Option Pricing of Crude Oil.
Option Pricing of Crude Oil.
Option Pricing of Crude Oil.
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Using an Options Pricing Model vega. Delta and gamma relate to how the value
of the option changes as it moves in and out of
For exchange-traded options, pricing models the money, as determined by changes in the
such as our proprietary PositionBook software price of the underlying commodity. Theta
are used for two main purposes: (1) by option concerns itself with measuring the impact of
market-makers to determine the prices they are time on the value of the option. Vega is our
willing to buy and sell options; and (2) by option measure of the impact of changes in volatility.
traders to measure the risks involved in various Each of these measures calculates the impact
types of option-based strategies. In this article on option value holding everything else constant
we will concern ourselves only with the latter. (i.e., ceteris paribus).
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gapping, as a delta-neutral strategy fails to The following hypothetical crude oil example is
properly replicate a long option position. based on calculations performed by our
proprietary PositionBook software. In this
The Options Book Concept position we are short calls and long puts, the
type of collar that energy producers commonly
While you can get a pretty good intuitive feel of use. The notional size of this position is 740,000
the pricing dynamics of a simple option position, bbl (740 contracts), but our combined delta-
this quickly evaporates when you start getting a equivalent is only short 59,693 bbl, or about 60
few different options on the books. This is why, contracts. Note that both the short calls and
after more than twenty five years of dealing long puts have a negative delta, as they are
with options, I believe that nothing brings the both essentially short positions (i.e., they
Greeks to life better than the concept of an benefit if the price goes down and lose if the
options book. An options book involves price goes up). The important thing to
combining all of your positions and expressing understand is that the delta-equivalent is a
the Greeks in terms of their position- better indicator of the size of your position than
equivalents. The nice thing about this is that the notional.
the position-equivalent Greeks are additive,
thus allowing you to calculate your net Note that our short calls have a combined
combined position. positive theta of $575/day. Since we are short
these calls, we are earning time value of
Short 100 $ 120 Jun Call 128 $ 93.11 - 100,000 - 2,018 - 474 $ 212 -$ 2,987
Short 120 $ 130 Aug Call 191 $ 91.78 - 120,000 - 1,556 - 310 $ 144 -$ 3,004
Short 150 $ 130 Dec Call 314 $ 89.25 - 150,000 - 3,630 - 551 $ 219 -$ 7,812
Long 100 $ 80 Jun Put 128 $ 93.11 - 100,000 - 12,660 1,492 -$ 1,067 $ 11,691
Long 120 $ 75 Aug Put 191 $ 91.78 - 120,000 - 13,633 1,324 -$ 999 $ 15,650
Long 150 $ 75 Dec Put 314 $ 89.25 - 150,000 - 26,196 1,968 -$ 1,144 $ 32,219
Total 740 - 740,000 - 59,693 3,449 -$ 2,635 $ 45,757
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$575/day. Our long puts have a combined negative One very important point to remember is
theta of $3,210/day, meaning that we are incurring that the option Greeks are dynamic in nature,
time decay of this amount on these puts. Since we meaning that their values change as time
are both long puts and short calls in our overall passes, volatility changes and the underlying
position, the positive theta on the short calls offsets futures price moves up and down. So while
the negative theta on the long puts, so our the Greeks are great analytical tools, they are
combined theta is -$2,635/day. So overall, we are no replacement for sensitivity analysis and
incurring time decay of about $2,635/day for stress testing of your position. v
holding this position.
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