Signalling, Agency Theory and Accounting Policy Choice
Signalling, Agency Theory and Accounting Policy Choice
Signalling, Agency Theory and Accounting Policy Choice
Richard D. Morris
To cite this article: Richard D. Morris (1987) Signalling, Agency Theory and
Accounting Policy Choice, Accounting and Business Research, 18:69, 47-56, DOI:
10.1080/00014788.1987.9729347
Download by: [University of Toronto Libraries] Date: 02 December 2016, At: 08:56
Accounting and Business Research, vd. 18, No. 69, PP. 47-56, 1987 47
projects as profitable as shareholders would like, occur. Initially, sellers in a market are assumed to
and secondly, the costs of monitoring and bonding possess more information about their product than
managers so that they do pursue the shareholders' buyers. If buyers have no information about
interest. An optimum trade off exists between these specific products but do have some general percep-
two sets of agency costs. The first agency costs are tions (e.g. that p % of products offered will be
a manager's opportunity loss, if not reduced by faulty and that bad products should sell at $x and
monitoring and bonding, because his self- good products at $y > $x), then buyers will value
interested actions precipitate the costs and share- all products at the same price which is a weighted
holders build them into the firm's share price. average of their general perceptions.
On the other hand, the agency costs of debt are Sellers of above average quality products incur
borne by the equity holders. These costs include (a) an opportunity loss because their products could
the problems of excessive dividend payments, the sell at a higher price if buyers knew about the
issue of senior ranking debt, asset substitution and superior quality, while sellers of below average
underinvestment (Smith and Warner, 1979), to- products make an opportunity gain. Sellers of high
gether with bankruptcy and reorganisation costs, quality products have an incentive to leave the
and (b) the costs of monitoring and bonding. market-the phenomenon of adverse selection
Rational debtholders incorporate the likelihood of (Akerlof, 1970)-unless they can communicate
these agency costs in the price they pay for the their product's superior quality to buyers and thus
debt. Again, an optimum trade off exists between increase its price. This communication is done by
monitoring and bonding costs and other agency signalling: the publication of a device (e.g., a
costs of debt. The agency costs in (a) are oppor- product warranty) which acts as a prediction of
tunity costs to the manager and equity holders if superior quality. To be effective, the signal must
no action is taken to reduce them by monitoring not be easily copied by poor quality sellers. To
and bonding. ensure this, the assumption usually made is that
Monitoring and bonding devices include the signalling costs are inversely related to quality.
production of accounting reports, writing re- Also, the signal must be confirmable with actual
strictive covenants in debt contracts, and manage- product quality observed after purchase.
ment bonus plans geared to reported profits. As better quality sellers signal, buyers consider
There are two version of agency theory. In all the remaining sellers to be of poor quality. Their
Jensen and Meckling (1976), an optimum amount average price will be reassessed downwards accord-
of monitoring and bonding is reached beyond ingly. The best remaining sellers then try to screen
which the reduction of each dollar of perquisite themselves from the others-an iterative process
consumption costs more than the benefit gained. which continues as long as the increase in price
Consequently, residual agency costs remain. A obtained exceeds the signalling costs.
similar outimum occurs with the agency costs of
w .
approach their relationship is fourfold. Firstly, the depicts, in the upper half, a series of now
theories may be equivalent: the same theory under contradictory axioms a, b, . . . , k ; and in the lower
different guises. Secondly, one theory may imply half a set of axioms Z,6,. . . ,E which contradict
the other: that is, one is a subset of the other. a, b, . . . ,k (ii contradicts a, 6 contradicts b, and so
Thirdly, the two theories may be consistent. This on). Theories I-V are shown as shapes embracing
means that if one is true the other is possibly true. subsets of these axioms. Axioms a, b , . . . , e are
Fourthly, they may be contradictory or competing sufficient conditions for theory I, axioms
explanations of the subject: if one is true, the other e , f ,g , . . . ,k, are sufficient conditions for theory I1
is false. and so on. Necessary conditions appear as shaded
Two steps are needed to investigate which of axioms. Theory I1 implies theories I11 and IV,I2
these four relationships applies to two theories A while theories I and I1 are consistent, as are
and B. Firstly, whether or not either theory’s theories I, I11 and IV. On the other hand, theory
axioms are necessary conditions must be identified. V contradicts each of the other theories.
