Euqity Analysis Kotak Vin
Euqity Analysis Kotak Vin
Euqity Analysis Kotak Vin
Equity Research
The exciting world of stock markets will paying way to fortune, money and professional
challenge. In a world that is shrinking in size due to information technology and blurring
boundaries between nations, the stock market (or the equities market) is all set to grow in
size.
Purchase of equity shares in the market offered high returns to the investors. Apart from
the dividend income that they received, the investors also made capital gains when the
share prices shot up due to various reasons. Over and above these financial benefits,
equity shares also gave ownership and control of the company in the same proportion as
the number of shares held. These heavy returns do not come without associated risks.
Good amount of subjectivity and ambiguity is involved in finding the true value of an
equity share. This renders difficult, the decision regarding proper investment.
Investment Banks
Mutual funds
Financial Institutions
Stock Brokers
Financial newspapers
Financial websites
SECONDARY DATA
LIMITAITONS
COMPANY PROFILE
The symbol of Kotak Mahindra Bank represents the vision and operations very precisely
where infinite ka reflects our global Indian personality. The ka is uniquely Indian
while its curve forms the infinite sign, which is universal. One of the basic tenants of
economics is that mans needs are unlimited. The infinite ka symbolizes that we have
an infinite number of ways to meet those needs.
kotak
Mahindra bank limited into a Commercial Bank. Kotak Mahindra is one of India's
leading financial institutions, offering complete financial solutions that encompass every
sphere of life. From commercial banking, to stock broking, to mutual funds, to life
insurance, to investment banking, the group caters to the
financial needs of
Kotak Mahindra owes its growth to its association with the international talent pool and
has partnership with GOLDMAN SACHS (one of the worlds largest bank and brokerage
firm) ford credit (one of the worlds largest dedicated automobile financiers) and old
mutual (a large insurance, banking and asset management conglomerate).
Kotak Mahindra bank is the flagship company of the group. The company was
incorporated in 1985 and over the years has spread its business into the entire spectrum of
financial services either directly or through subsidiaries. In February 2004, the company
reached a new milestone when it was given license to carry on banking business by the
Reserve Bank of India. It was the first company in India to convert to a bank. The
company has been in retail leading since mid 1990s. With the conversion into bank retail
liabilities, treasury and corporate banking segments have been added.
Kotak investment banking is a Indias premier investment bank which is a strategic joint
venture between Kotak Mahindra Bank which is holding 75% and Goldman Sachs which
is holding 25%. Kotak investment banking offers a full service investment banking
solutions to its clients by combining the global reach and expertise of GOLDMAN
SACHS.
Kotak investment banking identifies structures and executes merges, acquisitions,
divestitures and issuance a debt and equity and also provides innovative solutions to
corporates and government enterprise.
In equity business, Kotak investment bank works with top rated companies in accessing
the public and private equity markets and providing innovative financing solutions. Kotak
investment banking pioneered the concept of book built equity offering in India with the
IPO of Hughes Software Systems Ltd and has raised equity through book building for
some of the largest equity deals ever done in domestic market. Kotak investment bank
has had the privileged of being the book runner to the landmark disinvestments of
Maruthi Udyog Ltd and ONGC Ltd., which are considered a watershed in Indian capital
markets.
AWARDS:
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Kotak Investment Banking achievements are awesome and hence got crowned with
many as it deserves. Kotak investment banking has been awarded
KMB IT team got 6 awards organised by IBA.
KMB was in the top 5 for corporate governance amongst companies by technical
criteria in the IR Global rankings 2009 for the Asia pacific/ Africa region.
BEST DOMESTIC EQUITY HOUSE by Asia money in 2004, 2005, 2007 ,
2008 & 2009.
BEST DEAL IN INDIA for ONGO Limited by Asia money in 2005.
BEST INVESTMENT BANK IN INDIA by finance Asia in 2004, 2005, 2007
& 2009.
BEST ASIAN MID CAP EQUITY DEAL for Maruthi IPO in 2004 by Finance
Asia.
BEST INVESTMENT BANK IN INDIA by Global finance in 2005 and 2006.
BEST EQUITY HOUSE IN INDIA by Euro money in 2004, 2005, 2006 , 2008
& 2009.
Indias equity house of the year by IFR Asia in 2005.
BEST PERFORMANCE EQUITY BROKERAGE in India CNBC financial
advisor awarded in 2009
BEST BROKERAGE FIRM IN INDIA BY ASIA MONEY in 2010
THE LEADING EQUITY HOUSE IN INDIA as Thomas extel survey in 2011
KOTAK INSTITUTIONAL EQUITIES
Kotak institutional equities focus on catering to the institutional clients including foreign
institutional investors, banks, mutual funds and insurance companies.
Kotak research analysts were ranked top 3 in institutional investors 2005 all Asia ranking.
It caters to institutional clients of India, London, New York, Hong Kong, Singapore,
Japan and Middle east. The full service research teams sectoral analysis covers all the
major areas of the India economy and constantly delivers comprehensive high quality
research across a wide spectrum of industries.
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KOTAK SECURITIES
Kotak securities are a strategic joint venture between KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK
(holding 75%) & GOLDMAN SACHS (holding 25%) is Indias leading brokerage and
securities distribution house. Kotak securities has been ranked the largest distributor of
initial public offerings for 2007-2008 by PRIME database and has been awarded Indias
best equity house for 2009 by Finance Asia, Best broker in India for 2009 by Finance
Asia and best equities house in India for 2009 by Euro money.
The non-institutional division of Kotak securities offers both offline and online broking.
Apart from broking services, the non-institutional segment offers wide range of products
including portfolio management services, margin lending, depository services and other
fee based activities.
The private client group (PCG) of the company provides investment advisory services to
High Net Worth individuals, Non Resident Indians (NRIs) Investor Trusts and Corporate.
The investment product range offered by PCG covers investments and trading, equity
derivatives, portfolio management, IPOs and mutual funds. In 2010 the assets under
discretionary portfolio management were in excess of Rs. 28 billion. Kotak securities
average daily volume 5,300 crores (in 2010).
