Consumer Durables
Consumer Durables
Consumer Durables
Executive Summary……………….….…….3
Advantage India…………………..….……..4
Growth Drivers…………………….............19
Opportunities…….……….......……………24
Case Studies…..……………....……..……28
Industry Associations…….……......……...31
Useful Information……….......…………….33
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Consumer durables/light electricals market in India increased at 11 Consumer durables market in India (US$ billion)
per cent CAGR between FY12-17 to reach Rs 1.4 trillion (US$ 21.70
billion). 50
40
The industry is expected to grow at 13 per cent CAGR and reach Rs 30
3 trillion (US$ 46.54 billion) by 2020.. 20 46.5
21.7
10
0
2017* 2020F
India is one of the largest growing electronics market in the world. 500 CAGR 41%
400
Indian electronics market is expected to grow at 41 per cent CAGR
300
between 2017-20 to reach US$ 400 billion.
200 400
Consumer electronics exports from India reached US$ 270.08 million 100 100
during April-December 2017. 0
FY17 2020F
ADVANTAGE INDIA
ADVANTAGE INDIA
Demand growth is likely to accelerate with rising Huge untapped market; currently only 29 per
disposable incomes and easy access to credit cent of households in India own a refrigerator,
11 per cent own a washing machine and 6 per
Increasing electrification of rural areas and wide
cent own a computer or a laptop.
usability of online sales would also aid growth in
demand Emerging rural areas have a great potential for
appliances like microwaves and refrigerators.
Rise in working age population also to stimulate
demand
ADVANTAGE
INDIA
Sector has attracted significant investments 100 per cent FDI allowed in the
over the years (even during the global electronics hardware-manufacturing sector
downturn of 2009-10). under the automatic route; Approval of 51
per cent in multi-brand would further fuel
US$ 1 billion worth investments in production,
the growth in this sector
distribution and R&D in the next few years
National Electronic Policy (2012) to boost
In October 2017, Flipkart launched its private consumer
investment in the sector
appliances label called ‘Marq’.
Modified special incentive package
In May 2017 Havells completed acquisition of Lloyd
scheme (M-SIPS) has been introduced for
consumer durables business.
growth of consumer durable industry.
Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, FY- Indian Financial Year (April - May), CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate,
EPCG - Export Promotion Capital Goods Scheme, EHTP - Electronic Hardware Technology Park
Source: DIPP, Aranca Research
MARKET OVERVIEW
THE CONSUMER DURABLES MARKET IS SPLIT INTO
TWO KEY SEGMENTS
Consumer durables
Cleaning
Laptops Digital cameras Electric fans
equipment
The size of consumer durables/light electricals market reached Rs Size of the consumer durables/light electricals market (US$
Visakhapatnam port traffic (million tonnes)
1.4 trillion (US$ 21.70 billion) in FY17. billion)
21.7
20.0
20.6
Around two third of the total revenue is generated from urban
population and rest is generated from rural population.
12.9
During Diwali festive season of 2017, refrigerator television and 10.0
washing appliances’ sales increased 8 – 10 per cent in terms of
volume.
India became the second largest smartphone market in the world 5.0
with shipments growing 23 per cent year-on-year to reach 40 million
in Q3 2017.
0.0
FY17
FY12E
FY22F
Note: (F) Forecast, E - estimated
Source: Electronic Industries Association of India, CAGR – Compound Annual Growth Rate,, Canalys, The Hindu, Edelweiss research
Urban markets accounted for the major share* (67 per cent) of total Shares
Visakhapatnam
in the consumer
port traffic
durables
(million
markettonnes)
in India*
revenues in the consumer durables sector in India.
Urban Rural
India’s television industry, is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14.7 per cent over FY 16-21.
Colour TVs (CTVs) India television industry stood at US$ 9.23 billion in 2016, exhibiting a y-o-y growth of 11.5 per cent in 2016
over US$ 8.28 billion in 2015
The production of LCD/LED TVs rose to 12 million valued at US$ 3.3 billion in FY16 from 8.75 million valued
at US$ 2.54 billion in FY15. India’s first LCD manufacturing unit is set to start in 2018. Currently all the
displays used are imported to India.
Flat Panel Display
The market for flat panel displays in India was estimated at 261 million units in 2016.
