Uno Metro March 2015
Uno Metro March 2015
Uno Metro March 2015
Forecasts for the 1st Quarter 2015 through the 4th Quarter 2016
April 2015
HIGHLIGHTS
After a disappointing first quarter in 2014 when the real GDP declined by 2%, the U.S. economy
bounced back at the end of June, and increased by about 4.6%. During the third quarter the economy
continued its recovery, and by the fourth quarter of 2014, the United States real output grew at an
annual rate of 2.2%.
Across the country, employment increased by 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2014 adding about 850,000
jobs over the third quarter of 2014. By the end of 2016, national employment is expected to reach
roughly 145 million jobs.
Consistent with the positive current state of the U.S. job market, there were fewer Americans applying
for unemployment aid in 2014. In the last quarter of 2014, initial unemployment claims decreased by
3% over Q3 2014, and 16% over the Q4 2013. Recent data also indicates that the national
unemployment rate was 5.7%, down from 6.1% in Q3 2014 and 7.0% in Q4 2013.
Non-farm employment in the metro area remained strong at the end of 2014. The New Orleans MSA
economy added about 8,940 jobs (2%) over 2013.
Most noticeable employment gains, in terms of number of jobs added, were in Leisure and Hospitality
(3,350 jobs or 4%), Health Care and Social Assistance (2,820 jobs or 5%), and Professional and
Business Services (1,840 jobs or 3%).
Significant job losses were incurred in Government across all levels (1,920 jobs or -3%), and
Information (about 1,050 jobs or -7%).
Employment growth in the New Orleans area is likely to continue over the next two years. By the end
of 2016, the local area is projected to support over 576,000 jobs.
Unemployment in the New Orleans area seemed to be improving until the first half of 2014 when it
reached a low of 4.6%. However, a slight upward tick in the local unemployment rate occurred during
the last half of 2014. For the first time since Katrina, unemployment in the local area exceeded the
national figure. As of December 2014, the national rate was standing at 5.7%, down from 7.0% in the
fourth quarter of 2013. The New Orleans MSA rate was 6.2%, an increase from 5.1% which was seen
at the end of 2013.
The parishes that reported employment growth over the year in the most current quarter include
Orleans (9,019 jobs or 5.1%), St. Tammany (1,638 jobs or 2.0%), Plaquemines (335 jobs or 2.3%), and
St. John (189 jobs, or 1.3%).
In 2014 the New Orleans tourism industry continued to grow, as the city welcomed more visitors than
the previous year. Nearly 9.52 million visitors came to the New Orleans area in 2014, representing a
2.6% increase over the 9.28 million visitors who came in 2013. Spending estimates in the local area,
including gambling, were $6.82 billion, an increase of 5.4% from 2013 expenditure figures.
OVERVIEW
The UNO Forecasting Model provides current
indicators along with detailed forecasts of the
economic activity for the U.S. and the New
Orleans-Metairie-Kenner Metropolitan Statistical
Area (MSA).
Economic indicators are reported and analyzed
over the last five calendar quarters using the
latest data through the fourth quarter of 2014. The
2015
2012
2009
2005
2002
1999
1996
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
1993
1990
1995
1996
1998
1999
2001
2002
2004
2005
2007
2008
2010
2011
2013
2014
2016
Economic Indicators*
2013:4
2014:1
2014:2
2014:3
2014:4
17,078
15,916
14,312
137.3
1,025
15.6
17,044
15,832
14,485
137.8
925
15.7
17,328
16,010
14,661
138.6
985
16.5
17,600
16,206
14,811
139.4
1,030
16.7
17,701
16,294
14,960
140.2
1,065
16.8
0.6
0.5
1.0
0.6
3.4
0.1
3.6
2.4
4.5
2.1
3.9
7.1
7.0
344
6.6
331
6.2
316
6.1
298
5.7
289
-0.44
-2.9
-1.34
-15.9
234.2
97.5
3.3
4.3
235.4
97.9
3.3
4.4
236.8
99.5
3.3
4.2
237.5
100.6
3.3
4.1
237.0
101.6
3.3
4.0
-0.2
0.9
0.0
-0.2
1.2
4.1
0.0
-0.3
97.6
97.3
3.9
1,757
99.0
98.7
5.3
1,779
98.3
103.3
4.7
1,852
100.2
97.8
4.1
1,903
106.3
73.2
3.9
1,912
6.1
-25.2
-4.2
0.5
8.9
-24.8
-1.6
8.8
2,310
1,614
2,342
1,575
2,406
1,623
2,394
1,645
2,405
1,615
0.5
-1.9
4.1
0.0
-696
-766
-782
-749
-790
5.5
13.6
$16
$125
$12
$100
$75
$8
$50
$4
$25
Oil (left)
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
$0
2004
$0
2002
Gas (right)
Trade
In 2014 the U.S. trade balance began to increase
once more, after a short contraction in 2013. In
the last quarter of 2014, the trade deficit was up
5.5% from Q3 2014, and almost 14% from Q4
2013. The most recent forecast indicates a period
of decrease in trade balance in 2015, followed by
another increase throughout 2016.