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During 2009-10 KMPs gross advances crossed Rs. 5900 crore mark recording an
increase of 44% as compared to financial year 2008.KMPL had a retail distribution
network comprising of 88 branches (including representative offices) in 18 states in the
country and had a wide network of direct marketing associates, brokers and agencies
supporting the distribution network and servicing around 117,345 customers.
14
As a financial year 2009 first year regular premium 1,046 crores , 61 crores single
premium , 585 crores renewal premium.
15
16
17
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COMMERCIAL VEHICLES
This constitutes the largest part of the banks retail advances portfolio servicing a
customer base of more than 49,345 customers. The division is moving towards becoming
one stoop shop for all financing needs of transporters. Developing an efficient
distribution network, implementing risk management techniques and identification of
new products for the transport and infrastructure sectors continue to be the focus of this
business the divisions foray into funding of construction equipment to infrastructure
companies has resulted in the bank emerging as one of the key players on the sector. The
banking platform provides the right opportunity to extend its reach and services
HOME LOANS
KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK offers home finance solutions in may 2004. The home
finance business of the bank has taken the approach of developing products for specific
segments and customizing them to suit individual need. The bank now has a complete
suite of home finance offerings with home loans, loan against property, balance transfer
loans and loans for commercial property. The bank launched innovative home finance
offerings with reset period of 36 months and with fixed deposit interest rate as the interest
rate benchmark to expand its range of offerings and cater to newer segments.
purchase of farm mechanization equipment, term loans for cropping activities and to high
tech and scientific agricultural products, working capital loans to dealers and distributors
of agricultural inputs and loans to farmers engaged in providing inputs under contract
farming arrangement to large corporates and direct loans to corporates engaged in
agriculture activities.
CORPORATE BANKING
KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK offers corporates and institutions a complete range of
client-centric banking solutions and services. These include working capital trade
services, transaction banking, money market and foreign exchange services and cash
management. All the services are focused on specific client needs and delivered after
factoring in industry imperatives and individual contexts. Kotaks years of experience
ensures that it truly understands the financial needs of Indian corporate sector. The focus
is on supporting supply chain and distribution. This business has gained significantly
from banking platform with ability to offer a wider range of products and services to
customers.
Profit before tax for corporate banking segment was up 99% from Rs. 101.65 crore in
2008 09 to Rs.202.64 crore in 2009 10.
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PERSONAL LOANS
KOTAKS quick easy personal loans are called Jaldi Loans which range from
Rs.50,000
businessmen. It services a customer base of around 37,000. These loans can be used for
almost anything- to renovate houses, for children education, to buy a 2 wheeler, to go on
a well deserved holiday. Jaldi loans offers minimal paper work and quick process within
24 hours for salaried and 72 hours for self employed professionals and businessmen with
repayment tenures ranging from 12 to 48 hours.
21
Equity Research
The exciting world of stock markets will paying way to fortune, money and professional
challenge. In a world that is shrinking in size due to information technology and blurring
boundaries between nations, the stock market (or the equities market) is all set to grow in
size.
A quick overview of the roots
The "company" form of organization changed the way the world did business. The
company raised the capital required to do business by issuing financial instruments (or
assets) called "equity shares" to the general public. Such a purchase of shares from the
company itself is a "primary market" activity. Such a purchase did not tie the investor to
the company forever because they could sell these shares in the "secondary market" (or in
other words, the stock exchange) unlock their investments. Purchase of equity shares in
the market offered high returns to the investors. Apart from the dividend income that they
received, the investors also made capital gains when the share prices shot up due to
various reasons. Over and above these financial benefits, equity shares also gave
ownership and control of the company in the same proportion as the number of shares
held. These heavy returns do not come without associated risks. Good amount of
subjectivity and ambiguity is involved in finding the true value of an equity share. This
renders difficult, the decision regarding proper investment.
22
Investment Banks
Mutual funds
Financial Institutions
Stock Brokers
Financial newspapers
Financial websites
In a market analysis one has to use various financial models, tools and techniques to
arrive at simple decisions like buying or selling or standing still regarding the particular
stock. If the research and analysis show that the stock price of a particular company may
rise, you "go long" (buy it). If you have already bought it, you "hold" it. Alternatively, if
the research indicates a possible downtrend in the stock price, you would immediately
"go short" (sell it) so that you don't incur a loss (or reduced profit) at a later date. When
once the decision is taken, there is absolutely no time to spare in implementing it.
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Its a logical and systematic approach to estimating the future dividends & share price, as
these two constitute the return from investing in shares. According to this approach, the
share price of a company is determined by the fundamental factors affecting the
Economy/Industry/Company such as Earnings Per Share, D/P ratio, Competition, Market
Share, Quality of Management etc. it calculates the true worth of the share based on its
present and future earning capacity and compares it with the current market price to
identify the miss-priced securities. Fundamental Analysis helps to identify fundamentally
strong companies, whose shares are worthy to be included in the investors portfolio, by
providing an analytical framework, known as Economy Industry Company framework,
for rational investment decision making.
1. Economic Analysis:
Economic factors play major role in any investment decisional, which is made for making
a gain and better returns. Economic analysis and forecasting company performance and
of returns is necessary for making investments.
Any investment is risky and as such investment decision is difficult to make. Investment
decision is based on availability of money and information on the economy.
Companies are a part of the industrial and business sector, which in return is a part of
overall economy. Thus the performance of a company depends recession or stagnation,
the performance of the companies will be bed in general, with sum exceptions however,
on the other hand, if the economy is booming, incomes are raising and the demand is
good, then the industries and the companies is general may be prosperous, with some
exceptions however.
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In the Indian economy, the matters to be considered in the first place all the behavior of
the monsoon and the performance of agriculture. India has a mixed economy, where the
public sector plays a vital role. The government being the biggest investor and spender,
the trends in public investment and expenditure would indicate the likely performance of
the Indian economy. Concomitant with this, the government budget policy, tone levies
and government borrowing program along with the extent of deficit financing will have a
major influence on the performance of the Indian economy. The monitory situation along
with the budgetary policy influences the movement in price inflation do have a major
influence on the economy.
