Energy and Carbon Summary
Energy and Carbon Summary
Energy and Carbon Summary
CARBON SUMMARY
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY
Table of Contents
1 Letter from the Chairman
2 Summary at-a-glance
3 Governance
6 Strategy
7 Highlights from the 2018 Outlook for Energy
8 Considering 2oC scenarios
10 Sensitivities
12 Signposts
13 Potential impact on reserves and resources
16 Positioning for a lower-carbon energy future
17 Developing scalable technology solutions
21 Engaging on climate-related policy
22 Providing products to help our customers reduce
their emissions
Statements of future events or conditions in this report, including projections, targets, expectations, estimates, future technologies, and 23 Mitigating emissions in our operations
business plans, are forward-looking statements. Actual future results or conditions, including: demand growth and energy source mix;
the impact of new technologies; production rates and reserve growth; efficiency gains and cost savings; emission reductions; and results 24 Metrics and targets
of investments, could differ materially due to, for example, changes in the supply and demand for crude oil, natural gas, and petroleum
and petrochemical products and resulting price impacts; the outcome of exploration and development projects; the outcome of research 31 Risk management
projects and ability to scale new technologies on a cost-effective basis; changes in law or government policy, including environmental
regulations and international treaties; the actions of competitors and customers; changes in the rates of population growth, economic 34 Disclosures
development, and migration patterns; trade patterns and the development of global, regional and national mandates; military build-ups
or conflicts; unexpected technological developments; general economic conditions, including the occurrence and duration of economic 35 Footnotes
recessions; unforeseen technical difficulties; and other factors discussed in this report and in Item 1A of ExxonMobil’s most recent Form
10-K. Third-party scenarios discussed in this report reflect the modeling assumptions and outputs of their respective authors, not
ExxonMobil, and their use or inclusion herein is not an endorsement by ExxonMobil of their likelihood or probability. References to
“resources,” “resource base,” and similar terms include quantities of oil and gas that are not yet classified as proved reserves under SEC
definitions but that are expected to be ultimately moved into the proved reserves category and produced in the future. For additional
information, see the “Frequently Used Terms” on the Investors page of our website at exxonmobil.com. COVER PHOTO:
References to “oil” and “gas” include crude, natural gas liquids, bitumen, synthetic oil, and natural gas. LNG ship, Gaslog Savannah, delivers gas from the
Prior years’ data have been reclassified in certain cases to conform to the 2017 presentation basis. Gorgon project in Western Australia to customers in
The term “project” as used in this publication can refer to a variety of different activities and does not necessarily have the same meaning Asia. ExxonMobil has a 25 percent interest in the
as in any government payment transparency reports. Gorgon project.
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY LETTER FROM THE CHAIRMAN
There are few challenges more important than We also actively engage in climate-related
meeting the world’s growing demand for policy discussions. We understand that dealing
energy while reducing environmental impacts successfully with climate change risks will
and the risks of climate change. require a coordinated effort involving
individuals, governments and industry leaders
ExxonMobil is committed to doing our part to around the world. ExxonMobil supports the
help society meet this dual challenge. 2015 Paris Agreement. In 2017 we became a
founding member of the Climate Leadership
Energy underpins modern life. People around the
Council to help promote a revenue-neutral
world rely on energy to cook their meals, heat
carbon tax. And last year we joined the Oil and
their homes, fuel their cars, and power their
Gas Climate Initiative (OGCI), a voluntary
hospitals, schools and businesses. Our industry
collaboration of leading companies in our
plays a critical role in fulfilling society’s economic
industry aimed at reducing climate-related
needs and providing the foundation for a
risks.
healthier and more prosperous future.
Together with our Board of Directors and
We also play an essential role in protecting the
senior management team, we regularly
environment and addressing the risks of climate
review our efforts to address climate-related
change. ExxonMobil is taking significant steps to
matters.
minimize the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
from our own operations. For example, we have This year’s Energy & Carbon Summary details
committed to reducing methane emissions from some of these efforts. It is aligned with the core
our operations by 15 percent and flaring by elements of the framework developed by the
25 percent by 2020*, as well as reducing the GHG Financial Stability Board’s Task Force on
intensity at our operated Canadian oil sands Climate-related Financial Disclosures, designed
facilities by 10 percent by 2023*. to encourage the informed conversation
society needs on these important issues.
Since 2000, we have invested more than
Through our active participation in this
$9 billion in our facilities and research to develop
conversation, and our ongoing actions to meet
and deploy lower-emission energy solutions such
energy needs and environmental expectations,
as cogeneration, algae biofuels, and carbon
ExxonMobil will continue to take a leadership
capture and storage (CCS). We have partnered
role in meeting the world’s dual challenge.
with more than 80 universities around the world
to support emerging energy research.
p.1 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY SUMMARY AT-A-GLANCE
Our Company has a proven record of successfully responding to changes in society’s needs. With long-standing
investments in technology, we are well-positioned to meet the demands of an evolving energy system.
Our annual Outlook for Energy provides a view of energy demand and supply through • Production from our proved reserves and investment in our resources continue
2040, incorporating important fundamentals including population growth, economic to be needed to meet global requirements and offset natural field decline
conditions, policy developments and technology advances.
Our businesses are well-positioned for the continuing evolution of the
The 2018 Outlook for Energy anticipates global energy needs will rise about 25 percent energy system.
over the period to 2040, led by non-OECD(1) countries. While the mix shifts toward lower-
Near-term actions, consistent with society’s energy requirements and environmental
carbon-intensive fuels, the world will need to pursue all economic energy sources to meet
objectives, include:
this need.
• Expanding the supply of cleaner-burning natural gas
• Efficiency gains and growing use of less-carbon-intensive energy sources will contribute
to a nearly 45 percent decline in the carbon intensity of global GDP • Transitioning our refining facilities to growing higher-value distillates, lubricants
and chemical feedstocks
• Worldwide electricity from solar and wind will increase about 400 percent
• Mitigating emissions from our own facilities through energy efficiency, cogeneration
• Natural gas will expand its role, led by growth in electricity generation and industrial
and reduced flaring, venting and fugitive emissions, including GHG intensity
output
reduction in Imperial Oil Limited's (Imperial) operated oil sands facilities
• Rising oil demand will be driven by commercial transportation and the chemical industry.
• Supplying products that help others reduce their emissions, such as premium
Road fuel demands for cars and heavy-duty vehicles reflect efficiency improvements and
lubricants and fuels, lightweight materials, and special tire liners
growth in alternative fuels
• Engaging on policy to address the risks of climate change at the lowest cost
• According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), cumulative investments in oil and
to society
natural gas supplies could approach $21 trillion from 2018 to 2040
Importantly, on a longer-term horizon, we are pursuing technologies to enhance
The Outlook includes sensitivities to illustrate how changes to base Outlook assumptions
existing operations and develop alternative energy technologies with lower carbon
might affect the energy landscape. In this report, we highlight sensitivities related to light-
intensity, including:
duty vehicle fuel economy gains and electric vehicle penetration, and also introduce new
sensitivities tied to efficiency and alternative fuel use potentially affecting the heavy-duty • Researching breakthroughs that make CCS technology more economic for power
vehicle sector. generation, industrial applications and hydrogen production
Relative to our Outlook, a theoretical 2°C pathway would generally lower demand for • Developing technologies to reduce energy requirements of refining and chemical
oil, natural gas and coal, and increase use of nuclear and renewables. manufacturing facilities
• Signposts in the energy system provide indicators on the world's progress toward a 2°C
• Progressing advanced biofuels for transportation and chemicals
pathway
• Even under a 2°C pathway, significant investments will be required in oil and natural gas
capacity. In this scenario, according to the IEA, cumulative oil and natural gas
investments could exceed $13 trillion by 2040
p.2 | exxonmobil.com
GOVERNANCE
To learn about and discuss the latest developments in climate science and policy, the
Board engages with subject matter experts, and holds briefings and discussions on the
Company’s public policy positions and advocacy.
