trends in annual prevalence of drug use among the population 12 years and older in the United States, 2000-2011
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2000
2002
2004
2006
2010
Source: Chile, Consejo Nacional para el Control de Estupefacientes (CONACE), Ministerio del Interior y Seguridad Pblica, Noveno Estudio Nacional De Drogas en Poblacin General, 2010 (Santiago, June 2011).
Source: United States, Department of Health and Human Services, Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, Results from the 2011 National Survey on Drug Use and Health: Summary of National Findings, NSDUH Series H-44, HHS Publication No. SMA 12-4713 (Rockville, Maryland, 2012).
B. Uruguay
10 8 6 4 2 0 2001 2006 2011 Cannabis Cocaine ATS Sedatives and tranquillizers
use of other substances, including opioids, cocaine and methamphetamine, was reported as stable. The use of the psychoactive plant Salvia divinorum among young people in Canada remains of concern. For Mexico, new estimates for 2011, as well as expert perception, indicate a slight increase since 2008 in the use of cocaine (from 0.4 per cent in 2008 to 0.5 per cent in 2011) and ATS (0.1 per cent to 0.2 per cent). There was also some increase in the use of cannabis and opioids, while use of tranquillizers and sedatives was perceived to be stable.29
South America, Central America and the Caribbean
Source: Uruguay, Junta Nacional de Drogas, Observatorio Uruguayo de Drogas, Quinta Encuesta Nacional en Hogares sobre Consumo de Drogas: Informe de Investigacin (May 2012).
The annual prevalence of cocaine use in South America (1.3 per cent of the adult population) is comparable to levels in North America, while it remains much higher than the global average in Central America (0.6 per cent) and the Caribbean (0.7 per cent). Cocaine use has increased significantly in Brazil, Costa Rica and, to lesser extent, Peru while no change in its use was reported in Argentina. The use of cannabis in South America is higher (5.7 per cent) than the global average, but lower in Central America and Caribbean (2.6 and 2.8 per cent respectively). In South America and Central
ficient of variation between 16.7 per cent and 33.3 per cent, the estimates of amphetamine, ecstasy and lysergic acid diethylamide (LSD) should be interpreted with caution. Since the coefficient of variation was greater than 33.3 per cent and/or the number of observations was less than six, the past-year estimates for opioids, tranquillizers and sedatives, and Salvia divinorum are suppressed and not reported. 29 Information provided by Mexico in the annual report questionnaire (2011).
C. Argentina
8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2004 2006 2008 2010
Source: Argentina, Secretara de Programacin para la Prevencin de la Drogadiccin y Lucha contra el Narcotrfico (SEDRONAR), Tendencia en el Consumo de Sustancias Psicoactivas en Argentina 2004-2010: Poblacin de 16 a 65 Aos (June 2011).
14
America the use of opioids (0.3 and 0.2 per cent, respectively) and Ecstasy (0.1 per cent each) also remain well below the global average. While opiates use remains low, countries such as Colombia report that heroin use is becoming increasingly common among certain age groups and socio-economic classes.30
Fig. 14.
Trends in registered drug users and proportion of registered drug users in China, 2000-2011
2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0
120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Asia
Reliable estimates of the prevalence of different drugs are available for only a few countries in Asia. Overall, drug use in the region remains at low levels. While the annual prevalence rate of use of ATS ranges between 0.2 and 1.2 per cent of the adult population, and that of opioids between 0.3 and 0.5 per cent, the annual prevalence rates for the use of cannabis (1.03.1 per cent), ecstasy (0.10.7 per cent) and cocaine (0.05 per cent) are considerably lower than the global average. In absolute numbers, however, Asia is home to an estimated one quarter to 40 per cent of all illicit drug users worldwide, as well as 60 per cent of opiate users and between 30 and 60 per cent of ATS users. Recent data available from Pakistan and China indicate an increase in the use of opiates, as well as of ATS. A new survey on drug use, conducted in Pakistan in 2012, reported cannabis as the most commonly used drug, with an annual prevalence of 3.6 per cent, followed by prescription opioids (1.5 per cent) and tranquillizers and sedatives (1.4 per cent). Opiate use (0.9 per cent), though high, remained at levels lower than in Afghanistan and Iran (Islamic Republic of ). Most of the opiate use was linked to heroin (0.7 per cent) and, to a lesser extent, opium (0.3 per cent). Use of ATS (0.1 per cent) and cocaine (0.01 per cent) appeared to be low but emerging. Opioid use remains high in China, with the number of registered heroin users increasing each year: there were 1.24 million in 2011, compared with 1.06 million in 2010. The number and proportion of registered users of ATS are also increasing (38 per cent of all registered users in 2012, compared with 28 per cent in 2010). In addition, there has been a major increase in the number of drug users registered for use of other substances, such as ketamine. In 2012, more than 7 per cent of registered drug users were using ketamine. The first-ever national survey on drug use in the Maldives was conducted in 2011/12. Cannabis was found to be the most commonly used substance, followed by opiates (annual prevalence of 2.5 per cent and 1.54 per cent, respectively, of the adult population). The use of prescription opioids, cocaine, ATS, sedatives and tranquillizers though, appeared to be less common.31
30 Ministerio de Salud y Proteccin Social - Repblica de Colombia, Preventing the Spread of Heroin Consumption in the Americas: the Colombian Experience". 51st Regular Session of CICADA/OAS, May 2012 31 United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, National Drug Use Survey: Maldives 2011/2012 (2013).
Synthetic drugs Other opiates Other drugs Heroin Registered heroin users Total drug users registered
Source: Information provided by China in the annual report questionnaire, and annual reports on drug control in China published by the Office of the National Narcotics Control Commission of China.
In Asia, experts from East and South-East Asia reported higher levels of ATS use in 2011. Ketamine use also remained widespread in some countries in the region, and was reported in Brunei Darussalam, China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore. In Central Asia and Transcaucasia, use of opioids, especially heroin and opium, remains of primary concern, with annual prevalence estimated at 0.9 per cent of the adult population. Azerbaijan (1.5%), Georgia (1.36%) and Kazakhstan (1%) are the countries with considerably high levels of opioid use in the region. There is limited information available from the Near and Middle East/SouthWest Asia. While the use of ATS is the primary concern among the Gulf countries, misuse of narcotic analgesics, especially tramadol, is reported as an emerging concern, with some countries also reporting tramadol-related deaths.
Europe
In Europe, cannabis remains the most commonly used of illicit substance, with an annual prevalence of 5.6 per cent, followed by cocaine (0.8 per cent), opioids (0.7 per cent) and ATS (0.5 per cent). In Western and Central Europe, there are indications, based on prevalence estimates, that the use of most illicit substances is declining or stabilizing at high levels. Concerns remain, however, about the replacement of heroin with prescription opioids, the partial replacement of methamphetamine by amphetamine, particularly in the north of Europe, and the continual increase in the introduction and use of NPS.
15
Except for the use of ATS (annual prevalence of 0.7 per cent), the use of all illicit substances in Western and Central Europe remains higher than the global average. The annual prevalence of cannabis use is estimated at 7.6 per cent of the adult population, with declining or stable trends observed in most countries, except in Estonia and Finland, where the rates of cannabis use show no sign of levelling off.32 The annual prevalence of cocaine use (1.2 per cent) in Western and Central Europe is nearly three times the
Drug use trends in selected countries in Europe A. Germany
8.0 Annual prevalence (%) 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2003 Tranquillizers Opiates ATS 2006 2009 Cannabis Cocaine "Ecstasy"
Fig. 15.
D. Poland
12 Annual prevalence (%) 10 8 6 4 2 0 2002 Cannabis ATS Opioids 2006 2010 Cocaine "Ecstasy" Tranquillizers
Source: A. Pabst and others, Substanzkonsum und substanzbezogene Strungen: Ergebnisse des Epidemiologischen Suchtsurveys 2009, Sucht Zeitschrift fr Wissenschaft und Praxis, vol. 56, No. 5 (2010), pp. 327-336; L. Kraus and others, Kurzbericht Epidemiologischer Suchtsurvey 2009: Tabellenband Prvalenz der Medikamenteneinnahme und problematischen Medikamentengebrauchs nach Geschlecht und Alter im Jahr 2009 (Munich, Institut fr Therapieforschung, 2010).
B. Spain
12.0 Annual prevalence (%) 9.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 2001 2003 2009 2005/06 2007/08 2011
Source: European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Statistical Bulletin 2012 (available from www.emcdda. europa.eu/stats12); United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, information provided by Poland in the annual report questionnaire.
Table 4.
Denmark Ireland Spain
Source: European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Statistical Bulletin 2012 (available from www.emcdda.europa. eu/stats12); United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, information provided by Spain in the annual report questionnaire. 32 European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Annual Report 2012: The State of the Drugs Problem in Europe.
UNODC Annual Report Questionnaire; European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Statistical Bulletin 2012.
16
global average, but has been reported as showing a stabilizing or downward trend. Countries with a high prevalence of cocaine use observed a decline or stabilization in its use compared with the previous survey. The latest school survey of 15- and 16-year-olds in the European Union also indicates evidence of a reduction or stabilization in the use of all major substances. However, polydrug use among school students remains of concern, with nearly 9 per cent of students reporting use of two or more substances. Cannabis use has remained stable overall among school students in Europe since 2007 (17 per cent lifetime prevalence); its use has increased significantly in 11 countries and declined in 5 others. The Czech Republic, France and Monaco are the only European countries with a higher lifetime prevalence of cannabis use among 15- and 16-year-olds (42 per cent, 37 per cent and 39 per cent, respectively) than the United States (35 per cent).
Fig. 16. Trends in cannabis use in European countries that reported a signicant change among school students
2007 2011
problems reported injecting as the main method of use. Indicators from some European Union member States also show that heroin has become less available in recent years, and that in some countries it has been replaced by substances such as fentanyl and buprenorphine. This has been the situation mostly in Estonia and Finland, with sporadic or low levels of activities related to fentanyl use reported from countries such as Greece, Italy and the United Kingdom.33 In Estonia, the annual prevalence of fentanyl use in 2008 was reported as 0.1 per cent, while it was 1.1 per cent among males aged 15-24. Among drug users registered in treatment, three quarters (76 per cent) were there for fentanyl use. Fentanyl has also been described as endemic among people who inject drugs in Estonia.34 There is limited data on fentanyl use in other European countries, but there have been time-limited outbreaks of the injection of fentanyl in Bulgaria and Slovakia. Similarly, Finland, Germany and Sweden have reported localized increases in the use of fentanyl and fentanyl-related deaths in recent years.35 The number of people using substances such as gammahydroxybutyric acid (GHB), gamma-butyrolactone (GBL), ketamine and, more recently, mephedrone is still relatively low in most European countries, but high levels of use are found in some subpopulations (such as clubbers), and it appears that such substances have the potential for more widespread diffusion. A European survey of youth attitudes, in which more than 12,000 young people aged 15-24 were interviewed, estimated that 5 per cent of the respondents had used at least one new psychoactive substance at some point.36 There have also been reports of health problems linked with these substances, including dependence among chronic users, and some unexpected conditions, such as bladder disease and urinary tract symptoms in ketamine users.37,38
Ukraine Slovakia Malta Denmark Bosnia and Herzegovina France Monaco Latvia Poland Hungary Portugal Finland Greece Romania Cyprus Montenegro
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
40
45
Lifetime prevalence (%) Source: The European School Survey Project on Alcohol and Other Drugs (ESPAD) Report: Substance Use among Students in 36 European Countries (Stockholm, Swedish Council for Information on Alcohol and Other Drugs, 2012).Note: Data for Denmark compares 2003 and 2011.
Overall, in Western and Central Europe, the prevalence of use of ecstasy and ATS has remained stable (0.8 per cent and 0.7 per cent, respectively). While methamphetamine use was previously limited to only the Czech Republic and Slovakia, sporadic reports of methamphetamine smoking and availability of crystal methamphetamine have been reported, notably in the Baltic States and northern Europe, while low levels of use and availability for these substances were also reported from the United Kingdom and Germany. While over 1 million people are currently estimated to have used opioids in particular, by injecting heroin there are signs of a decline in its use, with 60 per cent (710,000) of estimated problem opioid users currently receiving substitution and maintenance therapy. Also, injecting practices are on the decline among new heroin users: only one third (36 per cent) of those entering treatment for heroin-related
B. Overview of trends related to drug supply indicators, by drug type and region
17
made preparations of opium such as kompot or cherniashka,39 and recent trends in the country indicate an increase in the number of people injecting, as well as in the number of injecting practices, and HIV prevalence among those who inject drugs.40 In the Russian Federation, decreased availability of heroin has led to its partial replacement with local and readily available substances such as acetylated opium, as in Belarus, and with desomorphine, a homemade preparation made from over-the-counter preparations containing codeine.41
reported using ecstasy, half the percentage who reported such use in 2009. Prior to 2012, an increasing interest in synthetic cannabis products was reported.43 In New Zealand, GHB/GBL is reported to be sold with methamphetamine as a package to help users with the comedown effects of methamphetamine.44
Oceania
The prevalence of the use of most illicit substances remains quite high in the Oceania region - essentially Australia and New Zealand - while quantitative data for the Pacific island States remains limited.42 High prevalence rates are reported for the use of cannabis (10.9 per cent), opioids (3.0 per cent), ecstasy (2.9 per cent), ATS (2.1 per cent) and cocaine (1.5 per cent). In a new development in Australia, there has been a decrease in the use of ecstasy among police detainees. Only 5 per cent of police detainees in 2010 and 2011
Fig. 17.
20 Annual prevalence (%) 16 12 8 4 0 1991 1993 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 Cannabis Cocaine "Ecstasy" Tranquillizers Opiates ATS Pain relievers
B. OVERVIEW OF TRENDS RELATED TO DRUG SUPPLY INDICATORS, BY DRUG TYPE AND REGION
A number of emerging trends have been observed in terms of trafficking of certain types of drugs, as well as the development of new markets and modes of transport across all drug types. Oceania is the only region that has shown a clear increasing trend in seizures across drug categories; the picture for the rest of the world is more complex. Another noteworthy phenomenon is that the two classes of stimulants cocaine and ATS, instead of competing, seem to be complementary in nature, fuelling demand for each other instead of cutting into it. This relationship does not exist for any other pair among the four major drug classes. There are indications of new markets for cocaine, although the available data indicates an overall decline in the market for cocaine at the global level. The picture for opiates is mixed, with increased levels of aggregate seizures of heroin and morphine recorded, alongside reduced levels of seizures of opium close to the major source country of Afghanistan, and declines in seizures of heroin in some of the major consumer markets. With regard to trafficking, maritime seizures are where the quantities lie. Based on reported data for 1997-2011, each maritime seizure was on average almost 30 times larger than consignments seized while being trafficked by air, and almost four times larger than those trafficked by road and rail, suggesting the need for greater vigilance in this area. A more comprehensive look at the various drug categories follows.
Source: Australia, National Campaign against Drug Abuse Social Issues Survey reports for the years 1991 and 1993); and National Drug Strategy Household Survey reports for the years 1995, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007 and 2010. 39 Kompot is a crude preparation from poppy straw, while cherniashka is made by mixing locally grown opium poppy with acetic anhydride. 40 Information provided by Belarus in the annual report questionnaire (2011). 41 Information provided by the Russian Federation in the annual report questionnaire (2011). 42 The United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime conducted a workshop, held in Suva, Fiji, from 16 to 19 October 2012 and supported by the Government of Australia, in which national experts reported that cannabis use was quite widespread in Pacific island States and that the non-medical use of prescription drugs such as tramadol, benzodiazepines and other sedatives was reported to be common among some segments of the population. While there are reports of trafficking of cocaine from isolated places in Pacific island States, there is reportedly negligible use among the local population. Similarly, there are indications of local manufacturing of ATS, for instance in Fiji, but negligible use reported among the local population.
