Excel Modul 1

SANDAL GUNUNG
Periode 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Permintaan 25742 29539 29967 23849 21792 26955 28043 25643 22415 21024 23497 21915
Periode 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Permintaan 28394 22858 27124 26835 26540 27122 25179 23241 25097 25177 24054 27754
Perm inta an Produk

Sandal Gunung
Bulan Unit Bulan Unit
17-Dec 25742 18-Dec 28394 30000
Permintaan Sandal Gunung PT. YS
29967
29539
18-Jan 29539 19-Jan 22858
28394
18-Feb 29967 19-Feb 27124 28000 28043 27754
26955 27124
26835 27122
18-Mar 23849 19-Mar 26835 26540
26000 25742 25643
18-Apr 21792 19-Apr 26540 25179 25097
25177
18-May 26955 19-May 27122 24000 23849
23497
24054
23241
18-Jun 28043 19-Jun 25179 22415
22858
22000 21792 21915
18-Jul 25643 19-Jul 23241 21024
18-Aug 22415 19-Aug 25097 20000
y May
18- N ov19- N ov
r Mar
18- A pr19- A pr
18- F e b19- F e b
18-S e p19-S e p
17-De c18-De c
18- O ct19- O ct
18-Ja n19-Ja n
18-Jun19-Jun
18-A ug19-A ug
18-Jul 19-Jul
18-Sep 21024 19-Sep 25177
18- M a19-
18- M a 19-
18-Oct 23497 19-Oct 24054 Periode Permintaan
18-Nov 21915 19-Nov 27754
SEPATU GUNUNG
Periode 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Permintaan \
Periode 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Permintaan
Perm intaa n Produk
SEPATU GUNUNG
Bulan Unit Bulan Unit
17-Dec 17888 18-Dec 16346 24000
Permintaan Sandal Gunung PT. YS
18-Jan 20766 19-Jan 20282
18-Feb 17710 19-Feb 15999 22000 21991
18-Mar 15684 19-Mar 18560 20766

20282
20000
18-Apr 15529 19-Apr 18148 19254
19014 18974
19472 19549
18618 18560 18709
18-May 18618 19-May 16495 18000 17888 17710 17851
17851 18148 18013
17445
18-Jun 19254 19-Jun 18974 16346 16495
16000 15999
18-Jul 19014 19-Jul 18013 15684
15529 15765
18-Aug 21991 19-Aug 19472 14000

r Mar
y May
18- N ov19- N ov
18- O ct19- O ct
18-A pr19-A pr
18-F e b19-F e b
18-S e p19-S e p
17-D ec18-D ec
18- Ja n19- Ja n
18- Jun19- Jun
18-A ug19-A ug
18- Jul 19- Jul
18-Sep 17851 19-Sep 17445

18- M a 19-
18- M a 19-
18-Oct 17851 19-Oct 18709 Periode Permintaan
18-Nov 15765 19-Nov 19549

