India has experienced rapid economic growth in recent decades, driven partly by past investments and reforms. However, absolute poverty remains widespread and inequality has increased sharply. Approximately 260 million Indians still live in extreme poverty, on par with parts of sub-Saharan Africa. Economic reforms since the 1990s have benefited urban elites and middle classes more than the rural poor. Uneven development and lack of public investment in some states continue to hold back broad-based growth and development.
India has experienced rapid economic growth in recent decades, driven partly by past investments and reforms. However, absolute poverty remains widespread and inequality has increased sharply. Approximately 260 million Indians still live in extreme poverty, on par with parts of sub-Saharan Africa. Economic reforms since the 1990s have benefited urban elites and middle classes more than the rural poor. Uneven development and lack of public investment in some states continue to hold back broad-based growth and development.
India has experienced rapid economic growth in recent decades, driven partly by past investments and reforms. However, absolute poverty remains widespread and inequality has increased sharply. Approximately 260 million Indians still live in extreme poverty, on par with parts of sub-Saharan Africa. Economic reforms since the 1990s have benefited urban elites and middle classes more than the rural poor. Uneven development and lack of public investment in some states continue to hold back broad-based growth and development.
India has experienced rapid economic growth in recent decades, driven partly by past investments and reforms. However, absolute poverty remains widespread and inequality has increased sharply. Approximately 260 million Indians still live in extreme poverty, on par with parts of sub-Saharan Africa. Economic reforms since the 1990s have benefited urban elites and middle classes more than the rural poor. Uneven development and lack of public investment in some states continue to hold back broad-based growth and development.
information technology (IT) superpower and perhaps even asamajor new player in the world economy. The Indian economy has been growing at around 5 or 6 percent per annum since 2003, adjusted for population growth, and there are good reasons to suppose that similar rates of growth of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita might be sustainable over the next 20 years. Savings rates are very high in India. Indeed, at just over 30 percent of GDp, gross domestic savings are approaching East Asian levels. The economy sits well inside its total factor productivity frontier, in large part because oflow levels of human capital forma- tion, and the country now has the chance to reap a demographic dividend. The ratio of dependants to workers is set to decline from just over 0.6 in 2000 tojust under 0.5 in 2025. 1 The launch in J anuary 2008 of the Tata N ano seemed like icing on this cake of economic success. Much was made in the west about acar selling for $2,500, but in India the marketing of a car for Rs 1 lakh (100,000) spoke to the existence of amass middle class. It also signaled the rise of asmall group ofIndian capitalists and entrepreneurs who could bestride the global stage. Four-lane highways packed with Nanos 21 The political economy of development in India since Independence Stuart Corbridge offered avision of India far removed from one of pot-holed roads shared by bullock carts, scooters, and state-built Ambassador cars. In the words of Gurcharan Das, India had been unbound.e It had escaped from a Kafkaesque world of bureaucratic red tape to take its place in the global information age. There are clearly nuggets of truth in accounts of India's political economy that hinge around 1991, asDas's book largely does. Yet the notion that all was bad or sick before "the reforms," or that all has been good or healthy since, fails to provide anuanced picture of economic development in India since independence. Recent academic work points out that high rates of economic growth are now being achieved in India in part because of past legacies, some more intended than others, and not wholly in spite of them. Investments in higher education and basic industries are two cases in point.f Recent work also points out that economic reform did not begin overnight in 1991, but was prefigured in important respects by the pro-business agendas pursued by Prime Ministers Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi in the 19805. In any case, the real turning point in India's trend rate of economic growth was 1980-81, not the early 1990s, although there are signs that the trend rate has improved again since 2003-04. 4 305 / STUART CORBRIDGE We also need to acknowledge that post- reform growth in India has reduced absolute poverty less quickly than might have been expected, particularly through the 1990s. The incidence of absolute poverty ismuch lessnow than it was at the end of the 1970s, when something like50percent ofIndians were poor, but aTata Nano driven from Delhi to Kolkata still takes its riders through the epicenter of world poverty.The government ofIndia (GOI) uses a particularly brutal measure of absolute poverty, one that is more basic even than the "one dollar aday" definition used by the lead- ing multilateral institutions.f Yet even on this measure some 260 million people in India are finding it hard to keep body and soul together- fewer than 100 million people less, in total numbers, than thefigure0350 million in 1980. Social and spatial inequalities have also increased sharply since 1990. Rising inequality levels are inevitable in a country escaping a low-level equilibrium trap, a point made by Simon Kuznets many decades ago." We can refer to "good inequality" where it isbased on higher rewards to talent and entrepreneurship. But there is also "bad inequality," and this occurs when people arelocked out of markets, or from the schools, roads and other routes that lead to the acquisition of human capital and other transferable skills, perhaps on the basis of gender or caste or ethnicity. What is worrying about recent developments in India is the abundance of bad inequality and unemployment. Governments continue to invest meagerly in the provision of public goods, particularly in the eastern part of the country. Naxalism is one index of pervasive government failure in agroup of statesrunning south from Bihar toAndhra Pradesh. For rural people in these states, as the World Bank has recently reminded us,living standards areabout on apar with living standards in rural areas of sub-Saharan Africa." They are a long way removed from the living standards of India's urban middle classes. In contrast, astheWorld Bank also points out, the richer parts of New Delhi, Mumbai,and Bangalore can reasonably be described asIndia's "Latin Americas," 306 These inequalities are holding back eco- nomic and social development in post-reform India. They led J ohn Harriss and me to conclude that economic reform in India in the 1990s had taken the form of an "elite revolt" against those aspects of the dirigiste state that most constrained aloose coalition of business groups and the urban middle classes. 