Cocaine
The available global indicators for the cocaine market suggest that, at a global level, the availability of cocaine has declined, or at least stabilized, in recent years. In contrast with the market for other drugs, the cocaine market is characterized by the fact that not only are the source countries circumscribed within a relatively small area in South
43 Information provided by Australia in the annual report questionnaire (2011). 44 Information provided by New Zealand in the annual report questionnaire (2011).
18
America, but also, until recently, cocaine consumption has been concentrated in specific parts of the globe. Hence, it is plausible that trafficking patterns converged to create certain distinct patterns and routes which were best suited to supply those limited consumer markets. Consequently, with respect to cocaine specifically, the attention of the global community and the efforts to reduce and measure drug supply and demand may have focused on these well-known routes and markets. More recently, there are indications of emerging cocaine consumption in countries previously not associated with this phenomenon, and it cannot be excluded that the available indicators do not yet fully reflect the extent of global cocaine demand and supply. In any case, it is clear that regions like Asia and Africa, which together account for the majority of the worlds population, and where cocaine use has until recently been relatively low and continues to be largely limited to certain subregions, harbour the potential for a significant demanddriven expansion of the cocaine market.
Fig. 18.
2 Index (baseline 2003) 1.5 1 0.5 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Cultivation of coca bush Cultivation of opium poppy Seizures of amphetamine-type stimulants (two-year moving average) Seizures of cannabis (herb and resin, two-year moving average) Seizures of cocaine (base, paste, salts and crack, two-year moving average) Seizures of heroin and morphine (two-year moving average)
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources and International Crop Monitoring Programme (cultivation).
ing amphetamine and caffeine. In 2011, quantities of ATS seized rebounded in Western and Central Europe, following a decreasing trend from 2007 to 2010. Moreover, seizures of amphetamine in Eastern Europe, while still limited in comparison with global figures, rose to a level significantly higher than those reached previously. Seizures in Oceania, also rebounded from 2009 to 2011.
Cannabis
Cannabis herb continues to be produced, trafficked and consumed in large quantities in all regions. North America accounted for more than half of global seizures of cannabis herb, owing mainly to the quantities seized by Mexico and the United States. Large quantities are also seized in South America and Africa. Afghanistan and Morocco remain the foremost source countries for cannabis resin. Seizures of cannabis resin continue to be concentrated in Western and Central Europe, North Africa, and the Near and Middle East/South-West Asia. The mixed market of Western and Central Europe, which is a major consumer market for cannabis resin originating in Morocco, but which is also affected by the production and consumption of cannabis herb, has shown signs of gravitating towards more and better quality cannabis herb produced with enhanced techniques (such as indoor cultivation) within the same subregion and trafficked on more localized routes. In recent years, seizure totals for Western and Central Europe showed an increase in the case of cannabis herb and a decrease in the case of cannabis resin. Data on the content of tetrahydrocannabinol (THC), the psychoactive ingredient in cannabis, also suggest that the average potency (purity) of cannabis herb currently available in Europe is comparable to that of cannabis resin, which in the past used to be a significantly more potent alternative to cannabis herb.45
Trend in main indicators of drug supply and drug supply reduction, 2003-2011
Opiates
Afghanistan remains by far the largest source country for opiates worldwide. In recent years, Afghanistan registered several high annual production levels, notably in the peak year of 2007, but also in 2008 and 2011, with a decrease between 2007 and 2010 and between 2011 and 2012. As of 2011, aggregate global seizures of morphine and heroin had increased by approximately one half over a period of three years, in spite of the decreasing trend in production over the period 2007-2010. Declines in heroin seizures were observed, however, in specific regions and countries, notably Turkey (in 2010 and 2011), Eastern Europe and Central Asia and the Transcaucasian countries (in 2009, 2010 and 2011), and Western and Central Europe (in 2010). The general picture, in terms of seizure quantities,
Amphetamine-type stimulants
Seizures of ATS, which showed a remarkable increase in 2011, point to a continued expansion in the global market for these substances. Seizures, mainly of methamphetamine, have increased steadily and substantially in the established producing and consumer regions of North America and East and South-East Asia. Despite recent fluctuations, seizures remain high in the Near and Middle East/SouthWest Asia, mainly in the form of captagon tablets contain-
45 Based on cannabis potency reported by countries to UNODC through the Annual Report Questionnaire.
B. Overview of trends related to drug supply indicators, by drug type and region
19
Fig. 19.
Breakdown of global heroin seizures in comparison with opium production in Afghanistan, 1998-2012a
Opium production in Afghanistan (Tons) 8,000 6,000 4,000
50 Heroin seizures (Tons) 40 30 20 10 0 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
in the Near and Middle East/South-West Asia was mixed and rather erratic, with an increase in heroin seizures in the Islamic Republic of Iran in 2010 followed by a decrease in 2011, a decline in opium seizures in the same country in 2010 and 2011, continuing increases in heroin seizures in Pakistan and a spike in 2011 in morphine seizures in Afghanistan. Assuming these fluctuations are, at least in part, a consequence of law enforcement activities, and excluding from the aggregate the Near and Middle East/South-West Asia subregion, as well as those regions or subregions whose supply cannot be assumed to be predominantly sourced from Afghanistan (i.e. the Americas, Africa, East, South and South-East Asia and Oceania), a clear decline can be observed, starting gradually in 2009 and becoming sharper in 2010 and 2011. The one-year delay between the onset of the decline in production and that of seizures was also observed in the case of the dramatic drop in production in 2001, and can be linked to the duration of the various stages in the production and trafficking chain, including processing into heroin and trafficking, before heroin reaches destination and transit countries. However, production levels are far from the only factor that influences trends related to seizure levels.
2,000 -
Opium production in Afghanistan (right axis) Heroin seizures in subregionsb with predominantly Afghan-sourced heroin supply, excluding Near and Middle East/South-West Asia Heroin seizures in Near and Middle East /SouthWest Asia Heroin seizures in the rest of the world
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources and International Crop Monitoring Programme (cultivation).
a For 2012, comprehensive seizure data were unavailable. b Western, Central, Eastern and South-Eastern Europe and Central Asia and Transcaucasian countries.
Fig. 20.
Recent trends in seizures of stimulants: cocainea versus amphetamine-type stimulants,b by subregionc (total quantity seized in 2008-2009 in comparison with 2010-2011)
Increase/decrease in cocaine seizures (ratio 2010-2011 total to 2008-09 09 total, logarithmic scale)
10.0 Decreases in ATS, Increases in Cocaine Increases in both ATS and Cocaine
1.0
0.01 0.10 1.00 10.00 100.00 1000.00
Increase/decrease in ATS seizures (ratio 2010-2011 total to 2008-09 total), logarithmic scale
Central America East and South-East Asia East Europe North Africa South America Southeast Europe West and Central Africa
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources a Includes cocaine salts, cocaine base, coca paste and crack.
b Excludes prescription stimulants and other stimulants, which were not covered by the annual report questionnaire prior to the 2010 reporting year. c Due to lack of available data, the subregion of Southern Africa is excluded from this chart.
Caribbean Central Asia and Transcaucasian countries East Africa Near and Middle East /South-West Asia Oceania South Asia West and Central Europe North America
20
zures of cocaine and ATS, which both consist of stimulant substances. Although by no means conclusive, there are indications that these two classes of stimulants are complementary rather than competitive products; in other words, an increase in demand for one comes together with, and possibly even fuels, the demand for the other, rather than replacing it. This is substantiated by the fact that, while significant increases occurred for both drug classes in parallel in several subregions (East Africa, Eastern Europe, East and South-East Asia, Oceania and South Asia), the tendency for a subregion to register a significant increase in one of the two and a decrease in the other was very limited. A similar relationship cannot be observed when comparing any of the other pairs among the four major drug classes. A comparison of total quantities of drug seizures between the 2010-2011 biennium and the preceding one shows Oceania as the only region with a clear dominant (increasing) trend across the four different drug classes. This may be due to a considerable extent to renewed vigour in drug supply reduction efforts, in addition to any changes in the trafficked volumes for certain drug types. A rather similar pattern, but in the opposite direction, appears to hold for Europe, but the picture is not as clear, as seizures of cocaine increased slightly and seizures of ATS actually rebounded in 2011. Asia registered an increase in all drug classes with the exception of cannabis, most notably in the case of cocaine, which is significant in terms of the growth rate and also in view of the size of the population. In the Americas, the excepFig. 21. Recent trends in drug seizures, by drug type and region (2010-2011 totals as a percentage of 2008-2009 totals)
tion to the increasing trend was the well-established cocaine market. The available seizure data for Africa was not comprehensive, but a comparison of the totals excluding Southern Africa reveals an increase for seizures of heroin and ATS.
Modes of transportation
While cases involving maritime trafficking are the least common among cases involving the three modes of transportation of road and rail, maritime and air,46 the frequency distribution of seizure cases by weight of seizure reveals that a maritime seizure is consistently the most likely to be a large seizure (from10 kg onwards). When individual drug seizure cases (of all drug types) reported to UNODC are broken down into the three different modes of transportation mentioned above, cases of maritime trafficking constitute only 11 per cent of cases in spite of the fact that they consistently account for a significant proportion of the quantity seized. Indeed, at
Fig. 22. Distribution of mode of transportationa of individual drug seizure cases reported to UNODC, 1997-2011
Number Maritime 11% Air 37% Road and rail 52%
Air
Percentage (logarithmic scale)
Maritime
Air
ATS (excluding prescription and other stimulants) Cannabis (herb and resin) Heroin and morphine Cocaine (salts, base, paste and crack) Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources
aDue to a lack of available data, the subregion of Southern Africa is excluded from the calculation of the trends for Africa.
Maritime
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, individual drug seizure database.
a Excludes cases in which the mode of transportation was unknown, not applicable or specified as other.
46 This breakdown excludes cases in which the mode of transportation was unknown, not applicable or specified as other. In particular, seizures involving mail (which could be transported by air, sea or land) and seizures of drugs in storage are excluded.
B. Overview of trends related to drug supply indicators, by drug type and region
21
Fig. 23.
Average quantity seized in individual seizure cases, by mode of transportation,a 1997-2011 (kilograms)
Fig. 26.
Distribution of signicant cannabis resin seizures reported by Spain, by mode of transportation,a 2007-2011
350 300 Kilograms 250 200 150 100 50 0 Air Road and rail Maritime Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, individual drug seizure database. Maritime commercial 93%
a Excludes cases in which the mode of transportation was unknown, not applicable or specified as other
Fig. 24.
Frequency distributions of quantitiesa seized in reported individual drug seizure cases, 1997-2011, by mode of transportation
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, individual drug seizure database.
a Excludes cases in which the mode of transportation was unknown, not applicable or specified as other.
approximately 330 kg, the average quantity seized in a single maritime seizure is by far the highest among the three modes of transportation. Seized drugs trafficked by air account for more than a third of cases, but for the smallest average quantity per case. In terms of maximizing the impact of seizures on the flow and availability of illicit drugs, this may warrant an intensified focus of interdiction efforts on maritime trafficking. Examining different drug types separately, cases of maritime trafficking comprise a limited percentage of the total number of seizures in each of the drug categories A notable contrast is seizures of cannabis resin made by Spain, most of which (93 per cent over the period 2007-2011, excluding cases in which the mode of transportation was not specified, not applicable or specified as other) were categorized as commercial maritime seizures. These seizures reflect trafficking of cannabis resin from Morocco on sea vessels to Spain, which constitutes a major consumer market for cannabis resin in itself but is also used as a gateway to the broader market of Western and Central Europe. Seizures made by air account for a majority of seized consignments of cocaine and heroin, and slightly less than a majority of seizures in the case of ATS (see figure 25). In contrast, only about 3 per cent of seized consignments of cannabis herb are made as the drugs are being transported by air, with the difference being made up by seizures of consignments being transported by road and rail. This may be due to the more localized nature of trafficking patterns for cannabis herb, which is produced nearly everywhere in the world, with the result that demand can often be met by local supply.
0% 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Weight of seizure (kilograms, logarithmic scale) Air Maritime Road and rail
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, individual drug seizure database.
a Quantities of less than 100 grams are excluded.
Fig. 25.
Distribution of number of individual drug seizures by drug type and mode of transportation,a 2007-2011
Road and rail
100% 54% 42% 45% 94% 42% 0% ATS Cocaine (base, salts and crack) Heroin Cannabis herb 55% 53% Maritime Air
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, individual drug seizure database.
a Excludes cases where the mode of transportation was unknown, not applicable or specified as other.
22
Fig. 27.
180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Cocaine seizures (tons)
supplanted by other methods of transportation, including maritime shipments. The rather abrupt increase in the share of East and SouthEast Asia marked the first inroads made by traffickers of Afghan-sourced heroin into consumer markets, notably China, previously supplied predominantly by heroin from South-East Asia. By 2011, Europe and the Gulf region had also gained prominence.48 The United Kingdom reported a substantial rise in seizures of heroin trafficked directly from Pakistan, which accounted for nearly two thirds of heroin seized at the border (including airports and seaports) in late 2010 and early 2011. However, it was unclear whether this reflected a shift in the market of the United Kingdom or improved intelligence flows. In 2010, 2011 and 2012, in contrast with earlier years, Pakistan reported several large maritime seizures of heroin, intended mainly for West Africa and Europe (see figure 29). One possible factor driving this apparent change may be the disruption of the flow of heroin along the well-established Balkan route, which goes through Iran (Islamic Republic of ) and Turkey. This may have spurred the development of alternative maritime routes which use Africa and some Gulf States as staging posts for trafficking to the European market. A concomitant reason could possibly be reduced demand from the European market and a consequent search for new routes and new consumer markets to supplant the declining share of Europe. In any case, the significance of this statistic should be seen in perspective, as it could also be a reflection of changes in law enforcement strategy; moreover, the increasing trend in the quantity seized in maritime cases by Pakistan is based on a limited number of seizure cases.
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Trafficking hubs
Pakistan, which has long been an important hub for heroin trafficking for a number of geographic reasons,47 may be seeing the development of other routes and modes of transportation, including maritime shipping. While a significant proportion of individual drug seizures reported by Pakistan, and the majority of heroin seizures, continue to be accounted for by air traffic, the destinations for trafficking by air have undergone significant shifts over time. While West and Central Africa accounted for the dominant portion in 2001, East and South-East Asia took over that role around 2006. By 2011, the proportion intended for West and Central Africa had declined to 4 per cent. This does not imply that the importance of this subregion declined, but may be an indication that trafficking by air directly from Pakistan to West Africa has been
Fig. 28.
Intended destinationsa of consignments trafcked by air seized in Pakistan (all drugs), 2001, 2006 and 2011
2001 1% 12% 0% 10% 2006 6% 1% 0% 20% 12% 6% 4% East and SouthEast Asia 44% 9% Europe 31% 8% 13% 4% Gulf regionb 21% 2011 2% 5% 4%
12%
9% 4% 9% 12%
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, individual drug seizure database.
a Excludes cases in which the destination was Pakistan itself or was not specified. b Includes Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
47 The country shares a long border with Afghanistan and affords several advantages for traffickers from a logistical aspect, including a long coast granting access to the Indian Ocean, flexible options for air travel to key destinations and strong ties with the United Kingdom.
2011
48 Includes Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. However, not all of these countries appear as a destination in each of the following years: 2001, 2006 and 2011.
B. Overview of trends related to drug supply indicators, by drug type and region
23
Fig. 29.
Total quantity seized in individual maritime heroin seizures reported by Pakistan, 2005-2012a
a Data for 2012 refers to the first quarter (January to March) only.
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, individual drug seizure database.
