TEST CODE 02105020

FORM TP 2015136 MAY/JUNE 2015

CARIBBEAN E XAM I NAT I O N S COUNCIL

CARIBBEAN ADVANCED PROFICIENCY EXAMINATION®

APPLIED MATHEMATICS

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

UNIT 1 – Paper 02

2 hours 30 minutes

14 MAY 2015 (p.m.)

This examination paper consists of THREE sections: Collecting and Describing Data, Managing
Uncertainty, Analysing and Interpreting Data.

Each section consists of 2 questions.

5136

The maximum mark for each section is 50.

The maximum mark for this examination is 150.
This examination consists of 11 printed pages and 2 answer sheets for Question 2 (a) (iii) and (iv)
and Question 6 (b) (i)–(v).

READ THE FOLLOWING INSTRUCTIONS CAREFULLY.

1. Answer ALL questions from the THREE sections.

2. Unless otherwise stated in a question, all numerical answers MUST be

given exactly OR correct to three significant figures as appropriate.

Examination Materials

Mathematical formulae and tables (Revised 2010)

Electronic calculator
Ruler and graph paper

DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO.

127110

Copyright © 2013 Caribbean Examinations Council

All rights reserved.

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SECTION A

MODULE 1: COLLECTING AND DESCRIBING DATA

Answer BOTH questions.

1. (a) Choose the word from the brackets that describes the data in EACH of the following cases:

(i) The types of pastry sold at a restaurant. (quantitative, qualitative) [1 mark]

(ii) The weight of a red snapper sold at a fish market. (quantitative, qualitative)
[1 mark]

(iii) The number of seats available at a concert hall. (discrete, continuous)

[1 mark]

(iv) The height of pea trees at six weeks old. (discrete, continuous) [1 mark]

(v) The number of kilowatt-hours of electricity used by a household in the last month.
(discrete, continuous) [1 mark]

(b) (i) Distinguish between a ‘census’ and a ‘sample survey’. [2 marks]

(ii) State TWO reasons why it may be necessary to take a sample. [2 marks]

(iii) For EACH of the following situations, state, with reason, whether it is a sample
survey or a census.

a) Every week a store calls 15 of the 40 persons who made purchases at the
store during the week to find out whether they were satisfied with the service
they received. [2 marks]

b) The management of High Street Appliance Store called all of the 5 persons
who bought stoves last week to find out if they were satisfied with the service
at the store. [2 marks]

(c) For EACH of the following, state an appropriate method of collecting data, either direct
observation or personal survey.

(i) The types of cars entering a particular car park between 9:00 a.m. and 11:00 a.m.
[1 mark]

(ii) The types of cellphones owned by persons [1 mark]

(iii) The types of radio programmes that persons listen to [1 mark]

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(d) A construction company employs 5 engineers, 10 electricians, 45 masons, 30 carpenters,

10 plumbers and 25 labourers.

(i) Using the stratified random method of sampling, calculate the number of masons
that will be in a sample of 25 of these employees. [3 marks]

(ii) State ONE advantage of using the stratified random method for collecting this
sample. [1 mark]

(iii) In a questionnaire given to the employees, the following question was asked:

“How often do you buy lunch at the work site or do you bring lunch from home
every day?”

a) State ONE reason why this is not a suitable question. [1 mark]

b) Rewrite the question in a more suitable manner. [4 marks]

Total 25 marks

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2. (a) The following table shows the distribution of the daily profit, in dollars, that a vendor made
by selling sweets to children at a school during the lunch session over a 90-day period.

Profit Number of Days

(dollars)

30–44 16

45–59 30

60–74 21

75–89 11

90–104 12

(i) State ONE disadvantage of displaying data in groups. [1 mark]

(ii) Determine the size of the third class. [2 marks]

Using the graph paper provided, draw a histogram to show this information.
(iii)
[3 marks]

(iv) Use the histogram drawn in (a) (iii) above to estimate the mode of the
distribution. [3 marks]

(v) Calculate an estimate of the mean profit that the vendor made over the 90-day
period. [5 marks]

(vi) Calculate an estimate of the standard deviation of the profit made by the vendor
over the 90-day period. [4 marks]

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(b) The following pie chart, not drawn to scale, shows how a sample of students travel to
school. (The number of students are indicated in brackets.)

(i) Determine the total number of students in the sample. [3 marks]

(ii) Determine the size of the angle that represents the sector of bicycles. [2 marks]

(iii) Calculate the number of students who walk to school. [2 marks]

Total 25 marks

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SECTION B

MODULE 2: MANAGING UNCERTAINTY

Answer BOTH questions.

3. (a) At a cafeteria it is noted that 50% of the patrons buy French fries, and 45% buy macaroni
cheese. 32% of those who buy French fries, also buy macaroni cheese.

(i) Calculate the probability that a patron chosen at random buys

a) both French fries and macaroni cheese [2 marks]

b) French fries only. [2 marks]

(ii) Draw a FULLY labelled Venn diagram to show the information in (i) above.
[3 marks]

(iii) State the probability that a patron buys neither French fries nor macaroni
cheese. [1 mark]

(b) A sample of 90 persons was asked to identify his or her favourite soft drink. The results
are shown in the following table.

Male Female

Coco-Cola 18 10

Pepsi-Cola 20 16

Ginger ale 12 14

What is the probability that a person chosen at random from the sample

(i) is a female? [2 marks]

(ii) prefers Pepsi-Cola? [2 marks]

(iii) likes Ginger ale and is a male? [2 marks]

(iv) prefers Coco-Cola given that the person is a female? [3 marks]

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(c) A bag of sweets contains eight coffee flavoured toffees and six vanilla flavoured toffees, all
identical except for flavour. Three toffees are randomly selected, without replacement,
from the bag.

