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Contents
1. Learning Outcome Statements (LOS)
2. Study Session 16—Fixed Income (1)
1. Reading 50: Fixed-Income Securities: Defining Elements
1. Exam Focus
2. Module 50.1: Bond Indentures, Regulation, and Taxation
3. Module 50.2: Bond Cash Flows and Contingencies
4. Key Concepts
5. Answer Key for Module Quizzes
2. Reading 51: Fixed-Income Markets: Issuance, Trading, and Funding
1. Exam Focus
2. Module 51.1: Types of Bonds and Issuers
3. Module 51.2: Corporate Debt and Funding Alternatives
4. Key Concepts
5. Answer Key for Module Quizzes
3. Reading 52: Introduction to Fixed-Income Valuation
1. Exam Focus
2. Module 52.1: Bond Valuation and Yield to Maturity
3. Module 52.2: Spot Rates and Accrued Interest
4. Module 52.3: Yield Measures
5. Module 52.4: Yield Curves
6. Module 52.5: Yield Spreads
7. Key Concepts
8. Answer Key for Module Quizzes
4. Reading 53: Introduction to Asset-Backed Securities
1. Exam Focus 83
2. Module 53.1: Structure of Mortgage-Backed Securities
3. Module 53.2: Prepayment Risk and Non-Mortgage-Backed ABS
4. Key Concepts
5. Answer Key for Module Quizzes
3. Study Session 17—Fixed Income (2)
1. Reading 54: Understanding Fixed-Income Risk and Return
1. Exam Focus
2. Module 54.1: Sources of Returns, Duration
3. Module 54.2: Interest Rate Risk and Money Duration
4. Module 54.3: Convexity and Yield Volatility
5. Key Concepts
6. Answer Key for Module Quizzes
2. Reading 55: Fundamentals of Credit Analysis
1. Exam Focus
2. Module 55.1: Credit Risk and Bond Ratings
3. Module 55.2: Evaluating Credit Quality
4. Key Concepts
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The topical coverage corresponds with the following CFA Institute assigned reading:
50. Fixed-Income Securities: Defining Elements
The candidate should be able to:
a. describe basic features of a fixed-income security. (page 2)
b. describe content of a bond indenture. (page 3)
c. compare affirmative and negative covenants and identify examples of each. (page
3)
d. describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations affect the issuance and
trading of fixed-income securities. (page 4)
e. describe how cash flows of fixed-income securities are structured. (page 8)
f. describe contingency provisions affecting the timing and/or nature of cash flows of
fixed-income securities and identify whether such provisions benefit the borrower
or the lender. (page 11)
The topical coverage corresponds with the following CFA Institute assigned reading:
51. Fixed-Income Markets: Issuance, Trading, and Funding
The candidate should be able to:
a. describe classifications of global fixed-income markets. (page 19)
b. describe the use of interbank offered rates as reference rates in floating-rate debt.
(page 20)
c. describe mechanisms available for issuing bonds in primary markets. (page 21)
d. describe secondary markets for bonds. (page 22)
e. describe securities issued by sovereign governments. (page 22)
f. describe securities issued by non-sovereign governments, quasi-government
entities, and supranational agencies. (page 23)
g. describe types of debt issued by corporations. (page 24)
h. describe structured financial instruments. (page 26)
i. describe short-term funding alternatives available to banks. (page 28)
j. describe repurchase agreements (repos) and the risks associated with them. (page
29)
The topical coverage corresponds with the following CFA Institute assigned reading:
52. Introduction to Fixed-Income Valuation
The candidate should be able to:
a. calculate a bond’s price given a market discount rate. (page 35)
b. identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon rate, maturity, and market
discount rate (yield-to-maturity). (page 37)
c. define spot rates and calculate the price of a bond using spot rates. (page 40)
d. describe and calculate the flat price, accrued interest, and the full price of a bond.
(page 41)
e. describe matrix pricing. (page 42)
f. calculate and interpret yield measures for fixed-rate bonds, floating-rate notes, and
money market instruments. (page 44)
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g. define and compare the spot curve, yield curve on coupon bonds, par curve, and
forward curve. (page 50)
h. define forward rates and calculate spot rates from forward rates, forward rates from
spot rates, and the price of a bond using forward rates. (page 52)
i. compare, calculate, and interpret yield spread measures. (page 56)
The topical coverage corresponds with the following CFA Institute assigned reading:
53. Introduction to Asset-Backed Securities
The candidate should be able to:
a. explain benefits of securitization for economies and financial markets. (page 65)
b. describe securitization, including the parties involved in the process and the roles
they play. (page 66)
c. describe typical structures of securitizations, including credit tranching and time
tranching. (page 68)
d. describe types and characteristics of residential mortgage loans that are typically
securitized. (page 69)
e. describe types and characteristics of residential mortgage-backed securities,
including mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage
obligations, and explain the cash flows and risks for each type. (page 71)
f. define prepayment risk and describe the prepayment risk of mortgage-backed
securities. (page 71)
g. describe characteristics and risks of commercial mortgage-backed securities. (page
77)
h. describe types and characteristics of non-mortgage asset-backed securities,
including the cash flows and risks of each type. (page 79)
i. describe collateralized debt obligations, including their cash flows and risks. (page
81)
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The topical coverage corresponds with the following CFA Institute assigned reading:
54. Understanding Fixed-Income Risk and Return
The candidate should be able to:
a. calculate and interpret the sources of return from investing in a fixed-rate bond.
(page 89)
b. define, calculate, and interpret Macaulay, modified, and effective durations. (page
95)
c. explain why effective duration is the most appropriate measure of interest rate risk
for bonds with embedded options. (page 98)
d. define key rate duration and describe the use of key rate durations in measuring the
sensitivity of bonds to changes in the shape of the benchmark yield curve. (page
100)
e. explain how a bond’s maturity, coupon, and yield level affect its interest rate risk.
(page 100)
f. calculate the duration of a portfolio and explain the limitations of portfolio
duration. (page 101)
g. calculate and interpret the money duration of a bond and price value of a basis
point (PVBP). (page 102)
h. calculate and interpret approximate convexity and distinguish between
approximate and effective convexity. (page 103)
i. estimate the percentage price change of a bond for a specified change in yield,
given the bond’s approximate duration and convexity. (page 105)
j. describe how the term structure of yield volatility affects the interest rate risk of a
bond. (page 106)
k. describe the relationships among a bond’s holding period return, its duration, and
the investment horizon. (page 107)
l. explain how changes in credit spread and liquidity affect yield-to-maturity of a
bond and how duration and convexity can be used to estimate the price effect of
the changes. (page 109)
The topical coverage corresponds with the following CFA Institute assigned reading:
55. Fundamentals of Credit Analysis
The candidate should be able to:
a. describe credit risk and credit-related risks affecting corporate bonds. (page 117)
b. describe default probability and loss severity as components of credit risk. (page
117)
c. describe seniority rankings of corporate debt and explain the potential violation of
the priority of claims in a bankruptcy proceeding. (page 118)
d. distinguish between corporate issuer credit ratings and issue credit ratings and
describe the rating agency practice of “notching.” (page 119)
e. explain risks in relying on ratings from credit rating agencies. (page 121)
f. explain the four Cs (Capacity, Collateral, Covenants, and Character) of traditional
credit analysis. (page 121)
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g. calculate and interpret financial ratios used in credit analysis. (page 124)
h. evaluate the credit quality of a corporate bond issuer and a bond of that issuer,
given key financial ratios of the issuer and the industry. (page 124)
i. describe factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads. (page 127)
j. explain special considerations when evaluating the credit of high yield, sovereign,
and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues. (page 128)
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STUDY SESSION 18
The topical coverage corresponds with the following CFA Institute assigned reading:
56. Derivative Markets and Instruments
The candidate should be able to:
a. define a derivative and distinguish between exchange-traded and over-the-counter
derivatives. (page 143)
b. contrast forward commitments with contingent claims. (page 144)
c. define forward contracts, futures contracts, options (calls and puts), swaps, and
credit derivatives and compare their basic characteristics. (page 144)
d. describe purposes of, and controversies related to, derivative markets. (page 149)
e. explain arbitrage and the role it plays in determining prices and promoting market
efficiency. (page 149)
The topical coverage corresponds with the following CFA Institute assigned reading:
57. Basics of Derivative Pricing and Valuation
The candidate should be able to:
a. explain how the concepts of arbitrage, replication, and risk neutrality are used in
pricing derivatives. (page 155)
b. distinguish between value and price of forward and futures contracts. (page 158)
c. explain how the value and price of a forward contract are determined at expiration,
during the life of the contract, and at initiation. (page 159)
d. describe monetary and nonmonetary benefits and costs associated with holding the
underlying asset and explain how they affect the value and price of a forward
contract. (page 160)
e. define a forward rate agreement and describe its uses. (page 161)
f. explain why forward and futures prices differ. (page 163)
g. explain how swap contracts are similar to but different from a series of forward
contracts. (page 163)
h. distinguish between the value and price of swaps. (page 163)
i. explain how the value of a European option is determined at expiration. (page 165)
j. explain the exercise value, time value, and moneyness of an option. (page 165)
k. identify the factors that determine the value of an option and explain how each
factor affects the value of an option. (page 167)
l. explain put–call parity for European options. (page 168)
m. explain put–call–forward parity for European options. (page 170)
n. explain how the value of an option is determined using a one-period binomial
model. (page 171)
o. explain under which circumstances the values of European and American options
differ. (page 174)
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STUDY SESSION 19
The topical coverage corresponds with the following CFA Institute assigned reading:
58. Introduction to Alternative Investments
The candidate should be able to:
a. compare alternative investments with traditional investments. (page 183)
b. describe categories of alternative investments. (page 184)
c. describe potential benefits of alternative investments in the context of portfolio
management. (page 185)
d. describe hedge funds, private equity, real estate, commodities, infrastructure, and
other alternative investments, including, as applicable, strategies, sub-categories,
potential benefits and risks, fee structures, and due diligence. (page 185)
e. describe, calculate, and interpret management and incentive fees and net-of-fees
returns to hedge funds. (page 199)
f. describe issues in valuing and calculating returns on hedge funds, private equity,
real estate, commodities, and infrastructure. (page 185)
g. describe risk management of alternative investments. (page 201)
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The following is a review of the Fixed Income (1) principles designed to address the learning outcome
statements set forth by CFA Institute. Cross-Reference to CFA Institute Assigned Reading #50.
EXAM FOCUS
Here your focus should be on learning the basic characteristics of debt securities and as
much of the bond terminology as you can remember. Key items are the coupon structure
of bonds and options embedded in bonds: call options, put options, and conversion (to
common stock) options.
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Issuers of Bonds
There are several types of entities that issue bonds when they borrow money, including:
Corporations. Often corporate bonds are ided into those issued by financial
companies and those issued by nonfinancial companies.
Sovereign national governments. A prime example is U.S. Treasury bonds, but
many countries issue sovereign bonds.
Non-sovereign governments. Issued by government entities that are not national
governments, such as the state of California or the city of Toronto.
Quasi-government entities. Not a direct obligation of a country’s government or
central bank. An example is the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie
Mae).
Supranational entities. Issued by organizations that operate globally such as the
World Bank, the European Investment Bank, and the International Monetary Fund
(IMF).
Bond Maturity
The maturity date of a bond is the date on which the principal is to be repaid. Once a
bond has been issued, the time remaining until maturity is referred to as the term to
maturity or tenor of a bond.
When bonds are issued, their terms to maturity range from one day to 30 years or more.
Both Disney and Coca-Cola have issued bonds with original maturities of 100 years.
Bonds that have no maturity date are called perpetual bonds. They make periodic
interest payments but do not promise to repay the principal amount.
Bonds with original maturities of one year or less are referred to as money market
securities. Bonds with original maturities of more than one year are referred to as
capital market securities.
Par Value
The par value of a bond is the principal amount that will be repaid at maturity. The
par value is also referred to as the face value, maturity value, redemption value, or
principal value of a bond. Bonds can have a par value of any amount, and their prices
are quoted as a percentage of par. A bond with a par value of $1,000 quoted at 98 is
selling for $980.
A bond that is selling for more than its par value is said to be trading at a premium to
par; a bond that is selling at less than its par value is said to be trading at a discount to
par; and a bond that is selling for exactly its par value is said to be trading at par.
Coupon Payments
The coupon rate on a bond is the annual percentage of its par value that will be paid to
bondholders. Some bonds make coupon interest payments annually, while others make
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Currencies
Bonds are issued in many currencies. Sometimes borrowers from countries with volatile
currencies issue bonds denominated in euros or U.S. dollars to make them more
attractive to a wide range investors. A dual-currency bond makes coupon interest
payments in one currency and the principal repayment at maturity in another currency.
A currency option bond gives bondholders a choice of which of two currencies they
would like to receive their payments in.
LOS 50.c: Compare affirmative and negative covenants and identify examples of
each.
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LOS 50.d: Describe how legal, regulatory, and tax considerations affect the
issuance and trading of fixed-income securities.
Issuing Entities
Bonds are issued by several types of legal entities, and bondholders must be aware of
which entity has actually promised to make the interest and principal payments.
Sovereign bonds are most often issued by the treasury of the issuing country.
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Sources of Repayment
Sovereign bonds are typically repaid by the tax receipts of the issuing country. Bonds
issued by non-sovereign government entities are repaid by either general taxes, revenues
of a specific project (e.g., an airport), or by special taxes or fees dedicated to bond
repayment (e.g., a water district or sewer district).
Corporate bonds are generally repaid from cash generated by the firm’s operations. As
noted previously, securitized bonds are repaid from the cash flows of the financial assets
owned by the SPE.
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the mortgages are used to pay the interest and principal on the MBS.
In some countries, especially European countries, financial companies issue covered
bonds. Covered bonds are similar to asset-backed securities, but the underlying assets
(the cover pool), although segregated, remain on the balance sheet of the issuing
corporation (i.e., no SPE is created). Special legislation protects the assets in the cover
pool in the event of firm insolvency (they are bankruptcy remote). In contrast to an SPE
structure, covered bonds also provide recourse to the issuing firm that must replace or
augment non-performing assets in the cover pool so that it always provides for the
payment of the covered bond’s promised interest and principal payments.
Credit enhancement can be either internal (built into the structure of a bond issue) or
external (provided by a third party). One method of internal credit enhancement is
overcollateralization, in which the collateral pledged has a value greater than the par
value of the debt issued. One limitation of this method of credit enhancement is that the
additional collateral is also the underlying assets, so when asset defaults are high, the
value of the excess collateral declines in value.
Two other methods of internal credit enhancement are a cash reserve fund and an excess
spread account. A cash reserve fund is cash set aside to make up for credit losses on the
underlying assets. With an excess spread account, the yield promised on the bonds
issued is less than the promised yield on the assets supporting the ABS. This gives some
protection if the yield on the financial assets is less than anticipated. If the assets
perform as anticipated, the excess cash flow from the collateral can be used to retire
(pay off the principal on) some of the outstanding bonds.
Another method of internal credit enhancement is to divide a bond issue into tranches
(French for slices) with different seniority of claims. Any losses due to poor
performance of the assets supporting a securitized bond are first absorbed by the bonds
with the lowest seniority, then the bonds with the next-lowest priority of claims. The
most senior tranches in this structure can receive very high credit ratings because the
probability is very low that losses will be so large that they cannot be absorbed by the
subordinated tranches. The subordinated tranches must have higher yields to
compensate investors for the additional risk of default. This is sometimes referred to as
waterfall structure because available funds first go to the most senior tranche of bonds,
then to the next-highest priority bonds, and so forth.
External credit enhancements include surety bonds, bank guarantees, and letters of
credit from financial institutions. Surety bonds are issued by insurance companies and
are a promise to make up any shortfall in the cash available to service the debt. Bank
guarantees serve the same function. A letter of credit is a promise to lend money to the
issuing entity if it does not have enough cash to make the promised payments on the
covered debt. While all three of these external credit enhancements increase the credit
quality of debt issues and decrease their yields, deterioration of the credit quality of the
guarantor will also reduce the credit quality of the covered issue.
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municipal governments in the United States, however, is most often exempt from
national income tax and often from any state income tax in the state of issue.
When a bondholder sells a coupon bond prior to maturity, it may be at a gain or a loss
relative to its purchase price. Such gains and losses are considered capital gains income
(rather than ordinary taxable income). Capital gains are often taxed at a lower rate than
ordinary income. Capital gains on the sale of an asset that has been owned for more than
some minimum amount of time may be classified as long-term capital gains and taxed at
an even lower rate.
Pure-discount bonds and other bonds sold at significant discounts to par when issued are
termed original issue discount (OID) bonds. Because the gains over an OID bond’s
tenor as the price moves towards par value are really interest income, these bonds can
generate a tax liability even when no cash interest payment has been made. In many tax
jurisdictions, a portion of the discount from par at issuance is treated as taxable interest
income each year. This tax treatment also allows that the tax basis of the OID bonds is
increased each year by the amount of interest income recognized, so there is no
additional capital gains tax liability at maturity.
Some tax jurisdictions provide a symmetric treatment for bonds issued at a premium to
par, allowing part of the premium to be used to reduce the taxable portion of coupon
interest payments.
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LOS 50.e: Describe how cash flows of fixed-income securities are structured.
A loan structure in which the periodic payments include both interest and some
repayment of principal (the amount borrowed) is called an amortizing loan. If a bond
(loan) is fully amortizing, this means the principal is fully paid off when the last
periodic payment is made. Typically, automobile loans and home loans are fully
amortizing loans. If the 5-year, 5% bond in the previous table had a fully amortizing
structure rather than a bullet structure, the payments and remaining principal balance at
each year-end would be as follows (final payment reflects rounding of previous
payments).
Year 1 2 3 4 5
PMT $230.97 $230.97 $230.97 $230.97 $230.98
Principal remaining $819.03 $629.01 $429.49 $219.99 $0
Sinking fund provisions provide for the repayment of principal through a series of
payments over the life of the issue. For example, a 20-year issue with a face amount of
$300 million may require that the issuer retire $20 million of the principal every year
beginning in the sixth year.
Details of sinking fund provisions vary. There may be a period during which no sinking
fund redemptions are made. The amount of bonds redeemed according to the sinking
fund provision could decline each year or increase each year.
The price at which bonds are redeemed under a sinking fund provision is typically par
but can be different from par. If the market price is less than the sinking fund
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redemption price, the issuer can satisfy the sinking fund provision by buying bonds in
the open market with a par value equal to the amount of bonds that must be redeemed.
This would be the case if interest rates had risen since issuance so that the bonds were
trading below the sinking fund redemption price.
Sinking fund provisions offer both advantages and disadvantages to bondholders. On
the plus side, bonds with a sinking fund provision have less credit risk because the
periodic redemptions reduce the total amount of principal to be repaid at maturity. The
presence of a sinking fund, however, can be a disadvantage to bondholders when
interest rates fall.
This disadvantage to bondholders can be seen by considering the case where interest
rates have fallen since bond issuance, so the bonds are trading at a price above the
sinking fund redemption price. In this case, the bond trustee will select outstanding
bonds for redemption randomly. A bondholder would suffer a loss if her bonds were
selected to be redeemed at a price below the current market price. This means the bonds
have more reinvestment risk because bondholders who have their bonds redeemed can
only reinvest the funds at the new, lower yield (assuming they buy bonds of similar
risk).
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
The concept of reinvestment risk is developed more in subsequent topic reviews. It can be
defined as the uncertainty about the interest to be earned on cash flows from a bond that are
reinvested in other debt securities. In the case of a bond with a sinking fund, the greater
probability of receiving the principal repayment prior to maturity increases the expected cash
flows during the bond’s life and, therefore, the uncertainty about interest income on
reinvested funds.
There are several coupon structures besides a fixed-coupon structure, and we summarize
the most important ones here.
Floating-Rate Notes
Some bonds pay periodic interest that depends on a current market rate of interest.
These bonds are called floating-rate notes (FRN) or floaters. The market rate of
interest is called the reference rate, and an FRN promises to pay the reference rate plus
some interest margin. This added margin is typically expressed in basis points, which
are hundredths of 1%. A 120 basis point margin is equivalent to 1.2%.
As an example, consider a floating-rate note that pays the London Interbank Offered
Rate (LIBOR) plus a margin of 0.75% (75 basis points) annually. If 1-year LIBOR is
2.3% at the beginning of the year, the bond will pay 2.3% + 0.75% = 3.05% of its par
value at the end of the year. The new 1-year rate at that time will determine the rate of
interest paid at the end of the next year. Most floaters pay quarterly and are based on a
quarterly (90-day) reference rate. A variable-rate note is one for which the margin
above the reference rate is not fixed.
A floating-rate note may have a cap, which benefits the issuer by placing a limit on how
high the coupon rate can rise. Often, FRNs with caps also have a floor, which benefits
the bondholder by placing a minimum on the coupon rate (regardless of how low the
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reference rate falls). An inverse floater has a coupon rate that increases when the
reference rate decreases and decreases when the reference rate increases.
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For the 5-year period from the issue date until June 2017, the bond is not callable. We
say the bond has five years of call protection, or that the bond is call protected for five
years. This 5-year period is also referred to as a lockout period, a cushion, or a
deferment period.
June 1, 2017, is referred to as the first call date, and the call price is 102 (102% of par
value) between that date and June 2020. The amount by which the call price is above
par is referred to as the call premium. The call premium at the first call date in this
example is 2%, or $20 per $1,000 bond. The call price declines to 101 (101% of par)
after June 1, 2020. After, June 1, 2022, the bond is callable at par, and that date is
referred to as the first par call date.
For a bond that is currently callable, the call price puts an upper limit on the value of the
bond in the market.
A call option has value to the issuer because it gives the issuer the right to redeem the
bond and issue a new bond (borrow) if the market yield on the bond declines. This
could occur either because interest rates in general have decreased or because the credit
quality of the bond has increased (default risk has decreased).
Consider a situation where the market yield on the previously discussed 6% 20-year
bond has declined from 6% at issuance to 4% on June 1, 2017 (the first call date). If the
bond did not have a call option, it would trade at approximately $1,224. With a call
price of 102, the issuer can redeem the bonds at $1,020 each and borrow that amount at
the current market yield of 4%, reducing the annual interest payment from $60 per bond
to $40.80.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
This is analogous to refinancing a home mortgage when mortgage rates fall in order to
reduce the monthly payments.
The issuer will only choose to exercise the call option when it is to their advantage to do
so. That is, they can reduce their interest expense by calling the bond and issuing new
bonds at a lower yield. Bond buyers are disadvantaged by the call provision and have
more reinvestment risk because their bonds will only be called (redeemed prior to
maturity) when the proceeds can be reinvested only at a lower yield. For this reason, a
callable bond must offer a higher yield (sell at a lower price) than an otherwise identical
noncallable bond. The difference in price between a callable bond and an otherwise
identical noncallable bond is equal to the value of the call option to the issuer.
There are three styles of exercise for callable bonds:
1. American style—the bonds can be called anytime after the first call date.
2. European style—the bonds can only be called on the call date specified.
3. Bermuda style—the bonds can be called on specified dates after the first call date,
often on coupon payment dates.
Note that these are only style names and are not indicative of where the bonds are
issued.
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To avoid the higher interest rates required on callable bonds but still preserve the option
to redeem bonds early when corporate or operating events require it, issuers introduced
bonds with make-whole call provisions. With a make-whole bond, the call price is not
fixed but includes a lump-sum payment based on the present value of the future
coupons the bondholder will not receive if the bond is called early.
With a make-whole call provision, the calculated call price is unlikely to be lower than
the market value of the bond. Therefore the issuer is unlikely to call the bond except
when corporate circumstances, such as an acquisition or restructuring, require it. The
make-whole provision does not put an upper limit on bond values when interest rates
fall as does a regular call provision. The make-whole provision actually penalizes the
issuer for calling the bond. The net effect is that the bond can be called if necessary, but
it can also be issued at a lower yield than a bond with a traditional call provision.
Putable Bonds
A put option gives the bondholder the right to sell the bond back to the issuing
company at a prespecified price, typically par. Bondholders are likely to exercise such a
put option when the fair value of the bond is less than the put price because interest
rates have risen or the credit quality of the issuer has fallen. Exercise styles used are
similar to those we enumerated for callable bonds.
Unlike a call option, a put option has value to the bondholder because the choice of
whether to exercise the option is the bondholder’s. For this reason, a putable bond will
sell at a higher price (offer a lower yield) compared to an otherwise identical option-free
bond.
Convertible Bonds
Convertible bonds, typically issued with maturities of 5–10 years, give bondholders the
option to exchange the bond for a specific number of shares of the issuing corporation’s
common stock. This gives bondholders the opportunity to profit from increases in the
value of the common shares. Regardless of the price of the common shares, the value of
a convertible bond will be at least equal to its bond value without the conversion option.
Because the conversion option is valuable to bondholders, convertible bonds can be
issued with lower yields compared to otherwise identical straight bonds.
Essentially, the owner of a convertible bond has the downside protection (compared to
equity shares) of a bond, but at a reduced yield, and the upside opportunity of equity
shares. For this reason convertible bonds are often referred to as a hybrid security—part
debt and part equity.
To issuers, the advantages of issuing convertible bonds are a lower yield (interest cost)
compared to straight bonds and the fact that debt financing is converted to equity
financing when the bonds are converted to common shares. Some terms related to
convertible bonds are:
Conversion price. The price per share at which the bond (at its par value) may be
converted to common stock.
Conversion ratio. Equal to the par value of the bond divided by the conversion
price. If a bond with a $1,000 par value has a conversion price of $40, its
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Warrants
An alternative way to give bondholders an opportunity for additional returns when the
firm’s common shares increase in value is to include warrants with straight bonds
when they are issued. Warrants give their holders the right to buy the firm’s common
shares at a given price over a given period of time. As an example, warrants that give
their holders the right to buy shares for $40 will provide profits if the common shares
increase in value above $40 prior to expiration of the warrants. For a young firm,
issuing debt can be difficult because the downside (probability of firm failure) is
significant, and the upside is limited to the promised debt payments. Including warrants,
which are sometimes referred to as a “sweetener,” makes the debt more attractive to
investors because it adds potential upside profits if the common shares increase in value.
1. A 10-year bond pays no interest for three years, then pays $229.25, followed by
payments of $35 semiannually for seven years, and an additional $1,000 at
maturity. This bond is:
A. a step-up bond.
B. a zero-coupon bond.
C. a deferred-coupon bond.
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KEY CONCEPTS
LOS 50.a
Basic features of a fixed income security include the issuer, maturity date, par value,
coupon rate, coupon frequency, and currency.
Issuers include corporations, governments, quasi-government entities, and
supranational entities.
Bonds with original maturities of one year or less are money market securities.
Bonds with original maturities of more than one year are capital market securities.
Par value is the principal amount that will be repaid to bondholders at maturity.
Bonds are trading at a premium if their market price is greater than par value or
trading at a discount if their price is less than par value.
Coupon rate is the percentage of par value that is paid annually as interest.
Coupon frequency may be annual, semiannual, quarterly, or monthly. Zero-
coupon bonds pay no coupon interest and are pure discount securities.
Bonds may be issued in a single currency, dual currencies (one currency for
interest and another for principal), or with a bondholder’s choice of currency.
LOS 50.b
A bond indenture or trust deed is a contract between a bond issuer and the bondholders,
which defines the bond’s features and the issuer’s obligations. An indenture specifies
the entity issuing the bond, the source of funds for repayment, assets pledged as
collateral, credit enhancements, and any covenants with which the issuer must comply.
LOS 50.c
Covenants are provisions of a bond indenture that protect the bondholders’ interests.
Negative covenants are restrictions on a bond issuer’s operating decisions, such as
prohibiting the issuer from issuing additional debt or selling the assets pledged as
collateral. Affirmative covenants are administrative actions the issuer must perform,
such as making the interest and principal payments on time.
LOS 50.d
Legal and regulatory matters that affect fixed income securities include the places where
they are issued and traded, the issuing entities, sources of repayment, and collateral and
credit enhancements.
Domestic bonds trade in the issuer’s home country and currency. Foreign bonds
are from foreign issuers but denominated in the currency of the country where
they trade. Eurobonds are issued outside the jurisdiction of any single country and
denominated in a currency other than that of the countries in which they trade.
