Rockboro Machine Tools Corporation: Source: Author Estimates
Rockboro Machine Tools Corporation: Source: Author Estimates
Rockboro Machine Tools Corporation: Source: Author Estimates
Projected
2012 2013 2014 2015
Projected
2013 2014 2015
Projected
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Three-month Treasury bill 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 1.2%
10-year Treasury note yie 2.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9%
AAA corporate bond rate 4.6% 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 3.8% 4.6%
2004 2014
Shares Percentage Shares Percentage
Note: The investor-relations department identified these categories from company records.
The type of institutional investor was identified from promotional materials stating the
investment goals of the institutions. The type of individual investor was identified from a
survey of subsamples of investors.
Source: Author estimates.
Exhibit 5
Rockboro Machine Tools Corporation
Per-Share Financial & Stock Data1
Shares
Sales/ Stock price Average PayoutDividendoutstanding
Year share EPS2 DPS2 CPS2 High Low Avg. P/E ratio yield (millions)
2000 $ 16.12 $ 1.19 $ 0.37 $ 2.03 ### ### ### 12.5 31% 2.5% 23.4
2001 15.00 1.28 0.39 2.14 21.23 8.20 13.50 10.5 30% 2.9% 24.1
2002 15.23 0.45 0.40 1.17 18.50 10.18 13.35 29.7 89% 3.0% 26.8
2003 16.37 0.86 0.42 1.65 22.48 12.17 18.36 21.3 49% 2.3% 27.1
2004 21.08 1.27 0.45 2.13 23.84 18.01 21.00 16.5 35% 2.1% 27.6
2005 24.93 1.90 0.47 2.86 26.70 18.25 22.73 12.0 25% 2.1% 28.0
2006 30.10 2.67 0.51 3.75 34.34 22.75 30.31 11.4 19% 1.7% 28.1
2007 34.59 3.07 0.59 4.22 44.13 32.66 38.29 12.5 19% 1.5% 28.2
2008 37.80 3.24 0.64 4.41 46.73 20.81 36.58 11.3 20% 1.7% 28.3
2009 26.61 0.75 0.64 1.52 33.00 15.52 25.07 33.4 85% 2.6% 28.0
2010 31.82 1.03 0.64 1.92 20.31 14.16 17.03 16.5 62% 3.8% 28.1
2011 41.94 1.29 0.64 2.04 18.42 13.36 16.27 12.6 50% 3.9% 28.1
2012 45.49 (3.25) 0.64 2.86 16.82 12.74 14.50 nmf nmf 4.4% 28.3
2013 43.25 0.69 0.64 1.99 13.30 9.28 11.26 16.3 93% 5.7% 28.3
2014 40.68 (7.57) 0.32 (0.97) 14.03 11.85 13.00 nmf nmf 2.5% 27.9
1
Adjusted for 3-for-2 stock split in January 2005.
2
EPS = earnings per share; DPS = dividend per share; CPS = cash earnings per share
nmf = not a meaningful figure
Rockboro Machine Tools Corp. 1,135 −1.5% 15.0% nmf 0% 28.4% 34.3% nmf
Zero-Payout Companies
AutoZone Auto parts 38.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 19.7
Popeyes Fried chicken fast food 21.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.5% 28.8
Manhatttan Assoc Supply chain IT 27.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 50.1
Biogen Biotechnology 27.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 16.6
Sirius XM Entertainment radio 26.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 26.4
Amazon.com, Inc. Online retail 15.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 17.5% nmf
1
A master limited partnership (MLP) paid no corporate taxes. All income taxes were paid by shareholders on their share of taxable earnings.
Exhibit 8
Rockboro Machine Tools Corporation
Projected Sources-and-Uses Statement Assuming a 40% Payout Ratio (in millions of dollars)¹
Assumptions: 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Sales Growth Rate: 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15%
Net Income as % of Sales 2.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.5%
Dividend Payout Ratio 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Projections Total
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2015–21
Sales $1,305 $1,501 $1,726 $1,985 $2,283 $2,625 $3,019 $14,444
Sources:
Net income 27.0 60.0 86.3 109.2 137.0 170.6 196.2 786.4
Depreciation 33.9 39.0 44.9 51.6 59.4 68.3 78.5 375.6
Total 61.0 99.1 131.2 160.8 196.3 238.9 274.7 1,161.9
Uses:
Capital expend. 65.3 75.0 86.3 99.3 102.7 118.1 135.9 682.6
Change in working capital 29.3 33.6 38.7 44.5 51.2 58.8 67.7 323.7
Total 94.5 108.7 125.0 143.7 153.9 177.0 203.5 1,006.3
Excess cash/(borrowing needs) (33.6) (9.6) 6.2 17.1 42.4 61.9 71.2 155.7
Dividend 5.4 12.0 17.3 21.8 27.4 34.1 39.2 157.3
After dividend
Excess cash/(borrowing needs) ($39.0) ($21.6) ($11.1) ($4.8) $15.0 $27.8 $32.0 ($1.6)
Beginning Debt $ 120 $ 159.4 $ 181.0 $ 192.1 $ 196.8 $ 181.8 ### $ 122.0
Beginning Equity 424 445 493 563 650 759 896 1053
Debt/Equity Ratio 28.4% 35.8% 36.7% 34.1% 30.3% 23.9% 17.2% 11.6%
¹This analysis ignores the effects of borrowing on interest expense.