Growth - India
Growth - India
India has witnessed a drastic switch in the purchasing and selling pattern of various goods and services
during the last 15 years. The introduction of e-commerce has revolutionized both global and domestic
economies. A number of developed economies like the USA, China and the UK have demonstrated a
clear leadership in e-commerce attributing to higher internet penetration, technological advancement,
infrastructure facilities and the increased use of smart phones, laptops/PCs and tablets. However, India,
being a developing economy, is experiencing a much slower growth of e-commerce in spite of having a
larger number of internet users as compared to the top ranked e-commerce market, the USA. The very
obvious reasons behind this stunted development are India's infrastructural, social, legal and political
drawbacks which need immediate consideration so that strategies could be devised to uproot those
challenges which are hampering the expected uptake of e-commerce in India.
This paper aims at presenting a comparative analysis of the internet penetration and e-commerce growth
between India and top three countries having the biggest ecommerce market in the world, i.e., USA,
China and UK. The focus is on discussing those issues which have hindered the e-commerce growth in
India and suggesting few strategic measures that are being followed by the e-commerce giants and it is
expected that few judicious policy implications will make India a competitive e-commerce market in the
near future.
*Himanshi Agarwal, Research Scholar, Amity Business School, Amity University, Lucknow Campus
Email: neha.5890@gmail.com
**Dr. Shailja Dixit, Associate Professor, Amity Business School, Amity University, Lucknow Campus
Email: shailjadixit1@gmail.com
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The Encumbered Growth of E-commerce In India: Can We Help?
While e-commerce has become a familiar internet users in India would have involved
part of life in developed nations, it is still in online shopping, the Indian e-commerce
considered an innovation in developing market holds the potential to surpass that of
economies like India. Despite having a the USA.
large number of internet users and being
the third largest smart phone market in the No doubt, the annual growth rate shown by
world (Mallya, 2015), the country has Indian e-commerce industry during the past
proceeded at a relatively slow pace in the e- decade is appreciable still India holds 83rd
commerce area. At present, only a small rank out of 130 in the global e-commerce
number of business organizations and market according to the UN Conference on
consumers are using e-commerce as a Trade and Development. So the questions
preferred mode of exchange. A recent which naturally arise are: why Indians have
report titled 'India on the go-mobile been so reserved in adopting e-commerce
Internet Vision' by IAMAI & KPMG said channel? What are the factors that are
that the overall internet user base in the creating hindrance in the way of e-
country is expected to touch 503 million by commerce to expand to its maximum
2017, which stood at approximately 350 capability?
million as on June 2015.That has made
India the second largest internet user base This paper contributes towards addressing
in the world only behind China. It is the above questions and highlighting few
among the three fastest growing markets for major challenges faced by the e-commerce
internet usage worldwide, according to a growth in India along with some suggested
study conducted by ASSOCHAM & measures to overcome these hindrances.
Comscore in October 2012. But the
Forrester Research estimates that only Objectives
13.25% of the internet users in India
purchased products online in 2013 and this 1. To study the present scenario of e-
figure is expected to rise to 28% by 2017. commerce in India.
This is only a small proportion and if all the 2. To justify that internet is the most
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The Encumbered Growth of E-commerce In India: Can We Help?
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The Encumbered Growth of E-commerce In India: Can We Help?
survey based studies done by IAMAI, IMRB which refers to a period from 2009 to 2014
international, PwC, ASSOCHAM, BCG, and is availed from various journals, reports,
Internet & online Association, etc.which magazines, books and internet.
presents the status of ecommerce existing in Data analysis is done using statistical
the country with quantitative figures. techniques. Linear regression tool is
employed on the quantitative data to
3. Research Gap surface the relationship between e-
commerce and internet usage. SPSS
Various studies as stated above discuss one software and MS-excel is used for efficient
or the other aspects of e-commerce. Much data analysis. Data has been depicted in the
work has been done with respect to the form of charts and tables.
concept, origin and growth of ecommerce
as well as the major factors which have 5. Current Scenario of Ecommerce
driven this growth. The review of the In India
available literature suggests that there are
many challenges in Indian context which Online commerce in India is riding on the
are creating hindrance in the way of e- high pace at a growth rate of 60-70%
commerce penetration because India's annually to capture the market which has a
economy, geography and demography is huge hidden potential. E-commerce in
very different from that of western India has progressed significantly in the last
countries. Thus, the present study intends decade and what is interesting is that the
to identify those challenges which are entire evolution of e-commerce in India
hampering the e-commerce growth in India happened over 15 years. In advanced
and suggest few strategies which could help markets like the USA, it took over 50-60
online market to expand to its full years. The Indian e-commerce sector has
potential. seen a remarkable growth in 2014. Rana
Kapoor, the President of ASSOCHAM
Contribution of The Study India, quoted in a report Future of e-
This descriptive research work would help commerce: Uncovering Innovation,
to identify those factors which are “Increasing internet and mobile
hampering the growth of ecommerce penetration, along with the growing
development in India and how could these acceptability of online payments and
obstacles be tackled with successful favorable demographics has enriched the e-
implication of the few measures discussed commerce sector in India with the unique
alongwith. This will help the ecommerce opportunity to fundamentally alter the way
firms to expand their online businesses and companies connect with their customers.
