FMM Transportation Recs
FMM Transportation Recs
FMM Transportation Recs
TRANSPORTATION
The transportation sector is currently responsible for 23% of Canada’s GHG emissions and offers tremendous
opportunities for significant emissions reduction. To reduce emissions in the transportation sector, Canada needs to
drive a transition towards zero and low-emissions transportation modes, increase the use of cleaner fuels in Canada,
increase public transit ridership, and encourage denser, mixed-use communities.
In Canada, of the approximately 15.4 million people who regularly commute, 12% use public transit as their primary
mode of travel. Although the share of commuters choosing public transit is significant, over 12 million Canadians choose
to use cars to get to work: 74% of commuters drive a private automobile, while another 5.4% ride as passengers1.
Improvements in the availability and efficiency of public transit, incentives for mode shifting away from solo-car rides
towards auto-share, public transit and active transportation, and support to make electric vehicles more affordable
would provide Canadians with concrete options to change their travel habits and do their part to tackle climate change.
Heavy-duty trucking is the fastest growing sub-sector of transportation emissions and between 1990 and 2014, freight
accounted for almost 60% of the total 55 MT increase in emissions from the transport sector2. Incentives to switch to
lower emissions modes of transportation for heavy-freight and policies to reduce the emissions intensity of freight are
critical to tackle this significant contributor to emissions.
Canada is lagging behind other countries in supporting zero emissions vehicles and other sustainable transportation
policies. Other countries have had years of experience in advancing the electrification of transport thus offering
evidence and guidance for the implementation of successful policies in Canada. The policy package recommended would
ensure consistent federal, provincial and municipal policies to achieve three main objectives in the transportation
sector:
1) Encourage mode shifting away from solo car rides towards public transit, auto-share and active transportation;
2) Significantly increase the market share of zero-emission vehicles sold in Canada;
3) Reduce the emissions intensity of the existing fleet of vehicles in Canada, including light and heavy freight.
This coordinated policy package would drive long-term technological innovation in the transportation sector, which will
further reduce the cost of future GHG emissions reduction. In addition, investment in public transit and active
transportation are progressive and equitable, providing benefits to low and middle-income Canadians. Investments in
active transportation are a cost-effective way to reduce GHG emissions, can be deployed rapidly through many ‘shovel
ready’ projects in communities across Canada. In addition, they will deliver significant co-benefits in terms of reduced
car fatalities, promoting an active lifestyle and reducing local air pollution. The policies recommended are
administratively feasible, rely on commercially available technologies and will build on and complement existing
provincial and municipal climate and transport policies.
1
Statistics Canada. (2013). NHS in Brief: Commuting to Work—National Household Survey (NHS), 2011. (Catalogue no. 99-012-
2011003). Labour Statistics Division: Turcotte, M. Government of Canada.
2
National Inventory Report 1990-2014: Greenhouse Gas Sources and Sinks in Canada, Part 1, page 43
1
1. Maximize GHG emission reduction from federal investment in public transit: introduce
climate criteria
Policy goal: Maximize the GHG emissions reductions associated with public transit investments by assessing the carbon
intensity of proposed projects, encouraging mode shifting (towards public transit and active transportation) and by
increasing the utility derived from public transit investments.
Recommendation3
Any federal funding for public transit be conditional upon meeting the following climate criteria:
• Achieve the greatest GHGs reduction: assess the carbon intensity of proposed transit projects through a lifecycle
assessment of GHG emissions using total km travelled and on a per passenger km (PKM) basis. PKM gives you the
ability to better compare across different types of transportation. Provide funding to projects that maximize GHG
reduction;
• Achieve the greatest GHG at the lowest cost: Proponents of public transit projects should demonstrate their project
achieves the GHG emissions reductions at the lowest cost through a cost analysis of cost/ton of GHG emission
reduction.
• Encourage high-density development: In their request for federal transit funding, municipalities should demonstrate
that they have used their legislative, planning and zoning tools to limit urban sprawl by, for instance:
Having fixed urban boundaries;
Establishing densification strategies (minimum target for all new residential development);
Similarly, the federal government should establish minimum density criteria (number of people or jobs) for higher order
(light or heavy rail) transit infrastructure funding. Minimum densities should also be established at transit hubs and
along transit corridors (Ontario’s Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe provides a model);
Identification of target markets to be served by transit infrastructure and estimates or forecasts of mode shifting.