8 That revolt has wrought some important and much needed changes in India's economy. It hasalsohelped to rework key political relations between the central stateand the provinces and between the state and its citizens. But the reform process remains highly uneven, both in its mainsprings and in its consequences. I shall argue here that the term "elite revolt" still works well asadescriptor of the contradictory dynamics of political and economic change in India over the past two decades. Political economy of growth in India, 1950-80 When the British quit India in 1947 they left behind an economy scarred by two centuries during which first preference was given to imperial interests. It is true that the British invested heavily in arailway system that linked most of the major towns and cities in South Asia. They also sank considerable sums of money into the canal colonies of Punjab and provided new systems of property rights and commercial law in both rural and urban areas. The British could even maintain in 1947 that they had built India into the world's tenth largest industrial power. There were large textile industries in Ahmedabad and Bombay, and an iron and steel industry in Bihar and Orissa (thanks mainly to J amsetji Tata). But what this rosy picture neglects isthe involution of the countryside in Bengal that followed the Permanent Settlement of 1793-a settlement that promoted rack-renting landlordism rather than capitalist farming-and the undermining of many of India's craft industries as imports flooded in from Lancashire and elsewhere. The grim truth of British misrule was apparent in a N THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF DEVELOPMENT IN INDIA SINCE INDEPENDENCE w series of famines that hit India at the end of the nineteenth century, and which culminated in the deaths of three million people in the Bengal famine of 1943-44.Alan Heston has estimated that average living standards in the Indian countryside barely improved from 1900 to 1947. 9 There were always significant regional variations within this general picture, but it is likely that asmany astwo in three Indians lived in absolute poverty at the mid-point of the twentieth century. Against this backdrop, and given the loss in 1947 of the jute economy of East Bengal (now Bangladesh), aswell asthe loss of the major port city of Karachi, it is not surprising that India's first plans for economic development took shape in an atmosphere of crisis. The first five- year plan (1951-56) was something of a damp squib and remained broadly neutral asbetween the agricultural and non-agricultural sectors. After the assassination of Mahatma Gandhi in J anuary 1948, the remaining "tall men" of India's nationalist elite were forced to occupy themselves mainly with nation building in a broader sense, with Sardar Patel working hard to ensure the de facto integration of India's 565 princely states into the new republic, while B. R.Ambedkar and J awaharlal N ehru oversaw work on the constitution. It was clear by 1950 that India would be a federal democratic republic in which universal suffrage would be coupled to the establishment of a central state with considerable executive and emergency powers and matching geographical reach. Ambedkar and N ehru agreed that the social and economic modernization of India would have-to be secured by vigorous planned actions emanating from New Delhi. Conservative politicians sitting in the states would need to be disciplined by wiser and more far sighted men sitting in the country's capital. Modernization was conceived as a diffusion process wherein great pulses of social and economic change- ultimately liberating and uplifting, if often disruptive of established ways of being in the short run-would push outwards from India's major cities to itssmallest towns before reaching into the countryside.l" Ambedkar would break with N ehru over the failure of his government to transfer surplus lands specifically to so-called untouchable (or dalit) families.Ambedkar had warned at the end of the Constituent Assembly debates that India was about "to enter alife of contradictions. In politics we will have equality and in social and economic life we will have inequality." In his view, the failure to redistribute landed wealth in India would put" our democracy in peril."!' It seems likely that Nehru shared this view, although he had more faith than Ambedkar in the economically empowering effects of political equality. In any case, by 1951 N ehru was unchallenged in his leadership of the Indian National Congress. His ascendancy followed the death of PateI in December 1950 and the defeat of Patel's close supporter, Purushottam Das Tandon, in astruggle for the presidency of the Indian National Congress. But Nehru still had to secure consent for his project of social and economic modernization, and this meant that he had to deal with precisely those state Congress bosses who would conspire against his plans for land-to- the-tiller land reforms in the 1950s. 12 In retrospect, we can see that N ehru sought to manage the modernization of India by pursuing a development model that was being widely touted by economists even as the second five-year plan was drafted. Early development economics took shape in the 1940s and 1950s around three key ideas. First, there was a critique of comparative advantage theory. Hans Singer and Raoul Prebisch took issue with the idea that latecomer countries could develop effectively as primary goods producers.l ' There were both theoretical and empirical reasons to suppose that prices of non-primary goods rose faster over time than the prices of primary commodities. Developing countries had to build up local (infant) industries as a priority, even if this meant erecting tariff barriers to protect the domestic econorny.!" Second, this commit- ment to import substitution industrialization (ISI) implied in the short term arun of balance of trade deficits. Developing countries first had 307 STUART CORBRIDGE to import the machine tools and other goods that would help them build up local manu- facturing capacity. A foreign exchange con- straint would become especially compelling in a country like India where ISI privileged the production of capital goods (iron and steel, chemicals, heavy engineering, etc). Flows of foreign direct investment were thin on the ground in the 1950s and 1960s, and probably would not have been very welcome in India. A surplus on the capital account would thus have to be achieved by large and continuing inflows of foreign aid. Nehru's ability to position India at the head of the nonaligned movement helped in this respect. India wasable to build a steel mill at Bokaro (Bihar) with assistance from the USSR and another at Rourkela (Orissa) with help from West Germany. Third, the very scarcity of foreign exchange in the 1950s and 1960s, coupled with poorly formed local stock markets and often weak private trading systems (some of which were coded as "oppressive" or exploitative), inclined the Government of India (GOI) to think of economic development as a project that had to be planned for and delivered by a beneficent state. Ronald Inden exaggerates only alittle when he saysthat, in the Nehru- Mahalonobis universe, planning came to substitute for religion as the new godhead.P Nehru's faith in reason and modernity complemented a more general mid-century faith in technology and progress, both of which needed support from good (or at any rate strong) government. Thus conceived, India's model of develop- ment through most of the 1950s and 1960s made avirtue of deferred gratification. Nehru and Mahalanobis believed that high rates of economic growth would depend on high rates of personal and government savings (equiva- lent to present consumption foregone), and their efficient mobilization for purposes of large-scale industrialization. By definition, this first wave of capital goods-based production would not be labor intensive; it would not create large numbers of goods for the under- employed peasants who wished (or needed) to 308 leavethe countryside to find more productive jobs in the modern sector. This Lewisian transformation would haveto await the second stage of India's industrial revolution.l? Cheap steel, chemicals and power could then be plugged into aplethora of efficient Indian-run companies that would produce bikes, radios, two-wheel tractors and such like for the final consumer. Put another way, the Nehru-Mahalanobis model presupposed that India would be governed by adevelopmental state, of the sort that would soon takeshapeinEast or Southeast Asia.This would be a state that was relatively autonomous of privileged local classes, as Marxist theoreticians liked to put it. In India, it would be embodied in the planning commission and the five-year plans. The state would specify asocial welfare function for the future (5, 10, 15 or 25 years away) and then devise the best economic and statistical instruments to match inputs to outputs. The model further supposed that the GOI could funnel resources fromthe agricultural sector to the non-agricultural sector without provoking a backlash among India's rural population. Nehru believed that he could square this circle in two main ways: first, by making use of food aid from the US, and second, by means of land ceilings legislation that would break up unproductive estates and enfranchise efficient small farmers. India's countryside would be bought off not with state funds, but with resources from abroad and by institutional reform at home. Agriculture was the "bargain basement" that would free up scarce resources for useelsewhere in the developing economy. 