Fighting For Our Future: College Republicans: Anything But "Astroturf "
Fighting For Our Future: College Republicans: Anything But "Astroturf "
Fighting For Our Future: College Republicans: Anything But "Astroturf "
FALL
Justin Zatkoff
Less than one month ago, we had a goal to recruit 300 College
National Field Director
Republicans to come to Virginia during the 96 hour GOTV drive. We are
extremely proud to report that as of October 5th, there are more than 409
College Republicans signed up from 10 different states to deploy into
Virginia to participate in the crucial 96 hour Get Out The Vote effort. This deployment effort is
completely unprecedented, and clearly illustrates the ability of the College Republicans to mobilize on
behalf of candidates and causes. No other Republican organization has been able to put an effort like this
together.
The Task Force is not only a bolstering force for a Republican victory in Virginia, it also gives these
hundreds of student activists an invaluable opportunity to experience state politics firsthand. The
infusion of young volunteers will be a boon for the campaign as these future leaders of America get their
hands dirty knocking on doors to get the vote out for Bob McDonnell. This election will see these
young adults start on a lifelong path championing fiscal responibility, morality, and patriotism. The
College Republicans are unique among Republican volunteer-oriented groups for putting this kind of
emphasis on the crucial off-year gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia. We’re proud of our
unprecedented deployment effort, and we are excited to report on our successes in Virginia following the
November, 3rd election.
Left: College Republican State Chair,
Kate Maxwell pictured with Chairman of
the Republican Party of Virginia Pat
Mullins and Molly Newcomb of UVA.
Below: Virginia Tech CRs phone banking
for Ken Cuccinelli.
Public polling for the Virginia and New Jersey races indicate that
Republicans have reason to be hopeful about the possibility of recapturing
both seats from the Democrats. The races appear to share much in
common with the 1993 elections, which served as an early bellwether for
Brandon Greife Republicans regaining control of Congress. In 1993, with Americans
Political Director outraged over tax increases and a host of welfare entitlement programs
passed under years of Democratic rule, conservative and independent
voters led a massive shift toward Republican leadership. The possibility of a
similar pendulum swing, which led to net gains of 54 seats in the House of Representatives and 8 seats in the
Senate, should create optimism amongst Republicans.
In New Jersey, the race between incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine and Republican challenger Chris
Christie provides reason for enthusiasm tempered by a word of caution. A September Rasmussen poll shows
that Christie holds a 7 point lead over Corzine by a margin of 48% to 41%. However, this represents a
smaller lead than he carried for much of the summer when Corzine’s approval ratings reached a low of 35%.
These numbers are promising considering Democrats’ recent success in New Jersey. Obama won the
Garden State by a 15 point margin over Senator John McCain, continuing a trend which has not seen the
state go Republican in a presidential race since 1988. As Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth
University Polling Institute put it, “a Republican holding a steady poll lead is unprecedented in recent New
Jersey elections and this shouldn’t be discounted.” Helping to spark the shift has been the youth vote, where
Christie’s favorability ratings have seen marked improvements over the course of the summer. Our
continued efforts to attract the 18-29 demographic will be key in maintaining Christie’s lead going into the
homestretch of the campaign.
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The Virginia gubernatorial race between Republican Bob McDonnell and Democrat Creigh Deeds
also carries intrigue as Republicans hope to recapture the traditionally red state. The 2008 presidential
election was the first time since 1964 that Virginia failed to cast its electoral votes for a Republican. But has
the state been painted permanently blue or can the conservative foundation of the Old Dominion be
revived? The answer from early polls appears promising.
The most recent Rasmussen survey has McDonnell taking 51% of the vote while Deeds picking up
42%. There are many factors that may explain the possibility of putting the brakes on recent Democratic
momentum. The growing discontent with the Democratic health care plan, the public’s innate desire to
balance the power of the White House, or Virginia’s fiscally conservative roots. However, the growing
conservatism of Virginia’s youth should not be discounted. In the latest Survey USA poll, McDonnell led the
youth demographic 48% to 47% over Deeds. Although the 1% margin doesn’t appear staggering, it
represents a sea change compared to the 2008 presidential election when Obama won the youth vote by a
staggering 60% to 39% margin. For McDonnell to have the lead among the group is an incredible shift from
less than a year ago and a positive sign for the future of the party in the state. Consider the following data
gathered from a Survey USA poll:
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With the youth on their side and independents in their corner, Republicans are hopeful they can
translate their ideological momentum into electoral success in New Jersey and Virginia. Dissatisfied with the
liberal agenda and concerned with the size and direction of our government, youth are leading the drive
back to the Republican Party. With continued support they can make their first mark in 2009 and lay the
groundwork for the mid-term elections in 2010.- Brandon
Brandon is the new political director and can be reached via email at bgreife@crnc.org.