become profitable in near future. Due to this digital revolution, the e-
commerce sector in India become 4 times
4. Methodology its size, from $3.8 billion in 2009 to $17
billion in 2014, growing at a CAGR of
It is a descriptive survey that is exploratory 37%. It is expected that the sector will cross
cum applied in nature. It s based on the the $100 billion mark by 2020 and will
analysis of secondary data and generalizing contribute over 4% to India's GDP.”
conclusions from them. It is important to
flag that the secondary data is used here
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The Encumbered Growth of E-commerce In India: Can We Help?
According to Forrester Research, only 17% in the country crossed 350 million with
of India's total population in 2013 was around 27% penetration and this will result
online and out of it only 14% or 28 million in the further increase of online buyers.
people were online buyers. This figure According to the PwC report Future of
raised over to 40 million as the level of India - The Winning Leap, introduction of
internet penetration rose to 24% in 2014 new technologies, especially laptops, tablets
and with a gradual increase of 27% in the and mobiles, have brought a social change
number of internet users during the first in India that is difficult to enumerate.
half of 2015, the total internet subscribers
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The Encumbered Growth of E-commerce In India: Can We Help?
According to KPCB partner Mary Meeker's million Internet users during the year. The
2015 Internet trends report, India is the report also stated that 41% of total e-
largest country in terms of new Internet commerce sales in India come from mobile
user additions by adding 63 million Internet devices which indicate that India is the
users by the end of 2014 that is more than leader in use of mobile devices for e-
double of China which added that 31 commerce transactions.
The number of smart phone users is etailing market in India accounts for only
expected to grow at a CAGR 91% from 8.7% of organized retail with $1.6 billion
2012 to 2016 when it jumped from 29 which is just a miniscule fraction of India's
million to 382 million. Similarly, the overall retail industry that stands at $500
number of 3G subscribers could expand at a billion; retail e-commerce has achieved a
CAGR of 84% from 23 million to 266 three times growth since 2011, that is
million during the same period, revealed mainly driven by million dollar investments
the report by PwC, E-commerce in India: initiated by domestic and foreign investors.
Accelerating Growth. Mobile commerce is In the coming few years, E-tail is set to
also growing rapidly as a steady and safe spring up to $6-8 billion. E-tailing has
supplement to the e-commerce industry. become the fastest growing segments in the
larger markets having grown at a CAGR of
Travel is the most profitable sector in around 56% over 2009-14. Apparels &
India's e-commerce with around 71% share. accessories, electronics and books are the
This business has grown at a CAGR of 32% highest selling products through internet,
over 2009-13. According to the report constituting around 30% of the product
Future of e-commerce: Uncovering distribution.
Innovation by ASSOCHAM, currently, the
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The Encumbered Growth of E-commerce In India: Can We Help?
Undoubtedly, India is one of the most boost the sector by introducing internet and
rapidly growing e-commerce markets in the broadband to each and every remote corner
world and holds the second position only of the country and will thus help to increase
after China with 31.5% annual growth rate, trade. This initiative has proposed
still it is almost 10 years behind China in investment of nearly $17 billion and it is
the e-commerce space. expected that this will definitely transform
India into a connected and developed
Today's consumers are highly pressurized economy. It would also attract foreign
due to scarcity of time as well as they are investments and create millions of jobs.
attracted by the convenience and increased
use of plastic money, thus, making their Although, it has been 15 years since the e-
way towards more online consumption. Commerce trend is making rounds in India
Furthermore, favourable demographic but the appropriate ecosystem has now
profile, limited geographical accessibility by started to take its place. Moreover, the
brick & mortar retailers, increase in Indian e-Commerce market has enjoyed an
internet penetration, increased use of extraordinary growth of almost 50% in the
smartphones & reducing data charges are last five years. Factors like increasing
the basic factors that offer high market internet access, astounding penetration of
potential for e-retailing in India. mobile phones and healthy investment
have driven the growth of this industry and
The Modi Government has initiated the if current projections continue to go by,
ambitious 'Digital India' project with an India is on the verge of becoming the
aim to offer a one-stop shop for all the world's fastest growing e-commerce market.