Single Exponential Smoothing Sandal Gunung
α= 0.1
Bulan Demand A(t) F(t) e(t) |e(t)| ∑ e(t) ∑ |e(t)| e(t)2 ∑ e(t)2 MAD MSD TS Bias BKA BKB
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4 Tracking Signal Metode SES
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000 4 -4
4.000
3 2 29967 26121.700 3845.300 3845.300 7642.300 7642.300 14786332.090 29203541.090 3821.150 14601770.545 2.000 3821.150 4 -4
4 3 23849 26506.230 -2657.230 2657.230 4985.070 10299.530 7060871.273 36264412.363 3433.177 12088137.454 1.452 1661.690 4 -4 3.000
5 4 21792 26240.507 -4448.507 4448.507 536.563 14748.037 19789214.529 56053626.892 3687.009 14013406.723 0.146 134.141 4 -4
6 5 26955 25795.656 1159.344 1159.344 1695.907 15907.381 1344077.815 57397704.707 3181.476 11479540.941 0.533 339.181 4 -4 2.000
7 6 28043 25911.591 2131.409 2131.409 3827.316 18038.790 4542905.732 61940610.439 3006.465 10323435.073 1.273 637.886 4 -4
1.000
8 7 25643 26124.732 -481.732 481.732 3345.584 18520.522 232065.337 62172675.776 2645.789 8881810.825 1.264 477.941 4 -4
9 8 22415 26076.558 -3661.558 3661.558 -315.974 22182.080 13407010.229 75579686.005 2772.760 9447460.751 -0.114 -39.497 4 -4 0.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
10 9 21024 25710.403 -4686.403 4686.403 -5002.377 26868.483 21962369.315 97542055.320 2985.387 10838006.147 -1.676 -555.820 4 -4
11 10 23497 25241.762 -1744.762 1744.762 -6747.139 28613.245 3044195.618 100586250.938 2861.325 10058625.094 -2.358 -674.714 4 -4 -1.000
12 11 21915 25067.286 -3152.286 3152.286 -9899.425 31765.531 9936907.686 110523158.624 2887.776 10047559.875 -3.428 -899.948 4 -4
-2.000
13 12 28394 24752.057 3641.943 3641.943 -6257.483 35407.474 13263745.215 123786903.839 2950.623 10315575.320 -2.121 -521.457 4 -4
14 13 22858 25116.252 -2258.252 2258.252 -8515.734 37665.725 5099700.943 128886604.782 2897.363 9914354.214 -2.939 -655.056 4 -4 -3.000
15 14 27124 24890.427 2233.573 2233.573 -6282.161 39899.299 4988850.266 133875455.048 2849.950 9562532.503 -2.204 -448.726 4 -4
-4.000
16 15 26835 25113.784 1721.216 1721.216 -4560.945 41620.515 2962584.817 136838039.865 2774.701 9122535.991 -1.644 -304.063 4 -4
17 16 26540 25285.906 1254.094 1254.094 -3306.850 42874.609 1572752.960 138410792.825 2679.663 8650674.552 -1.234 -206.678 4 -4 TS
18 17 27122 25411.315 1710.685 1710.685 -1596.165 44585.294 2926443.273 141337236.097 2622.664 8313955.065 -0.609 -93.892 4 -4
19 18 25179 25582.383 -403.383 403.383 -1999.549 44988.678 162718.226 141499954.324 2499.371 7861108.574 -0.800 -111.086 4 -4
20 19 23241 25542.045 -2301.045 2301.045 -4300.594 47289.723 5294808.670 146794762.993 2488.933 7726040.158 -1.728 -226.347 4 -4
21 20 25097 25311.941 -214.941 214.941 -4515.534 47504.664 46199.467 146840962.460 2375.233 7342048.123 -1.901 -225.777 4 -4
22 21 25177 25290.447 -113.447 113.447 -4628.981 47618.110 12870.120 146853832.580 2267.529 6993039.647 -2.041 -220.428 4 -4
23 22 24054 25279.102 -1225.102 1225.102 -5854.083 48843.212 1500874.657 148354707.237 2220.146 6743395.784 -2.637 -266.095 4 -4
24 23 27754 25156.592 2597.408 2597.408 -3256.675 51440.620 6746529.841 155101237.079 2236.549 6743532.047 -1.456 -141.595 4 -4
25 25416.333 Cacat 5% 26754.034
α= 0.2
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000 4 -4
3 2 29967 26501.400 3465.600 3465.600 7262.600 7262.600 12010383.360 26427592.360 3631.300 13213796.180 2.000 3631.300 4 -4
4 3 23849 27194.520 -3345.520 3345.520 3917.080 10608.120 11192504.070 37620096.430 3536.040 12540032.143 1.108 1305.693 4 -4
5 4 21792 26525.416 -4733.416 4733.416 -816.336 15341.536 22405227.029 60025323.459 3835.384 15006330.865 -0.213 -204.084 4 -4
6 5 26955 25578.733 1376.267 1376.267 559.931 16717.803 1894111.406 61919434.865 3343.561 12383886.973 0.167 111.986 4 -4
7 6 28043 25853.986 2189.014 2189.014 2748.945 18906.817 4791781.241 66711216.107 3151.136 11118536.018 0.872 458.157 4 -4
8 7 25643 26291.789 -648.789 648.789 2100.156 19555.606 420927.156 67132143.263 2793.658 9590306.180 0.752 300.022 4 -4
9 8 22415 26162.031 -3747.031 3747.031 -1646.875 23302.637 14040242.766 81172386.029 2912.830 10146548.254 -0.565 -205.859 4 -4
10 9 21024 25412.625 -4388.625 4388.625 -6035.500 27691.262 19260028.995 100432415.023 3076.807 11159157.225 -1.962 -670.611 4 -4
11 10 23497 24534.900 -1037.900 1037.900 -7073.400 28729.162 1077236.335 101509651.358 2872.916 10150965.136 -2.462 -707.340 4 -4
12 11 21915 24327.320 -2412.320 2412.320 -9485.720 31141.482 5819287.643 107328939.001 2831.044 9757176.273 -3.351 -862.338 4 -4
13 12 28394 23844.856 4549.144 4549.144 -4936.576 35690.626 20694711.343 128023650.344 2974.219 10668637.529 -1.660 -411.381 4 -4
14 13 22858 24754.685 -1896.685 1896.685 -6833.261 37587.311 3597413.160 131621063.505 2891.332 10124697.193 -2.363 -525.635 4 -4
15 14 27124 24375.348 2748.652 2748.652 -4084.609 40335.963 7555088.778 139176152.283 2881.140 9941153.734 -1.418 -291.758 4 -4
16 15 26835 24925.078 1909.922 1909.922 -2174.687 42245.885 3647801.052 142823953.335 2816.392 9521596.889 -0.772 -144.979 4 -4
17 16 26540 25307.063 1232.937 1232.937 -941.750 43478.822 1520134.612 144344087.947 2717.426 9021505.497 -0.347 -58.859 4 -4
18 17 27122 25553.650 1568.350 1568.350 626.600 45047.172 2459721.451 146803809.398 2649.834 8635518.200 0.236 36.859 4 -4
19 18 25179 25867.320 -688.320 688.320 -61.720 45735.492 473784.518 147277593.916 2540.861 8182088.551 -0.024 -3.429 4 -4
20 19 23241 25729.656 -2488.656 2488.656 -2550.376 48224.148 6193408.962 153471002.878 2538.113 8077421.204 -1.005 -134.230 4 -4
21 20 25097 25231.925 -134.925 134.925 -2685.301 48359.073 18204.714 153489207.592 2417.954 7674460.380 -1.111 -134.265 4 -4
22 21 25177 25204.940 -27.940 27.940 -2713.240 48387.013 780.637 153489988.228 2304.143 7309047.058 -1.178 -129.202 4 -4
23 22 24054 25199.352 -1145.352 1145.352 -3858.592 49532.365 1311830.976 154801819.204 2251.471 7036446.327 -1.714 -175.391 4 -4
24 23 27754 24970.282 2783.718 2783.718 -1074.874 52316.083 7749088.574 162550907.778 2274.612 7067430.773 -0.473 -46.734 4 -4
25 25527.025 Cacat 5% 26870.553
α= 0.3
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000 4 -4
3 2 29967 26881.100 3085.900 3085.900 6882.900 6882.900 9522778.810 23939987.810 3441.450 11969993.905 2.000 3441.450 4 -4
4 3 23849 27806.870 -3957.870 3957.870 2925.030 10840.770 15664734.937 39604722.747 3613.590 13201574.249 0.809 975.010 4 -4
5 4 21792 26619.509 -4827.509 4827.509 -1902.479 15668.279 23304843.145 62909565.892 3917.070 15727391.473 -0.486 -475.620 4 -4
6 5 26955 25171.256 1783.744 1783.744 -118.735 17452.023 3181741.587 66091307.479 3490.405 13218261.496 -0.034 -23.747 4 -4
7 6 28043 25706.379 2336.621 2336.621 2217.885 19788.643 5459795.782 71551103.261 3298.107 11925183.877 0.672 369.648 4 -4
8 7 25643 26407.366 -764.366 764.366 1453.520 20553.009 584254.751 72135358.011 2936.144 10305051.144 0.495 207.646 4 -4
9 8 22415 26178.056 -3763.056 3763.056 -2309.536 24316.065 14160589.789 86295947.800 3039.508 10786993.475 -0.760 -288.692 4 -4
10 9 21024 25049.139 -4025.139 4025.139 -6334.675 28341.204 16201745.077 102497692.877 3149.023 11388632.542 -2.012 -703.853 4 -4
11 10 23497 23841.597 -344.597 344.597 -6679.273 28685.801 118747.366 102616440.243 2868.580 10261644.024 -2.328 -667.927 4 -4
12 11 21915 23738.218 -1823.218 1823.218 -8502.491 30509.019 3324124.523 105940564.765 2773.547 9630960.433 -3.066 -772.954 4 -4
13 12 28394 23191.253 5202.747 5202.747 -3299.744 35711.767 27068579.216 133009143.981 2975.981 11084095.332 -1.109 -274.979 4 -4
14 13 22858 24752.077 -1894.077 1894.077 -5193.821 37605.844 3587527.329 136596671.311 2892.757 10507436.255 -1.795 -399.525 4 -4
15 14 27124 24183.854 2940.146 2940.146 -2253.674 40545.990 8644459.472 145241130.783 2896.142 10374366.484 -0.778 -160.977 4 -4
16 15 26835 25065.898 1769.102 1769.102 -484.572 42315.092 3129723.003 148370853.786 2821.006 9891390.252 -0.172 -32.305 4 -4
17 16 26540 25596.628 943.372 943.372 458.800 43258.464 889950.015 149260803.801 2703.654 9328800.238 0.170 28.675 4 -4
18 17 27122 25879.640 1242.360 1242.360 1701.160 44500.824 1543458.704 150804262.505 2617.696 8870838.971 0.650 100.068 4 -4
19 18 25179 26252.348 -1073.348 1073.348 627.812 45574.172 1152075.727 151956338.232 2531.898 8442018.791 0.248 34.878 4 -4
20 19 23241 25930.344 -2689.344 2689.344 -2061.532 48263.515 7232568.644 159188906.876 2540.185 8378363.520 -0.812 -108.502 4 -4
21 20 25097 25123.540 -26.540 26.540 -2088.072 48290.056 704.397 159189611.273 2414.503 7959480.564 -0.865 -104.404 4 -4
22 21 25177 25115.578 61.422 61.422 -2026.651 48351.478 3772.621 159193383.894 2302.451 7580637.328 -0.880 -96.507 4 -4
23 22 24054 25134.005 -1080.005 1080.005 -3106.655 49431.482 1166410.438 160359794.332 2246.886 7289081.561 -1.383 -141.212 4 -4
24 23 27754 24810.003 2943.997 2943.997 -162.659 52375.479 8667116.084 169026910.415 2277.195 7348996.105 -0.071 -7.072 4 -4
25 25693.202 Cacat 5% 27045.476
α= 0.4
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000 4 -4
3 2 29967 27260.800 2706.200 2706.200 6503.200 6503.200 7323518.440 21740727.440 3251.600 10870363.720 2.000 3251.600 4 -4
4 3 23849 28343.280 -4494.280 4494.280 2008.920 10997.480 20198552.718 41939280.158 3665.827 13979760.053 0.548 669.640 4 -4
5 4 21792 26545.568 -4753.568 4753.568 -2744.648 15751.048 22596408.731 64535688.889 3937.762 16133922.222 -0.697 -686.162 4 -4
6 5 26955 24644.141 2310.859 2310.859 -433.789 18061.907 5340070.242 69875759.131 3612.381 13975151.826 -0.120 -86.758 4 -4
7 6 28043 25568.484 2474.516 2474.516 2040.727 20536.423 6123227.059 75998986.190 3422.737 12666497.698 0.596 340.121 4 -4
8 7 25643 26558.291 -915.291 915.291 1125.436 21451.713 837757.044 76836743.234 3064.530 10976677.605 0.367 160.777 4 -4
9 8 22415 26192.174 -3777.174 3777.174 -2651.738 25228.888 14267046.545 91103789.778 3153.611 11387973.722 -0.841 -331.467 4 -4
10 9 21024 24681.305 -3657.305 3657.305 -6309.043 28886.192 13375877.286 104479667.064 3209.577 11608851.896 -1.966 -701.005 4 -4
11 10 23497 23218.383 278.617 278.617 -6030.426 29164.810 77627.550 104557294.615 2916.481 10455729.461 -2.068 -603.043 4 -4
12 11 21915 23329.830 -1414.830 1414.830 -7445.255 30579.639 2001743.004 106559037.619 2779.967 9687185.238 -2.678 -676.841 4 -4
13 12 28394 22763.898 5630.102 5630.102 -1815.153 36209.742 31698050.739 138257088.357 3017.478 11521424.030 -0.602 -151.263 4 -4
14 13 22858 25015.939 -2157.939 2157.939 -3973.092 38367.680 4656699.357 142913787.714 2951.360 10993368.286 -1.346 -305.622 4 -4
15 14 27124 24152.763 2971.237 2971.237 -1001.855 41338.917 8828248.066 151742035.780 2952.780 10838716.841 -0.339 -71.561 4 -4
16 15 26835 25341.258 1493.742 1493.742 491.887 42832.659 2231265.385 153973301.164 2855.511 10264886.744 0.172 32.792 4 -4
17 16 26540 25938.755 601.245 601.245 1093.132 43433.904 361495.844 154334797.009 2714.619 9645924.813 0.403 68.321 4 -4
18 17 27122 26179.253 942.747 942.747 2035.879 44376.651 888772.183 155223569.191 2610.391 9130798.188 0.780 119.758 4 -4
19 18 25179 26556.352 -1377.352 1377.352 658.528 45754.003 1897097.738 157120666.930 2541.889 8728925.941 0.259 36.585 4 -4
20 19 23241 26005.411 -2764.411 2764.411 -2105.883 48518.414 7641968.327 164762635.257 2553.601 8671717.645 -0.825 -110.836 4 -4
21 20 25097 24899.647 197.353 197.353 -1908.530 48715.768 38948.358 164801583.615 2435.788 8240079.181 -0.784 -95.427 4 -4
22 21 25177 24978.588 198.412 198.412 -1710.118 48914.180 39367.334 164840950.949 2329.247 7849569.093 -0.734 -81.434 4 -4
23 22 24054 25057.953 -1003.953 1003.953 -2714.071 49918.132 1007921.188 165848872.137 2269.006 7538585.097 -1.196 -123.367 4 -4
24 23 27754 24656.372 3097.628 3097.628 383.558 53015.761 9595301.276 175444173.413 2305.033 7628007.540 0.166 16.676 4 -4
25 25895.423 Cacat 5% 27258.340
α= 0.5
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000 4 -4
3 2 29967 27640.500 2326.500 2326.500 6123.500 6123.500 5412602.250 19829811.250 3061.750 9914905.625 2.000 3061.750 4 -4
4 3 23849 28803.750 -4954.750 4954.750 1168.750 11078.250 24549547.563 44379358.813 3692.750 14793119.604 0.316 389.583 4 -4
5 4 21792 26326.375 -4534.375 4534.375 -3365.625 15612.625 20560556.641 64939915.453 3903.156 16234978.863 -0.862 -841.406 4 -4
6 5 26955 24059.188 2895.813 2895.813 -469.813 18508.438 8385730.035 73325645.488 3701.688 14665129.098 -0.127 -93.963 4 -4
7 6 28043 25507.094 2535.906 2535.906 2066.094 21044.344 6430820.509 79756465.997 3507.391 13292744.333 0.589 344.349 4 -4
8 7 25643 26775.047 -1132.047 1132.047 934.047 22176.391 1281530.127 81037996.124 3168.056 11576856.589 0.295 133.435 4 -4
9 8 22415 26209.023 -3794.023 3794.023 -2859.977 25970.414 14394613.844 95432609.969 3246.302 11929076.246 -0.881 -357.497 4 -4
10 9 21024 24312.012 -3288.012 3288.012 -6147.988 29258.426 10811021.063 106243631.031 3250.936 11804847.892 -1.891 -683.110 4 -4
11 10 23497 22668.006 828.994 828.994 -5318.994 30087.420 687231.285 106930862.316 3008.742 10693086.232 -1.768 -531.899 4 -4
12 11 21915 23082.503 -1167.503 1167.503 -6486.497 31254.923 1363063.091 108293925.407 2841.357 9844902.310 -2.283 -589.682 4 -4
13 12 28394 22498.751 5895.249 5895.249 -591.249 37150.171 34753955.291 143047880.698 3095.848 11920656.725 -0.191 -49.271 4 -4
14 13 22858 25446.376 -2588.376 2588.376 -3179.624 39738.547 6699688.932 149747569.631 3056.811 11519043.818 -1.040 -244.586 4 -4
15 14 27124 24152.188 2971.812 2971.812 -207.812 42710.359 8831667.359 158579236.989 3050.740 11327088.356 -0.068 -14.844 4 -4
16 15 26835 25638.094 1196.906 1196.906 989.094 43907.265 1432584.133 160011821.122 2927.151 10667454.741 0.338 65.940 4 -4
17 16 26540 26236.547 303.453 303.453 1292.547 44210.718 92083.744 160103904.866 2763.170 10006494.054 0.468 80.784 4 -4
18 17 27122 26388.273 733.727 733.727 2026.273 44944.445 538354.601 160642259.467 2643.791 9449544.675 0.766 119.193 4 -4
19 18 25179 26755.137 -1576.137 1576.137 450.137 46520.582 2484207.028 163126466.495 2584.477 9062581.472 0.174 25.008 4 -4
20 19 23241 25967.068 -2726.068 2726.068 -2275.932 49246.650 7431448.762 170557915.258 2591.929 8976732.382 -0.878 -119.786 4 -4
21 20 25097 24604.034 492.966 492.966 -1782.966 49739.616 243015.294 170800930.552 2486.981 8540046.528 -0.717 -89.148 4 -4
22 21 25177 24850.517 326.483 326.483 -1456.483 50066.099 106591.089 170907521.641 2384.100 8138453.411 -0.611 -69.356 4 -4
23 22 24054 25013.759 -959.759 959.759 -2416.241 51025.857 921136.467 171828658.108 2319.357 7810393.550 -1.042 -109.829 4 -4
24 23 27754 24533.879 3220.121 3220.121 803.879 54245.978 10369177.495 182197835.603 2358.521 7921645.026 0.341 34.951 4 -4
25 26143.940 Cacat 5% 27519.936
α= 0.6
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000 4 -4
3 2 29967 28020.200 1946.800 1946.800 5743.800 5743.800 3790030.240 18207239.240 2871.900 9103619.620 2.000 2871.900 4 -4
4 3 23849 29188.280 -5339.280 5339.280 404.520 11083.080 28507910.918 46715150.158 3694.360 15571716.719 0.109 134.840 4 -4
5 4 21792 25984.712 -4192.712 4192.712 -3788.192 15275.792 17578833.915 64293984.073 3818.948 16073496.018 -0.992 -947.048 4 -4
6 5 26955 23469.085 3485.915 3485.915 -302.277 18761.707 12151604.782 76445588.855 3752.341 15289117.771 -0.081 -60.455 4 -4
7 6 28043 25560.634 2482.366 2482.366 2180.089 21244.073 6162141.355 82607730.210 3540.679 13767955.035 0.616 363.348 4 -4
8 7 25643 27050.054 -1407.054 1407.054 773.036 22651.127 1979799.743 84587529.953 3235.875 12083932.850 0.239 110.434 4 -4
9 8 22415 26205.821 -3790.821 3790.821 -3017.786 26441.948 14370327.093 98957857.046 3305.244 12369732.131 -0.913 -377.223 4 -4
10 9 21024 23931.329 -2907.329 2907.329 -5925.114 29349.277 8452559.419 107410416.465 3261.031 11934490.718 -1.817 -658.346 4 -4
11 10 23497 22186.931 1310.069 1310.069 -4615.046 30659.345 1716279.662 109126696.128 3065.935 10912669.613 -1.505 -461.505 4 -4
12 11 21915 22972.973 -1057.973 1057.973 -5673.018 31717.318 1119305.962 110246002.089 2883.393 10022363.826 -1.967 -515.729 4 -4
13 12 28394 22338.189 6055.811 6055.811 382.793 37773.129 36672846.522 146918848.611 3147.761 12243237.384 0.122 31.899 4 -4
14 13 22858 25971.676 -3113.676 3113.676 -2730.883 40886.805 9694975.813 156613824.425 3145.139 12047217.263 -0.868 -210.068 4 -4
15 14 27124 24103.470 3020.530 3020.530 289.647 43907.334 9123600.003 165737424.428 3136.238 11838387.459 0.092 20.689 4 -4
16 15 26835 25915.788 919.212 919.212 1208.859 44826.546 844950.521 166582374.949 2988.436 11105491.663 0.405 80.591 4 -4
17 16 26540 26467.315 72.685 72.685 1281.543 44899.231 5283.074 166587658.024 2806.202 10411728.626 0.457 80.096 4 -4
18 17 27122 26510.926 611.074 611.074 1892.617 45510.305 373411.317 166961069.340 2677.077 9821239.373 0.707 111.330 4 -4
19 18 25179 26877.570 -1698.570 1698.570 194.047 47208.875 2885141.534 169846210.874 2622.715 9435900.604 0.074 10.780 4 -4
20 19 23241 25858.428 -2617.428 2617.428 -2423.381 49826.304 6850930.253 176697141.127 2622.437 9299849.533 -0.924 -127.546 4 -4
21 20 25097 24287.971 809.029 809.029 -1614.352 50635.332 654527.486 177351668.613 2531.767 8867583.431 -0.638 -80.718 4 -4
22 21 25177 24773.389 403.611 403.611 -1210.741 51038.944 162902.236 177514570.849 2430.426 8453074.802 -0.498 -57.654 4 -4
23 22 24054 25015.555 -961.555 961.555 -2172.296 52000.499 924588.793 178439159.642 2363.659 8110870.893 -0.919 -98.741 4 -4
24 23 27754 24438.622 3315.378 3315.378 1143.081 55315.877 10991730.213 189430889.856 2405.038 8236125.646 0.475 49.699 4 -4
25 26427.849 Cacat 5% 27818.788
α= 0.7
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000 4 -4
3 2 29967 28399.900 1567.100 1567.100 5364.100 5364.100 2455802.410 16873011.410 2682.050 8436505.705 2.000 2682.050 4 -4
4 3 23849 29496.870 -5647.870 5647.870 -283.770 11011.970 31898435.537 48771446.947 3670.657 16257148.982 -0.077 -94.590 4 -4
5 4 21792 25543.361 -3751.361 3751.361 -4035.131 14763.331 14072709.352 62844156.299 3690.833 15711039.075 -1.093 -1008.783 4 -4
6 5 26955 22917.408 4037.592 4037.592 2.461 18800.923 16302146.736 79146303.035 3760.185 15829260.607 0.001 0.492 4 -4
7 6 28043 25743.722 2299.278 2299.278 2301.738 21100.200 5286677.068 84432980.103 3516.700 14072163.351 0.655 383.623 4 -4
8 7 25643 27353.217 -1710.217 1710.217 591.521 22810.417 2924841.322 87357821.425 3258.631 12479688.775 0.182 84.503 4 -4
9 8 22415 26156.065 -3741.065 3741.065 -3149.544 26551.482 13995567.515 101353388.939 3318.935 12669173.617 -0.949 -393.693 4 -4
10 9 21024 23537.320 -2513.320 2513.320 -5662.863 29064.801 6316774.945 107670163.885 3229.422 11963351.543 -1.754 -629.207 4 -4
11 10 23497 21777.996 1719.004 1719.004 -3943.859 30783.806 2954975.260 110625139.145 3078.381 11062513.915 -1.281 -394.386 4 -4
12 11 21915 22981.299 -1066.299 1066.299 -5010.158 31850.104 1136993.036 111762132.181 2895.464 10160193.835 -1.730 -455.469 4 -4
13 12 28394 22234.890 6159.110 6159.110 1148.953 38009.215 37934640.591 149696772.772 3167.435 12474731.064 0.363 95.746 4 -4
14 13 22858 26546.267 -3688.267 3688.267 -2539.314 41697.482 13603312.637 163300085.409 3207.499 12561545.031 -0.792 -195.332 4 -4
15 14 27124 23964.480 3159.520 3159.520 620.206 44857.002 9982566.211 173282651.620 3204.072 12377332.259 0.194 44.300 4 -4
16 15 26835 26176.144 658.856 658.856 1279.062 45515.858 434091.202 173716742.822 3034.391 11581116.188 0.422 85.271 4 -4
17 16 26540 26637.343 -97.343 97.343 1181.719 45613.201 9475.700 173726218.522 2850.825 10857888.658 0.415 73.857 4 -4
18 17 27122 26569.203 552.797 552.797 1734.516 46165.998 305584.565 174031803.088 2715.647 10237164.888 0.639 102.030 4 -4
19 18 25179 26956.161 -1777.161 1777.161 -42.645 47943.159 3158300.824 177190103.911 2663.509 9843894.662 -0.016 -2.369 4 -4
20 19 23241 25712.148 -2471.148 2471.148 -2513.794 50414.307 6106573.755 183296677.667 2653.385 9647193.561 -0.947 -132.305 4 -4
21 20 25097 23982.344 1114.656 1114.656 -1399.138 51528.962 1242456.928 184539134.595 2576.448 9226956.730 -0.543 -69.957 4 -4
22 21 25177 24762.603 414.397 414.397 -984.741 51943.359 171724.589 184710859.184 2473.493 8795755.199 -0.398 -46.892 4 -4
23 22 24054 25052.681 -998.681 998.681 -1983.422 52942.040 997363.746 185708222.930 2406.456 8441282.860 -0.824 -90.156 4 -4
24 23 27754 24353.604 3400.396 3400.396 1416.973 56342.436 11562690.910 197270913.840 2449.671 8576996.254 0.578 61.608 4 -4
25 26733.881 Cacat 5% 28140.928
α= 0.8
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000 4 -4
3 2 29967 28779.600 1187.400 1187.400 4984.400 4984.400 1409918.760 15827127.760 2492.200 7913563.880 2.000 2492.200 4 -4
4 3 23849 29729.520 -5880.520 5880.520 -896.120 10864.920 34580515.470 50407643.230 3621.640 16802547.743 -0.247 -298.707 4 -4
5 4 21792 25025.104 -3233.104 3233.104 -4129.224 14098.024 10452961.475 60860604.705 3524.506 15215151.176 -1.172 -1032.306 4 -4
6 5 26955 22438.621 4516.379 4516.379 387.155 18614.403 20397681.078 81258285.783 3722.881 16251657.157 0.104 77.431 4 -4
7 6 28043 26051.724 1991.276 1991.276 2378.431 20605.679 3965179.471 85223465.254 3434.280 14203910.876 0.693 396.405 4 -4
8 7 25643 27644.745 -2001.745 2001.745 376.686 22607.424 4006982.372 89230447.627 3229.632 12747206.804 0.117 53.812 4 -4
9 8 22415 26043.349 -3628.349 3628.349 -3251.663 26235.773 13164916.222 102395363.849 3279.472 12799420.481 -0.992 -406.458 4 -4
10 9 21024 23140.670 -2116.670 2116.670 -5368.333 28352.443 4480291.014 106875654.863 3150.271 11875072.763 -1.704 -596.481 4 -4
11 10 23497 21447.334 2049.666 2049.666 -3318.667 30402.109 4201130.881 111076785.744 3040.211 11107678.574 -1.092 -331.867 4 -4
12 11 21915 23087.067 -1172.067 1172.067 -4490.733 31574.175 1373740.564 112450526.308 2870.380 10222775.119 -1.565 -408.248 4 -4
13 12 28394 22149.413 6244.587 6244.587 1753.853 37818.762 38994862.325 151445388.633 3151.564 12620449.053 0.557 146.154 4 -4
14 13 22858 27145.083 -4287.083 4287.083 -2533.229 42105.845 18379077.834 169824466.467 3238.911 13063420.497 -0.782 -194.864 4 -4
15 14 27124 23715.417 3408.583 3408.583 875.354 45514.428 11618441.242 181442907.709 3251.031 12960207.694 0.269 62.525 4 -4
16 15 26835 26442.283 392.717 392.717 1268.071 45907.145 154226.401 181597134.110 3060.476 12106475.607 0.414 84.538 4 -4
17 16 26540 26756.457 -216.457 216.457 1051.614 46123.602 46853.486 181643987.596 2882.725 11352749.225 0.365 65.726 4 -4
18 17 27122 26583.291 538.709 538.709 1590.323 46662.310 290207.029 181934194.625 2744.842 10702011.449 0.579 93.548 4 -4
19 18 25179 27014.258 -1835.258 1835.258 -244.935 48497.569 3368172.905 185302367.530 2694.309 10294575.974 -0.091 -13.608 4 -4
20 19 23241 25546.052 -2305.052 2305.052 -2549.987 50802.620 5313263.124 190615630.654 2673.822 10032401.613 -0.954 -134.210 4 -4
21 20 25097 23702.010 1394.990 1394.990 -1154.997 52197.610 1945996.178 192561626.832 2609.880 9628081.342 -0.443 -57.750 4 -4
22 21 25177 24818.002 358.998 358.998 -795.999 52556.608 128879.517 192690506.348 2502.696 9175738.398 -0.318 -37.905 4 -4
23 22 24054 25105.200 -1051.200 1051.200 -1847.200 53607.808 1105022.309 193795528.657 2436.719 8808887.666 -0.758 -83.964 4 -4
24 23 27754 24264.240 3489.760 3489.760 1642.560 57097.568 12178424.281 205973952.938 2482.503 8955389.258 0.662 71.416 4 -4
25 27056.048 Cacat 5% 28480.051
α= 0.9
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000 4 -4
3 2 29967 29159.300 807.700 807.700 4604.700 4604.700 652379.290 15069588.290 2302.350 7534794.145 2.000 2302.350 4 -4
4 3 23849 29886.230 -6037.230 6037.230 -1432.530 10641.930 36448146.073 51517734.363 3547.310 17172578.121 -0.404 -477.510 4 -4
5 4 21792 24452.723 -2660.723 2660.723 -4093.253 13302.653 7079446.883 58597181.246 3325.663 14649295.311 -1.231 -1023.313 4 -4
6 5 26955 22058.072 4896.928 4896.928 803.675 18199.581 23979900.899 82577082.145 3639.916 16515416.429 0.221 160.735 4 -4
7 6 28043 26465.307 1577.693 1577.693 2381.367 19777.273 2489114.477 85066196.621 3296.212 14177699.437 0.722 396.895 4 -4
8 7 25643 27885.231 -2242.231 2242.231 139.137 22019.504 5027598.615 90093795.236 3145.643 12870542.177 0.044 19.877 4 -4
9 8 22415 25867.223 -3452.223 3452.223 -3313.086 25471.727 11917844.141 102011639.377 3183.966 12751454.922 -1.041 -414.136 4 -4
10 9 21024 22760.222 -1736.222 1736.222 -5049.309 27207.950 3014467.900 105026107.277 3023.106 11669567.475 -1.670 -561.034 4 -4
11 10 23497 21197.622 2299.378 2299.378 -2749.931 29507.327 5287138.126 110313245.403 2950.733 11031324.540 -0.932 -274.993 4 -4
12 11 21915 23267.062 -1352.062 1352.062 -4101.993 30859.390 1828072.255 112141317.658 2805.399 10194665.242 -1.462 -372.908 4 -4
13 12 28394 22050.206 6343.794 6343.794 2241.801 37203.183 40243719.494 152385037.152 3100.265 12698753.096 0.723 186.817 4 -4
14 13 22858 27759.621 -4901.621 4901.621 -2659.820 42104.804 24025884.724 176410921.876 3238.831 13570070.914 -0.821 -204.602 4 -4
15 14 27124 23348.162 3775.838 3775.838 1116.018 45880.642 14256952.132 190667874.009 3277.189 13619133.858 0.341 79.716 4 -4
16 15 26835 26746.416 88.584 88.584 1204.602 45969.226 7847.089 190675721.097 3064.615 12711714.740 0.393 80.307 4 -4
17 16 26540 26826.142 -286.142 286.142 918.460 46255.367 81877.027 190757598.124 2890.960 11922349.883 0.318 57.404 4 -4
18 17 27122 26568.614 553.386 553.386 1471.846 46808.753 306235.886 191063834.010 2753.456 11239049.059 0.535 86.579 4 -4
19 18 25179 27066.661 -1887.661 1887.661 -415.815 48696.415 3563265.622 194627099.632 2705.356 10812616.646 -0.154 -23.101 4 -4
20 19 23241 25367.766 -2126.766 2126.766 -2542.582 50823.181 4523134.221 199150233.853 2674.904 10481591.255 -0.951 -133.820 4 -4
21 20 25097 23453.677 1643.323 1643.323 -899.258 52466.504 2700511.750 201850745.604 2623.325 10092537.280 -0.343 -44.963 4 -4
22 21 25177 24932.668 244.332 244.332 -654.926 52710.836 59698.292 201910443.896 2510.040 9614783.043 -0.261 -31.187 4 -4
23 22 24054 25152.567 -1098.567 1098.567 -1753.493 53809.403 1206848.940 203117292.835 2445.882 9232604.220 -0.717 -79.704 4 -4
24 23 27754 24163.857 3590.143 3590.143 1836.651 57399.547 12889129.082 216006421.918 2495.632 9391583.562 0.736 79.854 4 -4
25 27394.986 Cacat 5% 28836.827
Single Exponential Smoothing Sepatu Gunung
α= 0.1
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4 Tracking Signal Metode SES
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000 4 -4
3 2 17710 18175.800 -465.800 465.800 2412.200 3343.800 216969.640 8499853.640 1671.900 4249926.820 1.443 1206.100 4 -4 4.000
4 3 15684 18129.220 -2445.220 2445.220 -33.020 5789.020 5979100.848 14478954.488 1929.673 4826318.163 -0.017 -11.007 4 -4
3.000
5 4 15529 17884.698 -2355.698 2355.698 -2388.718 8144.718 5549313.067 20028267.556 2036.180 5007066.889 -1.173 -597.180 4 -4
6 5 18618 17649.128 968.872 968.872 -1419.846 9113.590 938712.565 20966980.120 1822.718 4193396.024 -0.779 -283.969 4 -4
2.000
7 6 19254 17746.015 1507.985 1507.985 88.138 10621.574 2274017.614 23240997.735 1770.262 3873499.622 0.050 14.690 4 -4
8 7 19014 17896.814 1117.186 1117.186 1205.325 11738.761 1248104.912 24489102.646 1676.966 3498443.235 0.719 172.189 4 -4 1.000
9 8 21991 18008.532 3982.468 3982.468 5187.792 15721.228 ### 40349150.371 1965.154 5043643.796 2.640 648.474 4 -4
10 9 17851 18406.779 -555.779 555.779 4632.013 16277.007 308890.533 40658040.903 1808.556 4517560.100 2.561 514.668 4 -4 0.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
11 10 17851 18351.201 -500.201 500.201 4131.812 16777.209 250201.331 40908242.235 1677.721 4090824.223 2.463 413.181 4 -4
12 11 15765 18301.181 -2536.181 2536.181 1595.630 19313.390 6432214.885 47340457.120 1755.763 4303677.920 0.909 145.057 4 -4 -1.000
13 12 16346 18047.563 -1701.563 1701.563 -105.933 21014.953 2895316.798 50235773.918 1751.246 4186314.493 -0.060 -8.828 4 -4
-2.000
14 13 20282 17877.407 2404.593 2404.593 2298.661 23419.546 5782068.741 56017842.659 1801.504 4309064.820 1.276 176.820 4 -4
15 14 15999 18117.866 -2118.866 2118.866 179.795 25538.412 4489593.409 60507436.069 1824.172 4321959.719 0.099 12.842 4 -4
-3.000
16 15 18560 17905.979 654.021 654.021 833.815 26192.433 427742.866 60935178.935 1746.162 4062345.262 0.478 55.588 4 -4
17 16 18148 17971.382 176.618 176.618 1010.434 26369.051 31194.090 60966373.025 1648.066 3810398.314 0.613 63.152 4 -4 -4.000
18 17 16495 17989.043 -1494.043 1494.043 -483.610 27863.095 2232165.570 63198538.594 1639.006 3717561.094 -0.295 -28.448 4 -4
19 18 18974 17839.639 1134.361 1134.361 650.751 28997.456 1286774.818 64485313.413 1610.970 3582517.412 0.404 36.153 4 -4
20 19 18013 17953.075 59.925 59.925 710.676 29057.380 3590.991 64488904.403 1529.336 3394152.863 0.465 37.404 4 -4
21 20 19472 17959.068 1512.932 1512.932 2223.609 30570.313 2288964.412 66777868.816 1528.516 3338893.441 1.455 111.180 4 -4
22 21 17445 18110.361 -665.361 665.361 1558.248 31235.674 442705.061 67220573.877 1487.413 3200979.708 1.048 74.202 4 -4
23 22 18709 18043.825 665.175 665.175 2223.423 31900.849 442458.093 67663031.970 1450.039 3075592.362 1.533 101.065 4 -4
24 23 19549 18110.342 1438.658 1438.658 3662.081 33339.507 2069736.010 69732767.980 1449.544 3031859.477 2.526 159.221 4 -4
25 18254.208 Cacat 5% 19214.956
α= 0.2
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000 4 -4
3 2 17710 18463.600 -753.600 753.600 2124.400 3631.600 567912.960 8850796.960 1815.800 4425398.480 1.170 1062.200 4 -4
4 3 15684 18312.880 -2628.880 2628.880 -504.480 6260.480 6911010.054 15761807.014 2086.827 5253935.671 -0.242 -168.160 4 -4
5 4 15529 17787.104 -2258.104 2258.104 -2762.584 8518.584 5099033.675 20860840.689 2129.646 5215210.172 -1.297 -690.646 4 -4
6 5 18618 17335.483 1282.517 1282.517 -1480.067 9801.101 1644849.342 22505690.031 1960.220 4501138.006 -0.755 -296.013 4 -4
7 6 19254 17591.987 1662.013 1662.013 181.946 11463.114 2762288.675 25267978.706 1910.519 4211329.784 0.095 30.324 4 -4