(i) List ALL the possible selections of flavours that could be made. [3 marks]

(ii) Given that the first toffee selected was coffee flavoured, what is the probability
that the second toffee selected will also be coffee flavoured? [2 marks]

(iii) Calculate the probability that EXACTLY two of the three toffees selected will be
vanilla flavoured. [3 marks]

Total 25 marks

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4. (a) An editorial team was examining the pages of a book for grammatical errors. The number
of errors on each page was recorded in the following table.

Number of Errors Found 0 1 2 3 4 5

Number of Pages 58 74 98 65 35 20

Let X denote the number of errors found on a page.

(i) Prepare a probability distribution table to show this information. (Give your answer
to 3 decimal places.) [3 marks]

(ii) Calculate P(2 < X < 4). [3 marks]

(iii) Calculate the expected number of errors per page. [3 marks]

(b) A small business has 10 telephone lines. It is estimated that the probability that a line is
engaged at any moment is 0.3. Given that Y is the number of telephone lines that will be
engaged at any moment, and assuming that the use of any line is independent of all others:

(i) Name the distribution of Y, and state its parameters. [3 marks]

(ii) Calculate the probability that at any moment

a) EXACTLY 4 lines will be engaged [3 marks]

b) AT LEAST 1 line will be engaged. [3 marks]

(c) The results of a statistics examination follow an approximate normal distribution with a
mean of 68 and a standard deviation of 8. Grade A is awarded to students who score more
than 82.

Determine the percentage of students who will get a Grade A. [7 marks]

Total 25 marks

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SECTION C

MODULE 3: ANALYSING AND INTERPRETING DATA

Answer BOTH questions.

5. (a) The value of the sales invoices of a store follows a normal distribution with a known
variance. A random sample of 60 sales invoices was taken from this population. A 95%
confidence interval for the population mean µ was given as 14.06 < µ < 19.54.

Calculate

(i) the width of the interval [2 marks]

(ii) the mean of the sample [2 marks]

(iii) the standard deviation of the value of the sales invoice. [3 marks]

The random variable X is such that E[X] = 25 and Var[X] = 144. Samples of size 81 are
(b)
taken from X.

–
(i) State the approximate distribution modelled by X, giving its parameters.
[3 marks]
–
(ii) Calculate P(X < 28). [5 marks]

(c) The mass of packages of spice from a packaging machine is normally distributed with a
mean of 48 grams and a standard deviation of 2.3 grams. After repairs to the machine, a
sample of 49 packages taken from the machine gave a mean of 47.2 grams. The standard
deviation remained the same.

(i) State null and alternative hypotheses, using statistical symbols to test whether the
mean mass has changed. [2 marks]

(ii) Determine the critical region(s) of the test, if the test is conducted at the 4%
significant level. [3 marks]

(iii) Calculate the value of the test statistic used in this test. [3 marks]

(iv) Clearly state the conclusion of the test. [2 marks]

Total 25 marks

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6. (a)
For EACH of the following pairs of bivariate data, determine which variable is the
independent variable.

(i) The income of a family
The monthly rent paid [1 mark]

(ii) The advertising expense of a company
The sales of a company [1 mark]

(iii) The damage done to a certain home after a hurricane
The amount of money spent in repairs to a certain home after a hurricane
[1 mark]

(b) A company, in changing some of its machines, had to train its operators to use these new
machines. The following table shows the age, in years, of the operators and the length of
time, in days, that it took to train these persons.

Age (years) (x) 18 20 21 27 23 34 42 38 44

Length of Training 3 5 6 8 7 11 10 9 12
Required (days) (y)

Use the graph paper provided to plot these values in a scatter diagram.
(i)
[3 marks]

(ii)
Calculate the mean age of the operators and the mean number of days required for
training. (Give the answers correct to the NEAREST whole number.)
[3 marks]

(iii) – –y) on the scatter diagram.

Plot the point (x, [1 mark]

(iv) The regression line of y on x generated from this data is given by

y = – 0.05 + 0.27x.

Draw this line on the same graph as the scatter diagram. [3 marks]

(v)
A new operator is brought on for work. If the person is 22 years old, use the
regression line to estimate the number of days that will be required for training
this person. (Give the answer correct to the NEAREST whole number.)
[2 marks]

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(c) The following table summarizes the examination grades for students from three schools,
A, B and C. A chi-squared test is carried out to determine whether there is an association
between the grade received and the school which the student attended.

Grade
School
I II III F

A 12 16 20 8

B 10 14 11 15

C 9 12 16 22

(i) State appropriate null and alternate hypotheses for this test. [2 marks]

(ii) Determine the critical value of the test at the 5% level of significance.
[3 marks]

(iii) Calculate the expected number of students who attended School B and received a
Grade II. [3 marks]

(iv) The calculated chi-squared test value is 9.1625. Clearly state the conclusion that
may be drawn from this test. [2 marks]

Total 25 marks

END OF TEST

IF YOU FINISH BEFORE TIME IS CALLED, CHECK YOUR WORK ON THIS TEST.

02105020/CAPE 2015
 TEST CODE 02105020
FORM TP 2015136 MAY/JUNE 2015

CARIBBEAN E XAM I NAT I O N S COUNCIL

CARIBBEAN ADVANCED PROFICIENCY EXAMINATION®

APPLIED MATHEMATICS

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

UNIT 1 – Paper 02

Graph Sheet for Question 2 (a) (iii) and (iv) Candidate Number .............................................

ATTACH THIS ANSWER SHEET TO YOUR ANSWER BOOKLET

02105020/CAPE 2015