To establish the equivalence of theories A and B,
both theories’ necessary conditions must be identi- Predict ion
cal. Similarly, for theory A to imply theory B, the The alternative approach to assessing the re-
necessary conditions of B must be the same as lationship between two theories (dealing with the
those of A, or at least a subset of them. If these same subject at the same level of reduction) is to
stipulations are not met, it is logically possible for compare their predictions or consequences. If these
theory A to hold in the absence of theory B, a conflict, the theories compete; if they are consis-
denial of equivalence and implication. On the other tent, so are the theories. (The four way
hand, consistency of theories A and B only requifes classification of the axiomatic approach is replaced
that their necessary conditions do not conflict. By by two categories: competing and consistent.)
contrast, if the two theories are competing, their As a means of assessing the relationship between
necessary conditions must conflict in at least one signalling and agency theories, prediction com-
particular. parison is rejected for two reasons. Firstly, com-
Secondly, each theory’s sets of sufficient condi- parison of predictions is not reliable if the theories’
tions must be examined. For equivalence, at least axioms conflict, because it is possible for the
one set of sufficient conditions for A must be theories’ predictions to conflict in one application
identical to at least one set of sufficient conditions and to be consistent in another. For example, the
of B. For theory A to imply theory B, at least one Ptolemaic and Newtonian systems of astronomy-
set of sufficient conditions of B must be entailed in competing theories axiomatically-yield the same
part-but not all-of one set of sufficient condi- predictions about planetary motion (and thus in
tions of A. Consistency of the two theories only this application are consistent theories) but give
requires that the sets of sufficient conditions of A conflicting predictions about other astronomical
do not conflict with those of B. However, if A and phenomena.
B are competing theories, at least one set of Secondly, in examining the predictions of two
sufficient conditions for each will be contradictory. theories, the assumption is that the theories’ con-
These two steps are illustrated in Figure 1 which structs are fully operationalised. At present, this is
not so with signalling and agency theories. For
example, in agency theory, leverage is used as a
proxy for closeness to accounting-based borrowing
limits, and bonus plans are usually represented in
empirical studies by a dichotomous variable. In
signalling theory, quality could be measured using
next year’s change in reported earnings or share
market abnormal performance. However, all of
these proxies are imperfe~t:’~ they measure the
horns I2In some investigations of the relationship between two
theories, the approach adopted is to demonstrate that the two
theories are special cases of a general or meta theory. The
general theory implies the special case theories. In Figure 1, this
is exemplified by theories 11, 111 and IV. Yetton and Crouch
(1983) provide an example of this approach in the leadership
literature.
”Ball and Foster (1982) outline the weaknesses of proxy
measures in agency theory. Abnormal share price performance
and net profit changes next year are imperfect proxies of quality
because, although they capture quality changes expected now
Fig. 1 by managers but known to investors later, they also capture the
~~
effects of unforeseen events arising in the ensuing year.
A.B.R. 18169-D
50 A C C O U N T I N G A N D BUSINESS RESEARCH
theory.’* The manipulation of these variables can the manager and the shareholder (Jensen and
produce agency costs. Thus, an above average Meckling, 1976). Many formal management com-
quality firm will have a higher expected value than pensation plans specify some threshold profit level
firms of comparable risk and levels of management below which no bonus is paid to managers (Healy,
compensation. 1985). This threshold will be negotiated by each
Information asymmetry (assumption e) of sig- manager and his shareholders. At the point of
nalling theory is implied by positive monitoring negotiation, the threshold acts as a prediction of
costs (assumption 7) and the separation of own- attainable future earnings since the manager acting
ership and control of capital (assumption 4) in in his own interest will want as much bonus as
agency theory, as stated previo~sly.’~ This infor- possible. Better quality managers may negotiate a
mation asymmetry leads to costs in the form of higher threshold to discriminate themselves from
opportunities foregone by the manager of an above poorer quality managers. If a manager believes his
average firm for raising equity or debt capital. Less firm to have a higher than average expected value,
will be paid for the firm’s equity or debt securities he will negotiate a compensation package, which,
than would be the case with no information asym- for example, contractually sets the maximum bo-
metry.” As losses from foregone opportunities, nus to be paid if the expected value is attained.