8 7 19014 17924.389 1089.611 1089.611 1271.557 12552.725 1187251.591 26455230.297 1793.246 3779318.614 0.709 181.651 4 -4
9 8 21991 18142.311 3848.689 3848.689 5120.246 16401.414 ### 41267634.249 2050.177 5158454.281 2.497 640.031 4 -4
10 9 17851 18912.049 -1061.049 1061.049 4059.196 17462.463 1125825.232 42393459.482 1940.274 4710384.387 2.092 451.022 4 -4
11 10 17851 18699.839 -848.839 848.839 3210.357 18311.302 720528.149 43113987.630 1831.130 4311398.763 1.753 321.036 4 -4
12 11 15765 18530.071 -2765.071 2765.071 445.286 21076.373 7645620.046 50759607.676 1916.034 4614509.789 0.232 40.481 4 -4
13 12 16346 17977.057 -1631.057 1631.057 -1185.771 22707.431 2660347.423 53419955.099 1892.286 4451662.925 -0.627 -98.814 4 -4
14 13 20282 17650.846 2631.154 2631.154 1445.383 25338.585 6922972.850 60342927.949 1949.122 4641763.688 0.742 111.183 4 -4
15 14 15999 18177.077 -2178.077 2178.077 -732.694 27516.661 4744017.568 65086945.517 1965.476 4649067.537 -0.373 -52.335 4 -4
16 15 18560 17741.461 818.539 818.539 85.845 28335.200 670005.669 65756951.185 1889.013 4383796.746 0.045 5.723 4 -4
17 16 18148 17905.169 242.831 242.831 328.676 28578.031 58966.891 65815918.076 1786.127 4113494.880 0.184 20.542 4 -4
18 17 16495 17953.735 -1458.735 1458.735 -1130.059 30036.766 2127908.403 67943826.479 1766.869 3996695.675 -0.640 -66.474 4 -4
19 18 18974 17661.988 1312.012 1312.012 181.953 31348.778 1721375.055 69665201.533 1741.599 3870288.974 0.104 10.108 4 -4
20 19 18013 17924.391 88.609 88.609 270.562 31437.388 7851.638 69673053.171 1654.599 3667002.798 0.164 14.240 4 -4
21 20 19472 17942.112 1529.888 1529.888 1800.450 32967.275 2340555.990 72013609.161 1648.364 3600680.458 1.092 90.022 4 -4
22 21 17445 18248.090 -803.090 803.090 997.360 33770.365 644953.453 72658562.614 1608.113 3459931.553 0.620 47.493 4 -4
23 22 18709 18087.472 621.528 621.528 1618.888 34391.893 386297.114 73044859.727 1563.268 3320220.897 1.036 73.586 4 -4
24 23 19549 18211.778 1337.222 1337.222 2956.110 35729.116 1788163.849 74833023.576 1553.440 3253609.721 1.903 128.527 4 -4
25 18479.222 Cacat 5% 19451.813
α= 0.3
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000 4 -4
3 2 17710 18751.400 -1041.400 1041.400 1836.600 3919.400 1084513.960 9367397.960 1959.700 4683698.980 0.937 918.300 4 -4
4 3 15684 18438.980 -2754.980 2754.980 -918.380 6674.380 7589914.800 16957312.760 2224.793 5652437.587 -0.413 -306.127 4 -4
5 4 15529 17612.486 -2083.486 2083.486 -3001.866 8757.866 4340913.912 21298226.673 2189.467 5324556.668 -1.371 -750.466 4 -4
6 5 18618 16987.440 1630.560 1630.560 -1371.306 10388.426 2658725.261 23956951.934 2077.685 4791390.387 -0.660 -274.261 4 -4
7 6 19254 17476.608 1777.392 1777.392 406.086 12165.818 3159121.824 27116073.758 2027.636 4519345.626 0.200 67.681 4 -4
8 7 19014 18009.826 1004.174 1004.174 1410.260 13169.992 1008366.029 28124439.787 1881.427 4017777.112 0.750 201.466 4 -4
9 8 21991 18311.078 3679.922 3679.922 5090.182 16849.914 ### 41666265.797 2106.239 5208283.225 2.417 636.273 4 -4
10 9 17851 19415.055 -1564.055 1564.055 3526.127 18413.969 2446266.767 44112532.564 2045.997 4901392.507 1.723 391.792 4 -4
11 10 17851 18945.838 -1094.838 1094.838 2431.289 19508.807 1198670.716 45311203.279 1950.881 4531120.328 1.246 243.129 4 -4
12 11 15765 18617.387 -2852.387 2852.387 -421.098 22361.194 8136110.172 53447313.451 2032.836 4858846.677 -0.207 -38.282 4 -4
13 12 16346 17761.671 -1415.671 1415.671 -1836.768 23776.864 2004123.602 55451437.053 1981.405 4620953.088 -0.927 -153.064 4 -4
14 13 20282 17336.970 2945.030 2945.030 1108.262 26721.895 8673204.601 64124641.655 2055.530 4932664.743 0.539 85.251 4 -4
15 14 15999 18220.479 -2221.479 2221.479 -1113.216 28943.373 4934967.416 69059609.071 2067.384 4932829.219 -0.538 -79.515 4 -4
16 15 18560 17554.035 1005.965 1005.965 -107.252 29949.338 1011965.463 70071574.534 1996.623 4671438.302 -0.054 -7.150 4 -4
17 16 18148 17855.825 292.175 292.175 184.924 30241.514 85366.499 70156941.032 1890.095 4384808.815 0.098 11.558 4 -4
18 17 16495 17943.477 -1448.477 1448.477 -1263.553 31689.991 2098086.137 72255027.170 1864.117 4250295.716 -0.678 -74.327 4 -4
19 18 18974 17508.934 1465.066 1465.066 201.513 33155.057 2146418.311 74401445.481 1841.948 4133413.638 0.109 11.195 4 -4
20 19 18013 17948.454 64.546 64.546 266.059 33219.603 4166.210 74405611.690 1748.400 3916084.826 0.152 14.003 4 -4
21 20 19472 17967.818 1504.182 1504.182 1770.241 34723.785 2262564.475 76668176.165 1736.189 3833408.808 1.020 88.512 4 -4
22 21 17445 18419.072 -974.072 974.072 796.169 35697.858 948816.983 77616993.148 1699.898 3696047.293 0.468 37.913 4 -4
23 22 18709 18126.851 582.149 582.149 1378.318 36280.007 338897.855 77955891.003 1649.091 3543449.591 0.836 62.651 4 -4
24 23 19549 18301.495 1247.505 1247.505 2625.823 37527.512 1556267.573 79512158.576 1631.631 3457050.373 1.609 114.166 4 -4
25 18675.747 Cacat 5% 19658.681
α= 0.4
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000 4 -4
3 2 17710 19039.200 -1329.200 1329.200 1548.800 4207.200 1766772.640 10049656.640 2103.600 5024828.320 0.736 774.400 4 -4
4 3 15684 18507.520 -2823.520 2823.520 -1274.720 7030.720 7972265.190 18021921.830 2343.573 6007307.277 -0.544 -424.907 4 -4
5 4 15529 17378.112 -1849.112 1849.112 -3123.832 8879.832 3419215.189 21441137.019 2219.958 5360284.255 -1.407 -780.958 4 -4
6 5 18618 16638.467 1979.533 1979.533 -1144.299 10859.365 3918550.106 25359687.125 2171.873 5071937.425 -0.527 -228.860 4 -4
7 6 19254 17430.280 1823.720 1823.720 679.420 12683.084 3325953.471 28685640.596 2113.847 4780940.099 0.321 113.237 4 -4
8 7 19014 18159.768 854.232 854.232 1533.652 13537.316 729711.982 29415352.578 1933.902 4202193.225 0.793 219.093 4 -4
9 8 21991 18501.461 3489.539 3489.539 5023.191 17026.855 ### 41592235.603 2128.357 5199029.450 2.360 627.899 4 -4
10 9 17851 19897.277 -2046.277 2046.277 2976.915 19073.132 4187247.715 45779483.318 2119.237 5086609.258 1.405 330.768 4 -4
11 10 17851 19078.766 -1227.766 1227.766 1749.149 20300.898 1507409.178 47286892.496 2030.090 4728689.250 0.862 174.915 4 -4
12 11 15765 18587.660 -2822.660 2822.660 -1073.511 23123.557 7967406.979 55254299.474 2102.142 5023118.134 -0.511 -97.592 4 -4
13 12 16346 17458.596 -1112.596 1112.596 -2186.106 24236.153 1237869.269 56492168.743 2019.679 4707680.729 -1.082 -182.176 4 -4
14 13 20282 17013.557 3268.443 3268.443 1082.336 27504.596 ### 67174885.506 2115.738 5167298.885 0.512 83.257 4 -4
15 14 15999 18320.934 -2321.934 2321.934 -1239.598 29826.530 5391379.657 72566265.163 2130.466 5183304.655 -0.582 -88.543 4 -4
16 15 18560 17392.161 1167.839 1167.839 -71.759 30994.369 1363848.680 73930113.844 2066.291 4928674.256 -0.035 -4.784 4 -4
17 16 18148 17859.296 288.704 288.704 216.945 31283.073 83349.764 74013463.608 1955.192 4625841.476 0.111 13.559 4 -4
18 17 16495 17974.778 -1479.778 1479.778 -1262.833 32762.851 2189742.469 76203206.077 1927.227 4482541.534 -0.655 -74.284 4 -4
19 18 18974 17382.867 1591.133 1591.133 328.300 34353.984 2531705.157 78734911.234 1908.555 4374161.735 0.172 18.239 4 -4
20 19 18013 18019.320 -6.320 6.320 321.980 34360.304 39.943 78734951.177 1808.437 4143944.799 0.178 16.946 4 -4
21 20 19472 18016.792 1455.208 1455.208 1777.188 35815.512 2117630.281 80852581.458 1790.776 4042629.073 0.992 88.859 4 -4
22 21 17445 18598.875 -1153.875 1153.875 623.313 36969.387 1331427.997 82184009.455 1760.447 3913524.260 0.354 29.682 4 -4
23 22 18709 18137.325 571.675 571.675 1194.988 37541.062 326812.163 82510821.618 1706.412 3750491.892 0.700 54.318 4 -4
24 23 19549 18365.995 1183.005 1183.005 2377.993 38724.067 1399500.652 83910322.270 1683.655 3648274.881 1.412 103.391 4 -4
25 18839.197 Cacat 5% 19830.734
α= 0.5
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000 4 -4
3 2 17710 19327.000 -1617.000 1617.000 1261.000 4495.000 2614689.000 10897573.000 2247.500 5448786.500 0.561 630.500 4 -4
4 3 15684 18518.500 -2834.500 2834.500 -1573.500 7329.500 8034390.250 18931963.250 2443.167 6310654.417 -0.644 -524.500 4 -4
5 4 15529 17101.250 -1572.250 1572.250 -3145.750 8901.750 2471970.063 21403933.313 2225.438 5350983.328 -1.414 -786.438 4 -4
6 5 18618 16315.125 2302.875 2302.875 -842.875 11204.625 5303233.266 26707166.578 2240.925 5341433.316 -0.376 -168.575 4 -4
7 6 19254 17466.563 1787.438 1787.438 944.563 12992.063 3194932.816 29902099.395 2165.344 4983683.232 0.436 157.427 4 -4
8 7 19014 18360.281 653.719 653.719 1598.281 13645.781 427348.204 30329447.599 1949.397 4332778.228 0.820 228.326 4 -4
9 8 21991 18687.141 3303.859 3303.859 4902.141 16949.641 ### 41244934.368 2118.705 5155616.796 2.314 612.768 4 -4
10 9 17851 20339.070 -2488.070 2488.070 2414.070 19437.711 6190493.880 47435428.248 2159.746 5270603.139 1.118 268.230 4 -4
11 10 17851 19095.035 -1244.035 1244.035 1170.035 20681.746 1547623.470 48983051.718 2068.175 4898305.172 0.566 117.004 4 -4
12 11 15765 18473.018 -2708.018 2708.018 -1537.982 23389.764 7333359.203 56316410.922 2126.342 5119673.720 -0.723 -139.817 4 -4
13 12 16346 17119.009 -773.009 773.009 -2310.991 24162.772 597542.588 56913953.510 2013.564 4742829.459 -1.148 -192.583 4 -4
14 13 20282 16732.504 3549.496 3549.496 1238.504 27712.268 ### 69512872.563 2131.713 5347144.043 0.581 95.270 4 -4
15 14 15999 18507.252 -2508.252 2508.252 -1269.748 30220.520 6291329.085 75804201.648 2158.609 5414585.832 -0.588 -90.696 4 -4
16 15 18560 17253.126 1306.874 1306.874 37.126 31527.394 1707919.394 77512121.042 2101.826 5167474.736 0.018 2.475 4 -4
17 16 18148 17906.563 241.437 241.437 278.563 31768.831 58291.801 77570412.843 1985.552 4848150.803 0.140 17.410 4 -4
18 17 16495 18027.282 -1532.282 1532.282 -1253.718 33301.113 2347886.671 79918299.514 1958.889 4701076.442 -0.640 -73.748 4 -4
19 18 18974 17261.141 1712.859 1712.859 459.141 35013.972 2933886.768 82852186.282 1945.221 4602899.238 0.236 25.508 4 -4
20 19 18013 18117.570 -104.570 104.570 354.570 35118.542 10934.965 82863121.247 1848.344 4361216.908 0.192 18.662 4 -4
21 20 19472 18065.285 1406.715 1406.715 1761.285 36525.257 1978846.555 84841967.802 1826.263 4242098.390 0.964 88.064 4 -4
22 21 17445 18768.643 -1323.643 1323.643 437.643 37848.900 1752029.720 86593997.522 1802.329 4123523.692 0.243 20.840 4 -4
23 22 18709 18106.821 602.179 602.179 1039.821 38451.078 362619.190 86956616.711 1747.776 3952573.487 0.595 47.265 4 -4
24 23 19549 18407.911 1141.089 1141.089 2180.911 39592.168 1302084.907 88258701.619 1721.399 3837334.853 1.267 94.822 4 -4
25 18978.455 Cacat 5% 19977.321
α= 0.6
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000 4 -4
3 2 17710 19614.800 -1904.800 1904.800 973.200 4782.800 3628263.040 11911147.040 2391.400 5955573.520 0.407 486.600 4 -4
4 3 15684 18471.920 -2787.920 2787.920 -1814.720 7570.720 7772497.926 19683644.966 2523.573 6561214.989 -0.719 -604.907 4 -4
5 4 15529 16799.168 -1270.168 1270.168 -3084.888 8840.888 1613326.748 21296971.715 2210.222 5324242.929 -1.396 -771.222 4 -4
6 5 18618 16037.067 2580.933 2580.933 -503.955 11421.821 6661214.118 27958185.833 2284.364 5591637.167 -0.221 -100.791 4 -4
7 6 19254 17585.627 1668.373 1668.373 1164.418 13090.194 2783468.868 30741654.700 2181.699 5123609.117 0.534 194.070 4 -4
8 7 19014 18586.651 427.349 427.349 1591.767 13517.543 182627.380 30924282.080 1931.078 4417754.583 0.824 227.395 4 -4
9 8 21991 18843.060 3147.940 3147.940 4739.707 16665.483 9909524.350 40833806.430 2083.185 5104225.804 2.275 592.463 4 -4
10 9 17851 20731.824 -2880.824 2880.824 1858.883 19546.307 8299147.612 49132954.042 2171.812 5459217.116 0.856 206.543 4 -4
11 10 17851 19003.330 -1152.330 1152.330 706.553 20698.637 1327863.618 50460817.660 2069.864 5046081.766 0.341 70.655 4 -4
12 11 15765 18311.932 -2546.932 2546.932 -1840.379 23245.568 6486861.896 56947679.556 2113.233 5177061.778 -0.871 -167.307 4 -4
13 12 16346 16783.773 -437.773 437.773 -2278.152 23683.341 191644.975 57139324.531 1973.612 4761610.378 -1.154 -189.846 4 -4
14 13 20282 16521.109 3760.891 3760.891 1482.739 27444.232 ### 71283624.911 2111.095 5483355.762 0.702 114.057 4 -4
15 14 15999 18777.644 -2778.644 2778.644 -1295.904 30222.876 7720860.473 79004485.384 2158.777 5643177.527 -0.600 -92.565 4 -4
16 15 18560 17110.457 1449.543 1449.543 153.638 31672.418 2101173.588 81105658.972 2111.495 5407043.931 0.073 10.243 4 -4
17 16 18148 17980.183 167.817 167.817 321.455 31840.235 28162.551 81133821.523 1990.015 5070863.845 0.162 20.091 4 -4
18 17 16495 18080.873 -1585.873 1585.873 -1264.418 33426.109 2514993.784 83648815.307 1966.242 4920518.547 -0.643 -74.378 4 -4
19 18 18974 17129.349 1844.651 1844.651 580.233 35270.759 3402736.289 87051551.597 1959.487 4836197.311 0.296 32.235 4 -4
20 19 18013 18236.140 -223.140 223.140 357.093 35493.899 49791.331 87101342.927 1868.100 4584281.207 0.191 18.794 4 -4
21 20 19472 18102.256 1369.744 1369.744 1726.837 36863.643 1876198.942 88977541.870 1843.182 4448877.093 0.937 86.342 4 -4
22 21 17445 18924.102 -1479.102 1479.102 247.735 38342.745 2187743.773 91165285.642 1825.845 4341204.078 0.136 11.797 4 -4
23 22 18709 18036.641 672.359 672.359 920.094 39015.104 452066.704 91617352.346 1773.414 4164425.107 0.519 41.822 4 -4
24 23 19549 18440.056 1108.944 1108.944 2029.038 40124.048 1229755.960 92847108.306 1744.524 4036830.796 1.163 88.219 4 -4
25 19105.423 Cacat 5% 20110.971
α= 0.7
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000 4 -4
3 2 17710 19902.600 -2192.600 2192.600 685.400 5070.600 4807494.760 13090378.760 2535.300 6545189.380 0.270 342.700 4 -4
4 3 15684 18367.780 -2683.780 2683.780 -1998.380 7754.380 7202675.088 20293053.848 2584.793 6764351.283 -0.773 -666.127 4 -4
5 4 15529 16489.134 -960.134 960.134 -2958.514 8714.514 921857.298 21214911.146 2178.629 5303727.787 -1.358 -739.628 4 -4
6 5 18618 15817.040 2800.960 2800.960 -157.554 11515.474 7845375.801 29060286.948 2303.095 5812057.390 -0.068 -31.511 4 -4
7 6 19254 17777.712 1476.288 1476.288 1318.734 12991.762 2179426.082 31239713.029 2165.294 5206618.838 0.609 219.789 4 -4
8 7 19014 18811.114 202.886 202.886 1521.620 13194.648 41162.884 31280875.913 1884.950 4468696.559 0.807 217.374 4 -4
9 8 21991 18953.134 3037.866 3037.866 4559.486 16232.514 9228629.315 40509505.228 2029.064 5063688.154 2.247 569.936 4 -4
10 9 17851 21079.640 -3228.640 3228.640 1330.846 19461.154 ### 50933622.935 2162.350 5659291.437 0.615 147.872 4 -4
11 10 17851 18819.592 -968.592 968.592 362.254 20429.746 938170.594 51871793.529 2042.975 5187179.353 0.177 36.225 4 -4
12 11 15765 18141.578 -2376.578 2376.578 -2014.324 22806.324 5648121.185 57519914.714 2073.302 5229083.156 -0.972 -183.120 4 -4
13 12 16346 16477.973 -131.973 131.973 -2146.297 22938.297 17416.948 57537331.662 1911.525 4794777.639 -1.123 -178.858 4 -4
14 13 20282 16385.592 3896.408 3896.408 1750.111 26834.705 ### 72719327.075 2064.208 5593794.390 0.848 134.624 4 -4
15 14 15999 19113.078 -3114.078 3114.078 -1363.967 29948.783 9697479.272 82416806.347 2139.199 5886914.739 -0.638 -97.426 4 -4
16 15 18560 16933.223 1626.777 1626.777 262.810 31575.560 2646402.501 85063208.848 2105.037 5670880.590 0.125 17.521 4 -4
17 16 18148 18071.967 76.033 76.033 338.843 31651.593 5781.020 85068989.868 1978.225 5316811.867 0.171 21.178 4 -4
18 17 16495 18125.190 -1630.190 1630.190 -1291.347 33281.783 2657519.746 87726509.614 1957.752 5160382.918 -0.660 -75.962 4 -4
19 18 18974 16984.057 1989.943 1989.943 698.596 35271.726 3959873.030 91686382.644 1959.540 5093687.925 0.357 38.811 4 -4
20 19 18013 18377.017 -364.017 364.017 334.579 35635.743 132508.455 91818891.099 1875.565 4832573.216 0.178 17.609 4 -4
21 20 19472 18122.205 1349.795 1349.795 1684.374 36985.538 1821946.184 93640837.283 1849.277 4682041.864 0.911 84.219 4 -4
22 21 17445 19067.062 -1622.062 1622.062 62.312 38607.599 2631083.639 96271920.922 1838.457 4584377.187 0.034 2.967 4 -4
23 22 18709 17931.618 777.382 777.382 839.694 39384.981 604322.056 96876242.978 1790.226 4403465.590 0.469 38.168 4 -4
24 23 19549 18475.786 1073.214 1073.214 1912.908 40458.195 1151789.280 98028032.258 1759.052 4262088.359 1.087 83.170 4 -4
25 19227.036 Cacat 5% 20238.985
α= 0.8
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000 4 -4
3 2 17710 20190.400 -2480.400 2480.400 397.600 5358.400 6152384.160 14435268.160 2679.200 7217634.080 0.148 198.800 4 -4
4 3 15684 18206.080 -2522.080 2522.080 -2124.480 7880.480 6360887.526 20796155.686 2626.827 6932051.895 -0.809 -708.160 4 -4
5 4 15529 16188.416 -659.416 659.416 -2783.896 8539.896 434829.461 21230985.147 2134.974 5307746.287 -1.304 -695.974 4 -4
6 5 18618 15660.883 2957.117 2957.117 173.221 11497.013 8744539.769 29975524.916 2299.403 5995104.983 0.075 34.644 4 -4
7 6 19254 18026.577 1227.423 1227.423 1400.644 12724.436 1506568.105 31482093.021 2120.739 5247015.503 0.660 233.441 4 -4
8 7 19014 19008.515 5.485 5.485 1406.129 12729.921 30.082 31482123.103 1818.560 4497446.158 0.773 200.876 4 -4
9 8 21991 19012.903 2978.097 2978.097 4384.226 15708.018 8869061.351 40351184.453 1963.502 5043898.057 2.233 548.028 4 -4
10 9 17851 21395.381 -3544.381 3544.381 839.845 19252.398 ### 52913818.384 2139.155 5879313.154 0.393 93.316 4 -4
11 10 17851 18559.876 -708.876 708.876 130.969 19961.275 502505.357 53416323.741 1996.127 5341632.374 0.066 13.097 4 -4
12 11 15765 17992.775 -2227.775 2227.775 -2096.806 22189.050 4962982.451 58379306.192 2017.186 5307209.654 -1.039 -190.619 4 -4
13 12 16346 16210.555 135.445 135.445 -1961.361 22324.495 18345.336 58397651.528 1860.375 4866470.961 -1.054 -163.447 4 -4
14 13 20282 16318.911 3963.089 3963.089 2001.728 26287.584 ### 74103725.879 2022.122 5700286.606 0.990 153.979 4 -4
15 14 15999 19489.382 -3490.382 3490.382 -1488.654 29777.966 ### 86286493.793 2126.998 6163320.985 -0.700 -106.332 4 -4
16 15 18560 16697.076 1862.924 1862.924 374.269 31640.889 3470484.189 89756977.982 2109.393 5983798.532 0.177 24.951 4 -4
17 16 18148 18187.415 -39.415 39.415 334.854 31680.305 1553.565 89758531.547 1980.019 5609908.222 0.169 20.928 4 -4
18 17 16495 18155.883 -1660.883 1660.883 -1326.029 33341.188 2758532.531 92517064.078 1961.246 5442180.240 -0.676 -78.002 4 -4
19 18 18974 16827.177 2146.823 2146.823 820.794 35488.011 4608850.661 97125914.740 1971.556 5395884.152 0.416 45.600 4 -4
20 19 18013 18544.635 -531.635 531.635 289.159 36019.646 282636.116 97408550.856 1895.771 5126765.835 0.153 15.219 4 -4
21 20 19472 18119.327 1352.673 1352.673 1641.832 37372.319 1829724.071 99238274.926 1868.616 4961913.746 0.879 82.092 4 -4
22 21 17445 19201.465 -1756.465 1756.465 -114.634 39128.785 3085170.747 ### 1863.275 4872545.032 -0.062 -5.459 4 -4
23 22 18709 17796.293 912.707 912.707 798.073 40041.492 833033.917 ### 1820.068 4688930.890 0.438 36.276 4 -4
24 23 19549 18526.459 1022.541 1022.541 1820.615 41064.033 1045590.881 ### 1785.393 4530524.803 1.020 79.157 4 -4
25 19344.492 Cacat 5% 20362.623
α= 0.9
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 -4
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000 4 -4
3 2 17710 20478.200 -2768.200 2768.200 109.800 5646.200 7662931.240 15945815.240 2823.100 7972907.620 0.039 54.900 4 -4
4 3 15684 17986.820 -2302.820 2302.820 -2193.020 7949.020 5302979.952 21248795.192 2649.673 7082931.731 -0.828 -731.007 4 -4
5 4 15529 15914.282 -385.282 385.282 -2578.302 8334.302 148442.220 21397237.412 2083.576 5349309.353 -1.237 -644.576 4 -4
6 5 18618 15567.528 3050.472 3050.472 472.170 11384.774 9305378.203 30702615.615 2276.955 6140523.123 0.207 94.434 4 -4
7 6 19254 18312.953 941.047 941.047 1413.217 12325.821 885569.795 31588185.410 2054.303 5264697.568 0.688 235.536 4 -4
8 7 19014 19159.895 -145.895 145.895 1267.322 12471.716 21285.433 31609470.843 1781.674 4515638.692 0.711 181.046 4 -4
9 8 21991 19028.590 2962.410 2962.410 4229.732 15434.127 8775875.803 40385346.646 1929.266 5048168.331 2.192 528.717 4 -4
10 9 17851 21694.759 -3843.759 3843.759 385.973 19277.886 ### 55159829.534 2141.987 6128869.948 0.180 42.886 4 -4
11 10 17851 18235.376 -384.376 384.376 1.597 19662.262 147744.829 55307574.363 1966.226 5530757.436 0.001 0.160 4 -4
12 11 15765 17889.438 -2124.438 2124.438 -2122.840 21786.699 4513235.072 59820809.434 1980.609 5438255.403 -1.072 -192.985 4 -4
13 12 16346 15977.444 368.556 368.556 -1754.284 22155.255 135833.703 59956643.137 1846.271 4996386.928 -0.950 -146.190 4 -4
14 13 20282 16309.144 3972.856 3972.856 2218.572 26128.111 ### 75740224.947 2009.855 5826171.150 1.104 170.659 4 -4
15 14 15999 19884.714 -3885.714 3885.714 -1667.143 30013.825 ### 90839001.638 2143.845 6488500.117 -0.778 -119.082 4 -4
16 15 18560 16387.571 2172.429 2172.429 505.286 32186.254 4719445.832 95558447.470 2145.750 6370563.165 0.235 33.686 4 -4
17 16 18148 18342.757 -194.757 194.757 310.529 32381.011 37930.345 95596377.815 2023.813 5974773.613 0.153 19.408 4 -4
18 17 16495 18167.476 -1672.476 1672.476 -1361.947 34053.487 2797175.015 98393552.830 2003.146 5787856.049 -0.680 -80.115 4 -4
19 18 18974 16662.248 2311.752 2311.752 949.805 36365.239 5344199.291 ### 2020.291 5763208.451 0.470 52.767 4 -4
20 19 18013 18742.825 -729.825 729.825 219.981 37095.064 532644.176 ### 1952.372 5487915.595 0.113 11.578 4 -4
21 20 19472 18085.982 1386.018 1386.018 1605.998 38481.082 1921044.578 ### 1924.054 5309572.044 0.835 80.300 4 -4
22 21 17445 19333.398 -1888.398 1888.398 -282.400 40369.480 3566047.941 ### 1922.356 5226547.086 -0.147 -13.448 4 -4
23 22 18709 17633.840 1075.160 1075.160 792.760 41444.640 1155969.402 ### 1883.847 5041520.828 0.421 36.035 4 -4
24 23 19549 18601.484 947.516 947.516 1740.276 42392.156 897786.603 ### 1843.137 4861358.471 0.944 75.664 4 -4
25 19454.248 Cacat 5% 20478.156
Double Exponential Smoothing Sandal Gunung
α= 0.1
Bulan Demand A(t) F(t) F(t)' e(t) |e(t)| ∑ e(t) ∑ |e(t)| e(t)2 ∑ e(t)2 MAD MSD TS Bias
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Tracking Signal Metode DES
2 1 29539 25742.000 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
4.000
3 2 29967 26121.700 25779.970 4187.030 4187.030 7984.030 7984.030 17531220.221 31948429.221 3992.015 15974214.610 2.000 3992.015
4 3 23849 26506.230 25852.596 -2003.596 2003.596 5980.434 9987.626 4014396.931 35962826.152 3329.209 11987608.717 1.796 1993.478 3.000
5 4 21792 26240.507 25891.387 -4099.387 4099.387 1881.047 14087.013 16804974.596 52767800.748 3521.753 13191950.187 0.534 470.262
6 5 26955 25795.656 25881.814 1073.186 1073.186 2954.233 15160.199 1151728.148 53919528.895 3032.040 10783905.779 0.974 590.847 2.000
7 6 28043 25911.591 25884.792 2158.208 2158.208 5112.441 17318.407 4657863.131 58577392.026 2886.401 9762898.671 1.771 852.074
8 7 25643 26124.732 25908.786 -265.786 265.786 4846.656 17584.193 70642.026 58648034.052 2512.028 8378290.579 1.929 692.379 1.000
9 8 22415 26076.558 25925.563 -3510.563 3510.563 1336.093 21094.756 12324052.250 70972086.302 2636.845 8871510.788 0.507 167.012
0.000
10 9 21024 25710.403 25904.047 -4880.047 4880.047 -3543.954 25974.803 23814857.921 94786944.223 2886.089 10531882.691 -1.228 -393.773 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
11 10 23497 25241.762 25837.818 -2340.818 2340.818 -5884.773 28315.621 5479431.063 100266375.285 2831.562 10026637.529 -2.078 -588.477 -1.000
12 11 21915 25067.286 25760.765 -3845.765 3845.765 -9730.538 32161.387 14789910.162 115056285.447 2923.762 10459662.313 -3.328 -884.594
13 12 28394 24752.057 25659.894 2734.106 2734.106 -6996.432 34895.492 7475333.151 122531618.598 2907.958 10210968.216 -2.406 -583.036 -2.000
14 13 22858 25116.252 25605.530 -2747.530 2747.530 -9743.963 37643.022 7548922.094 130080540.692 2895.617 10006195.438 -3.365 -749.536
15 14 27124 24890.427 25534.020 1589.980 1589.980 -8153.982 39233.003 2528036.974 132608577.666 2802.357 9472041.262 -2.910 -582.427 -3.000
16 15 26835 25113.784 25491.996 1343.004 1343.004 -6810.979 40576.006 1803659.129 134412236.794 2705.067 8960815.786 -2.518 -454.065
-4.000
17 16 26540 25285.906 25471.387 1068.613 1068.613 -5742.366 41644.619 1141933.405 135554170.200 2602.789 8472135.637 -2.206 -358.898
18 17 27122 25411.315 25465.380 1656.620 1656.620 -4085.746 43301.239 2744390.025 138298560.224 2547.132 8135209.425 -1.604 -240.338 TS
19 18 25179 25582.383 25477.080 -298.080 298.080 -4383.826 43599.320 88851.861 138387412.085 2422.184 7688189.560 -1.810 -243.546
20 19 23241 25542.045 25483.577 -2242.577 2242.577 -6626.403 45841.896 5029150.597 143416562.682 2412.731 7548240.141 -2.746 -348.758
21 20 25097 25311.941 25466.413 -369.413 369.413 -6995.816 46211.309 136466.083 143553028.765 2310.565 7177651.438 -3.028 -349.791
22 21 25177 25290.447 25448.816 -271.816 271.816 -7267.633 46483.126 73884.209 143626912.974 2213.482 6839376.808 -3.283 -346.078
23 22 24054 25279.102 25431.845 -1377.845 1377.845 -8645.478 47860.971 1898456.951 145525369.925 2175.499 6614789.542 -3.974 -392.976
24 23 27754 25156.592 25404.320 2349.680 2349.680 -6295.797 50210.651 5520997.486 151046367.411 2183.072 6567233.366 -2.884 -273.730
25 25416.333 25405.521 Cacat 5% 26742.654
α= 0.2
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 26501.400 25893.880 4073.120 4073.120 7870.120 7870.120 16590306.534 31007515.534 3935.060 15503757.767 2.000 3935.060
4 3 23849 27194.520 26154.008 -2305.008 2305.008 5565.112 10175.128 5313061.880 36320577.414 3391.709 12106859.138 1.641 1855.037
5 4 21792 26525.416 26228.290 -4436.290 4436.290 1128.822 14611.418 19680665.415 56001242.830 3652.854 14000310.707 0.309 282.206
6 5 26955 25578.733 26098.378 856.622 856.622 1985.444 15468.039 733800.840 56735043.669 3093.608 11347008.734 0.642 397.089
7 6 28043 25853.986 26049.500 1993.500 1993.500 3978.944 17461.540 3974042.888 60709086.557 2910.257 10118181.093 1.367 663.157
8 7 25643 26291.789 26097.958 -454.958 454.958 3523.987 17916.497 206986.482 60916073.039 2559.500 8702296.148 1.377 503.427
9 8 22415 26162.031 26110.772 -3695.772 3695.772 -171.786 21612.270 13658733.448 74574806.487 2701.534 9321850.811 -0.064 -21.473
10 9 21024 25412.625 25971.143 -4947.143 4947.143 -5118.929 26559.412 24474222.784 99049029.271 2951.046 11005447.697 -1.735 -568.770
11 10 23497 24534.900 25683.894 -2186.894 2186.894 -7305.823 28746.307 4782506.704 103831535.975 2874.631 10383153.597 -2.541 -730.582
12 11 21915 24327.320 25412.579 -3497.579 3497.579 -10803.402 32243.886 12233061.930 116064597.905 2931.262 10551327.082 -3.686 -982.127
13 12 28394 23844.856 25099.035 3294.965 3294.965 -7508.437 35538.851 10856796.023 126921393.928 2961.571 10576782.827 -2.535 -625.703
14 13 22858 24754.685 25030.165 -2172.165 2172.165 -9680.602 37711.016 4718299.716 131639693.644 2900.847 10126130.280 -3.337 -744.662
15 14 27124 24375.348 24899.201 2224.799 2224.799 -7455.803 39935.815 4949728.954 136589422.598 2852.558 9756387.328 -2.614 -532.557
16 15 26835 24925.078 24904.377 1930.623 1930.623 -5525.180 41866.438 3727306.148 140316728.746 2791.096 9354448.583 -1.980 -368.345
17 16 26540 25307.063 24984.914 1555.086 1555.086 -3970.094 43421.524 2418292.721 142735021.466 2713.845 8920938.842 -1.463 -248.131
18 17 27122 25553.650 25098.661 2023.339 2023.339 -1946.755 45444.863 4093900.093 146828921.559 2673.227 8636995.386 -0.728 -114.515
19 18 25179 25867.320 25252.393 -73.393 73.393 -2020.148 45518.256 5386.523 146834308.082 2528.792 8157461.560 -0.799 -112.230
20 19 23241 25729.656 25347.846 -2106.846 2106.846 -4126.994 47625.102 4438798.212 151273106.294 2506.584 7961742.437 -1.646 -217.210
21 20 25097 25231.925 25324.661 -227.661 227.661 -4354.655 47852.763 51829.721 151324936.015 2392.638 7566246.801 -1.820 -217.733
22 21 25177 25204.940 25300.717 -123.717 123.717 -4478.372 47976.480 15305.923 151340241.938 2284.594 7206678.188 -1.960 -213.256
23 22 24054 25199.352 25280.444 -1226.444 1226.444 -5704.816 49202.924 1504165.049 152844406.986 2236.497 6947473.045 -2.551 -259.310
24 23 27754 24970.282 25218.412 2535.588 2535.588 -3169.228 51738.513 6429208.750 159273615.736 2249.501 6924939.815 -1.409 -137.793
25 25527.025 25280.134 Cacat 5% 26610.668
α= 0.3
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 26881.100 26083.730 3883.270 3883.270 7680.270 7680.270 15079785.893 29496994.893 3840.135 14748497.446 2.000 3840.135
4 3 23849 27806.870 26600.672 -2751.672 2751.672 4928.598 10431.942 7571698.796 37068693.688 3477.314 12356231.229 1.417 1642.866
5 4 21792 26619.509 26606.323 -4814.323 4814.323 114.275 15246.265 23177706.911 60246400.600 3811.566 15061600.150 0.030 28.569
6 5 26955 25171.256 26175.803 779.197 779.197 893.472 16025.462 607147.871 60853548.471 3205.092 12170709.694 0.279 178.694
7 6 28043 25706.379 26034.976 2008.024 2008.024 2901.496 18033.486 4032160.525 64885708.996 3005.581 10814284.833 0.965 483.583
8 7 25643 26407.366 26146.693 -503.693 503.693 2397.803 18537.179 253706.489 65139415.485 2648.168 9305630.784 0.905 342.543
9 8 22415 26178.056 26156.102 -3741.102 3741.102 -1343.299 22278.281 13995842.449 79135257.934 2784.785 9891907.242 -0.482 -167.912
10 9 21024 25049.139 25824.013 -4800.013 4800.013 -6143.312 27078.294 23040124.607 102175382.541 3008.699 11352820.282 -2.042 -682.590
11 10 23497 23841.597 25229.288 -1732.288 1732.288 -7875.600 28810.582 3000822.771 105176205.312 2881.058 10517620.531 -2.734 -787.560
12 11 21915 23738.218 24781.967 -2866.967 2866.967 -10742.567 31677.549 8219501.308 113395706.619 2879.777 10308700.602 -3.730 -976.597
13 12 28394 23191.253 24304.753 4089.247 4089.247 -6653.320 35766.796 16721941.813 130117648.432 2980.566 10843137.369 -2.232 -554.443
14 13 22858 24752.077 24438.950 -1580.950 1580.950 -8234.270 37347.746 2499403.234 132617051.666 2872.904 10201311.667 -2.866 -633.405
15 14 27124 24183.854 24362.421 2761.579 2761.579 -5472.692 40109.325 7626317.337 140243369.003 2864.952 10017383.500 -1.910 -390.907
16 15 26835 25065.898 24573.464 2261.536 2261.536 -3211.156 42370.861 5114544.347 145357913.350 2824.724 9690527.557 -1.137 -214.077