Issuing entities may be a government or agency; a corporation, holding company,
or subsidiary; or a special purpose entity.
The source of repayment for sovereign bonds is the country’s taxing authority. For
non-sovereign government bonds, the sources may be taxing authority or revenues
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from a project. Corporate bonds are repaid with funds from the firm’s operations.
Securitized bonds are repaid with cash flows from a pool of financial assets.
Bonds are secured if they are backed by specific collateral or unsecured if they
represent an overall claim against the issuer’s cash flows and assets.
Credit enhancement may be internal (overcollateralization, excess spread,
tranches with different priority of claims) or external (surety bonds, bank
guarantees, letters of credit).
Interest income is typically taxed at the same rate as ordinary income, while gains or
losses from selling a bond are taxed at the capital gains tax rate. However, the increase
in value toward par of original issue discount bonds is considered interest income. In the
United States, interest income from municipal bonds is usually tax-exempt at the
national level and in the issuer’s state.
LOS 50.e
A bond with a bullet structure pays coupon interest periodically and repays the entire
principal value at maturity.
A bond with an amortizing structure repays part of its principal at each payment date. A
fully amortizing structure makes equal payments throughout the bond’s life. A partially
amortizing structure has a balloon payment at maturity, which repays the remaining
principal as a lump sum.
A sinking fund provision requires the issuer to retire a portion of a bond issue at
specified times during the bonds’ life.
Floating-rate notes have coupon rates that adjust based on a reference rate such as
LIBOR.
Other coupon structures include step-up coupon notes, credit-linked coupon bonds,
payment-in-kind bonds, deferred coupon bonds, and index-linked bonds.
LOS 50.f
Embedded options benefit the party who has the right to exercise them. Call options
benefit the issuer, while put options and conversion options benefit the bondholder.
Call options allow the issuer to redeem bonds at a specified call price.
Put options allow the bondholder to sell bonds back to the issuer at a specified put price.
Conversion options allow the bondholder to exchange bonds for a specified number of
shares of the issuer’s common stock.
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The following is a review of the Fixed Income (1) principles designed to address the learning outcome
statements set forth by CFA Institute. Cross-Reference to CFA Institute Assigned Reading #51.
EXAM FOCUS
This topic review introduces many terms and definitions. Focus on different types of
issuers, features of the various debt security structures, and why different sources of
funds have different interest costs. Understand well the differences between fixed-rate
and floating-rate debt and how rates are determined on floating-rate debt and for
repurchase agreements.
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LOS 51.b: Describe the use of interbank offered rates as reference rates in
floating-rate debt.
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LOS 51.c: Describe mechanisms available for issuing bonds in primary markets.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
Recall that auction procedures were explained in detail in the prerequisite readings for
Economics.
U.S. Treasury securities are sold through single price auctions with the majority of
purchases made by primary dealers that participate in purchases and sales of bonds
with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to facilitate the open market operations of
the Fed. Individuals can purchase U.S. Treasury securities through the periodic auctions
as well, but are a small part of the total.
In a shelf registration, a bond issue is registered with securities regulators in its
aggregate value with a master prospectus. Bonds can then be issued over time when the
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issuer needs to raise funds. Because individual offerings under a shelf registration
require less disclosure than a separate registration of a bond issue, only financially
sound companies are granted this option. In some countries, bonds registered under a
shelf registration can be sold only to qualified investors.
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of hospitals, airports, and other municipal services. Payments on the bonds may be
supported by the revenues of a specific project, from general tax revenues, or from
special taxes or fees dedicated to the repayment of project debt.
Non-sovereign bonds are typically of high credit quality, but sovereign bonds typically
trade with lower yields (higher prices) because their credit risk is perceived to be less
than that of non-sovereign bonds.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
We will examine the credit quality of sovereign and non-sovereign government bonds in our
topic review of “Fundamentals of Credit Analysis.”
Agency or quasi-government bonds are issued by entities created by national
governments for specific purposes such as financing small businesses or providing
mortgage financing. In the United States, bonds are issued by government-sponsored
enterprises (GSEs), such as the Federal National Mortgage Association and the
Tennessee Valley Authority.
Some quasi-government bonds are backed by the national government, which gives
them high credit quality. Even those not backed by the national government typically
have high credit quality although their yields are marginally higher than those of
sovereign bonds.
Supranational bonds are issued by supranational agencies, also known as multilateral
agencies. Examples are the World Bank, the IMF, and the Asian Development Bank.
Bonds issued by supranational agencies typically have high credit quality and can be
very liquid, especially large issues of well-known entities.
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Bank Debt
Most corporations fund their businesses to some extent with bank loans. These are
typically LIBOR-based, variable-rate loans. When the loan involves only one bank, it is
referred to as a bilateral loan. In contrast, when a loan is funded by several banks, it is
referred to as a syndicated loan and the group of banks is the syndicate. There is a
secondary market in syndicated loan interests that are also securitized, creating bonds
that are sold to investors.
Commercial Paper
For larger creditworthy corporations, funding costs can be reduced by issuing short-
term debt securities referred to as commercial paper. For these firms, the interest cost
of commercial paper is less than the interest on a bank loan. Commercial paper yields
more than short-term sovereign debt because it has, on average, more credit risk and
less liquidity.
Firms use commercial paper to fund working capital and as a temporary source of funds
prior to issuing longer-term debt. Debt that is temporary until permanent financing can
be secured is referred to as bridge financing.
Commercial paper is a short-term, unsecured debt instrument. In the United States,
commercial paper is issued with maturities of 270 days or less, because debt securities
with maturities of 270 days or less are exempt from SEC registration. Eurocommercial
paper (ECP) is issued in several countries with maturities as long as 364 days.
Commercial paper is issued with maturities as short as one day (overnight paper), with
most issues maturing in about 90 days.
Commercial paper is often reissued or rolled over when it matures. The risk that a
company will not be able to sell new commercial paper to replace maturing paper is
termed rollover risk. The two important circumstances in which a company will face
rollover difficulties are (1) there is a deterioration in a company’s actual or perceived
ability to repay the debt at maturity, which will significantly increase the required yield
on the paper or lead to less-than-full subscription to a new issue, and (2) significant
systemic financial distress, as was experienced in the 2008 financial crisis, that may
“freeze” debt markets so that very little commercial paper can be sold at all.
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In order to get an acceptable credit rating from the ratings services on their commercial
paper, corporations maintain backup lines of credit with banks. These are sometimes
referred to as liquidity enhancement or backup liquidity lines. The bank agrees to
provide the funds when the paper matures, if needed, except in the case of a material
adverse change (i.e., when the company’s financial situation has deteriorated
significantly).
Similar to U.S. T-bills, commercial paper in the United States is typically issued as a
pure discount security, making a single payment equal to the face value at maturity.
Prices are quoted as a percentage discount from face value. In contrast, ECP rates may
be quoted as either a discount yield or an add-on yield, that is, the percentage interest
paid at maturity in addition to the par value of the commercial paper. As an example,
consider 240-day commercial paper with a holding period yield of 1.35%. If it is quoted
with a discount yield, it will be issued at 100 / 1.0135 = 98.668 and pay 100 at maturity.
If it is quoted with an add-on yield, it will be issued at 100 and pay 101.35 at maturity.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
Recall from Quantitative Methods that a 180-day T-bill quoted at a discount yield of 2% for
the 180-day period is priced at $980 per $1,000 face value. The effective 180-day return is
1,000 / 980 − 1 = 2.041%. For ECP with a 180-day, add-on yield of 2%, the effective return
is simply 2%.
Corporate Bonds
In the previous topic review, we discussed several features of corporate bonds.
Corporate bonds are issued with various coupon structures and with both fixed-rate
and floating-rate coupon payments. They may be secured by collateral or unsecured and
may have call, put, or conversion provisions.
We also discussed a sinking fund provision as a way to reduce the credit risk of a bond
by redeeming part of the bond issue periodically over a bond’s life. An alternative to a
sinking fund provision is to issue a serial bond issue. With a serial bond issue, bonds
are issued with several maturity dates so that a portion of the issue is redeemed
periodically. An important difference between a serial bond issue and an issue with a
sinking fund is that with a serial bond issue, investors know at issuance when specific
bonds will be redeemed. A bond issue that does not have a serial maturity structure is
said to have a term maturity structure with all the bonds maturing on the same date.
In general, corporate bonds are referred to as short-term if they are issued with
maturities of up to 5 years, medium-term when issued with maturities from 5 to 12
years, and long-term when maturities exceed 12 years.
Corporations issue debt securities called medium-term notes (MTNs), which are not
necessarily medium-term in maturity. MTNs are issued in various maturities, ranging
from nine months to periods as long as 100 years. Issuers provide maturity ranges (e.g.,
18 months to two years) for MTNs they wish to sell and provide yield quotes for those
ranges. Investors interested in purchasing the notes make an offer to the issuer’s agent,
specifying the face value and an exact maturity within one of the ranges offered. The
agent then confirms the issuer’s willingness to sell those MTNs and effects the
transaction.
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MTNs can have fixed- or floating-rate coupons, but longer-maturity MTNs are typically
fixed-rate bonds. Most MTNs, other than long-term MTNs, are issued by financial
corporations and most buyers are financial institutions. MTNs can be structured to meet
an institution’s specifications. While custom bond issues have less liquidity, they
provide slightly higher yields compared to an issuer’s publicly traded bonds.
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protection, but greater potential for upside gains because more calls can be
purchased.
3. Participation instruments
A participation instrument has payments that are based on the value of an
underlying instrument, often a reference interest rate or equity index. Participation
instruments do not offer capital protection. One example of a participation
instrument is a floating-rate note. With a floating-rate note, the coupon payments
are based on the value of a short-term interest rate, such as 90-day LIBOR (the
reference rate). When the reference rate increases, the coupon payment increases.
Because the coupon payments move with the reference rates on floating-rate
securities, their market values remain relatively stable, even when interest rates
change.
Participation is often based on the performance of an equity price, an equity index
value, or the price of another asset. Fixed-income portfolio managers who are
only permitted to invest in “debt” securities can use participation instruments to
gain exposure to returns on an equity index or asset price.
4. Leveraged instruments
An inverse floater is an example of a leveraged instrument. An inverse floater
has coupon payments that increase when a reference rate decreases and decrease
when a reference rate increases, the opposite of coupon payments on a floating-
rate note. A simple structure might promise to pay a coupon rate, C, equal to a
specific rate minus a reference rate, for example, C = 6% − 180-day LIBOR.
When 180-day LIBOR increases, the coupon rate on the inverse floater decreases.
Inverse floaters can also be structured with leverage so that the change in the
coupon rate is some multiple of the change in the reference rate. As an example,
consider a note with C = 6% − (1.2 × 90-day LIBOR) so that the coupon payment
rate changes by 1.2 times the change in the reference rate. Such a floater is termed
a leveraged inverse floater. When the multiplier on the reference rate is less than
one, such as 7% – (0.5 × 180-day LIBOR), the instrument is termed a
deleveraged inverse floater. In either case, a minimum or floor rate for the
coupon rate, often 0%, is specified for the inverse floater.
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LOS 51.j: Describe repurchase agreements (repos) and the risks associated with
them.
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1. With which of the following features of a corporate bond issue does an investor
most likely face the risk of redemption prior to maturity?
A. Serial bonds.
B. Sinking fund.
C. Term maturity structure.
2. A financial instrument is structured such that cash flows to the security holder
increase if a specified reference rate increases. This structured financial
instrument is best described as:
A. a participation instrument.
B. a capital protected instrument.
C. a yield enhancement instrument.
3. Smith Bank lends Johnson Bank excess reserves on deposit with the central bank
for a period of three months. Is this transaction said to occur in the interbank
market?
A. Yes.
B. No, because the interbank market refers to loans for more than one year.
C. No, because the interbank market does not include reserves at the central
bank.
4. In a repurchase agreement, the percentage difference between the repurchase
price and the amount borrowed is most accurately described as:
A. the haircut.
B. the repo rate.
C. the repo margin.
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KEY CONCEPTS
LOS 51.a
Global bond markets can be classified by the following:
Type of issuer: Government (and government-related), corporate (financial and
nonfinancial), securitized.
Credit quality: Investment grade, noninvestment grade.
Original maturity: Money market (one year or less), capital market (more than
one year).
Coupon: Fixed rate, floating rate.
Currency and geography: Domestic, foreign, global, eurobond markets;
developed, emerging markets.
Other classifications: Indexing, taxable status.
LOS 51.b
Interbank lending rates, such as London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), are
frequently used as reference rates for floating-rate debt. An appropriate reference rate is
one that matches a floating-rate note’s currency and frequency of rate resets, such as 6-
month U.S. dollar LIBOR for a semiannual floating-rate note issued in U.S. dollars.
LOS 51.c
Bonds may be issued in the primary market through a public offering or a private
placement.
A public offering using an investment bank may be underwritten, with the investment
bank or syndicate purchasing the entire issue and selling the bonds to dealers; or on a
best-efforts basis, in which the investment bank sells the bonds on commission. Public
offerings may also take place through auctions, which is the method commonly used to
issue government debt.
A private placement is the sale of an entire issue to a qualified investor or group of
investors, which are typically large institutions.
LOS 51.d
Bonds that have been issued previously trade in secondary markets. While some bonds
trade on exchanges, most are traded in dealer markets. Spreads between bid and ask
prices are narrower for liquid issues and wider for less liquid issues.
Trade settlement is typically T + 2 or T + 3 for corporate bonds and either cash
settlement or T + 1 for government bonds.
LOS 51.e
Sovereign bonds are issued by national governments and backed by their taxing power.
Sovereign bonds may be denominated in the local currency or a foreign currency.
LOS 51.f
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Non-sovereign government bonds are issued by governments below the national level,
such as provinces or cities, and may be backed by taxing authority or revenues from a
specific project.
Agency or quasi-government bonds are issued by government sponsored entities and
may be explicitly or implicitly backed by the government.
Supranational bonds are issued by multilateral agencies that operate across national
borders.
LOS 51.g
Debt issued by corporations includes bank debt, commercial paper, corporate bonds,
and medium-term notes.
Bank debt includes bilateral loans from a single bank and syndicated loans from
multiple banks.
Commercial paper is a money market instrument issued by corporations of high credit
quality.
Corporate bonds may have a term maturity structure (all bonds in an issue mature at the
same time) or a serial maturity structure (bonds in an issue mature on a predetermined
schedule) and may have a sinking fund provision.
Medium-term notes are corporate issues that can be structured to meet the requirements
of investors.
LOS 51.h
Structured financial instruments include asset-backed securities and collateralized debt
securities as well as the following types:
Yield enhancement instruments include credit linked notes, which are redeemed at
an amount less than par value if a specified credit event occurs on a reference
asset, or at par if it does not occur. The buyer receives a higher yield for bearing
the credit risk of the reference asset.
Capital protected instruments offer a guaranteed payment, which may be equal to
the purchase price of the instrument, along with participation in any increase in
the value of an equity, an index, or other asset.
Participation instruments are debt securities with payments that depend on the
returns on an asset or index, or depend on a reference interest rate. One example is
a floating rate bond, which makes coupon payments that change with a short-term
reference rate, such as LIBOR. Other participation instruments make coupon
payments based on the returns on an index of equity securities or on some other
asset.
An inverse floater is a leveraged instrument that has a coupon rate that varies
inversely with a specified reference interest rate, for example, 6% – (L × 180-day
LIBOR). L is the leverage of the inverse floater. An inverse floater with L > 1, so
that the coupon rate changes by more than the reference rate, is termed a
leveraged inverse floater. An inverse floater with L < 1 is a deleveraged floater.
LOS 51.i
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1. Fixed Income Markets: Issuance, Trading, and Funding, Choudhry, M.; Mann, S.; and Whitmer, L.; in
CFA Program 2019 Level I Curriculum, Volume 5 (CFA Institute, 2018).
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The following is a review of the Fixed Income (1) principles designed to address the learning outcome
statements set forth by CFA Institute. Cross-Reference to CFA Institute Assigned Reading #52.
EXAM FOCUS
The concepts introduced here are very important for understanding the factors that
determine the value of debt securities and various yield measures. The relationships
between yield to maturity, spot rates, and forward rates are core material and come up in
many contexts throughout the CFA curriculum. Yield spread measures also have many
applications. Note that while several of the required learning outcomes have the
command word “calculate” in them, a good understanding of the underlying concepts is
just as important for exam success on this material.
where:
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N = number of years
FV = the par value or selling price at the end of an assumed holding period
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
Take note of a couple of points here. The discount rate is entered as a whole number in
percent, 10, not 0.10. The 10 coupon payments of $100 each are taken care of in the N = 10
and PMT = 100 entries. The principal repayment is in the FV = 1,000 entry. Lastly, note that
the PV is negative; it will be the opposite sign to the sign of PMT and FV. The calculator is
just “thinking” that to receive the payments and future value (to own the bond), you must
pay the present value of the bond today (you must buy the bond). That’s why the PV amount
is negative; it is a cash outflow to a bond buyer.
Now let’s value that same bond with a discount rate of 8%:
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
It’s worth noting here that a 2% decrease in yield-to-maturity increases the bond’s value by
more than a 2% increase in yield decreases the bond’s value. This illustrates that the bond’s
price-yield relationship is convex, as we will explain in more detail in a later topic review.
Calculating the value of a bond with semiannual coupon payments. Let’s calculate
the value of the same bond with semiannual payments.
Rather than $100 per year, the security will pay $50 every six months. With an annual
YTM of 8%, we need to discount the coupon payments at 4% per period which results
in a present value of:
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LOS 52.b: Identify the relationships among a bond’s price, coupon rate, maturity,
and market discount rate (yield-to-maturity).
CFA® Program Curriculum: Volume 5, page 407
So far we have used a bond’s cash flows and an assumed discount rate to calculate the
value of the bond. We can also calculate the market discount rate given a bond’s price
in the market, because there is an inverse relationship between price and yield. For a 3-
year, 8% annual coupon bond that is priced at 90.393, the market discount rate is:
N = 3; PMT = 8; FV = 100; PV = –90.393; CPT → I/Y = 12%
We can summarize the relationships between price and yield as follows:
1. At a point in time, a decrease (increase) in a bond’s YTM will increase (decrease)
its price.
2. If a bond’s coupon rate is greater than its YTM, its price will be at a premium to
par value. If a bond’s coupon rate is less than its YTM, its price will be at a
discount to par value.
3. The percentage decrease in value when the YTM increases by a given amount is
smaller than the increase in value when the YTM decreases by the same amount
(the price-yield relationship is convex).
4. Other things equal, the price of a bond with a lower coupon rate is more sensitive
to a change in yield than is the price of a bond with a higher coupon rate.
5. Other things equal, the price of a bond with a longer maturity is more sensitive to
a change in yield than is the price of a bond with a shorter maturity.
Figure 52.1 illustrates the convex relationship between a bond’s price and its yield-to-
maturity:
Figure 52.1: Market Yield vs. Bond Value for an 8% Coupon Bond
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The change in value associated with the passage of time for the three bonds represented
in Figure 52.2 is presented graphically in Figure 52.3. This convergence to par value at
maturity is known as the constant-yield price trajectory because it shows how the
bond’s price would change as time passes if its yield-to-maturity remained constant.
Figure 52.3: Premium, Par, and Discount Bonds
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1. A 20-year, 10% annual-pay bond has a par value of $1,000. What is the price of
the bond if it has a yield-to-maturity of 15%?
A. $685.14.
B. $687.03.
C. $828.39.
2. An analyst observes a 5-year, 10% semiannual-pay bond. The face amount is
£1,000. The analyst believes that the yield-to-maturity on a semiannual bond
basis should be 15%. Based on this yield estimate, the price of this bond would
be:
A. £828.40.
B. £1,189.53.
C. £1,193.04.
3. An analyst observes a 20-year, 8% option-free bond with semiannual coupons.
The required yield-to-maturity on a semiannual bond basis was 8%, but suddenly
it decreased to 7.25%. As a result, the price of this bond:
A. increased.
B. decreased.
C. stayed the same.
4. A $1,000, 5%, 20-year annual-pay bond has a YTM of 6.5%. If the YTM remains
unchanged, how much will the bond value increase over the next three years?
A. $13.62.
B. $13.78.
C. $13.96.
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The yield-to-maturity is calculated as if the discount rate for every bond cash flow is the
same. In reality, discount rates depend on the time period in which the bond payment
will be made. Spot rates are the market discount rates for a single payment to be
received in the future. The discount rates for zero-coupon bonds are spot rates and we
sometimes refer to spot rates as zero-coupon rates or simply zero rates.
In order to price a bond with spot rates, we sum the present values of the bond’s
payments, each discounted at the spot rate for the number of periods before it will be
paid. The general equation for calculating a bond’s value using spot rates (Si) is:
Given the following spot rates, calculate the value of a 3-year, 5% annual-coupon bond.
Spot rates
1-year: 3%
2-year: 4%
3-year: 5%
Answer:
This price, calculated using spot rates, is sometimes called the no-arbitrage price of a
bond because if a bond is priced differently there will be a profit opportunity from
arbitrage among bonds.
Because the bond value is slightly greater than its par value, we know its YTM is
slightly less than its coupon rate of 5%. Using the price of 1,001.80, we can calculate
the YTM for this bond as:
N = 3; PMT = 50; FV = 1,000; PV = –1,001.80; CPT → I/Y =4.93%
LOS 52.d: Describe and calculate the flat price, accrued interest, and the full price
of a bond.
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A 5% bond makes coupon payments on June 15 and December 15 and is trading with a YTM of 4%.
The bond is purchased and will settle on August 21 when there will be four coupons remaining until
maturity. Calculate the full price of the bond using actual days.
Step 1: Calculate the value of the bond on the last coupon date (coupons are semiannual, so we use 4 /
2 = 2% for the periodic discount rate):
N = 4; PMT= 25; FV= 1,000; I/Y =2; CPT → PV= –1,019.04
Step 2: Adjust for the number of days since the last coupon payment:
Days between June 15 and December 15 = 183 days.
Days between June 15 and settlement on August 21 = 67 days.
Full price = 1,019.04 × (1.02)67/183 = 1,026.46.
The accrued interest since the last payment date can be calculated as the coupon
payment times the portion of the coupon period that has passed between the last coupon
payment date and the settlement date of the transaction. For the bond in the previous
example, the accrued interest on the settlement date of August 21 is:
$25 (67 / 183) = $9.15
The full price (invoice price) minus the accrued interest is referred to as the flat price of
the bond.
flat price = full price − accrued interest
So for the bond in our example, the flat price = 1,026.46 − 9.15 = 1,017.31.
The flat price of the bond is also referred to as the bond’s clean price, and the full price
is also referred to as the dirty price.
Note that the flat price is not the present value of the bond on its last coupon payment
date, 1,017.31 < 1,019.04.
So far, in calculating accrued interest, we used the actual number of days between
coupon payments and the actual number of days between the last coupon date and the
settlement date. This actual/actual method is used most often with government bonds.
The 30/360 method is most often used for corporate bonds. This method assumes that
there are 30 days in each month and 360 days in a year.
EXAMPLE: Accrued interest
An investor buys a $1,000 par value, 4% annual-pay bond that pays its coupons on May 15. The
investor’s buy order settles on August 10. Calculate the accrued interest that is owed to the bond seller,
using the 30/360 method and the actual/actual method.
Answer:
The annual coupon payment is 4% × $1,000 = $40.
Using the 30/360 method, interest is accrued for 30 – 15 = 15 days in May; 30 days each in June and
July; and 10 days in August, or 15 + 30 + 30 + 10 = 85 days.
Using the actual/actual method, interest is accrued for 31 – 15 = 16 days in May; 30 days in June; 31
days in July; and 10 days in August, or 16 + 30 + 31 + 10 = 87 days.
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Rob Phelps, CFA, is estimating the value of a nontraded 4% annual-pay, A+ rated bond that has three
years remaining until maturity. He has obtained the following yields-to-maturity on similar corporate
bonds:
A+ rated, 2-year annual-pay, YTM = 4.3%
A+ rated, 5-year annual-pay, YTM = 5.1%
A+ rated, 5-year annual-pay, YTM = 5.3%
Estimate the value of the nontraded bond.
Answer:
Step 1: Take the average YTM of the 5-year bonds: (5.1 + 5.3) / 2 = 5.2%.
Step 2: Interpolate the 3-year YTM based on the 2-year and average 5-year YTMs:
4.3% + (5.2% – 4.3%) × [(3 years – 2 years) / (5 years – 2 years)] = 4.6%
Step 3: Price the nontraded bond with a YTM of 4.6%:
N = 3; PMT = 40; FV = 1,000; I/Y = 4.6; CPT → PV = –983.54
The estimated value is $983.54 per $1,000 par value.
In using the averages in the preceding example, we have used simple linear
interpolation. Because the maturity of the nontraded bond is three years, we estimate
the YTM on the 3-year bond as the yield on the 2-year bond, plus one-third of the
difference between the YTM of the 2-year bond and the average YTM of the 5-year
bonds. Note that the difference in maturity between the 2-year bond and the 3-year bond
is one year and the difference between the maturities of the 2-year and 5-year bonds is
three years.
A variation of matrix pricing used for pricing new bond issues focuses on the spreads
between bond yields and the yields of a benchmark bond of similar maturity that is
essentially default risk free. Often the yields on Treasury bonds are used as benchmark
yields for U.S. dollar-denominated corporate bonds. When estimating the YTM for the
new issue bond, the appropriate spread to the yield of a Treasury bond of the same
maturity is estimated and added to the yield of the benchmark issue.
EXAMPLE: Estimating the spread for a new 6-year, A rated bond issue
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Estimate the required yield on a newly issued 6-year, A rated corporate bond.
Answer:
1. Calculate the spreads to the benchmark (Treasury) yields.
Spread on the 5-year corporate bond is 2.64 – 1.48 = 1.16%.
Spread on the 7-year corporate bond is 3.55 – 2.15 = 1.40%.
2. Calculate the average spread because the 6-year bond is the midpoint of five and seven years.
Average spread = (1.16 + 1.40) / 2 = 1.28%.
3. Add the average spread to the YTM of the 6-year Treasury (benchmark) bond.
1.74 + 1.28 = 3.02%, which is our estimate of the YTM on the newly issued 6-year, A rated bond.
1. If spot rates are 3.2% for one year, 3.4% for two years, and 3.5% for three years,
the price of a $100,000 face value, 3-year, annual-pay bond with a coupon rate of
4% is closest to:
A. $101,420.
B. $101,790.
C. $108,230.
2. An investor paid a full price of $1,059.04 each for 100 bonds. The purchase was
between coupon dates, and accrued interest was $23.54 per bond. What is each
bond’s flat price?
A. $1,000.00.
B. $1,035.50.
C. $1,082.58.
3. Cathy Moran, CFA, is estimating a value for an infrequently traded bond with six
years to maturity, an annual coupon of 7%, and a single-B credit rating. Moran
obtains yields-to-maturity for more liquid bonds with the same credit rating:
5% coupon, eight years to maturity, yielding 7.20%.
6.5% coupon, five years to maturity, yielding 6.40%.
The infrequently traded bond is most likely trading at:
A. par value.
B. a discount to par value.
C. a premium to par value.
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Given a bond’s price in the market, we can say that the YTM is the discount rate that
makes the present value of a bond’s cash flows equal to its price. For a 5-year, annual
pay 7% bond that is priced in the market at $1,020.78, the YTM will satisfy the
following equation:
We can calculate the YTM (discount rate) that satisfies this equality as:
N = 5; PMT= 70; FV= 1,000; PV= –1,020.78; CPT → I/Y = 6.5%
By convention, the YTM on a semiannual coupon bond is expressed as two times the
semiannual discount rate. For a 5-year, semiannual pay 7% coupon bond, we can
calculate the semiannual discount rate as YTM/2 and then double it to get the YTM
expressed as an annual yield:
= 1,020.78
N = 10; PMT = 35; FV = 1,000; PV = –1,020.78; CPT → I/Y = 3.253%
The YTM is 3.253 × 2 = 6.506%.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
This follows the method described in Quantitative Methods for calculating the effective
annual yield given a stated annual rate and the number of compounding periods per year.
