Urbanisation: Current Pace & Future Needs

Urbanisation: current pace & future needs
Urbanization in India is an important determinant of national economic growth

and poverty reduction
Urbanisation is central to Indias strategy of faster and inclusive growth
a. agglomeration and densification of economic activities and habitations in
urban conglomerations stimulates economic efficiencies
b. facilitates greater entrepreneurship and employment opportunities
c. strong rural-urban linkages catalytic for realization of the potential of
urbanisation
Urbanization in India is characterized by increase in the number of cities
a. with 5 metropolitan cities in 1951 to 35 in 2001 to 53 in 2011 and projected to
about 68 in 2030
b. Mumbai and Delhi will be among the five largest cities in the world by 2030
Pace of urbanization is accelerating
a. in the decade 2001-11, share of persons living in urban areas rose by 3.35
per cent (as against only 2.10 per cent in the decade 1991 to 2001)
b. about 31 per cent (377 million) of Indian population live in urban areas
(Census 2011)
c. Only one state now (Tamil Nadu) is more than 50 per cent urbanized by
2030 it would be 5 states
Contribution of the urban sector to GDP
a. risen from about 38 per cent in 197071 to 63 per cent in 200910 and
around 70 per cent at present while employing only 27 per cent of the work
force
b. the top 100 largest cities in India produce 42 per cent of GDP with 16 per
cent population and just 0.24 per cent of land area
Need for a comprehensive framework of urban policy & planning for quality
infrastructure, services & growth & productivity enhancing environment
Municipal fiscal sector is tiny in India
Total municipal revenue in India accounts for about 0.75 per cent of the
countrys GDP - 4 to 6 per cent in Poland, Brazil & South Africa
ULBs account for only 2-3 per cent of the combined revenue and expenditure
of Central Government, State Governments and ULBs
McKinsey Study (2010) on Indian urbanization projects a capital investment
need of US$ 1.2 trillion over the 20 year period 2010-2030
a. this implies that India has to boost its annual per capita urban capital
spending from US$ 17 (as compared to US$ 116 in China, US$ 127 in South
Africa and US$ 391 in UK) to US$134
High Powered Expert Committee (Isher Judge Ahluwalia Committee)