The price decline due to relatively low import duty on LCD panels, higher penetration levels and the
introduction of small entry-size models are key growth drivers in the segment
The Set-Top Box (STB) market is growing rapidly, due to the expansion of DTH and introduction of the
Conditional Access System (CAS) in metros
Direct-To-Home (DTH) DTH subscriber base in India reached 97.05 million as of December 2016 and is expected to reach 200
million by 2018, thereby making India one of the world’s largest DTH market
The market share of direct cool and frost free segment is 75 per cent and 25 per cent respectively
Refrigerators
The estimated market size in value for refrigerators in India is estimated to be Rs 195 billion (US$ 3.02 billion
in 2017 and is expected to reach Rs 344 trillion (US$ 5.34 billion) by 2022.
During FY17, market size for air conditioning in India was estimated at Rs 18,500 crore (US$ 2.76 billion),
while the market for room air conditioners was estimated at around Rs 12,000 crore (US$ 1.79 billion).
Air Conditioners (ACs)
ACs are perceived as high-end products; and expected to grow at 6.7 per cent during 2014 to 2020
High income growth and rising demand for split ACs are the key growth drivers
Currently the market size is around 5 million units, which is expected to grow 10 – 12 per cent in FY18.
Washing appliances Fully automatic washing machines are garnering an increasing share of the market due to reduction in prices
and higher disposable incomes
Domestic electric fan market in India increased at 13 per cent CAGR between FY08-17 to reach Rs 70 billion
(US$ 1.1 billion).
Electric fans
Penetration of electric fans in rural areas is expected to reach 76-78 per cent in 2019-20 from 65 per cent in
2017.
ACs, refrigerators, specialty cooling products including mortuary chambers and cold storage
Refrigerators, ACs, washing machines, microwave ovens, DVD players, digital-imaging products and
audio-visual products
TVs, audio-visual solutions, computers, mobile phones, refrigerators, washing machines, microwave
ovens, vacuum cleaners and ACs
LCDs, washing machines, DVD players, ACs, microwave ovens, mobile phones, projectors and
display products
TVs, home theatre systems, DVD players, audio products, personal care products, household
products, computers and phones
TVs, home theatre systems, DVD players, mobile phones, digital cameras, camcorders, refrigerators,
ACs, washing machines, microwave ovens and computers
TVs, projectors, DVD players, audio systems, home theatre systems, digital cameras, camcorders,
computers, video-gaming products and recording media
TVs, DVD players, microwave ovens, refrigerators, washing machines, ACs and power backup
solutions
Refrigerators, washing machines, microwave ovens, water purifiers and power backup solutions
Threat of Substitutes
Technology advancements
Buyers have huge propensity to
substitute
Product differentiation is very low Continuous innovation leads to Use of Internet to get all the
By changing the input, firms cannot intense rivalry information enables customers to be
drastically differentiate on price Homogeneity in product and low powerful
switching cost Buyer’s switching cost is very less
RECENT TRENDS
AND STRATEGIES
NOTABLE TRENDS IN THE CONSUMER DURABLES
SECTOR
As of March 2017, Micromax plans to invest US$ 89.25 million in the next 3 years for transforming itself into a consumer
electronics company.
In May, 2017, Hindustan Unilever announced the launch of its skincare brand Citra in India. The company already sells
Expansion into new skincare products under Citra brand, targets women consumers aging between 15 and 35 years, in various countries
segments such as Thailand, Indonesia and the Middle East.
Voltas, a leading India based air conditioner manufacturer, announced plans in May 2017 to establish a joint venture
with Turkey based Ardutch. The JV, with an equity capital of US$100 million, would mark the entry of Voltas into the
country’s consumer durables market,.
Advancement in technology and higher competition are driving price reductions across various consumer durable
product segments such as computers, mobile phones, refrigerators and TVs. With the initiative of “Make in India”
Increased affordability of campaign, many domestic and Chinese manufactures are investing in India to set up their manufacturing plants which
would produce more affordable products
products
After implementation of GST, most life saving drugs and consumer goods are likely to be cheaper. Out of the 1211
items, 7 per cent have been exempted from the GST list.
Companies also plan to increase the use of environment-friendly components and reduce e-waste by promoting product
recycling
Focus on energy-
India has made it mandatory for manufacturing companies to control emissions from climate-damaging refrigerants.
efficient and
In January 2016, LG electronics announced that the company will focus on premium inverter split air-conditioners that
environment-friendly are more energy efficient and would discontinue its regular split air-conditioners, which account for almost 80 per cent of
products the Indian market.