Most bonds in the United States make semiannual coupon payments (periodicity of
two), and yields (YTMs) are quoted on a semiannual bond basis, which is simply two
times the semiannual discount rate. It may be necessary to adjust the quoted yield on a
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bond to make it comparable with the yield on a bond with a different periodicity. This is
illustrated in the following example.
An Atlas Corporation bond is quoted with a YTM of 4% on a semiannual bond basis. What yields
should be used to compare it with a quarterly-pay bond and an annual-pay bond?
Answer:
The first thing to note is that 4% on a semiannual bond basis is an effective yield of 2% per 6-month
period.
To compare this with the yield on an annual-pay bond, which is an effective annual yield, we need to
calculate the effective annual yield on the semiannual coupon bond, which is 1.022 − 1 = 4.04%.
For the annual YTM on the quarterly-pay bond, we need to calculate the effective quarterly yield and
multiply by four. The quarterly yield (yield per quarter) that is equivalent to a yield of 2% per six
months is 1.021/2 − 1 = 0.995%. The quoted annual rate for the equivalent yield on a quarterly bond
basis is 4 × 0.995 = 3.98%.
Note that we have shown that the effective annual yields are the same for:
An annual coupon bond with a yield of 4.04% on an annual basis (periodicity of one).
A semiannual coupon bond with a yield of 4.0% on a semiannual basis (periodicity of two).
A quarterly coupon bond with a yield of 3.98% on quarterly basis (periodicity of four).
Bond yields calculated using the stated coupon payment dates are referred to as
following the street convention. Because some coupon dates will fall on weekends and
holidays, coupon payments will actually be made the next business day. The yield
calculated using these actual coupon payment dates is referred to as the true yield.
Some coupon payments will be made later when holidays and weekends are taken into
account, so true yields will be slightly lower than street convention yields, if only by a
few basis points.
When calculating spreads between government bond yields and the yield on a corporate
bond, the corporate bond yield is often restated to its yield on actual/actual basis to
match the day count convention used on government bonds (rather than the 30/360 day
count convention used for calculating corporate bond yields).
Current yield is simple to calculate, but offers limited information. This measure looks
at just one source of return: a bond’s annual interest income—it does not consider
capital gains/losses or reinvestment income. The formula for the current yield is:
Consider a 20-year, $1,000 par value, 6% semiannual-pay bond that is currently trading at a flat price
of $802.07. Calculate the current yield.
Answer:
The annual cash coupon payments total:
annual cash coupon payment = par value × stated coupon rate
= $1,000 × 0.06 = $60
Because the bond is trading at $802.07, the current yield is:
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Note that current yield is based on annual coupon interest so that it is the same for a semiannual-pay
and annual-pay bond with the same coupon rate and price.
The current yield does not account for gains or losses as the bond’s price moves toward
its par value over time. A bond’s simple yield takes a discount or premium into account
by assuming that any discount or premium declines evenly over the remaining years to
maturity. The sum of the annual coupon payment plus (minus) the straight-line
amortization of a discount (premium) is divided by the flat price to get the simple yield.
A 3-year, 8% coupon, semiannual-pay bond is priced at 90.165. Calculate the simple yield.
Answer:
The discount from par value is 100 – 90.165 = 9.835. Annual straight-line amortization of the discount
is 9.835 / 3 = 3.278.
For a callable bond, an investor’s yield will depend on whether and when the bond is
called. The yield-to-call can be calculated for each possible call date and price. The
lowest of yield-to-maturity and the various yields-to-call is termed the yield-to-worst.
The following example illustrates these calculations.
Consider a 10-year, semiannual-pay 6% bond trading at 102 on January 1, 2014. The bond is callable
according to the following schedule:
Calculate the bond’s YTM, yield-to-first call, yield-to-first par call, and yield-to-worst.
Answer:
The yield-to-maturity on the bond is calculated as:
N = 20; PMT = 30; FV = 1,000; PV = –1,020; CPT → I/Y = 2.867%
2 × 2.867 = 5.734% = YTM
To calculate the yield-to-first call, we calculate the yield-to-maturity using the number of semiannual
periods until the first call date (10) for N and the call price (1,020) for FV:
N = 10; PMT = 30; FV = 1,020; PV = –1,020; CPT → I/Y = 2.941%
2 × 2.941 = 5.882% = yield-to-first call
To calculate the yield-to-first par call (second call date), we calculate the yield-to-maturity using the
number of semiannual periods until the first par call date (16) for N and the call price (1,000) for FV:
N = 16; PMT = 30; FV = 1,000; PV = –1,020; CPT → I/Y = 2.843%
2 × 2.843 = 5.686% = yield-to-first par call
The lowest yield, 5.686%, is realized if the bond is called at par on January 1, 2022, so the yield-to-
worst is 5.686%.
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The option-adjusted yield is calculated by adding the value of the call option to the
bond’s current flat price. The value of a callable bond is equal to the value of the bond if
it did not have the call option, minus the value of the call option (because the issuer
owns the call option).
The option-adjusted yield will be less than the yield-to-maturity for a callable bond
because callable bonds have higher yields to compensate bondholders for the issuer’s
call option. The option-adjusted yield can be used to compare the yields of bonds with
various embedded options to each other and to similar option-free bonds.
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Both discount basis and add-on yields in the money market are quoted as simple annual
interest. The following example illustrates the required calculations and quote
conventions.
1. A $1,000 90-day T-bill is priced with an annualized discount of 1.2%. Calculate its market price
and its annualized add-on yield based on a 365-day year.
2. A $1 million negotiable CD with 120 days to maturity is quoted with an add-on yield of 1.4%
based on a 365-day year. Calculate the payment at maturity for this CD and its bond equivalent
yield.
3. A bank deposit for 100 days is quoted with an add-on yield of 1.5% based on a 360-day year.
Calculate the bond equivalent yield and the yield on a semiannual bond basis
Answer:
1. The discount from face value is 1.2% × 90 / 360 × 1,000 = $3 so the current price is 1,000 – 3 =
$997.
The equivalent add-on yield for 90 days is 3 / 997 = 0.3009%. The annualized add-on yield based
on a 365-day year is 365 / 90 × 0.3009 = 1.2203%. This add-on yield based on a 365-day year is
referred to as the bond equivalent yield for a money market security.
2. The add-on interest for the 120-day period is 120 / 365 × 1.4% = 0.4603%.
At maturity, the CD will pay $1 million × (1 + 0.004603) = $1,004,603.
The quoted yield on the CD is the bond equivalent yield because it is an add-on yield annualized
based on a 365-day year.
3. Because the yield of 1.5% is an annualized effective yield calculated based on a 360-day year, the
bond equivalent yield, which is based on a 365-day year, is:
(365 / 360) × 1.5% = 1.5208%
We may want to compare the yield on a money market security to the YTM of a semiannual-pay
bond. The method is to convert the money market security’s holding period return to an effective
semiannual yield, and then double it.
Because the yield of 1.5% is calculated as the add-on yield for 100 days times 100 / 360, the 100-
day holding period return is 1.5% × 100 / 360 = 0.4167%. The effective annual yield is
1.004167365/100 – 1 = 1.5294%, the equivalent semiannual yield is 1.0152941/2 − 1 = 0.7618%,
and the annual yield on a semiannual bond basis is 2 × 0.7618% = 1.5236%.
Because the periodicity of the money market security, 365 / 100, is greater than the periodicity of
2 for a semiannual-pay bond, the simple annual rate for the money market security, 1.5%, is less
than the yield on a semiannual bond basis, which has a periodicity of 2.
1. A market rate of discount for a single payment to be made in the future is:
A. a spot rate.
B. a simple yield.
C. a forward rate.
2. Based on semiannual compounding, what would the YTM be on a 15-year, zero-
coupon, $1,000 par value bond that’s currently trading at $331.40?
A. 3.750%.
B. 5.151%.
C. 7.500%.
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3. An analyst observes a Widget & Co. 7.125%, 4-year, semiannual-pay bond trading
at 102.347% of par (where par is $1,000). The bond is callable at 101 in two years.
What is the bond’s yield-to-call?
A. 3.167%.
B. 5.664%.
C. 6.334%.
4. A floating-rate note has a quoted margin of +50 basis points and a required
margin of +75 basis points. On its next reset date, the price of the note will be:
A. equal to par value.
B. less than par value.
C. greater than par value.
5. Which of the following money market yields is a bond-equivalent yield?
A. Add-on yield based on a 365-day year.
B. Discount yield based on a 360-day year.
C. Discount yield based on a 365-day year.
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A par bond yield curve, or par curve, is not calculated from yields on actual bonds but
is constructed from the spot curve. The yields reflect the coupon rate that a hypothetical
bond at each maturity would need to have to be priced at par. Alternatively, they can be
viewed as the YTM of a par bond at each maturity.
Consider a 3-year annual-pay bond and spot rates for one, two, and three years of S1,
S2, and S3. The following equation can be used to calculate the coupon rate necessary
for the bond to be trading at par.
With spot rates of 1%, 2%, and 3%, a 3-year annual par bond will have a payment that
will satisfy:
,
so the payment is 2.96 and the par bond coupon rate is 2.96%.
Forward rates are yields for future periods. The rate of interest on a 1-year loan that
would be made two years from now is a forward rate. A forward yield curve shows the
future rates for bonds or money market securities for the same maturities for annual
periods in the future. Typically, the forward curve would show the yields of 1-year
securities for each future year, quoted on a semiannual bond basis.
LOS 52.h: Define forward rates and calculate spot rates from forward rates,
forward rates from spot rates, and the price of a bond using forward rates.
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A forward rate is a borrowing/lending rate for a loan to be made at some future date.
The notation used must identify both the length of the lending/borrowing period and
when in the future the money will be loaned/borrowed. Thus, 1y1y is the rate for a 1-
year loan one year from now; 2y1y is the rate for a 1-year loan to be made two years
from now; 3y2y is the 2-year forward rate three years from now; and so on.
If the current 1-year spot rate is 2%, the 1-year forward rate one year from today (1y1y) is 3%, and the
1-year forward rate two years from today (2y1y) is 4%, what is the 3-year spot rate?
Answer:
S3 = [(1.02)(1.03)(1.04)]1/3 − 1 = 2.997%
This can be interpreted to mean that a dollar compounded at 2.997% for three years would produce the
same ending value as a dollar that earns compound interest of 2% the first year, 3% the next year, and
4% for the third year.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
You can get a very good approximation of the 3-year spot rate with the simple average of the
forward rates. In the previous example, we calculated 2.997% and the simple average of the
three annual rates is:
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The 2-period spot rate, S2, is 8%, and the 1-period spot rate, S1, is 4%. Calculate the forward rate for
one period, one period from now, 1y1y.
Answer:
The following figure illustrates the problem.
Finding a Forward Rate
Or, because we know that both choices have the same payoff in two years:
(1.08)2 = (1.04)(1 + 1y1y)
In other words, investors are willing to accept 4.0% on the 1-year bond today (when they could get
8.0% on the 2-year bond today) only because they can get 12.154% on a 1-year bond one year from
today. This future rate that can be locked in today is a forward rate.
Similarly, we can back other forward rates out of the spot rates. We know that:
(1 + S3)3 = (1 + S1)(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y)
And that:
(1 + S2)2 = (1 + S1)(1 + 1y1y), so we can write (1 + S3)3 = (1 + S2)2(1 + 2y1y)
This last equation says that investing for three years at the 3-year spot rate should produce the same
ending value as investing for two years at the 2-year spot rate, and then for a third year at 2y1y, the 1-
year forward rate, two years from now.
Solving for the forward rate, 2y1y, we get:
Let’s extend the previous example to three periods. The current 1-year spot rate is 4.0%, the current 2-
year spot rate is 8.0%, and the current 3-year spot rate is 12.0%. Calculate the 1-year forward rates one
and two years from now.
Answer:
We know the following relation must hold:
(1 + S2)2 = (1 + S1)(1 + 1y1y)
We can use it to solve for the 1-year forward rate one year from now:
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PROFESSOR’S NOTE
Simple averages also give decent approximations for calculating forward rates from spot
rates. In the preceding example, we had spot rates of 4% for one year and 8% for two years.
Two years at 8% is 16%, so if the first-year rate is 4%, the second-year rate is close to 16 – 4
= 12% (actual is 12.154). Given a 2-year spot rate of 8% and a 3-year spot rate of 12%, we
could approximate the 1-year forward rate from time two to time three as (3 × 12) – (2 × 8) =
20. That may be close enough (actual is 20.45) to answer a multiple-choice question and, in
any case, serves as a good check to make sure the exact rate you calculate is reasonable.
We can also calculate implied forward rates for loans for more than one period. Given
spot rates of: 1-year = 5%, 2-year = 6%, 3-year = 7%, and 4-year = 8%, we can
calculate 2y2y.
The implied forward rate on a 2-year loan two years from now, 2y2y, is:
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
The approximation works for multi-period forward rates as well.
The difference between four years at 8% (= 32%) and two years at 6% (= 12%) is 20%.
Because that difference is for two years, we divide by two to get an annual rate of 10%,
, which is very close to the exact solution of 10.04%.
The current 1-year rate, S1, is 4%, the 1-year forward rate for lending from time = 1 to time = 2 is 1y1y
= 5%, and the 1-year forward rate for lending from time = 2 to time = 3 is 2y1y = 6%. Value a 3-year
annual-pay bond with a 5% coupon and a par value of $1,000.
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Answer:
+
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
If you think this looks a little like valuing a bond using spot rates, as we did for arbitrage-
free valuation, you are correct. The discount factors are equivalent to spot rate discount
factors.
If we have a semiannual coupon bond, the calculation methods are the same, but we would
use the semiannual discount rate rather than the annualized rate and the number of periods
would be the number of semiannual periods.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
For bonds with tenors that do not match an on-the run government bond, yield spreads may
be quoted relative to an “interpolated government bond yield.” These are still G-spreads.
As we noted in an earlier topic review, floating-rate securities typically use LIBOR as a
benchmark rate.
Yield spreads are useful for analyzing the factors that affect a bond’s yield. If a
corporate bond’s yield increases from 6.25% to 6.50%, this may have been caused by
factors that affect all bond yields (macroeconomic factors) or by firm-specific or
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PROFESSOR’S NOTE
Recall from our discussion of the Fisher effect in Economics that an interest rate is
composed of the real risk-free rate, the expected inflation rate, and a risk premium. We can
think of macroeconomic factors as those that affect the real risk-free rate and expected
inflation, and microeconomic factors as those that affect the credit and liquidity risk
premium.
The 1-, 2-, and 3-year spot rates on Treasuries are 4%, 8.167%, and 12.377%, respectively. Consider a
3-year, 9% annual coupon corporate bond trading at 89.464. The YTM is 13.50%, and the YTM of a 3-
year Treasury is 12%. Compute the G-spread and the Z-spread of the corporate bond.
Answer:
The G-spread is:
G-spread = YTMBond − YTMTreasury = 13.50 − 12.00 = 1.50%.
To compute the Z-spread, set the present value of the bond’s cash flows equal to today’s market price.
Discount each cash flow at the appropriate zero-coupon bond spot rate plus a fixed spread ZS. Solve
for ZS in the following equation and you have the Z-spread:
Note that this spread is found by trial-and-error. In other words, pick a number “ZS,” plug it into the
right-hand side of the equation, and see if the result equals 89.464. If the right-hand side equals the left,
then you have found the Z-spread. If not, adjust “ZS” in the appropriate direction and recalculate.
An option-adjusted spread (OAS) is used for bonds with embedded options. Loosely
speaking, the option-adjusted spread takes the option yield component out of the Z-
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spread measure; the OAS is the spread to the government spot rate curve that the bond
would have if it were option-free.
If we calculate an OAS for a callable bond, it will be less than the bond’s Z-spread. The
difference is the extra yield required to compensate bondholders for the call option. That
extra yield is the option value. Thus, we can write:
option value = Z-spread − OAS
OAS = Z-spread − option value
For example, if a callable bond has a Z-spread of 180 bp and the value of the call option
is 60 bp, the bond’s OAS is 180 – 60 = 120 bp.
1. Which of the following yield curves is least likely to consist of observed yields in
the market?
A. Forward yield curve.
B. Par bond yield curve.
C. Coupon bond yield curve.
2. The 4-year spot rate is 9.45%, and the 3-year spot rate is 9.85%. What is the 1-
year forward rate three years from today?
A. 8.258%.
B. 9.850%.
C. 11.059%.
3. Given the following spot and forward rates:
Current 1-year spot rate is 5.5%.
One-year forward rate one year from today is 7.63%.
One-year forward rate two years from today is 12.18%.
One-year forward rate three years from today is 15.5%.
The value of a 4-year, 10% annual-pay, $1,000 par value bond is closest to:
A. $996.
B. $1,009.
C. $1,086.
4. A corporate bond is quoted at a spread of +235 basis points over an interpolated
12-year U.S. Treasury bond yield. This spread is:
A. a G-spread.
B. an I-spread.
C. a Z-spread.
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KEY CONCEPTS
LOS 52.a
The price of a bond is the present value of its future cash flows, discounted at the bond’s
yield-to-maturity.
For an annual-coupon bond with N years to maturity:
LOS 52.b
A bond’s price and YTM are inversely related. An increase in YTM decreases the price
and a decrease in YTM increases the price.
A bond will be priced at a discount to par value if its coupon rate is less than its YTM,
and at a premium to par value if its coupon rate is greater than its YTM.
Prices are more sensitive to changes in YTM for bonds with lower coupon rates and
longer maturities, and less sensitive to changes in YTM for bonds with higher coupon
rates and shorter maturities.
A bond’s price moves toward par value as time passes and maturity approaches.
LOS 52.c
Spot rates are market discount rates for single payments to be made in the future.
The no-arbitrage price of a bond is calculated using (no-arbitrage) spot rates as follows:
LOS 52.d
The full price of a bond includes interest accrued between coupon dates. The flat price
of a bond is the full price minus accrued interest.
Accrued interest for a bond transaction is calculated as the coupon payment times the
portion of the coupon period from the previous payment date to the settlement date.
Methods for determining the period of accrued interest include actual days (typically
used for government bonds) or 30-day months and 360-day years (typically used for
corporate bonds).
LOS 52.e
Matrix pricing is a method used to estimate the yield-to-maturity for bonds that are not
traded or infrequently traded. The yield is estimated based on the yields of traded bonds
with the same credit quality. If these traded bonds have different maturities than the
bond being valued, linear interpolation is used to estimate the subject bond’s yield.
LOS 52.f
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The effective yield of a bond depends on its periodicity, or annual frequency of coupon
payments. For an annual-pay bond the effective yield is equal to the yield-to-maturity.
For bonds with greater periodicity, the effective yield is greater than the yield-to-
maturity.
A YTM quoted on a semiannual bond basis is two times the semiannual discount rate.
Bond yields that follow street convention use the stated coupon payment dates. A true
yield accounts for coupon payments that are delayed by weekends or holidays and may
be slightly lower than a street convention yield.
Current yield is the ratio of a bond’s annual coupon payments to its price. Simple yield
adjusts current yield by using straight-line amortization of any discount or premium.
For a callable bond, a yield-to-call may be calculated using each of its call dates and
prices. The lowest of these yields and YTM is a callable bond’s yield-to-worst.
Floating rate notes have a quoted margin relative to a reference rate, typically LIBOR.
The quoted margin is positive for issuers with more credit risk than the banks that quote
LIBOR and may be negative for issuers that have less credit risk than loans to these
banks. The required margin on a floating rate note may be greater than the quoted
margin if credit quality has decreased, or less than the quoted margin if credit quality
has increased.
For money market instruments, yields may be quoted on a discount basis or an add-on
basis, and may use 360-day or 365-day years. A bond-equivalent yield is an add-on
yield based on a 365-day year.
LOS 52.g
A yield curve shows the term structure of interest rates by displaying yields across
different maturities.
The spot curve is a yield curve for single payments in the future, such as zero-coupon
bonds or stripped Treasury bonds.
The par curve shows the coupon rates for bonds of various maturities that would result
in bond prices equal to their par values.
A forward curve is a yield curve composed of forward rates, such as 1-year rates
available at each year over a future period.
LOS 52.h
Forward rates are current lending/borrowing rates for short-term loans to be made in
future periods.
A spot rate for a maturity of N periods is the geometric mean of forward rates over the
N periods. The same relation can be used to solve for a forward rate given spot rates for
two different periods.
To value a bond using forward rates, discount the cash flows at times 1 through N by
the product of one plus each forward rate for periods 1 to N, and sum them.
For a 3-year annual-pay bond:
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LOS 52.i
A yield spread is the difference between a bond’s yield and a benchmark yield or yield
curve. If the benchmark is a government bond yield, the spread is known as a
government spread or G-spread. If the benchmark is a swap rate, the spread is known as
an interpolated spread or I-spread.
A zero-volatility spread or Z-spread is the percent spread that must be added to each
spot rate on the benchmark yield curve to make the present value of a bond equal to its
price.
An option-adjusted spread or OAS is used for bonds with embedded options. For a
callable bond, the OAS is equal to the Z-spread minus the call option value in basis
points.
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1. A (LOS 52.c)
2. B The full price includes accrued interest, while the flat price does not. Therefore,
the flat (or clean) price is 1,059.04 – 23.54 = $1,035.50.(LOS 52.d)
3. C Using linear interpolation, the yield on a bond with six years to maturity should
be 6.40% + (1 / 3)(7.20% – 6.40%) = 6.67%. A bond with a 7% coupon and a
yield of 6.67% is at a premium to par value. (LOS 52.e)
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3. B Bond value =
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The following is a review of the Fixed Income (1) principles designed to address the learning outcome
statements set forth by CFA Institute. Cross-Reference to CFA Institute Assigned Reading #53.
EXAM FOCUS
In this topic review we introduce asset-backed securities, describing their benefits, legal
structure, and characteristics. Our primary focus is residential mortgage-backed
securities (RMBS). Candidates should understand the characteristics of mortgage pass-
through securities and how and why collateralized mortgage obligations are created
from them. Be prepared to compare and contrast agency RMBS, nonagency RMBS, and
commercial MBS. Finally, candidates should know why collateralized debt obligations
are created and how they differ from the other securitized debt securities covered.
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With securitization, the investors’ legal claim to the mortgages or other loans is
stronger than it is with only a general claim against the bank’s overall assets.
When a bank securitizes its loans, the securities are actively traded, which
increases the liquidity of the bank’s assets compared to holding the loans.
By securitizing loans, banks are able to lend more than if they could only fund
loans with bank assets. When a loan portfolio is securitized, the bank receives the
proceeds, which can then be used to make more loans.
Securitization has led to financial innovation that allows investors to invest in
securities that better match their preferred risk, maturity, and return
characteristics. As an example, an investor with a long investment horizon can
invest in a portfolio of long-term mortgage loans rather than in only bank bonds,
deposits, or equities. The investor can gain exposure to long-term mortgages
without having the specialized resources and expertise necessary to provide loan
origination and loan servicing functions.
Securitization provides diversification and risk reduction compared to purchasing
individual loans (whole loans).
LOS 53.b: Describe securitization, including the parties involved in the process
and the roles they play.
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The issuer/trust (Auto Loan Trust) is the SPE that buys the loans from the seller
and issues ABS to investors.
The servicer (Fred) services the loans.
In this case, the seller and the servicer are the same entity (Fred Motor Company),
but that is not always the case.
The structure of this securitization transaction is illustrated in Figure 53.1.
Figure 53.1: Structure of Fred Motor Company Asset Securitization
Subsequent to the initial transaction, the principal and interest payments on the original
loans are allocated to pay servicing fees to the servicer and principal and interest
payments to the owners of the ABS. Often there are several classes of ABS issued by
the trust, each with different priority claims to the cash flows from the underlying loans
and different specifications of the payments to be received if the cash flows from the
loans are not sufficient to pay all the promised ABS cash flows. This flow of funds
structure is called a waterfall structure because each class of ABS (tranche) is paid
sequentially, to the extent possible, from the cash flows from the underlying loan
portfolio.
ABS are most commonly backed by automobile loans, credit card receivables, home
equity loans, manufactured housing loans, student loans, Small Business Administration
(SBA) loans, corporate loans, corporate bonds, emerging market bonds, and structured
financial products. When the loans owned by the trust (SPE) are mortgages, we refer to
the securities issued by the trust as mortgage-backed securities (MBS).
Note that the SPE is a separate legal entity from Fred and the buyers of the ABS have
no claim on other assets of Fred, only on the loans sold to the SPE. If Fred had issued
corporate bonds to raise the funds to make more auto loans, the bondholders would be
subject to the financial risks of Fred. With the ABS structure, a decline in the financial
position of Fred, its ability to make cash payments, or its bond rating do not affect the
value of the claims of ABS owners to the cash flows from the trust collateral (loan
portfolio) because it has been sold by Fred, which is now simply the servicer (not the
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owner) of the loans. The credit rating of the ABS securities may be higher than the
credit rating of bonds issued by Fred, in which case the cost to fund the loans using the
ABS structure is lower than if Fred funded additional loans by issuing corporate bonds.
Tranche B is first to absorb any losses (and is termed the first-loss tranche) until they
exceed $30 million in principal. Any losses from default of the underlying assets greater
than $30 million, and up to $110 million, will be absorbed by Subordinated Tranche A.
The Senior Tranche is protected from any credit losses of $110 million or less and
therefore will have the highest credit rating and offer the lowest yield of the three bond
classes. This structure is also called a waterfall structure because in liquidation, each
subordinated tranche would receive only the “overflow” from the more senior tranche(s)
if they are repaid their principal value in full.
With time tranching, the first (sequential) tranche receives all principal repayments
from the underlying assets up to the principal value of the tranche. The second tranche
would then receive all principal repayments from the underlying assets until the
principal value of this tranche is paid off. There may be other tranches with sequential
claims to remaining principal repayments. Both credit tranching and time tranching are
often included in the same structure. More detail about time tranching and the related
planned amortization/support tranche structure is included later in this review when we
discuss the structures of mortgage-backed securities.
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LOS 53.d: Describe types and characteristics of residential mortgage loans that are
typically securitized.
Maturity
The term of a mortgage loan is the time until the final loan payment is made. In the
United States, mortgage loans typically have terms from 15 to 30 years. Terms are
longer, 20 to 40 years, in many European countries and as long as 50 years in others. In
Japan, mortgage loans may have terms of 100 years.
Interest Rate
A fixed-rate mortgage has an interest rate that is unchanged over the life of the
mortgage.
An adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), also called a variable-rate mortgage, has an
interest rate that can change over the life of the mortgage. An index-referenced
mortgage has an interest rate that changes based on a market determined reference rate
such as LIBOR or the one-year U.S. Treasury bill rate, although several other reference
rates are used.
A mortgage loan may have an interest rate that is fixed for some initial period, but
adjusted after that. If the loan becomes an adjustable-rate mortgage after the initial
fixed-rate period it is called a hybrid mortgage. If the interest rate changes to a different
fixed rate after the initial fixed-rate period it is called a rollover or renegotiable
mortgage.
A convertible mortgage is one for which the initial interest rate terms, fixed or
adjustable, can be changed at the option of the borrower, to adjustable or fixed, for the
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Amortization of Principal
With a fully amortizing loan, each payment includes both an interest payment and a
repayment of some of the loan principal so there is no loan principal remaining after the
last regular mortgage payment. When payments are fixed for the life of the loan,
payments in the beginning of the loan term have a large interest component and a small
principal repayment component, and payments at the end of the loan terms have a small
interest component and large principal repayment component.
A loan is said to be partially amortizing when loan payments include some repayment
of principal, but there is a lump sum of principal that remains to be paid at the end of
the loan period which is called a balloon payment. With an interest-only mortgage,
there is no principal repayment for either an initial period or the life of the loan. If no
principal is paid for the life of the loan it is an interest-only lifetime mortgage and the
balloon payment is the original loan principal amount. Other interest-only mortgages
specify that payments are interest-only over some initial period, with partial or full
amortization of principal after that.
Prepayment Provisions
A partial or full repayment of principal in excess of the scheduled principal repayments
required by the mortgage is referred to as a prepayment. If a homeowner sells her
home during the mortgage term (a common occurrence), repaying the remaining
principal is required and is one type of prepayment. A homeowner who refinances her
mortgage prepays the remaining principal amount using the proceeds of a new, lower
interest rate loan. Some homeowners prepay by paying more than their scheduled
payments in order to reduce the principal outstanding, reduce their interest charges, and
eventually pay off their loans prior to maturity.
