Notes For MBA Maths
Notes For MBA Maths
Notes For MBA Maths
MITSDE, Pune
Second Edition 2012 Oct.
First Edition 2010 Oct.
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Index
I. Content..................................................................... II
II. List of Tables..................................................... VIII
III. Application......................................................... 105
IV. Bibliography....................................................... 110
V. Self Assessment Answers..................................... 113
Book at a Glance
I/MITSDE
Contents
Chapter I........................................................................................................................................................ 1
Matrices and Determinants.......................................................................................................................... 1
Aim................................................................................................................................................................. 1
Objectives ...................................................................................................................................................... 1
Learning Outcome:......................................................................................................................................... 1
1.1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................... 2
1.2 Matrix........................................................................................................................................................ 2
1.2.1 Matrix definition....................................................................................................................... 2
1.2.2 Matrix Notation ....................................................................................................................... 2
1.2.3 Matrix Equality......................................................................................................................... 3
1.3 Types of Matrix......................................................................................................................................... 3
1.3.1 Row Matrix............................................................................................................................... 3
1.3.2 Column Matrix.......................................................................................................................... 3
1.3.3 Zero/Null Matrix....................................................................................................................... 3
1.3.4 Square Matrix........................................................................................................................... 4
1.3.5 Diagonal Matrix........................................................................................................................ 4
1.3.6 Unit/Identity Matrix.................................................................................................................. 4
1.3.7 Transpose of a Matrix............................................................................................................... 4
1.4 Operations on Matrices............................................................................................................................. 4
1.4.1 Addition of Matrices................................................................................................................. 4
1.4.1.1 Properties of Matrix Addition.................................................................................... 5
1.4.2 Subtraction of Matrices............................................................................................................. 5
1.4.3 Multiplication of Matrices........................................................................................................ 6
1.4.3.1 Multiplication of a Matrix by a Number.................................................................... 6
1.4.3.2 Multiplication of a Matrix by another Matrix............................................................ 6
1.4.3.3 Properties of Multiplication of Matrices.................................................................... 7
1.5 Determinants............................................................................................................................................. 7
1.5.1 Calculating Value of 2 x 2 Determinant.................................................................................... 7
1.5.2 Calculating Value of 3 x 3 Determinant.................................................................................... 8
1.5.2.1 Cofactors.................................................................................................................... 8
1.5.2.2 Expansion by Minors................................................................................................. 8
1.6 Inverse of a Matrix.................................................................................................................................... 9
1.6.1 Finding Inverse for a 2 x 2 Matrix............................................................................................ 9
1.6.2 Finding Inverse for a 3 x 3 Matrix............................................................................................ 9
1.7 Solving Simultaneous Equation using Determinants...............................................................................11
1.7.1 Solving Two Simultaneous Equations.....................................................................................11
1.7.2 Solving Three simultaneous Equations................................................................................... 12
1.8 Properties of Determinants..................................................................................................................... 13
1.9 Difference between Matrices and Determinants..................................................................................... 14
Summary...................................................................................................................................................... 15
References.................................................................................................................................................... 15
Recommended Reading.............................................................................................................................. 15
Self Assessment............................................................................................................................................ 16
Chapter II.................................................................................................................................................... 18
Mathematical Logic.................................................................................................................................... 18
Aim............................................................................................................................................................... 18
Objective....................................................................................................................................................... 18
Learning outcome......................................................................................................................................... 18
2.1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................. 19
2.2 Definition................................................................................................................................................ 19
2.2.1 Statement................................................................................................................................ 19
2.2.2 Truth Value.............................................................................................................................. 19
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2.2.3 Truth Table.............................................................................................................................. 19
2.2.4 Compound Statements............................................................................................................ 19
2.3 Statement................................................................................................................................................. 20
2.4 Compound Statement.............................................................................................................................. 20
2.5 Connectives............................................................................................................................................. 21
2.5.1 Negation.................................................................................................................................. 21
2.5.2 Conjunction............................................................................................................................. 22
2.5.3 Disjunction . ........................................................................................................................... 23
2.5.4 Conditional or Implication..................................................................................................... 23
2.5.5 Biconditional or Biimplication............................................................................................... 24
2.5.6 Contrapositive, Converse and Inverse.................................................................................... 25
2.6 Tautology ,Contradiction and Contingency............................................................................................ 25
2.7 Laws of Algebra...................................................................................................................................... 26
2.7.1 Identity Law............................................................................................................................ 26
2.7.2 Commutative Law................................................................................................................... 26
2.7.3 Complement Law.................................................................................................................... 26
2.7.4 Double Negation..................................................................................................................... 26
2.7.5 Associative Law...................................................................................................................... 26
2.7.6 Distributive Law..................................................................................................................... 26
2.7.7 Absorption Law....................................................................................................................... 26
2.7.8 Demorgans Law..................................................................................................................... 26
2.7.9 Equivalance of Contrapositive................................................................................................ 27
2.7.10 Others.................................................................................................................................... 27
Summary...................................................................................................................................................... 28
References.................................................................................................................................................... 28
Recommended Reading.............................................................................................................................. 28
Self Assessment............................................................................................................................................ 29
Chapter III................................................................................................................................................... 31
Set Theory.................................................................................................................................................... 31
Aim............................................................................................................................................................... 31
Objective....................................................................................................................................................... 31
Learning outcome......................................................................................................................................... 31
3.1 Definition of a Set................................................................................................................................... 32
3.2 Standard Sets........................................................................................................................................... 32
3.3 Representation of set............................................................................................................................... 32
3.3.1 Tabular Form/Roaster Method................................................................................................ 32
3.3.2 Rule Method........................................................................................................................... 32
3.3.3 Descriptive Form.................................................................................................................... 32
3.4 Types of Sets........................................................................................................................................... 33
3.4.1 Finite Set................................................................................................................................. 33
3.4.2 Empty or Null Set................................................................................................................... 33
3.4.3 Subset...................................................................................................................................... 33
3.4.3.1 Proper Subset........................................................................................................... 33
3.4.3.2 Improper Subset....................................................................................................... 33
3.4.4 Infinite Set............................................................................................................................... 33
3.4.5 Disjoint Sets............................................................................................................................ 34
3.4.6 Overlapping Sets..................................................................................................................... 34
3.4.7 Universal Set........................................................................................................................... 34
3.4.8 Equal Set................................................................................................................................. 34
3.4.9 Complement Set...................................................................................................................... 34
3.4.10 Equivalent Set....................................................................................................................... 34
3.5 Illustration of Various Sets...................................................................................................................... 35
3.6 Basic Operations on Sets........................................................................................................................ 35
3.6.1 Intersection of Two Sets.......................................................................................................... 35
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3.6.2 Union of Two Sets.................................................................................................................. 35
3.6.3 Relative Complement or Difference of Two Sets................................................................... 35
3.6.4 Complement of a Set............................................................................................................... 36
3.6.5 Symmetric Difference of Two Sets......................................................................................... 36
3.7 Properties of Set...................................................................................................................................... 36
3.7.1 Commutative Law................................................................................................................... 36
3.7.2 Associative Law...................................................................................................................... 36
3.7.3 Distributive Law..................................................................................................................... 37
3.7.4 Identity Law............................................................................................................................ 37
3.7.5 Complement Law.................................................................................................................... 37
3.7.6 Idempotent Law...................................................................................................................... 37
3.7.7 Bound Law.............................................................................................................................. 37
3.7.8 Absorption Law....................................................................................................................... 37
3.7.9 Involution Law........................................................................................................................ 37
3.7.10 De Morgans Law................................................................................................................. 37
3.7.11More Results.......................................................................................................................... 37
Summary...................................................................................................................................................... 40
References.................................................................................................................................................... 40
Recommended Reading.............................................................................................................................. 40
Self Assessment............................................................................................................................................ 41
Chapter IV................................................................................................................................................... 43
Progression.................................................................................................................................................. 43
Aim............................................................................................................................................................... 43
Objective....................................................................................................................................................... 43
Learning outcome......................................................................................................................................... 43
4.1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................. 44
4.2 Arithmetic Progression............................................................................................................................ 44
4.3 Formulae for Arithmetic Progression...................................................................................................... 45
4.3.1 The general form of an AP . ................................................................................................... 45
4.3.2 The nth term
of an AP......................................................................................................... 45
4.3.3 Sum of first n terms ( ) of an AP .......................................................................................... 45
4.4 Arithmetic Mean..................................................................................................................................... 45
4.5 Geometric Progression............................................................................................................................ 45
4.6 Formulae for Geometric Progression...................................................................................................... 46
4.6.1 The general form of a GP........................................................................................................ 46
4.6.2 The nth term Tn of a GP............................................................................................................ 46
4.6.3 The sum of first n terms Sn of a GP........................................................................................ 46
4.7 Geometric Mean...................................................................................................................................... 47
4.8 Harmonic Progression............................................................................................................................. 47
4.9 Formulae for Harmonic Progression....................................................................................................... 48
4.9.1 The General Form of HP......................................................................................................... 48
4.9.2 The nth term (Tn)of a HP........................................................................................................ 48
4.10 Harmonic mean..................................................................................................................................... 48
4.11 Comparison between AP and GP.......................................................................................................... 48
4.12Important Rules on Arithmetic mean(AM),Geometric Mean (GM) and Harmonic Mean(HM).......... 49
Summary...................................................................................................................................................... 51
References.................................................................................................................................................... 51
Recommended Reading.............................................................................................................................. 51
Self Assessment............................................................................................................................................ 52
IV/MITSDE
Chapter V..................................................................................................................................................... 54
Probability................................................................................................................................................... 54
Aim............................................................................................................................................................... 54
Objective....................................................................................................................................................... 54
Learning outcome......................................................................................................................................... 54
5.1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................. 55
5.2 Definitions............................................................................................................................................... 55
5.2.1 Experiment.............................................................................................................................. 55
5.2.2 Deterministic Experiment....................................................................................................... 55
5.2.3 Random Experiment............................................................................................................... 55
5.2.3.1 Examples of Performing a Random Experiment..................................................... 55
5.2.3.2 Details...................................................................................................................... 55
5.2.3.3 Sample Space :......................................................................................................... 55
5.2.4 Elementary Event.................................................................................................................... 55
5.2.5 Impossible Event..................................................................................................................... 55
5.2.6 Events...................................................................................................................................... 56
5.2.7 Mutually Exclusive Event....................................................................................................... 56
5.2.8 Compatibility.......................................................................................................................... 56
5.2.9 Independent Events................................................................................................................. 56
5.2.10 Dependent Events................................................................................................................. 56
5.3 Probability............................................................................................................................................... 56
5.3.1 Probability of Occurrence of an Event................................................................................... 56
5.3.2 Results on Probability............................................................................................................. 56
5.3.3 Binomial Distribution............................................................................................................. 57
5.3.4 Geometric Theorem................................................................................................................ 57
5.4 Conditional Probability........................................................................................................................... 57
5.4.1 Conditional probability of Dependent Events........................................................................ 57
5.4.2 Conditional probability of Independent Events...................................................................... 57
5.5. Multiplication Rule................................................................................................................................ 57
5.5.1 Independent Events................................................................................................................. 57
5.5.2 Dependent Events................................................................................................................... 57
5.6 Steps to Solve Probability....................................................................................................................... 58
5.7 Bayes Theorem....................................................................................................................................... 58
Summary...................................................................................................................................................... 61
References.................................................................................................................................................... 61
Recommended Reading.............................................................................................................................. 61
Self Assessment............................................................................................................................................ 62
Chapter VI................................................................................................................................................... 64
Permutations and Combinations............................................................................................................... 64
Aim............................................................................................................................................................... 64
Objective....................................................................................................................................................... 64
Learning outcome......................................................................................................................................... 64
6.1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................. 65
6.2 Basic Calculation Used........................................................................................................................... 65
6.2.1 Factorial Notation.................................................................................................................. 65
6.3 Fundamental Principles of Counting...................................................................................................... 65
6.3.1 Principle of Addition............................................................................................................... 65
6.3.2 Principle of Multiplication...................................................................................................... 65
6.4 Permutation............................................................................................................................................. 66
6.4.1 Basic Forms of Permutations.................................................................................................. 67
6.4.1.1 All given Objects are Distinct.................................................................................. 67
6.4.1.2 When k cannot be Selected..................................................................................... 67
6.4.1.3 When all the given n objects are not distinct........................................................... 67
6.4.1.4 Circular Permutation ............................................................................................... 67
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6.4.1.5 Repetition is Allowed............................................................................................... 68
6.5 Combination............................................................................................................................................ 68
6.6 Basic Forms of Combination.................................................................................................................. 68
6.6.1All Given Objects are distinct . ............................................................................................... 68
6.6.2 When K objects cannot be selected........................................................................................ 68
6.6.3 When k Objects are always Selected ..................................................................................... 69
6.6.4 Distribution of Objects into two Groups................................................................................. 69
6.6.5 Distribution of Similar Objects............................................................................................... 69
6.6.6 Total possible Combination of n Distinct Objects ................................................................. 69
6.6.7 When All are not Distinct Objects.......................................................................................... 70
6.6.8 When all are Distinct but of Different Kind........................................................................... 70
6.7 Special Case(Permutation and Combination Simultaneously)............................................................... 70
6.8 Basic Manipulation on Permutation and Combinations......................................................................... 70
Summary...................................................................................................................................................... 73
References.................................................................................................................................................... 73
Recommended Reading.............................................................................................................................. 73
Self Assessment............................................................................................................................................ 74
Chapter VII . ............................................................................................................................................... 76
Interpolation................................................................................................................................................ 76
Aim............................................................................................................................................................... 76
Objectives..................................................................................................................................................... 76
Learning outcome......................................................................................................................................... 76
7.1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................. 77
7.2 Definition of Interpolation...................................................................................................................... 77
7.3 Application . ............................................................................................................................................ 77
7.4 Need and Importance of Interpolation.................................................................................................... 77
7.5 Methods of Interpolation......................................................................................................................... 78
7.5.1 Graphical Method................................................................................................................... 78
7.5.2 Newtons method of advancing differences............................................................................ 78
7.5.3 Lagranges Method................................................................................................................. 78
7.5.4 Newton-Gauss Forward Method............................................................................................. 78
7.5.5 Newton-Gauss Backward Method.......................................................................................... 79
Summary...................................................................................................................................................... 80
References.................................................................................................................................................... 80
Recommended Reading.............................................................................................................................. 80
Self Assessment............................................................................................................................................ 81
Chapter VIII................................................................................................................................................ 83
Consumer Arithmetic................................................................................................................................. 83
Aim............................................................................................................................................................... 83
Objectives..................................................................................................................................................... 83
Learning outcome......................................................................................................................................... 83
8.1 Introduction: Profit and Loss.................................................................................................................. 84
8.1.1 Formulae................................................................................................................................. 84
8.2 Interest..................................................................................................................................................... 85
8.2.1 Terms Used............................................................................................................................. 85
8.2.2 Simple Interest........................................................................................................................ 85
8.2.2.1 Formulae.................................................................................................................. 85
8.2.3 Recurring Deposit................................................................................................................... 86
8.2.3.1 Formulae.................................................................................................................. 86
8.2.4 Compound Interest.................................................................................................................. 86
8.2.4.1 Formulae.................................................................................................................. 86
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Summary...................................................................................................................................................... 89
References.................................................................................................................................................... 89
Recommended Reading.............................................................................................................................. 89
Self Assessment . ......................................................................................................................................... 90
Chapter IX................................................................................................................................................... 92
Relations and Functions............................................................................................................................. 92
Aim............................................................................................................................................................... 92
Objectives..................................................................................................................................................... 92
Learning outcome......................................................................................................................................... 92
9.1 Relation................................................................................................................................................... 93
9.2 Domain and Range of a Relation............................................................................................................ 93
9.3 Functions................................................................................................................................................. 93
9.3.1 Range, image, co-domain....................................................................................................... 94
9.4 Break Even Analysis............................................................................................................................... 94
Summary...................................................................................................................................................... 95
References.................................................................................................................................................... 95
Recommended Reading.............................................................................................................................. 95
Self Assessment............................................................................................................................................ 96
Chapter X ................................................................................................................................................... 98
Statistics....................................................................................................................................................... 98
Aim............................................................................................................................................................... 98
Objectives..................................................................................................................................................... 98
Learning outcome......................................................................................................................................... 98
10.1 Introduction........................................................................................................................................... 99
10.2 Definition of Statistics.......................................................................................................................... 99
10.3 Scope and Applications of Statistics..................................................................................................... 99
10.4 Characteristics of Statistics................................................................................................................... 99
10.5 Functions of Statistics......................................................................................................................... 100
10.6 Limitations of Statistics...................................................................................................................... 100
10.7 Classification....................................................................................................................................... 100
10.8 Objectives of Classification................................................................................................................ 100
10.9 Characteristics of Classification......................................................................................................... 100
10.10 Frequency Distribution..................................................................................................................... 101
10.10.1 Discrete or Ungrouped Frequency Distribution................................................................ 101
10.10.2 Continuous or Grouped Frequency Distribution.............................................................. 101
10.10.3 Cumulative Frequency Distribution.................................................................................. 101
Summary.................................................................................................................................................... 102
References.................................................................................................................................................. 102
Recommended Reading............................................................................................................................ 102
Self Assessment.......................................................................................................................................... 103
VII/MITSDE
List of Tables
Table 1.1 Differences between matrices and determinants........................................................................... 14
Table 2.1 Symbols of connectives................................................................................................................ 21
Table 2.2 Truth Table of Negation................................................................................................................ 22
Table 2.3 Truth table of conjunction............................................................................................................. 22
Table 2.4 Truth table for disjunction............................................................................................................. 23
Table 2.5 Truth table for implication............................................................................................................ 24
Table 2.6 Truth table of biimplication........................................................................................................... 24
Table 2.7 P P is a tautology..................................................................................................................... 25
Table 2.8 contradiction.................................................................................................................................. 25
Table 2.9 contingency................................................................................................................................... 25
Table 4.1 Comparison between AP and GP.................................................................................................. 48
VIII/MITSDE
Chapter I
Matrices and Determinants
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
Objectives
The objective of this chapter is to:
Learning Outcome
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to:
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Quantitative Methods
1.1 Introduction
The study of matrices and determinants is of immense significance in the field of business and economics. This
lesson introduces the matrix, the rectangular array and determinants at the heart of matrix algebra. Matrix algebra
is used quite a bit in advanced statistics, largely because it provides two benefits.
