Fusion's Massive Millennial Poll
Fusion's Massive Millennial Poll
Fusion's Massive Millennial Poll
Net
January 2015 Survey of Millennials
METHODOLOGY
This report covers the results of our research: 1,000 total telephone interviews nationwide with a general
population sample between the ages of 18 and 34. The interviews were conducted January 6 11, 2015.
The margin of error for overall results is 3.10% and higher among subgroups.
The regions are defined as follows:
Northeast which represents 17% of the electorate and is defined as anyone living in
Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania,
Rhode Island, or Vermont.
Midwest which represents 22% of the electorate and is defined as anyone living in Indiana,
Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota,
or South Dakota.
South which represents 37% of the electorate and is defined as anyone living in Delaware,
District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West
Virginia, Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, Tennessee, Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, or Texas.
West which represents 24% of the electorate and is defined as anyone living in Arizona,
Colorado, Idaho, New Mexico, Montana, Utah, Nevada, Wyoming, Alaska, California, Hawaii,
Oregon, or Washington.
Region
Age
NE
MW
Race
Ideology
Education
HS Some
Lib Mod Con
Coll+
Grad Coll
Difference
Total Democrat
Strong Democrat
Weak Democrat
Total Republican
Weak Republican
Strong Republican
Independent
Dont know
+7
29
18
11
22
14
8
46
3
+2
25
13
12
23
14
9
50
3
+12
33
23
10
21
14
7
43
3
+19
35
23
13
16
8
8
45
3
+4
29
18
11
25
19
6
43
3
+3
27
17
10
24
14
9
47
3
+6
27
16
11
21
15
6
49
3
+5
27
16
11
22
14
9
46
4
+5
26
16
9
21
14
8
50
3
+12
34
22
11
22
15
6
43
2
+12
24
11
13
12
5
7
60
4
-31
15
11
4
46
33
14
35
3
0
24
13
10
24
17
8
49
3
+8
27
19
8
19
14
6
49
5
+12
35
21
14
23
13
10
41
1
Difference
Democrat w/leaners
Republican w/leaners
Ind/Dont know w/leaners
+15
50
35
15
+4
44
40
16
+26
56
30
14
+31
60
29
11
+9
46
37
17
+9
47
38
16
+17
51
34
15
+11
48
37
15
+18 +17
51 51
33 34
16 15
+21
51
30
19
-39
24
63
13
+5
43
38
19
+17
51
34
16
+20
54
34
11
Likelihood to Vote
In 2016, there will be an election for President as well as other offices. How likely are you to vote in that election?
Gender
All
Q1
Difference
Total Likely to Vote
Absolutely certain
Very likely
Possibly
Total Not Likely to Vote
Not very likely
Not at all likely
Dont know
+83
91
49
28
14
8
4
4
1
+77
88
45
30
13
11
7
5
1
+90
95
53
27
15
5
2
3
0
Region
NE
MW
Age
W
Race
Ideology
+82
90
40
33
17
8
4
4
1
+86
93
53
28
12
7
3
4
0
Education
HS Some
Lib Mod Con
Coll+
Grad Coll
+85
92
55
26
12
7
2
5
0
+82
91
46
31
14
9
6
3
0
+86
93
50
28
15
7
3
4
0
+78
89
36
30
23
11
3
7
0
+82
90
47
31
13
8
5
3
1
+88
94
62
24
8
6
4
2
0
All
Gender
F
49/8 30 35 34
30
33 32
36
29
30
29
31
44 41
33
27
29
32
36
24 38/13 22 26 25
20