Some loans have no penalty for prepayment of principal while others have a
prepayment penalty. A prepayment penalty is an additional payment that must be
made if principal is prepaid during an initial period after loan origination or, for some
mortgages, prepaid anytime during the life of the mortgage. A prepayment penalty
benefits the lender by providing compensation when the loan is paid off early because
market interest rates have decreased since the mortgage loan was made (i.e., loans are
refinanced at a lower interest rate).
Foreclosure
Some mortgage loans are nonrecourse loans, which means the lender has no claim
against the assets of the borrower except for the collateral property itself. When this is
the case, if home values fall so the outstanding loan principal is greater than the home
value, borrowers sometimes voluntarily return the property to the lender in what is
called a strategic default.
Other mortgage loans are recourse loans under which the lender has a claim against the
borrower for the amount by which the sale of a repossessed collateral property falls
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short of the principal outstanding on the loan. Understandably, borrowers are more
likely to default on nonrecourse loans than on recourse loans. In Europe, most
residential mortgages are recourse loans. In the United States, they are recourse loans in
some states and nonrecourse in others.
LOS 53.f: Define prepayment risk and describe the prepayment risk of mortgage-
backed securities.
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The timing of the cash flows to pass-through security holders does not exactly coincide
with the cash flows generated by the pool. This is due to the delay between the time the
mortgage service provider receives the mortgage payments and the time the cash flows
are passed through to the security holders.
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Video covering
Prepayment Risk this content is
available online.
An important characteristic of pass-through securities is their
prepayment risk. Because the mortgage loans used as collateral for
agency MBS have no prepayment penalty, the MBS themselves have significant
prepayment risk. Recall that prepayments are principal repayments in excess of the
scheduled principal repayments for amortizing loans. The risk that prepayments will be
slower than expected is called extension risk and the risk that prepayments will be more
rapid than expected is called contraction risk.
Prepayments cause the timing and amount of cash flows from mortgage loans and MBS
to be uncertain; rapid prepayment reduces the amount of principal outstanding on the
loans supporting the MBS so the total interest paid over the life of the MBS is reduced.
Because of this, it is necessary to make specific assumptions about prepayment rates in
order to value mortgage pass-through securities. The single monthly mortality rate
(SMM) is the percentage by which prepayments reduce the month-end principal
balance, compared to what it would have been with only scheduled principal payments
(with no prepayments). The conditional prepayment rate (CPR) is an annualized
measure of prepayments. Prepayment rates depend on the weighted average coupon rate
of the loan pool, current interest rates, and prior prepayments of principal.
The Public Securities Association (PSA) prepayment benchmark assumes that the
monthly prepayment rate for a mortgage pool increases as it ages (becomes seasoned).
The PSA benchmark is expressed as a monthly series of CPRs. If the prepayment rate
(CPR) of an MBS is expected to be the same as the PSA standard benchmark CPR, we
say the PSA is 100 (100% of the benchmark CPR). A pool of mortgages may have
prepayment rates that are faster or slower than PSA 100, depending on the current level
of interest rates and the coupon rate of the issue. A PSA of 50 means that prepayments
are 50% of the PSA benchmark CPR, and a PSA of 130 means that prepayments are
130% of the PSA benchmark CPR.
Based on an assumption about the prepayment rate for an MBS, we can calculate its
weighted average life, or simply average life, which is the expected number of years
until all the loan principal is repaid. Because of prepayments, the average life of an
MBS will be less than its weighted average maturity. During periods of falling interest
rates, the refinancing of mortgage loans will accelerate prepayments and reduce the
average life of an MBS. A high PSA, such as 400, will reduce the average life of an
MBS to only 4.5 years, compared to an average life of about 11 years for an MBS with
a PSA of 100.
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contraction risk. By partitioning and distributing the cash flows generated by RMBS
into different risk packages to better match investor preferences, CMOs increase the
potential market for securitized mortgages and perhaps reduce funding costs as a result.
CMOs are securities backed by mortgage pass-through securities (i.e., they are
securities secured by other securities). Interest and principal payments from the
mortgage pass-through securities are allocated in a specific way to different bond
classes called tranches, so that each tranche has a different claim against the cash flows
of the mortgage pass-throughs. Each CMO tranche has a different mixture of
contraction and extension risk. Hence, CMO securities can be more closely matched to
the unique asset/liability needs of institutional investors and investment managers.
The primary CMO structures include sequential-pay tranches, planned amortization
class tranches (PACs), support tranches, and floating-rate tranches.
CMO Structure
Tranche Outstanding Par Value Coupon Rate
A $200,000,000 8.50%
B 50,000,000 8.50%
Payments from the underlying collateral (which has a pass-through coupon rate of
8.5%) for the first five months, as well as months 183 through 187, are shown in Figure
53.4. These payments include scheduled payments plus estimated prepayments based on
an assumed prepayment rate. (Note that some totals do not match due to rounding.)
Figure 53.4: CMO Projected Cash Flows
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PROFESSOR’S NOTE
This example is provided as an illustration of how cash flows are allocated to sequential
tranches. The LOS does not require you to do the calculations that underlie the numbers in
Figure 53.4. The important point here is how the cash flows are allocated to each tranche.
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As an example, Figure 53.5 shows the average life for a hypothetical structure that
includes a PAC I tranche and a support tranche at various PSA speeds, assuming the
PSA speed stays at that level for the entire life of the PAC tranche.
Figure 53.5: Average Life Variability of PAC I Tranche vs. Support Tranche
Figure 53.5 illustrates that the PAC I tranche has less prepayment risk than the support
tranche because the variability of its average life is significantly lower.
When prepayment speeds fall and prepayments decrease, the support tranche
average life is significantly longer than the average life of the PAC I tranche.
Thus, the support tranche has significantly more extension risk.
When prepayment speeds rise and prepayments increase, the support tranche
average life is much shorter than that of the PAC I tranche. Thus, the support
tranche also has significantly more contraction risk.
Within the initial PAC collar of 100 to 300 PSA, the average life of the PAC I
tranche is constant at 6.5 years.
Nonagency RMBS
RMBS not issued by GNMA, Fannie Mae, or Freddie Mac are referred to as nonagency
RMBS. They are not guaranteed by the government, so credit risk is an important
consideration. The credit quality of a nonagency MBS depends on the credit quality of
the borrowers as well as the characteristics of the loans, such as their LTV ratios. To be
investment grade, most nonagency RMBS include some sort of credit enhancement.
The level of credit enhancement is directly proportional to the credit rating desired by
the issuer. Rating agencies determine the exact amount of credit enhancement necessary
for an issue to hold a specific rating.
Credit tranching (subordination) is often used to enhance the credit quality of senior
RMBS securities. A shifting interest mechanism is a method for addressing a decrease
in the level of credit protection provided by junior tranches as prepayments or defaults
occur in a senior/subordinated structure. If prepayments or credit losses decrease the
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credit enhancement of the senior securities, the shifting interest mechanism suspends
payments to the subordinated securities for a period of time until the credit quality of
the senior securities is restored.
Net operating income (NOI) is calculated after the deduction for real estate taxes
but before any relevant income taxes. This ratio, which is typically between one
and two, indicates greater protection to the lender when it is higher. Debt service
coverage ratios below one indicate that the borrower is not generating sufficient
cash flow to make the debt payments and is likely to default. Remember: the
higher the better for this ratio from the perspective of the lender and the MBS
investor.
2. Loan-to-value ratio compares the loan amount on the property to its current fair
market or appraisal value.
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The lower this ratio, the more protection the mortgage lender has in making the
loan. Loan-to-value ratios determine the amount of collateral available, above the
loan amount, to provide a cushion to the lender should the property be foreclosed
on and sold. Remember: the lower the better for this ratio from the perspective of
the lender and the MBS investor.
The basic CMBS structure is created to meet the risk and return needs of the CMBS
investor. As with residential MBS securities, rating organizations such as S&P and
Moody’s assess the credit risk of each CMBS issue and determine the appropriate credit
rating. Each CMBS is segregated into tranches. Losses due to default are first absorbed
by the tranche with the lowest priority. Sometimes this most-junior tranche is not rated
and is then referred to as the equity tranche, residual tranche, or first-loss tranche.
As with any fixed-rate security, call protection is valuable to the bondholder. In the case
of MBS, call protection is equivalent to prepayment protection (i.e., restrictions on the
early return of principal through prepayments). CMBS provide call protection in two
ways: loan-level call protection provided by the terms of the individual mortgages and
call protection provided by the CMBS structure.
There are several means of creating loan-level call protection:
Prepayment lockout. For a specific period of time (typically two to five years), the
borrower is prohibited from prepaying the mortgage loan.
Defeasance. Should the borrower insist on making principal payments on the
mortgage loan, the mortgage loan can be defeased. This is accomplished by using
the prepaid principal to purchase a portfolio of government securities that is
sufficient to make the remaining required payments on the CMBS. Given the high
credit quality of government securities, defeased loans increase the credit quality
of a CMBS loan pool.
Prepayment penalty points. A penalty fee expressed in points may be charged to
borrowers who prepay mortgage principal. Each point is 1% of the principal
amount prepaid.
Yield maintenance charges. The borrower is charged the amount of interest lost by
the lender should the loan be prepaid. This make whole charge is designed to
make lenders indifferent to prepayment, as cash flows are equivalent (at current
market rates) whether the loan is prepaid or not.
With all loan call protection programs, any prepayment penalties received are
distributed to the CMBS investors in a manner determined by the structure of the
CMBS issue.
To create CMBS-level call protection, CMBS loan pools are segregated into tranches
with a specific sequence of repayment. Those tranches with a higher priority will have a
higher credit rating than lower priority tranches because loan defaults will first affect
the lower tranches. A wide variety of features can be used to provide call protection to
the more senior tranches of the CMBS.
Commercial mortgages are typically amortized over a period longer than the loan term;
for example, payments for a 20-year commercial mortgage may be determined based on
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a 30-year amortization schedule. At the end of the loan term, the loan will still have
principal outstanding that needs to be paid; this amount is called a balloon payment. If
the borrower is unable to arrange refinancing to make this payment, the borrower is in
default. This possibility is called balloon risk. The lender will be forced to extend the
term of the loan during a workout period, during which time the borrower will be
charged a higher interest rate. Because balloon risk entails extending the term of the
loan, it is also referred to as extension risk for CMBS.
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their balances are revolving (i.e., nonamortizing), the principal amount is maintained for
a period of time. Interest on credit card ABS is paid periodically, but no principal is paid
to the ABS holders during the lockout period, which may last from 18 months to 10
years after the ABS are created.
If the underlying credit card holders make principal payments during the lockout period,
these payments are used to purchase additional credit card receivables, keeping the
overall value of the receivables pool relatively constant. Once the lockout period ends,
principal payments are passed through to security holders. Credit card ABS typically
have an early (rapid) amortization provision that provides for earlier amortization of
principal when it is necessary to preserve the credit quality of the securities.
Interest rates on credit card ABS are sometimes fixed but often they are floating.
Interest payments may be monthly, quarterly, or for longer periods.
LOS 53.i: Describe collateralized debt obligations, including their cash flows and
risks.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
Credit default swaps are derivative securities that decrease (increase) in value as the credit
quality of their reference securities increases (decreases).
CDOs issue three classes of bonds (tranches): senior bonds, mezzanine bonds, and
subordinated bonds (sometimes called the equity or residual tranche). The subordinated
tranche has characteristics more similar to those of equity investments than bond
investments. In creating a CDO, the structure must be able to offer an attractive return
on the subordinated tranche, after accounting for the required yields on the senior and
mezzanine bond classes.
An investment in the equity or residual tranche can be viewed as a leveraged investment
where borrowed funds (raised from selling the senior and mezzanine tranches) are used
to purchase the debt securities in the CDO’s collateral pool. To the extent the collateral
manager meets his goal of earning returns in excess of borrowing costs (the promised
return to CDO investors), these excess returns are paid to the CDO manager and the
equity tranche.
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The CDO structure typically is to issue a floating-rate senior tranche that is 70%–80%
of the total and a smaller mezzanine tranche that pays a fixed rate of interest. If the
securities in the collateral pool pay a fixed rate of interest, the collateral manager may
enter into an interest rate swap that pays a floating rate of interest in exchange for a
fixed rate of interest in order to make the collateral yield more closely match the
funding costs in an environment of changing interest rates. The term arbitrage CDO is
used for CDOs structured to earn returns from the spread between funding costs and
portfolio returns.
The collateral manager may use interest earned on portfolio securities, cash from
maturing portfolio securities, and cash from the sale of portfolio securities to cover the
promised payments to holders of the CDOs senior and mezzanine bonds.
1. The risk that mortgage prepayments will occur more slowly than expected is best
characterized as:
A. default risk.
B. extension risk.
C. contraction risk.
2. For investors in commercial mortgage-backed securities, balloon risk in
commercial mortgages results in:
A. call risk.
B. extension risk.
C. contraction risk.
3. During the lockout period of a credit card ABS:
A. no new receivables are added to the pool.
B. investors do not receive interest payments.
C. investors do not receive principal payments.
4. A debt security that is collateralized by a pool of the sovereign debt of several
developing countries is most likely:
A. a CMBS.
B. a CDO.
C. a CMO.
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KEY CONCEPTS
LOS 53.a
The primary benefits of the securitization of financial assets are:
Reduce the funding costs for firms selling the financial assets to the securitizing
entity.
Increase the liquidity of the underlying financial assets.
LOS 53.b
Parties to a securitization are a seller of financial assets, a special purpose entity (SPE),
and a servicer.
The seller is the firm that is raising funds through the securitization.
An SPE is an entity independent of the seller. The SPE buys financial assets from
the seller and issues asset-backed securities (ABS) supported by these financial
assets.
The servicer carries out collections and other responsibilities related to the
financial assets. The servicer may be the same entity as the seller but does not
have to be.
The SPE may issue a single class of ABS or multiple classes with different priorities of
claims to cash flows from the pool of financial assets.
LOS 53.c
Asset-backed securities (ABS) can be a single class of securities or multiple classes
with differing claims to the cash flows from the underlying assets. Time tranching refers
to classes that receive the principal payments from underlying securities sequentially as
each prior tranche is repaid in full. With credit tranching, any credit losses are first
absorbed by the tranche with the lowest priority, and after that by any other
subordinated tranches, in order. Some structures have both time tranching and credit
tranching.
LOS 53.d
Characteristics of residential mortgage loans include:
Maturity.
Interest rate: fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, or convertible.
Amortization: full, partial, or interest-only.
Prepayment penalties.
Foreclosure provisions: recourse or nonrecourse.
The loan-to-value (LTV) ratio indicates the percentage of the value of the real estate
collateral that is loaned. Lower LTVs indicate less credit risk.
LOS 53.e
Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) are guaranteed and issued by
GNMA, Fannie Mae, or Freddie Mac. Mortgages that back agency RMBS must be
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conforming loans that meet certain minimum credit quality standards. Nonagency
RMBS are issued by private companies and may be backed by nonconforming
mortgages.
Key characteristics of RMBS include:
Pass-through rate, the coupon rate on the RMBS.
Weighted average maturity (WAM) and weighted average coupon (WAC) of the
underlying pool of mortgages.
Conditional prepayment rate (CPR), which may be compared to the Public
Securities Administration (PSA) benchmark for expected prepayment rates.
Nonagency RMBS typically include credit enhancement. External credit enhancement is
a third-party guarantee. Internal credit enhancement includes reserve funds (cash or
excess spread), overcollateralization, and senior/subordinated structures.
Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) are collateralized by pools of residential
MBS. CMOs are structured with tranches that have different exposures to prepayment
risks.
In a sequential-pay CMO, all scheduled principal payments and prepayments are paid to
each tranche in sequence until that tranche is paid off. The first tranche to be paid
principal has the most contraction risk and the last tranche to be paid principal has the
most extension risk.
A planned amortization class (PAC) CMO has PAC tranches that receive predictable
cash flows as long as the prepayment rate remains within a predetermined range, and
support tranches that have more contraction risk and more extension risk than the PAC
tranches.
LOS 53.f
Prepayment risk refers to uncertainty about the timing of the principal cash flows from
an ABS. Contraction risk is the risk that loan principal will be repaid more rapidly than
expected, typically when interest rates have decreased. Extension risk is the risk that
loan principal will be repaid more slowly than expected, typically when interest rates
have increased.
LOS 53.g
Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) are backed by mortgages on income-
producing real estate properties. Because commercial mortgages are nonrecourse loans,
analysis of CMBS focuses on credit risk of the properties. CMBS are structured in
tranches with credit losses absorbed by the lowest priority tranches in sequence.
Call (prepayment) protection in CMBS includes loan-level call protection such as
prepayment lockout periods, defeasance, prepayment penalty points, and yield
maintenance charges, and CMBS-level call protection provided by the lower-priority
tranches.
LOS 53.h
Asset-backed securities may be backed by financial assets other than mortgages. Two
examples are auto loan ABS and credit card ABS.
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Auto loan ABS are backed by automobile loans, which are typically fully amortizing
but with shorter maturities than residential mortgages. Prepayments result when autos
are sold or traded in, stolen or wrecked and paid off from insurance proceeds,
refinanced, or paid off from the borrower’s excess cash.
Credit card ABS are backed by credit card receivables, which are revolving debt
(nonamortizing). Credit card ABS typically have a lockout period during which only
interest is paid to investors and principal payments on the receivables are used to
purchase additional receivables.
LOS 53.i
Collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) are structured securities backed by a pool of
debt obligations that is managed by a collateral manager. CDOs include:
Collateralized bond obligations (CBOs) backed by corporate and emerging market
debt.
Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) backed by leveraged bank loans.
Structured finance CDOs backed by residential or commercial MBS, ABS, or
other CLOs.
Synthetic CDOs backed by credit default swaps on structured securities.
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The following is a review of the Fixed Income (2) principles designed to address the learning outcome
statements set forth by CFA Institute. Cross-Reference to CFA Institute Assigned Reading #54.
EXAM FOCUS
“Risk” in the title of this topic review refers primarily to risk arising from uncertainty
about future interest rates. Measurement of credit risk is addressed in the following
topic review. That said, there is a significant amount of testable material covered in this
review. Calculations required by the learning outcomes include the sources of bond
returns, three duration measures, money duration, the price value of a basis point, and
approximate convexity. You must also be able to estimate a bond’s price change for a
given change in yield based on its duration and convexity. Important concepts include
how bond characteristics affect interest rate risk, factors that affect a bond’s
reinvestment risk, and the interaction among price risk, reinvestment risk, and the
investment horizon.
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2. An investor who sells a bond prior to maturity will earn a rate of return equal to
the YTM at purchase if the YTM at sale has not changed since purchase.
3. If the market YTM for the bond, our assumed reinvestment rate, increases
(decreases) after the bond is purchased but before the first coupon date, a buy-
and-hold investor’s realized return will be higher (lower) than the YTM of the
bond when purchased.
4. If the market YTM for the bond, our assumed reinvestment rate, increases after
the bond is purchased but before the first coupon date, a bond investor will earn a
rate of return that is lower than the YTM at bond purchase if the bond is held for a
short period.
5. If the market YTM for the bond, our assumed reinvestment rate, decreases after
the bond is purchased but before the first coupon date, a bond investor will earn a
rate of return that is lower than the YTM at bond purchase if the bond is held for a
long period.
We will present mathematical examples to demonstrate each of these results as well as
some intuition as to why these results must hold.
A bond investor’s annualized holding period rate of return is calculated as the
compound annual return earned from the bond over the investor’s holding period. This
is the compound rate of return that, based on the purchase price of the bond, would
provide an amount at the time of the sale or maturity of the bond equal to the sum of
coupon payments, sale or maturity value, and interest earned on reinvested coupons.
We will illustrate this calculation (and the first result listed earlier) with a 6% annual-
pay three-year bond purchased at a YTM of 7% and held to maturity.
With an annual YTM of 7%, the bond’s purchase price is $973.76.
N = 3; I/Y = 7; PMT = 60; FV = 1,000; CPT → PV = –973.76
At maturity, the investor will have received coupon income and reinvestment income
equal to the future value of an annuity of three $60 coupon payments calculated with an
interest rate equal to the bond’s YTM. This amount is
60(1.07)2 + 60(1.07) + 60 = $192.89
N = 3; I/Y = 7; PV = 0; PMT = 60; CPT → FV = –192.89
We can easily calculate the amount earned from reinvestment of the coupons as
192.89 − 3(60) = $12.89
Adding the maturity value of $1,000 to $192.89, we can calculate the investor’s rate of
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With these examples, we have demonstrated our first result: that for a fixed-rate bond
that does not default and has a reinvestment rate equal to the YTM, an investor who
holds the bond until maturity will earn a rate of return equal to the YTM at purchase,
regardless of whether the bond is purchased at a discount or a premium.
The intuition is straightforward. If the bond is selling at a discount, the YTM is greater
than the coupon rate because together, the amortization of the discount and the higher
assumed reinvestment rate on coupon income increase the bond’s return. For a bond
purchased at a premium, the YTM is less than the coupon rate because both the
amortization of the premium and the reduction in interest earned on reinvestment of its
cash flows decrease the bond’s return.
Now let’s examine the second result—that an investor who sells a bond prior to
maturity will earn a rate of return equal to the YTM as long as the YTM has not
changed since purchase. For such an investor, we call the time the bond will be held the
investor’s investment horizon. The value of a bond that is sold at a discount or
premium to par will move to the par value of the bond by the maturity date. At dates
between the purchase and the sale, the value of a bond at the same YTM as when it was
purchased is its carrying value and reflects the amortization of the discount or premium
since the bond was purchased.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
Carrying value is a price along a bond’s constant-yield price trajectory. We applied this
concept in Financial Reporting and Analysis when we used the effective interest method to
calculate the carrying value of a bond liability.
Capital gains or losses at the time a bond is sold are measured relative to this carrying
value, as illustrated in the following example.
An investor purchases a 20-year bond with a 5% semiannual coupon and a yield to maturity of 6%.
Five years later the investor sells the bond for a price of 91.40. Determine whether the investor realizes
a capital gain or loss, and calculate its amount.
Answer:
Any capital gain or loss is based on the bond’s carrying value at the time of sale, when it has 15 years
(30 semiannual periods) to maturity. The carrying value is calculated using the bond’s YTM at the time
the investor purchased it.
N = 30; I/Y = 3; PMT = 2.5; FV = 100; CPT → PV = –90.20
Because the selling price of 91.40 is greater than the carrying value of 90.20, the investor realizes a
capital gain of 91.40 – 90.20 = 1.20 per 100 of face value.
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Bonds held to maturity have no capital gain or loss. Bonds sold prior to maturity at the
same YTM as at purchase will also have no capital gain or loss. Using the 6% three-
year bond from our earlier examples, we can demonstrate this for an investor with a
two-year holding period (investment horizon).
When the bond is purchased at a YTM of 7% (for $973.76), we have:
Price at sale: (at end of year 2, YTM = 7%):
1,060 / 1.07 = 990.65 or
N = 1; I/Y = 7; FV = 1,000; PMT = 60; CPT → PV = –990.65
which is the carrying value of the bond.
Coupon interest and reinvestment income for two years:
60(1.07) + 60 = $124.20 or
N = 2; I/Y = 7; PV = 0; PMT = 60; CPT → FV = –124.20
Investor’s annual compound rate of return over the two-year holding period is:
This result can be demonstrated for the case where the bond is purchased at a YTM of
5% ($1,027.23) as well:
Price at sale (at end of year 2, YTM = 5%):
1,060 / 1.05 = 1,009.52 or
N = 1; I/Y = 5; FV = 1,000; PMT = 60; CPT → PV = –1,009.52
which is the carrying value of the bond.
Coupon interest and reinvestment income for two years:
60(1.05) + 60 = 123.00 or
N = 2; I/Y = 5; PV = 0; PMT = 60; CPT → FV = –123.00
Investor’s annual compound rate of return over the two-year holding period is:
For a bond investor with an investment horizon less than the bond’s term to maturity,
the annual holding period return will be equal to the YTM at purchase (under our
assumptions), if the bond is sold at that YTM. The intuition here is that if a bond will
have a rate of return equal to its YTM at maturity, which we showed, if we sell some of
the remaining value of the bond discounted at that YTM, we will have earned that YTM
up to the date of sale.
Now let’s examine our third result: that if rates rise (fall) before the first coupon date, an
investor who holds a bond to maturity will earn a rate of return greater (less) than the
YTM at purchase.
Based on our previous result that an investor who holds a bond to maturity will earn a
rate of return equal to the YTM at purchase if the reinvestment rate is also equal to the
YTM at purchase, the intuition of the third result is straightforward. If the YTM, which
is also the reinvestment rate for the bond, increases (decreases) after purchase, the
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return from coupon payments and reinvestment income will increase (decrease) as a
result and increase (decrease) the investor’s rate of return on the bond above (below) its
YTM at purchase. The following calculations demonstrate these results for the three-
year 6% bond in our previous examples.
For a three-year 6% bond purchased at par (YTM of 6%), first assume that the YTM
and reinvestment rate increases to 7% after purchase but before the first coupon
payment date. The bond’s annualized holding period return is calculated as:
Coupons and reinvestment interest:
60(1.07)2 + 60(1.07) + 60 = $192.89
N = 3; I/Y = 7; PV = 0; PMT = 60; CPT → FV = –192.89
Investor’s annual compound holding period return:
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Macaulay Duration
Duration is used as a measure of a bond’s interest rate risk or sensitivity of a bond’s
full price to a change in its yield. The measure was first introduced by Frederick
Macaulay and his formulation is referred to as Macaulay duration.
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972.77 1.0000
Note that the present values of all the promised cash flows sum to 972.77 (the full value
of the bond) and the weights sum to 1.
Now that we have the weights, and because we know the time until each promised
payment is to be made, we can calculate the Macaulay duration for this bond:
0.0392(1) + 0.0373(2) + 0.9235(3) = 2.884 years
The Macaulay duration of a semiannual-pay bond can be calculated in the same way: as
a weighted average of the number of semiannual periods until the cash flows are to be
received. In this case, the result is the number of semiannual periods rather than years.
Because of the improved measures of interest rate risk described next, we say that
Macaulay duration is the weighted-average time to the receipt of principal and interest
payments, rather than our best estimate of interest rate sensitivity. Between coupon
dates, the Macaulay duration of a coupon bond decreases with the passage of time and
then goes back up significantly at each coupon payment date.
Modified Duration
Modified duration (ModDur) is calculated as Macaulay duration (MacDur) divided by
one plus the bond’s yield to maturity. For the bond in our earlier example, we have:
ModDur = 2.884 / 1.05 = 2.747
Modified duration provides an approximate percentage change in a bond’s price for a
1% change in yield to maturity. The price change for a given change in yield to maturity
can be calculated as:
approximate percentage change in bond price = –ModDur × ΔYTM
Based on a ModDur of 2.747, the price of the bond should fall by approximately 2.747
× 0.1% = 0.2747% in response to a 0.1% increase in YTM. The resulting price estimate
of $970.098 is very close to the value of the bond calculated directly using a YTM of
5.1%, which is $970.100.
For an annual-pay bond, the general form of modified duration is:
ModDur = MacDur / (1 + YTM)
For a semiannual-pay bond with a YTM quoted on a semiannual bond basis:
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The formula uses the average of the magnitudes of the price increase and the price
decrease, which is why V– − V+ (in the numerator) is divided by 2 (in the denominator).
V0, the current price of the bond, is in the denominator to convert this average price
change to a percentage, and the ΔYTM term is in the denominator to scale the duration
measure to a 1% change in yield by convention. Note that the ΔYTM term in the
denominator must be entered as a decimal (rather than in a whole percentage) to
properly scale the duration estimate.
Figure 54.1: Approximate Modified Duration
A bond is trading at a full price of 980. If its yield to maturity increases by 50 basis points, its price
will decrease to 960. If its yield to maturity decreases by 50 basis points, its price will increase to
1,002. Calculate the approximate modified duration.