• Ensure adequate operation and maintenance (O&M) funding to maintain quality of public transit: The federal
government should require that municipalities demonstrate they have funding strategy in place (including support
for revenue tools) for adequate long-term funding for operations and maintenance to support new investments in
public transit;
• Support the electrification of transit: Maximizing the GHG emission reduction from transit infrastructure (first
criterion) will require investments to support the electrification of transit. Priority should be given to transit projects
with the biggest net emissions reduction gain. Such infrastructure investments should also be linked to transition
sources of electricity away from non-renewable energy sources (for example coal phase-out) to renewable energy
sources such as wind, solar and biomass.
These criteria should be developed and agreed upon with the provinces and municipalities, and applied consistently to
the new Public Transit Fund as well as to the public transit funding allocated through the Gas Tax Fund and the Green
Municipal Fund.
3
We recognize there are additional benefits and criteria that should guide transit investments, such as economic benefits and equity
considerations.
2
Additional Recommendations:
• Eliminate the federal public transit tax credit: In 2006 the Canadian federal government introduced an income tax
credit, the Public Transit Tax Credit, covering 15% of the annual (eligible) cost of public transit. In 2012, the total cost
to government of transit expenses claimed under the program was over $1.38 billion at a cost over $280million per
year in foregone tax revenues (Canada Revenue Agency, 2014). Recent research demonstrates that this income tax
credit is costly and ineffective in promoting transit use in Canada. Moreover, it is a regressive tax credit, available
only to those with income tax owing4. We recommend that the Public Transit Tax Credit be eliminated starting in
budget 2017. There are better ways to incentivize public-transit use than subsidizing transit passes.
• Support the electrification of transit bus fleet: Canadian bus builders are already active in the design and testing of
electric buses (or e-buses) with the support of public funding. However, implementation of those new technologies in
urban transit fleets is almost non-existent. The federal and provincial governments should disseminate the results of
the few ongoing demonstrations projects, including research done by the suppliers of electric bus solutions
(capabilities, requirements, costs). Secondly, it is recommended that a tool be developed to assist transit authorities
to appraise the adequacy of e-buses on their routes, and to allow transit authorities to rapidly and inexpensively
identify those opportunities for deployment of e-buses.5
Rationale:
• The 2016 federal budget provided up to $3.4 billion in public transit over three years, starting in 2016–17. Funding
will be provided through a new Public Transit Infrastructure Fund. and allocated based in current transit ridership.
• Current federal transit funding is intended to support projects that will deliver increased capacity, enhanced service
or improved environmental outcomes. The Government of Canada will fund up to 50% of eligible costs for projects.
Funding under the program will be allocated to municipalities based on ridership. We recommend that Phase II of
federal transit investments be allocated according to the proposed climate criteria, rather than ridership;6;
• There is precedent for federal funding conditions to be used to advance federal policy objectives in areas beyond
federal jurisdiction through the Federal Gas Tax Fund transfer to municipalities;
• The Liberal platform committed to a total of $20 billion over 10 years for public transit in Canada. A second phase of
public infrastructure investments is expected to deliver on this commitment;
• In addition, the Liberal platform committed $20 billion in green infrastructure over 10 years, which could also be
allocated to the proposed fourth “Active Transportation Fund” to support walking and cycling infrastructure projects;
• Public transit funding is also allocated through the Gas Tax Fund and the Green Municipal Fund (through the
Federation of Municipalities);
• Since 2010, municipalities have increasingly cited the need to move towards all electric zero emissions vehicles (i.e.
battery electric and fuel cell electric vehicles) as part of their internal and municipal sustainability programs. The
Partners for Climate Protection (PCP) program is a network of Canadian municipal governments that have partnered
together to actively reduce GHGs. In Canada, more than 250 municipalities, making up more than 65% of the
Canadian population, have joined PCP by making a public commitment to reduce emissions. Transit electrification has
frequently emerged among Canadian municipalities as one of the most realistic goals over the next decade. The
average Canadian transit vehicle is typically 6.5 years old. Since buses are kept in service for 12 to 18 years, more
than half of transit buses in Canada will need to be replaced over the next decade.
4
Rivers, Nicholas and Plumptre, Bora, The Effectiveness of Public Transit Subsidies on Ridership and the Environment: Evidence from Canada
(January 29, 2016). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2724768or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2724768
5
Electric Mobility Canada, March 3, 2016. Roadmap for Accelerating the Deployment of Electric Vehicles in Canada 2016-2020.
