Interco

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INTERCO CASE STUDY

SOLUTION

PGP31302
DEWANSH zANWAR
Interco:
Interco has 4 divisions – retails, apparel, footwear and furniture. The company has been
moving from apparel and general retail (from 59% to 40%) but it still forms large chunk of its
revenue. It aspires to improve long term sales and improve return on shareholder’s equity.
Currently the imports have been hurting the profitability of the Interco. As profit drops in
retail and apparel, its emphasis on shoes and furniture have increased.

Is Interco rightly valued:


The sales of Interco has been rising, with 4.04% in 1987 and 13.39% in 1988. Earnings has
been growing from 4.51% growth in 1987 to 13.97% in 1988. Apparel business earnings
dropped from 6.7mn in 1986 to 2mn in 1988, which is 19.7 overall drop in earnings. Hence
though overall company performance has been improving not all the departments are
showing sign of improvement.
Bad performance in apparel group is taking the stock price of Interco down. Hence it may be
undervalued because of few divisions.
City capital is trying to acquire Interco. It already acquired 8.7% shares and proposed buying
more at 64/share.
Deals (a) One day 4 weeks 52 weeks 52 weeks
low high
1Q 1988 19 62.3% 95.5% 159.5% 16.7%
2Q 1988 9 68.6% 91.3% 182.8% 31.5%
3Q 1988 (b) 12 36.5% 9.9% 181.3% 2.6%
1988 40 56.00% 80.9% 171.3% 15.8%
Rales 17.9% 59.1% 137.3% 17.2%

Value Interco = discounted first 10 flows + TV10/(1+r)^10


Value Interco equity = Value Interco – 318.5
Price per share = value of equity / 37.5mn shares
Stock price for Interco
14 times 15 times 16 times
10% 80 84 87
11% 74 77 81
12% 69 72 74
13% 64 66 69
14% 59 61 64
Interco is market leader. Looking at the proposals made, City’s offer are low compared to
industry standard.

2. When will a firm not be rightly priced?


 When there is uncertainty in estimation and hence too much importance is given to
some initial known information
 When there is uncertainty on the part of firm’s aspired growth through means like
acquisition
 When there is uncertainty in overall macro-economic environment and hence due to
high fluctuation in interest rates etc. might change the valuation
 If given above factors are not uncertain but the method used is incorrect.
 When though others things might be right but there are technical errors-Calculating
wrong beta, WACC, cash flow or other input parameters used in valuation
 Reliance on comparable company multiples
 When revenue expectations are not balanced and may be too optimistic expectations
and inconsistency with operating expenses

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