East Africa has long been known to function as a point of entry for heroin entering the African continent, intended most notably for South Africa and trafficked through countries on the East African and Southern African coast.49 Some indicators suggest that this role may be assuming increasing importance and expanding to other drug types and other destinations. Comparing seizure totals for the 2010-2011 biennium with the preceding one reveals an increase in each of the drug categories, which may reflect increased trafficking into and through this subregion. However, given the limited coverage of data in this subregion and the fact that the data are driven by the quantities seized in a small number of countries, the possibility that these increases are partly the result of intensified law enforcement efforts cannot be excluded. According to Kenyan authorities,50 Kenya was a transit country for heroin trafficked to Europe and the United States. The heroin could be traced back to both India and Pakistan, was observed to enter Kenya by sea and air and was re-exported to other markets, either directly to Europe or via West Africa. Ethiopia was identified as a transit country for heroin in 2011 by both Nigeria and Thailand, the latter of which has had its heroin market supplied mainly from South-East and South-West Asia via more direct routes.
49 See, for example, country report by South Africa, presented at the Seventeenth Meeting of Heads of National Drug Law Enforcement Agencies, Africa, Nairobi, 17-21 September 2007. 50 Country report by Kenya, presented at the Twenty-second Meeting of Heads of National Drug Law Enforcement Agencies, Africa, Accra, 25-29 June 2012.
2012a
1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Kilograms
51 Country report by Nigeria, presented at the Twenty-second Meeting of Heads of National Drug Law Enforcement Agencies, Africa, Accra, 25-29 June 2012.
In the past, West Africa has been identified as a significant trafficking hub for cocaine and heroin. More recently, there have been indications of emerging manufacture of ATS in West Africa. According to Nigerian authorities,51 two methamphetamine laboratories were dismantled in the country between January 2011 and June 2012. Reports
24
from Thailand and Uganda also indicate trafficking of amphetamine from West Africa via Ethiopia, raising the possibility of a parallel flow of drugs between East and West Africa: heroin going west and amphetamine going east. Other important transit countries include the Netherlands (for various drugs) and Brazil (for cocaine). Specifically for maritime trafficking, the Netherlands was also important as a country of provenance, although the transition from land to maritime transportation may not always occur at a seaport in the Netherlands. Ecuador emerges as an important hub in South America for maritime trafficking of cocaine.
The largest areas under cultivation or areas eradicated were reported by Afghanistan54 (12,000 ha under cultivation), Mexico (12,000 ha under cultivation and 13,430 ha eradicated), and Morocco (47,500 ha under cultivation after eradication). Some countries also provided information on the number of plants or number of sites eradicated. Relating the number of plants to the size of an area is difficult as plant density can vary significantly, depending on the cultivation method and on environmental factors. Therefore, comparing plant eradication with eradicated area is difficult. An update of information available cannabis cultivation and production, as well as eradication, can be found in Annex II. With regard to outdoor cultivation, the United States reported the largest number of plants eradicated (9.9 million), followed by the Philippines (4 million), Tajikistan (2.1 million) and Indonesia (1.8 million). With regard to indoor cultivation, by far the largest number of plants was eradicated by Netherlands (1.8 million), a major supplier of cannabis herb to the European market, the United States (0.47 million) and Belgium (0.3 million), to where a large portion of European cannabis herb production has shifted in recent years.55 Ukraine reported the largest number of eradicated outdoor sites (98,000), followed by the United States (23,622) and New Zealand (2,131). New Zealand, a country with high levels of cannabis use, reported a very large number of eradicated outdoor sites when compared with plants eradicated, which indicates a small average size of grow sites: the number of plants per outdoor site was 55, a much smaller average size than in, for example, the Philippines (30,663 plants per site). The Netherlands reported the dismantling of 5,435 indoor cultivation sites. This number is comparable to the number of sites eradicated in previous years. The United States reported the dismantling of 4,721 indoor sites and a much smaller number of plants per site (98) than the Netherlands (335). The number of plants per indoor site in Belgium was reported as 349, which was about the same as in the Netherlands. In countries with a favourable climate for outdoor cultivation (e.g. Australia and Italy), the vast majority of plants eradicated were on outdoor sites, while the opposite was true for countries such as Belgium, Hungary and the Netherlands, which have less favourable climatic conditions.
C. CANNABIS MARKET
Cannabis is produced in virtually every country of the world, making it the most widely illicitly produced and consumed drug plant. Tables and maps with country data on cannabis cultivation, production and seizures can be found in Annex II. The cannabis plant yields two main products: cannabis herb and cannabis resin. Cannabis herb, the dried flower buds of the female cannabis plant, is not only consumed in almost all countries of the world, it is produced in most of them, too. The more protracted processing of the compressed resin glands of the cannabis plant into cannabis resin is confined to far fewer countries, most of which are located in North Africa, the Near and Middle East and South-West Asia.52 It is difficult to estimate global levels of cannabis cultivation and production: its cultivation is largely of a localized nature, and it is often consumed in the country of production. Cannabis herb is increasingly cultivated in its main user markets in the Americas and Europe. The bulk of cannabis resin originates in Afghanistan and Morocco; there is evidence of stabilization or even a decrease in production in these countries.
54 Information from the cannabis survey conducted by the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime and Afghanistan in Afghanistan in 2011. 55 See, for example, European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Cannabis Production and Markets in Europe, EMCDDA Insights Series No. 12 (Luxembourg, Office for Official Publications of the European Union, 2012).
C. Cannabis market
25
1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2002 2008
2003 2009
2004 2010
2005 2011
2006
2007
Afghanistan Iran (Islamic Republic of) Morocco Pakistan Spain Global total
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
26
in Afghanistan. The survey found that cultivation of cannabis plant and production of cannabis resin in Afghanistan appeared stable, and that there was no evidence of a substantive change in comparison with the previous cannabis surveys, which had taken place in 2009 and 2010. Cannabis in Afghanistan is a very attractive cash crop. However, the volume of cannabis cultivated is much lower than that of opium poppy (12,000 hectares of cannabis were cultivated in 2011, compared with 131,000 hectares of opium poppy), and it is cultivated less frequently: the majority of farmers who grow it do so every other year, and some even less often. The cultivation of cannabis in Afghanistan thus appears to be self-limiting.56 However, since strong links exist between opium poppy and cannabis cultivation57 and since there is a large pool of farmers who occasionally cultivate cannabis on a commercial basis, there may be significant potential for the substitution of cannabis for opium poppy, if opium poppy cultivation were to become less attractive.
Since 2002, seizures in both Mexico and the United States have followed an upward trend, with a combined total of 3,033 tons seized in 2002 and 3,944 tons seized in 2011 (the total amounts seized reached their highest level 4,655 tons in 2010). In 2009, the amount seized in the United States exceeded the amount seized by the Mexican authorities for the first time. The United States reported that high and increasing levels of domestic eradication could indicate increased domestic production, which is driven by high profitability and demand.59 This is similar to what is observed in Europe, where domestically produced cannabis products seem to be increasingly replacing imported cannabis products. In the United States, eradication of domestic indoor cannabis plants increased from 213,000 in 2002 to 462,000 in 2010; the number of domestic outdoor cannabis plants eradicated more than tripled over the same period, from 3,129,000 in 2002 to 9,867,000 in 2010.60
Fig. 32. Cannabis herb seizures in Mexico and the United States, 2002-2011
2,500 Cannabis herb seizures in (tons) 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Number of domestic indoor sites eradicated
Fig. 33.
Number of domestic indoor cannabis plants and sites eradicated in the United States, 2002-2010
5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
In 2011, the United States reported that the availability of cannabis herb may have increased. The United States attributes this increase to sustained high levels of production in Mexico the primary foreign source of the United States cannabis supply and increased domestic cannabis cultivation.58
56 United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime and Afghanistan, Ministry of Counter-Narcotics, Survey of Commercial Cannabis Cultivation and Production 2011 (September 2012). Available from www.unodc.org/ documents/crop-monitoring/Afghanistan/2011_Afghanistan_Cannabis_Survey_Report_w_cover_small.pdf. 57 To a large extent, farmers who cultivate cannabis in summer also cultivate opium poppy in winter. 58 United States, Department of Justice, National Drug Intelligence Center, National Drug Threat Assessment 2011 (August 2011).
Indoor plants
Indoor sites
59 United States, Department of Justice, National Drug Intelligence 60 United States, Executive Office of the President, Office of National Drug Control Policy, National Drug Control Strategy: Data Supplement 2012 (Washington, D.C., 2012).
C. Cannabis market
27
Map 3.
Cannabis plant eradication in the United States of America between the periods 2005-2007 and 2008-2010
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources .
The number of domestic outdoor cannabis sites eradicated showed a different trend there was an overall decrease until 2008, after which it increased again slightly. The decrease in the number of outdoor sites eradicated together with the strong increase in the number of plants eradicated indicates a larger average size of the sites that were eradicated. This could be an indication of intensive production
Fig. 34. Number of domestic outdoor cannabis plants and sites eradicated in the United States, 2002-2010
Number of domestic outdoor sites eradicated 40,000 35,000 30,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0
(i.e. larger plantations with more plants) and/or a concentration of law enforcement efforts on very large grow sites. The average size of eradicated indoor sites has not changed significantly, indicating that most large-scale cultivation occurs outdoors.
Rest of the world: increased seizures in Latin America and the Caribbean and a continuing trend towards domestically produced cannabis herb in Europe
Most countries in Latin America and the Caribbean have registered increases in seizures of cannabis herb in recent years. Three countries in Latin America (Brazil, Colombia and Paraguay) seized significant quantities of cannabis herb in 2011. In Brazil, the number of seizure cases was roughly the same in 2010 and 2011 (885 and 878 cases, respectively), but the total amount of cannabis herb seized rose from 155 tons in 2010 to 174 tons in 2011, which was the third consecutive increase. In Colombia, the number of seizures increased from 38,876 in 2010 to 41,291 in 2011, and the amount seized rose for the third consecutive year, from 209 tons in 2009 to 255 tons in 2010 and 321 tons in 2011. Whether this
Outdoor plants
Outdoor sites
28
is the result of increased levels of production or increased law enforcement efforts is not clear. In Paraguay, seizures of cannabis herb more than doubled, from 84 tons in 2009 to 171 tons in 2011 (no data are available for 2010). In Europe, the trend towards increased seizures of cannabis herb and decreased seizures of cannabis resin continued, which may be an indication of imported resin being increasingly replaced by domestically produced cannabis. Cannabis resin seizures in the whole region decreased from 566 tons in 2010 to 503 tons in 2011. This was mainly the result of reduced seizures in Spain (decrease of 28 tons), Portugal (decrease of 20 tons) and Turkey (decrease of 8 tons). Cannabis herb seizures increased by 12 per cent, from 164 tons in 2010 to 184 tons in 2011. Nearly all countries in Africa reported the cultivation and seizure of cannabis herb. Nigeria continued to seize the largest quantities of cannabis herb in the region, with 139 tons seized between July 2011 and April 2012.61 The second largest annual seizure totals were in Egypt, whose authorities reported seizing 73 tons of cannabis herb in
Fig. 35.
1200 Seizures in (tons) 1000 800 600 400 200 0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Cannabis (resin)
Cannabis (herb)
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
2011, down from 107 tons in 2010. Seizures of cannabis herb in Mozambique increased from 3 tons in 2010 to 32 tons in 2011, and authorities in Burkina Faso reported seizures of 33 tons of cannabis herb in 2011, nearly double the 17 tons seized in 2009.
61 Information contained in the country report by Nigeria presented at the Twenty-second Meeting of Heads of National Drug Law Enforcement Agencies, Africa, Accra, 25-29 June 2012.
2011
C. Cannabis market
29
Data on numbers of and trends among medical marijuana patients are limited by the absence of a standard method of collecting and disseminating data. Many states have a mandatory registration system of patients; in California, the most populous United States state, registration is voluntary. Only some states, such as Colorado,j provide detailed statistics online. A recent studyk examined a number of state medical marijuana registries as of June 2011 (in states with mandatory registration only) and highlighted some key information about those enrolled in medical marijuana programmes. The study concluded that the majority of persons registered appeared to be young, male and registered for chronic pain. There was a significant difference between states in the proportion of the adult population registered for medical marijuana, ranging from 4.1 per cent (Montana) to 0.07 per cent (Vermont). Possible explanations given for these differences were differences in disease burden, social acceptance of marijuana and ease of marijuana registration and acquisition. The study was limited by a lack of or limited data from several states. There is an ongoing discussion on the impact of medical marijuana laws on overall levels of marijuana use and on risk perception of consumption. Several articles on that topic are listed below. Further reading Sunil K. Aggarwal and others, Medicinal use of cannabis in the United States: historical perspectives, current trends, and future directions, Journal of Opioid Management, vol. 5, No. 3 (2009), pp. 153-168. Magdalena Cerd and others, Medical marijuana laws in 50 states: investigating the relationship between state legalization of medical marijuana and marijuana use, abuse and dependence, Drug and Alcohol Dependence, vol. 120, No. 1 (2012), pp. 22-27. Dennis M. Gorman and Charles Huber, Jr., Do medical cannabis laws encourage cannabis use?, International Journal of Drug Policy, vol. 18, No. 3 (2007), pp. 160-167. Sam Harper, Erin C. Strumpf and Jay S. Kaufman, Do medical marijuana laws increase marijuana use? Replication study and extension, Annals of Epidemiology, vol. 22, No. 3 (2012), pp. 207-212. Shereen Khatapoush and Denise Hallfors, "Sending the wrong message: did medical marijuana legalization in California change attitudes about and use of marijuana?", Journal of Drug Issues, vol. 34, No. 4 (2004), pp. 751-770. Robin Room and others, Cannabis Policy: Moving Beyond Stalemate (Oxford, Oxford University Press, 2010).
a See www.whitehouse.gov/ondcp/state-laws-related-to-marijuana (accessed February 2013). b Mark Eddy, Medical Marijuana: Review and Analysis of Federal and State Policies, Congressional Research Service Report for Congress (2 April 2010). Available from http://assets.opencrs.com/rpts/RL33211_20100402.pdf. c Ibid. d See www.whitehouse.gov/ondcp/state-laws-related-to-marijuana (accessed February 2013). e See www.whitehouse.gov/ondcp/frequently-asked-questions-and-facts-about-marijuana#opposed (accessed February 2013). f Nevada Revised Statutes (NRS), chapter 453A, Medical use of marijuana (http://leg.state.nv.us/NRS/NRS-453A.html). g Oregon, Senate Bill (SB) 161 (www.leg.state.or.us/07reg/measures/sb0100.dir/sb0161.en.html). h New Mexico, Medical Cannabis Program (http://nmhealth.org/mcp (accessed February 2013). i California, Proposition 215 (http://vote96.sos.ca.gov/bp/215text.htm (accessed February 2013)). j See www.colorado.gov/cs/Satellite/CDPHE-CHEIS/CBON/1251593017044 (accessed February 2013). k Daniel W. Bowles, Persons registered for medical marijuana in the United States, Journal of Palliative Medicine, vol. 15, No. 1 (2012), pp. 9-11.
30
trafficked on routes other than the Balkan route (which goes through Iran (Islamic Republic of ) and Turkey to Europe) and the northern route (through Central Asia and the Russian Federation). As these other routes go southward from Afghanistan, either through Pakistan or through Iran (Islamic Republic of ), they are known collectively as the southern route. East Africa may be developing into a hub for onward trafficking, with maritime trafficking playing an increasingly important role compared with trafficking by air and courier. A relatively new route has developed through the Middle East via Iraq, while a stronger flow of Afghan opiates towards East and South-East Asia has been observed. These markets have traditionally been supplied by opiates from within the subregion. Continued inconsistency in the information available from the Americas on opiate production and flows makes an analysis of the situation difficult while Mexico has the greater potential production of opium, it is Colombia that is reported as the main supplier of heroin to the United States. The Canadian market seems to be supplied by producers from Asia. Typically, opium is converted into heroin in or close to the countries where opium poppy is cultivated and, by and large, seizure patterns reflect this. However, opium poppy eradication and opium and morphine seizures are reported in a wide range of countries other than the main opiumproducing countries, albeit usually in comparatively small
Seizures
Only opium Only morphine Both opium and morphine No data available or no ARQ received
62 United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime and Afghanistan, Ministry of Counter-Narcotics, Afghanistan: opium risk assessment 2013 (April 2013).