17 Except it did not, or not asNehru had hoped. By the early 1960s it was apparent that increases in grain production were barely keeping pace with population growth. Food supply growth in the 1950s came mainly from increases in the area under cultivation, and now the land frontier was closing. By the mid-1960s many farmers were bemoaning their lot. The great jat farmers' leader, Charan Singh, had opposed Nehru's plans for coopera- tivefarming in the 1950s. In 1967, he defected THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF DEVELOPMENT IN INDIA SINCE INDEPENDENCE from the Congress, setting up the Bharatiya Kranti Dal in 1969. Charan Singh,in his exten- sive writings on agriculture and agricultural policy in India, anticipated Michael Lipton's later claim that India was suffering from high levels of urban bias. 1S Government spending decisions were denounced as inequitable, inefficient and unsustainable. In a country where more than 75 percent of the people still lived in the countryside-agriculture's share of GDP was ashigh as58percent in 1950, and not much lessthan 50percent in the mid-1960s- it made littlesenseto wastecapital on inefficient urban and industrial projects.The need instead was to fund new irrigation systems and off- farm employment growth in the countryside. This view gained currency at the end of the 1960s, following the failures of the 1965 and 1966 monsoons and in the wake of new data showing that the incidence of absolute poverty in the Indian countryside had increased between 1961 and 1969. 19 Nehru died before the crisis of India's agriculture was fully exposed and before the suspension of planning in 1966-69. But his death also came after a disastrous war with China in 1962, and these events taken in the round would continue to infect the poisonous political and economic atmospheres in which first Lal Bahadur Shastri (1964-66) and then Indira Gandhi had to make their way asprime ministers. Indira Gandhi has many times been com- pared unfavorably with her father (Nehru), and very often for good reason. She deserves to be condemned above all for the disastrous way that she fought religious fire with fire in Punjab in the early 1980s, when she covertly supported Sant J arnail Singh Bhindranwale, and for her government's suspension of demo- cratic rule in India during the Emergency (1975-77).But what issometimes forgotten in these comparisons isthat Mrs Gandhi came to power at atime when India's democracy was deepening, when the dominance of the Congress system was for the first time being challenged in New Delhi and the states, and when state-society relations more generally, in the words ofLloyd and Susanne Rudolph, had moved from apattern of "command politics" to one of" demand politics."2o The new poli- ticallandscape of the 1970s and 1980s sawnot only the deinstitutionalization of Congress and the rise of credible opposition parties; it also marked aperiod in India's political economy when a prospectively developmental state imploded.F' That state had always been an uneasy construct in India, asPartha Chatterjee and Sudipta Kaviraj have several times reminded us. 22 Nehru mobilized large sections of the English-speaking "progressive" elite in support of his modernizing agenda. But this elite was fated to seeits ambitions translated at local level by power brokers who rarely shared its commitments to the "greater good" or the "long run." Local worlds were more often vernacular worlds, or worlds where commit- ments were most often forged at the level of a household, kin group or caste community. As Kaviraj so memorably puts it, India's high modernist state"had feet of vernacular clay."23 Worse, the developmental state model pre- supposes an executive state that isautonomous from a country's dominant proprietary elites. Such was the case, for example, in Taiwan, where the ruling elite after 1949 was trans- planted from mainland China and was later funded asmuch by the US asby rental incomes from land. "Land-to-the-tiller" land reform worked inTaiwan,just asit did in South Korea in the 1950s. Regime changes ensured that a developmental state was not confronted by entrenched powers elsewhere in the land. In India, in contrast, as scholars as diverse as Francine Frankel, Pranab Bardhan, andJ agdish Bhagwati have all shown, the developmental state was captured by three interlocking groups: India's richer farmers (who blocked agrarian reform), its industrial bourgeoisie (business houses that took advantage of state- induced scarcities and blocked competition and innovation), and the country's leading bureaucrats (many of whom earned large rental incomes from the"permit-license-quota Raj" built up around ISI, and almost all of whom enforced unproductive rent-seeking behavior on smaller businesses and ordinary citizens). 24 309 STUART CORBRIDGE The so-called "Hindu rate of growth" that dogged India in the 1970s reflected the squeeze placed on the country's developmental stateby aggressively sectional interests. The state was now forced to accommodate to the demands of these interest groups, no matter whether they acted for the greater good or not. Average GDP growth in the 1970s was 2.9 percent per annum, which was barely positive in per capita income terms. In some accounts, too, the greater costs of participating in India's competitive politics led some politicians to finance their campaigns illegally and/or through abuses of office. Civil servants, for example, were forced to stump up greater rents to acquire adesirable posting, or to head off an undesirable one. Criminals, for their part, moved into politics, both to milk the system and to head off unwelcome attention from the justice system. The criminalization of politics became particularly marked in parts of north India from the 1970s and posed yet another barrier to economic reform there. Lobbying, of course, is endemic to all political systems, and what is called lobbying in Washington or London is alltoo routinely described as corruption in New Delhi or Dhaka. Corruption also comes in many forms, and when it takes the form of speed money payments it can grease the wheels of an economic system that otherwise tends to atrophy or entropy. And it is at this systemic level, aseconomic reformers likeBhagwati and Srinivasan have consistently pointed out, that the bigger picture lies. 25 The failure of the Congress party in the 1950s and 1960s to support an executive/developmental state left India's economy between two stools. On the one hand, the state was not strong enough to force the commanding heights of the economy to belean and mean, let alone to dispense with the subsidies and protectionist barriers that were meant to provide them with temporary support. Neither management nor organized labor believed that governments in the 1970s or 1980s had the guts to get tough with them. On the other hand, the central role occupied by the state in India's productive economy- 310 from steel to cars to banking-was sogreat that it suffocated innovation and new startups in the organized private sector. Even into the mid-1980s, India's leading industrial houses were happy to connive in the reproduction of this world of the second or third best. For that to change, or so this argument goes, the contradictions of dirigiste development in India would necessarily come to ahead, as they did with the fiscal and balance of payments crises of the early 1990s. Only then would politicians and leading businesspeople in India be forced to reform the economy and the systems of politics that had supported economic mIS- management