Metro Public Poll Results

Los Angeles County
Transportation Issues Survey 2016

Survey Conducted:
May 20-May 26 & May 31-June 1, 2016
220-4476
2016 Methodology
Conducted a telephone survey (landlines and cell phones)
between May 20-26, May 31-June 1, 2016
Interviews with 2,125 Los Angeles County voters likely to
vote in November 2016, including new registrants
Survey was available in English and Spanish
Margin of error for the full sample is 2.5% and half the
sample is 3.5%
Margin of error for each Metro Polling Area is 5.7% and
half for each Metro Polling Area is 8.0%
Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding
2015 Methodology
Some questions were tracked from the 2015 Metro Long
Range Transportation Random Digit Dial Telephone
Survey conducted between March 17-29, 2015
Results from the 2015 survey include only 863
respondents who self-reported they are registered to vote
in LA County and were definitely going to vote in the
November 2016 General Election
Survey was available in English and Spanish
Margin of error for the reported sample is 3.4% and half
sample is 4.8%
METRO Polling Areas

Polling Area
Largest Cities/Unincorporated Areas

included in Polling Areas
Actual
Sample
Size
Actual % of
Likely November
2016 Voters
Central
City of Los Angeles, Unincorporated Areas
306
8%
North County
Santa Clarita, Lancaster, Palmdale,

Unincorporated Areas
300
8%
San Fernando Valley
City of Los Angeles, Glendale, Burbank, Calabasas,

La Caada Flintridge, Agoura Hills, San Fernando,
Westlake Village, Unincorporated Areas
302
19%
San Gabriel Valley
Pasadena, Pomona, West Covina, Alhambra, Glendora,

Diamond Bar, El Monte, Arcadia, Montebello, Monterey
Park, Claremont, La Verne, Baldwin Park, Monrovia,
304
18%
Southbay
City of Los Angeles, Torrance, Inglewood, Redondo

Beach, Carson, Hawthorne, Rancho Palos Verdes,
Manhattan Beach, Gardena, Unincorporated Areas
303
16%
Southeast
Long Beach, Lakewood, Downey, Norwalk, Whittier,

Compton, Cerritos, Bellflower, South Gate, La Mirada,
Huntington Park, Pico Rivera, Unincorporated Area
302
16%
Westside
City of Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Culver City,

West Hollywood, Beverly Hills, Malibu,
308
15%
Key Findings
There are no statistically meaningful differences between a
50-year sunset measure and a no-sunset measure.
Initial support, after hearing just the ballot title and summary,
is within the margin of error for passage.
After educational outreach messages, support increases
above the two-thirds threshold.
Two-thirds of voters are more likely to vote for the measure
if its title is Los Angeles County Traffic Improvement Plan.
Key Findings Continued

Keeping senior, disabled and student fares affordable;
creating jobs; repairing potholes; earthquake retrofitting
bridges and improving freeway traffic flow are among the
measures most important features.
Sub-regional benefits and the need to provide transportation
options for an aging County population are among the top
reasons to be more inclined to vote yes on the measure.
Key Findings Continued

Support for Metros Ballot Measure does not appear to be
adversely affected by its placement among other LA County
measures on the ballot, whether asked about first or third.
However, since the initial level of support for the measure
was within the margin of error for passage, it would be
advisable to have the measure as high as possible on the
ballot.
Support for the Homeless Measure does not appear to be
significantly hindered by the order in which it appears on the
ballot.
The Parks Measure is clearly more vulnerable as its
placement moves farther down the ballot.
8
In 2016, a plurality perceives Los Angeles County to

be headed in the right direction; voters
are more optimistic than they were prior to
Measure R (2008) and Measure J (2012).
(Los Angeles County)
Right Direction
Wrong Track
Mixed
DK/NA
2016
47%
27%
21%
5%
2015
46%
29%
19%
6%
20%
6%
2014
42%
2012
32%
32%
2011
47%
25%
2008
51%
19%
2007
14%
59%
33%
0%
16%
20%
16%
42%
40%
17%
60%
80%
5%
10%
5%
9%
100%
Q2. Thinking about Los Angeles County in general, would you say things are going in the right direction or would you say they are off on the
wrong track?
10
11
Ballot Title and Summary for 50-Year Sunset