Efficient methods for manipulating sets of data and solving sets of equations.
1.2 Matrix
1.2.1 Matrix definition
A matrix is a rectangular array of numbers arranged in rows and columns. It is a collection of real or complex
numbers (usually real) arranged in a fixed number of rows and columns. It is arranged in a rectangular brackets
(either ( ) or [ ]).A set of real or complex numbers arranged in a rectangular array of m rows and n columns, of
an order m x n (read as m by n) is called a matrix. The dimension or order of matrix is written as number of rows
x number of columns.
A=
Example: A=
The topmost row is row 1.The leftmost column is column 1.
Here, the number of rows (m) is 2 and the number of columns (n) is 3.
So the matrix is of order 2 x 3 (2 by 3 matrix).
Matrices are used to solve problem in:
Electronics
Statics
Robotics
Linear programming
Optimisation
Intersection of planes
Genetics
Matrix elements: Consider the matrix below, in which matrix elements are represented entirely by symbols.
A=
By convention the first subscript refers to the row number and the second subscript refers to the column number
.Thus the first element in the first row is represented by
,the second element in the first row, by
and so
on, until we reach the fourth element in second row which is represented by
.
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Notation: The simplest way to represent a matrix symbolically is to use bold face letters A,B ,C etcThus A
might refer to a 2 x 3 matrix in the below example
A=
Another approach of representing matrix A is:
A= [
This notation indicates A is a matrix with two rows and four columns. The actual element of the array are not
displayed they are represented by the symbol
.
1.2.3 Matrix Equality
To understand matrix algebra, we need to understand matrix equality. Two matrices are equal if all three of the
following conditions are met:
Quantitative Methods
Example
A=
A=
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B=
Both matrices have the same number of rows and columns (2 rows and 3 columns), so they can be added. Thus,
A+B =
A+B=
And finally, note that the order in which the matrices are added does not affect the final result.A+B=B+A.
1.4.1.1 Properties of Matrix Addition
The properties of addition of matrices are as follows:
Existence of additive identity element, if a matrix is added with null matrix of the same dimension then, it results
in the same matrix, so the additive identity of a matrix is null matrix
A+0=0+A=A
Existence of additive inverse, if a matrix is added by inverse of A matrix, then the result is a null matrix, so the
additive inverse of a matrix is the inverse of the matrix itself matrix
A+ (-A) = (-A) +A= 0
B=
Both matrices have the same number of rows and columns (3 rows and 2 columns), so they can be subtracted.
Thus,
A-B=
A-B=
And finally, note that the order in which the matrices are subtracted affects the final result. A-B B-A.
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Quantitative Methods
= B (say)
In the example above, every element of A is multiplied by 5 to produce the scalar multiple, B.
1.4.3.2 Multiplication of a Matrix by another Matrix
The matrix product AB is defined only when the number of columns in A is equal to the number of rows in B .Similarly,
the matrix product BA is defined only when the number of columns in B is equal to number of rows in A.
Suppose that A is an i x j matrix and B is a j x k matrix. Then, the matrix product AB results in a matrix C which
has i rows and k columns; and each element in C can be computed according to the following formula.
=
Where,
= the element in row i and column k in matrix C
= the element in row i and column j in matrix A
= the element in row j and column k in matrix B
= summation sign, which indicates that the
B=
Let AB = C.Because A has 2 rows, we know that C will also have 2 rows; and because B has 2 columns, we know
that C will have 2 columns. To compute the value of every element in 2 x 2 matrix C, we use the formula
=
, such that
=
= 0 * 6 + 1 * 8 + 2 * 1 = 0+8+2 = 10
= 0 * 7 + 1 * 9 + 2 * 2 = 0+9+4 = 13
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= 3 * 6 + 4 * 8 + 5 * 1 = 18+32+5 = 55
= 3 * 7 + 4 * 9 + 5 * 2 = 21+36+10 = 67
Therefore AB= C =
1.4.3.3 Properties of Multiplication of Matrices
The properties of multiplication of matrices are as follows:
Commutative property is not true ;that is ,even when matrix multiplication is possible in both direction the
results may be different ,that is AB is not always equal to BA
Existence of multiplicative identity element, if a matrix is multiplied with identity matrix of the same dimension
then, it results in the same matrix, so the multiplicative identity of a matrix is identity matrix
AI=IA=A
Existence of multiplicative inverse, if a matrix is multiplied by the inverse of it, then the result is a identity
matrix, so the multiplicative inverse of a matrix is its inverse matrix (inverse of a matrix is discussed in 1.6)
A*
*A=I
1.5 Determinants
A determinant is a square array of numbers (written within a pair of vertical lines) which represents a certain sum
of products.
example of a 2 x 2 determinant:
A=
=4*3-2*1
= 12 2
=10 (answer)
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Quantitative Methods
for 3 x 3 matrix
The cofactors are formed from the elements that are not in the same row and not in the same column as
Thus the elements in grey are not in the row and column of
Similarly for
, so
is the cofactor of
, the cofactor is
And for
, the cofactor is
(5)
+4
= -2[(-1) (2)-(-8) (4)] 5 [(2) (3) (-8) (-1)] + 4 [(3) (4)-(-1) (-1)]
= -2(30)-5(-2) +4(11)
=-60+10+44
= -6
Here we are using first column to expand it, even if we use first row to expand, it gives the same result.
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A=I
then
How to find the determinant value of 2 x 2 matrix and 3 x 3 matrix are discussed above in 1.5.1 and 1.5.2
respectively.
Example:
Find the inverse of the 2 x 2 matrix B =
|B| = 4 (Refer 1.5.1)
=
Find the determinant of the cofactors of each element in the transpose matrix.
adj (A)
Example
Find the inverse of A=
Step 1:
Find determinant of the 3 x 3 matrix (refer 1.5.2)
det (A) = 1(0-24)-2(0-20)+3(0-5)
det (A)=1
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Quantitative Methods
Step 2:
Find the transpose of the matrix
=
Step 3:
Find the determinant of the cofactor of each element in the transpose matrix.
=
= -24
= -18
=5
= -20
= -15
=4
= -5
= -4
=1
Step 4:
Represents these values as a matrix of the cofactors
Step 5:
Find the adjoint of the matrix
adj (A)=
Step 6:
Substitute the values in
=
=
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adj (A)
Therefore
Step 7:
Verification A
=I
=
If a matrix is multiplied with its inverse, then the result should be the identity matrix of same dimension
y=
----------- (1)
x+
y=
----------- (2)
and y =
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Quantitative Methods
Example
Solve the system using Cramers rule.
x-3y=6
2x+3y=3
Solution:
Here
= 1;
So, x=
= -3;
=
y=
= 2;
=
= 3;
= 6;
= 3;
=3
= -1
y+ z =
----------- (2)
x+
y+ z =
----------- (3)
Step 2:
Solve the determinant replacing constants instead of coefficient of variable x and it is represented by
=
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Step 3:
Solve the determinant replacing constants instead of coefficient of variable y and it is represented by
=
Step 4:
Solve the determinant replacing constants instead of coefficient of variable z and it is represented by
=
Step 5:
Obtain solution as x=
;y=
;z=
Example
Solve the system using Cramers rule.
2x+3y+z=2
-x+2y+3z=1
-3x-3y+z=0
Solution:
Here
= 2;
= 3;
= 1;
= -1;
= 2;
= 3;
= -3;
=-3;
= 1 and
=2;
= 1;
=0
= 2(11) +1(6)-3(7) = 7
So, x=
= 28 / 7=4
y=
= - 21/ 7 = -3
z=
= 21/ 7 = 3
The value of determinant remains unchanged if its rows and columns are interchanged
If any two rows/columns change by minus sign only ,then also the value of determinant remains unchanged
If any two rows/columns of a determinant are identical, then the value of determinant is zero
If each element of a row/column of a determinant is multiplied by a same constant and then added to corresponding
elements of some other row/column, then the value of determinant remains unchanged.
If each element of a row/column of a determinant is zero, then the value of the determinant is zero.
13/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Matrices
Determinants
Definition
A matrix is an array of
numbers arranged in
rectangular brackets.
Representation
It is written inside
brackets either ( ) or [ ].
Value/Result
It results in an array of
number inside brackets.
Influence
Scalar multiplication
affects all the elements in
a matrix.
Value
Nature
14/MITSDE
Summary
A set of real or complex numbers arranged in a rectangular array of m rows and n columns, of an order m x
n (read as m by n) is called a matrix.
Commutative property, Associative property, Distributive property is true for matrix addition.
The matrix product AB is defined only when the number of columns in A is equal to the number of rows in B.
There exists additive identity, multiplicative identity, additive inverse and multiplicative inverse for a matrix.
References
Dr. Kala, V. N. & Rana, R., 2009. Matrices, 1st ed., Laxmi Publication ltd.
Jain, T. R. & Aggarwal, S. C., 2010. Business Mathematics and Statistics, V.K Enterprises.
Matrices and determinants, [pdf] Available at: < http://www.kkuniyuk.com/M1410801Part1.pdf > [Accessed
31 August 2012].
Gunawarden, J., Matrix algebras for beginning, [Online] Available at: < http://vcp.med.harvard.edu/papers/
matrices-1.pdf > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
2011, Matrices, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9tFhs-D47Ik > [Accessed
31 August 2012].
Hurst, W., Matrices & determinants, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=havrW8IwKs > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Recommended Reading
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Quantitative Methods
Self Assessment
1. If matrix A=
a. 3
and aij is the element of matrix A in ith row and jth column, then what is the value of a21?
b. 4
c. 2
d. 5
2. It is given that P=
a. 3
and Q =
b. 5
c. 6
d. 8
3. A _______ is a rectangular array of numbers arranged in rows and columns.
a. Determinant
b. Matrix
c. Array
d. Transpose
4. Two matrices can be added only if they have __________.
a. same dimensions
b. different dimensions
c. plus sign
d. minus sign
5. When a matrix is multiplied by a number, then the process is called as _________.
a. matrix multiplication
b. scalar multiplication
c. square multiplication
d. rectangular multiplication
6. What type of matrix is A=
a. square
b. diagonal
c. null
d. identity
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and B=
a.
b.
c.
d.
8. If A =
a.
b.
c.
d.
9. What is the value of determinant
a. 6
b. 8
c. 7
d. 10
10. A _________ is a square array of numbers.
a. matrix
b. determinant
c. array
d. transpose
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Quantitative Methods
Chapter II
Mathematical Logic
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
Objective
The objectives of this chapter are to:
Learning outcome
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to:
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2.1 Introduction
Mathematical Logic is a tool for providing a precise meaning to mathematical statements.