29 18
29
19
21
20
28
34 27
26
20
21
26
24
13
26/3 10 16 13
11
13 14
15
12
11
14
24 21
14
10
14
14
11
24/6 12
10 12
13
11
11
11
14 16
10
14
10
12
Education
HS Some
Coll+
Grad Coll
MW
Ideology
NE
32
Region
Gender
F
Ideology
Education
HS Some
Lib Mod Con
Coll+
Grad Coll
NE
MW
49/8 45 53 49
46
50 52
56
46
43
45
54
53 56
50
44
47
47
53
24 38/13 37 39 37
32
46 34
46
32
33
34
47
41 43
41
32
37
39
38
13
26/3 21 30 26
21
26 30
25
29
24
20
30
37 38
28
15
20
26
31
11
24/6 25 23 26
20
24 27
28
21
21
24
22
27 34
23
17
23
25
25
32
Region
All
Much More
More /Less
Lkly Lkly
Gender
All
% No Difference
Age
Race
Region
NE
MW
Ideology
Education
HS Some
Coll+
Grad Coll
11
24/6 69
68 70 67
73
68 69
64
72
75
70
70
64 62
73
73
69
68
71
13
26/3 70
73 66 70
75
69 64
69
66
74
77
62
56 60
68
79
72
71
66
32
49/8 42
46 39 42
45
42 40
37
45
48
46
35
40 37
42
46
44
43
40
24 38/13 48
49 47 48
52
43 52
38
55
56
53
37
42 44
49
51
46
47
50
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Elizabeth Warren
Jim Webb
Andrew Cuomo
Martin OMalley
Joe Manchin
Dont know
Among
All
Dems
57
10
10
1
2
1
0
19
Gender
M
Region
NE
MW
38 31 45 45
9 11 8
7
7 8 7
7
2 3 1
1
2 2 2
6
1 2 1
0
1 1 1
0
38 41 35 34
35
10
6
1
2
1
0
44
Age
Race
Ideology
38 37
12 7
7 9
3 2
2 0
2 2
2 1
35 41
36
10
5
2
2
3
1
41
38
10
8
1
2
1
1
40
42
9
11
2
3
0
1
33
32
7
9
2
3
2
2
44
46
9
7
2
1
2
1
32
Education
HS Some
Lib Mod Con
Coll+
Grad Coll
54 50
19 6
2 15
0 1
3 1
1 1
0 0
21 25
42
12
6
3
3
2
1
33
27
10
3
3
3
1
2
52
35
8
3
2
2
2
1
47
38
12
7
1
2
2
1
37
42
8
12
2
3
0
1
32
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
Rand Paul
Paul Ryan
Mike Huckabee
Ted Cruz
Rick Santorum
Dont know
Among
All
Reps
8
16
14
14
12
8
4
25
14
12
11
9
7
4
2
40
Gender
M
Region
NE
MW
Age
W
Race
Ideology
Lib Mod Con
14 15 29 13 10 11 11
16
18 14 11 24 16
13 11 5
14 17 9
12
13
13 11 19 7 10
15 7
8
7 14 13 12
8
13 12 11 7 15
11 7
5
14 9 10 12
6
9
10 10 6 7
8 6
6
6
8 7
7
6
9
10 2
3 4
6 2
4
3
5 2
6
2
2
4
3
3 2
1 3
1
2
2 4
3
1
2
2
2
2 2
32 48 41 42 35 45 37
50
35 36 42 49 43
Note: This question was asked on nights 1-5 of calling.
18
12
13
10
7
3
1
36
11
15
8
12
11
6
3
35
Education
HS Some
Coll+
Grad Coll
15
13
8
11
8
6
2
38
11
12
11
10
9
4
2
43
18
12
15
7
5
3
3
38
Mitt Romney
Chris Christie
Rand Paul
Paul Ryan
Jeb Bush
Mike Huckabee
Ted Cruz
Rick Santorum
Dont know
Among
All
Reps
Gender
M
Region
NE
MW
Age
Race
Ideology
Education
HS Some
18-24 25-29 30-34 Wht Hisp AA* Lib Mod Con
Coll+
Grad Coll
23 15 15 15 22 11 15 16 21
13
9
15 9 19 4 15
5
11 10 11 19
4 13 7
11
8
13 12 3 18 18 9
13 10 15 5
3
12 13 9
7
13
11 13 6
4 12 16
13
9 9 9 10 11 4 13 13
8
4
8 18 0 2 13
12
7 5 10 3
9
8 7
2
11
10
8
9
0 4
8
13
7 9 6
5
15 7 3
9
4
8
13 0
0 4
4
5
3 2 3
0
2
4 2
1
3
5
2
6
0 2
1
0
1 0 2
0
2
1 0
2
0
0
1
2
0 0
1
16 37 36 39 38 34 35 43 34
40
40 29 46 59 54 33
*Note: Due to small sample size, these results should be considered directional only.