31
quantities. This phenomenon should be investigated further in order to improve understanding of the global scope of the opiates market.
Fig. 36.
Opium production estimates in Afghanistan before and after revision, and farm-gate prices of dry opium, 2004 to 2012
300 241 250 196 169 125 122 200 150 95 64 4,200 4,100 5,300 7,400 5,900 4,000 3,600 5,800 3,700 100 50 0 Opium price (United States dollars per kilogram)
9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 142 138 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Opium production before revision Opium production after revision Farm-gate price of dry opium at harvest time
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime and Afghanistan, Ministry of Counter-Narcotics, Afghanistan: Opium Survey 2011 (December 2011), pp. 95-97.
However, production fluctuations alone do not explain why opium prices rebounded so strongly after 2010 and remained at a high level of about $200 per kilogram, even after a relatively good harvest in 2011. Other factors, such as changes in trafficking flow, demand or law enforcement, are likely to have played a role, and need to be further investigated.
2012
32
Fig. 37.
Fig. 38.
Heroin retail prices in the United States and Western and Central Europe, 2003-2011
35% 25% Equivalent purity in Western and Central Europe (percentage) 30% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
35 30 25 Tons 20 15 10 5 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Global total (right axis) Iran (Islamic Republic of, left axis) Turkey (left axis) Europe (left axis)
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Equivalent purity (12 countries in West and Central Europe) Purity-adjusted retail price, weighted average, 12 countries in West and Central Europe (euros per pure gram) Bulk price (unadjusted for purity), weighted average, 12 countries in West and Central Europe (euros per gram) Purity-adjusted retail price in the United States ($ per pure gram) Purity-adjusted retail price, weighted average, 12 countries in West and Central Europe ($ per pure gram)
Turkey (by 43 per cent to 7 tons) in 2011, two countries on the Balkan route through which Afghan opiates reach Europe. Interestingly, heroin seizures had already started to decline in 2010 in Turkey and South-East Europe, despite the fact that they are further along the trafficking route than the Islamic Republic of Iran. EMCDDA argues that the decline in seizures reported in Turkey and the European Union in 2010 and 2011 could be a result of changes in both trafficking flows and law enforcement activity.65 The assumption that changes in production levels and in law enforcement activity did indeed lead to changes in the volume of drug flow is also supported by purity figures from Western and Central European countries. In Germany, for example, a clear decline in heroin purity was seen: it was 34.1 per cent at the wholesale level in 2010, having increased steadily from 36.5 per cent in 2005 to 60.3 per cent in 2009.66 The retail level followed a similar pattern from 2005, but reflected the decline in purity one year later, when it fell from 25 per cent in 2010 to only 11 per cent in 2011. Such drops in purity are often associated with the diminished availability of the drug in user markets: traffickers cut the drug with more adulterants or cutting agents to maintain their previous sales volumes.
65 European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction and European Police Office, EU Drug Markets Report: A Strategic Analysis (Luxembourg, Publications Office of the European Union, 2013), p. 30. 66 Tim Pfeiffer-Gerschel and others, 2012 National Report to the EMCDDA by the Reitox National Focal Point: Germany New Developments, Trends and In-Depth Information on Selected Issues (Deutsche Beobachtungsstelle fr Drogen und Drogensucht, 2012), p. 190.
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, data from the annual report questionnaire; Europol; and the United States Office of National Drug Control Policy.
Changes on the demand side have also contributed to a lesser flow of opiates towards Europe. Drug treatment and use indicators suggest that the heroin market, particularly in Western and Central Europe, is undergoing a structural change. Heroin users have a relatively high level of service contact and access to opioid substitution therapy or alternatives to heroin.67 These alternative substances may also be obtained illicitly. In Estonia, for example, heroin users are reported to be using illicit synthetic opioids (fentanyl). Greece, Italy, Latvia, the Russian Federation, Slovakia and Switzerland all reported seizures of 1 kg or more of prescription and other opioids in 2011,68 indicating that this phenomenon is not restricted to Western and Central Europe. All these factors substitution strategies, treatment and low levels of new use represent a combination of longterm structural changes in the user population and shortterm adaptive use strategies. They shed some light on how the heroin user population, particularly in Western and Central Europe, could react to supply fluctuations and a reduced flow of opiates into the region. The heroin seizures reported for 2011 in Western and Central Europe, which are at about the 2010 level, indicate that these changes and strategies, however, may not necessarily continue.
67 European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Annual Report 2012: The State of the Drugs Problem in Europe, p. 73. 68 Annual report questionnaire replies for 2011.
33
Fig. 39.
Amount seized (kilograms)
Fig. 40.
8,000 Amount seized (kilograms) 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0
20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Kazakhstan Turkmenistan
Kyrgyzstan Uzbekistan
Tajikistan
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
The northern route, which is used mainly to supply the heroin market in Central Asia and the Russian Federation, reflects a different pattern. Overall, heroin seizures in Central Asia have been declining since the first decade of the twenty-first century, from an annual average of 5 tons per year during the period 2002-2006 to only 3 tons during the period 2007-2011, while demand in Central Asia and the Russian Federation is thought to be stable or increasing. The small peak in seizures in 2008 seems to reflect the high opium production in Afghanistan in that and the preceding year but did not change the overall declining trend. The link between production in Afghanistan and seizure levels in Central Asia is not evident and other factors are assumed to have played a role.
Data from heroin seizures reported in East Africa between 2010 and 2012 suggest that heroin is trafficked towards the sea borders and ports of Kenya and the United Republic of Tanzania. Later on, it is transported towards South Africa by road. Anecdotal information reveals that traffickers use a number of vessels to traffic opiates from ports in Iran (Islamic Republic of ) and Pakistan to Africa. Dhows and, to a lesser extent, containers are used to reach East Africa, while containers are used more to reach West Africa, particularly Benin and Nigeria.
69 United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, Paris Pact Drug Situation Report: Trafficking in Opiates Originating in Afghanistan (March 2013). 70 Annual report questionnaire.
2011
34
Map 5.
Greece
Iraq
Islamic Republic of Iran Kuwait Pakistan Qatar United Arab Emirates Oman
Israel
Niger Chad
Sudan
Eritrea
Yemen Djibouti
Burkina Faso ) " Benin Dogi Nigeria ) " Ghana ) " ) Cote d'Ivoire " ) " ) " ) " ) " " ) " ) )" " ) " " ) Liberia " )Accra ) " ) Cameroon " ") )
) "
) "
"Douala )
South Sudan
Somalia
Ethiopia
Milimani
Uganda Kenya Rwanda Congo ) " ) " Democratic Burundi Tanga Republic of United ) )" " the Congo Republic " ) " ) " ) of Tanzania
) "
Victoria
" )Lusaka
Malawi
Botswana
Johannesburg
Reunion
" ) ) "
) "
Swaziland ) "
" )
) "
" )
" )
0 250 500
1,000
1,500
km 2,000
Note: The seizures marked with darker colours " were reported by official sources. Those marked with lighter colours " were reported by media sources.
Source: UNODC data from the individual seizures database and UNODC Regional Office for Central Asia, mapping of drug seizures online.
Note: The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The final boundary between the Sudan and South Sudan has not yet been determined.
of opium trafficked by air from Iraq to Canada during the period 2009-2012, including a single 10 kg shipment hidden in car parts.73 Many countries in the Middle East, including Saudi Arabia and the Syrian Arab Republic, have reported increases in opiate seizures to UNODC. Heroin seizures reported by the Syrian Arab Republic were, on average, over 80 kg during the period 2007 to 2011, compared with only 14 kg in the preceding five-year period; the quantity of heroin seized in Saudi Arabia has also increased since 2007, from an average of 1 kg during the period 2002-2007 to 41 kg
73 Canada Border Services Agency, CBSA finds 10 kilos of suspected opium concealed in steel gear, 24 February 2012 (www.cbsa-asfc. gc.ca/media/prosecutions-poursuites/tor/2012-02-24-eng.html).
in 2008, 56 kg in 2010 and 111 kg in 2011.74 Lack of data makes it difficult to define whether these increases imply an increase in heroin use in the region, or whether traffickers are seeking alternative routes (notably to Europe). Finally, large shipments of heroin being trafficked in containers have been seized in the United Arab Emirates, which is a key node with major ports in Dubai, Khawr Fakkan and Abu Dhabi. Trade flow through harbours in the country may be exploited by drug traffickers for their illicit trade. In 2011, Dubai authorities seized 130 kg of heroin en route from Pakistan.75
74 UNODC annual report questionnaire. 75 United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime and World Customs Organization, UNODC-WCO Container Control Programme: year-
35
Fig. 41.
800 Heroin seizures (kilograms) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0
Fig. 42.
Opium production in South-East Asia and heroin seizures and use in China, 2002-2011
1,400 1,200 1,000 800
600 4,000 2,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2011 400 200
0 -
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources and the World Customs Organization.
South-East Asia opium production (tons) (right axis) China heroin seizures (kg) (left axis) China registered heroin users (thousands) (left axis) China registered heroin users (thousands)
Against the trend? The heroin market in East and South-East Asia
The pattern of heroin seizures in East and South-East Asia is quite different to that in Europe. The number of registered heroin users in China is increasing and it appears that opium production in the Lao Peoples Democratic Republic and Myanmar is unable to meet demand. This would indicate that other sources, possibly Afghanistan, are supplying the country with opiates. Seizure trends in China generally follow opium production trends in South-East Asia. Heroin seizures in China reached their lowest levels in 2007 and 2008, which ties in with the low levels of opium production seen in the Lao Peoples Democratic Republic and Myanmar during the period 2005-2006 (factoring in the one-year time lag between the production and seizure of the drug). Subsequently, heroin seizures rose again, following increases in opium production in South-East Asia. However, the number of registered heroin users was much higher than in the first half of the decade, when production levels and seizure levels in South-East Asia were much lower. This could indicate the growing importance of other source regions for the Chinese opiate market, in particular Afghanistan, which registered record harvests in some years when opium production in South-East Asia was low. This indicates a diversification of source regions and thus trafficking routes, which include maritime and courier routes, possibly taking advantage of growing licit trade flows between China and South-West Asia.76 China reports
end report 2011, p. 11 (available from www.unodc.org/documents/ toc/CCP_Year_End_Report_2011.pdf ). 76 For more information on this issue, see United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, Misuse of Licit Trade for Opiate Trafficking in Western and Central Asia: A Threat Assessment (October 2012). More research is needed to get a better understanding of misuse of licit trade for drug
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Fig. 43.
Heroin seizures in selected countries in South-East Asia and Oceania, 20062011 (Kilograms)
800 Heroin seizures (kilograms) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Thailand Indonesia Australia
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
trafficking in China and South-East Asia. 77 Annual report questionnaire replies submitted by Malaysia and Pakistan for 2011.
Malaysia as the second leading country, after Myanmar, from which drugs enter the country, and lists Afghanistan as the second leading source country for opiates entering the country. As the opium production areas in Myanmar border China and there is little need to resort to other trafficking routes, it is not unlikely that Afghan opiates enter China through regional hubs in Malaysia and Thailand via couriers; this is confirmed by statistics from Malaysia and Pakistan.77
36
Fig. 44.
Potential heroin production in Colombia and seizures in Colombia and Mexico, 2007-2011
Fig. 45.
2,000 1,800 1,600 Kilograms 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Wholesale price of heroin (per kilogram)
2007
2008 19,560
2009 21,422
2010 20,421
2011 19,101
22,294 Heroin (wholesale), Colombian pesos per kg (thousands) 10,780 Heroin (wholesale), United States dollars per kg
Potential heroin production (pure) Colombia heroin seizures Mexico heroin seizures
9,950
9,993
10,786
10,348
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources and Illicit Crop Monitoring Programme.
Source: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime and Colombia, Colombia: Coca Cultivation Survey 2011 (June 2012).
The rising levels of heroin seizures in several countries in South-East Asia and Oceania supports the assumption of a growing opiate flow through these regions to known consumer markets such as China and Australia. Owing to a lack of drug use statistics in many South-East Asian countries, it is difficult to assess whether and how this development affects opiate use in those countries.
of heroin (of unknown quality) seized was even larger than the amount of potential production in the country. Allowing for lower purity of the seized heroin, this would indicate a very high seizure rate, which would leave only a small amount of heroin for local consumption and export. Though, with an annual prevalence of only 0.02 per cent among those aged 15-64 years, opiates are not widely used in the country, and the number of estimated opiate users is around 6,000. Official data show a strong decline in opium and heroin production in Colombia over the period 1998-2007 and further declines to 2011. However, heroin prices did not increase. Nominal prices for heroin at the wholesale level were lower in 2011 in both dollars and Colombian pesos, than they were five years before, suggesting that the supply of heroin did not drastically diminish. In comparison, in Mexico, potential heroin production is estimated to be 30 times higher than in Colombia, and heroin seizures reached the Colombian level in 2011. Despite this, and while acknowledging the growing importance of Mexico as a supply country for heroin reaching its market, the United States on the basis of information from its Heroin Signature Program continues to consider Colombia the primary source of heroin in the country,80 although heroin from South-West Asia continues to be available. The United States estimates poppy cultivation
78 Annual report questionnaire replies submitted by Canada for 2011. 79 Annual report questionnaire replies submitted by the United States for 2011.
80 Levamisole and tetramisole were mentioned as cutting agents used in heroin available in the United States (annual report questionnaire replies submitted by the United States for 2011). These substances are known to be used in cocaine manufacture in Colombia, where they are added to export-ready cocaine in clandestine laboratories.
E. Cocaine market
37
in Mexico at 12,000 hectares,81 with a correspondingly higher potential production of heroin.82 It is unclear how Colombia, given its much lower potential production, could supply larger amounts to the United States market than Mexico. This points to heroin production in Colombia having a greater degree of importance than that reflected in the available potential production estimates, and/or different interpretations could be drawn from the United States Heroin Signature Program, since investigative reporting suggests that heroin producers in Mexico maybe using Colombian processing techniques.83
global illicit cultivation of coca bush, potential production of coca leaf and potential manufacture of cocaine can be found in Annex II. After several years of increases since 2005, the Plurinational State of Bolivia saw a decrease in coca bush cultivation of 12 per cent in 2011. The decrease took place in all three growing areas (the Yungas of La Paz, the Cochabamba Tropics (Chapare) and Apolo) and was attributed to efforts by the Government to eradicate coca bushes, specifically in national parks and other areas where the Government prohibits coca bush cultivation, and to achieve a reduction of such cultivation through so-called rationalization a voluntary reduction negotiated with coca farmers in areas where national laws allow and regulate coca bush cultivation. Colombia and Peru, on the other hand, experienced small increases in the area under coca bush cultivation. However, the small nominal increase in area in Colombia should be interpreted with caution, as a determination of whether the 2011 figure was statistically different from 2010 cannot be made under the applied methodology. In Colombia, cocaine manufacture was estimated to be slightly lower in 2011 than in 2010, as the per-hectare yield decreased from 4.6 tons of fresh coca leaf per year in 2010 to 4.2 tons in 2011 and, as a result, total production of fresh coca leaf decreased by 14 per cent to 263,800 tons in 2011. For the first time, an estimate of coca bush cultivation in Peru with the reference date of 31 December is presented to improve the comparability of cultivation figures among countries.84 This estimate takes into account eradication that happened after the acquisition of satellite imagery, the main data source for the coca area estimate, and the end of the survey year. It represents the net area under coca bush cultivation on 31 December in Peru (62,500 ha) and is lower than the estimates interpreted from satellite imagery collected in the preceding months (64,400 ha). Since the net area under coca bush cultivation on 31 December is a concept also used by Colombia, this development improves the comparability of estimates between the two countries. However, for comparisons with past years the previously published estimated area interpreted from satellite imagery was used for the global coca bush cultivation estimate to maintain consistency in the historical series of estimates. A comparison of the long-term trends in cultivation of coca bush and manufacture of cocaine suggests that the noticeable decline in the total area under cultivation that occurred between 2001 and 2003, which essentially determined a transition between two relatively stable periods (before and after 2002), was offset by an increase in efficiency in the manufacturing chain from coca bush to cocaine hydrochloride. Indeed, while the estimated total
84 For a discussion of different area concepts and the effect of eradication on comparability see World Drug Report 2012, pp. 41 and 42.
