Measuring The Economy: A Primer On GDP and The National Income and Product Accounts
Measuring The Economy: A Primer On GDP and The National Income and Product Accounts
Measuring The Economy: A Primer On GDP and The National Income and Product Accounts
Concepts
Framework
Measures
Interactive Access
October 2014
Director
October 2014
www.bea.gov
Acknowledgments
Stephanie H. McCulla and Shelly Smith of the National Income and Wealth Division, Bureau of
Economic Analysis (BEA), U.S. Department of Commerce, prepared this Primer.
Brent R. Moulton, Associate Director for National Economic Accounts at BEA, and Carol E.
Moylan, former Chief of the National Income and Wealth Division at BEA provided overall guid
ance.
Preface
This paper introduces new users to the basics of the U.S. national income and product accounts
(NIPAs). It discusses the economic concepts that underlie the NIPAs, and it describes the seven
NIPA summary accounts. The Primer also provides a brief overview of the derivation of the NIPA
measures and a list of references for further information.
Comments and questions about the NIPA Primer are invited. Please contact BEAs National
Income and Wealth Division, 1441 L St., NW, BE54, Washington, DC 20230 or by e-mail at
GDPniwd@bea.gov.
Contents
Measuring the Economy: A Primer on GDP and the National Income and Product Accounts ..........
Output .......................................................................................................................................................
Exhibit 1 ..................................................................................................................................................
Income ......................................................................................................................................................
34
11
11
12
12
12
13
910
14
14
14
14
Additional Reading....................................................................................................................................
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16
16
16
16
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17
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Example ....................................................................................................................................................
1821
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Output
Businesses
Individuals
Income
Labor
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Exhibit 1
Intermediate
product
Income
Sales =
Total output
Farmer, wheat
$0
$1
$1
Miller, four
$1
$2
$3
Baker, bread
$3
$4
$7
Total
$4
$7
$11
NIPA Primer
Intermediate
product
Income
Sales =
Total output
Farmer, wheat
$0
$1
$1
Miller, four
$1
$2
$3
Baker, bread
$3
$4
$7
Total
$4
$7
$11
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NIPA Sectors
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The T-account
Uses of income
Sources of income
Consumption
50
Compensation
70
Tax payments
20
Interest received
20
Saving
30
Dividends received
10
100
Total Income
100
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include government spending for social benefit programs (such as Medicaid), interest payments, and subsidies.
The leftor incomeside of the Domestic Income
and Product Account measures output using the income
approach, as the sum of all the incomes earned and costs
incurred in production. Specifically, the left side shows
Line
Compensation of employees, paid .........................................................................
Domestic (312).............................................................................................
Rest of the world (511).................................................................................
8,620.0
6,935.1
6,920.5
14.6
1,684.9
1,122.9
57.3
4,033.2
4,060.9
27.7
2,542.9
16,261.6
17.0
16,244.6
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
1,202.7
Nondurable goods .........................................................................................
2,567.0
Services .............................................................................................................
7,379.9
Gross private domestic investment ........................................................................
2,475.2
Fixed investment (62) ......................................................................................
2,409.1
Nonresidential................................................................................................
1,970.0
Structures ..................................................................................................
437.3
Equipment .................................................................................................
907.6
Intellectual property products ....................................................................
625.0
Residential .....................................................................................................
439.2
Change in private inventories (64) ...................................................................
66.1
Net exports of goods and services ........................................................................
547.2
Exports (51) .....................................................................................................
2,195.9
2,743.1
Impor ts (59) .....................................................................................................
Government consumption expenditures and gross investment (41 plus 63) .....
3,167.0
Federal...............................................................................................................
1,295.7
National defense ............................................................................................
817.1
Nondefense ...................................................................................................
478.6
State and local ...................................................................................................
1,871.3
Line
Income payments on assets...................................................................................
Interest and miscellaneous payments (221 and 320 and 420 and 513) ....
Dividend payments to the rest of the world (514).............................................
2,654.2
2,407.2
141.1
105.9
106.9
41.4
70.6
5.1
1,224.9
541.2
2,009.5
434.8
402.4
32.4
1,574.7
770.3
804.3
4,060.9
2,475.8
1,809.9
297.9
368.1
6,536.7
6,536.7
4 Personal interest payments (221 and 320 and 420 and 513) ....................
6
To government (424) ....................................................................................