It includes:
2.2 Definition
The part of mathematics concerned with the study of formal languages, formal reasoning, the nature of
mathematical proof, provability of mathematical statements, computability, and other aspects of the foundations
of mathematics.
2.2.1 Statement
A statement is a declarative sentence which is either true or false but not both.
2.2.2 Truth Value
The truth value of a proposition is true (T) if it is of true proposition and false (F) if it is false proposition.
Example
P: The year 1973 was a leap year is a proposition readily decidable as false.
Note that the use of label P so that the overall statement is read p is the statement:The year 1973 was a leap
year.
So we use P, Q, R, S, T to represent statements and these letters are called as statement variables, that is, variable
replaced by statements.
Example
Determine whether the following sentences are statements are not.If it is a statement, determine its truth value.
The sun rises in west. False
128= 26 False
Is 2 an integer? Not a statement as it is interrogative Take the book not a statement
2.2.3 Truth Table
A table that gives the truth value of the compound statement in terms of its component part is called a truth table.
2.2.4 Compound Statements
A compound statement is a combination of two or more statements.
Example
Today is Friday and it is a holiday
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Quantitative Methods
2.3 Statement
A statement is an assertion that can be determined to be True or False. A statement/simple statement or proposition
is a declarative sentence that is either True or False but not both. A simple statement is the basic building block of
the logic.
Those declarative statements will be admitted in the object language which have one and only one of two
possible values called Truth Value
The two truth values are true and false, which are denoted by T and F respectively
We do not use other kind of statements in object language such as exclamatory and interrogative
The first type includes those sentences which are considered to be primitive in the object language
This will be denoted by distinct symbols selected from uppercase letters A, B... P, Q...
Second type are obtained from the primitive ones by using certain symbols called connectives and certain
punctuation marks such as parentheses to join primitive sentences
In any case, all declarative sentences to which it is possible to assign one and only of the two possible truth values
are called statements.
The following are the statements which do not contain any connectives, these kinds of statements are called as
atomic or primary primitive statement.
1. Canada is a country
2. Moscow is the capital of spain
3. This statement is false
4. 1+101=110
5. Close the door
6. Toronto is an old city
7. Man will reach mars by 2080
The statements are discussed below
Sentence 3 is not a statement according to the definition, because we cannot assign to it a definite truth value
If we assign a value true then the statement 3 is false, if assigned false then the statement 3 is true
Sentence 4 is a statement; if the numbers are considered as decimal system then the statement is false. If it is
considered as binary number system, then the statement is true. So the statement 4 is true.
Statement 6 is considered true in some part of the world and false in certain other parts of the world
The statement 7 could not be determined ,it will be determined only in the year or earlier when man reaches
mars before that date
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Example
A dog or a car is an animal
A dog is not an animal
5<3
If the earth is flat, then 3+4 =7
2.5 Connectives
In case of simple statements, their truth values are fairly obvious. It is possible to construct rather complicated
statements from simpler statements by using certain connecting words or expressions known as sentential
connectives. The statements which we initially consider are simple statements, called atomic or primary statements.
New statement can be formed from atomic statements through the use of sentential connectives. The resulting
statement is called molecular or compound statements. Thus the atomic statements are those which do not have any
connectives. Capital letters are used to denote statements.
The capital letters with or without subscripts, will also be used to denote arbitrary statements. In the sense, a statement
P either denotes a particular statement or serves as a place holder for any statement .This dual use of the symbol
to denote either a definite statement, called a constant, or an arbitrary statement called a variable.
The truth value of P is the truth table of actual statement which it represents.
It should be emphasises that when P is used as a statement variable, it has no truth value and such does not
represent a statement in symbolic logic.
Most mathematical statements are combinations of simpler statement formed through some choice of the words
not,and,or,if ...then and if and only if. These are called logical connectives or simply connectives and
are denoted by the following symbols:
Connective
Symbol
Formal name
Not
or
Negation
And
Conjunction
Or
Disjunction
If...then
Conditional
If and only if
Biconditional
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Quantitative Methods
PQ
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P Q
Quantitative Methods
Or
Q if P
Or
Q whenever P.
In the implication P Q,P is called the hypothesis and Q is called the conclusion. The truth table of P Q is
given below.
Definition
If P and Q are statements,the statemenif P then Q or P implies Q,denoted PQ is called the conditional
statement,or implication.
P
PQ
PQ
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P P
P P
PQ
(P Q) V R
Quantitative Methods
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Quantitative Methods
Summary
A statement is a declarative sentence which is either true or false but not both.
The truth value of a proposition is true (T) if it is of true proposition and false (F) if it is false proposition.
A table that gives the truth value of the compound statement in terms of its component part is called a truth
table.
All declarative sentences to which it is possible to assign one and only of the two possible truth values are
called statements.
It is possible to construct rather complicated statements from simpler statements by using certain connecting
words or expressions known as sentential connectives.
The negation statement is generally formed by introducing the word not at a proper place in statement with
the phrase It is not the case that and read as not P.
Let P and Q be two statements. Then If P, then Q is the statement called an Implication or conditional statement,
written P Q.
References
Fulda, J. S., 1993. Exclusive Disjunction and the Bi-conditional: An Even-Odd Relationship, Mathematics
Magazine.
Bartlett, A., Simple Mathematical Logic, [Video Online] Available at: <http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlSfS5jU_g > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Dr. Kirthivasan, K., Propositional Logic, [Video Online] Available at: <http://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=xlUFkMKSB3Y > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Lifschitz, V., Lecture notes on mathematical logic, [pdf] Available at: <http://www.cs.utexas.edu/~vl/
teaching/388Lnotes.pdf > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Recommended Reading
Dean McCullough, P., 1971. Logical Connectives for Intuitionist Propositional Logic, Journal of Symbolic
Logic.
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Self Assessment:
1. Canada is a country .what kind of statement is it?
a. Primitive statement
b. Compound statement
c. Elementary statement
d. Primary statement
2. A dog or a car is an animal. What kind of statement it is?
a. Primitive statement
b. Compound statement
c. Elementary statement
d. Primary statement
3. What is the symbol for negation?
a.
b.
c.
d.
4. What is the symbol for conjunction?
a.
b.
c.
d.
5. What is the symbol for disjunction?
a.
b.
c.
d.
6. What is the symbol for implication?
a.
b.
c.
d.
7. If P is true and Q is False what is the value of P Q?
a. T
b. F
c. Invalid
d. no value
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Quantitative Methods
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Chapter III
Set Theory
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
define a set
Objective
The objectives of this chapter are to:
Learning outcome
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to:
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Quantitative Methods
Example
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Example:
Let A = {1, 2, 3}
Then { }, {1}, {2}, {3},{1,2},{1,3},{2,3}.{1,2,3} are the subsets of the set A={1,2,3}.
3.4.3.1 Proper Subset
Set G is a proper subset of H, symbolised by G H, if and only if all the elements of set G is elements of set H
and set G set H.
That is set H must contain at least one element not in set G.
Example
Consider above example, {},{1},{2},{3},{1,2},{1,3},{2,3} are the proper subset of A={1,2,3}.
3.4.3.2 Improper Subset
Set S is an improper subset of T, symbolised by S T , if and only if all the elements of set S are the elements of
set T and set S = set T.
Example
In the above example {1,2,3} is an improper subset of set A={1,2,3}
3.4.4 Infinite Set
Neither an empty set nor a finite set is called an infinite set. Such set will contain infinitely many elements.
Example
N= {1, 2, 3...}
Z= {...-3,-2,-1, 0,1,2,3...}
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Quantitative Methods
set A and B are disjoint sets as they no elements of A is present in B and vice versa.
set A and C are overlapping sets as both contains the element a, e, i in common.
set B and C are also overlapping set as both contain the element b, c, d, f, g, h, j in common.
set of all alphabets of English is the universal set for A, B, C. U= {a, b, c, d... z}
set A is a complement of set B as it contains elements not contained in set A and union of set A and set B will
give the Universal set U.
Quantitative Methods
Example
A= {1, 2, 3, 4, 5}
B= {4, 5, 6, 7, 8}
Then, A B = { 1,2,3} Though 4,5 belongs to A it also belongs to B so that is not included .
3.6.4 Complement of a Set
Complement set is the set that contains elements not belonging to A but belonging to the universal set. In notation
form, we can define the complement of a set as A = {x: x A, x U}.
Example
Given U= { 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10}
A= {1, 2, 3}
Therefore A = {4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10}
3.6.5 Symmetric Difference of Two Sets
The symmetric difference of two sets is the union of both the relative complements.
A B = (A B) (B A)
It can also be expressed as relative complement of union of the two sets and intersection of the two sets.
A B = (A B) (A B)
Example
Given A = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5}
B= {4, 5, 6, 7, 8}
Solution 1:
A B = (A B) (B A)
A B = {1, 2, 3}
B A = {6, 7, 8}
So, A B = {1, 2, 3} {6, 7, 8}
Therefore A B = {1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8}
Solution 2:
A B = (A B) (A B)
A B = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8}
A B = {4, 5}
A B = {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8} - { 4,5}
Therefore A B = {1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8}
The complement of the intersection of two sets is equal to the union of their complements.
(A B) = A B
A - (B C) = (A B) (A C)
A (B C) = (A - B) (A C)
3.7.11More Results
n (A B) = n (A) + n (B) n (A B)
n(A B C) = n(A) +n(B) +n(C)- n( A B)-n(B C) n(A C) + n( ABC)
Solved Examples
Example 1
If A= {1,2,3,4} , B= {2,4,6,8} ,C= {3,4,5,6,8}, U ={1,2,3,4,5,...,10}
Find A, B C, A C
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Quantitative Methods
Solution:
A = {5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10}
B C = {2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8}
A C = {3, 4}
Example 2
If A= {1,2,3,4} , B= {2,4,6,8} ,C= {3,4,5,6,8}, U ={1,2,3,4,5,...,10}
Find A B, B C, (A B)
Solution:
A B= {1, 3}
B C= {2}
A B = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8}
(A B)= {7, 9, 10}
Example 3
Solution:
LHS: (A B)
A B = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 10}
(A B) = {7, 9} --------- (1)
RHS: A B
A = {1, 2, 5, 7, 8, 9}
B = {3, 7, 9, 10}
A B = {7, 9} --------- (2)
From (1) and (2), it is clear (A B) = A B
1. (A B) = A B
Solution:
LHS = (A B)
A B = {4, 6}
(A B) = {1,2,3,5,7,8,9,10}-----------(1)
Now, A = {1, 2, 5, 7, 8, 9}
B = {3, 7, 9, 10}
Therefore, A B = {1,2,3,5,7,8,9,10}-------(2)
From (1) and (2) it is clear that (A B)= A B
Hence Verified.
Example 4
If A= {-8,-7,-5, 1, 2, 4}
B= {-7, 1, 3, 4, 5, 6}
C= {-8,-5, 2, 4, 6, 7}
Verify A- (B C) = (A B) (A C)
Solution:
LHS: A (B C)
B C = {-7, 1, 3, 4, 5, 6,-8,-5, 2, 7}
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Quantitative Methods
Summary
The objects which form the set are called the elements or members of the set.
In the tabular form, all elements of the set are enumerated or listed.
Set P is a subset of a set Q, symbolised by P Q, if and only if all the elements of set P are also the element of
set Q.
Two sets are said to be disjoint sets if they do not have any common elements.
Two sets are said to be overlapping sets, if they have some common elements.
A universal set is the set that contains the element of all the sets under consideration.
Two sets are said to be equal if they contain the same elements.
The intersection of two sets is the set of elements common to both the given sets.
The union of the two sets is the set containing the elements belonging to A and also the elements belonging to
B.
A B = (A B) (B A)
Demorgans Law(A B) = A B
References
Akekar, R., 2008.Discrete Mathematics: Set theory, 2nd ed., Dorling Kindersley Publication India.
T. Veeraranjan, 2008. Discrete Mathematics with graph theory and Combinatorics: Set theory, 7th ed., McGrawHill Publication.
Lipchutz, S., 1998.Set Theory and related topics, 2nd ed., McGraw-Hill Publication.
2011, Arithmetic & Geometric progressions, [Video Online] Available t: < http://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=ze0hNuxJaVE > [Accessed31 August 2012].
Lee, D., Arithmetic Progression, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kGh9BtUOVU > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Recommended Reading
Waters, D., 2006. Quantitative Methods for business, Set Theory, 4th ed., Prentice Hall Publication.
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Self Assessment
1. A ____ is a collection of well defined object enclosed within curly brackets.
a. Set
b. Subset
c. Object
d. Element
2. A set which contains no elements is called _____ set.
a. equal
b. equivalent
c. empty
d. finite
3. Two sets are said to be __________ if they do not have any common elements.
a. disjoint sets
b. overlapping sets
c. intersection sets
d. equal sets
4. Two sets are said to be ______ if number of elements in one set is equal to the number of elements in the other
set.
a. disjoint set
b. equivalent set
c. overlapping set
d. intersection set
5. If A = {1,2,3,4,5} and B={4,5,6,7,8} ,what is A B ?
a. {4,5}
b. {6,7,8}
c. {1,2,3}
d. {1,2,3,4,5}
6. Is P= {1, 3, 6} Q= {6, 1, 3} an equal set?
a. True
b. False
7. Is A= {1, 2, 3, 4} and B= {a, b, c, d} an equivalent set?
a. True
b. False
8. If A= {1,2,3,4} and U ={1,2,3,4,5,...,10},What is the value of A?
a. {1,2,3,4,5}
b. {4,5,6,7}
c. {7,8,9,10}
d. {5,6,7,8,9,10}
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Chapter IV
Progression
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
Objective
The objectives of this chapter are to:
elucidate progression
Learning outcome
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to:
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Quantitative Methods
4.1 Introduction
Progression is a pattern of numbers wherein a quantity increases or decreases progressively by fixed amount. In
other words, consecutive term in the series increase or decrease by a fixed number. A succession of numbers formed
and arranged in a definite order according to certain definite rule, is called a progression.