these costs are identical to agency costs of equity Also, to reduce the resulting horizon problem in
or debt. In short, the costs of information asym- which projects with high short term payoffs but not
metry are a subset of the construct agency costs. As necessarily high net present values are chosen,
with other agency costs, these costs of information above average firms will gear the bonus to some
asymmetry are borne by the manager of an above measure which takes account of all expected cash
average firm. Graphical proofs of this appear in flows, e.g. share price or average earnings. So,
the Appendix. The manager then has an incentive bonus schemes can act as a signal.
to signal his firm’s above average quality to reduce (2) Contractual debt covenants restricting the
this opportunity loss. amount of debt a firm can raise limit wealth
However, if the firm is below average, the agency transfers between equityholders and debtholders.
costs of information asymmetry are borne by Managers have an incentive to offer these protec-
investors since, in the absence of signalling, the tive debt covenants to increase the price at which
market regards the firm as average quality. This debt is sold, and indirectly to act as a signal about
conclusion alters a central result of agency theory: expected future earnings and expected levels of
that agency costs are always born by the agent. management compensation. Ross (1977) shows
With information asymmetry, some agency costs that where managerial Compensation contracts are
of below average firms are borne by investors.” in the form of a contingent contract and where
For signalling and agency theories to be consis- opportunities for wealth transfers to the equity-
tent, signalling costs (assumption f) must be borne holders are absent (or perfectly controlled), the
by the agent so that he has an incentive to signal contractual level of debt issued signals the expected
truthfully. Also, these signals should not be incon- value of the firm. Firms with higher contractual
sistent with monitoring and bonding devices (as- debt equity ratios have above average expected
sumption 7) in agency theory. That these condi- values. Maximum contractual debt equity ratios
tions hold can be illustrated by reference to three can also signal limits to a manager’s inefficiency
common bonding devices in agency theory. (perquisite consumption) because his inefficiency
(1) Management compensation plans are bond- will adversely affect shareholder’s equity on the
ing devices because they align the interests of balance sheet (e.g., by reducing reported earnings)
and raise the debt equity ratio towards its limit. So,
contractual debt equity ratios can act as signals as
well as bonding devices.
I8Quality may also be defined in terms of other variables such (3) Dividend constraints are bonding devices
as turnover, plant efficiency etc. However, it is sufficient for the
purpose of examining if agency and signalling theories are because they restrict the manager’s ability to trans-
consistent to show that ‘quality’ can be interpreted in terms of fer wealth to the equityholders. A manager’s incen-
agency theory variables. tive thus to pay dividends is positively related to
19Jensen & Meckling (1976) ignore information asymmetry, his firm’s leverage ratio (Kalay, 1978). Since the
claiming that it will not affect their theory in large equity
markets and where estimates are rational and errors are inde- manager (and the equityholders) bear the resultant
pendent across firms (p. 318). However, because of the incentive agency costs, he will attempt to reduce these by
for adverse selection to operate where information asymmetry offering protective debt covenants, such as the
is present, measurement errors will not be independent across dividend constraint. Other things being equal, the
firms (Ronen, 1979). greater the agency costs of debt, the tighter such a
20Barnea,Haugen and Senbet (1981) and Weston (1981) also constraint will be. However, a tight constraint
suggest that information asymmetry produces these costs.
21Thisobservation was first made by Ronen (1979). However, increases the chance of forced investment in nega-
he did not draw out the difference in who bears agency costs tive net present value projects, since the dividend
between above and below average firms. constraint may forbid distribution of surplus funds
52 A C C O U N T I N G A N D BUSINESS RESEA RCH
Lobbying itself is not a signal, mainly because accounts, or one theory may be a subset of the
there seem to be no penalties for making a mis- other. Agency theory and signalling theory are not
leading lobbying submission. equivalent, nor does one theory imply the other,
For both high and low quality firms, the benefits because they do not share the same necessary
from lobbying should be higher the greater the conditions. However, the sufficient conditions of
information asymmetry between the firm and its signalling theory given in the fourth section are
investors. This will occur in firms with large num- at least consistent with those of agency theory.
bers of shareholders or geographically widespread Rational behaviour is common to both theories;
shareholdings. information asymmetry is implied by positive
monitoring costs in agency theory; quality can be
Accounting Policy Choice defined in terms of agency theory variables; and
In several studies,25 accounting policy choices signalling costs are implicit in some bonding de-
were related to size and debt covenants, and to a vices of agency theory. Therefore, agency theory
lesser extent to management compensation and signalling theory are consistent. Indeed, a
schemes. As with lobbying, larger firms favour considerable amount of overlap exists between
accounting policies which reduce reported earn- them.