Sales Tax Measure and No Sunset Sales Tax Measure
Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic
50-Year Sunset Sales Tax
No Sunset Sales Tax
To improve freeway traffic flow and

safety; repave streets; synchronize
signals; earthquake retrofit bridges;
expand rail and bus systems; improve
job,
school
and
airport
connections; reduce polluted road runoff;
keep senior, disabled and student fares
affordable; create jobs; shall voters
authorize a one-half cent sales tax and
extend the current traffic relief tax for a
50-year Los Angeles County Traffic
Improvement Plan, and continue a
portion to keep the system in good
working condition, with independent
audits and oversight?
To improve freeway traffic flow and

safety; repair potholes; repave local
streets; synchronize signals; earthquake
retrofit bridges and overpasses; expand
rail, subway and bus systems; improve
job, school and connections; reduce
polluted road runoff flowing into
waterways and onto beaches; keep
senior, disabled and student fares
affordable; and create jobs, shall voters
authorize a Los Angeles County Traffic
Improvement Plan through a one-half
cent sales tax and continue the existing
one-half cent traffic relief tax with
independent audits and oversight?
Q3 & Q4. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would you vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?
12
There is no statistically significant difference between

a 50-year sunset and no sunset both scenarios
receive 64% overall support on the initial vote.
50-Year Sunset
Definitely yes
No Sunset
38%
Probably yes
19%
Undecided, lean yes
57%
8%
Undecided, lean no
3%
Probably no
6%
Definitely no
Undecided
42%
Total
Yes
64%
16%
6%
3%
Total
No
30%
21%
6%
15%
Total
No
30%
21%
6%
6%
0%
58%
Total
Yes
64%
30%
45%
60%
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
Q3 & Q4. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?
13
Similar to focus group findings, the title Los Angeles County

Traffic Improvement Plan causes the highest percentage of
voters to indicate a greater likelihood to support the measure.
(Ranked by Total More Likely to Vote Yes)
Much More Lkly.
Smwt. More Lkly.
Smwt. Less Lkly.
Los Angeles County Traffic

Improvement Plan
36%
Los Angeles County Traffic

Improvement and Safety Plan
33%
Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic
30%
Improve Transportation, Reduce Traffic
27%
^More Transportation, Ease Traffic
19%
0%
Much Less Lkly.
31%
67% 22%
11% 13% 12%
64% 24%
14% 12% 12%
62% 26%
11% 14% 13%
62% 25%
32%
24%
20%
11% 12% 11%
30%
34%
21%
40%
Total Total
More Less
DK/NA
Lkly. Lkly.
60%
22%
80%
14%
43% 43%
100%
Q7. Im going to mention a list of possible titles for the measure I just asked you about. Please tell me whether the title would make you more or
less likely to vote for it. ^Not Part of Split Sample
14
Keeping senior, disabled, and student fares affordable; creating jobs,

repairing potholes, and earthquake-retrofitting bridges are
among the most important features of the Measure.
(Ranked by Very Important 6 and 7)
(6-7) Very Impt.
^Keeping
(5) Smwt. Impt.
(4) Neut.
(1-3) Not Too/Not At All Impt.
DK Mean
Score
2016
73%
13%
5%
7%
6.0
2015
74%
12%
5%
9%
6.0
Creating jobs
73%
10%
senior, disabled, student