Forecast
Table 2, on the next page, includes a forecast of
the national economic indicators for the next two
years. Overall, indicators predict a relatively
normal growth of the economy in the upcoming
quarters.
Table 2. U.S. Economic Indicators Quarterly Forecast and Model Assumptions, 2014:4 2016:4
Economic Indicators
Actual
2014:4
2015:1
2015:2
2015:3
Forecast
2015:4 2016:1
2016:2
2016:3
2016:4
17,701
16,294
14,960
140.2
17,884
16,418
15,125
140.9
18,090
16,525
15,259
141.7
18,308
16,630
15,397
142.3
18,492
16,725
15,559
142.9
18,687
16,827
15,758
143.4
18,881
16,935
15,938
144
19,092
17,057
16,118
144.8
19,303
17,167
16,306
145.5
1,065
16.8
1,087
16.4
1,118
16.4
1,125
16.5
1,169
16.6
1,191
16.6
1,213
16.6
1,264
16.5
1,275
16.4
5.7
237.0
5.6
235.7
5.5
236.8
5.5
238.0
5.4
239.3
5.3
240.6
5.3
241.7
5.3
243.1
5.3
244.6
101.6
3.3
4.0
101.7
3.3
3.8
102.6
3.2
3.6
103.7
3.3
3.8
104.5
3.5
4.2
105.6
3.8
4.6
106.4
4.0
4.9
107.3
4.0
5.2
108.1
4.2
5.3
106.3
73.2
3.9
108.0
49.2
3.0
108.5
42.6
3.0
108.7
52.9
3.2
108.4
58.8
3.4
107.4
62.4
3.5
106.3
65.2
3.4
105.5
72.5
3.6
105.2
73.6
3.8
2,405
1,615
2,328
1,607
2,313
1,625
2,340
1,647
2,371
1,666
2,406
1,692
2,442
1,718
2,474
1,745
2,516
1,773
-790
-721
-688
-693
-705
-714
-724
-729
-743
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
Sectors1
2013:4
2014:1
2014:2
2014:3
2014:4
563,567
7,900
31,400
559,833
7,967
31,000
566,167
8,033
31,567
563,367
8,200
31,133
568,167
8,033
30,167
Manufacturing
Durable Goods
Transportation Equipment
Nondurable Goods
Chemical Manufacturing
31,867
14,067
4,100
17,800
5,067
31,433
13,667
3,667
17,767
5,033
31,300
13,567
3,467
17,733
5,033
31,067
13,100
3,267
17,967
5,100
30,267
12,633
3,100
17,633
5,000
-2.6
-3.6
-5.1
-1.9
-2.0
-5.0
-10.2
-24.4
-0.9
-1.3
-2.7
-7.0
-26.8
0.7
1.3
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Grocery Stores
General Merchandise Stores
Transport, Warehousing, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Depository Credit (banking)
23,433
62,800
10,167
13,567
28,067
9,767
27,833
5,967
23,467
61,100
10,267
12,733
27,900
8,267
27,733
6,133
23,433
61,767
10,133
13,167
28,133
8,633
28,300
6,200
23,767
62,533
10,133
13,900
28,300
7,900
28,333
6,300
23,833
64,933
10,300
14,533
28,667
8,267
28,033
6,300
0.3
3.8
1.6
4.6
1.3
4.6
-1.1
0.0
1.7
3.4
1.3
7.1
2.1
-15.4
0.7
5.6
1.5
2.9
3.6
6.3
2.0
-11.3
2.2
7.9
74,067
32,400
8,233
33,433
73,833
32,867
7,667
33,300
74,933
33,067
7,733
34,133
73,967
32,800
7,700
33,467
74,467
33,533
7,700
33,233
0.7
2.2
0.0
-0.7
0.5
3.5
-6.5
-0.6
2.5
3.6
-4.2
3.2
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care
Hospitals (private)
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Rec.