3,5,7,9,11,13,15
4,8,12,16,20,24
1, 4, 7,10,13,16
-10,-6,-2, 2,6,10
Above we notice that the numbers in each of the list are different but there is a pattern that helps us determine the
next so let us identify the patterns in the above list
every successive number in the list is formed by adding the same fixed number to the previous number
The sequence of the next number is very important and we cannot change the sequence as it will destroy the
pattern
While finding the common difference we must subtract the nth term from (n+1)th term even if it is smaller
44/MITSDE
of an AP
of an AP is given by
= a + (n-1) d
4.3.3 Sum of first n terms (
The Sum of first n terms (
Or
(a + l) =
) of an AP
) of an AP is usually denoted by
and is given by
(a1+ an)
(2a+ (n-1) d)
Where,
a is the first term of AP
d is the common difference
l is the last term
an is the nth term
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Quantitative Methods
1,3,9,27,81,243,729
Above we notice that the numbers in each of the lists are different but there is a pattern that helps us determine the
next term so let us identify the patterns in the above lists
leaving the first number each successive number is obtained by multiplying by or dividing by 2
leaving the first number each successive number is obtained by multiplying by -1/3 or dividing by -3
every successive number in the list is formed by multiplying or dividing with the same fixed number to the
previous number
Therefore, to generalize what we have
Let
a be any starting term
r be the common multiple between two successive terms
Then, a, ar, (ar) r, ((ar) r) r
Therefore a, ar, ar2, ar3 are the successive terms of a geometric progression.
The points to remember
the sequence of the next number is very important and we cannot change the sequence as it will destroy the
pattern
while finding the common multiple by dividing (n+1)th term even if it smaller
for r>1
Sn =
for r<1
Sn =
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Where
a is the first term of AP
r is the common ratio or multiple
l is the last term
an is the nth term.
3, 3/2, 1...
Above we notice that the inverse of the given numbers in each of the lists are different but there is a pattern which
is an AP.Let us find the common difference
leaving the first number each successive number is obtained by adding -1/60
leaving the first number each successive number is obtained by adding 1/3
leaving the first number each successive number is obtained by adding 1/20
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Quantitative Methods
the sequence of the next number is very important and we cannot change the sequence as it will destroy the
pattern
while finding the common difference we must subtract the nth term from (n+1) th term even if it is smaller
Arithmetic Progression
Geometric Progression
Principal Characteristic
Common Difference(d)
Common Ratio(r)
nth term
Tn=a+(n-1)d
Tn = a r (n-1)
Mean
A= (a+b)/2
G=(ab)1/2
Sn=n/2[2a+(n-1)d]=n/2[a+l]
Sn=a(1-rn)/(1-r)
m th mean
a+[m(b-a)/(n+1)]
A(b/a) m/(n+1)
AM GM HM
GM =
(AM x HM)
Solved Examples
Example 1
Find the sum of the series 5/2,4,11/2,7,.upto 21 terms
Solution:
d=4-5/2 = 3/2; n=21; a=5/2 (from the data given)
Sn = [21/2] x [2 x (5/2) +20 x (3/2)]
= [21/2] x [5+30]
= 735/2
=367.50
Example 2
Find the 74th term of the series 3, 7, 11, 15
Solution:
a=3; d=7-3=4; n= 74
Tn = a + (n-1) d
T74 = 3+73 x 4 =3 + 292=295
Example 3
Find the total earning over 6 years for a person whose salary is Rs.30000 p.a and increases by 1500 p.a, every six
months.
Solution:
For each six months he earns half his annual salary
Therefore, a =30000/2=15000
To find the sum of 12 terms
d=750
S12 =12/2[2 x (15000) +11 x 750] = 6 [30000+8250]
= Rs.229500
Example 4
Find the sum of first 6 terms of the series 3, 9, 27, 81 .
n=6; r= 27/9 =3; a=3
Sn = 3(1-36 ) / (1-3) =1092
For an infinite series, S (if |r| 1)
S = a/ (1-r) (if |r| 1)
Example 5
Find the sum of the infinite series 1, 0.5, 0.25
Solution:
r=0.5 since -1 0.5 1 S =a/ (1-r)
S= 1/ (1 - 0.5) =1/0.5 = 2
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Example 6
Find the 10th term of the series 4, 16,64,256,1024
Solution:
The given series is in geometric progression where a=4 and r=4
To find T10
T10= a r (10-1) =4 x 49= 410
Example 7
The sum of n terms of the series 2, 5, 8 is 950 find n
Solution:
Given Sn = 950; a=2 and d=5-2=3
Therefore Sn = a + (n-1) d
950 = 2 + (n-1) 3
950-2 = (n-1) 3
948= (n-1) 3
n-1 = 948/3
n-1 = 316
n=316+1=317
Therefore the value of n is 317.
Example 8
Sum of a GP whose common ratio is 3 is 728.The last term is 486.Find the first term.
Solution: Sum= Sn =728; r= 3; l=486
Let the first term be a and number of terms be n
By the formula,
Tn=a rn-1
486 = a 3 n-1
Therefore,3n /3 =486/a
Which implies 3n=1458/a
Also the sum of n terms = Sn=a (3n-1)/ (3-1) =728
Substituting the value of (3n) in the above equation
From above equation we get, a [1458/a-1] =1456
Therefore, a [1458 a] = 1456.a
a2=2.a
Which implies a=2
Example 9
Find the geometric mean between the terms 4 and 25
Solution:
The geometric mean G = (4* 25)1/2
=100
=10
Thus 4, 10 and 25 are in GP
50/MITSDE
Summary
Progression is a pattern of numbers wherein a quantity increases or decreases progressively by fixed amount.
A succession of numbers formed and arranged in a definite order according to certain definite rule, is called a
progression.
If quantities increase or decrease by common difference, then they are said to be in arithmetical progression
(AP).
of an AP is given by
= a + (n-1) d
) of an AP is usually denoted by
and is given by
(2a+ (n-1) d)
Tn = a(r) n-1
References
Guy, R. K., 1994. Unsolved Problems in Number Theory, 2nd ed., Springer-Verlag.
Hardy, G. H. and Wright, E. M., 1979. An Introduction to the Theory of Numbers, 5th ed., Oxford Univ. Press,
New York.
Prof. Chakraborthy, Introduction to the theory of Probability, [Video Online] Available at: <http://www.youtube.
com/watch?v=r1sLCDA-kNY> [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Recommended Reading
Waters, D., 2006. Quantitative Methods for business, Progression, 4th ed., Prentice Hall Publication.
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Self Assessment
1. ________ is a pattern of numbers wherein a quantity increases or decreases progressively by fixed amount.
a. Progression
b. Mean
c. Geometric
d. Arithmetic
2. A succession of numbers formed and arranged in a definite order according to certain definite rule, is called a
_______ .
a. mean
b. arithmetic
c. geometric
d. progression
3. If quantities increase or decrease by common difference, then they are said to be in ________ progression.
a. geometric
b. arithmetic
c. harmonic
d. mean
4. The following series is in which progression? Series: 4,8,12,16,20,24
a. geometric
b. arithmetic
c. harmonic
d. mean
5. The following series is in which progression? Series: 3,-6, 12,-24, 48,-96, 192
a. geometric
b. arithmetic
c. harmonic
d. mean
6. The following series is in which progression? Series: 1/10, 3/20, 1/5, 1/4
if AM is 10, 20/3, 5, 4...
a. geometric
b. arithmetic
c. harmonic
d. mean
7. What is the sum of the series 5/2,4,11/2,7,.upto 21 terms?
a. 350
b. 360
c. 357.60
d. 367.60
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Quantitative Methods
Chapter V
Probability
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
define probability
Objective
The objective of this chapter is to:
Learning outcome
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to
54/MITSDE
5.1 Introduction
Probability is the method to determine the chance of happening of a particular event in a random experiment.
Example: probability of a good monsoon.
5.2 Definitions
5.2.1 Experiment
An operation which can produce some well defined outcomes is called an experiment.
5.2.2 Deterministic Experiment
Deterministic experiment is the one which gives a certain definite result. example: acid is added to a base.
5.2.3 Random Experiment
Random experiment is the one which gives one or more results under identical conditions. An experiment in which all
possible outcomes are known and the exact output cannot be predicted in advance is called a random experiment.
5.2.3.1 Examples of Performing a Random Experiment
picking up a ball of certain colour from a bag containing balls of different colours
5.2.3.2 Details
A dice is a solid cube, having 6 faces ,marked 1,2,3,4,5,6 respectively, when we throw a die, the outcome is the
number that appears on its upper face
A pack of cards has 52 cards; it has 13 cards of each suit namely spades,clubs,hearts and diamonds; cards of
spades and clubs are black cards; cards of heart and diamonds are red cards; there are four honours of each suit,
they are Aces,Kings,Queens and Jacks; these are called face cards
In tossing a coin,S={H,T}
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Quantitative Methods
5.2.6 Events
Events are said to be mutually exclusive these events cannot occur simultaneously.
5.2.7 Mutually Exclusive Event
Two or more event are said to be mutually exclusive if these events cannot occur simultaneously.
5.2.8 Compatibility
Two or more events are said to be compatible if they can occur simultaneously.
5.2.9 Independent Events
Two or more events are said to be independent if the happening or non-happening of any event does not affect the
happening of others. Events are no way related to each other.
5.2.10 Dependent Events
Two or more events are said to be dependent if the happening or non-happening of any event does affect the happening
of others. Events are related to each other.
5.3 Probability
If A is an event of the sample space S, then
Probability of A=P (A) =Number of cases favourable for A /Total number of cases
Where
0P (A) 1
P (A) +P (A) =1
If a cases are favourable to A and b case are not favourable to A then
P (A) =a/ (a+b); P (A) =b/ (a+b)
We say that the odds in favour of A are a: b i.e. a to b and odds against A are b: a i.e. b to a. Thus if an event can
happen in a ways and fail in b ways, and each of these is equally likely, the probability or chance of its happening
is a/ (a+b) and that of its failing is b/ (a+b).The chance of happening of an event a is also stated as the odds are
a to b in favour of the event, or b to a against the event.
If p is the probability of happening of an event then (1-p) is the probability of its not happening.
5.3.1 Probability of Occurrence of an Event
Let S be the sample space and let E be an event.
Then E S
Therefore, P (E) =
5.3.2 Results on Probability
P(S) =1
0 P(E) 1
P()= 0
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are the chances that the two independent events will happen separately then the chance that they will both
x
.Also, the chance that the first event happens and the second fails is
x (1- ) and so on.
If an event can happen in two ways which are mutually exclusive and if and
are the two respective probabilities
then the probability then the probability that it will happen in some one of these ways is
+ .
and P (A | B) =
where A B is A and B.
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Quantitative Methods
This formula is derived from the formula of conditional probability of dependent events
P (A| B) = P (A and B)/P (A)
P (A and B) =P (A| B) .P (A)
Define events
If the words ,either or are used check whether the events are mutually exclusive or not to apply addition
rule
If the words both and are used check whether the events are independent or dependent to apply proper
multiplication rule
P (A) is the prior probability or marginal probability of A. It is prior in the sense that it does not take into
account any information about B.
P (A|B) is the conditional probability of A, given B. It is also called the posterior probability because it is derived
from or depends upon the specified value of B.
Bayes theorem in this form gives a mathematical representation of how the conditional probability of event A given,
B is related to the converse conditional probability of B given A.
P (A| B) = P (B|A).P (A)/P (B)
Solved Examples
Example 1
In a throw of a coin, find the probability of getting a head.
Solution:
Here S= {H, T} and E= {H}
Therefore P (E) =
=1/2
Example 2
Two unbiased coins are tossed .What is the probability of getting at most one head?
Solution:
Here, S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}
Let E= event of getting at most one head
E= {TT, HT, TH}
Therefore P (E) =
=3/4
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Example 3
An unbiased die is tossed .Find the probability of getting a multiple of 3.
Solution:
Here S= {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
Let E be the event of getting a multiple of 3.
Then, E= {3, 6}
Therefore P (E) =
=2/6 =1/3
Example 4
In a simultaneous throw of a pair of dice, find the probability of getting a total more than 7.
Here, n(S) = (6 x 6) =36
Let E= event of getting a total more than 7
={(2,6),(3,5),(3,6),(4,4),(4,5),(4,6),(5,3),(5,4),(5,5),(5,6),(6,2),(6,3),(6,4),(6,5),(6,6)}
P (E) =
=5/12
Example5
A bag contains 6 white and 4 black balls. Two balls are drawn at random. Find the probability that they are of the
same colour.
Let S be the sample space .Then,
n(S)= Number of ways of drawing 2 balls out (6+4)=
= 10 x 9 /2 x 1 =45
Let E =event of getting both balls of the same colour. Then,
n(E)=Number of ways of drawing (2 balls out of 6) or (2 balls out of 4)
=6
P (E) =
+4
= (15+6) =21
=21/45=7/15
Example 6
Two dice are thrown together. What is the probability that the sum of the numbers on the two faces is divisible by
4 or 6?
Clearly n(S) =6 x 6 =36
Let E be the event that the sum of the numbers on the two faces is divisible by 4 or 6 .Then
E={(1,3),(1,5),(2,2),(2,4),(2,6),(3,1),(3,3),(3,5),(4,2)(4,4)(5,1)(5,3),(6,2),(6,6)}
n (E)=14
Hence P (E) =
=14/36 = 7/18
Example 7
Two cards are drawn at random from a pack of 52 cards. What is the probability that either both are black or both
are queens?
Solution:
We have n(S) = 52
=
=1326
Let A = event of getting both black cards,
B=event of getting both queens
A B = event of getting queens of black cards.
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Quantitative Methods
n (A) = 26
= (26 x 25)/ (2 x1) =325
n (B) =4
= (4 x 3)/(2 x 1)=6
and n (A B)= 2
=1
P (A) =n(A)/n(S) =325/1326
P (B) =n(B)/n(S) =6/1326
P (A B) = n (A B)/n(S) = 1/1326
Therefore P (A B) =P (A) +P (B)-P (A B)
= (325/1326 + 6/1326 -1/1326) =330/1326=55/221
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Summary
Probability is the method to determine the chance of happening of a particular event in a random experiment.
An operation which can produce some well defined outcomes is called an experiment/event.
Random experiment is the one which gives one or more results under identical conditions. An experiment in
which all possible outcomes are known and the exact output cannot be predicted in advance is called a random
experiment.
The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is known as the sample space and every outcome is
a sample point.
Two or more event are said to be mutually exclusive if these events cannot occur simultaneously.
Two or more events are said to be independent if the happening or non-happening of any event does not affect
the happening of others. Events are no way related to each other.
P (E) =
P (B | A) =
In the discrete case, Bayes theorem relates the conditional and marginal probabilities of events A and B, provided
that the probability of B does not equal to zero.
