Pinegar: What Managers Think of Capital Structure Pinegar
Pinegar: What Managers Think of Capital Structure Pinegar
Pinegar: What Managers Think of Capital Structure Pinegar
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Survey
What
Managers
Theory: A Survey
Think
of
Capital
Structure
J. MichaelPinegarand LisaWilbricht
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PINEGARANDWILBRICHT/CAPITAL
STRUCTURETHEORY:A SURVEY
I. CapitalStructureTheories
The capital structure models considered here can be
classified conveniently into three groups: models that
imply an optimal combination of long-term funds, models that imply an optimal hierarchyin raising funds, and
models that imply neither of these approaches. Myers
[16] labels models in the first and second categories as
"static tradeoff" and "pecking order" models, respectively. Those terms are adopted in the brief discussion
below.
A. StaticTradeoffModels
In general, static tradeoff models predict that firms
maintain a target debt-equity ratio that maximizes firm
value by minimizing the costs of prevailing market
imperfections. The earliest of these models (e.g., Kraus
and Litzenberger [11], Scott [20], and Kim [9]) balance
the corporate tax advantages of debt against the cost
disadvantages of bankruptcy. Later refinements also
incorporate personal taxes and non-debt tax shields
(e.g., Miller [12] and DeAngelo and Masulis [2]).
Agency cost theories, though not categorized by
Myers, share many of the features of the tax-cumbankruptcy cost models. In Jensen and Meckling [8],
for example, the value of the firm is maximized when
total agency costs of debt and external equity are min-
83
B. PeckingOrderHypothesis
Myers and Majluf [17] extend Donaldson [4] by
assuming that the firm is undervalued because managers have, but cannot reveal, information that the
market lacks concerning new and existing investment
opportunities. Managers avoid issuing undervalued securities by financing first with internal equity and then
with external claims that are least likely to be mispriced. Internal equity is the most preferred source,
external equity is the least, and straight and convertible
debt are in the middle.1
C. OtherModels
Like Myers and Majluf, Miller and Rock [13] develop a model in which internal funding strictly dominates external sources. However, unlike Myers and
Majluf, Miller and Rock make no distinction between
the types of external funds raised because all such
sources signal to the market that internal sources have
fallen short of projections. Hence, the Miller-Rock
model representsthe capital structurecategoryin which
neither an optimal combination nor an optimal hierarchy of external sources is implied.
The predictions of the foregoing models follow directly from the assumptions used to develop them. The
Myers-Majluf and Miller-Rock models assume that
corporate taxes do not exist; static tradeoff models
assume that investors and managers have equal information about real growth opportunities.Although such
assumptions make the models tractable, they oversimplify the conditions under which managers make
'Hierarchies also could be derived using the Jensen [7] free cash flow
hypothesis or the Ross [18] signaling model. The hierarchies in the
Jensen and Ross models would run from debt (and preferred stock)
to common stock. The assumptions about investment opportunities
in Ross [18], Myers and Majluf [17] and Jensen [7] are not the same,
however. Ross assumes that the investment decision has already been
made but that the market does not understand the true value of the
firm; Myers and Majluf assume that because the firm is undervalued
managers may refuse to undertake even positive NPV projects; and
Jensen assumes the market knows that all positive NPV projects have
already been undertaken and that managers must be monitored to
keep them from wasting free cash flows.
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FINANCIALMANAGEMENT/WINTER1989
84
II.SamplingProcedures
A list of the Fortune 500 firms for 1986 was obtained
from the April 27, 1987 edition of Fortune magazine.
Standardand Poor's Registerof Directorsand Executives
was then used to find the names and addresses of the
chief financial officer of each firm. A cover letter was
enclosed with each questionnaire requesting that the
chief financial officer or the officer most familiar with
financing procedures answer the nine-question survey.No attempt was made to identify specific firms that
participated. Thus, cross-classifying financing preferences with firm size, industry,or ownership structure is
not possible. The reason for proceeding in this manner
was to protect the anonymity of the respondents. Conceivably, the decision improved the candor with which
the questions were answered and increased the number
of usable responses (176) received.3
Moreover, some generalizations are possible even if
specific firms that participated in the survey are not
identified. First, since the Fortune 500 list includes
only industrials, there are no utilities and no financial
corporations in the sample. Thus, firms that are most
heavily regulated and whose financing decisions are
least likely to convey new information to the market
are excluded. Second, most firms in the sample are
large. Only 15 of the entire Fortune 500 list for 1986
had market values of $100 million or lower. Therefore,
although financing preferences may differ by firm size,
A copy of the survey is given in the appendix. Respondents were not
specificallyasked to state their positions with the firms.Consequently,
actual decision makers may not have responded in some cases. To the
extent that is true, respondents may have answered according to what
they think financing policies should be rather than what they are.
However, given the inconclusiveness of capital structure theory, it is
not clear what the policy should be. Hence, how this potential bias
affects the results is unknown.
3In total, 203 responses were received. However, 17 firms explained
that they no longer respond to survey requests because of increased
demands on managerial time, and 10 firms were not publicly traded.
the sample essentially eliminates the variation attributable to the smallest market value firms.
