PitchBook Sample
PitchBook Sample
PitchBook Sample
ppt /6
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CONFIDENTIAL \\nnyc14p20005\training\_summer analysts\Scheduled Credit Suisse Presentations\Valuation Project Overview (TRAINING LEADERS)\2007 Summer Analyst Valuation Book.ppt /7
$34
% of 52-Week High 83.6%
1,000 52-Week High / Low $38.80 / $27.51
$31
Diluted Shares 28.2
500
$28
Equity Market Value 916.0
$25 0 (+) Debt 250.1
2/4/04 4/5/04 6/5/04 8/5/04 10/5/04 12/5/04 2/4/05
USF Corp. Volume USF Corp. Stock Price (–) Cash & Equivalents 150.8
Enterprise Value $1,015.3
Enterprise Value to:
Financial Overview 2004E Revenue $2,516.9 / 0.4x
($ in millions)
December 31, 2005E Revenue $2,658.8 / 0.4x
2004A 2005E 2006E 2004E EBITDA $169.2 / 6.0x
Revenues $2,394.6 $2,516.9 $2,658.8
% Growth 4.5% 5.1% 5.6% 2005E EBITDA $253.7 / 4.0x
EBIT $112.1 $130.0 $150.1 EPS Estimates / P/E Ratio
% Margin 4.7% 5.2% 5.6%
EBITDA $169.2 $253.7 $273.1 2004E EPS $0.85 / 38.2x
% Margin 7.1% 10.1% 10.3% 2005E EPS $2.48 / 13.1x
Net Income $55.8 $66.5 $78.8
% Margin 2.3% 2.6% 3.0%
EPS $0.85 $2.48 $2.82
Capex 145.0 185.0 190.0
Source: Company filings and Wall Street equity research. Source: Company filings and Wall Street equity research.
Note: EPS projections based on I/B/E/S consensus.
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ENTERPRISE
EQUITY ENTERPRISE VALUE/ TARGET
DATE TARGET TARGET DESCRIPTION ACQUIROR VALUE VALUE
(1)
EBITDA
(2) UNIONIZED
Jul-03 Roadway Corporation LTL carrier providing freight services on major Yellow Corporation $966 $1231 6.7x NA
(US) city-to-city routes in North America
Nov-01 Motor Cargo Industries Provides regional less-than truckload services Union Pacific Corp. 83 78 4.0 No
in the western U.S.
Nov-01 Arnold Industries Provides regional less-than-truckload services Roadway Corp. 558 510 5.7 Yes
in northeastern states and also provides
truckload and logistics services
Aug-01 Arnold Industries (US) N/A Roadway Corporation 539 510 5.4 No
Aug-01 G.I. Trucking Company Provides regional less-than-truckload services Investor Group (Estes) 40 40 5.0 No
in western and southwestern states
Nov-00 American Freightways Operates as a scheduled common and FedEx Corp. 934 1,196 6.3 No
Corporation contract carrier transporting primarily less-
than-truckload shipments of general
commodities.
Jun-99 Jevic Transportation Provides regional and interregional Yellow Corp. 158 197 5.9 No
Inc. transportation of general commodity freight
Jun-98 Preston Trucking Provides les-than-truckload transportation of Management Group NM NA NA Yes
general commodity freight
Oct-97 Caliber Provides transportation, logistics and related FedEx Corp. 2,489 2,681 10.3 No
System, Inc. information services through its five
subsidiaries
Jul-95 Worldway Corp. Transporter of freight throughout United Arkansas Best Corp. 82 153 9.0 Yes
States; also provides truckload services and
driver leasing services through its subsidiaries
Nov-92 Central Freight Lines Carrier of intrastate and foreign commerce Roadway Services Inc. 102 148 6.8 No
Inc. within Texas, Arizona, and New Mexico
Nov-92 Preston Trucking Provides less-than-truckload transportation of Yellow Freight Systems 24 146 5.8 Yes
general commodity freight
Jul-88 Viking Freight Inc. Provides regional carrier services in California Roadway Services Inc. 135 172 7.8 No
and 9 other Western States
Jun-88 Arkansas Best Corp. LTL and TL carriage, furniture manufacturing Kelso & Co. 317 472 6.2 Yes
and tire retreading
Median 6.1x
Average 6.5x
High 10.3x
Low 4.0x
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WACC Schedule
Industry Statistics
(in millions)
Total Mkt Debt / Tax Levering Unlevered
Company Beta (1) Debt Equity Mkt Equity Rate (2) Factor (3) Beta (4) Assumptions