fares affordable
Repairing potholes
70%
Earthquake retrofitting bridges
69%
Improving freeway traffic flow
2016
79%
0%
20%
40%
6.0
7%
5.9
13% 7% 8%
5.9
15% 7% 10%
5.8
9%
6.1
14%
67%
2015
10%
6%
7%
60%
80%
100%
Q8. I am now going to mention some features and provisions of the proposed measure entitled Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic that I
asked you about earlier. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, please tell me how important it is to you that the feature or provision be
included as part of the measure. We will use a scale of one to seven, where one means NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT to you that the feature or
provision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not Part of Split Sample; Note in 2015 Keeping senior,
disabled, student fares affordable was shown as Keeping seniors, disabled and student fares low.
15
Continued
(6-7) Very Impt.
(5) Smwt. Impt.
Earthquake retrofitting bridges and

overpasses
(4) Neut.
2016
67%
2015
73%
2016
64%
2015
62%
Împroving bridge safety
Reducing polluted road runoff flowing

into waterways and onto beaches
2016
Improving job, school, and airport

connections
2016
62%
2015
64%
Improving freeway safety
DK Mean
Score
15% 7% 9%
5.8
2015
12%
15%
20%
9%
6.0
13%
5.7
15%
5.6
63%
16% 7% 11%
5.7
63%
15% 8% 12%
5.6
6%
12% 9%
70%
0%
5%
14%
17%
16%
40%
60%
12%
8% 10%
5%
80%
5.8
5.7
10% 5%
5.8
100%
provision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not Part of Split Sample; Note in 2015 Earthquake
retrofitting bridges and overpasses was shown as Earthquake retrofitting bridges, tunnels and overpasses and Reducing polluted road runoff
flowing into waterways and onto beaches was shown as Preventing polluted toxic roadway runoff from entering storm drains and flowing into
creeks, rivers and coastal waters and onto County beaches.
16
Continued
(6-7) Very Impt.
(5) Smwt. Impt.
(4) Neut.
DK Mean
Score
Requiring oversight
59%
16%
Requiring independent audits
59%
15% 7% 14%
Improving job, school, stadium and airport

connections
58%
18%
8% 14%
5.5
Expanding rail and bus systems
58%
15%
10% 13%
5.5
Requiring annual independent audits
58%
15%
9%
5.5
Reducing polluted road runoff
56%
17%
11%
0%
20%
40%
60%
8% 12%
80%
14%
14%
5%
5.6
5%
5.5
5.4
100%
provision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not Part of Split Sample
17
Importance Ratings of Potential Transportation Measure

Features and Accountability Provisions by Metro Polling Area
(Ranked by All Residents 6/7, where 1 = Not at All Important and 7= Very Important)
All
North
Central
Residents
County
Features
^Keeping senior, disabled, student
fares affordable
Creating jobs
Repairing potholes
Earthquake retrofitting bridges
Improving freeway traffic flow
Earthquake retrofitting bridges and
overpasses
Improving freeway safety
Împroving bridge safety
Reducing polluted road runoff flowing
into waterways and onto beaches
Improving job, school, and airport
connections
Repaving streets
Requiring oversight
Requiring independent audits
Improving job, school, stadium and
airport connections
SFV
SGV
South
Southeast Westside
Bay
73%
79%
68%
71%
70%
71%
78%
72%
73%
70%
69%
67%
78%
76%
66%
73%
70%
61%
72%
59%
71%
72%
70%
68%
71% 75%
65% 70%
67% 65%
58% 72%
83%
66%
71%
71%
68%
76%
73%
67%
67%
81%
62%
63%
68% 60%
70%
67%
64%
63%
66%
69%
61%
66%
65%
60%
64% 62%
61% 58%
64%
66%
63%
67%
63%
74%
55%
66%
63% 52%
67%
63%
62%
74%
56%
61%
62% 60%
56%
69%
60%
59%
59%
68%
63%
62%
50%
58%
58%
57%
57%
54%
56% 67%
64% 63%
61% 62%
67%
58%
64%
57%
52%
52%
58%
61%
55%
55%
53% 70%
66%
49%
provision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not Part of Split Sample
18
Specific, sub-regional benefits in various Polling Areas and