17 16 26540 25596.628 24880.413 1659.587 1659.587 -1551.569 44030.448 2754227.593 148112140.943 2751.903 9257008.809 -0.564 -96.973
18 17 27122 25879.640 25180.181 1941.819 1941.819 390.250 45972.266 3770659.636 151882800.579 2704.251 8934282.387 0.144 22.956
19 18 25179 26252.348 25501.831 -322.831 322.831 67.418 46295.098 104220.063 151987020.642 2571.950 8443723.369 0.026 3.745
20 19 23241 25930.344 25630.385 -2389.385 2389.385 -2321.967 48684.483 5709160.612 157696181.254 2562.341 8299799.013 -0.906 -122.209
21 20 25097 25123.540 25478.332 -381.332 381.332 -2703.298 49065.814 145413.814 157841595.068 2453.291 7892079.753 -1.102 -135.165
22 21 25177 25115.578 25369.506 -192.506 192.506 -2895.804 49258.320 37058.422 157878653.490 2345.634 7518031.119 -1.235 -137.895
23 22 24054 25134.005 25298.855 -1244.855 1244.855 -4140.659 50503.175 1549664.965 159428318.455 2295.599 7246741.748 -1.804 -188.212
24 23 27754 24810.003 25152.200 2601.800 2601.800 -1538.859 53104.975 6769364.311 166197682.766 2308.912 7225986.207 -0.666 -66.907
25 25693.202 25314.501 Cacat 5% 26646.843
α= 0.4
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 27260.800 26349.520 3617.480 3617.480 7414.480 7414.480 13086161.550 27503370.550 3707.240 13751685.275 2.000 3707.240
4 3 23849 28343.280 27147.024 -3298.024 3298.024 4116.456 10712.504 10876962.305 38380332.855 3570.835 12793444.285 1.153 1372.152
5 4 21792 26545.568 26906.442 -5114.442 5114.442 -997.986 15826.946 26157512.880 64537845.735 3956.736 16134461.434 -0.252 -249.496
6 5 26955 24644.141 26001.521 953.479 953.479 -44.507 16780.424 909121.669 65446967.404 3356.085 13089393.481 -0.013 -8.901
7 6 28043 25568.484 25828.307 2214.693 2214.693 2170.187 18995.118 4904867.033 70351834.437 3165.853 11725305.740 0.685 361.698
8 7 25643 26558.291 26120.300 -477.300 477.300 1692.886 19472.418 227815.492 70579649.929 2781.774 10082807.133 0.609 241.841
9 8 22415 26192.174 26149.050 -3734.050 3734.050 -2041.164 23206.468 13943128.595 84522778.524 2900.808 10565347.315 -0.704 -255.145
10 9 21024 24681.305 25561.952 -4537.952 4537.952 -6579.115 27744.420 20593006.486 105115785.010 3082.713 11679531.668 -2.134 -731.013
11 10 23497 23218.383 24624.524 -1127.524 1127.524 -7706.640 28871.944 1271310.803 106387095.814 2887.194 10638709.581 -2.669 -770.664
12 11 21915 23329.830 24106.646 -2191.646 2191.646 -9898.286 31063.590 4803313.874 111190409.688 2823.963 10108219.063 -3.505 -899.844
13 12 28394 22763.898 23569.547 4824.453 4824.453 -5073.833 35888.043 23275347.210 134465756.898 2990.670 11205479.742 -1.697 -422.819
14 13 22858 25015.939 24148.104 -1290.104 1290.104 -6363.937 37178.147 1664367.413 136130124.311 2859.857 10471548.024 -2.225 -489.534
15 14 27124 24152.763 24149.967 2974.033 2974.033 -3389.904 40152.179 8844869.488 144974993.799 2868.013 10355356.700 -1.182 -242.136
16 15 26835 25341.258 24626.484 2208.516 2208.516 -1181.388 42360.696 4877544.457 149852538.256 2824.046 9990169.217 -0.418 -78.759
17 16 26540 25938.755 25151.392 1388.608 1388.608 207.220 43749.304 1928231.918 151780770.174 2734.331 9486298.136 0.076 12.951
18 17 27122 26179.253 25562.536 1559.464 1559.464 1766.684 45308.767 2431926.728 154212696.901 2665.222 9071335.112 0.663 103.923
19 18 25179 26556.352 25960.063 -781.063 781.063 985.621 46089.830 610058.665 154822755.567 2560.546 8601264.198 0.385 54.757
20 19 23241 26005.411 25978.202 -2737.202 2737.202 -1751.581 48827.032 7492274.377 162315029.944 2569.844 8542896.313 -0.682 -92.188
21 20 25097 24899.647 25546.780 -449.780 449.780 -2201.360 49276.812 202301.870 162517331.814 2463.841 8125866.591 -0.893 -110.068
22 21 25177 24978.588 25319.503 -142.503 142.503 -2343.863 49419.315 20307.125 162537638.938 2353.301 7739887.568 -0.996 -111.613
23 22 24054 25057.953 25214.883 -1160.883 1160.883 -3504.746 50580.198 1347649.233 163885288.171 2299.100 7449331.281 -1.524 -159.307
24 23 27754 24656.372 24991.478 2762.522 2762.522 -742.225 53342.719 7631525.369 171516813.540 2319.249 7457252.763 -0.320 -32.271
25 25895.423 25353.056 Cacat 5% 26687.428
α= 0.5
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 27640.500 26691.250 3275.750 3275.750 7072.750 7072.750 10730538.063 25147747.063 3536.375 12573873.531 2.000 3536.375
4 3 23849 28803.750 27747.500 -3898.500 3898.500 3174.250 10971.250 15198302.250 40346049.313 3657.083 13448683.104 0.868 1058.083
5 4 21792 26326.375 27036.938 -5244.938 5244.938 -2070.688 16216.188 27509369.379 67855418.691 4054.047 16963854.673 -0.511 -517.672
6 5 26955 24059.188 25548.063 1406.938 1406.938 -663.750 17623.125 1979473.129 69834891.820 3524.625 13966978.364 -0.188 -132.750
7 6 28043 25507.094 25527.578 2515.422 2515.422 1851.672 20138.547 6327347.209 76162239.030 3356.424 12693706.505 0.552 308.612
8 7 25643 26775.047 26151.313 -508.313 508.313 1343.359 20646.859 258381.598 76420620.627 2949.551 10917231.518 0.455 191.908
9 8 22415 26209.023 26180.168 -3765.168 3765.168 -2421.809 24412.027 14176489.833 90597110.460 3051.503 11324638.808 -0.794 -302.726
10 9 21024 24312.012 25246.090 -4222.090 4222.090 -6643.898 28634.117 17826042.649 108423153.109 3181.569 12047017.012 -2.088 -738.211
11 10 23497 22668.006 23957.048 -460.048 460.048 -7103.946 29094.165 211644.026 108634797.135 2909.417 10863479.713 -2.442 -710.395
12 11 21915 23082.503 23519.775 -1604.775 1604.775 -8708.722 30698.940 2575304.054 111210101.189 2790.813 10110009.199 -3.120 -791.702
13 12 28394 22498.751 23009.263 5384.737 5384.737 -3323.985 36083.677 28995387.953 140205489.142 3006.973 11683790.762 -1.105 -276.999
14 13 22858 25446.376 24227.820 -1369.820 1369.820 -4693.805 37453.497 1876405.682 142081894.824 2881.038 10929376.525 -1.629 -361.062
15 14 27124 24152.188 24190.004 2933.996 2933.996 -1759.808 40387.493 8608334.153 150690228.976 2884.821 10763587.784 -0.610 -125.701
16 15 26835 25638.094 24914.049 1920.951 1920.951 161.143 42308.444 3690053.405 154380282.381 2820.563 10292018.825 0.057 10.743
17 16 26540 26236.547 25575.298 964.702 964.702 1125.845 43273.146 930650.147 155310932.528 2704.572 9706933.283 0.416 70.365
18 17 27122 26388.273 25981.786 1140.214 1140.214 2266.059 44413.360 1300088.672 156611021.200 2612.551 9212413.012 0.867 133.298
19 18 25179 26755.137 26368.461 -1189.461 1189.461 1076.598 45602.822 1414817.984 158025839.184 2533.490 8779213.288 0.425 59.811
20 19 23241 25967.068 26167.765 -2926.765 2926.765 -1850.167 48529.586 8565952.156 166591791.340 2554.189 8767989.018 -0.724 -97.377
21 20 25097 24604.034 25385.899 -288.899 288.899 -2139.066 48818.486 83462.915 166675254.255 2440.924 8333762.713 -0.876 -106.953
22 21 25177 24850.517 25118.208 58.792 58.792 -2080.275 48877.278 3456.465 166678710.720 2327.489 7937081.463 -0.894 -99.061
23 22 24054 25013.759 25065.983 -1011.983 1011.983 -3092.258 49889.261 1024110.440 167702821.160 2267.694 7622855.507 -1.364 -140.557
24 23 27754 24533.879 24799.931 2954.069 2954.069 -138.189 52843.330 8726521.613 176429342.773 2297.536 7670840.990 -0.060 -6.008
25 26143.940 25471.935 Cacat 5% 26812.564
α= 0.6
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 28020.200 27108.920 2858.080 2858.080 6655.080 6655.080 8168621.286 22585830.286 3327.540 11292915.143 2.000 3327.540
4 3 23849 29188.280 28356.536 -4507.536 4507.536 2147.544 11162.616 20317880.791 42903711.078 3720.872 14301237.026 0.577 715.848
5 4 21792 25984.712 26933.442 -5141.442 5141.442 -2993.898 16304.058 26434421.726 69338132.804 4076.014 17334533.201 -0.735 -748.474
6 5 26955 23469.085 24854.828 2100.172 2100.172 -893.725 18404.230 4410724.446 73748857.250 3680.846 14749771.450 -0.243 -178.745
7 6 28043 25560.634 25278.311 2764.689 2764.689 1870.964 21168.919 7643503.276 81392360.526 3528.153 13565393.421 0.530 311.827
8 7 25643 27050.054 26341.357 -698.357 698.357 1172.607 21867.275 487702.059 81880062.585 3123.896 11697151.798 0.375 167.515
9 8 22415 26205.821 26260.036 -3845.036 3845.036 -2672.429 25712.311 14784298.229 96664360.814 3214.039 12083045.102 -0.831 -334.054
10 9 21024 23931.329 24862.811 -3838.811 3838.811 -6511.240 29551.122 14736472.616 111400833.430 3283.458 12377870.381 -1.983 -723.471
11 10 23497 22186.931 23257.283 239.717 239.717 -6271.523 29790.839 57464.049 111458297.479 2979.084 11145829.748 -2.105 -627.152
12 11 21915 22972.973 23086.697 -1171.697 1171.697 -7443.220 30962.536 1372873.631 112831171.110 2814.776 10257379.192 -2.644 -676.656
13 12 28394 22338.189 22637.592 5756.408 5756.408 -1686.813 36718.944 33136231.012 145967402.123 3059.912 12163950.177 -0.551 -140.568
14 13 22858 25971.676 24638.042 -1780.042 1780.042 -3466.855 38498.986 3168550.369 149135952.492 2961.460 11471996.346 -1.171 -266.681
15 14 27124 24103.470 24317.299 2806.701 2806.701 -660.154 41305.687 7877570.268 157013522.760 2950.406 11215251.626 -0.224 -47.154
16 15 26835 25915.788 25276.392 1558.608 1558.608 898.454 42864.294 2429257.415 159442780.175 2857.620 10629518.678 0.314 59.897
17 16 26540 26467.315 25990.946 549.054 549.054 1447.508 43413.348 301460.148 159744240.323 2713.334 9984015.020 0.533 90.469
18 17 27122 26510.926 26302.934 819.066 819.066 2266.573 44232.414 670868.931 160415109.254 2601.907 9436182.897 0.871 133.328
19 18 25179 26877.570 26647.716 -1468.716 1468.716 797.858 45701.130 2157126.416 162572235.670 2538.952 9031790.871 0.314 44.325
20 19 23241 25858.428 26174.143 -2933.143 2933.143 -2135.286 48634.273 8603329.431 171175565.102 2559.699 9009240.269 -0.834 -112.383
21 20 25097 24287.971 25042.440 54.560 54.560 -2080.726 48688.833 2976.786 171178541.888 2434.442 8558927.094 -0.855 -104.036
22 21 25177 24773.389 24881.009 295.991 295.991 -1784.735 48984.824 87610.594 171266152.481 2332.611 8155531.071 -0.765 -84.987
23 22 24054 25015.555 24961.737 -907.737 907.737 -2692.472 49892.561 823986.270 172090138.752 2267.844 7822279.034 -1.187 -122.385
24 23 27754 24438.622 24647.868 3106.132 3106.132 413.660 52998.693 9648055.661 181738194.413 2304.291 7901660.627 0.180 17.985
25 26427.849 25715.857 Cacat 5% 27069.323
α= 0.7
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 28399.900 27602.530 2364.470 2364.470 6161.470 6161.470 5590718.381 20007927.381 3080.735 10003963.690 2.000 3080.735
4 3 23849 29496.870 28928.568 -5079.568 5079.568 1081.902 11241.038 25802011.067 45809938.448 3747.013 15269979.483 0.289 360.634
5 4 21792 25543.361 26558.923 -4766.923 4766.923 -3685.021 16007.961 22723555.841 68533494.289 4001.990 17133373.572 -0.921 -921.255
6 5 26955 22917.408 24009.863 2945.137 2945.137 -739.884 18953.098 8673833.480 77207327.769 3790.620 15441465.554 -0.195 -147.977
7 6 28043 25743.722 25223.565 2819.435 2819.435 2079.552 21772.534 7949216.172 85156543.941 3628.756 14192757.324 0.573 346.592
8 7 25643 27353.217 26714.321 -1071.321 1071.321 1008.231 22843.855 1147728.883 86304272.824 3263.408 12329181.832 0.309 144.033
9 8 22415 26156.065 26323.542 -3908.542 3908.542 -2900.311 26752.397 15276699.351 101580972.175 3344.050 12697621.522 -0.867 -362.539
10 9 21024 23537.320 24373.186 -3349.186 3349.186 -6249.498 30101.583 11217048.259 112798020.434 3344.620 12533113.382 -1.869 -694.389
11 10 23497 21777.996 22556.553 940.447 940.447 -5309.051 31042.030 884440.637 113682461.071 3104.203 11368246.107 -1.710 -530.905
12 11 21915 22981.299 22853.875 -938.875 938.875 -6247.926 31980.905 881486.297 114563947.368 2907.355 10414904.306 -2.149 -567.993
13 12 28394 22234.890 22420.585 5973.415 5973.415 -274.511 37954.320 35681683.851 150245631.219 3162.860 12520469.268 -0.087 -22.876
14 13 22858 26546.267 25308.562 -2450.562 2450.562 -2725.073 40404.882 6005256.050 156250887.269 3108.068 12019299.021 -0.877 -209.621
15 14 27124 23964.480 24367.705 2756.295 2756.295 31.222 43161.177 7597163.423 163848050.692 3082.941 11703432.192 0.010 2.230
16 15 26835 26176.144 25633.612 1201.388 1201.388 1232.610 44362.565 1443332.542 165291383.234 2957.504 11019425.549 0.417 82.174
17 16 26540 26637.343 26336.224 203.776 203.776 1436.386 44566.341 41524.692 165332907.926 2785.396 10333306.745 0.516 89.774
18 17 27122 26569.203 26499.309 622.691 622.691 2059.077 45189.032 387743.772 165720651.698 2658.178 9748273.629 0.775 121.122
19 18 25179 26956.161 26819.105 -1640.105 1640.105 418.971 46829.137 2689945.712 168410597.409 2601.619 9356144.301 0.161 23.276
20 19 23241 25712.148 26044.235 -2803.235 2803.235 -2384.264 49632.373 7858128.739 176268726.148 2612.230 9277301.376 -0.913 -125.488
21 20 25097 23982.344 24600.912 496.088 496.088 -1888.176 50128.461 246103.544 176514829.692 2506.423 8825741.485 -0.753 -94.409
22 21 25177 24762.603 24714.096 462.904 462.904 -1425.272 50591.365 214280.235 176729109.928 2409.113 8415671.901 -0.592 -67.870
23 22 24054 25052.681 24951.105 -897.105 897.105 -2322.377 51488.471 804798.211 177533908.139 2340.385 8069723.097 -0.992 -105.563
24 23 27754 24353.604 24532.855 3221.145 3221.145 898.768 54709.616 10375777.369 187909685.508 2378.679 8169986.326 0.378 39.077
25 26733.881 26073.573 Cacat 5% 27445.867
α= 0.8
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 28779.600 28172.080 1794.920 1794.920 5591.920 5591.920 3221737.806 17638946.806 2795.960 8819473.403 2.000 2795.960
4 3 23849 29729.520 29418.032 -5569.032 5569.032 22.888 11160.952 31014117.417 48653064.223 3720.317 16217688.074 0.006 7.629
5 4 21792 25025.104 25903.690 -4111.690 4111.690 -4088.802 15272.642 16905991.367 65559055.590 3818.160 16389763.898 -1.071 -1022.200
6 5 26955 22438.621 23131.635 3823.365 3823.365 -265.436 19096.007 14618123.288 80177178.878 3819.201 16035435.776 -0.070 -53.087
7 6 28043 26051.724 25467.706 2575.294 2575.294 2309.858 21671.301 6632137.950 86809316.828 3611.883 14468219.471 0.640 384.976
8 7 25643 27644.745 27209.337 -1566.337 1566.337 743.520 23237.638 2453411.953 89262728.782 3319.663 12751818.397 0.224 106.217
9 8 22415 26043.349 26276.547 -3861.547 3861.547 -3118.026 27099.185 14911542.112 104174270.894 3387.398 13021783.862 -0.920 -389.753
10 9 21024 23140.670 23767.845 -2743.845 2743.845 -5861.871 29843.030 7528686.228 111702957.122 3315.892 12411439.680 -1.768 -651.319
11 10 23497 21447.334 21911.436 1585.564 1585.564 -4276.307 31428.593 2514012.571 114216969.693 3142.859 11421696.969 -1.361 -427.631
12 11 21915 23087.067 22851.941 -936.941 936.941 -5213.248 32365.534 877857.825 115094827.517 2942.321 10463166.138 -1.772 -473.932
13 12 28394 22149.413 22289.919 6104.081 6104.081 890.833 38469.615 37259807.037 152354634.554 3205.801 12696219.546 0.278 74.236
14 13 22858 27145.083 26174.050 -3316.050 3316.050 -2425.217 41785.665 10996186.950 163350821.504 3214.282 12565447.808 -0.755 -186.555
15 14 27124 23715.417 24207.143 2916.857 2916.857 491.640 44702.522 8508053.546 171858875.050 3193.037 12275633.932 0.154 35.117
16 15 26835 26442.283 25995.255 839.745 839.745 1331.385 45542.267 705171.183 172564046.233 3036.151 11504269.749 0.439 88.759
17 16 26540 26756.457 26604.216 -64.216 64.216 1267.168 45606.483 4123.744 172568169.977 2850.405 10785510.624 0.445 79.198
18 17 27122 26583.291 26587.476 534.524 534.524 1801.692 46141.007 285715.540 172853885.517 2714.177 10167875.619 0.664 105.982
19 18 25179 27014.258 26928.902 -1749.902 1749.902 51.790 47890.909 3062156.596 175916042.113 2660.606 9773113.451 0.019 2.877
20 19 23241 25546.052 25822.622 -2581.622 2581.622 -2529.832 50472.530 6664770.597 182580812.710 2656.449 9609516.458 -0.952 -133.149
21 20 25097 23702.010 24126.133 970.867 970.867 -1558.964 51443.398 942583.500 183523396.210 2572.170 9176169.810 -0.606 -77.948
22 21 25177 24818.002 24679.628 497.372 497.372 -1061.592 51940.770 247378.734 183770774.943 2473.370 8750989.283 -0.429 -50.552
23 22 24054 25105.200 25020.086 -966.086 966.086 -2027.678 52906.856 933322.092 184704097.036 2404.857 8395640.774 -0.843 -92.167
24 23 27754 24264.240 24415.409 3338.591 3338.591 1310.912 56245.446 11146188.135 195850285.170 2445.454 8515229.790 0.536 56.996
25 27056.048 26527.920 Cacat 5% 27924.127
α= 0.9
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 29159.300 28817.570 1149.430 1149.430 4946.430 4946.430 1321189.325 15738398.325 2473.215 7869199.162 2.000 2473.215
4 3 23849 29886.230 29779.364 -5930.364 5930.364 -983.934 10876.794 35169217.172 50907615.497 3625.598 16969205.166 -0.271 -327.978
5 4 21792 24452.723 24985.387 -3193.387 3193.387 -4177.321 14070.181 10197721.170 61105336.668 3517.545 15276334.167 -1.188 -1044.330
6 5 26955 22058.072 22350.804 4604.196 4604.196 426.875 18674.377 21198622.832 82303959.500 3734.875 16460791.900 0.114 85.375
7 6 28043 26465.307 26053.857 1989.143 1989.143 2416.018 20663.520 3956690.332 86260649.832 3443.920 14376774.972 0.702 402.670
8 7 25643 27885.231 27702.093 -2059.093 2059.093 356.925 22722.614 4239865.380 90500515.212 3246.088 12928645.030 0.110 50.989
9 8 22415 25867.223 26050.710 -3635.710 3635.710 -3278.785 26358.324 13218387.924 103718903.135 3294.790 12964862.892 -0.995 -409.848
10 9 21024 22760.222 23089.271 -2065.271 2065.271 -5344.056 28423.595 4265344.660 107984247.796 3158.177 11998249.755 -1.692 -593.784
11 10 23497 21197.622 21386.787 2110.213 2110.213 -3233.843 30533.808 4452998.415 112437246.210 3053.381 11243724.621 -1.059 -323.384
12 11 21915 23267.062 23079.035 -1164.035 1164.035 -4397.878 31697.843 1354976.812 113792223.022 2881.622 10344747.547 -1.526 -399.807
13 12 28394 22050.206 22153.089 6240.911 6240.911 1843.033 37938.753 38948969.220 152741192.242 3161.563 12728432.687 0.583 153.586
14 13 22858 27759.621 27198.967 -4340.967 4340.967 -2497.935 42279.721 18843998.551 171585190.793 3252.286 13198860.830 -0.768 -192.149
15 14 27124 23348.162 23733.243 3390.757 3390.757 892.823 45670.478 11497235.727 183082426.520 3262.177 13077316.180 0.274 63.773
16 15 26835 26746.416 26445.099 389.901 389.901 1282.724 46060.380 152022.910 183234449.430 3070.692 12215629.962 0.418 85.515
17 16 26540 26826.142 26788.037 -248.037 248.037 1034.687 46308.417 61522.524 183295971.953 2894.276 11455998.247 0.357 64.668
18 17 27122 26568.614 26590.556 531.444 531.444 1566.130 46839.860 282432.215 183578404.168 2755.286 10798729.657 0.568 92.125
19 18 25179 27066.661 27019.051 -1840.051 1840.051 -273.921 48679.911 3385787.398 186964191.566 2704.440 10386899.531 -0.101 -15.218
20 19 23241 25367.766 25532.895 -2291.895 2291.895 -2565.815 50971.806 5252780.948 192216972.514 2682.727 10116682.764 -0.956 -135.043
21 20 25097 23453.677 23661.598 1435.402 1435.402 -1130.414 52407.207 2060377.711 194277350.225 2620.360 9713867.511 -0.431 -56.521
22 21 25177 24932.668 24805.561 371.439 371.439 -758.975 52778.647 137967.126 194415317.351 2513.269 9257872.255 -0.302 -36.142
23 22 24054 25152.567 25117.866 -1063.866 1063.866 -1822.841 53842.513 1131811.213 195547128.564 2447.387 8888505.844 -0.745 -82.856
24 23 27754 24163.857 24259.258 3494.742 3494.742 1671.902 57337.255 12213224.266 207760352.830 2492.924 9033058.819 0.671 72.691
25 27394.986 27081.413 Cacat 5% 28506.750
Double Exponential Smoothing Sepatu Gunung
α= 0.1
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
Tracking Signal Metode DES
3 2 17710 18175.800 17916.780 -206.780 206.780 2671.220 3084.780 42757.968 8325641.968 1542.390 4162820.984 1.732 1335.610 4.000
4 3 15684 18129.220 17938.024 -2254.024 2254.024 417.196 5338.804 5080624.193 13406266.161 1779.601 4468755.387 0.234 139.065
5 4 15529 17884.698 17932.691 -2403.691 2403.691 -1986.495 7742.495 5777732.346 19183998.507 1935.624 4795999.627 -1.026 -496.624 3.000
6 5 18618 17649.128 17904.335 713.665 713.665 -1272.830 8456.160 509317.618 19693316.125 1691.232 3938663.225 -0.753 -254.566
2.000
7 6 19254 17746.015 17888.503 1365.497 1365.497 92.666 9821.657 1864581.757 21557897.882 1636.943 3592982.980 0.057 15.444
8 7 19014 17896.814 17889.334 1124.666 1124.666 1217.332 10946.323 1264873.199 22822771.082 1563.760 3260395.869 0.778 173.905
1.000
9 8 21991 18008.532 17901.254 4089.746 4089.746 5307.078 15036.069 16726022.257 39548793.339 1879.509 4943599.167 2.824 663.385
10 9 17851 18406.779 17951.807 -100.807 100.807 5206.272 15136.876 10161.957 39558955.296 1681.875 4395439.477 3.096 578.475 0.000
11 10 17851 18351.201 17991.746 -140.746 140.746 5065.526 15277.622 19809.438 39578764.734 1527.762 3957876.473 3.316 506.553 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
12 11 15765 18301.181 18022.690 -2257.690 2257.690 2807.836 17535.311 5097161.979 44675926.713 1594.119 4061447.883 1.761 255.258 -1.000
13 12 16346 18047.563 18025.177 -1679.177 1679.177 1128.659 19214.488 2819634.976 47495561.689 1601.207 3957963.474 0.705 94.055
14 13 20282 17877.407 18010.400 2271.600 2271.600 3400.259 21486.088 5160167.190 52655728.880 1652.776 4050440.683 2.057 261.558 -2.000
15 14 15999 18117.866 18021.146 -2022.146 2022.146 1378.113 23508.235 4089076.394 56744805.274 1679.160 4053200.377 0.821 98.437
16 15 18560 17905.979 18009.630 550.370 550.370 1928.483 24058.605 302907.379 57047712.653 1603.907 3803180.844 1.202 128.566 -3.000
17 16 18148 17971.382 18005.805 142.195 142.195 2070.678 24200.800 20219.431 57067932.084 1512.550 3566745.755 1.369 129.417
18 17 16495 17989.043 18004.129 -1509.129 1509.129 561.549 25709.929 2277469.717 59345401.801 1512.349 3490905.988 0.371 33.032 -4.000
19 18 18974 17839.639 17987.680 986.320 986.320 1547.870 26696.249 972827.503 60318229.304 1483.125 3351012.739 1.044 85.993
20 19 18013 17953.075 17984.219 28.781 28.781 1576.650 26725.029 828.326 60319057.630 1406.580 3174687.244 1.121 82.982
21 20 19472 17959.068 17981.704 1490.296 1490.296 3066.946 28215.325 2220981.648 62540039.278 1410.766 3127001.964 2.174 153.347
22 21 17445 18110.361 17994.570 -549.570 549.570 2517.376 28764.895 302027.011 62842066.289 1369.757 2992479.347 1.838 119.875
23 22 18709 18043.825 17999.495 709.505 709.505 3226.881 29474.400 503396.871 63345463.160 1339.745 2879339.235 2.409 146.676
24 23 19549 18110.342 18010.580 1538.420 1538.420 4765.301 31012.820 2366736.005 65712199.165 1348.383 2857052.138 3.534 207.187
25 18254.208 18034.943 Cacat 5% 18984.150
α= 0.2
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 18463.600 18003.120 -293.120 293.120 2584.880 3171.120 85919.334 8368803.334 1585.560 4184401.667 1.630 1292.440
4 3 15684 18312.880 18065.072 -2381.072 2381.072 203.808 5552.192 5669503.869 14038307.204 1850.731 4679435.735 0.110 67.936
5 4 15529 17787.104 18009.478 -2480.478 2480.478 -2276.670 8032.670 6152773.093 20191080.296 2008.168 5047770.074 -1.134 -569.168
6 5 18618 17335.483 17874.679 743.321 743.321 -1533.350 8775.991 552525.574 20743605.870 1755.198 4148721.174 -0.874 -306.670
7 6 19254 17591.987 17818.141 1435.859 1435.859 -97.491 10211.850 2061691.642 22805297.513 1701.975 3800882.919 -0.057 -16.248
8 7 19014 17924.389 17839.390 1174.610 1174.610 1077.119 11386.460 1379707.502 24185005.014 1626.637 3455000.716 0.662 153.874
9 8 21991 18142.311 17899.975 4091.025 4091.025 5168.144 15477.485 16736488.240 40921493.254 1934.686 5115186.657 2.671 646.018
10 9 17851 18912.049 18102.390 -251.390 251.390 4916.755 15728.875 63196.711 40984689.965 1747.653 4553854.441 2.813 546.306
11 10 17851 18699.839 18221.880 -370.880 370.880 4545.875 16099.754 137551.609 41122241.575 1609.975 4112224.157 2.824 454.588
12 11 15765 18530.071 18283.518 -2518.518 2518.518 2027.357 18618.272 6342932.379 47465173.954 1692.570 4315015.814 1.198 184.305
13 12 16346 17977.057 18222.226 -1876.226 1876.226 151.132 20494.498 3520223.044 50985396.998 1707.875 4248783.083 0.088 12.594
14 13 20282 17650.846 18107.950 2174.050 2174.050 2325.182 22668.548 4726494.536 55711891.533 1743.734 4285530.118 1.333 178.860
15 14 15999 18177.077 18121.775 -2122.775 2122.775 202.407 24791.323 4506174.153 60218065.686 1770.809 4301290.406 0.114 14.458
16 15 18560 17741.461 18045.712 514.288 514.288 716.694 25305.611 264491.800 60482557.486 1687.041 4032170.499 0.425 47.780
17 16 18148 17905.169 18017.604 130.396 130.396 847.091 25436.007 17003.203 60499560.689 1589.750 3781222.543 0.533 52.943
18 17 16495 17953.735 18004.830 -1509.830 1509.830 -662.739 26945.837 2279586.564 62779147.253 1585.049 3692891.015 -0.418 -38.985
19 18 18974 17661.988 17936.262 1037.738 1037.738 374.999 27983.576 1076900.954 63856048.207 1554.643 3547558.234 0.241 20.833
20 19 18013 17924.391 17933.887 79.113 79.113 454.112 28062.688 6258.804 63862307.010 1476.984 3361174.053 0.307 23.901
21 20 19472 17942.112 17935.532 1536.468 1536.468 1990.579 29599.156 2360732.672 66223039.683 1479.958 3311151.984 1.345 99.529
22 21 17445 18248.090 17998.044 -553.044 553.044 1437.535 30152.200 305857.568 66528897.251 1435.819 3168042.726 1.001 68.454
23 22 18709 18087.472 18015.930 693.070 693.070 2130.606 30845.270 480346.691 67009243.941 1402.058 3045874.725 1.520 96.846
24 23 19549 18211.778 18055.099 1493.901 1493.901 3624.507 32339.171 2231739.815 69240983.756 1406.051 3010477.555 2.578 157.587
25 18479.222 18139.924 Cacat 5% 19094.657
α= 0.3
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 18751.400 18147.020 -437.020 437.020 2440.980 3315.020 190986.480 8473870.480 1657.510 4236935.240 1.473 1220.490
4 3 15684 18438.980 18234.608 -2550.608 2550.608 -109.628 5865.628 6505601.170 14979471.650 1955.209 4993157.217 -0.056 -36.543
5 4 15529 17612.486 18047.971 -2518.971 2518.971 -2628.599 8384.599 6345216.914 21324688.564 2096.150 5331172.141 -1.254 -657.150
6 5 18618 16987.440 17729.812 888.188 888.188 -1740.411 9272.787 788877.852 22113566.416 1854.557 4422713.283 -0.938 -348.082
7 6 19254 17476.608 17653.851 1600.149 1600.149 -140.262 10872.936 2560477.238 24674043.655 1812.156 4112340.609 -0.077 -23.377
8 7 19014 18009.826 17760.643 1253.357 1253.357 1113.094 12126.293 1570902.971 26244946.626 1732.328 3749278.089 0.643 159.013
9 8 21991 18311.078 17925.774 4065.226 4065.226 5178.321 16191.519 16526064.712 42771011.338 2023.940 5346376.417 2.559 647.290
10 9 17851 19415.055 18372.558 -521.558 521.558 4656.763 16713.077 272022.728 43043034.066 1857.009 4782559.341 2.508 517.418
11 10 17851 18945.838 18544.542 -693.542 693.542 3963.221 17406.619 481000.577 43524034.642 1740.662 4352403.464 2.277 396.322
12 11 15765 18617.387 18566.395 -2801.395 2801.395 1161.825 20208.015 7847816.528 51371851.171 1837.092 4670168.288 0.632 105.620
13 12 16346 17761.671 18324.978 -1978.978 1978.978 -817.153 22186.993 3916354.083 55288205.254 1848.916 4607350.438 -0.442 -68.096
14 13 20282 17336.970 18028.575 2253.425 2253.425 1436.272 24440.418 5077922.066 60366127.320 1880.032 4643548.255 0.764 110.482
15 14 15999 18220.479 18086.146 -2087.146 2087.146 -650.875 26527.564 4356180.232 64722307.552 1894.826 4623021.968 -0.344 -46.491
16 15 18560 17554.035 17926.513 633.487 633.487 -17.388 27161.051 401305.753 65123613.305 1810.737 4341574.220 -0.010 -1.159
17 16 18148 17855.825 17905.306 242.694 242.694 225.306 27403.744 58900.146 65182513.451 1712.734 4073907.091 0.132 14.082
18 17 16495 17943.477 17916.758 -1421.758 1421.758 -1196.452 28825.502 2021394.922 67203908.373 1695.618 3953171.081 -0.706 -70.380
19 18 18974 17508.934 17794.411 1179.589 1179.589 -16.863 30005.092 1391431.179 68595339.552 1666.950 3810852.197 -0.010 -0.937
20 19 18013 17948.454 17840.624 172.376 172.376 155.514 30177.468 29713.638 68625053.190 1588.288 3611844.905 0.098 8.185
21 20 19472 17967.818 17878.782 1593.218 1593.218 1748.732 31770.686 2538344.259 71163397.449 1588.534 3558169.872 1.101 87.437
22 21 17445 18419.072 18040.869 -595.869 595.869 1152.863 32366.555 355059.824 71518457.273 1541.265 3405640.823 0.748 54.898
23 22 18709 18126.851 18066.663 642.337 642.337 1795.200 33008.892 412596.213 71931053.486 1500.404 3269593.340 1.196 81.600
24 23 19549 18301.495 18137.113 1411.887 1411.887 3207.087 34420.779 1993424.703 73924478.189 1496.556 3214107.747 2.143 139.439
25 18675.747 18298.703 Cacat 5% 19261.793
α= 0.4
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19039.200 18348.480 -638.480 638.480 2239.520 3516.480 407656.710 8690540.710 1758.240 4345270.355 1.274 1119.760
4 3 15684 18507.520 18412.096 -2728.096 2728.096 -488.576 6244.576 7442507.785 16133048.496 2081.525 5377682.832 -0.235 -162.859
5 4 15529 17378.112 17998.502 -2469.502 2469.502 -2958.078 8714.078 6098442.104 22231490.599 2178.520 5557872.650 -1.358 -739.520
6 5 18618 16638.467 17454.488 1163.512 1163.512 -1794.567 9877.590 1353759.429 23585250.029 1975.518 4717050.006 -0.908 -358.913
7 6 19254 17430.280 17444.805 1809.195 1809.195 14.628 11686.785 3273186.114 26858436.143 1947.797 4476406.024 0.008 2.438
8 7 19014 18159.768 17730.790 1283.210 1283.210 1297.838 12969.995 1646627.009 28505063.151 1852.856 4072151.879 0.700 185.405
9 8 21991 18501.461 18039.059 3951.941 3951.941 5249.779 16921.936 15617841.024 44122904.175 2115.242 5515363.022 2.482 656.222
10 9 17851 19897.277 18782.346 -931.346 931.346 4318.433 17853.282 867404.934 44990309.109 1983.698 4998923.234 2.177 479.826
11 10 17851 19078.766 18900.914 -1049.914 1049.914 3268.520 18903.196 1102319.052 46092628.161 1890.320 4609262.816 1.729 326.852
12 11 15765 18587.660 18775.612 -3010.612 3010.612 257.908 21913.808 9063785.346 55156413.507 1992.164 5014219.410 0.129 23.446
13 12 16346 17458.596 18248.806 -1902.806 1902.806 -1644.898 23816.613 3620669.025 58777082.532 1984.718 4898090.211 -0.829 -137.075
14 13 20282 17013.557 17754.706 2527.294 2527.294 882.396 26343.907 6387213.363 65164295.895 2026.454 5012638.146 0.435 67.877
15 14 15999 18320.934 17981.198 -1982.198 1982.198 -1099.802 28326.105 3929107.229 69093403.124 2023.293 4935243.080 -0.544 -78.557
16 15 18560 17392.161 17745.583 814.417 814.417 -285.385 29140.522 663275.348 69756678.472 1942.701 4650445.231 -0.147 -19.026
17 16 18148 17859.296 17791.068 356.932 356.932 71.547 29497.454 127400.272 69884078.744 1843.591 4367754.922 0.039 4.472
18 17 16495 17974.778 17864.552 -1369.552 1369.552 -1298.005 30867.006 1875672.926 71759751.670 1815.706 4221161.863 -0.715 -76.353