Accommodation
Food Services and Drinking Places
28,433
59,867
23,000
20,000
80,167
10,967
13,667
55,533
28,167
59,967
23,167
19,767
81,467
11,000
13,900
56,567
28,267
60,533
23,167
20,200
83,167
11,267
14,200
57,700
27,433
61,567
23,533
20,533
82,900
11,333
14,067
57,500
29,933
61,733
23,433
20,833
82,433
10,333
13,833
58,267
9.1
0.3
-0.4
1.5
-0.6
-8.8
-1.7
1.3
5.3
3.1
1.9
4.2
2.8
-5.8
1.2
4.9
5.0
4.9
6.3
6.4
4.2
2.5
1.6
5.2
Other Services
Government
Federal Government
State Government
Local Government
Unemployment Rate (%)
Unemp Claims weekly Initial
Unemp Claims weekly Continued
22,900
75,067
11,967
14,500
48,600
5.1
535
5,644
22,967
74,567
11,900
14,000
48,667
4.6
528
5,364
23,167
74,933
11,833
14,233
48,867
5.1
623
4,880
23,100
73,167
11,800
14,067
47,300
6.3
577
5,667
23,200
74,200
11,833
14,233
48,133
6.2
501
4,931
0.4
1.4
0.3
1.2
1.8
-0.13
-13.2
-13.0
1.3
-1.2
-1.1
-1.8
-1.0
1.03
-6.3
-12.6
1.1
-2.5
-1.9
-8.8
-0.7
-0.63
-11.6
-14.4
1 Some industries are volatile or subject to seasonality including information and educational services.
2 Percent changes may not be exact due to rounding.
3 These figures represent percentage points.
12
8
4
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
-10%
U.S.
-5%
0%
5%
10%
73.2
3.9
111
16,739
488
2014:3
to
2014:4
-25.2
-4.2
-2.1
-2.2
-0.8
2013:4
to
2014:4
-24.8
-1.6
2.0
-5.0
-8.3
7,877
3,837
4,040
10,727
8,898
4,141
4,758
11,567
13.0
7.9
17.8
7.8
24.3
54.1
6.4
3.2
27.4
37.7
19.6
-4.7
363.0
336.1
1,284
272.4
271.2
1,160
265.1
276.5
1,280
-2.7
2.0
10.4
9.2
-28.4
7.0
13.6
-12.0
6.2
1,898
146.2
54.1
92.2
1,737
138.7
53.3
85.4
1,812
131.3
51.6
79.7
1,745
136.3
51.7
84.5
-3.7
3.8
0.3
6.0
-0.2
0.9
4.3
-1.1
-1.8
-1.0
-5.3
1.9
577
275
302
103
326
160
166
58
303
166
136
81
418
215
203
124
407
228
179
130
-2.6
6.0
-11.8
4.4
-29.5
-17.1
-40.9
26.3
-50.4
-16.5
-66.0
-38.4
3,961
761
3,200
3,810
1,219
3,880
738
3,142
3,757
1,136
2,914
601
2,313
2,863
605
2,727
541
2,186
2,465
863
2,621
610
2,011
2,291
1,156
-3.9
12.7
-8.0
-7.0
34.0
-33.8
-19.9
-37.2
-39.9
-5.2
-9.6
4.2
-12.6
-18.1
-7.6
1,222
1,223
1,224
1,224
1,225
0.1
0.3
0.7
45,288
959
477
45,829
950
487
46,371
889
559
46,912
905
557
47,296
523
0.8
-6.1
4.4
9.8
3.9
0.1
1.2
Economic Indicators
2013:4
2014:1
2014:2
2014:3
97.3
3.9
109
17,618
532
98.8
5.3
108
16,876
498
103.