Risk management starts at the top, with oversight from the Board of Directors, and
leadership from the CEO and the rest of the ExxonMobil management team. However,
management does not act alone. Risk management occurs at multiple levels of the
business as part of ExxonMobil’s risk management framework (see page 32). This
framework provides a structured approach to managing risk while ensuring the
Company is able to provide reliable and affordable energy to meet rising global energy
demand. This framework ensures that key risks, including climate change risks, are
incorporated and considered at all levels of the business.
p.4 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY GOVERNANCE
UP CLOSE:
Public Issues and Contributions Committee (PICC)
p.5 | exxonmobil.com
Our business strategies are underpinned by a
deep understanding of global energy system
fundamentals. These fundamentals include the
scale and variety of energy needs worldwide;
Our business strategies are underpinned by a deep understanding ofcapability, practicality
energy system and affordability
fundamentals. These of
fundamentals include the scale and variety of energy needs worldwide; energy alternatives;
capability, carbon
practicality andemissions; and
affordability of
government
energy alternatives; carbon emissions; and government policy. We consider these policy. We consider
fundamentals these
in conjunction
with our Outlook to help inform our long-term business strategies and fundamentals in conjunction
investment plans. with our Outlook
We are committed to
providing affordable energy to support human progress while advancing to help informsolutions
effective our long-term business
to address the risks of
strategies
climate change. Our actions, which are prioritized under the four pillars and investment
below, position plans.toWe
ExxonMobil arethe
meet
demands of an evolving energy system. committed to providing affordable energy to
support human progress while advancing
effective solutions. Our actions to address the
risks of climate change, which are prioritized
under the four pillars below, position
ExxonMobil to meet the demands of an
DEVELOPING SCALABLE ENGAGING ON CLIMATE PROVIDING PRODUCTS TO MITIGATING EMISSIONS
evolving energy system.
HELP OUR CUSTOMERS
TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CHANGE POLICY IN OUR OPERATIONS
REDUCE THEIR EMISSIONS
STRATEGY
STRATEGY
PROVIDING PRODUCTS TO
HELP OUR CUSTOMERS
REDUCE THEIR EMISSIONS
MITIGATING EMISSIONS
IN OUR OPERATIONS
Attorney client privileged and confidential - prepared by and under supervision of counsel
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
Global fundamentals impact Outlook for Energy Growth led by natural gas & non-fossil energy sources Energy demand & CO2 emissions led by non-OECD
(Percent change) (Quadrillion BTUs) (Share)
Quadrillion BTUs Billion tonnes
552 681 33 36
100% 250 100%
GDP
Average annual growth
0.7% rate from 2016 to 2040
75%
200 80%
2016 1.3%
50% non-OECD
Total energy: 0.9%
150 -0.1% 60%
Energy demand
25%
Population
p.7 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
availability of certain pathways toward a 2°C scenario. Scenarios that employ a full
complement of technology options are likely to provide the most economically efficient
50
pathways.
2018 Outlook for Energy
Considerable work has been done in the scientific community to explore potential energy 25
pathways. A comprehensive multi-model study coordinated by the Energy Modeling Forum 27
(EMF27)(4) at Stanford University brought together many energy-economic models to assess
possible technology and policy pathways associated with various climate stabilization targets 0
Assessed
(e.g., 450, 550 ppm CO2 equivalent or CO2e), partially in support of the Fifth Assessment 2°C scenarios
Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
-25
2005 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
The chart (top right) illustrates potential global CO2 emission trajectories under EMF27 full-
technology scenarios(5) targeting a 2°C pathway relative to our 2018 Outlook, and baseline
pathways with essentially no policy evolution beyond those that existed in 2010.
2040 global demand by energy type by model in the EMF27
The chart (lower right) illustrates potential global energy demand in 2040 under the assessed assessed 2oC scenarios and the IEA SDS
2°C scenarios. As the chart illustrates, the scenarios suggest that predicting absolute 2040 (Exajoules)
energy demand levels in total and by energy type carries some uncertainty, with particular 800 EMF27 Scenarios
For comparison purposes, the chart (lower right) also includes energy demand projections in 600 Non-bio renewables
2040 based on the IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS), which is designed to meet
Bioenergy
certain outcomes. The IEA specifically notes that its SDS projects global energy-related CO2
Bioenergy w/ CCS
emissions that are “fully in line with the trajectory required to meet the objectives of the Paris 400
Nuclear
Coal
Agreement on climate change.” In fact, the SDS projects global energy-related CO2 emissions Coal w/ CCS
in 2040 at a level 50 percent lower than the IEA’s New Policies Scenario (NPS), which projects Natural gas
emissions generally in line with the aggregation of national commitments under the Paris
200 Natural gas w/ CCS
Agreement. As recognized by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change,
the estimated aggregate annual global emissions levels resulting from the implementation of
Oil
intended NDCs do not fall within least-cost 2°C scenarios.(7) Differences in these scenarios
Oil w/ CCS
help put in perspective the uncertainty in the pace and breadth of changes in the global energy 0
S
nk T
GC s
IM AM
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ES E
Ph E
PO ix
RE S
W D
CH
AM
e
SD
V- BE
AG
G
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LE
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IN
AI
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ag
oe
SA
IT
landscape.
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AC
M
E
IM
A
IE
Li
EN
IEA WEO 2018 SDS includes CCS but breakdown by energy type is not readily identifiable
p.8 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
Considering 2°C scenarios, continued World energy-related CO2 emissions relative to energy intensity and
CO2 emissions intensity
The assessed 2°C scenarios produce a variety of views on the potential impacts on global
energy demand in total and by specific types of energy. The scenarios also show a range of (kBTU of energy used per
dollar of global GDP)
possible growth rates for each type of energy. We have taken the average of the scenarios’
12
growth rates in order to consider potential impacts on energy demand for this report.(8) 2018 Outlook for Energy
Based on this analysis, primary energy demand on a worldwide basis is projected to 10 1980 18 billion tonnes CO2
2040 hypothetical 2oC
increase about 0.5 percent per year on average from 2010 to 2040. Expected demand in performance levels(9)
2040 varies by model and energy type (see 2°C chart on prior page): 8
2015 33 billion tonnes CO2
• Oil demand is projected on average to decline by about 0.4 percent per year
6
• Natural gas demand is expected on average to increase about 0.9 percent per year
2040 36 billion tonnes CO2
4
• The outlook for coal is the most negative, with diverse projections showing an average
decline of about 2.4 percent per year, or about a 50 percent decline by 2040
Level exceeded
2
• The projected growth rates for renewable energies and nuclear are generally quite
strong, averaging between 4 and 4.5 percent per year for non-bioenergy (e.g., hydro, 0
wind, solar) and bioenergy respectively, and about 3 percent per year for nuclear 0 20 40 60 80
All energy sources remain important across all the assessed 2°C scenarios, though the mix (Tonne CO2 per billion BTU of global energy)
of energy and technology shifts over time. Oil and natural gas remain important sources, Reducing CO2 emissions intensity of energy use
even in models with the lowest level of energy demand. Oil demand is projected to decline
modestly on average, and much more slowly than its natural rate of decline from existing
producing fields. Natural gas demand grows on average due to its many advantages, This chart shows global energy intensity (left axis) and CO2 emissions intensity (bottom axis).
including lower GHG emissions. As a result, new investments are required in both oil and
natural gas capacity to meet demand, even under the assessed 2°C scenarios. From 1980 to 2015, there have been large gains in efficiency, though energy-related CO2
emissions rose from 18 billion to 33 billion tonnes. The blue circle shown for 2040 indicates
Low-side energy growth rates for the above scenarios were also considered. The low-side these emissions are projected to be about 36 billion tonnes even with significant gains in
by energy source sees oil dropping 1.7 percent per year, natural gas dropping 0.8 percent efficiency and CO2 emissions intensity.
per year, and coal dropping 10.2 percent per year through 2040. This is compared with
high-side growth rates for bioenergy, nuclear and non-bio renewables of 14.1, 4.8 and 6.3 To be on a 450 ppm, or hypothetical 2°C pathway, the performance in 2040 likely needs to
percent per year, respectively. Even under these extremes, significant investments in oil and be significantly closer to the purple line, implying faster gains in efficiency and/or faster
natural gas capacity are required to offset natural field decline. reductions in CO2 emissions per unit of energy. This would increase the chance of reaching a
2°C pathway, with further gains required between 2040 and 2100.