projected for 20 year period (2012-31) about US$ 870 billion investments for
urban infrastructure
CURRENT PRIVATE FINANCING STRATEGIES & ISSUES
Municipal Bonds
Municipal financing traditionally through budgetary allocations/internal revenues of
ULBs
Since 1997, only 28 municipal bond issues by a few strong ULBs have taken place
in India and mobilized nearly `30 billion most of them private placements
Most of the municipal bonds have been issued without a government guarantee
Most bond issues to fund water supply & sewerage projects easier enforcement of
user charges/tariffs & predictability of revenue generation
Despite weak finances of the ULBs, none of the municipal bond issues have
defaulted in repayment
No issue after 2010
Very few ULBs appear to be planning for market borrowing as a source of finance
for them despite credit rating by MoUD
Plausible reasons for inability to access markets
a. investment grade ULBs do not have cost effective access to finance as they are still
considered to be riskier than corporates of same rating
b. development of market is significantly linked to the financial position of states
devolution & grants predictability of transfers
c. absence of active secondary bond market
d. budgeting and accounting systems of ULBs still lack transparency
e. poor project evaluation & lack of specialized project management support
f. no statutory backing for insolvency of ULBs
Pooled Finance
Encourages state governments and mid-to small-sized ULBs to pool their projects to
achieve a marketable size of the pooled bond issuance
Provides risk mitigation for the investors
Reduces interest cost and are rated higher than those of the underlying borrowers
Usage has been low so far
a. only Tamil Nadu (Tamil Nadu Urban Development Fund) & Karnataka (Karnataka
Water & Sanitation Pooled Fund) have issued municipal bonds by pooling
Pooled Finance Development Fund (PFDF) of GoI for credit enhancement
Need to address pending issues related to pooled financing, such as, legislative
sanctions, streamlining approval process, addressing data gaps and establishment
of Urban Infrastructure Funds to expand the use of pooled bond issues.
PPP
12th Plan estimates about 13 - 23 per cent of the total investment requirement in
urban sector can potentially come through PPPs
PPPs are structured around a robust revenue model including user charges,
targeted subsidies and viability gap funding
PPPs provide better return prospects on risk capital and serve as an important
instrument for enhancing efficiency in the delivery of urban services
Mixed experience failure in Pune Municipal Corporation (PMC) success for
water supply projects in Karnataka & Nagpur
Challenges: commercial viability, low user charges, small size/value of projects, lack
of strong internal revenue base to engage private finance
Opportunities under JNNURM due to reforms & part finance support
Challenges not many financially sustainable projects issues of regulatory
clearances lack of participatory process
Is PPPP (JNNURM II) the way out?
External Commercial Borrowings
Under the extant ECB policy urban infrastructure includes: water supply, sanitation,
sewage projects.
a. the definition of urban infrastructure is under revision & being expanded to include:
(a) urban public transport and (b) water and sanitation
A large part of the ECBs (about 40-45 per cent) have been channelled to the
infrastructure sector
With the expanded list, there is greater scope for ULBs to access foreign funds
through bankable PPP projects and avail of the concessions that have been
prescribed for Infrastructure Sector including Urban Infrastructure
While the external debt could help diversify the funding sources, excessive reliance
on the same could pose risks when the availability of funding liquidity is subject to
sharp volatility in the international markets, making the debt rollovers difficult or
rollovers are possible only at high interest rates besides currency & tenure mismatch
risks
URBAN INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING INSTITUTIONS
Public Financing Institutions
Term lending is an important means to finance infrastructure development but has
remained modest
HUDCOs lending to the sector now accounts for only about 20 per cent of overall
lending : HUDCO & LIC on a declining trend bank lending too has stagnated
Problem lies with lack of good projects in urban infrastructure, diminishing ability to
extend state government guarantee & recovery related issues
IL&FS , IDFC, etc. are other specialized public financing institutions for urban
development mainly to SPVs/private infrastructure providers
Pooled Municipal Debt Obligation (PMDO) credit facility
IL&FS, in partnership with IDBI, IIFCL, Canara Bank and eleven domestic banks
launched this `30 billion facility in 2008 for
a. structuring requirement of resources for projects in a bankable format and
b. providing credit for setting up mandated projects at reasonable rate of interest
Multilateral Financing Institutions
Multilateral institutions like Asian Development Bank & World Bank have financially
supported some of the urban infrastructure development initiatives (e.g., Bangalore
Metro by the ADB)
Issue of service delivery accountability, lack of expertise with ULBs, perception of
opacity & risks involved with ULBs
Bank financing regulatory framework
Reserve Bank has provided certain concessions/relaxations with regard to lending
to infrastructure sector
a. enhancement in single/group borrower limits, permission to issue guarantees
favouring other lending institutions in respect of infrastructure projects, asset
classification benefits under restructuring guidelines, permission to extend finance
for funding promoters equity subject to certain conditions, etc.
Banks are permitted to finance SPVs, registered under the Companies Act, set up
for financing infrastructure projects
Allowed debts due to the lenders in case of PPP projects to be considered as
secured to the extent assured by the project authority in terms of the Concession
Agreement
Direct lending for specific monitorable projects but not for budget financing
It is a well known fact that banks are primarily leveraged on short-term liabilities and
as such their ability to extend long-term loans to the infrastructure sector is limited
a. This is because, by doing so they get into serious asset-liability mismatches
SLR status takeout financing IDF are they the possible wayouts?
CHALLENGES & STRATEGIES FOR FINANCING URBAN INFRASTRUCTURE
Enhancing own resource mobilisation capacity

A strong revenue position is required for the ULB not only for its own sake but also
to attract private investment
a. results in an improvement in municipal credit worthiness
Enhance the ability of ULBs to have consistent revenues so that their bonds are
seen as almost completely free from default risk
State Fiscal Position & Intergovernmental Transfers
Good fiscal credentials and good ratings of ULBs not a sufficient condition for
attracting private investors
a. weakness of the concerned state governments fiscal and financial position is also
an important factor
Most of the ULBs depend upon the devolution of resources and grants from the
State government in addition to their own and shared revenues
Need for establishing/strengthening State Finance Commissions (SFCs) by all
States for transparent & predictable transfers in an efficient manner.
Improving the database for ULBs
Rating agencies take a long time to assign rating to ULBs mainly due to nonavailability of systematic information on most of the parameters
Need for standardisation of financial recording and reporting formats by ULBs
Government needs to take the lead in
a. devising a uniform pattern of budgetary and accounting practices
b. improved compilation/reporting/ dissemination of financial data relating to ULBs
13th Finance Commission recommendations for adoption of National Municipal
Accounts Manual of MoUD
Developing the domestic debt market
There is a need for further deepening the bond markets and encourage
municipalities to tap them for urban infrastructure
Greater disclosure standards and an effective dispute-resolution mechanism are
required
Review of the fixed cap on tax free interest on municipal bonds as it does not
respond to market conditions and makes municipal bonds unattractive
Review norms for pension/insurance/provident funds for financing the urban
infrastructure
Upscaling PPPs
PPPs should become the default mode of undertaking projects in the urban sector
a. create commercially viable and bankable projects
b. encourage PPP mode through monetizable models, project specific SPVs, wellstructured Requests for Proposals and draft contracts ensuring a fair and balanced
relationship with clear and realistic risk allocation