4.7
110
17,210
505
97.8
4.1
114
17,107
492
7,157
2,687
4,471
11,207
7,599
3,169
4,430
11,012
6,613
3,330
3,283
10,919
242.9
386.4
1,197
317.2
309.6
1,169
1,748
135.1
49.6
85.5
2014:4
2013FY
to
2014FY
-4.7
17.8
2.6
-5.4
-17.6
Motor-Vehicle Sales
Figure 8. Motor Vehicle Sales - Quarterly
Airport Traffic
After a sharp drop in airport activity in 2006 due
to Hurricane Katrina, traffic has been increasing
gradually every year. Both enplanements and
deplanements are growing, indicating a higher
traffic for the International Airport of New Orleans.
In 2014, the airport reached figures recorded prior
to the storm at 4.9 million passengers enplaned
and another 4.9 million passengers deplaned.
This is a good indicator for the number of tourists
who visit the metro area every year. It also shows
the amount of travel consumed by New Orleans
area residents. A higher airport traffic also
corresponds to more travel activity by locals.
800
800
600
600
400
400
200
200
0
2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2011 2012 2014
U.S. (left)
Millions of bbl
25
20
750
600
15
450
10
300
150
Billions of c ft
1,000
Millions
1,000
Billions
0
2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2011 2012 2014
Oil (left)
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
Enplanements
Deplanements
2 per. Mov. Avg. (Deplanements)
Source: Louis Armstrong International Airport (MSY)
Port
In 2014, foreign trade tonnage at the Port of New
Orleans was up 27% from 2013. While exports
increased 20% over 2013, imports were also up
by almost 38%. These trade indicators continue
to display a lot of volatility. However, data from
the last three years may suggest a change in the
trade deficit trend as it can be seen in Figure 11.
As of December 2014, the yearly trade deficit was
2.0 million stones, down 38% from 2013, and
61% from 2012. While it may be difficult to predict
the future performance of the trade deficit, it is
important to note a potential change in trend as
seen in the most recent figures.
Gaming
3.0
$160
2.5
2.0
$120
1.5
$80
1.0
$40
0.5
$0
2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2011 2012 2014
Revenue (left)
Admissions (right)
0.0
Billions
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
10
Non-building
300
Non-residential
250
Residential
200
150
100
50
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Construction
Tourism
Millions
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
04' 06' 07' 08' 09' 10' 11' 12' 13' 14'
Visitors (left)
Spending (right)
11
Millions
'60 '70 '80 '90 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14
Orleans Parish
Jefferson Parish
Source: U.S. Census, Greater New Orleans Community Data Center, and DBER
Population
PARISH DATA
The 7-parish area defined as the New OrleansMetairie-Kenner Metropolitan Statistical Area
contains Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, St.
Bernard, St. Charles, St. John the Baptist and St.
Tammany parishes. St. James used to be
considered part of the New Orleans MSA.
However, in 2003 it was removed from the New
Orleans MSA by the federal Office of
Management and Budget. St. James is still
included in the metro area for reporting of
average wage data.
THE FORECAST
Table 5 includes a forecast of all levels of
employment for the next two years. Estimates of
hotel sales are also included in the analysis.
As of the fourth quarter of 2014, the New Orleans
MSA had over 568,000 total nonfarm jobs. By the
same time in 2015, the number of jobs is
expected to increase by nearly 4,250 or 0.7%.
Segments that are expected to have a higher
growth (2015Q4 over 2014Q4) include Leisure
and Hospitality (1,473 jobs), and Educational
Services (1,320 jobs).
