Dempster Mills Manufacturing Case Study BPLs
Dempster Mills Manufacturing Case Study BPLs
Dempster Mills Manufacturing Case Study BPLs
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Each letter ends with the request that you let me know about anything that isn't clear. Please be
sure that you do this. We are all geared up with secretarial help, a new typewriter, etc., and we
want to be sure that this letter and agreement are understood by all.
-Many times Generals represent a form of "coattail riding" where we feel the dominating
stockholder group has plans for the conversion of unprofitable or under-utilized assets to a better
use. We have done that ourselves in Sanborn and Dempster, but everything else equal we would
rather let others do the work. Obviously, not only do the values have to be ample in a case like
this, but we also have to be careful whose coat we are holding.
-Dempster Mill Manufacturing Company
The high point of 1962 from a performance standpoint was our present control situation --73%
owned Dempster Mill. Dempster has been primarily in farm implements (mostly items retailing
for $1,000 or under), water systems, water well supplies and jobbed plumbing lines.
The operations for the past decade have been characterized by static sales, low inventory turnover
and virtually no profits in relation to invested capital.
We obtained control in August, 1961 at an average price of about $28 per share, having bought
some stock as low as $16 in earlier years, but the vast majority in an offer of $30.25 in August.
When control of a company is obtained, obviously what then becomes all-important is the value
of assets, not the market quotation for a piece of paper (stock certificate).
Last year, our Dempster holding was valued by applying what I felt were appropriate discounts to
the various assets. These valuations were based on their status as non-earning assets and were not
assessed on the basis of potential, but on the basis of what I thought a prompt sale would produce
at that date. Our job was to compound these values at a decent rate. The consolidated balance
sheet last year and the calculation of fair value are shown below.
Assets
Cash
Accts. Rec. (net)
Inventory
Ppd. Exp. Etc.
Current Assets
Cash Value Life ins., etc.
Book
Figure
$166
$1,040
$4,203
$82
$5,491
$45
(000s omitted)
Valued @
Adjusted
Valuation
100%
$166
85%
$884
60%
$2,522
25%
$21
$3,593
100
Est. net auction value
Notes Payable
Other Liabilities
$1,230
$1,088
Total Liabilities
$2,318
$45
$4,601
$2,120
$35.25
$1383
$800
Total Assets
$6,919
$4,438
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Liabilities
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Dempster's fiscal year ends November 30th, and because the audit was unavailable in complete
form, I approximated some of the figures and rounded to $35 per share last year.
Initially, we worked with the old management toward more effective utilization of capital, better
operating margins, reduction of overhead, etc. These efforts were completely fruitless. After
spinning our wheels for about six months, it became obvious that while lip service was being
given to our objective, either through inability or unwillingness, nothing was being accomplished.
A change was necessary.
A good friend (Charlie Munger), whose inclination is not toward enthusiastic descriptions, highly
recommended Harry Bottle for our type of problem. On April 17, 1962 I met Harry in Los
Angeles, presented a deal which provided for rewards to him based upon our objectives being met,
and on April 23rd he was sitting in the president's chair in Beatrice.
Harry is unquestionably the man of the year. Every goal we have set for Harry has been met, and
all the surprises have been on the pleasant side. He has accomplished one thing after another that
has been labeled as impossible, and has always taken the tough things first. Our breakeven point
has been cut virtually in half, slow-moving or dead merchandise has been sold or written off,
marketing procedures have been revamped, and unprofitable facilities have been sold.
The results of this program are partially shown in the balance sheet below, which, since it still
represents non-earning assets, is valued on the same basis as last year.
Assets
Book Figure
Cash
Marketable securities
Accts. Rec. (net)
Inventory
Cash value life ins.
Recoverable Income Tax
Ppd. Exp. Etc.
$60
$758
$796
$1,634
$41
$170
$14
Current Assets
Misc. Invest.
(000s omitted)
Valued @
Adjusted
Valuation
100%
$60
Mrt. 12/31/62
$834
85%
$676
60%
$981
100%
$41
100%
$170
25%
$4
$3,473
Liabilities
Notes payable
Other liabilities
Total liabilities
Net Worth:
Per Books
As Adjusted to quickly
realizable values
Add: proceeds from
potential exercise of option
to Harry Bottle
$0
$346
$346
$4,077
$3,125
$60
$2,766
$5
100%
$5
$945
$700
$4,423
$51.26
$3,471
Three facts stand out: (1) Although net worth has been reduced somewhat by the housecleaning
and write-downs ($550,000 was written out of inventory; fixed assets overall brought more than
book value), we have converted assets to cash at a rate far superior to that implied in our yearwww.csinvesting.wordpress.com
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Book Figure
Valued @
Cash
Accts. Rec. (net)
Inventory
Ppd. Exp. Etc.
$166
$1,040
$4,203
$82
100%
85%
60%
25%
Current Assets
$5,491
$45
$1,383
Adj.
Valuation
$166
$884
$2,522
$21
$3,593
100%
Est. Net Auction
Value
$6,919
$45
Liabilities
Notes Payable
Other Liabilities
$1,230
$1,088
Total Liabilities
$2,318
Net Worth:
Per Books
As adjusted to quickly
realizable values
$4,601
$2,120
$800
$4,438
$35.25
Current Assets
Book Figure
Valued @
$60
$758
100%
Mkt. 12/31/62
Adjusted
Valuation
$60
$834
$796
$1,634
$41
85%
60%
100%
$170
$14
Notes payable
Other liabilities
$0
$346
$676
$981
$41
Total liabilities
$346
100%
$170
Per books
$4,077
25%
$4
As adjusted to
quickly realizable
values
Add: proceeds
from potential
exercise of option
to Harry Bottle
$3,125
$3,473
Net Worth:
$2,766
Misc. Invest.