Technology advances are expected to play a major role in accelerating progress toward a
2°C pathway. However, the International Energy Agency in 2018 estimated in its Tracking
Clean Energy Progress analysis that only four of 37 technologies are on track to help enable
reaching the Paris Agreement climate goals.
p.9 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
125 50 10
125
100% EV sensitivity Light-duty
liquids demand transportation
40 100% EV
t
100
100 Total liquids demand sensitivity
Outlook
75 Commercial 30
75 transportation
5 Other
renewables
50 20 Wind/Solar
50 Average new car fuel economy
of ~45 MPG in 2040 Chemicals Nuclear
(~50 MPG base assumption)
Light-duty liquids Gas
t
25 demand 25 10
Other industrial
t
Coal
~500 million electric vehicles
Power generation /
(~160 million base assumption)
Residential / Commercial
0 0 0 0 Oil
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
• Shaded ranges are indicative of potential shifts • Sensitivity assumes the global light-duty vehicle fleet • Electricity to power an all-electric light-duty vehicle
in global demand relative to base Outlook is 100 percent electric by 2040, requiring all new light- fleet could increase electricity demand by about
duty vehicle sales to be electric by 2025 15 percent in 2040 relative to the base Outlook
• Liquids demand could fall about 1.2 million
barrels per day for every additional 100 million • Battery manufacturing capacity for electric cars would • About 25 percent of the additional electricity would
electric vehicles on the road in 2040 need to increase by more than 50 times from recent be sourced by natural gas assuming a fuel mix for
levels by 2025 electricity generation consistent with the Outlook
• Trends in fuel economy gains lower than the
Outlook basis could add more than 2 million • Total liquids demand in 2040 could be in line with • Under a 100 percent light-duty EV sensitivity, total
barrels per day of liquids demand by 2040 levels seen in 2013 energy-related CO2 emissions in 2040 could be
reduced by about 5 percent
p.10 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
As a sensitivity analysis to our base Outlook, the left chart below depicts potential impacts to heavy-duty vehicle liquid demand related to changes in efficiency assumptions as well as
changes in the pace of alternative fuels penetration (sensitivity #1). The middle and right charts below depict a much deeper penetration of alternative fuels (sensitivity #2). Note that because
light-duty and heavy-duty fuels are produced from different segments within a barrel of oil, the impacts of light-duty and heavy-duty sensitivities on total liquids demand are independent and
not necessarily additive.
125 30 125
Base Outlook
Liquids demand
Total liquids demand Efficiency gains sensitivity #2 Heavy-duty
25
100 100 transportation
t
Electric/Hydrogen
20 Light-duty
75 Natural gas 75 transportation
Biofuels
15 Air / Marine / Rail
transportation
50 Historical rate of efficiency improvements 50
(~2x historical base assumptions) 10
Oil Liquids Chemicals
t
• Shaded ranges are indicative of potential shifts in • Hypothetical sensitivity to explore deep penetration of • Under sensitivity #2, total oil demand in the heavy-
global demand relative to the base Outlook, which alternative fuels; transition of the global vehicle fleet and duty sector could peak prior to 2025, declining by
includes faster energy intensity gains versus recent infrastructure build-out would need to accelerate 2040 to levels observed in the mid-2000s
global average significantly in the early 2020s
• Total liquids demand could peak by 2040 if this
• Liquids demand (including biofuels) in 2040 could fall • Sensitivity assumes 2040 share of alternative fuels such as penetration of alternative fuels in the heavy-duty
about 0.5 million barrels per day for every percent of electricity, biofuels, gas and hydrogen about three times the sector were realized
alternative fuels level in 2040 compared with the base Outlook at ~12%
• Increased electrification would likely drive increased
• Slower than expected efficiency improvements could • Transition assumes nearly 100% electrification of light demand for natural gas for both electricity and
add about 7 million barrels per day of liquids demand commercial vehicles, about 70% alternative fuels in medium hydrogen production
versus the base Outlook in 2040 commercial vehicles, and about 20% penetration of
alternative fuels in heavy-duty commercial vehicles
p.11 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
p.12 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
UP CLOSE:
Potential impact on proved reserves and
Significant investment still needed in 2°C scenarios
resources considering 2°C scenarios
Over the coming decades, oil and natural gas will continue to play a
critical role in meeting the world’s energy demand, even considering Considering the 2°C scenarios average, global liquids demand is projected to decline from 95 million barrels
the 2°C scenarios assessed in the previous section. The following per day in 2016 to about 78 million barrels per day in 2040. Using the lowest liquids demand growth rate
analysis is intended to address the potential impacts to the among the assessed 2°C scenarios, liquids demand would still be 53 million barrels per day in 2040, as seen
Company’s proved reserves(17) and resources(18) through 2040 and in the left chart below.(21) However, absent future investment, world liquids production to meet demand
beyond, considering the average of the assessed 2°C scenarios’ oil would be expected to decrease from 95 million barrels per day in 2016 to about 17 million barrels per day in
and natural gas growth rates (2°C scenarios average).(19) 2040. This decrease results from natural field decline, and the associated decline rate is expected to greatly
exceed the potential decline rate in global oil demand even under the lowest 2oC demand scenarios
At the end of 2017, ExxonMobil’s proved reserves totaled about
assessed. Natural gas natural field decline rates are generally similar to liquids.
21 billion oil-equivalent barrels, of which 57 percent were oil and
43 percent were natural gas. These proved reserves are assessed With the potential 2040 imbalance (absent future investment), the substantial majority of our proved reserves
annually and reported in our annual report on Form 10-K in that are projected to be produced by 2040 are clearly supported by ample demand, and therefore face little
accordance with the U.S. SEC rules. Proved reserves are the main risk related to the 2°C scenarios average.
driver of intrinsic value of an integrated oil and gas company’s
upstream operations.(20) Based on currently anticipated production Natural gas reserves face even less risk, as demand in 2040 is expected to increase under the 2°C scenarios
schedules, we estimate that by 2040 a substantial majority of our average versus 2016 demand levels.
year-end 2017 proved reserves will have been produced. Since the
Considering the IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario (a 2°C scenario), the IEA estimates that more than
2°C scenarios average implies significant use of oil and natural gas
$13 trillion of investment will be needed for oil and natural gas supply for 2018-2040.(22)
through the middle of the century, we believe these reserves face little
risk from declining demand.
Global liquids supply estimates Global natural gas supply estimates
(Million oil-equivalent barrels per day) (Billion cubic feet per day)
For the remaining year-end 2017 proved reserves that are projected
to be produced beyond 2040, the reserves are generally associated 120 700
t Outlook demand
with assets where the majority of development costs are incurred t High 2oC scenario
Existing o
before 2040. While these proved reserves may be subject to more 100 supplies t High 2 C scenario 600 demand
demand
stringent climate-related policies in the future, targeted investments 95
500 t Outlook demand
could mitigate production-related emissions and associated costs. In 80 t Additional liquids to t Additional natural gas to
78 meet average estimated Existing 445
Estimated meet average estimated
addition, these assets have generally lower risk given the technical natural demand based on 400 supplies
demand based on
60 decline in assessed 2oC scenarios assessed 2oC scenarios
knowledge that accumulates over many decades of production. the
370
Estimated
absence of t Low 2oC scenario 300 natural
Accordingly, the production of these reserves will likely remain further demand decline in
40 investment the t Low 2oC scenario
economic even under the 2°C scenarios average. 200 absence of demand
further
investment
20
For producing assets that do not currently meet the SEC’s definition 100
of proved reserves, we expect to continue producing these assets
0 add gas decline
0 rate
through the end of their economic lives. We continue to enhance the
2016 2040 2016 2040
long-term viability of these assets through increased efficiency, cost
Excludes biofuels
reductions, and the deployment of new technologies and processes. Source: IEA, EM analyses Source: IHS, EM analyses
p.13 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
UP CLOSE:
Potential impact on proved reserves and
resources considering 2°C scenarios, continued Reducing costs using technology to compete
Resources
At the end of 2017, ExxonMobil’s non-proved resources totaled about 76 billion oil-
Trillions of dollars of investment in oil and natural gas will be needed, even
equivalent barrels. The size and diversity of this undeveloped resource base provide us
considering a 2°C scenario. By leveraging high-impact technologies from our
with considerable flexibility to profitably develop new supplies to meet future energy
research organization, we can reduce costs and environmental impacts. This
demand and replenish our proved reserves. We also continue to enhance the quality of
positions our portfolio to continue to compete successfully.
