Economics of Family
Economics of Family
Economics of Family
Family Economics
January 2011
ii
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Contents
Introduction 3
List of Tables
1.1 Marital Status of Men and Women, over 20 Years Old, in
different Countries and Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
1.2 Cohabitation in the US and Denmark by Age of the House-
hold Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
1.3 Household Arrangements, Denmark 2000 . . . . . . . . . . . 32
1.4 Household Arrangements, USA, 2000-2005 . . . . . . . . . . 33
1.5 Marital History by Age and Sex, US, 2001 (percents) . . . . 33
1.6 Marital History, US, of the 1931-36 and 1937-41 Birth Cohorts 34
1.7 Marital History of the NLS Panel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
1.8 Individuals Living Alone, various countries . . . . . . . . . . 35
1.9 Individuals Living Alone, Denmark . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
1.10 Hours of Work and Leisure per Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
1.11 Hours per Day of Home Production, Childcare and Shopping 37
1.12 Labor Force Participation of Women and Men in Ten Countries 38
1.13 Marital Status at Age 35, by Gender and Education at Age 35 38
1.14 Years of Schooling at Marriage and at Age 35, by Gender
and Marital Status at Age 35 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
1.15 Completed Fertility for Two US Cohorts . . . . . . . . . . . 39
1.16 Living Arrangements of U.S. Children, Aged less than 18,
by Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
1.17 Child Support and Alimony Received by Mothers with Chil-
dren 0-18 (in 1982-84 dollars) by Mother’s Age and Time
Period . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
1.18 Consumption Through Life Stages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
1.19 Descriptive Regression for Log Nondurable Consumption . . 41
List of Figures
1.1 Marriage Rates for Selected Countries. Source: Eurostat. . . 42
1.2 Divorce Rates for Selected Countries. Source: Eurostat. . . 43
1.3 Marriage and Divorce Rates, US 1940-2002. Source: National
Center of Health Statistics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
1.4 Marriage, Divorce and Remarriage Rates, US 1921-1989.
Source: National Center of Health Statistics. . . . . . . . . . 45
1.5 Entry into First Marriage, US, HRS Cohort. Source: Health
and Retirement Survey, 1992 Wave. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
1.6 Entry into First Marriage, US, NLS Panel. Source: National
Longitudinal Survey, Youth,1979. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
1.7 Hazard of Divorce for two Birth Cohorts, US. Source: Na-
tional Longitudinal Survey, Health and Retirement Survey. 48
1.8 Hazard of Reamarriage, US. Source: National Longitudinal
Survey, Health and Retirement Survey. . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
1.9 Households by Type: Selected Years, US. Source: US Census. 50
1.10 Households by Size, Selected Years, US. Source: US Census. 51
1.11 Full-Time Workers, by Marital Status and Sex, US Birth
Cohort 1945-54. Source: Current Population Surveys. . . . . 52
1.12 Full-Time Workers, by Marital Status and Sex, US Birth
Cohort 1960—69. Source: Current Population Surveys. . . . 53
1.13 Full-Time Female Workers, by Marital Status and Child, US
Birth Cohort 1945-54. Source: Current Population Surveys. 54
1.14 Full-Time Female Workers, by Marital Status and Child, US
Birth Cohort 1960-69. Source: Current Population Surveys. 55
1.15 Work Patterns of Husbands and Wives (Aged 40-60). Source:
Current Population Surveys. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
1.16 Work Patterns of Husbands and Wives (Aged 30-40). Source:
Current Population Surveys. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
1.17 Weekly Wages of FT Workers, by Marital Status and Sex,
US Birth Cohort 1945-54. Source: Current Population Surveys. 58
1.18 Weekly Wages of FT Workers, by Marital Status and Sex,
US Birth Cohort 1960-69. Source: Current Population Surveys. 59
1.19 Log Wages Differnces between Married and Singles, by Sex,
US 1968—2005. Source: Current Population Surveys. . . . . 60
1.20 Women Working Full Time, by Marital Status, US 1968—2005. 61
1.21 Age Differences between Husbands and Wives, US 1968-
2005. Source: Current Population Surveys. . . . . . . . . . . 62
1.22 Age Pyramid , US 1950. Source: US Census. . . . . . . . . . 63
xii
Introduction
The existence of a nuclear family is to a large extent dictated by nature.
According to Aristotle (Politics, Book1 part 2) "there must be a union of
those who cannot exist without each other; namely, of male and female,
that the race may continue (and this is a union which is formed, not of
deliberate purpose, but because, in common with other animals and with
plants, mankind have a natural desire to leave behind them an image of
themselves)". However, families are also economic units that share con-
sumption, coordinate work activities, accumulate wealth and invest in chil-
dren. Indeed, Aristotle adds that "The family is the association established
by nature for the supply of men’s everyday wants".
Economists’ interest in the family dates back to Cantillon (1730), Smith
(1776) and Malthus (1798). These authors investigated the connections
between economic circumstances and the size of the population. In partic-
ular, they discussed the subsistence wage and family size that can support
a stable work force over time, including the current workers and their de-
scendants that will replace them.1 The main economic decision discussed
in this context was the timing of marriage as a means to control fertility.2
Later writers, including Mill (1848) and Le Play (1855), have shifted atten-
tion to the impact of the family on the standard of living of its members,
via self production, insurance and redistribution of family resources. An
important issue in this context was the allocation of bequests among sib-
lings, which can affect marriage patterns, the incentives of children (and
parents) to work and save and the distribution of wealth in society.3
The role of the family has changed drastically in recent times. In mod-
ern societies, individuals can enter marriage and exit out of it almost at
1 "A man must always live by his work, and his wages must at least be sufficient to
maintain him. They must even upon most occasions be somewhat more; otherwise it
would be impossible for him to bring up a family, and the race of such workmen could
not last beyond the first generation." (Smith, 1776, p. 67).
2 "Universally, the practice of mankind on the subject of marriage has been much
superior to their theories; and however frequent may have been the declamations on the
duty of entering into this state, and the advantage of early unions to prevent vice, each
individual has practically found it necessary to consider of the means of supporting a
family, before he ventured to take so important a step." Malthus (1798, Book 4, Chapter
14).
3 Based on his empirical study of family budgets, Le Play (1872) argued that the
insurance role of the family, is better served by the British system of inheritance that
allows a flexible allocation of bequests than by the French system that imposes equal
division.
4
will, avoiding pregnancy is easy, child mortality is low, and both singles
and married partners can choose whether or not to have children. Due to
technological changes, the importance of the family as productive unit has
declined sharply and it has become much more common for both husband
and wife to work in the labor market. There is higher turnover and some
individuals transit through several marriages, being single during a larger
part of their life time. As marriages break and new marriages are formed,
the traditional division of labor between husbands and wives, especially in
taking care of the children, is put under pressure and transfers between ex-
spouses and custody arrangements are required to maintain the welfare of
children under variable family arrangements. Despite the higher turnover,
and the changing household roles, marriage patterns in modern societies
have some sustainable features, the most notable of which is the high cor-
relation in the schooling attainments of husband and wives.
A unified approach to the family which is applicable to modern societies
was first provided by Gary Becker (1973, 1974, 1991). This approach ties
within family allocations of time and goods to the aggregate patterns of
marriage and divorce. The important insight of Becker’s approach is that
when each man (woman) can choose among several alternative spouses,
competition over spouses matters. Then, the options of each particular
person willing to marry depend on whether individuals of the opposite sex
are willing to marry him\her. Therefore, an equilibrium concept must be
applied such that in existing marriages, no one wants to become single or
wants and can replace the current spouse. This broader perspective can
address the stability of alternative matching profiles in the society at large
and ultimately explain the assortative matching patterns and high marital
turnover that one observes in modern societies. Thus, assortative matching
by schooling in the society can be linked to the fact that within households,
the schooling of husband and wife complement each other.
Our book builds on Becker’s work and the subsequent literature in em-
pirical and theoretical family economics. There are two major strands to
the recent economics literature on the family: what happens inside existing
unions and who marries whom. Although the two strands of the literature
have obvious mutual implications and sometimes meet, they are largely
distinct (as can be seen from the largely disjoint set of contributors to the
two strands). A principal aim of the book is to move forward the merging
of the two strands (as well as providing a state of the art discussion of the
two strands). Accordingly, we divide the book into two parts. The first part
covers the decision making within families; the second part of the book ex-
amines the aggregate patterns in the marriage market and how the actions
of different couples are interrelated.
Given the current, active state of the field, several different modeling
strategies exist. Concerning the behavior of families, we explicitly recog-
nize that spouses in marriage care about each other and their common
children and yet may have conflicting interests. This situation allows for
5
were affected by the rising investments in schooling and the higher labor
force participation of women. The subsequent chapters are then divided
into two parts; the first part (chapters 2-6) provides a micro level analysis
of family behavior and the second part (chapters 7-11) provides a macro
level analysis of marriage patterns and their welfare implications.
Chapter 2, addresses the question ‘why marry’ and we discuss several
broad sources of potential material gains from marriage, such as sharing
consumption and coordination of work and investment decisions. Chapter
3 provides a basic theoretical framework for the analysis of family behav-
ior. The framework is intentionally broad, including features such as altru-
ism, public and private goods and interaction of several family members
(including children) who may act independently or cooperatively. We com-
pare the traditional "unitary" model that treats the family as if it is a
single decision maker to alternative models that allow family members to
have different views on the decisions that are to be made. We present both
non-cooperative and cooperative variants of these non-unitary models. In
particular, we discuss the "collective approach" which assumes efficiency
and a stable rule for allocating family resources and provides a tractable
way for predicting family behavior and its response to varying economic
conditions (see Chiappori, 1982 and Browning and Chiappori, 1998). Chap-
ter 4 discusses in detail the collective model and its testable implications. A
particular emphasis is given to testing efficiency, an assumption embedded
in all cooperative models of the family. We also discuss the normative im-
plications of the collective assumption which replaces conventional analyzes
of household welfare with an analysis of individual welfare. Chapter 5 dis-
cusses how to empirically recover individual preferences within the house-
hold and the associated decision rules implicit in the collective model. This
chapter also summarizes the main empirical findings. It is shown that the
unitary model is often rejected but efficiency is not rejected. Importantly,
the rule for sharing the marital gains can be identified (up to a constant)
and it is found to respond systematically to marriage market conditions
such as sex ratios and divorce laws.
Chapter 6 extends the static framework and considers family choice over
time and under conditions of uncertainty. We address the new strategic is-
sues that arise in a dynamic setup and the important role of commitments.
Partners anticipate upon marriage that a negative future shock in match
quality may cause separation, which will reduce their benefits from col-
lective goods, including children. Based on this anticipation, they choose
how much to invest in children and how much to consume each period.
To attain efficient investment and consumption outcomes, commitments
made at the time of marriage are usually required. For instance, a binding
contact, enforceable by law, can be signed at the time of marriage which
determines the proportion of family assets that each partner would receive
upon divorce.
Chapter 7 provides an extensive and integrated analysis of matching
8
models. The main question here is ‘who marries whom’. To address this,
we discuss models with and without frictions. Usually, there is less sorting
when there are frictions or when utility is transferable within couples, but
the reasons differ. With frictions, individuals are willing to compromise
rather than wait for a more suitable match. With transferable utility, a
less attractive spouse can bid for a more attractive spouse by giving up
part of his\her share in the gains from marriage. Chapter 8 discusses in
detail how the shares in the marital gains are determined jointly with the
equilibrium matches when frictions are assumed away. The main insight is
that the individual traits of two married partners, such as their schooling
or income, are insufficient to determine the division. Rather, due to com-
petitive forces and the endogeneity of the equilibrium matching, it is the
distribution of traits in the population at large that determines the out-
come. Chapter 9 uses the same friction-less approach to address premarital
investments, such as schooling, whereby individuals can accumulate assets
that will influence their prospects of marriage and their share in gains from
marriage. We emphasize the contrast between inherited traits such as eth-
nicity and acquired traits, such as schooling. Both kinds of traits influence
marriage patterns but acquired traits are also affected by these patterns.
In this case, a rational expectations analysis is required to deal with the
two way feedbacks that arise. We apply such equilibrium analysis to discuss
the interesting reversal in the education attainments of men and women,
whereby women who in the past invested less than men in schooling now
invest more than men do.
Chapters 10 and 11 introduce search frictions to address turnover in the
marriage market, allowing for divorce and remarriage. We examine the wel-
fare implications of turnover for men, women and their children. We also
discuss the role of different laws governing divorce, custody and child sup-
port. These chapters provide a less alarming perspective on divorce than is
adopted by many observers. We recognize that the emotional components
of a match are subject to unanticipated shocks and that divorce and re-
marriage allow the replacement of a bad match by a better one. Moreover,
in a search environment, couples that received negative shocks can more
easily find a new partner when many couples, rather than few choose to
divorce.
Several graduate students at the University of Tel-Aviv assisted us: Linor
Kinkzade and Avi Tillman assisted with processing data for the presenta-
tion of facts in Chapter 1; Uri Tal and Ellana Melnik-Shoef assisted with
programming the numerical examples; Ellana Melnik-Shoef also went over
all the chapters, checking proofs, references and the clarity of exposition;
Evan Finesilver assisted with the creation of the index. Bernard Salanié
provided very useful comments on several chapters. We are very grateful
to all of them.
Finally, several colleagues, including Richard Blundell, Jens Bonke, François
Bourguignon, Olivier Donni, Ivar Ekeland, Bernard Fortin, Mette Gørtz,
9
Murat Iyigun, Guy Lacroix, Valérie Lechene, Arthur Lewbel, Thierry Magnac,
Costas Meghir, Sonia Oreffice and Bernard Salanié, have also contributed
to the development of this book as co-authors in related papers. We thank
them for their valuable contributions.
Models of Household
Behavior
11
12
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1
Facts
The purpose of this chapter is to present some basic and general facts
about the marriage and the family. The chapter is intended to motivate
the analysis that follows in the rest of the book by showing how presum-
ably non-economic activities, such as marriage and fertility, interact with
economic considerations such as work, wages and schooling.
there appear to be age, period and cohort effects. That is, cohabitation is
more common amongst the young; at any given age cohabitation is more
common amongst younger cohorts and cohabitation rates are higher now
than twenty years ago. Dramatically, in Denmark, 80 percent of those aged
20−24 who live together choose not to marry. Comparing the two countries
we note that the rate of convergence between US rates and Danish rates,
if any, is very slow.
The propensity to cohabit rather than marry is associated with having
children. In Tables 1.3 and 1.4 we show the proportion of households with
children, conditioned on whether the household head is single, married or
cohabiting for Denmark and the US, respectively. We see that, in each age
group, married couples have more children than cohabiting couples who in
turn have more children than singles. Moreover, the proportion of cohab-
iting couples declines sharply with age. We can thus think of cohabitation
as a "partial marriage" involving less investment in children and a lower
commitment to a long term relationship.
married at least once. However, the divorce rate has been substantial too
and 35 percent of the women (26 percent of the men) had divorced at least
once. By age 35, most men and women reported that they had finished
their schooling but 21 percent of women and 16 percent of men have done
so after marriage. About 16 percent of the women had a child prior to
marriage.
1.1.3 Flows
The numbers presented so far refer to stocks but we are also interested in
flows into and out of marriage. Figures 1.1 and 1.2 describe the crude mar-
riage and divorce rates for a selection of high income countries. In contrast
to Table 1.1 that provides information on the stocks in different marital
states, these graphs describe the flows into the married and divorced states
in a given year as proportions of the adult population. The picture is quite
clear; starting in 1960 marriage rates have declined and divorce rates have
risen in all the displayed countries. Divorce rates started to rise sharply in
the late 1960’s with a weak tendency for convergence around 3 − 4 percent
per year for some countries; but about 6 percent in the US and about 1
percent in Spain and Italy. The fact that divorced rates went up in many
countries at about the same time suggest a common trigger, such as the
anti-pregnancy pill (see Michael, 1988). Given that about 60 percent of the
population is married in these late years, the implied probability that an
average marriage will break up is roughly 2 percent per year (4 percent in
the US).
Figures 1.3 and 1.4 provide a longer perspective of the marriage and
divorce rates in the US (see also Stevenson and Wolfers (2007)). Figure 1.3
shows marriage and divorce rates per thousand. As can be seen, following a
short episode of increase in the marriage rate after World War 2 (reflecting
delayed marriages and divorces during the war) the marriage rate declined
slightly from 1950 to 2000 with some ups and downs in between. In contrast,
there is an abrupt change in the divorce rate starting at about 1965 with a
doubling in the rate form 1965 to 1975. Although the crude marriage and
divorce rates are informative, much more useful are hazard rates (that is,
the proportion per the relevant groups at risk). Figure 1.4 shows hazards
of marriage, divorce and re-marriage form 1922 to 1988 in the US.1 This
figure too shows the abrupt change in divorce rates after 1965. At about
the same time the remarriage rate increased relative to the marriage rate,
indicating a higher marital turnover. The presence of many divorcees raises
the incentive of any given couple to divorce, because it would be easier to
remarry following separation (see Chiappori and Weiss (2006)).
1.1.4 Transitions
The most direct information on marital turnover within cohorts is given
by the transition rates across marital states. To show these we use two
different data sources. The first is the HRS which provides us with marital
histories for a cohort born between 1931 and 1941 that reported (retro-
spectively) its marital status history in 2000. The second data source is the
NLS(Y) which provides information on marital status up to age 40 for a
younger cohort born between 1958 and 1965. Figures 1.5 and 1.6 present
the annual transition rate from never married to first marriage of men and
women for the two cohorts respectively. For both cohorts the entry rate
into first marriage first rises and then declines as most individuals who
wish or can marry have already married. The short phase of rising rates of
entry indicates a delay associated with premarital investments and learn-
ing about one’s potential spouse. However, women enter first marriage at
a higher rate than men, suggesting that their gain from early marriage is
higher.
Figure 1.7 presents the rate of dissolution of the first marriage by the
duration of marriage for the same two cohorts. For each cohort we break
up those who are married into those who married before the median age
for that cohort (‘early marriages’) and those who marry latter than the
median age (‘late marriages’). These figures illustrate two important facts.
First, the hazard of divorce is first rising and then declines and, second, the
divorce hazard at any marriage duration is generally lower for later mar-
riages. These two features are the consequence of the interplay between
sorting and acquisition of information of match quality. The hazard of di-
vorce is initially rising with duration of marriage because partners learn
about each other. As new information arrives, some marriages break. How-
ever, with the passage of time, the weak matches are eliminated and the
remaining marriages are increasingly stable. Similarly, the higher stability
of late marriages can be ascribed to longer premarital search and courtship,
which eliminates some of the potentially weak matches (see Becker, Lan-
des and Michael, 1977 and Weiss and Willis, 1993, 1997). Although these
features are common to the two cohorts, there is a very large difference in
divorce rates between the two cohorts. For any duration of the first mar-
riage, the younger cohort reports a divorce rate that is about twice as high.
This reflects the general rise in the divorce rates during the period 1965-
1975. All of the divorces of the younger cohort, born in 1958-65, happened
after the divorce revolution, while most of the divorces of the cohort born
between 1931 and 1941 happened before 1975.
Similarly to the first marriage rate, the remarriage rate of divorced indi-
viduals first rises with the time since divorce (indicating experimentation)
and then declines sharply, because those divorcees who remained unmarried
for a long period are less suitable or less willing to remarry (see Figure 1.8).
The remarriage rate is much higher among the younger cohort, correspond-
1. Facts 17
ing to their higher divorce rate. Thus, later cohorts are characterized by
higher turnover which is reflected in both higher divorce rates and higher
remarriage rates. The remarriage rates of men and women are similar at
the early part of the 1958-1965 birth cohort. For earlier cohorts that are
observed later in life, men remarry at substantial higher rates than women,
especially at high ages. This reflects the fact that the ratio of eligible men
to eligible women decreases because women marry earlier and live longer,
so more of them are either divorced or widowed at late age. The remar-
riage options of men are further enhanced by the fact that the wage gap
between female and male earning capacity is increasing with age because,
on average, males had accumulated more work experience.
Comparing Figure 1.8 with Figures 1.5 and 1.6, we see that for both co-
horts, the remarriage rates of those who remarry quickly exceed the rates
of entry into first marriage. This suggests that some individuals are en-
dowed with marital attributes that make them attractive in any marriage,
whether it be the first or second.
1.1.5 Households
Marriage usually involves at least two people living together in the same
household. This allows the sharing of housing and other consumption goods.
The benefits from such sharing opportunities depend on the household size.
Clearly, living in the same household does not require marriage and more
than one family (or an extended family) can live in the same household.
In Tables 1.8 and 1.9 we present some statistics on the prevalence of one
person households. Table 1.8 shows that the proportion living alone ranges
from 5 percent in Iberia to over 20 percent in Scandinavia. Given that there
are significant material gains from living in many person households, the
high level of people living alone in some countries represents a considerable
potential loss of material well-being. Table 1.9 (for Denmark) shows that
the latter high proportions are not simply a result of older people or younger
people living alone, although the rates are higher for these groups. For
example, the proportion of 40 year old living alone in Denmark is higher
than the overall proportion for France.
Figures 1.9 and 1.10 give statistics on living arrangements over time for
the US. We see that the proportion of households that are ‘married with
children’ has declined from 40 percent in 1970 to 24 percent in 2000 and
the proportion of ‘married without children’ has hardly changed. There
have been sharp increases in the proportion of single person households,
from 17.1 percent to 25.5 percent and in ‘other’ households (whether ‘fam-
ily’ or ‘non-family’), from 12.3 percent to 21.7 percent. Figure 1.10 shows
the corresponding changes in household size. As can be seen, the propor-
tion of large households (5+ members) has halved and the proportion of
single person households has increased by about one half. Taken together,
these figures suggest a substantial reduction in the gains from sharing con-
18 1. Facts
2 Note that child care is underreported since it is a residual category in time use
diaries. Typically respondents record some other activity they are doing even when they
are also looking after their children.
1. Facts 19
shopping than men, irrespective of their marital status. Note that gender
differences in the allocation of time, whereby men work in the market and
less at home, are also present among unmarried men and women, perhaps
reflecting the higher average market wages of men. However, the difference
in the allocation of time of married men and women are more pronounced,
indicating an added role for the division of labor within couples. Another
salient feature of these statistics is that although single men enjoy more
leisure than single women, hours of leisure are about the same for married
men and women, suggesting some coordination of leisure activities (see
Aguiar and Hurst, 2006, and Burda et al, 2006). These averages, however,
mask quite large differences across households; in some households we see
one partner having twice as much leisure as the other (see Browning and
Gørtz, 2006).
Similar patterns are observed in aggregate data. Table 1.12 presents sta-
tistics for ten countries on labor force participation. These statistics show
clearly that historically men have participated more than women but this
gap is narrowing as the participation of women rises (except in Japan) and
the participation of men declines. In Figures 1.11 and 1.12, we report a
more detailed examination of labor force participation for the US. These
figures give the proportion of full time workers by age and marital status
for two birth cohorts, 1945-54 and 1960-69.3 We see a very clear pattern. At
any age, married men are more likely to be fully employed than single men
and married women are less likely to be fully employed than single women.
Married men are substantially more likely to be fully employed than mar-
ried women, suggesting a division of labor between married partners. This
gap in labor market attachment initially rises with age (and time) and then
declines within cohorts; it also declines across cohorts at given ages (com-
pare Figure 1.12 to 1.11). These patterns can be related to the impact of
children on the division of labor. When couples have young children, mar-
ried women are more likely to reduce their labor force participation and,
therefore, the participation gap between men and women is larger. Figures
1.13 and 1.14 compare the work patterns of married and divorced women
and also show a strong impact of having children. Divorced women with
children 0 − 18 work more than married women with children 0 − 18, sug-
gesting that, due to the absence of partner and limited transfers, division of
labor between parents is not feasible and divorced women with children are,
therefore, "pushed" into the labor market. The higher participation rate of
young married women in the younger cohort relative to the older cohort
is associated with lower fertility, a delay in having children and a higher
participation rate for mothers of young children in the younger cohort.
The gap in labor market attachment between married men and women
3 In each subsample, we count the number of fully employed individuals and divide
may not capture the full extent of the division of labor within couples,
because no control is made for the behavior of the spouse. In Figures 1.15
and 1.16 we display the work patterns of individuals who are married to
each other for two age groups, women aged 40−60 and 30−40 respectively.
As seen, the most common situation before 2000 was that the husband
works full time and the wife works part time or does not work in the
market at all. The differences between the age groups in the earlier years
probably reflect the presence of children in the household. However, with
time, the proportion of such couples has declined and the proportion of
couples in which both partners work full time has risen sharply, reflecting
the increase in the participation of married women into the labor force. On
the other hand, the proportion of couples in which she is full-time and he
is not remains small.
1.2.2 Wages
The gender differences in the employment of married individuals are closely
related to the gender differences in market wages, because a wage gap may
lead to different household choices for the husband and wife, based on
comparative advantage. But, in parallel, differences in past and expected
participation can cause different rates of investment in human capital that
result in lower wages for married women compared with married men (see
Mincer and Polacheck, 1974, and Weiss and Gronau, 1981).
Figures 1.17 and 1.18 display the development over time of weekly wages
(in logs) of US full time workers by marital status for two birth cohorts,
1945-54 and 1960-69. The graphs show that married men have consistently
the highest wage among men while never married women have the high-
est wage among women. In recent cohorts, divorced women are the lowest
paid group, while in earlier cohorts the married women had the lowest
pay. Within each cohort, these differences in log wages by marital status
increase with age (and time), reflecting the cumulative effects of marital
status on the acquisition of labor market experience. In contrast, the differ-
ences in wages by marital status decline with time as we move towards the
more recent birth cohort, holding age constant. This reflects the stronger
attachment of married women to the labor market noted above. As married
women participate more, their wage becomes more similar to that of men
and marital status becomes less important as a determinant of the wages.
individuals who are 30 to 39 old, using three year averages. We see that
the marriage premium of both men and women has risen over time but
the rise is sharper for women. The rise of the marriage premia is consistent
with the notion that when fewer individuals marry, the quality of partners
that do marry relative to those who do not rises. The sharper increase
in the marriage premium for women in Figure 1.19 is a reflection of the
rising participation of married women (see Figure 1.20) which is associated
with higher wages and schooling (see Goldin, 2006). Because we report wage
patterns only for women who work full time, an increase in the participation
of married women can increase the marriage premium if the added workers
are of relatively high ability (see Mulligan and Rubinstein, 2008).
This process is driven not only by the mutual gain from marriage, but also
by the availability of partners with different levels of schooling in the pop-
ulation and the chance of meeting them in school or the work place (see
Oppenheimer, 2000). The US (and other countries) has experienced a dra-
matic increase in the stock of educated women relative to educated men
(see Figure 1.24). This change in relative supplies had a marked effect on
the patterns of assortative mating by schooling (see Figure 1.25). While the
proportion of couples in which the husband and wife have the same school-
ing has remained stable at about 50 percent, the past pattern whereby
in 30 percent of the couples the husband is more educated has been re-
placed by the opposite pattern whereby in 30 percent of the couples the
wife has a higher degree. Figures 1.26 and 1.27 show the distribution of the
spouse’s education for husbands and wives with different level of schooling,
by cohort of birth. At lower levels of schooling (up to high school gradu-
ates), each gender mainly marries with individuals of the opposite sex with
similar education. This was not the case for higher levels of education for
earlier cohorts but becomes more common with time as the distributions
of education among women and men become more similar. In particular,
we see a large increase in the marriages in which husband and wife have
some college education. Because the number of women with some college
education has risen sharply relative to men, we see that husbands with
some college have replaced wives with high school by wives with some col-
lege, while wives with some college replaced men with college and higher
degree by men with some college. However, at higher levels of schooling,
BA and more, where women are still relatively scarce we see that men of
high education marry down while women with college education marry up.
We should note that between the two periods, the proportion of couples in
which both spouses are highly educated has risen while the proportion in
which both are less educated declined. In this regard, the rise in education
of men and women combined with assortative matching in schooling has
contributed to the trend of rising inequality between households.
In contrast to other attributes, such as country of origin or race, schooling
is an acquired attribute and investment in schooling is partially motivated
by the prospect of marriage as well as enhanced market power (see Goldin,
Katz, and Kuziemko, 2006 and Chiappori, Iyigun and Weiss, 2006). In Ta-
bles 1.13 and 1.14, we present some evidence on the interaction between
marital status and investment in schooling from the NLS panel. As seen in
Table 1.13, more educated men and women are more likely to be married
and less likely to be separated or divorced at age 35 (after they have com-
pleted most of their schooling). The proportion of unmarried women at age
35 rises with schooling which is not the case for men. Table 1.14 presents
mean cumulated schooling for men and women at marriage and at age 35.
This Table shows, unsurprisingly, that most of the schooling acquired up
to age 35 is taken prior to the first marriage. Those who married and never
divorced acquired about 4 months of additional schooling during marriage
1. Facts 23
out of 13.8 years, while those who married and divorced acquired about 6
months for men and 10 months for women after their first marriage, which
is a relatively large effect given that these are means in which most women
have no extra schooling after marriage.
Having considered schooling, it is natural to consider wages. Figure 1.28
provides a comparison of husband-wife correlations in wages and school-
ing (measured here in years). We examine the correlation in wages in two
ways; wages (in logs) and wage residuals (in logs) netting out observable
differences in schooling and age.4 Thus the correlations in residuals repre-
sent correlations in unobservable factors that affect the wages of the two
spouses.5 The correlation by school years is relatively stable over time, at
about 0.65. The correlations in wage residuals are also stable at a low level
of about 0.1. However the correlations in wages rise from 0.2 to about 0.4.6
The difference between the correlations for schooling and wages is strik-
ing. Some of the difference may be due to spurious factors such as higher
measurement error for wages, the use of wages at the ‘wrong’ point in
the life-cycle, the imputation of wages for non-participants etc.. However
there may also be systematic reasons for the difference. For instance, the
stronger sorting by education may be due to similar educations facilitating
joint consumption and reducing conflicts on the choice of public good. In
contrast, specialization within the household generates a negative corre-
lation between the spouses’ wages. The rise in the correlation for wages
can then be attributed to a reduction in specialization within households
associated with the rise in female labor force participation.
One reason for couples to sort based on schooling is that the schooling
levels of the two spouses complement each other in generating marital sur-
plus. Weiss and Willis (1977) found supporting evidence for this hypothesis
showing that, among couples with the same schooling, divorce declines with
schooling. We should then also expect that, as the proportion of couples
in which both partners are highly educated rises, education will have a
stronger impact in reducing the probability that a given man or woman
will divorce. Figure 1.29 shows that this is indeed the case.
4 Wages were imputed for men and women who did not work at all or worked less
wives in the respective (log) distributions of men and women each year. The correlation
in wage percentiles is slightly higher than the correlation in wages but the trend over
time is very similar. The correlation in residual percentiles is the same as the correlation
in residuals.
24 1. Facts
1.4 Children
Children are the most important ‘products’ of the family. The decision
about how many children to have, when to have them and how to care for
them interacts importantly with a whole host of other decisions including
schooling, marriage, divorce and re-marriage.
1.4.1 Fertility
As we saw, for marriage and divorce there is considerable heterogeneity
across countries and time and this is even more true for fertility. Figure
1.30 presents the time path for completed fertility for cohorts of US women
born between 1903 and 1956.7 The most important feature of this figure is
that there are significant variations across cohorts in the mean number of
children per woman. Thus, women born early in the century had about 2.2
children, those born in the mid-1930’s (the mothers of the ‘baby-boom’)
had over three children and those born in the fifties had close to two. Table
1.15 shows the change in the distribution of children born for women born
in the mid-1930’s and in the late 1950’s. As can be seen the change in the
mean is partly a result of fewer women born in the 1930’s being childless
and partly a result of these women having larger families, conditional on
having a child at all. Particularly striking is that the modal family size
for the older cohort is 4+ but only 2 for the younger cohort. Figure 1.31
shows data on the number of children less than 18 of US women (married
or single), aged 35−45, at different periods of time.8 As seen, the reduction
in fertility and marriage rates during the second half of the 20’th century
is associated with a decrease in the proportion of women with more than 3
children and an increase in the proportion of women with no children, while
the proportion of women with 1 or 2 children remained unchanged at about
half. By 2000-2005, the proportion of women with children is still high (67
percent) indicating that the natural desire to have children remains strong.
Figure 1.32 shows that the birth rate fluctuates dramatically over time.
We see a large increase from the mid-1930’s to the early 1960’s and then
shows completed fertility whereas the figure shows the number of children less than 18
living with the mother. Therefore, the proportion of women who have no children living
with them in the figure is larger than the proportion of women who never had children
in the table.
1. Facts 25
a sharp decrease. This is consistent with Figure 1.30 which shows a peak
in fertility for mothers born in the mid-1930’s; this is the baby boom gen-
eration. The median age at first marriage has also increased at the same
period suggesting fewer "forced marriages" (see Michael, 1988 and Goldin
and Katz, 2002).
Figure 1.33 presents evidence on completed fertility for a cross-section
of six western European countries for women born between 1931 and 1967.
In common with the USA, all of theses countries display a falling pattern
from the mid-1930’s, although the US has a much higher value in the early
years (3.1 as compared to 2.65 for the highest European values). Thus all
these countries indicate a ‘baby-bust’ even though the trends show signif-
icant differences across countries. For example, Italy has the lowest values
throughout this period with a steady decline from 2.3 to 1.5 children per
women. In contrast, the Netherlands starts off with a high value of 2.6 and
falls quickly by about 0.7 children in 1946 and then falls much more slowly
over the next twenty years by about 0.2 children. Most dramatic is the case
of Spain which has the highest value in the early 1940’s (at 2.6 children per
woman) and one of the lowest 25 years latest (at 1.6).
The timing of children is also of interest. In Figures 1.34 and 1.35 we
show the timing of first marriage and first birth for the same countries
as in Figure 1.33. There is a clear relationship between reduced fertility
and the delay in marriage. On the average, age of first child is only two
years after year of marriage (28 and 26, respectively for the latest cohort
born in 1963). In these figures, marriage does not include cohabitation. In
most countries the latter is low for women born before 1960 but for some
countries there is considerable cohabitation. For example, the dramatic rise
in the Danish age at first marriage largely reflects the fact that marriage
before the birth of a child is increasingly rare amongst younger cohorts.
a major policy concern and much research has been directed to the analysis
and measurement of this effect (see Weiss and Willis, 1985, Chiappori and
Weiss, 2006, Piketty, 2003, Gruber, 2004, and Bjorklund and Sundstrom,
2006).
9 Blow, Browning and Ejrnæs (2009) find similar results for the transition into mar-
dren in the household and living together after the children have left; see
Apps and Rees (2009), chapter 5 for a similar analysis using Australian
data. Unfortunately in cross-sections we do not observe whether younger
households that do not currently have children will have them in the future.
On the other side, for older households with no children present, we do not
observe whether they have had children. Instead we take the earliest life
stage to be being a couple with no children and the wife aged less than 41
and the fourth life stage to be having no children with the wife aged over
40.10 Table 1.18 presents some facts on income, nondurable expenditures
and budget shares for some goods. The data are drawn from the Canadian
Family Expenditure Surveys (FAMEX) for 1986, 1990 and 1992. 11 We se-
lect out households in which the husband reports less than 35 hours of
full-time work in the year to take account of long spells of unemployment
and retirement. There is no selection on the wife’s labor force participation.
The top panel of Table 1.18 gives details of income and nondurable expen-
diture. Through the four life stages, expenditure is highest when there are
older children present and drops significantly when they leave home. This is
partially reflected in the evolution of income but changes in income are not
the sole driving force, as can be seen from the expenditure/income ratio.
To show this more clearly, Table 1.19 presents the results from regressing
log nondurable expenditure on log income and dummies for the last three
life-stages. As can be seen, even when we control for income the life-stage
has a large and highly significant impact on nondurable expenditures. The
bottom panel of Table 11.18 shows how patterns of demand, conditional on
total expenditure, evolve through life stages. In the earliest period budget
shares for restaurants and alcohol and tobacco are high. These fall on the
arrival of the first child and budget shares for food at home rise. As chil-
dren age, more is spent (relatively) on clothing. Interestingly, although the
post-children life stage patterns show some reversion to the pre-children
patterns the two are not the same, even though net income is similar.
The impact of children on consumption emerges even more clearly if we
follow quasi-panels through time. To do this we use UK Family Expendi-
ture Surveys from 1968 to 1995.12 We consider only married or cohabiting
couples. To construct quasi-panel data we first construct cohorts accord-
ing to the wife’s age and her level of education (‘minimum’ or ‘more than
minimum’). We then take cell means for each cohort and year. That is, we
1 0 Browning and Ejrnæs (2009) present a quasi-panel analysis on UK data that takes
into account that some younger ‘childless’ households will never have children and some
older ‘childless’ households have never had them.
1 1 We use the FAMEX since it is the only large expenditure survey that collects infor-
mation on annual expenditures. Most budget surveys employ a two week diary which
induces problems with infrequency.
1 2 We use the UK data since it gives a very long time series of cross-sections with
have means for, say, high educated households aged 37 in 1981 and those
aged 38 in 1982. This allows us to follow quasi-individuals through time.
We consider cohort/year means of log nondurable consumption and equiv-
alent household size. To construct the latter we first assign each member a
consumption weight according to their age; we take values of 0.1, 0.15, 0.25,
0.35 and 0.65 for children aged 0−2, 3−4, 5−10, 11−16 and 17−18 respec-
tively. Each adult is given a weight of unity. We then sum these weights for
each household and raise this to the power 0.7 to capture scale effects.13 In
Figures 1.37 and 1.38 we show the smoothed paths of cohort means of log
nondurable consumption and equivalent household size against the wife’s
age. As can be seen, the patterns of consumption and family size coincide
very closely. The variation over the life-cycle is substantial and much larger
than variation induced by fluctuations in income or employment.
1.6 References
[1] Aguiar, Mark and Erik Hurst, ‘Measuring Trends in Leisure: The Allo-
cation of Time over Five Decades’, NBER Working Paper No. W12082,
(2006).
[2] Apps, Patricia and Ray Rees, Public Economics and the House-
hold, (Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2009).
[3] Avery, Robert B. and Arthur B. Kennickel, ‘Household Saving in the
US’, Review of Income and Wealth, 37 (1991), 409-432.
[4] Bailey, Martha, ‘More Power to the Pill: The Impact of Contraceptive
Freedom on Women’s Life Cycle Labor Supply’, Quarterly Journal
of Economics, 121 (2006), 289-320.
[5] Becker, Gary, Landes, Elisabeth M. and Robert T. Michael,
‘Economic-Analysis of Marital Instability’, Journal of Political
Economy, 85 (1977), 1141-1187.
[6] Bjorklund, Anders and Marianne Sundstrom, ‘Parental Separation and
Children’s Educational Attainment: A Siblings Analysis on Swedish
Register Data’, Economica, 73 (2006), 605-624.
[7] Bosworth, Barry, Burtless, Gary and John Sabelhaus, ‘The Decline in
Saving: Evidence from Household Surveys’, in Brainard, William C.,
(eds.) and Perry, George L., (eds.), Brookings Papers on Economic
Activity: Macroeconomics, (Brookings Institution Press, 1991).
[8] Browning, Martin and Mette Ejrnæs, ‘Consumption and children’,
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 91 (2009), 93-111.
1 3 This scheme follows the suggestion in Browning and Ejrnæs (2009). Adopting dif-
[9] Browning, Martin and Mette Gørtz ,‘Spending Time and Money
within the Household’, University of Oxford, Working Paper No. 288,
(2006).
[10] Burda, Michael C., Hamermesh, Daniel S. and Philippe Weil, ‘The
Distribution of Total Work in the EU and US’, IZA Discussion Paper
No. 2270, (2006).
[11] Chiappori, Pierre-Andre, Iyigun, Murat, and Yoram Weiss, ‘Invest-
ment in Schooling and the Marriage Market’, American Economic
Review, 99 (2009), 1689-1713.
[12] Chiappori, Pierre-Andre and Yoram Weiss, ‘Divorce, Remarriage, and
Welfare: A General Equilibrium Approach”, Journal of the Euro-
pean Economic Association, 4 (2006), 415-426.
[13] Goldin, Claudia, ‘The Quiet Revolution that Transformed Women’s
Employment, Education, and Family’, American Economic Re-
view, 90 (2006), 1-21.
[14] Goldin, Claudia and Lawrence F. Katz, ‘The Power of the Pill: Oral
Contraceptives and Women’s Career and Marriage Decisions’, Jour-
nal of Political Economy, 110 (2002), 730-770.
[15] Goldin, Claudia, Katz, Lawrence F., and Ilyana Kuziemko, ‘The
Homecoming of American College Women: The Reversal of the Col-
lege Gender Gap’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 20 (2006),
133-156.
[16] Greenwood, J. and N. Guner, ‘Marriage and divorce since World War
II: Analyzing the Role of Technological Progress on the Formation of
Household’, University of Rochester, research report 8, (2005).
[17] Gruber, Jonathan, ‘Is Making Divorce Easier Bad for Children? The
Long-Run Implications of Unilateral Divorce’, Journal of Labor
Economics, 22 (2004), 799-833.
[18] Lewis, Susan K. and Valerie K. Oppenheimer, ‘Educational Assor-
tative Mating across Marriage Markets: Non-Hispanic Whites in the
United States’, Demography, 37 (2000), 29-40.
[19] Lupton, Joseph P. and James P. Smith, ‘Marriage, Assets and Savings’,
in Grossbard-Shechtman, Shoshana A., (eds.), Marriage and the
Economy, (Cambridge University Press, 2003).
[20] Mazzocco, Maurizio and Shintaro Yamaguchi, ‘Labor Supply, Wealth
Dynamics and Marriage Decisions’, University of California Los An-
geles, California Center for Population, Research Working Paper No.
CCPR-065-06, (2006).
30 1. Facts
[21] Michael, Robert, ‘Why did the U.S. Divorce Rate Double within a
Decade?’, Research in Population Economics, 6 (1988), 367-399.
[22] Mincer, Jacob and Solomon Polachek, ‘Family Investments in Human
Capital: Earnings of Women’, Journal of Political Economy, 82
(1974), S76-S108.
[23] Mulligan, Casey B. and Yona Rubinstein, ‘Selection, Investment, and
Women Relative Wages since 1975’, Quarterly Journal of Eco-
nomics, 123 (2008), 1061-1110.
[24] Piketty, Thomas, ‘The Impact of Divorce on School Performance: Ev-
idence from France, 1968-2002’, Centre of Economic Policy Research,
Discussion Paper No. 4146, (2003).
[25] Stevenson, Betsey and Justin Wolfers, ‘Marriage and Divorce: Changes
and their Driving Forces’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21
(2007), 27-52.
[26] Weiss, Yoram and Reuben Gronau, ‘Expected Interruptions in Labor
Force Participation and Sex-Related Differences in Earnings Growth’,
Review of Economic Studies, 48 (1981), 607-619.
[27] Weiss, Yoram and Robert J. Willis, ‘Children as Collective Goods and
Divorce Settlements”, Journal of Labor Economics, 3 (1985), 268-
292.
[28] Weiss, Yoram and Robert J. Willis, ‘Transfers among Divorced Cou-
ples: Evidence and Interpretation’, Journal of Labor Economics,
11 (1993), 629-679.
[29] Weiss, Yoram and Robert J. Willis, ‘Match Quality, New Information,
and Marital Dissolution’, Journal of Labor Economics, 15 (1997),
S293-S329.
[30] Zagorsky, Jay L., ‘Marriage and Divorce’s Impact on Wealth’, Journal
of Sociology, 41 (2005), 406-424.
1. Facts 31
%
Belgium 9
Denmark 21.9
Germany 17
Greece 9
Spain 5
France 13
Ireland 8
Italy 10
Netherlands 14
Austria 14
Portugal 5
Finland (2000) 23
UK 13
USA 13.7
Source: Census of different countries
TABLE 1.8. Individuals Living Alone, various countries
US 80.7 77.9 76.3 75.0 73.3 39.3 46.3 54.5 58.9 59.3
Canada 79.9 78.4 77.4 72.7 72.7 33.8 44.4 54.9 57.3 61.4
Australia 85.1 82.2 76.7 74.6 73.0 34.8 44.5 47.1 74.7 58.1
Japan 81.1 81.2 77.9 77.5 73.1 48.8 44.8 47.6 49.3 47.7
France 79.2 74.4 68.4 63.4 63.3∗ 38.2 41.7 46.4 48.2 51.1∗
Germany 80.9 73.4 70.1 68.1 63.9∗ 40.0 39.3 41.1 47.1 49.6∗
Italy 77.5 70.6 65.3 61.6 61.1∗ 27.8 26.8 30.7 34.4 38.2∗
Nether. NA 80.0 73.8 69.8 72.7 NA 29.5 37.9 48.1 57.8
Sweden 82.2 77.0 72.5 68.9 67.8∗ 46.6 55.2 61.5 59.5 59.7∗
UK 85.4 81.2 76.1 72.0 70.5 41.7 46.6 50.7 53.5 56.2
Source: Comparative Civilian Labor Force Statistics, 10 Countries, 1960-2005,
US Department of Labor, 2006.
Note: ∗ Observation from 2004.
TABLE 1.12. Labor Force Participation of Women and Men in Ten Countries
.
1. Facts 39
Number of Children
0 1 2 3 4+
Born 1932-1936 10.2 9.6 21.7 22.7 35.8
Born 1956-1960 19.0 16.4 35.0 19.1 10.5
Source: US Census
TABLE 1.15. Completed Fertility for Two US Cohorts
18
16
14
12
rate per 1000, 20+
10
6
4
2
0
19
19
19
19
19
19
60
67
74
81
88
95
D enm ark S pain Franc e Italy Netherlands UK US A
6
rate per 1000, 20+
0
19
19
19
19
19
19
60
67
74
81
88
95
D enm ark S pain Franc e Italy Netherlands UK US A
18 6
16
5
Marriage rate per 1000 population
14
12 4
10
3
8
6 2
4
1
2
0 0
1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
FIGURE 1.3. Marriage and Divorce Rates, US 1940-2002. Source: National Cen-
ter of Health Statistics.
1. Facts 45
200 Fir s t Ma r r ia g e p e r 1 ,0 0 0
s in g le w o me n , 1 5 - 4 4 y e a r s
180 o ld .
Div o r c e p e r 1 ,0 0 0 ma r r ie d
160 w o me n , 1 5 - 4 4 y e a r s o ld .
Re ma r r ia g e p e r 1 ,0 0 0
140 w id o w e d a n d d iv o r c e d
w o me n , 1 5 - 4 4 y e a r s o ld .
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
19 22 19 28 19 34 194 0 194 6 1952 1958 1964 1970 1 976 19 82 19 8
0.30
Men
percent entering first marriage
0.25
Women
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40
age
FIGURE 1.5. Entry into First Marriage, US, HRS Cohort. Source: Health and
Retirement Survey, 1992 Wave.
1. Facts 47
0.30
Men
percent entering first marriage
0.25
Women
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40
age
FIGURE 1.6. Entry into First Marriage, US, NLS Panel. Source: National Lon-
gitudinal Survey, Youth,1979.
48 1. Facts
0.08
E arly m arriage, N LS c ohort
0.06
Late m arriage, H R S c ohort
0.04
0.02
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30
d u ra tio n o f firs t m a rria g e
FIGURE 1.7. Hazard of Divorce for two Birth Cohorts, US. Source: National
Longitudinal Survey, Health and Retirement Survey.
1. Facts 49
0.35
Men, NLS
Men, HR S
0.25 W om en, HR S
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
duration of first div orce
100%
90% 24.1
26.3
30.9
80% 40.3
70%
60% 29.8 28.7
29.9
50%
30.3
40% 16.0
14.8
30% 12.9
10.6 9.7 10.7
20% 8.6
5.6
14.9 14.8
10% 14.0
11.5
3.6 4.6 5.7
0% 1.7
1970 1980 1990 2000
Other non family housholds Women living alone Men living alone
Other family households Married couples without own children Married couples with own children
100%
12.8 10.4 10.4
90% 20.9
80% 15.5 14.6
15.7
70% 15.8
17.3 16.4
17.5
60%
17.3
50%
20%
22.7 24.6 25.5
10% 17.1
0%
1970 1980 1990 2000
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
married men divorced men
nevermarried men married women
divorced women nevermarried women
0
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
41
43
45
47
49
51
FIGURE 1.11. Full-Time Workers, by Marital Status and Sex, US Birth Cohort
1945-54. Source: Current Population Surveys.
1. Facts 53
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
married men divorced men
nevermarried men married women
divorced women nevermarried women
0
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
FIGURE 1.12. Full-Time Workers, by Marital Status and Sex, US Birth Cohort
1960—69. Source: Current Population Surveys.
54 1. Facts
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
41
43
45
47
49
51
Married child0-18 Divorced child0-18
Married no child Divorced no child
FIGURE 1.13. Full-Time Female Workers, by Marital Status and Child, US Birth
Cohort 1945-54. Source: Current Population Surveys.
1. Facts 55
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
41
43
45
47
49
51
Married child0-18 Divorced child0-18
Married no child Divorced no child
FIGURE 1.14. Full-Time Female Workers, by Marital Status and Child, US Birth
Cohort 1960-69. Source: Current Population Surveys.
56 1. Facts
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Husband FT Wife FT Husband FT Wife not FT Husband not FT Wife FT
FIGURE 1.15. Work Patterns of Husbands and Wives (Aged 40-60). Source:
Current Population Surveys.
1. Facts 57
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Husband FT Wife FT Husband FT Wife not FT Husband not FT Wife FT
FIGURE 1.16. Work Patterns of Husbands and Wives (Aged 30-40). Source:
Current Population Surveys.
58 1. Facts
6.8
6.6
6.4
6.2
6
married men divorced men
nevermarried men married wome
divorced women nevermarried wom e
5.8
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
41
43
45
47
49
51
FIGURE 1.17. Weekly Wages of FT Workers, by Marital Status and Sex, US
Birth Cohort 1945-54. Source: Current Population Surveys.
1. Facts 59
6.8
6.6
6.4
6.2
6
married divorced
nevermarried married
divorced nevermarried
5.8
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
FIGURE 1.18. Weekly Wages of FT Workers, by Marital Status and Sex, US
Birth Cohort 1960-69. Source: Current Population Surveys.
60 1. Facts
0.4
0.2
0
0
4
97
97
97
97
98
98
98
99
99
99
00
00
_1
_1
_1
_1
_1
_1
_1
_1
_1
_1
_2
_2
68
72
73
76
79
82
85
88
91
94
99
02
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
-0.2
-0.4
married versus divorced, men
married versus never married, men
married versus divorced, w omen
married versus never married, w omen
FIGURE 1.19. Log Wages Differnces between Married and Singles, by Sex, US
1968—2005. Source: Current Population Surveys.
1. Facts 61
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
married divorced nevermarried
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
8
70
72
74
76
78
84
86
88
90
92
94
00
02
04
6
9
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
diff=0 diff1=1-3 diff=4+ diff=-2-1 diff=-3+
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Some college_male College_male MA and PHD_male
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
30
33
36
39
42
45
48
51
54
57
60
63
66
69
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
Hus band=Wife Hus band>Wife Wife>Hus band
100% 0.4
1.2 0.2
1.0 3.9 0.5
2.7 1.7
3.6 4.5
6.7 9.4
8.7 10.0 16.0 19.6
35.3
80% 18.3 34.2
32.3 39.2 28.3 spouse MA
25.9 Degree +
65.0
38.3 spouse Bach
60% Degree
68.6
spouse Some
29.3 College
51.4 30.3 40.9
40% spouse HS
52.5 Graduate
59.4 23.6
56.1 spouse less t
19.5 High School
20%
22.9 13.6 30.4
8.6 17.6
17.7 18.3
8.2 8.3 5.8
4.9 1.9 1.7
0% 1.1 0.8
w ife husband w ife husband w ife husband w ife husband w ife husband
less than High school High school graduate Some college Bachelor´s degree Master´s degree +
100% 0.3
1.4 0.6
2.2 1.5 2.0
5.3 4.4
7.0 8.1 14.0
11.4 10.2 17.7
18.4 20.1
37.4
80% 27.6
21.4 43.2
26.1
spouse MA
32.0 Degree +
spouse Bach
60% 47.2 51.4
Degree
42.6
47.8 spouse Some
College
les s than High s chool High s chool graduate Som e college Bachelor´s degree Mas ter´s degree +
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Log wages Log residuals School years
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
73
75
77
79
81
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
05
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
High School Drop Out High School College MA & PHD
100 3.5
95 3
proportion
90 2.5
85 2
80 1.5
75 1
1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960
24.9 23.2
40% 23.0
25.4
20%
33.3 32.8
25.6 27.0
0%
1970_1975 1980_1985 1990_1995 2000_2005
4 26
25
3.5
24
3
Birth rate
23
2.5
22
2
21
1.5 20
1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
FIGURE 1.32. Birth Rates and Median Age at First Marriage, US 1900-2000.