E. COCAINE MARKET
Global trends in the main supply indicators
Most indicators, including cultivation of coca bush, manufacture of cocaine, seizures of cocaine and prevalence estimates in the major consumer countries, suggest that in recent years the cocaine market has, on the whole, been declining. This finding primarily reflects the situation in North America, where the cocaine market declined significantly over the period 2006-2012, and, to a lesser extent, in Western and Central Europe, where the cocaine market appears to have stabilized following many years of growth. In contrast, over the past decade the prevalence of cocaine use appears to have increased in several regions with large populations, notably South America, but also, to a lesser extent, Africa and Asia. Globally, this has resulted in a shift in the demand for cocaine. Moreover, several regions not previously associated with large-scale use of or trafficking in cocaine have shown signs of emerging as markets for cocaine. There is no certainty that cocaine use will remain concentrated in the Americas, Europe and Oceania. In Africa and Asia, which account for the majority of the worlds population, the prevalence rate of cocaine use, while still low, holds the potential to grow. In the long term, the growth in global population maybe a major driving force in setting the trend for global demand.
38
Fig. 46.
2.5
Comparison of long-term trends in coca bush cultivation and cocaine manufacture, 1990-2011
Total cultivation of coca bush Total cocaine manufacture, without change in conversion factors for Bolivia (Plurinational State of) and amanufacture, without change in Total cocaine Perua conversion factors for Bolivia (Plurinational State Total cocaine of) and Peru amanufacture, with change in conversion factors for all three major producing countries Total cocaine manufacture, with change in conversion factors for all three major producing countries Implied overall yield (ratio of manufacture to cultivation), without change in conversion factors for Bolivia (Plurinational State of) and Peru to Implied overall yield (ratio of manufacture cultivation), without change in conversion factors Implied overall yield (ratio of manufacture for Bolivia (Plurinational State of) and Peru to cultivation), with change in conversion factors for all threeoverall major producing countries Implied yield (ratio of manufacture to cultivation), with change in conversion factors for all three major producing countries
1.5
0.5
0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
area under cultivation in 2011 stood at three quarters of the level in 1990, the quantity of cocaine manufactured in 2011 was at least as high as the level in 1990 based on the lower estimate, with the higher estimate being equivalent to an increase of slightly more than a third. The cultivation and manufacture estimates imply an average overall yield of 4.2 kg of cocaine per hectare of coca bush over the period 1990-2001, and an average range of 5.16.8 kg per hectare over the period 2009-2011.
people used cocaine at least once in the past year, equivalent to 0.37 per cent of the global population aged 15-64 (as of 2011). For an extended period, global demand for cocaine was dominated by two major consumer markets: North America and Western and Central Europe. Today, these two markets together are estimated to account for approximately one half of cocaine users globally. The extent of cocaine use appears to have been contained recently in both of these well-established markets. However, a comparison of the currently estimated number of cocaine users with users for the period 2004-2005 (see World Drug Report 2006, United Nations publication, Sales No. E.06. XI.10), based on the information available to UNODC at
Distribution of cocaine users (annual prevalence), gures for 2011 compared with gures for the period 2004-2005
2004-2005 2% 7% 8% 15% 25% 49% 21% 27% 2011
24% 15%
North America Latin America and the Caribbean Western and Central Europe Eastern and South-Eastern Europe Africa Asia Oceania
North America Latin America and the Caribbean Western and Central Europe Eastern and South-Eastern Europe Africa Asia Oceania
E. Cocaine market
39
Fig. 48.
Number of people who have used cocaine in the past year, gures for 2011 compared with gures for the period 2004-2005
7 Millions of users (past year) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 North America Latin America Western and Eastern and South-Eastern Central and the Europe Europe Caribbean Africa Asia Oceania 2004-2005 2011
the time, indicates a significant increase in Africa, Asia, Oceania, Latin America85 and the Caribbean and Eastern and South-Eastern Europe.26 Several factors may be contributing to the increased importance of the markets of Africa, Asia, Oceania, Latin America and the Caribbean and Eastern and South-Eastern Europe. Apart from the social, psychological and cultural factors that may influence the use of an illicit substance such as cocaine, one other factor that may influence the extent of cocaine use or indeed the use of any other drug - is the so-called spillover effect, whereby the ready availability of a drug, relatively low prices and proximity to source in production and transit countries may play a role in driving up its use. In the case of cocaine, this may apply in particular to Latin America and, to a lesser extent, West and Central Africa. The latest UNODC estimates indicate that, as at 2011, Latin America, the Caribbean and Africa collectively account for 6.2 million users (or 36 per cent of the global total). Another factor which could determine changes in demand relates to the geographic distribution of the global population. The relatively stable markets of Western and Central Europe and North America account for only 14 per cent of the global population aged 15-64, so that even a minor change in the prevalence rate outside these markets can result in a major shift in global demand. UNODC estimates annual prevalence rates of 1.3 per cent for South America, 0.43 per cent for Africa and 0.05 per cent for Asia, all of which represent significant increases in comparison with its assessment of these rates for the period 2004-2005 (respectively, 0.7 per cent, 0.2 per cent and 0.01 per cent). The prevalence rates for Asia and Africa continue to be low compared with the established cocaine
85 In accordance with the classification used by UNODC, Mexico is included with North America rather than Latin America.
markets, so the potential for further growth cannot be discounted. A related factor that could drive the demand for cocaine (or any other drug), if all other factors remain unchanged, is the sheer growth in global population and the consequent growth in the number of potential users. Indeed, given the relative stability of prevalence rates, global population appears to be, in and of itself, a reasonable indicator for the number of cocaine users. However, the impact of this can be seen more in the absolute number of users rather than their geographic distribution; despite the fact that countries in Asia and Africa tend to have higher population growth rates than countries in North America and Western and Central Europe, the proportion of the global population aged 15-64 in Asia and Africa together stood at 74 per cent in 2005 and had not yet reached 75 per cent by 2011. Annual prevalence estimates of cocaine use reflect in part the scale of cocaine consumption, but these figures must be supplemented with other information. Firstly, the availability of data from Africa and Asia is limited, in part because cocaine use in these regions has so far been low and limited to a few countries and therefore possibly has not been perceived as a major threat; hence the corresponding levels of uncertainty are especially pronounced. Secondly, changes in the estimates may be driven partly by improvements in the methodology of UNODC and new national estimates that have become available. Thirdly, the average per capita consumption of cocaine by users needs to be determined by taking into account the significant variation among different countries in the prevalent culture and changing patterns in the use of different forms of
86 A moderate increase in the number of users can also be seen for Western and Central Europe, but it is believed that this does not reflect the recent, shorter-term trend.
40
Fig. 49.
Annual prevalence (Percentage of population aged 15-64)
Global population aged 15-64 and corresponding annual prevalence of cocaine use, 2011
3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 West and Central Europe Eastern and South-East Europe South and Central America and the Caribbean North America Oceania Africa Asia Population aged 15-64 (Millions) 1.80 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00
Source: UNODC estimates (prevalence rates); United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (population).
cocaine (such as crack cocaine as opposed to cocaine salts), in associated modes of administration (snorting, smoking and injecting) and even in the nature of the consumed product, with reports suggesting that cocaine is increasingly adulterated and cut with a variety of substances. Cocaine use is often perceived to be more prevalent within the more affluent segments of society and the more affluent countries. As discussed above, the extent of cocaine use may be influenced by numerous factors, and wealth may not be foremost among them; there are several examples of wealthy countries with low prevalence rates and less wealthy countries with higher prevalence rates. Moreover, for certain forms of cocaine, notably some forms of cocaine base consumed in South America, a typical dose is significantly less expensive than a typical dose of cocaine salt. Nevertheless, although these are macro-level indicators, a comparison of national prevalence rate estimates with gross domestic product (GDP) per capita suggests that, while a relationship between these variables is difficult to ascertain at a global level, within certain regional groupings, notably those with less established or developing consumer markets, the suggestion of a correlation between disposable income and cocaine use may not be entirely groundless. More generally, such a link may possibly be observed within certain groups of countries that are relatively uniform in terms of other relevant parameters, such as those of a geographic, historical and even cultural nature. If indeed an association between an increase in disposable income and the risk of cocaine use were to be demonstrated, notwithstanding the other contributing factors, this would again point to Asia, with several highly populated countries registering strong and sustained economic performance, as a region exposed to potential increased cocaine use. However, other socioeconomic aspects may also have a bearing; in the case of European countries with an established
cocaine market, for example, the human development index appears to be more relevant than GDP. Although the data is inconclusive, it suggests that further investigation of the relationships between illicit drug use and socioeconomic parameters may be warranted.
E. Cocaine market
41
Fig. 50.
Cocaine prevalence compared with gross domestic product (per capita), 2009-2011
Fig. 51.
2.5 Annual prevalence (percentage of population aged 15-64) 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 0
Cocaine prevalence compared with human development index in European countries with an established consumer market,a 2009-2011
2.5
2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0.87 0.89 0.91 0.93 0.95 Human development index Line of best fit
1.5
0.5
GDP per capita, US$ Latin America and the Caribbean Eastern and Southern Europea Line of best fit, Latin America and the Caribbean Line of best fit, Eastern and Southern Europe
Source: UNODC (prevalence rates); and IMF (gross domestic product per capita).
a Classification of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Statistics Division.
In both South America and Central America, when seizure quantities and the number of cocaine users are expressed as a proportion of the global totals, cocaine seizures clearly outperform cocaine use, in keeping with the role of these regions as source and transit regions. In the stable and wellestablished consumer markets of North America and Western and Central Europe, the relationship is inverted but the discrepancy is moderate, with the share of cocaine use only slightly more than double that of cocaine seizures at most (in the case of Western and Central Europe). In the developing and possibly the emerging markets, on the other hand, cocaine use outperforms cocaine seizures by far; in other words, the amount of seized cocaine per user is significantly lower than in North America or Western and Central Europe (see figure 54). Trends in total seizures confirm the picture of stability or decline in the major production, consumer and transit regions, with pronounced upward trends being registered in regions where cocaine consumption has so far been limited, notably East Africa, Eastern Europe, South Asia and East and South-East Asia. A strong increase was also registered in Oceania, particularly in Australia, where cocaine use is already significant.
These depend also on other factors such as per capita consumption, seizures and purity of cocaine seized. Taking these elements into account would require improved and detailed knowledge of the parameters, but would likely result in the trend being adjusted downwards, for both supply and demand.
42
Fig. 52.
1.7 1.6 Index (baseline 1990) 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1 0.9 0.8
Comparison on long-term trends in main global cocaine supply and demand indicators, 1990-2011
Total cocaine manufacture, without change in conversion factors, for Bolivia (Plurinational State of) and Peru a a Total cocaine manufacture, with change in conversion factors, for all three major producing countries Global population, aged 15-64 Estimated number of cocaine users (annual prevalence)b Estimated number of cocaine users (annual prevalence)
Source: UNODC international crop monitoring programme (manufacture estimates) and estimates (prevalence rates); United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (population data).
a As of 2005, new conversion factors have been applied to Colombia. Although the transition may have been gradual, UNODC believes that the new factors reflect real improvements in efficiency in Colombia. The value for 2004, which represents a significant increase, is based on the old conversion factors. b Direct estimates for years prior to 1996 were not available. For 1990-1995, the prevalence rate is assumed to be constant at the 1996 level.
Fig. 53.
800 700 600 500 Tons 400 300 200 100 0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Fig. 54.
Comparison on cocaine seizures and number of cocaine users, as proportion of global total, by subregion
100.00%
rth rica No me ca i d r A n f ia ta lA As es ra e st W ent a op E South C ur 10.00% ht E America l Eastern and ou a ra S t i / South-Eastern n n st Ce Europe Ea cea d O an Near & Middle East/ rn te 1.00% South-West Asia es Caribbean W Central America North Africa
0.10%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0.01% 0.01%
0.10%
1.00%
10.00%
100.00%
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Share of seizures, 2010-2011 (Percentage, logarithmic scale) Threshold of equality between share of seizures and share of consumption Threshold: share of consumption equals 4 timesa share of seizures Potential emerging or developing consumer markets Major producing and transit regions Stable consumer markets
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources and estimates (number of users).
a This value is chosen empirically, rather than on the basis of any theoretical consideration.
Colombia also suggests that the Atlantic route has gained in importance in comparison with the Pacific route. Seizures by United States authorities along the south-west border increased over the period 2008-2011; in contrast, seizures in Mexico in 2010 and 2011 stood at approximately one fifth of the peak level of 2007. Brazil, with its extensive land borders with all three major source countries for cocaine, a large population, significant levels of use of both cocaine salt and crack cocaine and a long coastline affording easy access to the Atlantic ocean for onward trafficking to Africa and Europe, plays an important role in the global cocaine market as both a destination and a transit country.
In 2011, more than half of the cocaine seized in Brazil originated in the Plurinational State of Bolivia (54 per cent), followed by Peru (38 per cent) and Colombia (7.5
E. Cocaine market
43
Fig. 55.
Fig. 57.
260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
North America South America Central America Central Asia and Transcaucasian countries Caribbean West and Central Africa South-Eastern Europea
-300%
-200%
-100%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
700%
800%
0%
Percentage decrease/increase
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Note: Due to lack of available data, the subregion of southern Africa is not included. a The decline in South-Eastern Europe is mainly due to a single large seizure in Romania in 2009, and may not necessarily reflect the trend in cocaine trafficking in South-Eastern Europe.
United States, total seizures Colombia, total seizures on Pacific and Atlantic routes Colombia, other seizures United States, total seizures at sea Colombia, seizures on Pacific route Colombia, seizures on Atlantic route
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Fig. 56.
Annual prevalence of cocaine use and cocaine seizures in the United States, 2000-2011
200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2.6% 2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
general population. According to a study90 conducted among college students in the 27 Brazilian state capitals, the annual prevalence of cocaine use among college students stood at 3 per cent. The estimated prevalence of cocaine use among the general population is estimated at 1.75% and is also consistent with the trend of increasing cocaine use in Brazil. Brazil is also a point of transit for cocaine consignments trafficked to West and Central Africa and Europe, notably the Iberian peninsula. It appears that the linguistic and cultural ties with Portugal and lusophone countries in Africa play a role in this phenomenon, as Brazil occurs more frequently as a country of provenance among individual cocaine consignments seized by Portugal than those reported by Spain. In the case of seizures reported by Portugal, the frequency of Brazil as the country of provenance also rose markedly from 2008 to 2009.
Cocaine seizures, 2-year moving average (right axis) Annual prevalence of cocaine use among population aged 12 years and older (left axis)
Developments in Europe
In parallel with the trend in the United States, cocaine seizures in Western and Central Europe declined rapidly from the peak level of 2006, and appear to have stabilized at a lower level. A similar trend, starting in 2008, was seen in the estimated average purity of cocaine, based on price and purity data from 14 countries in Western and Central Europe. Estimations of the purity-adjusted prices in these countries, however, suggest that the reduction in availability was not as pronounced as in the United States; moreo90 Brazil, National Secretariat for Drug Policies, 1st Nationwide Survey on the Use of Alcohol, Tobacco and other Drugs among College Students in the 27 Brazilian State Capitals (Brasilia, 2010).
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
per cent).89 The Plurinational State of Bolivia, the only country among the three major source countries not to have direct access to the open sea, identified Brazil as the foremost planned destination for seized cocaine.