19 18 18974 17382.867 17671.878 1302.122 1302.122 4.117 32169.128 1695521.869 73455273.539 1787.174 4080848.530 0.002 0.229
20 19 18013 18019.320 17810.855 202.145 202.145 206.262 32371.273 40862.693 73496136.232 1703.751 3868217.696 0.121 10.856
21 20 19472 18016.792 17893.230 1578.770 1578.770 1785.033 33950.043 2492515.759 75988651.992 1697.502 3799432.600 1.052 89.252
22 21 17445 18598.875 18175.488 -730.488 730.488 1054.545 34680.531 533612.550 76522264.541 1651.454 3643917.359 0.639 50.216
23 22 18709 18137.325 18160.223 548.777 548.777 1603.322 35229.308 301156.436 76823420.977 1601.332 3491973.681 1.001 72.878
24 23 19549 18365.995 18242.532 1306.468 1306.468 2909.790 36535.777 1706859.423 78530280.400 1588.512 3414360.017 1.832 126.513
25 18839.197 18481.198 Cacat 5% 19453.892
α= 0.5
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19327.000 18607.500 -897.500 897.500 1980.500 3775.500 805506.250 9088390.250 1887.750 4544195.125 1.049 990.250
4 3 15684 18518.500 18563.000 -2879.000 2879.000 -898.500 6654.500 8288641.000 17377031.250 2218.167 5792343.750 -0.405 -299.500
5 4 15529 17101.250 17832.125 -2303.125 2303.125 -3201.625 8957.625 5304384.766 22681416.016 2239.406 5670354.004 -1.430 -800.406
6 5 18618 16315.125 17073.625 1544.375 1544.375 -1657.250 10502.000 2385094.141 25066510.156 2100.400 5013302.031 -0.789 -331.450
7 6 19254 17466.563 17270.094 1983.906 1983.906 326.656 12485.906 3935884.009 29002394.165 2080.984 4833732.361 0.157 54.443
8 7 19014 18360.281 17815.188 1198.813 1198.813 1525.469 13684.719 1437151.410 30439545.575 1954.960 4348506.511 0.780 217.924
9 8 21991 18687.141 18251.164 3739.836 3739.836 5265.305 17424.555 13986372.839 44425918.415 2178.069 5553239.802 2.417 658.163
10 9 17851 20339.070 19295.117 -1444.117 1444.117 3821.188 18868.672 2085474.451 46511392.866 2096.519 5167932.541 1.823 424.576
11 10 17851 19095.035 19195.076 -1344.076 1344.076 2477.111 20212.748 1806540.756 48317933.622 2021.275 4831793.362 1.226 247.711
12 11 15765 18473.018 18834.047 -3069.047 3069.047 -591.936 23281.795 9419048.721 57736982.343 2116.527 5248816.577 -0.280 -53.812
13 12 16346 17119.009 17976.528 -1630.528 1630.528 -2222.463 24912.323 2658621.011 60395603.354 2076.027 5032966.946 -1.071 -185.205
14 13 20282 16732.504 17354.516 2927.484 2927.484 705.021 27839.807 8570161.907 68965765.261 2141.524 5305058.866 0.329 54.232
15 14 15999 18507.252 17930.884 -1931.884 1931.884 -1226.864 29771.691 3732176.389 72697941.650 2126.549 5192710.118 -0.577 -87.633
16 15 18560 17253.126 17592.005 967.995 967.995 -258.869 30739.686 937014.074 73634955.724 2049.312 4908997.048 -0.126 -17.258
17 16 18148 17906.563 17749.284 398.716 398.716 139.847 31138.402 158974.378 73793930.103 1946.150 4612120.631 0.072 8.740
18 17 16495 18027.282 17888.283 -1393.283 1393.283 -1253.436 32531.684 1941236.979 75735167.081 1913.628 4455009.828 -0.655 -73.732
19 18 18974 17261.141 17574.712 1399.288 1399.288 145.853 33930.973 1958007.510 77693174.592 1885.054 4316287.477 0.077 8.103
20 19 18013 18117.570 17846.141 166.859 166.859 312.711 34097.832 27841.898 77721016.490 1794.623 4090579.815 0.174 16.458
21 20 19472 18065.285 17955.713 1516.287 1516.287 1828.998 35614.118 2299125.852 80020142.342 1780.706 4001007.117 1.027 91.450
22 21 17445 18768.643 18362.178 -917.178 917.178 911.820 36531.296 841215.238 80861357.580 1739.586 3850540.837 0.524 43.420
23 22 18709 18106.821 18234.500 474.500 474.500 1386.321 37005.797 225150.647 81086508.227 1682.082 3685750.374 0.824 63.015
24 23 19549 18407.911 18321.205 1227.795 1227.795 2614.116 38233.592 1507480.279 82593988.505 1662.330 3591042.978 1.573 113.657
25 18978.455 18649.830 Cacat 5% 19631.400
α= 0.6
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19614.800 18924.080 -1214.080 1214.080 1663.920 4092.080 1473990.246 9756874.246 2046.040 4878437.123 0.813 831.960
4 3 15684 18471.920 18652.784 -2968.784 2968.784 -1304.864 7060.864 8813678.439 18570552.685 2353.621 6190184.228 -0.554 -434.955
5 4 15529 16799.168 17540.614 -2011.614 2011.614 -3316.478 9072.478 4046592.494 22617145.179 2268.120 5654286.295 -1.462 -829.120
6 5 18618 16037.067 16638.486 1979.514 1979.514 -1336.964 11051.992 3918475.359 26535620.539 2210.398 5307124.108 -0.605 -267.393
7 6 19254 17585.627 17206.771 2047.229 2047.229 710.265 13099.222 4191148.380 30726768.919 2183.204 5121128.153 0.325 118.377
8 7 19014 18586.651 18034.699 979.301 979.301 1689.566 14078.523 959031.085 31685800.004 2011.218 4526542.858 0.840 241.367
9 8 21991 18843.060 18519.716 3471.284 3471.284 5160.851 17549.807 12049815.035 43735615.038 2193.726 5466951.880 2.353 645.106
10 9 17851 20731.824 19846.981 -1995.981 1995.981 3164.870 19545.788 3983939.084 47719554.122 2171.754 5302172.680 1.457 351.652
11 10 17851 19003.330 19340.790 -1489.790 1489.790 1675.080 21035.578 2219474.488 49939028.610 2103.558 4993902.861 0.796 167.508
12 11 15765 18311.932 18723.475 -2958.475 2958.475 -1283.395 23994.053 8752575.203 58691603.813 2181.278 5335600.347 -0.588 -116.672
13 12 16346 16783.773 17559.654 -1213.654 1213.654 -2497.049 25207.707 1472955.317 60164559.130 2100.642 5013713.261 -1.189 -208.087
14 13 20282 16521.109 16936.527 3345.473 3345.473 848.424 28553.180 11192189.990 71356749.121 2196.398 5488980.702 0.386 65.263
15 14 15999 18777.644 18041.197 -2042.197 2042.197 -1193.773 30595.377 4170568.422 75527317.543 2185.384 5394808.396 -0.546 -85.269
16 15 18560 17110.457 17482.753 1077.247 1077.247 -116.526 31672.624 1160460.545 76687778.088 2111.508 5112518.539 -0.055 -7.768
17 16 18148 17980.183 17781.211 366.789 366.789 250.263 32039.413 134534.103 76822312.191 2002.463 4801394.512 0.125 15.641
18 17 16495 18080.873 17961.008 -1466.008 1466.008 -1215.746 33505.421 2149180.490 78971492.681 1970.907 4645381.922 -0.617 -71.514
19 18 18974 17129.349 17462.013 1511.987 1511.987 296.241 35017.408 2286104.968 81257597.649 1945.412 4514310.980 0.152 16.458
20 19 18013 18236.140 17926.489 86.511 86.511 382.752 35103.919 7484.155 81265081.804 1847.575 4277109.569 0.207 20.145
21 20 19472 18102.256 18031.949 1440.051 1440.051 1822.803 36543.970 2073746.519 83338828.323 1827.199 4166941.416 0.998 91.140
22 21 17445 18924.102 18567.241 -1122.241 1122.241 700.562 37666.211 1259425.003 84598253.326 1793.629 4028488.254 0.391 33.360
23 22 18709 18036.641 18248.881 460.119 460.119 1160.681 38126.330 211709.503 84809962.829 1733.015 3854998.310 0.670 52.758
24 23 19549 18440.056 18363.586 1185.414 1185.414 2346.095 39311.744 1405205.825 86215168.654 1709.206 3748485.594 1.373 102.004
25 19105.423 18808.688 Cacat 5% 19798.619
α= 0.7
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19902.600 19298.220 -1588.220 1588.220 1289.780 4466.220 2522442.768 10805326.768 2233.110 5402663.384 0.578 644.890
4 3 15684 18367.780 18646.912 -2962.912 2962.912 -1673.132 7429.132 8778847.520 19584174.288 2476.377 6528058.096 -0.676 -557.711
5 4 15529 16489.134 17136.467 -1607.467 1607.467 -3280.599 9036.599 2583951.442 22168125.730 2259.150 5542031.433 -1.452 -820.150
6 5 18618 15817.040 16212.868 2405.132 2405.132 -875.468 11441.731 5784658.206 27952783.936 2288.346 5590556.787 -0.383 -175.094
7 6 19254 17777.712 17308.259 1945.741 1945.741 1070.273 13387.472 3785908.234 31738692.170 2231.245 5289782.028 0.480 178.379
8 7 19014 18811.114 18360.257 653.743 653.743 1724.016 14041.215 427379.626 32166071.795 2005.888 4595153.114 0.859 246.288
9 8 21991 18953.134 18775.271 3215.729 3215.729 4939.745 17256.944 10340912.840 42506984.635 2157.118 5313373.079 2.290 617.468
10 9 17851 21079.640 20388.329 -2537.329 2537.329 2402.416 19794.273 6438040.816 48945025.452 2199.364 5438336.161 1.092 266.935
11 10 17851 18819.592 19290.213 -1439.213 1439.213 963.202 21233.487 2071334.886 51016360.337 2123.349 5101636.034 0.454 96.320
12 11 15765 18141.578 18486.168 -2721.168 2721.168 -1757.966 23954.655 7404757.028 58421117.365 2177.696 5311010.670 -0.807 -159.815
13 12 16346 16477.973 17080.432 -734.432 734.432 -2492.398 24689.087 539390.064 58960507.428 2057.424 4913375.619 -1.211 -207.700
14 13 20282 16385.592 16594.044 3687.956 3687.956 1195.558 28377.043 13601019.982 72561527.410 2182.849 5581655.955 0.548 91.966
15 14 15999 19113.078 18357.367 -2358.367 2358.367 -1162.809 30735.410 5561897.245 78123424.655 2195.386 5580244.618 -0.530 -83.058
16 15 18560 16933.223 17360.467 1199.533 1199.533 36.724 31934.944 1438880.512 79562305.167 2128.996 5304153.678 0.017 2.448
17 16 18148 18071.967 17858.517 289.483 289.483 326.207 32224.427 83800.493 79646105.660 2014.027 4977881.604 0.162 20.388
18 17 16495 18125.190 18045.188 -1550.188 1550.188 -1223.981 33774.615 2403083.214 82049188.874 1986.742 4826422.875 -0.616 -71.999
19 18 18974 16984.057 17302.396 1671.604 1671.604 447.623 35446.219 2794258.741 84843447.615 1969.234 4713524.867 0.227 24.868
20 19 18013 18377.017 18054.631 -41.631 41.631 405.992 35487.850 1733.130 84845180.745 1867.782 4465535.829 0.217 21.368
21 20 19472 18122.205 18101.933 1370.067 1370.067 1776.059 36857.917 1877083.974 86722264.720 1842.896 4336113.236 0.964 88.803
22 21 17445 19067.062 18777.523 -1332.523 1332.523 443.536 38190.440 1775617.373 88497882.092 1818.592 4214184.862 0.244 21.121
23 22 18709 17931.618 18185.390 523.610 523.610 967.146 38714.050 274167.637 88772049.730 1759.730 4035093.170 0.550 43.961
24 23 19549 18475.786 18388.667 1160.333 1160.333 2127.480 39874.383 1346373.093 90118422.823 1733.669 3918192.297 1.227 92.499
25 19227.036 18975.525 Cacat 5% 19974.237
α= 0.8
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 20190.400 19729.920 -2019.920 2019.920 858.080 4897.920 4080076.806 12362960.806 2448.960 6181480.403 0.350 429.040
4 3 15684 18206.080 18510.848 -2826.848 2826.848 -1968.768 7724.768 7991069.615 20354030.422 2574.923 6784676.807 -0.765 -656.256
5 4 15529 16188.416 16652.902 -1123.902 1123.902 -3092.670 8848.670 1263156.605 21617187.026 2212.168 5404296.757 -1.398 -773.168
6 5 18618 15660.883 15859.287 2758.713 2758.713 -333.957 11607.383 7610497.196 29227684.222 2321.477 5845536.844 -0.144 -66.791
7 6 19254 18026.577 17593.119 1660.881 1660.881 1326.924 13268.265 2758526.626 31986210.848 2211.377 5331035.141 0.600 221.154
8 7 19014 19008.515 18725.436 288.564 288.564 1615.488 13556.829 83269.178 32069480.027 1936.690 4581354.290 0.834 230.784
9 8 21991 19012.903 18955.410 3035.590 3035.590 4651.078 16592.419 9214808.750 41284288.777 2074.052 5160536.097 2.243 581.385
10 9 17851 21395.381 20907.386 -3056.386 3056.386 1594.692 19648.805 9341497.956 50625786.733 2183.201 5625087.415 0.730 177.188
11 10 17851 18559.876 19029.378 -1178.378 1178.378 416.314 20827.184 1388575.141 52014361.873 2082.718 5201436.187 0.200 41.631
12 11 15765 17992.775 18200.096 -2435.096 2435.096 -2018.782 23262.279 5929691.634 57944053.507 2114.753 5267641.228 -0.955 -183.526
13 12 16346 16210.555 16608.463 -262.463 262.463 -2281.245 23524.743 68886.931 58012940.438 1960.395 4834411.703 -1.164 -190.104
14 13 20282 16318.911 16376.821 3905.179 3905.179 1623.933 27429.921 15250419.531 73263359.969 2109.994 5635643.075 0.770 124.918
15 14 15999 19489.382 18866.870 -2867.870 2867.870 -1243.937 30297.791 8224678.629 81488038.597 2164.128 5820574.186 -0.575 -88.853
16 15 18560 16697.076 17131.035 1428.965 1428.965 185.028 31726.756 2041940.507 83529979.104 2115.117 5568665.274 0.087 12.335
17 16 18148 18187.415 17976.139 171.861 171.861 356.889 31898.617 29536.113 83559515.217 1993.664 5222469.701 0.179 22.306
18 17 16495 18155.883 18119.934 -1624.934 1624.934 -1268.046 33523.551 2640411.475 86199926.692 1971.974 5070583.923 -0.643 -74.591
19 18 18974 16827.177 17085.728 1888.272 1888.272 620.226 35411.823 3565570.583 89765497.275 1967.323 4986972.071 0.315 34.457
20 19 18013 18544.635 18252.854 -239.854 239.854 380.372 35651.677 57529.887 89823027.163 1876.404 4727527.745 0.203 20.020
21 20 19472 18119.327 18146.032 1325.968 1325.968 1706.340 36977.644 1758189.999 91581217.162 1848.882 4579060.858 0.923 85.317
22 21 17445 19201.465 18990.379 -1545.379 1545.379 160.961 38523.023 2388195.685 93969412.847 1834.430 4474733.945 0.088 7.665
23 22 18709 17796.293 18035.110 673.890 673.890 834.851 39196.913 454127.423 94423540.270 1781.678 4291979.103 0.469 37.948
24 23 19549 18526.459 18428.189 1120.811 1120.811 1955.662 40317.724 1256217.434 95679757.705 1752.945 4159989.465 1.116 85.029
25 19344.492 19161.231 Cacat 5% 20169.717
α= 0.9
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 20478.200 20219.180 -2509.180 2509.180 368.820 5387.180 6295984.272 14578868.272 2693.590 7289434.136 0.137 184.410
4 3 15684 17986.820 18210.056 -2526.056 2526.056 -2157.236 7913.236 6380958.915 20959827.188 2637.745 6986609.063 -0.818 -719.079
5 4 15529 15914.282 16143.859 -614.859 614.859 -2772.095 8528.095 378052.082 21337879.269 2132.024 5334469.817 -1.300 -693.024
6 5 18618 15567.528 15625.161 2992.839 2992.839 220.743 11520.934 8957083.365 30294962.634 2304.187 6058992.527 0.096 44.149
7 6 19254 18312.953 18044.174 1209.826 1209.826 1430.570 12730.760 1463679.749 31758642.383 2121.793 5293107.064 0.674 238.428
8 7 19014 19159.895 19048.323 -34.323 34.323 1396.246 12765.084 1178.077 31759820.459 1823.583 4537117.208 0.766 199.464
9 8 21991 19028.590 19030.563 2960.437 2960.437 4356.684 15725.521 8764187.897 40524008.356 1965.690 5065501.045 2.216 544.585
10 9 17851 21694.759 21428.339 -3577.339 3577.339 779.344 19302.860 12797356.798 53321365.155 2144.762 5924596.128 0.363 86.594
11 10 17851 18235.376 18554.672 -703.672 703.672 75.672 20006.532 495154.622 53816519.777 2000.653 5381651.978 0.038 7.567
12 11 15765 17889.438 17955.961 -2190.961 2190.961 -2115.289 22197.493 4800310.343 58616830.120 2017.954 5328802.738 -1.048 -192.299
13 12 16346 15977.444 16175.295 170.705 170.705 -1944.585 22368.198 29140.030 58645970.150 1864.016 4887164.179 -1.043 -162.049
14 13 20282 16309.144 16295.759 3986.241 3986.241 2041.656 26354.438 15890113.426 74536083.576 2027.264 5733544.890 1.007 157.050
15 14 15999 19884.714 19525.819 -3526.819 3526.819 -1485.163 29881.257 12438451.854 86974535.430 2134.376 6212466.816 -0.696 -106.083
16 15 18560 16387.571 16701.396 1858.604 1858.604 373.441 31739.861 3454408.109 90428943.539 2115.991 6028596.236 0.176 24.896
17 16 18148 18342.757 18178.621 -30.621 30.621 342.820 31770.482 937.649 90429881.187 1985.655 5651867.574 0.173 21.426
18 17 16495 18167.476 18168.590 -1673.590 1673.590 -1330.770 33444.072 2800904.318 93230785.505 1967.298 5484163.853 -0.676 -78.281
19 18 18974 16662.248 16812.882 2161.118 2161.118 830.348 35605.191 4670431.705 97901217.211 1978.066 5438956.512 0.420 46.130
20 19 18013 18742.825 18549.830 -536.830 536.830 293.517 36142.021 288186.949 98189404.159 1902.212 5167863.377 0.154 15.448
21 20 19472 18085.982 18132.367 1339.633 1339.633 1633.150 37481.654 1794615.839 99984019.998 1874.083 4999201.000 0.871 81.657
22 21 17445 19333.398 19213.295 -1768.295 1768.295 -135.145 39249.949 3126867.739 103110887.736 1869.045 4910042.273 -0.072 -6.435
23 22 18709 17633.840 17791.785 917.215 917.215 782.069 40167.163 841282.701 103952170.437 1825.780 4725098.656 0.428 35.549
24 23 19549 18601.484 18520.514 1028.486 1028.486 1810.555 41195.649 1057783.205 105009953.643 1791.115 4565650.158 1.011 78.720
25 19454.248 19360.875 Cacat 5% 20379.868
Adaptive Exponential Smoothing Sandal Gunung
α= 0.05
Bulan Demand A(t) F(t) e(t) |e(t)| ∑ e(t) ∑ |e(t)| e(t) 2 ∑ e(t)2 MAD MSD TS Bias
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Tracking Signal Metode AES
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 25931.850 4035.150 4035.150 7832.150 7832.150 16282435.523 30699644.523 3916.075 15349822.261 2.000 3916.075 4.000
4 3 23849 26133.608 -2284.608 2284.608 5547.543 10116.758 5219431.429 35919075.952 3372.253 11973025.317 1.645 1849.181
3.000
5 4 21792 26019.377 -4227.377 4227.377 1320.165 14344.135 17870717.357 53789793.309 3586.034 13447448.327 0.368 330.041
6 5 26955 25808.008 1146.992 1146.992 2467.157 15491.126 1315590.032 55105383.340 3098.225 11021076.668 0.796 493.431
2.000
7 6 28043 25865.358 2177.642 2177.642 4644.799 17668.769 4742125.310 59847508.650 2944.795 9974584.775 1.577 774.133
8 7 25643 25974.240 -331.240 331.240 4313.559 18000.008 109719.913 59957228.563 2571.430 8565318.366 1.677 616.223 1.000
9 8 22415 25957.678 -3542.678 3542.678 770.881 21542.686 12550567.160 72507795.723 2692.836 9063474.465 0.286 96.360
10 9 21024 25780.544 -4756.544 4756.544 -3985.663 26299.230 22624711.454 95132507.176 2922.137 10570278.575 -1.364 -442.851 0.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
11 10 23497 25542.717 -2045.717 2045.717 -6031.380 28344.947 4184957.483 99317464.660 2834.495 9931746.466 -2.128 -603.138
12 11 21915 25440.431 -3525.431 3525.431 -9556.811 31870.378 12428663.875 111746128.535 2897.307 10158738.958 -3.299 -868.801 -1.000
13 12 28394 25264.159 3129.841 3129.841 -6426.970 35000.219 9795901.751 121542030.286 2916.685 10128502.524 -2.204 -535.581
14 13 22858 25420.651 -2562.651 2562.651 -8989.622 37562.870 6567182.686 128109212.972 2889.452 9854554.844 -3.111 -691.509 -2.000
15 14 27124 25292.519 1831.481 1831.481 -7158.141 39394.351 3354322.944 131463535.916 2813.882 9390252.565 -2.544 -511.296
-3.000
16 15 26835 25384.093 1450.907 1450.907 -5707.233 40845.259 2105131.197 133568667.113 2723.017 8904577.808 -2.096 -380.482
17 16 26540 25456.638 1083.362 1083.362 -4623.872 41928.620 1173672.517 134742339.630 2620.539 8421396.227 -1.764 -288.992 -4.000
18 17 27122 25510.806 1611.194 1611.194 -3012.678 43539.814 2595944.786 137338284.416 2561.166 8078722.613 -1.176 -177.216
19 18 25179 25591.366 -412.366 412.366 -3425.044 43952.180 170045.791 137508330.208 2441.788 7639351.678 -1.403 -190.280 TS
20 19 23241 25570.748 -2329.748 2329.748 -5754.792 46281.928 5427724.740 142936054.947 2435.891 7522950.260 -2.362 -302.884
21 20 25097 25454.260 -357.260 357.260 -6112.052 46639.188 127634.990 143063689.937 2331.959 7153184.497 -2.621 -305.603
22 21 25177 25436.397 -259.397 259.397 -6371.450 46898.585 67286.998 143130976.936 2233.266 6815760.806 -2.853 -303.402
23 22 24054 25423.428 -1369.428 1369.428 -7740.877 48268.013 1875331.696 145006308.632 2194.001 6591195.847 -3.528 -351.858
24 23 27754 25354.956 2399.044 2399.044 -5341.834 50667.057 5755411.483 150761720.115 2202.916 6554857.396 -2.425 -232.254
25 25474.908 Cacat 5% 26815.693
α= 0.1
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 26121.700 3845.300 3845.300 7642.300 7642.300 14786332.090 29203541.090 3821.150 14601770.545 2.000 3821.150
4 3 23849 26506.230 -2657.230 2657.230 4985.070 10299.530 7060871.273 36264412.363 3433.177 12088137.454 1.452 1661.690
5 4 21792 26240.507 -4448.507 4448.507 536.563 14748.037 19789214.529 56053626.892 3687.009 14013406.723 0.146 134.141
6 5 26955 25795.656 1159.344 1159.344 1695.907 15907.381 1344077.815 57397704.707 3181.476 11479540.941 0.533 339.181
7 6 28043 25911.591 2131.409 2131.409 3827.316 18038.790 4542905.732 61940610.439 3006.465 10323435.073 1.273 637.886
8 7 25643 26124.732 -481.732 481.732 3345.584 18520.522 232065.337 62172675.776 2645.789 8881810.825 1.264 477.941
9 8 22415 26076.558 -3661.558 3661.558 -315.974 22182.080 13407010.229 75579686.005 2772.760 9447460.751 -0.114 -39.497
10 9 21024 25710.403 -4686.403 4686.403 -5002.377 26868.483 21962369.315 97542055.320 2985.387 10838006.147 -1.676 -555.820
11 10 23497 25241.762 -1744.762 1744.762 -6747.139 28613.245 3044195.618 100586250.938 2861.325 10058625.094 -2.358 -674.714
12 11 21915 25067.286 -3152.286 3152.286 -9899.425 31765.531 9936907.686 110523158.624 2887.776 10047559.875 -3.428 -899.948
13 12 28394 24752.057 3641.943 3641.943 -6257.483 35407.474 13263745.215 123786903.839 2950.623 10315575.320 -2.121 -521.457
14 13 22858 25116.252 -2258.252 2258.252 -8515.734 37665.725 5099700.943 128886604.782 2897.363 9914354.214 -2.939 -655.056
15 14 27124 24890.427 2233.573 2233.573 -6282.161 39899.299 4988850.266 133875455.048 2849.950 9562532.503 -2.204 -448.726
16 15 26835 25113.784 1721.216 1721.216 -4560.945 41620.515 2962584.817 136838039.865 2774.701 9122535.991 -1.644 -304.063
17 16 26540 25285.906 1254.094 1254.094 -3306.850 42874.609 1572752.960 138410792.825 2679.663 8650674.552 -1.234 -206.678
18 17 27122 25411.315 1710.685 1710.685 -1596.165 44585.294 2926443.273 141337236.097 2622.664 8313955.065 -0.609 -93.892
19 18 25179 25582.383 -403.383 403.383 -1999.549 44988.678 162718.226 141499954.324 2499.371 7861108.574 -0.800 -111.086
20 19 23241 25542.045 -2301.045 2301.045 -4300.594 47289.723 5294808.670 146794762.993 2488.933 7726040.158 -1.728 -226.347
21 20 25097 25311.941 -214.941 214.941 -4515.534 47504.664 46199.467 146840962.460 2375.233 7342048.123 -1.901 -225.777
22 21 25177 25290.447 -113.447 113.447 -4628.981 47618.110 12870.120 146853832.580 2267.529 6993039.647 -2.041 -220.428
23 22 24054 25279.102 -1225.102 1225.102 -5854.083 48843.212 1500874.657 148354707.237 2220.146 6743395.784 -2.637 -266.095
24 23 27754 25156.592 2597.408 2597.408 -3256.675 51440.620 6746529.841 155101237.079 2236.549 6743532.047 -1.456 -141.595
25 25416.333 Cacat 5% 26754.034
α= 0.15
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 26311.550 3655.450 3655.450 7452.450 7452.450 13362314.703 27779523.703 3726.225 13889761.851 2.000 3726.225
4 3 23849 26859.868 -3010.868 3010.868 4441.583 10463.318 9065323.103 36844846.805 3487.773 12281615.602 1.273 1480.528
5 4 21792 26408.237 -4616.237 4616.237 -174.655 15079.555 21309647.502 58154494.307 3769.889 14538623.577 -0.046 -43.664
6 5 26955 25715.802 1239.198 1239.198 1064.543 16318.753 1535612.256 59690106.564 3263.751 11938021.313 0.326 212.909
7 6 28043 25901.682 2141.318 2141.318 3205.862 18460.072 4585244.904 64275351.467 3076.679 10712558.578 1.042 534.310
8 7 25643 26222.879 -579.879 579.879 2625.983 19039.951 336259.977 64611611.444 2719.993 9230230.206 0.965 375.140
9 8 22415 26135.897 -3720.897 3720.897 -1094.915 22760.848 13845077.359 78456688.803 2845.106 9807086.100 -0.385 -136.864
10 9 21024 25577.763 -4553.763 4553.763 -5648.678 27314.611 20736755.441 99193444.244 3034.957 11021493.805 -1.861 -627.631
11 10 23497 24894.698 -1397.698 1397.698 -7046.376 28712.309 1953560.710 101147004.954 2871.231 10114700.495 -2.454 -704.638
12 11 21915 24685.044 -2770.044 2770.044 -9816.420 31482.353 7673141.586 108820146.541 2862.032 9892740.595 -3.430 -892.402
13 12 28394 24269.537 4124.463 4124.463 -5691.957 35606.816 17011194.492 125831341.033 2967.235 10485945.086 -1.918 -474.330
14 13 22858 24888.207 -2030.207 2030.207 -7722.163 37637.022 4121738.458 129953079.491 2895.156 9996390.730 -2.667 -594.013
15 14 27124 24583.676 2540.324 2540.324 -5181.839 40177.347 6453248.411 136406327.902 2869.810 9743309.136 -1.806 -370.131
16 15 26835 24964.724 1870.276 1870.276 -3311.563 42047.623 3497931.565 139904259.467 2803.175 9326950.631 -1.181 -220.771
17 16 26540 25245.266 1294.734 1294.734 -2016.828 43342.357 1676337.242 141580596.710 2708.897 8848787.294 -0.745 -126.052
18 17 27122 25439.476 1682.524 1682.524 -334.304 45024.881 2830887.902 144411484.612 2648.522 8494793.212 -0.126 -19.665
19 18 25179 25691.854 -512.854 512.854 -847.159 45537.736 263019.610 144674504.221 2529.874 8037472.457 -0.335 -47.064
20 19 23241 25614.926 -2373.926 2373.926 -3221.085 47911.662 5635525.691 150310029.913 2521.666 7911054.206 -1.277 -169.531
21 20 25097 25258.837 -161.837 161.837 -3382.922 48073.499 26191.307 150336221.220 2403.675 7516811.061 -1.407 -169.146
22 21 25177 25234.562 -57.562 57.562 -3440.484 48131.061 3313.348 150339534.568 2291.955 7159025.456 -1.501 -163.833
23 22 24054 25225.927 -1171.927 1171.927 -4612.411 49302.988 1373413.922 151712948.491 2241.045 6896043.113 -2.058 -209.655
24 23 27754 25050.138 2703.862 2703.862 -1908.550 52006.850 7310867.968 159023816.458 2261.167 6914078.976 -0.844 -82.980
25 25455.718 Cacat 5% 26795.492
α= 0.2
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 26501.400 3465.600 3465.600 7262.600 7262.600 12010383.360 26427592.360 3631.300 13213796.180 2.000 3631.300
4 3 23849 27194.520 -3345.520 3345.520 3917.080 10608.120 11192504.070 37620096.430 3536.040 12540032.143 1.108 1305.693
5 4 21792 26525.416 -4733.416 4733.416 -816.336 15341.536 22405227.029 60025323.459 3835.384 15006330.865 -0.213 -204.084
6 5 26955 25578.733 1376.267 1376.267 559.931 16717.803 1894111.406 61919434.865 3343.561 12383886.973 0.167 111.986
7 6 28043 25853.986 2189.014 2189.014 2748.945 18906.817 4791781.241 66711216.107 3151.136 11118536.018 0.872 458.157
8 7 25643 26291.789 -648.789 648.789 2100.156 19555.606 420927.156 67132143.263 2793.658 9590306.180 0.752 300.022
9 8 22415 26162.031 -3747.031 3747.031 -1646.875 23302.637 14040242.766 81172386.029 2912.830 10146548.254 -0.565 -205.859
10 9 21024 25412.625 -4388.625 4388.625 -6035.500 27691.262 19260028.995 100432415.023 3076.807 11159157.225 -1.962 -670.611
11 10 23497 24534.900 -1037.900 1037.900 -7073.400 28729.162 1077236.335 101509651.358 2872.916 10150965.136 -2.462 -707.340
12 11 21915 24327.320 -2412.320 2412.320 -9485.720 31141.482 5819287.643 107328939.001 2831.044 9757176.273 -3.351 -862.338
13 12 28394 23844.856 4549.144 4549.144 -4936.576 35690.626 20694711.343 128023650.344 2974.219 10668637.529 -1.660 -411.381
14 13 22858 24754.685 -1896.685 1896.685 -6833.261 37587.311 3597413.160 131621063.505 2891.332 10124697.193 -2.363 -525.635
15 14 27124 24375.348 2748.652 2748.652 -4084.609 40335.963 7555088.778 139176152.283 2881.140 9941153.734 -1.418 -291.758
16 15 26835 24925.078 1909.922 1909.922 -2174.687 42245.885 3647801.052 142823953.335 2816.392 9521596.889 -0.772 -144.979
17 16 26540 25307.063 1232.937 1232.937 -941.750 43478.822 1520134.612 144344087.947 2717.426 9021505.497 -0.347 -58.859
18 17 27122 25553.650 1568.350 1568.350 626.600 45047.172 2459721.451 146803809.398 2649.834 8635518.200 0.236 36.859
19 18 25179 25867.320 -688.320 688.320 -61.720 45735.492 473784.518 147277593.916 2540.861 8182088.551 -0.024 -3.429
20 19 23241 25729.656 -2488.656 2488.656 -2550.376 48224.148 6193408.962 153471002.878 2538.113 8077421.204 -1.005 -134.230
21 20 25097 25231.925 -134.925 134.925 -2685.301 48359.073 18204.714 153489207.592 2417.954 7674460.380 -1.111 -134.265
22 21 25177 25204.940 -27.940 27.940 -2713.240 48387.013 780.637 153489988.228 2304.143 7309047.058 -1.178 -129.202
23 22 24054 25199.352 -1145.352 1145.352 -3858.592 49532.365 1311830.976 154801819.204 2251.471 7036446.327 -1.714 -175.391
24 23 27754 24970.282 2783.718 2783.718 -1074.874 52316.083 7749088.574 162550907.778 2274.612 7067430.773 -0.473 -46.734
25 25527.025 Cacat 5% 26870.553
α= 0.25
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 26691.250 3275.750 3275.750 7072.750 7072.750 10730538.063 25147747.063 3536.375 12573873.531 2.000 3536.375
4 3 23849 27510.188 -3661.188 3661.188 3411.563 10733.938 13404293.910 38552040.973 3577.979 12850680.324 0.953 1137.188
5 4 21792 26594.891 -4802.891 4802.891 -1391.328 15536.828 23067758.356 61619799.328 3884.207 15404949.832 -0.358 -347.832
6 5 26955 25394.168 1560.832 1560.832 169.504 17097.660 2436196.630 64055995.958 3419.532 12811199.192 0.050 33.901
7 6 28043 25784.376 2258.624 2258.624 2428.128 19356.284 5101382.479 69157378.437 3226.047 11526229.740 0.753 404.688
8 7 25643 26349.032 -706.032 706.032 1722.096 20062.316 498481.160 69655859.598 2866.045 9950837.085 0.601 246.014
9 8 22415 26172.524 -3757.524 3757.524 -2035.428 23819.840 14118986.512 83774846.109 2977.480 10471855.764 -0.684 -254.429
10 9 21024 25233.143 -4209.143 4209.143 -6244.571 28028.983 17716884.711 101491730.820 3114.331 11276858.980 -2.005 -693.841
11 10 23497 24180.857 -683.857 683.857 -6928.428 28712.840 467660.728 101959391.549 2871.284 10195939.155 -2.413 -692.843
12 11 21915 24009.893 -2094.893 2094.893 -9023.321 30807.733 4388576.396 106347967.945 2800.703 9667997.086 -3.222 -820.302
13 12 28394 23486.170 4907.830 4907.830 -4115.491 35715.564 24086798.264 130434766.209 2976.297 10869563.851 -1.383 -342.958
14 13 22858 24713.127 -1855.127 1855.127 -5970.618 37570.691 3441497.204 133876263.412 2890.053 10298174.109 -2.066 -459.278
15 14 27124 24249.345 2874.655 2874.655 -3095.964 40445.345 8263638.749 142139902.162 2888.953 10152850.154 -1.072 -221.140
16 15 26835 24968.009 1866.991 1866.991 -1228.973 42312.336 3485655.052 145625557.213 2820.822 9708370.481 -0.436 -81.932
17 16 26540 25434.757 1105.243 1105.243 -123.730 43417.580 1221562.490 146847119.703 2713.599 9177944.981 -0.046 -7.733
18 17 27122 25711.068 1410.932 1410.932 1287.203 44828.512 1990730.198 148837849.900 2636.971 8755167.641 0.488 75.718
19 18 25179 26063.801 -884.801 884.801 402.402 45713.313 782872.297 149620722.198 2539.628 8312262.344 0.158 22.356
20 19 23241 25842.601 -2601.601 2601.601 -2199.198 48314.913 6768325.333 156389047.531 2542.890 8231002.502 -0.865 -115.747
21 20 25097 25192.200 -95.200 95.200 -2294.399 48410.114 9063.116 156398110.647 2420.506 7819905.532 -0.948 -114.720
22 21 25177 25168.400 8.600 8.600 -2285.799 48418.713 73.955 156398184.602 2305.653 7447532.600 -0.991 -108.848
23 22 24054 25170.550 -1116.550 1116.550 -3402.349 49535.263 1246684.405 157644869.006 2251.603 7165675.864 -1.511 -154.652
24 23 27754 24891.413 2862.587 2862.587 -539.762 52397.851 8194406.230 165839275.236 2278.167 7210403.271 -0.237 -23.468
25 25607.060 Cacat 5% 26954.799
α= 0.3
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 26881.100 3085.900 3085.900 6882.900 6882.900 9522778.810 23939987.810 3441.450 11969993.905 2.000 3441.450
4 3 23849 27806.870 -3957.870 3957.870 2925.030 10840.770 15664734.937 39604722.747 3613.590 13201574.249 0.809 975.010
5 4 21792 26619.509 -4827.509 4827.509 -1902.479 15668.279 23304843.145 62909565.892 3917.070 15727391.473 -0.486 -475.620
6 5 26955 25171.256 1783.744 1783.744 -118.735 17452.023 3181741.587 66091307.479 3490.405 13218261.496 -0.034 -23.747