12
Table 5. New Orleans MSA Employment and Economic Indicators Quarterly Forecasts, 2015:1 2016:4
Actual
Forecast
Percent Change1
2014:4
2015:4
to
to
2015:4
2016:4
Sectors
2014:4
2015:1
2015:2
2015:3
2015:4
2016:1
2016:2
2016:3
2016:4
568,167
564,691
569,015
566,526
572,415
569,108
573,180
570,708
576,214
0.7
0.7
8,033
30,167
30,267
12,633
3,100
17,633
5,000
8,036
29,862
30,127
12,441
2,941
17,685
5,034
7,909
30,484
29,911
12,289
2,798
17,621
4,990
7,918
30,498
29,824
12,141
2,644
17,682
4,997
7,792
30,684
29,572
11,995
2,503
17,576
4,944
7,800
30,497
29,487
11,848
2,349
17,638
4,960
7,675
30,777
29,230
11,703
2,208
17,526
4,896
7,683
30,676
29,148
11,556
2,054
17,591
4,913
7,557
30,945
28,889
11,411
1,913
17,477
4,848
-3.0
1.7
-2.3
-5.1
-19.3
-0.3
-1.1
-3.0
0.9
-2.3
-4.9
-23.6
-0.6
-1.9
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Grocery Stores
General Merchandise Stores
Transport, Warehousing, and Utilities
23,833
64,933
10,300
14,533
28,667
23,873
63,755
10,331
13,988
28,470
23,829
64,295
10,365
14,157
28,426
23,901
63,885
10,394
14,355
28,250
23,851
65,391
10,453
15,030
28,299
23,902
64,287
10,481
14,472
28,132
23,847
65,183
10,536
14,678
28,162
23,899
64,855
10,565
14,939
27,990
23,842
66,271
10,619
15,627
28,023
0.1
0.7
1.5
3.4
-1.3
0.0
1.3
1.6
4.0
-1.0
Information
Financial Activities
Depository Credit (banking)
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, Technical
Management of Companies
Administrative, Support, Waste Mgmt.
8,267
28,033
6,300
74,467
33,533
7,700
33,233
7,701
28,001
6,335
74,229
33,827
7,693
32,708
8,475
28,012
6,321
75,180
33,657
7,686
33,836
7,935
28,021
6,346
74,690
33,690
7,680
33,319
8,472
27,904
6,328
75,737
33,939
7,673
34,124
8,000
27,877
6,350
75,229
34,093
7,666
33,469
8,538
27,816
6,332
76,163
34,148
7,660
34,354
8,110
27,789
6,353
75,663
34,246
7,653
33,763
8,573
27,727
6,335
76,679
34,391
7,646
34,641
2.5
-0.5
0.4
1.7
1.2
-0.4
2.7
1.2
-0.6
0.1
1.2
1.3
-0.4
1.5
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care
Hospitals (private)