Source: National Center of Health Statistics.
74 1. Facts
2.7
Average number of children per woman
2.5
2.3
2.1
1.9
1.7
1.5
30
33
36
39
42
45
48
51
54
57
60
63
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
Denmark Spain France Italy United Kingdom Netherlands
29
28
27
26
Age
25
24
23
22
30
33
36
39
42
45
48
51
54
57
60
63
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
Denm ark S pain F ranc e Italy United K ingdom Netherlands
FIGURE 1.34. Mean Age at First Marriage by Generation, Mean Age at First
Marriage by Generation. Source: Eurostat.
76 1. Facts
28
27
26
Age
25
24
23
30
33
36
39
42
45
48
51
54
57
60
63
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
Denmark Spain France Italy Netherlands UK
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
99
01
03
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
divorced married never married
Note: PSID , Mother's age is 20-60. Mother's eligiblle children 0-18 do not include children born in new marriage.
FIGURE 1.37. Consumption and household size - more educated wives. Source:
UK Family Expenditure Surveys.
1. Facts 79
2.8
.1
2.4
-.2
2.2
-.3
2
20 30 40 50 60
Age of wife
FIGURE 1.38. Consumption and household size - less educated wives. Source:
UK Family Expenditure Surveys.
80 1. Facts
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2
The gains from marriage
From an economic point of view, marriage is a partnership for the pur-
pose of joint production and joint consumption. However, consumption
and production are broadly defined to include goods and services such as
companionship and children. Indeed, the production and rearing of children
is the most commonly recognized role of the family. But there are other
important gains from marriage, both economic and emotional.1 Although
the economic gains may not be the most important motivation for living
together with someone (‘marrying’), we focus on them here and examine
five broad sources of potential material gain from marriage, that is, why
"two are better than one":2
1. The sharing of public (non rival) goods. For instance, both partners
can equally enjoy their children, share the same information and use
the same home.
2. The division of labor to exploit comparative advantage and increasing
returns to scale. For instance, one partner works at home and the
other works in the market.
We emphasize that the gains discussed here are only potential - if they
are realized to their full extent and who benefits from them is the subject
matter of much of the rest of this book. We shall cast our discussion in
terms of two agents who choose to live together but many of the points
apply generally to a many person household. We also note that the gains
1 In this book we shall often make a distinction between the material gains and the
non-material gains and assume that the latter do not impinge upon valuations of the
latter. This is done mainly for tractability. Generally, the two sets of factors need not
be additive and the economic gains could interact with the "quality of match".
2 According to of Ecclesiastes (4: 9-10) ; "Two are better than one, because they have
a good reward for their toil. For if they fall, one will lift up the other; but woe to one
who is alone and falls and does not have another to help. Again, if two lie together, they
keep warm; but how can one keep warm alone?"
82 2. The gains from marriage
for one person may be different depending on the potential partner. In later
sections of the book we shall expand and elaborate on many of the issues
presented in this chapter.
maxs us (Q, q s )
Q,q
subject to Q + q s = y s (2.1)
³ ´
Let the optimal choices be Q̂s , q̂ s respectively. If the agents live together,
they can pool their income and their joint budget constraint is
Q + qa + qb = ya + yb . (2.2)
3 ‘Public’ refers to the point of view of the two partners only. Such goods are sometimes
If the preferences of both partners are increasing in the level of the public
good then the two will always be potentially better off by living together
in the sense that we can find feasible allocations that Pareto dominate the
separate living case. Suppose, for example, that Q̂a ≥ Q̂b ; then the couple
can set:
Q = Q̂a , q b = q̂ b and q a = q̂ a + Q̂b (2.3)
Such an allocation is feasible given the joint income and it maintains or im-
proves the welfare of both b and a. This demonstration can be generalized
to any number of private and public goods. A couple can always replicate
the private consumption of the two partners as singles, purchase the max-
imal amount of each public good that the partners bought as singles and
still have some income left over.
This result relies on the assumption that both partners have positive
marginal utility from Q. Although a standard assumption, one can think
of realistic situations in which preferences are not monotone in the public
good; for example, for heating, too much may be as bad as too little and the
partners may differ in what is the optimal level of heating. Then, there may
be no gains from marriage at all, despite the reduced costs resulting from
sharing. An obvious example is one in which the public good is beneficial
for one partner and a nuisance to the other. Then publicness can be a curse
rather than a blessing, because it may be impossible to avoid the jointness
in consumption. Clearly, potential partners with such opposing preferences
would not marry. In general, some concordance of preferences is required
to generate gains from marriage (Lich-Tyler, 2003). Positive gains from
marriage require that the preferred sets for each partner, relative to the
situation when single, have a non-empty intersection on the budget line if
they live together. This is illustrated in Figure 2.1 for two people who have
the same income. In the left panel the two partners have preferences such
that, if there are no other gains, they will not choose to live together. In
the right panel they can find feasible allocations if they live together which
give both more than if they live apart.
In the example of the last paragraph, we do not have any private goods;
if we do have a private good then there may be possibilities for compen-
sation to achieve positive gains from marriage. To see the nature of the
requirements, suppose we have two public goods (Q1 , Q2 ) and one private
good. The program is:
Q2 Q2
ua ua
y=ya +yb
Core
ub ub
ya =yb
Q1 Q1
ya +yb
household income so that q a + q b = 2 . This gives a utility possibility
frontier of:
∙ ¸
aya + yb 2 ya + yb 2
u =( ) − ūb where ūb ∈ 0, ( ) . (2.7)
2 2
Figure 2.2 illustrates the case when y a = 1 and y b = 3. The Pareto frontier
in this case is given by ua + ub = 4. Not all points on this frontier will
be realized, because each partner has some reservation utility to enter the
marriage (if the gains from sharing public goods are the only gain). Alone,
partner a obtains ua = 14 and partner b obtains ub = 94 . Clearly, these
individual utility levels are well within the frontier and any choice of ūb
between 94 and 15 4 will give both partners more than they would receive if
they lived separately.
uA
4
Utility possibility frontier
Core
0.25
2.25 4 uB
This example has two related special features that are due to the assumed
preferences. First, the level of the public good is independent of the distri-
bution of the private good but this will not generally be the case. Second,
the utility possibility frontier is linear (with a slope of −1) but generally
it will be nonlinear (see Bergstrom, Blume and Varian, 1986).6 Despite
6 It is possible for the public good to be independent of the division of income also
when the Pareto frontier is concave. This is the case, for instance, when ui = ln Q+β ln ci .
y a +yb β(ya +y b )
Then Q = 1+β
and, for 0 < ca < 1+β
, the slope of the utility frontier is
86 2. The gains from marriage
this simplicity, this example brings out a number of important ideas. First,
there are potentially large gains from the publicness of goods, which arises
from the complementarity between the incomes that the partners bring
into marriage. Second, although the distribution of the gains may not be
uniquely determined, there may exist a unique efficient level of the public
good, which depends only on the joint income of the partners. Thus the
partners may agree on the level of the public good and restrict any dis-
agreement to the allocation of private goods. Third, if there are cultural
or legal constraints that limit inequality within the family then the high
income person may not want to marry. For example, equal sharing in this
example gives b a utility level of 2, which is lower than his utility level if
single. Thus the gains from publicness are outweighed by the requirement
to share with the partner. Finally, even if the final allocation is not Pareto
efficient it may still pay to live together (if the allocation gives utility levels
inside the UPF but above the singles levels).
That there are potential gains from the publicness of some consumption
is uncontroversial. We would like to quantify how large these gains are.
To do this we use the concept of ‘equivalent income’ which is the amount
of income needed by two singles to achieve the same outcome as when
they live together. There are two outcomes of interest: buying the same
bundle and achieving the same utility levels (see Browning, Chiappori and
Lewbel (2003)). For the former, we compute the cost of buying the bundle
that the couple buys and the cost of the same bundle for each of partners if
single. The ratio of what the two partners would spend if single to what the
couple pays is the ‘relative cost of an equivalent bundle’. For our example
this bundle is Q = 2 and q a and q b are such that q a + q a = 2. Whatever
the distribution of the private good, the same bundle of goods would cost
6 units since each has to be given a level of public good equal to 2. The
relative cost of an equivalent bundle is thus 1.5 so that the couple, if single,
would need 50% more income to buy the bundle they consume as a couple.
Although the calculation of the relative cost of an equivalent bundle gives
the two agents the same bundle and hence the same utility as when living
together, the cost of achieving the same utility level may be lower since
agents may choose to substitute away from the bundle they had when
married. In our example, the utilities when together are ua = 2q a and
ub = 2 (2 − q a ). If a is single then she spends half her money on the public
good and half on the private good. Hence she needs an income y a that
solves:
µ a¶µ a¶
a a y y p
2q = u = ⇒ y a = 8q a (2.8)
2 2
p
Similarly, b needs an income of y b = 8 (2 − q a ) so that the relative cost
as when they were together because, as discussed above, the actual cost
may be lower since the singles may optimize and choose different bundles
than when together. In the example given above we have η 1 = 2, η 2 = 1
and ω 1 = ω 2 = 0.5 so that the relative cost of an equivalent bundle is 1.5,
as derived above.
Although we can conceptually formulate precise measures of the gains
from the jointness of goods, in practice we have very little idea of how im-
portant these gains are. As an informal application of the Barten approach,
we consider the expenditure patterns of US households in taken from the
Consumer Expenditure Survey (2003) and assign a degree of jointness to
each of the composite commodities such as food, housing, clothing, etc..
Table 2.1 gives details for a nine commodity grouping.7 For each commod-
ity we assign a minimum and maximum for the jointness of the good (η j )
and then we compute the minimum and maximum values of the jointness
of total expenditure (‘consumption’). We do this for three different income
groups (gross household incomes of $10,000-$20,000, $30,000-$40,000 and
$50,000-$70,000, respectively) to allow that demand patterns differ between
rich and poor. Of course, the bounds for jointness are somewhat arbitrary
but they capture the idea that food, for example, is mostly private and
housing is largely public. The implied scales for rich and poor do not vary
much; this reflects the fact that public goods are a mix of necessities (hous-
ing) and luxuries (durables, transport and cars). The relative costs are
bounded between singles needing one third and two thirds as much as cou-
ples to buy the equivalent bundles.
The bounds in Table 2.1 are rather wide. To pin down the values more
precisely we need to make additional (and strong) assumptions and use the
data more carefully. Lazear and Michael (1980) use a single cross-section
family expenditure survey and estimate that two single individuals can al-
most double their purchasing power by forming a union. However, their
identification rests on very strong identifying assumptions. Browning, Chi-
appori and Lewbel (2003) use Canadian nondurable expenditure data on
cross-sections of single people and two person households and employ a
Barten scheme of the variety outlined above. This exploits the variation
in relative prices that arises from changes over time and variations across
provinces. The estimates are only for nondurables and services and exclude
housing and durables. They estimate that a couple who share private ex-
penditures equally when married require 41 percent more total expenditure
to replicate the bundles when single; that is, the relative cost of an equiva-
lent bundle, η, is 1.41. This is at the low end of the bounds given in Table
2.1, perhaps because housing and durables are not included.
7 Housing includes the costs of housing plus utilities and house operations. Durables
are white goods, furniture and small durables. Electronic goods are included under
entertainment. Transportation includes all transportation costs except for the purchase
of cars. We exclude health and education expenditures.
2. The gains from marriage 89
ing alone will choose to maximize the output of the home produced good
subject to 0 ≤ t ≤ 1 and person s, when single, sets:
1 ws
ts = , zs = (2.12)
2 4
If the couple lives together, we assume that the household production
function is given by: ¡ ¢
z = x ta + tb (2.13)
so that a and b are perfect substitutes in home production. Observe that
total output is determined by the aggregate time spent at home by both
partners and the total amount of goods purchased by the family in the
market. The household budget constraint is
x = wa (1 − ta ) + wb (1 − tb ) (2.14)
We assume that z is a private good which can be divided between the two
partners and that the partners agree to maximize the total output available
to both of them. If they set the time allocation to the optimal levels for
a b
singles their total output will be w +w 2 , which is larger than the aggre-
a b
gate output if they live separately, w +w 4 . This outcome, which is due to
increasing returns, is similar to the gains from jointness discussed in the
previous section. However, the couple acting together can improve even on
this higher output if their wages differ. To see this, suppose that wa > wb
and set ta = 0 and tb = 1; thus the higher wage person specializes in mar-
ket work and the lower wage person specializes in home production. This
gives a total output of the home produced good of wa which is, of course,
a b
greater than the output with no specialization w +w 2 . It can be shown that
this choice maximizes aggregate output. Comparing the results for a single
person household and a couple, we see that there is always a positive gain
¡ ¢ a b
from marriage of max wa , wb − w +w 4 . The gain due to specialization ac-
¡ ¢ a b
cording to comparative advantage is given by max wa , wb − w +w 2 which
is zero if and only if the wages are the same.
This example illustrates the potential gains from specialization but the
specific implications depend on a number of special features of this model.
First, the two partners are assumed equally productive at home production.
This can be trivially extended to allow for different fixed productivities in
which case specialization will depend on the ratios of productivity in the
market (that is, the wage) to productivity at home of the two partners.
Second, the technology is linear in the time inputs. If, instead, we allowed
for some concavity and complementarity between partners time use, spe-
cialization need not occur and interior solutions would arise. Yet we would
2. The gains from marriage 91
still expect the high wage spouse to work more in the market when wages
differ.
As emphasized by Becker (1991, chapter 2), comparative advantage can
be developed via differential investments or learning by doing. Within mar-
riage or in the market each party can use their own human capital to a larger
extent, yielding convexity and dynamic increasing return. In particular, if
one partner may specialize in home production while the other specializes
in market work then both of them acquire skills relevant to their specific
activity. Thus, a small innate difference can be magnified, and strengthen
the incentives to specialize (see Chicilinsky 2005, Pollak 2007).
There is ample evidence for a division of labor within the household
(see Chapter 1). Married men work longer hours in the market and have
substantially higher wages than unmarried men. Married women have lower
wages and work more at home than unmarried women; see Gronau 1986,
Korenman and Neumark, 1992 and Daniel, 1992.
u (ct ) = ln ct . (2.16)
For simplicity, we assume that the discount factor is unity and the real rate
is zero. Each person has an initial wage of 1 that he/she can augment by
spending the first period in school, obtaining a second period wage of w.
If there is a perfect capital market, a person can smooth his consumption
through borrowing and will set c1 = c2 = c . Thus, with investment in
schooling, one can obtain c = w2 each period, while without investment
consumption each period will be 1. Investment is profitable if the increase
in wage is sufficient to compensate for the earnings forgone in the first
period, that is if the second period wage w exceeds 2. However, if borrowing
is impossible there is no investment in schooling since consumption in the
first period would be zero.
Now assume that a and b marry each other. Under a perfect capital
market, marriage will not influence their investment choices. However, if
there is an imperfect capital market, marriage allows a couple to partially
overcome the no borrowing constraint. This is accomplished by extending
credit within the family, whereby one partner (b, say) works in the market
while the other goes to school. To evaluate the potential gains from mar-
riage, consider an efficient program that maximizes the utility of partner a
given that partner b receives the lifetime utility he would have in the single
state, without schooling. With our choice of units, life time utility in the
92 2. The gains from marriage
u0 (ca1 ) u0 (cb1 )
= . (2.18)
u0 (ca2 ) u0 (cb2 )
2.5 Children
2.5.1 Technology and preferences
One of the principal gains from marriage is the production and rearing of
children. Although the biological and emotional gains may dominate here,
we can also consider the economic aspects. In particular, we wish to discuss
the gains to the child that arise from living with their natural parents in an
intact family. Consider two partners, a and b, who choose to have a child (or
some other fixed number of children) denoted by k. We allow that the two
partners have alternative uses for their time; in this case they can spend
time in child care, ta and tb , respectively or in market work at the wages
wa and wb . In this example we shall assume that there is a single private
good with market purchases of q of this good being allocated between the
three family members in amounts ca , cb , ck . The utility of children depends
additively on their consumption of goods and the time spent with each of
the parents:
uk = ck + αta + βtb , (2.20)
us = cs uk for s = a, b. (2.21)
subject to 0 ≤ ts ≤ 1, for s = a, b
8 Thus, the amount of time spent on the child is determined by efficiency considera-
tions, independently of the distribution of the consumption good. The two stage decision
process, whereby production and distribution are separable, is an important consequence
of transferable utility that will be discussed later in the book.
2. The gains from marriage 95
If both wages are high relative to efficiency at home production, (if wa > α
and, consequently, wb > β) then both parents will work full-time in the
market and use only market goods for caring for the child. Conversely, if
both wages are low relative to efficiency at home production (if wb < β
and wa < α) then parents will use only time to care for the child. An
intermediate case is the one in which the high wage partner, b, has ab-
solute advantage in market work and the low wage person a has absolute
advantage working at home ,
α > wa , β < wb
For this intermediate case b will spend all his time in market work and a
will spend all her time looking after the child. This intermediate case has
two distinct sub-cases that differ in the expenditures on the child. For case
1 we have:
wb > α. (2.24)
In this case, the intact family spends part of its income on child goods,
b
ck > 0. Specifically, ta = 1 and tb = 0 and ck = w 2−α . The utility of
b
the child is then uk = w 2+α and the utility possibility frontier facing the
parents is given by
(wb + α)2
ua + ub = . (2.25)
4
In case 2 we have the converse:
wb < α, (2.26)
which gives ck = 0. In this case, the utility of the child is uk = α and the
UPF facing the parents is then given by
ua + ub = wb α. (2.27)
96 2. The gains from marriage
This shifts attention to the question which types of partnerships are likely
to last.
Gains from human partnerships need not be confined to a couple of the
opposite sex. One also observes ”extended families” of varying structures
which coordinate the activities of their members and provide self insurance.
The prevalence of male-female partnerships has to do with sexual attrac-
tion which triggers some initial amount of blind trust. (The Bible is quite
right in puzzling over why ”shall a man leave his father and mother and
cleave unto his wife”9 .) Equally important is a strong preference for own
(self produced) children. These emotional and biological considerations are
sufficient to bring into the family domain some activities that could be
purchased in the market. Then, the accumulation of specific ”marital cap-
ital” in the form of children, shared experience and personal information
increases the costs of separation and creates incentives for a lasting re-
lationship. In this sense, there is an accumulative effect where economic
considerations and investments reinforce the natural attachment. Other
glues, derived from cultural and social norms also support lasting rela-
tionships. But in each case customs interact with economic considerations.
The weaker is the market, the more useful is the extended family and social
norms (commands) are added to the natural glue.
Keeping these considerations in mind, we can now address the ques-
tion which activities will be carried out within the family. One argument
is that the family simply fills in gaps in the market system, arising from
thin markets, or other market failures, see Locay (1990). Another line of
argument (see Pollak (1985)) is that the family has some intrinsic advan-
tages in monitoring (due to proximity) and in enforcement (due to access
to non-monetary punishments and rewards). A related but somewhat dif-
ferent argument is that family members have already paid the (sunk) costs
required to acquire information about each other, see Ben-Porath (1980).
Thus, credit for human capital investments may be supplied internally ei-
ther because of a lack of lending institutions or because a spouse recognizes
the capacity of her partner to learn and is able to monitor the utilization
of his human capital better than outsiders. Similarly, annuity insurance is
provided internally, either because of lack of annuity markets or because
married partners have a more precise information on their spouse’s state of
health than the market at large. It is clear that these three considerations
interact with each other and cannot be easily separated. The main insight
is that the gains from marriage depend on the state of the market and must
be determined in a general equilibrium context.
9 Genesis 2: 24.
2. The gains from marriage 99
2.7 References
[1] Acemoglu, Daron and Jorn-Steffen Pischke, ‘Changes in the Wage
Structure, Family Income, and Children’s Education’, European Eco-
nomic Review, 45 (2001), 890-904.
[2] Argys, Laura M., H. Elizabeth Peters, Jeanne Brooks-Gunn and Judith
R. Smith Argys, ‘The Impact of Child Support on Cognitive Outcomes
of Young Children’, Demography, 35 (1998), 159-173.
[5] Bergstrom, Theodore, Lawrence Blume and Hal Varian, ‘On the Private
Provision of Public-Goods’, Journal of Public Economics, 29 (1986),
25-49.
[10] Carneiro, Pedro and James J. Heckman, ‘The evidence on credit con-
straints in post-secondary schooling’, Economic Journal, 112 (2002),
705-734.
[12] Crossley, Thomas and Yuqian Lu, ‘Exploring the returns to scale in
food preparation (baking penny buns at home)’, IFS Working Paper No.
W05/03, (2005).
[13] Daniel, Kermit, ‘Does Marriage Make Men More Productive?’, Uni-
versity of Chicago, Population Research Center 92-2, (1992).
100 2. The gains from marriage
[16] Gronau, Reuben, ‘The Theory of Home Production: The Past Ten
Years’, Journal of Labor Economics, 15 (1997), 197-205.
[18] Hess, Gregory D., ‘Marriage and Consumption Insurance: What’s Love
Got to Do with It?’, Journal of Political Economy, 112 (2004), 290-
318.
3
Preferences and decision
making
3.1 Preferences
In the last chapter we informally reviewed the gains from marriage in some
generality. The existence of potential gains from marriage is not sufficient to
motivate marriage and to sustain it. Prospective mates need to form some
notion as to whether families realize the potential gains and how they are
divided. In this chapter we consider these issues in a very specific context.
The context is a two person (woman a and man b) household1 in which the
only (static) decision is how much to spend on various market goods that
are available at fixed prices, given fixed total household expenditure on
all goods. Although very special this context allows us to discuss formally
many of the issues that will be used in other contexts in later chapters.
Some commodities are private and some public. Private goods are con-
sumed non-jointly by each partner and public goods, such as heating, are
consumed jointly and non-exclusively by the two partners. In other words,
private goods are characterized by an exclusion restriction property: the
fact that I consume a particular apple de facto excludes anyone else from
consuming the same apple. With public goods, on the contrary, no such
restriction exists: that I enjoy seeing a beautiful painting on my wall does
not preclude my spouse from enjoying it just as much (or even disliking it).
Several remarks can be made at that point. First, several commodities are
sometimes used publicly and sometimes privately; for instance, I can drive
my car alone to go to work, or the whole family may take a ride together.
Second, the privateness or publicness of a good is quite independent of the
type of control existing on that good and who exerts it; typically, parents
have control over the (private) consumption of their young children. Finally,
and more crucially, there exist subtle interactions between the (‘technical’)
nature of a good and how it enters the member’s utilities. The private
consumptions of member a certainly enter a’s utility; but it also may enter
b’s - we then call it an externality. Conversely, some commodities, although
public by nature, may in fact be exclusively consumed by one member; for
instance, although both spouses may in principle watch television together
without exclusion, one of them may simply dislike TV and never use it.
Throughout most of the book, we assume, to keep things simple, that any
where both W a (., .) and W b (., .) are monotone increasing functions. The
2 Sometimes the term altruistic is used for preferences taking this form. Pollak (2006)
has suggested the term deferential since each person defers to the judgment of the other
regarding their consumption.
3. Preferences and decision making 105
The logic here is that a should cares about b’s ultimate utility U b , which
includes also b’s altruistic feelings towards a. We can then think of (3.2) as
a reduced form obtained by the substitution:
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢ a ¡ ¢ b ¡ ¢
U a Q, qa , qb = ua Q, qb + δ̃ [ub Q, qb + δ̃ U a Q, qa , qb ] (3.4)
a b
If δ̃ δ̃ 6= 1 we have:
a
¡ ¢ 1 δ̃ ¡ ¢
U Q, qa , qb =
a
a b
a a
u (Q, q ) + a b
ub Q, qb (3.5)
1 − δ̃ δ̃ 1 − δ̃ δ̃
a b
Such a reduction yields logical results only if δ̃ δ̃ < 1. Clearly, too much
a b
caring (δ̃ δ̃ > 1) can lead to paradoxical results in which a puts negative
weights on both felicity functions. See Bergstrom (1989) and Bernheim and
Stark (1988) for further discussion and examples of how excessive altruism
can lead to unpalatable outcomes.
In some contexts we wish to impose stronger restrictions on preferences.
For example, we shall often consider only one private good. This can be
justified if prices are fixed by an appeal to the composite commodity the-
orem. In that case we can consider the unique private good to be ‘money’.
A second, particular case that we shall consider in many contexts relies on
the assumption of transferable utility (TU). This holds if we have egotistic
preferences and each felicity function can be (possibly after an increasing
106 3. Preferences and decision making
transform and a renaming of the private goods) put into a form that is
similar to the Gorman polar form:
ua (Q, qa ) = f a (q2a , ..., qna , Q) + G (Q) q1a
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
ub Q, qb = f b q2b , ..., qnb , Q + G (Q) q1b (3.6)
where G (Q) > 0 for all Q. Note that the G (.) function is identical for both
members, whereas the f (.) functions can be individual-specific. In words,
the transferable utility assumption implies that, for some well chosen car-
dinalization of individual preferences, the marginal utility of an additional
dollar spent on private consumption of commodity 1 is always the same
for both members. Hence utility can be ‘transferred’ between them (us-
ing commodity 1 transfers) at a fixed rate of exchange. Repeatedly in this
book, we shall develop examples in which the transferability assumption
drastically simplifies the problem to hand.
We shall often need to compare the utility of a given individual in two
different marital situations, for instance when married versus when single
(or divorced). Various assumptions can be made here. One extreme hy-
pothesis states that marriage may change preferences in an arbitrary way.
Then there is simply no relation between pre-marital and post-marital util-
ity functions - not a very useful property for our purpose. Conversely, we
may assume that preferences over commodities are not changed by mar-
riage. This by no means implies that the satisfaction derived from any
consumption is the same inside and outside marriage, but simply that the
ranking of the various consumption bundles is not affected by the individ-
ual’s marital status. With egotistic preferences, this will hold if the utility
in marriage, us , is related to the pre-marital preferences represented by the
utility function, ūs (Q, qs ) by:
us (Q, qs ) = F s (ūs (Q, qs )) (3.7)
s
where the mapping F (.) is strictly increasing. A particularly convenient
special case that we shall employ when we consider explicitly the full gains
from marriage is:
us (Q, qs ) = F (ūs (Q, qs ) + θs ) (3.8)
s
Here, θ represents non-monetary, marriage-specific aspects of s’s idiosyn-
cratic desire to be married. With caring preferences, the same obtains if
we normalize the contribution of the spouse’s utility to be uniformly zero
when the agent is single. This assumption has important consequences on
the empirical estimation of the models. If condition (3.8) is satisfied, then
the preferences of married individuals amongst private and public goods are
the same when married or single. These preferences can then be recovered
from data on singles’ behavior.
Finally, an intermediate assumption states that single and married indi-
viduals have the same basic preferences, but marriage involves a change in
the consumption technology, a concept we define in the next subsection.
3. Preferences and decision making 107
two distinct roles. For example, a father who spends time with his child
contributes to the development of the child (through f j (.)) and may also
enjoy spending time with the child (captured by the presence of tbj in U b (.)).
Of course, either of these effects could be negative (although not both).
A standard problem with this approach is that the production function,
despite its conceptual interest, cannot be estimated independently of the
utility function unless the home produced commodities are independently
observable; see Pollak and Wachter (1975) and Gronau (2006). Observabil-
ity of outputs may be acceptable for agricultural production, or even for
children’s health or education; it is less likely for, say, cleaning, and almost
impossible for personal caring.
If only inputs are observed and not outputs we may be able to recover
information about the technology if we make auxiliary assumptions such
as constant returns to scale and assumptions on preferences. To illustrate
this, consider two partners who consume one single public good C and one
private good c such that a consumes ca and b consumes cb with preferences
given by us (C, cs ) , s = a, b. Assume that the private good is purchased in
the market and that the public commodity is produced using only the time
inputs of the two partners. That is,
¡ ¢
C = f ta , tb . (3.11)
Assuming that both partners participate in the labor market at wages wa
and wb respectively, it can then be shown that for any efficient allocation
the partners will minimize the cost of producing the public commodity in
terms of the forgone private commodity, yielding
¡ ¢
f1 ta , tb wa
= (3.12)
f2 (ta , tb ) wb
in any interior solution. If we assume constant returns to scale, we can
write: ¡ ¢
C = f ta , tb = tb φ (r) (3.13)
ta
for some function φ (r) where r = tb
. The condition (3.12) then reduces to:
0
φ (r) wa
= (3.14)
φ (r) − rφ0 (r) wb
The testable implication of this equality is that r only depends on the wage
ratio ω; this can be tested on a data set that reports wages and time spent
on household production. Defining,
φ0 (r)
h(r) = (3.15)
φ (r) − rφ0 (r)
this equation can be re-written as:
φ0 (r) 1
= 1
φ (r) r + h(r)
3. Preferences and decision making 109
Integrating, we have:
ÃZ !
r
ds
φ (r) = K exp 1
0 s + h(s)
over goods that she attained as a member of the household. Note that this
amount is different (and lower) than what would be needed to purchase,
as a single, the same bundle the member was consuming when married.
Indeed, an obvious effect of the household technology is that the prices
implicitly used within the household may differ from market prices; see
chapter 2, section 2. It follows that even for a given level of expenditures,
the consumption profile of a couple typically differs from that of single
individuals.
3.2.2 Children
Modeling children is a complex issue, and one in which even basic method-
ological choices may be far from innocuous in terms of normative implica-
tions. A general approach relies on two basic ideas. One is that, in general,
parents care about their children. This could take the form of parent s
caring directly about the goods that the child consumes:
¡ ¢
U s = U s Q, qa , qb , qk , ta , tb (3.16)
where ts are the time inputs of the parents and qk denotes the vector of
private consumption by the child. A widely used special case posits the
existence of a child utility function:
³ ´
uk = uk ta , tb , Q, qk (3.17)
3A
more general formulation would have utilities of the form us Q, qa , qb , uk .
3. Preferences and decision making 111
of their parents without any effect on the final outcome. This type of neu-
trality is often termed Ricardian Equivalence.
It is important to note that in this context, children matter for the house-
hold’s choices, but only through the utility their parents derive from their
well-being. This is a strong assumption, that can be relaxed in two direc-
tions. First, one may, alternatively, consider the child as another decision
maker within the household. In this case a couple with one child would
be considered as a three person household. Whether a child should be
considered as a decision maker or not is a very difficult question, which
may depend on a host of factors (age, education, occupation, income, etc.);
moreover, its empirical translation introduces subtle differences that are
discussed below.
Secondly, throughout this book we stick to a standard practice in eco-
nomics, and we assume that preferences are given, that is, exogenous and
stable. This assumption may be acceptable for adults, but maybe less so
for children; after all, many parents invest time and resources into influ-
encing (or ‘shaping’) their children’s preferences regarding work, risk, or
‘values’ in some general sense. Indeed, a growing literature analyzes the
formation of preferences from an economic viewpoint, as a particular ‘pro-
duction’ process. These contributions are outside the scope of this book;
the interested reader is referred to Becker (1998).
In general the agents will differ on how to spend household income. There
are three broad classes of decision processes: the unitary assumption, non-
cooperative processes and cooperative processes.
The most widely used assumption is that
¡ choices ¢ are made according to
a ‘unitary’ household utility function Ũ Q, qa , qb . In subsection 3.5.6 we
shall investigate when such an assumption is justified, but for now we sim-
ply consider the consequences. One natural assumption, due to Samuelson
(1956), is to impose on the household utility function that it respects the
112 3. Preferences and decision making
Given this household utility function we can derive market demands in the
usual way; namely, it solves the program
max U (Q, q) subject to P0 Q + p0 q ≤ x
(Q,q)
4 Several authors take the Nash position that any cooperative game should be pre-
ceded by a non-cooperative game. Some of the authors cited in this section only develop
a noncooperative interaction for this purpose.
3. Preferences and decision making 113
the simple situation in which preferences are egotistic, and all commodi-
ties are privately consumed. The noncooperative solution boils down to the
following two programs:
In words, the noncooperative solution simply implies in that case that each
agent chooses his/her level of consumption independently of the other; that
is, they live side by side, but without any economic interaction.5 Then the
consumption of individual s is simply this individual’s demands at prices
p and income Y s . Denote
³ the demand functions
´ for s by ξ s (p, Y s ). Note
¡ ¢
that the allocation ξa (p, Y a ) , ξb p, Y b is Pareto efficient: clearly, the
utility of, say, a can only be increased by an income transfer from b, which
would reduce b’s welfare. Generally the associated household demands
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
ξ p, Y a , Y b = ξa (p, Y a ) + ξb p, Y b (3.25)
will not satisfy income pooling or the Slutsky conditions. The special case
in which income pooling and the Slutsky conditions will hold is if the classic
aggregation conditions hold. That is, if the two agents have linear Engel
curves with each partner having the same slope for any good:
In this very special case income pooling holds in the sense that the house-
hold demands do not depend on the distribution of income. The distribution
of the goods within the household will, however, depend on the distribution
of income.
5 Of course, this does not preclude the existence of non-economic interactions - love,
likely to appear. To bring out the essential features of the analysis, let
us assume that there is only one public good and one private good and
that each person has egotistic preferences; see Chen and Wooley (2001)
and Browning, Chiappori and Lechene (2010). Given that we have a public
good and individual incomes a natural, noncooperative process to consider
is a voluntary contributions game in which each person contributes to the
purchase of the public good and then uses any money remaining to buy the
private good for themselves. That is, the two agents have the problems:
© a¡ a b a
¢ a a a
ª
max u Q + Q , q subject to P Q + pq = Y
Qa ,q a
© ¡ ¢ ª
max ub Qa + Qb , q b subject to P Qb + pq b = Y b (3.28)
Qb ,q b
where Qs denotes agent s’s contribution to the public good. Assuming that
both goods are normal, this interaction has exactly one Nash equilibrium,
which can take one of two forms. In the first form, both agents contribute
to the public good. Since this is an interior solution for both we have:
uaQ ³ a
´ P
Q̂, q̂ =
uaq p
ubQ ³ ´ P
b
Q̂, q̂ b = (3.29)
uq p
We conclude that the household’s market demand for both the public good,
Q̂, and the private good, q̂ = q̂ a +q̂ b depends only on total household income
Y a + Y b and not on how it is distributed. In other words, we have income
pooling even though we have a non-unitary model. This is an example of
the remarkable neutrality result due to Warr (1983) (see also Bergstrom,
Blume and Varian (1986) and Bernheim (1986)). This shows that while
income pooling is a necessary condition for the unitary model, it is not
sufficient.
It is important to note that income pooling here is a local property and
holds only as long as both partners contribute to the public good. The other
3. Preferences and decision making 115
case we have to consider is the one in which only one person contributes.
If this is person a, the first order condition in (3.29) holds for her. Person
b spends all of his income on the private good, so that:
µ ¶
ubQ Yb P
Q̂, ≤ (3.32)
ubq p p
Yb Yb
q̂ = ξ a (P, p, Y a ) +
= q̂ a +
p p
a
¡ a b
¢
Q̂ = Q̂ = Ξ P, p, Y , Y (3.33)
uaQ ³ a
´ ub ³
Q
´ P
a
Q̂, q̂ + b Q̂, q̂ b = 2 ,
uq uq p
uaQ ³ a
´ ub ³
Q
´ P
a
Q̂, q̂ + b Q̂, q̂ b = . (3.34)
uq uq p
That is, the sum of the willingness to pay for the public good of the two
partners, should equal to the opportunity cost of the public good in terms
of the private good. In this regard, there is an under provision of the public
good. 6
We now present an example to illustrate some of the points made here.
Normalize prices to unity, P = p = 1, and take preferences represented by
ua = q a Qα and ub = q b Q. The parameter α governs how much a likes the
public good; if α > 1 then she values it more than b if they have the same
private consumption. We set Y a = ρ and Y b = (1 − ρ) so that household
nated if players contribute sequentially and cannot reduce previous contributions; see,
for example, Matthews (2006).
116 3. Preferences and decision making
(with the demands for private goods being given by the budget constraints).
It is easiest to see the implications of this if we graph Q̂ = Q̂a + Q̂b against
a’s share of income, ρ. In figure 3.1 we do this for two values of α, 0.8 and
1.2. There are a number of notable features to figure 3.1. First, if b has all
the income (ρ = 0) then the level of public goods provision corresponds
to his preferred level; here a value of one half. If we now redistribute some
income from b to a we see that the level of the public good falls whether or
not a has a higher valuation for the public good (α ≶ 1). This is because
a uses all of her income for her own private good and b reduces spending
on both the public good and his private good. As we continue shifting
income from b to a the level of the public good falls until at some point a
starts to contribute. The level at which a starts to contribute is lower the
higher is the value of her liking for the public good (compare the curves for
α = 0.8 and α = 1.2). Once both partners are contributing to the public
good, further small transfers from b to a leave all allocations unchanged as
a increases her contributions and b reduces his in an exactly offsetting way
(this is the local income pooling result). At some point b’s income falls to
the point at which he stops contributing. This level of income is lower the
higher is the level of the provision of the public good. After this, transfers
of income from b to a cause a to increase her contribution to the public
good until she has all of the income (ρ = 1).
To illustrate that the level of provision of the public god is inefficiently
low for any value of ρ ∈ (0, 1), consider the case α = 1 and ρ = 0.5. The
equilibrium choices are Q̂ = 1/3 and q a = q b = 1/3. This gives each a utility
level of 1/9. If we instead impose that each contributes 0.25 to the public
good and spends 0.25 on their own private good then each has a utility
level of 1/8, which is a Pareto improvement on the equilibrium outcome.
© a¡ a ¢ ª
max
a a
u Q + Qb , q a subject to e0 Qa + q a = Y a
Q ,q
© ¡ ¢ ª
max ub Qa + Qb , q b subject to e0 Qb + q b = Y b (3.35)
Qb ,q b
118 3. Preferences and decision making
³ ´
where e is an N -vector of ones. Let Q̂s1 , ...Q̂sN for s = a, b be a Nash
equilibrium.7 We say that person s contributes to good j if Q̂sj > 0. Let
ma (respectively, mb ) be the number of goods to which a (respectively, b)
contributes. Browning at al (2010) show that if all public goods are bought
(Q̂sj > 0 for at least one s) then either ma + mb = N or ma + mb = N + 1
(generally). This striking result shows that there is at most one public good
to which both partners contribute.8
To see the result informally, suppose that both partners simultaneously
contribute to two public goods, i and j. Then both set the marginal rates
of substitution between the two goods to unity (the relative prices) and
hence equalize the mrs’s:
uai ub
a = bi (3.36)
uj uj
Without restrictions on preferences and incomes, this is unlikely to hold.
Moreover, if it does hold, if we make an infinitesimal change in Y a or Y b
the property (3.36) will generally not hold.
If there is some overlap in contributions (ma + mb = N + 1) then we
have the local income pooling result, just as in the one public good case
when both contribute. The result that each partner has a set of public
goods which are his or her ‘domain’ suggests a gender division of allocation
within the household. Note, however, that the goods that each takes as
their domain is determined endogenously by preferences and the division
of income within the household. As we move from b having all the income
to a having all the income (holding total income constant) the number of
goods that she contributes to will generally rise and the number of goods
to which he contributes will generally fall.
We illustrate with an example with egoistic preferences from Browning
et al (2010) for the case of two public goods, G and H. Let the two partners
have preferences represented by the pair of Cobb-Douglas utility functions
5 8
ua (q a , G, H) = ln q a +
ln G + H
3 9
b b b 15 1
u (q , G, H) = ln q + ln G + ln H
32 2
The relative weights on the two public goods are 45 15
24 and 16 for a and
b respectively; that is, a likes good G relative to good H, more than b.
Figure 3.3 shows the purchases of public goods against a’s share of income.
When a has a low share of income (region I on the x-axis) she does not
of preferences and incomes for which the two partners contribute to more than one
common public good.
3. Preferences and decision making 119
in the usual sense that no other feasible choice would have been preferred
by all household members. This approach was originally suggested by Chi-
appori (1988, 1992) and Apps and Rees (1988). Following Chiappori, we
refer to such models as collective and refer to households that always have
Pareto efficient outcomes as collective households. More specific represen-
tations, based on bargaining theory, are briefly discussed at the end at this
section. In the remainder of this chapter we briefly introduce the collective
model. Chapters 4 and 5 expand on this discussion.
The collective approach relies on two fundamental assumptions. First,
there exists a decision process in the household and it is stable. Second,
this process leads to Pareto efficient outcomes. We discuss these aspects
successively.
1 0 For instance, a basic conclusion of second best theory is that in the presence of non
1 1 Note, however, that folks theorems essentially apply to infinitely repeated interac-
tions.
1 2 A program of research in economics tries to explain existing institutions (including
social norms) as an efficient response to a particular context; the argument being that
competition will tend to promote the ‘best performing’ institutions. However, when
technology changes deviations from efficiency can arise, because social norms may change
slowly.
3. Preferences and decision making 123
Becker calls the ‘marriage market’) should matter, at least insofar as the
threat (or the risk) of divorce may play a role in the decision process. Indi-
viduals’ income or wealth can also be used as distribution factors. Suppose,
for example, that earned and unearned income is given for any individual
and let Y s denote the total income of person s. Then total household in-
come, given by Y = Y a + Y b , is all that matters for the budget constraint.
For any given level of Y , the individual contribution of a to total income,
measured for instance by the ratio Y a /Y , can only influence the outcome
through its impact on the decision process; it is thus a distribution factor.
In the collective framework, changes in distribution factors typically lead
to variations in outcomes while the set of efficient allocations remains un-
changed; as such, it provides very useful information on the decision process
actually at stake in the household. For that reason, it is in general crucial
to explicitly take then into account in the formal model. In what follows,
therefore, z denotes a vector of distribution factors.
Thus the Pareto efficient allocation can be derived from maximizing the
utility of one partner holding the utility of the other at a given level: among
3. Preferences and decision making 125
all allocations providing a with exactly ūa , the efficient one(s) generate the
maximum possible utility for b. It goes without saying that this approach
- just like most microeconomics - should not be taken literally. No one
believes that agents actually write and solve a program such as (3.37). Our
claim is simply that when a decision process, whatever its exact nature,
always lead to efficient outcomes, then for any choice of prices, income and
distribution factors there exists a ūa such that the household behaves as if
it was solving program (3.37).
The solution to (3.37), when it exists (that is, if ūa is feasible), depends on
prices, total expenditure and on the arbitrary level ūa ; it can be denoted
as ub = Υ (P, p, x, ūa ). The set of all pairs (ūa , Υ (P, p, x, ūa )) when ūa
varies over a domain of feasible allocations for a is the set of all efficient
allocations; it is known as the Pareto frontier or utility possibility frontier,
UPF. Under the assumption that the utility functions are strictly concave
it is straight forward to show that the function Υ (.) is strictly concave in
ūa (see below). This allows us to write Program (3.37) in a different but
equivalent way. Let μ denote the Lagrange multiplier for constraint (3.39);
note that μ is always nonnegative (and is a function of (P, p,x, z)). Then
the program is equivalent to:
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
max μua Q, qa , qb + ub Q, qa , qb (3.40)
Q,qa ,qb
under the constraint (3.38). The coefficient μ is known as the Pareto weight
for a. That is, a Pareto efficient outcome always maximizes a weighted sum
of the two individual utilities. A slightly modified form that keeps the
formal symmetry of the problem is sometimes used:
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
max μ̃ua Q, qa , qb + (1 − μ̃) ub Q, qa , qb , (3.41)
Q,qa ,qb
where μ̃ ∈ [0, 1]. The Pareto weight plays a critical role in all that follows.
Finally, an equivalent formulation directly generalizes Samuelson’s
¡ house-¢
hold welfare. Specifically, take any smooth function W ua , ub , P, p,x, z
that is strictly increasing in its first two arguments, and consider the pro-
gram:
¡ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢ ¢
max W ua Q, qa , qb , ub Q, qa , qb , P, p,x, z (3.42)
Q,qa ,qb
between ūa and μ is one-to-one; that is, for any ūa , there exists exactly
one μ that picks up the efficient point providing a with exactly ūa , and
conversely for any μ there is only one allocation that maximizes (3.40)
under budget constraint, therefore only one corresponding utility level ūa .
We can also understand from ¡ Figure 3.5 why ¢ the maximization of gen-
eralized Samuelson index W ua , ub , P, p,x, z is equivalent to that of a
linear combination μua + ub . The maximization of a non linear index W
will select a point where the Pareto frontier is tangent to some indifference
curve of W . If −μ denotes the slope of the corresponding tangent, maximiz-
ing μua + ub leads to exactly the same point. Replacing W with its linear
equivalent can be done at any point, provided that μ varies adequately;
technically, this simply requires that:
∂W/∂ua
μ=
∂W/∂ub
1 3 However, a strictly quasi concave generalized welfare index would still pick up exactly
one point.
128 3. Preferences and decision making
subject to qa + qb = q (3.44)
is an old one, the important feature in our case is how it is done. Follow-
ing standard demand theory we do not allow prices to enter the individual
utility functions; prices and income can only affect the respective weights
given to individual utilities. As we shall see below, this gives very specific
predictions for household demands. Additionally, it makes analysis using
a collective model almost as easy as using a unitary model which is an
important consideration when considering non-unitary alternatives.
This approach allows us to decompose changes in the utility levels of the
two partners following a change in the environment into changes that would
follow in a unitary model and the additional effect due to the collective
framework. This is illustrated in figure 3.8, where we ignore distribution
factors. Here we consider a change in prices and incomes that moves the
UPF from U P F (P, p, x) to U P F (P0 , p0 , x0 ). Initially the point I is chosen
on U P F (P, p, x). If we hold μ constant when prices and income change
(the unitary assumption) then the utility levels move to point II at which
point the tangent to U P F (P0 , p0 , x0 ) is parallel to the tangent at point I
on U P F (P, p, x). However, a change in the economic environment may
also lead to a change in the Pareto weight. This is the ‘collective’ effect,
illustrated by the move around U P F (P0 , p0 , x0 ) from II to III.
Finally, the collective formalization provides a natural way of introducing
distribution factors within the framework of household decision process. If
some distribution factors z influence the process by shifting the individual
weights, then μ will depend on these variables. The fact that distribution
factors matter only through their impact on μ plays a key role in the results
of Chapter 4. As we shall show, efficiency can be tested using cross equa-
tion restrictions that arise from the fact that the same function μ (P, p, x, z)
appears in the demand for all goods. Moreover, there is an important dif-
ference between prices and total income, on the one hand, and distribution
factors on the other hand. A change in prices or total income will affect
not only the weight μ, but also the shape of the Pareto set; hence it final
impact on individual welfare may be difficult to assess. On the contrary, a
change in a distribution factor can by definition only influence the weight
μ. In general, its effect on welfare is not ambiguous. In terms of figure 3.8
a distribution factor shifts the tangent point but not the frontier itself.
As an illustration of this point, we may briefly come back to the exam-
ple discussed in subsection 3.4.2 of the impact of individual incomes Y a
and Y b on household behavior. From a collective perspective, this impact
should be decomposed into two components. One is the resulting change
in total income Y = Y a + Y b (hence of total expenditures x in our sta-
tic framework); this affects the shape of the Pareto frontier as well as the
weight μ, and its effect is a priori ambiguous. The second component is
the change in relative incomes, say z = Y a /Y b , keeping the sum constant.
The latter should be analyzed as a variation of a distribution factor, and
its consequences are much easier to assess. For instance, if we assume, as is
natural, that increasing the relative income of a increases a’s weight, then it
3. Preferences and decision making 131
must increase a’s welfare. However, how this improvement in a’s situation
will be translated into observable household behavior (for example, which
consumptions will increase) is a difficult issue, for which a more precise
formalization is needed.
3.5.7 Caring
The way in which partners care about each other may also affect the Pareto
utility frontier. To take a simple example, consider the caring preferences
introduced in section 3.1:
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
U a Q, qa , qb = ua (Q, qa ) + δ a ub Q, qb
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
U b Q, qa , qb = ub Q, qb + δ b ua (Q, qa ) (3.45)
where
μ + δb
μ̃ =
1 + μδ a
Formally, (3.46) is identical to the egotistic case (δ a = δ b = 0), indicating
that any allocation that is Pareto efficient for the caring preferences is
also Pareto efficient for the egotistic ones. The argument underlying this
conclusion is quite general, and goes as follows: if an allocation fails to be
efficient for egotistic preferences, there exist another allocation that entails
higher values of both ua and ub . But then it also entails higher values of both
U a and U b , showing that the initial allocation was not efficient for caring
preferences as well. In other words, the Pareto set for caring preferences
is a subset of the Pareto set for egotistic preferences. Note, however, that
the two sets do not coincide: some allocations may be efficient for egotistic
preferences, but not for caring ones. Indeed, an allocation that gives all
resources to one member may be efficient for egotistic agents, but not for
caring persons - a redistribution in favor of the ‘poor’ member would then
typically be Pareto improving. Technically, when μ varies from 0 to infinity,
μ0 only varies from δ b to 1/δ a , and the new Pareto set is a strict interior
subset of the initial one.
One important feature of (3.46) is that if b’s caring for a increases (giving
an increase in δ b ) then it is as though a’s Pareto weight increases (and
132 3. Preferences and decision making
¡ ¢ © ¡ ¢ª
U a Q, qa , qb = min ua (Q, qa ) , ub Q, qb
¡ ¢ © ¡ ¢ª
U b Q, qa , qb = min ua (Q, qa ) , ub Q, qb (3.47)
This formalizes the maxim that ‘no man can be happier than his wife’. In
this very special case the utility possibility frontier shrinks to a single point
at which ua = ub .
3.5.8 Children
Finally, let us briefly come back to the distinction sketched above between
children being modeled as public goods or genuine decision makers. In the
first case, using parental utilities of the form us + κs uk described above,
the maximand in (3.40) becomes
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
μ ua + κa uk + ub + κb uk
which is equivalent to
1 £ a ¡ ¢ ¤
a b
μu + ub + μκa + κb uk (3.48)
1 + μ + μκ + κ
the initial fraction in (3.48) gives a normalization that the weights sum to
unity.
Alternatively, we may model the child as a decision maker. Then (s)he
is characterized by an additional Pareto weight, say μk , and the household
maximizes the weighted sum:
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
μua Q, qa , qb + ub Q, qa , qb + μk uk (3.49)
Although the two forms (3.48) and (3.49) look similar, they are, in fact,
quite different. Recall that the key insight of collective models is that Pareto
weights may depend on prices, wages, incomes and distribution factors, and
that this fact explains why collective households do not generally behave as
unitary ones. In (3.48) all Pareto weights are defined by the knowledge of
the function μ ; in (3.49), however, μ and μk can be defined independently,
and the location of the final outcome on the Pareto frontier now depends on
two parameters. Broadly speaking, the deviation from the unitary model
is one dimensional in the first case (it is summarized by a unique function
μ) whereas it is two-dimensional in the second case. As it turns out, this
distinction has testable implication; that is, we shall see later on that a
3. Preferences and decision making 133
household with three decision makers does not generally behave as a couple,
pretty much in the same way as couples do not generally behave as singles.
Another fascinating implication is that, in principle, one can assess the
number of actual decision makers in a household from the sole examination
of the household’s behavior, even in a fairly general context!