Answer:
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The approximate modified duration is , and the approximate change in price for a
1% change in YTM is 4.29%.
Note that modified duration is a linear estimate of the relation between a bond’s price
and YTM, whereas the actual relation is convex, not linear. This means that the
modified duration measure provides good estimates of bond prices for small changes in
yield, but increasingly poor estimates for larger changes in yield as the effect of the
curvature of the price-yield curve is more pronounced.
Effective Duration
So far, all of our duration measures have been calculated using the YTM and prices of
straight (option-free) bonds. This is straightforward because both the future cash flows
and their timing are known with certainty. This is not the case with bonds that have
embedded options, such as a callable bond or a mortgage-backed bond.
We say mortgage-backed bonds have a prepayment option, which is similar to a call
option on a corporate bond. The borrowers (people who take out mortgages) typically
have the option to pay off the principal value of their loans, in whole or in part, at any
time. These prepayments accelerate when interest rates fall significantly because
borrowers can refinance their home loans at a lower rate and pay off the remaining
principal owed on an existing loan.
Thus, the pricing of bonds with embedded put, call, or prepayment options begins with
the benchmark yield curve, not simply the current YTM of the bond. The appropriate
measure of interest rate sensitivity for these bonds is effective duration.
The calculation of effective duration is the same as the calculation of approximate
modified duration with the change in YTM, Δy, replaced by Δcurve, the change in the
benchmark yield curve used with a bond pricing model to generate V– and V+. The
formula for calculating effective duration is:
Another difference between calculating effective duration and the methods we have
discussed so far is that the effects of changes in benchmark yields and changes in the
yield spread for credit and liquidity risk are separated. Modified duration makes no
distinction between changes in the benchmark yield and changes in the spread. Effective
duration reflects only the sensitivity of the bond’s value to changes in the benchmark
yield curve. Changes in the credit spread are sometimes addressed with a separate
“credit duration” measure.
Finally, note that unlike modified duration, effective duration does not necessarily
provide better estimates of bond prices for smaller changes in yield. It may be the case
that larger changes in yield produce more predictable prepayments or calls than small
changes.
LOS 54.c: Explain why effective duration is the most appropriate measure of
interest rate risk for bonds with embedded options.
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For bonds with embedded options, the future cash flows depend not only on future
interest rates but also on the path that interest rates take over time (did they fall to a new
level or rise to that level?). We must use effective duration to estimate the interest rate
risk of these bonds. The effective duration measure must also be based on bond prices
from a pricing model. The fact that bonds with embedded options have uncertain future
cash flows means that our present value calculations for bond value based on YTM
cannot be used.
1. The largest component of returns for a 7-year zero-coupon bond yielding 8% and
held to maturity is:
A. capital gains.
B. interest income.
C. reinvestment income.
2. An investor buys a 10-year bond with a 6.5% annual coupon and a YTM of 6%.
Before the first coupon payment is made, the YTM for the bond decreases to
5.5%. Assuming coupon payments are reinvested at the YTM, the investor’s
return when the bond is held to maturity is:
A. less than 6.0%.
B. equal to 6.0%.
C. greater than 6.0%.
3. Assuming coupon interest is reinvested at a bond’s YTM, what is the interest
portion of an 18-year, $1,000 par, 5% annual coupon bond’s return if it is
purchased at par and held to maturity?
A. $576.95
B. $1,406.62.
C. $1,476.95.
4. An investor buys a 15-year, £800,000, zero-coupon bond with an annual YTM of
7.3%. If she sells the bond after three years for £346,333 she will have:
A. a capital gain.
B. a capital loss.
C. neither a capital gain nor a capital loss.
5. A 14% annual-pay coupon bond has six years to maturity. The bond is currently
trading at par. Using a 25 basis point change in yield, the approximate modified
duration of the bond is closest to:
A. 0.392.
B. 3.888.
C. 3.970.
6. Which of the following measures is lowest for a callable bond?
A. Macaulay duration.
B. Effective duration.
C. Modified duration.
7. Effective duration is more appropriate than modified duration for estimating
interest rate risk for bonds with embedded options because these bonds:
A. tend to have greater credit risk than option-free bonds.
B. exhibit high convexity that makes modified duration less accurate.
C. have uncertain cash flows that depend on the path of interest rate
changes.
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LOS 54.e: Explain how a bond’s maturity, coupon, and yield level affect its interest
rate risk.
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is the price of a straight bond minus the value of the call option held by the issuer. With
a put option, the bondholder’s option to sell the bond back to the issuer at a set price
reduces the negative impact of yield increases on price.
LOS 54.f: Calculate the duration of a portfolio and explain the limitations of
portfolio duration.
CFA® Program Curriculum: Volume 5, page 555
There are two approaches to estimating the duration of a portfolio. The first is to
calculate the weighted average number of periods until the portfolio’s cash flows will be
received. The second approach is to take a weighted average of the durations of the
individual bonds in the portfolio.
The first approach is theoretically correct but not often used in practice. The yield
measure for calculating portfolio duration with this approach is the cash flow yield, the
IRR of the bond portfolio. This is inconsistent with duration capturing the relationship
between YTM and price. This approach will not work for a portfolio that contains bonds
with embedded options because the future cash flows are not known with certainty and
depend on interest rate movements.
The second approach is typically used in practice. Using the durations of individual
portfolio bonds makes it possible to calculate the duration for a portfolio that contains
bonds with embedded options by using their effective durations. The weights for the
calculation of portfolio duration under this approach are simply the full price of each
bond as a proportion of the total portfolio value (using full prices). These proportions of
total portfolio value are multiplied by the corresponding bond durations to get portfolio
duration.
portfolio duration = W1 D1 + W2 D2 + … + WN DN
where:
LOS 54.g: Calculate and interpret the money duration of a bond and price value of
a basis point (PVBP).
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1. Calculate the money duration on a coupon date of a $2 million par value bond that has a modified
duration of 7.42 and a full price of 101.32, expressed for the whole bond and per $100 of face
value.
2. What will be the impact on the value of the bond of a 25 basis points increase in its YTM?
Answer:
1. The money duration for the bond is modified duration times the full value of the bond:
The price value of a basis point (PVBP) is the money change in the full price of a
bond when its YTM changes by one basis point, or 0.01%. We can calculate the PVBP
directly for a bond by calculating the average of the decrease in the full value of a bond
when its YTM increases by one basis point and the increase in the full value of the bond
when its YTM decreases by one basis point.
A newly issued, 20-year, 6% annual-pay straight bond is priced at 101.39. Calculate the price value of
a basis point for this bond assuming it has a par value of $1 million.
Answer:
First we need to find the YTM of the bond:
N = 20; PV = –101.39; PMT = 6; FV = 100; CPT→I/Y = 5.88
Now we need the values for the bond with YTMs of 5.89 and 5.87.
I/Y = 5.89; CPT → PV = –101.273 (V+)
I/Y = 5.87; CPT → PV = –101.507 (V–)
PVBP (per $100 of par value) = (101.507 – 101.273) / 2 = 0.117
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For the $1 million par value bond, each 1 basis point change in the yield to maturity will change the
bond’s price by 0.117 × $1 million × 0.01 = $1,170.
1. A bond portfolio manager who wants to estimate the sensitivity of the portfolio’s
value to changes in the 5-year spot rate should use:
A. a key rate duration.
B. a Macaulay duration.
C. an effective duration.
2. Which of the following three bonds (similar except for yield and maturity) has the
least Macaulay duration? A bond with:
A. 5% yield and 10-year maturity.
B. 5% yield and 20-year maturity.
C. 6% yield and 10-year maturity.
3. Portfolio duration has limited usefulness as a measure of interest rate risk for a
portfolio because it:
A. assumes yield changes uniformly across all maturities.
B. cannot be applied if the portfolio includes bonds with embedded options.
C. is accurate only if the portfolio’s internal rate of return is equal to its cash
flow yield.
4. The current price of a $1,000, 7-year, 5.5% semiannual coupon bond is $1,029.23.
The bond’s price value of a basis point is closest to:
A. $0.05.
B. $0.60.
C. $5.74.
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Estimates of the price impact of a change in yield based only on modified duration can
be improved by introducing a second term based on the bond’s convexity. Convexity is
a measure of the curvature of the price-yield relation. The more curved it is, the greater
the convexity adjustment to a duration-based estimate of the change in price for a given
change in YTM.
A bond’s convexity can be estimated as:
where:
the variables are the same as those we used in calculating approximate modified
duration
Effective convexity, like effective duration, must be used for bonds with embedded
options.
The calculation of effective convexity is the same as the calculation of approximate
convexity, except that the change in the yield curve, rather than a change in the bond’s
YTM, is used.
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A putable bond has greater convexity than an otherwise identical option-free bond. In
Figure 54.4 we illustrate the price-yield relation for a putable bond. At higher yields, the
put becomes more valuable so that the value of the putable bond falls less than that of
an option-free bond as yield increases.
Figure 54.4: Comparing the Price-Yield Curves for Option-Free and Putable Bonds
LOS 54.i: Estimate the percentage price change of a bond for a specified change in
yield, given the bond’s approximate duration and convexity.
Consider an 8% bond with a full price of $908 and a YTM of 9%. Estimate the percentage change in
the full price of the bond for a 30 basis point increase in YTM assuming the bond’s duration is 9.42
and its convexity is 68.33.
Answer:
The duration effect is –9.42 × 0.003 = 0.02826 = –2.826%.
The convexity effect is 0.5 × 68.33 × (0.003)2 = 0.000307 = 0.0307%.
The expected change in bond price is (–0.02826 + 0.000307) = –2.7953%.
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Note that the convexity adjustment to the price change is the same for both an increase
and a decrease in yield. As illustrated in Figure 54.5, the duration-only based estimate
of the increase in price resulting from a decrease in yield is too low for a bond with
positive convexity, and is improved by a positive adjustment for convexity. The
duration-only based estimate of the decrease in price resulting from an increase in yield
is larger than the actual decrease, so it’s also improved by a positive adjustment for
convexity.
Figure 54.5: Duration-Based Price Estimates vs. Actual Bond Prices
LOS 54.j: Describe how the term structure of yield volatility affects the interest
rate risk of a bond.
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matched, a parallel shift in the yield curve prior to the first coupon payment will not (or
will minimally) affect the investor’s horizon return.
Earlier, we illustrated the effect of a change in yield that occurs prior to the first coupon
payment. Our results showed that for an investor with a short investment horizon
(anticipated holding period), the market price risk of the bond outweighs its
reinvestment risk. Because of this, an increase in yield prior to the first coupon date was
shown to reduce the horizon yield for a short investment horizon and increase the
horizon yield for a longer-term investment horizon. For a longer investment horizon, the
increase in reinvestment income from the yield increase was greater than the decrease in
the sale price of the bond.
For a decrease in yield, an investor with a short investment horizon will have a capital
gain and only a small decrease in reinvestment income. An investor with a long horizon
will be more affected by the decrease in reinvestment income and will have a horizon
return that is less than the bond’s original yield.
When the investment horizon just matches the Macaulay duration, the effect of a change
in YTM on the sale price of a bond and on reinvestment income just offset each other.
We can say that for such an investment, market price risk and reinvestment risk offset
each other. The following example illustrates this result.
EXAMPLE: Investment horizon yields
Consider an eight-year, 8.5% bond priced at 89.52 to yield 10.5% to maturity. The Macaulay duration
of the bond is 6. We can calculate the horizon yield for horizons of 3 years, 6 years, and 8 years,
assuming the YTM falls to 9.5% prior to the first coupon date.
Answer:
Sale after 3 years
Bond price:
N = 5; PMT = 8.5; FV = 100; I/Y = 9.5; CPT → PV = 96.16
Coupons and interest on reinvested coupons:
N = 3; PMT = 8.5; PV = 0; I/Y = 9.5; CPT → FV = 28.00
Horizon return:
[(96.16 + 28.00) / 89.52]1/3 – 1 = 11.520%
Sale after 6 years
Bond price:
N = 2; PMT = 8.5; FV = 100; I/Y = 9.5; CPT → PV = 98.25
Coupons and interest on reinvested coupons:
N = 6; PMT = 8.5; PV = 0; I/Y = 9.5; CPT → FV = 64.76
Horizon return:
[(98.25 + 64.76) / 89.52]1/6 – 1 = 10.505%
Held to maturity, 8 years
Maturity value = 100
Coupons and interest on reinvested coupons:
N = 8; PMT = 8.5; PV = 0; I/Y = 9.5; CPT → FV = 95.46
Horizon return:
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The difference between a bond’s Macaulay duration and the bondholder’s investment
horizon is referred to as a duration gap. A positive duration gap (Macaulay duration
greater than the investment horizon) exposes the investor to market price risk from
increasing interest rates. A negative duration gap (Macaulay duration less than the
investment horizon) exposes the investor to reinvestment risk from decreasing interest
rates.
LOS 54.l: Explain how changes in credit spread and liquidity affect yield-to-
maturity of a bond and how duration and convexity can be used to estimate the
price effect of the changes.
Consider a bond that is valued at $180,000 that has a duration of 8 and a convexity of 22. The bond’s
spread to the benchmark curve increases by 25 basis points due to a credit downgrade. What is the
approximate change in the bond’s market value?
Answer:
With Δspread = 0.0025 we have:
(–8 × 0.0025) + (0.5 × 22 × 0.00252) = –1.99% and the bond’s value will fall by approximately
1.99% × 180,000 = $3,588.
1. A bond has a convexity of 114.6. The convexity effect, if the yield decreases by
110 basis points, is closest to:
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A. –1.673%.
B. +0.693%.
C. +1.673%.
2. The modified duration of a bond is 7.87. The approximate percentage change in
price using duration only for a yield decrease of 110 basis points is closest to:
A. –8.657%.
B. +7.155%.
C. +8.657%.
3. Assume a bond has an effective duration of 10.5 and a convexity of 97.3. Using
both of these measures, the estimated percentage change in price for this bond,
in response to a decline in yield of 200 basis points, is closest to:
A. 19.05%.
B. 22.95%.
C. 24.89%.
4. Two bonds are similar in all respects except maturity. Can the shorter-maturity
bond have greater interest rate risk than the longer-term bond?
A. No, because the shorter-maturity bond will have a lower duration.
B. Yes, because the shorter-maturity bond may have a higher duration.
C. Yes, because short-term yields can be more volatile than long-term yields.
5. An investor with an investment horizon of six years buys a bond with a modified
duration of 6.0. This investment has:
A. no duration gap.
B. a positive duration gap.
C. a negative duration gap.
6. Which of the following most accurately describes the relationship between
liquidity and yield spreads relative to benchmark government bond rates? All else
being equal, bonds with:
A. less liquidity have lower yield spreads.
B. greater liquidity have higher yield spreads.
C. less liquidity have higher yield spreads.
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KEY CONCEPTS
LOS 54.a
Sources of return from a bond investment include:
Coupon and principal payments.
Reinvestment of coupon payments.
Capital gain or loss if bond is sold before maturity.
Changes in yield to maturity produce market price risk (uncertainty about a bond’s
price) and reinvestment risk (uncertainty about income from reinvesting coupon
payments). An increase (a decrease) in YTM decreases (increases) a bond’s price but
increases (decreases) its reinvestment income.
LOS 54.b
Macaulay duration is the weighted average number of coupon periods until a bond’s
scheduled cash flows.
Modified duration is a linear estimate of the percentage change in a bond’s price that
would result from a 1% change in its YTM.
Effective duration is a linear estimate of the percentage change in a bond’s price that
would result from a 1% change in the benchmark yield curve.
LOS 54.c
Effective duration is the appropriate measure of interest rate risk for bonds with
embedded options because changes in interest rates may change their future cash flows.
Pricing models are used to determine the prices that would result from a given size
change in the benchmark yield curve.
LOS 54.d
Key rate duration is a measure of the price sensitivity of a bond or a bond portfolio to a
change in the spot rate for a specific maturity. We can use the key rate durations of a
bond or portfolio to estimate its price sensitivity to changes in the shape of the yield
curve.
LOS 54.e
Holding other factors constant:
Duration increases when maturity increases.
Duration decreases when the coupon rate increases.
Duration decreases when YTM increases.
LOS 54.f
There are two methods for calculating portfolio duration:
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Calculate the weighted average number of periods until cash flows will be
received using the portfolio’s IRR (its cash flow yield). This method is better
theoretically but cannot be used for bonds with options.
Calculate the weighted average of durations of bonds in the portfolio (the method
most often used). Portfolio duration is the percentage change in portfolio value for
a 1% change in yield, only for parallel shifts of the yield curve.
LOS 54.g
Money duration is stated in currency units and is sometimes expressed per 100 of bond
value.
money duration = annual modified duration × full price of bond position
money duration per 100 units of par value =
annual modified duration × full bond price per 100 of par value
The price value of a basis point is the change in the value of a bond, expressed in
currency units, for a change in YTM of one basis point, or 0.01%.
PVBP = [(V– − V+) / 2] × par value × 0.01
LOS 54.h
Convexity refers to the curvature of a bond’s price-yield relationship.
LOS 54.i
Given values for approximate annual modified duration and approximate annual
convexity, the percentage change in the full price of a bond can be estimated as:
%∆ full bond price = –annual modified duration(∆YTM)
+ annual convexity(∆YTM)2
LOS 54.j
The term structure of yield volatility refers to the relationship between maturity and
yield volatility. Short-term yields may be more volatile than long-term yields. As a
result, a short-term bond may have more price volatility than a longer-term bond with a
higher duration.
LOS 54.k
Over a short investment horizon, a change in YTM affects market price more than it
affects reinvestment income.
Over a long investment horizon, a change in YTM affects reinvestment income more
than it affects market price.
Macaulay duration may be interpreted as the investment horizon for which a bond’s
market price risk and reinvestment risk just offset each other.
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(LOS 54.a)
4. A The price of the bond after three years that will generate neither a capital gain
nor a capital loss is the price if the YTM remains at 7.3%. After three years, the
present value of the bond is 800,000 / 1.07312 = 343,473.57, so she will have a
capital gain relative to the bond’s carrying value. (LOS 54.a)
5. B V– = 100.979
N = 6; PMT = 14.00; FV = 100; I/Y = 13.75; CPT → PV = –100.979
V+ = 99.035
Δy = 0.0025
(LOS 54.b)
6. B The interest rate sensitivity of a bond with an embedded call option will be less
than that of an option-free bond. Effective duration takes the effect of the call
option into account and will, therefore, be less than Macaulay or modified
duration. (LOS 54.b)
7. C Because bonds with embedded options have cash flows that are uncertain and
depend on future interest rates, effective duration must be used. (LOS 54.c)
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Next, compute the price of the bond at a yield of 5.00% + 0.01%, or 5.01%. Using
the calculator: FV = 1,000; PMT = 27.5; N = 14; I/Y = 2.505 (5.01 / 2); CPT →
PV = $1,028.63.
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The following is a review of the Fixed Income (2) principles designed to address the learning outcome
statements set forth by CFA Institute. Cross-Reference to CFA Institute Assigned Reading #55.
EXAM FOCUS
This topic review introduces credit analysis, primarily for corporate bonds, but
considerations for credit analysis of high yield, sovereign, and non-sovereign
government bonds are also covered. Focus on credit ratings, credit spreads, and the
impact on return when ratings and spreads change.
LOS 55.b: Describe default probability and loss severity as components of credit
risk.
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Bond prices are inversely related to spreads; a wider spread implies a lower bond price
and a narrower spread implies a higher price. The size of the spread reflects the
creditworthiness of the issuer and the liquidity of the market for its bonds. Spread risk
is the possibility that a bond’s spread will widen due to one or both of these factors.
Credit migration risk or downgrade risk is the possibility that spreads will
increase because the issuer has become less creditworthy. As we will see later in
this topic review, credit rating agencies assign ratings to bonds and issuers, and
may upgrade or downgrade these ratings over time.
Market liquidity risk is the risk of receiving less than market value when selling
a bond and is reflected in the size of the bid-ask spreads. Market liquidity risk is
greater for the bonds of less creditworthy issuers and for the bonds of smaller
issuers with relatively little publicly traded debt.
LOS 55.c: Describe seniority rankings of corporate debt and explain the potential
violation of the priority of claims in a bankruptcy proceeding.
CFA® Program Curriculum: Volume 5, page 595
Each category of debt from the same issuer is ranked according to a priority of claims
in the event of a default. A bond’s priority of claims to the issuer’s assets and cash flows
is referred to as its seniority ranking.
Debt can be either secured debt or unsecured debt. Secured debt is backed by
collateral, while unsecured debt or debentures represent a general claim to the issuer’s
assets and cash flows. Secured debt has higher priority of claims than unsecured debt.
Secured debt can be further distinguished as first lien or first mortgage (where a specific
asset is pledged), senior secured, or junior secured debt. Unsecured debt is further
divided into senior, junior, and subordinated gradations. The highest rank of unsecured
debt is senior unsecured. Subordinated debt ranks below other unsecured debt.
The general seniority rankings for debt repayment priority are the following:
First lien or first mortgage.
Senior secured debt.
Junior secured debt.
Senior unsecured debt.
Senior subordinated debt.
Subordinated debt.
Junior subordinated debt.
All debt within the same category is said to rank pari passu, or have same priority of
claims. All senior secured debt holders, for example, are treated alike in a corporate
bankruptcy.
Recovery rates are highest for debt with the highest priority of claims and decrease with
each lower rank of seniority. The lower the seniority ranking of a bond, the higher its
credit risk. Investors require a higher yield to accept a lower seniority ranking.
In the event of a default or reorganization, senior lenders have claims on the assets
before junior lenders and equity holders. A strict priority of claims, however, is not
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LOS 55.d: Distinguish between corporate issuer credit ratings and issue credit
ratings and describe the rating agency practice of “notching.”
Triple A (AAA or Aaa) is the highest rating. Bonds with ratings of Baa3/BBB– or
higher are considered investment grade. Bonds rated Ba1/BB+ or lower are considered
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noninvestment grade and are often called high yield bonds or junk bonds.
Bonds in default are rated D by Standard & Poor’s and Fitch and are included in
Moody’s lowest rating category, C. When a company defaults on one of its several
outstanding bonds, provisions in bond indentures may trigger default on the remaining
issues as well. Such a provision is called a cross default provision.
A borrower can have multiple debt issues that vary not only by maturities and coupons
but also by credit rating. Issue credit ratings depend on the seniority of a bond issue and
its covenants. Notching is the practice by rating agencies of assigning different ratings
to bonds of the same issuer. Notching is based on several factors, including seniority of
the bonds and its impact on potential loss severity.
An example of a factor that rating agencies consider when notching an issue credit
rating is structural subordination. In a holding company structure, both the parent
company and the subsidiaries may have outstanding debt. A subsidiary’s debt covenants
may restrict the transfer of cash or assets “upstream” to the parent company before the
subsidiary’s debt is serviced. In such a case, even though the parent company’s bonds
are not junior to the subsidiary’s bonds, the subsidiary’s bonds have a priority claim to
the subsidiary’s cash flows. Thus the parent company’s bonds are effectively
subordinated to the subsidiary’s bonds.
Notching is less common for highly rated issuers than for lower-rated issuers. For
lower-rated issuers, higher default risk leads to significant differences between recovery
rates of debt with different seniority, leading to more notching.
LOS 55.e: Explain risks in relying on ratings from credit rating agencies.
LOS 55.f: Explain the four Cs (Capacity, Collateral, Covenants, and Character) of
traditional credit analysis.
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Capacity
Capacity refers to a corporate borrower’s ability repay its debt obligations on time.
Analysis of capacity is similar to the process used in equity analysis. Capacity analysis
entails three levels of assessment: (1) industry structure, (2) industry fundamentals, and
(3) company fundamentals.
Industry Structure
The first level of a credit analyst’s assessment is industry structure. Industry structure
can be described by Porter’s five forces: threat of entry, power of suppliers, power of
buyers, threat of substitution, and rivalry among existing competitors.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
We describe industry analysis based on Porter’s five forces in the Study Session on equity
valuation.
Industry Fundamentals
The next level of a credit analyst’s assessment is industry fundamentals, including the
influence of macroeconomic factors on an industry’s growth prospects and profitability.
Industry fundamentals evaluation focuses on:
Industry cyclicality. Cyclical industries are sensitive to economic performance.
Cyclical industries tend to have more volatile earnings, revenues, and cash flows,
which make them more risky than noncyclical industries.
Industry growth prospects. Creditworthiness is most questionable for the
weaker companies in a slow-growing or declining industry.
Industry published statistics. Industry statistics provided by rating agencies,
investment banks, industry periodicals, and government agencies can be a source
for industry performance and fundamentals.
Company Fundamentals
The last level of credit analysts’ assessment is company fundamentals. A corporate
borrower should be assessed on:
Competitive position. Market share changes over time and cost structure relative
to peers are some of the factors to analyze.
Operating history. The performance of the company over different phases of
business cycle, trends in margins and revenues, and current management’s tenure.
Management’s strategy and execution. This includes the soundness of the
strategy, the ability to execute the strategy, and the effects of management’s
decisions on bondholders.
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Ratios and ratio analysis. As we will discuss later in this topic review, leverage
and coverage ratios are important tools for credit analysis.
Collateral
Collateral analysis is more important for less creditworthy companies. The market value
of a company’s assets can be difficult to observe directly. Issues to consider when
assessing collateral values include:
Intangible assets. Patents are considered high-quality intangible assets because
they can be more easily sold to generate cash flows than other intangibles.
Goodwill is not considered a high-quality intangible asset and is usually written
down when company performance is poor.
Depreciation. High depreciation expense relative to capital expenditures may
signal that management is not investing sufficiently in the company. The quality
of the company’s assets may be poor, which may lead to reduced operating cash
flow and potentially high loss severity.
Equity market capitalization. A stock that trades below book value may indicate
that company assets are of low quality.
Human and intellectual capital. These are difficult to value, but a company may
have intellectual property that can function as collateral.
Covenants
Covenants are the terms and conditions the borrowers and lenders have agreed to as part
of a bond issue. Covenants protect lenders while leaving some operating flexibility to
the borrowers to run the company. There are two types of covenants: (1) affirmative
covenants and (2) negative covenants.
Affirmative covenants require the borrower to take certain actions, such as paying
interest, principal, and taxes; carrying insurance on pledged assets; and maintaining
certain financial ratios within prescribed limits.
Negative covenants restrict the borrower from taking certain actions, such as incurring
additional debt or directing cash flows to shareholders in the form of dividends and
stock repurchases.
Covenants that are overly restrictive of an issuer’s operating activities may reduce the
issuer’s ability to repay. On the other hand, covenants create a legally binding
contractual framework for repayment of the debt obligation, which reduces uncertainty
for the debt holders. A careful credit analysis should include an assessment of whether
the covenants protect the interests of the bondholders without unduly constraining the
borrower’s operating activities.
Character
Character refers to management’s integrity and its commitment to repay the loan.
Factors such as management’s business qualifications and operating record are
important for evaluating character. Character analysis includes an assessment of:
Soundness of strategy. Management’s ability to develop a sound strategy.
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LOS 55.h: Evaluate the credit quality of a corporate bond issuer and a bond of
that issuer, given key financial ratios of the issuer and the industry.
Leverage Ratios
Analysts should adjust debt reported on the financial statements by including the firm’s
obligations such as underfunded pension plans (net pension liabilities) and off-balance-
sheet liabilities such as operating leases.
The most common measures of leverage used by credit analysts are the debt-to-capital
ratio, the debt-to-EBITDA ratio, the FFO-to-debt ratio, and the ratio of FCF after
dividends to debt.
1. Debt/capital. Capital is the sum of total debt and shareholders’ equity. The debt-
to-capital ratio is the percentage of the capital structure financed by debt. A lower
ratio indicates less credit risk. If the financial statements list high values for
intangible assets such as goodwill, an analyst should calculate a second debt-to-
capital ratio adjusted for a writedown of these assets’ after-tax value.
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2. Debt/EBITDA. A higher ratio indicates higher leverage and higher credit risk.
This ratio is more volatile for firms in cyclical industries or with high operating
leverage because of their high variability of EBITDA.
3. FFO/debt. Because this ratio divides a cash flow measure by the value of debt, a
higher ratio indicates lower credit risk.
4. FCF after dividends/debt. Greater values indicate a greater ability to service
existing debt.