6
See: http://www.budget.gc.ca/2016/docs/plan/ch2-en.html#_Toc446106680
3
7
If current trends continue, bike commuters will outnumber car commuters in London by 2018. This is attributed to congestion pricing and
designated, protected cycling lanes on London’s busiest streets. Source : http://www.corporateknights.com/channels/transportation/12504-
14622609/
8
See for example L’état du vélo au Québec: http://www.velo.qc.ca/fr/expertise/etat-du-velo-au-Quebec
4
The required fraction of zero-emission vehicles (ZEV) in the sales mix in Canada would increase every five years.
In order to increase flexibility and reduce the cost of compliance, vehicle manufacturers would receive credits for the
sale of various types of zero-emission vehicles, and can trade those credits with other vehicle manufacturers.11 A federal
ZEV legislation would allow vehicles manufacturers the flexibility to initially meet sales target in provinces with the
highest demand for ZEV. Eventually, complementary demand-side policies, such as those recommended below, would
support demand across Canada, making it easier for vehicles manufacturer to meet their sales targets.
Policies to electrify transportation, such as a ZEV legislation, must be implemented together with a phase-out of coal-
generated electricity in Canada and increased renewable generation in the electricity sector.12
Rationale:
• More than one quarter of Canadians are ready to purchase a zero-emission vehicle, but the vehicles are not available
in Canada.13 A ZEV standard is intended to not only increase the share of ZEC available, but also the variety of models
available on the Canadian market;
• To significantly increase the uptake of ZEV vehicles in Canada, both demand-side and supply-side policies are
required;
• Zero-emission vehicles are vehicles that emit little to no carbon pollution at tailpipe. They include battery electric
vehicles like a Tesla Model S, plug-in hybrid vehicles like a Nissan Leaf or Chevy Volt;
• Zero-emission vehicle standards are increasingly common: a zero-emission vehicle standard currently covers one
third of the U.S. vehicle market14.
• California has required vehicle manufacturers and retailers to achieve rising market shares for zero-emission vehicles
(ZEVs), partial-zero-emission vehicles (PZEVs), and ultra-low emission vehicles (ULEVs) since 1990. In 2016, the
California targets are 3% ZEV and 12% PZEV/ULEV. By 2025, 15% of new vehicle sales in California are to be ZEVs;
9
A federal ZEV would apply to vehicles manufactured and imported into Canada.
10
The federal government would need to consider the potential negative interaction between federal ZEV legislation with Canadian GHG emission
10
regulations . Research shows that increased share of ZEV sales in a manufacturer’s fleet may allow for increased sales of high-emitting vehicles
due to the bonus credit offered for EVs under current Canadian regulations. The permitted CO2 emissions per vehicle model are related to the
footprint of each vehicle. Given a vehicle footprint, such a vehicle is permitted to emit x grams of CO2 equivalent per kilometre travelled, and
between 2016 and 2025 this permitted emission level will decline by 5% per annum for every footprint size. To further incentivize the production of
EVs, the regulations award such vehicles a bonus credit, above the amount that would enter into a simple averaging formula. This bonus factor, or
multiplier, depends upon the vehicle technology and its model year.
For detailed analysis see: Irvine, Ian. 2016. Electric Vehicle Subsidies: The public economics of public policy, unpublished.
11
Centre for Climate and Energy Solutions (no date) ZEV Program. http://www.c2es.org/us-states-regions/policy-maps/zev-program
12
EV operating using coal-powered electricity can generate as much as twice the level of CO2 as gasoline vehicles.
13
Axsen, Jonn (2015) The Canadian Plug-in Electric Vehicle Study. http://rem-main.rem.sfu.ca/papers/jaxsen/Electrifying_Vehicle_(Early_Release)-
The_2015_Canadian_Plug-in_Electric_Vehicle_Study.pdf
14
O’Dell, John (2015) Will California’s Zero-Emission Mandate Alter the Car Landscape? http://www.edmunds.com/fuel-economy/will-californias-
zero-emissions-mandate-alter-the-car-landscape.html
5
• California’s ZEV mandate has reduced GHG emissions, improved air quality, and spurred technological innovation.
California leads the U.S. in clean vehicle innovation, as measured by new patents secured.
• The Government of Quebec recently introduced ZEV legislation that will require ZEV sales reach 15.5% in Quebec by
2025; 15
• The Government of Ontario recently adopted of a ZEV sales target requiring that electric vehicle sales constitute at
least 5% of all vehicles sold in Ontario by 2020;16
• A federal ZEV legislation would also complement Ontario, Quebec and B.C.s electric vehicle purchase incentive
programs and investment in charging infrastructure;
3.2 Increase the federal excise tax on fuel-inefficient vehicles to finance a fee-bate program for ZEV
purchase
Recommendations:
• Starting in 2018/2019, significantly increase the federal excise tax on fuel-inefficient vehicles (the Canadian Green
Levy), starting at a minimum of $1,000 tax for vehicles consuming >6L/100 km17 and rising per fuel consumption
threshold. The Canadian Green Levy would not apply to vehicles consuming less than 6L/100 km. The Canadian Green
Levy should be stringent enough to significantly increase sales price of high-emitting vehicles. In addition, the
Canadian Green Levy should be designed to generate sufficient revenues to fund the fee-bate program for the
purchase of ZEV (revenue neutral policy).