The bias toward large, successful firms in the sample
does limit the inferences that can be drawn. Sampling
from a single point in time may impose further restrictions. However, the bias that exists may make the permissible inferences more interesting.For example,large
successfulfirmsshould have more flexibilitythan smaller
firms to alter their financing mix in response to the
enactment of the Tax Reform Act of 1986. Hence, if tax
laws are dominant determinants of a firm's capital
structure, successful firms will alter their financing mix
to increase after-taxcash flows. Similarly,because ownership of the sample firms is likely to be disperse,
managers should have incentives to limit the agency
costs they bear. Thus, both the tax and the agency cost
biases favor a target capital structure over a financing
hierarchy.4
IV.Sample Results
A. Static Tradeoff vs. Pecking Order and Other
Models
Despite the aforementionedbiases, 68.8% (121/176)
of our survey respondents indicated a preference for
the financing hierarchy.5 Rankings of six sources of
long-term funds by respondents who expressed this
preferenceare summarizedin Exhibit 1.For each source,
the percentage of responses within each rank, the percentage of respondents who did not rank the source,
and the mean of the rankings are given. Higher means
imply higher preferences.
As indicated, 84.3% of the respondents ranked internal equity as their first choice, while 39.7% ranked
external equity as their last choice. The respectivemean
4Although agency cost arguments can support either a target capital
structure (Jensen and Meckling [8]) or a financing hierarchy(Jensen
[7]), the success of the Fortune 500 firms suggests that positive NPV
opportunities still exist. Therefore, the costs of free cash flow discussed by Jensen should be less important than the costs discussed in
Jensen and Meckling.
?Some of the answers were inferred from the responses to question
2. Respondents who expressed a preference for maintaining a target
debt-equity ratio were instructednot to answerquestion 2. Therefore,
when question 2 was answered but question I was not, an 'intended'
response to question 1 was assumed. When only direct answers to
question 1 are used, 66.7% (80/120) of the respondents indicated that
they follow a financing hierarchy. Because the results for this and
other questions are insensitive to these inferences, both direct and
inferred answers are reported.
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PINEGARANDWILBRICHT/CAPITAL
STRUCTURETHEORY:A SURVEY
85
Exhibit 1. Preference Rankings of Long-Term Sources of Funds Among U.S. Industrial Firms that Follow a
Financing Hierarchya
Sources by Order of
Preference
First
Second
1. Internal Equity
(Retained Earnings)
2. Straight Debt
3. Convertible Debt
84.3
7.4
14.9
71.9
5.0
0.0
2.5
43.0
4. External Common
Equity
5. Straight Preferred
Stock
6. Convertible Preferred
Stock
0.0
9.9
23.1
0.0
4.1
0.0
2.5
Meanb
1.7
5.61
2.5
0.8
5.0
1.7
0.8
0.8
4.88
31.4
9.9
3.3
9.9
3.02
19.0
1.7
39.7
6.6
2.42
16.5
15.7
37.2
14.0
12.4
2.22
3.3
15.7
33.1
33.1
12.4
1.72
2.5
0.8
Not Ranked
"Intotal, 121 firms indicated they follow a financing hierarchy,while 47 indicated they seek to maintain a target capital structure. These estimates
include both direct and inferred answers. When only direct answers are used, the numbers following the financing hierarchy and target capital
structure are 80 and 40, respectively. The percentages given in the table are immateriallydifferent from the percentages that obtain for the 80
firms.
hMeansare calculated by assigning scores of 6 through 1 for rankingsfrom 1 through 6, respectively, and by multiplyingeach score by the fraction
of responses within each rank. A score of 0 is assigned when a source is not ranked.
B. Specific CapitalStructureModelsand
PlanningPrinciples
A better understanding of the relative significance
of specific capital structure theories can be gained by
examining managers' rankings of 11 inputs and/or assumptions often found in theoretical models. Exhibit 2
summarizes those rankings. The format is the same as
the format for Exhibit 1; the percentages here, however, are based on the full sample.
InformationConveyance Models Of all the inputs in Exhibit 2, the projected cash flow of the assets
to be financed (4.41), avoiding dilution of common
shareholders' claims (3.94), and the risk of the new
asset (3.91) have the highest mean ranks. Since two of
these factors relate to the new project, the findings
strongly suggest that corporate managers evaluate investment andfinancingdecisionssimultaneously.Hence,
these decisions are not independent and security price
reactions to capital structure changes may reflect a
hierarchy, these two concepts need not be mutually exclusive. However, the process envisioned by Myers [16] and the responses above
seem to imply that most managers do not even seek the target capital
structure because the process is dynamic, not static.
7This finding may indicate that industrial managers resort to preferred stock mainly for specialized needs, such as acquisition or
reorganization. (See Dewing [3, pp. 131-134].)