our resources through successful exploration drilling, acquisitions, divestments, and
ongoing development planning and appraisal activities. Examples of technology-enabled cost and environmental footprint reductions:
The underlying economics of commercializing and producing resources are dependent on • Record-setting extended-reach wells in Sakhalin to significantly reduce drilling
a number of factors that are assessed using a dynamic resource development process, as costs and environmental footprints
highlighted further in the box on the following page. We seek to advance the best
resource opportunities and monetize or exit lower potential assets. As noted before, the • Full-physics modeling and next-generation completion designs for
world will continue to require significant investment in both liquids and natural gas, even unconventional developments to reduce drilling and improve recovery
under the assessed 2°C scenarios. Under the 2°C scenarios average, ExxonMobil still
• Combination of horizontal drilling with hydraulic fracturing to significantly
would need to replenish approximately 35 billion oil-equivalent barrels of proved reserves
reduce land surface footprint and cost
by 2040, assuming the Company retains its current share of global production over that
time period.(23)
Drilling and completion cost reduction
In light of the multiple factors that will influence decisions to commercialize undeveloped
resources, it is not possible to identify which specific assets ultimately will be operated Midland Basin horizontal wells
commercialized and produced. As we consider the implied oil and natural gas demand to ($/Oil-equivalent barrel)
2040 under the 2°C scenarios average, it is possible that some higher-cost assets, which
could be impacted by many factors including future climate-related policy, may not be 30
developed. We are confident, however, that the size, diversity and continued upgrading of
our undeveloped resources, along with technology developments, will enable the
ongoing replenishment of our proved reserves for decades to come under a range of
potential future demand scenarios.
20
73%
Reduction in development cost
We test our investments over a wide range of commodity price assumptions and market
conditions. Notably, the IEA’s estimates of future prices under its 2°C pathway fall within 10
the range we use to test our investments.(24) Additionally, over our long history we have
successfully competed in periods where supply exceeds demand. In such a business
environment, the lowest cost of supply will be advantaged. ExxonMobil’s long-standing 0
focus on efficiency and continuous improvement will position us to compete successfully. 2014 2015 2016 2017
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2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
Hebron Scarborough
The Hebron field in Eastern Canada was In contrast, we monetized Scarborough through sale of
originally discovered in 1980. Continuous the asset, which was originally discovered in 1979. After
reoptimization of the development an evaluation of our portfolio, we sold it in 2018 to
concept over multiple decades allowed enable ExxonMobil to focus on more profitable LNG
this field to be brought on line in 2017. opportunities.
Development Development
Resource Develop
planning decision
p.15 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
Upstream
Even in the assessed 2°C scenarios, oil and natural gas remain important energy types over time. By 2040, oil
demand is projected to decline modestly, while natural gas demand is projected to grow. Upstream's focus on
2017
leading-edge technologies, coupled with industry-leading financial capacity, has enabled ExxonMobil to Prices 0
capture our best investment portfolio in decades. Our growth opportunities are geographically diverse and $47/bbl $64/bbl $88/bbl $65/bbl $98/bbl
are expected to yield attractive returns, even in a low-price environment. As one of the largest natural gas
producers in the United States, and a significant producer of liquefied natural gas around the world, we are
well-positioned for the demand shift from coal to natural gas for power generation and industrial use.
chemical and lubricant manufacturing facilities. ExxonMobil refining is a leader in energy efficiency.(26) In
addition, we continue to deploy technologies in our refineries to improve the mix of products consistent with ExxonMobil Chemical average earnings(27)
demand trends (see top right chart). This continuous high-grading of our portfolio has positioned our Fuels & (Billion USD)
Lubricants business to remain competitive across a wider range of potential future scenarios. 4
Chemical
ExxonMobil Chemical Company's annual earnings have grown from less than $1 billion USD in 1987 to more
than $4 billion USD in 2017. Demand for our products has doubled since 2000, outpacing GDP growth in
many regions. Over the next few decades, we expect this demand to continue to grow at about 4 percent
annually. Investment in technology and new capacity enables us to support the growing demand for chemical
products worldwide. We have a strong market position in every business line we operate, particularly in high-
performance products such as advanced materials that make cars lighter and more fuel efficient, and
materials for packaging that reduces the energy needed to ship goods around the world. And we are
0
committed to helping our customers reduce their GHG emissions while meeting the growing demand for
Decade ending 1987 1997 2007 2017
these products.
p.16 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
Developing scalable
technology solutions
ExxonMobil has been at the forefront of many technologies that have enabled energy to be employees working in our R&D organizations around the world to potentially accelerate
produced and delivered in a safe, affordable and sustainable manner. Our ability to reliably the delivery of new technologies.
provide for society's energy needs today were unimaginable when the industry first emerged.
Over the past century, we have seen firsthand how technology has enabled us to respond to We are advancing fundamental science and applying technologies in a number of areas
the ever-changing energy landscape (see our innovation timeline below, noting significant that could lead to breakthroughs, redefining our manufacturing processes and products.
innovation by our scientists and engineers). As the world demands more energy and fewer We have ongoing work in advanced biofuels, catalysts, materials and manufacturing
emissions, we are well-positioned to develop scalable, high-impact solutions to reduce processes. Successful developments here could change our future and our impact on the
emissions in power generation, industry and transportation. Our work with university energy environment. We are excited about the promise of this portfolio and have devoted the
centers enables us to extend the technical capabilities of our 2,200 scientists and 5,000 next few pages to elaborate on each program's criticality in addressing the Paris
Agreement goals.
p.17 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
Since 1970, ExxonMobil has cumulatively captured more CO2 than any other company -
Cumulative CO2 capture volume since 1970
accounting for more than 40 percent of cumulative CO2 captured.(28) We have a working
(Million tonnes)
interest in more than one-fifth of the world’s carbon capture capacity, capturing nearly
7 million tonnes of CO2 in 2017. While a leader in CCS, we are looking to expand our capacity
and are evaluating multiple opportunities that have the potential to be commercially viable
through the convergence of advantaged technologies and a supportive policy environment.
Company A
ExxonMobil is working to develop new CO2 capture technologies with a goal of reducing
Company B
costs, complexity of operation and need for large initial capital investments. For example,
ExxonMobil and FuelCell Energy, Inc. have partnered to develop CO2 capture technologies
Company C
using carbonate fuel cells. This novel approach has the potential to be less costly and easier to
operate than existing technologies, while being deployable in a modular fashion with Company D
applicability to multiple industry settings.
Sum of remaining 39 companies
ExxonMobil is also researching subsurface CO2 storage capability by leveraging decades of
experience in the exploration, development and production of hydrocarbon resources. This
expertise is key to permanently storing CO2 deep underground safely and securely. For
example, we are collaborating with leading universities around the world to better characterize
subsurface storage capacity and develop improved CO2 monitoring technologies and
techniques.
Advancing scalable technologies is only one part of achieving large-scale deployment of CCS.
Equal policy treatment of CCS, relative to other low-carbon energy solutions, is also needed.
While policies will need to create financial drivers, measures to create favorable regulatory and
legal environments are also needed. These measures will need to address a wide range of
issues, such as potential legal uncertainty of storage space ownership, and reasonable
measurement, reporting and verification standards for injected CO2. ExxonMobil actively
advocates for appropriate policy measures to encourage the large-scale deployment of CCS.