The economy and political stability in the form of stable and long term economic policies
and a stable political with no uncertainty would also be necessary for a good performance
of the economy in general and of companies in particular.
All the above factor of the economy influences the corporate performance and the
industry in general. In the investment analysis, a broad picture of their factor and a
forecast of the growth of the economy and of industry would be necessary to decide when
to invest and what to invest in.
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2. Industry Analysis:
On the economic analysis is made and the forecast of the economy is known the investor
will then have some ides of the likely growth of the economy and its trend. After that, the
analyst would look into the industry groups that are promising in the coming year or
years and then only he will be able to choose the companies in those industry groups.
At any point of time, there may be industries, which are on the up swing of the cycle
called sunshine industries and those, which are on the decline called sunset industries. In
India, there are some growth industries like electronics and Tele communications, which
are the key industries. The engineering, petrol chemicals and capital goods industries are
in the core sector. A few industries like diamonds, engineering etc. are in the export
sector. Jute and cotton textiles are the decedent industries. At present, Tele
communications, energy etc., are some examples of sunrise industries.
The key characteristics that are to be considered in the analysis, which have a bearing on
the prospects of the company are: Demand Supply Gap.
Competitive conditions in the industry.
Permanence.
Growth Rate of the Industry.
Attitude of Government towards the industry.
Labors Conditions.
Supply of Raw Materials.
Cost Structure.
Past Sales & Earnings Performance.
The gap between Demand and Supply in an industry is a fairly good indicator of its shortterm or medium-term prospects. Excess supply reduces the profitability of the industry
through a decline in the unit-price realization. On the contrary, insufficient supply tends
to improve the profitability through higher unit-price realization. In an industry where
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supply exceeds Demand and there are many competing firms, the increased rivalry
among the firms leads to price cuts and heavy advertising. In such a situation, the
companies lose their competitive edge and their profitability gets erode.
In this age or rapid technological change, the important factor to be considered is the
permanence of an industry, which is related to the products and the technology used by
the industry. Another factor to be observed is the Cost structure of the Industry i.e., the
proportion of the fixed costs to the variable costs that determines the level of Break-even
point. The industry with lower break-even point is to be given more importance.
3. Company Analysis:
Company Analysis is the final stage of the Fundamental Analysis, which is to be done to
decide the company in which the investor should invest. The Economy Analysis provides
the investor a broad out line of the prospects of growth in the economy. The industry
analysis helps the investor to select the industry in which the investment would be
rewarding.
Company Analysis deals with the estimation of the Risks and Returns
The stock price has been found on depend on the intrinsic value of the companys share
to the extent of about 50% as per many research studies. Graharm and Dodd in their
book on security analysis have defined the intrinsic value as that value which is
justified by the facts of assets, earnings and dividends. These facts are reflected in the
earnings potentials of the company. The analyst has to project the expected future
earnings per share and discount them to the present time, which gives the intrinsic value
of the share. Another method to use is to take the expected earnings per share and
multiplying it by the industry average price earning multiple.
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By this method, let the analyst estimate the intrinsic value or fair value of share and
compare it with the market price to know whether the stock is over valued or under
valued. The investment decision is to buy under valued stock and sell over valued stock.
Interpret the financial statement; it is necessary to analyze them with the object of
formation of an opinion with respect to the financial condition of the company. The
following methods of analysis are generally used.
1. Comparative statement
2. Trend analysis
3. Common size statement
4. Fund flow analysis
5. Cash flow analysis
6. Ratio analysis
Fundamental Analysis has a very broad scope. One aspect looks at the general
(qualitative) factors of a company. The other side considers tangible and measurable
factors (quantitative). This means crunching and analyzing numbers from the financial
statements. If used in conjunction with other methods, quantitative analysis can produce
excellent
results.
Ratio analysis isn't just comparing different numbers from the balance sheet, income
statement, and cash flow statement. It's comparing the number against previous years,
other companies, the industry, or even the economy in general. Ratios look at the
relationships between individual values and relate them to how a company has performed
in
the
past,
and
might
perform
in
the
future.
For example current assets alone don't tell us a whole lot, but when we divide them by
current liabilities we are able to determine whether the company has enough money to
cover short-term debts.
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This theory presupposes that the Stock Markets are so competitive and efficient in
processing all the available information about the securities that there is immediate price
adjustment to the changes in the economy, industry and company. The Efficient Market
Hypothesis model is actually concerned with the speed with which information is
incorporated into the security prices.
The Efficient Market Hypothesis has three Sub-hypothesis:
Weakly Efficient: This form of Efficient Market Hypothesis states that the current
prices already fully reflect all the information contained in the past price movements
and any new price change is the result of a new piece of information and is not
related/independent of historical data. This form is a direct repudiation of technical
analysis.
Semi-Strongly Efficient: This form of Efficient Market Hypothesis states that the
stock prices not only reflect all historical information but also reflect all publicly
available information about the company as soon as it is received.
Strongly Efficient: This form of Efficient Market Hypothesis states that using both
publicly available information as well as private or insider information cannot beat
the market.
But even though the Efficient Market Hypothesis repudiates both Fundamental and
Technical analysis, the market is efficient precisely because of the organized and
systematic efforts of thousands of analysts undertaking Fundamental and Technical
analysis. Thus, the paradox of Efficient Market Hypothesis is that both the analyses are
required to make the market efficient and thereby validate the hypothesis.
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Technical Analysis
Introduction
There are two major types of analysis for predicting the performance of a company's
stock - fundamental and technical. The latter looks for peaks, bottoms, trends, patterns,
and other factors affecting a stock's price movement and then making a buy/sell decision
based on those factors. It is a technique many people attempt, though very few are truly
successful.
Today, the world of technical analysis is huge. There are literally hundreds of different
patterns and indicators investors claim to be successful. There are different types of stock
charts and the various technical analysis tools.
What is Technical Analysis?
analysis is a terrific tool, but most agree that it is much more effective when combined
with fundamental analysis.
Let's now look at some of the major indicators technical analysts use.