Government services. This will further
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The Encumbered Growth of E-commerce In India: Can We Help?
Source: IAMAI, CRISIL, Gartner, PwC analysis, Internet live stats & EKOS global & Wikipedia
Analysing the evolution and trends in the available data, in which, the e-commerce
volume of e-commerce sales in the market, sales volume is taken as the dependent
it should be highlighted that a strong variable that gets affected to a considerable
growth has been experienced in the recent extent by the increasing number of internet
years which runs parallel to the increasing users. The output generated by the SPSS
number of internet users in the country. To software through the above data is given
analyze the degree of relatedness between below:
the two variables, a simple linear regression
statistical technique is applied on the
Model Summary
Model R R Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate
1 .996a .993 .991 .45568
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Coefficientsa
Unstandardised Standardized
Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) .668 .408 1.637 .177
NO.OF .054 .002 .996 23.205 .000
INTERNET
USERS
From the above output, the co-efficient of subscribers since last few years. Indeed,
correlation comes out to be 0.996 which India is lucky to have around 302 million
signifies that a very high degree of positive internet users (as in 2014) that is the
correlation exists between the two second largest internet user base in the
variables, that is, the e-commerce sales world only behind China when it surpassed
volume experiences an upward growth as that of USA in December 2014.
the number of internet user's rise in the Still the rate of internet penetration is quite
country. This reveals that the growth in the low and the e-commerce sales volume is far
use of the internet positively influences the behind the top three e-commerce markets
development of e-commerce. of the world, the USA, China and the UK.
Undoubtedly, the current value of the In comparison to these countries, India
Indian e-commerce industry is the outcome ranks 83rd out of 130 global e-commerce
of the fact that India is witnessing a rapid markets.
growth in the number of internet
Source: Reports by Internet World Stats, statista.com, EKOS, forester research and emarketer
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The following table presents a comparison among the top three global e-commerce giants
and India. The data presents the situation as on December 2014.
Source: Reports by Internet World Stats, statista.com, EKOS, forester research and emarketer
An empirical analysis of the above table search engine to find information and social
highlights that India being the second most networking. Only 13.25% of the total
populated country and the second largest internet subscribers use it for online buying.
internet user base of the world, stores an As a result, total e-commerce sales in India
immense unidentified opportunity to is just approximately 4% of that in the
overtake the total e-commerce sales of the USA, 8% of that in China and 16% of that
USA. But, in India, the internet in the UK. In contrast to it, the UK & the
penetration is quite low, moreover, people USA have much lower population but
mainly use internet for activities like there internet penetration is much higher
sending emails, playing games, using a as illustrated in the following figure:
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The Encumbered Growth of E-commerce In India: Can We Help?
Source: Reports by Internet World Stats, statista.com, EKOS, forester research and emarketer
Thus, it is justifiable to say that reaching a India is still a small player though the
significant group of prospective customers potential is very big in India”, said Torbjorn
who are consistent users of the internet may Fredriksson, chief of the Information and
convert this mass of users into a large communications technology analysis at
market to become profitable enough and UNCTAD.
subsequently attractive to firms.
A report 'Major challenges faced by e-
“Technological disruption has driven commerce industry in India' by mavens
change in the e-commerce industry with (2012) writes that the Indian e-commerce
shoppers embracing multiple touch points industry is flourishing at a remarkable pace
in their purchase journeys. Overall, there is owing to high penetration rate of internet
humongous potential for the e-commerce and advanced electronic devices. Still, the
companies helped strongly by a growing current growth rate of e-commerce in India
internet user base and advancements in is far lagging behind than other developed
technology. However, this will not be countries. There are many major obstacles
without its share of challenges –operational, and challenges faced by an online
regulatory, digital, etc. A company's ability merchant.
to prepare itself proactively to meet these
challenges will decide the difference Thus there is a need to discuss those
between a successful venture and a failed challenges and devise strategies to tackle
one” remarked Sanded Ladder (Technology them so as to ensure a better e-commerce
Sector Leader, PwC India) “It's (e- growth. Discussion of these challenges and
commerce) taking off in India and you have measures for the betterment of e-commerce
some companies like Flipkart that are is the task of the following sections.
getting through but at the aggregate level
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Source: IAMAI
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“No one has ever made himself great by showing how small someone else is”
Irvin Himmel
“The human spirit needs places where nature has not been rearranged by
the hand of man.”
“The human spirit is stronger than anything that can happen to it.”
Annonymous
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