In February 2017, Panasonic launched Sky Series air conditioners with the radiant technology
Growing number of HNI’s and women in workforce is boosting demand for luxury products
Growing luxury market Luxury brands like Porsche, Jimmy Choo are increasing their store presence
Luxury brands are launching their own websites to cater to Indian luxury brand market
To reduce the price of their products, Xiaomi followed a totally different approach. Rather than using traditional
advertising it has used inexpensive social media campaigns which helped the company in producing mobile phones at
Powerful competitive competitive prices in the market
strategy Samsung has acquired JBL and Harman Kardon for US$ 8 billion, other brands to come under Samsung are Mark
Levinson, AKG, Lexicon, Infinity and Revel, Bowers and Wilkins and Bang and Olufsen brands.
The firms are now partnering with e-retailers to promote sales and increase penetration in the Indian market.
In February 2017, Microsoft Corp announced a strategic partnership with Flipkart, by virtue of which, Flipkart will adopt
Microsoft Azure as its exclusive public cloud computing platform and help customers in shopping online.
Marketing strategies
Birla Cellulose, a part of Aditya Birla Group’s Grasim Industries, is taking its Liva brand of viscose fabric abroad. The
company has already established a Liva Accredited Partners’ Forum (LAPF) in Bangladesh and Indonesia, and is
looking to set up a similar forum in China as well.
India is the land of occasions and festivals, therefore, customers are offered great deals
Occasion based
For instance the prices of products during Diwali, New Year, etc go down and customers are offered with great deals.
marketing Such strategies are adopted so as to enhance revenues plus to maintain the goodwill amongst buyers.
Companies are focusing on energy efficiency in their range, pushing the low cost of ownership
Syska LED launched its advertising campaign in Mumbai, it aimed to promote energy efficient LED tube lights and
Focus on energy bulbs which could save up to 20 per cent of electricity
efficiency In January 2016, LG electronics announced that the company will focus on premium inverter split air-conditioners that
are more energy efficient and would discontinue its regular split air-conditioners, which account for almost 80 per cent
of the Indian market
GROWTH DRIVERS
STRONG DEMAND AND POLICY SUPPORT DRIVING
INVESTMENTS
Expanding
Higher real production and
Setting up of EHTPs
disposable incomes distribution facilities
in India
Reforms like
simplified labor laws
and Technology
Upgradation Fund
Scheme
Notes: EHTP - Electronic Hardware Technology Park, R&D - Research and Development
Source: Aranca Research
2207.60
evolving life styles where consumer durables, like ACs and LCD 2,000
2026.70
TVs, are perceived as utility items rather than luxury possessions
1874.90
Growth in demand from rural and semi-urban markets to outpace
1750.60
demand from urban markets
1617.30
1600.90
1,500
1,552.50
1514.80
1504.50
Growth in online retailing is a key factor to reach out as a newer
1,430.20
channel for buyers, with increase in demand
Per capita income is expected to expand at a CAGR of 8.6 per cent 1,000
for the period 2015-19
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17F
FY18F
FY19F
Notes: E – Estimated F: Forecast
Source: IMF, World Bank, Aranca Research, RedSeer Consulting
Reduced custom duty on certain inputs like metals, wires, cables, refrigerators compressor parts will promote
Customs duty relaxation the production of consumer electronics in India. Custom duty on LCD/LED TV reduced to nil from 10 per cent
A reduction (12 per cent to 10 per cent) in Central Excise duty was an effort to support demand and fuel
growth in consumer durable sector. Industry seeks relaxation in excise duty
Reduced central excise
Excise duty is being reduced to 6 per cent on LED lamps and LEDs required for manufacture of such lamps.