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The advantage of using a bar chart over a straight-line graph is that it shows the high,
low, open and close for each particular day. This is the type of chart we will be using to
display various indicators throughout this explanation. There are two more types of charts
that are also frequently used for technical analysis that are similar to the bar chart. The
first we will look at is called "Candlestick Charting".
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Candlestick charts have a "love or leave" relationship with investors. People either love
candlesticks and use them frequently, or are completely turned off by them. There are
several patterns people look for with candlestick charts, here are a few of the popular
ones and what they mean:
This is a bullish pattern, the stock opened at (or near) its low and closed near
its high.
The opposite of the pattern above, this is a bearish pattern. This indicates that
the stock opened at (or near) its high and dropped substantially to close near its
low.
Called "The Hammer", this is a bullish pattern only if it occurs after the stock
price has dropped for several days. A Hammer is identified by a small body
along with a large range. The theory is that this pattern can indicate a reversal
in the downtrend is in the works.
Called a "star". This pattern is used in others such as the "doji star". For the
most part, stars typically indicate a reversal and or indecision. There is the
possibility that after seeing a star there will be a reversal or change in the
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current trend.
Keep in mind there are over 20 other patterns used by technical analysts for candlestick
charting.
Now, let's take a look at a more traditional style of charting stock price performance
called "Point & Figure Charting.
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There are two attributes that affect the appearance of a Point & Figure chart, box size and
reversal amount. We won't get into much detail about these factors. Now that we've taken
a look at three different types of charts used by technical analysts, let's look at various
indicators.
longer the time span, the less sensitive themoving average will be to daily price changes.
Moving averages are used toemphasize the direction of a trend and smooth out price and
volume fluctuations (or "noise") that can confuse interpretation.
Notice back in September when the stock price dropped well below its 50-day average
(the green line). There has been a steady downward trend since then and no real strong
divergence, until the end of December where it rose above its 50-day average and
continued to rise for several weeks.
Typically, when a stock price moves below its moving average it is a bad sign because the
stock is moving on a negative trend. The opposite is true for stocks that protrude their
moving average - in this case, hold on for the ride.
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Here, we have an RSI chart for AT&T. The RSI is the green line, its scale is the numbers
on the right hand side that go from 0 to 100. Notice the RSI was approaching the 60-70
levels in December and January and then the stock (blue line) sold off. Also, notice
around October when the RSI dropped to 25 the stock climbed up nearly 30% in just a
couple weeks.
Using the moving averages, trend lines, divergence, support, and resistance lines along
with the RSI chart can be very useful. Rising bottoms on the RSI chart can produce the
same positive trend results as it would on the stock chart. Should the general trend of the
stock price tangent from the RSI, it might spark a warning, and the stock is either
over/under bought.
The RSI is a great little indicator that can help you make some serious money. Beware
that big surges and drops in stocks will dramatically affect the RSI, resulting in false buy
or sell signals. Most investors agree that the RSI is most effective in "backing up" or
increasing confidence before making an investment decision, don't invest simply based
on the RSI numbers.
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It is the Money Flow Ratio that is used to calculate the Money Flow.
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The Money Flow ranges from 0 to 100. Just like the RSI, a stock is considered
Overbought in the 70- 80 range and oversold in the 20-30 range. The shorter number of
days you use, the more volatile the Money Flow is. For the example below we will use a
14-day average.
There are three key points on this chart. The blue circle is where the stock price started to
create a "base" on the lower band; it appeared that the stock was over sold. Buying at this
point would have been a wise choice, as the stock proceeded to jump 20% or more in the
next few weeks.
The two red circles are areas where the stock price was touching or breaking through the
upper red band. This is usually an indication that the stock is over bought. In both
instances, the stock dropped substantially in following weeks.
The Bollinger bands are a good tool to use, but as we've been preaching all along, never
invest solely based on what just one indicator says. Notice there were instances when the
stock touched the upper or lower band and did not react. Rather than basing their
investment decisions on Bollinger, many investors use this indicator mainly to solidify a
decision they are about to make.
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Conclusion
Technical analysis is one of those fields where everyone has a different theory on what
works and what doesn't. If we can leave you with one last tip, it is to back test whatever
strategy you decide to pursue. Back testing means looking back at several years worth of
charts to see how a particular stock reacts. Different stocks do different things,
Here are a couple points to remember about technical analysis:
Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistics
generated by market activity, past prices, and volume.
The advantage of using a bar chart over a straight-line graph is that it shows the
high, low, open and close for each particular day.
One of the most basic and easy to use TA indicators is the moving average, which
shows the average value of a security's price over a period of time. The most
commonly used moving averages are the 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 day.
Support and resistance levels are price levels at which movement should stop and
reverse direction. Think of Support/Resistance (S/R) as levels that act as a floor or
a ceiling to future price movements.
There are literally 100s of different price patterns and indicators.
In our humble opinion, technical analysis is a terrific tool, but much more
effective when combined with fundamental analysis.
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FINOLEX INDUSTRIES
Registered Office
Tel:
Fax
Email
Website
CEO
Business Group
Industry
BSE Code
NSE Code
Face Value
Market Lot
500940
FINPIPEEQ
10
1
Board of Directors
Director Name
Mr. Prakash P Chhabria
Mr. K N Atmaramani
Mr. S N Inamdar
Mr. S S Marathe
Mr. M G Bhide
Dr. N A Kalyani
Mr. K P Chhabria
Mr. P P Chhabria
Mr. P Subramaniam
Mr. J S Arora
Mr. S S Dhanorkar
Designation
Deputy Managing Director
Independent Director
Independent Director
Independent Director
Independent Director
Independent Director
Managing Director
Non Executive Chairman
Whole Time Director
Whole Time Director
Whole Time Director
43
About FINOLEX
The company was incorporated on 28th March 1981, in Maharashtra as a private limited
company and was converted into a public limited company on 1st December 1988. It
manufactures PVC Pipes and fittings. It was promoted by P.P. Chhabria and his
associates. The company acquired a manufacturing plant at MIDC Chinchwad, Pune and
started commercial production of PVC pipes in May 1981. In 1983, 3,67,650 shares
issued without payment in cash to members of Finolex Plastics Pvt. Ltd. on its merger.