• Provide a federal fee-bate system (similar to France), whereby revenues from the federal excise tax on fuel-inefficient
vehicles would be used to provide a sales rebate for the purchase of ZEV. The federal fee-bate should complement
existing provincial sales rebate and provide a consistent sales rebate in all Canadian jurisdictions to non-luxury zero-
emissions vehicles sold in Canada.18
• Remove the GST on zero-emissions vehicles sold in Canada.
• Provinces and municipalities should offer other kinds of incentives for ZEV drivers, including free access to high-
occupancy vehicle (HOV) lanes, designated parking spaces in cities, at public institutions and government workplaces,
low-cost electricity rate structures adapted to EVs that maximize GHG benefits.
Rationale:
• Current share of EVs in Canada is one of the lowest in the world, at 0.4%19;
• By contrast, in 2015 EV sales represent 25% of all vehicles sold in Norway;
• Affordability remains another major barrier to EV sales in Canada. This is due partially to the cost of battery
technologies20. Economies of scale supported by zero-emission legislation and rebates for purchases of EV can help
address affordability issues;
• Purchase subsidies have been effective at increasing sales of ZEV vehicles in Canada. 97 per cent of all EVs sold in
Canada last year were purchased in the three provinces that currently offer rebates;
15
http://www.mddelcc.gouv.qc.ca/infuseur/communique_en.asp?no=3437
16
Ontario’s Climate Change Action Plan, available at : https://www.ontario.ca/page/climate-change-action-plan#section-4
17
For a list the list of fuel-inefficient vehicles and current associated tax rates see: http://www.cra-arc.gc.ca/E/pub/et/etsl64/list/lst_vh-2015-
eng.html The Canadian Green Levy currently starts at a threshold of 13L/100km at a tax of $1,000. In comparison, the Ontario Tax and Credit for
Fuel Conservation (or feebate program) applies a tax starting at a threshold of 6.0L/100km. Research shows that a $1,000 results in a 30% decrease
in sales for specific vehicle category. Source: Rivers, Nicholas and Brandon Schaufele, 2014,New Vehicle Feebates : Theory and Evidence,
http://www.ivey.uwo.ca/cmsmedia/1361413/new-vehicle-feebates.pdf
18
The purchase rebates could sunset after a number of years and would only apply to non-luxury vehicles (could be defined as vehicles with a sales
price below $50,000) to address the regressive aspect of this subsidy and provide an incentive for vehicle manufacturers to introduce small,
affordable ZEV in the Canadian market that are already available in other countries.
Based on 2015 vehicles sales in Canada from Stats Canada and estimated battery electric and hybrid-electric vehicles from IHS Automotive
19
20
A recent analysis from Bloomberg Energy Finance found that continued decline in the cost of electric car batteries, they fell 35 per cent last year
alone, will make electric vehicles cost-competitive with internal combustion engines by 2022.
6
• Most importantly, high-emissions gasoline cars remain artificially affordable due to the lack of taxation to internalize
the externalities associated with the sales of those vehicles. The polluter-pays principle requires that both
manufacturers of high emissions vehicles and consumers of such vehicles pay for the pollution costs associated with
the sales of high-emitting vehicles21;
• Dozens of European countries, the U.S., and Canada employ a federal excise tax to encourage the sale of fuel efficient
vehicles;
• The American tax applies to vehicles consuming>10.5L/100 km ($1,000 U.S.) and rises to a maximum of >18.8L/100
km ($7,700 U.S.). By comparison, European vehicle taxes begin at higher fuel efficiency thresholds and escalate much
more rapidly to discourage the sale of new vehicles that are high GHG emitters.
• In Norway and the Netherlands, the excise tax for a new vehicle that consumes >12L/100km is greater than $50,000.
In Finland and Portugal, the tax on such a vehicle would be at least $20,000. A purchaser of this car in the United
States would pay US $1,700 under the Gas Guzzler Tax, while Canada’s Green Levy would not apply.
