The document discusses four theories of term structure of interest rates: 1) Pure Expectation Theory which explains the yield curve based on expected short-term rates but assumes no investor preference, 2) Market Segmentation Theory which states that yields are determined by supply and demand within maturity markets, 3) Liquidity Preference Theory where investors demand higher yields on longer-term securities due to greater interest rate risk, and 4) Preferred Habitat Theory where investors prefer certain maturity lengths and require a risk premium for other maturities.
The document discusses four theories of term structure of interest rates: 1) Pure Expectation Theory which explains the yield curve based on expected short-term rates but assumes no investor preference, 2) Market Segmentation Theory which states that yields are determined by supply and demand within maturity markets, 3) Liquidity Preference Theory where investors demand higher yields on longer-term securities due to greater interest rate risk, and 4) Preferred Habitat Theory where investors prefer certain maturity lengths and require a risk premium for other maturities.
The document discusses four theories of term structure of interest rates: 1) Pure Expectation Theory which explains the yield curve based on expected short-term rates but assumes no investor preference, 2) Market Segmentation Theory which states that yields are determined by supply and demand within maturity markets, 3) Liquidity Preference Theory where investors demand higher yields on longer-term securities due to greater interest rate risk, and 4) Preferred Habitat Theory where investors prefer certain maturity lengths and require a risk premium for other maturities.
The document discusses four theories of term structure of interest rates: 1) Pure Expectation Theory which explains the yield curve based on expected short-term rates but assumes no investor preference, 2) Market Segmentation Theory which states that yields are determined by supply and demand within maturity markets, 3) Liquidity Preference Theory where investors demand higher yields on longer-term securities due to greater interest rate risk, and 4) Preferred Habitat Theory where investors prefer certain maturity lengths and require a risk premium for other maturities.
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4 Term Structure Theory of Interest Rate
Pure Expectation Theory
The theory explains the yield curve in terms of expected short-term rates. It is based on the idea that the two-year yield is equal to a one-year bond today plus the expected return on a one-year bond purchased one year from today. The one weakness of this theory is that it assumes that investors have no preference when it comes to different maturities and the risks associated with them. Market Segmentation Theory The major conclusion drawn from market segmentation theory and applied to investing is that yield curves are determined by supply and demand forces within each separate market, or category, of debt security maturities, and that the yields for one category of maturities cannot be used to predict the yields for securities within a different maturity market. Market segmentation theory is also known as the segmented markets theory. It is based on the belief that the market for each segment of bond maturities is largely populated by investors with a particular preference for investing in securities within that maturity time frame short-term, intermediate-term or long-term. Liquidity Preference Theory This theory states that investors want to be compensated for interest rate risk that is associated with long-term issues. Because of the longer maturity, there is a greater price volatility associated with these securities. The structure is determined by the future expectations of rates and the yield premium for interest-rate risk. Because interest-rate risk increases with maturity, the yield premium will also increase with maturity. The liquidity preference theory suggests that an investor demands a higher interest rate, or premium, on securities with long-term maturities, which carry greater risk, because all other factors being equal, investors prefer cash or other highly liquid holdings. According to the liquidity preference theory, interest rates on short-term securities are lower because investors are sacrificing less liquidity than they do by investing in medium-term or long-term securities. Preferred Habitat Theory A term structure theory suggesting that different bond investors prefer one maturity length over another and are only willing to buy bonds outside of their maturity preference if a risk premium for the maturity range is available. The theory also suggests that when all else is equal investors prefer to hold short-term bonds in place of long-term bonds and that the yields on longer term bonds should be higher than shorter term bonds.
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