7
To the rest of the world (net) (517) ...............................................................
Line
1,498.0
11,558.4
11,149.6
248.4
160.4
88.5
71.9
687.4
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
13,743.8
Personal interest income (22 plus 34 plus 47 plus 55 less 221 less 420
less 513) ......................................................................................................
Personal dividend income (216 less 421) ......................................................
8,611.6
6,926.8
6,920.5
6.3
1,684.9
1,170.6
514.3
1,224.9
541.2
1,958.5
1,211.6
746.9
2,358.3
2,316.8
41.4
950.7
10
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Line
Consumption expenditures (131) .........................................................................
Current transfer payments......................................................................................
Government social benefits ...............................................................................
To persons (323) ..........................................................................................
To the rest of the world (518) .......................................................................
Other current transfer payments to the rest of the world (net) (518) ................
Interest payments (221 and 320 and 420 and 513) .......................................
Subsidies (17) ......................................................................................................
Net government saving (613) ...............................................................................
Federal ...............................................................................................................
State and local ...................................................................................................
2,548.0
2,384.7
2,334.8
2,316.8
18.0
49.9
631.6
57.3
1,362.3
1,109.7
252.7
4,259.2
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
3,041.2
1,498.0
1,122.9
402.4
17.8
955.3
131.4
107.9
23.4
159.1
70.6
88.5
27.7
4,259.2
Line
2,195.9
818.6
6.3
812.3
146.3
297.9
368.1
3,014.5
2,743.1
565.7
14.6
551.1
304.1
141.1
105.9
144.6
71.9
45.4
27.3
439.0
3,014.5
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Line
3,094.2
2,409.1
619.0
66.1
6.6
7.7
14.2
432.4
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
129.4
687.4
804.3
1,362.3
2,542.9
2,049.3
493.6
434.2
59.4
2,672.2
17.0
2,655.2
2,655.2
Line
439.0
6.6
7.7
14.2
432.4
439.0
in the summary accounts. For example, supplements to wages and salaries appears in account 1, line 5 and in
account 3, line 14. In other cases, an entry may be equal to a combination of other entries (or of parts of other
entries). For example, for private enterprise interest payments (account 2, line 2), the counterentry includes
parts of private enterprise interest receipts (account 2, line 21), of personal interest income (account 3, line 20),
of government interest receipts (account 4, line 20), and of interest payments to the rest of the world (account
5, line 13).
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This account is also an income and outlay account, showingfor Federal, state, and local governments (including
government enterprises)total receipts of income on the
right side and the current uses of income (including sav
ing) on the left side. The bulk of government income is
derived from the receipt of taxes; governments also
receive contributions for government social insurance,
income receipts on assets, transfers (such as donations,
fees, and fines), and the current surplus of government
enterprises.
The left side of the account features the uses of govern
ment receipts, which include current expenditures and
government saving. Government transfer payments,
which account for a large share of government current
expenditures, are payments for which no current good or
service is provided by the recipient, such as unemploy
ment benefits. Other current transfer payments to the
rest of the world consists of U.S. Government military
and nonmilitary grants to foreign governments. Interest
payments reflect interest paid on public debt, and subsi
dies refers to the provision of subsidies to businesses.
The balancing item of the account is net government
saving, which shows the difference between current
receipts and current expenditures. Because of differences
in coverage and timing, Federal Government net saving
in the NIPAs is not equal to the well-known measure of
the Federal Governments unified budget surplus or defi
cit, which is an administrative cash-flow measure derived
from the Treasury Departments Federal budget state
ments and which includes both current and capital
receipts and expenditures. The NIPA measure of govern
ment saving represents the portion of current expendi
tures that are covered by current receipts rather than by
other methods of financing.
Account 5. Foreign Transactions Current Account
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The data used by BEA are often available only after some
lag. In general, the longer the lag time, the better the data
are in terms of coverage and detail. Because both quick
release and accuracy are highly valued, there is a con
stant trade off between quality and timing. As a result,
BEA releases several vintages of NIPA estimates for
any given quarter or year, with each vintageor revi
sionbeing based on better source data.
Advance current quarterly estimates (based on
incomplete monthly data), are released near the end of
the first month after the end of the quarter. At the end of
each of the following two months, revised estimates are
released that incorporate revised and newly available
monthly and quarterly data; these releases are referred to
as second and third quarterly estimates.