The Shute Creek Gas Plant in Wyoming. CCS will be an important long-term
technology to reduce emissions.
p.18 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
p.19 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
Process intensification
Taking the emissions out of manufacturing ExxonMobil and Georgia Tech are advancing a “reverse osmosis” membrane (see left
The manufacturing sector of the economy – which produces fuel, plastic, steel, cement, diagram) that could be 50 times more efficient than today’s separation techniques. In
textiles and other building blocks of modern life – accounts for about one-third of the addition, with Spain’s Instituto de Tecnología Química (ITQ), we are developing shape-
world’s energy-related CO2 emissions – more than transportation and second only to power selective zeolites that can separate ethylene from ethane using adsorption rather than via
generation. Demand for industrial products is expected to grow as economies expand and cryogenic distillation, which is more energy intensive.
standards of living rise in the developing world.
Catalysts: Drawing upon decades of leadership in catalysis and newer tools such as 3D
To meet this demand, the world will need manufacturing solutions that are more energy- printing, ExxonMobil is developing state-of-the-art catalysts and fabrication methods,
and GHG-efficient than those currently used. Significant emissions savings would be which can greatly improve the efficiency of the chemical reactions used to produce
possible if the manufacturing processes could be redesigned to require much less heat and transportation fuels and petrochemicals.
energy than they currently do, via advanced separations, catalysts and process
High efficiency reactors: ExxonMobil is working to transform how hydrocarbons are
configurations. That’s why ExxonMobil is targeting breakthrough research in these
processed and turned into other useful products. By focusing on thermal efficiency, modern
technologies as part of our broader effort in process intensification.
reactor design and process miniaturization, we are developing novel solutions to make
Highlights of process intensification efforts include: products far more efficiently than with traditional manufacturing technologies. Our
research also focuses on reactors that can expand the options for using natural gas, an
Advanced separations: New materials and processes may provide a step-change reduction
abundant, lower-carbon fuel.
in energy use by augmenting conventional separations processes, such as distillation.
Organic solvent
reverse osmosis
A new organic solvent reverse osmosis process with This new material, in conjunction with other separation technologies, The modern oxo alcohol reactor in Singapore (on the
a novel carbon-based membrane to separate liquid could reduce the amount of energy needed for light hydrocarbon far right) has the same reactor volume as four large
hydrocarbons with much less energy is under purification. loop reactors combined (to the left), but with a much
development. smaller footprint.
p.20 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
Engaging on climate-
related policy
ExxonMobil believes that the long-term objective of effective policy should be to reduce the risks of climate
change at the lowest societal cost, while balancing increased demand for affordable energy and better
addressing poverty, education, health and energy security concerns.
Climate change is a global issue that requires the collaboration of governments, private companies, consumers
and other stakeholders to create meaningful solutions. We engage with stakeholders directly and through trade
associations around the world to encourage sound policy solutions for addressing climate change risks. Our
scientists have contributed climate research and related policy analysis in more than 50 papers in peer-reviewed
publications, collaborated with top universities and national labs, and participated in the IPCC since its inception
in 1988, including co-authoring chapters of IPCC scientific reports.
For more than a decade, ExxonMobil has supported an economy-wide price on CO2 emissions as an efficient
policy mechanism to address GHG emissions. Consistent with this position, ExxonMobil is also a founding member
of the Climate Leadership Council (CLC). Formed in 2017, the CLC calls for the adoption of a carbon fee with the
revenues returned to Americans coupled with regulatory simplification.
ExxonMobil has also provided financial support for the 501(c)(4) organization “Americans for Carbon Dividends,” a
national education and advocacy campaign launched in 2018 to promote the policy pillars of the CLC.
UP CLOSE:
Oil and Gas Climate Initiative Attributes of sound policy
• Promote global participation
This CEO-led organization focuses on developing practical solutions in areas • Minimize complexity and administrative costs
including carbon capture and storage, methane emissions reductions, and • Maximize transparency
energy and transportation efficiency. As part of the initiative, ExxonMobil will
support its investments in technology development and deployment of long- • Provide flexibility for future adjustments to react to
term solutions to reduce GHG emissions, and participate in partnerships and developments in technology, climate science and policy
multi-stakeholder initiatives that will pursue lower-emission technologies.
p.21 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
Natural gas Lightweight materials and packaging Butyl rubber Advanced fuels and lubricants
Natural gas emits up to 60 percent fewer Demand for auto parts, housing materials, ExxonMobil is the global leader in Our integrated Fuels & Lubricants
GHG emissions and produces electronics and other products made from producing advanced halobutyl rubber, business produces differentiated fuels
significantly less air pollutants than coal petrochemicals continues to grow. We which is used to make tire innerliners. A and lubricants to meet evolving
for power generation. It is an ideal produce weight-reducing materials that synthetic innerliner keeps tires inflated for consumer needs. We leverage our
source of reliable power and can result in an estimated 7 percent fuel longer and prevents oxygen from competitive manufacturing assets to
supplement intermittent renewable economy improvement for every entering and degrading the tire. By produce high-quality products such as
energy. In 2016, natural gas overtook 10 percent reduction in vehicle weight. improving air retention, halobutyl Synergy-brand gasoline, Diesel Efficient-
coal as the leading energy source for At current volumes, the materials produced innerliners increase fuel economy and brand diesel fuel, marine fuels and
electricity generation in the U.S., which is by industry could potentially result in lower emissions. This application in motor aviation fuels. Our lubricants help
one of the drivers in reducing CO2 40 million tonnes per year CO2 savings.(36) vehicles could avoid up to 30 million minimize operational costs through
emissions to 25-year lows.(35) We also provide lightweight packaging tonnes per year CO2 emissions.(37) improved energy efficiency and extended
ExxonMobil is one of the largest natural materials that result in less transportation- equipment life. Synergy fuels yield better
gas producers in the U.S. and is a leader related energy use and GHG emissions. gas mileage, reduce emissions and
in liquefied natural gas. Advanced packaging also helps extend the improve engine responsiveness.
shelf life of fresh food by days or even
weeks, improving safety and reducing food
waste and agricultural inputs.
p.22 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY STRATEGY
ExxonMobil has a robust set of processes to improve energy efficiency and mitigate In 2017, along with several industry peers, we signed a Methane Guiding Principles
emissions. These processes include, where appropriate, setting tailored objectives at the document that provides a framework for continually reducing methane emissions, improving
business, site and equipment level, and then stewarding progress toward meeting those accuracy of methane emissions data, and advocating for sound policies and regulations. In
objectives. We believe this rigorous approach is effective to promote efficiencies and reduce 2018, we joined the Oil and Gas Climate Initiative (OGCI), working with other industry
GHG emissions in our operations. members collaboratively toward solutions to mitigate the risks of climate change.
In the near term, we are working on increasing energy efficiency while reducing flaring, We continue to actively pursue economic opportunities to deploy proven technologies, such
venting and fugitive emissions in our operations. We also leverage monitoring technology to as CCS and cogeneration, to improve energy efficiency and emissions performance.
minimize and reduce GHG emissions. We continue to grow our capacity in cogeneration and
carbon capture. Since 2000, these programs have eliminated or captured 400 million tonnes
of CO2, which is equivalent to the energy-related CO2 emissions associated with about
55 million U.S. homes.
ExxonMobil GHG emissions reductions(38) GHG emissions reduction from carbon capture GHG emissions reduction from cogeneration
(Net equity, CO2 equivalent emissions (Net equity, CO2 equivalent emissions (Net equity, CO2 equivalent emissions
cumulative since 2000, millions tonnes) Million tonnes per year) Million tonnes per year)
8 8
Carbon capture
and storage 6 6
Energy efficiency
& cogeneration
~ 400
million 4 4
Flare
reduction tonnes 2 2
0 0
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
p.23 | exxonmobil.com
ExxonMobil has established programs to drive
improvements in energy efficiency and mitigate GHG
emissions. These programs are supported by key
performance metrics, which are utilized to identify and
prioritize opportunities to drive progress.