1 4 If we have public goods and externalities then we also need Lindahl prices and
1 6 Becker has two slightly different versions of the Rotten Kid Theorem. The early one
stated in Becker (1974, page 1080) is "If a head exists, other family members are also
motivated to maximize family income and consumption, even if their utility depend on
their consumption alone " The later version in Becker (1991, p288) is set in context of
mutual altruism where each person is a potential contributor to the other and states that
136 3. Preferences and decision making
To illustrate the working of the ‘family head mechanism’, let each spouse
have two private actions: consumption and work. Time not spent at work is
used to produce a household good which is a public good (for example, child
quality). Let us assume transferable utility and write the person specific
utility as
U s (Q, q s , ls ) = Qq s + vs (ls ), s = a, b (3.54)
where where, q s denotes private consumption, ls is leisure time and Q is a
public good produced at home. The household production function is
Q = φ(ta , tb ) (3.55)
where ts denotes time spent by s on the production of the public good. The
family budget constraint is
"Each beneficiary, no-matter how selfish, maximizes the family income of his benefactor
and thereby internalizes all effects of his actions on other beneficiaries." In both versions,
there is only one good that is distributed. Following Bergstrom (1989) we consider here
a problem with two goods and show that under transferable utility similar results are
obtained.
3. Preferences and decision making 137
The family head mechanism was first proposed by Becker and is discussed
in detail in Becker (1991, chapter 8). One application of the analysis is par-
ent child relationship and the main result is that selfish children can act
in a manner that internalizes the consequences of their actions, yielding an
efficient outcome. This result was coined by Becker as ‘the rotten kid the-
orem’. His analysis, however, was much more general, dealing with various
forms of altruism and preference dependence. The subsequent literature ad-
dressed the generality of the efficiency head mechanism. Bergstrom (1991)
shows that this result generally fails in the absence of transferable utility,
because agents can then affect not only the location of the Pareto frontier
but also its slope, destroying the monotonicity result required for the theo-
rem to hold. Another issue is the precise sequence of events. Suppose that
the children can consume in both periods 1 and 2. Then, efficiency requires
that, for each child, the ratio of the marginal utilities of consumption in
the two periods is equated to the cost of transferring goods over time that
is facing the household, 1 + r. However, in choosing consumption, the child
will take into account that his first period consumption also influences the
transfer from the head. Being poor in the second period causes the parent
to transfer more, causing the child to under-save. This pattern of behav-
ior, where giving leads to under provision, is referred to as the Samaritan
Dilemma (Bruce and Waldman, 1990). This example shows that altruism
can also be a constraint on mechanism design. The parent could in prin-
ciple impose the efficient outcome by conditioning the payment on past
performance. However, an altruistic parent may not be able to commit to
punish a deviating child - a restriction that is captured in modeling the
stages of game and seeking a subgame perfect equilibrium.
Nash bargaining
The most commonly used bargaining solution was proposed by John Nash
in the early 1950’s. Nash derived this solution as the unique outcome of a set
of axioms that any ‘reasonable’ solution must satisfy. Some of the axioms
are uncontroversial. One is individual rationality: an agent will never accept
an agreement that is less favorable than her threat point. Another is Pareto
efficiency, as discussed above. A third mild requirement is invariance with
and Brown (1980) and McElroy and Horney (1981). For a more complete discussion of
two person bargaining, see Myerson (1991, ch.8).
3. Preferences and decision making 139
respect to affine transformations18 : if both the utility and the threat point
of an agent are transformed by the same increasing, affine mapping the
prediction about the equilibrium outcome of cooperation does not change.
Note, however, that a non linear transform will change the outcome; that
is, Nash bargaining requires a cardinal representation of preferences.
The last two axioms are more specific. One is symmetry; it states that
if utilities and threat points are permuted between members (ua and T a
are replaced with ub and T b , and conversely) then the outcomes are simply
switched (ūa is replaced with ūb and conversely). Natural as it may sound,
this assumption may still sometimes be too strong. In many socioeconomic
contexts, for instance, male and female roles are by no means symmetric.
Fortunately, Nash bargaining can easily be extended to avoid the symmetry
assumption.
The last and crucial axiom is independence. It can be stated as follows.
Assume that the set of available opportunities (the Pareto set) shrinks, so
that the new Pareto set is within the old one, but the initial equilibrium
outcome is still feasible; then the new equilibrium outcome will be the
same as before. In other words, the fact that one member misses some
opportunities that he had before does not affect his bargaining position
towards the other member. This requirement alone implies that the Nash
solution maximizes some function of the utilities of the two partners.
If one accepts these axioms, then only¡ a one ¢ outcome is possible. It given
b
by the following rule: find the pair ¡ b ū , ū
¢ on the Pareto frontier that
a a b 19
maximizes ¡the product¢ (u − T ) u − T . That is, the Nash bargaining
allocation Q, qa , qb solves
¡ ¡ ¢ ¢¡ ¡ ¢ ¢
max ua Q, qa , qb − T a ub Q, qa , qb − T b (3.58)
Q,qa ,qb
¡ ¢
under the budget constraint 6.18. Thus the product (ua − T a ) ub − T b
can be considered as a household utility function, that is maximized on the
Pareto set. Note that (us − T s ) is the surplus derived from the relationship
by agent s. The main implication of Nash bargaining is that the product
of surpluses should be maximized.20
Clearly, if the threat points do not depend on prices, incomes and dis-
tribution factors, the maximand can be seen as a standard, unitary utility
and the Nash bargaining solution boils down to a unitary model; the out-
come satisfies in particular the properties of a regular consumer demand.
This case, however, is of little interest. Typically, threat point depends on
a number of parameters, and the previous formalization allows us to study
how these effects translate into behavioral patterns. An important result
Kalai-Smorodinsky
An alternative concept has been proposed by Kalai and Smorodinsky (1975).
It relies on the following, monotonicity property. Consider two bargaining
problems such that (i) the range of individually rational payoffs that player
a can get is the same in the two problems, and (ii) for any given, individu-
ally rational utility level for player a, the maximum utility that player b can
achieve (given the Pareto frontier) is never smaller in the second problem
than in the first. Then player b should do at least as well in the second
problem than in the first. In other words, if one enlarges the Pareto set by
inflating b’s opportunities while keeping a’s constant, this change cannot
harm b.
Kalai and Smorodinsky prove that there exists a unique bargaining solu-
tion that satisfies all the previous axioms except for independence, which is
replaced with monotonicity. Moreover, the solution has an interesting inter-
pretation. Define the aspiration level As of player s as the maximum utility
he/she can get that is compatible with feasibility and the partner’s indi-
vidual rationality constraint; this corresponds to the point on the Pareto
0
frontier that leaves the partner, say s0 , at¡their threat
¢ point utility T s .
Define, now, the ideal point as the point Aa , Ab ; obviously, this point
lies outside
¡ ¢of the Pareto frontier. The solution, now, is to chose a point
U = ua , ub on the Pareto frontier so that
ua − T a Aa − T a
b b
= b
u −T A − Tb
In words, the bargaining is here influenced, in addition to the threat points,
by the players’ aspirations about what they might receive within marriage.
The surplus share received by player s, us − T s , is directly proportional to
the maximum gain s could aspire to, As − T s .
in which players make alternating offers until one is accepted. When time
matters through a constant discount factor, there exists a unique, subgame-
perfect equilibrium of this noncooperative game, which is characterized by
the requirement that each player should be indifferent between accepting
the current offer and waiting to an additional round and making an offer
that the opponent would accept. Binmore, Rubinstein and Wolinsky (1987)
have analyzed the link between these non cooperative formulations and the
axiomatic approaches. Specifically, they study a model in which the bar-
gaining process may, with some probability, be exogeneouly interrupted at
each period. This model has a unique, subgame perfect equilibirum; more-
over, if one allows the time interval between successive offers in both models
to decrease to zero, then the equilibirum converges to the Nash bargaining
solution.
delicate, since most data sets allow us to estimate (at best) an ordinal representation of
preferences, whereas Nash bargaining requires a cardinal representation. See Chiappori
(1991)
142 3. Preferences and decision making
Equilibrium models
Following the seminal contributions of Becker23 , several papers by Grossbard-
Schechtman24 analyze marriage in a general equilibrium framework, in
Separate spheres
The ‘separate sphere’ approach of Lundberg and Pollack (1993) considers
a model with two public goods and assumes that each partner is assigned
a public good to which they alone can contribute; this is their ‘sphere’ of
responsibility or expertise. These spheres are determined by social norms.
The question Lundberg and Pollak address is how the contributions to
the individual spheres are determined. If the partners cooperate, they pool
and equilibrium on the market for marriage will be the main topic of the second part of
the present book.
2 6 That the household should spend its entire budget may seem an obvious implication
of efficiency, et least in the static context under consideration here. However, the authors
show that the property may be violated in the presence of negative externalities.
144 3. Preferences and decision making
their incomes and set the levels of all goods at the Nash bargaining solution,
which is efficient. The Nash solution is enforced by a binding agreement.
The resulting allocation then depends on the respective threat points of
the husband and wife. They consider the threats of continued marriage in
which the partners act non-cooperatively and each chooses independently
the level of public good under their domain. In this case, the outcome is
inefficient. Specifically, if the partners’ individual utilities are additively
separable in the two public goods (implying no strategic interactions) each
partner will choose the level desired by him\her given their respective in-
comes. If the wife is poor and the child is under her sphere, the outcome
will be under provision of child services. This solution can be modified,
however, by transfers that the husband voluntarily commits to pay his wife
(before incomes are known) or by a direct purchase of child services in the
market.
Inefficient bargaining
Basu (2006) considers a model in which agents bargain in a cooperative
way, but the respective threat points depend in part on endogenous de-
cisions. For instance, when deciding on labor supply and consumption, a
spouse’s bargaining position may depend not only on her wage and non la-
bor income, but also on the labor income she generates. Basu analyzes the
corresponding model, and shows in particular that multiple equilibria may
coexist; moreover, decisions may not be monotonic in a member’s power
(for instance, child labor can first decline, then rise as the wife’s power
increases). It is important to note, here, that although it uses a bargaining
framework, Basu’s model leads to Pareto inefficient decisions, because of
the noncooperative ingredient implicit in the framework. Typically, linking
a person’s weight to that person’s labor income leads to oversupply of la-
bor: once an efficient allocation has been reached, it is individually rational
for each spouse to marginally boost their Pareto weight through additional
labor supply. Both members could benefit from a simultaneous reduction of
their labor supply that would leave Pareto weights unchanged, but strategic
incentives prevent this Pareto improvement from taking place.
A similar intuition had actually been proposed earlier by Brossolet (1993)
and Konrad and Lommerud (1995). In the two-period model of Konrad and
Lommerud, individuals first invest in education, then marry; when married,
their decisions are derived from a Nash bargaining framework. Since invest-
ments in human capital are made noncooperatively and current investments
will serve to improve future bargaining power, there is again inefficient over-
investment in human capital. Unlike Basu, the second period outcome is
efficient in the static sense (that is, labor supply choices, conditional on
education, are ex post Pareto efficient); the inefficiency, here, is dynamic,
and can be seen in the initial overinvestment.
In both cases, efficiency could be restored through adequate commitment
3. Preferences and decision making 145
devices. In practice, such devices are likely to exist in Basu’s setting (since
the Pareto improvement could be reached during marriage) but not in Kon-
rad and Lommerud’s framework (because investments are made before the
spouses meet). All in all, these models emphasize the key role of commit-
ment, a point that has been evoked earlier and that will be extensively
discussed in Chapter 6. They also indicate that the interaction between ex
ante investements and ex post matching on the marriage markets are both
important and complex; we shall analyze them in full detail in the second
part of the book.
146 3. Preferences and decision making
3.6 References
[1] Apps, Patricia F. and Ray Rees, ‘Taxation and the Household’, Journal
of Public Economics, 35 (1988), 355-369.
[2] Basu, Kaushik, ‘Gender and Say: A Model of Household Behaviour
With Endogenously Determined Balance of Power’, Economic Jour-
nal, 116 (2006), 558-580.
[3] Becker, Gary S. and Kevin M. Murphy, Accounting for Tastes,
(Cambridge Mass: Harvard University Press, 1996).
[4] Becker, Gary S., ‘A Theory of the Allocation of Time’, The Economic
Journal, 75 (1965), 493-517.
[5] Becker, Gary S., ‘A Theory of Social Interactions’, Journal of Polit-
ical Economy, 82 (1974), 1063-93.
[6] Becker, Gary S., Treatise on the family, (Cambridge Mass: Harvard
University Press, 1991).
[7] Becker, Gary S. and Robert J. Barro, ‘A Reformulation of the Eco-
nomic Theory of Fertility’, The Quarterly Journal of Economics,
103 (1988), 1-25.
[8] Bergstrom, Theodore C., ‘Puzzles: Love and Spaghetti, The Oppor-
tunity Cost of Virtue’, The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3
(1989), 165-173.
[9] Bergstrom, Theodore C., Blume, Larry and Hal R. Varian, ‘On the
Private Provision of Public Goods’, Journal of Public Economics,
29 (1986), 25-49.
[10] Bergstrom, Theodore C., ‘A Fresh Look at the Rotten Kid Theorem—
and Other Household Mysteries’, Journal of Political Economy, 97
(1989), 1138-1159.
[11] Bernheim, B. Douglas and Kyle Bagwell, ‘Is Everything Neutral?’,
Journal of Political Economy, 96 (1988), 308-338.
[12] Bernheim, B. Douglas and Oded Stark, ‘Altruism within the Family
Reconsidered: Do Nice Guys Finish Last?’, The American Economic
Review, 78 (1988), 1034-1045.
[13] Binmore, Ken, Rubinstein, Ariel and Wolinsky, Asher (1986), ‘The
Nash Bargaining Solution in Economic Modelling’, RAND Journal of
Economics, v. 17, iss. 2, pp. 176-88
3. Preferences and decision making 147
[31] Konrad, Kai A. and Kjell Erik Lommerud, ‘Family Policy with Non-
Cooperative Families’, The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 97
(1995), 581-601.
[41] Samuelson, Paul A., ‘The Pure Theory of Public Expenditure’, The
Review of Economics and Statistics, 36 (1954), 387-389.
3. Preferences and decision making 149
ub
Low μ
UPF(P,p,x)
High μ
ua
ub
∂W/∂u a
∂W/∂u b
UPF(P,p,x)
W’s indifference
curve
ua
Ub
Ua
FIGURE 3.6. All utilities in the shaded area correspong to the same μ
3. Preferences and decision making 155
Ub
Ua
ub
I Maximal UPF
II
ua
4
The collective model: a formal
analysis
4.1 Collective demand functions: a general
characterization
4.1.1 The collective household utility function.
The basic aspects of the collective model have been described in the pre-
vious chapter. As stated earlier, the particular form adopted has testable
implications for demand functions. We now describe these implications in
detail. We start with the most
¡ general
¢ version of the model with individual
preferences of the form us Q, qa , qb . This allows for any type of consump-
tion externalities between agents. We define the collective household utility
function by
© a ª
uf (q, Q, μ) = max
a
μu ((Q, qa , q − qa )) + ub (Q, qa , q − qa ) (4.1)
q
and denote its Slutsky matrix by Σ = [σ ij ]i,j . We then have that Σ is sym-
metric and negative1 . Rearranging (4.3), we get the standard interpretation
of a Slutsky matrix; namely, the Marshallian response of the demand for
∂g̃i
good i to changes in the price of good j ( ∂r j
) can be decomposed into the
difference between a substitution effect (σ ij ) and an income effect (g̃j ∂g̃ ∂x ).
i
The intuition is that a marginal increase in the price of any good i affects,
among other things, the real income (the purchasing power) of all agents.
The substitution term σ ij represents the effect of the infinitesimal variation
if it was fully compensated in income (that is, accompanied by a variation
in income sufficient to exactly offset the loss in purchasing power); for that
reason, we often talk of compensated demand. The income effect, on the
other hand, reflects the fact that the price increase decreases the agent’s
purchasing power in proportion to the quantity purchased, which in turn
influences the demand.
Although the analysis of g̃ (r, x, μ), holding μ constant is conceptually
useful, it is crucial to realize that g̃ cannot be observed directly; indeed, such
an observation would require changing prices and income without modifying
μ. Since, in general, μ does depend on (r, x) this can be, at best, a thought
experiment. What we do observe is the household demand, in which price
and income variations affect both g̃ and μ. Thus the empirically relevant
concept is the demand function defined by:
does not imply that all the elements of the matrix are negative.
2 We shall maintain the ˆ notation for an observable function and ˜ for structural
throughout the book. Think of the ˆ as denoting a function that could be estimated.
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 159
Thus we can decompose the price effect into a Marshallian response (the
first term on the right hand side) and a collective effect (the second term),
which operates through variations of the Pareto weight μ. Figure 4.1 il-
lustrates for two goods. We start with prices and income (r, x) and the
demand at point I. We then change prices so that good 1 is cheaper; de-
note the new environment (r0 , x). The substitution effect is given by the
move from I to II and the income effect is II to III. The collective effect
associated with the change in μ is represented by the final term in (4.5)
which is shown as the move from III to IV .
∂ĝi ∂ĝi
sij = + ĝj (4.6)
∂rj ∂x
From (4.3), the first term between brackets is the substitution term σij
with associated matrix Σ. We adopt the following notation:
∙ ¸
∂g̃i
Dμ g̃ =
∂μ i
∙ ¸
∂μ ∂μ
v = + g̃j (4.8)
∂rj ∂x j
This gives:
S = Σ + (Dμ g̃) .v0 = Σ + R (4.9)
so that the Slutsky matrix of the observable collective demand ĝ (r, x) is the
sum of a conventional Slutsky matrix Σ, which is symmetric and negative,
and an additional matrix R. The latter is the product of a column vector
(Dμ g̃) and a row vector (v0 ). Note that such an outer product has rank of
at most one; indeed, for any vector w such that v0 .w = 0 we have that
160 4. The collective model: a formal analysis
that all of them, but maybe one, are equal to zero. Equivalently, one can find a basis in
which all of the (n + N) columns of R but one are identically zero.
4 Technically, the result has been proved for twice continuously differentiable demand
functions.
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 161
The right hand side term is independent of the good we are considering.
Hence we have the proportionality property that the ratio of derivatives
with respect to two sharing factors is the same for all goods. The result
that the impact of zk and zl must be proportional across commodities is
very important empirically, and can be given various equivalent forms; for
instance, we can write that5
If the impact of a change in zk on household demand for good i is, say, twice
as large as that of zl , then the same must be true for all commodities; and
we can actually conclude that the impact of zk on the Pareto weight μ is
twice as large as that of zl . Intuitively, whatever the number of distribution
factors, they only operate through their impact on μ; hence their impact
is one-dimensional. In a sense, it is as if there was one distribution factor
only. This prediction is empirically testable (subject to having at least two
distribution factors); possible tests will be discussed in the next chapter.
Another interesting feature of (4.14) is that it provides additional in-
formation about the structure of price and income effects in the collective
5 Equivalently, ∂gi
the matrix Dz g with general terms ∂zk
is of rank (at most) one.
162 4. The collective model: a formal analysis
∂g̃i 1 ∂ĝi
= for all i, k
∂μ ∂μ/∂zk ∂zk
∂ĝi
= λk for all i, k (4.17)
∂zk
so that (4.9) becomes
( T )
X ¡ ¢
f s 1 T
u (q, Q, μ) = max μs u Q, q , ..., q
g
s=1
T
X
subject to qs = q (4.19)
s=1
4.1.6 Children
Finally, we may briefly come back to the issue of children. We described
in the previous chapters two different ways of modelling children: either as
a ‘public good’ that enters parents’ utility or as a genuine decision maker.
The previous analysis sheds light on the respective implications of these
options. In the first case the household has two decision makers, whereas it
has three in the second. According to the generalized Slutsky conditions,
the demand function should satisfy SNR1 in the first case, but not in the
second (it only satisfies SNR2). In words: one can devise a test allowing to
find out how many decision makers there are in the household (the precise
implementation of the test will be described in the next chapter).
Clearly, one has to keep in mind the limits of this exercise. What the
theory predicts is that the rank of the R matrix is at most T − 1. Still, it
can be less. For instance, if μs and μs0 have a similar impact on household
demand (in the sense that Dμs g̃ and Dμs0 g̃ are colinear) then matrix R will
be of rank T − 2. In other words, if a household demand is found to satisfy
SNRk, the conclusion is that there are at least k decision makers; there may
be more, but there cannot be less. Or, in the case of children: a demand
satisfying SNR1 is consistent with children being decision makers; however,
164 4. The collective model: a formal analysis
if it satisfies SNR2 and not SNR1, then the hypothesis that children are
not decision makers is rejected.
¡ ¢
max ub Q, qa , qb (4.24)
Q,qa ,qb
subject to r0 g ≤ x
¡ ¢
ua Q, qa , qb ≥ ūa
¡ ¢
and g = qa + qb , Q (4.25)
¡ ¢
The two programs (4.23) and (4.24) are closely ¡ related.¢ Indeed, let Q̄, q̄a , q̄b
denote the solution to (4.24) and let ūb = ub Q̄, q̄a , q̄b . Then:
¡ ¢
E r, ūa , ūb = x
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
and Q̄, q̄a , q̄b solves (4.23). Conversely, ¡if Q̄, q̄a ,¢q̄b denotes the solution
to (4.23) for some ūa , ūb , then for x = E r, ūa , ūb we have that
¡ ¢
ub Q̄, q̄a , q̄b = ūb
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 165
¡ ¢
and Q̄, q̄a , q̄b solves (4.24). The intuition is simply that if a particular
bundle maximizes b’s utility subject to constraints on a’s utility and total
expenditures - this is program (4.24) - then one cannot reach the same
utilities at a lower total cost than this bundle (if that was possible, the dif-
ference in costs could be used to buy extra public commodities and increase
both members’ utilities, a contradiction). Conversely, if a bundle minimizes
total cost for two given utility levels - and therefore solves Program (4.23)
- then one cannot increase b’s utility without either reducing a’s utility or
spending more.
The notion of collective expenditure function - and the duality property
just described - is a direct generalization of the standard expenditure func-
tion of consumer theory; the only difference is that, now, there are two
utility levels that should be reached. Many results follow that generalize
standard theorems of consumer theory; in particular:
Proposition 4.1 We have:
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
ğ r, ua , ub = Or E r, ua , ub (4.26)
where Or E denotes the gradient of E with respect to r (that is, the vector
of partial derivatives ∂E/∂rj ).
The result is a consequence of the envelope theorem applied to program
(4.23).
In the case of egotistic preferences of the form us (qs , Q), we¡have further¢
results. Define the compensated demand for public goods by Q̆ p, P, ua , ub .
Then:
Proposition 4.2 If us only depends on (qs , Q) , s = a, b, then:
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
E p, P, ua , ub ≤ ea (p, P, ua ) + eb p, P, ub
¡ ¢
E p, P, ua , ub ≥ ea (p, P, ua )
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
+eb p, P, ub − P0 Q̆ p, P, ua , ub (4.27)
therefore
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
E p, P, ua , ub ≤ p0 q̄a + q̄b + P0 Q̄a
¡ ¢
≤ p0 q̄a + q̄b + P0 Q̄a + P0 Q̄b
¡ ¢
= ea (p, P, ua ) + eb p, P, ub (4.30)
¡ ¢
subject to r0 qa + qb , Q = x (4.31)
¡ ∗a ∗b ∗ ¢
Let q , q , Q denote its solution. Then the function ω s , defined for
s = a, b by:
ω s (r, x, μ) = us (q∗s , Q∗ )
is the direct equivalent, in the collective setting, of the indirect utility
concept in standard consumer theory. In particular, ω s only depends on
preferences, not on the decision process; technically, ω s is a function of the
Pareto weight μ, and a change in the decision process would result in the
same function ω s being applied to a different μ.
A second, and more important definition is obtained by plugging the par-
ticular Pareto weight adopted by the household into the previous definition.
In this case, the collective indirect utility of a member is the level of utility
ultimately reached by this member as a function of prices and income and
distribution factors. Formally, if the decision process is characterized by a
function μ (r,x, z), the collective indirect utility of member s is defined for
s = a, b by:
V s (r,x, z) = ω s (r, x, μ (r,x, z))
Now, the definition of s’s collective indirect utility depends not only
on s’s preferences, but also on the whole decision process. In other words,
collective indirect utilities are specific to a particular match between agents
and a particular decision rule (summarized by the function μ). This is
in sharp contrast with the unitary case, where there exists a one-to-one
correspondence between direct and indirect utility at the individual level.
Also, a key remark, here, is that if one is interested in welfare analysis,
then the collective indirect utility is the appropriate concept. Indeed, it
preserves the basic interpretation of standard, indirect utilities in consumer
theory - namely, it characterizes each agent’s final welfare once all aspects
of the decision process have been taken into account.
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 167
4.2.3 Welfare
An important application of consumer theory relates to welfare issues, such
as the cost-benefit evaluation of economic reforms. A standard tool is the
notion of compensating variation. Consider a reform that changes the price
vector from r to r0 . For an agent with initial income x, the compensating
variation (CV) is defined as the change in income that would be needed to
exactly compensate the agent. That is, the income that would allow her to
remain on the same indifference curve. For a single person this is defined
by:
CV = e (r0 , v (r, x)) − x
where e and v respectively denote the agent’s expenditure and indirect util-
ity functions. This concept can directly be extended to a collective setting.
This leads to the following definition:
Definition 4.1 The potentially compensating variation is the function
Γ1 (.) such that:
¡ ¢
Γ1 (r, r0 , x, z) = E r0 , V a (r,x, z) , V b (r,x, z) − x
Γ2 (r, r0 , x, z) = min
0
{(x0 − x) subject to V s (r0 ,x0 , z) ≥ V s (r,x, z) , s = a, b}
x
(4.32)
6 This claim should be qualified. One could easily introduce additional, non monetary
• q̂a solves
max ua (qa ) subject to p0 qa = ρ (4.34)
• q̂b solves ¡ ¢
max ub qb subject to p0 qb = x−ρ (4.35)
a b
Conversely,
¡ a for ¢ any ρ, if q̂ and q̂ solve (4.34) and (4.35) then the
b
allocation q̂ , q̂ is Pareto efficient.
The demands functions q̃a and q̃b , as functions of (p,ρ) and (p,x − ρ), are
conventional demand functions and have all of the usual (Slutsky) proper-
ties.
In other words, when all commodities are privately consumed, the deci-
sion process can be decomposed into two phases: a sharing phase in which
agents determine the sharing rule and a consumption phase, in which agents
allocate their share between the various commodities available. In this con-
text, efficiency only relates to the second phase: whatever the sharing rule,
the resulting allocation will be efficient provided that agents maximize their
utility during the consumption phase. On the other hand, the collective part
of the process (whether it entails bargaining, formal rules or others) takes
part in the first stage.
Also, note that a sharing rule can be defined for any decision process
(one can always consider the outcome and compute the amount privately
spent by member a). However, Proposition (4.3) is satisfied (that is, the
outcome maximizes a’s utility under a’s budget constraint) if and only if
the process is efficient. Clearly, there exists a close connection (actually, if
ua and ub are strictly concave, a one-to-one, increasing mapping) between
a’s share ρ and a’s Pareto weight; both reflect a’s power in the bargaining
phase of the relationship. This implies that the sharing rule depends not
only on prices and total expenditures but also on distribution factors.8
An advantage of the sharing rule is that, unlike the Pareto weight, it is
easy to interpret. In particular, it is independent of the cardinal represen-
tation of individual utilities. For this reason, it is often more convenient to
use the sharing rule as an indicator of the agent a’s ‘weight’ in the decision
process: any change in, say, a distribution factor that increases ρ makes
a better off. Of course, this quality comes at a price: the sharing rule in-
terpretation, as presented above, is valid only when all goods are privately
consumed. We will see in Section 5 to what extent it can be generalized to
public goods
Finally, one should keep in mind that the functions q̃a (p,ρ) and q̃b (p,x − ρ),
although ‘structural’ in the previous sense, cannot be observed, for two rea-
8 The sharing rule depends on prices and income even if the Pareto weight is inde-
pendent of the latter. Thus even in a unitary model with egotistic preferences we have a
sharing rule and it depends on prices and total expenditure. However, the sharing rule
cannot depend on distribution factors unless the Pareto weight does.
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 171
sons. One is that, in general, one cannot change prices without changing
the sharing rule as well; what can be observed, at best, are the functions
q̂a (p,x, z) and q̂b (p,x, z), which are related to the previous ones by the
relationships:
As we shall see below, one can often use this relationship to derive the
properties of collective demand functions.
Here, the Welfare Theorems do not directly apply, since caring involves an
externality component. Two points should however be remembered. First,
any allocation that is Pareto efficient for caring preferences is also Pareto
efficient for the egotistic preferences ua and ub . This implies that the first
part of Proposition 4.3 still applies: whenever an allocation is efficient, it
can be decentralized through a sharing rule. The converse, however, no
longer holds in general. We know that some allocations may be efficient
for egotistic preferences, but not so for caring ones. It follows that only
a subset of possible sharing rules generate efficient allocations for caring
preferences. For instance, a sharing rule such as ρ ' 0 typically generates
inefficient allocations since a redistribution of the resulting allocation in
favor of a may increase both agents’ welfare (if δ b > 0 and ∂ua /∂q a is
sufficiently large when qa is very small).
172 4. The collective model: a formal analysis
Thus v s (.) denotes the (maximum) utility level reached by s when facing
prices p and consuming a total amount xs . This is the standard, unitary
concept, which makes no reference to the intrahousehold decision process.
Now, in the case of private goods, the decision process is fully summarized
by the sharing rule. It follows that:
More specific processes can also be considered. For instance, Nash bargain-
ing with respective threat points T a and T b would solve:
£ ¤
max [v a (p, ρ) − T a ] v b (p, x − ρ) − T b (4.43)
ρ
max μU a + U b
{la ,lb ,q a ,q b }
subject to q a + q b + wa la + wb lb ≤ wa + wb + y
0 ≤ ls ≤ 1, s = a, b (4.46)
174 4. The collective model: a formal analysis
¡ ¢
where μ is a function of wa , wb , y, z , assumed continuously differentiable
in its arguments.
In practically all empirical applications we observe only q = q a + q b .
Consequently our statement of implications will involve only derivatives
of q, la and lb . In this general setting and assuming interior solutions,
the collective model generates one set of testable restrictions, given by the
following result:
Proposition 4.4 Let ˆls (wa , wb , y,z), s = a, b be solutions to program (4.46).
Then
∂ ˆla /∂zk ∂ ˆlb /∂zk
= , ∀k = 2, ..., K. (4.47)
∂ l̂a /∂z1 ∂ l̂b /∂z1
This result is by no means surprising, since it is just a restatement of the
proportionality conditions (4.15). The conditions are not sufficient, even in
this general case, because of the SNR1 condition (4.12). Namely, one can
readily check that the Slutsky matrix (dropping the equation for q because
of adding up) takes the following form:
⎛ ³ ´ a ³ ´ a ⎞
∂ l̂a ∂ l̂a
∂w a − 1 − ˆla ∂∂yl̂
∂w b − 1 − l̂b ∂∂y
l̂
S= ⎝ ³ ´ ³ ´ ⎠
∂ l̂b ˆla ∂ l̂b ∂ l̂b ˆlb ∂ l̂b
∂w a − 1 − ∂y ∂w b − 1 − ∂y
0 ≤ la ≤ 1 (4.48)
9 In what follows, we shall assume for simplicity that only one distribution factor is
available; if not, the argument is similar but additional, proportionality conditions must
be introduced.
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 175
and
max ub (lb , q b )
{lb ,q b }
subject to q b + wb lb ≤ wb + (y − ρ)
0 ≤ lb ≤ 1
Note that now ρ may be negative or larger than y, since one member
may receive all non-labor income plus part of the spouse’s labor income.
Two remarks can be made at this point. First, ρ is the part of total non-
labor income allocated to member a as an outcome of the decision process.
This should be carefully distinguished from a’s contribution to household
non-labor income (although the latter may be a distribution factor if it
influences the allocation process). That is, if non-labor income comes either
from a (denoted y a , representing for instance return on a’s capital) or from
b (denoted y b , representing, say, a benefit paid exclusively to b), so that
y = y a + y b , then a’s part of total expenditures, denoted ρ, may depend
(among other things) on y a or on the ratio y a /y - just as it may depend
on any relevant distribution factor. But it is not equal to y a in general.
The second point is that ρ may be an arbitrary function of wages, non-
labor income and distribution factors. However, our assumptions imply that
ρ cannot depend on the agents’ total labor income, ws (1 − ls ). Indeed, effi-
ciency precludes a person’s allocation to depend on an endogenous variable
such as the labor supply of this person. The intuition is that such a link
would act as a subsidy that would distort the price of leisure faced by the
agents, as in Basu’s (2006) model of inefficient bargaining described in the
previous chapter.
Thus the income elasticity of a’s observed demand for leisure is the product
of two terms. The first is the structural income elasticity which character-
izes a’s preferences - what would be observed if a’s fraction of total non-
labor income could be independently monitored. The second term is the
income elasticity of ρ, reflecting the change (in percentage) of a’s allocation
resulting from a given percentage change in household non-labor income.
Hence if a member’s allocation is elastic, then the elasticity of this per-
son’s demands for leisure, as computed as the household level, will exceed
(in absolute value) the ‘true’ value (as observed for instance on singles,
assuming that preferences are not changed by marriage). Conversely, if the
allocation is inelastic (< 1), then her income elasticity will be found to be
smaller than the ‘true’ value.
The same argument applies to own wage elasticities. From (4.49), we
have that: Ã !µ ¶
wa ∂ ˆla wa ∂ ˜la ρ ∂ ˜la wa ∂ρ
= + (4.53)
l̂a ∂wa la ∂wa ˜la ∂ρ ρ ∂wa
Thus the own wage elasticity observed at the household level is the sum
of two terms. The first is the ‘structural’ elasticity, corresponding to the
agent’s preferences; the second is the product of the person’s structural
income elasticity by the wage elasticity of the sharing rule. To discuss the
sign of the latter, consider the consequences for intrahousehold allocation
of an increase in a’s wage. If leisure is a normal good, then the observed
own wage elasticity (the left hand side) is smaller than the structural value
(the first expression on the right hand side) if and only if ρ is increasing
in wa . This will be case if the wage increase dramatically improves a’s
bargaining position, so that a is able to keep all the direct gains and to
extract in addition a larger fraction of household non-labor income. Most
of the time, we expect the opposite; that is, part of a’s gain in labor income
is transferred to b, so that ρ is decreasing in wa . Then the observed own
wage elasticity (the left hand side) will be larger than the structural value.
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 177
Proposition
³ ´ 4.5 For any (P, p, x, z), assume that the consumption vector
Q̂, q̂ , q̂ is efficient. Then there exists a ρ and 2N personal prices Pa =
a b
¡ ¢
(P1a , ..., PNa ) and Pb = P1b , ..., PNb , with Pja + Pjb = Pj , j = 1, ..., N , such
³ ´
that q̂a , Q̂ solves:
max ua (qa , Q)
subject to p0 qa + (Pa )0 Q = ρ (4.54)
1 0 Private contributions to the public goods are ruled out, since they generate inefficient
Note that both the function ρ and the personal prices Pa and Pb will in
general depend on (P, p, x, z).
These programs correspond to a decentralization of the efficient alloca-
tion in the sense that each agent is faced with their own budget constraint,
and maximizes their utility accordingly. There is however a clear difference
with the private good case, in which all relevant information was read-
ily available to each agent as soon as the sharing rule has been decided
upon. Here, individuals need to know not only the ‘resources’ devoted to
them, as described by ρ, but also their personal prices. Computing the per-
sonal prices is a difficult task, that is basically equivalent to solving for the
efficient allocation; hence the ‘decentralization’ only obtains in a specific
sense.11
Still, the Lindahl approach generates interesting insights on the outcome
of the model. Assuming an interior solution, the first order conditions of
(4.54) give:
∂ua /∂Qj
Pja = pi (4.56)
∂ua /∂qi
The right hand side of this equation is often called a’s marginal willingness
to pay (or MWP) for commodity j; indeed, it is the maximum amount a
would be willing to pay to acquire an additional unit of public good j, if
the amount was to be withdrawn from a’s consumption of private good i.
Note that this amount does not depend on the private good at stake since
the marginal utility of any private good divided by its price is equalized
across private goods. Intuitively Pja increases with a’s preference for the
public good; the intuition of Lindahl prices is precisely that agents with a
higher private valuation of the public good should pay more for it. This is
required for an efficient allocation of the family income between alternative
uses.
Let us now compare the budget constraint the agent is facing in (4.54)
with what the same agent would face if she was a single: p0 qa + P0 Q = y a ,
where y a denotes a’s income as single. An obvious difference is that the
amount of resources has changed - from y a to ρ; this is similar to the
private goods case. However, another difference, which is specific to the
public good case, is that the relative prices of the public commodities have
been changed, from Pj /pi to Pja /pi . Since Pja +Pjb = Pj and Pjb > 0, we have
that Pja < Pj . Intuitively, the publicness of good j makes it less expensive
1 1 The literature on planning has developed several procedures through which infor-
relatively to any private good, precisely because the other spouse will also
contribute to the purchase of the public good.
That is, ṽa denotes the maximum utility a can ultimately reach given pri-
vate prices and conditional on the outcomes (xa , Q) of the first phase de-
cision. We may now consider the first phase, which determines the pub-
lic consumption, Q, and the disposable income allocated to each spouse,
180 4. The collective model: a formal analysis
¡ ¢
xa , xb . Efficiency leads to the following program:
© ¡ ¢ª
max μṽ a (p, xa ; Q) + ṽb p, xb ; Q
xa ;xb ;Q
subject to xa + xb + P0 Q = x (4.59)
The first order conditions give:
∂ṽa ∂ṽb
μ =
∂xa ∂xb
a b
∂ṽ /∂Qj ∂ṽ /∂Qj
+ = Pj , j = 1, ..., N (4.60)
∂ṽa /∂xa ∂ṽb /∂xb
The second set of conditions are aoften called the Bowen-Lindahl-Samuelson
∂ ṽ /∂Q
(BLS) conditions. The ratio ∂ ṽa /∂xaj is exactly a’s willingness to pay for
public good j. To see this, note that the first order conditions of (4.57)
a a a
imply that ∂u∂qia = λ pi , where λ is the Lagrange multiplier of a’s budget
constraint; and the envelope theorem applied to the definition of ṽa gives
∂ ṽa a ∂ ṽ a 1 ∂ua
that ∂x a = λ , hence ∂xa = p ∂q a . Thus the conditions simply state that
i i
MWP’s (or private prices) must add up to the market price of the public
good, as argued above. The BLS conditions (the second set of (4.60)) are
necessary and sufficient for efficiency. The choice of a particular allocation
on the Pareto frontier is driven by the first condition in (4.60).
As an application, consider the model of collective labor supply proposed
by Donni (2007), who assumes individual preferences of the form:
Us (T − hs , Q),
where Q is a Hicksian good which represents public consumption. Under
this hypothesis, and taking into account the property of homogeneity, labor
supplies can be written as:
µ ¶
ws ρ (y, wa , wb )
hs = hs , i ,
π s (y, wa , wb ) π i (y, wa , wb )
where
hi wi + ρi (y, wa , wb )
π i (y, wa , wb ) =
y + ha wa + hb wb
denotes member i’s Lindahl price for the public good. In this context, Donni
shows that the utility functions are identified, up to a positive transforma-
tion, from individual labor supplies.
X X
U s (xs , Q) = αsk log qks + δ sj log Qj (4.61)
k j
P P
where the coefficients are positive and normalized by k αsk + j δ sj = 1.
As above, let μ denote a’s Pareto weight. Prices are normalized to 1, so
that the budget constraint is simply
X¡ ¢ X
qka + qkb + Qj = x
k j
182 4. The collective model: a formal analysis
∂M W Pja ∂M W Pjb
> (4.62)
∂xb ∂xa
In words, the MWP of a must be more income sensitive than that of b.
Still, it may be the case that M W P a < M W P b (particularly if xb is large
with respect to xa ): the absolute magnitude of the respective MWP plays
no role in the result.
The interpretation of these findings is quite intuitive. First, one may
think of the wife’s empowerment (as resulting from an increase in μ) in
purely economic terms: she now receives a higher fraction of household
resources. With Cobb-Douglas preferences, all commodities are normal,
therefore more income always results in more consumption for her; con-
versely, his share has been reduced and he consumes less. Regarding public
goods, however, things are more complex, because a transfer from the hus-
band to the wife typically increases her MWP for each public good but
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 183
reduces his. The question, here, is whether her increase is sufficient to com-
pensate his reduction - which is exactly what is implied by equation (4.62).
If the condition is satisfied, the impact of the change over total MWP for
the public good is positive, and consumption grows; in the opposite situa-
tion, it is reduced.
The previous results, natural as they sound, are still dependent on the
very specific functional form chosen for utilities. Whether they extend to
non homothetic preferences, for instance, is not clear. In full generality,
the comparative statics of the model just described are somewhat complex,
if only because, unlike the Cobb-Douglas case, the MWP for a particu-
lar commodity depends in an a priori arbitrary way on the quantities of
the other public goods. However, a clearer picture obtains when there is
only one public good, a case considered by Blundell, Chiappori and Meghir
(2005). They show that if preferences are such that both private expendi-
tures and the public good are normal (in the usual sense that an increase in
income would raise the corresponding, individual demands for these goods),
then a marginal improvement in a member’s Pareto weight increases the
household’s expenditures on the public good if and only if the marginal
willingness to pay of this member is more sensitive to changes in his/her
share than that of the other member. Again, it is not the magnitude of the
MWP’s that matters, but their income sensitivity. Moreover, the private
consumptions of the beneficiary member are always increased.
Coming back to the initial motivation, consider the model discussed in
Chapter 3 in which children’s well being is modeled as a public good that
enters the parents’ utility. Assume that some policy measure may increase
the relative weight of the wife within the household. It is often argued that
children should benefit from such a change, the (somewhat hazy) intuition
being that ‘mothers care more about children than do fathers’. What is the
exact meaning of such a statement, and what exactly does it assume about
preferences? The answer is given by the previous result. She ‘cares more’
means, in this context, that her MWP for children is more income-sensitive:
should she receive an additional dollar to be spent either on children or on
her private consumption, she would spend a larger fraction of it on children
than her husband would.
subject to
¡ ¢
F C, ca + cb , q = 0
p0 q = x (4.64)
olution".
186 4. The collective model: a formal analysis
in terms of identification. On the other hand, two main issues - whether the
goods produced within the household are marketable or not, and whether
the output is observable - remain largely similar between the collective and
the unitary frameworks.
1 4 The model can easily be generalized by adding other inputs to the production
time spent at work either at home or in the market do not enter utility directly.
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 187
produces only a fraction of the amount it consumes and purchases the rest.
The production equation is now:
¡ ¢
ca + cb + cM = F ta , tb
q a + q b = wa ha + wb hb + y + pcM . (4.69)
Marketable production
Cost minimization
Let us first assume that good c is marketable. In this context, efficiency
has an immediate implication, namely profit maximization. Specifically, ta
and tb must solve:
¡ ¢
max pF ta , tb − wa ta − wb tb (4.70)
(ta ,tb )
Non-marketable production
The other polar case obtains when no market for the domestic good ex-
ists (then cM = 0 ). Then we are back to maximizing (4.66) under the
constraints (4.67), (4.68) and (4.65). One can still define a price p for the
domestic good, equal to the marginal rate of substitution between the do-
mestic and the market goods for each of the members (the MRS’s are
equalized across members as a consequence of the efficiency assumption).
The difference, however, is that p is now endogenous to the model - that
is, it is determined by the maximization program.
A particularly interesting case obtains when the domestic production
function exhibits constant returns to scale (CRS). Then:
µ a¶
¡ a b¢ b t
F t ,t = t Φ b (4.77)
t
for some function Φ (.). First order conditions imply that:
∂F/∂ta wa
b
= b,
∂F/∂t w
which give in this case:
µ ¶ µ ¶
ta ta ta wa
Φ − b Φ0 = ,
tb t tb wb
This relationship, which is a direct consequence of³the ´efficiency assump-
a a
tion, pins down the ratio ttb to be some function φ wp . In other words,
it is now the case that the ratio of male to female domestic work depends
only on wages and household production technology - a natural consequence
of cost minimization. On the other hand, the scale of production - that is,
the quantity eventually produced - is indeterminate from the production
perspective; it depends on preferences and the decision process. We con-
clude that preferences and powers determine the total quantity of household
goods produced; however, conditional on that quantity, the particular com-
bination of male and female time is determined by respective wages and the
production technology, and does not depend on preferences or powers.18
The (household-specific) price of the domestic good can readily be re-
covered. Indeed, an interior solution under constant returns require zero
profits, therefore it must be the case that:
¡ ¢
wa ta /tb + wb
p=
Φ (ta /tb )
1 8 Pollak and Wachter (1975) discuss the roles of constant returns to scale and joint
production. They show that with joint production (i.e., activities that generate more
than one final good), it is generally impossible to separate household technology from
preferences, even under a constant return to scale technology.
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 191
Again, this price depends only on wages and on the technology. It is house-
hold specific in the sense that two households with different wages will
price the household good differently, even if they have access to the same
domestic technology. However, for given wages and domestic technology, it
depends neither on preferences nor on respective powers. Finally, the sepa-
ration result still holds. That is, each member’s decision can be modeled as
if they were maximizing their own utility under the member specific bud-
get constraint defined by a sharing rule; this mechanism determines all the
components of consumption, including The only difference with the mar-
ketable case is that p is no longer a market price; instead, it is determined
by the wages and the technological constraints.
Extensions
Public goods
In the previous analysis, the internally produced commodity was privately
consumed. What if, instead, the commodity is public within the household
- as it is the case for childcare, for instance? Interestingly, not much is
changed, because the separation principle still applies. If the commodity,
although public within the household, is marketable, then its production is
driven by profit maximization; the only change regards the demand side,
where the decision process can no longer be decentralized using a sharing
rule. Even in the non marketable case, the logic of cost minimization pre-
vails. In particular, under constant returns to scale, it still the case that the
level of production is determined by preferences and the decision process,
while for any given level the time allocation of domestic work between
spouses stems from technological considerations.19
Specialization
Another special (but empirically relevant) case obtains when one of the
spouses - say b - does not enter the labor market, and specializes instead
in home production. This happens when, for the chosen allocation of time
and consumption, b’s potential wage, w̄b , is smaller than both b’s marginal
productivity in household production and b’s marginal rate of substitution
between leisure and consumption. In words: the marginal hour can indiffer-
ently be spent in leisure or household production, and both uses dominate
market work.20
The situation, here, is more complex, because the opportunity cost of
labor for b is no longer exogenously given; instead, it is now endogenous to
the program. Still, if we keep the assumption of constant return to scale
domestic technology, some of the previous conclusions remain valid. Indeed,
in the marketable case, efficiency in a’s allocation of time still requires that:
∂F ¡ a b ¢ wa
t ,t =
∂ta p
It follows that, again, the ratio ta /tb is pinned down by technological con-
1 9 The reader is referred to Blundell, Chiappori and Meghir (2005) for a more detailed
investigation.
2 0 Technically, this result is true at the marginal level only in the absence of non
convexities. In the presence of fixed costs of work or constraints on the number of hours
worked, the same constraint must be redefined at a more global level.
4. The collective model: a formal analysis 193
4.7 References
[1] Albanesi, Stefania and Claudia Olivetti, ‘Home Production, Market
Production and the Gender Wage Gap: Incentives and Expectations’,
Review of Economic Dynamics, 12 (2009), 80—107.
[2] Apps, Patricia F. and Ray Rees, ‘Collective Labor Supply and House-
hold Production’, Journal of Political Economy, 105 (1997), 178-90.
[3] Apps, Patricia F. and Ray Rees, Public Economics and the House-
hold, (Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2009).
[5] Becker, Gary S., ‘A Theory of the Allocation of Time’, The Economic
Journal, 75 (1965), 493-517.
Q2
III
I
II
IV
q1
ub
uu
uu '
ua
ub
uu uu ''
uu '
ua
5
Empirical issues for the
collective model
5.1 What are the objects of interest?
We have seen above that various approaches can be used to describe house-
hold behavior, from the unitary setting to noncooperative approaches and
the collective model. Ultimately, the choice between these various frame-
works will rely on particular considerations. First, general methodological
principles may favor one approach over the others. For instance, one can
argue that the unitary framework is not totally faithful to methodological
individualism, a cornerstone of micro theory that postulates that individu-
als, not groups, are the ultimate decision makers. A second requirement is
the model’s ability to generate testable predictions for observable behavior,
that can be taken to data using standard techniques. Standard consumer
theory fares pretty well in this respect. Utility maximization under a lin-
ear budget constraint yields strong predictions (adding-up, homogeneity,
Slutsky symmetry and negative semidefiniteness and income pooling) and
adequate methodologies have been developed for testing these properties.
Finally, a crucial criterion is the fruitfulness of the approach, particularly
in terms of normative analysis and policy recommendations. A remark-
able feature of standard consumer theory is that individual preferences can
be uniquely recovered from demand functions (if these satisfy the Slutsky
conditions); it is therefore possible to analyze welfare issues from the sole
knowledge of observed behavior. This is a particular case of the general re-
quirement that the model be identifiable, that is, that it should be possible
to recover the underlying structure from observed behavior.
The first line of argument, concerning methodological individualism, has
been evoked earlier. In this chapter, we concentrate on the remaining two
aspects, namely testability and identifiability of preferences and processes
from observed behavior. Most of the existing knowledge for non-unitary
models concerns the cooperative framework, and especially the collective
model. The testability requirement, per se, is not problematic. The idea that
a model should generate predictions that can be taken to data belongs to
the foundations of economics (or any other science!). Identifiability is more
complex and it is useful to define more precisely what is meant by ‘recov-
ering the underlying structure’. The structure, in our case, is the (strictly
convex) preferences of individuals in the group and the decision process.
In the collective setting, because of the efficiency assumption, the decision
200 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
1 In the original Koopmans discussion of identification, the step from sample informa-
2 Note, however, that only one utility function is identifiable in the standard case. In
a ‘unitary’ framework in which agents are characterized by their own utility function
(see chapter 3, subsection 3.5.9) but the household behaves as a single decision unit, it
is typically not possible to identify the individual utility functions.
202 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
z1 = ζ(x, z−1 , gj )
where z−1 is the vector of distribution factors without the first element.
Now substitute this into the demand for good i:
gi = ĝi (x, z1 , z−1 ) = ĝi [x, ζ(x, z−1 , gj ), z−1 ] = θji (x, z−1 , gj ) .
Thus the demand for good i can be written as a function of total ex-
penditure, all distribution factors but the first and the demand for good j.
To distinguish this conditioning from the more conventional conditional de-
mands used in the demand literature, we shall refer to them as z-conditional
demands.3
We now address the issue of what restrictions a collective model imposes
upon observable demands. Bourguignon, Browning and Chiappori (2009)
provide a complete characterization of these conditions. Specifically they
prove that the following equivalent conditions are necessary consequences
of the collective model:
1. there exist real valued functions g̃1 , ....., g̃n and μ such that :
3. for any good j such that ∂ĝj /∂z1 = 6 0, the z-conditional demands
satisfy:
j
∂ θ̂i (x, z−1 , gj )
=0 ∀i 6= j, k = 2, .., K (5.4)
∂zk
The intuition for this result relates to the discussion provided in earlier
chapters. Again, the basic idea is that, by definition, distribution factors
do not influence the Pareto set. They may affect consumption, but only
through their effect upon the location of the final outcome on the Pareto
frontier or, equivalently, upon the respective weighting of each member’s
utility that is implicit in this location. The key point is that this effect is
one-dimensional (see chapter 4, subsection 1.3). This explains why restric-
tions appear only in the case where there is more than one distribution
factor. Whatever the number of such factors, they can only influence con-
sumption through a single, real-valued function μ. Conditions (5.2) and
(5.3) are direct translations of this remark. By the same token, if we com-
pute qi as a z-conditional function of (x, z−1 , gj ), it should not depend
on z−1 . The reason is that, for any given value of x, whenever distribu-
tion factors (z1 , z−1 ) contain some information that is relevant for intra-
household allocation (hence for household behavior), this information is
one-dimensional and can be fully summarized by the value of gj . Once we
condition on gj , z−1 becomes irrelevant. This is the meaning of condition
(5.4).