29,933
61,733
23,433
20,833
29,693
61,538
23,274
20,850
29,702
61,881
23,435
20,883
29,216
61,898
23,434
20,900
31,253
62,165
23,503
20,933
30,920
62,172
23,487
20,950
30,955
62,480
23,595
20,983
30,473
62,486
23,578
21,000
32,443
62,782
23,675
21,033
4.4
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.8
1.0
0.7
0.5
82,433
10,333
13,833
58,267
23,200
82,509
10,318
13,581
58,610
23,443
83,454
10,570
13,716
59,168
23,512
83,604
10,723
13,560
59,321
23,700
83,906
10,281
13,720
59,905
23,761
83,979
10,292
13,571
60,116
23,955
84,991
10,554
13,733
60,704
24,018
85,147
10,665
13,583
60,899
24,212
85,171
9,944
13,745
61,482
24,275
1.8
-0.5
-0.8
2.8
2.4
1.5
-3.3
0.2
2.6
2.2
74,200
11,833
14,233
48,133
265.1
Hotel Sales ($Mil)2
1 Percent changes may not be exact due to rounding.
2 Orleans and Jefferson Parishes only.
73,422
11,767
13,878
47,776
320.3
73,958
11,785
13,996
48,176
358.0
73,170
11,716
13,635
47,818
268.2
73,703
11,732
13,752
48,218
260.2
72,915
11,663
13,390
47,861
313.0
73,449
11,680
13,507
48,261
349.2
72,659
11,610
13,145
47,903
262.7
73,194
11,627
13,263
48,303
255.0
-0.7
-0.9
-3.4
0.2
-1.8
-0.7
-0.9
-3.6
0.2
-2.0
Government
Federal Government
State Government
Local Government
13
Table 6: Jefferson, Orleans, St. Bernard, and St. Charles Parishes Quarterly Concurrent Economic Indicators, 2013:3 2014:3
Jefferson
2013:3
Total Employment1
2014:2
2014:3
Orleans
Percent Chg3
Last
Last
Qtr
Year
-0.8
2013:3
2014:2
St. Bernard
Percent Chg3
Last
Last
2014:3
Qtr Year
St. Charles
2013:3
2014:2
Percent Chg3
Last
Last
2014:3
Qtr Year
2013:3
2014:2
Percent Chg3
Last
Last
2014:3
Qtr Year
-0.3
5.1
11,114
10,448
10,463
0.1
-5.9
25,347
26,374
25,251
-4.3
-0.4
-20.8
1.7
0.5
3.7
-1.2
27.0
5.9
1.1
7.6
3.4
19
107
2,061
1,329
10
85
1,054
1,382
13
86
1,023
1,407
26.7
0.8
-3
1.8
-33.3
-19.9
-50.4
5.9
93
873
4,112
4,628
87
847
4,554
4,650
93
816
3,381
4,713
6.9
-3.7
-25.8
1.4
-0.4
-6.5
-17.8
1.8
Agriculture/Fishing
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
36
1,411
1,262
13,773
11,024
41
1,292
1,263
13,373
10,244
42
1,260
1,276
13,141
9,839
1.6
-2.5
1.0
-1.7
-3.9
16.7
-10.7
1.1
-4.6
-10.7
68
2,446
922
5,604
4,048
109
2,547
928
5,814
4,238
86
2,589
933
6,031
4,187
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transport & Warehous.
Information
10,594
28,170
8,684
3,106
10,166
28,109
8,671
4,041
10,224
28,282
8,795
3,314
0.6
0.6
1.4
-18.0
-3.5
0.4
1.3
6.7
3,533
13,723
8,524
3,981
3,697
14,394
9,023
3,538
3,845
14,965
9,049
3,442
4.0
8.8
4.0
9.0
0.3
6.2
-2.7 -13.5
390
1,581
656
64
357
1,528
651
72
355
1,489
654
70
-0.6
-2.6
0.5
-3.2
-8.9
-5.8
-0.2
9.4
2,425
1,603
2,215
135
2,469
1,563
2,223
146
2,478
1,610
2,265
151
0.3
3.0
1.9
3.2
2.2
0.5
2.2
12.1
8,485
3,898
10,184
3,081
14,663
8,695
3,672
10,769
3,109
16,046
8,755
3,676
10,700
3,003
15,223
0.7
0.1
-0.6
-3.4
-5.1
3.2
-5.7
5.1
-2.5
3.8
5,107
2,679
15,924
3,076
9,906
5,614
2,907
16,099
2,613
10,816
5,570
2,963
15,990
2,609
10,846
-0.8
9.1
1.9 10.6
-0.7
0.4
-0.2 -15.2
0.3
9.5
134
142
123
100
228
156
154
143
111
213
156
136
131
119
216
0
-11.5
-8.6
6.9
1.4
16.7
-4.2
6.5
19.4
-5.3
247
185
1,034
1,074
249
265
1,428
1,091
259
269
1,419
1,067
4.0
1.6
-0.6
-2.2
4.9
45.4
37.3
-0.7
Educational Services
Health & Soc. Assist.