7 6 28043 25706.379 2336.621 2336.621 2217.885 19788.643 5459795.782 71551103.261 3298.107 11925183.877 0.672 369.648
8 7 25643 26407.366 -764.366 764.366 1453.520 20553.009 584254.751 72135358.011 2936.144 10305051.144 0.495 207.646
9 8 22415 26178.056 -3763.056 3763.056 -2309.536 24316.065 14160589.789 86295947.800 3039.508 10786993.475 -0.760 -288.692
10 9 21024 25049.139 -4025.139 4025.139 -6334.675 28341.204 16201745.077 102497692.877 3149.023 11388632.542 -2.012 -703.853
11 10 23497 23841.597 -344.597 344.597 -6679.273 28685.801 118747.366 102616440.243 2868.580 10261644.024 -2.328 -667.927
12 11 21915 23738.218 -1823.218 1823.218 -8502.491 30509.019 3324124.523 105940564.765 2773.547 9630960.433 -3.066 -772.954
13 12 28394 23191.253 5202.747 5202.747 -3299.744 35711.767 27068579.216 133009143.981 2975.981 11084095.332 -1.109 -274.979
14 13 22858 24752.077 -1894.077 1894.077 -5193.821 37605.844 3587527.329 136596671.311 2892.757 10507436.255 -1.795 -399.525
15 14 27124 24183.854 2940.146 2940.146 -2253.674 40545.990 8644459.472 145241130.783 2896.142 10374366.484 -0.778 -160.977
16 15 26835 25065.898 1769.102 1769.102 -484.572 42315.092 3129723.003 148370853.786 2821.006 9891390.252 -0.172 -32.305
17 16 26540 25596.628 943.372 943.372 458.800 43258.464 889950.015 149260803.801 2703.654 9328800.238 0.170 28.675
18 17 27122 25879.640 1242.360 1242.360 1701.160 44500.824 1543458.704 150804262.505 2617.696 8870838.971 0.650 100.068
19 18 25179 26252.348 -1073.348 1073.348 627.812 45574.172 1152075.727 151956338.232 2531.898 8442018.791 0.248 34.878
20 19 23241 25930.344 -2689.344 2689.344 -2061.532 48263.515 7232568.644 159188906.876 2540.185 8378363.520 -0.812 -108.502
21 20 25097 25123.540 -26.540 26.540 -2088.072 48290.056 704.397 159189611.273 2414.503 7959480.564 -0.865 -104.404
22 21 25177 25115.578 61.422 61.422 -2026.651 48351.478 3772.621 159193383.894 2302.451 7580637.328 -0.880 -96.507
23 22 24054 25134.005 -1080.005 1080.005 -3106.655 49431.482 1166410.438 160359794.332 2246.886 7289081.561 -1.383 -141.212
24 23 27754 24810.003 2943.997 2943.997 -162.659 52375.479 8667116.084 169026910.415 2277.195 7348996.105 -0.071 -7.072
25 25693.202 Cacat 5% 27045.476
α= 0.35
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 27070.950 2896.050 2896.050 6693.050 6693.050 8387105.603 22804314.603 3346.525 11402157.301 2.000 3346.525
4 3 23849 28084.568 -4235.568 4235.568 2457.483 10928.618 17940032.047 40744346.650 3642.873 13581448.883 0.675 819.161
5 4 21792 26602.119 -4810.119 4810.119 -2352.636 15738.736 23137243.592 63881590.241 3934.684 15970397.560 -0.598 -588.159
6 5 26955 24918.577 2036.423 2036.423 -316.214 17775.159 4147017.540 68028607.782 3555.032 13605721.556 -0.089 -63.243
7 6 28043 25631.325 2411.675 2411.675 2095.461 20186.834 5816175.222 73844783.003 3364.472 12307463.834 0.623 349.244
8 7 25643 26475.411 -832.411 832.411 1263.050 21019.245 692908.732 74537691.736 3002.749 10648241.677 0.421 180.436
9 8 22415 26184.067 -3769.067 3769.067 -2506.018 24788.313 14205869.122 88743560.857 3098.539 11092945.107 -0.809 -313.252
10 9 21024 24864.894 -3840.894 3840.894 -6346.911 28629.206 14752465.297 103496026.154 3181.023 11499558.462 -1.995 -705.212
11 10 23497 23520.581 -23.581 23.581 -6370.492 28652.787 556.063 103496582.217 2865.279 10349658.222 -2.223 -637.049
12 11 21915 23512.328 -1597.328 1597.328 -7967.820 30250.115 2551455.579 106048037.796 2750.010 9640730.709 -2.897 -724.347
13 12 28394 22953.263 5440.737 5440.737 -2527.083 35690.852 29601619.496 135649657.292 2974.238 11304138.108 -0.850 -210.590
14 13 22858 24857.521 -1999.521 1999.521 -4526.604 37690.373 3998083.936 139647741.228 2899.259 10742133.941 -1.561 -348.200
15 14 27124 24157.689 2966.311 2966.311 -1560.293 40656.684 8799003.308 148446744.536 2904.049 10603338.895 -0.537 -111.449
16 15 26835 25195.898 1639.102 1639.102 78.810 42295.787 2686656.706 151133401.242 2819.719 10075560.083 0.028 5.254
17 16 26540 25769.583 770.417 770.417 849.226 43066.203 593541.684 151726942.926 2691.638 9482933.933 0.316 53.077
18 17 27122 26039.229 1082.771 1082.771 1931.997 44148.974 1172392.535 152899335.461 2596.998 8994078.557 0.744 113.647
19 18 25179 26418.199 -1239.199 1239.199 692.798 45388.173 1535614.164 154434949.626 2521.565 8579719.424 0.275 38.489
20 19 23241 25984.479 -2743.479 2743.479 -2050.681 48131.653 7526678.948 161961628.573 2533.245 8524296.241 -0.810 -107.931
21 20 25097 25024.262 72.738 72.738 -1977.943 48204.391 5290.878 161966919.451 2410.220 8098345.973 -0.821 -98.897
22 21 25177 25049.720 127.280 127.280 -1850.663 48331.671 16200.192 161983119.643 2301.508 7713481.888 -0.804 -88.127
23 22 24054 25094.268 -1040.268 1040.268 -2890.931 49371.939 1082157.547 163065277.190 2244.179 7412058.054 -1.288 -131.406
24 23 27754 24730.174 3023.826 3023.826 132.895 52395.765 9143522.403 172208799.593 2278.077 7487339.113 0.058 5.778
25 25788.513 Cacat 5% 27145.803
α= 0.4
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 27260.800 2706.200 2706.200 6503.200 6503.200 7323518.440 21740727.440 3251.600 10870363.720 2.000 3251.600
4 3 23849 28343.280 -4494.280 4494.280 2008.920 10997.480 20198552.718 41939280.158 3665.827 13979760.053 0.548 669.640
5 4 21792 26545.568 -4753.568 4753.568 -2744.648 15751.048 22596408.731 64535688.889 3937.762 16133922.222 -0.697 -686.162
6 5 26955 24644.141 2310.859 2310.859 -433.789 18061.907 5340070.242 69875759.131 3612.381 13975151.826 -0.120 -86.758
7 6 28043 25568.484 2474.516 2474.516 2040.727 20536.423 6123227.059 75998986.190 3422.737 12666497.698 0.596 340.121
8 7 25643 26558.291 -915.291 915.291 1125.436 21451.713 837757.044 76836743.234 3064.530 10976677.605 0.367 160.777
9 8 22415 26192.174 -3777.174 3777.174 -2651.738 25228.888 14267046.545 91103789.778 3153.611 11387973.722 -0.841 -331.467
10 9 21024 24681.305 -3657.305 3657.305 -6309.043 28886.192 13375877.286 104479667.064 3209.577 11608851.896 -1.966 -701.005
11 10 23497 23218.383 278.617 278.617 -6030.426 29164.810 77627.550 104557294.615 2916.481 10455729.461 -2.068 -603.043
12 11 21915 23329.830 -1414.830 1414.830 -7445.255 30579.639 2001743.004 106559037.619 2779.967 9687185.238 -2.678 -676.841
13 12 28394 22763.898 5630.102 5630.102 -1815.153 36209.742 31698050.739 138257088.357 3017.478 11521424.030 -0.602 -151.263
14 13 22858 25015.939 -2157.939 2157.939 -3973.092 38367.680 4656699.357 142913787.714 2951.360 10993368.286 -1.346 -305.622
15 14 27124 24152.763 2971.237 2971.237 -1001.855 41338.917 8828248.066 151742035.780 2952.780 10838716.841 -0.339 -71.561
16 15 26835 25341.258 1493.742 1493.742 491.887 42832.659 2231265.385 153973301.164 2855.511 10264886.744 0.172 32.792
17 16 26540 25938.755 601.245 601.245 1093.132 43433.904 361495.844 154334797.009 2714.619 9645924.813 0.403 68.321
18 17 27122 26179.253 942.747 942.747 2035.879 44376.651 888772.183 155223569.191 2610.391 9130798.188 0.780 119.758
19 18 25179 26556.352 -1377.352 1377.352 658.528 45754.003 1897097.738 157120666.930 2541.889 8728925.941 0.259 36.585
20 19 23241 26005.411 -2764.411 2764.411 -2105.883 48518.414 7641968.327 164762635.257 2553.601 8671717.645 -0.825 -110.836
21 20 25097 24899.647 197.353 197.353 -1908.530 48715.768 38948.358 164801583.615 2435.788 8240079.181 -0.784 -95.427
22 21 25177 24978.588 198.412 198.412 -1710.118 48914.180 39367.334 164840950.949 2329.247 7849569.093 -0.734 -81.434
23 22 24054 25057.953 -1003.953 1003.953 -2714.071 49918.132 1007921.188 165848872.137 2269.006 7538585.097 -1.196 -123.367
24 23 27754 24656.372 3097.628 3097.628 383.558 53015.761 9595301.276 175444173.413 2305.033 7628007.540 0.166 16.676
25 25895.423 Cacat 5% 27258.340
α= 0.45
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 27450.650 2516.350 2516.350 6313.350 6313.350 6332017.323 20749226.323 3156.675 10374613.161 2.000 3156.675
4 3 23849 28583.008 -4734.008 4734.008 1579.343 11047.358 22410827.010 43160053.333 3682.453 14386684.444 0.429 526.448
5 4 21792 26452.704 -4660.704 4660.704 -3081.362 15708.062 21722162.941 64882216.273 3927.015 16220554.068 -0.785 -770.340
6 5 26955 24355.387 2599.613 2599.613 -481.749 18307.674 6757986.352 71640202.626 3661.535 14328040.525 -0.132 -96.350
7 6 28043 25525.213 2517.787 2517.787 2036.038 20825.461 6339251.388 77979454.014 3470.910 12996575.669 0.587 339.340
8 7 25643 26658.217 -1015.217 1015.217 1020.821 21840.679 1030665.859 79010119.873 3120.097 11287159.982 0.327 145.832
9 8 22415 26201.369 -3786.369 3786.369 -2765.548 25627.048 14336593.474 93346713.348 3203.381 11668339.168 -0.863 -345.694
10 9 21024 24497.503 -3473.503 3473.503 -6239.052 29100.551 12065224.394 105411937.741 3233.395 11712437.527 -1.930 -693.228
11 10 23497 22934.427 562.573 562.573 -5676.478 29663.124 316488.658 105728426.400 2966.312 10572842.640 -1.914 -567.648
12 11 21915 23187.585 -1272.585 1272.585 -6949.063 30935.709 1619471.855 107347898.254 2812.337 9758899.841 -2.471 -631.733
13 12 28394 22614.922 5779.078 5779.078 -1169.985 36714.787 33397747.236 140745645.491 3059.566 11728803.791 -0.382 -97.499
14 13 22858 25215.507 -2357.507 2357.507 -3527.492 39072.294 5557838.671 146303484.161 3005.561 11254114.166 -1.174 -271.346
15 14 27124 24154.629 2969.371 2969.371 -558.120 42041.666 8817165.431 155120649.593 3002.976 11080046.399 -0.186 -39.866
16 15 26835 25490.846 1344.154 1344.154 786.034 43385.820 1806750.433 156927400.025 2892.388 10461826.668 0.272 52.402
17 16 26540 26095.715 444.285 444.285 1230.319 43830.105 197388.978 157124789.003 2739.382 9820299.313 0.449 76.895
18 17 27122 26295.643 826.357 826.357 2056.675 44656.461 682865.291 157807654.294 2626.851 9282803.194 0.783 120.981
19 18 25179 26667.504 -1488.504 1488.504 568.171 46144.965 2215643.711 160023298.005 2563.609 8890183.223 0.222 31.565
20 19 23241 25997.677 -2756.677 2756.677 -2188.506 48901.642 7599268.730 167622566.735 2573.771 8822240.354 -0.850 -115.185
21 20 25097 24757.172 339.828 339.828 -1848.678 49241.470 115482.788 167738049.523 2462.073 8386902.476 -0.751 -92.434
22 21 25177 24910.095 266.905 266.905 -1581.773 49508.375 71238.371 167809287.894 2357.542 7990918.471 -0.671 -75.323
23 22 24054 25030.202 -976.202 976.202 -2557.975 50484.577 952970.648 168762258.542 2294.754 7671011.752 -1.115 -116.272
24 23 27754 24590.911 3163.089 3163.089 605.114 53647.666 10005130.849 178767389.390 2332.507 7772495.191 0.259 26.309
25 26014.301 Cacat 5% 27383.475
α= 0.5
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 27640.500 2326.500 2326.500 6123.500 6123.500 5412602.250 19829811.250 3061.750 9914905.625 2.000 3061.750
4 3 23849 28803.750 -4954.750 4954.750 1168.750 11078.250 24549547.563 44379358.813 3692.750 14793119.604 0.316 389.583
5 4 21792 26326.375 -4534.375 4534.375 -3365.625 15612.625 20560556.641 64939915.453 3903.156 16234978.863 -0.862 -841.406
6 5 26955 24059.188 2895.813 2895.813 -469.813 18508.438 8385730.035 73325645.488 3701.688 14665129.098 -0.127 -93.963
7 6 28043 25507.094 2535.906 2535.906 2066.094 21044.344 6430820.509 79756465.997 3507.391 13292744.333 0.589 344.349
8 7 25643 26775.047 -1132.047 1132.047 934.047 22176.391 1281530.127 81037996.124 3168.056 11576856.589 0.295 133.435
9 8 22415 26209.023 -3794.023 3794.023 -2859.977 25970.414 14394613.844 95432609.969 3246.302 11929076.246 -0.881 -357.497
10 9 21024 24312.012 -3288.012 3288.012 -6147.988 29258.426 10811021.063 106243631.031 3250.936 11804847.892 -1.891 -683.110
11 10 23497 22668.006 828.994 828.994 -5318.994 30087.420 687231.285 106930862.316 3008.742 10693086.232 -1.768 -531.899
12 11 21915 23082.503 -1167.503 1167.503 -6486.497 31254.923 1363063.091 108293925.407 2841.357 9844902.310 -2.283 -589.682
13 12 28394 22498.751 5895.249 5895.249 -591.249 37150.171 34753955.291 143047880.698 3095.848 11920656.725 -0.191 -49.271
14 13 22858 25446.376 -2588.376 2588.376 -3179.624 39738.547 6699688.932 149747569.631 3056.811 11519043.818 -1.040 -244.586
15 14 27124 24152.188 2971.812 2971.812 -207.812 42710.359 8831667.359 158579236.989 3050.740 11327088.356 -0.068 -14.844
16 15 26835 25638.094 1196.906 1196.906 989.094 43907.265 1432584.133 160011821.122 2927.151 10667454.741 0.338 65.940
17 16 26540 26236.547 303.453 303.453 1292.547 44210.718 92083.744 160103904.866 2763.170 10006494.054 0.468 80.784
18 17 27122 26388.273 733.727 733.727 2026.273 44944.445 538354.601 160642259.467 2643.791 9449544.675 0.766 119.193
19 18 25179 26755.137 -1576.137 1576.137 450.137 46520.582 2484207.028 163126466.495 2584.477 9062581.472 0.174 25.008
20 19 23241 25967.068 -2726.068 2726.068 -2275.932 49246.650 7431448.762 170557915.258 2591.929 8976732.382 -0.878 -119.786
21 20 25097 24604.034 492.966 492.966 -1782.966 49739.616 243015.294 170800930.552 2486.981 8540046.528 -0.717 -89.148
22 21 25177 24850.517 326.483 326.483 -1456.483 50066.099 106591.089 170907521.641 2384.100 8138453.411 -0.611 -69.356
23 22 24054 25013.759 -959.759 959.759 -2416.241 51025.857 921136.467 171828658.108 2319.357 7810393.550 -1.042 -109.829
24 23 27754 24533.879 3220.121 3220.121 803.879 54245.978 10369177.495 182197835.603 2358.521 7921645.026 0.341 34.951
25 26143.940 Cacat 5% 27519.936
α= 0.55
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 27830.350 2136.650 2136.650 5933.650 5933.650 4565273.223 18982482.223 2966.825 9491241.111 2.000 2966.825
4 3 23849 29005.508 -5156.508 5156.508 777.143 11090.158 26589569.598 45572051.820 3696.719 15190683.940 0.210 259.048
5 4 21792 26169.428 -4377.428 4377.428 -3600.286 15467.586 19161879.178 64733930.998 3866.896 16183482.750 -0.931 -900.071
6 5 26955 23761.843 3193.157 3193.157 -407.129 18660.743 10196253.103 74930184.102 3732.149 14986036.820 -0.109 -81.426
7 6 28043 25518.079 2524.921 2524.921 2117.792 21185.664 6375224.814 81305408.916 3530.944 13550901.486 0.600 352.965
8 7 25643 26906.786 -1263.786 1263.786 854.006 22449.450 1597154.196 82902563.112 3207.064 11843223.302 0.266 122.001
9 8 22415 26211.704 -3796.704 3796.704 -2942.697 26246.153 14414957.826 97317520.938 3280.769 12164690.117 -0.897 -367.837
10 9 21024 24123.517 -3099.517 3099.517 -6042.214 29345.670 9607003.131 106924524.069 3260.630 11880502.674 -1.853 -671.357
11 10 23497 22418.782 1078.218 1078.218 -4963.996 30423.887 1162553.046 108087077.115 3042.389 10808707.711 -1.632 -496.400
12 11 21915 23011.802 -1096.802 1096.802 -6060.798 31520.689 1202974.870 109290051.985 2865.517 9935459.271 -2.115 -550.982
13 12 28394 22408.561 5985.439 5985.439 -75.359 37506.128 35825480.623 145115532.608 3125.511 12092961.051 -0.024 -6.280
14 13 22858 25700.552 -2842.552 2842.552 -2917.912 40348.681 8080104.303 153195636.911 3103.745 11784279.762 -0.940 -224.455
15 14 27124 24137.149 2986.851 2986.851 68.940 43335.532 8921281.331 162116918.242 3095.395 11579779.874 0.022 4.924
16 15 26835 25779.917 1055.083 1055.083 1124.023 44390.615 1113200.418 163230118.661 2959.374 10882007.911 0.380 74.935
17 16 26540 26360.213 179.787 179.787 1303.810 44570.403 32323.513 163262442.173 2785.650 10203902.636 0.468 81.488
18 17 27122 26459.096 662.904 662.904 1966.715 45233.307 439442.157 163701884.330 2660.783 9629522.608 0.739 115.689
19 18 25179 26823.693 -1644.693 1644.693 322.022 46878.000 2705015.227 166406899.557 2604.333 9244827.753 0.124 17.890
20 19 23241 25919.112 -2678.112 2678.112 -2356.090 49556.112 7172283.200 173579182.757 2608.216 9135746.461 -0.903 -124.005
21 20 25097 24446.150 650.850 650.850 -1705.241 50206.962 423605.277 174002788.034 2510.348 8700139.402 -0.679 -85.262
22 21 25177 24804.118 372.882 372.882 -1332.358 50579.844 139041.244 174141829.278 2408.564 8292468.061 -0.553 -63.446
23 22 24054 25009.203 -955.203 955.203 -2287.561 51535.047 912412.665 175054241.943 2342.502 7957010.997 -0.977 -103.980
24 23 27754 24483.841 3270.159 3270.159 982.597 54805.206 10693937.760 185748179.703 2382.835 8076007.813 0.412 42.722
25 26282.429 Cacat 5% 27665.714
α= 0.6
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 28020.200 1946.800 1946.800 5743.800 5743.800 3790030.240 18207239.240 2871.900 9103619.620 2.000 2871.900
4 3 23849 29188.280 -5339.280 5339.280 404.520 11083.080 28507910.918 46715150.158 3694.360 15571716.719 0.109 134.840
5 4 21792 25984.712 -4192.712 4192.712 -3788.192 15275.792 17578833.915 64293984.073 3818.948 16073496.018 -0.992 -947.048
6 5 26955 23469.085 3485.915 3485.915 -302.277 18761.707 12151604.782 76445588.855 3752.341 15289117.771 -0.081 -60.455
7 6 28043 25560.634 2482.366 2482.366 2180.089 21244.073 6162141.355 82607730.210 3540.679 13767955.035 0.616 363.348
8 7 25643 27050.054 -1407.054 1407.054 773.036 22651.127 1979799.743 84587529.953 3235.875 12083932.850 0.239 110.434
9 8 22415 26205.821 -3790.821 3790.821 -3017.786 26441.948 14370327.093 98957857.046 3305.244 12369732.131 -0.913 -377.223
10 9 21024 23931.329 -2907.329 2907.329 -5925.114 29349.277 8452559.419 107410416.465 3261.031 11934490.718 -1.817 -658.346
11 10 23497 22186.931 1310.069 1310.069 -4615.046 30659.345 1716279.662 109126696.128 3065.935 10912669.613 -1.505 -461.505
12 11 21915 22972.973 -1057.973 1057.973 -5673.018 31717.318 1119305.962 110246002.089 2883.393 10022363.826 -1.967 -515.729
13 12 28394 22338.189 6055.811 6055.811 382.793 37773.129 36672846.522 146918848.611 3147.761 12243237.384 0.122 31.899
14 13 22858 25971.676 -3113.676 3113.676 -2730.883 40886.805 9694975.813 156613824.425 3145.139 12047217.263 -0.868 -210.068
15 14 27124 24103.470 3020.530 3020.530 289.647 43907.334 9123600.003 165737424.428 3136.238 11838387.459 0.092 20.689
16 15 26835 25915.788 919.212 919.212 1208.859 44826.546 844950.521 166582374.949 2988.436 11105491.663 0.405 80.591
17 16 26540 26467.315 72.685 72.685 1281.543 44899.231 5283.074 166587658.024 2806.202 10411728.626 0.457 80.096
18 17 27122 26510.926 611.074 611.074 1892.617 45510.305 373411.317 166961069.340 2677.077 9821239.373 0.707 111.330
19 18 25179 26877.570 -1698.570 1698.570 194.047 47208.875 2885141.534 169846210.874 2622.715 9435900.604 0.074 10.780
20 19 23241 25858.428 -2617.428 2617.428 -2423.381 49826.304 6850930.253 176697141.127 2622.437 9299849.533 -0.924 -127.546
21 20 25097 24287.971 809.029 809.029 -1614.352 50635.332 654527.486 177351668.613 2531.767 8867583.431 -0.638 -80.718
22 21 25177 24773.389 403.611 403.611 -1210.741 51038.944 162902.236 177514570.849 2430.426 8453074.802 -0.498 -57.654
23 22 24054 25015.555 -961.555 961.555 -2172.296 52000.499 924588.793 178439159.642 2363.659 8110870.893 -0.919 -98.741
24 23 27754 24438.622 3315.378 3315.378 1143.081 55315.877 10991730.213 189430889.856 2405.038 8236125.646 0.475 49.699
25 26427.849 Cacat 5% 27818.788
α= 0.65
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 28210.050 1756.950 1756.950 5553.950 5553.950 3086873.302 17504082.303 2776.975 8752041.151 2.000 2776.975
4 3 23849 29352.068 -5503.068 5503.068 50.882 11057.018 30283751.910 47787834.212 3685.673 15929278.071 0.014 16.961
5 4 21792 25775.074 -3983.074 3983.074 -3932.191 15040.091 15864875.502 63652709.714 3760.023 15913177.429 -1.046 -983.048
6 5 26955 23186.076 3768.924 3768.924 -163.267 18809.015 14204789.861 77857499.575 3761.803 15571499.915 -0.043 -32.653
7 6 28043 25635.877 2407.123 2407.123 2243.857 21216.139 5794243.452 83651743.028 3536.023 13941957.171 0.635 373.976
8 7 25643 27200.507 -1557.507 1557.507 686.350 22773.646 2425827.375 86077570.403 3253.378 12296795.772 0.211 98.050
9 8 22415 26188.127 -3773.127 3773.127 -3086.778 26546.773 14236490.177 100314060.580 3318.347 12539257.572 -0.930 -385.847
10 9 21024 23735.595 -2711.595 2711.595 -5798.372 29258.368 7352745.170 107666805.750 3250.930 11962978.417 -1.784 -644.264
11 10 23497 21973.058 1523.942 1523.942 -4274.430 30782.309 2322398.905 109989204.655 3078.231 10998920.465 -1.389 -427.443
12 11 21915 22963.620 -1048.620 1048.620 -5323.051 31830.930 1099604.609 111088809.264 2893.721 10098982.660 -1.840 -483.914
13 12 28394 22282.017 6111.983 6111.983 788.932 37942.913 37356334.754 148445144.018 3161.909 12370428.668 0.250 65.744
14 13 22858 26254.806 -3396.806 3396.806 -2607.874 41339.719 11538290.942 159983434.960 3179.978 12306418.074 -0.820 -200.606
15 14 27124 24046.882 3077.118 3077.118 469.244 44416.837 9468654.590 169452089.550 3172.631 12103720.682 0.148 33.517
16 15 26835 26047.009 787.991 787.991 1257.235 45204.828 620930.235 170073019.785 3013.655 11338201.319 0.417 83.816
17 16 26540 26559.203 -19.203 19.203 1238.032 45224.031 368.757 170073388.542 2826.502 10629586.784 0.438 77.377
18 17 27122 26546.721 575.279 575.279 1813.311 45799.310 330945.847 170404334.390 2694.077 10023784.376 0.673 106.665
19 18 25179 26920.652 -1741.652 1741.652 71.659 47540.962 3033352.993 173437687.383 2641.165 9635427.077 0.027 3.981
20 19 23241 25788.578 -2547.578 2547.578 -2475.919 50088.541 6490155.353 179927842.736 2636.239 9469886.460 -0.939 -130.312
21 20 25097 24132.652 964.348 964.348 -1511.572 51052.888 929966.263 180857808.999 2552.644 9042890.450 -0.592 -75.579
22 21 25177 24759.478 417.522 417.522 -1094.050 51470.410 174324.332 181032133.331 2450.972 8620577.778 -0.446 -52.098
23 22 24054 25030.867 -976.867 976.867 -2070.918 52447.277 954269.958 181986403.289 2383.967 8272109.240 -0.869 -94.133
24 23 27754 24395.904 3358.096 3358.096 1287.179 55805.374 11276811.450 193263214.739 2426.321 8402748.467 0.531 55.964
25 26578.666 Cacat 5% 27977.543
α= 0.7
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 28399.900 1567.100 1567.100 5364.100 5364.100 2455802.410 16873011.410 2682.050 8436505.705 2.000 2682.050
4 3 23849 29496.870 -5647.870 5647.870 -283.770 11011.970 31898435.537 48771446.947 3670.657 16257148.982 -0.077 -94.590
5 4 21792 25543.361 -3751.361 3751.361 -4035.131 14763.331 14072709.352 62844156.299 3690.833 15711039.075 -1.093 -1008.783
6 5 26955 22917.408 4037.592 4037.592 2.461 18800.923 16302146.736 79146303.035 3760.185 15829260.607 0.001 0.492
7 6 28043 25743.722 2299.278 2299.278 2301.738 21100.200 5286677.068 84432980.103 3516.700 14072163.351 0.655 383.623
8 7 25643 27353.217 -1710.217 1710.217 591.521 22810.417 2924841.322 87357821.425 3258.631 12479688.775 0.182 84.503
9 8 22415 26156.065 -3741.065 3741.065 -3149.544 26551.482 13995567.515 101353388.939 3318.935 12669173.617 -0.949 -393.693
10 9 21024 23537.320 -2513.320 2513.320 -5662.863 29064.801 6316774.945 107670163.885 3229.422 11963351.543 -1.754 -629.207
11 10 23497 21777.996 1719.004 1719.004 -3943.859 30783.806 2954975.260 110625139.145 3078.381 11062513.915 -1.281 -394.386
12 11 21915 22981.299 -1066.299 1066.299 -5010.158 31850.104 1136993.036 111762132.181 2895.464 10160193.835 -1.730 -455.469
13 12 28394 22234.890 6159.110 6159.110 1148.953 38009.215 37934640.591 149696772.772 3167.435 12474731.064 0.363 95.746
14 13 22858 26546.267 -3688.267 3688.267 -2539.314 41697.482 13603312.637 163300085.409 3207.499 12561545.031 -0.792 -195.332
15 14 27124 23964.480 3159.520 3159.520 620.206 44857.002 9982566.211 173282651.620 3204.072 12377332.259 0.194 44.300
16 15 26835 26176.144 658.856 658.856 1279.062 45515.858 434091.202 173716742.822 3034.391 11581116.188 0.422 85.271
17 16 26540 26637.343 -97.343 97.343 1181.719 45613.201 9475.700 173726218.522 2850.825 10857888.658 0.415 73.857
18 17 27122 26569.203 552.797 552.797 1734.516 46165.998 305584.565 174031803.088 2715.647 10237164.888 0.639 102.030
19 18 25179 26956.161 -1777.161 1777.161 -42.645 47943.159 3158300.824 177190103.911 2663.509 9843894.662 -0.016 -2.369
20 19 23241 25712.148 -2471.148 2471.148 -2513.794 50414.307 6106573.755 183296677.667 2653.385 9647193.561 -0.947 -132.305
21 20 25097 23982.344 1114.656 1114.656 -1399.138 51528.962 1242456.928 184539134.595 2576.448 9226956.730 -0.543 -69.957
22 21 25177 24762.603 414.397 414.397 -984.741 51943.359 171724.589 184710859.184 2473.493 8795755.199 -0.398 -46.892
23 22 24054 25052.681 -998.681 998.681 -1983.422 52942.040 997363.746 185708222.930 2406.456 8441282.860 -0.824 -90.156
24 23 27754 24353.604 3400.396 3400.396 1416.973 56342.436 11562690.910 197270913.840 2449.671 8576996.254 0.578 61.608
25 26733.881 Cacat 5% 28140.928
α= 0.75
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 28589.750 1377.250 1377.250 5174.250 5174.250 1896817.563 16314026.563 2587.125 8157013.281 2.000 2587.125
4 3 23849 29622.688 -5773.688 5773.688 -599.438 10947.938 33335467.348 49649493.910 3649.313 16549831.303 -0.164 -199.813
5 4 21792 25292.422 -3500.422 3500.422 -4099.859 14448.359 12252953.303 61902447.213 3612.090 15475611.803 -1.135 -1024.965
6 5 26955 22667.105 4287.895 4287.895 188.035 18736.254 18386039.511 80288486.724 3747.251 16057697.345 0.050 37.607
7 6 28043 25883.026 2159.974 2159.974 2348.009 20896.228 4665486.094 84953972.819 3482.705 14158995.470 0.674 391.335
8 7 25643 27503.007 -1860.007 1860.007 488.002 22756.234 3459624.522 88413597.340 3250.891 12630513.906 0.150 69.715
9 8 22415 26108.002 -3693.002 3693.002 -3204.999 26449.236 13638261.172 102051858.512 3306.154 12756482.314 -0.969 -400.625
10 9 21024 23338.250 -2314.250 2314.250 -5519.250 28763.486 5355754.969 107407613.481 3195.943 11934179.276 -1.727 -613.250
11 10 23497 21602.563 1894.437 1894.437 -3624.812 30657.924 3588893.051 110996506.533 3065.792 11099650.653 -1.182 -362.481
12 11 21915 23023.391 -1108.391 1108.391 -4733.203 31766.314 1228529.835 112225036.367 2887.847 10202276.033 -1.639 -430.291
13 12 28394 22192.098 6201.902 6201.902 1468.699 37968.217 38463592.602 150688628.969 3164.018 12557385.747 0.464 122.392
14 13 22858 26843.524 -3985.524 3985.524 -2516.825 41953.741 15884404.868 166573033.837 3227.211 12813310.295 -0.780 -193.602
15 14 27124 23854.381 3269.619 3269.619 752.794 45223.360 10690407.726 177263441.562 3230.240 12661674.397 0.233 53.771
16 15 26835 26306.595 528.405 528.405 1281.198 45751.765 279211.552 177542653.115 3050.118 11836176.874 0.420 85.413
17 16 26540 26702.899 -162.899 162.899 1118.300 45914.663 26536.025 177569189.140 2869.666 11098074.321 0.390 69.894
18 17 27122 26580.725 541.275 541.275 1659.575 46455.939 292978.945 177862168.085 2732.702 10462480.476 0.607 97.622
19 18 25179 26986.681 -1807.681 1807.681 -148.106 48263.620 3267711.235 181129879.320 2681.312 10062771.073 -0.055 -8.228
20 19 23241 25630.920 -2389.920 2389.920 -2538.027 50653.540 5711719.012 186841598.332 2665.976 9833768.333 -0.952 -133.580
21 20 25097 23838.480 1258.520 1258.520 -1279.507 51912.060 1583872.405 188425470.737 2595.603 9421273.537 -0.493 -63.975
22 21 25177 24782.370 394.630 394.630 -884.877 52306.690 155732.822 188581203.560 2490.795 8980057.312 -0.355 -42.137
23 22 24054 25078.343 -1024.343 1024.343 -1909.219 53331.033 1049277.567 189630481.126 2424.138 8619567.324 -0.788 -86.783
24 23 27754 24310.086 3443.914 3443.914 1534.695 56774.947 11860546.214 201491027.341 2468.476 8760479.450 0.622 66.726
25 26893.021 Cacat 5% 28308.444
α= 0.8
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 28779.600 1187.400 1187.400 4984.400 4984.400 1409918.760 15827127.760 2492.200 7913563.880 2.000 2492.200
4 3 23849 29729.520 -5880.520 5880.520 -896.120 10864.920 34580515.470 50407643.230 3621.640 16802547.743 -0.247 -298.707
5 4 21792 25025.104 -3233.104 3233.104 -4129.224 14098.024 10452961.475 60860604.705 3524.506 15215151.176 -1.172 -1032.306
6 5 26955 22438.621 4516.379 4516.379 387.155 18614.403 20397681.078 81258285.783 3722.881 16251657.157 0.104 77.431
7 6 28043 26051.724 1991.276 1991.276 2378.431 20605.679 3965179.471 85223465.254 3434.280 14203910.876 0.693 396.405
8 7 25643 27644.745 -2001.745 2001.745 376.686 22607.424 4006982.372 89230447.627 3229.632 12747206.804 0.117 53.812
9 8 22415 26043.349 -3628.349 3628.349 -3251.663 26235.773 13164916.222 102395363.849 3279.472 12799420.481 -0.992 -406.458
10 9 21024 23140.670 -2116.670 2116.670 -5368.333 28352.443 4480291.014 106875654.863 3150.271 11875072.763 -1.704 -596.481
11 10 23497 21447.334 2049.666 2049.666 -3318.667 30402.109 4201130.881 111076785.744 3040.211 11107678.574 -1.092 -331.867
12 11 21915 23087.067 -1172.067 1172.067 -4490.733 31574.175 1373740.564 112450526.308 2870.380 10222775.119 -1.565 -408.248
13 12 28394 22149.413 6244.587 6244.587 1753.853 37818.762 38994862.325 151445388.633 3151.564 12620449.053 0.557 146.154
14 13 22858 27145.083 -4287.083 4287.083 -2533.229 42105.845 18379077.834 169824466.467 3238.911 13063420.497 -0.782 -194.864
15 14 27124 23715.417 3408.583 3408.583 875.354 45514.428 11618441.242 181442907.709 3251.031 12960207.694 0.269 62.525
16 15 26835 26442.283 392.717 392.717 1268.071 45907.145 154226.401 181597134.110 3060.476 12106475.607 0.414 84.538
17 16 26540 26756.457 -216.457 216.457 1051.614 46123.602 46853.486 181643987.596 2882.725 11352749.225 0.365 65.726
18 17 27122 26583.291 538.709 538.709 1590.323 46662.310 290207.029 181934194.625 2744.842 10702011.449 0.579 93.548
19 18 25179 27014.258 -1835.258 1835.258 -244.935 48497.569 3368172.905 185302367.530 2694.309 10294575.974 -0.091 -13.608
20 19 23241 25546.052 -2305.052 2305.052 -2549.987 50802.620 5313263.124 190615630.654 2673.822 10032401.613 -0.954 -134.210
21 20 25097 23702.010 1394.990 1394.990 -1154.997 52197.610 1945996.178 192561626.832 2609.880 9628081.342 -0.443 -57.750
22 21 25177 24818.002 358.998 358.998 -795.999 52556.608 128879.517 192690506.348 2502.696 9175738.398 -0.318 -37.905
23 22 24054 25105.200 -1051.200 1051.200 -1847.200 53607.808 1105022.309 193795528.657 2436.719 8808887.666 -0.758 -83.964
24 23 27754 24264.240 3489.760 3489.760 1642.560 57097.568 12178424.281 205973952.938 2482.503 8955389.258 0.662 71.416
25 27056.048 Cacat 5% 28480.051
α= 0.85
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 28969.450 997.550 997.550 4794.550 4794.550 995106.003 15412315.003 2397.275 7706157.501 2.000 2397.275