on agrand scale. , ., I Political economy of reform in India As ever, it isnot difficult to recognize the truth of some of these claims. But what this narrative of rise, decline and recovery cannot account for isthe upturn in India's rate of economic growth post-1980. The fact is that per capita incomes in India grew on average at 3.8 percent in the 1980s, or at more or less the same rate asthey grew in the 1990sThere arethree main reasons why thiswasso.Tobegin with, asAtul Kohli has argued, the governments ofIndira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi (1980-89) began to tilt eco- nomic policy more clearly in the direction of big business.r'' The courting of foreign direct investment was still not apriority through the 1980s, although a few joint ventures were brokered in the autos sector. Nevertheless, the strongly anti-capital (especially, anti-foreign capital) rhetoric that Indira Gandhi had deployed in the 1970s was toned down. New initiatives were introduced that favored established Indian producers. In place of garibi hatao (anend to poverty), the political platform on which Indira Gandhi made her name in the early 1970s, the Congress governments of the 1980s retired those parts of the Monopolies and Trade Practices Act that made it hard for big business to expand in core sectors like chemicals and cement. Some efforts were also THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF DEVELOPMENT IN INDIA SINCE INDEPENDENCE made to liberalize credit for large companies. Perhaps most importantly, both Indira and Rajiv Gandhi took stepsto tame labor activism in the organized sector, and to encourage private sector investments with limited tax concessions. Kohli argues that a major effect of these policy changes was to shift the balance of capital formation in India through the 1980s. Albeit at the margin, it was the private corporate sector that now began to contribute more to economic development, while capital formation in the public sector stabilized after aperiod of rapid growth in the 1970s. It seems likely, too, that the growth-inducing effects of a pro-business tilt were augmented by the gradual diffusion of Green Revolution tech- nologies out of Punjab, Haryana, and parts of south India.West Bengal now became aGreen Revolution heartland, following significant government investment in irrigation and electricity supply. Poor people in the countryside generally escape from poverty by migrating to towns or cities, or by winning more work in the countryside at higher real wage rates. There is some evidence that labor markets tightened in the 1980s in several states, including West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, and Karnataka. By 1989-90, the percentage of people in India living in absolute income poverty had reduced to just under 39 percent from 51 percent in 1977-78.The GOI in the early 2000s liked to claimthat the rate of poverty reduction accele- rated after the reforms of 1991. Most scholars, however, have discounted the suggestion of the 55th round of the National Sample Survey (NSS) that just 26 percent of people were absolutely poor in 1999-2000-an astonishing decline of 10percent fromsixyears earlier The 55th round of the NSS broke with the long- established convention of estimating household spending on auniform reporting period basis. Under this system, respondents recall their spending on all items over aperiod of 30 days. The 55th round instead introduced a mixed reporting period of weeks, months, and years. This made sense for all sorts of reasons (greater accuracy of recall, most notably), but it under- mined the GOI'sefforts to track poverty trends on aconsistent basis.Adjustments made to the 55th round data by Angus Deaton and J ean Dreze suggest that the rateof poverty reduction in the 1990s was probably no greater than the rate of poverty reduction in the 1980s. 27 Others, notably Abhijit Sen and Himanshu, have argued that the 1990s was alost decade for poverty reduction.P' Why then, "economic reform"? The usual answer isthat the economic growth that led to poverty reduction in the 1980s was unsus- tainable. Huge subsidies into and out of the agricultural system (cheap fertilizer, water and power in - cheap food out via the public dis- tribution system) ensured that India's growth spurt in the 1980swould push the country into the linked fiscal and balance of payments crises that erupted in 1991. Limited tax con- cessions to big business in the 1980s, combined with pervasive tax evasion, also forced both Congress party and National Front (1980-91) governments to raise revenues by deficit financing and by borrowing more at home and abroad. Worse, the underlying structures of the Indian economy remained as sclerotic and irrational asever. India had some of the highest rates of effective protection anywhere in the world. These barriers encouraged Indian business to provide goods and services that were increasingly unwelcome at home and that no one elsein the world would buy. Early propo- nents of reform wondered aloud why Indians at home were condemned to poor service and poor jobs at the hands of the permit-license- quota Raj while Indians abroad were acclaimed for their hard work and innovation. By circa 1990 it was clear that some ele- ments within India's business communities, led by the Confederation ofIndian Industry (CH), aswell assignificant parts of the urban middle class, were fed up with forms of economic mismanagement that discouraged innovation and which limited choice in the shops. They objected to the pro-farming agendas of the National Front government, and they resented Prime Minister V P. Singh's attempts to reward 311 STUART CORBRIDGE his mainly rural, mainly "Backward Classes" support base by extending systems of reser- vation (for government and public sector jobs and places in educational institutions) upwards from the Scheduled Castes andTribes to those designated asOther Backward Classes. By this time, too, the battles won by the likes of Margaret Thatcher in the UK and Ronald Reagan in the US were changing the land- scapesof international economic thinking.The disintegration of the Soviet Union in 1991 also had profound effects in India. These were felt first in terms of a loss of export markets and foreign assistance. Later on they helped push India closer to the US and the World Trade Organisation.e" In the early 1990s the economist J ohn Williamson felt able to describe a new Washington Consensus on "sensible" macroeconomic management. Development economics was already out of fashion by then.r'" Deepak Lal had charged in 1983 that it was precisely afirst generation of planners and development economists who had done the most damage in the "third world."31 These were the "guilty men" who had stalled economic progress in India by 20 years or more.Washington, for itspart, used the debt crisisin LatinAmerica to launch abroader assault on dirigiste forms of economic manage- ment. Developing countries needed to return to basics: to sound monetary and fiscal policies and to open trade and capital accounts. The elite revolt that led to Finance Minister Manmohan Singhs famous budget of 1991, and to the devaluation of the rupee that year by 18-20 percent against leading currencies, was asmuch an echo of this thinking asit was apractical response to the balance of payments crisis that so damaged India's reputation for economic competency. By the early summer of 1991 India's fiscal deficit stood at nearly nine percent of GDP and the country had sufficient foreign currency reserves to finance only two weeks' worth of imports. Moody's and Standard & Poor had downgraded India's international credit rating. Finance Minister Manmohan Singh's budget was designed first and foremost to stabilize this 312 situation. Cuts in defense spending and in subsidies for exports, sugar, and fertilizers were meant to bring the fiscal deficit down to 6.5 percent of GDP in the 1991-92 tax year.32 Thereafter, the government ofNarasimha Rao moved steadily-but not at any great pace-to "adjust" the deeper structures of the economy. Efforts were made to liberalize India's trading regime, but even as late as 