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86
FINANCIAL
1989
MANAGEMENT/WINTER
Exhibit 2. Relative Importance of Capital Structure Model Inputs and/or Assumptions in Governing Financing
Decisions of Major U.S. Industrial Firms
Inputs/Assumptions by Order of
Importance
1. Projected cash flow from asset
to be financed
2. Avoiding dilution of common
shareholders' claims
3. Risk of asset to be financed
4. Restrictive covenants on senior
securities
5. Avoiding mispricings of
securities to be issued
6. Corporate tax rate
7. Voting control
8. Depreciation and other nondebt tax shields
9. Correcting mispricings of outstanding securities
10. Personal tax rates of debt and
equity holders
11. Bankruptcycosts
Unimportant
1.7
1.1
9.7
29.5
58.0
0.0
4.41
2.8
6.3
18.2
39.8
33.0
0.0
3.94
Meanb
2.8
6.3
20.5
36.9
33.0
0.6
3.91
9.1
9.7
18.7
35.2
27.3
0.0
3.62
3.4
10.8
27.3
39.8
18.7
0.0
3.60
4.0
17.6
9.7
29.5
10.8
42.6
31.2
8.5
17.6
21.0
40.9
14.8
27.8
31.2
69.3
13.1
1.1
0.0
3.52
3.24
24.4
19.3
7.4
1.1
3.05
36.4
14.2
5.1
1.7
2.66
34.1
25.6
8.0
1.1
0.0
2.14
13.1
6.8
4.0
4.5
2.3
1.58
The low mean rank in Exhibit 2 on correcting mispricings of outstanding securities (2.66) is inconsistent with
an overt signal. Therefore, the relation between the
perceptions of market efficiency and managers' rankings of the factors in Exhibit 2 were cross-classified to
determine whether financing choices are affected by
managers perceptions of fair market prices.
Marketefficiencyresponseswere grouped bywhether
managers believe their securities are correctly priced
more than 80% of the time or 80% or less. Exhibit 2
responses were also categorized into 'low' (ranks 1 and
2), 'medium' (rank 3), and 'high' (ranks 4 and 5) ranges.
Then, two Pearson chi-squarestatisticswere computed,
based first on the high, medium, and low ranges and
then on the high and the low.
The p-values for these statistics represent the probability of incorrectly inferring an association between
managers' perceptions of market efficiency and the
importance assigned to the factors in Exhibit 2. Ideally,
such probabilities should be low. However, only two of
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THEORY:A SURVEY
STRUCTURE
PINEGARANDWILBRICHT/CAPITAL
CostandOtherStaticTradeTax-Cum-Bankruptcy
87
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FINANCIALMANAGEMENT/WINTER1989
88
Exhibit 3. Relative Importance of Various Financial Planning Principles in Governing Financing Decisions of
Major U.S. Industrial Firms
Percentage of Responses Within Each Ranka
4
3
Important Not Ranked
Unimportant
1. Maintainingfinancial flexibility
2. Ensuring long-term survivability
0.6
0.0
4.5
33.0
1.7
6.8
10.8
61.4
76.7
0.6
0.0
4.55
4.0
1.7
2.8
20.5
39.2
35.8
0.0
4.05
4. Maximizingsecurity prices
3.4
4.5
19.3
33.5
37.5
1.7
3.99
3.4
4.5
22.2
27.3
40.9
1.7
3.99
2.3
15.9
9.1
32.4
36.9
33.0
43.2
10.8
13.1
2.8
0.0
0.6
3.56
2.47
3. Maintaining a predictable
source of funds
Meanh
4.55
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Exhibit 4. Significant Correlations Between Managerial Preferences for Funding Sources and
the Perceived Importance of Capital Structure Model Inputs and/or Financial Planning Principlesa
Funding Source
Direction of
Relationship
Internal Equity
None
NA
External Common
Equity
Avoiding Dilution
Negative
Straight Debt
MaximizingSecurity
Prices
Positive
Convertible Debt
Cash Flow
Survivability
Negative
Positive
Straight Preferred
Comparability
Negative
Convertible
Preferred
None
NA
89
IV.Conclusion
Corporate managers in this sample are more likely
to follow a financing hierarchy than to maintain a
target debt-equity ratio. Further, models based on corporate and/or personal taxes and bankruptcyand other
leverage-related costs are not as useful in determining
the financing mix as are models that suggest that new
financing reveals aspects of the firm's marginal asset
performance. However, the importance managers attach to specific capital structure theories is not related
to managerial perceptions of market efficiency. Thus,
most managers do not overtly signal firm value through
capital structureadjustments.In general, financialplanning principles are more important in governing the
financing decisions of the firm than are specific capital
structuretheories. Moreover, the capital structuredecision, per se, is less binding than either the investment
or the dividend decision of the firm.
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Appendix
The following is a reproduction of the surveysent to
chief financial officers.
Rank
a.
b.
c.
Straight debt
Convertible debt
d.
e.
c.
d.
g.
e.
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THEORY:A SURVEY
STRUCTURE
PINEGARANDWILBRICHT/CAPITAL
c.
d. _
e.
Costs of bankruptcy
f
g.
Voting control
-Restrictive covenants of senior securities
Projected cash flow or earnings from the
assets to be financed
h.
i.
j.
k.
91
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