• Canada’s federal tax on fuel-inefficient vehicles, in effect since 2007, is comparatively weak, with the highest
threshold for triggering the tax >13L/100 km and the lowest tax rate (starting at $1,000 and rising to a maximum of
$4,000);
• France employs a fee-bate system based on carbon emissions. When a new vehicle’s CO2 emissions exceed 130
g/km, a graduated fee is paid to a maximum of €8,000. A discount is granted for the purchase of vehicles when CO2
emissions are 110 g/km or less, with a maximum rebate of €6,300, (20 g/km or less). An additional bonus of €200 is
granted when a vehicle at least 15 years old is scrapped.
• Quebec provides a rebate of $8,000 for the purchase — including leasing — of an EV, and a rebate of between $400
and $8,000 for rechargeable hybrids, to consumers, municipalities, businesses and not-for-profit organisations.
Financing is also available to purchase a residential charging station;22
• Ontario provides rebates of up to $13,000 for the purchase of a battery electric vehicle (BEV) and funding to
purchase a charging station. The removal of the HST on sales of electric vehicles in Ontario was also recently
announced.23
3.3 Complementary federal and provincial funding to support a network of EV charging stations across
Canada
Recommendations:
• Federal government to update the National Building Code to require that all new residential and commercial
buildings in Canada include EV charging stations;
• Provide financial incentives to employers to provide workplace charging stations;
• Federal and provincial governments to complete the deployment of fast charging stations on national highways. It is
recommended that the federal government take charge of purchasing and installing a minimum of 150 direct current
fast charging (DCFC) stations to complete a national EV highway.24
Rationale:
• Quebec provides a rebate of $8,000 for the purchase — including leasing — of an EV, and a rebate of between $400
and $8,000 for rechargeable hybrids, to consumers, municipalities, businesses and not-for-profit organisations.
Financing is also available to purchase a residential charging station.25
21
As opposed to all taxpayers subsidizing the sales of low-emissions vehicles (as is the case with EV rebates, a costly and regressive policy).
22
http://vehiculeselectriques.gouv.qc.ca/particuliers/rabais.asp
23
http://www.mto.gov.on.ca/english/vehicles/electric/charging-incentive-program.shtml
Electric Mobility Canada, March 3, 2016. Roadmap for Accelerating the Deployment of Electric Vehicles in Canada 2016-2020.
24
25
http://vehiculeselectriques.gouv.qc.ca/particuliers/rabais.asp
7
• Ontario provides rebates of up to $13,000 for the purchase of a battery electric vehicle (BEV) and funding to
purchase a charging station. The removal of the HST on sales of electric vehicles in Ontario was also recently
announced.26
4.2 Strengthened GHG emissions regulation for all personal and light-duty vehicles sold in Canada
Recommendation:
• Reduce the CO2 equivalent per mile travelled under the Passenger Automobile and Light Truck Greenhouse Gas
Emission Regulations regulation by 10% per year starting with 2018 models. Apply the same regulation for light
trucks and SUV as all personal vehicles.31
Rationale:
• Canada-wide sales of passenger vehicles and trucks have changed dramatically between 2013 and 2015, as a result of
the decline in oil prices. Statistics Canada reports that 2015 passenger vehicle sales declined by 6%, while sales of
trucks (including SUVs and minivans) increased by 21.4% for the same period. Canada-wide, all-vehicle sales were up
9.6%; trucks accounted for 63% of units sold in 2015, up from 57% in 2013.32
• If the shift for 2013-2015 represents a new trend in sales between passenger and truck vehicles, then for the period
2015-2020, the lower gasoline price will see a restructuring of the Canadian fleet in favour of heavier vehicles,
relative to what would have occurred with higher oil prices. This will result in increased GHG emissions, even with
emission standards tightening for both trucks and passenger vehicles;
• Existing fuel-efficiency standards for personal vehicles cover model years 2014 through 2017, and they are already
bringing cost-effective solutions to market. Proposed regulations covering 2018 models and beyond must do better
in terms of GHG emission reduction.
33
See: http://www.pm.gc.ca/eng/news/2016/03/10/us-canada-joint-statement-climate-energy-and-arctic-leadership#sthash.8mTu60m8.dpuf
34
See for example, Jeremy Anwyl, chief executive of Trucks.com. (https://www.trucks.com/2016/05/12/ben-jerrys-believes-strict-truck-emissions-
rules-help-profits-planet/?utm_content=buffereaca1&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
This goal is also supported by recent research by the National Academies of Science and the Southwest Research Institute, as well as data from the
Department of Energy’s SuperTruck program.
10