2000, despite considerable progress, tariffs in India still averaged close to 30 percent and the ratio of international trade to GDP remained under 25 percent (low by global standards). More progress was made with industrial policy. The system of industrial licensing that had taken shape since the 1950s was "dismantled in all but 18 designated industries (including drugs and pharmaceuticals, cars, and sugar), and for all locations save for 23 cities with populations above one million people where licenses were still required for new ventures or project expansion.P? Perhaps most significantly of all, "the reforms," as they soon became known, opened the door to greater foreign direct investment in India's economy. Inward invest- ment by western multinationals became a major part of the new "Shining India" that was trumpeted by the Bharatiya J anata Party-led (BJ P) National Democratic Alliance ahead of the Lok Sabha elections in 2004. McDonald's in Delhi and Mumbai, along with IBM and Infosys in Bangalore, signaled India's connec- tions to the new landscapes of globalization that had gathered pace in the 1990s, and which were strongly registered in the tele- communications revolution that swept through middle-class India. No one now expects India to return to the dirigiste models that it pioneered more than half acentury ago. Significantly, Congress used the rise of the BJ P in the 1980s, and the destruction of the Babri Masjid inAyodhya in December 1992, as a foil for its economic agenda. Leftist parties were warned that strong opposition to that agenda would causethe Rao government to fall, and that this in turn would bring the Hindu nationalists to power in New Delhi. 34 As things worked out, the BJ P did THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF DEVELOPMENT IN INDIA SINCE INDEPENDENCE come to power in India in 1998 and ruled the country until 2004. By then, however, the BJ P had made its peace with globalization and reform. It gently retired its rhetoric of "swadeshi liberalization" and its support for "microchips but not potato chips." By 2000 it was an enthusiastic advocate for a continuing process of economic liberalization that offered clear advantages to some of its supporters in the urban middle class. Even the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPM) came to embrace liberaliza- tion. The CPM has continued to speak out against some aspects of the national reform agendas now being pressed by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh (from2004).But in itsWest Bengal heartland it has embraced that agenda vigorously and with surprisingly little concern for its traditional support basesin the country- sideand among government workers. In 2007, the public face of economic reform in India was focused for awhile on Nandigram, arural area in the Medinipur district ofWest Bengal. In March 2007, 14 people were killed in Nandigram after the ruling Left Front govern- ment in Kolkata instructed CPM cadres and the police to break resistance to their plans to expropriate 10,000 acres of local farming land. The land was earmarked for a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) to be developed by the Salim group of Indonesia. The Left Front government argued that a linked group of chemical works in Nandigram would create up to 100,000 jobs in West Bengal. They further noted that they had to do battle with eight other states to host ajoint venture with the Salim group. The killings at Nandigram have taken on a significance that few in the Left Front govern- ment could have anticipated when contracts were signed. On the one hand, and most immediately, they advertised the willingness of the state in West Bengal to embrace what Marxists call "accumulation by disposses- sion."35 In doing so, they dramatized the violence of the accumulation process in other parts of India -along the Narmada river valley, for example, where resistance to large dams continues, or wherever poor people are "tidied out" of street environments marked for improvement and upgrading (as they have been inmany ofIndia's leading cities, including through the grotesquely named "Operation Sunshine" inKolkata). 36 Development isnever easyor painless, whatever the platitudes offered to the contrary by politicians or real estate developers. On the other hand, Nandigram provides insight into changing geographies of power in India. Nehru found to his cost in the 1950s that he could not enforce land-to-the-tiller reforms in the countryside, where power resided mainly with richer farmers. (Agri- cultural policy was handed to the states in the Constitution of India, adopted in 1950.) Nevertheless, the federal settlement that was worked out between 1946 and 1949 placed India's states in adependent relationship with the Center.V President's Rule can be imposed on states under Article 356 of the constitution, and the inelasticity of major state revenues often forced them to seek extra funding from New Delhi in the form of grants-in-aid under Article 275. In the 1990s, in contrast, and more soin the 2000s, many of India's states have been able to improve their bargaining position against the center. Rob J enkins hasargued that the reform process has empowered states to behave as "competition states."38 Instead of competing with one another to draw down funds from New Delhi, states likeMaharashtra, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, or West Bengal now fight with one another to host foreign direct investment or the funds of non-resident Indians (NRIs). In J enkins' view, the real momentum of economic reform in India now liesin the states.A process of "provincial Darwinism" has taken hold, he argues, that compels states to compete with one another for the foreign funds that will reduce their fiscal deficits and dependence on New Delhi. Forcible evictions of peasants and harsher labor laws are just two instruments deployed by business-oriented state elites to attract capital to their states. In some cases, too-and Nandigram illustrates this very 313 9 STUART CORBRIDGE well-states are being encouraged to free up extensive parcels ofland asdefacto fiefdoms of private capital: this, in effect, is the remit and purpose of the roughly 300 Special Economic Zones that were formed between 2005 and 2007 under the act of that name. Causes and consequences of uneven growth The privatization of space is a necessary complement to the way the ongoing process of economic reform in India isbeing negotiated. To date, that process has been focused on the non-agricultural economy, and in towns and cities.There aresound political reasons for this, and it is widely agreed that successive governments in India since 1991 have managed the reform process with levels of determination and skill that evaded policy- makers in the 1960s and 1970s. This in turn is causing observers of India to rethink their understandings of state-society relations. It is not simply that power is being leached from New Delhi to state capitals, important though this is. It isalsobecoming clear that amodern- izing elite in India, pushed on no doubt by big business and the international community, but ably fronted by aband of far sighted techno- crats, first used the politics of crisis and now uses the politics of success to create a climate for ongoing reform that is nonetheless at odds with market fundamentalism or the Washington Consensus. This is the real and considerable achievement of the ClI and men like Manmohan Singh, Montek Singh Ahluwalia, and Palaniappan Chidambaram. If the reform agenda in India can be criticized for its partiality and unevenness, even for its slow speed, it can also be hailed as a success story that has avoided the pitfalls of the big bang approach to liberalization.i'" A lot of progress has been made by stealth, and this has involved all manner of deals between different members ofIndia's business and political elites. But the reform process in India has also been advanced by the careful building of coalitions, 314 la and by the bringing on side of politicians as well as"rent-seeking" elites in the states, many of whom had benefited from the permit- license-quota