adequately addressing an aging populations transportation
needs are the most important reasons to support the measure.
(Ranked by Total More Inclined to Vote Yes)
Much More Incl.
Smwt. More Incl.
Asked Only Voters In Polling Area Central Los Angeles County (n=306)
(CENTRAL) This measure provides

traffic relief for all areas of the County. In central Los Angeles specifically, it helps
improve traffic flow and safety by repairing potholes, upgrading crosswalks and
sidewalks. It also funds projects that improve connections to jobs, schools and LAX
by linking the Metro Crenshaw Light Rail Line west to LAX, and extending the
Crenshaw project north to the Metro Purple Line on Wilshire and through West
Hollywood to the Metro Red Line in Hollywood. In addition, it provides an
approximately 12 mile transit connection on Vermont Avenue from 120th Street,
just south of the Metro Green Line, to Hollywood Boulevard.
(SENIOR LIMITATIONS) In the next 15 years, the number of people 65 and over in
Los Angeles County is expected to increase by 70% to over 2 million seniors. We
need to invest in van services and public transit that seniors, including veterans
and people with disabilities, can take to help them maintain their independence
and reduce the burden on their caregivers.
57%
21%
77%
45%
26% 71%
46%
23% 70%
Asked Only Voters In Polling Area San Fernando Valley (n=302) (SAN
FERNANDO VALLEY) This measure

provides traffic relief for all areas of the County. In the San Fernando Valley
specifically, it helps improve traffic flow and safety by repaving streets, repairing
potholes, synchronizing signals and earthquake retrofitting bridges. It also funds
transit projects that connect the San Fernando Valley to LAX under the Sepulveda
Pass, as well as convert the Metro Orange Line Busway to a light rail line
connecting Woodland Hills, North Hollywood, the Burbank Airport, Pasadena and
the Greater San Gabriel Valley.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Q9. I am going to mention to you some statements made by supporters of the Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic measure. Please tell
me if it makes you more inclined to vote for this ballot measure. Split Sample
19
Continued
Much More Incl.
Smwt. More Incl.
Asked Only Voters In Polling Area The South Bay (n=303) (SOUTH
BAY) This measure provides traffic

relief for all areas of the County. In the South Bay specifically, it helps improve
traffic flow and safety by repairing potholes, removing key bottlenecks on Pacific
Coast Highway, Hawthorne and Crenshaw Boulevards and Western Avenue, and
earthquake retrofitting bridges. It also funds improvements to the 405 freeways
between Florence Ave and the 110 freeways and extends the Metro Green Light
Rail Line south towards San Pedro from Redondo Beach and to the Torrance Transit
Center. Finally, it prevents polluted roadway runoff from entering storm drains and
flowing out into Los Angeles County waterways and beaches.
Asked Only Voters In Polling Area - West Los Angeles County (n=308) (WESTSIDE) This measure provides
traffic relief for all areas of the County. On the Westside of Los Angeles specifically,
it helps improve traffic flow and safety on local streets by repairing potholes,
synchronizing signals and earthquake safety upgrades to bridges and roads. It also
funds such transit projects that connect LAX to the San Fernando Valley under the
Sepulveda Pass, and extends the Metro Crenshaw LAX Light Rail Line, which is
currently under construction, to the Metro Purple Line on Wilshire and through
West Hollywood to the Metro Red Line in Hollywood.
(EXTEND TRANSIT) This measure will extend more light-rail to 20 rail lines, over 70
stations and cover 200 miles, as well as add more bus routes to build out the
County transportation system so residents can go more conveniently and more
affordably to more places.
0%
41%
30% 70%
42%
26% 68%
42%
26% 68%
20%
40%
60%
80%
20
Continued
Much More Incl.
Smwt. More Incl.
(JOBS/HELP BUSINESSES) Local economists estimate that the freeway, local street
and public transit projects alone will create tens of thousands of well-paying jobs
throughout the County. Those workers will then spend money locally, which will
generate hundreds of millions of dollars in revenues for Los Angeles Countys small,
medium and large businesses and an additional need for workers.
41%
27% 68%
(REBUILDING OUR FREEWAY SYSTEM) Most of Los Angeles Countys highway and
road system is over 60 years old and the number of cars today far exceeds what the
system was built to handle. This measure will help upgrade and modernize our
aging freeways, highways, tunnels, overpasses and bridges to match a 21st Century
economy and prepare for the hundreds of thousands of additional cars expected on
our roads over the next several decades.
41%
27% 68%
(BUILDING 21st CENTURY SYSTEM) Los Angeles Countys transportation system is

