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VANCOUVER POLICE DEPARTMENT

REPORT TO THE VANCOUVER POLICE BOARD

REPORT DATE: October 3, 2016


BOARD MEETING DATE: October 20, 2016
BOARD REPORT # 1610P01
Regular
TO:

Vancouver Police Board

FROM:

Drazen Manojlovic, Director, Planning, Research & Audit Section

SUBJECT:

Q3 Year-to-Date 2016 Key Performance Indicators Report

RECOMMENDATION:
That the Vancouver Police Board receives this report for information.

BACKGROUND:
The Key Performance Indicators (KPI) report is produced quarterly. Amongst other statistics,
this report reviews property crime, violent crime, apprehensions under section 28 of the Mental
Health Act (MHA), priority 1 response time, ICBC reported traffic injuries and motor vehicle
incidents resulting in death. This report is produced to provide a macro-level perspective of
organizational performance and overall public safety.

DISCUSSION:
The following is a summary of the Q3 Year-to-Date (YTD) 2016 KPI Report (note with the
exception of motor vehicle collisions with injury, all results compare January 1 to September 30,
2016, with the results for the same time period in 2015):
Violent Crime
Violent crimes increased by 1.8%
There were nine incidents of Culpable Homicide in 2016 compared to 15 in 2015
Sexual offences increased by 2.8%
There were 39 bank robbery incidents in 2016 compared to 22 in 2015
There were 18 shots fired calls in 2016 compared to seven in 2015
Property Crime
Property crimes increased by 18.6%
B&E - Business incidents increased by 15.1%
B&E - Residence incidents decreased -3.3%
Thefts from motor vehicles increased by 39.3%

Section 28 MHA Apprehensions


The number of s. 28 MHA apprehensions decreased by 2.2%.
Priority 1 Response Time
The average priority 1 response time for the first three quarters of 2016 was 9 minutes and 43
seconds (09:43), which is an increase of 3.7%, or 21 seconds slower, when compared to the
2015 priority 1 response time (09:22).
Traffic Injuries & Deaths
As with previous reports, ICBC-provided motor vehicle collision with injury data is one quarter
behind as compared to other data in this report. However, at this time, Q2 2016 data is not
available. With respect to Q1, ICBC data shows that reported injury collisions are up 12.2%
when comparing Q1 2015 (2,294) to Q1 2016 (2,574).
There were 13 fatalities by Q3 YTD 2016 compared to 11 by Q3 YTD 2015.

CONCLUSION:
The remainder of this report provides more detailed information of each KPI. The VPD will
provide the Vancouver Police Board with the remaining 2016 KPI report (year-end 2016) in
February, 2017.

Author: Correen Yedon

Telephone:

604-717-2689

Date: October 3, 2016

Submitting Executive Member (signature):


Senior Director Nancy Eng

Date:

October 11, 2016

VIOLENT CRIME
Table 1 shows the number of violent crime incidents that occurred between January and
September 2016 is up 1.8% when compared to the same period last year.
Table 1: Violent Crime Incidents Q3 YTD 2016 Compared to Q3 YTD 2015

Incidents

Jan-Sept 2016

Jan-Sept 2015

3,695

3,630

% Change

1.8%

The VPD also monitors other trends such as Bank Robbery incidents (included in Robbery
totals) and confirmed Shots Fired incidents. The following figures show the total number of
incidents from January to September since 2007. All figures are showing an overall decrease
as represented by their trend lines with the exception of Sexual Offences.
Figure 1: Selected Violent Crime Incidents Q3 YTD 2007-2016

Number of Culpable Homicides

Culpable Homicides
20

19
16

16

15

15

11

10

7
4

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

January to September

Sexual Offences
Number of Incidents

400

320

300

296

365

324

331

322

306

2009

2010

2011

2012

305

319

328

2014

2015

2016

200
100
0
2007

2008

2013

January to September

Bank Robberies
136

Number of Incidents

150
120

98

90

71

83
56

60

65
42

30

13

22

39

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Number of Shots Fired

January to September

50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0

Shots Fired Incidents

45
32

28

11

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

18

16

15

2013

2014

2015

2016

January to Septemter

Figure 2 shows that the Violent Crime Rate has declined four consecutive years since 2011
(10.3) and 2015 (7.7) experienced the lowest violent crime rate since prior to 2006. The blue
bars represent the target rates set in the 2008-2012 and 2012-2016 Strategic Plans with a 2.0%
and 2.5% annual target decrease respectively. The dashed line represents the 2006 baseline
rate (11.6) showing how violent crime has regressed over the past 10 years and since the start
of the 2008-2012 Strategic Plan.
Figure 2: 2006-2015 Trend for the Violent Crime Rate