4 3 23849 29817.368 -5968.368 5968.368 -1173.818 10762.918 35621410.615 51033725.618 3587.639 17011241.873 -0.327 -391.272
5 4 21792 24744.255 -2952.255 2952.255 -4126.073 13715.173 8715810.323 59749535.941 3428.793 14937383.985 -1.203 -1031.518
6 5 26955 22234.838 4720.162 4720.162 594.089 18435.334 22279926.769 82029462.710 3687.067 16405892.542 0.161 118.818
7 6 28043 26246.976 1796.024 1796.024 2390.113 20231.359 3225703.141 85255165.851 3371.893 14209194.309 0.709 398.352
8 7 25643 27773.596 -2130.596 2130.596 259.517 22361.955 4539440.854 89794606.705 3194.565 12827800.958 0.081 37.074
9 8 22415 25962.589 -3547.589 3547.589 -3288.072 25909.544 12585390.935 102379997.640 3238.693 12797499.705 -1.015 -411.009
10 9 21024 22947.138 -1923.138 1923.138 -5211.211 27832.683 3698461.375 106078459.015 3092.520 11786495.446 -1.685 -579.023
11 10 23497 21312.471 2184.529 2184.529 -3026.682 30017.212 4772167.989 110850627.004 3001.721 11085062.700 -1.008 -302.668
12 11 21915 23169.321 -1254.321 1254.321 -4281.002 31271.533 1573320.204 112423947.208 2842.867 10220358.837 -1.506 -389.182
13 12 28394 22103.148 6290.852 6290.852 2009.850 37562.385 39574817.726 151998764.934 3130.199 12666563.745 0.642 167.487
14 13 22858 27450.372 -4592.372 4592.372 -2582.523 42154.757 21089882.550 173088647.484 3242.674 13314511.345 -0.796 -198.656
15 14 27124 23546.856 3577.144 3577.144 994.622 45731.901 12795960.398 185884607.882 3266.564 13277471.992 0.304 71.044
16 15 26835 26587.428 247.572 247.572 1242.193 45979.473 61291.710 185945899.592 3065.298 12396393.306 0.405 82.813
17 16 26540 26797.864 -257.864 257.864 984.329 46237.337 66493.975 186012393.567 2889.834 11625774.598 0.341 61.521
18 17 27122 26578.680 543.320 543.320 1527.649 46780.657 295197.015 186307590.582 2751.803 10959270.034 0.555 89.862
19 18 25179 27040.502 -1861.502 1861.502 -333.853 48642.159 3465189.494 189772780.076 2702.342 10542932.226 -0.124 -18.547
20 19 23241 25458.225 -2217.225 2217.225 -2551.078 50859.384 4916087.995 194688868.071 2676.810 10246782.530 -0.953 -134.267
21 20 25097 23573.584 1523.416 1523.416 -1027.662 52382.801 2320796.937 197009665.008 2619.140 9850483.250 -0.392 -51.383
22 21 25177 24868.488 308.512 308.512 -719.149 52691.313 95179.920 197104844.928 2509.110 9385944.997 -0.287 -34.245
23 22 24054 25130.723 -1076.723 1076.723 -1795.872 53768.036 1159332.710 198264177.639 2444.002 9012008.074 -0.735 -81.631
24 23 27754 24215.508 3538.492 3538.492 1742.619 57306.528 12520922.306 210785099.944 2491.588 9164569.563 0.699 75.766
25 27223.226 Cacat 5% 28656.028
α= 0.9
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 29159.300 807.700 807.700 4604.700 4604.700 652379.290 15069588.290 2302.350 7534794.145 2.000 2302.350
4 3 23849 29886.230 -6037.230 6037.230 -1432.530 10641.930 36448146.073 51517734.363 3547.310 17172578.121 -0.404 -477.510
5 4 21792 24452.723 -2660.723 2660.723 -4093.253 13302.653 7079446.883 58597181.246 3325.663 14649295.311 -1.231 -1023.313
6 5 26955 22058.072 4896.928 4896.928 803.675 18199.581 23979900.899 82577082.145 3639.916 16515416.429 0.221 160.735
7 6 28043 26465.307 1577.693 1577.693 2381.367 19777.273 2489114.477 85066196.621 3296.212 14177699.437 0.722 396.895
8 7 25643 27885.231 -2242.231 2242.231 139.137 22019.504 5027598.615 90093795.236 3145.643 12870542.177 0.044 19.877
9 8 22415 25867.223 -3452.223 3452.223 -3313.086 25471.727 11917844.141 102011639.377 3183.966 12751454.922 -1.041 -414.136
10 9 21024 22760.222 -1736.222 1736.222 -5049.309 27207.950 3014467.900 105026107.277 3023.106 11669567.475 -1.670 -561.034
11 10 23497 21197.622 2299.378 2299.378 -2749.931 29507.327 5287138.126 110313245.403 2950.733 11031324.540 -0.932 -274.993
12 11 21915 23267.062 -1352.062 1352.062 -4101.993 30859.390 1828072.255 112141317.658 2805.399 10194665.242 -1.462 -372.908
13 12 28394 22050.206 6343.794 6343.794 2241.801 37203.183 40243719.494 152385037.152 3100.265 12698753.096 0.723 186.817
14 13 22858 27759.621 -4901.621 4901.621 -2659.820 42104.804 24025884.724 176410921.876 3238.831 13570070.914 -0.821 -204.602
15 14 27124 23348.162 3775.838 3775.838 1116.018 45880.642 14256952.132 190667874.009 3277.189 13619133.858 0.341 79.716
16 15 26835 26746.416 88.584 88.584 1204.602 45969.226 7847.089 190675721.097 3064.615 12711714.740 0.393 80.307
17 16 26540 26826.142 -286.142 286.142 918.460 46255.367 81877.027 190757598.124 2890.960 11922349.883 0.318 57.404
18 17 27122 26568.614 553.386 553.386 1471.846 46808.753 306235.886 191063834.010 2753.456 11239049.059 0.535 86.579
19 18 25179 27066.661 -1887.661 1887.661 -415.815 48696.415 3563265.622 194627099.632 2705.356 10812616.646 -0.154 -23.101
20 19 23241 25367.766 -2126.766 2126.766 -2542.582 50823.181 4523134.221 199150233.853 2674.904 10481591.255 -0.951 -133.820
21 20 25097 23453.677 1643.323 1643.323 -899.258 52466.504 2700511.750 201850745.604 2623.325 10092537.280 -0.343 -44.963
22 21 25177 24932.668 244.332 244.332 -654.926 52710.836 59698.292 201910443.896 2510.040 9614783.043 -0.261 -31.187
23 22 24054 25152.567 -1098.567 1098.567 -1753.493 53809.403 1206848.940 203117292.835 2445.882 9232604.220 -0.717 -79.704
24 23 27754 24163.857 3590.143 3590.143 1836.651 57399.547 12889129.082 216006421.918 2495.632 9391583.562 0.736 79.854
25 27394.986 Cacat 5% 28836.827
α= 0.95
1 0 25742 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 29539 25742.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 3797.000 14417209.000 14417209.000 3797.000 14417209.000 1.000 3797.000
3 2 29967 29349.150 617.850 617.850 4414.850 4414.850 381738.622 14798947.623 2207.425 7399473.811 2.000 2207.425
4 3 23849 29936.108 -6087.108 6087.108 -1672.258 10501.958 37052877.717 51851825.339 3500.653 17283941.780 -0.478 -557.419
5 4 21792 24153.355 -2361.355 2361.355 -4033.613 12863.313 5575999.207 57427824.546 3215.828 14356956.137 -1.254 -1008.403
6 5 26955 21910.068 5044.932 5044.932 1011.319 17908.245 25451341.218 82879165.764 3581.649 16575833.153 0.282 202.264
7 6 28043 26702.753 1340.247 1340.247 2351.566 19248.492 1796260.980 84675426.744 3208.082 14112571.124 0.733 391.928
8 7 25643 27975.988 -2332.988 2332.988 18.578 21581.479 5442831.466 90118258.209 3083.068 12874036.887 0.006 2.654
9 8 22415 25759.649 -3344.649 3344.649 -3326.071 24926.129 11186679.498 101304937.708 3115.766 12663117.213 -1.067 -415.759
10 9 21024 22582.232 -1558.232 1558.232 -4884.304 26484.361 2428088.428 103733026.136 2942.707 11525891.793 -1.660 -542.700
11 10 23497 21101.912 2395.088 2395.088 -2489.215 28879.450 5736448.331 109469474.467 2887.945 10946947.447 -0.862 -248.922
12 11 21915 23377.246 -1462.246 1462.246 -3951.461 30341.695 2138162.140 111607636.607 2758.336 10146148.782 -1.433 -359.224
13 12 28394 21988.112 6405.888 6405.888 2454.427 36747.583 41035397.493 152643034.100 3062.299 12720252.842 0.801 204.536
14 13 22858 28073.706 -5215.706 5215.706 -2761.279 41963.289 27203585.051 179846619.152 3227.945 13834355.319 -0.855 -212.406
15 14 27124 23118.785 4005.215 4005.215 1243.936 45968.503 16041744.948 195888364.099 3283.465 13992026.007 0.379 88.853
16 15 26835 26923.739 -88.739 88.739 1155.197 46057.243 7874.657 195896238.756 3070.483 13059749.250 0.376 77.013
17 16 26540 26839.437 -299.437 299.437 855.760 46356.679 89662.495 195985901.251 2897.292 12249118.828 0.295 53.485
18 17 27122 26554.972 567.028 567.028 1422.788 46923.708 321520.925 196307422.176 2760.218 11547495.422 0.515 83.693
19 18 25179 27093.649 -1914.649 1914.649 -491.861 48838.356 3665879.232 199973301.409 2713.242 11109627.856 -0.181 -27.326
20 19 23241 25274.732 -2033.732 2033.732 -2525.593 50872.089 4136067.595 204109369.004 2677.478 10742598.369 -0.943 -132.926
21 20 25097 23342.687 1754.313 1754.313 -771.280 52626.402 3077615.430 207186984.434 2631.320 10359349.222 -0.293 -38.564
22 21 25177 25009.284 167.716 167.716 -603.564 52794.118 28128.546 207215112.980 2514.006 9867386.332 -0.240 -28.741
23 22 24054 25168.614 -1114.614 1114.614 -1718.178 53908.732 1242364.852 208457477.831 2450.397 9475339.901 -0.701 -78.099
24 23 27754 24109.731 3644.269 3644.269 1926.091 57553.001 13280698.652 221738176.483 2502.304 9640790.282 0.770 83.743
25 27571.787 Cacat 5% 29022.933
Adaptive Exponential Smoothing Sepatu Gunung
α= 0.05
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Tracking Signal Metode AES
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 18031.900 -321.900 321.900 2556.100 3199.900 103619.610 8386503.610 1599.950 4193251.805 1.598 1278.050 4.000
4 3 15684 18015.805 -2331.805 2331.805 224.295 5531.705 5437314.558 13823818.168 1843.902 4607939.389 0.122 74.765
3.000
5 4 15529 17899.215 -2370.215 2370.215 -2145.920 7901.920 5617917.961 19441736.129 1975.480 4860434.032 -1.086 -536.480
6 5 18618 17780.704 837.296 837.296 -1308.624 8739.216 701064.571 20142800.700 1747.843 4028560.140 -0.749 -261.725
2.000
7 6 19254 17822.569 1431.431 1431.431 122.807 10170.647 2048995.246 22191795.946 1695.108 3698632.658 0.072 20.468
8 7 19014 17894.140 1119.860 1119.860 1242.667 11290.507 1254085.588 23445881.534 1612.930 3349411.648 0.770 177.524
1.000
9 8 21991 17950.133 4040.867 4040.867 5283.534 15331.373 16328603.261 39774484.795 1916.422 4971810.599 2.757 660.442
10 9 17851 18152.177 -301.177 301.177 4982.357 15632.550 90707.396 39865192.191 1736.950 4429465.799 2.868 553.595
0.000
11 10 17851 18137.118 -286.118 286.118 4696.239 15918.668 81863.425 39947055.616 1591.867 3994705.562 2.950 469.624 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
12 11 15765 18122.812 -2357.812 2357.812 2338.427 18276.480 5559277.231 45506332.846 1661.498 4136939.350 1.407 212.584
-1.000
13 12 16346 18004.921 -1658.921 1658.921 679.506 19935.401 2752020.080 48258352.926 1661.283 4021529.411 0.409 56.625
14 13 20282 17921.975 2360.025 2360.025 3039.531 22295.426 5569716.621 53828069.547 1715.033 4140620.734 1.772 233.810
-2.000
15 14 15999 18039.977 -2040.977 2040.977 998.554 24336.402 4165585.187 57993654.734 1738.314 4142403.910 0.574 71.325
16 15 18560 17937.928 622.072 622.072 1620.626 24958.475 386973.945 58380628.678 1663.898 3892041.912 0.974 108.042
-3.000
17 16 18148 17969.031 178.969 178.969 1799.595 25137.443 32029.790 58412658.468 1571.090 3650791.154 1.145 112.475
18 17 16495 17977.980 -1482.980 1482.980 316.615 26620.423 2199228.940 60611887.408 1565.907 3565405.142 0.202 18.624
-4.000
19 18 18974 17903.831 1070.169 1070.169 1386.784 27690.592 1145262.196 61757149.604 1538.366 3430952.756 0.901 77.044
20 19 18013 17957.339 55.661 55.661 1442.445 27746.253 3098.122 61760247.726 1460.329 3250539.354 0.988 75.918
21 20 19472 17960.122 1511.878 1511.878 2954.323 29258.131 2285774.290 64046022.016 1462.907 3202301.101 2.019 147.716
22 21 17445 18035.716 -590.716 590.716 2363.607 29848.847 348945.570 64394967.586 1421.374 3066427.028 1.663 112.553
23 22 18709 18006.180 702.820 702.820 3066.427 30551.667 493955.470 64888923.057 1388.712 2949496.503 2.208 139.383
24 23 19549 18041.321 1507.679 1507.679 4574.105 32059.345 2273094.985 67162018.042 1393.885 2920087.741 3.282 198.874
25 18116.705 Cacat 5% 19070.216
α= 0.1
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 18175.800 -465.800 465.800 2412.200 3343.800 216969.640 8499853.640 1671.900 4249926.820 1.443 1206.100
4 3 15684 18129.220 -2445.220 2445.220 -33.020 5789.020 5979100.848 14478954.488 1929.673 4826318.163 -0.017 -11.007
5 4 15529 17884.698 -2355.698 2355.698 -2388.718 8144.718 5549313.067 20028267.556 2036.180 5007066.889 -1.173 -597.180
6 5 18618 17649.128 968.872 968.872 -1419.846 9113.590 938712.565 20966980.120 1822.718 4193396.024 -0.779 -283.969
7 6 19254 17746.015 1507.985 1507.985 88.138 10621.574 2274017.614 23240997.735 1770.262 3873499.622 0.050 14.690
8 7 19014 17896.814 1117.186 1117.186 1205.325 11738.761 1248104.912 24489102.646 1676.966 3498443.235 0.719 172.189
9 8 21991 18008.532 3982.468 3982.468 5187.792 15721.228 15860047.725 40349150.371 1965.154 5043643.796 2.640 648.474
10 9 17851 18406.779 -555.779 555.779 4632.013 16277.007 308890.533 40658040.903 1808.556 4517560.100 2.561 514.668
11 10 17851 18351.201 -500.201 500.201 4131.812 16777.209 250201.331 40908242.235 1677.721 4090824.223 2.463 413.181
12 11 15765 18301.181 -2536.181 2536.181 1595.630 19313.390 6432214.885 47340457.120 1755.763 4303677.920 0.909 145.057
13 12 16346 18047.563 -1701.563 1701.563 -105.933 21014.953 2895316.798 50235773.918 1751.246 4186314.493 -0.060 -8.828
14 13 20282 17877.407 2404.593 2404.593 2298.661 23419.546 5782068.741 56017842.659 1801.504 4309064.820 1.276 176.820
15 14 15999 18117.866 -2118.866 2118.866 179.795 25538.412 4489593.409 60507436.069 1824.172 4321959.719 0.099 12.842
16 15 18560 17905.979 654.021 654.021 833.815 26192.433 427742.866 60935178.935 1746.162 4062345.262 0.478 55.588
17 16 18148 17971.382 176.618 176.618 1010.434 26369.051 31194.090 60966373.025 1648.066 3810398.314 0.613 63.152
18 17 16495 17989.043 -1494.043 1494.043 -483.610 27863.095 2232165.570 63198538.594 1639.006 3717561.094 -0.295 -28.448
19 18 18974 17839.639 1134.361 1134.361 650.751 28997.456 1286774.818 64485313.413 1610.970 3582517.412 0.404 36.153
20 19 18013 17953.075 59.925 59.925 710.676 29057.380 3590.991 64488904.403 1529.336 3394152.863 0.465 37.404
21 20 19472 17959.068 1512.932 1512.932 2223.609 30570.313 2288964.412 66777868.816 1528.516 3338893.441 1.455 111.180
22 21 17445 18110.361 -665.361 665.361 1558.248 31235.674 442705.061 67220573.877 1487.413 3200979.708 1.048 74.202
23 22 18709 18043.825 665.175 665.175 2223.423 31900.849 442458.093 67663031.970 1450.039 3075592.362 1.533 101.065
24 23 19549 18110.342 1438.658 1438.658 3662.081 33339.507 2069736.010 69732767.980 1449.544 3031859.477 2.526 159.221
25 18254.208 Cacat 5% 19214.956
α= 0.15
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 18319.700 -609.700 609.700 2268.300 3487.700 371734.090 8654618.090 1743.850 4327309.045 1.301 1134.150
4 3 15684 18228.245 -2544.245 2544.245 -275.945 6031.945 6473182.620 15127800.710 2010.648 5042600.237 -0.137 -91.982
5 4 15529 17846.608 -2317.608 2317.608 -2593.553 8349.553 5371308.000 20499108.710 2087.388 5124777.178 -1.242 -648.388
6 5 18618 17498.967 1119.033 1119.033 -1474.520 9468.586 1252234.827 21751343.538 1893.717 4350268.708 -0.779 -294.904
7 6 19254 17666.822 1587.178 1587.178 112.658 11055.764 2519134.129 24270477.666 1842.627 4045079.611 0.061 18.776
8 7 19014 17904.899 1109.101 1109.101 1221.759 12164.866 1230105.768 25500583.434 1737.838 3642940.491 0.703 174.537
9 8 21991 18071.264 3919.736 3919.736 5141.495 16084.602 15364331.356 40864914.790 2010.575 5108114.349 2.557 642.687
10 9 17851 18659.224 -808.224 808.224 4333.271 16892.826 653226.497 41518141.287 1876.981 4613126.810 2.309 481.475
11 10 17851 18537.991 -686.991 686.991 3646.280 17579.817 471956.144 41990097.432 1757.982 4199009.743 2.074 364.628
12 11 15765 18434.942 -2669.942 2669.942 976.338 20249.759 7128590.535 49118687.966 1840.887 4465335.270 0.530 88.758
13 12 16346 18034.451 -1688.451 1688.451 -712.112 21938.209 2850865.901 51969553.868 1828.184 4330796.156 -0.390 -59.343
14 13 20282 17781.183 2500.817 2500.817 1788.704 24439.026 6254085.022 58223638.890 1879.925 4478741.453 0.951 137.593
15 14 15999 18156.306 -2157.306 2157.306 -368.601 26596.332 4653967.709 62877606.599 1899.738 4491257.614 -0.194 -26.329
16 15 18560 17832.710 727.290 727.290 358.689 27323.622 528951.019 63406557.619 1821.575 4227103.841 0.197 23.913
17 16 18148 17941.803 206.197 206.197 564.886 27529.819 42517.063 63449074.682 1720.614 3965567.168 0.328 35.305
18 17 16495 17972.733 -1477.733 1477.733 -912.847 29007.552 2183694.341 65632769.023 1706.327 3860751.119 -0.535 -53.697
19 18 18974 17751.073 1222.927 1222.927 310.080 30230.479 1495550.661 67128319.684 1679.471 3729351.094 0.185 17.227
20 19 18013 17934.512 78.488 78.488 388.568 30308.967 6160.370 67134480.054 1595.209 3533393.687 0.244 20.451
21 20 19472 17946.285 1525.715 1525.715 1914.283 31834.682 2327805.714 69462285.768 1591.734 3473114.288 1.203 95.714
22 21 17445 18175.142 -730.142 730.142 1184.140 32564.824 533107.928 69995393.696 1550.706 3333113.986 0.764 56.388
23 22 18709 18065.621 643.379 643.379 1827.519 33208.203 413936.484 70409330.180 1509.464 3200424.099 1.211 83.069
24 23 19549 18162.128 1386.872 1386.872 3214.391 34595.075 1923414.261 72332744.441 1504.134 3144901.932 2.137 139.756
25 18370.159 Cacat 5% 19337.009
α= 0.2
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 18463.600 -753.600 753.600 2124.400 3631.600 567912.960 8850796.960 1815.800 4425398.480 1.170 1062.200
4 3 15684 18312.880 -2628.880 2628.880 -504.480 6260.480 6911010.054 15761807.014 2086.827 5253935.671 -0.242 -168.160
5 4 15529 17787.104 -2258.104 2258.104 -2762.584 8518.584 5099033.675 20860840.689 2129.646 5215210.172 -1.297 -690.646
6 5 18618 17335.483 1282.517 1282.517 -1480.067 9801.101 1644849.342 22505690.031 1960.220 4501138.006 -0.755 -296.013
7 6 19254 17591.987 1662.013 1662.013 181.946 11463.114 2762288.675 25267978.706 1910.519 4211329.784 0.095 30.324
8 7 19014 17924.389 1089.611 1089.611 1271.557 12552.725 1187251.591 26455230.297 1793.246 3779318.614 0.709 181.651
9 8 21991 18142.311 3848.689 3848.689 5120.246 16401.414 14812403.952 41267634.249 2050.177 5158454.281 2.497 640.031
10 9 17851 18912.049 -1061.049 1061.049 4059.196 17462.463 1125825.232 42393459.482 1940.274 4710384.387 2.092 451.022
11 10 17851 18699.839 -848.839 848.839 3210.357 18311.302 720528.149 43113987.630 1831.130 4311398.763 1.753 321.036
12 11 15765 18530.071 -2765.071 2765.071 445.286 21076.373 7645620.046 50759607.676 1916.034 4614509.789 0.232 40.481
13 12 16346 17977.057 -1631.057 1631.057 -1185.771 22707.431 2660347.423 53419955.099 1892.286 4451662.925 -0.627 -98.814
14 13 20282 17650.846 2631.154 2631.154 1445.383 25338.585 6922972.850 60342927.949 1949.122 4641763.688 0.742 111.183
15 14 15999 18177.077 -2178.077 2178.077 -732.694 27516.661 4744017.568 65086945.517 1965.476 4649067.537 -0.373 -52.335
16 15 18560 17741.461 818.539 818.539 85.845 28335.200 670005.669 65756951.185 1889.013 4383796.746 0.045 5.723
17 16 18148 17905.169 242.831 242.831 328.676 28578.031 58966.891 65815918.076 1786.127 4113494.880 0.184 20.542
18 17 16495 17953.735 -1458.735 1458.735 -1130.059 30036.766 2127908.403 67943826.479 1766.869 3996695.675 -0.640 -66.474
19 18 18974 17661.988 1312.012 1312.012 181.953 31348.778 1721375.055 69665201.533 1741.599 3870288.974 0.104 10.108
20 19 18013 17924.391 88.609 88.609 270.562 31437.388 7851.638 69673053.171 1654.599 3667002.798 0.164 14.240
21 20 19472 17942.112 1529.888 1529.888 1800.450 32967.275 2340555.990 72013609.161 1648.364 3600680.458 1.092 90.022
22 21 17445 18248.090 -803.090 803.090 997.360 33770.365 644953.453 72658562.614 1608.113 3459931.553 0.620 47.493
23 22 18709 18087.472 621.528 621.528 1618.888 34391.893 386297.114 73044859.727 1563.268 3320220.897 1.036 73.586
24 23 19549 18211.778 1337.222 1337.222 2956.110 35729.116 1788163.849 74833023.576 1553.440 3253609.721 1.903 128.527
25 18479.222 Cacat 5% 19451.813
α= 0.25
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 18607.500 -897.500 897.500 1980.500 3775.500 805506.250 9088390.250 1887.750 4544195.125 1.049 990.250
4 3 15684 18383.125 -2699.125 2699.125 -718.625 6474.625 7285275.766 16373666.016 2158.208 5457888.672 -0.333 -239.542
5 4 15529 17708.344 -2179.344 2179.344 -2897.969 8653.969 4749539.181 21123205.196 2163.492 5280801.299 -1.339 -724.492
6 5 18618 17163.508 1454.492 1454.492 -1443.477 10108.461 2115547.523 23238752.720 2021.692 4647750.544 -0.714 -288.695
7 6 19254 17527.131 1726.869 1726.869 283.393 11835.330 2982077.029 26220829.749 1972.555 4370138.291 0.144 47.232
8 7 19014 17958.848 1055.152 1055.152 1338.544 12890.482 1113345.438 27334175.187 1841.497 3904882.170 0.727 191.221
9 8 21991 18222.636 3768.364 3768.364 5106.908 16658.846 14200566.420 41534741.606 2082.356 5191842.701 2.452 638.364
10 9 17851 19164.727 -1313.727 1313.727 3793.181 17972.573 1725878.844 43260620.450 1996.953 4806735.606 1.899 421.465
11 10 17851 18836.295 -985.295 985.295 2807.886 18957.868 970806.850 44231427.300 1895.787 4423142.730 1.481 280.789
12 11 15765 18589.971 -2824.971 2824.971 -17.086 21782.840 7980463.881 52211891.181 1980.258 4746535.562 -0.009 -1.553
13 12 16346 17883.729 -1537.729 1537.729 -1554.814 23320.568 2364609.285 54576500.467 1943.381 4548041.706 -0.800 -129.568
14 13 20282 17499.296 2782.704 2782.704 1227.889 26103.272 7743438.995 62319939.462 2007.944 4793841.497 0.612 94.453
15 14 15999 18194.972 -2195.972 2195.972 -968.083 28299.244 4822294.538 67142234.000 2021.375 4795873.857 -0.479 -69.149
16 15 18560 17645.979 914.021 914.021 -54.062 29213.265 835433.916 67977667.916 1947.551 4531844.528 -0.028 -3.604
17 16 18148 17874.484 273.516 273.516 219.453 29486.780 74810.759 68052478.675 1842.924 4253279.917 0.119 13.716
18 17 16495 17942.863 -1447.863 1447.863 -1228.410 30934.644 2096308.231 70148786.906 1819.685 4126399.230 -0.675 -72.259
19 18 18974 17580.897 1393.103 1393.103 164.692 32327.746 1940734.577 72089521.483 1795.986 4004973.416 0.092 9.150
20 19 18013 17929.173 83.827 83.827 248.519 32411.573 7026.945 72096548.428 1705.872 3794555.180 0.146 13.080
21 20 19472 17950.130 1521.870 1521.870 1770.390 33933.443 2316088.773 74412637.201 1696.672 3720631.860 1.043 88.519
22 21 17445 18330.597 -885.597 885.597 884.792 34819.041 784282.724 75196919.925 1658.050 3580805.711 0.534 42.133
23 22 18709 18109.198 599.802 599.802 1484.594 35418.843 359762.395 75556682.320 1609.947 3434394.651 0.922 67.482
24 23 19549 18259.149 1289.851 1289.851 2774.446 36708.694 1663716.820 77220399.140 1596.030 3357408.658 1.738 120.628
25 18581.611 Cacat 5% 19559.591
α= 0.3
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 18751.400 -1041.400 1041.400 1836.600 3919.400 1084513.960 9367397.960 1959.700 4683698.980 0.937 918.300
4 3 15684 18438.980 -2754.980 2754.980 -918.380 6674.380 7589914.800 16957312.760 2224.793 5652437.587 -0.413 -306.127
5 4 15529 17612.486 -2083.486 2083.486 -3001.866 8757.866 4340913.912 21298226.673 2189.467 5324556.668 -1.371 -750.467
6 5 18618 16987.440 1630.560 1630.560 -1371.306 10388.426 2658725.261 23956951.934 2077.685 4791390.387 -0.660 -274.261
7 6 19254 17476.608 1777.392 1777.392 406.086 12165.818 3159121.824 27116073.758 2027.636 4519345.626 0.200 67.681
8 7 19014 18009.826 1004.174 1004.174 1410.260 13169.992 1008366.029 28124439.787 1881.427 4017777.112 0.750 201.466
9 8 21991 18311.078 3679.922 3679.922 5090.182 16849.914 13541826.010 41666265.797 2106.239 5208283.225 2.417 636.273
10 9 17851 19415.055 -1564.055 1564.055 3526.127 18413.969 2446266.767 44112532.564 2045.997 4901392.507 1.723 391.792
11 10 17851 18945.838 -1094.838 1094.838 2431.289 19508.807 1198670.716 45311203.279 1950.881 4531120.328 1.246 243.129
12 11 15765 18617.387 -2852.387 2852.387 -421.098 22361.194 8136110.172 53447313.451 2032.836 4858846.677 -0.207 -38.282
13 12 16346 17761.671 -1415.671 1415.671 -1836.768 23776.864 2004123.602 55451437.053 1981.405 4620953.088 -0.927 -153.064
14 13 20282 17336.970 2945.030 2945.030 1108.262 26721.895 8673204.601 64124641.655 2055.530 4932664.743 0.539 85.251
15 14 15999 18220.479 -2221.479 2221.479 -1113.216 28943.373 4934967.416 69059609.071 2067.384 4932829.219 -0.538 -79.515
16 15 18560 17554.035 1005.965 1005.965 -107.252 29949.338 1011965.463 70071574.534 1996.623 4671438.302 -0.054 -7.150
17 16 18148 17855.825 292.175 292.175 184.924 30241.514 85366.499 70156941.032 1890.095 4384808.815 0.098 11.558
18 17 16495 17943.477 -1448.477 1448.477 -1263.553 31689.991 2098086.137 72255027.170 1864.117 4250295.716 -0.678 -74.327
19 18 18974 17508.934 1465.066 1465.066 201.513 33155.057 2146418.311 74401445.481 1841.948 4133413.638 0.109 11.195
20 19 18013 17948.454 64.546 64.546 266.059 33219.603 4166.210 74405611.690 1748.400 3916084.826 0.152 14.003
21 20 19472 17967.818 1504.182 1504.182 1770.241 34723.785 2262564.475 76668176.165 1736.189 3833408.808 1.020 88.512
22 21 17445 18419.072 -974.072 974.072 796.169 35697.858 948816.983 77616993.148 1699.898 3696047.293 0.468 37.913
23 22 18709 18126.851 582.149 582.149 1378.318 36280.007 338897.855 77955891.003 1649.091 3543449.591 0.836 62.651
24 23 19549 18301.495 1247.505 1247.505 2625.823 37527.512 1556267.573 79512158.576 1631.631 3457050.373 1.609 114.166
25 18675.747 Cacat 5% 19658.681
α= 0.35
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 18895.300 -1185.300 1185.300 1692.700 4063.300 1404936.090 9687820.090 2031.650 4843910.045 0.833 846.350
4 3 15684 18480.445 -2796.445 2796.445 -1103.745 6859.745 7820104.638 17507924.728 2286.582 5835974.909 -0.483 -367.915
5 4 15529 17501.689 -1972.689 1972.689 -3076.434 8832.434 3891502.877 21399427.605 2208.109 5349856.901 -1.393 -769.109
6 5 18618 16811.248 1806.752 1806.752 -1269.682 10639.186 3264352.744 24663780.349 2127.837 4932756.070 -0.597 -253.936
7 6 19254 17443.611 1810.389 1810.389 540.707 12449.575 3277507.578 27941287.927 2074.929 4656881.321 0.261 90.118
8 7 19014 18077.247 936.753 936.753 1477.459 13386.328 877505.649 28818793.576 1912.333 4116970.511 0.773 211.066
9 8 21991 18405.111 3585.889 3585.889 5063.349 16972.217 12858601.818 41677395.393 2121.527 5209674.424 2.387 632.919
10 9 17851 19660.172 -1809.172 1809.172 3254.177 18781.389 3273103.246 44950498.640 2086.821 4994499.849 1.559 361.575
11 10 17851 19026.962 -1175.962 1175.962 2078.215 19957.351 1382886.121 46333384.761 1995.735 4633338.476 1.041 207.821
12 11 15765 18615.375 -2850.375 2850.375 -772.160 22807.726 8124638.557 54458023.318 2073.430 4950729.393 -0.372 -70.196
13 12 16346 17617.744 -1271.744 1271.744 -2043.904 24079.470 1617332.431 56075355.749 2006.622 4672946.312 -1.019 -170.325
14 13 20282 17172.634 3109.366 3109.366 1065.462 27188.836 9668159.998 65743515.747 2091.449 5057193.519 0.509 81.959
15 14 15999 18260.912 -2261.912 2261.912 -1196.450 29450.748 5116244.894 70859760.641 2103.625 5061411.474 -0.569 -85.461
16 15 18560 17469.243 1090.757 1090.757 -105.692 30541.505 1189751.583 72049512.224 2036.100 4803300.815 -0.052 -7.046
17 16 18148 17851.008 296.992 296.992 191.300 30838.498 88204.411 72137716.635 1927.406 4508607.290 0.099 11.956
18 17 16495 17954.955 -1459.955 1459.955 -1268.655 32298.453 2131468.667 74269185.301 1899.909 4368775.606 -0.668 -74.627
19 18 18974 17443.971 1530.029 1530.029 261.374 33828.482 2340989.462 76610174.763 1879.360 4256120.820 0.139 14.521
20 19 18013 17979.481 33.519 33.519 294.893 33862.001 1123.524 76611298.287 1782.211 4032173.594 0.165 15.521
21 20 19472 17991.213 1480.787 1480.787 1775.681 35342.788 2192731.182 78804029.469 1767.139 3940201.473 1.005 88.784
22 21 17445 18509.488 -1064.488 1064.488 711.192 36407.277 1133135.173 79937164.642 1733.680 3806531.650 0.410 33.866
23 22 18709 18136.917 572.083 572.083 1283.275 36979.359 327278.566 80264443.207 1680.880 3648383.782 0.763 58.331
24 23 19549 18337.146 1211.854 1211.854 2495.129 38191.213 1468589.455 81733032.662 1660.488 3553610.116 1.503 108.484
25 18761.295 Cacat 5% 19748.732
α= 0.4
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19039.200 -1329.200 1329.200 1548.800 4207.200 1766772.640 10049656.640 2103.600 5024828.320 0.736 774.400
4 3 15684 18507.520 -2823.520 2823.520 -1274.720 7030.720 7972265.190 18021921.830 2343.573 6007307.277 -0.544 -424.907
5 4 15529 17378.112 -1849.112 1849.112 -3123.832 8879.832 3419215.189 21441137.019 2219.958 5360284.255 -1.407 -780.958
6 5 18618 16638.467 1979.533 1979.533 -1144.299 10859.365 3918550.106 25359687.125 2171.873 5071937.425 -0.527 -228.860
7 6 19254 17430.280 1823.720 1823.720 679.420 12683.084 3325953.471 28685640.596 2113.847 4780940.099 0.321 113.237
8 7 19014 18159.768 854.232 854.232 1533.652 13537.316 729711.982 29415352.578 1933.902 4202193.225 0.793 219.093
9 8 21991 18501.461 3489.539 3489.539 5023.191 17026.855 12176883.024 41592235.603 2128.357 5199029.450 2.360 627.899
10 9 17851 19897.277 -2046.277 2046.277 2976.915 19073.132 4187247.715 45779483.318 2119.237 5086609.258 1.405 330.768
11 10 17851 19078.766 -1227.766 1227.766 1749.149 20300.898 1507409.178 47286892.496 2030.090 4728689.250 0.862 174.915
12 11 15765 18587.660 -2822.660 2822.660 -1073.511 23123.557 7967406.979 55254299.474 2102.142 5023118.134 -0.511 -97.592
13 12 16346 17458.596 -1112.596 1112.596 -2186.106 24236.153 1237869.269 56492168.743 2019.679 4707680.729 -1.082 -182.176
14 13 20282 17013.557 3268.443 3268.443 1082.336 27504.596 10682716.763 67174885.506 2115.738 5167298.885 0.512 83.257
15 14 15999 18320.934 -2321.934 2321.934 -1239.598 29826.530 5391379.657 72566265.163 2130.466 5183304.655 -0.582 -88.543
16 15 18560 17392.161 1167.839 1167.839 -71.759 30994.369 1363848.680 73930113.844 2066.291 4928674.256 -0.035 -4.784
17 16 18148 17859.296 288.704 288.704 216.945 31283.073 83349.764 74013463.608 1955.192 4625841.476 0.111 13.559
18 17 16495 17974.778 -1479.778 1479.778 -1262.833 32762.851 2189742.469 76203206.077 1927.227 4482541.534 -0.655 -74.284
19 18 18974 17382.867 1591.133 1591.133 328.300 34353.984 2531705.157 78734911.234 1908.555 4374161.735 0.172 18.239
20 19 18013 18019.320 -6.320 6.320 321.980 34360.304 39.943 78734951.177 1808.437 4143944.799 0.178 16.946
21 20 19472 18016.792 1455.208 1455.208 1777.188 35815.512 2117630.281 80852581.458 1790.776 4042629.073 0.992 88.859
22 21 17445 18598.875 -1153.875 1153.875 623.313 36969.387 1331427.997 82184009.455 1760.447 3913524.260 0.354 29.682
23 22 18709 18137.325 571.675 571.675 1194.988 37541.062 326812.163 82510821.618 1706.412 3750491.892 0.700 54.318
24 23 19549 18365.995 1183.005 1183.005 2377.993 38724.067 1399500.652 83910322.270 1683.655 3648274.881 1.412 103.391
25 18839.197 Cacat 5% 19830.734
α= 0.45
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19183.100 -1473.100 1473.100 1404.900 4351.100 2170023.610 10452907.610 2175.550 5226453.805 0.646 702.450