References
Grinstead, C. M. and Snell, J. L., 1997. Introduction of Probability: Probability, AMS Bookstore, pp133-137.
Prof. Chakraborthy, Introduction to the theory of Probability, [Video Online] Available at: <http://www.youtube.
com/watch?v=r1sLCDA-kNY> [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Recommended Reading
Waters, D., 2006. Quantitative Methods for Business, Probability, 4th ed., Prentice Hall Publication.
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Quantitative Methods
Self Assessment
1. __________ is the method to determine the chance of happening of a particular event in a random
experiment.
a. Probability
b. Experiment
c. Event
d. Deterministic
2. An operation which can produce some well defined outcomes is called an _________.
a. probability
b. experiment
c. event
d. deterministic
3. _________ experiment is the one which gives one or more results under identical conditions.
a. Deterministic
b. Random
c. Independent
d. Dependent
4. The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is known as the _________.
a. event
b. sample space
c. sample point
d. experiment
5. An event is a __________ of the sample space.
a. subset
b. set
c. proper subset
d. probability
6. Two or more events are said to be ___________ if the happening or non-happening of any event does affect
the happening of others.
a. independent
b. mutually exclusive
c. elementary
d. dependent
7. Two or more event are said to be _________ if these events cannot occur simultaneously.
a. independent
b. dependent
c. mutually exclusive
d. elementary
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8. Two unbiased coins are tossed .What is the probability of getting at most one head?
a. 1/2
b. 1/4
c. 3/4
d. 5/2
9. An unbiased die is tossed .What is the probability of getting a multiple of 3?
a. 2/3
b. 5/6
c. 1/3
d. 1/6
10. A bag contains 6 white and 4 black balls. Two balls are drawn at random. What is the probability that they are
of the same colour?
a. 1/15
b. 4/15
c. 2/15
d. 7/15
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Quantitative Methods
Chapter VI
Permutations and Combinations
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
define combination
Objective
The objectives of this chapter are to:
Learning outcome
At the end of the chapter, you will be able to:
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6.1 Introduction
Permutation is the method that helps us to determine the number of ways a group of objects can be selected and
then arranged but combination only tells us the number of ways the objects can be selected.
Example: Tossing a coin, placing a ball in a box, rolling a dice selecting a person from a crowd are all physical
processes that have a number of possible outcomes. A ball can be placed in a box in one way, the two possible
outcomes 1,2,3,4,5 and 6,selecting a committee of four from several hundred people has many outcomes. When
considering such physical processes we use permutations and combination to easily arrive at the correct answer.
the product of first n natural numbers is denoted by n! and is read as n factorial or factorial n.
by definition 0! = 1
Illustration
Let us take Represent 10 x 9 x 8 in factorial notation
We have 10! =10 x9x8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1
We have 7! = 7x6x5x4x3x2x1
Therefore 10 x 9x 8 =
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Quantitative Methods
Route 1
Mumbai
Pune
Route A
Route 2
Route B
Route 3
Route C
Route 4
Route D
Route 5
Route E
Route 6
Route F
Nagpur
From the above figure ,we can see that a person can go from Mumbai to Nagpur by the following routes:
Route 1-Route A
Route 1-Route B
Route 1-Route C
Route 1-Route D
Route 1-Route E
Route 1-Route F
Similarly by choosing route 2,3,4,5 or 6 different ways for each of the routes thus the total number of different ways
a person can go from Mumbai to Nagpur is 6 x 6 =36 different ways.
Generalization of Fundamental Principle of Counting If n different things can be done in m1,m2,m3,...,mn different
ways respectively, independent of each other then
a. Any one of them can be done in m1+m2+m3+...+mn different ways
b. All of them can be done in the same order in m1 x m2 x....x mn different ways.
6.4 Permutation
Permutation is the number of arrangements of given objects.
Illustration:
If Raj, Ram and Shiv are three people to be seated for a Photograph. The number of ways they can be seated are
Raj, Ram, Shiv
Raj, Shiv, Ram
Ram, Raj, Shiv
Ram, Shiv, Raj
Shiv, Raj, Ram
Shiv, Ram, Raj
Therefore, the total number of arrangements is 6 or 3!
So if there are n people or objects which we have to arrange then the total number of arrangements is n!
Permutations of n distinct objects when only r are taken at a time and arranged in a straight line, then the number
of arrangements is given by n P r or P(n,r),where
nPr=
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=55440
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Quantitative Methods
If instead of three people we have 3 beads to make a necklace then the number of arrangements become =
=
=1 because if we reverse the necklace then the order 1 is same as 2.Therefore only one arrangement is possible.
6.4.1.5 Repetition is Allowed
If repetition is allowed then the number of permutations for n distinct objects from which r are taken at a time nr.
Illustration: Repetition is allowed
In a particular country the pin code for different cities are given by using digits from 1 to 8 and the size of pin code
is 4 digits. Then how many different pin codes are possible.
n=8 and r=4 hence nr=84=4096.
6.5 Combination
Combination is the number of selections out of given objects.
Illustration: Combination
If Manish, Harish and Jaideep are three people out of which 2 have to be selected for a photograh.The number of
ways they can be selected are
Manish, Harish
Harish, Jaideep
Manish, Jaideep
The total number of selections is 3 or 3C2.
Combination of n distinct objects when only r objects are taken at a time, then the number of selections is given by
nCr or C(n,r) where n is the number r is the number of object selected.
General Formula is nCr =
=1
n-k C r =
= 462
=210
Note:
When m= n then the number of ways =
6.6.5 Distribution of Similar Objects
If we have n same objects and want to distribute them amongst r persons then the total number of ways to distribute
them is given by n+r-1 C r-1
Illustration: Distribution of similar objects
If we have 10 chocolates with us and want to distribute them amongst 4 students then the number of different ways
to distribute them is
= n+r-1 C r-1 where n=10 and r=4
Therefore, n+r-1 C 4-1 =13 C 3=286
Note:
If each of the people is getting atleast one then the number of ways to distribute will be n-1 C r-1
6.6.6 Total possible Combination of n Distinct Objects
If we have n distinct objects, then the total number of ways to select an object or a group of objects from them is
given by 2n-1
Illustration: Total possible combination of n distinct objects
If a person has seven friends, in how many ways can he invite one or more of them to attend a tea party?
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Quantitative Methods
n C n-r =n C r
n P n= n P n 1
n P r = n C r * r!
n C r + n C r-1 = n+1 C r
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Solved Examples
Example 1:
From a pack of 52 cards find the number of ways in which
a. a king or a queen can be drawn
b. both a king and a queen can be drawn
Solution & Explanation:
A king can be drawn in 4 different ways; a queen can be drawn in 4 different ways. By fundamental principle of
multiplication a king and a queen can be drawn in 4 x 4 =16 ways.
Example 2:
How many words can be formed with the letters of the word Mathematics? In how many of them do the vowels
occur together?
Solution & Explanation:
Total letters =11, M, A, T occur twice
Total arrangements=11! / (2! 2! 2!)=4989600
Treat the four vowels A, A, E, I as one unit. This with remaining 7 letters of which two are repeated can be arranged
in 8! /2! 2! Ways. Four vowels can be arranged among themselves in 4! /2! Ways.
Therefore Total number of ways = (8! /2! 2!) (4! /2!) =120960
Example 3:
Twenty persons were invited for a party. In how many ways can they and the host be seated at a circular table? In
how many of these ways will two particular persons be seated on either side of the host?
Solution & Explanation:
There are 20 +1 persons to be seated at the table .Fixing the seat of one person the remaining 20 can be seated in
20! ways.
Two particular persons can be sitting on either side of the host in 2! Ways .Remaining 18 can arrange themselves
in 18! Ways.
Therefore the required number = 2! * 18!
Example 4:
Ten different letters are given. Words with five letters are to be formed from these given letters. Find the number of
words which have at least one letter repeated.
Solution & Explanation:
When there is no repetition of letters,
Total number of words with 5 letters = 10 P 5 =30240
When any letter is repeated any number of times, total number of words =10 5
Therefore required number of words =100000-30240=69760
Example 5
A photograph of 4 players is to be taken from 11 players of a cricket team. How many different photographs can be
taken if in each photograph captain and vice captain
a. must be included
b. are never included
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Quantitative Methods
Example 6
From 5 different green balls, four different blue balls and three different red balls, how many combinations of balls
can be chosen taking atleast one green and one blue ball?
Solution & Explanation:
At least one green ball can be chosen from five green balls in 25-1=31 ways
At least one blue ball can be chosen from four blue balls in 24-1 =15 ways
At least one or no red ball can be chosen in 23=8 ways
Therefore by generalization of fundamental principle, required number of ways =31 * 15 *8 =3720
Example 7
From 3 pears, 4 oranges and 5 apples, how many selections of fruits can be made by taking
i. at least one of them
ii. at least one of each kind
Solution & Explanation
iii. Out of 3 pears, we may take either 0 or 1 or 2 or 3 .Thus pears can be chosen in 4 different ways .Similarly,
oranges in 5 and apples in 6 ways. Number of ways of selection of fruits =4 *5*6 =120.But this also includes
the case when no fruit is taken. Rejecting this case, the required number of ways=120-1=119.
iv. A
t least one pear is to be chosen, we may take either 1, 2 or 3 pears. Thus pears can be chosen in 3 different
ways. Oranges can be chosen in 5 different ways. Apple can be chosen in 5 different ways
Therefore total number of ways = 3 * 4 * 5=60
72/MITSDE
Summary
Permutation is the method that helps us to determine the number of ways a group of objects can be selected and
then arranged but combination only tells us the number of ways the objects can be selected.
nPr=
Permutations of n distinct objects when only r objects are taken at a time and arranged in a straight line such
that k of the given objects is never taken.
(n-k) P r =
When all the given n objects are not distinct. Out of those n objects p of them are of one kind ,q of them are
of second kind and r of them of third kind and the remaining are distinct objects then number of permutations
are given by
Combination is the number of selections out of given objects. General Formula is nCr =
Combination of n distinct Objects when only r are taken at a time such that k of the given objects is never taken.
Therefore number of objects left are n-k then the number of selections is given by n-k C r =
If we have n distinct objects, then the total number of ways to select an object or a group of objects from them
is given by 2n-1.
References
Kumar, K. R., 2005. Discrete Mathematics, Permutation and Combination, Firewall Media, p23-47.
Rao, G. S., 2002. Discrete Mathematical Structure, Permutation, New Age International, pp14-54.
Nix, R., Probability, Combinations and Permutations, [Online] Available at: < http://www.chem.qmul.ac.uk/
software/download/qmc/ch5.pdf> [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Kirthivasan, K., Permutation and combination, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=Dsi7x-A89Mw> [Accessed 31 August 2012].
IIT JEE, Permutation and combination, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=b8mvJm1vvdQ> [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Recommended Reading
Waters, D., 2006. Quantitative Methods for Business, Permutation and Combination, 4th ed., Prentice Hall
Publication.
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Quantitative Methods
Self Assessment
1. ________ is the number of arrangements of given objects.
a. Permutation
b. Combination
c. Factorial
d. Selection
2. __________ is the number of selections out of given objects.
a. Permutation
b. Combination
c. Factorial
d. Selection
3. __________ is the method that helps us to determine the number of ways a group of objects can be selected
and then arranged.
a. Permutation
b. Combination
c. Factorial
d. Selection
4. __________ only tells us the number of ways the objects can be selected.
a. Permutation
b. Combination
c. Factorial
d. Selection
5. There are 3 varieties of mangoes(A,B,C),4 different varieties of Apples(D,E,F,G) and 7 different varieties of
grapes(H,I,J,L,M,N).In how many ways we can arrange 5 fruits on a table when G,M,N should not be taken?
a. 22330
b. 33440
c. 44550
d. 55440
6. In how many ways they can be a part of a meeting of 7 People?
a. 5040
b. 3040
c. 2040
d. 1040
7. There are 11 players in a hockey team. In how many ways we can select 5 players for the board meeting if
captain and vice captain have to be there.
a. 81
b. 80
c. 83
d. 84
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8. 7 people are there in a company. In how many ways they can be a part of a meeting of 7 People?
a. 7!
b. 7
c. 5040
d. 1
9. From 5 different green balls, four different blue balls and three different red balls, how many combinations of
balls can be chosen taking atleast one green and one blue ball?
a. 3120
b. 3720
c. 3520
d. 3420
10. From a pack of 52 cards in how many number of ways in which a king or a queen can be drawn?
a. 2
b. 1
c. 4
d. 3
75/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Chapter VII
Interpolation
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
define interpolation
Objectives
The objectives of this chapter are to:
Learning outcome
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to:
76/MITSDE
7.1 Introduction
Interpolation is the method of statistical estimation and the word literally means making insertions. Simply
interpolation is understood by following example;
If we need to know the population of our country, for any intermediary year, says 1985, one logical approach would
be to work forward from the population of 1981, by adding births and inflow of the people into the country and
deducting deaths and outflow of people from the country during 1981-1985.
Thus the data on population of the year 1985 is required, 100% accurate figures are really not required.
Interpolation may be defined as the technique of obtaining the most likely estimates of certain quantity under
certain assumptions. - D.N. Elhance
Interpolation is a statistical device used to estimate the most likely figure under certain assumptions within the
given limits
Interpolation provides us the missing quantity of a series so that we can establish the while extrapolation are
the techniques of obtaining the most likely estimates of certain quantity under certain assumptions
Interpolated figures are not perfect substitutes of the original figures. They are only best possible substitutes
on certain hypothesis
7.3 Application
Interpolation is widely used by businessmen, administrators, sociologists, economist and financial analysis.
Eg. In financial analysis the interpolation used to find out the IRR(internal rate of return) of a project, all
investment decisions which require to use of the Present value and future value interest factor tables.
Sometimes it is not possible to collect the whole data about the problem under study. Even if it were possible
to collect the whole data it may not be worthwhile to do so due to a large amount of expenditure involved or due
to organisational difficulties
Technique of interpolation can be used for making best estimates, at the least cost
For example; in India the census of population is collected after every ten yrs
The technique of interpolation will be needed to estimate the figure of population for intermediate years
Lost data
Sometimes the data is lost due to fire, earthquake etc. The interpolation technique is help to fill the gaps in
statistical information due to lost data
Uniformity ofsata
Statistics concerning a particular phenomenon are collected by different agencies, it destroys its
uniformity.