METRICS &
TARGETS
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY METRICS & TARGETS
In 2018 we announced GHG emissions reduction measures that are expected to lead to considerable improvements 160
in emissions performance when compared with 2016 levels. These included: 140
120
100
• 15 percent reduction in methane emissions by 2020 compared with 2016 (see page 26)
80
60
• 25 percent reduction in flaring by 2020 compared with 2016
40
20
• 10 percent GHG emissions intensity reduction at Imperial operated oil sands by 2023 compared with 2016
0
(see page 27)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
ExxonMobil invests heavily in lower-emission energy solutions such as cogeneration, flare reduction, energy efficiency,
biofuels, carbon capture and storage and other technologies. Since 2000 we have spent more than $9 billion on Actual Avoided
lower-emission energy solutions.
Over the past several years, ExxonMobil’s GHG emissions have remained relatively flat as a result of efficiency
improvements that have offset increases in production intensity. We have made great progress toward offsetting
emissions resulting from implementation of our growth plans by working to reduce emissions from our operations. ExxonMobil Operated GHG Emissions Sources
(2015-2017 average)
Our commitment to mitigating emissions from our operations is unwavering. That said, it is important to understand
that while ExxonMobil continues to strive to mitigate emissions, our absolute emission levels are impacted by the size Venting/Fugitives
and composition of our asset portfolio.
Flaring
While we have made progress in reducing emissions, we will continue to apply new thinking and new technologies to
successfully meet the energy and environmental challenges of the future. We will also continue to explore
opportunities to lower GHG emissions across the energy value chain.
Energy Use
Reduce methane emissions Reduce Imperial operated oil Improve energy efficiency in our Advance carbon capture and
and flaring sands GHG intensity facilities storage deployment
p.25 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY METRICS & TARGETS
UP CLOSE:
Taking actions to reduce methane emissions
XTO PROGRESS
In 2017, ExxonMobil subsidiary XTO Energy Inc. (XTO) reduced Leak detection and repair
methane emissions from its operations by 9 percent since 2016, Through the company’s expanded leak detection and repair
demonstrating significant progress in its emissions reduction program, progress has been made in verifying data and
program and other initiatives. identifying components with a high potential to leak. This data
will be used to prioritize equipment for replacement or
In 2017, XTO implemented a methane management program to implementation in new designs.
mitigate emissions associated with its operations. The program
includes a leak detection and repair program, a commitment to Research
phase out high-bleed pneumatic devices over three years,
In April 2018, XTO began a pilot program at its James Ranch
extensive personnel training, and facility design improvements
facility in New Mexico to evaluate new technologies in its efforts
for new operations. Additionally, an extensive research program
seeks to increase understanding of facility and basin methane
emissions, and develop improved detection, measurement and
to reduce emissions. The facility incorporates low-emission
technologies and will serve as a model for future development.
9%
ExxonMobil remains active in ongoing methane research. METHANE
mitigation technologies. XTO has gained significant insight from REDUCTION
ExxonMobil and other leading energy companies formed a new
the data collected through the program and is building on past IN 2017
industry-led research consortium, the Collaboratory to Advance
learnings to make continued progress in reducing emissions and
Methane Science (CAMS), to better understand global methane
identifying areas for further improvement.
emissions, and identify additional solutions.
High-bleed pneumatic device phase-out
As of June 2018, XTO has phased out approximately two-thirds
of existing high-bleed pneumatic devices across its U.S.
Advocacy
We are also active in pursuing sound policies, and we support
reasonable, cost-effective regulations. For example, ExxonMobil
2/3
operations. HIGH-BLEED PNEUMATIC
submitted a letter to the EPA rulemaking docket indicating DEVICES PHASED OUT
support for reasonable, cost-effective regulations to manage AS OF JUNE 2018
Improved facility design
methane emissions from new and existing sources. We have also
Low-emission design technologies are also being deployed in
engaged with states advancing their own regulatory programs,
new developments, such as in the Permian Basin in West Texas
most recently in New Mexico and Pennsylvania.
and New Mexico. These technologies include improved tank
emission control design and the installation of instrument air
packages, which use compressed air instead of natural gas to
actuate pneumatic controllers at new tank batteries and
compressor stations.
p.26 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY METRICS & TARGETS
NEXT-GENERATION TECHNOLOGIES
UP CLOSE:
Imperial oil sands GHG intensity reduction 10% Up to Up to
Decrease in GHG
emissions intensity at
Imperial's operated oil
25%
Reduction in GHG
90%
sands facilities by 2023, Reduction in GHG
ExxonMobil's Canadian affiliate Imperial is working to apply advanced compared to 2016 level emissions intensity and emissions intensity and
technologies and improvements in efficiency to reduce the GHG emissions water usage intensity elimination of steam for
intensity of its operated oil sands facilities. Its work builds on a long-standing through solvent-assisted, recovery through cyclic
steam-assisted gravity solvent process
commitment to improve the environmental footprint and economics of
drainage technology technology
production associated with its oil sands operations.
In addition, following a $100 million, multi-year pilot at its Cold Lake facility,
Imperial is evaluating a commercial application of its breakthrough cyclic
solvent process, which could dramatically reduce the use of steam and reduce Photo illustration based on Imperial's
emissions intensity by up to 90 percent in certain areas of Imperial’s Cold Lake Cold Lake location, using SA-SAGD
technology.
field.
p.27 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY METRICS & TARGETS
Cogeneration
UP CLOSE:
Cogeneration (also referred to as combined heat and power) is the simultaneous
ExxonMobil Singapore Jurong cogeneration plant
generation of both electricity and useful heat from a heat engine or a power station.
With completion of the plant, ExxonMobil now has more than 440 megawatts of
cogeneration capacity in Singapore and is able to meet the majority of its power and
steam needs for the integrated refining and petrochemical complex.
Typical facility
The cogeneration plant is expected to improve the Singapore Refinery’s energy
efficiency, resulting in a net reduction of 265,000 tonnes per year of CO2 equivalent
emissions. This emissions reduction is equivalent to removing more than 90,000 cars
Fuel Fuel from roads.
Power plant Facility Boilers This additional cogeneration capacity builds on ExxonMobil’s interests in about 100
cogeneration installations at more than 30 locations around the world.
~6 M
and creates fewer emissions.
Electricity
5.4 GW AVOIDED TONNES PER YEAR
GLOBAL CAPACITY
Fuel Facility CO2 EQUIVALENT
Steam ~100 INSTALLATIONS
Heat
Gas turbine
Heat recovery
steam generator
p.28 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY METRICS & TARGETS
Bakersfield-based Aera Energy, a joint venture between ExxonMobil and Shell, and GlassPoint Alcoa Corp
Solar are set to build California’s largest solar energy project. The integrated project will be
the first of its kind in the world to use solar-generated steam and electricity to power oil field
operations and is expected to start producing 26.5 MW electricity and Apple
12 million barrels of steam per year as early as 2020.
Google
Partner with City of Baton Rouge to utilize landfill offgas Solar Wind
EVRAZ
At our Baton Rouge Polyolefins Plant, approximately 850 million standard cubic feet of
reclaimed landfill gas is used yearly for fuel to produce steam instead of burned as a waste
stream by the City of Baton Rouge. Using this biogas as fuel for the plant steam boilers results PROJECT POTENTIAL GHG REDUCTION CAPACITY
in approximately 30,000 tonnes of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) reduction per year. This facility has
been operating since 2010.
and discover new routes to high-efficiency, low-cost and low-carbon intensity photovoltaics. photovoltaic ESTIMATED TONNES
facility OF CO2e PER YEAR
Lithium-sulfur batteries — Exploring step-change improvements in volumetric energy density 26.5 MW
in Lithium-sulfur batteries to extend driving range of electric vehicles. Lithium-Sulfur batteries PHOTOVOLTAIC FACILITY
may offer improved storage capacity and lower cost than today's lithium-ion batteries.