Coverage Ratios
Coverage ratios measure the borrower’s ability to generate cash flows to meet interest
payments. The two most commonly used are EBITDA-to-interest and EBIT-to-interest.
1. EBITDA/interest expense. A higher ratio indicates lower credit risk. This ratio is
used more often than the EBIT-to-interest expense ratio. Because depreciation and
amortization are still included as part of the cash flow measure, this ratio will be
higher than the EBIT version.
2. EBIT/interest expense. A higher ratio indicates lower credit risk. This ratio is the
more conservative measure because depreciation and amortization are subtracted
from earnings.
Ratings agencies publish benchmark values for financial ratios that are associated with
each ratings classification. Credit analysts can evaluate the potential for upgrades and
downgrades based on subject company ratios relative to these benchmarks.
EXAMPLE: Credit analysis based on ratios
An analyst is assessing the credit quality of York, Inc. and Zale, Inc., relative to each other and their
industry average. Selected financial information appears in the following table.
Footnotes to the two companies’ financial statements disclose that York, Inc. has goodwill of $500,000
and operating lease obligations with a present value of $900,000, while Zale, Inc. has a net pension
liability of $200,000 and no operating lease obligations. The analyst determines that the appropriate
industry averages are goodwill of $200,000, operating leases with a present value of $200,000, and no
net pension asset or liability.
Explain how the analyst should adjust York’s and Zale’s financial statements, calculate adjusted
financial ratios, and evaluate the relative creditworthiness of York and Zale.
Answer:
The recommended analyst adjustments are to add operating lease obligations and net pension liabilities
to total debt before calculating leverage ratios. An analyst should also consider total capital both
including and excluding goodwill.
The following table shows the results of these analyst adjustments.
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Leverage and coverage ratios based on these adjusted data are as follows:
EBIT / interest:
York: $550,000 / $40,000 = 13.8×
Zale: $2,250,000 / $160,000 = 14.1×
Industry average: $1,400,000 / $100,000 = 14.0×
Both York and Zale have interest coverage in line with their industry average.
FFO / total debt:
York: $300,000 / $1,900,000 = 15.8%
Zale: $850,000 / $2,700,000 = 31.5%
Industry average: $600,000 / $2,600,000 = 23.1%
Zale’s funds from operations relative to its debt level are greater than the industry average, while York
is generating less FFO relative to its debt level.
Total debt / total capital (including goodwill):
York: $1,900,000 / $4,000,000 = 47.5%
Zale: $2,700,000 / $6,500,000 = 41.5%
Industry average: $2,600,000 / $6,000,000 = 43.3%
Total debt / total capital (excluding goodwill):
York: $1,900,000 / $3,500,000 = 54.3%
Zale: $2,700,000 / $6,500,000 = 41.5%
Industry average: $2,600,000 / $5,800,000 = 44.8%
York is more leveraged than Zale and the industry average, especially after adjusting for goodwill.
Based on these data, Zale, Inc. appears to be more creditworthy than York, Inc.
LOS 55.i: Describe factors that influence the level and volatility of yield spreads.
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bullish. Credit spreads narrow as the credit cycle improves. Credit spreads widen
as the credit cycle deteriorates.
2. Economic conditions. Credit spreads narrow as the economy strengthens and
investors expect firms’ credit metrics to improve. Conversely, credit spreads
widen as the economy weakens.
3. Financial market performance. Credit spreads narrow in strong-performing
markets overall, including the equity market. Credit spreads widen in weak-
performing markets. In steady-performing markets with low volatility of returns,
credit spreads also tend to narrow as investors reach for yield.
4. Broker-dealer capital. Because most bonds trade over the counter, investors
need broker-dealers to provide market-making capital for bond markets to
function. Yield spreads are narrower when broker-dealers provide sufficient
capital but can widen when market-making capital becomes scarce.
5. General market demand and supply. Credit spreads narrow in times of high
demand for bonds. Credit spreads widen in times of low demand for bonds.
Excess supply conditions, such as large issuance in a short period of time, can
lead to widening spreads.
Yield spreads on lower-quality issues tend to be more volatile than spreads on higher-
quality issues.
LOS 55.j: Explain special considerations when evaluating the credit of high yield,
sovereign, and non-sovereign government debt issuers and issues.
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bonds include their liquidity, financial projections, debt structure, corporate structure,
and covenants.
Liquidity. Liquidity or availability of cash is critical for high yield issuers. High yield
issuers have limited access to additional borrowings, and available funds tend to be
more expensive for high yield issuers. Bad company-specific news and difficult
financial market conditions can quickly dry up the liquidity of debt markets. Many high
yield issuers are privately owned and cannot access public equity markets for needed
funds.
Analysts focus on six sources of liquidity (in order of reliability):
1. Balance sheet cash.
2. Working capital.
3. Operating cash flow (CFO).
4. Bank credit.
5. Equity issued.
6. Sales of assets.
For a high yield issuer with few or unreliable sources of liquidity, significant amounts
of debt coming due within a short time frame may indicate potential default. Running
out of cash with no access to external financing to refinance or service existing debt is
the primary reason why high yield issuers default. For high yield financial firms that are
highly levered and depend on funding long-term assets with short-term liabilities,
liquidity is critical.
Financial projections. Projecting future earnings and cash flows, including stress
scenarios and accounting for changes in capital expenditures and working capital, are
important for revealing potential vulnerabilities to the inability to meet debt payments.
Debt structure. High yield issuers’ capital structures often include different types of
debt with several levels of seniority and hence varying levels of potential loss severity.
Capital structures typically include secured bank debt, second lien debt, senior
unsecured debt, subordinated debt, and preferred stock. Some of these, especially
subordinated debt, may be convertible to common shares.
A credit analyst will need to calculate leverage for each level of the debt structure when
an issuer has multiple layers of debt with a variety of expected recovery rates.
High yield companies for which secured bank debt is a high proportion of the capital
structure are said to be top heavy and have less capacity to borrow from banks in
financially stressful periods. Companies that have top-heavy capital structures are more
likely to default and have lower recovery rates for unsecured debt issues.
Corporate structure. Many high-yield companies use a holding company structure. A
parent company receives dividends from the earnings of subsidiaries as its primary
source of operating income. Because of structural subordination, subsidiaries’ dividends
paid upstream to a parent company are subordinate to interest payments. These
dividends can be insufficient to pay the debt obligations of the parent, thus reducing the
recovery rate for debt holders of the parent company.
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wider difference between these ratios have greater equity relative to their debt and
therefore have less credit risk.
Sovereign Debt
Sovereign debt is issued by national governments. Sovereign credit analysis must
assess both the government’s ability to service debt and its willingness to do so. The
assessment of willingness is important because bondholders usually have no legal
recourse if a national government refuses to pay its debts.
A basic framework for evaluating and assigning a credit rating to sovereign debt
includes five key areas:
1. Institutional effectiveness includes successful policymaking, absence of
corruption, and commitment to honor debts.
2. Economic prospects include growth trends, demographics, income per capita,
and size of government relative to the private economy.
3. International investment position includes the country’s foreign reserves, its
external debt, and the status of its currency in international markets.
4. Fiscal flexibility includes the government’s willingness and ability to increase
revenue or cut expenditures to ensure debt service, as well as trends in debt as a
percentage of GDP.
5. Monetary flexibility includes the ability to use monetary policy for domestic
economic objectives (this might be lacking with exchange rate targeting or
membership in a monetary union) and the credibility and effectiveness of
monetary policy.
Credit rating agencies assign each national government two ratings: (1) a local currency
debt rating and (2) a foreign currency debt rating. The ratings are assigned separately
because defaults on foreign currency denominated debt have historically exceeded those
on local currency debt. Foreign currency debt typically has a higher default rate and a
lower credit rating because the government must purchase foreign currency in the open
market to make interest and principal payments, which exposes it to the risk of
significant local currency depreciation. In contrast, local currency debt can be repaid by
raising taxes, controlling domestic spending, or simply printing more money. Ratings
can differ as much as two notches for local and foreign currency bonds.
Sovereign defaults can be caused by events such as war, political instability, severe
devaluation of the currency, or large declines in the prices of the country’s export
commodities. Access to debt markets can be difficult for sovereigns in bad economic
times.
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exempt from national income taxes. Default rates for municipal bonds are very low
relative to general corporate bonds.
Most municipal bonds can be classified as general obligation bonds or revenue bonds.
General obligation (GO) bonds are unsecured bonds backed by the full faith credit of
the issuing governmental entity, which is to say they are supported by its taxing power.
Revenue bonds are issued to finance specific projects, such as airports, toll bridges,
hospitals, and power generation facilities.
Unlike sovereigns, municipalities cannot use monetary policy to service their debt and
usually must balance their operating budgets. Municipal governments’ ability to service
their general obligation debt depends ultimately on the local economy (i.e., the tax
base). Economic factors to assess in evaluating the creditworthiness of GO bonds
include employment, trends in per capita income and per capita debt, tax base
dimensions (depth, breadth, and stability), demographics, and ability to attract new jobs
(location, infrastructure). Credit analysts must also observe revenue variability through
economic cycles. Relying on highly variable taxes that are subject to economic cycles,
such as capital gains and sales taxes, can signal higher credit risk. Municipalities may
have long-term obligations such as underfunded pensions and post-retirement benefits.
Inconsistent reporting requirements for municipalities are also an issue.
Revenue bonds often have higher credit risk than GO bonds because the project is the
sole source of funds to service the debt. Analysis of revenue bonds combines analysis of
the project, using techniques similar to those for analyzing corporate bonds, with
analysis of the financing of the project.
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KEY CONCEPTS
LOS 55.a
Credit risk refers to the possibility that a borrower fails to make the scheduled interest
payments or return of principal.
Spread risk is the possibility that a bond loses value because its credit spread widens
relative to its benchmark. Spread risk includes credit migration or downgrade risk and
market liquidity risk.
LOS 55.b
Credit risk is composed of default risk, which is the probability of default, and loss
severity, which is the portion of the value of a bond or loan a lender or investor will lose
if the borrower defaults. The expected loss is the probability of default multiplied by the
loss severity.
LOS 55.c
Corporate debt is ranked by seniority or priority of claims. Secured debt is a direct claim
on specific firm assets and has priority over unsecured debt. Secured or unsecured debt
may be further ranked as senior or subordinated. Priority of claims may be summarized
as follows:
First mortgage or first lien.
Second or subsequent lien.
Senior secured debt.
Senior unsecured debt.
Senior subordinated debt.
Subordinated debt.
Junior subordinated debt.
LOS 55.d
Issuer credit ratings, or corporate family ratings, reflect a debt issuer’s overall
creditworthiness and typically apply to a firm’s senior unsecured debt.
Issue credit ratings, or corporate credit ratings, reflect the credit risk of a specific debt
issue. Notching refers to the practice of adjusting an issue credit rating upward or
downward from the issuer credit rating to reflect the seniority and other provisions of a
debt issue.
LOS 55.e
Lenders and bond investors should not rely exclusively on credit ratings from rating
agencies for the following reasons:
Credit ratings can change during the life of a debt issue.
Rating agencies cannot always judge credit risk accurately.
Firms are subject to risk of unforeseen events that credit ratings do not reflect.
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Market prices of bonds often adjust more rapidly than credit ratings.
LOS 55.f
Components of traditional credit analysis are known as the four Cs:
Capacity: The borrower’s ability to make timely payments on its debt.
Collateral: The value of assets pledged against a debt issue or available to
creditors if the issuer defaults.
Covenants: Provisions of a bond issue that protect creditors by requiring or
prohibiting actions by an issuer’s management.
Character: Assessment of an issuer’s management, strategy, quality of earnings,
and past treatment of bondholders.
LOS 55.g
Credit analysts use profitability, cash flow, and leverage and coverage ratios to assess
debt issuers’ capacity.
Profitability refers to operating income and operating profit margin, with
operating income typically defined as earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT).
Cash flow may be measured as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and
amortization (EBITDA); funds from operations (FFO); free cash flow before
dividends; or free cash flow after dividends.
Leverage ratios include debt-to-capital, debt-to-EBITDA, and FFO-to-debt.
Coverage ratios include EBIT-to-interest expense and EBITDA-to-interest
expense.
LOS 55.h
Lower leverage, higher interest coverage, and greater free cash flow imply lower credit
risk and a higher credit rating for a firm. When calculating leverage ratios, analysts
should include in a firm’s total debt its obligations such as underfunded pensions and
off-balance-sheet financing.
For a specific debt issue, secured collateral implies lower credit risk compared to
unsecured debt, and higher seniority implies lower credit risk compared to lower
seniority.
LOS 55.i
Corporate bond yields comprise the real risk-free rate, expected inflation rate, credit
spread, maturity premium, and liquidity premium. An issue’s yield spread to its
benchmark includes its credit spread and liquidity premium.
The level and volatility of yield spreads are affected by the credit and business cycles,
the performance of financial markets as a whole, availability of capital from broker-
dealers, and supply and demand for debt issues. Yield spreads tend to narrow when the
credit cycle is improving, the economy is expanding, and financial markets and investor
demand for new debt issues are strong. Yield spreads tend to widen when the credit
cycle, the economy, and financial markets are weakening, and in periods when the
supply of new debt issues is heavy or broker-dealer capital is insufficient for market
making.
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LOS 55.j
High yield bonds are more likely to default than investment grade bonds, which
increases the importance of estimating loss severity. Analysis of high yield debt should
focus on liquidity, projected financial performance, the issuer’s corporate and debt
structures, and debt covenants.
Credit risk of sovereign debt includes the issuing country’s ability and willingness to
pay. Ability to pay is greater for debt issued in the country’s own currency than for debt
issued in a foreign currency. Willingness refers to the possibility that a country refuses
to repay its debts.
Analysis of non-sovereign government debt is similar to analysis of sovereign debt,
focusing on the strength of the local economy and its effect on tax revenues. Analysis of
municipal revenue bonds is similar to analysis of corporate debt, focusing on the ability
of a project to generate sufficient revenue to service the bonds.
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Based only on the information given, the company that most likely has the
highest credit rating is:
A. Alden.
B. Barrow.
C. Collison.
3. The difference between a convertible bond and a bond with warrants is that a
bondholder who exercises warrants:
A. does not pay cash for the common stock.
B. obtains common stock at a lower price per share.
C. continues to hold the bond after exercising the warrants.
4. Which of the following is least likely a common form of external credit
enhancement?
A. Overcollateralization.
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B. A corporate guarantee.
C. A letter of credit from a bank.
5. Nonconforming mortgage loans may be securitized by:
A. government-sponsored enterprises, but not by private companies.
B. private companies, but not by government-sponsored enterprises.
C. neither private companies nor government-sponsored enterprises.
6. Which of the following bonds would appreciate the most if the yield curve shifts
down by 50 basis points at all maturities?
A. 4-year 8%, 8% YTM.
B. 5-year 8%, 7.5% YTM.
C. 5-year 8.5%, 8% YTM.
7. Which of the following provisions would most likely increase the required yield to
maturity on a debt security?
A. Call option.
B. Put option.
C. Floor on a floating-rate security.
8. Other things equal, a corporate bond’s yield spread is likely to be most volatile if
the bond is rated:
A. AA with 5 years to maturity.
B. AAA with 3 years to maturity.
C. BBB with 15 years to maturity.
9. In a repurchase agreement, the repo rate is likely to be higher:
A. if delivery to the lender is required.
B. when the quality of the collateral is high.
C. for longer-dated repos.
10. An investor in longer-term coupon bonds who has a short investment horizon is
most likely:
A. more concerned with market price risk than reinvestment risk.
B. more concerned with reinvestment risk than market price risk.
C. equally concerned about market price risk and reinvestment risk.
11. A bank loan department is trying to determine the correct rate for a 2-year loan to
be made two years from now. If current implied Treasury effective annual spot
rates are 1-year = 2%, 2-year = 3%, 3-year = 3.5%, and 4-year = 4.5%, the base
(risk-free) forward rate for the loan before adding a risk premium is closest to:
A. 4.5%.
B. 6.0%.
C. 9.0%.
12. Coyote Corporation has an issuer credit rating of AA, but its most recently issued
bonds have an issue credit rating of AA–. This difference is most likely due to the
newly issued bonds having:
A. been issued as senior subordinated debt.
B. been affected by restricted subsidiary status.
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decrease in interest rates is likely to decrease the return on a coupon bond because
the decrease in reinvestment income more than offsets the increase in price.
Therefore, an investor with a short horizon is more concerned with market price
risk and an investor with a long horizon is more concerned with reinvestment risk.
(Study Session 17, Module 54.3, LOS 54.k)
11. B The forward rate is [1.0454 / 1.032]1/2 – 1 = 6.02%, or use the approximation
[4.5(4) – 3(2)] / 2 = 6. (Study Session 16, Module 52.4, LOS 52.h)
12. A The issuer’s corporate family rating (CFR) is AA, while the bond’s corporate
credit rating (CCR) is lower, AA–. One possible reason for this notching
difference is that the bond may have a lower seniority ranking. CFR ratings are
based on senior unsecured debt. If the newly issued bond is a senior subordinated
debt, it has a lower priority of claims and hence a lower rating. Restricted status
would affect both CFR and CCR. Additional covenants that protect bondholders
would enhance the issue’s CCR. (Study Session 16, Module 55.1, LOS 55.d)
13. A High yield bonds are those that are classified as noninvestment grade. Some
institutions are restricted from investing in this sector of the fixed income market.
(Study Session 16, Module 51.1, LOS 51.a)
14. C The price of the 3-year coupon bond (as a percentage of par) is: N = 3; I/Y =
2.711; PMT = 5; FV = 100; CPT → PV = –106.51
The no-arbitrage price of the 3-year coupon bond based on spot (zero-coupon)
rates is:
Because the 3-year coupon bond’s price equals its no-arbitrage value, the bond is
fairly valued. (Study Session 16, Modules 52.1, 52.2, LOS 52.a, 52.c)
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The following is a review of the Derivatives principles designed to address the learning outcome
statements set forth by CFA Institute. Cross-Reference to CFA Institute Assigned Reading #56.
EXAM FOCUS
This topic review contains introductory material that describes specific types of
derivatives. Definitions and terminology are presented along with information about
derivatives markets. Upon completion of this review, candidates should be familiar with
the basic concepts that underlie derivatives and the general arbitrage framework. The
next topic review will build on these concepts to explain how prices of derivatives are
determined.
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A contingent claim is a claim (to a payoff) that depends on a particular event. Options
are contingent claims that depend on a stock price at some future date. While forwards,
futures, and swaps have payments that are based on a price or rate outcome whether the
movement is up or down, contingent claims only require a payment if a certain
threshold price is broken (e.g., if the price is above X or the rate is below Y). It takes two
options to replicate the payoffs on a futures or forward contract.
Credit derivatives are contingent claims that depend on a credit event such as a default
or ratings downgrade.
LOS 56.c: Define forward contracts, futures contracts, options (calls and puts),
swaps, and credit derivatives and compare their basic characteristics.
Forward Contracts
In a forward contract, one party agrees to buy and the counterparty to sell a physical or
financial asset at a specific price on a specific date in the future. A party may enter into
the contract to speculate on the future price of an asset, but more often a party seeks to
enter into a forward contract to hedge an existing exposure to the risk of asset price or
interest rate changes. A forward contract can be used to reduce or eliminate uncertainty
about the future price of an asset it plans to buy or sell at a later date.
Typically, neither party to the contract makes a payment at the initiation of a forward
contract. If the expected future price of the asset increases over the life of the contract,
the right to buy at the forward price (i.e., the price specified in the forward contract)
will have positive value, and the obligation to sell will have an equal negative value. If
the expected future price of the asset falls below the forward price, the result is opposite
and the right to sell (at an above-market price) will have a positive value.
The party to the forward contract who agrees to buy the financial or physical asset has a
long forward position and is called the long. The party to the forward contract who
agrees to sell or deliver the asset has a short forward position and is called the short.
A deliverable forward contract is settled by the short delivering the underlying asset to
the long. Other forward contracts are settled in cash. In a cash-settled forward
contract, one party pays cash to the other when the contract expires based on the
difference between the forward price and the market price of the underlying asset (i.e.,
the spot price) at the settlement date. Apart from transactions costs, deliverable and
cash-settled forward contracts are economically equivalent. Cash-settled forward
contracts are also known as contracts for differences or non-deliverable forwards
(NDFs).
Futures Contracts
A futures contract is a forward contract that is standardized and exchange-traded. The
primary ways in which forwards and futures differ are that futures are traded in an
active secondary market, subject to greater regulation, backed by a clearinghouse, and
require a daily cash settlement of gains and losses.
Futures contracts are similar to forward contracts in that both:
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this, the clearinghouse allows either side of the trade to reverse positions at a future date
without having to contact the other side of the initial trade. This allows traders to enter
the market knowing that they will be able to reverse or reduce their position. The
guarantee of the clearinghouse removes counterparty risk (i.e., the risk that the
counterparty to a trade will not fulfill their obligation at settlement) from futures
contracts. In the history of U.S. futures trading, the clearinghouse has never defaulted
on a contract.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
The terminology is that you “bought” bond futures if you entered into the contract with the
long position. In my experience, this terminology has caused confusion for many candidates.
You don’t purchase the contract, you enter into it. You are contracting to buy an asset on the
long side. “Buy” means take the long side, and “sell” means take the short side in futures.
In the futures markets, margin is money that must be deposited by both the long and the
short as a performance guarantee prior to entering into a futures contract. Unlike margin
in bond or stock accounts, there is no loan involved and, consequently, no interest
charges. This provides protection for the clearinghouse. Each day, the margin balance in
a futures account is adjusted for any gains and losses in the value of the futures position
based on the new settlement price, a process called the mark to market or marking to
market. Initial margin is the amount that must be deposited in a futures account before
a trade may be made. Initial margin per contract is relatively low and equals about one
day’s maximum price fluctuation on the total value of the assets covered by the
contract.
Maintenance margin is the minimum amount of margin that must be maintained in a
futures account. If the margin balance in the account falls below the maintenance
margin through daily settlement of gains and losses (from changes in the futures price),
additional funds must be deposited to bring the margin balance back up to the initial
margin amount. This is different from maintenance margin in an equity account, which
requires investors only to bring the margin backup to the maintenance margin amount.
Margin requirements are set by the clearinghouse.
Many futures contracts have price limits, which are exchange-imposed limits on how
each day’s settlement price can change from the previous day’s settlement price.
Exchange members are prohibited from executing trades at prices outside these limits. If
the equilibrium price at which traders would willingly trade is above the upper limit or
below the lower limit, trades cannot take place.
Consider a futures contract that has a daily price limit of $0.02 and settled the previous
day at $1.04. If, on the following trading day, traders wish to trade at $1.07 because of
changes in market conditions or expectations, no trades will take place. The settlement
price will be reported as $1.06 (for the purposes of marking-to-market). The contract
will be said to have made a limit move, and the price is said to be limit up (from the
previous day). If market conditions had changed such that the price at which traders are
willing to trade is below $1.02, $1.02 will be the settlement price, and the price is said
to be limit down. If trades cannot take place because of a limit move, either up or down,
the price is said to be locked limit since no trades can take place and traders are locked
into their existing positions.
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PROFESSOR’S NOTE
The Level I derivatives material focuses on interest rate swaps. Other types of swaps, such as
currency swaps and equity swaps, are introduced at Level II.
Options
An option contract gives its owner the right, but not the obligation, to either buy or sell
an underlying asset at a given price (the exercise price or strike price). While an option
buyer can choose whether to exercise an option, the seller is obligated to perform if the
buyer exercises the option.
The owner of a call option has the right to purchase the underlying asset at a
specific price for a specified time period.
The owner of a put option has the right to sell the underlying asset at a specific
price for a specified time period.
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PROFESSOR’S NOTE
To remember these terms, note that the owner of a call can “call the asset in” (i.e., buy it);
the owner of a put has the right to “put the asset to” the writer of the put.
The seller of an option is also called the option writer. There are four possible options
positions:
1. Long call: the buyer of a call option—has the right to buy an underlying asset.
2. Short call: the writer (seller) of a call option—has the obligation to sell the
underlying asset.
3. Long put: the buyer of a put option—has the right to sell the underlying asset.
4. Short put: the writer (seller) of a put option—has the obligation to buy the
underlying asset.
The price of an option is also referred to as the option premium.
American options may be exercised at any time up to and including the contract’s
expiration date.
European options can be exercised only on the contract’s expiration date.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
The name of the option does not imply where the option trades—they are just names.
At expiration, an American option and a European option on the same asset with the
same strike price are identical. They may either be exercised or allowed to expire.
Before expiration, however, they are different and may have different values. In those
cases, we must distinguish between the two.
Credit Derivatives
A credit derivative is a contract that provides a bondholder (lender) with protection
against a downgrade or a default by the borrower. The most common type of credit
derivative is a credit default swap (CDS), which is essentially an insurance contract
against default. A bondholder pays a series of cash flows to a credit protection seller and
receives a payment if the bond issuer defaults.
Another type of credit derivative is a credit spread option, typically a call option that is
based on a bond’s yield spread relative to a benchmark. If the bond’s credit quality
decreases, its yield spread will increase and the bondholder will collect a payoff on the
option.
LOS 56.d: Describe purposes of, and controversies related to, derivative markets.
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LOS 56.e: Explain arbitrage and the role it plays in determining prices and
promoting market efficiency.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
We discuss derivatives pricing based on arbitrage in more detail in our review of Basics of
Derivative Pricing and Valuation.
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KEY CONCEPTS
LOS 56.a
A derivative’s value is derived from the value of another asset or an interest rate.
Exchange-traded derivatives, notably futures and some options, are traded in centralized
locations (exchanges) and are standardized, regulated, and are free of default.
Forwards and swaps are custom contracts (over-the-counter derivatives) created by
dealers or financial institutions. There is limited trading of these contracts in secondary
markets and default (counterparty) risk must be considered.
LOS 56.b
A forward commitment is an obligation to buy or sell an asset or make a payment in the
future. Forward contracts, futures contracts, and swaps are all forward commitments.
A contingent claim is an asset that has a future payoff only if some future event takes
place (e.g., asset price is greater than a specified price). Options and credit derivatives
are contingent claims.
LOS 56.c
Forward contracts obligate one party to buy, and another to sell, a specific asset at a
specific price at a specific time in the future.
Interest rate swaps contracts are equivalent to a series of forward contracts on interest
rates.
Futures contracts are much like forward contracts, but are exchange-traded, liquid, and
require daily settlement of any gains or losses.
A call option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy an asset at a
specific price at some time in the future.
A put option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to sell an asset at a
specific price at some time in the future.
A credit derivative is a contract that provides a payment if a specified credit event
occurs.
LOS 56.d
Derivative markets are criticized for their risky nature. However, many market
participants use derivatives to manage and reduce existing risk exposures.
Derivative securities play an important role in promoting efficient market prices and
reducing transaction costs.
LOS 56.e
Riskless arbitrage refers to earning more than the risk-free rate of return with no risk, or
receiving an immediate gain with no possible future liability.
Arbitrage can be expected to force the prices of two securities or portfolios of securities
to be equal if they have the same future cash flows regardless of future events.
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The following is a review of the Derivatives principles designed to address the learning outcome
statements set forth by CFA Institute. Cross-Reference to CFA Institute Assigned Reading #57.
EXAM FOCUS
Here the focus is on the pricing and valuation of derivatives based on a no-arbitrage
condition. The derivation of the price in a forward contract and calculating the value of
a forward contract over its life are important applications of no-arbitrage pricing.
Candidates should also understand the equivalence of interest rates swaps to a series of
forward rate agreements and how each factor that affects option values affects puts and
calls.
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The net cost of holding an asset, considering both the costs and benefits of holding the
asset, is referred to as the cost of carry. Taking into account all of these costs and
benefits, we can describe the present value of an asset, based on its expected future
price, as:
S0 = E(ST) / (1 + Rf + risk premium)T + PV (benefits of holding the asset for time T)
− PV (costs of holding the asset for time T),
where:
S0 is the current spot price of the asset and E(ST) is the expected value of the asset at
time T, the end of the expected holding period.