In such cases comparison of data becomes difficult. So to establish uniformity of data, the techniques of
interpolation is used.
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Quantitative Methods
Forecasting
The forecasting activity regarding data is practical utility for economic planning, policy formulation, production
decisions etc
In this method the data is represented in graph, i.e. on X-axis all independent variables and on Y-axis all
dependent variables are taken.
The curve is formed after joining the points, this curve give interrelation between two variables.
From the point of X-axis, for which the value of y is to be interpolated, a line parallel to Y-axis will be drawn.
From the point where this line will cut the curve, a line parallel to X-axis will be drawn, here the value of y will
be found from the point where the line cuts Y-axis, this is called Interpolated figure or Value
This method is known as finite or advancing differences method because after finding out differences in the
values of y, the process is extended further till only one difference remains
We also taken into consideration that the +ve and -ve sign while calculating the differences
This method has no restriction on the x-variable whether it should be equally spaced or not
This method can be used for any value of x either for interpolation
It is also to estimate the argument of x for given value of y, it means the Lagrange;s formula can be used for inverse
interpolation also.The only demerit of Lagranges formula is that, it required heavy computational work
78/MITSDE
where
When the x-value to be interpolated lies near the end of the series
Diagonal difference table is used in Newtons backward formula, but the differences are used in reverse
order.
79/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Summary
Algebraic expressions in which the variables concerned have only non-negative integral exponents are called
polynomials
The standard form of a polynomial in one variable is that in which the terms of the polynomial are written in
the decreasing order of the exponents of the variable
Interpolation provides us the missing quantity of a series so that we can establish the while extrapolation are
the techniques of obtaining the most likely estimates of certain quantity under certain assumptions
Methods of Interpolation are Graphical method, Lagranges Method, Newton-Gauss Forward Method, NewtonsGauss Backward method. etc.
This method has no restriction on the x-variable whether it should be equally spaced or not
References
Jain, T. R.. and Sandhu, A. S., 2006-07, Quantitative Methods: Interpolation, VK Publication, pp 7.1-7.38.
Agarwal, B. R., 2007. Programmed Statistics, Interpolation, 2nd ed., New Age International, pp 405-425.
Kumar, S., 2008, Polynomial Interpolation, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=Oy3uudRXolE > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Kumar, S., Numerical Methods and Programming, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=ZG_TgdyDrf0 > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Recommended Reading
Waters, D., 2006. Quantitative Methods for Business, Interpolation, 4th ed., Prentice Hall Publication.
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Self Assessment
1. Graphical Interpolation method is_____.
a. Simple
b. Algebrical
c. Fully reliable
d. Reliable
2. Interpolation is helpful in estimating:
a. A series
b. An intermediary value of given argument
c. Entry of alternative values
d . A series of value
3. Lagrange Formula is useful for _____
a. Interpolation
b. Arithmetic functions
c. Inverse range
d. Inverse extrapolation
4. Lagranges polynomials interpolation can be used even if;
a. The given arguments are not equally spaced
b. Extrapolation is to be done
c. Inverse interpolation is to be done
d. Relation to be mapped
5. Interpolation formulae are based on the fundamental assumptions that the data can be expressed as;
a. A linear function
b . A quadratic function
c. A polynomial function
d. A binomial function
6. The problems of interpolation are simpler than prediction because;
a. Interpolation has fewer restrictions than prediction
b. Interpolation is based on more stringent restriction than prediction
c. There are no restriction than interpolation
d. It is easier to find out
7. ________ is simplest method of Interpolation.
a. Graphical method
b. Langranges method
c. Interpolation method
d. Inverse method
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Quantitative Methods
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Chapter VIII
Consumer Arithmetic
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
explicate interest
Objectives
The objectives of this chapter are to :
Learning outcome
At the end of this chapter, you will be able
understand discount
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Quantitative Methods
The price at which the goods are sold is known as selling price (SP). In the above example Rs.150 is the selling
price for the cobbler and Rs.250 is the selling price for the shopkeeper.
The price at which the goods are bought is known as cost price(CP). In the above example the cost price for
the shopkeeper is 175(cost paid to the cobbler+transportation+packaging), while Rs.250 is the cost price for
the lady.
The cost occurred in relation to the goods apart from the actual cost of the goods is known as overhead charges.
In the above example the overhead charges is Rs.25.(Cost of transportation Rs.20+cost of Packaging Rs.5)
If selling price is more than the cost price, then it is said the seller has made a profit/gain. In the above example
the profit for the cobbler is Rs.50 (selling price of the cobbler raw material cost for the cobbler).The profit for
the shopkeeper is Rs.75 (selling price of Rs.250-cost price of Rs 175).
If the selling price is less than the cost price ,then it is said the seller has made a loss. In the above example if
the shopkeeper had sold the shoes for Rs150 ha would have made a loss(cost price of Rs 175 Selling Price
of Rs.150)
The price at which the goods are intended to be sold is known as marked price. In the above example Rs.300 is
the marked price of the shoes .Marked price is also known as the List price or quoted price.
When the Selling price is lesser than the marked price, it is said that the seller has given a discount.In the above
example the customer has given a discount of Rs.50 (marked price of Rs.300-selling price of Rs 250).This
discount is also known as trade discount.
The price at which the goods are sold after discount is known as net price. In the above example the net price
is Rs.250.
8.1.1 Formulae
Loss%=(Loss/cost price)*100
If the cost price and gain is given then selling price = [(100+gain%)*cost price]/100
If the cost price and Loss% is given the selling price =[(100-loss%)*cost price]/100
If the selling price and gain% is given that cost price= (100*selling price)/ (100+gain %)
If the selling price and loss% is given then cost price = (100*selling price)/ (100-loss %)
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If the marked price is different from the selling price, then the profit/loss is calculated on the selling price.
Percentage gain or loss is calculated on the cost price and not the selling price.
Profit or loss on Rs 100(cost price) is called profit or loss Percent age respectively.
8.2 Interest
Interest is a fees paid by a borrower of assets to the owner of the assets as form of compensation for the use of assets.
It is most commonly the price paid for the use of money or money earned by the deposited funds.
Illustration:
When we give our house for someone to live in we get a rent and we get the house back after completion of the
lease tenure, similarly when we lend our money to someone we get interest and after completion of the tenure we
get our money back.
8.2.1 Terms Used
When a person borrows money he has to pay some extra amount to the lender for using his money. The extra
money paid to the lender is known as Interest.
The tenure for which the principle is borrowed/lent/invested is known as Time period.
S.I = (P*R*T)/100
P= (100*S.I)/(R*T)
R= (100*S.I)/ (P*T)
T= (100*S.I)/ (P*R)
For simple interest time period is always calculated in years. If the time period is given in months then it has
to be converted into years.
To convert time period from months to year divide the time period by 12 to get the time period in years. Example
if the amount has been given for 5 months then the time period is 5/12 years.
Quantitative Methods
A recurring scheme is like a piggy bank where you deposit small sums of money at fixed intervals to get a
consolidated amount at the end of the scheme.
In a recurring scheme the interest is calculated per interval(monthly,half yearly,annually etc..) at a fixed rate.
In a recurring deposit ,interest and the total amount accumulated is given at the end of the scheme period.
In the recurring deposit the amount deposited for the 1st month will get an interest for the fixed period say n
months.The amount deposited for the 2nd month will get interest for (n-1) months and so on.
8.2.3.1 Formulae
Total principle at maturity=Recurring amount x {n(n+1)/2} where n is the period for which the 1st installment
is deposited
Simple Interest =
The time period is calculation is taken as 1 month as we have already normalized the principle and hence
t=1/12
Total amount at the end of the scheme =Total principle at maturity + interest
Amount= P[1+R/100]NT
Present Worth=A/[1+R/100]T
Condition 1: Principal = Rs p, time =t years and rate =r% and number of times the interest is due in 1 year =1.
Then the amount after t years is = p[1+r/100]1*t
Condition 2: Principle =rs p; time =t years and a fraction of year[Ex 5 2/5 years] and number of times the interest
is due in 1 year =1.Then the amount after 5 2/5 years = [p(1+r/100)1*5](1+2r/5*100)
For the fraction of the year the rate will be rate per annum * fraction of year
Condition 3:Principle =Rs p,Time=t years and rate =r% p.a and number of times the interest is due in 1 year
=3.Then amount after t years is
=p [1+r/ (3x100)]3*t
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Similarly, principal=Rs.p, Time =t years and rate =r% p.a and number of times the interest is due in 1 year =2
Then amount after t years is =p[1+r/(2 x 100)]2 * t
Condition 4: Principle = Rs p, Time = t years and rate =r1% for the first year, r2% for the second year.
rt% for the tth year. The amount after t years is = p(1+r1/100)(1+r2/100)(1+r3/100)(1+rt/100)
For compound interest time period is always calculated in y years.If the time period is given in months then it
has to be converted into years.
If the interest is computed more than once in a year then,rate r =rate per annum ( R ) /number of times interest
is computed in a year ( N ).
If a sum P is borrowed at r% per annum and compound interest is calculated quarterly or half yearly,then the
compound interest for 1 year is called the effective annual rate.
The amount at the end of a certain time period increases as the number of times the compound interest is
calculated in a year increases i.e if two people put the same principle for the same time period on compound
interest but ,one computed interest half yearly and the other yearly then the person who is getting interest half
yearly and the other yearly then the person who is getting interest half yearly will get more amount at the end
of the tenure.
Solved Examples
Example 1
A man sells a pen at a profit of 20% .Had he bought it at 20% less and sold it for Rs 5 less,he would have gained
25% .What is the CP of the pen?
Solution:
Let the CP be Rs 100; given Gain=20% therefore SP =120
New CP=20% less=Rs 80
If gain is 25%, then SP= Rs (125*80)/100=Rs 100
Therefore if the difference in SP =Rs (120-100)=Rs 20
If the difference in SP is Rs 20, CP is Rs 100
If the difference in SP is Rs 5, CP is
Rs (100*5/20) =Rs 25
Example 2
If the SP of 10 articles is the same as the CP of 11 articles, find the gain percent.
Solution
Let the CP of 1 article be Re.1
Therefore CP of 10 articles=Rs 10
SP of 10 articles= CP of 11 articles = Rs 11
Therefore gain%=(11-10) x 100/10 =10%
Example 3
A man loses 10% by selling a book for Rs 144.What should be his selling price to gain 15?
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Quantitative Methods
Solution
SP=Rs 144 loss=10%
Therefore CP=Rs(100 *144)/(100-10)=Rs.160
Gain expected = 15%
Therefore SP=Rs(115*160)/100=Rs184
Example 4
A man sells two radios for Rs 924 each. On one he gains 12% and on the other he loses 12%.How much does he
gain or lose on the whole?
Solution:
SP of one radio =Rs 924 Gain=12%
CP of this radio=Rs (100*924)/112=Rs 825
SP of other radio = Rs 924 Loss=12%
CP of this radio = Rs (100*924)/88=Rs 1050
Total CP=Rs (825+1050) =Rs 1875,
Total SP= Rs (924+924) =Rs 1848
Therefore Loss% = (27 *100)/1875=1.44%
Example 5
What will be the simple interest on Rs 625 at 6.5% per annum for 2.5 years?
Solution
S.I=Rs (625 *6.5 * 2.5)/100=Rs.101.56
Example 6
A man borrowed Rs 2500 from two money lenders.He paid interest at the rate of 12% per annum for one loan and
at the rate of 14% per annum for other .The total interest he paid for the entire year was Rs.326.How much did he
borrow at each rate?
Solution
Let he borrow Rs X at 12% and Rs (2500-x) at 14% p.a
S.I on Rs x= Rs (x)(12)(1/100) = Rs 3x/25
S.I on Rs(2500-x)=Rs (2500-x)(14)(1/100)
=Rs (17500-7x)/50 therefore x=Rs 1200 Thus ,he borrows Rs 1200 at 12% and 1300 at 14%.
Example 7
Find the compound interest on Rs 4000 for 9 months at 6% per annum,the interest being reckoned i)Quarterly ii)
Half yearly
Solution
i. Principle =Rs 4000, Time =9 months=3 quarters rate=6% per annum =6/4=3/2 % per quarter. Therefore
Amount=Rs[4000 x {1+(3/2)/100}3]=4182.71
Compound interest = Rs (4182.71-4000) =182.71
ii. Principle=Rs 4000 Time = 9 months =1.5 half years rate= 6% per annum =3% half yearly
Therefore amount Rs[4000(1+3/100){1+3/2)/100}]=Rs 4181.80
Compound interest =Rs(4181.80-4000=Rs181.80
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Summary
The price at which the goods are sold is known as selling price (SP).
The price at which the goods are bought is known as cost price(CP).
If selling price is more than the cost price, then it is said the seller has made a profit/gain.
If the selling price is less than the cost price ,then it is said the seller has made a loss.
The price at which the goods are intended to be sold is known as marked price.
When the Selling price is lesser than the marked price ,it is said that the seller has given a discount.
Loss%=(Loss/cost price)*100
Interest is a fees paid by a borrower of assets to the owner of the assets as form of compensation for the use of
assets.
Simple interest is where the interest is paid to the investor/lender as and when it is due. Only principle is
reinvested/renewed.
S.I = (P*R*T)/100
Recurring deposit is a deposit in which fixed sum of money is deposited at a regular interval for a specified
period.
Compound Interest is where the interest is not paid to the investor/lender as and when it is due but is added to
the principle at the end of the time period agreed upon.
Amount= P[1+R/100]NT
References
Veena, G. R., 2006. Business Mathematics, Commercial Arithmetic, New Age International Publishers.