In 1994, the company has been granted the highest category credit rating, namely P1+
credit rating, by CRISIL for issue of commercial paper. The rating of P1 indicates that the
degree of safety regarding timely payment on the instrument is very strong. "+" (plus)
sign for rating reflects a comparatively higher standing within the category.
The
company has tied up with banks for working capital requirements of PVC resin division
In 1996, The Pipes Division of the Company has been granted Quality Systems
Certification Licence as per IS/ISO 9002 by Bureau of Indian Standards, accredited by
Raad Voor de Certificates, Netherlands.
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Shareholding Pattern
31/03/2013
31/12/2012
30/09/2012
10.00
10.00
10.00
No. Of Shares % Holding No. Of Shares % Holding No. Of Shares % Holding
PROMOTER'S HOLDING
Foreign Promoters
Indian Promoters
Person Acting in Concert
Sub Total
0
23368351
0
23368351
0.00
18.84
0.00
18.84
0
23368351
0
23368351
0.00
18.84
0.00
18.84
0
23368351
0
23368351
0.00
18.84
0.00
18.84
Institutional Investors
1369815
1.10
2223012
1578252
1.27
1037648
1372777
1.11
3859139
4320844
3.48
7119799
1.79
0.84
3.11
5.74
4193765
1288809
3672348
9154922
3.38
1.04
2.96
7.38
36.78
1.28
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.40
38.47
36.95
100.00
44290863
1569624
0
500000
0
0
46360487
45134157
124017917
35.71
1.27
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
37.38
36.39
100.00
Other Investors
Private Corporate Bodies
NRI's/OCB's/Foreign Others
GDR/ADR
Directors/Employees
Government
Others
Sub Total
General Public
GRAND TOTAL
47265159
1853040
0
0
0
500000
49618199
46710523
124017917
38.11
1.49
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.40
40.01
37.66
100.00
45614001
1591656
0
0
0
500000
47705657
45824110
124017917
Capital History
Auth.
Issued
Paid-up
Capital
Capital
Shares (No's)
2.00
20.00
20.00
2.00
5.68
14.19
45
201100
567650
1410569
Face
Value
(Rs)
10
10
10
Paid-up
Capital
2.00
5.68
14.11
5,500.00
900.00
900.00
1,650.00
1,650.00
2,350.00
2,350.00
2,350.00
1,500.00
1,500.00
1,500.00
1,500.00
1,500.00
1,500.00
1,500.00
1,500.00
109.13
109.55
149.80
1,297.53
1,297.53
1,475.60
1,475.52
1,487.06
1,487.06
1,487.06
1,487.06
1,445.33
1,292.39
1,265.59
1,240.26
1,240.26
10904312
10946662
14971662
129744051
129744051
147551901
147551901
148697241
148697241
148697241
148697241
144524468
129229972
126550536
124017917
124017917
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
109.04
109.47
149.72
1,297.44
1,297.44
1,475.52
1,475.52
1,486.97
1,486.97
1,486.97
1,486.97
1,445.24
1,292.30
1,265.51
1,240.18
1,240.18
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
Particulars
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
124
0
447
0
318
889
4884
24
272
124
0
447
0
318
889
484
24
272
127
0
402
0
372
901
511
10
244
129
0
253
0
262
644
542
6
104
144
0
325
0
324
794
561
6
154
108
108
135
-8
72
Miscellaneous Expenditure
Total Assets
0
889
0
889
0
901
0
644
0
794
BALANCE SHEET
46
INCOME STATEMENT
Sales
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Profit
Interest
Depreciation
Tax
Net Profit
Dividend (Rs. Cr.)
Face Value Per Share (Rs.)
Dividend Per Share (Rs.)
Earning Per Share (Rs.)
1073
42
1115
199
12
44
51
91
37
10
3
7
47
818
59
877
197
13
43
50
90
37
10
3
7
744
17
761
180
16
42
41
80
25
10
2
6
654
5
659
174
21
41
22
89
39
10
2
7
649
11
660
119
38
41
3
37
21
10
1.50
3
RATIO ANALYSIS
Ratios
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
3
7
42.85
40.76
16.2
23.4
1.2
15.2
11.31
6.71
14.03
70.5
70.70
3
7
41.26
37.46
16.4
29
0.92
12.63
10.49
8.16
15.28
50.40
49.75
2
6
33.33
33.64
17.6
24.2
0.83
16.36
10.71
6.39
8.94
33.75
33.50
2
7
28.57
29.57
20.9
26.5
1.02
19.14
13.12
6.9
11.22
28.4
28.45
1.5
3
50
32.5
7.9
18.4
0.82
10.33
5.31
11.19
12.32
18.15
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Financial highlights
Results
Finolex Industries Ltd (FIL), a major supplier of PVC resin and PVC pipes and
fittings, reported a 30.5% yoy rise in gross turnover to Rs3.4bn in Q4 FY09.
However, a 43.8% yoy rise in inter divisional transfer resulted into net sales
growth being restricted to 28.1% yoy. Net sale for Q4 FY10 was at Rs2.4bn as
against Rs1.9bn in Q4 FY10. The companys PVC plant operated at 113%
capacity utilization.
In Q3 FY10 operating profit declined significantly by 33.8% to Rs318mn and
OPM slumped by 12.5 percentage points (pps) yoy to 13.3%. The fall was driven
by 20.4pps increase in raw material cost as a percentage of net sales mainly on
account of surging crude oil prices. However, 180bps yoy
48
Ratio Analysis
In the above table, the dividend per share has increased over the years. Pay out rate is
also increasing, EPS is more or less constant and BPS showing an increasing trend.
Return on net worth is showing a decreasing trend from 2010.Operating margin also got
down in 2011, Total asset turnover ratio is ok, and exports came down when compared to
last year.
Trend Analysis :
YEAR
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
SALES
Amt (Rs)
Trend %
560
100
737
132
649
116
654
117
744
133
818
121
1073
146
PROFITABILITY
Amt (Rs)
Trend %
48
100
56
117
37
77
89
185
80
167
90
188
91
200
Interpretation : The above table and graph shows the Sales and Profitability of the
company for seven years. Finolex Inds stands 22 nd and 17th position respectfully this
FY2010; both its sales and profits are volatile.