We assume that investors are risk-averse so they require a positive premium (higher
return) on risky assets. An investor who is risk-neutral would require no risk premium
and, as a result, would discount the expected future value of an asset at the risk-free
rate.
In contrast to this model of calculating the current value of a risky asset, the valuation of
derivative securities is based on a no-arbitrage condition. Arbitrage refers to a
transaction wherein an investor purchases one asset (or portfolio of assets) at one price
and simultaneously sells an asset or portfolio that has the same future payoff, regardless
of future events, at a higher price, realizing a risk-free gain on the transaction. While
arbitrage opportunities may be rare, the reasoning is that when they do exist they will be
exploited rapidly. Therefore, we can use the no-arbitrage condition to determine the
current value (spot price) of an asset or portfolio of assets that have the same future
payoffs regardless of future events. Because there are transactions costs of exploiting an
arbitrage opportunity, small differences in price may persist because the arbitrage gain
is less than the transactions cost of exploiting it.
In markets for traditional securities, we don’t often encounter two assets that have the
same future payoffs. With derivative securities, however, the risk of the derivative is
entirely based on the risk of the underlying asset, so we can construct a portfolio of the
underlying asset and a derivative based on it that has no uncertainty about its value at
some future date (i.e., a hedged portfolio). Because the future payoff is certain, we can
calculate the present value of the portfolio as the future payoff discounted at the risk-
free rate. This will be the current value of the portfolio under the no-arbitrage condition,
which will force the return on a risk-free (hedged) portfolio to the risk-free rate. This
structure, with a long position in the asset and a short position in the derivative security,
can be represented as:
asset position at time 0 + short position in a forward contract at time 0 = (payoff on
the asset at time T + payoff on the short forward at time T) / (1 + Rf)T
Because the payoff at time T (expiration of the forward) is from a fully hedged position,
its time T value is certain. To prevent arbitrage, the above equality must hold. If the net
cost of buying the asset and selling the forward at time t is less than the present value
(discounted at Rf) of the certain payoff at time T, an investor can borrow the funds (at
Rf) to buy the asset, sell the forward at time t, and earn a risk-free return in excess of Rf.
If the net cost is greater than the present value of the certain payoff at time T, an
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arbitrageur could sell the hedged position (short the asset, invest the proceeds at Rf, and
buy the forward). At expiration, the asset can be purchased with the maturity payment
on the loan and the excess of that repayment over the forward price is a gain with no net
investment over the period.
When the equality holds we say the derivative is currently at its no-arbitrage price.
Because we know Rf, the spot price of the asset, and the certain payoff at time T, we
can solve for the no-arbitrage price of the derivative based on the no arbitrage price of
the forward. Note the investor’s risk aversion has not entered into our valuation of the
derivative as it did when we described the valuation of a risky asset. For this reason, the
determination of the no-arbitrage derivative price is sometimes called risk-neutral
pricing, which is the same as no-arbitrage pricing or the price under a no-arbitrage
condition.
Because we can create a risk-free asset (or portfolio) from a position in the underlying
asset that is hedged with a position in a derivative security, we can duplicate the payoff
on a derivative position with the risk-free asset and the underlying asset or duplicate the
payoffs on the underlying asset with a position in the risk-free asset and the derivative
security. This process is called replication because we are replicating the payoffs on
one asset or portfolio with those of a different asset or portfolio.
As an example of replication and risk-neutral pricing, consider a long position in a stock
and a short position in a forward contract at 50 on the stock. Regardless of the price of
the stock at the settlement of the forward contract, the stock will be delivered for the
forward price of 50. As 50 will be received at the forward settlement date, the value
today is 50 discounted at the risk-free rate for the time until settlement of the forward
contract. For a share of stock and a short forward at 50 with six months until settlement,
we can write:
S − F(50) = 50 / (1 + Rf)0.5
and replicate a long forward position as
F(50) = S − 50 / (1 + Rf)0.5.
That is, we can replicate the long forward position by purchasing a share of stock and
borrowing the present value of 50 at the risk-free rate so the value at the maturity of the
loan will be the stock price minus 50. Alternatively, we could replicate a short stock
position by taking a short forward position and borrowing the present value of 50 at the
risk-free rate.
Another example of risk-neutral pricing is that combining a risky bond with a credit
protection derivative replicates a risk-free bond. So we can write:
risky bond + credit protection = bond valued at the risk-free rate
and see that the no-arbitrage price of credit protection is the value of the bond if it were
risk-free minus the price of the risky bond.
As a final example of risk-neutral pricing and replication, consider an investor who buys
a share of stock, sells a call on the stock at 40, and buys a put on the stock at 40 withthe
same expiration date as the call. The investor will receive 40 at option expiration
regardless of the stock price because:
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If the stock price is 40 at expiration, the put and the call are both worthless at
expiration.
If the stock price > 40 at expiration, the call will be exercised, the stock will be
delivered for 40, and the put will expire worthless.
If the stock price is < 40 at expiration, the put will be exercised, the stock will be
delivered for 40, and the call will expire worthless.
Thus, for a six-month call and put we can write:
stock + put − call = 40 / (1+Rf)0.5 and equivalently
call = stock + put − 40 / (1+Rf)0.5 and
put = call + 40 / (1+Rf)0.5 − stock
These replications will be introduced later in this reading as the put-call parity
relationship.
LOS 57.b: Distinguish between value and price of forward and futures contracts.
LOS 57.c: Explain how the value and price of a forward contract are determined
at expiration, during the life of the contract, and at initiation.
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During its life, at time t < T, the value of the forward contract is the spot price of the
asset minus the present value of the forward price,
At expiration at time T, the discounting term is (1 + Rf)0 = 1 and the payoff to a long
forward is ST − F0(T), the difference between the spot price of the asset at expiration
and the price of the forward contract.
LOS 57.d: Describe monetary and nonmonetary benefits and costs associated with
holding the underlying asset and explain how they affect the value and price of a
forward contract.
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time T is:
[S0 − PV0 (benefit)](1 + Rf)T
Again, any forward price that is not the no-arbitrage forward price will create an
arbitrage opportunity. Note the no-arbitrage forward price is lower the greater the
present value of the benefits and higher the greater the present value of the costs
incurred over the life of the forward contract.
If an asset has both storage costs and benefits from holding the asset over the life of the
forward contract, we can combine these in to a more general formula and express the
no-arbitrage forward price (that will produce a value of zero for the forward at
initiation) as:
[S0 + PV0 (cost) − PV0 (benefit)](1 + Rf)T = F0(T)
Both the present values of the costs of holding the asset and the benefits of holding the
asset decrease as time passes and the time to expiration (T − t) decreases, so the value of
the forward at any point in time t < T is:
Vt(T) = St + PVt(cost) – PVt(benefit) –
At expiration t = T the costs and benefits of holding the asset until expiration are zero,
as is T − t, so that the payoff on a long forward position at time T is, again, simply ST −
F0(T), the difference between the spot price of the asset at expiration and the forward
price.
1. Derivatives pricing models use the risk-free rate to discount future cash flows
because these models:
A. are based on portfolios with certain payoffs.
B. assume that derivatives investors are risk-neutral.
C. assume that risk can be eliminated by diversification.
2. The price of a forward or futures contract:
A. is typically zero at initiation.
B. is equal to the spot price at expiration.
C. remains the same over the term of the contract.
3. For a forward contract on an asset that has no costs or benefits from holding it to
have zero value at initiation, the arbitrage-free forward price must equal:
A. the expected future spot price.
B. the future value of the current spot price.
C. the present value of the expected future spot price.
4. The underlying asset of a derivative is most likely to have a convenience yield
when the asset:
A. is difficult to sell short.
B. pays interest or dividends.
C. must be stored and insured.
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Figure 57.1 illustrates these two methods of “locking in” a future lending or borrowing
rate (i.e., hedging the risk from uncertainty about future interest rates).
Figure 57.1: 30-Day FRA on 90-Day LIBOR
Note that the no-arbitrage price of an FRA is determined by the two transactions in the
synthetic FRA, borrowing for 120 days and lending for 30 days.
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LOS 57.g: Explain how swap contracts are similar to but different from a series of
forward contracts.
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contracts are based on a contract rate for which the value of the forward contract at
initiation is zero. There is no reason to suspect that the swap fixed rate results in a zero
value forward contract for each of the future dates.
When a forward contract is created with a contract rate that gives it a non-zero value at
initiation, it is called an off-market forward. The forward contracts we found to be
equivalent to the series of swap payments are almost certainly all off-market forwards
with non-zero values at the initiation of the swap. Because the swap itself has zero value
to both parties at initiation, it must consist of some off-market forwards with positive
present values and some off-market forwards with negative present values, so that the
sum of their present values equals zero.
Finding the swap fixed rate (which is the contract rate for our off-market forwards) that
gives the swap a zero value at initiation is not difficult if we follow our principle of no-
arbitrage pricing. The fixed rate payer in a swap can replicate that derivative position by
borrowing at a fixed rate and lending the proceeds at a variable (floating) rate. For the
swap in our example, borrowing at the fixed rate F and lending the proceeds at 90-day
LIBOR will produce the same cash flows as the swap. At each date the payment due on
the fixed-rate loan is Fn and the interest received on lending at the floating rate is Sn.
As with forward rate agreements, the price of a swap is the fixed rate of interest
specified in the swap contract (the contract rate) and the value depends on how expected
future floating rates change over time. At initiation, a swap has zero value because the
present value of the fixed-rate payments equals the present value of the expected
floating-rate payments. An increase in expected short-term future rates will produce a
positive value for the fixed-rate payer in an interest rate swap, and a decrease in
expected future rates will produce a negative value because the promised fixed rate
payments have more value than the expected floating rate payments over the life of the
swap.
1. How can a bank create a synthetic 60-day forward rate agreement on a 180-day
interest rate?
A. Borrow for 180 days and lend the proceeds for 60 days.
B. Borrow for 180 days and lend the proceeds for 120 days.
C. Borrow for 240 days and lend the proceeds for 60 days.
2. For the price of a futures contract to be greater than the price of an otherwise
equivalent forward contract, interest rates must be:
A. uncorrelated with futures prices.
B. positively correlated with futures prices.
C. negatively correlated with futures prices.
3. The price of a fixed-for-floating interest rate swap:
A. is specified in the swap contract.
B. is paid at initiation by the floating-rate receiver.
C. may increase or decrease during the life of the swap contract.
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EXAMPLE: Moneyness
Consider a July 40 call and a July 40 put, both on a stock that is currently selling for $37/share.
Calculate how much these options are in or out of the money.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
A July 40 call is a call option with an exercise price of $40 and an expiration date in
July.
Answer:
The call is $3 out of the money because S − X = –$3.00. The put is $3 in the money because X − S =
$3.00.
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We define the intrinsic value (or exercise value) of an option the maximum of zero
and the amount that the option is in the money. That is, the intrinsic value is the amount
an option is in the money, if it is in the money, or zero if the option is at or out of the
money. The intrinsic value is also the exercise value, the value of the option if exercised
immediately.
Prior to expiration, an option has time value in addition to any intrinsic value. The time
value of an option is the amount by which the option premium (price) exceeds the
intrinsic value and is sometimes called the speculative value of the option. This
relationship can be written as:
option premium = intrinsic value + time value
At any point during the life of an option, its value will typically be greater than its
intrinsic value. This is because there is some probability that the underlying asset price
will change in an amount that gives the option a positive payoff at expiration greater
than the (current) intrinsic value. Recall that an option’s intrinsic value (to a buyer) is
the amount of the payoff at expiration and is bounded by zero.
When an option reaches expiration, there is no time remaining and the time value is
zero. This means the value at expiration is either zero, if the option is at or out of the
money, or its intrinsic value, if it is in the money.
LOS 57.k: Identify the factors that determine the value of an option and explain
how each factor affects the value of an option.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
One way to remember the effects of changes in the risk-free rate is to think about present
values of the payments for calls and puts. These statements are strictly true only for in-the-
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money options, but it’s a way to remember the relationships. The holder of a call option will
pay in the future to exercise a call option and the present value of that payment is lower
when the risk-free rate is higher, so a higher risk-free rate increases a call option’s value. The
holder of a put option will receive a payment in the future when the put is exercised and an
increase in the risk-free rate decreases the present value of this payment, so a higher risk-free
rate decreases a put option’s value.
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Our derivation of put-call parity for European options is based on the payoffs of two
portfolio combinations: a fiduciary call and a protective put.
A fiduciary call is a combination of a call with exercise price X and a pure-discount,
riskless bond that pays X at maturity (option expiration). The payoff for a fiduciary call
at expiration is X when the call is out of the money, and X + (S − X) = S when the call
is in the money.
A protective put is a share of stock together with a put option on the stock. The
expiration date payoff for a protective put is (X – S) + S = X when the put is in the
money, and S when the put is out of the money.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
When working with put-call parity, it is important to note that the exercise prices on the put
and the call and the face value of the riskless bond are all equal to X.
If at expiration S is greater than or equal to X:
The protective put pays S on the stock while the put expires worthless, so the
payoff is S.
The fiduciary call pays X on the bond portion while the call pays (S − X), so the
payoff is X + (S − X) = S.
If at expiration X is greater than S:
The protective put pays S on the stock while the put pays (X − S), so the payoff is
S + (X − S) = X.
The fiduciary call pays X on the bond portion while the call expires worthless, so
the payoff is X.
In either case, the payoff on a protective put is the same as the payoff on a fiduciary
call. Our no-arbitrage condition holds that portfolios with identical payoffs regardless of
future conditions must sell for the same price to prevent arbitrage. We can express the
put-call parity relationship as:
c + X / (1 + Rf)T = S + p
Equivalencies for each of the individual securities in the put-call parity relationship can
be expressed as:
S = c − p + X / (1 + Rf)T
p = c − S + X / (1 + Rf)T
c = S + p – X / (1 + Rf)T
X / (1 + Rf)T = S + p − c
Note that the options must be European-style and the puts and calls must have the same
exercise price and time to expiration for these relations to hold.
The single securities on the left-hand side of the equations all have exactly the same
payoffs as the portfolios on the right-hand side. The portfolios on the right-hand side are
the synthetic equivalents of the securities on the left. For example, to synthetically
produce the payoff for a long position in a share of stock, use the following relationship:
S = c − p + X / (1 + Rf)T
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This means that the payoff on a long stock can be synthetically created with a long call,
a short put, and a long position in a risk-free discount bond.
The other securities in the put-call parity relationship can be constructed in a similar
manner.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
After expressing the put-call parity relationship in terms of the security you want to
synthetically create, the sign on the individual securities will indicate whether you need a
long position (+ sign) or a short position (– sign) in the respective securities.
Suppose that the current stock price is $52 and the risk-free rate is 5%. You have found a quote for a 3-
month put option with an exercise price of $50. The put price is $1.50, but due to light trading in the
call options, there was not a listed quote for the 3-month, $50 call. Estimate the price of the 3-month
call option.
Answer:
Rearranging put-call parity, we find that the call price is:
This means that if a 3-month, $50 call is available, it should be priced at (within transactions costs of)
$4.11 per share.
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which is put-call forward parity at time 0, the initiation of the forward contract, based
on the principle of no arbitrage. By rearranging the terms, put-call forward parity can
also be expressed as:
p0 − c0 = [X − F0(T)] / (1 + Rf)T
The probabilities of an up-move and a down-move are calculated based on the size of
the moves and the risk-free rate:
πU = risk-neutral probability of an up-move =
πD = risk-neutral probability of a down-move = 1 – πU
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where:
Rf = risk-free rate
U = size of an up-move
D = size of a down-move
PROFESSOR’S NOTE
These two probabilities are not the actual probability of an up- or down-move. They are risk-
neutral pseudo probabilities. The calculation of risk-neutral probabilities is not required for
the Level I exam, so you don’t need to worry about it.
We can calculate the value of an option on the stock by:
Calculating the payoff of the option at maturity in both the up-move and down-
move states.
Calculating the expected value of the option in one year as the probability-
weighted average of the payoffs in each state.
Discounting this expected value back to today at the risk-free rate.
EXAMPLE: Calculating call option value with a one-period binomial tree
Use the binomial tree in Figure 3 to calculate the value today of a one-year call option on the stock
with an exercise price of $30. Assume the risk-free rate is 7%, the current value of the stock is $30, and
the size of an up-move is 1.15.
Answer:
First, we have to calculate the parameters—the size of a down-move and the probabilities:
D = size of down move =
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We can use the same basic framework to value a one-period put option. The only
difference is that the payoff to the put option will be different from the call payoffs.
Use the information in the previous example to calculate the value of a put option on the stock with an
exercise price of $30.
Answer:
If the stock moves up to $34.50, a put option with an exercise price of $30 will expire worthless. If the
stock moves down to $26.10, the put option will be worth $3.90.
The risk-neutral probabilities are 0.715 and 0.285 for an up- and down-move, respectively. The
expected value of the put option in one period is:
E(put option value in 1 year) = ($0 × 0.715) + ($3.90 × 0.285) = $1.11
The value of the option today, discounted at the risk-free rate of 7%, is:
In practice, we would construct a binomial model with many short periods and have
many possible outcomes at expiration. However, the one-period model is sufficient to
understand the concept and method. Note that the actual probabilities of an up move and
a down move do not enter directly into our calculation of option value. The size of the
up-move and down-move, along with the risk-free rate, determine the risk-neutral
probabilities we use to calculate the expected payoff at option expiration. Remember,
the risk-neutral probabilities come from constructing a hedge that creates a certain
payoff. Because their calculation is based on an arbitrage relationship, we can discount
the expected payoff based on risk-neutral probabilities, at the risk-free rate.
LOS 57.o: Explain under which circumstances the values of European and
American options differ.
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If the asset pays cash flows during the life of a call option, early exercise can be
valuable because options are not adjusted for cash flows on the underlying asset.
Consider a call option on a stock that will pay a $3 dividend. The stock price is expected
to decrease by $3 on the ex-dividend day which will decrease the value of the call
option, so exercising the call option prior to the ex-dividend date may be advantageous
because the stock can be sold at its predividend price or held to receive the dividend.
Because early exercise may be valuable for call options on assets with cash flows, the
price of American call options on assets with cash flows will be greater than the price of
otherwise identical European call options.
For put options, cash flows on the underlying do not make early exercise valuable.
Actually, a decrease in the price of the underlying asset after cash distributions makes
put options more valuable. In the case of a put option that is deep in the money,
however, early exercise may be advantageous. Consider the (somewhat extreme) case of
a put option at $20 on a stock that has fallen in value to zero. Exercising the put will
result in an immediate payment of $20, the exercise value of the put. With a European
put option, the $20 cannot be realized until option expiration, so its value now is only
the present value of $20. Given the potential positive value of early exercise for put
options, American put options can be priced higher than otherwise identical European
put options.
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KEY CONCEPTS
LOS 57.a
Valuation of derivatives is based on a no-arbitrage condition with risk-neutral pricing.
Because the risk of a derivative is entirely based on the risk of the underlying asset, we
can construct a fully hedged portfolio and discount its future cash flows at the risk-free
rate.
We can describe three replications among a derivative, its underlying asset, and a risk-
free asset:
risky asset + derivative = risk-free asset
risky asset − risk- free asset = − derivative position
derivative position − risk-free asset = − risky asset
LOS 57.b
The price of a forward or futures contract is the forward price that is specified in the
contract.
The value of a forward or futures contract is zero at initiation. Its value may increase or
decrease during its life, with gains or losses in the value of a long position just opposite
to gains or losses in the value of a short position.
LOS 57.c
If there are no costs or benefits from holding the underlying asset, the forward price of
an asset to be delivered at time T is:
F0(T) = S0 (1 + Rf)T
The value of a forward contract is zero at initiation. During its life, at time t, the value
of the forward contract is:
Vt(T) = St − F0(T) / (1 + Rf)T–t.
At expiration, the payoff to a long forward is ST − F0(T), the difference between the
spot price of the asset at expiration and the price of the forward contract.
LOS 57.d
If holding an asset has costs and benefits, the no-arbitrage forward price is:
F0(T) = [S0 + PV0 (cost) − PV0 (benefit)] (1 + Rf)T
The present values of the costs and benefits decrease as time passes. The value of the
forward at time t is:
At expiration the costs and benefits of holding the asset are zero and do not affect the
value a long forward position, which is ST − F0(T).
LOS 57.e
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A forward rate agreement (FRA) is a derivative contract that has a future interest rate,
rather than an asset, as its underlying. FRAs are used by firms to hedge the risk of
borrowing and lending they intend to do in the future. A firm that intends to borrow in
the future can lock in an interest rate with a long position in an FRA. A firm that intends
to lend in the future can lock in an interest rate with a short position in an FRA.
LOS 57.f
Because gains and losses on futures contracts are settled daily, prices of forwards and
futures that have the same terms may be different if interest rates are correlated with
futures prices. Futures are more valuable than forwards when interest rates and futures
prices are positively correlated and less valuable when they are negatively correlated. If
interest rates are constant or uncorrelated with futures prices, the prices of futures and
forwards are the same.
LOS 57.g
In a simple interest-rate swap, one party pays a floating rate and the other pays a fixed
rate on a notional principal amount. The first payment is known at initiation and the rest
of the payments are unknown. The unknown payments are equivalent to the payments
on off-market FRAs. To replicate a swap with a value of zero at initiation, the sum of
the present values of these FRAs must equal zero.
LOS 57.h
The price of a swap is the fixed rate of interest specified in the swap contract. The value
depends on how expected future floating rates change over time. An increase in
expected short-term future rates will produce a positive value for the fixed-rate payer,
and a decrease in expected future rates will produce a negative value for the fixed-rate
payer.
LOS 57.i
At expiration, the value of a call option is the greater of zero or the underlying asset
price minus the exercise price.
At expiration, the value of a put option is the greater of zero or the exercise price minus
the underlying asset price.
LOS 57.j
If immediate exercise of an option would generate a positive payoff, the option is in the
money. If immediate exercise would result in a negative payoff, the option is out of the
money. An option’s exercise value is the greater of zero or the amount it is in the
money. Time value is the amount by which an option’s price is greater than its exercise
value. Time value is zero at expiration.
LOS 57.k
Factors that determine the value of an option:
Effect on call option
Increase in: Effect on put option values
values
Price of underlying asset Increase Decrease
Exercise price Decrease Increase
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LOS 57.l
A fiduciary call (a call option and a risk-free zero-coupon bond that pays the strike price
X at expiration) and a protective put (a share of stock and a put at X) have the same
payoffs at expiration, so arbitrage will force these positions to have equal prices: c + X /
(1 + Rf)T = S + p. This establishes put-call parity for European options.
Based on the put-call parity relation, a synthetic security (stock, bond, call, or put) can
be created by combining long and short positions in the other three securities.
c = S + p − X / (1 + Rf)T
p = c − S + X / (1 + Rf)T
S = c − p + X / (1 + Rf)T
X / (1 + Rf)T = S + p − c
LOS 57.m
Based on the fact that the present value of an asset’s forward price is equal to its spot
price, we can substitute the present value of the forward price into the put-call parity
relationship at the initiation of a forward contract to establish put-call-forward parity as:
c0 + X / (1 + Rf)T = F0(T) / (1 + Rf)T + p0
LOS 57.n
To determine the value of an option using a one-period binomial model, we calculate its
payoff following an up-move and following a down-move, estimate risk-neutral
probabilities of an up-move and a down-move, calculate the probability-weighted
average of its up-move and down-move payoffs, and discount this value by one period.
LOS 57.o
The prices of European and American options will be equal unless the right to exercise
prior to expiration has positive value.
For a call option on an asset that has no cash flows during the life of the option, there is
no advantage to early exercise so identical American and European call options will
have the same value. If the asset pays cash flows during the life of a call option, early
exercise can be valuable and an American call option will be priced higher than an
otherwise identical European call option.
For put options, early exercise can be valuable when the options are deep in the money
and an American put option will be priced higher than an otherwise identical European
put option.
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The following is a review of the Alternative Investments principles designed to address the learning
outcome statements set forth by CFA Institute. Cross-Reference to CFA Institute Assigned Reading #58.
EXAM FOCUS
“Alternative investments” collectively refers to the many asset classes that fall outside
the traditional definitions of stocks and bonds. This category includes hedge funds,
private equity, real estate, commodities, infrastructure, and other alternative
investments, primarily collectibles. Each of these alternative investments has unique
characteristics that require a different approach by the analyst. You should be aware of
the different strategies, fee structures, due diligence, and issues in valuing and
calculating returns with each of the alternative investments discussed in this topic
review.
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investments, which can reduce an investor’s overall portfolio risk. However, the risk
measures we use for traditional assets may not be adequate to capture the risk
characteristics of alternative investments. Managers often consider measures of risk
other than standard deviation of returns, such as worst month or historical frequency of
downside returns.
Historical returns for alternative investments have been higher on average than for
traditional investments, so adding alternative investments to a traditional portfolio may
increase expected returns. The reasons for these higher returns are thought to be that
some alternative investments are less efficiently priced than traditional assets (providing
opportunities for skilled managers), that alternative investments may offer extra returns
for being illiquid, and that alternative investments often use leverage.
While it seems that adding alternative investments to a portfolio will improve both
portfolio risk and expected return, choosing the optimal portfolio allocation to
alternative investments is complex and there are potential problems with historical
returns data and traditional risk measures. Survivorship bias refers to the upward bias of
returns if data only for currently existing (surviving) firms is included. Since surviving
firms tend to be those that had better-than-average returns, excluding the returns data for
failed firms results in average returns that are biased upward. Backfill bias refers to bias
introduced by including the previous performance data for firms recently added to a
benchmark index. Since firms that are newly added to an index must be those that have
survived and done better than average, including their returns for prior years (without
including the previous and current returns for funds that have not been added to the
index) tends to bias index returns upward.
LOS 58.d: Describe hedge funds, private equity, real estate, commodities,
infrastructure, and other alternative investments, including, as applicable,
strategies, sub-categories, potential benefits and risks, fee structures, and due
diligence.
LOS 58.f: Describe issues in valuing and calculating returns on hedge funds,
private equity, real estate, commodities, and infrastructure.
PROFESSOR’S NOTE:
We cover these LOS together and slightly out of curriculum order so that we can present the
complete analysis of each category of alternative investments to help candidates better
understand each category.
Private Equity
The majority of private equity funds invest either in private companies or public
companies they intend to take private (leveraged buyout funds), or in early stage
companies (venture capital funds). Two additional, but smaller, categories of private
equity funds are distressed investment funds and developmental capital funds.
A private equity fund may also charge fees for arranging buyouts, fees for a deal that
does not happen, or fees for handling asset divestitures after a buyout.
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PROFESSOR’S NOTE
We will use a similar term, “mezzanine-stage financing,” when referring to a late-stage
investment in a venture capital company that is preparing to go public via an IPO. Here we
are referring to a type of security rather than a type of investment.
Two types of LBOs are management buyouts (MBOs), in which the existing
management team is involved in the purchase, and management buy-ins (MBIs), in
which an external management team will replace the existing management team.
In an LBO, the private equity firm seeks to increase the value of the firm through some
combination of new management, management incentives, restructuring, cost reduction,
or revenue enhancement. Firms with high cash flow are attractive LBO candidates
because their cash flow can be used to service and eventually pay down the debt taken
on for acquisition.
Venture capital (VC) funds invest in companies in the early stages of their
development. The investment often is in the form of equity but can be in convertible
preferred shares or convertible debt. While the risk of start-up companies is often great,
returns on successful companies can be very high. This is often the case when a
company has grown to the point where it is sold (at least in part) to the public via an
IPO.
The companies in which a venture capital fund is invested are referred to as its portfolio
companies. Venture capital fund managers are closely involved in the development of
portfolio companies, often sitting on their boards or filling key management roles.
Categorization of venture capital investments is based on the company’s stage of
development. Terminology used to identify venture firm investment at different stages
of the company’s life includes the following:
1. The formative stage refers to investments made during a firm’s earliest period
and comprises three distinct phases.
Angel investing refers to investments made very early in a firm’s life, often
the “idea” stage, and the investment funds are used for business plans and
assessing market potential. The funding source is usually individuals
(“angels”) rather than venture capital funds.
The seed stage refers to investments made for product development,
marketing, and market research. This is typically the stage during which
venture capital funds make initial investments, through ordinary or
convertible preferred shares.