Note: This question was asked on the last two nights of calling.
22
7
3
11
10
14
5
1
27
18
6
6
9
7
9
1
3
40
16
9
11
11
6
6
2
0
38
11
16
13
5
8
8
4
0
35
Region
NE
MW
Age
Race
Ideology
Difference
+11 +15 +6 +26 +29 -9 +14
Mitt Romney 38 38 38 44 46 27 43
Jeb Bush
27 23 32 18 17 36 29
Dont know
35 39 31 38 37 37 28
+8
40
32
29
+2
31
29
40
Education
HS Some
Lib Mod Con
Coll+
Grad Coll
+12
38
26
36
+32
52
20
28
+11
40
29
31
+5 +16
32 42
27 26
41 32
Difference
Hillary Clinton
Mitt Romney
Dont know
+24
55
31
14
Region
NE
MW
+22
53
31
15
+25
56
31
13
+50
68
18
15
Age
Race
Ideology
-8 +29 +26
39 57 57
47 28 31
14 16 12
+24
56
32
12
+24 +23
52 56
28 33
20 11
+23
53
30
17
-28
29
57
13
Education
HS Some
Coll+
Grad Coll
+24
56
32
11
+22
51
29
20
+26
58
32
10
Difference
Total Democratic Candidate
Democratic candidate
Lean Democratic candidate
Total Republican Candidate
Lean Republican candidate
Republican candidate
Dont know
+13
48
43
5
35
30
5
17
Region
Age
NE
MW
+4
43
37
6
39
33
6
17
+23
54
49
4
31
27
4
16
+27
55
51
4
28
24
4
17
+5
45
37
8
40
36
4
14
+6
44
40
4
38
32
6
18
+22
53
47
5
31
25
6
17
Race
+15
50
45
4
35
30
5
15
+16
49
41
7
33
30
3
18
+8
46
42
4
38
30
8
16
Ideology
Education
HS Some
Lib Mod Con
Coll+
Grad Coll
+18
47
41
6
29
24
5
24
-39
25
23
2
64
56
9
11
+5 +12 +22
45 46 54
40 41 48
5
5
6
40 34 32
36 28 27
4
6
6
15 19 14
All
Stephen Colbert
Jon Stewart
Tina Fey
Dave Chappelle
Amy Poehler
Louis C.K.
John Oliver
Jay Pharaoh
Dont know
19
17
17
15
5
5
2
2
18
Region
Age
NE
MW
24
21
6
19
2
6
3
1
17
14
13
28
11
7
3
1
3
20
16
22
13
15
3
6
3
1
21
23
14
21
10
4
3
4
1
20
19
18
15
18
5
3
1
3
18
18
14
19
15
6
7
3
3
16
Race
Ideology
18
14
18
18
6
4
2
3
16
21
15
17
13
4
4
3
1
21
19
23
14
12
3
6
3
2
19
24
18
16
11
5
6
3
1
16
13
15
19
17
5
4
1
3
22
12
11
17
28
3
0
2
3
25
Education
HS Some
Lib Mod Con
Coll+
Grad Coll
23
24
17
10
5
4
5
1
11
21
19
17
18
5
5
1
2
13
16
10
16
16
5
5
1
3
27
14
11
19
22
4
2
1
2
24
23
16
13
15
4
7
2
3
18
20
22
19
9
6
4
4
2
14
Difference
Yes
No
Dont know
+35
65
30
5
+30
62
32
6
Region
NE
MW
Age
Race
Ideology
Education
HS Some
Lib Mod Con
Coll+
Grad Coll
+40 +36 +45 +32 +32 +42 +34 +25 +37 +24 +62 +31 +26 +51 +32 +37 +37
68 65 70 63 64 69 64 60 66 59 80 64 60 73 63 66 66
28 29 25 31 32 27 30 35 29 35 18 33 34 22 31 29 29
4
6
5
6 4
5
6
5
6
6
2
3
6
5
5
6
5