Research
Research
Research
TECHNIQUE: Simple Statistical Analysis to Check the Effect of the Years and Months
on the Observed Temperature.
Objectives:
Check the effect of the years on the observed temperature
Check the effect of the months on the observed temperature
Check the effect of the years and months on the observed temperature (2-way
ANOVA)
2
SSTotal oijk
CF
i 1 j 1 k 1
o
i 1 j 1 k 1
CF
2
ijk
693390
(12856) 2
480
CF
T...2
myr
Ti..2
CF
i 1 yr
m
SS m
1
SS m
40
1071
i 1
SS m 344829 344327
SSm 502
y
SS y
j 1
SS y
T. 2j .
mr
24
CF
648
i 1
SS y 344652.7 344327
SS y 325
m
SS my
i 1 j 1
SSmy
Tij2.
CF SS m SS y
53
i 1
SS Err oijk2
i 1 j 1 k 1
i 1 j 1
Tij2.
r
Source of
Variation
Degree of
Freedom
Sum of
Squares
Mean Square
Year (y)
Month
(m)
Interactio
n (my)
(y-1)
SSy
(m-1)
SSm
(y-1)(m-1)
SSym
Error
ym(r-1)
SSErr
Total
ymr-1
SSTotal
Source of
Variation
Year (y)
Month
(m)
Interactio
n (my)
Error
Total
Degree of
Freedom
19
Sum of
Squares
325
11
502
45.6364
209
1541
7.3732
240
479
346695
349063
1444.5625
F-Ratio
Fy= MSy / MSErr
Fm= MSm / MSErr
Fym= MSym /
MSErr
Mean Square
F-Ratio
17.1053
0.0118
( y 1)
19
Fym
( r 1) F240 1.57
( m 1)
11
Fym
( r 1) F240 1.79
( y 1)( m 1)
209
Fym
F240
1.00
( r 1)
0.0316
0.0051
Year
S/N
Max._Tem
p (yi)
Min._Tem
p (xi)
yi xi
xi2
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
31.4
31
30.8
31.2
30.5
31.2
31.3
30.8
30.3
30.9
31.3
31.8
31.1
32
31.8
31.3
31.7
31.9
32.1
31.4
22.6
22.8
21.7
22.7
22.6
22
22.3
22.3
22.5
22.2
22.5
23.3
22.7
23.3
23
22.7
22.8
22.4
22.5
22.8
Total
625.8
451.7
709.64
706.8
668.36
708.24
689.3
686.4
697.99
686.84
681.75
685.98
704.25
740.94
705.97
745.6
731.4
710.51
722.76
714.56
722.25
715.92
14135
.46
510.76
519.84
470.89
515.29
510.76
484
497.29
497.29
506.25
492.84
506.25
542.89
515.29
542.89
529
515.29
519.84
501.76
506.25
519.84
10204
.51
XY
i 1
i 1
X
i 1
2
i
i 1
i 1
i i
X Y
S xy
S xx
0 Y 1 X
S xy 14135.46
(625.8* 451.7)
20
S xy 14135.46 14133.69
S xy 1.77
S xx 10204.51
451.7
20
S xx 10204.51 10201.64
S xx 2.87
1.77
2.87
1 0.6167
625.8
451.7
0.6167
20
20
0 31.29 0.6167(22.59)
0 31.29 13.93
0 17.36
Yi 0 1 X i
Yi 17.36 0.6167 X i
Predicted
Max._Temp
(pyi)
Error
(Err) = (yi
- pyi)
(Err)2
510.76
31.297
0.103
0.011
706.8
668.36
519.84
470.89
31.421
30.742
-0.421
0.058
0.177
0.003
22.7
22.6
708.24
689.3
515.29
510.76
31.359
31.297
-0.159
-0.797
0.025
0.636
31.2
31.3
22
22.3
686.4
697.99
484
497.29
30.927
31.112
0.273
0.188
0.074
0.035
8
9
30.8
30.3
22.3
22.5
686.84
681.75
497.29
506.25
31.112
31.236
-0.312
-0.936
0.098
0.876
10
30.9
22.2
685.98
492.84
31.051
-0.151
0.023
Year
S/N
Max._Temp
(yi)
Min._Temp
(xi)
yi xi
xi
1987
31.4
22.6
709.64
1988
1989
2
3
31
30.8
22.8
21.7
1990
1991
4
5
31.2
30.5
1992
1993
6
7
1994
1995
1996
1997
11
31.3
22.5
704.25
506.25
31.236
0.064
0.004
1998
1999
12
13
31.8
31.1
23.3
22.7
740.94
705.97
542.89
515.29
31.729
31.359
0.071
-0.259
0.005
0.067
2000
2001
14
15
32
31.8
23.3
23
745.6
731.4
542.89
529
31.729
31.544
0.271
0.256
0.073
0.065
2002
2003
16
17
31.3
31.7
22.7
22.8
710.51
722.76
515.29
519.84
31.359
31.421
-0.059
0.279
0.003
0.078
2004
2005
18
19
31.9
32.1
22.4
22.5
714.56
722.25
501.76
506.25
31.174
31.236
0.726
0.864
0.527
0.747
2006
20
31.4
22.8
715.92
519.84
31.421
-0.021
0.000
Total
625.8
451.7
14135.46
10204.51
SS Err
n2
3.528
20 2
2 0.196
n
Var ( 0 )
2 X i2
i 1
nS xx
Var ( 0 )
0.196*10204.51
20* 2.87
Var ( 0 )
2000.08
57.4
Var ( 0 ) 34.84
3.528
2
Var ( 1 )
S xx
0.196
Var ( 1 )
2.87
Var ( 1 ) 0.0683