44
Fig. 58.
Distribution of countries of provenance of individual seizures of cocaine-type drugs reported by Portugal and Spain, by number of seizures, 2007-2011
Portugal Spain 100% 80% Percentage 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 60% 40% 20% 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Rest of the world East and South-East Asia Western and Central Africa, excluding lusophone countries Spanish-speaking Americas Lusophone Africa Brazil
100% Percentage 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Rest of the world East and South-East Asia Western and Central Africa, excluding lusophone countries Spanish-speaking Americas Lusophone Africa Brazil
Spain, an important transit and consumer country for cocaine in Europe, registered a pattern similar to that observed in the United States, with seizures falling steadily between 2006 and 2011, and the prevalence estimates for 2009 and 2011 also showing distinct declines. Prevalence data for England and Wales also showed a decline from an annual prevalence rate of 3.0 per cent among the population aged 16-59 in 2008/09 to 2.2 per cent in 2011/12. Cocaine use and trafficking in Eastern and South-Eastern Europe has so far been limited. However, some countries in these regions have registered recent increases or fluctuations in cocaine seizures. Turkey attributed the recent increase in cocaine seizures to its role as a destination country and its more recent role as a transit country. Reports on the provenance of cocaine in 2010 and 2011 from Albania, Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Turkey and Ukraine, taken together, point to the possible emergence of cocaine trafficking routes overlapping to some extent with the established Balkan route for heroin trafficking and being used to convey limited quantities of cocaine to Central and Eastern Europe. The overlap between cocaine and heroin trafficking routes may begin in Turkey, or possibly also closer to the destina-
Tons
ver, the purity-adjusted price in Western and Central Europe remains moderately higher than in the United States. Prevalence data from some of the major consumer countries in Western Europe corroborate the general picture of a decline in the cocaine market. However, other parts of Europe with a limited market for cocaine have shown signs of a possible emergence as consumer or transit countries.
Fig. 59.
140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Spain Portugal Belgium b United Kingdom Kingdomb Ireland Rest of Western and Central Europe
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
a Includes cocaine salts, base, paste and crack. b For 2011, the quantity for the United Kingdom covers England and Wales only (and refers to the financial year 2011/12).
tion, such as the port of Constanta in Romania. Austria has concluded, based on drug seizures made in 2011, that 10 per cent of cocaine entered its territory via the Balkan
2011
E. Cocaine market
45
Fig. 60.
300 250 200 Prices 150 100 50 0
Cocaine retail prices in the United States and Western and Central Europe, 2003-2011
Equivalent purity in West and Central Europe (percentage) 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Equivalent purity (14 countries in Western and Central Europe) Purity-adjusted retail price, weighted average, 14 countries in Western and Central Europe ($ per pure gram) Purity-adjusted retail price, weighted average, 14 countries in Western and Central Europe (Euros per pure gram) Purity-adjusted retail price in the United States ($ per pure gram) Bulk price (unadjusted for purity), weighted average, 14 countries in Western and Central Europe (Euros per gram)
Source: Estimates based on annual report questionnaire and data from Europol and the United States Office of National Drug Control Policy.
Fig. 61.
3.5% Annual prevalence (percentage) 3.0% 2.5% 2.0%
The provenance of cocaine entering Europe along this route appears to vary. Frequently, cocaine transits Africa before reaching South-Eastern Europe, and the involvement of West African nationals is common. In other cases, traffickers obtain cocaine directly from South America, frequently from Brazil. Limited but non-negligible amounts of cocaine have also been seized in the Syrian Arab Republic, Lebanon and, notably, Israel, which registered an increase in 2011; hence a link between this emerging route and the Near and Middle East cannot be excluded. Another area of Europe that has shown signs of a possible expansion of the cocaine market is that of the Baltic countries. Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania each registered a spike in cocaine seizures in 2010. This included significant quantities being trafficked into these countries by sea. Reports suggest that some of the cocaine reaching the Baltic States is trafficked further to Eastern Europe and possibly Scandinavia. Based on expert perceptions, Estonia reported recent increases in the use of cocaine in its own consumer market.
a 2005 2005a
b 2007 2007b
1999
2001
2003
2009
Cocaine seizures, 2-year moving average (right axis) Annual prevalence of cocaine use among population aged 15-64 (left axis)
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources; annual report questionnaire and EMCDDA (prevalence).
a Only one prevalence estimate was available for the reference period 2005-2006. b Only one prevalence estimate was available for the reference period 2007-2008.
2011
91 Turkish National Police, Department of Anti-Smuggling and Organized Crime, Turkish Report of Anti-Smuggling and Organized Crime, 2011 (Ankara, March 2012).
route. According to Turkish authorities,91 certain large organizations in Turkey known to have been involved in heroin trafficking in the past have shifted their operations in part to cocaine smuggling. In addition to seizures made at airports Turkish law enforcement agencies made larger seizures of cocaine found in containers and maritime vessels in 2011.
46
Fig. 62.
1400 Cocaine seizures (kilograms) 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
Cocaine seizures in selected countries in Europe with previously limited cocaine markets registering recent increases or uctuations, 2005-2011
450 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Cocaine seizures (kilograms) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Romaniaa Romania b
Turkey
Russian Federation
Bulgaria
Estonia
Latvia
Lithuania
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
a The high level of seizures in Romania in 2009 was mainly due to a single large seizure in the port of Constanta.
Fig. 63.
Cocaine seizures, 2-year moving average (right axis) Annual prevalence of cocaine use among population aged 14 years and older (left axis)
and Central Europe. South Africa and Nigeria have both had a sizeable consumer market for cocaine for some time, and both of these countries also play a significant role as transit countries. By 2007, West Africa had acquired an important role as a transhipment hub for cocaine trafficked from South America to Europe. Although the importance of this role may have since receded, the cocaine market in Africa may have grown more complex. West African nationals remain prominent among traffickers and organized networks smuggling cocaine (as well as other drugs) to various destinations. The routes from West Africa to Europe may have shifted away from flights to European airports and the northbound maritime routes along the African coast that prevailed in 2007 to land trafficking routes. The availability of cocaine in West Africa and along the land trafficking routes may also have fuelled an increase in cocaine use in West and North Africa; over the period 2009-2011, Algeria, Burkina Faso, Cte dIvoire and Morocco each reported increases in cocaine use based on expert perceptions, and the latest changes reported by Ghana and Togo (relative to 2008) also indicated rising cocaine use. The prevalence rate in Kenya, while probably still lower than in Nigeria or South Africa, implies a sizeable consumer market of its own, and there are indications that East Africa may have acquired increased importance as a destination or as a transit region. The United Republic of Tanzania reported seizures of 65 kg in 2010, a level which, although small, significantly exceeds those recorded in previous years. Although comprehensive data from the United Republic of Tanzania for 2011 were not available, the partial total had reached 85 kg by April 2011. It is not clear whether these quantities were intended for the consumer market in East Africa or possibly other destinations. The provenance of cocaine in East Africa was also not clear, but in addition to West Africa, the Gulf region, itself a region with a limited but possibly growing market, has also
a 1998 1998a
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources
a Seizure data for 1997 from Australia were not available; hence the 19971998 average could not be calculated.
cocaine use among the population aged 14 and over was estimated at 2.1 per cent in 2010, up from 1.6 per cent in 2007 and 1.0 per cent in 2004. This suggests that the cocaine consumer market in Australia has expanded, and there is currently no evidence to show that the increasing trend has stabilized.
2010
E. Cocaine market
47
Fig. 64.
900 Cocaine seizures (kilograms)
Cocaine seizures in selected countries in Africa and Asia with previously limited cocaine markets registering recent increases or uctuations, 2005-2011
90 Cocaine seizures (kilograms) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hong Kong, Philippines China Israel Pakistan Japan Saudi Saudi Arabia Arabia United United United United Kenyaaa Arab Republic Arab Republic of a Tanzaniab Emiratesa Emirates of 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: UNODC, data from annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
a For Kenya and the United Arab Emirates, comprehensive seizure data for 2011 were not available. b For 2011, the quantity for the United Republic of Tanzania covers January-April only.
92 Country report by Hong Kong, China, presented at the Thirty-sixth Meeting of Heads of National Drug Law Enforcement Agencies, Asia and the Pacific, Bangkok, 30 October-2 November 2012. 93 UNODC and Pakistan, Drug use in Pakistan 2013: technical summary report.
Among the markets with the potential for growth in the extent of cocaine use, that of East and South-East Asia arguably presents the greatest risk of expansion. Seizures in Hong Kong, China, rose sharply to almost 600 kg in 2010 and had topped 800 kg by 2011. According to authorities in Hong Kong, China,92 recent seizures included single cases of 649 kg, 567 kg and 147 kg. In 2011, an increase of slightly more than 10 per cent was recorded in the number of registered cocaine users, and there were 11 cases of small-scale processing to obtain crack cocaine (probably starting from cocaine salt). The Philippines has also seized relatively large quantities of cocaine in recent years, some of which was recovered from a shipment that was likely intended for Hong Kong, China. Thailand, a country with a large consumer market for stimulants (specifically ATS) but, so far, limited cocaine use, also identified the Philippines among the transit countries for cocaine reaching its territory, in addition to Pakistan, another country which recorded uncharacteristically high cocaine seizures in 2010. A recent survey on drug use in Pakistan confirms the emergence of limited use of cocaine in Pakistan.93
emerged as a possible source. The United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia have both registered increased seizures of cocaine in recent years. Uganda, as well as Poland and Thailand, identified the United Arab Emirates as a transit country for seized cocaine reaching their territory in 2011, and Yemen identified the Comoros as a destination. Qatar was also identified as a transit country by Japan, which has in turn increased its seizures of cocaine.
Fig. 65.
Trends in ination-adjusted cocaine retail prices, in local currency, selected countries and territories in Asia, 2005-2011
1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Hong Kong, China Israel Philippines Indonesia Japan Thailand
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and information provided by Governments (prices), IMF (consumer price indices).
Despite these signs of a tentative emerging cocaine market, limited price data from countries in Asia does not suggest any significant increases in availability (although they would be compatible in some cases with a possible increase in demand), with the possible exception of Japan, where the typical retail price in 2011 decreased moderately between 2008 and 2011.
48
Mexico Belize
Guatemala
Honduras
El Salvador
0 50 100 km
Nicaragua
Source: UNODC, Transnational Organized Crime in Central America and the Caribbean: A Threat Assessment (September 2012).
49
Fig. 66.
130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Weight (tons)
73 56 54 60 63
66
71 59
74
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources. a Including seized amphetamine, ecstasy-type substances, methamphetamine, non-specified amphetamine-type stimulants, other stimulants and prescription stimulants. For the categories of other stimulants and prescription stimulants, seizures reported by weight or volume only are included.
Methamphetamine accounts for 71 per cent of global ATS seizures and, as in previous years, most of the worlds methamphetamine seizures (61 per cent) are reported by countries in North America. After a significant surge in methamphetamine seizures in Mexico in 2010, seizures doubled again from 13 tons to 31 tons, making it the
2011
50
Fig. 67.
35 Amount seized (tons) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
Fig. 68.
100 90 Amount seized (tons) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
51 30 32 38 21 25 15 2002 11 2003 2004 9 2005 8 8 12 2008 15 2009 2010 0.1 Russian Federation 2011 2 0.9 Syrian Arab Republic Jordan Saudi Arabia 21 26 19 28 32 54
13
15 10
14 10 6 1 4
2006
Mexico
United States
Thailand
China
World total
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
country where the most methamphetamine was seized. East and South-East Asia also continue to make up a significant share of the global methamphetamine market, with the highest seizures reported from China (10 tons in 2010 to 14 tons in 2011), Indonesia (354 kg to 1 ton), Malaysia (920 kg to 1 ton) and Thailand (6 tons to 10 tons). Methamphetamine laboratories were reported by all regions. Most methamphetamine laboratories continue to be reported by the United States, where their numbers quadrupled from 2,754 in 2010 to 11,116 in 2011. In North America, Mexico and Canada reported 159 and 35 laboratories respectively, both showing an upward trend compared with 2010. In addition, 350 laboratories were reported by countries in Europe, most of them by the Czech Republic, where 338 laboratories were identified. To compound the situation, new methamphetamine laboratories have been reported by some countries for the first time. The dismantling of one methamphetamine laboratory was reported by Belgium and four such laboratories were seized in the Russian Federation. Poland saw a reemergence of the existence of methamphetamine laboratories with the identification of two laboratories for the first time since 2007. Clandestine manufacture is also taking place in Oceania, with 109 methamphetamine laboratories reported by New Zealand. Amphetamine seizures were also on the increase in 2011, the most significant taking place in the Near and Middle East and South-West Asia, from 14 tons in 2010 to 20 tons in 2011. As in previous years, the highest amphetamine seizures were registered by Saudi Arabia (11 tons), the Syrian Arab Republic (4 tons) and Jordan (4 tons). Total seizures rose by 55 per cent, from 20 tons in 2010 to 31 tons in 2011, after having declined in 2010. Increases were reported by all regions. In Europe, particularly in the Russian Federation, seizures of amphetamines increased from 142 kg in 2010 to more than 2 tons in 2011. Laboratory
Fig. 69.
12 10 8 6
4 4 2 0 2
2007
North America
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Note: With the exception of the Russian Federation, which reported seizures in powder form, all other countries shown in this table seized amphetamines in pill form (mostly Captagon).
activity was reported to have increased in Belarus, where nine laboratories were seized in 2011 after none had been reported in 2010 and two in 2009. At the global level, the number of reported amphetamine laboratories remained largely stable, with 131 laboratories uncovered in 2011 compared with 103 in 2010. Europe accounted for most laboratories (69 laboratories) seized worldwide. With regard to the Near and Middle East region, where most of the worlds amphetamine seizures are made, Lebanon reported the seizure of three laboratories manufacturing amphetamine base and two Captagon94 laboratories.
94 Captagon was originally the trade name for fenetylline, a synthetic stimulant. Analysis of seized Captagon pills show that most contain amphetamine and other ingredients such as caffeine and theophylline.
51
Fig. 70.
1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
highest level during the past five years, an indication that the ATS market has become more diversified. In 2011, a total of approximately 8.8 tons of crystalline methamphetamine were seized in the region, representing a 28 per cent increase over the approximately 7 tons seized in 2010. Record-level seizures were reported in a number of countries during the year. In 2011, more than 1 ton of crystalline methamphetamine was seized in Malaysia, representing a 39 per cent increase compared with 2010 and the highest total ever reported by the country. Indonesia seized more than 1 ton of crystalline methamphetamine in 2011, the highest total reported during the past five years. Seizures in Thailand reached a record high of more than 1 ton in 2011, much higher than the 706 kg seized in 2010. Record seizures were also reported from Cambodia (19 kg) and Singapore (14 kg), although the amounts seized were comparatively low by regional standards. The largest portion of crystalline methamphetamine seizures continued to be made in China, where more than 4 tons seized in 2011 accounted for half of the regional total.
Fig. 71.
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
United States
Netherlands
Turkey
France
There are indications of possible ecstasy manufacture in Mexico, with 2,500 litres of safrole, one of the principal precursors of MDMA, seized at an airport in 2011 and three shipments of safrole reported as suspicious since June 2010.95 Large quantities of methylamine, a non-scheduled chemical, which can be used in the manufacture of ecstasy as well as methamphetamine, have been seized in Mexico with a total of 154,000 litres reportedly seized by mid2011.96 The number of ecstasy laboratories remained stable (39 laboratories), with the existence of ecstasy laboratories mainly reported by Oceania, East and South-East Asia and North America. With respect to seizures, the global level of ecstasy seizures has been stable or declining since 2008. At 3.6 tons, compared with 3.8 tons in 2010, seizures of ecstasy-type substances decreased by 5 per cent in 2011, reflecting fewer seizures reported by Canada and China. However, seizures rose in Europe and Oceania. Most ecstasy was seized in the United States, the Netherlands and France.