The conditions (5.2)-(5.4) are also sufficient for the collective model: if
they are satisfied for the observable demands ĝ(x, z), then one can find util-
ity functions and Pareto weights which rationalize the observed demands
(see Bourguignon et al (2009)). An important implication of these condi-
tions is that in the absence of price variation, proportionality is the only
testable implication of the collective model. This means that if we have
only one distribution factor, then we can never reject the hypothesis of col-
lective rationality. Any extra restrictions for a collective model require that
additional assumptions be made on the form of individual preferences. For
instance, restrictions exist even for a single distribution factor when some
goods are private and/or are consumed exclusively by one member of the
household. It may surprise readers that in the absence of price variation,
proportionality is the full empirical content of the collective model. Recall,
204 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
however, that in the unitary model, without price variation, any demands
as a function of total expenditure are compatible with utility maximization.
This result provides two distinct ways of testing for efficiency. Condition
(5.3) leads to tests of cross-equation restrictions in a system of uncondi-
tional demand equations. An alternative method, implied by (5.4), tests for
exclusion restrictions in a conditional demand framework. Empirically, the
latter is likely to be more powerful for at least two reasons. First we can em-
ploy single equation methods (or even non-parametric methods). Second,
single equation exclusion tests are more robust than tests of the equality of
parameters across equations. Both tests generalize easily to a framework in
which domestic goods are produced by the household. Adding a domestic
production function that relates market inputs and domestic labor to goods
actually consumed by household members does not modify the above tests
on household demands for market goods.
As discussed in Chapter 3, the bargaining version of the collective model
has attracted lot of attention. A bargaining framework should be expected
to impose additional restrictions to those discussed above. Indeed, an easy
test can be described as follows. Assume that some distribution factors,
which are part of a K 0 -sub-vector z0 , are known to be positively correlated
with member b’s threat point, while others, constituting a K 00 -sub-vector
z00 , are known to favor a. Then in program (5.1) μ should decrease with
distribution factors in z00 and increase with those in z0 . This property can
readily be tested; it implies that,
Should one be willing to go further and assume, for instance, that only the
ratio z10 /z200 of distribution factors matters, then we have in addition:
∂ĝi ∂ĝi
+ =0 ∀i = 1, .., n
∂ ln(z1 ) ∂ ln(z200 )
0
5.2.2 Identifiability.
A more difficult issue arises when we consider identifiability. That is, when
is it possible to recover the underlying structure from the sole observation of
household behavior? Note, first, that the nature of the data strongly limits
what can be recovered. For instance, one cannot hope to identify utility
functions in the absence of price variations. ‘Identifiability’, in this context,
essentially means recovering individual Engel curves (that is, demand as a
function of income) and the decision process, as summarized by the Pareto
weights or (in the private good case) by the sharing rule, again as functions
of income and distribution factors only.
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 205
• if we observe only one ratio of partials, say h (x1 , ..., xn ) = f1 /f2 , then
f (.) is identifiable up to a function of the other variables (x3 , ..., xn ).
• if we observe all ratios of partials, then f (.) is identifiable up to an
arbitrary, strictly monotone transformation. Note, as well, that when-
ever we observe more than one ratio of partials, testable restrictions
are generated. These generalize the previous cross-derivative condi-
tions.
• Finally, if in addition the m+1 first ratios ff21 , ..., fm+1
f1 only depend on
(x1 , ..., xm+1 ) then f¯ can be chosen to only depend on (x1 , ..., xm+1 )
- this is an usual separability property.
We can now return to the identifiability problem for the collective model.
Even in the most general case (no identifying restriction beyond efficiency),
206 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
some (but by no means all) of the structure can be recovered from the
observation of demand functions. To see why, note that by equation (5.3)
we have:
∂ĝi /∂zk ∂μ/∂zk μ
= = k = κk for all i and k (5.7)
∂ĝi /∂z1 ∂μ/∂z1 μ1
The left hand side expression is potentially observable so that we can iden-
tify the ratio of partials of μ (x, z) with respect to distribution factors. Since
the right hand side does not depend on the good, the ratio on the left hand
side must be the same for all goods; this is the proportionality condition.
Given the ratio of partials of the Pareto weight, we can recover μ (.) up to
some function of x. That is, we can recover a particular Pareto weight μ̄
such the true Pareto weight μ must be of the form:
and similarly for b. It follows that the household aggregate demand for
commodity i takes the form:
where qis is s’s demand for good i. The question is: what can be said about
qia , qib and ρ from the observation of household demands qi for i = 1, ...n.
Equation (5.7) has an equivalent in this context:
This result remains valid in the presence of public goods, provided that
the sharing rule is taken to be conditional on public goods (as described in
subsection 5.2 of Chapter 4). The potential observability of the left hand
side of equation (5.10) means that we can recover the sharing rule up to an
arbitrary monotone function of total expenditures x. In other words, we can
recover some ρ̄ (x, z) such that the true sharing rule must be of the form
ρ (x, z) = G (ρ̄ (x, z) , x) for some mapping G. And, as above, instead of
analyzing the impact of each distribution factor independently, we may just
consider the impact of the ‘index’ ρ̄. Consequently we can always consider
the case of a unique distribution factor; no loss of generality results.
5.2.4 Assignability.
Up until now we have considered the case where we only observe aggregate
household demands. In some cases, we can observe the consumption of a
particular good by each partner. That is, for some goods we observe qia
and qib . We refer to such a good as being assignable. The most widely used
example of an assignable good is clothing: in expenditure surveys we always
see a distinction made between men and women’s clothing. An alternative
terminology is that each of the clothing commodities is an exclusive good.4
That is, an exclusive good is one that is consumed by a unique person in
the household.
Suppose that we observe the individual consumption of the first good
and estimate q̂1a (x, z) and q̂1b (x, z). Assuming, without loss of generality,
that there is only one distribution factor, the collective demands q̃1s are
whereas exclusive goods have different prices. The distinction is ineffective in the present
context, but will become important when price variations are considered.
208 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
Since the left hand side is observed and we have (ρx , ρz ) we invert (so
long as ρz 6= 0) and identify q̃ai and q̃bi up to an additive constant. We
conclude that the presence of an assignable good is sufficient to identify
(up to additive constant) the sharing rule and individual demands for each
commodity, including the non assignable ones.
We thus get a great deal of mileage from the presence of one assignable
(or two exclusive) goods. Can we do without? Surprisingly enough, the an-
swer is positive. Bourguignon, Browning and Chiappori (2009) prove the
following strong result: if we observe household demand (as a function of
total expenditures x and a distribution factor z) for at least three commodi-
ties, then in general we can recover individual demands and the sharing rule
up to the same additive constants as before and (this is the only twist) up
to a permutation of a and b.5 This result arises from equation (5.2) and
follows since we have three demands that depend on the one Pareto weight
function. For the technical details, see Bourguignon et al (2009). The re-
sult requires observation of cross partial terms involving x and z; since
these are are often difficult to pin down in empirical work, this route for
identifying the sharing rule is less robust than using assignability. It is im-
portant to note that the identification here does require the existence of at
least one distribution factor. Without a distribution factor no information
concerning the preferences or the sharing rule can be recovered.
which it does not hold, but these examples are not robust. For instance, if individual
demands and the sharing rule are all linear, identification does not obtain. However,
adding quadratic terms is sufficient to guarantee identification except maybe for very
specific values of the coefficients.
210 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
S = Σ+R (5.18)
M = S − S0
M = R − R0
and since R is of rank (at most) 1, M is of rank (at most) 2. This property
is easy to test, using either standard rank tests or more specific approaches.
Note, however, that five commodities (at least) are needed for that purpose.
The reason is that neither M nor S are of full rank. Indeed, a standard
result of consumer theory, stemming from homogeneity and adding up,
states that
π 0 S = Sπ = 0
Distribution factors
Distribution factors can be readily introduced for parametric approaches.
Using equation (4.18) in Chapter 4, Browning and Chiappori (1998) prove
the following
³ result.´ Take any distribution factor k, and compute the vector
0 ∂ q̂1 ∂ q̂n
v = ∂zk , ..., ∂zk . Then replacing any column (or any row) of M with v
should not increase the rank. It is relatively simple to devise an empirical
test for this; see Browning and Chiappori (1998) for details.
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 211
Some extensions
Finally, a similar investigation has been conducted for other, non-unitary
models of household behavior. Lechène and Preston (2009) analyze the
demand function stemming from a non cooperative model (involving pri-
vate provision of the public goods) similar to that discussed in Chapter 4.
They show that, again, a decomposition of the type (5.18) holds. However,
the rank conditions on the ‘deviation’ matrix R are different; specifically,
Lechène and Preston show that the rank of R can take any value between 1
and the number of public goods in the model. Recently, d’Aspremont and
Dos Santos Fereira (2009) have introduced a general framework that pro-
vides a continuous link between the cooperative and the non cooperative
solutions. In their setting, couples are characterized by a pair of parameters
that indicate how ‘cooperatively’ each agent behaves. Again, they derive a
(5.18) decomposition; however, the rank of matrix R can now take values
between 1 and twice the number of public goods. On the empirical front,
Del Bocca and Flinn (2009) have proposed models in which agents may
cooperate at some coordination cost; the decision to cooperate (or not) is
then endogeneously derived from the model.
6 See section 2.2 of chapter 4 for the definition of the collective indirect utility function.
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 213
Then μūa + ūb = U and (5.19) is satisfied; moreover, on any compact set,
ūa and ūb are concave and increasing for ε small enough.
Ironically, the case of a constant Pareto weight corresponds to the Samuel-
son justification of the unitary setting, in which a single, price-independent
welfare index is maximized. From an identification viewpoint, adopting a
unitary framework is thus a very inappropriate choice, since it rules out the
identification of individual welfares.
Our general conclusion is that welfare relevant structure is indeed identi-
fiable in general, provided that one can observe one exclusive consumption
per member (or one overall with a distribution factor). However, identifia-
bility fails to obtain in a context in which the household behaves as a single
decision maker.
PN
where the parameters αsi are normalized by the condition s
i=1 αi =
s
1 for all s, whereas the parameters ci and Cj are unconstrained. Here,
commodities 1 to n are private while commodities n + 1 to N are public.
Also, given the LES form, it is convenient to assume that the household
maximizes the weighted sum μU a + (1 − μ) U b , where the Pareto weight μ
has the simple, linear form:
μ = μ0 + μx x + μz z, s = a, b
Household demand
The group solves the program:
⎛ ⎞
Xn N
X
¡ 0 ¢
max μ + μx x + μz z ⎝ αai log (qia − cai ) + αaj log (Qj − Cj )⎠
i=1 j=n+1
⎛ ⎞
Xn N
X
¡ ¡ 0 ¢¢ ¡ ¢
+ 1 − μ + μx x + μz z ⎝ abi log qib − cbi + αbj log (Qj − Cj )⎠
i=1 j=n+1
where one price has been normalized to 1. Individual demands for private
goods are given by:
⎛ ⎞
¡ ¢ X X
pi qia = pi cai + αai μ0 + μx x + μz z ⎝x − pi csi − Pj Cj ⎠
i,s j
⎛ ⎞
£ ¡ ¢¤ X X
pi qib = pi cbi + αbi 1 − μ0 + μx x + μz z ⎝x − pi csi − Pj Cj ⎠
i,s j
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 215
£ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¡ ¢¢¤
pi qi = pi ci + αai μ0 + μx x + μz z + αbi 1 − μ0 + μx x + μz z Y (5.20)
and for public goods:
£ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¡ ¢¢¤
Pj Qj = Pj Cj + αaj μ0 + μx x + μz z + αbj 1 − μ0 + μx x + μz z Y
³ P P ´
Here, ci = cai + cbi and Y = x − i,s pi csi − j Pj Cj . The household
demand is thus a direct generalization of the standard LES, with additional
quadratic terms in x2 and cross terms in xpi and xPj , plus terms involving
the distribution factor z; one can readily check that it does not satisfy
Slutsky symmetry in general, although it does satisfy SNR1.
A first remark is that cai and cbi cannot be individually identified from
group demand, since the latter only involves their sum ci . As discussed
above, this indeterminacy is however welfare irrelevant, because the collec-
tive indirect utilities of the wife and the husband are, up to an additive
constant:
¡ ¢ X a X
W a (p, P, x, z) = log Y + log μ0 + μx x + μz z − αi log pi − αaj log Pj
i j
¡ ¡ ¢¢ X b X
W b (p, P, x, z) = log Y + log 1 − μ0 + μx x + μz z − αi log pi − αbj log Pj
i j
It is clear, on this form, that the distinction between private and public
goods can be ignored. This illustrates an important remark: while the ex
216 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
ante knowledge of the public versus private nature of each good is necessary
for the identifiability result to hold in general, for many parametric forms
it is actually not needed.
Identifiability
The general case
The question, now, is whether the empirical estimation of the form (5.21)
allows to recover the relevant parameters - namely, the αsi , the γ i , and the
μα . We start by rewriting (5.21) as:
à !
¡ b ¡ a ¢ 0 ¡ a ¢ x ¢ X
b b z m
π i ξ i = π i γ i + αi + αi − αi μ + αi − αi (μ x + μ z) x − πmγ
m
(5.22)
The right hand side of (5.22) can in principle be econometrically identi-
fied; we can thus recover the coefficients of the variables, namely x, x2 , xz,
the π m and the products xπ m and zπm . For any i and any m 6= i, the ratio
of the coefficient of x by that of π m gives γ m ; the γ m are therefore vastly
overidentified. However, the remaining coefficients are identifiable only up
to an arbitrary choice of two of them. Indeed, an empirical estimation of
the right hand side of (Ei0 ) can only recover for each j the respective
¡ coeffi-
¢
cients of x, x2 and xz, that is the three expressions Kxj = αbj + αaj − αbj μ0 ,
j
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
Kxx = αaj − αbj μx and Kxz j
= αaj − αbj μz . Now, pick up two arbitrary
¡ ¢
values for μ0 and μx , with μx 6= 0. The last two expressions give αaj − αbj
and μz ; the first gives αbj therefore αaj .
As expected, a continuum of different models generate the same aggre-
gate demand. Moreover, these differences are welfare relevant, in the sense
that the individual welfare gains of a given reform (say, a change in prices
and incomes) will be evaluated differently by different models; in practice,
the collective indirect utilities recovered above are not invariant across the
various structural models compatible with a given aggregate demand.
A unitary version of the model obtains when the Pareto weights are
constant: μx = μz = 0. Then Kxz j
= 0 for all j (since distribution factors
cannot matter9 ), and Kxx j
= 0 for all j (demand must be linear in x,
since ¡a quadratic
¢ term would violate Slutsky). We are left with Kxj =
αbj + αaj − αbj μ0 , and it is obviously impossible to identify independently
αaj , αbj and μ0 ; as expected, the unitary framework is not identifiable.
Identification under exclusion
We now show that in the non-unitary version of the collective framework,
an exclusion assumption per member is sufficient to exactly recover all the
9 For a discussion of the role of distribution factor in a unitary context, see Browning,
1 − μ0 Kx1 Kxx
2
0 Kx2 Kxx
1
= − and μ =
μ0 Kx2 Kxx
1 Kx2 Kxx
1 − K 1K 2
x xx
It follows that
2
Kxx K2 K1
μx = 2
μ0 = 2 1 xx xx1 2
Kx Kx Kxx − Kx Kxx
and all other coefficients can be computed as above. It follows that the
collective indirect utility of each member can be exactly recovered, which
allows for unambiguous welfare statements. As mentioned above, identifi-
ability is only generic in the sense that it requires Kx2 Kxx
1
− Kx1 Kxx2
6= 0.
Clearly, the set of parameters values violating this condition is of zero mea-
sure.
Finally, it is important to note that this conclusion requires μx 6= 0; in
particular, it does not hold true in the unitary version, in which μx = μz =
0. Indeed,
¡ ¢the same exclusion restrictions as above only allow to recover
αb1 1 − μ0 = Kx1 and αa2 μ0 = Kx2 ; this is not sufficient to identify μ0 , let
alone the αij for j ≥ 3. This confirms that the unitary version of the model
is not identified even under the exclusivity assumptions that guarantee
generic identifiability in the general version.
∂la ∂ ˜la ∂ρ
=
∂wb ∂ρ ∂wb
∂la ∂ ˜la ∂ρ
= (5.25)
∂y ∂ρ ∂y
∂la ∂ ˜la ∂ρ
=
∂z ∂ρ ∂z
so that:
∂la /∂z ∂ρ/∂z
= (5.26)
∂la /∂y ∂ρ/∂y
Similarly for b:
∂lb ∂ ˜lb ∂ρ
= −
∂wa ∂y b ∂wa
µ ¶
∂lb ∂ ˜lb ∂ρ
= 1− (5.27)
∂y ∂y b ∂y
∂lb ˜ b
∂ l ∂ρ
= − b
∂z ∂y ∂z
so that:
∂lb /∂z ∂ρ/∂z
b
=− (5.28)
∂l /∂y 1 − ∂ρ/∂y
s
∂l /∂z
For notational simplicity, let F s denote the fraction ∂l s /∂y for s = a, b;
s
note
¡ a bthat F ¢ can in principle be observed (or estimated) as a function of
w , w , y, z , and that F a = F b would imply
∂ρ/∂z ∂ρ/∂z
=−
∂ρ/∂y 1 − ∂ρ/∂y
∂ρ Fb
=
∂y Fb − Fa
∂ρ F aF b
=
∂z Fb − Fa
220 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
We thus conclude that the partials of ρ with respect to income and distri-
bution factor are identifiable.
Finally, the first two equations of (5.25) and of (5.27) give respectively:
It is easy to check that the Marshallian demands derived from ρK , uaK and
ubK satisfy (5.23) and (5.24). The intuition is illustrated in Figure 5.1 in the
case of a. Switching from ρ and ua to ρK and uaK does two things. First,
the sharing rule, therefore the intercept of the budget constraint, is shifted
downward by K; second, all indifference curves are also shifted downward
by the same amount. When only labor supply (on the horizontal axis) is
observable, these models are empirically indistinguishable.
Note, however, that the models are also welfare equivalent (that is, the
constant is ‘irrelevant’), in the sense defined in section 3.3 of chapter 4:
changing the constant affects neither the comparative statics nor the wel-
fare analysis derived from the model. Technically, the collective indirect
utility of each member is the same in both models; one can readily check
that the two models generate the same level of utility for each spouse. In
the end, the optimal identification strategy depends on the question under
consideration. If one want to formulate welfare judgments, collective indi-
rect utilities are sufficient, and they can be recovered without additional
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 221
5.4.2 Extensions
The model has been extended in various directions. First, while the assump-
tion of a unique, Hicksian composite consumption good is standard in the
labor supply literature, the model can address a more general framework.
Chiappori (2011) consider a model with two leisures and many consumption
goods that are privately (but not exclusively) consumed by the members.
The context is cross-sectional, in the sense that there is variation in wages
but not in prices. He shows that if one distribution factor (at least) is
available, then it is possible to identify (again up to additive constants)
not only the sharing rule but also the individual demands for all private
commodities, as functions of wages and non-labor income. It follows that
in a collective model of consumption and labor supply estimated on cross
sectional data, it is possible to recover the income and wage elasticities of
individual demands for each good.
222 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
¡ ¢
C = f a (ta ) + f b tb
Assuming that the domestic good is marketable with price p, first order
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 223
validity of these factors. The most widely used distribution factor for this
is some measure of relative incomes, earnings or wages. Such tests are
often called tests of ‘income pooling’: only household income matters for
choice outcomes and not the source of the income.10 As we have seen,
Becker explicitly introduced the RKT to justify income pooling. Tests for
the exclusion of other distribution factors constitute a generalization of
income pooling.
Distribution factor
1 Relative income
2 Relative wages
3 Relative unearned income
4 Relative age
5 Relative education
6 Local sex ratio
7 Household income
8 Background family factors
9 Control of land
10 Previous children
11 Reported influence within household
12 Married or cohabiting
13 Divorce laws
14 Alimonies
15 Single parent benefits
16 Gender of a benefit’s recipient
TABLE 5.1. Distribution factors
1 0 Income pooling is a necessary condition for a unitary model but not a sufficient
countries.
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 225
data, finds that the relative share of non labor income coming from the
wife has a very significant impact on the health status of children within
the household.
This unanimity may be somewhat misleading; our impression is that
there is a strong publication bias against not finding an effect. That is, ed-
itors may not be interested in papers that confirm a conventional view by
finding an insignificant effect. Nonetheless, the evidence seems overwhelm-
ing: a principal implication of the unitary model is rejected on a wide set
of data sets for a wide range of outcomes.
Even these results may not be fully conclusive, however, because these
rejections may in many cases have other explanations than a failure of
the unitary assumption. For example, consider a unitary demand model in
which the relative (labor or non labor) earnings of the two partners do not
affect demand behavior directly. Suppose, however, that there is unobserved
heterogeneity in tastes between husbands and wives and this heterogene-
ity is correlated with heterogeneity in earnings. For example, suppose the
relative preference for clothing between a husband and wife is correlated
with their relative tastes for work. Then we would find that the demand for
clothing (conditional on prices, total expenditure and preference factors)
will be correlated with relative earnings, with higher earners having rela-
tively more clothing expenditure than their partner. In this case, a finding
that relative clothing demands are partially correlated with relative earn-
ings is spurious in the sense that it is due to inadequate control for hetero-
geneity rather than a failure of the unitary assumption. Attempts to find
instruments to wash out this spurious correlation have not been notably
successful: it has proven impossible to find observables that are correlated
with, say, relative earnings but not with demand heterogeneity.12 Similarly,
Thomas’s findings might simply reflect the fact that some women are more
willing to invest over the long term than others; such women would be
likely to spend more on children, and also to have saved more in the past,
hence to receive more non labor income today. Such a mechanism does not
rely on a shift in powers triggered by the wife’s larger relative contribution
to total income, but only on unobserved heterogeneity between women; as
such, it is fully compatible with a unitary representation.
However, several recent papers provide strong evidence concerning in-
come pooling that can hardly be attributed to heterogeneity biases. Lund-
berg et al (1997) present quasi-experimental evidence based on a reform
of the UK child public support system in April 1977. Prior to that time
families with children received a child tax allowance and a taxable child
allowance. This effectively meant that the child benefits were paid to the
higher earner, mostly the father. After April 1977, the old scheme was
dropped in favor of a non-taxable child benefit which is paid directly to the
mother. This re-allocation of income within the household can reasonably
be treated as exogenous to the affected households. Moreover, the child
benefit was a sizable transfer (equal to 8% of male earnings for a two child
household). Thus we have a large, exogenous ‘treatment’ which can be used
to assess the importance of the distribution of income within the household.
The major confounding factor is that the reform was not revenue neutral
for all households with children and some saw a substantial rise in net
household income. LPW use UK Family Expenditure Survey cross-section
1 2 Luo (2002) estimates a demand system explicitly allowing for uncorrelated hetero-
geneity and finds that the BC results for Slutsky symmetry hold up
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 227
data from before and after the change to gauge the effect of the reform on
assignable expenditures. They focus attention on the ratio of expenditures
on children’s clothing and women’s clothing, both relative to men’s cloth-
ing. Their findings are unequivocal: both ratios rose significantly after the
reform.13 Another strong rejection is provided by Duflo (2003), who ana-
lyzes a reform of the South African social pension program for elderly that
extended the benefits to a large, previously not covered black population.
Due to eligibility criteria, the coverage is not universal; in some households,
in particular one only of the grand parents receives the benefit. Duflo uses
a difference of difference approach based on the demographics of the sib-
lings to control for selection in eligibility. She shows that the recipient’s
gender - a typical distribution factor - is of considerable importance for the
impact of the transfers on children’s health: a payment to the grandfather
has no significant effect, whereas the same amount paid to the grandmother
results in a huge improvement in the health status of girls in the family.
These contributions and several others (including a subsequent analysis on
micro data for all goods by Ward-Batts (2008)) very convincingly suggest
that income pooling is indeed strongly rejected on real data.
may not be valid. The point at issue is that women in childless couples also appeared to
increase their clothing expenditure in the same period. Ward-Batts (2008) convincingly
contests this finding: the Hotchkiss timing is not consistent and Ward-Batts uses micro
data rather than the grouped data of Lundberg et al and Hotchkiss.
228 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
Chiappori (1998), Dauphin et al. (2009) and Kapan (2009). These works
share common features: they both estimate a demand system, using a well
known and flexible functional form (QUAIDS) that nests both the uni-
tary and the collective settings as specific cases (the former being itself
nested within the latter). While the data sets are different (a specific fea-
ture of the Turkish data considered by Kapan is the presence of important
and largely exogenous variations in relative prices, due to high inflation
over the period), they reach similar conclusions; for instance, when testing
Slutsky and SNR1 on three subsamples - single males, single females, and
couples, they all fail to reject the unitary version on singles; it on couples,
they very strongly reject the unitary version, but not SNR1. In addition,
the contributions provide interesting insights on various specific aspects
of intrahousehold decision processes. Both Browning and Chiappori and
Dauphin et al. provide additional tests using distribution factors, which
tend to support the collective model. Kapan finds that while most Turkish
families do not behave as if there was a single decision maker, a notable
exception is provided by traditional, rural households, for whom the uni-
tary version is not rejected. Finally, both Kapan and Dauphin et al. find
that older children (above 16) do play a role in the decision process.
The validity of proportionality tests, on the other hand, depends crucially
on an a priori division of demographic and environmental factors between
preference factors and distribution factors (a variable can be both). Typical
candidate preference factors include household composition, the age of one
of the spouses, the ownership of a car or a house, region of residence etc..
Typical distribution factors are listed in Table 5.1. A general concern is
that the household specific variables could be correlated with constraints
or preferences which would invalidate them as distribution factors; soci-
etal variables are less susceptible to this problem. Fortunately, as we have
shown above (see subsection 5.2.1) we only need one unequivocal distrib-
ution factor to credibly test for proportionality. To illustrate, suppose we
construct an index quantifying the extent to which laws governing divorce
favor women, and we take that index as a unequivocal distribution fac-
tor. If the index is ‘significant’ in the choice equations, we can then test
for proportionality for other candidate distribution factors. In theory, we
could simply take all of the factors that satisfy the proportionality tests
as distribution factors and assign other ‘significant’ variables as preference
factors. In practice, this may not be appealing if the factor that fails the
proportionality test is unlikely to be a preference factor. For example, if
the situation on the marriage market (as measured for instance by the lo-
cal sex ratio) impacts on demand behavior but fails the proportionality
test, we would be very reluctant to designate it a preference factor. Rather,
this would cast doubt on our original choice of an unequivocal distribution
factor (or the collective model itself!).
There is no evidence against the collective model in the papers listed
in Table 5.1. There is, however, alternative evidence against the efficiency
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 229
Demand studies
Some of the works mentioned above go beyond testing the collective model;
when the predictions are not rejected, they often propose estimation of the
structural components of the model. Although this field is still largely in
construction, we may briefly summarize some findings obtained so far.
Many of the papers listed in Table 5.2 use demand data alone to test for
the collective model. Only three of them go beyond testing and impose the
collective model restrictions and then estimate the sharing rule and how it
depends on distribution factors. The first paper to do this was Browning
et al (1994). These authors use Canadian Family Expenditure Survey data
on men and women’s clothing to test for the collective model restrictions
and to identify the determinants of the sharing rule. Although they have
price data they absorb prices into year/region dummies and treat the data
as cross-sectional. Thus the ‘no price variation’ analysis of section 5.2 is
appropriate. They only consider singles and married couples who are in
fulltime employment. The distribution factors they find significant are the
difference in ages and the relative earnings of the two partners; they also
allow that total expenditure on nondurables and services enters the sharing
rule. They address directly the problem that variations in relative earnings
may be spuriously correlated with spending on clothing (higher paid jobs
might require relatively more expensive clothing) by testing whether singles
1 4 A notable exception to the latter are the results for efficient risk sharing in low in-
come countries; see, for example, Dercon and Krishnan (2000), Dubois and Ligon (2005),
Duflo and Udry (2003), Goldstein (2002), Ligon (2002). These tests, however, are based
on specific models that crucially involve specific asusmptions regarding commitment;
their discussion is therefore postponed until chapter 6 which deals with dynamic issues.
230 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
have clothing demands that depend on earnings. They find that for single
men and single women, earnings do not impact on clothing demand once
we take account of total expenditure. It is important to note that this
does not imply that clothing demand is separable from labor supply (it
is not) since they condition on both partners being in fulltime work and
effectively test for whether wages affect preferences. Given the finding for
singles, relative earnings are a reasonable candidate for being a distribution
factor for couples. As discussed in section 5.2 we cannot generally identify
the location of the sharing rule, so Browning et al simply set it equal to
one half (at the median of total expenditure) if the two partners have
the same age and earnings. They find that differences in earnings have a
highly significant but quantitatively small impact on sharing: going from
the wife having 25% of total earnings to 75% of total earnings shifts the
sharing rule by 2.3 percentage points. Differences in age are similar with
significant but small effects: going from being 10 years younger than her
husband to being 10 years older raises the wife’s share by two percentage
points. Conversely, total expenditure (taken as a proxy for lifetime wealth)
is less statistically significant but with a large effect: a 60% increase in total
expenditure increases the wife’s share by 12%. This suggests that wives in
high wealth households have a higher share of nondurable expenditure.
Browning and Bonke (2009) use a supplement to the Danish Household
Expenditure Surveys for 1999 to 2005. This supplement (designed by the
authors) takes the form of respondents recording for every expenditure in a
conventional expenditure diary for whom the item was bought: ‘mainly for
the household’, ‘for the husband’, ‘for the wife’, ‘for the children’ and ‘out-
side the household’. This is the first time that such information has been
collected in a representative survey in a high income country. Another no-
table feature of these data is that they contain a richer set of potential
distribution factors than most expenditure data sets. For example, ques-
tions were asked on the length of the current partnership; the labor force
participation of the mothers of the husband and wife when they were 14
and the marital and fertility histories of the two partners. Since all expendi-
tures are allocated in these data, a sharing rule can be constructed for each
household. This allows for the identification of the location of the sharing
rule as well as its dependence on distribution factors. These authors find
that the mean of the sharing rule is very close to one half (at the mean
of the data).15 This equality of the mean total expenditures for the two
partners masks that the sharing rule in different households varies widely.
For example the first and third quantiles for the wife’s share are 0.31 and
0.68 so that close to half of households have one partner receiving twice as
individual goods. For example, the individual allocations show that, in mean, wives
spend more on clothing but less on alcohol and tobacco than their husbands.
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 231
bands have higher budget shares for food inside and outside the home,
alcohol and tobacco and transport. Where comparisons can be made, this
is similar to the Danish data discussed in the previous paragraph.
The results presented here on the location and determinants of the shar-
ing rule do not sit together comfortably. This partly reflects the fact that
potential distribution factors differ widely across different data sets and
the excluded distribution factors are correlated with the included ones. For
example, only one study can take account of the impact of previous chil-
dren but this is correlated with the difference in age between the partners.
More fundamentally, there is no coherent theory of the sharing rule. With-
out such a theory a ‘kitchen sink’ approach is adopted in which whatever
variables are available in a particular data set are included as distribution
factors (if they are not obviously preference or constraint factors) with lim-
ited explicit concern for biases due to endogeneity (a particular worry for
income shares), omitted distribution factors or correlated latent heterogene-
ity. Equally worrying is the widespread assumption that private assignable
goods are separable from public goods (see Donni (2009)). It is clear that
much remains to be done and that ‘much’ probably requires better data
than we have had available until now.
Labor supply
The first empirical estimations of a collective model of labor supply are due
to Fortin and Lacroix (1997) and Chiappori, Fortin and Lacroix (2002). Us-
ing data from the 1988 PSID, the latter analyze the total number of hours
worked each year by single males, single females and couples, concentrat-
ing exclusively on couples without children in which both spouses work.
They consider two distribution factors, namely the state of the market for
marriage, as summarized by the sex ratio computed by age and race at
the state level, and the legislation governing divorce, summarized by an
aggregate index with the convention that a larger value indicates laws that
are more favorable to women. Their main findings can be summarized as
follows:
5. Empirical issues for the collective model 233
either spouse’s wage rate reduces their share of the nonlabor income,
which in turn increases their labor supply through an income effect.
Indeed, both men’s and women’s labor supply elasticities with respect
to nonlabor income are negative and significant.
Italy and Spain; the findings are summarized in Myck et al. (2006). Finally,
Beninger et al. (2006) provide a systematic comparison of the evaluations
of tax policy reforms made within the unitary or the collective approaches
respectively. They show, in particular, that the unitary version tends to
overestimate male (and underestimate female) labor supply responses vis a
vis the collective counterpart; moreover, for a significant fraction of house-
holds, a tax reform that appears to be Pareto improving in the collective
setting is found to reduce household utility in the unitary version - a possi-
bility that had already be mentioned by the theoretical literature but had
not received an empirical confirmation so far.
Another interesting analysis is provided by Lise and Seitz (2009), who
study consumption inequality in the UK from 1968 to 2001. The main
findings of the paper is that ignoring consumption inequality within the
household produces misleading estimates of inequality. Using a rich version
of the collective model that allows for public consumption and caring pref-
erences, they reach to important conclusions. First, the standard analysis
of inequality, based on adult equivalence scales and the implicit assumption
of equal sharing of consumption within the household, underestimates the
level of cross sectional consumption inequality in 1968 by 50%; the reason
being that large differences in the earnings of husbands and wives translate
into large intrahousehold inequality in consumption. Second, the consider-
able and well known rise in inequality between household during the 80s
was largely offset by a drastic reduction in intrahousehold inequality, due to
changes in female labor supply. As a result, inequality between individual,
once (properly) computed by taking into account changes in intrahouse-
hold allocation, turns out to be practically the same in 2000 as in 1970 -
a conclusion that sharply contrasts with standard studies. Other works on
intrahousehold inequality include Kalugina, Radchenko and Sofer (2009a,
b) and Lacroix and Radchenko (2009).
Natural experiments can provide a rich source of applications for the
collective approach to labor supply. Kapan (2009) studies the impact of
a change in UK divorce laws in 2000, whereby the allocation of wealth,
initially based on a principle of separate ownership of assets, shifted to ‘the
yardstick of equal division’. A change of this kind is a typical distribution
factor; however, because of its discrete nature, the analysis cannot rely
on the same technique as Chiappori, Fortin and Lacroix (2002). Kapan
shows how the estimation strategy can be adapted to take advantage of
discrete distribution factors. He finds that, indeed, the shift resulted in an
additional transfer to women, at least when their wealth was smaller than
their husband’s; in turn, this reallocation had a significant impact of labor
supplies and individual welfares.
Finally, models involving domestic productions have been empirically an-
alyzed in a number of contributions. For example, Apps and Rees (1996),
Rapoport, Sofer and Solaz (2004) estimate the canonical model with Aus-
tralian, French and Dutch data, respectively, whereas Couprie (2007) and
236 5. Empirical issues for the collective model
van Klaveren, van Praag and Maassen van den Brink (2008) consider mod-
els where the domestic good is public and present empirical results on
various data sets.
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6
Uncertainty and Dynamics in
the Collective model
The models developed in the previous chapters were essentially static and
were constructed under the (implicit) assumption of perfect certainty. As
discussed in chapter 2, such a setting omits one of the most important
roles of marriage - namely, helping to palliate imperfections in the insur-
ance and credit markets by sharing various risks and more generally by
transferring resources both across periods and across states of the world.
Risk sharing is an important potential gain from marriage: individuals who
face idiosyncratic income risk have an obvious incentive to mutually pro-
vide insurance. In practice, a risk sharing scheme involves intrahousehold
transfers that alleviate the impact of shocks affecting spouses; as a result,
individual consumptions within a couple may be less responsive to idio-
syncratic income shocks than it would be if the persons were single. Not
only are such risk-sharing mechanisms between risk averse agents welfare
improving, but they allow the household to invest into higher risk/higher
return activities; as such, they may also increase total (expected) income
and wealth in the long run. For instance, the wife may be able to afford
the risk involved in creating her own business because of the insurance
implicitly offered by her husband’s less risky income stream.
Another, and closely related form of consumption smoothing stems from
intrafamily credit relationship: even in the absence of a perfect credit mar-
ket, a spouse can consume early a fraction of her future income thanks to
the resources coming from her partner. Again, intrahousehold credit may in
turn enable agents to take advantage of profitable investment opportunities
that would be out of the reach of a single person.
While intertemporal and risk sharing agreements play a key role in eco-
nomic life in general and in marriage in particular, they also raise specific
difficulties. The main issue relates to the agents’ ability to credibly com-
mit to specific future behavior. Both types of deals typically require that
some agents reduce their consumption in either some future period or some
possible states of the world. This ability to commit may however not be
guaranteed. In some case, it is even absent (or severely limited); these are
cases in which the final agreement typically fails to be fully efficient, at
244 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
the amount of market work and housework that husbands and wives perform. Their
preferred model is a cooperative model with a noncooperative breakdown point. They
have a repeated game with a trigger strategy for adopting the inefficient non-cooperative
outcome if the discount is too small. The value of the threshold discount factor they
estimate to trigger noncooperative behavior is 0.52which implies that 94% of households
behave cooperatively.
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 245
instance, agents cannot legally commit not to divorce).3 And while the re-
peated interaction argument for efficiency is convincing in many contexts,
it may not apply to some important decisions that are made only excep-
tionally; moving to a different location and different jobs is a standard
example, as argued by Lundberg and Pollak (2003).
A crucial aspects of lack of commitment is that, beyond restraining ef-
ficiency in the ex ante sense, it may also imply ex post inefficiencies. The
intuition is that whenever the parties realize the current agreement will
be renegotiated in the future, they have strong incentives to invest now
into building up their future bargaining position. Such an investment is in
general inefficient from the family’s viewpoint, because it uses current re-
sources without increasing future (aggregate) income. For instance, spouses
may both invest in education, although specialization would be the efficient
choice, because a high reservation wage is a crucial asset for the bargaining
game that will be played later.4
quently observed in second marriages). However, this may simply indicate that, although
easily feasible, they are rarely needed, possibly because existing enforcement mechanisms
(love, trust, repeated interactions) are in general sufficient. Indeed, writing an explicit
contract that lists all contingencies may in fact "crowd out" the emotional bonds and
diminish the role of the initial spark of blind trust that is associated with love.
246 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
ua = u (x) , ub = u (1 − x) (6.1)
Each person also cares for the other with individual utility functions given
6 We neglect the option in which they divorce and the husband moves to the new
by:
W a = ua + δ a ub
= u (x) + δ a u (1 − x) (6.2)
b b a b
W =δ u +u
= δ b u (x) + u (1 − x) (6.3)
where δ s ≥ 0 is person s’s caring for the other person, with δ a δ b < 1 (see
chapter 3). We assume that the caring parameters are constant and outside
the control of either partner. Rather than choosing an explicit game form
to choose x, we simply assume that there is some (collective) procedure
that leads the household to behave as though it maximizes the function:
W = W a + μW b
³ ´
= 1 + μδ b u (x) + (δ a + μ) u (1 − x) (6.4)
If the husband’s implicit Pareto weight is less in this case than in (6.5) then
he will not betray his wife. In the simple case in which he does not care for
248 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
(δ a + μ) ≥ (δ a (1 − σ) + (1 + m) μ)
⇔ δ a σ ≥ mμ (6.7)
That is, there will be a move with no betrayal if δ a and σ are sufficiently
large relative to m and μ. For example, a husband who lacks power (and
hence relies on his wife’s caring for resources) or has a small increase in
power (so that mμ is small) will be less likely to betray; and the same holds
if his wife cares a lot for him (δ a ) and she feels the betrayal strongly (σ
close to unity).
Psychological games
A different but related analysis is provided by Dufwenberg (2002), who
uses "psychological games" to discuss commitment in a family context. The
basic idea, due to Geanakoplos et al (1989), is that the utility payoffs of
married partners depend not only on their actions and the consequences in
terms of income or consumption but also on the beliefs that the spouses may
have on these actions and consequences. The basic assumption is that the
stronger is the belief of a spouse that their partner will act in a particular
manner, the more costly it is for that partner to deviate and disappoint their
spouse. This consideration can be interpreted as guilt. A crucial restriction
of the model is that, in equilibrium, beliefs should be consistent with the
actions. Dufwenberg (2002) uses this idea in a context in which one partner
(the wife) extends credit to the other spouse. For instance, the wife may
work when the husband is in school, expecting to be repaid in the form
of a share from the increase in family income (see Chapter 2). But such a
repayment will occur only if the husband stays in the marriage, which may
not be the case if he is unwilling to share the increase in his earning power
with his wife and walks away from the marriage.
Specifically, consider again the two period model discussed in Chapter
2. There is no borrowing or lending and investment in schooling is lumpy.
In the absence of investment in schooling, each spouse has labor income
of 1 each period. There is also a possibility to acquire some education;
if a person does so then their earnings are zero in the first period and 4
in the second period. We assume that preferences are such that in each
period each person requires a consumption of 12 for survival and utility
is linear in consumption otherwise. This implies that without borrowing,
no person alone can undertake the investment, while marriage enables the
couple to finance the schooling investment of one partner. We assume that
consumption in each period is divided equally between the two partners
if they are together and that if they are divorced then each receives their
own income. Finally, suppose that each partner receives a non monetary
gain from companionship of θ = 0.5 for each period they are together. The
lifetime payoff if neither educate is (2 + 2θ) = 3 for each of them. Since
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 249
both have the same return to education, for ease of exposition we shall
assume that they only consider the husband taking education.7 If he does
educate and they stay together then each receives a total of (3 + 2θ) = 4
over the two periods. There is thus a potential mutual gain for both of
them if the investment is undertaken and marriage continues. However, if
the husband educates and then divorces, he receives a payoff of 4 in the
second period and if he stays he receives only 3 (= 2.5 + θ). Thus, without
commitment, he would leave in the second period8 and the wife will then
be left with a lifetime utility of 2 which is less than she would have in the
absence of investment, 3. Therefore, the wife would not agree to finance her
husband’s education in the first period. The basic dilemma is illustrated in
Figure 6.1, where the payoffs for the wife are at the top of each final node
and the payoffs for the husband are at the bottom. The only equilibrium in
this case is that the wife does not support her husband, the husband does
not invest in schooling and stays in the marriage so that the family ends up
in an inefficient equilibrium. However, Dufwenberg (2002) then shows that
if one adds guilt as a consideration, an efficient equilibrium with consistent
beliefs can exist. In particular, suppose that the husband’s payoff following
divorce is 4 − γτ where τ is the belief of the husband at the beginning of
period 2 about the beliefs that his wife formed at the time of marriage,
about the probability that her husband will stay in the marriage following
her investment and γ is a fixed parameter. Then, if γ > 2, the husband
chooses to stay in the marriage, the wife agrees to support her husband to
invest and efficiency is attained. To show the existence of consistent beliefs
that support this equilibrium, consider the special case in which γ = 2.
Suppose that the wife actually invests, as we assume for this equilibrium.
Then, she reveals to her husband that she expects to get a life time utility
of at least 3 following this choice, which means that her belief, τ 0 about
the probability that the husband would stay is such that 1 + τ 0 4 > 3,
implying τ 0 ≥ 12 . Knowing that, the husband’s belief τ about her belief
that he stays exceeds 12 . Therefore, his payoff upon leaving in the second
period 4 − 2τ is less or equal to his payoff if he stays, 3. Thus for any γ
strictly above 2, he stays. In short, given that the wife has shown great
trust in him, as indicated by her choice to support him, and given that
he cares a great deal about that, as indicated by the large value of γ, the
husband will feel more guilty about disappointing her and will in fact stay
in the marriage, justifying his wife’s initial beliefs. The husband on, his
part, avoids all feelings of guilt and efficient investment will be attained. A
7 The issue of what happens if the two have different returns to education is one that
educates. In the numerical example this will be the case if θ > 1.5. In this case there is
no need for commitment. This is analogous to the result concerning match quality and
children.
250 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
wife
no yes
husband
3
3
divorce stay
2 4
5 4
X ¡ ¢
max π s ua Qs , qas , qbs
Qs ,qa b
s ,qs s
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
subject to P0s Qs +p0s qas + qbs ≤ ysa + ysb for all s (6.8)
X ¡ ¢
and πs ub Qs , qas , qbs ≥ ūb
s
or:
X £ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢¤
max πs ua Qs , qas , qbs + μub Qs , qas , qbs (6.9)
Qs ,qa b
s ,qs s
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
subject to P0s Qs +p0s qas + qbs ≤ ysa + ysb for all s
This form shows two things. First, ¡for any state ¢ s, the allocation contin-
a b
gent on the realization ¡ of this state,
¢ Q¡ s , qs , qs , ¢maximizes the weighted
sum of utilities ua Qs , qas , qbs + μub Qs , qas , qbs under a resource con-
straint. As¡such, it is ¢efficient in the ex post sense: there is no alternative
allocation Q̄s , q̄as , q̄bs that would improve both agents’ welfare in state s.
Secondly, the weight μ is the same across states of the world. This guaran-
tees ex ante efficiency: there is no alternative allocation
£¡ ¢ ¡ ¢¤
Q̄1 , q̄a1 , q̄b1 , ..., Q̄S , q̄aS , q̄bS
252 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
that would improve both agents’ welfare in expected utility terms - which
is exactly the meaning of programs (6.8) and (6.9).
Finally, note that the intertemporal version of the problem obtains simply
by replacing the state of the world index s by a time index t and the
probability π s of state s with a discount factor - say, δ t .
X ¡ ¢
max π s ua Qs , qas , qbs
Qs ,qa b
s ,qs s
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
subject to P0s Qs +p0s qas + qbs ≤ ysa + ysb for all s, (6.10)
X ¡ ¢
πs ub Qs , qas , qbs ≥ ūb
s
¡ ¢
and ub Qs , qas , qbs ≥ ūbs for all s (6.11)
or equivalently:
X ∙ µ ¶ ¸
¡ ¢ μ ¡ ¢
max πs ua Qs , qas , qbs + μ + s ub Qs , qas , qbs (6.12)
Qs ,qa b
s ,qs s πs
¡ a ¢ ¡ a ¢
0 0
subject to Ps Qs +ps qs + qs ≤ ys + ysb for all s
b
becomes:
2
X 2
X ¡ ¢ ¡ b ¢ b ¡ a b¢
max δ t−1 ua (qat ) + μ δ t−1 ub qbt + μ2 q1,t u q2 , q2
qa b
t ,qt t=1 t=1
¡ a ¢ ¡ ¢
subject to p0t qt + qbt ≤ yta + ytb for t = 1, 2
or equivalently:
£ ¡ ¢¤ £ ¡ ¢¤ ¡ b ¢ b ¡ b¢
max ua (qa1 ) + μub qb1 + δ ua (qa2 ) + μub qb2 + μ2 q1,t u q2
qa b
t ,qt
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
subject to p0t qat + qbt ≤ yta + ytb for t = 1, 2.
b
The first order conditions for q1,1 are:
¡ ¢ ¡ b ¢
∂ub qb1 b
¡ b ¢ dμ2 q1,t
μ b
= λp1,t − u q2 b
∂q1,1 dq1,t
which does not coincide with the standard condition for static efficiency
because of the last term. Since the latter is positive, the marginal utility
of leisure is above the optimum, reflecting under-consumption of leisure
(or oversupply of labor). In other words, both spouses would benefit from
an agreement to reduce both labor supplies while leaving Pareto weights
unchanged.
The efficiency assumption can now take two forms. Ex post efficiency
requires that, in each state s of the world, the allocation of consumption is
efficient in the usual, static sense: no alternative allocation
¡ could ¢ improve
both utilities at the same cost. That is, the vector cs = cas , cbs solves:
under the resource constraint. The key remark is that, in this program, the
Pareto weight μs of member b may depend on s. Ex post efficiency requires
static efficiency in each state, but imposes no restrictions on behavior across
states.
Ex ante efficiency requires, in addition, that the allocation of resources
across states is efficient, in the sense that no state-contingent exchange can
improve both agents’ expected utilities. Note that, now, welfare is computed
ex ante, in expected utility terms. Formally, the vector c = (c1 , ..., cS ) is
efficient if it solves a program of the type:
X
max πs ua (cas ) (6.16)
s
ps = p, s = 1, ..., S
Let V X denote the indirect utility of agent X. For any ex post efficient
allocation, let ρX
s denote the total expenditure of agent X in state s:
X
ρX
s = pi cX
s,i
i
Here as above, ρX is the sharing rule that governs the allocation of house-
hold resources between members. Obviously, we have that ρas + ρbs = ysa +
ysb = ys . If we denote ρs = ρas , then ρbs = ys − ρs . Program (6.16) becomes:
X X
W (y1 , ..., yS ; μ) = max π s V a (ρs ) + μ π s V b (ys − ρs ) (6.19)
ρ1 ,...,ρS
s s
where
1 μ
k (μ) = log + μ log
1+μ 1+μ
P
and we see that maximizing W is equivalent to maximizing s π s log ys ,
which does not depend on μ. In other words, the household’s behavior
under uncertainty is equivalent to that of a representative agent, whose
VNM utility, V (x) = log x, is moreover the same as that of the individual
members. Equivalently, the unitary approach - which assumes that the
household behaves as if there was a single decision maker - is actually valid
in that case.
How robust is this result? Under which general conditions is the uni-
tary approach, based on a representative agent, a valid representation of
household behavior under risk? Mazzocco (2004) shows that one condition
is necessary and sufficient; namely, individual utilities must belong to the
ISHARA class. Here, ISHARA stands for ‘Identically Shaped Harmonic
Absolute Risk Aversion’, which imposes two properties:
u00 (x) 1
− =
u0 (x) γx + c
For γ = 0, we have the standard, constant absolute risk aversion
(CARA). For γ = 1, we have an immediate generalization of the log
form just discussed:
¡ ¢
ui (x) = log ci + x
258 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
γa = γb
The intuition of this result is that in the ISHARA case, the sharing
rule that solves (6.19) is an affine function of realized income. Note that
ISHARA is not simply a property of each utility independently: the second
requirement imposes a compatibility restriction between them. That said,
CARA utilities always belong to the ISHARA class, even if their coefficients
of absolute risk aversion are different (that’s because they correspond to
γ a = γ b = 0). On the other hand, constant relative risk aversion (CRRA)
utilities, which correspond to ca = cb = 0, are ISHARA if and only if the
coefficient of relative risk aversion, equal to the shape parameter γ i in that
case, is identical for all members (it was equal to one for both spouses in
our log example).
or equivalently:
u0a (ρs )
= μ for each s (6.21)
u0b (ys − ρs )
¡ ¢
where ys = ysa + ysb and ρs = ρ ysa , ysb .
This relationship has a striking property; namely, since μ is constant, the
left hand side does not depend on the state of the world. This is a standard
characterization of efficient risk sharing: the ratio of marginal utilities of
income of the agents remains constant across states of the world.
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 259
The intuition for this property is easy to grasp. Assume there exists two
states s and s0 such that the equality does not hold - say:
But now, both agents can marginally improve their welfare by some ad-
ditional trade. Indeed, if a pays some small amount ε to b in state s but
receives kε in state s0 , a’s welfare changes by
while for b
and both parties gain from that trade, contradicting the fact that the initial
allocation was Pareto efficient.
The sharing rule ρ is thus a solution of equation (6.21), which can be
rewritten as:
u0a (ρ) = μu0b (ys − ρ) (6.22)
¡ a b¢
where ρ = ρ ys , ys . Since the equation depends on the weight μ, there
exists a continuum of efficient risk sharing rules, indexed by the parameter
μ; the larger this parameter, the more favorable the rule is to member b.
As an illustration, assume that agents have Constant Absolute Risk Aver-
sion (CARA) preferences with respective absolute risk aversions equal to
α and β for a and b respectively:
which gives
µ ¶
¡ ¢ β ¡ a ¢ 1 μβ
ρ ysa , ysb = ys + ysb − log
α+β α+β α
We see that CARA preferences lead to a linear sharing rule, with slope
β/ (α + β); the intercept depends on the Pareto weight μ.