Violent Crime Rate per 1,000 Population

14

11.6

12
10
8
6

11.6

11.1

11.1

10.7

10.1

10.3

9.4

9.0

7.9

7.7

2
10.9

0
2006

2007

2008

10.7
2009

Strat Plan Target Rate

10.5
2010

10.3
2011

Actual Rate

10.0
2012

9.7
2013

9.4
2014

9.1
2015

2006 Baseline Rate

PROPERTY CRIME
Table 2 shows the number of property crime incidents that occurred between January and
September 2016; it is up 18.6% when compared to the same period last year.
Table 2: Property Crime Incidents Q3 YTD 2016 Compared to Q3 YTD 2015

Jan-Sept 2016

Jan-Sept 2015

31,118

26,242

Incidents

% Change

18.6%

Figure 3 breaks down the first nine months of each year for Break & Enters into business and
residences and thefts from motor vehicles since 2007. B&E Business increased from 1,715
incidents in 2015 to 1,974 in 2016, which is a 15.1% increase. With respect to residential B&Es,
there were 1,641 incidents in 2015 and 1,587 in 2016, a decrease of 3.3%. During the same
time period, there were 6,810 incidents of Theft from Motor Vehicle in 2015 compared to 9,484
incidents in 2016, an increase of 39.3%.
Figure 3: Selected Property Crime Incidents Q3 YTD 2007-2016

Break & Enter - Business


Number of Incidents

2,500
2,000

1,950

1,755
1,425

1,500

1,261

1,555
1,209

1,303

2012

2013

1,599

1,715

2014

2015

1,974

1,000
500
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2016

January to September

Break & Enter - Residence


Number of Incidents

3,500

3,127

3,000

2,741

2,500
2,000

1,959

1,911

2009

2010

1,956

1,813

1,777

1,646

1,641

1,587

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

1,500
1,000
500
0
2007

2008

January to September

Theft from Motor Vehicle (<>$5K)


Number of Incidents

10,000

9,251

8,000

9,484
8,197

7,383
6,135

6,000

5,491

5,788

5,602

2011

2012

2013

7,101

6,810

2014

2015

4,000
2,000
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2016

January to September

As shown in Figure 4, the property crime rate experienced five consecutive annual decreases
from 2006 (82.4) to 2011 (49.8). Unfortunately, property crime has increased four years in a
row from 2011 (49.8) to 2015 (56.5). The blue bars represents the property crime reduction
goal set in the last three Strategic Plans with a 4.0%, 4.0%, and 5.0% annual target decrease
respectively. As illustrated, for the second time in a row since 2005, the VPD did not achieve its
yearly property crime rate goal (45.0) as set out by the 2012-2016 Strategic Plan. The dashed
line represents the 2006 baseline rate (76.5) showing how property crime has progressed over
the past ten years.

Property Crime Rate per 1,000 Population

Figure 4: 2006-2015 Trend for the Property Crime Rate

76.5

90
75
60
45
76.5
30

66.9

62.7

56.3

51.9

49.8

50.0

50.2

55.0

56.5

15
0

82.4
2006

78.7
2007

74.9

71.2

2008

Strat Plan Target Rate

2009

67.5
2010

63.7
2011

Actual Rate

59.0
2012

54.3
2013

49.7
2014

45.0
2015

2006 Baseline Rate

S. 28 MENTAL HEALTH ACT APPREHENSIONS


Under Section 28 of the Mental Health Act (MHA), a police officer may apprehend and
immediately take a person to a physician for examination if satisfied that the person is acting in
a manner likely to endanger themselves or others, and is apparently a person with a mental
disorder.
Table 3 shows there has been a 2.2% decrease in the number of apprehensions when
comparing January to September 2016 to the same time last year.
Table 3: s. 28 MHA Apprehensions, Q3 YTD 2016 Compared to Q3 YTD 2015

Incidents

Jan-Sept 2016

Jan-Sept 2015

2,201

2,251

% Change

2.2%

The s. 28 MHA apprehension data is extracted from hospital wait time templates. Figure 5
shows the number of s. 28 MHA apprehensions that occurred from Q3 2010 (1,699) to Q3 2016
(2,201). The last two years have seen a decrease in MHA apprehensions where Q3 2016
experienced 50 fewer incidents than 2015.
Figure 5: s. 28 MHA Apprehensions Q3 YTD 2010-2016