over 60 years old and does not address the needs of its residents. This measure will
finally bring our transportation system into the 21st Century by building a modern
transportation network which expands light rail, Rapid Bus, Metrolink, freeways and
highways to every corner of the County.
41%
27% 68%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
21
Continued
Much More Incl.
Smwt. More Incl.
Asked Only Voters In Polling Area Southeast Los Angeles County (N=302) (SOUTHEAST)
This measure provides traffic

relief for all areas of the County. In the southeast part of the county specifically, it helps
improve traffic flow and safety by repairing potholes, earthquake retrofitting bridges,
improving safety at rail crossings, as well as adding crosswalks and sidewalks. It also improves
connections to jobs, schools and local airports by funding projects to reduce, widen and
upgrade the I5 freeway between the 605 and the 710 bottlenecks, as well as along the 710
freeway between downtown LA and the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach and a new light
rail connection from the City of Artesia and Union Station in Downtown Los Angeles.
(LEVERAGE/ACCELERATE) Passing this transportation sales tax measure ensures that
Los Angeles County has a guaranteed source of funding to be eligible for hundreds of millions
of dollars in existing state and federal transportation matching funds, which would otherwise
go to other counties. This additional funding will speed up the completion of light rail,
subway, Metrolink, freeway, highway and local street improvements across the County.
41%
26% 68%
40% 28% 68%
^(FREE
UP TIME) The Los Angeles area has the worst traffic in the Country. A typical motorist
in Los Angeles County experienced 81 hours of delay on area freeways in 2015, which is more
than about two weeks of work. We need to continue to invest in our freeways, local roads and
public transportation to help ease traffic and allow us to claim back some hours of our life.
42% 25% 67%
(COST $24/YEAR) Local economists say this measure will only cost the average Los Angeles
County resident about $24 a year. Thats about two dollars a month, which is a small price to
pay to ease traffic and help relieve a completely overwhelmed transportation system.
41% 25% 66%
0%
20% 40% 60% 80%
me if it makes you more inclined to vote for this ballot measure. ^Not Part of Split Sample
22
Continued
Much More Incl.
Smwt. More Incl.
^(ACCOUNTABILITY) This
measure includes strict accountability requirements including an

Oversight Committee and independent annual financial and performance audits, which will be
available online and at public libraries, and all money will stay local and cannot be taken by
Sacramento.
40%
26% 66%
(SAN GABRIEL VALLEY) This measure provides traffic

relief for all areas of the County. In the San Gabriel Valley specifically, it helps improve traffic flow
and safety by repairing potholes, synchronizing signals, reducing bottlenecks, constructing
earthquake safety improvements on bridges and roads, and upgrading the 71 freeway between
the 10 and the 60 freeways. It also funds transit projects that extend the Metro Gold Light Rail
Line further east from East L.A. along the 60 freeway toward South El Monte, as well as extend the
Metro Gold Light Rail Line from the Azusa station further east through Glendora and San Dimas
toward Claremont.
42%
23% 65%
(MORE PEOPLE/CARS) By the year 2030, about one million additional people will live in
Los Angeles County. This population increase coupled with all the new drivers who will have come
of age, will add tens of thousands of new cars to our roads each day. We need this reliable source
of funding to upgrade our aging freeway and road network and build out our Countys public
transportation network, including light rail, to meet our Countys needs.
37%
27% 65%
42%
21% 63%
Asked Only Voters In Polling Area San Gabriel Valley (n=304)
Asked Only Voters In Polling Area North County (n=300)
(NORTH COUNTY) This measure provides traffic relief for all