49
Registered Office
Tel:
Fax
Email
Website
CEO
Business Group
Industry
BSE Code
NSE Code
Face Value
Market Lot
500113
SAILEQ
10
1
Board of Directors
Director Name
Designation
Chairman / Chair Person
Director
Director
Director
Director
Director
Director
Director
Director
Director
Director (Technical)
Managing Director
Managing Director
Managing Director
Managing Director
Nominee Director
Mr. V S Jain
Mr. S K Roongta
Mr. D V Singh
Dr. P K Sengupta
Dr. S Y Quraishi
Mr. V K Agarwal
Mr. G C Daga
Mr. Ashis Das
Dr. Amit Mitra
Mr. Arun Kumar Rath
Mr. K K Khanna
Mr. R P Singh
Dr. S K Bhattacharyya
Dr. Sanak Mishra
Mr. U P Singh
Mr. Ajoy Kumar
50
About SAIL
In 1973, Pursuant to a decision taken by the Government of India in January the Steel
Authority of India, Ltd. was formed on 24th January, as a holding company for Steel and
Associated input industries. CEDB was converted into a separate company in the name
of Metallurgical Engineering & Consultants (India), Ltd., Bolani Ores Ltd., Metal Scrap
Trade Corporation and Mysore Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. became subsidiaries of SAIL.
Maharashtra Eleckrosmelt Ltd., Visvesvaraya Iron and Steel Ltd., Indian Iron & Steel
Co., Ltd., IISCO-Ujjain Pipe & Foundry Co., Ltd. are all subsidiaries of the Company. In
1974, SAIL International Ltd., was incorporated to coordinate the export and import
business
In 1978, The Indian Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. became a subsidiary of SAIL. The Kulti Works
of this company, with an annual capacity of 1.57 lakh tonnes is the largest producer of
cast iron and spun pipes. In1980, 273,32,471 shares allotted to the President of India
(124,43,829 shares allotted for consideration other than cash). In1981, 44,39,100 No. of
shares allotted to the President of India
In 1992, The Company's R&D unit at Ranchi was set up with a view to promote
continuous improvement in critical performance indices of the steel plant in order to
increase productivity, reduce production cost and improve quality by production
optimisation or by introduction of new technologies. The centre undertook various
collaborative ventures with agencies both in India and abroad. In 1997, SAIL is already
the lowest quoted scrip (Rs.21) on the Mumbai Stock Exchange's 30-share Sensex.
51
PROMOTER'S HOLDING
Foreign Promoters
Indian Promoters
Person Acting in Concert
Sub Total
0
3544690285
0
3544690285
0.00
85.82
0.00
85.82
0
3544690285
0
3544690285
0.00
85.82
0.00
85.82
0
3544690285
0
3544690285
0.00
85.82
0.00
85.82
Institutional Investors
30349182
0.73
110486753
170909383
4.14
253779060
174521151
4.23
0
375779716
9.10
364265813
2.67
6.14
0.00
8.82
138330213
122850250
77650042
338830505
3.35
2.97
1.88
8.20
1.39
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.05
1.49
3.87
100.00
63353646
1889524
2545585
0
0
0
67788755
179091000
4130400545
1.53
0.05
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.64
4.34
100.00
Other Investors
Private Corporate Bodies
NRI's/OCB's/Foreign Others
GDR/ADR
Directors/Employees
Government
Others
Sub Total
General Public
GRAND TOTAL
48392877
2240625
1946735
0
0
0
52580237
157350307
4130400545
1.17
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.27
3.81
100.00
Capital History
52
57318263
2054172
0
0
0
2153735
61526170
159918277
4130400545
Auth.
IssuedPaid-up Shares
Capital
Capital
(No's)
50,000.00
50,000.00
50,000.00
50,000.00
50,000.00
41,304.01
41,304.01
41,304.01
41,304.01
41,304.01
4130400545
4130400545
4130400545
4130400545
4130400545
Face
Value
(Rs)
10
10
10
10
10
Paid-up
Capital
41,304.01
41,304.01
41,304.01
41,304.01
41,304.01
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
Particulars
2013
2012
53
2011
2010
2009
BALANCE SHEET
4130
0
907
0
8689
13726
13154
382
543
-731
378
13726
4130
0
907
0
8689
13726
13154
382
543
-731
378
13726
4130
0
-1605
0
12970
15495
14036
379
543
1
536
15495
4130
0
-1301
0
13928
16758
14798
556
539
287
578
16758
4130
0
406
0
14251
18788
15177
1221
435
1582
372
18788
27004
1353
28357
9373
597
1124
2133
5519
0
10
0
13
24178
447
24625
4704
954
1123
116
2512
0
10
0
6
19207
417
19624
2213
1382
1147
-12
-304
0
10
0
-1
15208
1182
16390
1037
1588
1156
0
-1707
0
10
0
-4
16233
885
17117
2167
1752
1144
0
-729
0
10
0
-2
INCOME STATEMENT
Sales
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Profit
Interest
Depreciation
Tax
Net Profit
Dividend (Rs. Cr.)
Face Value Per Share (Rs.)
Dividend Per Share (Rs.)
Earning Per Share (Rs.)
RATIO ANALYSIS
54
Ratios
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
0
13
0
12.19
146.3
37.5
1.96
36.03
22.5
N/A
N/A
62.95
63.25
0
6
0
11.28
75.6
19.5
1.76
15.53
11.39
11.23
7.79
32.30
32.25
0
-1
0
4.82
-14.4
11.5
1.24
5.17
-1.73
6.81
6.28
8.80
8.85
0
-4
0
5.45
-53.2
6.8
0.91
-6.71
-12.04
4.98
3.89
4.90
4.8
0
-2
0
10.08
-16.3
13.3
0.86
4.63
-5
4.54
3.88
5.70
5.65
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Financial highlights
55
Highlights
1. Better product mix drives sales growth
Company recorded a 38% yoy growth in sales turnover in Q4 FY12, highest among all
the quarters in FY12. The same surged from Rs68bn to Rs94bn in Q4 FY12. Steel prices
remained stable throughout the year. Increase in demand for steel and better product mix
helped company register an all time high sales of steel at 10.7MT. Sales revenue for
FY12 grew by 32.4% yoy from Rs220bn to Rs291bn. SAIL focused on domestic market
where the sales grew 8% over the previous year to reach a level of 10.3 MT. It also
reported strong production growth in value added products such as plates (15%), rails
(7%) and wheels & axles (34%).