30,583
29,693
30,117
1.4
-1.5
21,371
20,246
22,568
22,522
21,950
22,867
-2.7
1.5
2.7
12.9
978
1,016
1,066
4.9
9.0
1,678
1,665
1,729
3.9
3.1
Arts/Entertainment
Accommodation & Food
Other Services
Public Administration
4,606
19,933
5,864
6,134
4,485
20,651
5,721
6,109
4,527
20,981
5,724
6,090
0.9
1.6
0.1
-0.3
-1.7
5.3
-2.4
-0.7
5,246
33,354
5,432
12,111
5,877
35,826
5,542
12,211
5,722
35,214
5,495
11,965
-2.6
-1.7
-0.8
-2.0
9.1
5.6
1.2
-1.2
152
1,019
158
766
141
1,206
183
787
142
1,322
146
792
0.7
9.6
-20.3
0.6
-6.8
29.8
-7.6
3.3
375
1,183
325
824
338
1,069
351
808
417
1,063
331
814
23.6
-0.6
-5.8
0.7
11.2
-10.2
1.7
-1.3
2,107
841
2,107
836
2,138
855
1.5
2.3
1.5
1.7
2,097
909
2,217
912
2,257
931
1.8
2.1
7.6
2.4
120
827
112
822
112
820
-0.1
-0.2
-6.7
-0.8
378
1,147
403
1,174
381
1,161
-5.3
-1.1
0.8
1.2
434.8
435.6
435.8
0.0
0.2
378.7
380.4
380.3
0.0
0.4
43.5
43.9
43.9
0.1
1.0
52.6
52.8
52.8
0.1
0.4
8.0
6.0
7.6
6.5
5.2
6.2
1.0
-0.3
6.1
4.8
5.8
1.0
-0.34
6.1
4.7
5.8
1.1
-0.2
1.6
-0.4
3150
2941
2679
-8.9
-15
262.2
242.2
231.3
-4.5 -11.8
58
59
50
-15.3
-13.8
323
314
306
-2.5
-5.3
2,352
1,813
2,013
11.0
-14.4
2,663
1,803
2,266
25.7 -14.9
64
43
41
-3.9
-34.9
242
185
213
14.8
-12.1
12.0
57.5
819.2
17.6
68.0
19.0
24.0
58.7
51.1
36.4
-13.7
168.9
100.0
2.1
-93.8
145.9
215.4
168.8
42.1
228.4
82.3
92.0
182.7
85.4
118.5 -36.9
-20.0 -15.2
3.8 -49.4
3.8
7.5
2.7
1.5
6.1
2.6
2.3
5.9
0.0
53.3
-3.3
-100
-39.5
-21.3
-100
10.0
21.8
0.8
4.1
21.6
8.6
6.5
19.5
5.2
58.5 -35.0
-9.7 -10.6
-39.5 550.0
1,042.9
195.0
1,021
201.1
1,042.5
200.6
2.1
-0.3
0.0
2.8
1,799.5
118.4
1,060.1
126.1
871.7
123.7
-17.8 -51.6
-1.8
4.5
70.8
14.3
14.6
14.4
14.6
14.2
0.0
-0.9
-79.4
-0.5
29.1
31.2
60.6
30.8
43.7
27.8
-27.9
-9.7
1 The number of jobs and corresponding wages for establishments subject to unemployment insurance taxation. Notable exclusions are employees of very small businesses (under 4 employees), self-employed persons
and salespersons on commission-only bases.
2 Construction figures are supplied by McGraw Hill Construction, Dodge.
3 Percent changes may not be exact due to rounding.
4 These figures represent percentage points.
14
50.2
-10.7
Table 7: St. John, St. Tammany, and Plaquemines Parishes Quarterly Concurrent Economic Indicators, 2013:3 2014:3
St. John
St. Tammany
Percent Chg3
Last
Last
Qtr
Year
Plaquemines
Percent Chg3
Last
Last
Qtr
Year
Percent Chg3
Last
Last
Qtr
Year
2013:3
2014:2
2014:3
2013:3
2014:2
2014:3
2013:3
2014:2
2014:3
14,315
14,266
14,504
1.7
1.3
81,312
82,644
82,950
0.4
2.0
14,683
14,906
15,018
0.7
2.3
Agriculture/Fishing
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
26
587
202
1,281
2,626
22
586
191
1,377
2,636
24
603
179
1,440
2,742
9.1
2.8
-6.3
4.6
4.0
-8.9
2.8
-11.6
12.4
4.4
110
1,537
345
4,694
3,820
118
1,731
342
4,845
3,780
141
1,812
347
5,010
3,773
19.5
4.6
1.5
3.4
-0.2
28.3
17.9
0.7
6.7
-1.2
56
1,499
370
1,137
1,921
78
1,577
371
1,175
1,693
71
1,600
372
1,164
1,698
-8.6
1.5
0.4
-0.9
0.3
27.5
6.8
0.5
2.4
-11.6
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transport & Warehous.