260 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
which gives ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
ρ ysa , ysb = k ysa + ysb (6.23)
where 1
μ− γ
k= 1 (6.24)
1 + μ− γ
Therefore, with identical CRRA preferences, each spouse consumes a fixed
fraction of total consumption, the fraction depending on the Pareto weight
μ. Note that, in both examples, ρ only depends on the sum ys = ysa + ysb ,
and
0 ≤ ρ0 (ys ) ≤ 1
Moreover,
0 ≤ ρ̄0 ≤ 1
Proof. Note, first, that the right hand side of equation (6.22) is increasing
in ρ, while the left hand side is decreasing;
¡ ¢ therefore
¡ ¢the solution in ρ must
be unique. Now, take two pairs ysa , ysb and ȳsa , ȳsb such that ysa + ysb =
ȳsa + ȳsb . Equation (6.22) is the same for both pairs, therefore its solution
must be the same, which proves the first statement. Finally, differentiating
(6.22) with respect to ys gives:
0
−ρ̄)
− uu0 (y(yss−ρ̄)
ρ̄ (ys ) = 00a u00b (ys −ρ̄)
(6.26)
− uu0a (ρ̄)
(ρ̄)
− u0b (ys −ρ̄)
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 261
which belongs to the interval [0, 1]. Note, moreover, that 0 < ρ̄0 (ys ) < 1
unless one of the agents is (locally) risk neutral.
The first statement in Proposition 6.1 is often called the mutuality prin-
ciple. It states that when risk is shared efficiently, an agent’s consumption
is not affected by the idiosyncratic realization of her income; only shocks
affecting aggregate resources (here, total income ys ) matter. It has been
used to test for efficient risk sharing, although the precise test is much
more complex than it may seem - we shall come back to this aspect below.
Formula (6.26) is quite interesting in itself. It can be rewritten as:
0a
0
− uu00a(ρ̄)
(ρ̄)
ρ̄ (ys ) = 0a u0b (ys −ρ̄)
(6.27)
− uu00a(ρ̄)
(ρ̄) − u00b (ys −ρ̄)
0a
The ratio − uu00a(ρ̄)
(ρ̄) is called the risk tolerance of A; it is the inverse of A’s
risk aversion. Condition (6.27) states that the marginal risk is allocated
between the agents in proportion of their respective risk tolerances. To
put it differently, assume the household’s total income fluctuates by one
(additional) dollar. The fraction of this one dollar fluctuation born by agent
a is proportional to a’s risk tolerance. To take an extreme case, if a was
infinitely risk averse - that is, her risk tolerance was nil - then ρ̄0 = 0 and
her share would remain constant: all the risk would be born by b.
It can actually be showed that the two conditions expressed by Proposi-
tion 6.1 are also sufficient. That is, take any sharing rule ρ satisfying them.
Then one can find two utility functions ua and ub such that ρ shares risk
efficiently between a and b.9
9 The exact result is even slightly stronger; it states that for any ρ satisfying the
conditions and any increasing, strictly concave utility uA , one can find some increasing,
strictly concave utility uB such that ρ shares risk efficiently between A and B (see Chi-
appori, Samphantharak, Schulhofer-Wohl and Townsend 2010 for a precise statement).
1 0 The reader is referred to Chiappori, Townsend and Yamada (2008) for a precise
Consider a two agent household, with two commodities - one labor supply
and an aggregate consumption good. Assume, moreover, that agent b is risk
neutral and only consumes, while agent a consumes, supplies labor and is
risk averse (with respect to income risk). Formally, using Cobb-Douglas
preferences:
1−γ
(la ca ) ¡ ¢
U a (ca , la ) = and U b cb = cb
1−γ
with γ > 1/2. Finally, the household faces a linear budget constraint; let
wa denote 2’s wages, and y (total) non labor income.
Since agent b is risk neutral, one may expect that she will bear all the
risk. However, in the presence of wage fluctuations, it is not the case that
agent a’s consumption, labor supply or even utility will remain constant.
Indeed, ex ante efficiency implies ex post efficiency, which in turn requires
that the labor supply and consumption of a vary with his wage:
ρ + wa T a ρ + wa T
la = ,c =
2wa 2
where ρ is the sharing rule. The indirect utility of a is therefore:
1 1 Generally, the ability of risk neutral agents to adjust actions after the state is ob-
served induces a "risk loving" ingredient, whereby higher price variation is preferred,
and which may counterweight the agent’s risk aversion.
264 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
A simple solution
We now discuss a specific way of solving the problem. It relies on the
availability of (short) panel data, and on two additional assumptions. One is
that agent’s preferences exhibit Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA),
a functional form that is standard in this literature. In practice:
x1−α b x1−β
ua (x) = , u (x) =
1−α 1−β
The second, much stronger assumption is that risk aversion is identical
across agents, implying α = β in the previous form.
We have seen above (in equations 6.23 and 6.24) that under these as-
sumptions, the efficiency condition (6.22) leads to a sharing rule that is
linear in income, the coefficient depending on the Pareto weights. Taking
logs:
à 1
!
a μ− α
log c = log ρ = log 1 + log y, and
1 + μ− α
µ ¶
1
log cb = log 1 + log y
1 + μ− α
Assume, now, that agents are observed for at least two periods. We can
compute the difference between log consumptions in two successive periods,
and thus eliminate the Pareto weights; we get:
1 2 This prediction is easy to test even on short panels - see for instance Altonji et al
(1992) and Duflo and Udry (2004); incidentally, it is usually rejected. See Mazzocco and
Saini (2006) for a precise discussion.
266 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
In words, the marginal utility of each dollar consumed today equals, in ex-
pectation, β times the marginal utility of Rt+1 dollars consumed tomorrow;
one cannot therefore increase utility by marginally altering the savings.
In practice, many articles test the empirical validity of these household
Euler equations using general samples, including both couples and singles
(see Browning and Lusardi 1995 for an early survey); most of the time, the
conditions are rejected. Interestingly, however, Mazzocco (2004) estimates
the same standard household Euler equations separately for couples and for
singles. Using the CEX and the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID),
he finds that the conditions are rejected for couples, but not for singles. This
seems to suggest that the rejection obtained in most articles may not be
due to technical issues (for example, non separability of labor supply), but
more fundamentally to a misrepresentation of household decision processes.
268 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
(β a )t u0a (cat ) μ
³ ´t 0b ¡ b ¢ = (6.30)
u c 1 − μ
βb t
The right hand side does not depend on t: the ratio of discounted marginal
utilities of income of the two spouses must be constant through time. This
implies, in particular, that
³ ´t
0a
u (cat ) μ βb
¡ ¢ =
u0b cbt 1 − μ (β a )t
If, for instance, a is more patient than b, in the sense that β a > β b , then
the ratio u0a /u0b declines with time, because a postpones a larger fraction
of her consumption than b.
If γ a = γ b (the ISHARA case), one can readily see that the ratio cat+1 /cbt+1
is constant across states of the world; therefore
If μt is not constant, neither is the ratio cat /cbt . A result by Hardy, Little-
wood and Polya (1952) implies that whenever the ratio x/y is not constant,
then for all probability distributions on x and y:
n h io−1/γ © £ ¤ª−1/γ © £ −γ ¤ª−1/γ
Et (x + y)−γ > Et x−γ + Et y
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 271
" ¡ ¢ #
u0a (cat ) ¡ ¢ a u0a cat+1
(1 − μt ) = 1 − μt+1 β Et Rt+1 (6.37)
pt pt+1
¡ ¢ " ¡ ¢ #
u0b cbt u0b
cb
t+1
μt = μt+1 β b Et Rt+1
pt pt+1
or equivalently:
" ¡ ¢ #
u0a cat+1 pt Rt+1 1 1 − μt
Et = (6.38)
u0a (cat ) pt+1 β a 1 − μt+1
" ¡ ¢ #
u0b cbt+1 pt Rt+1 1 μt
Et ¡ ¢ =
u0b cbt pt+1 β b μt+1
In words: under full commitment, the left hand side expressions should
be constant, while they may vary in the general case. A first implication,
therefore, is that whenever individual consumptions are observable, then
the commitment assumption is testable. Moreover, we know that (6.36)
holds for each t. These relations imply that μt is identifiable from the data.
That is, if Pareto weights vary, it is possible to identify their variations,
which can help characterizing the type of additional constraint that ham-
pers full commitment.
Finally, individual consumptions are not observed in general, but individ-
ual labor supplies typically are; the same tests can therefore be performed
using labor supplies as indicated above. Again, the reader is referred to
Mazzocco (2007) for precise statements and empirical implementations. In
particular, Mazzocco finds that both the unitary and the collective model
with commitment are rejected, whereas the collective model without com-
mitment is not. This finding suggests that while static efficiency may be
expected to hold in general, dynamic (ex ante) efficiency may be more
problematic.
6.4.4 Conclusion
The previous results suggest several conclusions. One is that the collec-
tive approach provides a simple generalization of the standard, ‘unitary’
272 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
6.5 Divorce
6.5.1 The basic model
Among the limits affecting the spouses’ ability, an obvious one is the pos-
sibility of divorce. Although divorce is, in many respects, an ancient insti-
tution, it is now more widespread than ever, at least in Western countries.
Chiappori, Iyigun and Weiss (2008) indicate for instance that in 2001,
among American women then in their 50s, no less than 39% had divorced
at least once (and 26% had married at least twice); the numbers for men
are slightly higher (respectively 41% and 31%). Similar patterns can be
observed in Europe (see chapter 1). Moreover, in most developed countries
unilateral divorce has been adopted as the legal norm. This implies that
any spouse may divorce if (s)he will. In practice, therefore, divorce intro-
duces a constraint on intertemporal allocations within the couple; that is,
at any period, spouses must receive each within marriage at least as much
as they would get if they were divorced.
Clearly, modeling divorce - and more generally household formation and
dissolution - is an important aspect of family economics. For that purpose,
a unitary representation is probably not the best tool, because it is es-
sential to distinguish individual utilities within the couple. If each spouse
is characterized, both before and after marriage, by a single utility, while
the couple itself is represented by a third utility with little or no link with
the previous ones, modeling divorce (or marriage for that matter) becomes
very difficult and largely ad hoc . Even if the couple’s preferences are closely
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 273
max ua (q a , Q) + θa
1 5 Some commodities may remain public even after divorce; children expenditures are
Formally, it is easy to check that the divorce decision is monotonic in³ the θ’s,
´
a b
in the sense that if a couple remains married for some realization θ̄ , θ̄ ,
³ ´
i
then they also do for any θa , θb such that θi ≥ θ̄ , i = a, b; and conversely,
³ ´ ³ ´
a b
if they divorce for some θ̄ , θ̄ , so do they for any θa , θb such that θi ≤
i
θ̄ , i = a, b. In general, there exists a divorce frontier, namely a³decreasing
´
function φ such that the coupe divorce if and only if θa < φ θb . Note,
however, that for a ‘neutral’ realization θa = θb = 0, the couples always
remains married, because of the marital gains arising from the presence of
public consumption; negative shocks are required for a marriage to end.
Finally, how is the model modified when divorced agents are allowed to
remarry? The basic principle remains valid - that is, agents (efficiently)
divorce if no point within the Pareto frontier if married can provide both
agents with the same expected utility as if single. The latter value is however
more difficult to compute, because it now includes the probability of finding
a new mate multiplied by the utility the ex spouse will get in their new
marriage. In other words, one need to predict which particular allocation
of resources and welfare will prevail in newly formed couples - a task that
requires a more complete investigation of the equilibrium forces governing
the (re)marriage market. We shall come back to this issue in the second
part of the book.
1 7 The material presented in this subsection is borrowed from Chiappori, Iyigun and
Weiss (2007).
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 277
Neither these conditions nor the optimal levels of all private and public
consumptions (except¡ for¢ good 1) depend on income. Let these optimal
i
levels be denoted Q̄, q̄−1 . To simplify notations, we choose units such that
¡ ¢ PN P
Gs Q̄, q̄−1 = j=1 Q̄j + nk=2 q̄ki , i = a, b. Then, the indirect utility of a
i i
Here, uam and ubm are the attainable utility levels that can be implemented
by the allocations of the private good q1 between the two spouses, given
the efficient consumption levels of all other goods. The Pareto frontier is
a straight line with slope -1: utility is transferable between spouses (see
chapter 3). Assuming, as is standard, that the optimal public consumptions
are such that F (Q) is increasing in Q, we see that η(y) is increasing and
convex in y.18 Moreover, η (0) = 0 and η 0 (0) = F (0) = 1. Since η is convex,
this implies that η (y) > y and η0 (y) > 1 for all y > 0.
Finally, if divorce takes place, the post-divorce utility of agent i is:
¡ ¡ ¢¢ ¡ ¢
Vsi Di y a , y b = Di y a , y b (6.42)
or equivalently:
θa + θb < y − η (y) (6.44)
Uw
Utility Frontier in
Marriage θ h + θ w < 0
0 Uh
the spouses, both in marriage and after divorce - not the divorce decision
itself.19
The corresponding intuition is easy to grasp from Figure 6.2. Under
transferable utility, both the Pareto frontier when married and the Pareto
frontier when divorced are straight line with slope −1. Therefore, they
cannot intersect; one Pareto set must be included within the other. The
optimal divorce decision simply picks up the larger Pareto set. What legal
dispositions can do is vary the post divorce allocation along the post divorce
Pareto frontier. But if the latter is located within the Pareto set when
married, there always exist a particular redistribution of marital surplus
that will make both spouses better off than divorce; if, conversely, it is
located outside, then whatever the planned allocation of resources within
the couple, it is always possible to redistribute income after divorce in such
a way that both agents prefer separation.
Finally, it is important to understand the assumptions that are needed for
the Becker-Coase theorem to hold. Chiappori, Iyigun and Weiss 2007 (from
now on CIW) show that there are three. One is that utility is transferable
within marriage (which, in our setting, justifies the GQL form taken for
¡ ¢ ¡ ¢
uis q i , Q = Fsi (Q) q1i + Gis Q, q−1
i
+ θi , i = a, b
Uw
Utility Frontier in
Marriage θ h + θ w < 0
0 Uh
where ta and tb are are the proportions of available time spent on child
care by a and b, respectively. The time constrains are
0 ≤ ta ≤ 1 (6.46)
0 ≤ tb ≤ 1
The opportunity cost of the time spent with children in the first period
is market work. In the second period there is no need to spend time on
children and both spouses work full time. However the wage in the second
period of life depends on the amount of market work in the first period.
We normalize the first period wage of a to 1 and assume that wb < 1.
We further assume that the second period wages are directly proportional
to the first period labor supply - that is, they are equal to γ(1 − ta ) and
γwb (1−tb ) for a and b respectively, where γ > 1. Effectively, this means that
incomes in the two period are proportional, which simplifies the analysis
considerably.
The utility that parents derive from the child (or child quality) depends
on whether or not the parents live together. If the parents stay married,
their utility from quality is α ln Q, but if the parents separate, their utility
from child quality is reduced to (1 − δ)α ln Q, where 0 < δ < 1. The utility
parents depends on the child quality, on their consumption of goods q and
if married, the quality of their match, θ, that is revealed only after one
period of marriage.
If the partners are married, the utility of both partners is
um = ln q + α ln Q + θ (6.47)
Divorce may occur if the realized value (revealed at the beginning of the
second period) is sufficiently low. Following divorce, the utilities of the
former spouses are
ud = ln qdi + (1 − δ)α ln Q, i = a, b (6.48)
where qdidenotes the post divorce consumption of the two spouses. Note
that we assume here that when a couple is married all good are public. The
only way to influence the division of the gains from marriage is through
transfer in the aftermath of divorce. As we shall show, such transfers can
influence the investment in children during marriage and probability of
divorce.
As in the previous subsection, we continue to assume no borrowing or
lending. Then,
q1 = wa (1 − ta ) + wb (1 − tb ) (6.49)
q2 = γwa (1 − ta ) + γwb (1 − tb ) = γq1
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 283
wb (1 + tb ) = 1 + ta (6.51)
Whether or not an interior solution arrises, efficiency requires that the low
wage person, b, should contribute more time to the child and the question
is if and how such unequal contribution can be implemented. The answer
depends on the contracting options that the couple have. We shall assume
here that the partners can always commit, at the time of marriage, on some
post divorce allocation of resources, provided that it falls within some legal
bounds. The justification for this assumption is that the event of separation
and the resources available upon separation can be verified so that contracts
contingent on these variables can be enforced by law. Denoting by β the
share received by the low wage person, b, the post divorce consumption
levels are
qda = (1 − β)[γwa (1 − ta ) + γwb (1 − tb )] (6.52)
qdb = β[γwa (1 − ta ) + γwb (1 − tb )].
It is more difficult, however, to verify the time allocation and in particular
time spent on children, and we shall allow for the possibility that partners
cannot commit at the time of marriage on how much time they will spend
with the child.
Following the realization of θ at the beginning of the second period, and
given the predetermined quality of children and divorce contract, marriage
will continue if
α ln Q + ln q2 + θ ≥ (1 − δ)α ln Q + max{(α ln qda , α ln qdb ) (6.53)
2 0 The efficiency requirements include regions in which only one person contributes.
These regions depend on the desire for children relative the wages of the two spouse. If
α < 1 the mother will work only at home and the father only in the market. To allow
for an interior solution, we assume that 2 > α > 1. Then for αwb > 1, both partners
work part time at home and part time in the market.
284 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model
θ < −δα ln Q + a ln β)
If a obtains the larger share, β < 12 , she will trigger the divorce an divorce
occurs if
θ < −δ ln αQ + α ln(1 − β)
Finally, with equal sharing divorce occurs if
θ < −δα ln Q − α ln 2
θ∗ = −δα ln Q − ln 2, (6.55)
with respect to ta of
Z∞
a
E(u ) = ln q1 + ln q2 + α ln Q + θf (θ)dθ + F (θ̂)(θ̂), (6.59)
θ̂
q1 = 1 + wb − ta − wb tb (6.64)
√
= 2(1 + wb ) − 2 wb Q
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 287
6.6 References
[1] Altonji, Joseph G., Hayashi, Fumio and Laurence J. Kotlikoff, ‘Is the
Extended Family Altruistically Linked? Direct Tests Using Micro Data’,
American Economic Review, 82 (1992), 1177-1198.
[2] Basu, Kaushik, ‘Gender and Say: A Model of Household Behaviour
With Endogenously Determined Balance of Power’, Economic Jour-
nal, 116 (2006), 558-580.
[3] Becker, Gary, Treatise on the family, (Cambridge Mass: Harvard
University Press, 1991).
[4] Brossolet, C., ‘Fondement de la division du travail dans les modéles
économiques du ménage’, Paris, Editions Arguments, (1992).
[5] Bourguignon, Francois, Browning, Martin, Chiappori, Pierre-André and
Valérie Lechene, ‘Intra Household Allocation of Consumption: A Model
and Some Evidence from French Data’, Annales d’Economie et de
Statistique, 29 (1993), 137-156.
[6] Browning, Martin, ‘Love Betrayal and Commitment’, University of Ox-
ford, (2009).
[7] Browning, Martin and Annamaria Lusardi, ‘Household Saving: Mi-
cro Theories and Micro Facts’, Journal of Economic Literature, 34
(1996), 1797-1855.
[8] Bergstrom, Theodore C., ‘A Fresh Look at the Rotten Kid Theorem—
and Other Household Mysteries’, Journal of Political Economy, 97
(1989), 1138-1159.
[9] Borch, Karl, ‘The Safety Loading of Reinsurance Premiums’, Skandi-
navisk Aktuarietidskrift, 43 (1960), 163—184.
[10] Chiappori, Pierre-André, ‘Characterizing the Properties of the Gener-
alized Quasi-linear Utilities’, Columbia University, (2007).
[11] Chiappori, Pierre-André and Philip J. Reny, ‘Matching to Share risk’,
Columbia University, (2005).
[12] Chiappori, Pierre-André, Krislert Samphantharak, Sam Schulhofer-
Wohl and Robert M. Townsend, ‘Heterogeneity and Risk Sharing in Thai
Villages’, Working paper, Columbia University (2010).
[13] Chiappori, Pierre-André, Robert M. Townsend and Hiro Yamada,
‘Sharing wage risk’, Columbia University (2008).
[14] Chiappori, Pierre-André and Yoram Weiss, ‘Marriage Contracts and
Divorce: an Equilibrium Analysis’, Tel Aviv University, (2009).
6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model 289
291
292
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7
Matching on the Marriage
Market: Theory
Individuals in society have many potential partners. This situation creates
competition over the potential gains from marriage. In modern societies,
explicit price mechanisms are not observed. Nevertheless, the assignment
of partners and the sharing of the gains from marriage can be analyzed
within a market framework. The main insight of this approach is that the
decision to form and maintain a particular union depends on the whole
range of opportunities and not only on the merits of the specific match.
However, the absence of explicit prices raises important informational is-
sues. There are two main issues distinguishing the approaches used in the
matching literature. The first issue concerns the information structure and
the second relates to the extent of transferability of resources among agents
with different attributes. Specifically, models based on frictionless match-
ing assume that perfect and costless information about potential matches
is available to all participants; the resulting choices exclusively reflect the
interaction of individual preferences. Such models may belong to several
classes, depending on whether or not compensating transfers are allowed
to take place between individuals and, if so, at what ‘exchange rate’. Still,
they all rely on a specific equilibrium concept, namely stability. Formally,
we say that a matching is stable if:
(i) There is no married person who would rather be single.
(ii) There are no two (married or unmarried) persons who prefer to form
a new union.
The interest in stable marriage assignments arises from the presumption
that in a frictionless world, a marriage structure which fails to satisfy (i)
and (ii) either will not form or will not survive.
Models based on frictionless matching are studied in the next three Sec-
tions. An alternative approach emphasizes the role of frictions in the match-
ing process; in these models, based on search theory, information is limited
and it takes time to find a suitable match. The corresponding framework
will be discussed in the last Section.
294 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
Example 7.1
1 2 3
1 0 0 1
2 1 0 0
3 0 0 0
4 0 1 0
We first study matching when agents cannot make transfers between
each other. We thus assume that a marriage generates an outcome for each
partner that is fully determined by the individual traits of the partners;
this outcome cannot be modified by one partner compensating the other
for his or her deficient traits. Although somewhat extreme, this assumption
captures situations where, because of public goods and social norms that
regulate within family allocations, there is limited scope for transfers, so
that the success of a marriage mainly depends on the attributes of the
partners. However, an undesired marriage can be avoided or replaced by a
better one. Although there is no scope for trade within marriage, there is
margin for trade across couples.
Let there be a given, finite number of men, M , and a given, finite number
of women, N . We designate a particular man by i and a particular woman
by j. Assume that each man has a preference ranking over all women and
each woman has a preference ordering over all men. Such preferences can
be represented by a M ×N bi-matrix with a pair of utility payoffs, (uij , vij )
in each cell. For a given j, the entries vij describe the preference ordering
of woman j over all feasible males, i = 1, 2...M . Similarly, for a given i,
the entries uij describe the preference ordering of man i over all feasible
women j = 1, 2...N . We may incorporate the ranking of the single state
by adding a column and a row to the matrix, denoting the utility levels
of single men and women by ui0 and v0j , respectively. The preferences of
7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory 295
men and women are datum for the analysis. However, the representations
of these preferences by the utility payoffs are only unique up to monotone
transformations. An illustration of such a representation with 4 men and 3
women is shown in Example 7.2:
Example 7.2
1 2 3 0
1 u11 , v11 u12 , v12 u13 , v13 u10
2 u21 , v21 u22 , v22 u23 , v23 u20
3 u31 , v31 u32 , v32 u33 , v33 u30
4 u41 , v41 u42 , v42 u43 , v43 u40
0 v01 v02 v03
Gale and Shapley (1962) were the first to demonstrate that a stable
matching always exists, and suggested an algorithm which generates a sta-
ble outcome in a finite number of steps. For simplicity, we assume here that
all rankings are strict. To begin, let each man propose marriage to his most
favored woman. A woman rejects any offer which is worse than the single
state, and if she gets more than one offer she rejects all the dominated of-
fers; the non rejected proposal is put on hold (‘engagement’). At the second
step, each man who is not currently engaged proposes to the woman that
he prefers most among those women who have not rejected him. Women
will reject all dominated offers, including the ones on hold. This mechanism
is repeated until no male is rejected; then the process stops. Convergence
is ensured by the fact that no woman is approached more than once by the
same man; since the number of men and women is finite, this requirement
implies that the process will stop in finite time. The process must yield a
stable assignment because women can hold all previous offers. So if there
is some pair not married to each other it is only because either the man
did not propose (implying that he found a better mate or preferred staying
single) or that he did and was rejected (implying that the potential wife
had found a better mate or preferred staying single).
The stable assignment that is realized in the way just described need not
be unique. For instance, a different stable assignment may be obtained if
women make the offers and men can reject or hold them. Comparing these
stable assignments, it can be shown that if all men and women have strict
preferences, the stable matching obtained when men (women) make the
proposal is weakly preferred by all men (women). This remarkable result
shows that social norms of courting can have a large impact on matching
patterns (see Roth and Sotomayor 1990, ch. 2).
As an example, let there be 3 men and 3 women and consider the matrix
of utility payoff in Example 7.3 (setting the value of being single to zero
for all agents):
296 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
Example 7.3
Women
1 2 3
1 3, 2 2, 6 1, 1
Men
2 4, 3 7, 2 2, 4
3 1, 1 2, 1 0, 0
Note that, in this case, preferences diverge among men; man 1 ranks woman
1 above women 2 and 3, while men 2 and 3 both put woman 2 at the top of
their ranking. Similarly, there is disagreement among women; man 1 is the
most attractive match for woman 2, while women 1 and 3 both consider
man 2 as the best match. There is also a lack of reciprocity; man 1 would
rather marry woman 1 but, alas, she would rather marry man 2.
As a consequence there are two possible stable assignments, depending
on whether men or women move first. If men move first, man 1 proposes
to woman 1, and men 2 and 3 both propose to woman 2, who rejects man
3, but keeps man 2. In the second round, man 3 proposes to woman 1
who rejects him. In the last round, man 3 proposes to woman 3 and is not
rejected so that the procedure ends up with the outcome emphasized in
bold letters in the matrix below:
Women
1 2 3
1 3, 2 2, 6 1, 1
Men
2 4, 3 7, 2 2, 4
3 1, 1 2, 1 0, 0
One can check directly that this assignment is stable. Men 1 and 2 obtain
their best option and do not wish to change spouse, while man 3 cannot
find a better match who is willing to marry him.
Now, if women move first, woman 2 proposes to man 1 and women 1
and 3 both propose to man 2, who rejects woman 3, but keeps woman
1. In the second round, woman 3 proposes to man 1 who rejects her. In
the last round, woman 3 proposes to man 3 and is not rejected so that
the procedure ends up with the outcome emphasized in bold letters in the
matrix below:
Women
1 2 3
1 3, 2 2, 6 1, 1
Men
2 4, 3 7, 2 2, 4
3 1, 1 2, 1 0, 0
Again, one can check directly that this assignment is stable. Women 1 and
2 obtain their best option and do not wish to change spouse, while woman
3 cannot find a better match who is willing to marry her. It is seen that
7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory 297
the first assignment, in which men move first is better for all men (except
for man 3 who is indifferent) and the second assignment, in which women
move first is better for all women (except for woman 3 who is indifferent).
A very special case arises if women and men can be ranked by a single
male trait x and a single female trait y. This assumption introduces a
strong commonality in preferences, whereby all men agree on the ranking
of all women and vice versa. Specifically, let us rank males and females
by their marital endowment (that is, xi+1 > xi and yj+1 > yj ), and
let us assume that there exists a “household output function” h(xi , yj )
that specifies the marital output as a function of the attributes of the
two partners.1 This output is then consumed jointly as a public good, or
shared between the partners in some rigid fashion (equally for instance) in
all marriages. A natural question is: Who marries whom? Would a stable
assignment associate a male with a high marital endowment to a female
with high marital endowment (what is called positive assortative mating)?
Or, to the contrary, will a highly endowed male be matched with a low
endowment female (negative assortative mating)? The answer obviously
depends on the properties of the function h(x, y). It is easy to show that
if h(x, y) is strictly increasing in both traits, the unique stable assignment
is one with perfect positive assortative mating. To see that, suppose that
men propose first. In the first round, all men will propose to the woman
with the highest female attribute and she will reject all offers but the one
from the best man. In the second round, all remaining men will propose to
the second best woman and she will reject all but the second best man and
so on. The situation when women propose first is identical. Symmetrically,
if the male and female traits have opposing effects on output, the unique
stable assignment is one with perfect negative assortative mating.
An interesting extension arises when the relevant features of spouses are
not immediately revealed, which may cause a delay in marriage. Bergstrom
and Bagnoli (1993) consider a matching with asymmetric information in
a two period model. They assume that the female trait is immediately
revealed but the male trait is revealed later. The equilibrium that emerges
is such all women marry in the first period. Men that know their high
quality will delay their marriage and low quality males will marry early
but to low quality women. The more desirable females marry successful
older males. Thus, the model can explain the prevalent pattern if matching
by age, whereby the bride is typically younger than the groom.
In addition to the identification of stable assignments, one can use the
Gale-Shapley algorithm to obtain simple comparative static results. Allow-
1 This “household output function” should be distinguished from the standard house-
hold production function described in the previous sections, which take the attributes
of the spouses as fixed. Here we are interested in a reduced form that depends only on
attributes after all relevant activities have been chosen so as to achieve intrahousehold
efficiency.
298 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
ing for unequal numbers of men and women, it can be shown that a change
in the sex ratio has the anticipated effect. An increase in the number of
women increases the welfare of men and harms some women. The same
result holds in many to one assignment.
Two examples
To understand this result, consider first the simplest possible case: let there
be two people of each sex. Assuming that marriage dominates the single
state (that is if any two individuals remain unattached they can gain by
forming a union), there are two possible assignments: Man 1 marries woman
1 and man 2 marries woman 2, or man 1 is married to woman 2 and man
2 is married to woman 1. In testing for stability we treat the potential
marital outputs ζ ij as given and the divisions uij and vij as variables.
Suppose, now, that the assignment in which man 1 marries woman 2 and
man 2 marries woman 1 (the off diagonal assignment) is stable. Then, the
following inequalities must hold:
Example 7.4
Women
1 2 3
1 5 8 2
Men
2 7 9 6
3 2 3 0
300 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
Notice that the entries in this matrix are just the sums of the two terms in
Example 7.3 discussed above. In this regard, non transferable utility can
be thought of as a special case of transferable utility, where the division
of the output in each marriage is predetermined and cannot be modified
by transfers between spouses. For instance, if each partner receives half of
the marital output in any potential marriage, the Gale Shapley algorithm
yields the unique stable outcome, which is on the diagonal of this matrix. In
contrast, with transferable utility, the unique assignment that maximizes
aggregate marital output, indicated by the bold numbers in the matrix
below, is not on the diagonal. This assignment yields aggregate output of
16, compared with an aggregate output of 14 on the diagonal.
Women
1 2 3
1 5 8 2
Men
2 7 9 6
3 2 3 0
Though all men would obtain the highest marital output with woman 2,
and all women would obtain the highest output with man 2 (implying that
ζ 22 is the largest entry in the marital output matrix 7.4), the best man
and the best woman are not married to each other. With transfers, the
assignment on the diagonal is no longer stable, because if couple 1, 1 and
couple 2, 2 exchange partners, there is an aggregate gain of 1 unit of the
transferable good. Then man 1 can, despite his lower contribution to the
marital output, bid away the best woman by offering her a larger amount
of private consumption and still be better off than in the initial match with
woman 1. Similarly, woman 1 can bid away the best man by offering him a
larger share of private consumption and still be better off than in the initial
match with man 1. The higher aggregate output achievable when man 2
and woman 2 are not married to each other implies that, for any division
of the marital output of 9 that these partners can obtain together, at least
one of the partners can be made better off in an alternative marriage.
M
X N
X
A first remark is that since a0j = 1 − aij and ai0 = 1 − aij the
i=1 j=1
program can be rewritten as
M X
X N M X
X N
¡ ¢
max aij ζ ij − ζ i0 − ζ 0j + C = max aij zij + C (7.9)
aij aij
i=1 j=1 i=1 j=1
subject to
N
X
aij ≤ 1, i = 1, 2., .M, (7.10)
j=1
M
X
aij ≤ 1, .j = 1, 2., .N, (7.11)
i=1
M
X N
X
where C = ζ i0 + ζ 0j is the aggregate utility of singles. Therefore,
i=1 j=1
the maximization of aggregate marital output over all possible assignments
is equivalent to the maximization of aggregate surplus and, without loss of
generality, we can normalize the individual utilities by setting ζ i0 = ζ 0j = 0
for all i and j.
Secondly, one can actually assume that in the problem above, the aij
can be real numbers in the (M − 1)-dimensional simplex (instead of con-
straining them to be integers). Intuitively, aij can then be interpreted as
the probability that Mr. i marries Mrs. j. Note, however, that given the
linearity of the structure, one solution at least to this generalized problem
is anyway attained with all aij being either zero or one.
The basic remark, at that point, is that the program thus defined is a
standard, linear programming problem; that is, we want to find a vector
302 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
(aij ) that maximizes the linear objective (7.6) (or (7.9)) subject to the lin-
ear constraints (7.7) and (7.8) (resp. (7.10) and (7.11)). We can therefore
use the standard tools of linear programming - specifically, duality theory.
Associated with the maximization of aggregate surplus which determines
the assignment is a dual cost minimization problem that determines the set
of possible divisions of the surplus. Specifically, one can define a dual vari-
able ui for each constraint (7.10) and a dual variable vj for each constraint
(7.11); the dual program is then:
M
X N
X
min( ui + vj ) (7.12)
ui ,vj i=1 j=1
subject to
2 Conversely, a
ij can be seen as the dual variable for constraint (7.13). In particular,
if aij > 0, then the constraint must be binding, implying that ui + vj = zij .
7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory 303
with a reservation utility ui and is selected by the woman that gains the
highest surplus zij − ui from marrying him. Similarly, woman j enters with
a reservation utility vj and is selected by the man who has the highest gain
zij − vj from marrying her. In equilibrium, each agent receives a share in
marital surplus that equals his\her reservation utility. In a sense, ui and vj
can be thought of as the ‘price’ that must be paid to marry Mr. i or Mrs.
j; each agent maximizes his/her welfare taking as given this ‘price’ vector.
It is important to note that the informational requirements for imple-
menting a stable assignment with transferable utility is quite different than
for the Gale-Shapley no transfer case. For the latter, we only require that
each person can rank the members of the opposite sex. With transferable
utility, the planner needs to know the surplus values of all possible matches
and agents should each know the share of the surplus that they would
receive with any potential spouse.
In general, there is a whole set of values for ui , vj that support a stable
assignment. While the issues related to the distribution of surplus will be
discussed in the next Chapter, we present in the table below three (of
many) such imputations, denoted by a, b and c, for the stable assignment
in example 7.4.
Imputation a b c
W M W M W M
v1 2 u1 3 v1 2 u1 4 v1 1 u1 5
Individual shares
v2 5 u2 5 v2 4 u2 5.5 v2 3 u2 6
v3 1 u3 0 v3 0.5 u3 0 v3 0 u3 1
The reader can readily check that each of these imputations supports a
stable match.
(2010) for recent presentations. Let us just mention that the existence of
a stable match obtains in general; this comes from the fact that the linear
optimization problem does have a solution under very general assumptions.
ζ ij = h(xi , yj ) (7.14)
be the household output function that specifies the marital output as a
function of the attributes of the two partners. We say that a function
h(xi , yj ) is super modular if x0 > x and y 0 > y always imply that
h(x0 , y 0 ) + h(x, y) ≥ h(x0 , y) + h(x, y 0 ), (7.15)
and it is sub modular if inequality (7.15) is always reversed. This definition
captures the idea of complementarity and substitution as usually under-
stood. Rewriting (7.15) in the form
h(x0 , y 0 ) − h(x0 , y) ≥ h(x, y 0 ) − h(x, y), (7.16)
we see that the requirement is that the contribution to marital output of
a given increase in the female attribute rises with the level at which the
male trait is held fixed. By a similar rearrangement, the impact of a given
increase in the male’s attribute rises in the female’s attribute. Note also
that if h is twice differentiable then h is super (sub) modular if the second
cross derivative hyx is always positive (negative).3 The condition that hyx
4 However, monotonicity may fail to hold when super modularity holds. A potentially
important case is when preferences are single peaked in the attribute of the spouse.
In such cases, we can have assortative mating in the sense that married partners have
similar traits, but individuals with extreme traits may fail to marry. The interested
reader may consider the case in which the marital surplus is given by g − (x − y)2 .
306 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
Examples
In many models, the surplus function takes a specific form. Namely, the two
traits x and y can often be interpreted as the spouses’ respective incomes.
Following the collective approach described in the previous Chapters, we
may assume that a couple consisting of a husband with income x and a wife
with income y will make Pareto efficient decisions; then it behaves as if it
was maximizing a weighted sum of individual utilities, subject to a budget
constraint. The important remark is that the constraint only depends on
the sum of individual incomes. Then the Pareto frontier - or in our specific
case the value of the surplus function h (x, y) which defines it - only depends
on the sum (x + y);5 that is:
h (x, y) = h̄ (x + y)
The various properties described above take a particular form in this con-
text. For instance, the second cross derivative hxy is here equal to the
second derivative h̄00 . It follows that we have assortative matching if h̄ is
convex, and negative assortative matching if h̄ is concave. The interpreta-
tion is as above: a convex h̄ means that an additional dollar in income is
more profitable for wealthier people - meaning that wealthier husbands are
willing to bid more aggressively for a rich wife than their poorer competi-
tors. Conversely, if h̄ is concave then the marginal dollar has more value
for poorer husbands, who will outbid the richer ones.
In models of this type, the TU assumption actually tends to generate
convex output functions, hence assortative matching. To see why, consider
a simple model of transferable utility in the presence of a public good.
Preferences take the form
ui = ci g(q) + fi (q), (7.17)
where c and q denote private and public consumption, respectively. The
Pareto frontier is then
ua + ub = h(Y ) = max[(Y − q)g(q) + f (q)],
q
5 Of course, while the Pareto set only depends on total income, the location of the
point ultimately chosen on the Pareto frontier depends on individual incomes - or more
specifically on the location of each spouse’s income within the corresponding income
distribution. These issues will be analyzed in the next Chapter.
7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory 307
dq −(g 0 (q))2
h00 (Y ) = g 0 (q) = > 0.
dY (y − q)g (q) − 2g 0 (q) + f 00 (q)
00
since the denominator must be negative for the second order conditions
for a maximum to hold. Hence, if there is an interior solution for q, the
household production function is convex in family income, Y , implying
that the two incomes x and y must be complements.
As an illustration, recall the examples discussed in sections 2.1 and 2.2 of
Chapter 2. In section 2.1, we considered the case in which the spouses pool
their (fixed) incomes and share a public good and individual preferences
were of the form ui = ci .q, compatible with (7.17). If we now rank men
and women by their incomes we have a situation in which the household
2
production function is h(x, y) = (x+y)4 . This is a convex function of total
income; there is a positive interaction everywhere, leading to assortative
sorting.
In contrast, in section 2.2, we considered a case in which division of labor
has led to marital output given by max(wi , wj ), which is not a function
of total income. Here, we obtain negative assortative mating. This holds
because a high wage person is more useful to a low wage person, as indicated
by the submodularity of h(x, y) = max(x, y).6 For instance, if man i has
wage i and woman j has wage j, the output matrix for the 3 by 3 case is:
Example 7.5
Women
1 2 3
1 1 2 3
Men
2 2 2 3
3 3 3 3
implying three stable assignments; the opposite diagonal (in bold), one
close to it in which couples (1, 3) and (2, 2) exchange partners (emphasized),
and a symmetric one in which couples (3, 1) and (2, 2) exchange partners.
The assignment also depends on the location of the wage distribution for
each gender. As an extreme case, let the worst woman have a higher wage
6 For all x0 ≥ x and y0 ≥ y, we have max (x0 , y 0 ) + max (x, y) ≤ max (x0 , y) +
max (x, y0 ) .Going over the six possible orders of four numbers x,x0 , y, y0 satisfying x0 ≥ x
and y0 ≥ y , we see that
x0 ≥ x ≥ y 0 ≥ y ⇒ x0 + x ≤ x0 + x,
x0 ≥ y0 ≥ x ≥ f ⇒ x0 + x ≤ x0 + y0 ,
x0 ≥ y0 ≥ y ≥ x ⇒ x0 + y ≤ x0 + y0 ,
y 0 ≥ y ≥ x0 ≥ x ⇒ y0 + y ≤ y + y0 ,
y 0 ≥ x0 ≥ y ≥ x ⇒ y0 + y ≤ x0 + y0 ,
y 0 ≥ x0 ≥ x ≥ y ⇒ y0 + x ≤ x0 + y0 .
308 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
than the best man. Then in all marriages the female wage determines the
outcome and all assignments are equally good.
Note, finally, that in the absence of any interaction, we have h(x, y) =
x + y; this describes a situation where the two spouses simply pool their in-
comes and consume only private goods. Since the output is a linear function
of both incomes, any assignment of men to women is stable. It is interest-
ing that although the assignment is completely indeterminate, the set of
imputations shrinks substantially and is given by
vi = xi + p,
uj = yj − p, (7.18)
for some fixed p. Thus, in the absence of interaction in traits, the same
transfer p occurs in all marriages and we may interpret it as a common
bride price or dowry, depending on whether p is positive or negative in
equilibrium.7 As we shall show in the next Chapter, if there is interaction
in traits, this single price is replaced by an intrahousehold allocation rule
that depends on the attributes of both partners.
7 Consider any two couples, (i, j) and (r, s), in a stable assignment. Then, using the
duality results,
ui + vj = xi + yj
ur + vs = xr + ys ,
because the imputations for married couples exhaust the marital output. Also, because
couples (i, s) and (r, j) are not married to each other
ui + vs ≥ xi + ys
ur + vj ≥ xr + yj
But none of these inequalities can be strict, because their sum must equal to the sum of
the equalities above. It then follows that in all marriages on any stable assignment
ui − ur = xi − xr
vj − vs = yj − ys ,
which is equivalent to (7.18).
7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory 309
where Ψ = G−1 and ψ = φ−1 ; note that both φ and ψ are increasing.
All men and women are married if there is an equal measure of men
and women, r = 1. All women are married if there is scarcity of women,
r < 1, implying that men with income x less than x0 = Φ(1 − r) remain
single. All men are married if there is scarcity of men, r > 1, implying that
women with income y less than y0 = Ψ (1 − 1/r) remain single. If r > 1,
then the function y = ψ (x) determines the income of the wife for each man
with income x in the interval [0, 1]. Similarly, if r < 1, then the function
x = φ (y) determines the husband’s income of each woman with income
y in the interval [0, 1]. We shall refer to these functions as the matching
functions and to the resulting assignment as the assignment profile.
In Figure 7.1 we show the matching function ψ (x) for the case in which x
is distributed uniformly on [0, 1], y is distributed uniformly on [0, σ], σ < 1
and r > 1. Applying (7.19) and solving
y
1 − x = r(1 − ),
σ
we obtain
σ
ψ (x) = (r − 1 + x).
r
We see that women with incomes y such that y ≤ y0 = σr (r − 1) remain
single. Women with incomes in the range [y0 , y 0 ] = [ σr (r − 1, σr (r − 1 + x0 )]
marry men with incomes in the range [0, x0]. Finally, women with incomes
in the range [y 00 , σ] = [ σr (r−1+x00 ), σ] marry men with incomes in the range
[x00 , 1]. Thus women with higher incomes marry men with higher incomes.
Note the equality in the measures of women and men in these intervals,
as indicated by the areas of the corresponding rectangles. For instance the
rectangular with base x0 and height 1 has the same area as the rectangular
310 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
dx g(y)
= φ0 (y) = r > 1, (7.22)
dy f (φ (y))
dy 1 f (x)
= ψ 0 (x) = < 1.
dx r g(ψ (x))
for all y, with an equality for y = ψ (x). As above, this equation simply
translates stability: if it was violated for some x and y, a marriage between
these two persons would allow to strictly increase both utilities. Hence:
and we know that the maximum is actually reached for y = ψ (x). First
order conditions imply that
∂H ∂H
(φ (y) , y, v (y)) + v 0 (y) (φ (y) , y, v (y)) = 0. (7.24)
∂y ∂v
while second order conditions for maximization are
µ ¶
∂ ∂H 0 ∂H
(φ (y) , y, v (y)) + v (y) (φ (y) , y, v (y)) ≤ 0 ∀y. (7.25)
∂y ∂y ∂v
where
∂H ∂H
F (y, x) = (x, y, v (y)) + v 0 (y) (x, y, v (y)) . (7.26)
∂y ∂v
Differentiating:
∂F ∂F 0
+ φ (y) = 0 ∀y,
∂y ∂x
which implies that
∂F ∂F 0
≤ 0 if and only if φ (y) ≥ 0.
∂y ∂x
The second order conditions can hence be written as:
µ 2 ¶
∂ H ∂2H
0
(φ (y) , y, v (y)) + v (y) (φ (y) , y, v (y)) φ0 (y) ≥ 0 ∀y.
∂x∂y ∂x∂v
(7.27)
Here, assortative matching is equivalent to φ0 (y) ≥ 0; this holds if
∂2H ∂2H
(φ (y) , y, v (y)) + v 0 (y) (φ (y) , y, v (y)) ≥ 0 ∀y. (7.28)
∂x∂y ∂x∂v
P’
With general utilities, while the technology for transferring income remains
obviously linear, the cost (in terms of husband’s utility) of transferring
utility to the wife varies with incomes. The second condition implies that,
keeping the wife’s utility level fixed, a larger income alleviates the cost
(in terms of husband’s utility) of providing an additional unit of utility
to the wife. Then wealthy males have a double motivation for bidding
aggressively for wealthy women: they benefit more from winning, and their
‘bidding costs’ are lower. They will thus systematically win. Note, however,
∂2H ∂2H
that when the two partials ∂x∂y and ∂x∂v have opposite signs, the two
aspects - benefits from winning and cost of bidding - vary with income in
∂2H ∂2H
opposite directions. Assume, for instance, that ∂x∂y ≥ 0 but ∂x∂v ≤ 0.
Then the outcome is uncertain because while wealthy males still value
wealthy females more than poor males do, they are handicapped by their
higher cost of bidding.
7.4 Search
We now turn to the alternative approach that stresses that in real life the
matching process is characterized by scarcity of information about potential
matches. The participants in the process must therefore spend time and
money to locate their best options, and the set of potential partners they
actually meet is partially random. The realized distribution of matches and
316 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
the division of the gains from each marriage are therefore determined in
an equilibrium which is influenced by the costs of search and the search
policies of other participants.
where, vm and vf denote the value of continued search for the male and
female partners, respectively. These values depend, in equilibrium, on the
search intensity that will be chosen if the marriage does not take place.
Specifically, for i = m, f ,
Z∞
rvi = M ax{(s + sj ) (wi (z) − vi )dF (z) − ci (s)}, (7.32)
s
vm +vf
where r is the instantaneous interest rate and wi (z) denote the shares of the
gains of marital output that male and female partners expect. By definition,
Note that, due to the stationarity of the Poisson process and the infinite
horizon, vi and and wi (z) do not depend on time. Approximating e−rh '
1−rh, cancelling terms that do not depend on h and rearranging, we obtain:
The marginal benefits from search, the left hand side of (7.34), depend
on the share that a person of type i expects in prospective marriages. As
318 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
wi (z) rises, holding z constant, he or she searches more intensely. Hence, the
equilibrium outcome depends on the allocation rules that are adopted. The
literature examined two types of allocation rules. One class of allocation
rules relies on Nash’s axioms and stipulates
wi (z) = vi + γ i (z − vm − vf ), (7.35)
where, y is the quality of the current marriage and wi (y) is the expected
share in the current marriage if an agreement is reached. Since y ≥ vm + vf
and wi (y) ≥ vi , a person who searches for better alternatives during a
bargaining process will search less intensely and can expect lower gains than
an unattached person. The threat of each partner is now influenced by two
factors: The value of his outside opportunities (that is, the value of being
single), which enters only through the possibility that the other partner
will get a better offer and leave; The value of continued search during the
bargaining process, including the option of leaving when an outside offer
(whose value exceeds the value of potential agreement) arrives. Therefore,
the threat points, vi , in (7.35) must be replaced by a weighted average of
the value of remaining without a partner and the value of continued search
during the bargaining (the weights are the probabilities of these events).
Given these modified threat points, the parameters γ i that determine the
shares depend on the respective discount rates of the two partners and the
probabilities of their exit from the bargaining process. The logic behind
this type of formula, due to Rubinstein (1982), is that each person must be
indifferent between accepting the current offer of his partner or rejecting
it, searching for a better offer and, if none is received, return to make a
counter offer that the partner will accept.
Given a specification of the share formulae, one can solve for the equi-
librium levels of search intensities and the values of being unattached. For
instance, if the shares are determined by (7.35) and γ i is known, then
7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory 319
Z∞
rvi = M ax{u(s + sj ) (wi (z) − vi )dF (z) +
s
vm +vf
Z∞ Z∞
(1 − u)s (wi (z) − wi (y) − vi )dG(z)dF (y) − ci (s)}
(7.38)
vm +vf y
Zf¯
λμm
Rm = bm + (f − Rm )dGm (f ),
r
Rm
Zm̄
λμf
Rf = bf + (m − Rf )dFf (m), (7.39)
r
Rf
reject all others and so on. This outcome will also emerge here if the cost
of waiting is low or frictions are not important, because λ is high. However,
if frictions are relevant and waiting is costly, agents will compromise. In
particular, the "best" woman and the "best" man will adopt the policies
Zf¯
λ
Rm̄ = bm̄ + (f − Rm̄ )dGm (f ),
r
Rm̄
Zm̄
λ
Rf¯ = bf¯ + (m − Rf¯)dFf (m). (7.40)
r
Rf¯
Thus, the best man accepts some women who are inferior to the best woman
and the best woman accepts some men who are inferior to the best man,
because one bird at hand is better than two birds on the tree.
The assumption that the rankings of men and women are based on a sin-
gle trait, introduces a strong commonality in preferences, whereby all men
agree on the ranking of all women and vice versa. Because all individuals
of the opposite sex accept the best woman and all women accept the best
man, μ is set to 1 in equation (7.40) and the distribution of offers equals
the distribution of types in the population. Moreover, if the best man ac-
cepts all women with f in the range [Rm̄ , f¯] then all men who are inferior
in quality will also accept such women. But this means that all women in
the range [Rm̄ , f¯] are sure that all men accept them and therefore will have
the same reservation value, Rf¯, which in turn implies that all men in the
range [Rf¯, m̄] will have the same reservation value, Rm̄ . These considera-
tions lead to a class structure with a finite number of distinct classes in
which individuals marry each other. Having identified the upper class we
can then examine the considerations of the top man and woman in the rest
of the population. These individuals will face μ < 1 and a truncated distri-
bution of offers that, in principle, can be calculated to yield the reservation
values for these two types and all other individuals in their group, forming
the second class. Proceeding in this manner to the bottom, it is possible to
determine all classes.
With frictions, there is still a tendency to positive (negative) assortative
mating based on the interactions in traits. If the traits are complements,
individuals of either sex with a higher endowment will adopt a more selec-
tive reservation policy and will be matched, on the average, with a highly
endowed person of the opposite sex. However, with sufficient friction, it is
also possible to have negative assortative mating under complementarity.
The reason for this result is that, because of the low frequency of meet-
ings and costs of waiting, agents in a search market tend to compromise.
Therefore, males with low m, expect some women with high f to accept
them, and if the gain from such a match is large enough, they will reject
all women with low f and wait until a high f woman arrives.