Raj and who might have been expected to slow down changes to it. Significantly, too, the ongoing process of eco- nomic reform in India has led to asharpening of the technical competency of some leading departments of government. Arguably, that competency was not there in the 1950s or 1960s to support the Nehru-Mahalanobis model of development. The net effect of the reforms has been to widen the gulf between rich and poor people in India, and between rich and poor regions, but that was always going to be the case.The strongest arguments in the pro-reform locker are these: (a) that rates of average per capita income growth in India havebeen rising since 2003-04 beyond the 3.5-4.0 percent levels recorded in the 1980s and 1990s; and (b) that such rates of growth would not have been recorded without economic reform. Put another way, low levels of economic growth are no friend of the poor, neither are forms of economic management based on populist politics and deficit financing. In the short run, this argument has it, economic growth must promote higher levels of income inequality- not that Indian levels are yet on a par with those of Brazil or China. Richer people will pull ahead asthe economy rewards talent and scarce skills, asfor example in the IT sector. Meanwhile, the gap between the western and eastern states in India is opening IlP not because the latter are getting poorer, but because the former are getting richer. Again, we are seeing talent, or good economic policies, being rewarded. By the same token, poor people in Bihar are the victims of more than two decades of economic mismanage- ment. Lalu Prasad Yadav built a political coalition that rewarded Yadavs and Kurmis with dignity (izzat), and Muslims with pro- tection, no mean feats both, but what he did not promote was a politics of development aimed at tightening labor markets (thus raising real wages) or attracting inward investment. THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF DEVELOPMENT IN INDIA SINCE INDEPENDENCE Per capita net state domestic product at constant 1993-94 prices actually fell in Bihar from Rs 4,474 in 1990-91 to Rs 3,396 in 2003-04 (in part because of the loss of J harkhand), while the residents of Uttar Pradesh, including the richer western parts of that state (but not Uttaranchal), saw their real incomes rise from Rs 5,342 in 1990-91 to a meager Rs 5,975 in 2003-04. In the western state of Maharashtra, meanwhile, the corres- ponding figures show more than a60 percent increase in real terms over 13 years, from Rs 10,159 and Rs 16,765. In Gujarat, the rate of economic expansion was even greater, with a per capita net state domestic product of Rs 8,788 nearly doubling in 2004-05 to Rs 16,878. 40 What isnow evident in India, even more so than previously, is the yawning gulf between the country's haves and have-nots. For the former, India isshining brightly. It is aland of Tata Nanos and shopping malls. It isacountry that seems to be leapfrogging the industrial revolution to land talented people directly in those jobs-in IT, information processing, and finance-that connect India to the globalizing world outside. This is precisely the land of SEZs, the Golden Quadrilateral, Gurgaon, the Bandra Kurla complex in Mumbai, and various technopoles in Bangalore, Chennai, and Hyderabad. Henri Lefebvre reminds us that capitalism advances "by occupying space, by producing [abstract] space," or by sweeping away those legal, cultural or political forces which conspire to slow down the circulation time of capital. 41This iswhat we arebeginning to see in India: the building of new urban and regional geographies that trumpet the country's modernity. Boosters of reform argue, furthermore,that the benefits of higher average rates of growth must in time trickle down to the poor. After a decade (the 1990s) when the rate of poverty reduction in India seemed to slow down, there are signs now that economic growth isagain driving considerable reductions in the headcount incidence of absolute poverty. Even inBihar, changes appear to be underway, with Chief Minister Nitish Kumar advertising abusiness-friendly climate at some remove from the policies of his pre- decessor, Lalu Yadav. More tellingly, perhaps, the mushrooming growth of private, English- language schools in Bihar suggests an appetite on the part of some parents there to see their offspringjoin the circuits of economic growth and enrichment that are on offer elsewhere in India. But here too is the rub. The anti-growth policies that have held back large parts ofBihar and Uttar Pradesh have more to do with state- level politics than with deliberate neglect on the part of New Delhi. If Rob J enkins isright, pressures will grow even in these two states, particularly among the middle classes,for their ruling elites to embrace the reform agenda (as the CPM is doing inWest Bengal). But there are also significant path dependencies at work here, a point sometimes lost on those urging Bihar to be more like Maharashtra. Aseema Sinha makes this point very well in her book on the regional roots of development politics in India. 42 We need to recognize that India's recent experiments with high-tech growth depend in part on earlier (Nehruvian) rounds of investment in tertiary education (notably the institutes of technology and management) and other forms of colonial and postcolonial sup- port for private sector capitalist development in western India. In parts of eastern India, in contrast, slow growth may have been caused in large part by bad governance. But the gover- nance systems in place there also reflect the continuing legacies of the permanent settle- ment and the more recent consequences of a Freight Equalization Act that worked strongly to the disadvantage of states in India's resource triangle by reducing the cost of coal, iron, and steel in non-producing regions of India. Tim Bes1ey and his colleagues note that the poverty-reducing effects of a given unit of GDP per capita growth in India are much less than in East Asia, where the distribution of landed wealth since circa 1950 has been much more even. Poverty elasticities in East Asiaand the Pacific aregreater than -1 (that is, 1percent growth produces more than a 1 percent 315 /1 STUART CORBRIDGE - reduction in poverty), whereas in South Asia they are close to -0.6. But Besley and his collaborators also note that poverty elasticities in India vary from ahigh of -1.23 in Kerala to a low of -0.30 in Bihar. 43 Even if economic growth does come to Bihar, their research suggests, the unevenness of land holdings, together with poor levels of existing infra- structure and primary education, will conspire to limit such poverty-reducing effects as It might and should have. And here is a second difficulty. While it may be true that New Delhi has not set out to hold back Bihar since circa 1980 or 1991, the particular way in which India's urban and industrial elites have pushed forward the agenda of economic reform has done few favors for the eastern part of the country. To begin with, there is the matter of the agricultural economy.What isneeded in Bihar, still, is agrarian reform, but this is not on the mainstream agenda. What we observe instead, as across India, is a crisis of profitability in agriculture. Young people are leaving the countryside in droves, driven out by poor rates of return on farming and pulled to the cities by the prospect ofless onerous work. Close to 60 percent ofIndians still find some employment in agriculture and allied sectors, but the share of the agricultural economy in India's GDP is now below 20 percent. It will move down further over the coming decades.The country- side is also becoming the preserve of women, asmore young men earn the major part of their livelihoods in the urban economy. More so than in the 1950s and 1960s, the cities ofIndia really do represent the "modern" and there is every reason to suppose that an increase in education supply in the countryside will push young men (and some young women) even faster to those places where they can wear western clothes and hanker after officejobs. 44 Whether decent jobs for high school or college graduates will be on offer is another matter. 