areas of the County. In the Santa Clarita and Antelope Valleys specifically, it helps improve traffic
flow and safety by repaving streets, repairing potholes, upgrading Metrolink service and safety, as
well as crosswalks and sidewalks. It will also fund projects that reduce bottlenecks, widen and
upgrade the I5 freeway in Santa Clarita, Newhall and Castaic, as well as along the 14 freeway in
Palmdale and Lancaster. It will also fund the building of a new toll highway, known as the High
Desert Corridor, between the 14 freeway in Palmdale and 15 freeway in Victorville.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
23
Total More Inclined to Vote Yes on the Transportation Measure

after Hearing Educational Statements by Metro Polling Area
(Ranked by All Residents Total Much/Somewhat More Inclined)
All
North
Central
SFV
Residents
County
Features
Central
77%
77%
NA
NA
Senior Limitations
71%
76%
65%
San Fernando Valley
70%
NA
NA
70%
South Bay
70%
NA
NA
Westside
68%
NA
NA
Extend Transit
68%
76%
57%
Jobs/Help Businesses
68%
76%
Rebuilding Our Freeway System
68%
Building 21st Century System
SGV
NA
South
Southeast Westside
Bay
NA
NA
NA
70%
75%
63%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
70%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
68%
69% 65%
68%
70%
69%
61%
69% 63%
66%
68%
72%
74%
58%
74%
60%
74%
68%
69%
68%
72%
62%
70% 68%
65%
67%
71%
Southeast
68%
NA
NA
NA
68%
NA
Leverage/Accelerate
68%
75%
61%
71% 63%
67%
71%
67%
^Free Up Time
67%
74%
63%
70% 63%
67%
67%
68%
Cost $24/Year
66%
67%
54%
65%
71%
65%
64%
67%
Âccountability
66%
65%
66%
72% 62%
67%
66%
66%
San Gabriel Valley
65%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
More People/Cars
65%
73%
59%
64%
60%
68%
North County
63%
NA
63%
NA
NA
NA
75% 69%
NA
NA
NA
65%
62% 67%
NA
NA
24
The initial vote and vote after education results in no

statistically significant difference in support for two
alternative measures.
50-Year Sunset
Vote After
Education
Initial Vote
38%
Definitely yes
Total
19% 57% Yes
64%
Probably yes
Undecided,
lean yes
8%
Undecided,
lean no
3%
Probably no
6%
Definitely no
21%
Undecided
42%
3%
Total
No
26%
6%
21%
0%
25% 50% 75% 100%
8%
3%
Total
No
30%
4%
19%
6%
3%
25% 50% 75% 100%
Total
17% 64% Yes
72%
6%
6%
19%
47%
Total
58%
Yes
16%
64%
Total
65% Yes
19%
70%
4%
Vote After
Education
Initial Vote
46%
3%
Total
No
30%
6%
0%
No Sunset
0%
25% 50% 75% 100%
Total
No
26%
2%
0%
25% 50% 75% 100%
Q3 & Q10. (50-Year Sunset) If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?
Q4 & Q11. (No Sunset) If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?
25
26
Vote Progression for the Central Polling Area

(Combined Sunset/No Sunset)
Initial
Vote
After
Education
90%
79%
Total Yes
72%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
Total No
Undecided
30%
23%
17%
5%
3%
20%
10%
0%
Q3/Q4 combined, Q10/Q11 combined & Q13/Q14 combined. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in
favor or no to oppose it?
27
Vote Progression for the North County Polling Area