7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory 323
The class structure result reflects the strong assumption that the utility
that each partner obtains from the marriage depends only on the trait of
the other spouse, so that there is no interaction in the household production
function between the traits of the two spouses. In general, there will be some
mingling of low and high income individuals, but the pattern of a positive
assortative mating is sustained, provided that the complementarity in traits
is large enough to motivate continued search for the "right" spouse. Smith
(2006) provides a (symmetric) generalization of the problem where if man
m marries woman f he receives the utility payoff v = π(m, f ) and she
receives the utility payoff u = π(f, m). It is assumed that this function is
increasing in its second argument, π2 (x, y) > 0, so that all men prefer a
woman with a higher f and all women prefer a man with a higher m, but
individuals can differ in the intensity of their ordering.8 He then shows that
a sufficient condition for positive assortative mating, in the sense of a higher
likelihood that a rich person will have a rich spouse, is that log (π(m, f ))
be super modular. That is, m > m0 and f > f 0 imply that
π(m, f )π(m0 , f 0 ) > π(m, f 0 )π(m0 , f ). (7.41)
The reason for such a condition is that one needs sufficiently strong com-
plementarity to prevent the high types from accepting low types, due to
impatience.
Surprisingly, the assumption of transferable utility loses some of its edge
in the presence of frictions. In particular, it is no longer true that the
assignment is determined by the maximization of the aggregate marital
output of all potential marriages. To see why, consider the following output
matrix:
Example 7.6
Women
1 2 3
1 4 1 0
Men
2 1 0 1
3 0 1 4
where aggregate output is maximized on the main diagonal. With frictions,
this assignment is in general not stable, because man 2 and woman 2 will
prefer continued search to marriage that yield, 0, even if the value of being
single is 0. The reason is that they can marry other men and women with
whom they can obtain 1, who might be willing to marry them if the arrival
rate of offers is low or the cost of waiting is high.
Generally speaking, the nature of the assignment problem changes, be-
cause of the need to consider the cost of time spent in search, as well as the
8 Intensity is a meaningful concept because, given the risky environment, agents are
endowed with a Von Neumann Morgenstern utility function that is unique up to a linear
transformation.
324 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
9 Specifically, m+f
the partial derivatives 2
are not log super modular because m > m0
and f > f 0 imply that
upon minutes after the ceremony; there is just no way spouses can com-
mit beforehand on their future behavior. Moreover, ‘upfront’ payments,
whereby an individual transfers some money, commodities or property
rights to the potential spouse conditional on marriage, are also excluded.
Then the intrahousehold allocation of welfare will be decided after mar-
riage, irrespective of the commitment made before. Marriage decision will
therefore take the outcome of this yet-to-come decision process as given,
and we are back in a non transferable utility setting in which each partner’s
share of the surplus is fixed and cannot be altered by transfers decided ex
ante.
This result is an outcome of the assumed inability to credibly bid a
person prior to marriage either by payments up-front or by short term
commitments. This argument raises some important modeling issues about
the working of the marriage market. A first remark is that it is not clear
why premarital contracting is assumed away. Historically, contracts speci-
fying what one brings into marriage and what the husband and wife take
away upon divorce were universal (see Anderson, 2007). In modern soci-
eties prenuptial contracts still exist, although they are less prevalent. One
possibility is that formal contracting and the associated enumeration of
contingencies would "crowd out" the emotional trust on which the part-
ners rely. This argument, however, has somewhat ambiguous implications,
because the mere existence of such emotional trust seems to imply the exis-
tence of at least some minimum level of ‘emotional commitment’ - an idea
that has been formalized by Browning (2009). Another important issue is
verification. Typically it is difficult for the courts to verify the division of
consumption or work within families. It must however be emphasized that
commitment on intrahousehold allocation is not needed to implement a
BAMM solution. Any transfer that (i) is decided ex ante, that is before
marriage, and (ii) can be used to alter the spouse’s respective bargaining
positions after marriage, can do the trick. For instance, if the husband can,
at (or just before) marriage, sign a legally enforceable contract specifying
the transfers that would occur in case of separation, then we are back to a
BAMM framework: I can now ‘bid’ my wife by offering her a very advanta-
geous contract, because even if we do not ultimately divorce, the additional
bargaining power provided to her by the ex ante contract will allow her to
get a larger share of household resources - and is therefore equivalent to
an ex post cash transfer. An even more striking example is the ‘payment
for marriage’ situation, in which the husband can transfer a predetermined
amount to his wife upon marriage (say, by offering her an expensive ring,
or putting the couple’s residence under her name, or even writing a check).
Again, the size of the transfer can be used in the bidding process, and the
relevant concept is again BAMM. Conversely, the BIM framework basically
requires that no ex ante contract can ever be signed, and no conditional
payment can ever be made.
A second concern is that even if we accept the total absence of com-
326 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
Example 7.3a
Women
1 2 3 4
1 3, 2 2, 6 1, 1 2, 1
Men
2 4, 3 7, 2 2, 4 5, 4
3 1, 1 2, 1 0, 0 .5, .5
By assumption, woman 4 is preferred to woman 3 by all men and one would
expect that in the new assignment woman 3 will become single. Suppose,
however, that all existing couples bear a transaction cost of 0.75. Then it is
easy to see that if the original equilibrium was the one in which men moved
first, no man will marry woman 4 and she will remain single. In contrast, if
the original equilibrium was the one in which women moved first then man
2 will take woman 4 and his ex-wife (woman 1) will first propose to man 1
who will reject her and then to man 3 who will accept her, so that woman 3
will become single. Thus, in general, it is impossible to predict what would
happen when a new player enters the market, without knowing the bar-
gaining outcomes in all marriages, the potential bargaining outcome that
the entrant will have with all potential existing partners and the relational
capital accumulated in all existing marriages. Such information is never
available to the observer. In contrast, the Becker-Shapley-Shubik frame-
work can predict the outcome very easily, using only information about
the place of the new woman in the income distribution of women and the
7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory 327
form of the household production function that specifies the within couple
interaction between men and women of different attributes.
Given the different implications of alternative models of the marriage
market, it seems prudent to consider several alternatives, depending on the
application. In subsequent chapters we shall apply search models to analyze
marriage and divorce when match quality is uncertain, and we shall apply
the standard assignment model to discuss the determination of the division
of gains from marriage when men and women differ in their attributes.
328 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
and contradicts (strict) sub modularity. Eliminating this couple, and re-
stricting attention to the next best pair, that is the second best man among
men and the second worst woman among all married women must marry
too, and so on.
330 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory
7.6 References
[1] Anderson, Siwan, ‘The Economics of Dowry and Bride Price’, Journal
of Economic Perspectives, 21 (2007), 151-174.
[5] Becker, Gary, Human Capital, (Third edition, Chicago, Chicago Uni-
versity Press, 1993).
[10] Chiappori, P.A., and P. Reny, ‘Matching to share risk’, Mimeo, Uni-
versity of Chicago (2006).
[13] Gale, David and Lloyd Shapley, ‘College Admissions and the Stability
of Marriage’, American Mathematical Monthly, 69 (1962), 9-15.
8
Sharing the gains from
marriage
In this chapter, we discuss in more detail the determination of the division
of the marital surplus and how it responds to market conditions. If each
couple is considered in isolation, then, in principle, any efficient outcome
is possible, and one has to use bargaining arguments to determine the
allocation. On the contrary, the stability of the assignments restricts the
possible divisions because of the ability to replace one spouse by another
one. The options for such substitution depend on the distributions of the
marital relevant attributes in the populations of the men and women to be
matched. In the present chapter, we precisely ask how the marriage market
influences the outcome in the ideal, frictionless case discussed previously.
Although the division within marriage is not always fully determined, some
qualitative properties of the division can be derived from information on
the joint distribution of male and female characteristics together with a
specification of the household production function.
As before, we discuss separately the cases of discrete and continuous
distributions. The general intuition goes as follows. In the discrete case,
competition puts bounds on individual shares but does not completely de-
termine them; this is because on the marriage market, each potential spouse
has only a finite number of ‘competitors’, none of which is a perfect substi-
tute - so some elements of ‘bilateral monopoly’ persist. In the continuous
case, however, competition between potential spouses tends to be perfect,
leading to an exact determination of the ‘prices’ - that is, in our case, bud-
get shares. In addition to the standard case of transferable utility, we also
consider the more general case in which the exchange rate of the spouses’
utilities varies along the Pareto frontier. We provide detailed examples that
illustrate how changes of the distributions of incomes or tastes of men and
women can affect the division of resources within couples. We conclude
with a discussion of recent developments in estimating equilibrium models
of the marriage market, including the gains from marriage and the division
of these gains.
The major insight obtained from the equilibrium analysis is that the
sharing of the gains from marriage depends not only on the incomes or
preferences of spouses in a given match but also and perhaps mainly on
the overall distributions of incomes and preferences in society as a whole.
Thus, a redistribution of income via a tax reform can influence the shares
of the gains from marriage even if the incomes in particular couple are un-
334 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
z21 , z12 > z11 ) and symmetry holds, z12 = z21 , implying that man 2 is also
more productive than man 1 in all marriages. The main feature here is
that the difference v2 − v1 is bounded between the marginal contributions
of replacing woman 1 by woman 2 as spouses of man 1 and man 2. Woman
2 who is matched with man 1 cannot receive in that marriage more than
z12 − z11 + v1 , because then her husband would gain from replacing her by
woman 1. She would not accept less than v1 + z22 − z21 , because then she
can replace her husband by man 2 offering him to replace his present wife.
The assumption that z12 − z11 > z22 − z21 implies that man 1 can afford
this demand of woman 2, and will therefore "win" her. In this fashion,
the marriage market "prices" the different attributes of the two women.
Symmetric analysis applies if we would replace (v1 , v2 ) with (u1 , u2 ).
Similarly, if z12 + z21 ≤ z11 + z22 , implying that the stable match is
‘diagonal’, then all pairs (v1 , v2 ) satisfying the inequalities
yield imputations v1 , v2 , u1 = z11 −v1 , u2 = z22 −v2 that support the stable
assignment along the diagonal. The shaded area in Figure 8.2 describes
all the pairs that satisfy the constraints required for stability expressed
336 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
noted by Shapley and Shubik (1972), is that in the core (that is, of the
set of imputations that support a stable assignment) "the fortunes of all
players of the same type rise and fall together". This is seen by the upward
tendency of the shaded areas in figures 8.1 and 8.2. In particular, there is
a polar division of the surplus that is best for all men, and also a polar
division that is best for all women.
As an illustration, let us come back to Example 7.4 in the previous Chap-
ter. Specifically, consider the table presenting three imputations, denoted
by a, b and c; for commodity, the Table is reproduced below. Note that these
imputations are arranged in such a manner that the reservation utility of
all men rise and those of all women decline.
Imputation a b c
W M W M W M
v1 2 u1 3 v1 2 u1 4 v1 1 u1 5
Individual shares
v2 5 u2 5 v2 4 u2 5.5 v2 3 u2 6
v3 1 u3 0 v3 0.5 u3 0 v3 0 u3 1
In each of these three imputations, individuals who are married to each
other receive their reservation utility, which together exhaust the marital
input, Thus v2 + u1 = z12 = 8, u2 + v3 = z23 = 6 and v1 + u3 = z31 = 2.
For marriages that do not form, the sum of the reservation utilities exceeds
or equals the potential marital output. For instance, man 2 and woman
2 are not married to each other, and therefore v2 + u2 ≥ z22 = 9. This
requirement is strict for imputations a and b and holds as equality for
imputation c. Similarly, because man 1 and woman 1 are not married to
each other, we must have v1 + u1 ≥ z11 = 5. This holds as strict inequality
for imputations b and c, and as equality for imputation a. The significance
of the equalities is that they indicate the bounds within which it is possible
to change prices without any affect on the assignment. Hence, imputation
c is the best for men and the worst for women and imputation a is the best
for women and the worst for men.
subject to
subject to
where ā denotes the assignment that solves the primal associated with (8.4).
Notice that the values (ûi , v̂j ) chosen in the dual problem (8.3) are feasi-
ble in the dual problem (8.4). It follows that the minimum attained satisfies
N−1
X M
X N−1
X M
X
ūi + v̄j ≤ ûi + v̂j ,
i=1 j=1 i=1 j=1
or X X
āij zij ≤ âij zij − ûN ,
i,j i,j
implying that
X X
ûN ≤ âij zij − āij zij .
i,j i,j
That is, the upper bound on the utility that man N can get is his marginal
contribution to the value of the primal program (that is, the difference
between the maximand with him and without him). Note that to calculate
this upper bound we must know the assignments in both cases, when N is
excluded and N is included. This is easily done if we assume positive or
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 339
X X N
X N
X −1
âij zij − āij zij = zi,M−N +i − zi,M−(N−1)+i . (8.5)
i,j i,j i=1 i=1
Similar arguments apply for any man and any woman. Using the bounds
for men and women who are married to each other at the stable assignment
we can put bounds on the possible divisions of the gains from marriage of
the husband and wife in each couple. Thus the husband’s share in the
couple M N is bounded by
XN N
X
zN,M − ( zi,M−N +i − zi,M−1−N +i )
i=1 i=1
≤ ûN ≤
XN N
X −1
zi,M−N +i − zi,M−(N−1)+i
i=1 i=1
or
N
X N
X −1 N
X N−1
X
zi,M−1−N +i − zi,M−N+i ≤ ûN ≤ zi,M −N +i − zi,M−(N −1)+i .
i=1 i=1 i=1 i=1
(8.6)
uN + vM = zN,M
uN −1 + vM −1 = zN −1,M−1
uN + vM −1 ≥ zN,M−1
uN −1 + vM ≥ zN −1,M
Hence,
and we get the upper and lower bounds on vM − vM−1 . Now we also know
that woman M − 2 and man N − 2 marry each other. Using the fact that
M − 1 and N − 1 also marry each other we get by the same argument that
and so on all the way to the lowest married couple. Because we assume
more women than men, M > N , woman M − N + 1 will marry man 1. For
this particular couple, we have
u1 + vM−N+1 = z1,M−N+1
u1 + vM−N ≥ z1,M−N
vM−N = 0
We see that along the stable assignment the prices must form an increasing
sequence. This is a consequence of complementarity.
When we set the bounds on couple N, M in (8.7), we referred only to
couple N − 1, M − 1. However, there are M − 1 stability constraints, one
for each woman that man N is not married to:
uN ≥ zN,M−1 − vM−1
uN ≥ zN,M−2 − vM−2 ...
and also N − 1 stability constraints for woman M regarding for each man
that she is not married to. We now show that the most binding constraint
from all these constraints is the one expressing that man N (woman M )
does not marry woman M − 1 (man N − 1). That is,
Note, first, that if man N does not want to marry woman M − 1, then he
does not want to marry woman M −2 either; that is, the stability constraint
related to woman M −1 is more binding than that related to woman M −2.
Indeed, we want to show that:
or
uN−1 + vM−2 ≥ zN,M−2 − zN,M−1 + zN−1,M−1 .
. But, this follows directly from the assumption that zij is super modular.
Therefore, the lower bound woman M − 1 imposes is higher than the lower
bound woman M − 2 imposes on man N . By the same arguments, we now
generally show that woman M −k0 s constraint is more binding than woman
M − k − 10 s constraint. Now we have,
which follows from the super modularity assumption that requires this
condition. Therefore we can say that the lower bound woman M −k imposes
is higher than the lower bound woman M − k − 1 imposes on man N, and
finally conclude that the highest lower bound on man N 0s share is imposed
by woman M − 1. In a very similar way it can be shown that the highest
lower bound on woman M 0s share is imposed by man N − 1.
z (x, y) = h (x, y) + θ
with equality if the partners are married to each other and inequality if
they are not.3 The utility levels v(x) and u(y) that satisfy (8.9) can be
interpreted as the demand prices that men with income x and women with
income y require to participate in any marriage. Marriages that form are
consistent with the demands of both partners and exhaust family resources.
Marriages that do not form are those in which resources are insufficient to
satisfy the demands of both partners.
2 Obviously, the support could be changed to any intervals [a, A] and [b, B] - the only
written, equivalently, in terms of the surplus that the marriage generates, relative to
remaining single. Also, because the values of remaining single are independent of the
assignment, the condition for stable assignment can be formulated as maximization of
the aggregate surplus.
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 343
That is, each partner gets the spouse that maximizes his/her “profit” from
the partnership, taking into account the reservation utility (the ‘price’) of
any potential spouse. The first order conditions for the maximizations in
(8.10) give:
v0 (y) = hy (φ (y) , y),
u0 (x) = hx (x, ψ (x)). (8.11)
These equations have an important implication - namely that, as we move
across matched couples, the welfare of each partner changes according to
the marginal contribution of his/her own income to the marital output,
irrespective of the potential impact on the partner whom one marries. The
reason for this result is that, with a continuum of agents, there are no rents
in the marriage market, because everyone receives roughly what he\she
would obtain in the best next alternative.4 Therefore, a change in mari-
tal status as a consequence of a marginal change in income has negligible
impact on welfare, and the only gain that one receives is the marginal
contribution of one’s own trait. Although the change of spouse provides
no additional utility, the spouse that one has influences the marginal gain
from an increase in own traits, reflecting the interactions between the traits
in the production of marital output.
Another important condition that needs to be satisfied in a stable assign-
ment is that, if there are unmarried men, the poorest married man (whose
income is denoted x0 ) cannot get any surplus from marriage. Similarly, if
there are unmarried women, the poorest married woman (whose income is
denoted y0 ) cannot get any surplus from marriage. Otherwise, the unmar-
ried men or women who are slightly less rich could bid away the marginal
match. This condition exploits the assumption that there is a continuum
of agents. Hence, if r < 1 then u (x0 ) = h (x0 , 0) and v(0) = θ. Conversely,
if r > 1 then v (y0 ) = h (0, y0 ) and u(0) = θ. If r = 1, then any allocation
of the gains in the least attractive match with x = y = 0 that satisfies
u(0) + v(0) = θ is possible.
This initial disparity between the two spouses is modified as they move
up the assignment profile. The main features that influence the evolution
of utility differences within couples are the local scarcity of males and fe-
males at different levels of incomes and the strength of the interaction
4 The absence of rents must be distinguished from the positive surplus that the mar-
riage creates. A positive surplus, h(y, z) + θ > h(y, 0) + h(0, z), simply means that there
are positive gains from marriage, relative to the situation in which both partners become
single, but this is rarely the best next alternative.
344 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
in traits. Assuming, for instance, that r > 1 and all men are married
then marriages can be indexed by the husband’s income. As one moves
across all married couples, the utility of the husbands rises at the rate
du(x)
dx = hx (x, ψ (x)) , while the utility of their assigned wives rises at the
rate dv(y) dy 0
dy dx = hy (x, ψ (x)) ψ (x). In this case, if men are everywhere lo-
0
cally scarce (that is, ψ (x) < 1), then the utility of the husband rises faster
than the utility of the wife. Conversely, if there are less women than men
(r < 1) and women are everywhere locally scarce (that is, φ0 (y) < 1), the
utility of the wife rises faster than the utility of the husband. Intuitively, an
overall scarcity of men benefits men at the top of the income distribution
to a larger extent because these men are desired by all women; by the same
token, an overall scarcity of women benefits the women at the top of the
income distribution to a larger extent, because these women are desired by
all men.
Integrating the expressions in (8.11) and using the boundary conditions
described above, one can obtain a unique allocation rule, provided that
r 6= 1. Basically, one first finds the allocation in the least attractive match,
in which the minority type has no income, using the no rent condition.
Then, the division in better marriages is determined sequentially, using
the condition that along the stable matching profile each partner receives
his\her marginal contribution to the marital output. The key remark is that
the allocation rule is fully determined by the sex ratio r and the respective
income distributions of the two sexes. The incomes of the partners in a
particular marriage have no direct impact on the shares of the two partners,
because the matching is endogenously determined by the requirements of
stable matching.
Technically, therefore, assuming for instance r > 1:
Z y
v (y) = h (0, y0 ) + hy (φ (t) , t) dt,
y0
Z x
u (x) = θ + hx (s, ψ (s)) ds,
0
y0 = Ψ (1 − 1/r) , (8.12)
(and analogous conditions can readily be derived for for r < 1). If r = 1,
Z y
v (y) = k + hy (t, φ (t))dt,
Z0 x
u (x) = k0 + hx (ψ (s) , s)ds,
0
k + k0 = θ. (8.13)
where k and k0 are arbitrary.
The first terms in the RHS of equations (8.12) and (8.13) are the utilities
of the partners in the match of the lowest quality and the integrals describe
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 345
du(x)
= H ‘ (x + ψ (x)) , (8.15)
dx
dv(y)
= H ‘ (φ (y) + y) (8.16)
dy
du(x) dv(y)
= .
dx dy
Again, since women are assumed to be on the long side of the market,
the poorest married woman, with income y0 , must be indifferent between
marriage and singlehood; all the surplus generated by her marriage, namely
H (a + y0 ) − H (y0 ) − H (a) + θ, goes to the husband, generating a utility
H (a + y0 ) − H (y0 ) + θ. Moving up along the income distributions, the
allocation evolves as described by (8.15) and (8.16).
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 347
G F
5 Alternatively, the property is also satisfied if the two income distributions are uni-
form and the support of the male distribution is [a, A] while the support of the female
distribution is [b, B]; then b = αa − β and B = αA − β.
348 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
The linear shift property implies that, under assortative matching and
with populations of equal size, a man with income x is paired with a woman
with income y = αx − β. With the previous notations, therefore, φ (y) =
(y + β) /α and ψ (x) = αx − β. Equations (8.15) and (8.16) then become
du(x)
= H 0 ((α + 1) x − β) , (8.22)
dx
and
dv(y)
= H 0 (((α + 1) y + β) /α) , (8.23)
dy
yielding upon integration :
α
v (y) = K + H (φ (y) + y) (8.24)
1+α
and
1
u (x) = K 0 + H (x + ψ (x)) (8.25)
1+α
where
K + K 0 = θ.
In words, the marriage between Mr. x and Mrs. y = ψ (x) generates
a marital output θ + H (x + ψ (x)), which is divided linearly between the
spouses. The non monetary part, θ, is distributed between them (he receives
K, she receives K 0 ) in a way that is not determined by the equilibrium
conditions (this is the standard indeterminacy when r = 1) but must be
the same for all couples (note that K or K 0 may be negative). Regarding
the economic output, however, the allocation rule is particularly simple; he
receives some constant share α/ (1 + α) of it, and she gets the remaining
1/ (1 + α).
Z x
u (x) = H (a) + H 0 (s + ψ (s)) ds (8.28)
a
Z y
v (y) = H (a + b) − H (a) + θ + H 0 (φ (t) + t) dt (8.29)
b
φ (y, r) = Φ [1 − r (1 − G (y))]
∙ ¸
1
ψ (x, r) = Ψ 1 − (1 − F (x))
r
y0 = Ψ (1 − 1/r) ,
6 The result that g is the only source of gain from marriage for couples at the bottom
of the income distribution reflects the assumptions that h(0, 0) = 0 and that there is a
positive density of the income distribution at zero. In general, participants at the bottom
of the income distribution have a positive income, so that the lowest quality match may
create a monetary surplus, because of the positive interaction of traits.
350 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
and
∂φ (y, r)
= − (1 − G(y) Φ0 [1 − r (1 − G (y))] < 0
∂r ∙ ¸
∂ψ (x, r) 1 0 1
= (1 − F (x)) Ψ 1 − (1 − F (x)) >0
∂r r2 r
∂y0 1 0
= Ψ (1 − 1/r) > 0.
∂r r2
Differentiating (8.17) and (8.18) with respect to r therefore gives:
∂u (x) ∂y0
= (H 0 (a + y0 ) − H 0 (y0 ))
Z x ∂r ∂r
00 ∂ψ (s, r)
+ H (s + ψ (s)) ds > 0
a ∂r
∂v (y) ¡ 0 ¢ ∂y0
= H (y0 ) − H ‘ (y0 + a)
Z y ∂r ∂r
00 ∂φ (t, r)
+ H (φ (t) + t) dt < 0
y0 ∂r
An important implication of this property is that for any couple, the sex
ratio can be used as a distribution factor : its variations affect the intra-
household allocation of resources without changing neither total income
nor the spouses’ preferences. The empirical relevance of this remark has
been established empirically by several authors. For instance, Chiappori,
Fortin and Lacroix (2002), using a collective model of labor supply, find
that, other things equal, a one percentage point increase in the sex ratio
(defined as the ratio of men to women in the relevant marriage market)
induces husbands to transfer some 2, 000 dollars (1988) of income to their
spouse (see Chapter 5).
exceeding y rises for all y, so that women become more similar to men in
terms of their income, as we observe in practice. Such an upward first order
shift in the distribution of female income affects the matching functions in
exactly the same way as a marginal increase in the female/male sex ratio.
Thus, if all men maintain their income, they all become better off. Similarly,
any woman who would maintain her income would become worse off. This
remark should however be interpreted with care, because it is obviously
impossible for all women to maintain their income: when the distribution
of female incomes shifts to the right, some (and possibly all) females must
have higher income. In particular, those women who maintain their rela-
tive rank (quantile) in the distribution will maintain their position in the
competition for men, and will be matched with a husband with the same
income as before. Such women will be better off, as a consequence of the
increase in their own income.
As a special case, consider the linear shift case described above; to keep
things simple, assume moreover that β = 0. Suppose, now, that the income
of every woman is inflated by some common factor k > 1 and consider
a married couple with initial incomes (x, y). After the shift, the partners
remain married but the wife’s income is boosted to ky while the husband’s
income remains equal to x. If uk and vk denote the new individual utilities,
we have from (8.25) and (8.24):
kα
vk = K+ H (ky + x) and (8.30)
kα + 1
1
uk = K0 + H (ky + x)
kα + 1
Differentiating in k around k = 1 gives:
∂vk α αy
= H (y + x) + H 0 (y + x) and
∂k (α + 1)2 α+1
∂uk α y 0
= − 2 H (y + x) + α + 1 H (y + x) (8.31)
∂k (α + 1)
One can readily check that both changes are positive (for the second one,
it stems from the convexity of H). We conclude that the shift has two im-
pacts. First, the increase in total income generates some additional surplus
(the term in yH 0 (y + x)), which is shared between spouse in proportion of
their respective incomes (that is 1 and α). In addition, a redistribution is
triggered by the shift. Specifically, since the wife’s share of total income is
increased, so is her consumption; the husband therefore transfers to his wife
2
an amount equal to a fraction α/ (α + 1) of total surplus. One can readily
check that the transfer is proportionally larger for wealthier couples, since
the ratio H (y + x) / (y + x) increases with (y + x) due to the convexity of
H.
352 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
Empirical illustration
It is a priori not clear how important is income for matching and how to
measure it. Actual incomes are rarely available, and wages are measured
with a lot of noise and vary over the life cycle. For an empirical application,
we estimate the predicted hourly wage of white men and women aged 25-40
in the CPS data and use these predictions as measures of the male and
female incomes for this age group.7 We then obtain the following results
(see Figure 8.11):
1. The log normal distribution fits these predictions well.
2. The standard deviations for men’s and women’s predicted log wages
are similar and both grow over time,
3. The mean predicted log wages of men are higher than for women but
the discrepancy declines over time.
4 Male distributions of predicted log wage dominate in the first degree
the female distributions in all years but the gap declines over time.
5. Within couples, there is high positive correlation between the pre-
dicted log wages of husbands and wives and this correlation rises over time
indicating a high and increasing degree of positive assortative mating.
6. Finally, the ratio of men to women in the CPS sample of whites aged
25 − 40 has dropped from 1.045 in 1976 to 0.984 in 2005.
Figure 8.12 shows the male and female income distributions estimated
from the CPS data. As seen the cumulative distribution of male incomes
is below the cumulative distribution of female in both years but the gap is
lower in 2005, indicating a first degree dominance of the male distributions.
For both man and women, the cumulative distributions are less steep in
2005, representing the general rise in inequality between 1976 and 2005.
We use this information, together with the assumption that the mari-
2
tal output is given by h(x, y) = (x+y) 4 (so that the marital surplus from
marriage is yx2 ), to calculate the predicted response of the shares in marital
surplus to the observed changes in the male and female income distributions
and in the sex ratio between the years 1976-2005. The use of log normal dis-
tribution and the specification of h(x, y) allows us to use conditions (8.21)
and (8.14) and to calculate the shares using numerical integrations of (8.15)
and (8.16). Figures 8.13 and 8.14 show the estimated shares in the marital
surplus for men and women in 1976 and 2005. We see that men had a larger
estimated share in 1976, while women had the larger share in 2005. Part
7 These results are obtained by running regressions with every year for white men
of this reversal is due to the narrowing wage gap between men and women
and part of it is due to the reduction in the female-male sex ratio over the
period.
8.2.4 Taxation
Changes in the income distribution can also arise from a government inter-
vention in the form of taxes and subsidies. For instance, we may consider a
linear transfer scheme, such that the after tax (subsidy) income of a person
with income s is κ + (1 − τ ) s, with κ > 0 and 0 < τ < 1. Let us assume
that the scheme is revenue neutral, so that its only impact is to redistribute
income between and within couples, and let us for the time being disregard
behavioral responses to the tax changes. We have that:
Z 1 Z 1
xF (x) dx + r yG (y) dy
0 0
Z 1 Z 1
= (κ + (1 − τ ) x) F (x) dx + r (κ + (1 − τ ) y) G (y) dy(8.32)
0 0
and
x̄ + rȳ
κ=τ (8.33)
1+r
R1 R1
when x̄ = 0 xF (x) dx, ȳ = 0 yG (y) dy denote average incomes of male
and females, respectively, so that x̄+r ȳ
1+r is average household income. Here,
τ is the taxation rate, and κ is the lump sum subsidy funded by income
taxation.
We can think of such an intervention as a change in the household pro-
duction function from h (x, y) to h̃ (x, y) = h (κ + (1 − τ ) x, κ + (1 − τ ) y).
Such a transformation preserves the sign of the cross derivative with re-
spect to the before tax incomes x and y. Therefore, the same pattern of a
positive assortative mating is maintained and the matching functions ψ (x)
and φ(y) remain the same. However, the introduction of tax and transfer
influences the gains from marriage, which depend on the after tax incomes
of the partners, and the division of these gains. By construction, a pro-
gressive transfer-tax system raises the income of the poor and reduces the
income of the rich. Due to positive assortative matching, the progressivity
of the program is magnified, because an individual whose after tax income
has increased (decreased) is typically assigned to a spouse whose after tax
income has increased (decreased). Put differently, the intervention affects
the surplus generated by marriage, holding the pre tax incomes fixed. For
low income matches, the surplus increases and for high income matches
it declines. In addition, the division of the surplus between husbands and
wives is affected in general.
When assumption (8.14) holds and only total family income matters,
the household production function is modified from h (x, y) = H (x + y) to
354 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
8.2.5 An example
We now provide a simple example in which the shares can be easily cal-
culated. In addition to (8.21) we assume that incomes are uniformly dis-
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 355
tributed. We use again our example in Chapter 2 with public goods where
2
h(y, x) = (y+x)
4 , which satisfies (8.14). For this example, men and women
have the same marginal contribution to marriage, hx (y, x) = hy (y, x) =
y+x
2 . Assume that the incomes of men and women are uniformly distrib-
uted on [0, 1] and [0, Z] , respectively, where Z ≤ 1. If Z < 1, then the
income distribution of men dominates in a first degree the income distrib-
ution of women, because
½ t
Z if 0 ≤ t ≤ Z
G(t) = (8.37)
1 if Z < t ≤ 1
exceeds F (t) = t, for all t in the interval (0, 1). We are also in the ‘linear
upward shift’ case described above, with α = Z and β = 0.To simplify
further, we set θ = 0 so that the lowest quality matches generate no surplus.
Therefore, there is no indeterminacy of the allocation rule when r = 1 and
no discontinuity in the allocation rule.
Under the assumed uniform distributions, the assignment functions are
linear and given by
y
x = φ (y) = 1 − r(1 − ), (8.38)
Z
Z
y = ψ (x) = [(r − 1) + x]. (8.39)
r
and the local scarcity of men is constant and given by Zr . Under the sim-
plifying assumption that θ = 0, the shares of the husband and wife in the
marital output can then be rewritten in the form
Z
y2 1 y t
v(y) = + [1 − r(1 − )]dt,
4 2 y0 Z
Z
x2 1 x Z
u(x) = + [(r − 1) + s]ds,
4 2 x0 r
½ Z
y0 = r (r − 1) if r>1
,
0 if r ≤ 1
½
1 − r if r < 1
x0 = . (8.40)
0 if r ≥ 1
2 2
Notice that v(y) − y4 and u(x) − x4 are the shares of the husband and
wife in the marital surplus. Inspecting the integrals in (8.40), we see that
the gender in short supply always receives a larger share of the surplus. In
contrast, the shares of marital output of husbands and wives depend also
on the location of the couple in the income distribution.
If there are more women than men, r > 1, the match with the lowest
output is the one in which the husband has income x = 0, and the wife has
income y0 = Z (r−1)
r . His surplus and utility are at this point zero, while
y02
she receives the whole marital output 4 , which also equals her utility as
356 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
single. Because men are always locally scarce, Zr > 1, it follows from (8.40)
that their utility must grow along the stable assignment at a faster rate
than the utility of their assigned wives. It is readily seen that the husband’s
share is higher in matches with sufficiently high income. In particular, the
2
best match with x = 1 and y = Z, yields an output of (1+Z) 4 , of which
1 Z Z Z2 Z
the husband receives 4 + 2 − 4r and the wife receives 4 + 4r , which is a
smaller share.
If there are more men than women, r < 1, the match with the lowest
output is the one in which the wife has income y = 0, and the husband’s
income is x0 = 1 − r, and it is now the wife that has the lower utility. The
local scarcity parameter can now be higher or lower than 1. If Zr > 1, men
are always locally scarce, and it follows from (8.40) that the husband will
have a higher share in the output of all marriages. If, however, Zr < 1 and
women are always locally scarce, then the utility of women grows along the
stable assignment profile at a faster rate than the utility of their assigned
husbands, and they may eventually overtake them. Indeed, the wife’s share
2
in the best match is Z2 + Z4 − rZ 1 rZ
4 and the husband’s share is 4 + 4 , which
is smaller if r is sufficiently small.
This example illustrates clearly the impact of changes in the sex ratio
r and the distribution of female income as indexed by Z, on the welfare
of women and men. Recall that marginal increases in x0 or y0 have no
effect on u(x) or v (y) , respectively. Inspection of the integrands in (8.40),
shows that u(x) must increase in r and Z, while v (y) must decrease in r
and Z. As we noted above, the result that women are worse off when the
mean income of women rises sounds surprising. However, the reason that a
woman who maintains her income is worse off when Z rises is that there are
more women with income above her, which means that she cannot ”afford”
anymore a husband with the same income as before. However, any woman
who keeps her position in the income distribution, (that is, whose income
rose at the same proportion as Z) will obtain a husband with the same
x as before the change. Then it can be shown that if r > 1, her surplus
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 357
does not change, and if r < 1, her surplus rises.8 In either case, her welfare
must rise, reflecting the rise in her own income. This example can be easily
generalized for the case in which there are positive non monetary gains,
θ > 0.
The example allows us to examine numerically the impact of a progressive
transfer-tax system. Assume that male income is distributed uniformly on
[0, 1], while the female income is distributed uniformly on [0, 75]. Set θ =
0.025 and τ = .7. Now consider a balanced transfer scheme such that
κ(1 + r) = (1 − τ )(x + ry). We discuss here two separate cases, one in which
women are the majority and r = 1.1 and the other when women are the
minority and r = 0.9. In the numerical example, x = 0.5 and y = 0.375.
Thus, for a marginal tax of τ = 0.7, the balanced budget constraint implies
that κ = 0.13 when r = 1.1, and κ = 0.132. when r = 0.9.Figures 8.15,
8.16 and Table 8.1 summarize the results.
When women are in the majority, their share is usually less than half
but rising in the income of their assigned husband (see Figure 8.15). The
tax-subsidy intervention moderates this increase, because in low quality
matches, the wife’s share is determined by her income, and women with low
income gain from the progressive system. When women are in the minority,
their share in the marital output declines and the progressive tax system
moderates this decline (see Figure 8.16) because in low quality matches,
the husband’s share is determined by his income, and men with low income
gain from the progressive system. The difference in slopes between the two
figures reflects the role of the non monetary gains, θ, that are captured by
the men when r > 1 and by the women when r < 1. This effect weakens
as one moves to high income couples where the monetary gains become
increasingly important.
Table 8.1 provides the numerical values of the shares. In the benchmark:
the income of men is uniform on [0, 1], the income of women is uniform
on [0, .75], the gain from marriage is g = 0.025,the tax rate on income is
β = 0.7 and the implied value of α that balances the budget is α = 0.1322
at panel a and α = 0.1303 at panel b. We then examine the equilibrium
8 The surplus of the husband and the surplus of the wife are readily obtained by
y2 Zy 2 1Z
sh (y) = u(y) − = + (r − 1)y,
4 4r 2 r
ψ (y) y Zy 2
sw (ψ (y)) = − sh (y) = .
2 4r
For r ≤ 1, we obtain
z2 rz 2 z(1 − r)
sw (z) = v(z) − = + ,
4 4Z 2
φ (z) z rz 2
sh (φ (z)) = − sw (z) = .
2 4Z
358 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
shares for some hypothetical couples. Panel a describes the case with more
women than men, r = 1.1. Then, all men marry and a proportion 0.9091 of
the women remains single. The man with the lowest income, 0, is matched
with a woman whose income is 0.0682, the man with the mean income,
0.5, is matched with a woman whose income is 0.4091, and the man with
the highest income, 1, is matched to the woman with highest income, 0.75.
Following the intervention; the after tax income of the man with lowest
income rises to 0.1304, and that of his matched wife rises to 0.1781, the
after tax income of the average man is reduced to 0.4804 and that of his
matched wife rises to 0.3947, while the after tax of the wealthiest man is
reduced to 0.8304 and that of his matched wife is reduced to 0.6554. Thus,
the tax and transfers scheme reduces inequality both between and within
couples.
Although the impact of the intervention on the couples with the average
man or average woman is relatively small, some noticeable changes occur
at the bottom and the top of the income distribution. At the bottom, the
intervention raises the utilities of both men and women but women obtain a
larger share of the total utility if r > 1 and a smaller share if r < 1. It seems
surprising that a progressive policy that transfers resources to poor women
reduces their share in the marital surplus. But when r < 1, poor women are
married to men who are wealthier than they are, and the intervention makes
these men less "useful" to their wives. At the top of the distribution, the
intervention lowers substantially the utilities of both men and women but
women gain relatively more than men if r < 1 and relatively less if r > 1. We
see that the impact of the tax-subsidy intervention on each spouse reflects
three different effects: an increase (decrease) in own income, an increase
(decrease) in the spouse’s income, and the increase in the incomes of the
individuals who are just indifferent between marriage and singlehood. The
first two effects influence the marital output that the matched partners can
generate together. The third effect reflects the changes in the sharing of this
output that are caused by the competition in the marriage market. In order
to separate these effects, we examine the impact of the tax for couples for
which the intervention does not affect total family income, and, therefore,
marital output does not change. This comparison is shown in panels c and
d of Table 8.1. We see that in both panels the wife gains income relative to
the husband. However, when women are in the majority, the wife in such
couples loses both in output and surplus terms. In contrast, the wife gains
if women are in the minority. This difference can be traced to the impact
of the intervention on the lowest quality matches, where the intervention
causes a larger gain to the wife than to the husband when women are in
the minority, r < 1, while the opposite is true when r > 1 (see panels a and
b). These effects are transmitted along the matching profile to all couples
in the marriage market.
The general conclusion that one can draw from these examples is that
in a frictionless market, where the shares are determined jointly with the
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 359
Preferences
To investigate these issues, Chiappori and Oreffice consider a model in
which a continuum of men and women derive utility from one private com-
posite good c (the price of which is normalized to 1) and from children; Let
the dummy variable k denote the presence (k = 1) or the absence (k = 0) of
children in the household. Men have identical, quasi-linear preferences over
consumption and children. The utility of single men only depends on their
consumption; that is, men cannot derive utility from (and do not share the
9 The version presented here is a slightly simplified version of the original paper;
in particular, we assume here that men have identical preferences, and concentrate on
preference heterogeneity among women.
1 0 See for instance Héritier (2002).
362 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
costs of) out-of-wedlock children, due to the fact that they do not live in
the same household. On the other hand, married men’s utility is of the form
UH (cH , k) = cH +uH k, where the parameter uH > 0 is identical for all men
in the economy. Women differ in their preferences toward children. Specif-
ically, female utility functions take the quasi-linear form U (c, k) = c + uk.
Here, each woman is characterized by the individual-specific taste para-
meter u, which is distributed according to the density f over the interval
[0, U ]. We assume that any woman (single or married) who wants a child
can have one. However, if she plans to have no children, unwanted births
may still occur with some probability p, which depends on the available
contraceptive technology and the legality of abortion.
The quasilinear structure of the male and female preferences implies that
utility is transferable within marriage. For each spouse, the utility depends
on the couple’s fertility decision and on the share of composite good that
he or she receives.
As before, we normalize the mass of men to be 1, and we denote by r
the total mass of women on the market; here, we assume that r > 1, that
is that women are on the long side of the market. Male income is denoted
by Y . Women without children have income, y; however, if a woman has
children, her income drops to y 0 , with y 0 < y, reflecting both the loss in her
earning capacity due to childbearing and the cost of raising the child. Hence
a single woman without children consumes her income y; if she decides to
have a child (or if an unwanted pregnancy occurs), she also consumes her
income (which has dropped to y 0 ) and receives a utility u from her child,
which is independent of her marital status.
Regarding couples, we assume that uH < y − y 0 , that is that the gain
received by the husband from having a child does not offset by itself the
loss in income experienced by the wife. This assumption implies, in our
framework, that the couple’s decision to have a child or not will also depend
on the wife’s preferences. Therefore married women must agree with their
husband on two issues. One is the fertility decision; that is, they must
decide whether to have kids or not, and the decision depends (in particular)
on the wife’s preferences towards children. The other decision relates to
the distribution of resources within the household (that is, the allocation
of total income between male and female consumption of the composite
good). Both decisions will be ultimately determined by the equilibrium on
the market for marriage. Finally, we model the legalization of abortion (and
generally the availability of some birth control technology) as an exogenous
decrease in the probability p of experiencing an unwanted pregnancy.
Fertility decisions
We first consider the fertility decisions of singles and couples, starting with
single individuals. Single men do not make decisions: they consume their
income, and get a utility which equals to Y . Single women, on the other
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 363
hand, will decide to have children if and only if the benefit compensates the
income loss, that is if u ≥ y − y 0 , leading to a utility which equals y 0 + u. In
the alternative case when u < y − y 0 , single the women chooses not to have
a child and any pregnancy will be involuntary. As pregnancy occurs with
probability p, the expected utility is y(1 − p) + p (y 0 + u). In what follows,
the threshold y − y 0 is denoted ū; women whose utility parameter is larger
than or equal to ū will be referred to as ‘high’ type.
In our transferable utility context, couples maximize their marital sur-
plus. The total benefit, for a couple, of having a child is uH + u, whereas
the cost is y −y 0 . It follows that a married couple will plan to have a child if
u ≥ y−y 0 −uH - then total utility is Y +y 0 +uH +u. The threshold y−y 0 −uH
is denoted u; note that u < ū. If u < y − y 0 − uH , only unwanted kids are
born, leading to an expected total utility Y + (1 − p) y + p (y 0 + uH + u).
Women with taste parameter u smaller than u will be said to be of ‘low’
type, while those between u and ū will be called ‘intermediate’. To sum-
marize:
• women of ‘intermediate’ type (u < u < ū) choose to have a child only
when married
Stable match
We can now derive the properties of the stable match. The key element is
provided by Figure 8.4, which plots the maximum utility Φ (u) a man can
achieve when marrying a woman of taste u (in other words, Φ (u) denotes
his utility if he was to appropriate all the surplus generated by marriage).
The function Φ is increasing; that is, it is always better (for the husband)
to marry a wife with a larger taste coefficient u.
More precisely, women whose parameter u is greater than ū (the ‘high’
type), and who would plan to have a child even when single, are the most
‘attractive’ from the male’s perspective. While they differ in taste, this
difference is irrelevant from a husband’s viewpoint, since they require the
same compensation cH for getting married (namely, to be left with a private
consumption which equals their income with a child, y 0 ). Women between u
and ū (the ‘intermediate’ type) come next in males’ preferences. They plan
to have a child only when married, and the minimum compensation they
require is cI (u) = (y − u) (1 − p) + py 0 . This required compensation de-
creases with the individual utility u; hence men strictly prefer intermediate
women with a higher u. Finally, women with a u smaller than u (the ‘low’
type) never plan to have a child. Again, these women are equivalent from a
husband’s perspective, since they require the same compensation for getting
married, namely their consumption as single, that is cL = (1 − p) y + py 0 .
364 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
1 1 If her husband’s utility was Φ (u) he would get all the surplus generated by the
marriage. Since his equilibrium utility is only Φ (u (r)), the difference Φ (u) − Φ (u (r))
represents the part of the surplus appropriated by the wife.
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 365
Singles Married
Y + uH
Female surplus
Y + puH
u u(r) u u
FIGURE 8.4. Maximum husband’s utility as a function of the wife’s taste - in-
termediate ESW
366 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
Singles Married
Y + uH
Female surplus
Y + pu H
u(r)u u u
FIGURE 8.5. Maximum husband’s utility as a function of the wife’s taste - small
ESW
remain single decide to have a kid; all other women remain single and
decide not to have children (although they may have one involuntar-
ily). Regarding welfare issues, note that, in that case, married women
receive no surplus from marriage; their consumption is the same as if
single.
RU
• If W < 1/r < W̄ = u f (t) dt, as depicted in Figure 8.4, the mar-
ginal wife belongs to the intermediate type. All married women have a
child, and consume the same amount, which is such that the marginal
wife is indifferent between getting married and remaining single. All
married women (but the marginal one) get a positive surplus from
marriage, and high type women receive the maximal surplus.
consumption is defined by the fact that men, who are in short supply,
must be indifferent between the various potential spouses. Again,
this condition generates a positive surplus for all women of high and
intermediate types; high type women receive the largest surplus.
The variation in women’s utility across the three types of equilibria
exhibits interesting patterns. Not surprisingly, women are better off the
smaller their excess supply on the market. However, when women’s excess
supply is either large or small, their welfare does not depend on the size
of the imbalance. In the intermediate case, on the contrary, a marginal
increase in the number of men continuously reduces the taste parameter
u (r) of the marginal woman, which ameliorates the welfare of all married
women.
Not surprisingly, women who do not want to have a child (either be-
cause they belong to the low type or because they are single) benefit from
the technology, precisely because unwanted pregnancies become less likely.
In the extreme situation in which unwanted pregnancies are eliminated,
the monetary gain is thus p (y − y 0 − u) .More interesting is the fact that
women who decide to have a child also benefit from the technology, al-
though to a lesser extent than singles. The intuition is that the intrahouse-
hold distribution of resources is driven by the marginal women; for a small
or intermediate excess supply of women, the marginal women is indifferent
between getting married and remaining single without kid. Her reservation
utility is thus improved by the new technology. The nature of a match-
ing game, however, implies that any improvement of the marginal agent’s
situation must be transmitted to all agents ‘above’ the marginal one.
In the case of an intermediate excess supply depicted in Figure 8.6, the
benefit experienced by all married women, assuming the new technologies
drives the risk of unwanted pregnancies to zero, is p (y − y 0 − u (r)) (where,
again, u (r) denotes the taste parameter of the marginal married woman).
This benefit continuously increases with the number of men M . When the
excess supply is small, the gain is puH , still smaller than p (y − y 0 ) (the
368 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
Y + uH
Y + p.uH Increase in
female surplus
Y
u
u(M)
gain for single women) but nevertheless positive. On the other hand, when
the excess supply of women is ‘large’, married women do not benefit from
the new technology, because the marginal woman does not use it. Hence
the consequences of the new technology for married women’s welfare are
intimately related to the situation that prevails on the marriage market.
Finally, men cannot gain from the introduction of the new technology.
When the excess supply of women is large, their utility is not affected.
When the excess supply of women is small, so that the marginal wife does
not want a child, the total welfare of the household is increased, but so
is the reservation utility of the wife; the husband is left with the same
consumption, but loses the benefit he would have received from an un-
wanted birth. The intermediate case is even more spectacular. Here, all
marriages result in a child being born, so the total surplus generated by
marriage is not affected by the innovation. What changes, however, is the
intrahousehold allocation of the surplus. The new technology improves the
reservation utility of the marginal woman, hence her share of resources in-
creases. Stability requires this shift to be reproduced in all couples. All in
all, the new technology results in a net transfer from the husband to the
wife, which equals the expected gain of the marginal single woman, that
is p (y − y 0 − u (r)), without any change on the fertility of married couple
(who actually do not use the new technology).
We thus conclude that in our model an improvement in the birth control
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 369
where the maximum is actually reached for y = ψ (x). First order conditions
imply that
∂H ∂H
(φ (y) , y, v (y)) + v 0 (y) (φ (y) , y, v (y)) = 0.
∂y ∂v
or:
∂H
∂y (φ (y) , y, v (y))
v 0 (y) = − ∂H . (8.43)
∂v (φ (y) , y, v (y))
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 371
In words, richer people are always better off. Finally, once v has been
computed, the condition
exactly defines u.
This framework has been applied by Chiappori and Reny (2007), who
consider a population of heterogeneous agents with different risk aversions
matching to share risks arising from identically distributed random in-
comes. They show that (i) a stable match always exists, (ii) it is unique,
and (iii) it is negative assortative: among married couples, men with lower
risk aversion match with more risk averse women and conversely.
Preferences
There is a continuum of males, whose income y is distributed over [a, A] ac-
cording to some distribution F , and a continuum of females, whose income
y 0 is distributed over [b, B] according to some distribution G. To simplify,
we consider the linear shift case, where the matching functions are given by
φ (y 0 ) = (y 0 + β) /α and ψ (y) = αy − β; also, we assume that the number
of female is almost equal to, but slightly larger than that of men.12
Males have identical preferences, represented by the Cobb-Douglas util-
ity:
um = cm Q (8.46)
where cm denotes his consumption of some private, Hicksian composite
commodity and commodity Q is publicly consumed within the household;
1 2 This last assumption is simply used to pin down the constant in the allocation of
all prices are normalized to 1. Similarly, women all share the same pref-
erences, characterized by some minimum level of consumption c̄, beyond
which private and public consumptions are perfect substitutes:
uf (cf ) = −∞ if cf < c̄
= cf + Q if cf ≥ c̄
In particular, if a woman is single, her income must be at least c̄; then her
utility equals her income.
An important feature here is that men and women have different prefer-
ences: private and public consumption are complements for men and per-
fect substitutes for women. We shall further assume that household income
is always larger than c̄; then female utilities are of the quasilinear form
cf + Q. In particular, any efficient solution involves cf = c̄, because beyond
c̄, spending a dollar on private consumption for the wife is inefficient: spent
on the public good, the same dollar is as valuable for the wife and strictly
better for the husband.
Efficient allocations
We first characterize the set of efficient allocations. An efficient couple
solves the program:
max cm Q (8.47)
under the constraints
cm + cf + Q = y + y 0 (8.48)
uf = cf + Q ≥ U (8.49)
0
where y + y is household total income and U is some arbitrary utility level.
A first remark is that at any efficient allocation, the wife’s utility U cannot
fall below ((y + y 0 ) + c̄) /2. As the wife receives the same consumption c̄ in
any efficient allocation, her utility varies only with the amount of the public
good, Q. Once c̄ has been spent, the husband’s maximal utility is obtains
when he receives his optimal bundle of private and public consumption,
namely Q = cm = ((y + y 0 ) − c̄) /2; this choice generates a wife’s utility
of ((y + y 0 ) + c̄) /2. If U > ((y + y 0 ) + c̄) /2, however, providing her with
U requires more resources to be spent on the public good (and less on
his private consumption) than what he would choose by himself. Then the
constraint (8.49) is binding. Therefore, the Pareto frontier is given by
um = H ((y + y 0 ) , uf ) = (uf − c̄) ((y + y 0 ) − uf ) , (8.50)
(y+y0 )+c̄
where uf ≥ 2 . Moreover, one can readily compute the correspond-
ing consumptions; namely, Q = uf − c̄ and cm = (y + y 0 ) − uf . Fig-
ure 8.7 displays the Pareto frontier when total total income has been set
to (y + y 0 ) = 5 and the wife’s minimal consumption to c̄ = 1, so that
((y + y 0 ) + c̄) /2 = 3.