Trend Analysis
YEAR
SALES
PROFITABILITY
56
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Amt (Rs)
15060
16250
16233
15208
19207
24178
27004
Trend %
100
108
108
101
128
161
179
Amt (Rs)
-1574
-1720
-729
-1707
-304
2512
5519
Trend %
-100
-109
-46
-108
-19
160
350
The above table and graph shows the trend of sales and profitability of the company for
over seven years. Sail is standing 20th and 14th position in sales and profit respectfully in
the industry in this FY2012.This company is running in losses from past 5years, but its
profits shooted up in FY 2012&2013 which may be an impressive move of the company.
57
BSE Code
NSE Code
Face Value
Market Lot
500470
TISCOEQ
10
1
Board of Directors
Director Name
Designation
Mr. R N Tata
Mr. Kumar Mangalam Birla
Mr. Suresh Krishna
Mr. Ishaat Hussain
Mr. Keshub Mahindra
Mr. Nusli N Wadia
Mr. S M Palia
Dr. Jamshed J Irani
Mr. B Muthuraman
Mr. P K Kaul
Mr. B Jitender
Mr. A N Singh
Dr. T Mukherjee
58
About TISCO
The Tata Iron and Steel Company Limited was formed in 1907 at Mumbai. The Company
manufactures rails, fishplates, bars, light structural, heavy structural, plates, black sheets,
galvanised sheets, tin bars, sleeper bars, sleepers, blooms, billets, sheet bars, wheels, tyres
and axles, skelp and strip, and special steels tools such as picks, beaters, hammers and
shovels and red-oxide, coal tar, sulphate of ammonia, etc. Iron and steel are made by the
open hearth, duplex electric and a combination of these processes, and the steel is rolled
into finished products.
During the year 1917, 1,50,000 equity shares issued at par and 26,250 deferred shares
issued at a premium of Rs.370 per share. With effect from 1st April 1973, the wholly
owned subsidiary, West Bokaro Ltd., was amalgamated with the company. In 1985 with
effect from 1st October, Indian Tube Co. Ltd was amalgamated with TISCO.
In October 1986, higher recovery of iron-bearing materials from waste materials viz., an
Rs.18.5 crores waste-recycling plant, was commissioned. During the year 1991 Company
acquired a 100% export-oriented ferro-chrome manufacturing unit of OMC Alloys Ltd.
from the Orissa State Government at a total cost of 156 crores. It is located at Bammpal,
Orissa, and has a capacity to produce 50,000 tonnes per annum of ferro-chrome.
59
Shareholding Pattern
Share Holding Pattern
as on :
FaceValue
Share Holder
Foreign Promoters
Indian Promoters
Person Acting in Concert
Sub Total
31/03/2013
31/12/2012
10.00
30/09/2012
10.00
10.00
No. Of
Shares
%
No. Of
%
No. Of
%
Holding Shares
Holding Shares
Holding
PROMOTER'S HOLDING
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
147009416
26.56 146971495
26.55 145572691
26.30
0
0.00
0
0.00
0
0.00
147009416
26.56 146971495
26.55 145572691
26.30
NON PROMOTER'S HOLDING
Institutional Investors
23041936
4.16 28531556
5.16 28948492
5.23
100535483
18.16 103432319
18.69 108290486
19.57
15.36 76808298
37.68 208772173
Other Investors
41236156
7.45 38176564
13.88 66306238
37.72 203545216
11.98
36.78
84993869
208571288
6.90
37756753
6.82
2293731
0.41
2291362
0.41
2352479
0.43
3867
119544
0
0
43653298
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
7.89
3867
118816
0
0
40590609
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
7.33
3867
118816
0
0
40231915
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
7.27
Capital History
60
Auth.
Issued
Paid-up
Face
Capital Capital Shares (No's) Value (Rs)
4,400.00 3,683.74
367771512
10
4,400.00 3,683.74
367771880
10
4,400.00 3,683.74
367771901
10
4,400.00 3,683.74
367771901
10
4,400.00 3,683.74
367771901
10
4,400.00 3,683.74
367771901
10
61
Paid-up
Capital
3,677.72
3,677.72
3,677.72
3,677.72
3,677.72
3,677.72
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
554
0
4987
0
369
0
4987
0
369
0
3657
1
368
0
5458
0
368
140
4380
0
Total Debt
3373
3373
4226
4708
4672
Total Liabilities
Net Block
CWIP
Investments
Net Current Assets
Miscellaneous Expenditure
Total Assets
8729
7858
0
2194
-1479
156
8729
8729
7858
0
2194
-1479
156
8729
8252
7544
0
1195
-486
0
8252
10534
7544
0
913
1088
989
10534
9561
7042
496
847
255
920
9561
14658
717
15375
6225
236
622
1945
3421
369
10
7
62
11921
232
12153
3432
141
625
920
1746
369
10
10
47
9793
-142
9652
2163
342
558
250
1012
259
10
8
27
7607
119
7727
1179
403
525
46
205
149
10
4
6
7703
55
7758
1507
412
492
49
553
196
10
5
15
Particulars
BALANCE SHEET
INCOME STATEMENT
Sales
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Profit
Interest
Depreciation
Tax
Net Profit
Dividend (Rs. Cr.)
Face Value Per Share (Rs.)
Dividend Per Share (Rs.)
Earning Per Share (Rs.)