45There are worries that India's reform trajectory is bringing with it jobless growth and the urbanization of poverty. It issometimes forgotten that the IT sector accounts for only 316 2 percent of total services in India and only 1 percent of GDP (although it contributes around 5 percent of export earnings).46 That said, the manufacturing sector has been doing better than many critics have recog- nized, and there has been enormous growth in employment since circa 1990 in the household industry sector. What is clear looking ahead is that the mass movement of people from rural to urban India has only just begun.We will see much more of it over the next 20 or 30 years, asthe agricultural sector continues to shrink as asupplier of employment and asacontributor to GDP. When the GOI does finally turn its reforming spotlight on the countryside it will reduce the remaining subsidies that agriculture enjoys. It will also encourage the consolidation of larger farms, aprocess that is already under way in northwest India. Finally, there is the matter of public goods provision, broadly defined. The most serious impediment to continued high rates of economic growth in India is the undersupply of infrastructure, from schools and hospitals to roads, railways and ports. The World Bank estimates that "India must invest around 3-4 percent more of GDP on infrastructure to sustain growth of around 8 percent, address existing gaps and meet policy-driven coverage goals.,, 47 This isaconsiderable sumof money to find in acountry that isstill returning significant fiscal deficits at both central and state levels (albeit that considerable progress hasbeen made since circa 2004), and which still tolerates high levels of tax evasion.t'' It is also not clear there is the political will yet in India to finance improvements in public sector health care and education provision. The preference is for people to pay for such goods in the private sector, an elite-driven policy choice that is hugely damaging to poorer families. Much lesswidely recognized outside India, although it has been referred to with some regularity by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, is the worsening security situation in large swathes of eastern India, particularly in the so-called tribal belt. The retreat of func- tioning local government inparts of more than - / 2- THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF DEVELOPMENT IN INDIA SINCE INDEPENDENCE 150 of India's 602 Districts has opened the door to a Naxalite movement that does on occasions seek to provide both security and basic goods for disadvantaged local people. It is unlikely that the Indian state will lose control of these territories in the samemanner that the government of Nepal lost almost all of the hill areas outside Kathmandu in the years from 1996 to 2006. But any attempt to win back these blocks and districts will take time, and might bebloody. In the meantime, they areno- go areas for economic development. Private investment will not flow to regions lacking clear property rights or an established rule of law. For better or worse, these red zones pro- mise to be asignificant brake on the produc- tion of abstract space-that is, functioning spaces for capital and modernization-in large parts ofBihar, Orissa,jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, and Andhra Pradesh, not to mention in some of the northeastern states. Conclusion --- The transformation of the Indian economy since 1980 has surprised most observers and deserves apositive press.The Indian economy will be the third largest economy in the world sometime in the mid-2030s (trailing only the US and China). It isalready in third place once adjustments are made for purchasing power parities (PPPs). Nominal average per capita incomes in India were just over $1,050 in 2007, rising to $4,550 in PPP terms: still placing India in theWorld Bank's band oflow income countries, but edging it closer to middle income status. Moving forwards, Rodrik and Subramanian note that: "Over a 40-year period, a 5.3 percent [per capita] growth rate would increase the income of the average person nearly eight-fold."? There are reasons to believe that India is now hitting a target rate of growth of GDP 00percent, and that such growth rates canbe continued at least up to 2025 (if not to 2040 or 2045, by which time some decline in the rate of growth is to be expected, ascapital-output ratios increase). The incidence of absolute poverty, measured by income, should fall sharply in the wake of high growth and will likely induce improve- ments in other measures of poverty and deprivation, including in respect of sanitation, child health, and gender equality. These are all areas where India is behind its millennium development goal (MDG) targets. But nothing is guaranteed. India is still less dependent on world market conditions than many other emergent developing countries, but that dependence isset to grow. India isnot immune to global crises, whether stock market crashes, rising energy prices or adverse climate change. Internally, the GOI has major political issues to negotiate in future, not just with regard to forms of cultural nationalism, includ- ing a possible backlash against "westerniza- tion," but also in regard to gender issues (the role of women in the workforce, most notably) and the management of urban poverty or the containment of urban unrest. As things stand, all leading political parties in India support the agenda of economic reform.There isagrowing sensethat India's reform agenda isbeing driven by a culture of success, rather than by the politics of fear or even necessity. The fruits of that initial success have gone overwhelmingly to India's elites and itsurban middle classes,and upper castes, as was always bound to be the case.The challenge now, however, is for India to move on from areform agenda inspired by elites in revolt against the permit-license-quota Raj. Opportunities need to be provided for poor and excluded people to participate in the new circuits of growth, not least if they are to be deterred in some regions from the paths of unrest, rebellion and/ or secession. The political enfranchisement of India's poorest groups might still be the country's long-term salvation, much as Nehru once imagined. It is equally possible, however, that the politics of exclusionary growth will be reinforced. Asyet, rapid economic growth does not seem to be binding rich and poor Indians closer together. The privatization of space in India's cities surely hints at another future aswell: that of the Latin America city, with all 317 STUART CORBRIDGE its glitz, crime, segregation, and violence. Whichever way it goes, the future for eco- nomic development andsocial changeinIndia is intimately bound up with its cities, and with the politics of urban management. Of that wecanbe certain. Notes 1 Dani Rodrik andArvind Subramanian, "Why India Can Grow at 7Percent aYear or More: Projections and Reflections," IMF Working Paper, 04/118 (2004),p. 6. 2 Gurcharan Das, India Unbound: The Social and Economic Revolution Jrom Independence to the Global InJormation Age (New York: Anchor, 2002). 3 Kalpana Kochar et al., "India's Pattern of Development:What Happened,What Follows," International Monetary Fund, Working Paper WP106.02, www.imf.org/external/pubslft/ wp/2006/wp0622.pdf (2006);seealsoAbhijit Banerjee, "The Paradox of Indian Growth: A Comment on Kochar et al." (Mimeo: MIT, availableat www.mit.edulfaculty/ download_ pdf.php?id+1340,2006). 4 After writing afirstdraftof thisessayI wasable to readArvind Panagariya'sspiritedandupbeat account of India: The Emerging Giant (Oxford: University Press,2008).Panagariyaacceptsthat India'sgrowth ratesteppedup inthe 1980s(to 4.8 percent per annum 1981-88), but further arguesthat thegrowth ratesteppedup again- to 6.3percent-from 1988. Giventhat therun of annual GDP growth ratesfrom1987-88 to 1993-94 are 3.8 percent, 10.5 percent, 6.7 percent, 5.6percent, 1.3percent, 5.1percent, and 5.9 percent, I find the cutoff date of 1988 (or 1988-89: the year of 10.5 percent growth) unconvincing, if not indeedrather arbitrary. 