Initial
Vote
After
Education
63%
Total Yes
56%
70%
60%
50%
Total No
37%
33%
40%
30%
20%
Undecided
7%
4%
10%
0%
28
Vote Progression for the

San Fernando Valley Polling Area
Initial
Vote
After
Education
80%
71%
Total Yes
65%
70%
60%
50%
Total No
32%
40%
27%
30%
20%
Undecided
3%
3%
10%
0%
29
Vote Progression for the

San Gabriel Valley Polling Area
Initial
Vote
After
Education
80%
70%
Total Yes
70%
64%
60%
50%
Total No
32%
40%
29%
30%
20%
Undecided
4%
10%
1%
0%
Q3/Q4 combined & Q10/Q11 combined. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor
or no to oppose it?
30
Vote Progression for the South Bay Polling Area

Initial
Vote
After
Education
80%
70%
Total Yes
70%
61%
60%
50%
40%
Total No
30%
26%
30%
20%
Undecided
9%
5%
10%
0%
or no to oppose it?
31
Vote Progression for the Southeast Polling Area

Initial
Vote
After
Education
80%
71%
Total Yes
70%
63%
60%
50%
Total No
32%
40%
28%
30%
20%
Undecided
4%
10%
1%
0%
or no to oppose it?
32
Vote Progression for the Westside Polling Area

Initial
Vote
After
Education
100%
75%
Total Yes
80%
68%
60%
40%
Total No
24%
22%
20%
Undecided
8%
3%
0%
or no to oppose it?
33
Vote Progression for Supervisorial District 1

Initial
Vote
After
Education
100%
74%
Total Yes
66%
75%
50%
Total No
28%
25%
25%
Undecided
6%
2%
0%
or no to oppose it?
34

Initial
Vote
After
Education
100%
Total Yes
79%
72%
75%
50%
Total No
22%
Undecided
5%
19%
25%
3%
0%
or no to oppose it?
35

Initial
Vote
After
Education
100%
Total Yes
68%
74%
75%
50%
Total No
Undecided
26%
6%
23%
25%
3%
0%
or no to oppose it?
36

Initial
Vote
After
Education
80%
65%
Total Yes
57%
Total No
37%
60%
33%
40%
20%
Undecided
7%
2%
0%
or no to oppose it?
37

Initial
Vote
After
Education
80%
67%
Total Yes
60%
60%
Total No
35%
40%
30%
20%
Undecided
5%
3%
0%
or no to oppose it?
38
Vote Progression for

Los Angeles City vs. Balance of the County
City of Los Angeles

Initial
Vote
After
Education
Balance of the County

Initial
Vote
After
Education
90%
Total Yes
75%
69%
69%
75%
61%
60%
45%
33%
Total No
Undecided
26%
5%
29%
22%
3%
6%
30%
15%
3%
0%
or no to oppose it?
39
40
There is no statistical difference in support for the

Metro 50-year sunset Measure whether asked first
(of the three County measures on the ballot) or last.
(50-Year Sunset Sales Tax)
Total
Definitely yes
Probably yes
Undecided, lean yes
Undecided, lean no
Probably no
Definitely no
Undecided
0%
Metro Asked First

35%
38%
40%
Total
22% 57% Yes
66%
9%
Total
19% 57% Yes
64%
8%
15%
7%
2%
3%
Total
6%
No
30%
21%
Total
6%
No
32%
22%
6%
40%
60%
80%
0%
20%
Total
55% Yes
63%
4%
Total
6%
No
19% 28%
6%
20%
Metro Asked Last
5%
40%
60%
80%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Q3. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?
41
There is no statistical difference in support for the No

Sunset Transportation Sales Tax whether asked first
(of the three County measures on the ballot) or last.
(No Sunset Transportation Sales Tax)
Total
Definitely yes
Probably yes
Undecided, lean yes
Undecided, lean no
Probably no
Definitely no
Undecided
0%
Metro Asked First