Annual estimates of GDP that are first available as the
sum of the quarterly estimates are revised in the annual
revision (typically each July) and generally in the follow
ing two annual revisions; the period of revision can be
extended beyond this three-year range if the revisions to
earlier periods warrant immediate incorporation (rather
than waiting for the next comprehensive revision,
described below). Annual revisions are timed to incorpo
rate newly available annual source data and quarterly
data that are released too late to be used in the current
quarterly estimates; improvements in methodology may
also be incorporated.
The revision cycle culminates, at about 5-year inter
vals, in a comprehensive revision of the NIPAs. Compre
hensive revisions differ from annual revisions in that the
data used for comprehensive revisions are based in large
part on quinquennial censuses of economic activity,
while the monthly, quarterly, and annual data discussed
above are generally based on sample surveys. Addition
ally, comprehensive revisions have traditionally been
used to introduce major improvements in definitions,
estimating methods, and data presentations into the
accounts, and the revision period is generally much lon
ger than that for annual revisions, often back as far as
1929.
Current-dollar estimates
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Additional Reading
Approaching a subject as complex as the NIPAs is best done one step at a time. This paper provided the first step; for
readers interested in continuing their education, this section offers references, organized by subject area.
Concepts, framework, and history
NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts. Chapters 14 of this hand
book describe the fundamental concepts, definitions, classifications, and accounting framework that underlie the
national income and product accounts (NIPAs) of the United States.
An Introduction to National Economic Accounting (MP1): Bureau of Economic Analysis, Website publication.
This paper presents an in-depth derivation of the seven account summary of the NIPAs from generalized production,
income and outlay, and saving-investment accounts for each sector and shows the links between the NIPAs and busi
ness or financial accounting principles.
Streitweiller, Mary. BEA Briefing: A Primer on BEAs Input-Output Accounts, SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 89 (June
2009): 4052.
Concepts and Methods of the U.S. Input-Output Accounts. Bureau of Economic Analysis, September 2006. Web site
publication.
Lequiller, Francois and Derek Blades. Understanding National Accounts. Organisation for Economic Co-operation
and Development, 2006.
Marcuss, Rosemary D. and Richard E. Kane. U.S. National Income and Product Statistics: Born of the Great
Depression and World War II. SURVEY 87 (February 2007): 3246. This article reviews the early impetus for the devel
opment of the accounts.
Estimating methods and source data
Updated Summary of NIPA Methodologies. This article is updated annually and is available on the Web site and in
the SURVEY (usually in the November issue).
NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts. Chapters 511 and 13,
and other forthcoming chapters of this handbook describe the sources and methods used to prepare the expenditure
and income components of the accounts.
In addition, numerous SURVEY articles describe annual and comprehensive revisions to the NIPAs. SURVEY articles
and other methodology papers are available on the Web site; go to www.bea.gov, then select National and Method
ologies or Articles.
Quantity, price, and chained-dollar indexes
A series of articles are available on the website; go to www.bea.gov and select National, Articles, and then scroll
down to Chain-type measures. They include:
Landefeld, J. Steven, Brent R. Moulton, and Cindy M. Vojtech. Chained-Dollar Indexes: Issues, Tips on Their Use,
and Upcoming Changes. SURVEY 83 (November 2003): 816.
Landefeld, J. Steven and Robert P. Parker. BEAs Chain Indexes, Time Series, and Measures of Long-Term Eco
nomic Growth. SURVEY 77 (May 1997): 5868.
Reliability of the estimates
A series of articles are available on the website; go to www.bea.gov and select National, Articles, and then scroll
down to Reliability. They include:
Fixler, Dennis J., Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy, and Bruce T. Grimm. The Revisions to GDP, GDI, and Their Major
Components, SURVEY 94 (August 2014).
Fixler, Dennis J., Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy, and Bruce T. Grimm. Revisions to GDP, GDI, and Their Major Com
ponents, SURVEY 91 (June 2011): 931.
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Table
Estimate Description
X.Y.1
X.Y.2
X.Y.3
X.Y.4
Price indexes
X.Y.5
Current dollars
X.Y.6
X.Y.7
X.Y.8
X.Y.9
X.Y.10
To access the interactive tables, please visit BEAs Web site at www.bea.gov, or click here.
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Example
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from the selected table for charting; the charts can also be
downloaded or printed. Once chart is selected, this
option becomes table, as shown: