Investment Decision in Share Market
Investment Decision in Share Market
Investment Decision in Share Market
Page
Sr. No. Particular
No.
Introduction About The Company
1 1
Introduction About Investment
2 7
Investment Avenues
3 16
Returns From Investment
4 25
Risk In Investment
5 29
Investment Decision
6 39
Findings & Suggestions
7 46
Annexure
53
Definition:-
The investment is the employment of funds with the aim of achieving
additional income or growth in value. The essential quality of an investment
is that involves waiting for reward. It involves the commitment of resources
which, have been saved or put away from current consumption in hope that
some benefits will accrue in the future.
According to F. Amling, “Investment may be defined as the purchase
by an individual or institutional investor of a financial or real asset that
produces a return proportional to the risk assumed over some future
investment period.
Introduction:-
Investment management is a subject of growing an importance and
interest. Investment is the sacrifice for the future reward. Investment
decision is trade off between risk and return. The entire globe is based on
risk and return. Investing is an activity that is of interest to many individuals
regardless of occupation or income level.
The term investment refers to funds invested in various securities,
consisting of government and semi government securities, loans, debentures,
of local authorities, such as port trusts, municipal corporations and
debentures and shares of companies, investments represent legal claims of
various securities, such as bonds, shares, debentures etc., and are asset of
special nature. There are various forms of investments available with their
relative merits and demerits. Investments are available with their relative
merits and demerits. Investments are freely bought and sold in the stock
exchange through banks and bankers, who charge a small amount of
commission for their services. Investment means the use of money to earn
more by way of interest, dividend or money to earn more by way of interest,
dividend or capital appreciation. Well planned investment alone can ensure
regular income, capital appreciation and can be used to meet financial
requirements of the investors. The dynamics of economic growth provide
various opportunities for investors to invest their money in different types of
securities.
The financial and economic meaning of investment is related to each
other, because investment is a part of the savings of individuals, which flow
in to capital market either directly or institutions dividend in to new and
secondary capital financing. Investors as suppliers & users of long term
funds will find meeting place in the capital market.
Investment will generally be used in its financial sense and as such,
investment is allocation of monetary resources to assets that are expected to
yield some gain or positive return over a given period of time. Investment is
commitment of a person’s funds to derive future income in the form of
interests, dividends, rent, premium, pension benefits or the appreciation of
the value of his investment. In the process of the investment the transfer of
financial assets will be made from one person or institution to investor.
Investments will include various kinds of instruments or securities &
institutional media in to which savings are placed.
CONCEPT OF INVESTMENT:-
1. Economic Investment
Economic investment means the net additions to the capital stock of
the society which consists of goods and services. Addition to capital stock
means an increase in buildings, plants, equipments and inventories over the
amount of goods and services that existed.
2. Commitment Investment
Commitment investment refers to money commitment to satisfy
personal desires, since no rate of return is involved in such investment nor
capital growth is expected. For e.g. a commitment of money to a new car is
certainly investment from individual point of view.
3. Financial Investment
It involves investment of funds in various assets, such as stock, bonds,
real estate, mortgage etc. Investment is employment of funds with aim of
achieving additional income or growth in value. It involves commitment of
resources which have been saved or put away from current assumption in
hope some benefits will accrue in future. Investment involves long term
commitment of fund and waiting for reward in the future.
NATURE OF INVESTMENT
Investment requires continuous flow of decisions which can not be
avoided. All investment choices are made out points of time in respect to
personal investments in stock market will from time to time reappraise and
revaluate their various investment commitments in the light of new
information changed expectations and ends. Investment choices are found to
be outcomes of the following related classes of factors.
The investment decisions are based on many streams of data which
taken together represent to investor the observable environment and the
general and particular of the security and enterprises in which he may invest.
Investing has been activity confined to the rich and business class in
the past. This can be attributed to the fact that availability of investible funds
is pre-requisite to deployment of funds but today we find that investment has
become household word and is very popular with people from all walks of
life.
SCOPE FOR INVESTMENT
The ultimate objective of the investor is to derive a variety of
investments that meet his preference for risk and expected return. The
investor will select the portfolio which will maximize his utility. The
temperament and psychology of the investor is the another important
consideration in making a investment decision by investors. It is not only
construction of portfolio that will promise the highest expected return, but
also the satisfaction of the investor for his return. Many types of investment
media or channels for making investment are available securities ranging
from risk free instruments to highly speculative shares and debenture are
available for alternative investments.
ELEMENTS OF INVESTMENT
1. Reward
2. Risk and return
3. Time
1. Reward:
Generally, investors may buy and sell financial assets in order to earn
return on them. The return better known a reward from investment s includes
both current income and capital gains or losses which arise by increase or
decrease of security price.
2. Risk and return:
A good understanding of working of financial market requires the
knowledge of meanings and types of risk and return, there relationship and
process of valuation of securities. The value of financial assets depends
among other things on their return and risk. Risk can be defined as chance
that expected or prospective gains, or profit or return may not materialized
that actual outcome of investment may be less than the expected outcome.
The return represents benefits derived by investors from his
investment. The rate of return required by investor to great extent depends
upon risk involved in his investments. Higher risk, greater is return expected
by the firm.
3. Time
The important factor in investment is time which offers several
different courses of action. Time period depends on the attitude of investor
who follows a buy and hold strategy. As time moves on, analysts believe
that conditions and investors revaluate expected return for each investment.
NEED FOR INVESTMENT
Investments are both important and useful in the context of present
date conditions. The following factor made investment decision increasingly
important.
1. Increase in life expectancy
A tremendous increase in working population, proper planning for
span and longevity have ensured the need for investment decision.
Investment decisions have become significant because working people retire
between the age of 55 to 60. the life expectancy has increased due to
improved living conditions, medical facilities etc. Savings from the current
earnings must be invested in a proper way so that principal and income
thereon will be adequate to meet expenditure on them after their retirement.
2. Interest rates
The level of interest rates is another factor for a sound investment
plan. Interest rates may vary between one investment to other risky and non-
risky investments. The investor has to decide whether he is getting an
acceptable return on the investment commensurate with the risks that are
faced by him because stability of interest is as important as receiving a high
rate of interest.
3. Increasing rate of taxation
Taxation is one of the crucial factors in a person’s savings. Tax
planning is an essential part of over all investment planning. If the
investment or disinvestment in securities is made without considering the
various provisions of the tax laws, the investor may find that most of his
profits have been eroded by the payment of taxes. Proper planning could
lead to a substantial increase in the amount of the tax to be paid. Good tax
planning and investing in tax saving schemes not only reduces the tax
payable by the investor but also helps him to save taxes on other incomes.
Various tax incentives offered by the government and relevant provisions of
the income tax Act, the wealth tax Act, are important to an investor in
planning investments.
4. Income
Income is also a factor in making a sound investment decision. The
general increase in employment opportunities which gave rise to income
level avenues for investment, have lead to the ability and willingness of
working population to save and invest such savings.
5. Inflation
In the conditions of inflation, the prices will rise and purchasing
power of rupee will decline. On account of this, the capital is eroded every
year to the extent of rise in the inflation. The return on any investment
should be regarded as positive, when such return compensates the effect of
inflation. For maintaining purchasing power stability, investors should
carefully plan and invest their funds by making analysis.
6. Investment channels
The investor in selection of best investments will have to mix between
high rate return oriented and stability of return oriented securities to reap the
benefits of both. Various scheme for investments are offered to the public by
the Government of India, public Financial Institutions, PSUs, Public
Companies, and Mutual Funds. Most of these schemes are absolutely safe
investments, but yield low return. However, in some schemes the overall
return may increase along with providing various tax benefits. There are
various schemes designed specifically for retired persons or those who are
close to their retirement, while others are general schemes aimed at
providing investment opportunities to cross section of public. Thus, the
distinctive features of each scheme differ from one to other and no particular
scheme can be preferred to others in every circumstance. The schemes that
prove most attractive to an individual would depend on his objectives and
the different circumstances at any specific time. The growth and
development of the country joined with the policy of liberalization and
globalization lead to introduction of a vast array of investment outlets.
(i) Financing through equity shares does not impose any burden on the
company, since payment of dividend on these shares depends on the
availability of profits and the discretion of the directors.
(ii) Capital raised through equity shares is perpetual source for the
company since it is not repayable during the life time of the company. It
is repayable only in the event of company’s winding up and that too
only after the claims of preference shareholders have been met in full.
(iii) Equity shares do not carry any charge against the assets of the
company hence the capacity of the company to raise additional funds
through borrowing on the security of its assets is in no way diminished.
(iv) Financing through equity shares also provides the company with
sufficient flexibility in the utilization of its profits and funds, since
neither the payment of dividend is compulsory nor any provision is to
be made for repayment of capital.
Demerit of Equity Shares
Definition of return
“The return on asset / investment for a given period, say a year, is the
annual income received plus any change in market price, usually expressed
as a percent of opening market price.”
Type of Return
The following are various kinds of return that are discussed in detail
follows.
1. Internal Rate of Return
This is also known as yield rate. It is the rate which discounts the cash
flows to zero. Internal rate of return is that rate at which the sum discounted
cash inflows equals the sum of discounted cash outflows. The marginal IRR
is the rate of discount which makes the present value of the marginal
revenue from the additional investment equal to unity.
2. Coupon Rate / Bond Rate
Coupon rate means, the interest rate received on the face value or the
par value of the bond. If a company or Government issues a 10 – year bond
with Rs. 100 as face value and 14 percent rate of interest, it would be
described as 14% bond or debenture and may be said to have, a coupon rate
of 14%.
3. Expected Return / Realized Return
Return is not guaranteed. It is mostly expected and it may or may not
be realized. Therefore the expected return is an anticipated or predicted,
desired return by the investor which is subject to uncertainty. Realized return
means actually earned and received.
4. Holding Period Yield / Return
Holding period yield (HPY) measures the total return from an
investment during a given or designated time period in which the asset is
held by the investor. It is to be noted that HPY does not mean that the
security is actually sold and the gain or loss is actually realized by the
investor. The concept of HPY is applicable whether one is measuring the
realized return or estimating the future / expected return. It can be calculated
as follows:
HPY= Any cash payments received + Price change over the holding period
Price at which the asset is purchased
5. Basic Yield
Basic yield is associated with high grade bonds. It is the lowest yield
actually attained the market. Basic yield can be understood by noting
concept of pure rate of interest, which is unique and absolutely risk less; it
implies absolute safety and certainty of principal and income and also
freedom from losses through changes in commodity prices, interest rates and
taxes. The basic yield, however, does not imply either risk less or
uniqueness.
6. Current Yield
Current yield is also known as the market yield / income yield
/running yield. Bonds are offered to the public with coupon rate. Current
yield is the ratio of interest per year to the current market price of the bond.
It does not take into account the return earned by the investor because of
appreciation in the value of bond.
7. Yield to maturity
It is known as redemption yield. It is the promised rate of return an
investor will receive from a bond purchased at the current market price and
held till maturity.
3. Business Risk
Business risk arises due to the uncertainty of return which depends
upon the nature of business. It will influence for the firm’s operating
income. It relates to the variability of the business, sales, income, expenses,
and profits. It depends upon the market conditions for the product mix, input
supplies, strength of the competitor etc. The business risk may be classified
into two kinds’ viz., internal risk and external risk. Internal risk is related to
the operating efficiency of the firm. This is manageable within or by the
firm. Internal business risk leads to fall in revenues and profit of the
companies. External risk refers to the policies of Government or strategies of
competitor or unforeseen situation in market. This risk may not be controlled
and corrected by the firm.