Krisch, A., An Analysis of commercial Arithmetic, [Online] Available at: < http://www.springerlink.com/content/
k8537j674x3w0031/ > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Kumar, S., 2008, Polynomial Interpolation, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=Oy3uudRXolE > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Kumar, S., Numerical methods and programming, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=ZG_TgdyDrf0 > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Recommended Reading
89/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Self Assessment
1. The price at which the goods are sold is known as _______.
a. selling price
b. cost price
c. marked price
d. net price
2. The price at which the goods are bought is known as ______.
a. selling price
b. cost price
c. marked price
d. net price
3. The price at which the goods are intended to be sold is known as ___________ .
a. selling price
b. cost price
c. marked price
d. net price
4. When the Selling price is lesser than the marked price ,it is said that the seller has given a ______ .
a. profit
b. discount
c. loss
d. gain
5. If the selling price is less than the cost price ,then it is said the seller has made a _____.
a. profit
b. discount
c. loss
d. gain
6. A man sells a pen at a profit of 20% .Had he bought it at 20% less and sold it for Rs 5 less, he would have gained
25% .What is the CP of the pen?
a. 20
b. 22
c. 23
d. 25
7. If the SP of 10 articles is the same as the CP of 11 articles, what is the gain percent?
a. 7
b. 10
c. 9
d. 8
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8. What will be the simple interest on Rs 625 at 6.5% per annum for 2.5 years?
a. 101.56
b. 102.56
c. 103.56
d. 104.56
9. What is the compound interest on Rs 4000 for 9 months at 6% per annum,the interest being reckoned
Quarterly?
a. 181.70
b. 182
c. 182.71
d. 183
10. _________ is a fees paid by a borrower of assets to the owner of the assets as form of compensation for the
use of assets.
a. SI
b. CI
c. Recurring
d. Interest
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Quantitative Methods
Chapter IX
Relations and Functions
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
define function
Objectives
The objectives of this chapter are to:
Learning outcome
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to:
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9.1 Relation
A relation is just a set of ordered pairs. There is absolutely nothing special at all about the numbers that are in a
relation.
In other words, any bunch of numbers is a relation so long as these numbers come in pairs. In maths Relation is just
a set of ordered pairs.
Note: {} is the symbol for SET. Example: {(0, 1), (55, 22), (3,-50)}
Ordered Pairs
Table
Graph/mapping.
Examples:
What is the domain and range of the following relation?
{(-1, 2), (2, 51), (1, 3), (8, 22), (9, 51)}
Ans:
Domain: -1, 2, 1, 8, 9
Range: 2, 51, 3, 22, 51
What is the domain and range of the following relation?
{(-5,6), (21, -51), (11, 93), (81, 202), (19, 51)}
Ans:
Domain: -5, 21, 11, 81, 19
Range: 6, -51, 93, 202, 51
9.3 Functions
A function is a relationship between two sets of numbers.
We may think of this as a mapping; a function maps a number in one set to a number in another set. Notice that a
function maps values to one and only one value.
Two values in one set could map to one value, but one value must never map to two values: that would be a
relation, not a function.
Example
If we write (define) a function as:
f(x) = x2 then we say: f of x equals x squared and we have,
f( - 1) = 1 f(1) = 1 f(7) = 49
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Quantitative Methods
f(1 / 2) = 1 / 4
f(4) = 16 and so on.
9.3.1 Range, image, co-domain
If D is a set, we can say,
, which forms a new set, called the range of f.
D is called the domain of f, and represents all values that f takes. In general, the range of f is usually a subset of a
larger set.
This set is known as the co-domain of a function.
Example: With the function f(x) = cos x, the range of f is [-1, 1], but the co-domain is the set of real numbers.
Notations
When we have a function f, with domain D and range R, we write: If we say that, for instance, x is mapped
2
to x , we also can add
Notice that we can have a function that maps a point (x, y) to a real number, or some other function of two
variables.
We have a set of ordered pairs as the domain.
Recall from set theory that this is defined by the Cartesian product. If we wish to represent a set of
all real-valued ordered pairs we can take the Cartesian product of the real numbers with itself to obtain
.
When we have a set of n-tuples as part of the domain, we say that the function is n-ary (for numbers n=1,2 we say
unary, and binary respectively).
Break-even analysis is a technique widely used by production management and management accountants.
It is based on categorising production costs between those which are variable (costs that change when the
production output changes) and those that are fixed (costs not directly related to the volume of production).
Total variable and fixed costs are compared with sales revenue in order to determine the level of sales volume, sales
value or production at which the business makes neither a profit nor a loss (the break-even point).
In its simplest form, the break-even chart is a graphical representation of costs at various levels of activity shown
on the same chart as the variation of income (or sales, revenue) with the same variation in activity.
The point at which neither profit nor loss is made is known as the break-even point and is represented on the
chart below by the intersection of the two lines:
NOTE: The Break Even point is the point where the revenue from sales is equal to the cost of production.
For Calculating Total cost, we should know that,
Profit (P) = Revenue (R) Cost (C).
Where,
Total Cost = Fixed cost + Variable Cost.
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Summary
A relation is just a set of ordered pairs. There is absolutely nothing special at all about the numbers that are in
a relation.
In other words, any bunch of numbers is a relation so long as these numbers come in pairs.
The Domain is the set of all the first numbers of the ordered pairs, and the Range is the set of the second
numbers in each pair, or the y-values.
Two values in one set could map to one value, but one value must never map to two values: that would be a
relation, not a function.
Break-even analysis is a technique widely used by production management and management accountants.
References
Waters, D., 2006. Quantitative Methods for Business, 4th ed., Prentice Hall Publication.
Simonson, S., Discrete Mathematics, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_
FG9hhiZipo > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Recommended Reading
Waters, D., 2006. Quantitative Methods for business, 4th ed., Prentice Hall Publication.
95/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Self Assessment
1. What is the domain of the following relation?
{(-1, 2), (2, 51), (1, 3), (8, 22), (9, 51)}
a. {-1,2,1,8,9}
b. {2,51,3,22,51}
c. {-1,2,51,1,3}
d. {1,3,8,22,9}
2. What is the range of the following relation?
{(-5, 6), (21, -51), (11, 93), (81, 202), (19, 51)}
a. {-5,21,11,81,19}
b. {6,-51,93,202,51}
c. {-1,2,51,1,3}
d. {1,3,8,22,9}
3. Which relations below are functions?
a. Relation #1 {(-1, 2), (-4, 40), (1, 2), (8,-51)}
b. Relation #2 {(13, 14), (13, 5) , (16,7), (18,13)}
c. Relation #3 {(3, 90), (4, 54), (6, 71), (8, 90)}
d. Relaton #4 {(1,3)(2,4)(2,5)(3,4)}
4. Which relations below are functions?
a. Relation #1 {(3,4), (4,5), (6,7), (8,9)}
b. Relation #2 {(3,4), (4,5), (6,7), (3,9)}
c. Relation #3 {(0,4), (4,-5), (0,0), (8,9)}
d. Relation #4 {(8, 11), (34,5), (6,17), (8,19)}
5. Which relations below are functions?
a. Relation #1 {(3,4), (4,5), (6,7), (3,-9)}
b. Relation #2 {(3,4), (4,5), (6,7), (5,4)}
c. Relation #3 {(0,4), (4,-5), (0,0), (8,9)}
d. Relation #4 {(8, 11), (34,5), (6,17), (6,19)}
6. For the following relation to be a function, X cannot be what values?
{(8, 11), (34,5), (6,17), (X ,22) }
a.
8, 34, 6
b.
11, 5, 17
c.
d.
8, 34, 6, 11, 5, 17
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Weight
120
100
150
130
Find domain
a. {1, 2, 3, 4}
b. {120,100,150,130}
c. {2,3,4}
d. {1,3,5}
10.
udent
Weight
200
190
100
100
Find Range.
a. {200,190,100,100}
b. {200,100}
c. {200.190}
d. {200.190.100}
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Quantitative Methods
Chapter X
Statistics
Aim
The aim of this chapter is to:
define statistics
Objectives
The objectives of this chapter are to:
Learning outcome
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to:
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10.1 Introduction
Statistics can be referred as a subject that deals with numerical facts and figures. It is the set of mathematical tools
and techniques that are used to analyse data. The word statistics is said to have been derived from the German word
Statistics meaning political science or from Old Italian word stato meaning state or from New Latin word status
meaning of which is position or form of government or political state. Statistical analysis involves the process of
collecting and analysing data and then summarising the data into a numerical form.
Prof.A.L.Bowley defined statistics as Numerical statement of facts in any department of enquiry placed in
relation to each other.
Webster defined statistics as The classified facts respecting the condition of the people in a state especially those
facts which can be stated in numbers or in tables of numbers or in any tabular or classified arrangement.
Statistical data and statistical methods are helpful in proper understanding of the economic problems and help
in solving a variety of economic problems such as wages, prices, analysis of time series etc. Statistical methods
help in formulating economic policies and in evaluating their effect
Statistical methods are being widely used in all business and trade activities like production, financial analysis,
distribution, costing, market research, man power planning, business forecasting etc. Business executives and
managers rely mainly on statistical techniques to study the need and desire of the consumers.
In industry, statistics is widely used in quality control. To find whether the product is confirming to specifications
or not, statistical tools like inspection plans, control charts etc are of great use
A governments administrative system is fully dependent on production statistics, income statistics, labour
statistics, economic indices of cost, price etc. All the departments of a government depend upon statistics for
efficient functioning
In biology, medicine and agriculture, statistical methods are applied in the study of growth of plant, movement
of fish population in the ocean, migration of birds, effect of newly invented medicines, theories of heredity,
estimation of yield of crop, effect of fertiliser on yield, birth rate, death rate, population growth, growth of
bacteria etc
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Quantitative Methods
It simplifies the mass of data. With the help of statistical methods, the complex data is simplified into diagrammatic
and graphical representations averages etc.
It presents the facts in a definite form. Facts that are expressed in numbers are more convincing than expressed
in statements. Statistics helps to present the data or facts in precise and definite form for easy understanding.
Statistical methods are extremely helpful in formulating and testing hypothesis and developing new theories.
It helps to predict future trends and to estimate any value of the population from the sample chosen.
Statistics does not deal with qualitative aspects like honesty, intelligence etc. It deals with only quantitative
data.
It does not study individual facts because individual items taken separately do not form a statistical data.
Statistical tools do not provide the best solution to problems under all circumstances. It is one of the methods
of studying a problem and it should be supplemented by some other methods.
Statistical analysis is based on probability and not on certainty. So statistical results are not universally true and
they are true only on an average.
Common man cannot handle statistics properly, only statisticians can handle statistics properly.
The most important limitation of statistics is that they are liable to be misused and misinterpreted. Increasing
misuse of statistics has led to increasing distrust in statistics.
10.7 Classification
Classification refers to grouping of data into homogeneous classes and categories. A group or a class category has
to be determined on the basis of the nature of the data and the purpose for which it is going to be used.
To condense the mass of data: Statistical data collected during the course of an investigation is in the raw form.
With raw data we cant make any conclusion unless it is properly classified into small groups or classes.
To prepare the data for tabulation: Only classified data can be presented in the tabular form.
To study the relationships: Relationship between the variables can be established only after the various
characteristics of the data have been known, which is possible only through classification.
To facilitate comparison: Classification helps us to find conclusions based on the comparison of variables.
Exhaustive: Classification must be exhaustive. i.e. each and every item in the data must belong to one of the
classes.
Mutually exclusive: Each item of information should fit only in one class, i.e. overlapping of items is not
allowed.
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Suitability: The classification should conform to the object of inquiry. For example, if the study is regarding the
economic condition of workers then classification must not be done on the basis of their religion.
Homogeneity: The items included in each class must be homogeneous; else there should be further classification
in to sub groups.
Flexibility: A good classification should be flexible. It should be adjustable. To the new and changed situations
and conditions.
less than type: It will represent the total frequency of all classes less than and equal to the class value to which
it relates.
more than type: It will represent the total frequency of classes more than and equal to the class value to which
it relates.
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Quantitative Methods
Summary
Statistics can be said as a collection of methods for planning experiments, obtaining data, and then organising,
summarising, presenting, analysing, interpreting, and drawing conclusions
It is important to know how to understand statistics so that improper judgments are not made
Statistics does not deal with qualitative aspects like honesty, intelligence etc. It deals with only quantitative
data.
It does not study individual facts because individual items taken separately do not form a statistical data.
Exhaustive: Classification must be exhaustive. i.e. each and every item in the data must belong to one of the
classes.
Homogeneity: The items included in each class must be homogeneous; else there should be further classification
in to sub groups.
Flexibility: A good classification should be flexible. It should be adjustable. To the new and changed situations
and conditions.
References
Sharma, J. K., 2009. Business Statistics, 4th ed., Dorling Kindersley Pvt. Ltd.
Jain, T. R. and Agarwal, S. C., 2009.10. Statistics for BBA, Statistics, VK Enterprises.
Medhi, J., 2005. Statistical Methods, Methods of Data Collection, 1st ed., New Age International Publishers,
pp8-12.
Rajagopalan, S. P. and Sattanathan, R., 2008. Business Statistics and Operations Research, Tata McGraw-Hill
Education, pp 1-6.
2012, Statistics, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWrgEjXGzfg > [Accessed
31 August 2012].
Judge, D., Statistics, lecture 1, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24jvU95WCtQ
> [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Leidn university Introduction Probability and Statistics [PDF] Available at: <http://www.math.leidenuniv.
nl/~redig/lecturenotesstatistics.pdf>. [Accessed 14 July 2012].
Recommended Reading
Jain, T. R. and Agarwal, S. C., 2009. Statistics for BBA, Statistics, VK Enterprises.
Medhi, J., 2005. Statistical Methods, Methods of Data Collection, 1st ed., New Age International Publishers.
Rajagopalan, S. P. and Sattanathan, R., 2008. Business Statistics and Operations Research, Tata McGraw-Hill
Education.
102/MITSDE
Self Assessment
1. Statistics deals with which of the following?
a. Qualitative data
b. Qualitative and quantitative data
c. Quantitative data
d. Productive data
2. Which of the following is not a characteristic of Statistics?
a. Statistics are aggregates of facts.
b. Statistics are affected to a marked extent by multiplicity of causes.
c. It helps in bringing out the hidden relations between variables.
d. Statistics are collected in a systemic manner.
3. Common man cannot handle statistics properly, only
a. technicians
b. statisticians
c. artisans
d. administrators
4. By statistics we mean quantitative data affected to a market extent by multiplicity of causes. This definition
is defined by:
a. Yule and Kendall
b. Webster
c. Prof.A.L.Bowley
d. Tippet
5. Which among the following is not a function of statistics?
a. It presents the facts in a definite for.
b. With the help of statistics, decision making process becomes easier.
c. It simplifies the mass of data.
d. It helps in comparison of data of different kind.
6. Statistics can be referred as a subject that deals with
a. Alphanumerical
b. Alphabetical
c. Numerical
d. Quantitative
7. The classified facts respecting the condition of the people in a state especially those facts which can be stated
in numbers or in tables of numbers or in any tabular or classified arrangement.This definition is given by
__________.
a. Tippet
b. Peter Drucker
c. Webstar
d. Oxford
103/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
104/MITSDE
Application I
Probability
When trading stocks it is of paramount importance to remove phrases like I hope, I wish, if only from your
vocabulary. Instead it deals with stocks in probabilities. What is the probability of profiting from this stock if x
equals 1 and y equals 2. By calculating probabilities two things happen. All emotion is removed from trading and a
dispassionate approach to trading can take place and we can better assess the risk to reward ratio and determine if this
is a trade that we want to undertake. In trading, emotion is the bullet that will kill you. Stick with probabilities.