4 3 15684 18520.205 -2836.205 2836.205 -1431.305 7187.305 8044058.802 18496966.412 2395.768 6165655.471 -0.597 -477.102
5 4 15529 17243.913 -1714.913 1714.913 -3146.218 8902.218 2940925.740 21437892.152 2225.554 5359473.038 -1.414 -786.554
6 5 18618 16472.202 2145.798 2145.798 -1000.420 11048.016 4604449.003 26042341.155 2209.603 5208468.231 -0.453 -200.084
7 6 19254 17437.811 1816.189 1816.189 815.769 12864.205 3298542.096 29340883.251 2144.034 4890147.208 0.380 135.962
8 7 19014 18255.096 758.904 758.904 1574.673 13623.109 575935.116 29916818.367 1946.158 4273831.195 0.809 224.953
9 8 21991 18596.603 3394.397 3394.397 4969.070 17017.506 11521931.945 41438750.312 2127.188 5179843.789 2.336 621.134
10 9 17851 20124.082 -2273.082 2273.082 2695.989 19290.587 5166899.837 46605650.149 2143.399 5178405.572 1.258 299.554
11 10 17851 19101.195 -1250.195 1250.195 1445.794 20540.782 1562987.201 48168637.350 2054.078 4816863.735 0.704 144.579
12 11 15765 18538.607 -2773.607 2773.607 -1327.813 23314.389 7692896.766 55861534.116 2119.490 5078321.283 -0.626 -120.710
13 12 16346 17290.484 -944.484 944.484 -2272.297 24258.873 892049.926 56753584.041 2021.573 4729465.337 -1.124 -189.358
14 13 20282 16865.466 3416.534 3416.534 1144.236 27675.407 11672703.407 68426287.448 2128.877 5263560.573 0.537 88.018
15 14 15999 18402.906 -2403.906 2403.906 -1259.670 30079.313 5778765.951 74205053.399 2148.522 5300360.957 -0.586 -89.976
16 15 18560 17321.149 1238.851 1238.851 -20.818 31318.165 1534752.998 75739806.396 2087.878 5049320.426 -0.010 -1.388
17 16 18148 17878.632 269.368 269.368 248.550 31587.533 72559.290 75812365.686 1974.221 4738272.855 0.126 15.534
18 17 16495 17999.847 -1504.847 1504.847 -1256.298 33092.381 2264565.776 78076931.462 1946.611 4592760.674 -0.645 -73.900
19 18 18974 17322.666 1651.334 1651.334 395.036 34743.715 2726903.701 80803835.163 1930.206 4489101.953 0.205 21.946
20 19 18013 18065.766 -52.766 52.766 342.270 34796.481 2784.287 80806619.450 1831.394 4252979.971 0.187 18.014
21 20 19472 18042.021 1429.979 1429.979 1772.248 36226.459 2044838.537 82851457.988 1811.323 4142572.899 0.978 88.612
22 21 17445 18685.512 -1240.512 1240.512 531.737 37466.971 1538869.575 84390327.563 1784.141 4018587.027 0.298 25.321
23 22 18709 18127.282 581.718 581.718 1113.455 38048.690 338396.412 84728723.975 1729.486 3851305.635 0.644 50.612
24 23 19549 18389.055 1159.945 1159.945 2273.400 39208.635 1345472.808 86074196.783 1704.723 3742356.382 1.334 98.843
25 18911.030 Cacat 5% 19906.348
α= 0.5
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19327.000 -1617.000 1617.000 1261.000 4495.000 2614689.000 10897573.000 2247.500 5448786.500 0.561 630.500
4 3 15684 18518.500 -2834.500 2834.500 -1573.500 7329.500 8034390.250 18931963.250 2443.167 6310654.417 -0.644 -524.500
5 4 15529 17101.250 -1572.250 1572.250 -3145.750 8901.750 2471970.063 21403933.313 2225.438 5350983.328 -1.414 -786.438
6 5 18618 16315.125 2302.875 2302.875 -842.875 11204.625 5303233.266 26707166.578 2240.925 5341433.316 -0.376 -168.575
7 6 19254 17466.563 1787.438 1787.438 944.563 12992.063 3194932.816 29902099.395 2165.344 4983683.232 0.436 157.427
8 7 19014 18360.281 653.719 653.719 1598.281 13645.781 427348.204 30329447.599 1949.397 4332778.228 0.820 228.326
9 8 21991 18687.141 3303.859 3303.859 4902.141 16949.641 10915486.770 41244934.368 2118.705 5155616.796 2.314 612.768
10 9 17851 20339.070 -2488.070 2488.070 2414.070 19437.711 6190493.880 47435428.248 2159.746 5270603.139 1.118 268.230
11 10 17851 19095.035 -1244.035 1244.035 1170.035 20681.746 1547623.470 48983051.718 2068.175 4898305.172 0.566 117.004
12 11 15765 18473.018 -2708.018 2708.018 -1537.982 23389.764 7333359.203 56316410.922 2126.342 5119673.720 -0.723 -139.817
13 12 16346 17119.009 -773.009 773.009 -2310.991 24162.772 597542.588 56913953.510 2013.564 4742829.459 -1.148 -192.583
14 13 20282 16732.504 3549.496 3549.496 1238.504 27712.268 12598919.053 69512872.563 2131.713 5347144.043 0.581 95.270
15 14 15999 18507.252 -2508.252 2508.252 -1269.748 30220.520 6291329.085 75804201.648 2158.609 5414585.832 -0.588 -90.696
16 15 18560 17253.126 1306.874 1306.874 37.126 31527.394 1707919.394 77512121.042 2101.826 5167474.736 0.018 2.475
17 16 18148 17906.563 241.437 241.437 278.563 31768.831 58291.801 77570412.843 1985.552 4848150.803 0.140 17.410
18 17 16495 18027.282 -1532.282 1532.282 -1253.718 33301.113 2347886.671 79918299.514 1958.889 4701076.442 -0.640 -73.748
19 18 18974 17261.141 1712.859 1712.859 459.141 35013.972 2933886.768 82852186.282 1945.221 4602899.238 0.236 25.508
20 19 18013 18117.570 -104.570 104.570 354.570 35118.542 10934.965 82863121.247 1848.344 4361216.908 0.192 18.662
21 20 19472 18065.285 1406.715 1406.715 1761.285 36525.257 1978846.555 84841967.802 1826.263 4242098.390 0.964 88.064
22 21 17445 18768.643 -1323.643 1323.643 437.643 37848.900 1752029.720 86593997.522 1802.329 4123523.692 0.243 20.840
23 22 18709 18106.821 602.179 602.179 1039.821 38451.078 362619.190 86956616.711 1747.776 3952573.487 0.595 47.265
24 23 19549 18407.911 1141.089 1141.089 2180.911 39592.168 1302084.907 88258701.619 1721.399 3837334.853 1.267 94.822
25 18978.455 Cacat 5% 19977.321
α= 0.55
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19470.900 -1760.900 1760.900 1117.100 4638.900 3100768.810 11383652.810 2319.450 5691826.405 0.482 558.550
4 3 15684 18502.405 -2818.405 2818.405 -1701.305 7457.305 7943406.744 19327059.554 2485.768 6442353.185 -0.684 -567.102
5 4 15529 16952.282 -1423.282 1423.282 -3124.587 8880.587 2025732.363 21352791.917 2220.147 5338197.979 -1.407 -781.147
6 5 18618 16169.477 2448.523 2448.523 -676.064 11329.110 5995264.820 27348056.738 2265.822 5469611.348 -0.298 -135.213
7 6 19254 17516.165 1737.835 1737.835 1061.771 13066.946 3020071.684 30368128.422 2177.824 5061354.737 0.488 176.962
8 7 19014 18471.974 542.026 542.026 1603.797 13608.971 293792.082 30661920.503 1944.139 4380274.358 0.825 229.114
9 8 21991 18770.088 3220.912 3220.912 4824.709 16829.883 10374271.904 41036192.407 2103.735 5129524.051 2.293 603.089
10 9 17851 20541.590 -2690.590 2690.590 2134.119 19520.473 7239273.226 48275465.633 2168.941 5363940.626 0.984 237.124
11 10 17851 19061.765 -1210.765 1210.765 923.354 20731.238 1465952.828 49741418.461 2073.124 4974141.846 0.445 92.335
12 11 15765 18395.844 -2630.844 2630.844 -1707.491 23362.083 6921342.390 56662760.851 2123.826 5151160.077 -0.804 -155.226
13 12 16346 16948.880 -602.880 602.880 -2310.371 23964.963 363464.284 57026225.135 1997.080 4752185.428 -1.157 -192.531
14 13 20282 16617.296 3664.704 3664.704 1354.333 27629.667 13430055.436 70456280.571 2125.359 5419713.890 0.637 104.179
15 14 15999 18632.883 -2633.883 2633.883 -1279.550 30263.550 6937340.702 77393621.273 2161.682 5528115.805 -0.592 -91.396
16 15 18560 17184.247 1375.753 1375.753 96.202 31639.302 1892695.109 79286316.381 2109.287 5285754.425 0.046 6.413
17 16 18148 17940.911 207.089 207.089 303.291 31846.391 42885.710 79329202.091 1990.399 4958075.131 0.152 18.956
18 17 16495 18054.810 -1559.810 1559.810 -1256.519 33406.201 2433007.568 81762209.659 1965.071 4809541.745 -0.639 -73.913
19 18 18974 17196.915 1777.085 1777.085 520.566 35183.287 3158032.704 84920242.363 1954.627 4717791.242 0.266 28.920
20 19 18013 18174.312 -161.312 161.312 359.255 35344.598 26021.415 84946263.779 1860.242 4470855.988 0.193 18.908
21 20 19472 18085.590 1386.410 1386.410 1745.665 36731.008 1922132.145 86868395.923 1836.550 4343419.796 0.951 87.283
22 21 17445 18848.116 -1403.116 1403.116 342.549 38134.124 1968733.354 88837129.277 1815.911 4230339.489 0.189 16.312
23 22 18709 18076.402 632.598 632.598 975.147 38766.722 400180.211 89237309.488 1762.124 4056241.340 0.553 44.325
24 23 19549 18424.331 1124.669 1124.669 2099.816 39891.391 1264880.570 90502190.058 1734.408 3934877.829 1.211 91.296
25 19042.899 Cacat 5% 20045.157
α= 0.6
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19614.800 -1904.800 1904.800 973.200 4782.800 3628263.040 11911147.040 2391.400 5955573.520 0.407 486.600
4 3 15684 18471.920 -2787.920 2787.920 -1814.720 7570.720 7772497.926 19683644.966 2523.573 6561214.989 -0.719 -604.907
5 4 15529 16799.168 -1270.168 1270.168 -3084.888 8840.888 1613326.748 21296971.715 2210.222 5324242.929 -1.396 -771.222
6 5 18618 16037.067 2580.933 2580.933 -503.955 11421.821 6661214.118 27958185.833 2284.364 5591637.167 -0.221 -100.791
7 6 19254 17585.627 1668.373 1668.373 1164.418 13090.194 2783468.868 30741654.700 2181.699 5123609.117 0.534 194.070
8 7 19014 18586.651 427.349 427.349 1591.767 13517.543 182627.380 30924282.080 1931.078 4417754.583 0.824 227.395
9 8 21991 18843.060 3147.940 3147.940 4739.707 16665.483 9909524.350 40833806.430 2083.185 5104225.804 2.275 592.463
10 9 17851 20731.824 -2880.824 2880.824 1858.883 19546.307 8299147.612 49132954.042 2171.812 5459217.116 0.856 206.543
11 10 17851 19003.330 -1152.330 1152.330 706.553 20698.637 1327863.618 50460817.660 2069.864 5046081.766 0.341 70.655
12 11 15765 18311.932 -2546.932 2546.932 -1840.379 23245.568 6486861.896 56947679.556 2113.233 5177061.778 -0.871 -167.307
13 12 16346 16783.773 -437.773 437.773 -2278.152 23683.341 191644.975 57139324.531 1973.612 4761610.378 -1.154 -189.846
14 13 20282 16521.109 3760.891 3760.891 1482.739 27444.232 14144300.381 71283624.911 2111.095 5483355.762 0.702 114.057
15 14 15999 18777.644 -2778.644 2778.644 -1295.904 30222.876 7720860.473 79004485.384 2158.777 5643177.527 -0.600 -92.565
16 15 18560 17110.457 1449.543 1449.543 153.638 31672.418 2101173.588 81105658.972 2111.495 5407043.931 0.073 10.243
17 16 18148 17980.183 167.817 167.817 321.455 31840.235 28162.551 81133821.523 1990.015 5070863.845 0.162 20.091
18 17 16495 18080.873 -1585.873 1585.873 -1264.418 33426.109 2514993.784 83648815.307 1966.242 4920518.547 -0.643 -74.378
19 18 18974 17129.349 1844.651 1844.651 580.233 35270.759 3402736.289 87051551.597 1959.487 4836197.311 0.296 32.235
20 19 18013 18236.140 -223.140 223.140 357.093 35493.899 49791.331 87101342.927 1868.100 4584281.207 0.191 18.794
21 20 19472 18102.256 1369.744 1369.744 1726.837 36863.643 1876198.942 88977541.870 1843.182 4448877.093 0.937 86.342
22 21 17445 18924.102 -1479.102 1479.102 247.735 38342.745 2187743.773 91165285.642 1825.845 4341204.078 0.136 11.797
23 22 18709 18036.641 672.359 672.359 920.094 39015.104 452066.704 91617352.346 1773.414 4164425.107 0.519 41.822
24 23 19549 18440.056 1108.944 1108.944 2029.038 40124.048 1229755.960 92847108.306 1744.524 4036830.796 1.163 88.219
25 19105.423 Cacat 5% 20110.971
α= 0.65
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19758.700 -2048.700 2048.700 829.300 4926.700 4197171.690 12480055.690 2463.350 6240027.845 0.337 414.650
4 3 15684 18427.045 -2743.045 2743.045 -1913.745 7669.745 7524295.872 20004351.562 2556.582 6668117.187 -0.749 -637.915
5 4 15529 16644.066 -1115.066 1115.066 -3028.811 8784.811 1243371.627 21247723.189 2196.203 5311930.797 -1.379 -757.203
6 5 18618 15919.273 2698.727 2698.727 -330.084 11483.538 7283127.353 28530850.542 2296.708 5706170.108 -0.144 -66.017
7 6 19254 17673.446 1580.554 1580.554 1250.471 13064.092 2498152.356 31029002.897 2177.349 5171500.483 0.574 208.412
8 7 19014 18700.806 313.194 313.194 1563.665 13377.286 98090.517 31127093.414 1911.041 4446727.631 0.818 223.381
9 8 21991 18904.382 3086.618 3086.618 4650.283 16463.904 9527210.182 40654303.596 2057.988 5081787.949 2.260 581.285
10 9 17851 20910.684 -3059.684 3059.684 1590.599 19523.588 9361664.516 50015968.112 2169.288 5557329.790 0.733 176.733
11 10 17851 18921.889 -1070.889 1070.889 519.710 20594.477 1146803.903 51162772.015 2059.448 5116277.202 0.252 51.971
12 11 15765 18225.811 -2460.811 2460.811 -1941.102 23055.288 6055592.041 57218364.056 2095.935 5201669.460 -0.926 -176.464
13 12 16346 16626.284 -280.284 280.284 -2221.386 23335.572 78559.087 57296923.143 1944.631 4774743.595 -1.142 -185.115
14 13 20282 16444.099 3837.901 3837.901 1616.515 27173.473 14729481.177 72026404.320 2090.267 5540492.640 0.773 124.347
15 14 15999 18938.735 -2939.735 2939.735 -1323.220 30113.208 8642040.592 80668444.913 2150.943 5762031.779 -0.615 -94.516
16 15 18560 17027.907 1532.093 1532.093 208.873 31645.301 2347308.428 83015753.340 2109.687 5534383.556 0.099 13.925
17 16 18148 18023.768 124.232 124.232 333.106 31769.533 15433.711 83031187.052 1985.596 5189449.191 0.168 20.819
18 17 16495 18104.519 -1609.519 1609.519 -1276.413 33379.052 2590550.216 85621737.268 1963.474 5036572.780 -0.650 -75.083
19 18 18974 17058.332 1915.668 1915.668 639.255 35294.720 3669785.725 89291522.993 1960.818 4960640.166 0.326 35.514
20 19 18013 18303.516 -290.516 290.516 348.739 35585.236 84399.565 89375922.558 1872.907 4703995.924 0.186 18.355
21 20 19472 18114.681 1357.319 1357.319 1706.059 36942.556 1842315.923 91218238.481 1847.128 4560911.924 0.924 85.303
22 21 17445 18996.938 -1551.938 1551.938 154.121 38494.494 2408512.220 93626750.701 1833.071 4458416.700 0.084 7.339
23 22 18709 17988.178 720.822 720.822 874.942 39215.315 519583.815 94146334.516 1782.514 4279378.842 0.491 39.770
24 23 19549 18456.712 1092.288 1092.288 1967.230 40307.603 1193092.133 95339426.649 1752.504 4145192.463 1.123 85.532
25 19166.699 Cacat 5% 20175.473
α= 0.7
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 19902.600 -2192.600 2192.600 685.400 5070.600 4807494.760 13090378.760 2535.300 6545189.380 0.270 342.700
4 3 15684 18367.780 -2683.780 2683.780 -1998.380 7754.380 7202675.088 20293053.848 2584.793 6764351.283 -0.773 -666.127
5 4 15529 16489.134 -960.134 960.134 -2958.514 8714.514 921857.298 21214911.146 2178.629 5303727.787 -1.358 -739.628
6 5 18618 15817.040 2800.960 2800.960 -157.554 11515.474 7845375.801 29060286.948 2303.095 5812057.390 -0.068 -31.511
7 6 19254 17777.712 1476.288 1476.288 1318.734 12991.762 2179426.082 31239713.029 2165.294 5206618.838 0.609 219.789
8 7 19014 18811.114 202.886 202.886 1521.620 13194.648 41162.884 31280875.913 1884.950 4468696.559 0.807 217.374
9 8 21991 18953.134 3037.866 3037.866 4559.486 16232.514 9228629.315 40509505.228 2029.064 5063688.154 2.247 569.936
10 9 17851 21079.640 -3228.640 3228.640 1330.846 19461.154 10424117.706 50933622.935 2162.350 5659291.437 0.615 147.872
11 10 17851 18819.592 -968.592 968.592 362.254 20429.746 938170.594 51871793.529 2042.975 5187179.353 0.177 36.225
12 11 15765 18141.578 -2376.578 2376.578 -2014.324 22806.324 5648121.185 57519914.714 2073.302 5229083.156 -0.972 -183.120
13 12 16346 16477.973 -131.973 131.973 -2146.297 22938.297 17416.948 57537331.662 1911.525 4794777.639 -1.123 -178.858
14 13 20282 16385.592 3896.408 3896.408 1750.111 26834.705 15181995.413 72719327.075 2064.208 5593794.390 0.848 134.624
15 14 15999 19113.078 -3114.078 3114.078 -1363.967 29948.783 9697479.272 82416806.347 2139.199 5886914.739 -0.638 -97.426
16 15 18560 16933.223 1626.777 1626.777 262.810 31575.560 2646402.501 85063208.848 2105.037 5670880.590 0.125 17.521
17 16 18148 18071.967 76.033 76.033 338.843 31651.593 5781.020 85068989.868 1978.225 5316811.867 0.171 21.178
18 17 16495 18125.190 -1630.190 1630.190 -1291.347 33281.783 2657519.746 87726509.614 1957.752 5160382.918 -0.660 -75.962
19 18 18974 16984.057 1989.943 1989.943 698.596 35271.726 3959873.030 91686382.644 1959.540 5093687.925 0.357 38.811
20 19 18013 18377.017 -364.017 364.017 334.579 35635.743 132508.455 91818891.099 1875.565 4832573.216 0.178 17.609
21 20 19472 18122.205 1349.795 1349.795 1684.374 36985.538 1821946.184 93640837.283 1849.277 4682041.864 0.911 84.219
22 21 17445 19067.062 -1622.062 1622.062 62.312 38607.599 2631083.639 96271920.922 1838.457 4584377.187 0.034 2.967
23 22 18709 17931.618 777.382 777.382 839.694 39384.981 604322.056 96876242.978 1790.226 4403465.590 0.469 38.168
24 23 19549 18475.786 1073.214 1073.214 1912.908 40458.195 1151789.280 98028032.258 1759.052 4262088.359 1.087 83.170
25 19227.036 Cacat 5% 20238.985
α= 0.75
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 20046.500 -2336.500 2336.500 541.500 5214.500 5459232.250 13742116.250 2607.250 6871058.125 0.208 270.750
4 3 15684 18294.125 -2610.125 2610.125 -2068.625 7824.625 6812752.516 20554868.766 2608.208 6851622.922 -0.793 -689.542
5 4 15529 16336.531 -807.531 807.531 -2876.156 8632.156 652106.720 21206975.485 2158.039 5301743.871 -1.333 -719.039
6 5 18618 15730.883 2887.117 2887.117 10.961 11519.273 8335445.654 29542421.140 2303.855 5908484.228 0.005 2.192
7 6 19254 17896.221 1357.779 1357.779 1368.740 12877.053 1843564.619 31385985.759 2146.175 5230997.626 0.638 228.123
8 7 19014 18914.555 99.445 99.445 1468.185 12976.498 9889.273 31395875.032 1853.785 4485125.005 0.792 209.741
9 8 21991 18989.139 3001.861 3001.861 4470.046 15978.359 9011170.700 40407045.732 1997.295 5050880.717 2.238 558.756
10 9 17851 21240.535 -3389.535 3389.535 1080.512 19367.893 11488945.472 51895991.204 2151.988 5766221.245 0.502 120.057
11 10 17851 18698.384 -847.384 847.384 233.128 20215.277 718059.092 52614050.296 2021.528 5261405.030 0.115 23.313
12 11 15765 18062.846 -2297.846 2297.846 -2064.718 22513.123 5280095.866 57894146.162 2046.648 5263104.197 -1.009 -187.702
13 12 16346 16339.461 6.539 6.539 -2058.180 22519.662 42.752 57894188.915 1876.638 4824515.743 -1.097 -171.515
14 13 20282 16344.365 3937.635 3937.635 1879.455 26457.296 15504966.480 73399155.395 2035.177 5646088.877 0.923 144.573
15 14 15999 19297.591 -3298.591 3298.591 -1419.136 29755.888 10880704.845 84279860.239 2125.421 6019990.017 -0.668 -101.367
16 15 18560 16823.648 1736.352 1736.352 317.216 31492.240 3014918.839 87294779.078 2099.483 5819651.939 0.151 21.148
17 16 18148 18125.912 22.088 22.088 339.304 31514.328 487.882 87295266.960 1969.645 5455954.185 0.172 21.206
18 17 16495 18142.478 -1647.478 1647.478 -1308.174 33161.806 2714183.727 90009450.686 1950.694 5294673.570 -0.671 -76.951
19 18 18974 16906.869 2067.131 2067.131 758.956 35228.936 4273028.515 94282479.201 1957.163 5237915.511 0.388 42.164
20 19 18013 18457.217 -444.217 444.217 314.739 35673.154 197329.076 94479808.277 1877.534 4972621.488 0.168 16.565
21 20 19472 18124.054 1347.946 1347.946 1662.685 37021.099 1816957.493 96296765.769 1851.055 4814838.288 0.898 83.134
22 21 17445 19135.014 -1690.014 1690.014 -27.329 38711.113 2856145.921 99152911.690 1843.386 4721567.223 -0.015 -1.301
23 22 18709 17867.503 841.497 841.497 814.168 39552.609 708116.534 99861028.223 1797.846 4539137.647 0.453 37.008
24 23 19549 18498.626 1050.374 1050.374 1864.542 40602.984 1103285.857 100964314.080 1765.347 4389752.786 1.056 81.067
25 19286.406 Cacat 5% 20301.480
α= 0.8
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 20190.400 -2480.400 2480.400 397.600 5358.400 6152384.160 14435268.160 2679.200 7217634.080 0.148 198.800
4 3 15684 18206.080 -2522.080 2522.080 -2124.480 7880.480 6360887.526 20796155.686 2626.827 6932051.895 -0.809 -708.160
5 4 15529 16188.416 -659.416 659.416 -2783.896 8539.896 434829.461 21230985.147 2134.974 5307746.287 -1.304 -695.974
6 5 18618 15660.883 2957.117 2957.117 173.221 11497.013 8744539.769 29975524.916 2299.403 5995104.983 0.075 34.644
7 6 19254 18026.577 1227.423 1227.423 1400.644 12724.436 1506568.105 31482093.021 2120.739 5247015.503 0.660 233.441
8 7 19014 19008.515 5.485 5.485 1406.129 12729.921 30.082 31482123.103 1818.560 4497446.158 0.773 200.876
9 8 21991 19012.903 2978.097 2978.097 4384.226 15708.018 8869061.351 40351184.453 1963.502 5043898.057 2.233 548.028
10 9 17851 21395.381 -3544.381 3544.381 839.845 19252.398 12562633.931 52913818.384 2139.155 5879313.154 0.393 93.316
11 10 17851 18559.876 -708.876 708.876 130.969 19961.275 502505.357 53416323.741 1996.127 5341632.374 0.066 13.097
12 11 15765 17992.775 -2227.775 2227.775 -2096.806 22189.050 4962982.451 58379306.192 2017.186 5307209.654 -1.039 -190.619
13 12 16346 16210.555 135.445 135.445 -1961.361 22324.495 18345.336 58397651.528 1860.375 4866470.961 -1.054 -163.447
14 13 20282 16318.911 3963.089 3963.089 2001.728 26287.584 15706074.351 74103725.879 2022.122 5700286.606 0.990 153.979
15 14 15999 19489.382 -3490.382 3490.382 -1488.654 29777.966 12182767.915 86286493.793 2126.998 6163320.985 -0.700 -106.332
16 15 18560 16697.076 1862.924 1862.924 374.269 31640.889 3470484.189 89756977.982 2109.393 5983798.532 0.177 24.951
17 16 18148 18187.415 -39.415 39.415 334.854 31680.305 1553.565 89758531.547 1980.019 5609908.222 0.169 20.928
18 17 16495 18155.883 -1660.883 1660.883 -1326.029 33341.188 2758532.531 92517064.078 1961.246 5442180.240 -0.676 -78.002
19 18 18974 16827.177 2146.823 2146.823 820.794 35488.011 4608850.661 97125914.740 1971.556 5395884.152 0.416 45.600
20 19 18013 18544.635 -531.635 531.635 289.159 36019.646 282636.116 97408550.856 1895.771 5126765.835 0.153 15.219
21 20 19472 18119.327 1352.673 1352.673 1641.832 37372.319 1829724.071 99238274.926 1868.616 4961913.746 0.879 82.092
22 21 17445 19201.465 -1756.465 1756.465 -114.634 39128.785 3085170.747 102323445.673 1863.275 4872545.032 -0.062 -5.459
23 22 18709 17796.293 912.707 912.707 798.073 40041.492 833033.917 103156479.590 1820.068 4688930.890 0.438 36.276
24 23 19549 18526.459 1022.541 1022.541 1820.615 41064.033 1045590.881 104202070.471 1785.393 4530524.803 1.020 79.157
25 19344.492 Cacat 5% 20362.623
α= 0.85
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 20334.300 -2624.300 2624.300 253.700 5502.300 6886950.490 15169834.490 2751.150 7584917.245 0.092 126.850
4 3 15684 18103.645 -2419.645 2419.645 -2165.945 7921.945 5854681.926 21024516.416 2640.648 7008172.139 -0.820 -721.982
5 4 15529 16046.947 -517.947 517.947 -2683.892 8439.892 268268.836 21292785.252 2109.973 5323196.313 -1.272 -670.973
6 5 18618 15606.692 3011.308 3011.308 327.416 11451.200 9067975.796 30360761.047 2290.240 6072152.209 0.143 65.483
7 6 19254 18166.304 1087.696 1087.696 1415.112 12538.896 1183083.019 31543844.067 2089.816 5257307.344 0.677 235.852
8 7 19014 19090.846 -76.846 76.846 1338.267 12615.742 5905.242 31549749.309 1802.249 4507107.044 0.743 191.181
9 8 21991 19025.527 2965.473 2965.473 4303.740 15581.215 8794031.089 40343780.398 1947.652 5042972.550 2.210 537.968
10 9 17851 21546.179 -3695.179 3695.179 608.561 19276.394 13654348.029 53998128.427 2141.822 5999792.047 0.284 67.618
11 10 17851 18405.277 -554.277 554.277 54.284 19830.671 307222.831 54305351.258 1983.067 5430535.126 0.027 5.428
12 11 15765 17934.142 -2169.142 2169.142 -2114.857 21999.812 4705174.969 59010526.226 1999.983 5364593.293 -1.057 -192.260
13 12 16346 16090.371 255.629 255.629 -1859.229 22255.441 65346.068 59075872.295 1854.620 4922989.358 -1.002 -154.936
14 13 20282 16307.656 3974.344 3974.344 2115.116 26229.785 15795412.739 74871285.034 2017.676 5759329.618 1.048 162.701
15 14 15999 19685.848 -3686.848 3686.848 -1571.733 29916.634 13592850.775 88464135.809 2136.902 6318866.844 -0.736 -112.267
16 15 18560 16552.027 2007.973 2007.973 436.240 31924.606 4031954.553 92496090.362 2128.307 6166406.024 0.205 29.083
17 16 18148 18258.804 -110.804 110.804 325.436 32035.410 12277.546 92508367.908 2002.213 5781772.994 0.163 20.340
18 17 16495 18164.621 -1669.621 1669.621 -1344.185 33705.031 2787632.992 95296000.900 1982.649 5605647.112 -0.678 -79.070
19 18 18974 16745.443 2228.557 2228.557 884.372 35933.588 4966465.892 100262466.793 1996.310 5570137.044 0.443 49.132
20 19 18013 18639.716 -626.716 626.716 257.656 36560.304 392773.526 100655240.319 1924.227 5297644.227 0.134 13.561
21 20 19472 18107.007 1364.993 1364.993 1622.648 37925.297 1863204.608 102518444.927 1896.265 5125922.246 0.856 81.132
22 21 17445 19267.251 -1822.251 1822.251 -199.603 39747.548 3320599.146 105839044.073 1892.740 5039954.480 -0.105 -9.505
23 22 18709 17718.338 990.662 990.662 791.060 40738.210 981411.856 106820455.929 1851.737 4855475.269 0.427 35.957
24 23 19549 18560.401 988.599 988.599 1779.659 41726.810 977328.674 107797784.603 1814.209 4686860.200 0.981 77.376
25 19400.710 Cacat 5% 20421.800
α= 0.9
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 20478.200 -2768.200 2768.200 109.800 5646.200 7662931.240 15945815.240 2823.100 7972907.620 0.039 54.900
4 3 15684 17986.820 -2302.820 2302.820 -2193.020 7949.020 5302979.952 21248795.192 2649.673 7082931.731 -0.828 -731.007
5 4 15529 15914.282 -385.282 385.282 -2578.302 8334.302 148442.220 21397237.412 2083.576 5349309.353 -1.237 -644.576
6 5 18618 15567.528 3050.472 3050.472 472.170 11384.774 9305378.203 30702615.615 2276.955 6140523.123 0.207 94.434
7 6 19254 18312.953 941.047 941.047 1413.217 12325.821 885569.795 31588185.410 2054.303 5264697.568 0.688 235.536
8 7 19014 19159.895 -145.895 145.895 1267.322 12471.716 21285.433 31609470.843 1781.674 4515638.692 0.711 181.046
9 8 21991 19028.590 2962.410 2962.410 4229.732 15434.127 8775875.803 40385346.646 1929.266 5048168.331 2.192 528.717
10 9 17851 21694.759 -3843.759 3843.759 385.973 19277.886 14774482.887 55159829.534 2141.987 6128869.948 0.180 42.886
11 10 17851 18235.376 -384.376 384.376 1.597 19662.262 147744.829 55307574.363 1966.226 5530757.436 0.001 0.160
12 11 15765 17889.438 -2124.438 2124.438 -2122.840 21786.699 4513235.072 59820809.434 1980.609 5438255.403 -1.072 -192.985
13 12 16346 15977.444 368.556 368.556 -1754.284 22155.255 135833.703 59956643.137 1846.271 4996386.928 -0.950 -146.190
14 13 20282 16309.144 3972.856 3972.856 2218.572 26128.111 15783581.810 75740224.947 2009.855 5826171.150 1.104 170.659
15 14 15999 19884.714 -3885.714 3885.714 -1667.143 30013.825 15098776.690 90839001.638 2143.845 6488500.117 -0.778 -119.082
16 15 18560 16387.571 2172.429 2172.429 505.286 32186.254 4719445.832 95558447.470 2145.750 6370563.165 0.235 33.686
17 16 18148 18342.757 -194.757 194.757 310.529 32381.011 37930.345 95596377.815 2023.813 5974773.613 0.153 19.408
18 17 16495 18167.476 -1672.476 1672.476 -1361.947 34053.487 2797175.015 98393552.830 2003.146 5787856.049 -0.680 -80.115
19 18 18974 16662.248 2311.752 2311.752 949.805 36365.239 5344199.291 103737752.121 2020.291 5763208.451 0.470 52.767
20 19 18013 18742.825 -729.825 729.825 219.981 37095.064 532644.176 104270396.297 1952.372 5487915.595 0.113 11.578
21 20 19472 18085.982 1386.018 1386.018 1605.998 38481.082 1921044.578 106191440.875 1924.054 5309572.044 0.835 80.300
22 21 17445 19333.398 -1888.398 1888.398 -282.400 40369.480 3566047.941 109757488.816 1922.356 5226547.086 -0.147 -13.448
23 22 18709 17633.840 1075.160 1075.160 792.760 41444.640 1155969.402 110913458.219 1883.847 5041520.828 0.421 36.035
24 23 19549 18601.484 947.516 947.516 1740.276 42392.156 897786.603 111811244.822 1843.137 4861358.471 0.944 75.664
25 19454.248 Cacat 5% 20478.156
α= 0.95
1 0 17888 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2 1 20766 17888.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 2878.000 8282884.000 8282884.000 2878.000 8282884.000 1.000 2878.000
3 2 17710 20622.100 -2912.100 2912.100 -34.100 5790.100 8480326.410 16763210.410 2895.050 8381605.205 -0.012 -17.050
4 3 15684 17855.605 -2171.605 2171.605 -2205.705 7961.705 4715868.276 21479078.686 2653.902 7159692.895 -0.831 -735.235
5 4 15529 15792.580 -263.580 263.580 -2469.285 8225.285 69474.548 21548553.234 2056.321 5387138.309 -1.201 -617.321
6 5 18618 15542.179 3075.821 3075.821 606.536 11301.106 9460674.747 31009227.981 2260.221 6201845.596 0.268 121.307
7 6 19254 18464.209 789.791 789.791 1396.327 12090.897 623769.902 31632997.883 2015.150 5272166.314 0.693 232.721
8 7 19014 19214.510 -200.510 200.510 1195.816 12291.408 40204.440 31673202.323 1755.915 4524743.189 0.681 170.831
9 8 21991 19024.026 2966.974 2966.974 4162.791 15258.382 8802937.551 40476139.873 1907.298 5059517.484 2.183 520.349
10 9 17851 21842.651 -3991.651 3991.651 171.140 19250.033 15933279.910 56409419.784 2138.893 6267713.309 0.080 19.016
11 10 17851 18050.583 -199.583 199.583 -28.443 19449.616 39833.200 56449252.983 1944.962 5644925.298 -0.015 -2.844
12 11 15765 17860.979 -2095.979 2095.979 -2124.422 21545.595 4393128.506 60842381.489 1958.690 5531125.590 -1.085 -193.129
13 12 16346 15869.799 476.201 476.201 -1648.221 22021.796 226767.434 61069148.923 1835.150 5089095.744 -0.898 -137.352
14 13 20282 16322.190 3959.810 3959.810 2311.589 25981.606 15680095.649 76749244.572 1998.585 5903788.044 1.157 177.815
15 14 15999 20084.009 -4085.009 4085.009 -1773.421 30066.616 16687302.594 93436547.166 2147.615 6674039.083 -0.826 -126.673
16 15 18560 16203.250 2356.750 2356.750 583.329 32423.365 5554268.324 98990815.490 2161.558 6599387.699 0.270 38.889
17 16 18148 18442.163 -294.163 294.163 289.166 32717.528 86531.590 99077347.081 2044.845 6192334.193 0.141 18.073
18 17 16495 18162.708 -1667.708 1667.708 -1378.542 34385.236 2781250.394 101858597.475 2022.661 5991682.204 -0.682 -81.091
19 18 18974 16578.385 2395.615 2395.615 1017.073 36780.851 5738969.282 107597566.756 2043.381 5977642.598 0.498 56.504
20 19 18013 18854.219 -841.219 841.219 175.854 37622.070 707649.861 108305216.617 1980.109 5700274.559 0.089 9.255
21 20 19472 18055.061 1416.939 1416.939 1592.793 39039.009 2007716.233 110312932.850 1951.950 5515646.643 0.816 79.640
22 21 17445 19401.153 -1956.153 1956.153 -363.360 40995.162 3826534.748 114139467.598 1952.151 5435212.743 -0.186 -17.303
23 22 18709 17542.808 1166.192 1166.192 802.832 42161.354 1360004.592 115499472.190 1916.425 5249976.009 0.419 36.492
24 23 19549 18650.690 898.310 898.310 1701.142 43059.664 806960.169 116306432.358 1872.159 5056801.407 0.909 73.963
25 19504.085 Cacat 5% 20530.615

Excel Modul 1

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SANDAL GUNUNG

Perm inta an Produk

18-Nov 21915 19-Nov 27754

18-Mar 15684 19-Mar 18560 20766

18-Aug 21991 19-Aug 19472 14000

18- Jun19- Jun

18-Sep 17851 19-Sep 17445

18-Oct 17851 19-Oct 18709 Periode Permintaan

18-Nov 15765 19-Nov 19549

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