40%
42%
43%
Total
16% 56% Yes
63%
6%
Total
16% 58% Yes
64%
6%
17%
5%
3%
3%
Total
6%
No
30%
21%
Total
5%
No
29%
20%
6%
40%
60%
80%
0%
20%
Total
60% Yes
65%
4%
Total
7%
No
21% 31%
6%
20%
Metro Asked Last
6%
40%
60%
80%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Q4. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?
42
43
Los Angeles County

Transportation Survey 2008
Fairbank,
Maslin,
Maullin &
Associates
Opinion Research &
Public Policy Analysis
June 2008 - Initial Measure R Vote, Votes After

Mention of Area Projects/Information & November 2008 Vote
Slide 44
(Combined)
Initial Ballot Survey

Vote
Definitely yes
36%
Probably yes
Lean yes
Lean no
Probably no
23%
6%
2%
Undecided
0%
TOTAL
YES
65%
TOTAL
NO
29%
7%
Definitely no
Survey Vote After

Projects/Services
41%
22%
6%
TOTAL
NO
27%
7%
2%
60%
80% 100% 0%
20%
TOTAL
YES
71%
67.93%
TOTAL
NO
26%
6%
18%
4%
40%
20%
18%
6%
20%
44%
TOTAL
YES
69%
Final Election
Results Nov 5, 2008
7%
2%
20%
Survey Vote After

Information
32.07%
3%
40%
60%
80% 100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80% 100%
5/6 combined/9/11. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
75%
90%
Key Takeaways
There are no statistically meaningful differences between a
50-year sunset measure and a no-sunset measure.
After educational outreach messages, support increases
above the two-thirds threshold.
June 2016 survey vote pattern is similar to June 2008
survey vote pattern the last Metro poll before the
November 2008 Election victory.
45
46

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Los Angeles County

Transportation Issues Survey 2016

METRO Polling Areas

Largest Cities/Unincorporated Areas

City of Los Angeles, Unincorporated Areas

Santa Clarita, Lancaster, Palmdale,

San Fernando Valley

City of Los Angeles, Glendale, Burbank, Calabasas,

San Gabriel Valley

Pasadena, Pomona, West Covina, Alhambra, Glendora,

City of Los Angeles, Torrance, Inglewood, Redondo

Long Beach, Lakewood, Downey, Norwalk, Whittier,

City of Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Culver City,

Key Findings Continued

Key Findings Continued

In 2016, a plurality perceives Los Angeles County to

Ballot Title and Summary for 50-Year Sunset

No Sunset Sales Tax

To improve freeway traffic flow and

To improve freeway traffic flow and

There is no statistically significant difference between

Undecided, lean yes

Similar to focus group findings, the title Los Angeles County

Smwt. More Lkly.

Smwt. Less Lkly.

Los Angeles County Traffic

Los Angeles County Traffic

Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic

Improve Transportation, Reduce Traffic

^More Transportation, Ease Traffic

Much Less Lkly.

11% 13% 12%

14% 12% 12%

11% 14% 13%

11% 12% 11%

Keeping senior, disabled, and student fares affordable; creating jobs,

(5) Smwt. Impt.

(1-3) Not Too/Not At All Impt.

senior, disabled, student

Earthquake retrofitting bridges

Improving freeway traffic flow

(5) Smwt. Impt.

Earthquake retrofitting bridges and

(1-3) Not Too/Not At All Impt.

^Improving bridge safety

Reducing polluted road runoff flowing

Improving job, school, and airport

Improving freeway safety

(5) Smwt. Impt.

(1-3) Not Too/Not At All Impt.

Requiring independent audits

Improving job, school, stadium and airport

Expanding rail and bus systems

Requiring annual independent audits

Reducing polluted road runoff

Importance Ratings of Potential Transportation Measure

Specific, sub-regional benefits in various Polling Areas and

Smwt. More Incl.

(CENTRAL) This measure provides