5 Work for the World Bank's 1990 World Development Report proposed an inter- national povertylineof$l per dayat 1985PPPs (purchasingpower parities). At that time, India usedanofficial poverty line0$0.75per day.In 2008 the World Bank proposed a new international povertylineof$I.25 per day,using 2005dataon PPPs. India'sofficial poverty lines [or 2004-5 wereRs. 17.71in urban areasand Rs. 11.71 inrural areas,which translatetojust 318 1.03 against 2005 PPPs. For discussion, see Chen andRavallion 2008. 6 Simon Kuznets, Modern Economic Growth: Rate, Structure and Speed (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press,1966). 7 World Bank, India: Inclusive Growth and Service Delivery-Building on India's Success (Develop- ment Policy Review, Report No. 34580-IN) (Washington, DC: World Bank 2006), Figure 1.12andtext. 8 Stuart Corbridge andJ ohn Harriss, Reinventing India: Liberalization, Hindu Nationalism and Popular Democracy (Cambridge: Polity Press, 2000). 9 Alan Heston, "National Income," in Dharma Kumar and Meghnad Desai (eds), Cambridge Economic History of India, vol. II (Cambridge: UniversityPress,1982),pp.376-462. 10 AndreBeteille, Caste, Class and Power: Changing Patterns cif Stratijicationin a TanjoreVillage (Berkeley, CA:Universityof CaliforniaPress,1965). 11 Quoted in Sunil Khilnani, The Idea oJ India (London: Hamish Hamilton, 1997),p. 35. 12 Seethechapter byJ anBreman inthisvolume. 13 HansSinger,"TheDistributionof GainsBetween Investingand Borrowing Countries," American EconomicReview,40(1950),pp.478-96;andRaw Prebisch, The Economic Development oJ Latin America and Its Principal Problems (LakeSuccess, NY:United Nations, 1950). 14 Dadabhai Naoroji anticipated thisargument in hisPoverty and Un-British Rule in India (London: SwanSonnenschein, 1901). 15 Ronald Inden, "Embodying God: From Imperial Progresses to National Progress in India," Economy and Society, 24 (1995), pp. 245-78. 16 WilliamArthur Lewis, "Economic Develop- ment with Unlimited Suppliesof Labour," The Manchester School, 22 (1954),pp. 139-91. 17 J ohn Harriss, "Does the'Depressor' still work? Agrarian Structure andDevelopment inIndia: A Review of Evidence andArgument,"Journal oJPeasant Studies, 19(1992), pp. 189-227. 18 Michael Lipton, Why Poor People Stay Poor: A Study oJ Urban Bias in World Development (London:Temple Smith, 1977).Charan Singh's views permeate much of his writings, but see esp. India's Economic Policy: The Gandhian Blueprint (New Delhi: Vikas, 1978), ch. v; and Economic Nightmare oJ India: Its Cause and Cure (New Delhi: National 1981),chsvi-viii. THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF DEVELOPMENT IN INDIA SINCE INDEPENDENCE 19 V M. Dandekar and Nilkanth Rath, "Poverty in India: Dimensions andTrends," Economic and Political Weekly [EPVVJ ,Vo!.6, No. 1(2J anuary, 1971), pp. 25-48, 106-46. 20 LloydRudolph and Susanne Hoeber Rudolph, In Pursuit of LakshmiiThe Political Economy of the Indian State (Chicago, IL:University of Chicago Press, 1987). 21 Atul Kohli. Democracy and Discontent: India's Growing Crisis of Governability (Cambridge: University Press, 1990). 22 Partha Chatterjee, A Possible World: Essays in Political Criticism (New Delhi: Oxford University Press 1977); alsohis The Politics of the Governed: Rejlections on Popular Politics in Most of the World (New York: Columbia University Press, 2004). Sudipta Kaviraj, "On the Crisis of Political Institutions in India," Contributions to Indian Sociology, 18 (1984), pp. 223-43; also his "On State, Society and Discourse in India," in J ames Manor (ed.), Rethinking Third World Politics (Harlow: Longman, 1991), pp. 72-89. 23 Kaviraj, "Crisis of Political Institutions," p. 227. 24 Francine Frankel, India's Political Economy, 1947-1977: The Gradual Revolution (Princeton, NJ : University Press, 1978); Pranab Bardhan, The Political Economy of Development in India (Oxford: Blackwell, 1984); J agdish Bhagwati, India in Transition: Freeing the Economy (Oxford: Clarendon, 1993). 25 Bhagwati, India; Thirukodikaval Nilakanta Srinivasan, "Reform of Industrial and Trade Policies," EPW, Vol. 26, No. 37 (14September, 1991), pp. 2,143-45. 26 Atul Kohli, "Politics of Economic Growth in India, 1980-2005, Parts I and II,"EPW, Vol.41, No. 13 (1April, 2006), pp. 1,251-59 and 14 (8 April, 2006), pp. 1,361-70. 27 Angus Deaton, and J ean Dreze, "Poverty and Inequality in India:A Re-examination," EPW, Vol. 37, No. 36 (7 September, 2002), pp. 3,729-48. 28 Abhijit Sen and Himanshu, "Poverty and Inequality in India-I," EPW, Vol 39, No. 38 (18September, 2004), pp.4,247-63 and"Poverty and Inequality in India-II," 39, pp. 4,361-75. 29 Kohli, "Politics of Economic Growth," p. 1,362. 30 J ohn Williamson, "Democracy and the 'Washington Consensus,'" World Development, 21 (1993), pp. 1,329-36. 31 Deepak Lal, The Poverty of 'Development Economics' (London: Institute of Economic Affairs, 1993). 32 Drawing on Corbridge and Harriss, Reinventing India, p. 152. 33 Corbridge and Harriss, Reinventing India, p. 153. 34 See Ashutosh Varshney, "Mass Politics or Elite Politics? India's Economic Reforms in Comparative Perspective," inJ effrey Sachset al. (eds), India 1 1 1 the Era of Economic Riforms (New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1999), pp. 222-60. 35 David Harvey, The New Imperialism (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 2003). 36 On Narmada, seeAmita Baviskar, In the Belly of the River: Tribal Conflicts Over Development in the Narmada Valley (New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1995). On Operation Sunshine, see Chatterj ee, Politics of the Governed, p. 61. 37 See Paul R. Brass, The Politics of India Since Independence, 1st edn (Cambridge: University Press, 1990). 38 Robert J enkins. "The Developmental Impli- cations of Federal Political Institutions inIndia," in Mark Robinson and Gordon White (eds), The Democratic Developmental State (Oxford: University Press, 1998), pp. 187-214. See also Lawrence Saez, Federalism Without a Centre:The Impact of Political and Economic Riforms on India ~ Federal System (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2002). 39 See Bradford De Long, "India since Inde- pendence:An Analytical Growth Narrative," in Dani Rodrik (ed.), In Search ofProsperity:Analytic Narratives on Economic Growth (Princeton, NJ : University Press, 2003), pp. 184-204. See also Rob J enkins, Democratic Politics and Economic Riform in India (Cambridge: University Press, 1999). 40 Government of India, Economic Survey, 2006-7 (New Delhi: GOI, Ministry of Finance, 2007), Table 10.4. 41 Henri Lefebvre, The Survival of Capitalism (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1976), cited in David Harvey, Spaces of Capital (Edinburgh: University Press, 2001), p. 376. 42 AseemaSinha, The Regional Roots of Development Politicsin India: A Divided Leviathan (Bloomington, IN: IndianaUniversity Press,2005). 43 Tim Besley et al., Operationalising Pro-Poor Growth: A Country Case Study on India (Mimeo: Working Paper of Department of Economics, London School of Economics, www.lse.ac.uk/ collections/LSEIndia/pdf/propoorgrowth.pdf, 2004), p. 13. 319 Ir; STUART CORBRIDGE 44 An important word of caution here. The feminization of the countryside in states like Haryana and Punjab istaking placeinacontext where child sex ratios indicate there are now fewer than 850 girlsfor every 1,000 boys aged 0-6.Amartya Senhasargued that there aremore than 100million missingfromthe world today. Perhaps asmany as30 million of these women are missing from India; Amartya Kumar Sen, "More Than 100MillionWomen AreMissing," New York Review cif Books, 20 December, 1990. 45 SeeCraigJ effrey et al., Degrees Without Freedom? Education, Masculinities and Unemployment in 320 North India (Stanford, CA: University Press, 2008). 46 J imGordon andPoonamGupta,"Understanding India's Services Revolution," paper prepared for IMF-NCAER Conference, New Delhi, November 2003 www.imf.org/externallnp/ apdl seminars12003 Inewdelhil gordon. pdf. 47 World Bank, India, p.1S. 48 SeeBarbaraHarriss- White, India Working: Essays on Society and Economy (Cambridge: University Press, 2003). 49 Rodrik andSubramanian, Why India Can Grow, p.6. /