p.29 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY METRICS & TARGETS
(44)
Emissions associated with imported power 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8
CO2 (excluding emissions from exported power and heat) 122 119 122 124 120 119 116 115 116 115
(42)
GHG emissions, normalized (net equity, CO2-equivalent emissions), tonnes per 100 tonnes of throughput or production
Upstream 21.0 20.1 20.5 20.7 22.3 23.2 23.9 23.9 24.3 24.6
Downstream 21.0 21.0 20.8 20.0 19.6 19.7 19.2 18.9 19.5 18.6
Chemical 59.8 60.7 57.9 57.2 56.3 57.0 53.4 53.6 52.2 53.3
Africa/Europe/Middle East 45 43 45 45 44 44 43 44 44 43
Americas 62 62 64 66 68 70 66 65 63 63
Asia Pacific 19 18 17 17 14 13 14 13 16 16
Upstream 49 47 50 54 56 58 56 56 57 58
Downstream 57 56 55 54 51 49 47 45 45 43
Chemical 20 20 21 20 19 20 21 21 21 21
Carbon dioxide - captured for storage, millions of tonnes 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0 4.8 5.9 6.9 6.9 6.3 6.6
Energy use (billion gigajoules) 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5
Upstream (gigajoules per tonnes production) 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5
Refining (gigajoules per tonnes throughput) 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9
Chemical (gigajoules per tonnes product) 10.1 9.8 9.5 11.4 12.0 10.9 10.7 10.9 10.6 10.5
Hydrocarbon flaring (worldwide activities), millions of tonnes 5.7 4.4 3.6 4.0 3.5 3.7 4.5 5.3 5.0 3.8
(45)
Cogeneration capacity in which we have interest, gigawatts 4.6 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.4
p.30 | exxonmobil.com
RISK
MANAGEMENT
ExxonMobil’s approach to risk governance includes clearly defined roles and responsibilities
for managing each type of risk, utilizing a multi-layered approach. This multi-layered
approach includes a definition of the responsibilities of risk owners, functional experts and
independent verifiers. Each risk type is managed and supported by functional organizations
that are responsible for specifying corporate requirements and processes, appropriate to
the risk being managed. Each of these processes includes the critical elements of
leadership, people, risk identification and management, and continuous improvement.
Oversight responsibilities by the Management Committee and the Board and it's
committees, as described on page 4, are a key part of risk governance.
Managing long-term risks associated with climate change is an integral part of managing
strategic risks at ExxonMobil. A core element of our management of strategic risks is our
annual Outlook for Energy. The Outlook reflects a long-term, data-driven approach to help
promote a deeper understanding of global trends and projections related to population and
economic growth, energy demand and supply options, as well as assessments of key
uncertainties and potential impacts of alternative assumptions. Uncertainties include
changes in economic growth, the evolution of energy demand and/or supply, emerging and
disruptive technologies, and policy goals and actions, in part to address climate change
risks. The Outlook helps inform our business strategies and our assumptions and processes
for evaluating our investment opportunities. Managing risk associated with climate change
is an integral part of that work, helping to ground our choices related to long-term
strategies and individual investments.
p.32 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY RISK MANAGEMENT
UP CLOSE:
Resiliency: Protection of our assets, the community and the environment
When considering physical environmental risks, we evaluate the type and location of our
current and planned facilities. As an example, offshore facilities could be impacted by
changes in wave and wind intensity as well as by changes in ice floe patterns, while
onshore facilities could be vulnerable to sea level rise, changes in storm surge or geo-
technical considerations. Environmental assessments are conducted in advance to ensure
that protective measures and procedures are in place prior to building and start-up of the
facilities.
Our facilities are designed, constructed and operated to withstand a variety of extreme
weather and environmental conditions. We use historical experience with additional safety Design standards provide for resiliency and Design standards ensure resiliency of assets
environmental protection
factors to cover a range of uncertainties. After construction of a facility, we monitor and
manage ongoing facility integrity, such as through periodic checks on key aspects of the
structures. In addition, we regularly participate with major engineering societies and
industry groups to assess and update engineering standards.
Once facilities are in operation, we maintain disaster preparedness, response and business
continuity plans. Detailed, well-practiced and continuously improved emergency response
plans tailored to each facility help ExxonMobil prepare for unplanned events, including
extreme weather. Regular emergency drills are practiced in partnership with appropriate
government agencies and community coalitions to help ensure readiness and minimize
the impacts of such events.
p.33 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY DISCLOSURES
ExxonMobil is committed to providing our shareholders with disclosures that impart meaningful insights about our business, including how we manage climate-related risks. This report,
along with the rest of our comprehensive set of disclosures, relating to climate-related matters, follow the framework established by IPIECA, including IPIECA’s Climate Change Reporting
Framework(46). In addition, this year’s report is further enhanced by aligning with the core elements of the TCFD framework. IPIECA members represent a significant portion of the world’s
oil and natural gas production, including state oil companies, and is the industry’s principal channel of communication with the United Nations. This broad, global membership enables a
reporting framework that is tailored to the petroleum industry and better permits comparisons of member companies on a more consistent and standardized basis.
Web links to our other various climate-related disclosures are highlighted below:
Existing policy frameworks (including the Paris NDCs), financial flows, and the availability of cost-effective technologies indicate that society is not currently on a 2°C pathway. Should
society choose to more aggressively pursue a 2°C pathway, we will be positioned to contribute through our engagement on policy, development of needed technologies, improved
operations, and customer solutions.
p.34 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY FOOTNOTES
(1) OECD – Organisation for Economic Co-operation and (7) Excerpt from Adoption of the Paris Agreement Proposal by (12) Total electricity delivered as a percentage of total final energy
Development. the President dated December 12, 2015, Article II, paragraph 17, demand increases from 18% to 28% on average across the 13
'Notes with concern that the estimated aggregate greenhouse assessed 2°C scenarios referenced in this report.
(2) Article 4 paragraph 2 of the Paris Agreement https:// gas emission levels in 2025 and 2030 resulting from the intended
unfccc.int/files/meetings/paris_nov_2015/application/pdf/ nationally determined contributions do not fall within least-cost (13) Under the assessed 2°C scenarios, the average growth rate
paris_agreement_english_.pdf 2˚C scenarios but rather lead to a projected level of for oil demand is -0.36% from 2010 to 2040, which implies a
55 gigatonnes in 2030, and also notes that much greater decrease in absolute level of demand in 2040 by ~10% relative to
(3) IEA, Perspectives for the Energy Transition, page 57. 2010 levels, which is near 2000 levels. Oil demand has increased
emission reduction efforts will be required than those associated
with the intended nationally determined contributions in order to about 9% since 2010, hence it would require a demand decrease
(4) “EMF was established at Stanford in 1976 to bring together
hold the increase in the global average temperature to below of ~20% to reach the same 2040 level relative to today’s demand.
leading experts and decision makers from government,
2˚C above pre-industrial levels by reducing emissions to Trends toward a level close to 2000 would imply oil used in road
industry, universities, and other research organizations to study
40 gigatonnes or to 1.5˚C above pre-industrial levels by reducing transportation trends toward 30 Moebd, and oil used for aviation
important energy and environmental issues. For each study, the
to a level to be identified in the special report referred to in and marine trends toward 9 Moebd.
Forum organizes a working group to develop the study design,
analyze and compare each model’s results and discuss key paragraph 21 below'.
(14) Based on average global demand growth rates under
conclusions.” https://emf.stanford.edu/about assessed 2°C scenarios.