Arkansas Best Corp 0.83 15 1,069 1.4% 40.1% 1.01 0.82 Target Marginal Tax Rate 38.0%
Cnf Inc 0.89 714 2,457 29.1% 41.0% 1.17 0.76 Risk Free Rate (5) 4.330%
Old Dominion Freight 0.62 81 885 9.2% 39.1% 1.06 0.59 Equity Risk Premium (6) 7.20%
Overnite Corp 0.95 127 850 14.9% 40.0% 1.09 0.87 Size Premia ("Sp") (7) 1.59%
Scs Transportation Inc 0.63 123 354 34.7% 37.6% 1.22 0.52
Yellow Roadway Corp 1.00 728 2,769 26.3% 39.1% 1.16 0.86
0.0% 0.0% 0.74 1.00 0.74 11% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2%
10.0% 11.1% 0.74 1.07 0.79 12% 10.7% 10.8% 10.9% 10.9% 11.0% 11.1%
20.0% 25.0% 0.74 1.16 0.85 12% 10.3% 10.4% 10.5% 10.6% 10.8% 10.9%
30.0% 42.9% 0.74 1.27 0.93 13% 9.8% 10.0% 10.1% 10.3% 10.5% 10.7%
40.0% 66.7% 0.74 1.41 1.04 13% 9.3% 9.5% 9.8% 10.0% 10.3% 10.5%
50.0% 100.0% 0.74 1.62 1.19 15% 8.8% 9.1% 9.4% 9.7% 10.0% 10.4%
0.0% 0.0% 1.00 0.65 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6%
10.0% 11.1% 1.07 0.70 10.5% 10.5% 10.6% 10.7% 10.7% 10.8%
20.0% 25.0% 1.16 0.75 10.3% 10.5% 10.6% 10.7% 10.8% 11.0%
30.0% 42.9% 1.27 0.80 10.2% 10.4% 10.5% 10.7% 10.9% 11.1%
40.0% 66.7% 1.41 0.85 10.0% 10.2% 10.5% 10.7% 11.0% 11.2%
50.0% 100.0% 1.62 0.90 9.8% 10.1% 10.4% 10.7% 11.0% 11.3%
(1) Barra US equity Book predictions (7) Cost of equity premia based on equity market capitalization.
(2) Based on marginal tax rate low-cap ($797mm - $1,167mm) = 1.59%. Amounts per 2004 Ibbotson.
(3) Levering Factor: 1 + [ ( 1 - Tax Rate ) * ( Debt / Equity ratio ) ] (8) Levered Beta: (Beta * Levering Factor)
(4) Unlevered Beta: ( Beta / Levering Factor ) (9) Cost of Equity: Rf + B * ( Rm - Rf ) + Sp, or the risk-free rate plus the beta * the eq
(5) Yield on Interpolated 20-Year US treasury Bonds which corresponds to Ibbotson's long-term equity (10) WACC: Rd = Return on Debt; Re = Return on Equity
risk premium (as of 2/04/05). Source: Bloomberg. [ Rd * (1 - tax rate) * (D / (D + E) ) ] + [ Re * (E / (D + E) ) ]
(6) The average historic period between the return on stocks and L-T bonds (2004 Ibbotson Associates).
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Financing 50%
Stock – 50% Cash Consideration assumed; financed by 100% bank debt at 3-Months
LIBOR plus 100 basis points
Goodwill Goodwill
not amortized
Timing Assumed
to gain full 2005 earnings
Fees M&A
Fees of 0.5% of transaction value
Financing fees of 2.5% of debt raised
Synergies None
assumed; pre-tax synergies required to achieve acquiror break-even EPS inferred
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Equity Value $918 $966 $1,014 $1,062 $1,111 $1,160 $1,210 $1,259 $1,309
Net Debt (1) 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99
Enterprise Value 1,017 1,065 1,114 1,162 1,210 1,259 1,309 1,358 1,408
Enterprise Value / 2005E EBITDA 4.1x 4.2x 4.4x 4.6x 4.8x 5.0x 5.2x 5.4x 5.6x
Enterprise Value / 2006E EBITDA 3.7x 3.8x 4.0x 4.2x 4.3x 4.5x 4.7x 4.9x 5.1x
Equity Value / 2005E Net Income 13.3x 14.0x 14.7x 15.4x 16.1x 16.9x 17.6x 18.3x 19.0x
Equity Value / 2006E Net Income 11.4x 12.0x 12.6x 13.2x 13.8x 14.4x 15.0x 15.6x 16.2x
2005E Stand Alone Diluted EPS $5.25 $5.25 $5.25 $5.25 $5.25 $5.25 $5.25 $5.25 $5.25
2005E Pro Forma Diluted EPS 5.59 5.53 5.48 5.43 5.38 5.33 5.28 5.24 5.19
(2)
Pro-Forma Debt / LTM EBITDA 1.6x 1.7x 1.7x 1.7x 1.8x 1.8x 1.8x 1.9x 1.9x
Debt-to-Capitalization (at closing) 45.28% 45.36% 45.45% 45.53% 45.61% 45.69% 45.76% 45.83% 45.91%
% Shares issued as currency 14.2% 14.9% 15.5% 16.1% 16.7% 17.3% 17.9% 18.5% 19.1%
ProForma Ownership% 85.8% 85.1% 84.5% 83.9% 83.3% 82.7% 82.1% 81.5% 80.9%
Source: Wall Street Projections, Credit Suisse Estimates.
(1) Net Debt numbers as of 12/31/04.
(2) Based on LTM EBITDA of $697mm.
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