Indonesia
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Source: Based on data collected by the Drug Abuse Information Network for Asia and the Pacific including data for Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Japan, the Laos People Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, the Republic of Korea, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam.
Increased seizures of crystalline methamphetamine in East and South-East Asia point to a more diversified market for amphetaminetype stimulants
Traditionally, methamphetamine pills are the most widespread ATS in East and South-East Asia. In 2011, however, seizures of crystalline methamphetamine reached their
95 European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction and European Police Office, EU Drug Markets Report: A Strategic Analysis. 96 Precursors and Chemicals Frequently Used in the Illicit Manufacture of Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances: Report of the International Narcotics Control Board for 2011 on the Implementation of Article 12 of the United Nations Convention against Illicit Traffic in Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances of 1988 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.12.XI.4).
97 Presentation by the Central Committee for Drug Abuse Control of Myanmar at the Global Synthetics Monitoring: Analysis, Reporting and Trends (SMART) Programme regional workshop, Phnom Penh, 24 and 25 July 2012.
With respect to methamphetamine pills (yaba), the eastern Shan State in Myanmar remains a key source in the region. In 2011, authorities in Myanmar seized a small number of pill pressing machines and related equipment used to make methamphetamine pills from two separate clandestine methamphetamine manufacturing facilities.97 However, the low number of manufacturing operations dismantled is inconsistent with the high amount of seizures made. Methamphetamine pills produced in Myanmar are trafficked to neighbouring countries, particularly China, the Lao Peoples Democratic Republic and Thailand. To a lesser extent, methamphetamine pills are also smuggled to
52
Fig. 72.
Source: Based on data collected by the Drug Abuse Information Network for Asia and the Pacific, the National Narcotics Control Commission of China, the Office of the Narcotics Control Board of Thailand, and the Standing Office on Drugs and Crime of Viet Nam.
Bangladesh, where seizures of methamphetamine pills have increased, from 812,716 methamphetamine pills in 2010 to 1,4 million methamphetamine pills in 2011. In 2011, seizures of methamphetamine pills remained high in East and South-East Asia, a total of 122.8 million methamphetamine pills were seized. While this figure represents a 9 per cent decrease compared with the 134.4 million pills seized in 2010, it is 33 per cent higher than the 92.1 million pills seized in 2009 and a five-and-a-half fold increase compared with the 2007 figure (22.4 million pills seized). In 2011, the number of pills seized in China (61.9 million), Thailand (49.4 million), Myanmar (5.9 million) and the Lao Peoples Democratic Republic (4.6 million) accounted for 98 per cent of the total seizures during the year (as these four countries did in 2010). The largest relative increases were reported by Cambodia (189 per cent), Myanmar (169 per cent) and Singapore (120 per cent), although the number of methamphetamine pills seized is low by regional standards. Viet Nam also reported a large increase (65 per cent) in methamphetamine pill seizures in 2011, with 366,000 synthetic drug pills seized, most of which were likely to have been methamphetamine pills. However, methamphetamine pill seizure data are not uniformly reported from Viet Nam, making year-by-year comparisons for that country difficult. Ecstasy has been in decline in recent years, but in 2011 ecstasy seizures showed an increase in Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, the Philippines, the Republic of Korea and Thailand. Ecstasy manufacture continues to be reported in the region, particularly in Indonesia and Malaysia. Manufacture in the region has consisted primarily of pill pressing and re-pressing operations, although some ecstasy production facili-
Fig. 73.
140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
92
22
30
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Source: Based on data collected by the Drug Abuse Information Network for Asia and the Pacific , including data for Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Japan, the Laos People Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, the Republic of Korea, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam.
ties have been dismantled in Indonesia. Safrole-rich oils, which can serve as precursors in the manufacturing process, continue to be smuggled from Cambodia and China. In 2011, some 400 illicit synthetic drug manufacturing facilities were seized in East and South-East Asia, most of which were manufacturing methamphetamine. While this figure is lower than the number reported for 2010 (442), it is more than three times the number of illicit manufacturing facilities seized in 2007 (125). China continued to report high, albeit declining, levels of illicit synthetic drug manufacture with 357 illicit synthetic drug manufacturing facilities seized in 2011. It is unclear how many of these facilities were specifically manufacturing methampheta-
53
Fig. 74.
Fig. 75.
Captagon pill seizures in Jordan and the Syrian Arab Republic, 2005-2011
35 Captagon pills (millions) 30 25 20 15 10 5 11.2 10.9 8.9 3.2 14.1 12.0 11.8 10.6 12.4 29.1 22.7 21.0
22.0
5.4
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Source: Based on data collected by the Drug Abuse Information Network for Asia and the Pacific, including data for Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Japan, the Laos People Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, the Republic of Korea, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam.
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
mine. Illicit drug manufacture has expanded from the southern coastal areas of China to northern and central areas of the country; in 2011, illicit drug manufacturing facilities were seized in 29 of the 33 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions of China. Illicit laboratories were also seized in Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand; these were mostly smaller-scale laboratories, which are mobile and can be more easily relocated. Malaysia also reported the seizure of one illicit nimetazepam (Erimin-5) manufacturing facility, a substance which is frequently sold on the illicit ATS market.98
Fig. 76.
14 Amount seized (tons) 12 10 8 6 4 2
Seizures of amphetamine, mostly Captagon, rise in the Near and Middle East
Near and Middle East seizures account for almost 64 per cent of global amphetamine seizures. Unlike any other region of the world, amphetamine is seized in the Near and Middle East in the form of Captagon pills. In 2011, significant increases were reported by Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the Syrian Arab Republic. All the seizures were of Captagon pills. The three largest seizures in 2011 were made by Saudi Arabia and involved 720 kg, 705 kg and 666 kg seized in Haditha, Saudi Arabia, at the land border with Jordan.99 Most amphetamine seizures are made in Saudi Arabia. In 2011, 11 tons were seized, which represents 37 per cent of global amphetamine seizures and 58 per cent of seizures made in the Near and Middle East.
98 Nimetazepam is a benzodiazepine derivative, controlled in Schedule IV of the Convention on Psychotropic Substances of 1971, often marketed under the brand name Erimin. 99 World Customs Organization, Customs and Drugs Report 2011 (Brussels, 2012).
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
54
Table 5.
Date 08.12.11 09.12.11 16.12.11 19.12.11 23.12.11 26.12.11 28.12.11
which can easily be converted into P-2-P. APAAN was originally discovered in a large scale methamphetamine manufacturing laboratory in Malaysia in 2006 and, since 2009, has been seized in Belgium, the Netherlands, Poland and Turkey. In Poland, 700 kg of APAAN were seized in April 2011. The Netherlands reported the seizure of several laboratories where APAAN was being converted to P-2-P. Another chemical that is widely used in illicit ATS manufacture and which is not under international control is methylamine which, together with phenylacetic acid or P-2-P, can be used in the illicit manufacture of methamphetamine, or may also be used in MDMA manufacture, together with (3,4-MDP-2-P). In 2011, a total of 1,400 tons of chemicals used to make methamphetamine were confiscated by customs authorities in Mexico. Seven seizures, comprising 741 tons of methylamine, were reported in December 2011. Six of them were intended to be shipped onwards to Guatemala, which seized large volumes of precursor chemicals in 2011 and 2012. In January 2012, 195 tons of methylamine were seized in Mexico, marking the first attempt to traffic precursor chemicals from Mexico to Nicaragua and a repeated attempt of trafficking to Guatemala. These seizures may point to increased manufacturing activity in Central America and a rising influence of Mexican drug trafficking organizations in the synthetic drugs market within the region. The increasing appearance of non-controlled pre-precursor substances, many of which have few known legitimate uses other than for the manufacture of controlled precursors, is expected to be a continuing trend in global seizures; this presents a myriad of new challenges for drug control authorities. For instance, for ecstasy manufacture, methyl 3-[34(methylenedioxy)phenyl]-2-methyl glycidate (MMDMG, also known as PMK-glycidate) is an alternative to the internationally controlled precursor 3,4-MDP-2-P), also known
as piperonyl methyl ketone (PMK). MMDMG, which is not under international control, was first detected in Australia in 2004 and is made from piperonal, which is a precursor of 3,4-MDP-2-P. In May 2010, a small quantity of MMDMG was found in an ecstasy and methamphetamine laboratory in the Netherlands along with instructions for its conversion into 3,4-MDP-2-P for ecstasy manufacture. In October 2010, authorities in Slovakia seized 200 kg of chemicals, which were a mixture of 3,4-MDP2-P, piperonal and MMDMG. In March 2011, Denmark seized 800 kg of MMDMG from an air cargo shipment that was reportedly one in a series of shipments destined for the Netherlands and had originated in China.101 One conversion laboratory, where MMDMG was being converted to PMK, was seized in the Netherlands in 2011. MMDMG has also reportedly appeared in Belgium, Estonia and Poland.
55
Fig. 77.
4.5 4.0 Amount seized (tons) 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0
Fig. 78.
Content of pills sold as ecstasy in the Netherlands, based on laboratory analyses, 2006-2011
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Percentage
Only MDMA-like substances (Meth)amphetamine MDMA-like substances and (meth)amphetamine Others Miscellaneous
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Source: Netherlands Institute of Mental Health and Addiction (Trimbos Institute), Drugs Information and Monitoring System.
Note: Data for 2011 are from January to June. Category others may include samples with MDMA and, for instance, caffeine and other pharmacologically active non-scheduled substances. In 2009 the miscellaneous category consisted mainly of mCPP (11.60 per cent) and mephedrone (7.4 per cent); in 2010 and 2011 this category consisted mainly of mCPP and caffeine.
Turkey has emerged as a major ecstasy seizing country, with the quantities being intercepted slowly increasing over the past decade, reaching a peak of 1.7 million ecstasy tablets (474 kg) in 2005. After experiencing a decline in subsequent years until 2009, seizures started to increase from 251 kg in 2010 to 370 kg in 2011. In 2011, Brazil reported the highest seizures of ecstasy since 1987 amounting to 70 kg; in the past decade, most annual seizures reported by Brazil were below 1 kg. There has been a decline in the number of ecstasy laboratories seized on a global level from 50 in 2009 to 43 in 2010 and 39 in 2011. The shift in manufacturing activity from Europe to other regions is illustrated by the increasing geographical spread; ecstasy manufacture was reported by Australia (16) Indonesia (6), Malaysia (6), the United States (5), Canada (4), France (1) and Belgium (1).
pills analysed in Austria, Belgium, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Cyprus, Denmark, Finland, Portugal and the United Kingdom. In New Zealand, 4-methylethcathinone (4-MEC) is reportedly the most common substance identified in pills sold as ecstasy. Forensic analysis of seizures of ecstasytype street pills and powder used in their manufacture seized during the dismantling of a large-scale pill manufacturing facility and supply ring in 2011 and a related facility in 2012, identified 4-MEC, 3,4-methylenedioxy -pyrrolidinobutyrophenone (MDPBP), eutylone (bkEBDB), N-ethylamphetamine, N-ethylcathinone, BZP and 1-(3-trifluoromethylphenyl)piperazine (TFMPP). For more than 15 years, the Drugs Information and Monitoring System in the Netherlands has carried out laboratory analyses of pills sold as ecstasy and results show the significant developments that the ecstasy market has undergone over the years. A review of the composition of sampled pills over the past six years clearly indicates that the proportion of pills containing only MDMA-like substances increased in 2010 and 2011, from 82 per cent to 85 per cent, after the MDMA content reached the lowest levels in 2008 and 2009 (70 per cent in both years), probably because the precursor chemicals for ecstasy were difficult to obtain at that time. Mirroring the trends in other countries of the European Union, mCPP was also one of the most widely reported substances in pills sold as ecstasy in the Netherlands, but the number of mentions declined from 2010 to 2011, from 5 to 4 per cent. The
56
same is true for mephedrone, where the proportion dropped from 1 to 0.3 per cent from 2010 to 2011. The substance paramethoxymethamphetamine (PMMA) was also identified in a number of ecstasy pills sold in the Netherlands, with the presence of PMMA remaining largely stable (reported 29 times (1.2 per cent) in 2010 and 23 times (0.9 per cent) in 2011). This substance has gained notoriety by its presumed link to several fatalities in Canada and Scotland (United Kingdom). The review conducted in the Netherlands showed the benefits of continuous laboratory analyses, which provide valuable insights into the dynamics of ATS markets.
Table 6.
Substance 4-MEC Amphetamine BZP Caffeine bk-EBDB Ketamine mCPP MDPBP Mephedrone Methamphetamine N-ethylamphetamine N-ethylcathinone PMMA TFMPP
mine can command. In Japan, one kilogram of methamphetamine retails for at least $212,600. EMCDDA and Europol report that West African criminal organizations also use major airports in the European Union to traffic methamphetamine manufactured in Africa to the Asian markets and that they recruit couriers in the European Union. Australia and New Zealand have also reported the increasing role of West African organized criminal groups in trafficking of ATS and ATS precursors to Australia and New Zealand. Trafficking of methamphetamine by African groups has been reported by Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Japan, the Lao Peoples Democratic Republic, Malaysia, New Zealand, the Philippines, the Republic of Korea, Thailand and Viet Nam. Nigeria, by far the largest country in West Africa in terms of both population and surface area, and Benin have been most frequently cited as the origin for trafficked methamphetamine. Mali has reportedly also emerged as a source. The Republic of Korea reported that in 2011, more than 4 kg of methamphetamine were smuggled into the country from Mali.104 In July 2011, Nigeria became the first and, so far, only country in West Africa to officially report illicit methamphetamine manufacture. The National Drug Law Enforcement Agency seized a methamphetamine laboratory with a reported manufacturing capacity of between 25 and 50 kg per manufacturing cycle near Lagos, Nigerias largest city. Several laboratories were seized in 2012. There is a persistent lack of data from the African region, which can be seen from the scarce reporting of seizures of ATS and their precursors due to a general lack of awareness of ATS, as law enforcement authorities tend to focus on the interception of traditional drugs such as cannabis and cocaine.
Source: UNODC, data from the annual report questionnaire and other official sources.
Methamphetamine trafficking from West Africa to East and South-East Asia continues
West Africa, a region not previously known for ATS, has gained increased prominence as a point of origin of methamphetamine trafficked to East and South-East Asia. In a UNODC report on the ATS situation in West Africa, methamphetamine was shown to have been trafficked from Benin, Cte dIvoire, the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal and Togo.103 African drug trafficking organizations, which used to traffic primarily cocaine and heroin, are trafficking increasing amounts of methamphetamine in East and South-East Asia, usually by air courier and in fairly small quantities (between 0.5 kg and 3.0 kg). Asia is a prime location due to the size of its ATS market, which is one of the largest in the world, and due to the high prices that methampheta103 UNODC, West Africa: 2012 ATS Situation ReportA Report from the Global SMART Programme (Vienna, June 2012).
104 Information provided by the Supreme Prosecutors Office of the Republic of Korea at the seventeenth Asia-Pacific Operational Drug Enforcement Conference, Tokyo, February 2012.
G. Conclusion
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Map 6.
Methamphetamine trafcking routes from Benin and Nigeria to East and South-East Asia
Japan
Libya
Egypt
Benin
Nigeria Malaysia
Country of origin
Benin Nigeria 0 1,000 2,000 km
Source: Japan, National Police Agency, 2012; Thailand, Office of the Narcotics Control Board, 2012; and Malaysia, Royal Malaysian Police, 2012.
Note: The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. Dashed lines represent undetermined boundaries. Dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. The final boundary between the Sudan and South Sudan has not yet been determined.