(8) The assessed 2°C scenarios produce a variety of views on the
EMF is supported by grants from the U.S. Department of potential impacts on global energy demand in total and by
(15) Based on average global demand growth rates under
Energy, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency as well as specific types of energy, with a range of possible growth rates for
assessed 2°C scenarios.
industry affiliates including ExxonMobil. each type of energy as illustrated in this report. Since it is
https://emf.stanford.edu/industry-affiliates impossible to know which elements, if any, of these models are (16) PwC: Time to Get on With it, The Low Carbon Economy
correct, we used an average of all 13 scenarios to approximate Index 2018, page 2. Figure 1: Low Carbon Economy Index 2018:
(5) To understand some of the characteristics of future growth rates for various energy types as a means to estimate Transition pathways.
transition pathways, we analyzed energy and emissions data trends to 2040 indicative of hypothetical 2°C pathways.
from a range of EMF27 stabilization, policy and technology (17) For the purposes of this report, proved reserves are year-end
targets, primarily focusing on 450 and 550 stabilization targets, (9) Based on the average of assessed 2°C scenarios’ CO2 2017 proved oil and gas reserves for consolidated subsidiaries
as well as no-policy cases that utilize a full suite of technologies. emissions (~20 billion tonnes including energy and industrial and equity companies as reported in the Corporation’s Annual
The suite of full technologies (FT) includes a range of options, processes), ExxonMobil GDP assumptions are consistent with Report on Form 10-K. Proved oil and gas reserves are
including: energy efficiency, nuclear, carbon capture and 2018 Outlook for Energy. determined in accordance with Securities and Exchange
storage (CCS), biofuels and non-bio renewables such as solar Commission (SEC) requirements. Proved reserves are those
(10) Based on the average of the assessed 2°C scenarios
and wind. The EMF27 study considered other technology- quantities of oil and gas which, by analysis of geoscience and
referenced in this report, the combination of renewables, nuclear
limited scenarios, but a key finding was that the unavailability of engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to
and fossil fuels using CCS is estimated in these scenarios to
carbon capture and storage and limited availability of bioenergy be economically producible under existing economic and
increase significantly as a percentage of total primary energy
had a large impact on feasibility and cost. Given the potential operating conditions and government regulations. Proved
demand, rising from approximately 10% in 2010 to roughly 40%
advantages to society of utilizing all available technology reserves are determined using the average of first-of-month oil
in 2040.
options, we focused on capturing the results of different and natural gas prices during the reporting year.
EMF27 models that ran 450-FT cases; we were able to
(11) Electricity delivered from fossil fuels without CCS as a
download data for 13 such scenarios, and utilized that data as (18) For the purposes of this disclosure, resources are total
percentage of total electricity delivered decreases from 66% to
provided for analysis purposes (most of the scenarios had remaining estimated quantities of discovered quantities of oil and
20% on average from 2010 to 2040 under the assessed 2°C
projections extending from 2010 to 2100). Data downloaded gas that are expected to be ultimately recoverable. The resource
scenarios. Share of electricity from non-bioenergy renewables
from: https://secure.iiasa.ac.at/web-apps/ene/AR5DB base includes proved reserves and quantities of oil and gas that
(e.g., wind, solar, hydro) increases from less than 20% to ~35%.
are not yet classified as proved reserves. At year-end 2017, the
Share of electricity generation utilizing CCS increases to about
(6) EMF27 cases include CO2 emissions from energy and total resource base totaled approximately 97 billion of oil-
20%. Share of electricity from nuclear increases from ~15% to
industrial process. equivalent barrels including 21 billion oil-equivalent barrels of
~20% (implies double the level of nuclear capacity from 2016 to
proved reserves.
900 GW).
p.35 | exxonmobil.com
2019 ENERGY & CARBON SUMMARY FOOTNOTES CONTINUED
(19) To estimate global demand in 2040 for oil and natural gas, the (27) Exxon only before 1999. The average is based upon a 10- (38) Our calculations are based on the guidance provided in API’s
average of the assessed 2°C scenarios’ growth rates for oil and year interval. Compendium of Greenhouse Gas Emission Estimation
natural gas covering the period 2010-2040 have been applied to Methodologies for the Oil and Gas Industry and IPIECA’s
standard baseline estimates of oil and natural gas demand in (28) Source: Global CCS Institute. Data updated as of April Petroleum Industry Guidelines for Reporting Greenhouse Gas
2010. 2018 and based on cumulative anthropogenic carbon dioxide Emissions. We report GHG emissions on a net equity basis for
capture volume. Anthropogenic CO2, for the purposes of this our business operations, demonstrating a share of emissions
(20) IHS: Climate-Related Financial Risk and the Oil and Gas calculation, means CO2 that without carbon capture and from any facility or operation in which ExxonMobil holds a
Sector, page 23. storage would have been emitted to the atmosphere, including, financial interest, with the share reflecting the equity interest.
but not limited to: reservoir CO2 from gas fields; CO2 emitted
(21) The assessed 2°C scenarios growth rates imply a range in during production and CO2 emitted during combustion. It does (39) Governmental, legal or regulatory changes could directly or
2040 global oil demand from about 53 to 103 Moebd and for not include natural CO2 produced solely for enhanced oil indirectly delay or otherwise impact GHG emission intensity
2040 global natural gas demand from about 265 to 625 BCFD. recovery. reduction measures.
(22) IEA: World Energy Outlook 2018. (29) U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Nameplate (40) Source: BloombergNEF. The data were downloaded from
Fuel Ethanol Plant Production Capacity as of January 1, 2018. BloombergNEF on Dec 13, 2018 and based on total wind and
(23) Hypothetical cumulative production determined by
solar power purchase agreements signed in 2018.
proportioning ExxonMobil’s 2016 average daily production (Form (30) “In 2007, the United States harvested 86.5 million
10-K, page 8) and 2016 average daily global oil and gas acres of corn at a yield of 151.1 bushel per acre (41) Some uncertainty exists in performance data, depending on
production to estimated 2040 average daily production (assuming (http://www.nass.usda.gov/QuickStats/). Based on these measurement methods. Data in the report and performance data
ExxonMobil’s current market share and 100% proved reserves figures, one acre of corn would produce about 423 gallons per table represent best available information at the time of
replacement to maintain its proved reserves consistent with its acre.” https://articles.extension.org/pages/14044/corn- publication. Performance data are reported for our affiliates and
production ratio at the end of 2016) and implied oil and gas ethanol-production those operations under direct ExxonMobil management and
demand from the 2°C scenarios average. Assumed linear decline operational control. Includes XTO Energy performance beginning
of estimated average daily production through 2040. (31) Chisti Y (2007) Biodiesel from microalgae. Biotechnology in 2011.
Adv 25:294-306.
(24) IEA: Perspectives for the Energy Transition, page 56. Estimate (42) The net equity GHG emissions metric was introduced in
for IEA crude oil and natural gas and future prices for 2020, 2030 (32) Nelson VC, Starcher KL. Introduction to renewable energy 2011 as a replacement for the direct equity GHG emissions
and 2040. (energy and the environment). 2015; page 243. metric. Information has been restated back to 2005 according to
the new metric. The net equity GHG emissions metric includes
(25) As used here “carrying value” is our property, plant and (33) “Algae store energy in the form of oils and carbohydrates,
direct and imported GHG emissions and excludes emissions from
equipment (PPE) net of accumulated depreciation. ExxonMobil’s which, combined with their high productivity, means they can
exports (including Hong Kong Power through mid-2014).
carrying value of property, plant and equipment as of September produce from 2,000 to as many as 5,000 gallons of biofuels per
ExxonMobil reports GHG emissions on a net equity basis for all
30, 2018, was approximately $249 billion. The reference to “less acre per year.” http://allaboutalgae.com/benefits/
our business operations, reflecting our percent ownership in an
than 5 percent of ExxonMobil’s total carrying value of property,
(34) National Renewable Energy Laboratory: A Look Back at asset.
plant and equipment” is calculated by taking the PPE carrying
value of ExxonMobil’s resource base and subtracting from it the the U.S. Department of Energy's Aquatic Species Program:
(43) The addition of direct emissions and emissions associated
PPE carrying values of ExxonMobil’s proved reserves, its producing Biodiesel from Algae; Close-Out Report. 1998.
with exported power and heat is equivalent to World Resources
assets that do not currently meet the SEC’s definition of proved https://www.nrel.gov/docs/legosti/fy98/24190.pdf
Institute (WRI) Scope 1.
reserves, its unconventional liquids assets and its natural gas
(35) API: Natural gas and industry innovation continues to help
assets, and comparing this resulting value against ExxonMobil’s (44) These emissions are equivalent to WRI Scope 2.
drive US GHG emissions reductions.
total PPE carrying value as of September 30, 2018.
(45) Cumulative figure.
(36) Ecofys: Greenhouse gas emission reductions enabled by
(26) Solomon Associates. Solomon Associates fuels and lubes
products from the chemical industry, page 68, table 53, annual (46) IPIECA climate change reporting framework: Supplementary
refining data available for even years only.
realized avoided emissions - current implementation level. guidance for the oil and gas industry on voluntary sustainability
reporting. Published by IPIECA in 2017.
(37) ExxonMobil estimates.
p.36 | exxonmobil.com
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