Number of Apprehensions

2,500
2,000

1,699

1,852

1,923

2011

2012

2,158

2,293

2,251

2,201

2014

2015

2016

1,500
1,000
500
0
2010

2013
January to September

Figure 6 shows the number of s. 28 MHA apprehensions that occurred from 2010 (2,278) to
2015 (3,045). Each year has experienced an increase in s. 28 MHA apprehensions; however, it
appears that the number of apprehensions is beginning to level off.
Figure 6: s. 28 MHA Apprehensions 2010-2015

Number of Apprehensions

3,500
2,750

2,278

2,489

2,636

2,873

3,010

3,045

2014

2015

2,000
1,250
500
-250

2010

2011

2012

2013

10

PRIORITY 1 RESPONSE TIMES


Table 4 shows year to date the average priority 1 response time for the first three quarters of
2016 was 9 minutes and 43 seconds (09:43), which is an increase of 3.7%, or 21 seconds
slower, when compared to the average 2015 Q1-Q3 priority 1 response time (09:22).
Table 4: Priority 1 Response Times Q3 YTD 2016 Compared to Q3 YTD 2015
Jan-Sept 2016

Jan-Sept 2015

09:43

09:22

mm:ss

% Change

3.7%

Figure 7 shows Q3 response times between 2007 and 2016. Since 2011, there have been
consistent year over year increases, with 2016 having the highest Q3 response time in the past
10 years.
Figure 7: P1 Response Times Q3 YTD 2007-2016

Response Times (mm:ss)

11:31
09:09
08:38

08:36

07:46

08:46

08:16

08:33

2011

2012

09:00

09:04

09:22

09:43

2013

2014

2015

2016

05:46
02:53
00:00
2007

2008

2009

2010

January to September

11

Figure 8 shows response times between 2006 and 2015. The average response times over the
course of a year have increased annually since 2011.
Figure 8: P1 Year-End Response Times 2006-2015
11:31
Response Times (mm:ss)

10:05

09:41

09:01

08:38

08:37

08:00

08:44

08:59

09:10

09:29

08:17

08:38

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

07:12
05:46
04:19
02:53
01:26
00:00
2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

12

TRAFFIC RELATED INJURIES & DEATHS


The Insurance Corporation of British Columbia (ICBC) implemented a new claims system and
has submitted data as far back as January 1, 2014. However, due to issues with ICBCs
systems, data is still not available for Q2 2016. The most recent data is noted below.
Table 5 shows the number of ICBC reported injuries and fatalities reported between January
and March 2016 is up 12.2% when compared to the same period last year. (As with previous
reports, ICBC-provided motor vehicle collision with injury data is one quarter behind as
compared to other data in this report).
Table 5: ICBC Reported Injuries & Fatalities Q1 YTD 2016 Compared to Q1 YTD 2015

Incidents

Jan-Mar 2016

Jan-Mar 2015

2,574

2,294

% Change

12.2%

Figure 9 illustrates the number of ICBC 1 reported injuries from Q1 2014 to Q1 2016. ICBC
reported two consecutive increases from Q1 2014 (2,114) to Q1 2016 (2,574).
Figure 9: Q1 YTD ICBC Reported Injuries & Fatalities 2014-2016

3,000

ICBC incidents

2,500

2,294

2,114

2,574

2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2014

2015

2016

January to March

ICBC is one quarter behind in reporting the data to the VPD.

13

Figure 10 depicts the number of ICBC reported injuries from 2014 (9,780) to 2015 (10,231). This
represents a 4.6% increase from 2014 to 2015.
Figure 10: ICBC Year-End Reported Injuries & Fatalities 2014-2015

12,000
10,000
ICBC incidents

10,231

9,780

8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2014

2015

Figure 11 compares January to September traffic fatalities from 2007 to 2016. Year to date
there have been 13 fatalities in 2016. Although there has been an increase in fatalities over the
past two years, overall the trend line shows a decrease in these incidents.

# of Fatals

Figure 11: Q3 YTD Traffic Fatalities 2007-2016


18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

16

15
13

12

13

14

2007

2008

2009

13
11

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

January to September

14

Figure 12 shows there were 14 fatalities involving a motor vehicle in 2015. This is down one
incident when compared to 2014. Since 2008 the annual number of fatalities has been between
10 and 19, down from the years of 2006 to 2007. Overall, the city of Vancouver has seen a
three year decrease in traffic fatalities.
Figure 12: 10-Year Trend for Traffic Fatalities
30
25

25

25
19

# of Fatals

20

19
16

16

15

13

15

14

10

10
5
0
2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

15

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