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 373
v4
0
3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.2
u
Assortativeness
The Pareto frontier just derived has a particularly tractable form. Indeed,
let us analyze the stability conditions along the lines previously described.
(y+y0 )+c̄
For v ≥ 2 , we get:
∂H (y + y 0 , v) ∂H (y + y 0 , v)
0
= v − c̄, = − (2v − (c̄ + (y + y 0 ))) (8.51)
∂ (y + y ) ∂v
implying that
∂ 2 H (y + y 0 , v) ∂ 2 H (y + y 0 , v)
2 = 0 and =1 (8.52)
∂ (y + y 0 ) ∂ (y + y 0 ) ∂v
374 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
which yields:
µ µ ¶ ¶
1 b+β 2α β + c̄α + 2αβ α+1
K= + b + c̄ − b+ (b − c̄) α
2 α 2α + 1 (α + 1) (2α + 1)
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 375
Utilities
9
1
2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4
x
FIGURE 8.8. Husband’s and Wife’s Utilities, Public Consumption and the Hus-
band’s Private Consumption
Utilities
10
2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4
x
−2 2 1
ω (v) = 1.12 (v − 1) + v− ,
3 6
while his utility is still
u = (v − 1) (2ω (v) − v)
The husband’s and the wife’s utilities for these two cases are displayed in
Figure 8.9, where couples are indexed by male income (which remains in-
variant). For α = .8, we represent, as before, the wife’s utility by a thick
line and husband’s by a dotted and thick line. Thin lines (dashed for males
and solid for females) represent u and v when α = 1. We see that the shift
of the female distribution to the right benefits both men and women. More
interesting are the spending patterns. Figure 8.10 displays public (thick)
and husband’s private (thin) consumptions, both before (solid) and after
(dashed) the shift. We see that most of the additional income is spent on
the public good; increases in the husband’s private consumption are quan-
titatively small, and tend to shrink with income. In other words, while the
husband does benefit from the increase in the wife’s income, most of his
gain stems from a higher level of public consumption (which actually ben-
efits both partners). We conclude that in this model, unlike the TU case,
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 377
Utilities
5
2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4
x
1 3 This simplifying assumption has been introduced in the context of transferable util-
ity by Choo and Siow (2006). Dagsvik(2002) considers a more general error structure in
the context of non transferable utility (e.g. an exogenous sharing rule).
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 379
ui = UIJ + αiJ
vj = VIJ + β Ij (8.57)
where
UIJ + VIJ = zIJ
Pr ( i ∈ I matched with j ∈ J)
¡ ¢
exp UI(i)J + aI(i)J xi
= P ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢,
K exp UI(i)K + aI(i)K xi + exp UI(i)0 + aI0 xi
Pr (i is single)
¡ ¢
exp UI(i)0 + aI(i)0 xi
= P ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢. (8.58)
K exp UI(i)K + aI(i)K xi + exp UI(i)0 + aI0 xi
Analogous expressions hold for women. The terms UI(i)K + aI(i)K xi rep-
resent the systematic part (excluding the unobserved εiK(j) ) of the share
that man i receives upon marriage with a woman in class K. The spouse’s
personal attributes xj and her idiosyncratic contribution εI(i)j have no di-
rect bearing on the probability of marriage, because in equilibrium they are
already captured by the unknown constants UIK . Similar remarks apply
to the probability of marriage of women. The unknown parameters con-
stants UIJ and VIJ adjust endogenously to satisfy the requirement that
the choices of men and women are consistent with each other in the sense
of market clearing.
380 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
Pr (i ∈ I is matched with j ∈ J)
ln = UIJ − UI0
Pr (i ∈ I is single)
Pr (j ∈ J is matched with i ∈ I)
ln = UIJ − UJ0 . (8.59)
Pr (j ∈ J is single)
Estimating separate multinomial logit for men and women, one can esti-
mate the utilities for each gender in a marriage of each type. Summing the
estimated utilities one can recover, for each matching of types (I, J), the
systematic output of the marriage ξ IJ (which, under the normalization that
being single yields zero utility, equals the total surplus ZIJ ). The estimated
matrix ZIJ can then be analyzed in terms of the assortative matching that
it implies. Of particular interest is whether or not this matrix is super-
modular (implying positive assortative mating) or not. As noted by Choo
and Siow (2006) and Siow (2009), in the absence of covariates the super
modularity of ZIJ is equivalent to the supermodularity of
2
(μ(I, J))
ln
σ(I)σ(J)
where μ(I, J) is the total number of type (I, J) marriages and σ(I) and
σ(J) are the number of single men and single women, respectively. Such
supermodularity requires that for all I 0 > I and J 0 > J
μ(I 0 , J 0 )μ(I, J)
ln > 0.
μ(I, J 0 )μ(I 0 , J)
Siow (2009) uses census data on married couples in the US, where the
husband and wife are 32-36 and 31-35 respectively. In each couple, the wife
and the husband can belong to one of five possible schooling classes (less
than high school, high school, some college, college and college plus). He
compares the marriage patterns in the years 1970 and 2000 and finds that
in each of the two years strict supermodularity fails to hold as in some
of the off diagonal cells, the log odds ratio is negative. Looking at the
tor, some normalization is required. A common practice is to set the utility from being
single to zero for all individuals.
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 381
whole matrix, one cannot conclude that there is more positive assortative
matching in 2000 than in 1970, although some specific local log odds have
increased over time.
Chiappori, Salanié and Weiss (2010) have extended Choo and Siow’s 2006
model by assuming that the same determinants of assortative matching
operate over a long period of time, during which the distribution of male
and female characteristics changes. In practice, their main classification
is by education level, and they exploit the remarkable increase in female
education over the last decades. In their model, while the surplus generated
by the matching of a man in class I with a woman in class J is allowed
to vary over time, the supermodular part of the surplus is not; therefore
the gains from assortative matching are assumed constant over the period.
This assumption generates strong testable predictions; interestingly, they
are not rejected by the data. In addition, one can then (over)estimate the
model; in particular, the parameters of the surplus function and their drifts
can be recovered. From these, it is possible to trace the time changes in the
common factors UIJ and VIJ driving the intrahousehold allocation of the
surplus, as well as the expected utility of each gender by education level.
Note that, as always, this utility is estimated in variations from singlehood;
it thus comes in addition to any direct benefit affecting all individuals
irrespective of their marital status.
This approach has important practical implications. Many theoretical
models suggest that education has two types of benefits. One (the so-called
‘college premium’) is collected on the labor market; it represents the wage
differential generated by a college degree, irrespective of a person’s marital
status. A second, and often omitted aspect is the impact of education on
marriage prospects (the ‘marital college premium’). An educated person
is more likely to marry an educated spouse, resulting in higher household
income and surplus; moreover, education typically boost the amount of
intra-marital surplus received by the person. This second phenomenon has
been recognized by the theoretical literature (see for instance Chiappori,
Iyigun and Weiss 2009, and also the next Chapter in this book), but its
empirical evaluation has often be perceived as elusive. The approach pro-
posed by Chiappori, Salanié and Weiss exactly addresses this issue. Using
CPS data, they show that, indeed, the marital college premium is strong,
and that it has significantly increased for women over the last decades -
which may help explaining the remarkable growth in female education over
the last decades.
Several extensions are currently being pursued. Perhaps the most promis-
ing is the explicit modeling of multidimensional matching - recognizing the
fact that, ultimately, several factors contribute to the formation of marital
surplus, hence to the matching process. The reader is referred to Galichon
and Salanié (2010) for a recent and path breaking contribution along these
lines.
382 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
• If x1 , x2.... xn are iid Gumbel variables with G(a, b) and v1 , v2, ..vn are
some constants then
v1
e b
P r{v1 + x1 ≥ max[v2 + x2 ....vn + xn ]} = P vi .
i e b
Thus, if x1 , x2.... xn are iid Gumbel variables with zero mean then
X vi
E{max[v1 + x1 , v2 + x2 ....vn + xn ]} = b ln( e b ).
i
8.6 References
[1] Akerlof, George A. and Rachel E. Kranton, ‘Economics and Identity’,
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115 (2000), 715-753.
[2] Ben-Akiva, Moshe and Steven R. Lerman ,’Discrete Choice Analy-
sis’ (MIT Press, 1985).
[3] Bately Richard ‘On Ordinal Utility Cardinal Utility and Random Util-
ity’ Theory and Decision (2008) 64:37—63 .
[4] Botticini, Maristella and Aloysius Siow, ‘Why Dowries?’, The Amer-
ican Economic Review, 93 (2003), 1385-1398.
[5] Browning, Martin and M. Gørtz, ‘Spending Time and Money Within
the Household’, unpublished manuscript, Department of Economics, Uni-
versity of Oxford (2006).
[6] Choo, Eugene and Aloysius Siow, ‘Who Marries Whom and Why’,
Journal of Political Economy, 114 (2006), 175-201.
[7] Chiappori, Pierre-Andre, Bernard Fortin and Guy Lacroix, ‘Marriage
Market, Divorce Legislation, and Household Labor Supply’, Journal of
Political Economy, 110 (2002), 37-72.
[8] Chiappori, Pierre-Andre, Murat Iyigun and Yoram Weiss, ‘Investment
in Schooling and the Marriage Market’, The American Economic
Review, forthcoming (2009).
[9] Chiappori, Pierre-Andre, Bernard Salanié and Yoram Weiss ‘Assor-
tative Matching on the Marriage Market: A Structural Investigation’
(Columbia University, Department of Economics, in progress)
384 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
[11] Edlund, Lena, ‘The Price of Marriage: Net vs. Gross Flows and the
South Asian Dowry Debate’, The Journal of the European Eco-
nomic Association, papers and proceedings, 4 (2006), 542-551.
[15] Lise, Jeremy and Shannon Seitz, ‘Consumption Inequality and Intra-
Household Allocations’, Labor and Demography, EconWPA, No.
0504001, (2005).
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Mean of predicted log wages, men Mean of predicted log wages, women
Standard Deviation of predicted log wages, men Standard Deviation of predicted log wages, women
Correlation between husband's and wife's predicted log wages Female to male ratio
FIGURE 8.11. Parameters of the predicted log wage distribution of men and
women and sex ratio, U.S. 1976-2005. Source: Current Population Surveys.
386 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
FIGURE 8.13. The surplus of married men and women in 1976, female to male
ratio = 1.045
388 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
FIGURE 8.14. The surplus of married men and women in 2005, female to male
ratio = 0.984
8. Sharing the gains from marriage 389
FIGURE 8.15. Wife’s relative share in the surplus, women are the majority
(r=1.1)
390 8. Sharing the gains from marriage
FIGURE 8.16. Wife’s relative share in the surplus, women are the majority
(r=0.9)
This is page 391
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9
Investment in Schooling and
the Marriage Market
The purpose of this chapter is to provide a simple equilibrium framework
for the joint determination of pre-marital schooling and marriage patterns
of men and women.1 Couples sort according to education and, therefore,
changes in the aggregate supply of educated individuals affects who mar-
ries whom and the division of the gains from marriage. Unlike other at-
tributes such as race and ethnic background, schooling is an acquired trait
that is subject to choice. Acquiring education yields two different returns:
First, a higher earning capacity and better job opportunities in the labor
market. Second, an improvement in the intra-marital share of the surplus
one can extract in the marriage market. Educational attainment influences
intra-marital shares by raising the prospects of marriage with an educated
spouse and thus raising household income upon marriage, and by affect-
ing the competitive strength outside marriage and the spousal roles within
marriage.
The gains from schooling within marriage strongly depend on the de-
cisions of others to acquire schooling. However, since much of schooling
happens before marriage, partners cannot coordinate their investments.
Rather, men and women make their choices separately, based on the antic-
ipation of marrying a “suitable” spouse with whom schooling investments
are expected to generate higher returns. Therefore, an equilibrium frame-
work is required to discuss the interaction between marriage and schooling.
Such a framework can address some interesting empirical issues. For in-
stance, it is well documented that the market return to schooling has risen,
especially in the second half of the 20th century. Thus, it is not surprising
that women’s demand for education has risen. What is puzzling, however,
is the different response of men and women to the changes in the returns to
schooling. Women still receive lower wages in the labor market and spend
more time at home than men, although these gaps have narrowed over
time. Hence, one could think that women should invest in schooling less
than men, because education appears to be less useful for women both at
home and in the market. In fact, while women considerably increased their
investment in education in the last four decades, men hardly responded to
the higher returns to schooling since the 1970s, eventually enabling women
2 Since the late1970s, the returns to schooling have risen steadily for men too. Still,
men’s college graduation rates have peaked for the cohort born in the mid-1940s (that
is, around the mid-1960s). And, after falling for the cohorts that followed, men’s college
graduation rates have reached a plateau for the most recent cohorts. See Goldin (1997)
and Goldin et al (2006).
3 See for instance Bergstrom et al (1986) and MacLeod and Malcomson (1993).
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 393
result, due to Peters and Siow (2002) and Iyigun and Walsh (2007), can be
illustrated on a very simple example. Consider a woman, a, and a man, b,
who live for two periods. During the first period, they each receive some
income xs (s = a, b) that they can use for direct consumption or to invest
in human capital; therefore xs = cs + is , where cs denotes consumption
and is investment. The second period income depends on the investment:
y s = φ (is ), where φ is increasing and concave. Once married, the couple
can spend its total income y a + y b on private consumptions q a and q b and
public consumption Q. Individual utilities have the form:
U s = cs + q s Q
max U a + U b = c + qQ
max
s
xs − is + us (φ (is ))
i
9.2.1 Definitions
When man i and woman j form a union, they generate some aggregate
material output ζ ij that they can divide between them and the utility of
each partner is linear in the share he\she receives (transferable utility).
Man i alone can produce ζ i0 and woman j alone can produce ζ 0j . The
396 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
zij = ζ ij − ζ i0 − ζ 0j . (9.2)
In addition, there are emotional gains from marriage and the total marital
surplus generated by a marriage of man i and woman j is
9.2.2 Assumptions
There are two equally large populations of men and women to be matched.4
Individuals live for two periods. Each person can choose whether to acquire
schooling or not and whether and whom to marry. Investment takes place
in the first period of life and marriage in the second period. Investment
in schooling is lumpy and takes one period so that a person who invests
in schooling works only in the second period, while a person who does not
invest works in both periods. To simplify, we assume no credit markets.5 All
individuals with the same schooling and of the same gender earn the same
wage rate, but wages may differ by gender. We denote the wage of educated
men by w2m and the wage of uneducated men by w1m , where w2m > w1m . The
wage of educated women is denoted by w2w and that of uneducated women
by w1w , where w2w > w1w . Market wages are taken as exogenous and we do
not attempt to analyze here the feedbacks from the marriage market and
investments in schooling to the labor market. We shall discuss, however,
different wage structures.
We denote a particular man by i and a particular woman by j. We
represent the schooling level (class) of man i by I(i) where I(i) = 1 if i is
uneducated and I(i) = 2 if he is educated. Similarly, we denote the class
of woman j by J(j) where J(j) = 1 if j is uneducated and J(j) = 2 if
she is educated. An important simplifying assumption is that the material
surplus generated by a marriage of man i and woman j depends only on
the class to which they belong. That is,
6 Because we assume away the credit market, the rate of return from schooling in-
mization of aggregate output because the utilities as singles are independent of the
assignment.
398 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
son can be either single or married to one spouse. We denote the shadow
price of woman j by uj and the shadow price of man i by vi . The comple-
mentarity slackness conditions require that
zI(i)J(j) + θi + θj ≤ vi + uj , (9.6)
with equality if i and j are married and inequality otherwise.
The complementarity slackness conditions are equivalent to
vi = M ax{M ax[zI(i)J(j) + θi + θj − uj ], 0}
j
(9.7)
uj = M ax{M ax[zI(i)J(j) + θi + θj − vi ], 0},
i
which means that the assignment problem can be decentralized. That is,
given the shadow prices uj and vi , each agent marries a spouse that yields
him\her the highest share in the marital surplus. We can then define ūj =
uj + ζ 0j and v̄i = vi + ζ i0 as the reservation utility levels that woman j
and man i require to participate in any marriage. In equilibrium, a stable
assignment is attained and each married person receives his\her reservation
utility, while each single man receives ζ i0 and each single woman receives
ζ 0j .
Our specification imposes a restrictive but convenient structure in which
the interactions between agents depend on their group affiliation only, that
is, their levels of schooling. Assuming that, in equilibrium, at least one
person in each class marries, the endogenously-determined shadow prices
of man i in I(i) and woman j in J(j) can be written in the form,
vi = M ax(VI(i) + θi , 0) and uj = M ax(UJ(j) + θj , 0) (9.8)
where
VI = M ax[zIJ − UJ ] and UJ = M ax[zIJ − VI ] (9.9)
J I
are the shares that the partners receive from the material surplus of the
marriage (not accounting for the idiosyncratic effects θi and θj ). All agents
of a given type receive the same share of the material surplus zIJ no matter
whom they marry, because all the agents on the other side rank them in the
same manner. Any man (woman) of a given type who asks for a higher share
than the “going rate” cannot obtain it because he (she) can be replaced by
an equivalent alternative.
Although we assume equal numbers of men and women in total, it is
possible that the equilibrium numbers of educated men and women will
differ. We shall assume throughout that there are some uneducated men
who marry uneducated women and some educated men who marry edu-
cated women. This means that the equilibrium shares must satisfy
U2 + V2 = z22 (9.10)
U1 + V1 = z11 (9.11)
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 399
We can then classify the possible matching patterns as follows: under strict
positive assortative mating, educated men marry only educated women and
uneducated men marry only uneducated women. Then,
U1 + V2 ≥ z21 , (9.12)
U2 + V1 ≥ z12 . (9.13)
If there are more educated men than women among the married, some
educated men will marry uneducated women and condition 9.12 also will
hold as equality. If there are more educated women than men among the
married, equation 9.13 will hold as equality. It is impossible that all four
conditions will hold as equalities because this would imply
which violates assumption 9.5 that the education levels of the spouses are
complements. Thus, either educated men marry uneducated women or ed-
ucated women marry uneducated men but not both.
When types mix and there are more educated men than educated women
among the married, conditions 9.10, 9.11 and 9.12 imply
If there are more educated women than men among the married, then
conditions 9.10, 9.11 and 9.13 imply
8 The total return from schooling in terms of the output that men receive is Rm if
they remain single and Rm + V2 − V1 if they marry. Similarly, the total return from
schooling in terms of the output that women receive is Rw if they remain single and
Rw + U2 − U1 if they marry.
400 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
Figure 9.1 describes the choices made by different men. Men for whom θ <
−V2 do not marry and invest in schooling if and only if μ < Rm ≡ ζ 20 −2ζ 10 .
Men for whom θ > −V1 always marry and they invest in schooling if and
only if μ < Rm + V2 − V1 . Finally, men for whom −V2 < θ < −V1 marry if
they acquire education and do not marry if they do not invest in schooling.
These individuals will acquire education if μ < Rm + V2 + θ. In this range,
there are two motives for schooling: to raise future earning capacity and to
enhance marriage. We shall assume that the variability in θ and μ is large
enough to ensure that all these regions are non-empty in an equilibrium
with positive VI and UJ . In particular, we assume that, irrespective of
marital status, there are some men and women who prefer not to invest in
schooling and some men and women who prefer to invest in schooling. That
is, μmax > max[Rm +z22 −z12 , Rw +z22 −z21 ] and μmin < min[Rm , Rw ]. We
shall also assume that θmin < −z22 so that, irrespective of the education
decision, there are some individuals who wish not to marry. Note, finally,
that because the support of F (.) extends into the positive range, there are
always some educated men and women who marry and some uneducated
men and women who marry.
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 401
The higher are the returns from schooling in the labor market, Rm , and in
marriage, V2 −V1 , the higher is the proportion of men who acquire schooling.
A common increase in the levels V2 and V1 also raises investment because
it makes marriage more attractive and schooling obtains an extra return
within marriage. For the same reason, an increase in the market return Rm
raises the proportion of men that marry. Analogous expressions hold for
women.
9.2.5 Equilibrium
In the marriage market equilibrium, the numbers of men and women who
marry must be the same. Using equation 9.20 and applying symmetry, we
can write this condition as
ZV2 ZU2
F (V1 )+ G(R +V2 −θ)f (θ)dθ = F (U1 )+ G(Rw +U2 −θ)f (θ)dθ. (9.22)
m
V1 U1
Under strictly positive assortative mating, the numbers of men and women
in each education group are equal. Given that we impose condition 9.22, it
is necessary and sufficient to require that the numbers of men and women
who marry but do not invest in schooling are the same. Using condition
9.21 and symmetry, we can derive this condition as
and educated women receive their maximal return from marriage while
men receive their minimal return so that condition 9.15 holds. Conversely,
if there are more educated women than men among the married, we have
and educated men receive their maximal return from marriage while ed-
ucated women receive their minimal return so that condition 9.16 holds.
Together with conditions 9.10 and 9.11, we have four equations in four un-
knowns that are again, in principle, solvable. For a proof of existence and
uniqueness see the Appendix.
The two types of solutions are described in Figures 9.2 and 9.3, where we
depict the equilibrium conditions in terms of V1 and V2 after we eliminate
U1 and U2 using 9.10 and 9.11. The two positively-sloped and parallel lines
in these figures describe the boundaries on the returns to schooling of men
within marriage. The negatively-sloped red line describes the combinations
of V1 and V2 that maintain equality in the numbers of men and women who
wish to marry. The positively-sloped blue line describes the combinations
of V1 and V2 that maintain equality in the numbers of men and women that
acquire no schooling and marry. The slopes of these lines are determined
by the following considerations: An increase in V1 (and a reduction in U1 ),
keeping V2 and U2 constant, induces more men and fewer women to prefer
marriage. An increase in V2 holding V1 constant has a similar effect. Thus,
V1 and V2 are substitutes in terms of their impact on the incentives of
men to marry and U1 and U2 are substitutes in terms of their impact on
the incentives of women to marry. Therefore, equality in the numbers of
men and women who wish to marry can be maintained only if V2 declines
when V1 rises. At the same time, an increase in V1 (and a reduction in U1 ),
keeping V2 and U2 constant, increases the number of men that would not
invest and marry and reduces the number of women who wish to acquire
no schooling and marry. Therefore, equality in the numbers of uneducated
men and women who wish to marry can be maintained only if V2 rises
when V1 rises so that the rates of return to education within marriage are
restored.
As long as the model is completely symmetric, that is Rm = Rw and
z12 = z21 , the equilibrium is characterized by equal sharing: V2 = U2 =
z22 /2 and U1 = V1 = z11 /2. With these shares, men and women have iden-
tical investment incentives. Hence, the number of educated (uneducated)
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 403
men equals the number of educated (uneducated) women, both among the
singles and the married. Such a solution is described by point e in Figure
9.2, where the lines satisfying conditions 9.22 and 9.23 intersect. There
is a unique symmetric equilibrium. However, with asymmetry, when ei-
ther Rm 6= Rw or z12 6= z21 , there may be a mixed equilibrium where
the line representing condition 9.22 intersects either the lower or upper
bound on V2 − V1 so that condition 9.23 holds as an inequality. Such a case
is illustrated by the point e0 in Figure 9.3. In this equilibrium, educated
men obtain the lower bound on their return to education within marriage,
z21 −z11 . The equilibrium point e0 is on the lower bound and above the blue
line satisfying condition 9.23, indicating excess supply of educated men.
ZV2 ZU2
rF (V1 ) + r G(R + V2 − θ)f (θ)dθ = F (U1 ) + G(Rw + U2 − θ)f (θ)dθ.
m
V1 U1
(9.24)
Efficiency
We can now demonstrate that in our model individuals’ pre-marital in-
vestments are efficient. Consider, first, a mixed equilibrium in which some
married men are more educated than their wives and consider a particular
couple (i, j) such that the husband is educated and the wife is not. The
question is whether by coordination this couple could have gained by, for
example, changing investments and allowing redistribution between them.
If woman j had gotten educated, the partners together would have gained
ζ 22 − ζ 21 in terms of marital output but the cost of schooling for woman
j would have been her forgone earnings in the first period ζ 01 plus her
idiosyncratic non-monetary cost, μj . The couple would gain from such a
shift only if μj + ζ 01 < ζ 22 − ζ 21 or, equivalently,
μj > M ax(U2 +θj , 0)−U1 −θj +Rw ≥ U2 −U1 +Rw = z22 −z21 +Rw . (9.27)
μi < Rm +V2 +θi −M ax(V1 +θi , 0) ≤ V2 −V1 +Rm = z21 −z11 +Rm . (9.29)
So, again, we have a contradiction, implying that there is no joint net gain
from such a rearrangement of investment choices. Similar arguments hold
if we consider a mixed equilibrium in which some educated women marry
uneducated men.
Next, consider a strictly assortative equilibrium and a married couple
(i, j) such that neither spouse is educated. Could this couple have been
better off had the partners coordinated their educational investments so
that they both had acquired education? This would be profitable if the
joint gain ζ 22 − ζ 11 in terms of marital output exceeds the total costs of
the two partners ζ 01 + ζ 10 + μj +μi . That is, if
But, by assumption, man i and woman j married and did not invest, im-
plying that
μj > U2 − U1 + Rw , (9.31)
μi > V2 − V1 + Rm .
• In the labor market, women may receive lower wages than men; this
could lower the schooling return for working women.
• In marriage, women may be required to take care of the children; this
would lower the schooling return for married women.
Either of the above causes can induce women to invest less in schooling.
Therefore, the lower incentives of women to invest can create equilibria
take as given the actions of others rather than the expected shares (as in a market
game). In this case, inefficiency can persist even as the number of agents approaches
infinity. The reason is that agents play mixed strategies that impose on other agents
the risk of being matched with an uneducated spouse, leading to under-investment in
schooling.
406 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
with mixing, where educated men are in excess supply and some of them
marry less-educated women.
To illustrate these effects we shall perform several comparative statics
exercises, starting from a benchmark equilibrium with strictly positive as-
sortative matching, resulting from a complete equality between the sexes
in wages and household roles such that w1m = w1w = w1 , w2m = w2w = w2
and τ = 0.
M ax ci ei (9.35)
ei ,ci
subject to
m
ci + ei = wI(i) , (9.36)
m
and his optimal behavior generates a utility level of ζ i0 = (wI(i) /2)2 . A
single woman j solves an analogous problem and obtains ζ 0j = (wJ(j) /2)2 .
w
Therefore, the total marital surplus generated by the marriage in the sec-
ond period is
m w
[wI(i) + τ γ + (1 − τ )wJ(j) ]2 − (wI(i)
m 2 w
) − (wJ(j) )2
sij = + θi + θj
4
≡ zI(i)J(j) + θi + θj . (9.37)
The surplus of a married couple arises from the fact that married partners
jointly consume the public good. If the partners have no children and τ = 0,
the gains arise solely from the pecuniary expenditures on the public good.
In this case, the surplus function is symmetric in the wages of the two
spouses. If the couple has a child, however, and the mother takes care of it,
then the mother’s contribution to the household is a weighted average of her
market wage and productivity at home. We assume that w2w > γ > w1w so
that having children is costly for educated women but not for uneducated
women. The surplus function in (9.37) maintains complementarity between
the wages of the husband and wife, which is a consequence of sharing the
public good. However, the assumed asymmetry in household roles between
men and women implies that a higher husband’s wage always raises the
surplus but a higher mother’s wage can reduce the surplus. In other words,
it may be costly for a high-wage woman to marry and have a child because
she must spend time on child care, while if the mother does not marry, her
2
utility as a single remains wJ(j) /4. In addition, it is no longer true that
13
z21 = z12 .
Since we have assumed here that, due to social norms, all the time pro-
vided at home is supplied by the mother, all the gains from marriage arise
from sharing a public good and the wages of the partners complement each
other so that z11 + z22 > z12 + z21 . In later sections, we discuss endogenous
specialization whereby couples act efficiently and the partner with lower
wage works at home. For sufficiently low time requirements, that is, τ close
to 0, complementarity continues to hold. However, for τ close to 1, the
wages of the two partners become substitutes, that is, z11 + z22 < z12 + z21 ,
because wage differentials between spouses increase the gain from special-
ization (see Becker, 1991, ch. 2). Thus, whether couples act efficiently or
according to norms influences the equilibrium patterns of assortative mat-
ing.14
1 3 For instance, when the wages of men and women are equal but τ > 0, we have
τ (w2 − w1 ) w2 + w1
z21 − z12 = [(1 − τ ) + τ γ] > 0.
2 2
1 4 Forfixed household roles, the second cross derivative of the surplus function with
respect to wages is positive, implying complementarity. But with endogenous household
roles, the relevant measure of complementarity is embedded in the maximized marital
gains that can change discontinuously as household roles change. Suppose that w2m >
w2w > w1m . Let
ings and the only return is higher future earnings, uniform discrimination has no impact
on investment. In this model, however, the absolute market returns are added to the
returns within marriage, which together determine investment decisions (see equations
(16) and (17)). Therefore, the absolute market returns to schooling matter in our model.
410 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
riage, V2 −V1 and U2 −U1 , are equal. Hence, men and women have the same
incentives to invest. But because the material surplus (and consequently
utilities within marriage) of educated men and women, z22 /2, declines with
τ , while the material surplus of uneducated men and women, z11 /2, rises,
both men and women will reduce their investments in schooling by the
same degree.
As τ rises further, the difference in the contributions of men and women
to marriage can rise to the extent that an educated man contributes to
a marriage with uneducated woman more than an educated woman con-
tributes to a marriage with an educated man.17 That is,
Condition (9.40) implies that the lower bound on the return to schooling
that men receive within marriage exceeds the upper bound on the return to
schooling that women receive within marriage. In this event, the symmetric
equilibrium in Figure 9.5 is eliminated and instead there is a mixed equi-
librium with some educated men marrying uneducated women (point e0 in
Figure 9.5). This outcome reflects the lower incentive of educated women to
enter marriage and the stronger incentive of men to invest because their re-
turn from schooling within marriage, V2 −V1 = z21 −z11 , exceeds the return
to schooling that women can obtain within marriage. Consequently, some
educated men must “marry down” and match with uneducated women.
h1 (γ, γ, τ ) = −4γτ ,
h2 (γ, γ, τ ) = 4γτ .
Therefore, for a positive τ , w1 slightly below γ and w2 slightly above γ, h(w1 , w2 , τ ) > 0.
Also
h3 (w1 , w2 , τ ) = (w2 − w1 )[w2 (4 − 2τ ) + 2τ (2γ − w1 )] > 0
and for all w2 > γ > w1 , h(w1 , w2 , 0) < 0 and h(w1 , w2 , 1) > 0. Hence, the larger is τ
the broader will be the range in which h(w1 , w2 , 0) > 0.
412 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
1 8 Related papers that emphasize the dual-feedback mechanism between the intensity
of home work and labor market wages are Albanesi and Olivetti ( 2009) and Chichilnisky
(2005).
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 413
advance and change in norms on the rise in female participation. Mulligan and Rubin-
stein (2008) emphasize the role of higher rewards for ability (reflected in the general
increase in wage inequality) in drawing married women of high ability into the labor
market.
414 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
2 0 Because the marital surplus matrix, z , also changes, the equilibrium curves did
IJ
not shift up. In fact, for the parameters of Figure 9.6, there is a range over which the
equilibrium line representing market-clearing in the marriage market shifts down. This,
however, has no bearing on the equilibrium outcome.
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 415
cause higher marriage rates. To calibrate the model, we assume that the
variance in the preference for marriage rises over time which, other things
being the same, reduces the propensity to marry. We thus assume that in
both periods μ is distributed over the interval [−4, 4], while θ is distributed
over the intervals [−4, 4] and [−8, 8] in the old and the new regimes,
respectively. It is important to note that the shift in the distribution of
θ has no impact on the equilibrium surplus shares, which are our main
concern. However, it changes the proportion of individuals who invest and
marry given these shares. Table 9.1 reflects these assumptions.
Old regime
New Regime
Old regime
Uneducated Educated
Men V1 = .76 V2 = 1.68
Women U1 = 1.57 U2 = 1.09
New Regime
Uneducated Educated
Men V1 = 1.13 V2 = 2.88
Women U1 = 1.20 U2 = 2.78
Compared with the old regime, educated women receive a higher share
of the marital surplus in the new regime, while uneducated women receive
a lower share. These changes reflect the higher (lower) contributions to
marriage of educated (uneducated) women. The marital surplus shares of
both educated and uneducated men rise as a consequence of the rising
productivity of their wives.
The implied returns from schooling within marriage in the old regime
are
That is, men receive the lower bound on their return from schooling within
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 417
marriage while women receive the upper bound on their return from school-
ing. This pattern is reversed in the new regime:
where women receive their lower bound and men receive their upper bound.
Both men and women receive a higher return from schooling within mar-
riage in the new regime, reflecting the increased efficiency although the rise
for women is much sharper.
Table 9.4: Impact of parameter changes on the investment and marriage rates∗
Old Regime
New Regime
∗ First and second entries in each cell refer to men and women resp.
In the old regime, more men invest in schooling than women and some
educated men marry down to match with uneducated women. This pat-
tern is reversed in the new regime and women invest in schooling more
than men and some educated women marry down to join uneducated men.
That is, women increase their investment in schooling more than men. Al-
though market returns have risen for both men and women, the returns for
schooling within marriage have risen substantially more for women. The
basic reason for that is the release of married women from the obligation
to spend most of their time at home, due to the reduction in the time re-
quirement of child care and the change in norms that allow educated women
who are married to uneducated men to enter the labor market. Uneducated
men gain a higher share in the surplus in all marriages because of their new
opportunity to marry educated women, while uneducated women lose part
of their share in the marital surplus in all marriages because they no longer
418 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
marry educated men. Notice that the proportion of educated women who
remain single declines from .215/.550 = 0.39 to 226/.816 = 0.28 in the new
regime. In contrast, the proportion of educated men who marry remains
roughly the same, 0.153/0.606 = 0.28 and 0.207/0.784 = 0.26 in the old
and new regimes, respectively. This gender difference arises because, under
the old regime, women were penalized in marriage by being forced to work
at home.
We can use these examples to discuss the impact of norms. To begin
with, suppose that in the old regime couples acted efficiently and, if the
wife was more educated than her husband, she went to work full time and
the husband engaged in child care. Comparing Tables 9.2 and 9.5, we see
that the impact of such a change on the surplus matrix is only through the
rise in z12 . Because women receive lower wages than men at all levels of
schooling, the household division of labor is not affected by the norms for
couples with identically educated spouses; for all such couples, the husband
works in the market and the wife takes care of the child. However, the norm
does affect the division of labor for couples among whom the wife has a
higher education level than her husband. This is due to our assumptions
that educated women have a higher wage than uneducated men in the
labor market and their market wage exceeds their productivity at home.
In contrast to the case in which the mother always works at home, we
see in Table 9.5 that the education levels now become substitutes, namely
z11 + z22 < z12 + z21 , implying that we can no longer assume that there will
be some educated men married to educated women and some uneducated
men married to uneducated women. More specifically, an educated woman
contributes more to an uneducated man than she does to an educated man
(that is z12 − z11 > z22 − z21 ) so that uneducated men can bid away the
educated women from educated men. Thus changes in norms can influence
the patterns of assortative mating.
Consider, next, the possibility that the norms persist also in the new
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 419
regime and the mother must work at home even if she is more educated
than her husband. Again, the norm bites only in those marriages in which
the wife is more educated than the husband. In the new regime, positive
assortative mating persists independently of the norms. However, the mix-
ing equilibrium in which some educated women marry uneducated men is
replaced by strict assortative mating in which educated men marry only ed-
ucated women and uneducated men marry only uneducated women. Thus,
again, norms can have a qualitative impact on the type of equilibrium that
emerges.
The new marriage and investment patterns are presented in the lower
panel of Table 9.6. The main difference is that educated women are less
likely to marry when the norms require them to work at home, where they
are relatively less efficient.
Table 9.6: Impact of norms on investment and marriage rates (new regime)∗
∗ The first and second entry in each cell refer to men and women resp.
Consider, finally, the impact on the shares in the material surplus when
norms are replaced by an efficient allocation in the new regime (see Table
9.7). The removal of social norms that the wife must work at home benefits
uneducated men and harms uneducated women. This example illustrates
the differences between the predictions of general equilibrium models with
frictionless matching, like the one we present here, and partial equilibrium
models that rely on bargaining. The latter would predict that no woman
would lose from the removal of norms that forces women in general to stay
at home and take care of the child, but as this example demonstrates, the
market equilibrium can change and uneducated women are hurt because
they can no longer marry with educated men.
420 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
Table 9.7: Impact of norms on the equilibrium shares in the new regime
Uneducated Educated
Men V1 = 1.13 V2 = 2.89
Women U1 = 1.20 U2 = 2.78
9.5 Conclusions
In standard models of human capital, individuals invest in schooling with
the anticipation of being employed at a higher future wage that would com-
pensate them for the current foregone earnings. This chapter added another
consideration: the anticipation of being married to a spouse with whom
one can share consumption and coordinate work activities. Schooling has
an added value in this context because of complementarity between agents,
whereby the contribution of the agents’ schooling to marital output rises
with the schooling of his\her spouse. In the frictionless marriage market
considered here, the matching pattern is fully predictable and supported
by a unique distribution of marital gains between partners. Distribution
is governed by competition because for each agent, there exists a perfect
substitute that can replace him\her in marriage. There is thus no scope for
bargaining and, therefore, premarital investments are efficient.
We mentioned two interrelated causes that may have diminish the incen-
tives of women to invest in schooling in the past: lower market wages and
larger amount of household work. With time, the requirement for wives
to stay at home have relaxed and discrimination nay have decreased too
but probably not to the same extent21 . Although we did not fully specify
the sources of discrimination against women in the market, we noted that
such discrimination tends to decline with schooling, which strengthens the
incentive of women to invest in schooling. This is a possible explanation for
the slightly higher investment in schooling by women that we observe to-
day. We do not view this outcome as a permanent phenomenon but rather
as a part of an adjustment process, whereby women who now enter the la-
bor market in increasing numbers, following technological changes at home
2 1 Whether discrimination has declined is debated; see Mulligan and Rubinstein (2008).
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 421
and in the market that favor women, must be “armed” with additional
schooling to overcome norms and beliefs that originate in the past.
We should add that there are other possible reasons for why women
may invest in schooling more than men. One reason is that there are more
women than men in the marriage market at the relatively young ages at
which schooling is chosen, because women marry younger. Iyigun and Walsh
(2007) have shown, using a similar model to the one discussed here, that in
such a case women will be induced to invest more than men in competition
for the scarce males. Another reason is that divorce is more harmful to
women, because men are more likely to initiate divorce when the quality of
match is revealed to be low. This asymmetry is due to the higher income
of men and the usual custody arrangements (see Chiappori and Weiss,
2007). In such a case, women may use schooling as an insurance device
that mitigates their costs from unwanted divorce.
422 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
9.6 References
[1] Albanesi, Stefania and Claudia Olivetti, ‘Home Production, Market
Production and the Gender Wage Gap: Incentives and Expectations’,
Review of Economic Dynamics, 12 (2009), 80—107.
[4] Behrman, Jere R., ‘Mother’s Schooling and Child Education: A Survey’,
PIER Working Paper No. 97-025, (1997).
[8] Cole, Harold Linh, Mailath, George J., and Andrew Postlewaite, ‘Ef-
ficient Non-Contractible Investments in Finite Economies’, Journal of
Economic Theory, 101 (2001), 333-373.
[9] Dougherty, Christopher, ‘Why Are the Returns to Schooling Higher for
Women than for Men?’, Journal of Human Resources, 40 (2005),
969-988.
[10] Felli, Leonardo and Kevin W.S. Roberts, ‘Does Competition Solve the
Hold-Up Problem?’, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3535, (2002).
[12] Glewwe, Paul, ‘Why Does Mother’s Schooling Raise Child Health in
Developing Countries? Evidence from Morocco’, The Journal of Hu-
man Resources, 34 (1999), 124-159.
[13] Goldin, Claudia, ‘Career and Family: College Women Look at the
Past’, in Blau, Francine D., (eds.) and Ehrenberg, Ronald G., (eds.),
Gender and Family Issues in the Workplace, (New York, Russell
Sage Foundation, 1997).
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 423
[14] Goldin, Claudia, Katz, Lawrence F. and Ilyana Kuziemko, ‘The Home-
coming of American College Women: The Reversal of the College Gender
Gap’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 20 (2006), 133-156.
[17] Iyigun, Murat and Randall P. Walsh, ‘Building the Family Nest: Pre-
marital Investments, Marriage Markets, and Spousal Allocations’, Re-
view of Economic Studies, 74 (2007), 507-535.
[18] Lommerud, Kjell Erik and Steinar Vagstad, ‘Mommy Tracks and Pub-
lic Policy: On Self-Fulfilling Prophecies and Gender Gaps in Promotion’,
CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2378, (2000).
[22] Shapley, Lloyd and Martin Shubik, ‘The Assignment Game 1: The
Core’, International Journal of Game Theory, 1 (1972), 111-130.
424 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
ZV2
Ψ(V1 , V2 ) ≡ F (V1 ) + G(Rm + V2 − θ)f (θ)dθ (A1)
V1
Z−V2
z22
Zz22
Ψ(0, 0) = F (0) − F (z11 ) − G(Rw + z22 − θ)f (θ)dθ < 0 (A2)
z11
and that
Zz22
Ψ (z11 , z22 ) ≡ F (z11 ) − F (0) + G(Rm + z22 − θ)f (θ)dθ > 0 , (A3)
z11
since z11 > 0 implies that F (z11 ) − F (0) > 0. By continuity, we conclude
that there exists a set of couples (V1 , V2 ) for which Ψ (V1 , V2 ) = 0.
In addition, we have
∂Ψ(V1 , V2 )
= f (V1 )[1 − G(Rm + V2 − V1 )]
∂V1
(A4)
w
+ f (z11 − V1 )[1 − G(R + z22 − z11 − (V2 − V1 )] > 0
and
∂Ψ(V1 , V2 )
= G(Rm )f (V2 ) + G(Rw )f (z22 − V2 )]
∂V2
(A5)
ZV2 ZU2
+ g(Rm + V2 − θ)f (θ)dθ + g(Rw + U2 − θ)f (θ)dθ > 0 .
V1 U1
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 425
∂A (V, X)
= −F (V ) g (Rm + X)−F (z11 − V ) g (Rw − z11 + z22 − X) < 0,
∂X
(A11)
the equation A (V, X) = 0 defines X as some increasing function φ of V .
Therefore,
Ω (V1 , V2 ) = A (V1 , V2 − V1 ) = 0 (A12)
gives
V2 = V1 + φ (V1 ) , (A13)
0
where φ (V ) > 0. Thus in the (V1 , V2 ) plane, the slope of the Ω (V1 , V2 ) = 0
curve is always more than 1. In particular, the curve must intersect the
decreasing curve Ψ (V1 , V2 ) = 0, and this intersection (V1∗ , V2∗ ) is unique.
Finally, stability requires that
U1 + V2 ≥ z21 and U2 + V1 ≥ z12 (A14)
426 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
and
z12 − z11 ≤ U2 − U1 ≤ z22 − z21 . (A16)
Three cases are thus possible:
1. If z21 − z11 ≤ V2∗ − V1∗ ≤ z22 − z12 , then (V1∗ , V2∗ ) is the unique equi-
librium (see figure A.1).
2. If z21 − z11 > V2∗ − V1∗ , then the unique equilibrium (see figure A.2)
is such that
3. Finally, if V2∗ −V1∗ > z22 −z12 , then the unique equilibrium (see figure
A.3) is such that
b Marriage, no
No marriage, investment
no investment
Rm + V2 −V1
Rm
−V2 −V1 θ
Marriage and
investment
Investment,
no marriage
V2
z22
e
z22
2
Lower bound
z21 − z11
z11 z11 V1
2
V2
z22
Upper bound
z22
2 Uneducated married men=
e' Uneducated married women
z22 − z12
Lower bound
z21 − z11
z11 z11 V1
2
FIGURE 9.3. Mixed Equilibrium with More Educated Men than Educated
Women
432 9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market
V2
z22
Upper bound
Lower bound
e
z22
2
z22 − z12
Married men=Married women
e'
z21 − z11
z11 z11 V1
2
FIGURE 9.4. The Impact of an Increase in the Wage of Educated Men Combined
with a Reduction in the Wage of Educated Women
9. Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market 433
V2
z22
z '22
Upper bound
Lower bound
e
z22
2
z '21 − z '11
z21 − z11
V2
z '22
z22
Upper bound
e ''
e'
z '22 − z '12
z '21 − z '11
z '11 z11 V1
FIGURE 9.6. The Impact of a Decrease in the Wife’s Work at Home Combined
with an Increase in the Wage of Educated Women
This is page 435
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10
An equilibrium model of
marriage, fertility and divorce
This chapter provides a simple model of the marriage market that includes
fertility, divorce and remarriage and addresses some of the basic issues
associated with the higher turnover in the marriage market. For this pur-
pose, we introduce search frictions, heterogeneity and unexpected shocks
to match quality. The model is simple enough to identify the welfare im-
plication of increasing turnover. The main result is that the prospects of
remarriage generate multiple equilibria due to a positive feedback whereby
a higher aggregate divorce rate facilitates remarriage, which, in turn, raises
the incentives of each couple to divorce. Moreover, when multiple equilib-
ria exist, an equilibrium with higher divorce and remarriage rates generates
higher expected welfare for all participants in the marriage market. This
is a direct outcome of the positive search externalities that are embedded
in the model. The main lesson is that a high aggregate divorce rate can be
beneficial because it facilitates the recovery from negative shocks to match
quality, allowing couples to replace bad marriages by better ones. Related
papers are Aiyagari et al (2000), Brien et al (2006) and Chiappori and
Weiss (2006).
θ ≥ −Y. (10.1)
Z∞
W1,n (θ) = 2Y +θ−nc+ (2Y +nq ∗ +θ+ε)f (ε)dε+F (hn −θ)V2,n . (10.7)
hn −θ
Differentiating W1,n (θ) with respects to θ yields (details are given in the
appendix):
∂W1,n
= 2 − F (hn − θ). (10.8)
∂θ
That expected utility is increasing in the quality of match is intuitively
clear, because a couple with high θ can always replicate the divorce and
remarriage decisions of a couple with low θ. The value of marrying without
children, W1,0 (θ), and the value of marrying with children, W1,1 (θ), are
continuous, increasing and convex functions of θ. A person who chooses
not to marry at the beginning of the first period has expected lifetime
utility given by:
V1 = Y + V2,0 . (10.9)
This maximum function inherits the properties of the individual W1,n func-
tions; that is, it is continuous, increasing and convex in θ. Because the val-
ues of marriage with and without children both rise with θ, the decision
whether to marry has the form of a stopping rule. That is, couples will
marry if and only if θ ≥ θm , where θm is determined by the condition
10. An equilibrium model of marriage, fertility and divorce 439
∂W1,n ∂V1
= (Y + β)F (hn − θ) < Y + β = . (10.11)
∂p ∂p
It is also the case that the critical value for having children, θc , rises with
the probability of remarriage, p, implying that a couple will be less inclined
to have children when p is higher. This follows because childless couples
are more likely to divorce and therefore the positive impact of p on couples
∂W ∂W
without children is stronger, ∂p1,0 > ∂p1,1 ; see the appendix.
1 We are here implicitly assuming that the support of θ is wide enough so that some
Summary
We have identified two basic forces that guide marriage, divorce, and fer-
tility choices: individual circumstances, represented here by θ and ε and
market forces represented here by p. Couples who drew a good match qual-
ity upon meeting are more willing to marry and to invest in children because
they expect the marriage to be more stable. High turnover in the marriage
market has the opposite effect; it discourages marriage and investment in
children, because of the higher risk of divorce. These two forces interact and
reinforce each other. If individuals expect high turnover, they invest less
in children and are therefore more likely to divorce, which raises turnover.
High turnover can raise the probability of divorce even in the absence of
children because partners are more willing to break a marriage when the
prospects for remarriage are good.
10.1.2 Aggregation
We can now aggregate over couples with different realizations of θ and de-
fine the aggregate rate of divorce (per number of individuals in the cohort)
assuming that the cost of children is large enough so that θc > θm .
Zθc Z∞
d= F (h0 − θ)g(θ)dθ + F (h1 − θ)g(θ)dθ. (10.12)
θm θc
10.1.3 Equilibrium
Equilibrium is defined by the condition that the value of p that individu-
als expect is the same as the aggregate number of singles implied by the
10. An equilibrium model of marriage, fertility and divorce 441
The expectation is taken at the beginning of the first period prior to any
meeting, when the quality of prospective matches is yet unknown. An equi-
librium with a higher number of unattached individuals at the beginning
of the second period will generally have less marriages, more divorces and
fewer couples with children. Despite these apparently negative features,
equilibria with higher p are in fact Pareto superior, because of the better
option for couples who suffered a bad shock to their first marriage to re-
∂W
cover by forming a new marriage. To see this, note that by (10.11), ∂p1,n
and ∂V∂p are positive, implying that an increase in p causes an increase in
1
equilibrium value for p. However, it is still true that all couples, including
couples with children, will be better off in an equilibrium with a higher p
if multiple equilibria exist.
10.2 An Example
We now introduce a simple example with multiple equilibria and discuss
their properties. Assume that ε takes only two values, −a and +a with equal
probability, while θ is¡distributed
¢ uniformly on [−b, b]. For this example,
we assume that 2a > q ∗ − q 0 ; that is, the variance of the match quality
shock is large relative to the loss for children from divorce, so that even
couples with children may divorce if the revised quality of their match is
low enough.
The expected utility profile if marriage takes place, conditional on having
children or not (n = 0, 1), is:
⎧
⎪
⎪ 3Y + θ + p(Y + β) + n(q 0 − c)
⎪
⎪ if − b ≤ θ < hn − a
⎪
⎪
⎨ 0 ∗
W1,n (θ) =
7Y
2 + 2 + p(Y2+β) + a2 + n( q2 + q2 − c)
3θ
(10.17)
⎪
⎪ if hn − a ≤ θ ≤ hn + a
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ 4Y + 2θ + n(q ∗ − c)
⎩
if hn + a < θ ≤ b
For a given n and conditional on marriage, couples who draw θ such that
θ + a < hn will divorce for sure at the end of the first period.2 Couples
who draw θ such that θ − a > hn will stay married for sure (if they marry).
Couples who draw θ in the intermediate range hn − a ≤ θ ≤ hn + a
will divorce if the shock is negative and remain married otherwise. Using
equations (10.4) and (10.9), the value of not marrying in the first period is
given by:
V1 = 2Y + p(Y + β) (10.18)
which is independent of θ.
We now wish to identify the points θm and θc that trigger marriage
and having children, respectively. For this purpose, it is useful to inspect
Figure 10.2, in which we plot W1,0 (θ), W1,1 (θ) and V1 .3 Note that the
kinks in W1,0 (θ) always appear at higher values of θ than the kinks in
W1,1 (θ). This happens because the expected gains from divorce are higher
for couples without children, h0 − h1 = q ∗ − q 0 > 0. It can be seen that an
2 Marriage followed by certain divorce can occur if the gains from joint consumption
are sufficiently large to offset the low quality of the current match (Y + θ > 0).
3 In this figure we have h + a > h − a. This follows from the assumption that
1 0
2a > q ∗ − q 0 .