62
RATIO ANALYSIS
Ratios
Dividend per Share
Earning per Share
Pay out Ratio
Book value per Share
Return on Net Worth(%)
Operating Profit Margin(%)
Total Assets Turnover Ratio
Gross Profit Margin(%)
Net Profit Margin(%)
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Exports as % of Total Sales
Share Price/31-Mar(BSE)
Share Price/31-Mar(NSE)
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
7
62
11.29
100
66.8
41.1
1.68
41.43
29.2
N/A
N/A
400.90
401.05
10
47
21.27
118.55
37.9
28.8
1.36
26.63
14.4
12.91
14.03
383.50
383.65
8
27
29.62
86.6
22.8
22.1
1.18
17.33
10.5
11.74
15.28
133.75
133.70
4
6
66.66
66.81
4.7
15.5
0.72
7.86
2.7
11.22
8.94
97.65
97.75
5
15
33.33
104.09
13.5
19.6
0.81
18.66
7.1
11.37
11.22
154.50
122.35
63
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Financial highlights :
Topline growth in the quarter and full year FY12 were driven by higher realization as
sales volumes were marginally lower on yoy basis in respective periods. The lower
volumes were a result of the planned shut down of G blast furnace, which has led to an
estimated production loss of about 10% during the year (~350000 tons). Higher steel
prices have enabled the company to double growth in net profit in FY12.
Volumes & Realization :
The 1mn ton expansion at Jamshedpur works has been completed since the 2nd week of
May. As a part of this expansion, the main G blast furnace was shut from December 3,
2012 to April 6, 2013 thereby suppressing production in Q3 and Q4 FY08 (major effect
in this quarter). The G blast furnace capacity has now been enhanced from 1 mtpa to 1.8
mtpa Tiscos steel making capacity now stands increased at 5mtpa at this location. The
company would further increase the capacity to 7.4mtpa by August 2013 at the cost of
Rs25bn.
Ratio Analysis
In the above table, dividends are fluctuating, EPS is showing an increasing trend and BPS
is not constant. Return on net worth is showing an increasing trend from 2007.Operating
margin is showing an increasing trend from 2009, Total asset turnover ratio is good, and
exports have increased 2012 and decreased in 2013. The margin on sales is very good.
The movement of share price is good because of the high margin due to price hikes in
long term contracts, which showed future prospects.
64
Trend Analysis
YEAR
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
SALES
Amt (Rs)
Trend %
6275
100
6891
110
7703
123
7607
121
9793
156
11921
190
14658
237
PROFITABILITY
Amt (Rs)
Trend %
282
100
423
150
553
196
205
73
1012
359
1746
619
3421
1213
The above table explains the trend of the growth of sales and the profitability of the
company for over seven years. Here TISCO stands in 10 th and 13th positions in
Profitability and Sales when compared to all other companies in the industry in current
FY2013.
We can see an increasing trend both in sales and profitability.
65
Outlook
SAIL has laid down plans to spend about Rs250bn in stages to increase its hot metal
capacity by 7mn tpa to 20mn tpa by FY12, and to take advantage of the strong expected
domestic demand growth of 7-8% p.a. over the next few years. The gradual capacity
expansion would translate into consistent volume growth for the company in the future
years. The company's capex was Rs30bn in FY12 and it is expected to spend a similar
amount in FY13 as well.
66
Outlook
Original estimates for FY12 factored a 35% revenue growth driven by a 22% volume
increase and a 9% rise in average realizations. We had estimated standalone profits to
grow 43% yoy and an EPS of Rs83 for FY12. With the management indicating that a 1520% price hikes take in long term contracts, we would be revising our forecasts for FY10
upwards to factor in a sharper than expected realization growth.
67
C/Y
EPS
Ave*EPS
C/Y SP
6.58
0.606
8.806
7
13
62
46.06
7.878
545.972
70.7
63.25
401.05
The true economic worth of the share is its intrinsic value. The following formula is used
to find out the intrinsic value of a share.
Intrinsic Value = (Average P/E ratio over the years) x (Present earnings per share)
The above calculation is based on the assumptions that:
The trend of the profitability of the immediate past and the present will continue
to be the same.
The average P/E and the average earnings to Equity ratio remain constant over a
period of time.
68
CONCLUSION
FINOLEX INDS
1. Net sales increase by 28.2% yoy in Q4 FY12 to Rs2.4bn
2. OPM in Q4 FY12 slumps by 1.25 percentage points 13.3%, driven by rise in raw
materials cost, especially so of crude oil 54.9% yoy fall in other income converts
into to a 51.1% fall in PBT
SAIL
1. Record quarterly PAT in Q4 FY12 of Rs27bn, an increase of 164% yoy.
2. Better prices, product mix and productivity improve realization.
3. Turnover at an all time high of Rs291bn for FY12, growth of 32% yoy.
TISCO
1. Revenue and profitability growth in Q4 commendable, considering 3 month
planned shut down of its largest blast furnace.
2. 15-20% price hikes on long-term contracts undertaken in March should enable
company to maintain earnings growth momentum in FY12.
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SUGGESTIONS:
Of course, a price movement in online trading has many pros. There are several
wonderful reasons to invest online and consider online trading.
Money saving opportunities depends primarily on the online brokerage firm that you
choose. No two firms are the same. There may be different regulations, similar to
bank regulations. There are minimum deposits required that must be maintained. As
mentioned above, this will depend on the online brokerage firm.
Instant online access we can gain instant access to our account, the value of our
portfolio updates immediately before our eyes.
Online traders can enter online trading at anytime and from anywhere. This is very
convenient if you live in a different time zone than the country you are trading in.
Not to mention, it is especially fit for investors with busy schedules.
With online trading traders can control of there investments. No sales pitches and no
hassles can occurred.
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BIBILIOGRAPHY
WEB SITES
1.WWW.AMFIINDIA.COM
2. WWW.BSEINDIA.COM
3. WWW.YAHOO.FINANCE.COM
NEWS PAPERS
1. BUSINESS LINE
2. ECONOMICS TIMES
3. BUSINESS STANDARD
4. THE HINDU
BOOKS
1. THE SECURITY ANALYSIS AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
- DONALD.E.FISHER AND RONALD. J. JORDAN
2. FUNDAMENTALS OF STATISTICS - S.C GUPTA.
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