Information
606
1,697
761
152
647
1,764
771
143
652
1,752
806
138
0.8
-0.7
4.6
-3.5
7.5
3.2
5.9
-9.4
3,483
12,681
2,533
1,024
3,677
13,013
1,860
972
3,757
13,097
1,897
993
2.2
0.7
2.0
2.2
7.8
3.3
-25.1
-3.0
893
555
2,115
10
914
614
2,309
12
944
594
2,313
11
3.4
-3.3
0.2
-10.8
5.8
6.9
9.3
10
511
143
335
163
619
305
129
260
177
716
302
127
245
144
745
-1.0
-1.3
-5.6
-18.8
4.1
-40.9
-11.2
-26.8
-11.7
20.4
2,719
961
4,180
1,164
3,795
2,864
1,000
4,303
1,149
3,598
2,867
984
4,259
1,183
3,689
0.1
-1.5
-1.0
3.0
2.5
5.5
2.4
1.9
1.7
-2.8
93
770
372
13
783
93
653
426
751
92
689
436
748
-1.1
5.6
2.4
-0.4
-1.1
-10.5
17.3
-4.5
Educational Services
Health & Soc. Assist.
1,202
1,159
1,136
-2.0
-5.5
14,372
14,629
14,677
0.3
2.1
1,042
354
1,136
364
1,108
369
-2.4
1.6
6.4
4.2
Arts/Entertainment
Accommodation & Food
Other Services
Public Administration
239
1,046
214
801
189
1,077
280
774
218
1,011
290
854
15.1
-6.1
3.6
10.4
-8.8
-3.3
35.9
6.7
1,636
10,031
2,222
3,209
1,637
10,578
2,177
3,165
1,682
10,519
2,235
3,156
2.7
-0.6
2.6
-0.3
2.8
4.9
0.6
-1.6
83
851
318
1,442
98
902
314
1,397
100
876
329
1,482
2.0
-2.8
4.9
6.1
20.4
2.9
3.4
2.8
168
902
187
1,011
174
924
-7.0
-8.6
3.8
2.4
839
794
847
789
880
816
3.9
3.4
5.0
2.8
217
1,137
223
1,151
226
1,156
1.2
0.4
4.0
1.7
43.8
8.1
43.8
6.2
43.8
7.5
0.0
1.34
0.1
-0.64
242.3
5.2
243.5
4.4
243.7
5.3
0.1
0.94
0.6
0.14
23.6
5.7
23.7
5.0
23.4
6.0
-1.2
1.04
-0.6
0.44
511
437
391
-10.5
-23.5
1,030
1,105
971
-12.1
-5.7
71
92
102
10.9
43.7
354
270
325
20.3
-8.3
765
710
747
5.2
-2.3
48.1
55
61.5
11.9
28.0
11.2
18.7
2.0
4.6
20.5
3.1
19.3
0.0
3.3
22.5
1.4
10.5
10.1
13.4
23.6
-54.8
-45.6
306.1
4.7
-87.5
-43.9
405.0
191.3
14.9
112.6
303.8
14.4
128.7
138.2
94.1
244.1
23.8
123.1
144.1
81.0
248.2
50.1
169.7
146.9
-13.9
1.7
110.5
37.9
1.9
-28.1
-18.3
247.9
31.9
6.3
7.8
21.1
17.2
63.7
21.1
3.7
13.5
0.0
30.4
20.3
8.0
15.4
0.6
30.5
20
116.2
14.1
0.3
-1.5
2.6
-27.0
-96.5
-52.1
-5.4
Total Employment1
1 The number of jobs and corresponding wages for establishments subject to unemployment insurance taxation. Notable exclusions are employees of very small businesses (under 4 employees), self-employed
persons and salespersons on commission-only bases.
2 Construction figures are supplied by McGraw Hill Construction, Dodge.
3 Percent changes may not be exact due to rounding.
4 These figures represent percentage points.
15
METROPOLITAN REPORT:
Economic Indicators for the New Orleans Area
Published by the Division of Business and Economic Research
College of Business Administration
University of New Orleans
New Orleans, Louisiana 70148
Telephone 504.280.6240
Dr. John A. Williams, Dean
Maria J. Ortiz, Project Manager
Marius M. Mihai, Research Analyst
Karen B. Brakel, Project and Budget Coordinator