It as been owned a sizable stake in a company called General Moly which will use as a proxy for my thesis. When
it has been first learned of it has been studied the project and determined that it owned the rights to the Mt. Hope
project which is the companys flagship project. It has been learned that when it received the permit to begin building
the infrastructure for the mine that it would be sitting on the worlds largest deposit of molybdenum. It has also been
learned that it owned a site called the Liberty project that it would deal with at a later date, but from the preliminary
analysis it had done the company is sure that this project will also produce a windfall amount of molybdenum.
So whats so great about molybdenum? Molybdenum is an alloy that is a by-product of mining copper. When
molybdenum is mixed with iron ore one can create lightweight, incredibly strong stainless steel that is impervious
to high degrees of temperature and pressure. It has been concluded that this would make it an essential ingredient
for building oil rigs and nuclear reactors as well as basic infrastructure. It has also been learned that while China
exported 97% of the worlds rare earth elements (that has subsequently changed) the country actually was a net
importer of molybdenum.
My next step was to learn about the management team. It has been read everything could find on the management
of this company and was very pleased to learn that CEO Bruce Hansen had amassed an amazing team that was not
looking to be acquired but instead looking to take this company into the arena of being the suppliers of molybdenum
to the world.
What did the balance sheet look like? The company had received a loan from one of the largest producers of steel
in the world, a South Korean company called Posco. It had also received financing from a Japanese company called
Sojitz and finally it had received a bridge loan from a Chinese company called Hanlong for the amount of $50 million
with the promise that when permitted it would receive an additional $665 million loan to fast track the project into
production. Make no mistake; the South Koreans, the Japanese and the Chinese were not being benevolent. They
do not want the loans paid back in dollars. They want the loans paid back in molybdenum.
So everything was going as scripted when a Black Swan appeared out of nowhere and in December of 2010 with
the stock trading at around $7.00 an issue came up regarding water rights. To the credit of General Moly it has from
the beginning of the project dealt with every problem with complete transparency. It has followed the law chapter
and verse and there have been no mistakes made. This was no different. This did, however, slow the process down
and the stock immediately became the backyard of the short sellers who used this as an opportunity to further drive
the price down.
We will fast forward to last week when the state engineer granted the water rights to General Moly. I expected the
stock to bounce to its previous level before the water rights problem but that did not happen. What had changed
fundamentally? I got out my pencil and sharpened it. To use the latest balance sheet figures I could find, I determined
that if I used a proxy price of $15.00 a lb for molybdenum then the company should have a net present value (NPR)
of $1.2 billion or a 66% increase over where the stock is presently trading as far as market capitalization. Given the
discount to the NPV, does this imply that the market believes that there is a 66% chance that this project will not
go into production? I conclude that this is simply not the case.
105/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Lets honestly look at the risks at this point. Lets assume the worst case scenario, China doesnt come through with
the expected financing or the Record of Decision (ROD) comes back negative or the Molybdenum concentrations
are significantly less than expected or finally management cannot perform adequately enough to get this through
to production. China is contractually obligated to provide financing once permitted and moreover it needs the
molybdenum. There have been extensive exploratory bore holes done and everyone knows what is under the ground.
The management team has performed spectacularly at every turn and I see no evidence of that changing. The X factor
as I see it is the ROD and every due diligence has been taken. I see this as a probability of 80% to 90% that the ROD
will come back positively. So other than the ROD, how can this kind of discount to the NPV be justified?
I conclude that the stock based on the fundamental analysis should be trading at the $10 to $12.00 range. Indeed the
previously mentioned price of molybdenum that my analysis was based on was $15.00 a pound and as I write this,
Freeport Mac Moran, one of the largest copper producers in the world, reported that it had sold the molybdenum
(which I said was a byproduct of copper mining) at a price of $18.00 per pound. I believe this is hedge funds
continuing to try and drive the price down and judging by what I see on the tape they are beginning to run out of
gas. Yesterday the stock closed at $4.78 but I do not see it trading there for much longer. So I would encourage
anyone who is interested in making a profit to take a look at this project and if you like what you see stake your
claim at a very discounted price.
I have learned through bitter experience to never say never. But as I have previously stated I see the probability
of this project coming to fruition at 80% to 90%. Surely somebody in Nevada wants a billion dollar mine to operate
there. Consider the tax revenues generated for the state and the town of Eureka and the thousands of good paying
jobs this project will create.
Source: Available at :< http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/papers/QualityQuantity.pdf> [Accessed 03 September 2012].
Questions:
1. What did the balance sheet look like?
Answer
The company had received a loan from one of the largest producers of steel in the world, a South Korean company
called Posco. It had also received financing from a Japanese company called Sojitz and finally it had received a
bridge loan from a Chinese company called Hanlong for the amount of $50 million with the promise that when
permitted it would receive an additional $665 million loan to fast track the project into production.
2. What is great about molybdenum?
Answers
Molybdenum is an alloy that is a by-product of mining copper. When molybdenum is mixed with iron ore one
can create lightweight, incredibly strong stainless steel that is impervious to high degrees of temperature and
pressure.
3. At what range the stock should be traded?
Answer
the stock based on the fundamental analysis should be trading at the $10 to $12.00 range.
106/MITSDE
Application II
PERMUTATIONS
This introduces a modified Particle Swarm. Optimizer which deals with permutation problems. Particles are defined
as permutations of a group of unique values. Velocity updates are redefined based on the similarity of two particles.
Particles change their permutations with a random rate defined by their velocities. A mutation factor is introduced
to prevent the current Best from becoming stuck at local minima. Preliminary study on the n-queens problem shows
that the modified PSO is promising in solving constraint satisfication problems.
A permutation problem is a constraint satisfaction problem with the same number of variables as values, in which
each variable takes a unique value. Any solution can be thought of as assigning a permutation to the variables. When
a permutation satisfies all the constraints, it is considered a feasible solution. For a permutation problem, there might
be one or multiple feasible solutions. The n-queens problem is one of the best examples of permutation problems.
Permutation optimisation problems have been found in many areas. There are many techniques developed to handle
permutation problems. In this paper, a new method called particle swarm optimization (PSO) is introduced to handle
the permutation problems.
The n-queens problem consists of placing n queens on an N by N chess board, so that they do not attack each other,
i.e. on every row, column or diagonal, there is only one queen exists. It is a classical complex constraint satisfaction
problem in the artificial intelligence (AI) area. It has been used as a benchmark for developing new AI search
techniques. During the last three decades, the problem has served as an example and benchmark for backtracking
algorithms, permutation generation, the divide and conquer paradigm, constraint satisfaction problems, neural
networks, and genetic algorithms. Also, the n-queens problem has many practical applications such as VLSl testing,
air traffic control modem communication systems, message routing, load balancing in multiprocessor computers,
data compression, computer task scheduling, and optical parallel processing [I].
The n-queens problem bas three variants: finding one solution, finding a family of solutions, and finding all solutions.
This paper deals with finding one solution within a family.
PSO is a population based stochastic optimisation technique developed by Eberhart and Kennedy in 1995, inspired
by social behavior of bird flocking or fish schooling. During the past several years, PSO has been successfully
applied to multidimensional optimization problems artificial neural network training multiobjective optimisation
problems. However, there is no research on permutation optimisation reported in the literature.
Similar to Genetic Algorithms (GAS), PSO is a population based optimization tool. The system is initialized with a
population of random solutions and searches for optima by updating potential solutions over generations. However,
unlike GA, PSO has no evolution operators such as crossover and mutation. In PSO, the potential solutions, called
particles, fly through the problem space by following the current better-performing particles. Each particle keeps
track of its coordinates in the problem space which are associated with the best solution (fitness) it
has achieved so far. (The fitness value is also stored.) This value is called pbest. Another best value that is tracked
by the particle swarm optimizer is the best value, obtained so far by any particle in the neighborhood of the particle.
This location is called nbest. When a particle takes all the population as its topological neighbors, the best value
is a global best and is called gbest
Source: Available at :< http://bit.csc.lsu.edu/~jianhua/chindu.pdf> [Accessed 03 September 2012].
Questions:
1. What does n-queen problem consists of?
2. What is genetic algorithm?
3. What is permutation optimization problem?
107/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Application III
Matrices and Determinants
Area of a Triangle
Consider a triangle with vertices at (x1, y1), (x2, y2), and (x3, y3). If the triangle was a right triangle, it would be
pretty easy to compute the area of the triangle by finding one-half the product of the base and the height.
However, when the triangle is not a right triangle, there are a couple of other ways that the area can be found.
Herons Formula
If you know the lengths of the three sides of the triangle, you can use Herons Formula to find the area of the
triangle.
In Herons formula, s is the semi-perimeter (one-half the perimeter of the triangle).
s = 1/2 (a + b + c)
Area = sqrt (s ( s-a) ( s-b) ( s-c) )
Consider the triangle with vertices at (-2,2), (1,5), and (6,1).
Using the distance formulas, we can find that the lengths of the sides (arbitrarily assigning a, b, and c) are a = 3
sqrt(2), b = sqrt(61), and c = sqrt(73).
Using those values gives us ...
s = 1/2 ( 3 sqrt(2) + sqrt(61) + sqrt(73) )
s - a = 1/2 ( - 3 sqrt(2) + sqrt(61) + sqrt(73) )
s - b = 1/2 ( 3 sqrt(2) - sqrt(61) + sqrt(73) )
s - c = 1/2 ( 3 sqrt(2) + sqrt(61) - sqrt(73) )
s ( s - a ) ( s - b ) ( s - c ) = 1089 / 4
When you take the square root of that, you get 33/2, so the area of that triangle is 16.5.
Problems with Herons Formula include
Must know the lengths of the sides of the triangle. If you dont then you have to use the distance formula to find
the lengths of the sides of the triangle.
You have to compute the semi-perimeter, so chances are you will have fractions to work with.
Lots of square roots are involved. For the lengths of the sides of the triangle and for the area of the triangle.
Geometric Technique
The triangle can be enclosed in a rectangle. The vertices of the triangle will intersect the rectangle in three places,
forming three right triangles. These triangles are denoted A, B, and C in the picture.
The area of the triangle we desire will be the area of the rectangle minus the areas of the three triangles.
The legs of the three triangles can be found by simple subtraction of coordinates and then used to find the area
since the area of a triangle is one-half the base times the height.
Area of triangle A = 3 ( 3 ) / 2 = 9/2.
Area of triangle B = 5 ( 6 ) / 2 = 15.
Area of triangle C = 8 ( 3 ) / 2 = 12.
The sum of the areas of the triangles is 9/2 + 15 + 12 = 63 / 2 or 31.5.
108/MITSDE
The area of a rectangle is base times height, so the bounding rectangle has area = 8 ( 6 ) = 48.
The area of the triangle in the middle is the difference between the rectangle and the sum of the areas of the three
outer triangles.
Area of triangle = 48 - 31.5 = 16.5.
Web Link:
Source: Available at:< http://people.richland.edu/james/lecture/m116/matrices/applications.html > [Accessed 31
August 2012].
Questions:
1. What is the formula to find area of triangle?
2. What are the geometric Technique?
3. What does herons formula include?
109/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Bibliography
References
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31 August 2012].
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31 August 2012].
Agarwal, B. R., 2007. Programmed Statistics, Interpolation, 2nd ed., New Age International, pp 405-425.
Akekar, R., 2008.Discrete Mathematics: Set theory, 2nd ed., Dorling Kindersley Publication India, pp109123.
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Dr. Kala, V. N. and Rana, R., 2009. Matrices, 1st ed., Laxmi Publication ltd.
Dr. Kirthivasan, K., Propositional Logic, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=xlUFkMKSB3Y > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Fulda, J. S., 1993. Exclusive Disjunction and the Bi-conditional: An Even-Odd Relationship, Mathematics
Magazine.
Grinstead, C. M. and Snell, J. L., 1997. Introduction of Probability: Probability, AMS Bookstore, pp133-137.
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matrices-1.pdf > [Accessed 31 August 2012].
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Hardy, G. H. and Wright, E. M., 1979. An Introduction to the Theory of Numbers, 5th ed., Oxford Univ. Press,
New York.
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watch?v=b8mvJm1vvdQ> [Accessed 31 August 2012].
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watch?v=b8mvJm1vvdQ> [Accessed 31 August 2012].
Jain, T. R. and Agarwal, S. C., 2009.10. Statistics for BBA, Statistics, VK Enterprises.
Jain, T. R. and Aggarwal, S. C.,2010. Business Mathematics and Statistics, V.K Enterprises.
Jain, T. R.. and Sandhu, A. S., 2006-07, Quantitative Methods: Interpolation, VK Publication, pp 7.1-7.38.
110/MITSDE
Judge, D., Statistics, lecture 1, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24jvU95WCtQ
> [Accessed 31 August 2012].
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Rajagopalan, S. P. and Sattanathan, R., 2008. Business Statistics and Operations Research, Tata McGraw-Hill
Education, pp 1-6.
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111/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Simonson, S., Discrete Mathematics, [Video Online] Available at: < http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_
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Recommended Reading
Dean McCullough, P., 1971. Logical Connectives for Intuitionist Propositional Logic, Journal of Symbolic
Logic.
Waters, D., 2006. Quantitative Methods for business, Set Theory, 4th ed., Prentice Hall Publication.
112/MITSDE
113/MITSDE
Quantitative Methods
Chapter V
1. a
2. b
3. b
4. b
5. a
6. d
7. c
8. c
9. c
10. d
Chapter VI
1. a
2. b
3. a
4. b
5. d
6. a
7. d
8. d
9. b
10. c
Chapter VII
1. a
2. b
3. a
4. d
5. c
6. a
7. a
8. d
9. c
10. a
Chapter VIII
1. a
2. b
3. c
4. b
5. c
6. d
7. b
8. a
9. c
10. d
114/MITSDE
Chapter IX
1. a
2. b
3. c
4. a
5. b
6. a
7. a
8. d
9. a
10. b
Chapter X
1. c
2. c
3. b
4. a
5. d
6. c
7. c
8. a
9. d
10. c
115/MITSDE