ings, while firms with debt covenants and manage- The fifth section offered examples where both
ment compensation schemes based on reported theories’ predictions about lobbying, accounting
earnings favour income increasing accounting pol- choices, and voluntary auditor selection were
icies, ceteris paribus. The contribution of signalling added together (logically possible with consistent
theory is the prediction that higher quality firms theories). However, further research is needed to
will choose accounting policies which allow their combine signalling and agency theories into a more
superior quality to be revealed, while lower quality general ‘meta-theory’ which might yield insights
firms will choose accounting methods which at- into the principal-agent problem, and choice of
tempt to hide their poor quality. For example, a accounting methods, not obtainable from either
higher quality firm may voluntarily adopt segment theory alone.
reporting to disclose the superior risk/return
profile of its operations, but a low quality firm
would not. Similarly a high quality firm may
voluntarily disclose an earnings forecast, but a low Appendix
quality firm would not. As in lobbying, the incen- The objective of this appendix is to demonstrate
tive to signal by accounting policy selection should that information asymmetry can lead to agency
be highest where information asymmetry is great- costs which are borne by the agent in above
est: in firms with large and widespread numbers of average firms, and by the principal in below aver-
shareholders. Nevertheless, the number of ac- age firms. The graphical device employed has been
counting policies which act as valid signals may be used previously by Myers (1977), Kalay (1978) and
limited, given the present flexibility of generally Holthausen (1979) to demonstrate the wealth
accepted accounting principles. transfers that can occur between debtholders and
equityholders in a firm.
Voluntary Auditor Selection
Chow (1982) demonstrated how leverage, ac- Assumptions
counting based debt covenants and firm size were 1. Firms operate in two periods, t o = the
related positively to voluntary auditor ap- present and t , = the future. Figures 2 and 3
pointments by US companies when such ap- show t , outcomes in to present values.
pointments were unregulated. Signalling theory’s 2 . There is no debt financing.
prediction is that auditors will be appointed volun- 3. Where no information about specific firms is
tarily by higher quality firms in order to discrimi- available, they are treated alike by investors,
nate themselves from other firms in the market. whose general perceptions are determined
Again, this incentive should be greatest in firms by exogenous factors such as their general
with large and widespread numbers of share- knowledge about the corporate sector, the
holders. Further aspects of signalling and auditing state of the economy etc.
are discussed in Bar-Yosef and Livnat (1984). 4. Risk about the value of firms is depicted as
varying t , outcomes in different states of the
world.
Summary and conclusions 5. All states of the world are equally likely to
Any two theories at the same level of reduction occur.
may be either equivalent, consistent or competing 6. For convenience, states of the world have
been arranged in Figures 2 and 3 so that
25Holthausenand Leftwich (1983) and Kelly (1983) review value schedules are linear.
these studies. 7. Firms are wholly owned by managers who
54 ACCOUNTING A N D BUSINESS RESEARCH
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Similar Droofs could be offered for more com- Holthausen, Robert W. and Richard W. Leftwich (1983), ‘The
plex situations, with the Same results. The graph- Economic Consequences of Accounting Choice: Implications
of Costly Contracting and Monitoring’, Journal of Account-
ical proof also can be adapted easily to show ing and Economics, August 1983.
Similar effects of information asymmetry where Jaffe. J. F. (1974). Soecial Information and Insider Trading’. I ,
Transfer in Hiring and Related Screening Processes (Cam- Positive Theory of the Determination of Accounting Stan-
bridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1974). dards’, Accounting Review, January 1978.
Talmor, Eli (1981), ‘Asymmetric Information, Signaling, and Weston, J. Fred (1981), ‘Developments in Finance Theory’,
Optimal Corporate Financial Decisions’, Journal of Financial Financial Management, 2, 1981.
and Quantitative Analysis, November 1981. Yetton, Philip and Andrew Crouch (1983), ‘Social Influence
Watts, Ross L. and Jerold L. Zimmerman (1978), ‘Towards a and Structure: Elements of a General Theory of Leadership’.
Australian Journal of Management, December 1983.