Effective governance is key to the success of private investment
Unlocking land value
land in the urban areas can be tapped for generating resources for supporting
sustainable urbanization
The Report on Monetizing Land prepared for the 13th Finance Commission has
presented a case for financing urbanization using land based instruments
Vacant land tax could be an important source of financing
A comprehensive registry of urban land at all levels of government is needed as a
first step towards putting land based instruments to good use
Potential role of Micro-finance Institutions
About 25 per cent of Indias urban population live in slums and urban
development cannot be carried out by neglecting slums
a. the potential with MFIs could be explored and exploited to ensure better service
delivery in sectors like water supply and sanitation and home improvement lending
in urban areas through micro loans
b. Low delivery cost, absence of bureaucratic processes & local feel are their USPs
Recent problems of MFIs lack of enthusiasm of public authorities/political class
perception that it is for rural areas only
Enhanced scope for multilateral/bilateral loans
Multilateral/bilateral assistance has been an important contributor to urban
infrastructure financing, albeit at a lower scale so far
12th Plan estimates about 8 per cent of the total projected urban transport
infrastructure investment requirements have to come from multilateral/bilateral loans
ULBs need to improve their credit worthiness and overall bargaining power so as to
access international finance at cheaper rates with suitable state/central government
guarantees besides management of forex & other risks
Regulatory framework to address municipal defaults
Process of handling municipal default is opaque
Default is handled through a three-way negotiating process involving the borrowing
municipality, the relevant state government, and the investor
The process is generally ad hoc and usually affected by a range of political and
commercial considerations
There is a need for a well laid down default resolution mechanism for municipalities
need to avoid moral hazards
Best practices & innovations
Best practices & innovative experiments undertaken by some of the ULBs and State
Governments include local resource mobilization, expenditure management, raising
debt funds and in engaging with private sector
a. these need to be discussed and disseminated widely
Need for a national institution to collate & communicate urban best practices and
innovations by urban local bodies in the country and outside
Professional management in ULBs
ULBs are not fully equipped to take up the responsibility of long term planning and
execution especially for launching capital projects
Lateral induction of talent from private sector & internships from
management/educational institutions
One of the biggest concerns for investors in ULBs arise from political risks
Necessary to put in place all possible measures to insulate project financing
structures from political interference or decisions based on political and other
external considerations ring-fencing of tariff & other revenue streams
Concluding remarks:
In the coming years, Indian cities are going to be central to its economic future
India has a young and rapidly growing population and presents the country with a
great opportunity to enhance its growth and seek convergence of per capita
incomes with that in the developed world
Need to create adequate jobs, particularly in the relatively more productive Indian
urban sector and this requires investment in the cities
From the perspective of globalization, cities not nations fight for investments
a. with India globalizing in a big way, there is a lot of focus on attracting FDI
b. our cities will host foreign companies including global banks, R&D centres as well as
foreign nationals and non-resident Indians
c. there is an urgent need for improvement in city infrastructure, provision of quality
services in cities and providing a decent quality of life to all its inhabitants
Raising funds requires a multi pronged approach generating adequate own
resources, taking innovative measures to attract private capital, both internal and
external, sector and taking the desirable reform measures
Financing strategies should not be perceived as only a financial sector initiative
a. Efforts for creating a success story would largely depend on the competence of
ULBs and improvement in the fiscal and regulatory environment of the ULBs
Conference like this can provide a lot in terms of innovative ideas & practical
strategies

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Urbanisation: current pace & future needs

Urbanization in India is an important determinant of national economic growth

High Powered Expert Committee (Isher Judge Ahluwalia Committee)

Enhancing own resource mobilisation capacity

relationship with clear and realistic risk allocation

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