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Discounted cash flow approach: A dividend discount model falls into this category, as
does calculating the present value of free cash flow to the firm or free cash flow to
equity.
Asset-based approach: Either the liquidation values or fair market values of assets can
be used. Liquidation values will be lower as they are values that could be realized
quickly in a situation of financial distress or termination of company operations.
Liabilities are subtracted so only the equity portion of the firm’s value is being
estimated.
A private equity fund is valuing a French private manufacturing company. EBITDA and market values
for four publicly traded European companies in the same industry are shown in the following table (in
millions of euros):
The estimated EBITDA for the French company is €175 million. Using an average of the four
companies as the industry multiple, estimate the market value for the French company.
Answer:
The average multiple for these four companies is 8×. Based on the French company’s expected
EBITDA of €175 million, its estimated value is €175 million × 8 = €1,400 million or €1.4 billion.
Real Estate
Investment in real estate can provide income in the form of rents as well as the potential
for capital gains. Real estate as an asset class can provide diversification benefits to an
investor’s portfolio and a potential inflation hedge because rents and real estate values
tend to increase with inflation. Real estate investments can be differentiated according
to their underlying assets. Assets included under the heading of real estate investments
include:
Residential property—single-family homes.
Commercial property—produces income.
Loans with residential or commercial property as collateral—mortgages (“whole
loans”), construction loans.
Residential property is considered a direct investment in real estate. Some buyers pay
cash but most take on a mortgage (borrow) to purchase. The issuer (lender) of the
mortgage has a direct investment in a whole loan and is said to “hold the mortgage.”
Issuers often sell the mortgages they originate and the mortgages are then pooled
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been very low historically. In either case diversification benefits can result from
including real estate in an investor’s portfolio. However, the methods of index
construction (e.g., appraisal or repeat sales indices) may be a factor in the low reported
correlations, in which case actual diversification benefits may be less than expected.
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Video covering
Hedge Funds this content is
available online.
Hedge funds employ a large number of different strategies. Hedge fund
managers have more flexibility than managers of traditional
investments. Hedge funds can use leverage, take short equity positions, and take long or
short positions in derivatives. The complex nature of hedge fund transactions leads
managers to trade through prime brokers, who provide many services including
custodial services, administrative services, money lending, securities lending for short
sales, and trading. Hedge fund managers can negotiate various service parameters with
the prime brokers, such as margin requirements.
Hedge fund return objectives can be stated on an absolute basis (e.g., 10%) or on a
relative basis (e.g., returns 5% above a specific benchmark return) depending on the
fund strategy. Hedge funds are less regulated than traditional investments. Like private
equity funds, hedge funds are typically set up as limited partnerships, with the investors
as the limited (liability) partners. A hedge fund limited partnership may not include
more than a proscribed number of investors, who must possess adequate wealth,
sufficient liquidity, and an acceptable degree of investment sophistication. The
management firm is the general partner and typically receives both a management fee
based on the value of assets managed and an incentive fee based on fund returns.
Hedge fund investments are less liquid than traditional, publicly traded investments.
Restrictions on redemptions may include a lockup period and/or a notice period. A
lockup period is a time after initial investment during which withdrawals are not
allowed. A notice period, typically 30 to 90 days, is the amount of time a fund has after
receiving a redemption request to fulfill the request. Additional fees may be charged at
redemption. All of these, of course, discourage redemptions. Hedge fund managers
often incur significant transactions costs when they redeem shares. Redemption fees can
offset these costs. Notice periods allow time for managers to reduce positions in an
orderly manner. Redemptions often increase when hedge fund performance is poor over
a period, and the costs of honoring redemptions may further decrease the value of
partnership interests. This is an additional source of risk for hedge fund investors.
A fund-of-funds is an investment company that invests in hedge funds, giving investors
diversification among hedge fund strategies and allowing smaller investors to access
hedge funds in which they may not be able to invest directly. Fund-of-funds managers
charge an additional layer of fees beyond the fees charged by the individual hedge funds
in the portfolio.
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Merger arbitrage: Buy the shares of a firm being acquired and sell short
the firm making the acquisition.
Distressed/restructuring: Buy the (undervalued) securities of firms in
financial distress when analysis indicates value will be increased by a
successful restructuring; possibly short overvalued security types at the
same time.
Activist shareholder: Buy sufficient equity shares to influence a
company’s policies with the goal of increasing company value.
Special situations: Invest in the securities of firms that are issuing or
repurchasing securities, spinning off divisions, selling assets, or distributing
capital.
2. Relative value strategies involve buying a security and selling short a related
security with the goal of profiting when a perceived pricing discrepancy between
the two is resolved.
Convertible arbitrage fixed income: Exploit pricing discrepancies
between convertible bonds and the common stock of the issuing companies.
Asset-backed fixed income: Exploit pricing discrepancies among various
mortgage-backed securities (MBS) or asset-backed securities (ABS).
General fixed income: Exploit pricing discrepancies between fixed income
securities of various types.
Volatility: Exploit pricing discrepancies arising from differences between
returns volatility implied by options prices and manager expectations of
future volatility.
Multi-strategy: Exploit pricing discrepancies among securities in asset
classes different from those previously listed and across asset classes and
markets.
3. Macro strategies are based on global economic trends and events and may
involve long or short positions in equities, fixed income, currencies, or
commodities.
4. Equity hedge fund strategies seek to profit from long or short positions in
publicly traded equities and derivatives with equities as their underlying assets.
Market neutral: Use technical or fundamental analysis to select
undervalued equities to be held long, and to select overvalued equities to be
sold short, in approximately equal amounts to profit from their relative price
movements without exposure to market risk.
Fundamental growth: Use fundamental analysis to find high-growth
companies. Identify and buy equities of companies that are expected to
sustain relatively high rates of capital appreciation.
Fundamental value: Buy equity shares that are believed to be undervalued
based on fundamental analysis. Here it is the hedge fund structure, rather
than the type of assets purchased, that results in classification as an
alternative investment.
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The analysis of these factors is challenging because a lack of persistence in returns may
mean that funds with better historical returns will not provide better-than-average
returns in the future. Additionally, many of the items for due diligence, such as
reputation, risk management systems, and management style, are difficult to quantify in
a way that provides clear choices for potential investors. Further, previously profitable
strategies to exploit pricing inefficiencies are likely to become less profitable as more
funds pursue the same strategy.
Commodities
While it is possible to invest directly in commodities such as grain and gold, the most
commonly used instruments to gain exposure to commodity prices are derivatives.
Commodities themselves are physical goods and thus incur costs for storage and
transportation. Returns are based on price changes and not on income streams.
Futures, forwards, options, and swaps are all available forms of commodity derivatives.
Futures trade on exchanges; some options trade on exchanges while others trade over
the counter; and forwards and swaps are over-the-counter instruments originated by
dealers. Futures and forwards are contractual obligations to buy or sell a commodity at a
specified price and time. Options convey the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell
a commodity at a specified price and time. Other methods of exposures to commodities
include the following:
Exchange-traded funds (commodity ETFs) are suitable for investors who are
limited to buying equity shares. ETFs can invest in commodities or commodity
futures and can track prices or indices.
Equities that are directly linked to a commodity include shares of a commodity
producer, such as an oil producer or a gold mining firm, and give investors
exposure to price changes of the produced commodity. One potential drawback to
commodity-linked equities is that the price movements of the stock and the price
movements of the commodity may not be perfectly correlated.
Managed futures funds are actively managed. Some managers concentrate on
specific sectors (e.g., agricultural commodities) while others are more diversified.
Managed future funds can be structured as limited partnerships with fees like
those of hedge funds (e.g., 2 and 20) and restrictions on the number, net worth,
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and liquidity of the investors. They can also be structured like mutual funds with
shares that are publicly traded so that retail investors can also benefit from
professional management. Additionally, such a structure allows a lower minimum
investment and greater liquidity compared to a limited partnership structure.
Individual managed accounts provide an alternative to pooled funds for high net
worth individuals and institutions. Accounts are tailored to the needs of the
specific investor.
Specialized funds in specific commodity sectors can be organized under any of
the structures we have discussed and focus on certain commodities, such as oil
and gas, grains, precious metals, or industrial metals.
Commodity Valuation
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Wheat today and wheat six months from today are different products. Purchasing the
commodity today will give the buyer the use of it if needed, while contracting for wheat
to be delivered six months from today avoids storage costs and having cash tied up. An
equation that considers these aspects is:
futures price ≈ spot price (1 + risk-free rate) + storage costs − convenience yield
Convenience yield is the value of having the physical commodity for use over the
period of the futures contract. If this equation does not hold, an arbitrage transaction is
possible.
If there is little or no convenience yield, futures prices will be higher than spot prices, a
situation termed contango. When the convenience yield is high, futures prices will be
less than spot prices, a situation referred to as backwardation.
Three sources of commodities futures returns are:
1. Roll yield—The yield due to a difference between the spot price and futures price,
or a difference between two futures prices with different expiration dates. Futures
prices converge toward spot prices as contracts get closer to expiration. Roll yield
is positive for a market in backwardation and negative for a market in contango.
2. Collateral yield—The interest earned on collateral required to enter into a futures
contract.
3. Change in spot prices—The total price return is a combination of the change in
spot prices and the convergence of futures prices to spot prices over the term of
the futures contract.
Infrastructure
Infrastructure investments include transportation assets such as roads, airports, ports,
and railways, as well as utility assets, such as gas distribution facilities, electric
generation and distribution facilities, and waste disposal and treatment facilities. Other
categories of infrastructure investments are communications (e.g., broadcast assets and
cable systems) and social (e.g., prisons, schools, and health care facilities).
Investments in infrastructure assets that are already constructed are referred to as
brownfield investments and investments in infrastructure assets that are to be
constructed are referred to as greenfield investments. In general, investing in
brownfield investments provides stable cash flows and relatively high yields, but offers
little potential for growth. Investing in greenfield investments is subject to more
uncertainty and may provide relatively lower yields, but offers greater growth potential.
In addition to categorizing infrastructure investments by type or whether or not
construction of the assets is complete, they may be categorized by their geographic
location.
Investment in infrastructure can be made by constructing the assets and either selling or
leasing them to the government or by directly operating the assets. Alternatively,
investment in infrastructure can be made by purchasing existing assets from the
government to lease back to the government or operate directly.
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Infrastructure assets typically have a long life and are quite large in cost and scale so
direct investment in them has low liquidity. However, more liquid investments backed
by infrastructure assets are available through ETFs, mutual funds, private equity funds,
or master limited partnerships (MLPs). Publicly traded vehicles for investing in
infrastructure are a small part of the overall universe of infrastructure investments and
are relatively concentrated in a few categories of assets.
Investing in infrastructure assets can provide diversification benefits, but investors
should be aware that they are often subject to regulatory risk, risk from financial
leverage, and the possibility that cash flows will be less than expected. Investors who
construct infrastructure assets have construction risk. When the assets are owned and
operated by a private owner, operational risk must also be considered.
LOS 58.e: Describe, calculate, and interpret management and incentive fees and
net-of-fees returns to hedge funds.
CFA® Program Curriculum: Volume 6, page 139
The total fee paid by investors in a hedge fund consists of a management fee and an
incentive fee. The management fee is earned regardless of investment performance and
incentive fees are a portion of profits. The most common fee structure for a hedge fund
is “2 and 20" or “2 plus,” 2% of the value of the assets under management plus an
incentive fee of 20% of profits.
Profits can be (1) any gains in value, (2) any gains in value in excess of the management
fee, or (3) gains in excess of a hurdle rate. A hurdle rate can be set either as a
percentage (e.g., 4%) or a rate plus a premium (e.g., LIBOR + 2%). A hard hurdle rate
means that incentive fees are earned only on returns in excess of the benchmark. A soft
hurdle rate means that incentive fees are paid on all profits, but only if the hurdle rate is
met.
Another feature that is often included is called a high water mark. This means that the
incentive fee is not paid on gains that just offset prior losses. Thus incentive fees are
only paid to the extent that the current value of an investor’s account is above the
highest value after fees previously recorded. This feature ensures that investors will not
be charged incentive fees twice on the same gains in their portfolio values.
Investors in funds of funds incur additional fees from the managers of the funds of
funds. A common fee structure from funds of funds is “1 and 10.” A 1% management
fee and a 10% incentive fee are charged in addition to any fees charged by the
individual hedge funds within the fund-of-funds structure.
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Fee calculations for both management fees and incentive fees can differ not only by the
schedule of rates but also method of fee determination. Management fees may be
calculated on either the beginning-of-period or end-of-period values of assets under
management. Incentive fees may be calculated net of management fees (value increase
less management fees) or independent of management fees. Although the most common
hedge fund fee rates tend to be the “2 and 20" and “1 and 10" for funds of funds, fee
structures can vary. Price breaks to investors, competitive conditions, and historical
performance can influence negotiated rates.
Fee structures and their impact on investors’ results are illustrated in the following
example.
BJI Funds is a hedge fund with a value of $110 million at initiation. BJI Funds charges a 2%
management fee based on assets under management at the beginning of the year and a 20% incentive
fee with a 5% soft hurdle rate, and it uses a high water mark. Incentive fees are calculated on gains net
of management fees. The ending values before fees are as follows:
Year 1: $102.2 million
Year 2: $118.0 million
Calculate the total fees and the investor’s net return for both years.
Answer:
Year 1:
Management fee: $110.0 million × 2% = $2.2 million
Gross value end of year (given): $102.2 million
Return net of management fee =
There is no incentive fee because the return is less than the hurdle rate.
Total fees = $2.2 million
Ending value net of fees = $102.2 million – $2.2 million = $100.00 million
Year 2:
Management fee: $100.0 million × 2% = $2.0 million
Gross value end of year (given): $118.0 million
Return net of management fee =
Incentive fee = ($118.0 million – $2.0 million – $110.0 million) × 20% = $1.2 million
Note that the incentive fee is calculated based on gains in value above $110 million because that is the
high water mark.
Total fees = $2.0 million + $1.2 million = $3.2 million
Net return =
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Due Diligence
A listing of key items for due diligence for alternative investments includes six major
categories: organization, portfolio management, operations and controls, risk
management, legal review, and fund terms.
1. Organization: Experience, quality, and compensation of management and staff;
analysis of all their prior and current fund results; alignment of manager and
investor interests; and reputation and quality of third-party service providers used.
2. Portfolio management: Management of the investment process; target markets,
asset types, and strategies; investment sources; operating partners’ roles;
underwriting; environmental and engineering review; integration of asset
management, acquisitions, and dispositions; and the process for dispositions.
3. Operations and controls: Reporting and accounting methods; audited financial
statements; internal controls; frequency of valuations; valuation approaches;
insurance; and contingency plans.
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4. Risk management: Fund policies and limits; portfolio risk and key factors; and
constraints on leverage and currencies and hedging of related risks.
5. Legal review: Fund legal structure; registrations; and current and past litigation.
6. Fund terms: Fees, both management and incentive, and expenses; contractual
terms; investment period; fund term and extensions; carried interest; distributions;
conflicts; rights of limited partners; and termination procedures for key personnel.
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KEY CONCEPTS
LOS 58.a
“Traditional investments” refers to long-only positions in stocks, bonds, and cash.
“Alternative investments” refers to some types of assets such as real estate,
commodities, and various collectables, as well as some specific structures of investment
vehicles. Hedge funds and private equity funds (including venture capital funds) are
often structured as limited partnerships; real estate investment trusts (REITs) are similar
to mutual funds; and ETFs can contain alternative investments as well.
Compared to traditional investments, alternative investments typically have lower
liquidity; less regulation and disclosure; higher management fees and more specialized
management; potential diversification benefits; more use of leverage, use of derivatives;
potentially higher returns; limited and possibly biased historical returns data;
problematic historical risk measures; and unique legal and tax considerations.
LOS 58.b
Hedge funds are investment companies that use a variety of strategies and may be
highly leveraged, use long and short positions, and use derivatives.
Private equity funds usually invest in the equity of private companies or companies
wanting to become private, financing their assets with high levels of debt. This category
also includes venture capital funds, which provide capital to companies early in their
development.
Real estate as an asset class includes residential and commercial real estate, individual
mortgages, and pools of mortgages or properties. It includes direct investment in single
properties or loans as well as indirect investment in limited partnerships, which are
private securities, and mortgage-backed securities and real estate investment trusts,
which are publicly traded.
Commodities refer to physical assets such as agricultural products, metals, oil and gas,
and other raw materials used in production. Commodities market exposure can provide
an inflation hedge and diversification benefits.
Infrastructure refers to long-lived assets that provide public services and are often built
or operated by governments. Various types of collectibles, such as cars, wines, and art,
are considered alternative investments as well.
LOS 58.c
The primary motivation for adding alternative investments to a portfolio is to reduce
portfolio risk based on the less-than-perfect correlation between alternative asset returns
and traditional asset returns. For many alternative investments, the expertise of the
manager can be an important determinant of returns.
LOS 58.d
Hedge Funds
Event-driven strategies include merger arbitrage, distressed/restructuring, activist
shareholder, and special situations.
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Private Equity
Leveraged buyouts (LBOs) and venture capital are the two dominant strategies. Other
strategies include developmental capital and distressed securities.
Types of LBOs include management buyouts, in which the existing management team
is involved in the purchase, and management buy-ins, in which an external management
team replaces the existing management.
Stages of venture capital investing include the formative stage (composed of the angel
investing, seed, and early stages); the later stage (expansion); and the mezzanine stage
(prepare for IPO).
Methods for exiting investments in portfolio companies include trade sale (sell to a
competitor or another strategic buyer); IPO (sell some or all shares to investors);
recapitalization (issue portfolio company debt); secondary sale (sell to another private
equity firm or other investors); or write-off/liquidation.
Private equity has some historical record of potential diversification benefits. An
investor must identify top performing private equity managers to benefit from private
equity.
Due diligence factors for private equity include the manager’s experience, valuation
methods used, fee structure, and drawdown procedures for committed capital.
Real Estate
Reasons to invest in real estate include potential long-term total returns, income from
rent payments, diversification benefits, and hedging against inflation.
Forms of real estate investing:
Public (Indirect) Private (Direct)
Mortgage-backed securities Mortgages
Debt
Collateralized mortgage obligations Construction loans
Sole ownership
Real estate corporation shares Joint ventures
Equity
Real estate investment trust shares Limited partnerships
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Commingled funds
Real estate investment categories include residential properties, commercial real estate,
REITs, mortgage-backed securities, and timberland and farmland.
Historically, real estate returns are highly correlated with global equity returns but less
correlated with global bond returns. The construction method of real estate indexes may
contribute to the low correlation with bond returns.
Due diligence factors for real estate include global and national economic factors, local
market conditions, interest rates, and property-specific risks including regulations and
abilities of managers. Distressed properties investing and real estate development have
additional risk factors to consider.
Commodities
The most common way to invest in commodities is with derivatives. Other methods
include exchange-traded funds, equities that are directly linked to a commodity,
managed futures funds, individual managed accounts, and specialized funds in specific
commodity sectors.
Beyond the potential for higher returns and lower volatility benefits to a portfolio,
commodity as an asset class may offer inflation protection. Commodities can offset
inflation, especially if commodity prices are used to determine inflation indices.
Spot prices for commodities are a function of supply and demand. Global economics,
production costs, and storage costs, along with value to user, all factor into prices.
Infrastructure
Infrastructure investments may be classified as greenfield (assets to be built) or
brownfield (existing assets).
Liquidity is low for direct investments in infrastructure because the assets are long-lived
and tend to be large-scale. However, some liquid investment vehicles exist that are
backed by infrastructure assets.
LOS 58.e
The total fee for a hedge fund consists of a management fee and an incentive fee. Other
fee structure specifications include hurdle rates and high water marks. Funds of funds
incur an additional level of management fees. Fee calculations for both management
fees and incentive fees can differ by the schedule and method of fee determination.
LOS 58.f
Hedge funds often invest in securities that are not actively traded and must estimate
their values, and invest in securities that are illiquid relative to the size of a hedge fund’s
position. Hedge funds may calculate a trading NAV that adjusts for the illiquidity of
these securities.
A private equity portfolio company may be valued using a market/comparables
approach (multiple-based) approach, a discounted cash flow approach, or an asset-based
approach.
Real estate property valuation approaches include the comparable sales approach, the
income approach (multiples or discounted cash flows), and the cost approach. REITs
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Total fee is £3.1 million + £1.0 million = £4.1 million. (LOS 58.e)
3. A Hedge funds may hold illiquid assets that may use estimated values to calculate
returns. Risk as measured by standard deviation could be understated. For publicly
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traded securities, such as REITs and ETFs, standard definitions of risk are more
applicable. (LOS 58.g)
4. C Activist shareholder strategies are a subcategory of event-driven strategies.
(LOS 58.d)
5. A Roll yield results from a difference between the spot and futures prices. (LOS
58.f)
6. B Greenfield investments refer to infrastructure assets that are yet to be
constructed. (LOS 58.d)
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6. With respect to European and American options, cash flows from the underlying
asset may make:
A. a European put more valuable than an otherwise identical American put.
B. an American put more valuable than an otherwise identical European put.
C. an American call more valuable than an otherwise identical European call.
7. Cash flows related to futures margin least likely include:
A. interest on the margin loan.
B. deposits to meet margin calls.
C. interest received on collateral.
8. Survivorship bias in reported hedge fund index returns will most likely result in
index:
A. returns and risk that are biased upward.
B. returns and risk that are biased downward.
C. risk that is biased downward and returns that are biased upward.
9. A hedge fund with a 2 and 20 fee structure has a hard hurdle rate of 5%. If the
incentive fee and management fee are calculated independently and the
management fee is based on beginning-of-period asset values, an investor’s net
return over a period during which the gross value of the fund has increased 22% is
closest to:
A. 16.4%.
B. 16.6%.
C. 17.0%.
10. The least appropriate measure of risk for alternative investments is:
A. value at risk (VaR).
B. the Sortino ratio.
C. variance of returns.
11. The type of real estate index that most likely exhibits sample selection bias is:
A. REIT index.
B. appraisal index.
C. repeat sales index.
12. With respect to mezzanine-stage financing in venture capital investing and
mezzanine financing of a leveraged buyout:
A. mezzanine-stage financing refers to a type of security but mezzanine
financing does not.
B. mezzanine financing refers to a type of security but mezzanine-stage
financing does not.
C. both terms refer to financing by issuance of securities that have both debt
and equity characteristics.
13. A hedge fund that engages primarily in distressed debt investing and merger
arbitrage is best described as using:
A. a macro strategy.
B. an event-driven strategy.
C. a relative value strategy.
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return net of fees is 22% – 2% – 3.4% = 16.6%. (Study Session 19, Module 58.2,
LOS 58.e)
10. C Because returns distributions of alternative investments are often leptokurtic
and negatively skewed, variance is not an appropriate risk measure. Value at risk
(VaR) and the Sortino ratio based on downside deviations from the mean are
measures of downside risk that are more appropriate for alternative investments.
(Study Session 19, Module 58.2, LOS 58.g)
11. C A repeat sales index includes prices of properties that have recently sold.
Because these properties may not be representative of overall property values
(may be biased toward properties that have declined or increased the most in value
of the period), there is the risk of sample selection bias. An appraisal index or a
REIT index is generally constructed for a sample of representative properties or
REIT property pools. (Study Session 19, Module 58.1, LOS 58.f)
12. B Mezzanine financing in an LBO refers to the issue of securities that have both
debt and equity features so that they are on the balance sheet between debt and
equity. Mezzanine-stage financing refers to financing of different types that is
employed during the period just prior to an IPO of a firm funded by venture
capital. (Study Session 19, Module 58.1, LOS 58.d)
13. B Event-driven strategies attempt to capitalize on unique events or opportunities
such as distressed debt or mergers and acquisitions. Relative value strategies
involve taking long and short positions in related securities to exploit pricing
inefficiencies. Macro strategy funds make directional trades on markets,
currencies, interest rates, or other factors. (Study Session 19, Module 58.2, LOS
58.d)
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APPENDIX
RATES, RETURNS, AND YIELDS
A holding period return (HPR), or holding period yield (HPY), can be for a period of
any length and is simply the percentage increase in value over the period, which is
calculated as:
HPR = ending value / beginning value – 1
1. If an investor puts $2,000 into an account and 565 days later it has grown in value
to $2,700, the 565-day HPY is 2,700 / 2,000 – 1 = 35%.
2. If an investor buys a share of stock for $20/share, receives a $0.40 dividend, and
sells the shares after nine months, the nine-month HPY is (22 + 0.40) / 20 – 1 =
12%.
An HPR for a given period is also the effective yield for that period.
An effective annual yield is the HPR for a one-year investment or the HPY for a
different period converted to its annual equivalent yield.
3. If the six-month HPR is 2%, the effective annual yield is 1.022 – 1 = 4.040%.
4. If the 125-day HPR is 1.5%, the effective annual yield is 1.015365/125 – 1 =
4.443%.
5. If the two-year HPR (two-year effective rate) is 9%, the effective annual yield is
1.091/2 – 1 = 4.4031%.
Compounding Frequency
Sometimes the “rate” on an investment is expressed as a simple annual rate (or stated
rate)—the annual rate with no compounding of returns. The number of compounding
periods per year is called the periodicity of the rate. For a periodicity of one, the stated
rate and the effective annual rate are the same. When the periodicity is greater than one
(more than one compounding period per year), the effective annual rate is the effective
rate for the sub-periods, compounded for the number of sub-periods.
6. A bank CD has a stated annual rate of 6% with annual compounding (periodicity
of 1); the effective annual rate is 6% and a $1,000 investment will return
$1,000(1.06) = $1,060 at the end of one year.
7. A bank CD has a stated annual rate of 6% with semiannual compounding
(periodicity of 2); the effective annual rate is (1 + 0.06 / 2)2 = 1.032 – 1 = 6.09%
and a $1,000 investment will return $1,000 (1.0609) = $1,060.90 at the end of one
year.
8. A bank CD has a stated annual rate of 6% with quarterly compounding
(periodicity of 4); the effective annual rate is (1 + 0.06 / 4)4 = 1.0154 – 1 =
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refer to an annualized holding period return based on a 365-day year, [i.e., BEY = HPY
× (365 / days in holding period)].
18. For the YTM of a semiannual-pay bond on a coupon date with N years remaining
until maturity, we calculate the IRR that satisfies:
After solving for IRR / 2, which is the IRR for semiannual periods, we must multiply it
by 2 to get the bond’s YTM on a semiannual basis.
19. For a capital project, the (annual) IRR satisfies:
where annual cash flows (CF) can be positive or negative (when a future expenditure is
required). Note that if the sign of the cash flows changes more than once, there may be
more than one IRR that satisfies the equation.
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22. HPY on a 30-day loan at a quoted LIBOR rate of 1.8% is 0.018 × 30 / 360 =
0.15% so the interest on a $10,000 loan is 10,000 × 0.0015 = $15.
A related yield is the money market yield (MMY), which is HPY annualized based on
a 360-day year.
23. A 120-day discount security with a maturity value of $1,000 that is priced at $995
has a money market yield of (1,000 / 995 − 1) × 360 / 120 = 1.5075%.
Forward rates are rates for a loan to be made in a future period. They are quoted based
on the period of the loan. For loans of one year, we write 1y1y for a 1-year loan to be
made one year from today and 2y1y for a 1-year loan to be made two years from today.
Spot rates are discount rates for single payments to be made in the future (such as for
zero-coupon bonds).
24. Given a 3-year spot rate expressed as a compound annual rate (S3) of 2%, a 3-year
bond that makes a single payment of $1,000 in three years has a current value of
1,000 / (1 + 0.02)3 = $942.32.
An N-year spot rate is the geometric mean of the individual annual forward rates:
SN = [(1 + S1)(1 + 1y1y)(1 + 2y1y)…(1 + Ny1y)] 1/N – 1
and the annualized forward rate for M – N periods, N periods from now is:
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FORMULAS
for an annual-coupon bond with N years to maturity:
(Bond value at last coupon date based on the current YTM) × (1+ YTM/#)t/T
where # is the number of coupon periods per year, t is the number of days from the
last coupon payment date until the date the bond trade will settle, and T is the number
of days in the coupon period.
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annual modified duration × full bond price per 100 of par value
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