Reduction in SAD from 4 per cent to nil, in import would also help LED manufacturers
100 per cent FDI is permitted in electronics hardware-manufacturing under the automatic route
Encouragement to FDI FDI into single brand retail has been increased from 51 per cent to 100 per cent; the government is planning
to hike FDI limit in multi-brand retail to 51 per cent
EPCG allows import of capital goods on paying 3.0 per cent customs duty
EPCG, EHTP schemes EHTP provides benefits, such as duty waivers and tax incentives, to companies which replace certain imports
with local manufacturing
National Electronics Aims to create an ecosystem for a globally competitive electronic manufacturing sector and to achieve a
Policy 2012 and turnover of about US$ 400 billion by 2020, including investments of about US$ 100 billion, as well as to
provide employment to around 28 million people
Government Initiatives
Notes: EPCG - Export Promotion Capital Goods scheme, EHTP - Electronic Hardware Technology Park Scheme, SAD- Single Administrative Document ITA-1 - Information Technology
Agreement, Ministry of External Affairs
Source: DIPP, Make in India, Aranca Research
2016-17 2017-18
Global e-commerce giant, Amazon is planning to enter the Indian Intex Technologies will invest around Rs 60 crore (US$ 9.27) in
food retailing sector by investing US$ 515 million in the next five 2018 in technology software and Internet of Things (IoT) startups
years. in India in order to create an ecosystem for its consumer
appliances and mobile devices.
AkzoNobel opened a specialty coatings production facility and
color laboratory in Noida (UP) with an investment of US$ 0.44 In January 2018, Panasonic started its first refrigerator plant in
million India with an annual production capacity of 500,000 units with an
investment of Rs 115 crore (US$ 17.76 million).
In November 2016, Dyson Ltd, the UK based manufacturer of
innovative vacuum cleaners and air purifiers, plans to invest US$ In August 2017, V-Guard acquired 49.43 per cent stake in GUTS
190.96 million in India by 2021. Electro-Mech.
In June 2016, Godrej announced an investment of US$ 29.87 In October 2017, Flipkart launched its private label ‘Marq’ for
million in order to boost production at its Punjab and Pune plants selling large appliances in India.
In November 2016, consumer electronic brand Akai, has re- In May 2017 Havells completed acquisition of Lloyd consumer
entered the Indian market and is targeting a revenue of US$ durables business for an enterprise value of Rs 1,600 crore (US$
223.11 million to 297.53 million, in next 4 years 248.2 million)
Notes: R&D - Research and Development, MSIPS - Modified Special Incentive Package Scheme, Ministry of External Affairs
Source: Company websites, Aranca Research
OPPORTUNITIES
ERA OF DIGITISATION OPENS NEW OPPORTUNITIES
As per the rating agency ICRA, DTH players are expected to get Visakhapatnam port traffic (million tonnes)
DTH subscribers (million units)
largest share in phase IV area of digitisation market
Digitisation may lead to complete switchover from analogue cable to CAGR 50.21%
Digital Addressable Systems in a phased manner 250
200
97.05 million as of December 2016 to 200 million by 2018.
150
As of September 2017, active DTH subscribers in the country stood
100
at 66.09 million.
97.05
50
0
Dec-16 2018E
Source: TRAI Annual Report 2015-16, ICRA Department of Information Technology; Make in India, Aranca Research E:Estimated
According to the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion, during April 2000 – September 2017, FDI inflows into the electronics sector stood
at US$ 1,802.76 million.
CASE STUDIES
WHIRLPOOL: EYEING MARKET LEADERSHIP … (1/2)
Whirlpool accounts for over 25 per cent of the consumer durables Visakhapatnam
Revenues
port (US$
trafficmillion)
(million tonnes)
market in India
642
venture with TVS group 600
593
Whirlpool acquired Kelvinator India Ltd in 1995 and marked an entry
567
567
into Indian refrigerator market as well
533
500
510
Whirlpool brand stretches from the mass to premium segments; the
486
458
company plans to launch a new brand, KitchenAid, which would
400
operate in the super-premium appliances segment
Net revenues generated from sales in FY17 was US$ 642.2 million. 200
Total income was Rs 11,311 million (US$ 175.47 million) in Q1 FY18
and Rs 11,873.5 million (US$ 184.69 million) in Q2 FY18.
100
0
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Others (cooking 7%
appliances)
KEY INDUSTRY
ASSOCIATIONS
INDUSTRY ASSOCIATIONS
USEFUL
INFORMATION
GLOSSARY
US$ : US Dollar
Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number
Year INR INR Equivalent of one US$ Year INR Equivalent of one US$
2004–05 44.81 2005 43.98
2005–06 44.14
2006 45.18
2006–07 45.14
2007 41.34
2007–08 40.27
2008–09 46.14 2008 43.62
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