$5
100%
$5
$945
$700
Total Assets
$4,423
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Liabilities
$60
$3,185
Shares
Outstanding
60,146
Add: shs.
Potentially
outstanding under
option: 2,000
Total shs. 62,146
Adj. Value per
Share
$51.26
$3,471
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Book Figure
Valued @
Cash
Marketable
Securities
Accts. Rec. (net)
Inventory
Ppd. Exp. Etc
$144
$1,772
100%
Mkt. 6/30/63
$1,262
$977
$12
85%
60%
25%
Current Assets
$4,167
Adjusted
Valuation
$144
$2,029
$1,073
$586
$3
$3,835
Liabilities
Notes payable (paid 7/3/63)
Other liabilities
$125
$394
Total Liabilities
$519
Net Worth:
Per books
As adjusted to quickly realizable
values
$4,582
$4,028
Misc. Invest
$62
100%
$62
$872
$650
Total assets
$5,101
$64.81
$4,547
I have included above the conversion factors we have previously used in valuing Dempster for
B.P.L. purposes to reflect estimated immediate sale values of non-earning assets.
As can be seen, Harry has converted the assets at a much more favorable basis than was implied
by my valuations. This largely reflects Harry's expertise and, perhaps, to a minor degree my own
conservatism in valuation.
As can also be seen, Dempster earned a very satisfactory operating profit in the first half (as well
as a substantial unrealized gain in securities) and there is little question that the operating business,
as now conducted, has at least moderate earning power on the vastly reduced assets needed to
conduct it. Because of a very important-seasonal factor and also the presence of a tax carry
forward, however, the earning power is not nearly what might be inferred simply by a comparison
of the 11/30/62 and 6/30/63 balance sheets. Partly because of this seasonality, but more
importantly, because of possible developments in Dempster before 1963 yearend, we have left our
Dempster holdings at the same $51.26 valuation used at yearend 1962 in our figures for B.P.Ls
first half. However, I would be very surprised if it does not work out higher than this figure at
yearend.
One sidelight for the fundamentalists in our group: B.P.L. owns 71.7% of Dempster acquired at a
cost of $1,262,577.27. On June 30, 1963 Dempster had a small safe deposit box at the Omaha
National Bank containing securities worth $2,028,415.25. Our 71.7% share of $2,028,415.25
amounts to $1,454,373.70. Thus, everything above ground (and part of it underground) is
profit. My security analyst friends may find this a rather primitive method of accounting, but I
must confess that I find a bit more substance in this fingers and toes method than in any prayerful
reliance that someone will pay me 35 times next year's earnings. (Greater fool speculation and
known vs. unknown).
--
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7/31/63 (unaudited)
$89,000
$289,000
$2,049,000
$166,000
$2,436,000
$1,040,000
$4,203,000
$82,000
$864,000
$890,000
$12,000
Current Assets
$5,491,000
$4,202,000
Other Assets
Net Plant and Equipment
$45,000
$1,383,000
$62,000
$862,000
Cash
US Govt Securities at cost
Other marketable securities at market (which
exceeds cost)
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Total Assets
$6,919,000
$5,126,000
$1,230,000
Notes Payable
$1,088,000
$274,000
Total Liabilities
$2,318,000
$274,000
Net worth
60,146 shs. 11/30/61
62,146 shs. 7/31/63
$4,601,000
$4,852,000
$6,919,000
$5,126,000
Other Liability
Harry:
(1) took the inventory from over $4 million (much of it slow moving) to under $1 million
reducing carrying costs and obsolescence risks tremendously;
(2) correspondingly freed up capital for marketable security purchases from which we gained
over $400,000
(3) cut administration and selling expense from $150,000 to $75,000 per month;
(4) cut factory overhead burden from $6 to $4.50 per direct labor hour;
(5) closed the five branches operating unprofitably (leaving us with three good ones) and
replaced them with more productive distributors;
(6) cleaned up a headache at an auxiliary factory operation at Columbus, Nebraska;
(7) eliminated jobbed lines tying up considerable money (which could be used profitably in
securities) while producing no profits;
(8) adjusted prices of repair parts, thereby producing an estimated $200,000 additional profit
with virtually no loss of volume; and most important;
(9) through these and many other steps, restored the earning capacity to a level commensurate
with the capital employed.
In 1963, the heavy corporate taxes we were facing (Harry surprised me by the speed with which he
had earned up our tax loss carry-forward) coupled with excess liquid funds within the corporation
compelled us to either in some way de-incorporate or to sell the business.
We set out to do either one or the other before the end of 1963. De-incorporating had many
problems but would have, in effect, doubled earnings for our partners and also eliminated the
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H. T. Bottle, President.
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Harry Bottle:
Charlie introduced me to Warren in early April 1962.
Warren stepped in and rescued an ailing sick business, made it well, sold it to local principals for
continuance of operation and support for the area.
Buffett says today, Hiring Harry may have been the most important management decision I
ever made. Dempster was in big trouble under two previous managers, and the banks were
treating us as a potential bankrupt. If Dempster had gone down, my life and fortunes would have
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