4. Liquidity Risk
Liquidity risk refers to a situation wherein it may not possible to sell
the asset. Liquidity risk refers to inability to meet liabilities of creditors
when they want to withdraw their money. Assets are disposed off at great
inconvenience and cost in terms of money and time. Any asset that can be
bought and sold quickly is said to be liquid. Failure of disposable of an asset
is called liquidity risk. Liquidity risk has a different meaning from the point
of view of banks and financial institutions.
5. Maturity Risk
Maturity risk will arises when the money was not received at the time
of maturity of the security. It is on long-term basis. It will happen when the
term of maturity, period of the security is longer. The longer term to
maturity, the greater is the risk, because forecasting the environment, for
assessing conditions and situation, becomes more and more difficult.
6. Call Risk
It is associated with corporate bonds. The bonds are issued with call
back provisions and the issues will have the right of redeeming the bonds.
The bondholders face the risk of giving up higher coupon bonds. The
reinvesting the proceeds at lower interest rates may arise and incurring the
cost and inconvenience of investment.
7. Interest Rate Risk
It is the difference between the expected interest rates and the current
market interest rate. The markets will have different interest rate
fluctuations, according to market situation, supply and demand position of
cash or credit. If the maturity period is long, the market value of the security
may fluctuate widely. Further, the market activity and investor perceptions
change with the change in the interest rates and interest rate also depend
upon the nature of instruments such as bonds, debentures, loans and maturity
period, credit worthiness of the security issues.
8. Inflation Risk
Inflation risk is also called as purchasing power risk. It is closely
related to interest rate risk since interest rates generally rise when inflation
occurs. Inflation risk is more relevant in case of fixed income securities;
shares are regarded as hedge against inflation. It is the risk that the real rate
of return on security may be less than the nominal return. There is always a
chance that the purchasing power of invested money will decline or that the
real return will decline due to inflation. The return expected by investor will
change due to change in real value of returns. Cost push and pull forces
operate to increase prices due to inadequate supplies and raising demand.
9. Currency Risk / Exchange Rate Risk
Exchange rate risk is also called as currency risk. It is associated with
the exchange rate fluctuation of foreign exchange on international
transactions. The risk is faced by the limited organizations which are
involved in export or import business. This risk will arise due to changes in
currency exchange rates, may have an unfavorable impact on costs or
revenues. There is no exchange rate risk under the fixed exchange rate
system.
RISK DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT
In the light of the risks involved, you should undertake transactions only if
you understand the nature of the contractual relationship into which you are
entering and the extent of your exposure to risk.
NSE does not provide or purport to provide any advice and shall not
be liable to any person who enters into any business relationship with any
trading member and/or sub-broker of NSE and/or any third party based on
any information contained in this document. Any information contained in
this document must not be construed as business advice/investment advice.
No consideration to trade should be made without thoroughly understanding
and reviewing the risks involved in such trading. If you are unsure, you must
seek professional advice on the same.
BASIC RISKS INVOVLED IN TRADING ON THE STOCK
EXCHANGE (EQUITY AND OTHER INSTRUMENTS)
4. Risk-reducing orders:
Most Exchanges have a facility for investors to place "limit orders,
"stop loss orders" etc". The placing of such orders (e.g., "stop loss orders, or
"limit" orders) which are intended to limit losses to certain amounts may not
be effective many a time because rapid movement in market conditions may
make it impossible to execute such orders.
A stop loss order is generally placed "away" from the current price of
a stock, and such order gets activated if and when the stock reaches, or
trades through, the stop price. Sell stop orders are entered ordinarily below
the current price, and buy stop orders are entered ordinarily above the
current price. When the stock reaches the pre-determined price, or trades
through such price, the stop loss order converts to a market/limit order and is
executed at the limit or better. There is no assurance therefore that the limit
order will be executable since a stock might penetrate the pre-determined
price, in which case, the risk of such order not getting executed arises, just as
with a regular limit order.
6. Risk of Rumours:
Rumours about companies at times float in the market through word
of mouth, financial newspapers, websites or news agencies, etc. The
investors should be wary of and should desist from acting on rumours.
7. System Risk:
High volume trading will frequently occur at the market opening and
before market close. Such high volumes may also occur at any point in the
day. These may cause delays in order execution or confirmation.
8. System/Network Congestion:
Trading on NSE is in electronic mode, based on satellite/leased line
based communications, combination of technologies and computer systems
to place and route orders. Thus, there exists a possibility of communication
failure or system problems or slow or delayed response from system or
trading halt, or any such other problem/glitch whereby not being able to
establish access to the trading system/network, which may be beyond the
control of and may result in delay in processing or not processing buy or sell
orders either in part or in full. You are cautioned to note that although these
problems may be temporary in nature, but when you have outstanding open
positions or unexecuted orders, these represent a risk because of your
obligations to settle all executed transactions.
GUIDELINES FOR LONG TERM INVESTORS:-
• The investor should know how to analyze the share prices of the
company & pickup the undervalued shares.
• He should follow the principle of contrariness. This means that if
everyone buying the script, he should avoid that script buy such a script
which although is deserted but has a good potential in future.
• Before investing he should undertake a deep study on the Net sales, net
profit in relation to equity capital employed and should attempt to
forecast for the coming years.
• He should not rely on tips form friends, family, brokers or they buy and
sell merely on bunches this is usually one of the fastest ways to lose a
bundle in the market.
• If they follow the market trends connately then they can deliver excellent
returns.
• He should not invest his money in one or two company because if the
companies’ prices decline, he will have to bear a huge loss.
• He set his target of minimum profit before starting his operation in the
field of stock market.
GUIDELINES FOR SPECULATORS
• Plan your trade and trade your plan.
• Avoid getting in or out of the market too often.
• Losses make the speculator studious – not profits. Take advantage of
every loss to improve your knowledge of market action.
• The most profitable trading tool is a simply following the trend.
• The most difficult task in speculation is not predication but self control
successful trading is difficult and frustrating. You are the most important
element in the success equation.
• When a markets gotten away and you’ve missed the first leg. You should
still consider jumping even if it is dangerous and difficult.
• Commodities are never high to being buying or too low to begin selling.
But after the initial transaction, avoid make a second unless the first
shows a profit.
• The clearest and easiest way to determine a trend is from previous highs
and lows. Higher highs and higher lows make a down trend.
LIMITATIONS
1. Financial statement does not represent the complete picture of the
business but merely a collection of facts, which can be expressed in
monetary terms. They may not refer ton other factors, which affect
performance.
2. Comparison of different company was based on ratios derived
from the balance sheet and profit and loss account available in grouping
and sub grouping of various items and necessary adjustments to make for
statement uniform has been done.
3. Insufficient time because of this limit period I have chosen only
top company for the sector, so that could not find out form the overall
point of view best investment opportunity in sector as there are many
other company which are best for investment purpose and best companies
for the speculators point of view.
4. I don’t have expertise knowledge in this filled so ranking given by
me may not considerable that appropriate.
5. Indian stock market is not stable it keep on fluctuating so ratio
derived today may not consider as useful tool of valuation tomorrow.
6. Ratios are calculated from the financial statements which are
affected by the financial basis and policies adopted on such matter.
7. The ranking given cannot be taken as a full proof decision due to
lack of professionalism.
8. Due to insufficient data given in the financial statements some
financial ratios could not be found out.
FINDINGS AND ANALYSIS:
This is final and most important stage in the entire process. The
objective of my project is end in this step. This will indicate the investors,
creditors and shareholders each of the companies overall operating
efficiency and performance that will help them to make more efficient
investment decision. This project has yielded me following result.
• Scripts, which are under priced and good for, buy order
• Scripts, which are over priced and good for sell with the necessary
margin of profit or capital appreciation
• Scripts, which are becoming sick and have to be disposed off
immediately.
• Scripts, which are uncertain trend and have to be held with neither buy or
sell.
EQUITY OVERVIEW
Equity shares are usually regarded as corner stone of corporate
financial resources. The ordinary shares provide a cushion of safety against
temporary unfavorable developments as the payment of dividends is not
compulsory and is depend on the discretion of management.
The reason for wide public interest in these securities is the possibility
of trading in stock exchange, free transferability, and marketability. Equity
shares constitute the ownership capital of a company and the equity holders
have the right of voting and sharing in profits and assets in proportion to his
holding in the total net assets of the company. He is entitled to all rights and
obligations as an owner and to residual profits. The dividend distributed to
them may be uncertain, variable and fluctuating. The equity holder gets his
return in the form of dividends distributed plus capital appreciation on his
shares. The dividends distributed depend upon the net earnings of the
company after meeting all expenses. This would influence the share price in
the market, which may lead to fluctuations in the prices either upward or
downward and in turn capital appreciation or depreciation.
Definition of Share:
According to section 2 (46) of the Indian Companies Act a share can
be defined as “The capital of a company and includes stock except where a
distinction between stock and share is expressed or implied.”
Farewell says that “The interest of a shareholder in the company is measured
by a sum of money, for the purpose of liability in the first place and of
interest in the second but also consisting of a series of mutual convenient
entered into by all the shareholders interest.
MERIT OF EQUITY SHARES
(v) Financing through equity shares does not impose any burden on the
company, since payment of dividend on these shares depends on the
availability of profits and the discretion of the directors.
(vi) Capital raised through equity shares is perpetual source for the
company since it is not repayable during the life time of the company. It
is repayable only in the event of company’s winding up and that too
only after the claims of preference shareholders have been met in full.
(vii) Equity shares do not carry any charge against the assets of the
company hence the capacity of the company to raise additional funds
through borrowing on the security of its assets is in no way diminished.
(viii) Financing through equity shares also provides the company with
sufficient flexibility in the utilization of its profits and funds, since
neither the payment of dividend is compulsory nor any provision is to
be made for repayment of capital.
Further, it may be noted that the extent to which you may recover
such money or property may be governed by the Bye-laws and Regulations
of NSE and the scheme of the Investors’ Protection Fund in force from time
to time.
Any dispute with the trading member with respect to deposits, margin
money, etc., and producing an appropriate proof thereof, shall be subject to
arbitration as per the Rules, Byelaws/ Regulations of NSE or its Clearing
Corporation.
2. Before you begin to trade, you should obtain a clear idea from your
trading member of all brokerage, commissions, fees and other charges which
will be levied on you for trading. These charges will affect your net cash
inflow or outflow.
3. You should exercise due diligence and comply with the following
requirements of the NSE and/or SEBI:
Please deal only with and through SEBI registered trading members
who are members of the Stock Exchange and are enabled to trade on the
Exchange. All SEBI registered trading members are given a registration no.,
which may be verified from SEBI. The details of all members of NSE and
whether they are enabled to trade may be verified from NSE website
(www.nseindia.com> Home > Members > Member Directory).
Demand any such information, details and documents from the trading
member, for the purpose of verification, as you may find it necessary to
satisfy yourself about his credentials.
Furnish all such details in full as are required by the trading member
as required in "Know your client" form, which may also include details of
PAN or Passport or Driving Licence or Voters Id, or Ration Card, bank
account and depository account, as is available with the investor.
Give any order for buy or sell of a security in writing or in such form
or manner, as may be mutually agreed. Giving instructions in writing
ensures that you have proof of your intent, in case of disputes with the
trading member.
Ensure that a contract note is issued to you by the trading member
which contains minute records of every transaction. Verify that the contract
note contains details of order no., trade number, trade time, trade price, trade
quantity, and name of security, client code allotted to you and showing the
brokerage separately. Contract notes are required to be given / sent by the
trading member to the investors latest on the next working day of the trade.
Contract note can be issued by the trading members either in electronic form
using digital signature as required, or in hard copy. In case you do not
receive a contract note on the next working day or at a mutually agreed time,
please get in touch with the Investors Grievance Cell of NSE.
Notes:
2. The term ‘trading member’ shall mean and include a member or a broker
or a stock broker, who has been admitted as such by NSE and who holds a
registration certificate as a stock broker from SEBI.