G. CONCLUSIONS
While the prevalence of people with drug dependence and drug use disorders has generally remained stable, there are many regions where evidence-based drug dependence treatment and care are still not available or accessible. The decline in the global number of people who inject drugs and people who inject drugs and are living with HIV is in part due to the comprehensive set of interventions implemented by some countries. This holds the promise that with an increased coverage and scale up of services for prevention of HIV among people who inject drugs, the targets set out in the Political Declaration on HIV and AIDS: Intensifying Our Efforts to Eliminate HIV and AIDS adopted by the General Assembly in 2011, can be attained. It has to be noted, however, that to a large extent the decline is also due to new or revised estimates available from countries. The emergence of NPS, increasing non-medical use of prescription drugs and polydrug use continue to blur the conventional distinction between users of one or another illicit substances. The interdependency at the user level, for instance, of illicit opiates (opium, morphine and heroin) on the one hand, and non-medical use of prescription opioids like painkillers and illicitly manufactured
opioids on the other, has not been well understood. Further research is needed to understand this phenomenon in order to devise comprehensive approaches to address the problem. The latest drug trafficking trends show that Africa is a vulnerable transit continent for both cocaine and heroin. While West and Central Africa have already witnessed increased cocaine trafficking during the past few years, East Africa is fast emerging as a transit route for Afghan opiates destined for the European market. West Africa is also emerging as a hub for methamphetamine production. The spillover effect of the increased trafficking of drugs through Africa on drug use in African countries is a matter of concern, although to study and document it remains a challenge due to weak data collection mechanisms and processes.
WORLD DRUG REPORT 2013
Despite the fluctuations in opiate production in Afghanistan, the global opiate market remains relatively stable. Changes though are being observed at the regional level. Heroin is losing ground in Western Europe, but the recent information from Asia and Africa, albeit limited, indicates a possible increase in opiate use. Despite the relative stability of the established cocaine markets, there are indications that cocaine is being trafficked
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along new routes to cater for the growing demand from emerging markets. Cocaine use in Asia and Africa, which together account for a majority of the world population, has the potential to grow. Moreover, the extent of the phenomenon in these regions is uncertain, possibly due in part to the common perception of it being a relatively smallscale problem. In order to pre-empt an expansion of the cocaine market on these continents, greater attention must be paid to monitoring the use and the availability of this drug, so that appropriate and evidence-based supply and demand side interventions may be deployed. The market for ATS appears to be expanding in terms of locations of manufacture and trafficking routes, as well as in terms of demand. While ATS use currently remains stable, this may change as a result of possible spillover of ATS to previously unaffected regions and countries. The global emergence of NPS has introduced an added layer of complexity to an already complex market, with an almost unlimited variety of substances that are being sold in a number of different forms. The manufacture of ATS is not limited by the necessity for cultivation of large areas of illicit crops under special climactic conditions, and therefore can potentially spring up anywhere, especially in the case of drugs such as methamphetamine which are relatively easy to manufacture. Therefore, emerging ATS and other drug markets need to be monitored and addressed proactively before they are established and become a significant additional challenge for already strained national health and criminal justice systems. Cannabis herb production has become more localized and more countries report increased domestic cultivation for domestic markets. The trend towards small-scale cultivation for personal consumption continues and poses a number of challenges for policymakers. A variety of systems to regulate cannabis supply exist in Member States (e.g., decriminalization under a certain threshold and regulation of supply for specific, medicinal purposes). Very little is known about the efficiency of these systems in terms of supply regulation or their impact on use trends and patterns. Further research is warranted before any conclusions can be drawn for the international drug control system. Maritime trafficking of drugs can be quite lucrative for traffickers who can invest both the time and the money needed to organize large, high-value shipments to lucrative consumer markets, either under the cover of licit, containerized trade or in unregulated traffic over the open seas and waterways. Such shipments can be difficult to intercept, but an intensified focus on this mode of transportation could result in a significant impact in terms of seizure quantities and interception rates, the consequent risk incurred by traffickers, the price of the drug and ultimately, its accessibility in the consumer markets. Gaps in availability of reliable data on all aspects of the drug phenomenon from many regions continue to limit
the understanding of the drug market dynamics, posing further challenges for the drug control mechanisms and for the development of appropriate prevention and treatment interventions.
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A. INTRODUCTION
The use of new psychoactive substances (NPS), i.e. psychoactive substances not under international control that pose a health threat, has grown rapidly over the past decade,1 in contrast to the prevalence rates for the use of internationally controlled drugs, which seem generally to have stabilized in the same time period.2 Producing and marketing such substances holds the promise of high profits without penalty. When brought under control in one country, production and/or the distribution centres of these substances are shifted to another country so that the sales - often conducted via the Internet - can continue. In other cases, the substances are modified slightly so that they are not covered by the respective countrys legislation. The number of NPS reported by Member States to UNODC rose from 166 at the end of 2009 to 251 by mid-2012. This exceeds the total number of psychoactive substances currently controlled by the international drug conventions (234 substances). The present chapter describes a number of approaches that Member States are using to tackle this issue. It has generally been observed that placing a substance under control reduces consumption of that substance, but the market quickly evolves and other NPS emerge, rapidly filling the void created. It is thus clear that a strategy that is comprehensive, proactive, dynamic and global (to prevent the exploitation of loopholes) is required to deal with these challenges. An ever-increasing number of NPS have emerged worldwide over the past few years, prompting responses at the international level (e.g. Commission on Narcotic Drugs resolution 48/1) as well as at the regional level, such as the Council of the European Union decision on the information exchange, risk assessment and control of new psychoactive substances.3 In 2012, in its resolution 55/1, the Commission on Narcotic Drugs expressed its deep concern about reports of the increased and emerging use of and trade in new psychoactive substances that may have effects similar to those of internationally controlled drugs and about the potential opportunities for transnational organized criminal groups to exploit the market for these substances. It also asked UNODC to gather information and report on the problem.
1 2 3 Report of the International Narcotics Control Board for 2012 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.13.XI.1). World Drug Report 2012 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.12. XI.1). Council of the European Union decision 2005/387/JHA of 10 May 2005 on information exchange, risk-assessment and control of new psychoactive substances (Official Journal of the European Union, L 127, 20 May 2005). Available from http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/ LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2005:127:0032:0037:EN:PDF.
In 2013, in its resolution 56/4, the Commission on Narcotic Drugs recognized that the establishment of a global early warning system, taking advantage of existing regional mechanisms, as appropriate, and providing timely reporting on the emergence of new psychoactive substances, could benefit Member States understanding of and responses to the complex and changing market for these substances. The Commission on Narcotic Drugs also urged UNODC to continue to develop the voluntary electronic portal of the international collaborative exercises, a programme for national forensic and/or drug-testing laboratories to enable timely and comprehensive sharing of information on new psychoactive substances, including analytical methodologies, reference documents and mass spectra, as well as trend-analysis data, with a view to providing a global reference point and early warning advisory on new psychoactive substances. It further requested UNODC to consider including within its programmes the provision of technical assistance in the identification and reporting of new psychoactive substances and for Member States to consider the provision of bilateral technical assistance. Well-known examples of NPS include substances such as synthetic cannabinoids contained in various herbal mixtures, piperazines (e.g. N-benzylpiperazine (BZP)), products sold as bath salts (i.e. cathinone-type substances such as mephedrone and methylenedioxypyrovalerone (MDPV)) and various phenethylamines. Ketamine was among the first NPS to appear. Its abuse was first recognized in North America at the beginning of the 1980s. It became a noticeable phenomenon in Europe in the 1990s,4 before spreading extensively in Asia and, to a lesser extent, in South America and Southern Africa. NPS belonging to the phenethylamine family appeared in the market in the 1990s and substances belonging to the piperazine family at the beginning of the 2000s.5 From 2004 onwards, synthetic cannabinoids such as Spice appeared in the market, followed by synthetic cathinones and other emerging groups of NPS.6 In addition to having serious health consequences, NPS pose a challenge to drug control systems at every level national, regional and global. A number of approaches are
4 European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Report on the Risk Assessment of Ketamine in the Framework of the Joint Action on New Synthetic Drugs (Luxembourg, Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, 2002). For instance, BZP was first sold commercially as an alternative to methamphetamine in New Zealand around 2000. T. Bassindale, Benzylpiperazine: the New Zealand legal perspective, Drug Testing and Analysis, vol. 3, Nos. 7-8 (August 2011), pp. 428-429; BZP reached Europe around 2004, but it was placed under control in the countries of the European Union only in 2007. United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, The Challenge of New Psychoactive Substances (Vienna, March 2013).
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being tried at the national and regional levels to address the issue. They range from temporary and emergency drug control measures in response to an imminent threat to public health to the adoption of various pieces of legislation on consumer protection, medicines and hazardous substances in order to prevent the uncontrolled manufacture, trafficking and harmful use of such substances. The issue of NPS gained in importance at the international level at the fifty-fifth session of the Commission on Narcotic Drugs in March 2012, where the first global consensus on the topic emerged, leading to the adoption of Commission resolution 55/1 on promoting international cooperation in responding to the challenges posed by new psychoactive substances. In its resolution, the Commission called on Member States to monitor emerging trends in the composition, production and distribution of new psychoactive substances and patterns of use, and to share that information and adopt appropriate measures aimed at reducing supply and demand. Also in its resolution, the Commission requested UNODC to provide an update to its 2011 report addressing a wider range of new psychoactive substances and to take into consideration the creation of a compilation of new psychoactive substances encountered by Member States, to serve as an early warning advisory. The requested report on NPS was prepared by UNODC and launched at the fifty-sixth session of the Commission, held in March 2013.7 The present chapter of the World Drug Report 2013 draws on the findings of that report and other recent reports on the topic in an attempt to alert an even larger audience to the issues at stake. It has also been prepared pursuant to Commission resolution 56/4, adopted in 2013, in which the Commission encouraged UNODC to share and exchange ideas, efforts, good practices and experiences in adopting effective responses to address the unique challenges posed by new psychoactive substances, which may include, among other national responses, new laws, regulations and restrictions.
the 1970s. The Shulgins reported over 230 psychoactive compounds that they had synthesized and evaluated for their psychedelic and entactogenic potential. More recently, a number of piperazines, synthetic cathinones and synthetic cannabinoids emerged, which were marketed as legal alternatives to controlled substances.
Press, 1997). 10 For example, URB597 is a selective inhibitor of fatty acid amide hydrolase (FAAH), the degradatory enzyme for anandamide, an endogenous cannabinoid neurotransmitter. Use of URB597 causes the accumulation of anandamide, which plays a role in the neural generation of motivation and pleasure.
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Designer drugs
Designer drugs have been defined by the International Narcotics Control Board as follows: Substances that have been developed especially to avoid existing drug control measures [and] are manufactured by making a minor modification to the molecular structure of controlled substances, resulting in new substances with pharmacological effects similar to those of the controlled substances. According to the European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction (EMCDDA) and the European Police Office (Europol), such substances can be best defined as substances designed to mimic the effects of known drugs by slightly altering their chemical structure in order to circumvent existing controls.
Source: Report of the International Narcotics Control Board for 2010 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.11.XI.1), p. vi.; and European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction (EMCDDA) and European Police Office, EMCDDAEuropol 2011 annual report on the implementation of Council decision 2005/387/JHA (Lisbon, 2012).
Another term that emerged in the late 1990s and early 2000s is research chemicals. The term was coined by some marketers of designer drugs, specifically, marketers of psychedelic drugs (i.e. drugs with hallucinogenic properties) in the tryptamine and phenethylamine families. The idea was that by selling the chemicals for so-called scientific research rather than for human consumption, the intent clause of various analogue drug laws could be circumvented altogether. The same strategy was behind the marketing of some of the cathinone-related substances as bath salts not intended for human consumption.
3. Legal highs
Legal highs
Legal highs is an umbrella term for unregulated (new) psychoactive substances or products intended to mimic the effects of controlled drugs. The term encompasses a wide range of synthetic and/or plant-derived substances and products, which are offered as legal highs (emphasizing the idea of legality), research chemicals (implying legitimate research use), party pills (an alternative to party drugs) and herbal highs (stressing the plant origin) etc. They are frequently sold via the Internet or in smart shops or head shops and in some cases are intentionally mislabelled, with purported ingredients differing from the actual composition.
Source: European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction and European Police Office, EMCDDA-Europol 2011 annual report on the implementation of Council decision 2005/387/JHA (Lisbon, 2012), p. 25.
The term designer drug was coined in the 1980s. It originally referred to various synthetic opioids, mostly based on modifications of fentanyl (e.g. alpha-methylfentanyl). The term entered widespread use when MDMA (ecstasy) experienced a boom in the mid-1980s, first in the United States of America, followed by Europe in the 1990s and then in other parts of the world. Once MDMA was scheduled (in the United States in May 1985 and a year later at the global level), a number of chemically related substances appeared on the drug markets, which were labelled designer drugs because they were related to MDMA but fell outside the drug control system.11 Many more designer drugs were controlled at the national level. So, the term designer drug for substances already under control was not really appropriate. Nonetheless, use of the term persisted, although in some circles it was later replaced by the term club drugs. However, the term club drugs encompasses a far broader range of controlled and noncontrolled substances.12
11 Eventually, several of these ecstasy-type substances got scheduled as well (e.g. methylenedioxyamphetamine (MDA) and methylenedioxyethylamphetamine (MDE) at the international level in 1990). Etryptamine was placed under control in 1995. Alpha -Methyl4-methylthiophenethylamine (4-MTA) and 4-bromo-2,5-dimethoxyphenethylamine (2C-B), one of the designer drugs first synthesized by Alexander Shulgin in the 1970s, were scheduled in 2001. 12 The term refers to substances used by teenagers and young adults at bars, nightclubs, concerts and parties. According to the United States National Institute on Drug Abuse, such club drugs include ecstasy and related substances (both controlled and non-controlled), methamphetamine (a controlled stimulant), gamma-hydroxybutyric acid (GHB) (a depressant), flunitrazepam (a benzodiazepine (Rohypnol)),
There are a number of new - and thus non-controlled synthetic substances emerging every year on the drug markets, which are sold as legal highs. Well-known examples in the past decade were the spread of BZP, mephedrone and the synthetic cannabinoids. In addition, a number of plant-based substances gained popularity in the new millennium, including kratom (leaf of Mitragyna speciosa, grown in South-East Asia, a mild stimulant that stimulates the opiate receptors in the brain and is a sedative at higher doses) and Salvia divinorum, a hallucinogen grown in Mexico. Substances sold as legal highs are mainly manufactured in chemical laboratories in Asia, according to the International Narcotics Control Board13 and the European Police Office (Europol),14 although some manufacture also takes place in Europe, the Americas and other regions.15 They
lysergic acid diethylamide (LSD) (a hallucinogen) and ketamine. 13 Report of the International Narcotics Control Board for 2012. 14 European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction and European Police Office, EU Drug Markets Report: A Strategic Analysis (Luxembourg, Publications Office of the European Union, 2013). 15 United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, The Challenge of New Psychoactive Substances.
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are legally imported, either as chemicals or as packaged products. The legal highs market is characterized by the speed with which suppliers circumvent drug controls by offering new alternatives to restricted products and advertise them with aggressive and sophisticated marketing strategies (as air fresheners, herbal incenses, bath salts, plant fertilizers, collectors items etc.).16 In fact, the term legal high is a successful marketing instrument in and of itself, as it implies that these substances are not as dangerous as controlled drugs, thus boosting their popularity and sales. Substances presented as legal highs often also include drugs controlled in some countries. According to Oxford Dictionaries Online,17 a legal high is a substance with stimulant or mood-altering properties whose sale or use is not banned by current [national] legislation. This means, as an argumentum e contrario, that by controlling a substance under the national drug laws, such a substance ceases to be a legal high. As a number of countries placed substances such as BZP, mephedrone and Spice under control, such substances were in fact no longer legal highs in those countries, while continuing to be legal highs in others. That legislative inconsistency across jurisdictions often hampers any meaningful international discussion on the issue, as interlocutors from different jurisdictions may not even be referring to the same substances when they refer to legal highs.
On the basis of that definition, EMCDDA identified the following groups of substances covered by its early warning system on NPS:19