10. An equilibrium model of marriage, fertility and divorce 443
intersection of the two curves can occur only in the intervals [h1 − a, h0 − a]
or [h1 + a, h0 + a]. Moreover, it can be verified that if the costs from having
∗ 0
children are relatively high, that is, q ∗ > c > q +q
2 , then the only possible
intersection is in the region [h1 + a, h0 + a]; see the appendix for a proof.4
We obtain θc by equating W1,0 (θ) for the intermediate region (h0 − a <
θ < h0 + a) with W1,1 (θ) for θ > h1 + a. This gives:
4 The interested readers may try the case with low costs of children, see appendix.
444 10. An equilibrium model of marriage, fertility and divorce
Because in this particular example, the reservation rules for marriage and
for having children are linear functions of p we obtain under the assumption
that G(.) is uniform that U (θm (p), θc (p)) is also a piecewise linear function
of p. Consequently multiple equilibria can arise. Within the confines of our
example, multiple equilibria occur only if there is not too much heterogene-
ity in the quality of match. We therefore choose a relatively small b and
obtain Figure 10.3. As seen in this figure, there are three equilibria at p = 0,
at p = 0.25 and at p = 0.5. Details of these three equilibria are presented
in Table 10.1. In all three equilibria, everyone marries whomever they meet
(this holds in both periods5 ), but the higher is the equilibrium level of p,
the lower is the proportion of families that choose to have children and
the higher is the proportion that divorces. At the low equilibrium, where
everyone expects a remarriage rate of p = 0, all couples have children and
no one divorces. This implies that there will be no singles in the second
period, which justifies the expectations. At the equilibrium in which every-
one expects a remarriage rate of p = 0.25, half of the couples have children
and, of those who do not have children, half divorce upon the occurrence
of a bad shock. This implies that at the beginning of the second period, a
quarter of the population will be single, which justifies the expected remar-
riage rate. At the equilibrium with p = 0.5, no couple has children and half
of them divorce upon the realization of a bad shock so, in this case too, ex-
pectations are realized. Thus, all three equilibria share the basic property
that expectations are fulfilled. However, the intermediate equilibrium at
p = 0.25 is not stable with respect to an arbitrary change in expectations.
That is, if the expected remarriage rate, p, rises (declines) slightly then the
aggregate number of singles U (θm (p), θc (p)) rises (declines) too.6
For these examples, one can easily calculate the equilibrium value of ex
ante welfare, W1 (see equation (10.16)). If p = 0.5, W1,0 (θ) is the highest
for all θ, implying that all couples marry, have no children and divorce with
Note that, despite the lower value of being unattached for the two spouses,
a poor couple is more likely to divorce, because the current marriage is less
attractive.
In a mixed couple, type h will wish to divorce if
Y h + Y l + θ < Y h + αy,
which is the same as condition (10.27), while type l will wish to divorce if
Y h + Y l + θ < Y l + αy,
which is the same as condition (10.26). But inequality (10.26) implies in-
equality (10.27), which holds for a wider range of θ. Thus, the condition for
marital dissolution for mixed couples is (10.27). For mixed couples there
will be disagreement on the divorce decision if
αy − Y h ≤ θ < αy − Y l .
In this case, divorce is always triggered by the high income spouse who can
do better outside the marriage.
In equilibrium, the expected remarriage rate, α, equals the divorce rate,
that is,
Yh−y
1−π = . (10.31)
Yh−Yl
Then, substituting from (10.31) into (10.30) we get
h l
αy l (Y − Y )
α= + (1 − λ)G(αy − Y ) . (10.32)
Yh Yh
Finally, eliminating α in (10.28), we can then rewrite the equilibrium con-
dition as an equation in αy
λY h Yl
αy = λ2 G(αy − Y h )Y h + (1 − λ2 )G(αy − Y l )[ + ]. (10.33)
1+λ 1+λ
To analyze this equation, we note that the expected income of a divorcee,
y, is bounded between Y l (which occurs if only low income individuals
divorce, π = 0) and Y h (which occurs if only high income individuals
divorce, π = 1) and that the divorce rate α is bounded between 0 and 1.
Therefore, αy is bounded between 0 and Y h . Assuming that G(−Y h ) > 0,
equation (10.33) has a positive solution for αy because the right hand side
of (10.33) is positive at αy = 0 and smaller than Y h at αy = Y h and G (.)
is continuous. However, because both sides of (10.33) are increasing in αy,
this equation may have multiple solutions. Given an equilibrium value for
αy, we can find the equilibrium divorce rate, α, from equation (10.28) and
the equilibrium share of the rich among the divorcees, π, from the ratio of
(10.29) to (10.28).
The comparative statics of this system are somewhat complicated, but
the basic principles are quite clear. An increase in the proportion of the
rich in the second period, λ, has two opposing effects on the equilibrium
divorce rate. First, it raises the monetary gain from maintaining the current
marriage. Second, it raises the average quality of divorcees and thus the
prospects of finding a good match, which encourages divorce. The relative
importance of these considerations depends on the initial proportions of the
two types, the values of low and high income and the distribution of match
quality. We cannot provide general results but simulations suggest that
the divorce rate tends to increase with the proportion of the rich when the
proportion of the rich is low in the second period. An increase in the income
of the poor or the rich tends to reduce divorce. The positive income effects
448 10. An equilibrium model of marriage, fertility and divorce
10.4 Conclusion
The simple models discussed in this chapter make several important points
that carry a general message for the empirical and theoretical analysis of
the family. First, the marriage, fertility and divorce decisions are closely
interrelated. Couples decide to marry and to have children based on the
risk of divorce and the prospect of remarriage. Conversely, the fact that
couples chose to marry, or have children, has implications for their subse-
quent divorce decisions. Second, in a marriage market, as in other search
markets, individual decisions can be quite sensitive to the choices of oth-
ers. In particular, if many choose to remain single, not to have children, or
to divorce, this will strengthen the incentive of each couple separately to
behave in a similar manner. Such markets are susceptible to sudden and
large structural changes as may have happened following the introduction
of the contraceptive pill in the 1970’s. As we have seen, search external-
ities may have important policy and welfare implications. In particular,
societies with high marital turnover may in fact yield better outcomes for
the typical adult, because such an equilibrium allows easier recovery from
bad shocks. In this chapter, we assumed that children are always worse off
as a consequence of divorce. In the subsequent chapter, we shall discuss
child support transfers and show that children are not necessarily harmed
10. An equilibrium model of marriage, fertility and divorce 449
10.5 Appendix
10.5.1 Properties of the expected utility, with and without
children
Using (10.7), (10.4) and (10.6):
Z∞
W1,n (θ) = 2Y + θ − nc + (2Y + nq ∗ + θ + ε)f (ε)dε + F (hn − θ)V2,n ,
hn −θ
where we use the fact that the derivative of an integral with respect to the
lower bound equals the value of the integrand at that point. Cancelling and
collecting terms, we obtain
∂W1,n
= 2 − F (hn − θ), (10.36)
∂θ
∂W ∂W
as stated in (10.8). Note that 1 ≤ ∂θ1,n ≤ 2 and that ∂θ1,n is increasing
in θ. Hence, the expected values with and without children, W1,1 (θ) and
W1,0 (θ) respectively, are increasing and convex functions of of θ, with slopes
∂W ∂W
bounded between 1 and 2. Also, because h1 < h0 , ∂θ1,1 > ∂θ1,0 . Finally,
examining the partial impact of p, holding θ fixed we see that
Z∞
∂W1,n (θ) ∂
= [ (2Y + nq ∗ + θ + ε)f (ε)dε
∂p ∂p
hn −θ
+F (hn − θ)(hn + 2Y + nq ∗ )]
= F (hn − θ)(Y + β), (10.37)
∂W1,0 ∂W1,1
implying that ∂p > ∂p .
450 10. An equilibrium model of marriage, fertility and divorce
or
Z∞
∗
−c + q + (θc + ε)f (ε)dε + F (h1 − θc )h1 (10.39)
h1 −θc
Z∞
= (θc + ε)f (ε)dε + F (h0 − θc )h0 .
h0 −θc
By (10.6),
dh0 dh1
= = Y + β. (10.40)
dp dp
Differentiating both sides of (10.39) with respect to p and θc , we obtain
implying that
dθc
= Y + β.
dp
Z∞
2Y + θm + (2Y + θm + ε)f (ε)dε + F (h0 − θm )V2,0 = Y + V2,0 , (10.44)
h0 −θm
or
Z∞
Y + θm + (2Y + θm + ε)f (ε)dε = (1 − F (h0 − θm ))(h0 + 2Y ). (10.45)
h0 −θm
∂θm 1 − F (h0 − θ)
= (Y + β) > 0 if θc > θm . (10.47)
∂p 2 − F (h0 − θ)
Case 2, W1,1 (θm ) = V1 > W1,0 (θm ), which implies θc < θm . In this case
Z∞
2Y + θm − c + (2Y + q ∗ + θm + ε)f (ε)dε + F (h1 − θm )V2,1 = Y + V2,1 ,
h1 −θm
(10.48)
or
Z∞
Y +θm −c+ (2Y +q ∗ +θm +ε)f (ε)dε = (1−F (h1 −θm ))(h1 +2Y +q ∗ ).
h1 −θm
(10.49)
Using the same calculations as in the previous case, we obtain
∂θm 1 − F (h1 − θ)
= (Y + β) > 0 if θc < θm . (10.50)
∂p 2 − F (h1 − θ)
We conclude that
∂θc ∂θm
> . (10.51)
∂p ∂p
452 10. An equilibrium model of marriage, fertility and divorce
7 3 1 1 1 1
Y + θ + p(Y + β) + a + ( q 0 + q ∗ − c) (10.52)
2 2 2 2 2 2
= 3Y + θ + p(Y + β).
θc = p(Y + β) − Y − a + 2c − (q ∗ + q 0 ). (10.53)
h0 = −Y + p(Y + β),
q ∗ +q 0
we obtain, using c > 2 ,
θc = h0 − a + 2c − (q ∗ + q 0 ) > h0 − a. (10.54)
θm = −Y (10.55)
−Y = θm ≤ h0 − a = −Y + p(Y + β) − a (10.56)
⇒ p(Y + β) ≥ a
1
θm = (p(Y + β) − a) − Y. (10.57)
3
Since we have θm ≤ θc this value and (10.19) requires that:
Finally we can consider high values of θ, such that θ ≥ θc . Equality for equa-
tion (10.10) requires equating V1 with W1,1 (θ) evaluated for θ ≥ θc (that
is, the third region of equation (10.17)). This gives
1 1
θm = p(Y + β) − (q ∗ − c) − Y (10.59)
2 2
This case requires θm > θc which gives:
1
U (θm (p), θc (p)) = G (θm (p)) + (G(θc (p)) − G(θm (p)))
2
1
= (G(θc (p)) + G(θm (p))). (10.62)
2
Finally, for high values of V1 , the intersection is with W1,1 (θ) above θc ,
where all married people have children, and no one divorces. In this case,
θc = p(Y + β) − Y − a + 2c − q ∗ − q 0 , (10.64)
and
⎧
⎪ −Y
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ if p(Y + β) > a + q 0 + q ∗ − 2c
⎪
⎨ p(Y +β)−a+2c−q ∗ −q 0
3 −Y
θm = 0 ∗ . (10.65)
⎪
⎪ if a + q + q − 2c ≥ p(Y + β) ≥ c + q ∗ − 2q 0 − 2a
⎪
⎪ p(Y +β) q ∗
−c
⎪
⎪ − 2 −Y
⎩ 2
if p(Y + β) < c + q ∗ − 2q 0 − 2a
¡ ¢ ∗ 0
Note that the assumptions 2a > q ∗ − q 0 and c < q +q 2 ensure that
interval
£ ¤
c + q ∗ − 2q 0 − 2a, a + q 0 + q ∗ − 2c is non-empty.
The aggregate number of singles associated with a given p is
⎧ G(h1 (p)+a)+G(θc (p))
⎪
⎪ 2
⎪
⎪ 0 ∗
⎪
⎪ if p(Y + β) > a + q + q − 2c
⎨ (G(h1 (p)+a)+G(θm (p)))
U (θm (p), θc (p)) = 2 .
⎪
⎪ if a + q 0 + q ∗ − 2c ≥ p(Y + β) ≥ c + q ∗ − 2q 0 − 2a
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ G(θm (p))
⎩
if p(Y + β) < c + q ∗ − 2q 0 − 2a
(10.66)
10.6 References
[1] Aiyagari, S. Rao, Jeremy Greenwood and Nezih Guner, ‘On the State
of the Union’, Journal of Political Economy, 108 (2000), 213-244.
[2] Brien, Michael J., Lee A. Lillard and Steven Stern, ‘Cohabitation, Mar-
riage, and Divorce in a Model of Match Quality’, International Eco-
nomic Review, 47 (2006), 451-494.
11
Marriage, Divorce, Children
11.1 Introduction
The purpose of this chapter is to examine in more detail the role of children
in marriage and divorce.1 In particular, we wish to discuss the determi-
nation of expenditures on children and their welfare under various living
arrangements, with and without the intervention of the courts. There is a
growing concern that the higher turnover in the marriage market causes
more children to live with single mothers or step parents. In the US, year
2005, 68 percent of children less than 18 years old lived with two parents
(including step parents), 23 percent lived only with their mother, 5 percent
lived only with their father and the rest lived in households with neither
parent present. This may be harmful to the children.2 Part of the problem
is that, following separation, fathers are less willing to transfer resources
to the custodial mothers (that is, their ex-wives). A major objective of our
analysis is to explain how transfers between separated parents are deter-
mined and how they vary with marriage market conditions.
Separation may entail an inefficient level of expenditures on children for
several reasons: 1) If the parents remarry, the presence of a new spouse who
cares less about step children reduces the incentives to spend on children
from previous marriages. 2) If the parents remain single then, in addition to
the loss of the gains from joint consumption, the custodial parent may de-
termine child expenditures without regard to the interest of their ex-spouse.
3) Parents that live apart from their children can contribute less time and
goods to their children and may derive less satisfaction from them. These
1 This chapter extends the results reported in Chiappori and Weiss (2007) to include
both time and money as inputs to the child welfare. See also Weiss and Willis (1985,
1993), Del-Boca (2003), and Case et al (2003).
2 There is substantial evidence that children of divorced parents do not perform as
well as comparable children in intact families. See Argys et al.(1998), Lamb et al.(1999),
Hetherington and Stanley-Hagan (1999), Gruber (2004) and Stafford and Yeung (2005).
Such empirical evidence should be interpreted with some care, for two reasons. First,
dysfunctional families are more likely to generate both divorce and poor child perfor-
mance. B j́orklund and Sundstrom (2006) argue that inferior performances of divorced
children can largely be attributed to selection effects. Second, even if divorce causes
poor performance at the individual level, the impact of the aggregate divorce rate on
the welfare of children is a different issue. As shown by Piketty (2003) the increase in
the divorce rate in France has reduced the gap in school performance between children
of divorced parents and children from intact families.
460 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
problems are amplified if the partners differ in income and cannot share
custody to overcome the indivisibility of children. The custodial parent is
usually the mother who has some comparative advantage in caring for chil-
dren but has lower income. The father has often limited access to the child
and low incentive to provide for him. The outcome is that the level of child
expenditures following separation is generally below the level that would
be attained in an intact family, reducing the welfare of the children and
possibly the welfare of their parents.
An important consequence of having children is that they create ex-post
wage differences between men and women. The basic reason for such dif-
ferences is biological in nature. The mother is the one who gives birth as
she is more capable of taking care of the child at least initially. As noted by
Becker (1993) this initial difference may have large economic consequences.
When the mother takes care of the child, her future earning capacity erodes.
Then, because of the reduced earning capacity of the mother and her inher-
ent advantage in child care, a pattern of specialization arises, whereby the
father works more in the market and the mother works more at home; see,
also, Chichilnisky (2005) and Albanesi and Olivetti (2009). This pattern
is most pronounced if the couple remains married and can coordinate ac-
tivities. Following separation, however, the allocation of time may change,
and a custodial mother may spend less time on her child if she remarries,
because a foster father cares less about the child than a natural father.
The ex-post asymmetry between parents can have strong implications for
the divorce decision and the incentive to produce children. Because men
maintain or increase their earning capacity during marriage, they have
higher expected gains from divorce. Under divorce at will, they will initiate
the divorce, at some situations in which the mother would like to maintain
the marriage. If transfers within marriage are limited due to a large com-
ponent of public consumption, separations will be inefficient, implying that
the gains from having children are smaller to the mother than to the father.
Because the production of children requires both parents, the mother may
avoid birth in some situations in which the husband would like to have a
child. The consequence is then an inefficient production of children.
To overcome these problems, the partners have an incentive to sign bind-
ing contracts that will determine some transfers between the spouses. The
purpose of the transfers is to induce an efficient level of child expenditures
following divorce and to guarantee efficient separation and child produc-
tion by restoring the symmetry between the parents. It is generally not
possible to obtain such a first best outcome, because of some important
limitations on transfers. First, transfers within marriage can only partially
compensate for common factors that affect both partners, such as the fail-
ure of the marriage. If the partners separate then transfers can compensate
for differences in the gains and costs from divorce, but these transfers are
limited too. In particular, it is not possible to condition the transfer on
the allocation within a household which is usually not observed by a third
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 461
party.
Legal intervention is required to enforce binding contracts. In practice,
enforcement of alimony and child support contracts is imperfect. This is
not simply a matter of lack of resources or determination on the part of
the legal authorities. There is a basic conflict between private needs and
social needs that results from the externalities that prevail in the marriage
market. One issue is that parents and child interests may conflict, even if
parents care about their children. For instance, a mother may choose to
remarry even if the child under her custody is harmed, because she gains
more than the child from the presence of a new spouse. Another issue
is the impact of the divorce and fertility decisions of a given couple on
the prospects for remarriage and the gains from remarriage of others. In
marriage markets with frictions, competition does not force a couple to
internalize the impact on potential mates, because meetings are to a large
extent random and rents prevail. Therefore, a contract that a couple is
willing to sign is not necessarily optimal from a social point of view. A
related issue is that contracts that couples are willing to sign may at the
time of marriage, before the quality of match is observed, may be inefficient
ex-post after divorce has occurred and the impact of the contract on the
divorce and fertility decisions is not relevant any more. In this case, the
partners may wish to renegotiate, thereby creating a lower level of welfare
for both of them from an ex-ante point of view.
The benefits from having children depend on the contracts that the par-
ents employ to regulate these decisions and on the prospects of remarriage
that are determined in the marriage market. Consequently, the incentives
to produce children depend not only on the risk of divorce, triggered by
changing circumstances in a specific household, such as falling out of love,
but also on the general situation in the marriage market. The larger is the
proportion of couples that divorce, the better are the remarriage prospects.
In the absence of children, or with children but adequate transfers, this
would increase the probability of divorce. However, with children, remar-
riage may have a negative effect on the child because the new husband of
the custodial mother may be less interested in its welfare. We may refer
to this problem as the "Cinderella effect" (see Case et al., 1999). This ef-
fect reduces the incentive of the non custodial father to support the child,
because part of the transfer is "eaten" by the new husband. In addition,
non custodial parents who are committed to their custodial ex-spouse are
less attractive as potential mates for remarriage. Thus, the larger is the
proportion of such individuals among the divorcees, the less likely it is that
a particular couple will divorce, and the more likely it is that each couple
will have children. In this chapter, we use a simple model to illustrate the
interactions among these considerations in a general equilibrium framework
and highlight the potential consequences for parents and children.
462 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
q = αa + t + g(c) (11.1)
where
t = βtf + γtm . (11.2)
The output q is interpreted as the child’s utility or ‘quality’. The para-
meter α describes the marginal effect of the adult good, a, on the child’s
quality, the parameters β and γ represent the productivities of the father
and mother, respectively, in household work and t is total time spent on
the child, measured in efficiency units. The function g(c) is assumed to be
increasing and concave, with g(0) = 0. The linearity in t is assumed to
allow corner solutions whereby family members specialize either in house-
hold work or market work. To determine the pattern of specialization under
different household structures, we assume
γ > wm (1 + α)
β < wf (1 + α) (11.3)
where wm is the wage of the mother and wf is the wage of the father.
That is, the mother is more productive at home, while the father is more
productive in the market. This may hold either because the mother has an
absolute advantage in home production γ > β or that she has an absolute
disadvantage in market work, wm < wf , because of the erosion in her wage
due to her withdrawal from the labor force during child birth.
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 463
3 A parent that lives apart from the child may enjoy it to a lesser degree, and we may
set the parent’s utility to a + δq if the parent and child live in a separate households.
The parameter δ may be interpreted as a discount factor that captures the idea that
"far from sight is far from heart".
4 In contrast to chapter 10, we simplify here by eliminating the premarital signal of
money". In the first period, however, the average married couple enjoys a positive non
monetary gain, because the option of divorce eliminates some of the downward risk. The
model can be easily generalized to the case with θ̄ > 0.
464 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
remarries, then child quality is influenced by the foster parent who may
care less about the child than his natural parents.
6 See Cancian and Meyer (1998). However, the share of joint physical custody has
increased over time. Halla (2009) examines the impact of state differences in this trend
and concludes that the option of joint custody has raised the incentives of men to marry,
with little impact on divorce.
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 465
7 Lauman et al. (1994, Table 6.1 ) report that about half of the marriages arise from
meeting in school, work, and private party and only 12 percent originate in specialized
channels such as social clubs or bars. The establishment of more focused channels, where
singles meet only singles, is costly and they will be created only if the ”size of the
market” is large enough. Also, as noted by Mortensen (1988), the search intensity of
the unattached decrease with the proportion of attached people in the population. The
reason is that attached individuals are less likely to respond to an offer, which lowers
the return for search (see Chapter 7).
466 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
Given this specialization pattern, the amount spent on the child is de-
termined by equalizing the marginal utilities from a and c, that is,
1 + α = g 0 (c). (11.5)
We denote the unique solution to (11.5) by c∗ and assume that c∗ < wf so
that a positive amount is spent on the adult good a.
The utilities of the three family members in an intact family are
uc = g(c∗ ) + γ + α(wf − c∗ )
um = uf = g(c∗ ) + γ + (1 + α)(wf − c∗ ). (11.6)
We shall denote the above common utility of father and mother in an intact
family (with a child) by u∗ .
the divorce. For the time being, we shall assume that the mother receives
custody and will address this issue again after we derive the equilibrium
level of transfers.
This pattern of behavior reflects our assumption that the mother has
comparative advantage in child care γ > wm (1 + α) which is seen to imply
that, for the mother, the child comes first and she spends resources on
herself only when she is sufficiently wealthy. The utility of the child is then
⎧
⎨ g(ĉ) + γ(1 − ĉ−swm ) if s ≤ ĉ,
q(s) = g(s) + γ if ĉ < s < c∗ , (11.11)
⎩
g(c∗ ) + γ + α(s − c∗ ) if s ≥ c∗ ,
and the utility of the mother is
⎧
⎨ g(ĉ) + γ(1 − ĉ−s
wm ) if s ≤ ĉ,
um (s) = g(s) + γ if ĉ < s < c∗ , (11.12)
⎩
g(c∗ ) + γ + (1 + α)(s − c∗ ) if s ≥ c∗ .
8 The new husband’s utility also depends on the utility of his child from the previous
pared with intact families) and that an increase in the hourly wage of a biological mother
significantly improves her child investment when her husband is a stepfather of the child,
while there is no such effect for mothers living with the biological father of the child.
The author interprets these findings as bargaining on child quality in step families.
1 0 Since we shall examine only symmetrical equilibria, there is no loss of generality in
and described in Figure 11.2, which is drawn for the case in which the
transfer from the father, s, exceeds the efficient level of expenditure on the
child good, c∗ . For levels of a close to yh , the mother spends all her time
on the child and the implied expenditure on the child good c exceeds c∗ .
In this case, both spouses want to reduce c and increase a, although the
child may be hurt from such a substitution. As a is raised sufficiently so
that c reaches c∗ the newly formed couple enters the region of conflict.
Any further increase in a and the associated decrease in c, benefits the new
husband but reduces the mother’s (and the child’s) utility. Initially, the
mother continues to spends all her time on the child but when a reaches
yh +s−ĉ, she starts to work part time and continues to do so until a reaches
yh + wm + s − ĉ. In this segment, the Pareto frontier is linear because the
child good is held at a fixed level, c = ĉ, and any increase in a is achieved by
an increase in hm which raises the father’s utility by wm dhm and reduces
the mother’s utility by ((1 + α)wm − γ)dhm . At high levels of a, exceeding
yh +wm +s− ĉ, the mother works full time in the market and as a rises, the
amount of child good is reduced until it reaches zero and the new husband
obtains all the household resources, yh + wm + s.
To proceed with the analysis, one must determine how the conflict be-
tween the spouses is resolved and which particular point on the Pareto
frontier is selected. For simplicity, we assume that the new husband obtains
all the surplus from remarriage, so that the point on the Pareto frontier
is selected so as to make the mother indifferent between remarriage and
remaining single. This allows us to illustrate the general equilibrium issues
in a relatively simple manner. The reader may interpret the model as a
worst case scenario from the point of view of the mother and child.11 The
efficient level of adult consumption is then defined as the solution of the
following maximization program
For remarriage to take place, it must be the case that the solution of this
where λ is a Lagrange multiplier such that λ1 equals the slope of the Pareto
frontier in the new household (see equation (11.13) and Figure 11.2)). In
an interior solution with 0 < hm < 1 we have
wm
λ= < 0, (11.16)
(1 + α)wm − γ
1
λ= . (11.17)
(1 + α) − g 0 (c)
When the mother remarries, she obtains more of the adult good that she
shares with her new husband but the child’s utility q(s, yh ) is lower. This
implies that the mother’s remarriage has a negative impact on the father,
but he can mitigate this effect by transferring money to the mother, that
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 471
is by increasing s. Specifically,
∂a(s, yh ) γ
= λ(u0m (s) − ) ≥ 0, (11.19)
∂s wm
∂a(s, yh )
= 1 − λ(1 + α) > 1,
∂yh
∂q(s, yh ) ∂a(s, yh )
= u0m (s) − > 0,
∂s ∂s
∂q(s, yh ) ∂a(s, yh )
= − ≤ 0.
∂yh ∂yh
An increase in the transfer s raises the utility that the mother would re-
ceive as single and improves her bargaining position in the newly formed
household. Consequently, the remarried mother works less and spends more
time with the child, which raises the utility of the child. 12 However, an
increase in s also has the unintended effect of raising the new husband’s
utility, who "eats" part of the transfer. An increase in the net income of the
new husband raises his gain from marriage a(s, yh )−yh because the mother
spends less time with the child and more time in the market. The mother
is willing to do such a sacrifice of child quality because she is compensated
by a higher level of adult consumption, jointly with the new husband.
The result that remarried mothers work more in the market may seem
counterfactual.13 We emphasize that market work is just one way of trans-
ferring resources from the child to the new husband and the crucial as-
sumption is the availability of a linear transfer in some non-trivial range.
For instance, the mother may spend less time with the child and more time
with the new husband in joint leisure activities. As long as such substitu-
tions are available at a fixed rate of exchange, the results are the same as
if the remarried mother would spend time working in the market.
1 2 Note that ∂a(s,yh ) = 0 if s = ĉ, ∂a(s,yh ) = 1 if s = c∗ and 1 > ∂a(s,yh ) > 0 for
∂s ∂s ∂s
ĉ < s < c∗ .
1 3 As seen in Chapter 1, Figure 1.13 , the raw data suggests that divorced women work
more than married women. However Seitz (1999) shows that correcting for selection and
unobserved attributes, there is no significant difference in labor supply of divorced and
married women, while remarried women work significantly more than married women,
as our model suggests.
472 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
2. The father remains single while the mother is remarried, which hap-
pens with probability p(1 − p).
3. The mother remains single but the father is remarried, which happens
with probability (1 − p)p.
4. Both parents remarry, which happens with probability p2 .
Note that, by assumption, the probability of remarriage is the same for
the husband and wife, and that meetings and subsequent remarriages are
independent across parents.
Anticipating these contingencies, the father may be willing to commit to
transfer money to the custodial mother with the intention to influence the
welfare of the child, of whom he continues to care.14 Each father makes
his choice of s separately, taking the choice of others, s0 as given. These
payments are made at the time of divorce, before the marital status of the
ex-spouses is known. We, therefore, must use expectations in determining
the optimal level of the transfer. The expected utility of the father is,
therefore,
Vf = (1 − p)2 [wf − s + q(s)] + (1 − p)p[wf − s + q(s, wf − s0 )]
+p(1 − p)[a(s0 , wf − s) + q(s)]
+p2 [a(s0 , wf − s) + q(s, y − s0 )] (11.20)
and
∂Vf ∂q ∂a
= (1 − p)[q 0 (s) − 1] + p[ − ] (11.21)
∂s ∂s ∂yh
We first note that the father will never choose voluntarily transfer s that
exceeds c∗ because, in this case, the single mother would spend the marginal
dollar on the adult good. The father then receives a marginal benefit of α
γ
from the transfer if the mother remarries single and 1 + a − γ−(1+α)w m
if
she remarries. But his expected cost in terms of the adult good is higher,
because a transfer of a dollar costs the father 1 dollar if he remains single
∂a γ
and ∂y h
= γ−(1+α)w m
if he remarries (see equations (11.11) and (11.19)).
Under our maintained assumption that the remarried mother works part
time, equation (11.21) can be rewritten as
(
∂Vf (1 − p)( wγm − 1) + p( wγm − ∂y ∂a
) if 0 ≤ s < ĉ,
= h
∂a (11.22)
∂s (1 − p)(g (s) − 1) + p(g (s) − 2 ∂yh ) if ĉ ≤ s ≤ c∗ ,
0 0
where
∂a γ
= 1 − λ(1 + α) =
∂yh γ − (1 + α)wm
1 4 Another possible motive is that the father maintains an altruistic motive towards
his ex-wife. In this chapter, however, we ignore this added altruistic link and confine our
attention only to the case in which parents care about their children.
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 473
is a constant. However, if the mother does not work when she is remarried,
or works full time, the utility frontier for a remarried couple is no longer
linear and the marginal impact of the transfer to the mother will depend
on the net income of her new husband yh .
and a sufficient condition for an interior solution 0 < hm (p) < 1 for all p is
that:
1 5 The sufficient condition (11.26) is much stronger than we need because, as we shall
declines in p, because the mother’s time is more important for the child
than the added adult good.
The expected utilities of the three family members, evaluated at the time
of divorce, are
Compared with an intact family with θ = 0, all three family members are
worse off if the marriage breaks. The child received less child goods because
the transfer from the father s∗ (p) is lower than c∗ (except at low probability
of remarriage p < p1 ) and also less time if the mother remarries. Both the
mother and the father suffer from the reduction in child quality. In addition,
there is a loss of resources resulting from the inability to share consumption
goods when the parents remain single. This cost is born mainly by the
mother. The assumption that the mother receives no surplus implies that
she pays for the adult good in terms of the child’s quality, so that her utility
is unaffected by remarriage but that of the child is reduced by a(p). The
father, on the other hand, gets the benefits from sharing a(p) with the new
wife and, in addition, he consumes the adult good when he is single. In
fact, he consumes as single more of the adult good than he would under
marriage. The outcome of this asymmetry is that the father’s expected
utility following separation is higher than the mother’s.
The expected utility of all family members in the aftermath of divorce
declines with the probability of remarriage, p. This is a surprising result,
given that remarriage is voluntary. It can be traced to the fact that a
higher remarriage rate does not only make it easier to remarry, which is
individually welfare enhancing, but also affects behavior in a way that may
be harmful to others. Thus, although the mother fully internalizes that the
child is worse off upon remarriage, this does not stop her from remarrying
if she is compensated by higher adult consumption. Nor does she take into
account the negative impact of her remarriage on her ex-husband. The
father’s incentives to transfer money to the custodial mother decline as the
probability of remarriage rises, because he anticipates that part of it will
be spent on adult goods that are not as useful to the child, mainly because
of a presence of a third party in the form of the new husband. As a result
of this reluctance to contribute, mothers are worse off even if they remain
single. Finally, each father is worse off mainly because the child is worse
off when the mother remarries and he cannot fully remedy that by the use
of transfers, due to the principal-agent issues that we described. This loss
of control is sufficiently costly to offset the gains that the father receives
when he remarries and obtains all the surplus.
476 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
11.5 Divorce
Having observed the realized quality of the current match, each spouse
may consider whether or not to continue the marriage. A parent will agree
to continue the marriage, if given the observed θ the utility in marriage
exceeds his/her expected gains from divorce. Under divorce at will, the
marriage breaks if
u∗ + θ < max (Vm , Vf ) − b (11.30)
where u∗ is the common utility of the husband and wife if the marriage
would continue (not incorporating the quality of the match) and b is a fixed
cost associated with divorce. The fixed costs reflect the emotional, legal and
relocation costs associated with the change in marital status that affects
the child and parents. We assume that these costs are higher for couples
with children and are shared equally by the two spouses.
The particular value of θ that triggers divorce is given by
The critical value θ∗ is seen to equal the expected gains from divorce,
relative to remaining married, evaluated at θ = 0, which is the mean value
of θ in the population. In other words, the couples that divorce are those
with a realized quality of match that is below the unconditional expectation
of the gains from divorce, before θ is observed. These expected gains are
negative, because an intact marriage with θ = 0 is better for all parties.
The probability that a couple will divorce is then
1 6 We note, however, that if δ < 1 so that the non custodial father suffers from the
distance from his child, the father’s gains from divorce decline and may be lower than
the mother’s.
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 477
An important difference from the case with children is that the expected
utility of the two parents, as evaluated at the time of divorce, rises with the
probability of remarriage. This is simply an outcome of the option to share
consumption upon remarriage, without any negative impact of divorce on
child quality.
The critical value of θ that triggers divorce is now given by
which rises with p. That is, the higher is the probability of remarriage the
more likely it is that a particular couple will divorce. This result is in sharp
contrast to that in Proposition 11.2, illustrating the marked difference that
children might have on the divorce decisions.
11.6 Fertility
So far, we took the number of children as given and assumed that all couples
have children. We now examine the decision to have children.
We view children as an investment good that the parents produce at
some cost during the first period of marriage, before the quality of match
is revealed. To simplify, we assume that only one child can be produced. The
costs of having a child are the forgone earnings of the mother associated
with child birth and child rearing. We assume that the mother cannot work
in the first period if she gives birth, so that wf is lost in the first period.
Also, because of the mother’s withdrawal from the labor force, her second
period wage erodes from wf to wm . The benefits from the child that accrue
in the second period depend on the probabilities of divorce and remarriage
and on the parents’ ability to care for the child in the aftermath of divorce.
To avoid trivial solutions, we assume that children may be a bad or good
investment, depending on the circumstances. In particular, a couple that
obtains the average draw θ = 0 and chooses not to divorce gains from
having had children. This is equivalent to saying that children are desired
if divorce is not an option. However, when divorce is an option, children
may be a liability if they lock the parents into bad matches.
478 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
this does not add any new conceptual issues and to economize on notation we set the
discount factor to unity.
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 479
11.7 Equilibrium
Equilibrium requires consistency among the choices of the participants in
the marriage market and realization of their expectations. The first con-
sistency requirement is that the aggregate divorce rate coincides with the
expected remarriage rate. Assuming independence of the marital shocks
across couples and a large population, the proportion of couples that will
choose to divorce is the same as the probability that a particular couple
divorces. The decision of each couple to divorce depends on the expected
remarriage rate, p. Assuming that a person can remarry only with a di-
vorcee and that meetings are random, we require that, in equilibrium, the
realized aggregate divorce rate must equal the expected remarriage rate of
all agents. That is,
p = F (θ∗ (p)). (11.39)
Because the gains from divorce for a couple with θ = 0 are negative, the
threshold θ∗ (p) is negative and it then follows from our assumptions on
F (p) that any solution of (11.39) must be such that p < 12 .
When fertility is endogenous, we have the additional requirement that
the expected gain from divorce must reflect the optimal fertility choices of
the participants in the marriage market. Thus, in an equilibrium without
children we must have that
and B(p) < 0. That is, the expected gains from divorce are calculated based
on the assumption that all singles are childless, and given these expectations
no couple wishes to have a child. Similarly, in an equilibrium in which every
couple has a child we must have
and
Z∞
Wj,ch (p) = u0ch + ∆{ (u∗ch + θ)f (θ)dθ + F (θ∗ch (p))(Vj,ch (p) − bch )}
θ∗
ch (p)
2 0 The graphs are drawn for the case in which the mother’s productivity at home
child’ loss from remarriage equals a(p), which rises with p, as the bargaining
position of the mother worsens when the father transfers less.
As a consequence of the decline in the optimal transfer, the expected
utilities at the time of divorce of the child, mother and father all decline (see
Figure 11.4). Assuming a moderate loss for the father when he lives apart
from the child, δ = 0.75, the expected utility of the father is higher than
that of the mother through most of the relevant range of p. Consequently,
the father determines the divorce decision if 0.05 < p < 0.5, while the
mother determines the divorce decision if p < 0.05.21
In Figure 11.5, we plot the maximum of the husband’s and wife’s ex-
pected gains (losses) from divorce, including the fixed cost of divorce, for
couples with and without children. These gains rise for couples without chil-
dren because remarriage enhances joint consumption and decline for cou-
ples with children, because remarriage implies lower spending on the child
that dominate the gains from joint consumption. The intersections of these
curves with the inverse probability function at p = 0.214 and p = 0.334
represent potential equilibria, where the realized divorce rate equals the
expected remarriage rate. 22 A higher potential equilibrium point arises
when all couples do not have children because, by assumption, such cou-
ples have lower fixed cost of separation and, in addition, they do not suffer
from the reduced welfare of the child when the marriage breaks. To make
sure that the two intersections in Figure 11.5 satisfy all the requirements
for equilibrium, we must further verify that, at the higher intersection with
p = 0.334, no couple without a child wants to deviate and have a child
when all the others do not have a child, while in the low intersection with
p = 0.214, no couple with a child wants to deviate and have no child when
all others have a child.
Figure 11.6 shows the incentives of the husband and wife to deviate and
have no child when all other couples have a child and their child support
is set at the optimal level s∗ (p). The expected life time utilities of the
husband and wife when all couples have children decrease with the proba-
bility of remarriage, with the mother’s life time utility being slightly lower
than the father’s (except for very low p, p < 0.05), reflecting the father’s
higher expected gain from divorce. In contrast, the life time utilities that
the parents obtain upon deviating to not having a child rise with the prob-
ability of remarriage because of the gain from joint consumption. With this
structure, a deviation would occur only at a sufficiently high probability
2 1 The difference between the father’s and mother’s expected gains from divorce is
2 3 If all other couples do not have a child, a husband would like to deviate and have
a child only if p < 0.19, while a wife would like to have a child only if p < 0.24. In
calculating the deviation, we take into account that when the couple will have the child
the father will commit to pay child support according to s∗ (p).
2 4 We assume no fixed cost of separation in the absence of children; that is, b = 0.
0
484 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
the outcomes if all couples do not have children, it still may influence the
equilibrium outcome through the impact on the incentives to have children.
Thus if b1 is reduced from 0.25 to 0.05 then the equilibrium without children
disappears and the only equilibrium is with children.
The last panel of Table 11.1 illustrates the impact of changes in the
utility of the father, as δ rises and he suffers less from living apart from the
child. Such an increase in proximity raises the utility of the father directly,
but it also raises his willingness to transfer money to the custodial mother
and, consequently, the child and mother gain too. Notice that for δ = 1, the
father would like to have a child but the mother prefers not to have a child
if all other couples do not have a child. This conflict could, in principle, be
resolved by ex ante contracting at the time of marriage.
We see that under father’s custody, the child receives less time but con-
sumes more of the adult and child goods. Thus, the justification for the
prevalence of mother custody must rest on the assumption that, in the
case of children, time is more important then money, that is γ is large
relative to α(wf − c∗ ). For a small remarriage probability, the condition
γ > α(wf − c∗ ) is sufficient to ensure that mother custody is better for
the child. In this case, the father also prefers that the child will be with
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 485
the mother, because for a small p his expense on child support, s∗ (p), is
about the same as he would spend himself on the child, c∗ , and the po-
tential gain from the mother contribution of time exceeds the gains that
the father has from sharing adult consumption with the child. However, if
γ < α(wf − c∗ ) + wm then, for a small p, the mother would prefer that
the father will have the custody, because this would free her to earn some
extra money in the labor market. In this case, the child is a "hot potato"
that each parent prefers that the other will take care of it. This reflects,
of course, the potential for free riding that exists in the provision of public
goods. Thus, γ must exceed α(wf − c∗ ) + wm for the two parties to agree
on mother custody.25
An increase in the probability of remarriage p decreases the welfare of the
child under the mother’s custody but raises it under the father’s custody.
This difference is caused by the shift of the custodial mother towards market
work when she remarries. The custodial father works at the same intensity
whether he is married or not and the child gains from the added adult
consumption when the father remarries. Therefore, for a large probability
of remarriage father’s custody becomes more attractive and a larger gap
between γ and α(wf − c∗ ) is required to justify mother’s custody under
the voluntary commitments discussed so far. A possible resolution is to
mandate (and enforce) some minimal child support transfer from the non
custodial father to the custodial mother.
2 5 For alternative models of custody assignment see Atteneder and Halla (2007) and
Rasul (2006).
486 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
a remarried mother, who still may be forced to work part time to comply
with the interest of her new husband. As long as the courts cannot interfere
with within-household allocations (that are hard to verify) and the father
cannot transfer directly to the child, because his money transfer is fungible
and can be consumed by the mother and her new husband, it is hard to
expect that the child interests will be maintained simply by mandating a
money transfer. There is, however, one notable exception. If the mother has
sufficient bargaining power to take all the gains from marriage, then she
would solve the mirror image of problem (11.13) and maximize her utility
subject to the constraint that the new husband is just indifferent between
remaining single and remarriage. Formally, this problem is the same as
problem (11.7) that the mother solves as single and setting s = c∗ would
indeed induce her to maintain the efficient outcome when she remarries.26
This brief discussion illustrates that in search markets with rents that
are subject to bargaining, it is important to specify the relative bargaining
power of the parties that determines the share of the surplus that each party
gets. In the Nash bargaining model this is determined by considerations
such as impatience and risk aversion that, of course, need not be equal
across genders. More broadly, social norms such as egalitarianism and sex
roles may also affect the bargaining outcome.
Another, and potentially more fruitful, direction is to enlarge the set of
contracts that the courts are willing to enforce. In principle, child support
payments should depend on the marital status of both parents, because
the costs and benefits of post divorce transfers depend on these states.27
In practice, child support is not contingent on marital status but there are
other payments such as alimony that are often contingent on the marital
status of the mother. Because we assume that all transfers are fungible,
the name attached to these payments does not really matter, but it does
matter how flexible they are and to what contingences they respond.
Now imagine that a father can pay different amounts to the custodial
mother depending upon whether or not she is remarried. Suppose further
that the father is forced by law to pay a fixed amount of child support
s = c∗ but can augment it by an additional payment σ that he pays the
custodial mother only if she is single. Then, the efficient allocation within
the remarried household is determined by
2 6 Aiyagari et al. (2000) also discuss mandatory child support payments in a general
equilibrium framework. They show that an increase in such payments raises welfare of
parents and children.
2 7 In theory, the transfers should depend on the marital status of all agents that
Proposition 11.4 If all couples have children, then the commitment equi-
librium for a given remarriage probability p, is such that: For p < p0 , the
only symmetric equilibrium is one in which all fathers pay only the manda-
tory payment s = c∗ and σ = 0. For p > p1 , the only symmetric equilib-
rium is one in which all fathers voluntarily commits to pay their ex-wife
wf −c∗
σ = 2−p if she remains single. For p1 ≥ p ≥ p0 , both types of equilibrium
wf −c∗
can arise. The equilibrium σ = 2−p is efficient and
wf − c∗
Vc (p) = γ + g(c∗ ) + α ,
2−p
wf − c∗
Vm (p) = Vf (p) = γ + g(c∗ ) + (1 + α) . (11.45)
2−p
the marital surplus completely and effectively eliminating the power of the
new husband from extracting any rents which may harm the child upon
remarriage. Importantly, the contingent transfer restores ex-post symme-
try between the parents, which implies that divorce will also be efficient.
Finally, because of the efficiency in child care, all family members benefit
from a higher probability of remarriage.
These results are in sharp contrast to the case of non contingent transfers
and raise the question why contingent contracts are not more prevalent.
The basic problem with such contracts is that they are not attractive when
the probability of remarriage is low, because then the father is very likely
to bear the costs, when the mother remains single, and correspondingly
unlikely to reap the benefits when she remarries. As we shall show in a
subsequent section, this problem can be mitigated if the courts would also
enforce contracts that are signed at the time of marriage. Before we turn
to that case, however, let us illustrate the impact of contingent contracts
with a numerical example.
Numerical Example 11.2
We now present an example with contingent contracts. The parameters
are the same as in numerical example 11.1, except that we now set δ = 1.
This change is made to increase the motivation of the father to support
the child and the motivation of the couple to have children, so that an
equilibrium with voluntary transfers and children can be supported.
Figure 11.8 presents three potential equilibrium points for the divorce
and remarriage rates associated with the following alternatives:
1. All couples have children and the father pays the mother a fixed
wf −c∗
payment c∗ and, in addition, a contingent payment σ = 2−p that
the mother receives only if she remains single.
2. All couples have children and the father pays the mother only the
fixed payment c∗ .
3. All couples have no children and no transfers are made upon divorce.
w −c∗
f
with raising the contingent payment, σ, from 0 to 2−p benefits each fa-
ther separately because of the rise in the expected utility of the child. The
rise in the remarriage prospects as p rises from 0.344 to 0.356 raises the
incentives of all fathers to contribute to their ex-wives. In this respect, a
higher aggregate divorce rate can serve as a coordination device that can
benefit children and raises the incentives to have children.
in which one (or both) of the partners bring into the marriage substantial
property, which is more common on second marriages.
11.9 Conclusion
As the last two chapters illustrate, marriage markets with search frictions,
in which the meeting technology displays increasing returns, may have mul-
tiple equilibria, because of the various search and contracting externalities.
In chapter 10, we did not allow any contracting and, as a consequence,
obtained the result that equilibria with higher turnover, that is, higher
divorce and remarriage rates, provides all participants with a higher wel-
fare. The reason is that an increase in the aggregate divorce rate, raises the
prospects of remarriage, which makes it easier to replace bad marriages
by better ones. In chapter 11, we allowed parents to transfer resources
in the aftermath of divorce, based on the insight that, in the presence
of children, marriage dissolution does not eliminate all ties between the
partners because both parents continue to care about their child, which
motivates post divorce transfers.29 However, the impact of transfers on the
marriage market and the welfare of children is quite complex, because the
willingness of each parent to transfer to his\her ex-spouse depends on the
transfers that potential mates for remarriages expect from their ex-spouses.
This contract externality can operate in different ways, depending on the
type of contracts that are enforced by law. If only unconditional transfers
are enforced, higher divorce and remarriage rates reduce the incentive to
transfer money to the custodial mother, because a dollar transferred to her
is less likely to reach the child than if she remarries. The consequence is
that children may be worse off in high divorce equilibria. The outcome is
completely reversed if the contracts environment is enriched and contin-
gent contracts are also enforced. If the non custodial father promises the
mother a payment that is contingent on her remaining single, then her bar-
gaining position vis-a-vis her new husband is improved and the welfare of
the child can be protected. Fathers have a stronger incentive to make such
commitments when the remarriage rate is high, because then the payments
to the custodial mothers are made relatively rarely, while the non custodial
fathers are rewarded for their commitments more often. The outcome, in
this case, is that equilibria with higher aggregate divorce (and remarriage)
can be welfare enhancing. In particular, children who would suffer from the
break of the marriage of their parents if it would happen in isolation, can
gain from being in environment in which a higher proportion of marriages
dissolve.
which case the ex-partners are no longer tied with each other.
492 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
∂E(a|σ, σ 0 )
= λu0m (c∗ + σ) = λ(1 + α) < 0,
∂σ
∂E(q|σ, σ 0 ) ∂E(a|σ, σ 0 )
= u0m (c∗ + σ) − = (1 + α)(1 − λ) > 0,
∂σ ∂σ
∂E(a|σ, σ 0 )
= −(1 − p)(1 − λ(1 + α)) < 0,
∂σ 0
∂E(q|σ, σ 0 ) ∂E(a|σ, σ 0 )
= − > 0, (11.47)
∂σ 0 ∂σ
where λ is the Lagrange multiplier for the participation constraint of the
wife. Therefore,
∂Vf
= (1 − p)2 [−1 + α] + (1 − p)p[(1 + α)(1 − λm )] +
∂σ
p(1 − p)[−(1 − p)(1 − λf (1 + α)) + α)] + p2 [−(1 − p)(1 − λf (1 + α))
+(1 + α)(1 − λm )], (11.48)
∂ 2 Vf ∂λm ∂λf
2
= (1 + α)p[− + (1 − p) ] < 0. (11.49)
∂σ ∂σ ∂σ
From the first order conditions to (11.13), if both the mother and the new
wm
wife of the father work part time then λm = λf = (1+α)w m −γ
. Otherwise,
1
λj = 1+α−g0 (c) for j = m, f . When the mother does not work, any increase
in σ increases the consumption of the child and decreases λm . Similarly,
when the father remarries and his wife does not work any increase in his
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 493
commitment to his ex-wife raises the consumption of the step child and
∂λf
decreases λf . Hence, ∂λ
∂σ ≤ 0 and ∂σ ≤ 0. But in a symmetric equilibrium
m
∂λf
all couples make the same choices and ∂λ
∂σ = ∂σ , which would imply that
m
∂ 2 Vf
∂σ 2 ≥ 0. Therefore, there is no interior symmetric equilibrium, and the
only symmetric equilibria are such that all couples must be at one of the
boundaries, σ = 0 or σ = wf −c∗ −(1−p)σ 0 . Notice that the upper boundary
is not determined by the budget constraint but by the requirement that
the mother is just indifferent between remarriage and remaining single.
wf −c∗
Suppose that all other couples set σ 0 = 2−p . Then by setting
wf − c∗
σ = wf − c∗ − (1 − p)σ 0 = (11.50)
2−p
the father can guarantee that the mother is just indifferent between mar-
riage and remaining single. This is seen by noting that the mother partici-
pation constraint becomes
wf − c∗ ∗ wf − c∗
(1+α)[wm hm + +c −c]+γ(1−hm )+g(c) ≥ γ+g(c∗ )+(1+α)
2−p 2−p
(11.51)
But
∂V
λm becomes more negative and ∂σf rises. That is, σ and σ 0 are strategic
complements.
The characterization in the text follows from the following observations:
For any fixed σ 0 , the global maximum is at σ = 0 if p is sufficiently small,
wf −c∗
say less than p0 , and at σ = 2−p if p is sufficiently large, say larger than
p1 . Because of complementarity, one is more inclined to give if others do,
and therefore p1 must exceed p0 .
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 495
11.11 References
[1] Aiyagari, Rau S., Greenwood Jeremy and Nezih Guner, ’On the State
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498 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
Husband’s wage wf = 1
Wife’s wage wm = .5
Mother’s productivity in child care γ = 1.75
Father’s productivity in child care β=0
Child’s marginal utility from the adult good α = .25
Distribution of shocks θ˜U [−d, d], d = 2
1
Utility from child expenditures g(c) = 2.25 ∗ (1 − (1+c)2.25 )
Parameters are the same as in the benchmark of Table 11.1, except that
δ = 1, instead of δ = .75.
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 503
FIGURE 11.3. Optimal Transfers and Child’s Utility if the Mother Remmaries
or Remains Single
506 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
FIGURE 11.4. Expected Utilities of Father, Mother and Child at the Time of
Divorce
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 507
FIGURE 11.5. Potential Marriage Market Equilibria, with and without Children
508 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
FIGURE 11.6. The Impact of Deviation to not having a Child on the Expected
Life Time Utility when all other Couples have a Child
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 509
FIGURE 11.7. The Impact of Deviation to Having a Child on the Expected Life
Time Utility when all other Couples Have no Child
510 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
FIGURE 11.8. with Children under Different Payment Schemes and without
Children
11. Marriage, Divorce, Children 511
FIGURE 11.9. The Impact of Deviation to a Fixed Payment when all other
Fathers give a Contingent Payment
512 11. Marriage, Divorce, Children
FIGURE 11.10. The Impact of Deviation to a Contingent Payment when all other
Fathers give no Contingent Payment