Team RVE Merger Analysis Final
Team RVE Merger Analysis Final
Team RVE Merger Analysis Final
Merger/Acquisition Analysis
The property industry in the Philippines is a competitive market
The merge will bring a small yet a significant amount increase in the market share.
The merge will provide Century properties new construction approach towards a sustainable urbanization.
So where is the real estate market going for the next coming months ahead? We see that the
real estate market would probably slow down for a while because of the uncertainty brought in
by the pandemic, people will hold on to their cash for now and put on hold most of the deals that
were set in place this year. We anticipate that Real estate developers would also take a pause in
their developments to hold on to their cash reserves and to lessen their exposures to liabilities.
On the bright side, we don’t see any Real estate market crash in the most foreseeable future
despite the current situation. This is because banks are stringent in terms of giving out mortgages
to people making them well secured. Also, we don’t see any real estate bubble coming soon just
like what happened to U.S during the 2008-09 real estate market crash.
Property prices for the last 8 months have also been fairly stable and didn’t dip so much that
you can call it a property recession. Developers have good amounts of cash readily available and
they are holding of pretty well because they are well diversified so they haven’t really dropped
their prices either.
COVID-19, just like the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918, will get resolved. The Philippine
economy would come back stronger since we are heavily driven by traditional businesses in a
youthful and vibrant consumer market with ages between 23-24 having high literacy rate and
proficiency in the English language. IMF and the World Bank made a study together quoting the
top 10 countries that would be best to invest in and, unsurprisingly, our country is among the list.
This is because the economic pillars of our country that existed pre-pandemic will remain to be
in place post-pandemic. A great example of this is the BPO sector. We believe that this sector
will continue to drive our economy forward by employing more than 1.35 million Filipinos and
generating revenues of about $38.9 billion by 2022. These numbers are compelling because, in
comparison, one full time BPO employee in the US costs about $70,000 dollars a year compared
to the same employee costing $18,000 here in the Philippines. The huge disparity in costs is
causing multinational companies to always see the Philippines as a potential Investment for
constructing a business. In turn, property sectors like CPG and Keppel must be ready to consider
this opportunity for more growth and development of not just for the company but also to the
overall economic development of our country.
Century Properties Group, Inc. (CPG) was established in 1986 by CPG Executive
Chairman Jose E.B. Antonio 6 days before the EDSA People Power Revolution. CPG and its
subsidiaries are primarily in the development, marketing, and sale of mid- and high-rise
condominiums and single detached homes, leasing of retail and office space, and property
management. For more than three decades of experience in real estate development, real estate
marketing, and property development in the Philippines, CPG has grown to become one of the
top 10 real estate firms in the Philippines. The company is 61.27% owned subsidiary of Century
Properties Inc., its ultimate parent, and the rest by the public.
CPG, through subsidiary Century Properties Management, Inc., (“CPMI”) also engages
in a wide range of property management services, from facilities management and auction
services, to lease and secondary sales. Through CPMI, the Company endeavors to ensure the
properties it manages maintain and improve their asset value, and are safe and secure. CPMI
manages 50 projects as of December 31, 2019 with 2.44 million sq.m of GFA with parking
spaces under management. Of the total, 74% of the projects CPMI manages were developed by
third-parties. Notable third-party developed projects under management include the One
Corporate Center in Ortigas, BPI Buendia Center and Pacific Star Building in Makati City and
Philippine National Bank Financial Center in Pasay City.
As of December 31, 2019, the Company has completed 28 projects, which include the
following: 25 residential buildings, consisting of 14,362 units with a total gross floor area (GFA)
of 1,147,194 sq.m. with parking area; a retail commercial building with 52,233 sq.m. of GFA
with parking area; a medical office building with 74,103 sq.m. of GFA with parking area; an
office building with 56,284 sq.m. of GFA with parking area. In addition, the Company has
completed a total of 866 homes under its affordable segment. This is in addition to the 19
buildings totaling 4,128 units and 548,262 sq.m. of GFA that were completed prior to 2010 by
the founding principals’ prior development companies, the Meridien Group of Companies
(“Meridien”). Noteworthy developments under Meridien are the Essensa East Forbes and South
of Market in Fort Bonifacio, SOHO Central in the Greenfield District of Mandaluyong City,
Pacific Place in Ortigas, Le Triomphe, Le Domaine and Le Metropole in Makati City.
BUSINESS PORTFOLIO
CPG has a combined portfolio of 47 buildings as of December 31, 2019, comprising 29
buildings since the company’s listing in the Philippine Stock Exchange in 2012 and 19 buildings
that were completed prior to 2010 by the founding principals’ previous development companies.
This totals to more than 1.8 million square meters of gross floor area of completed projects.
More recently, the company has expanded to commercial leasing as well as affordable
housing to complement and balance its portfolio with urban vertical developments. Through the
brand PHirst Park Homes in partnership with Mitsubishi Corporation, the company has launched
6 horizontal communities in key cities outside of Metro Manila totaling 104 hectares and 9,820
units. These projects are located in Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, and Bulacan.
Under its property management arm Century Properties Management, Inc., the company
has 65 buildings under management as of December 31, 2019 with a gross floor area of 2.4
million square meters.
Map showing the relationships between and among the Companies in the group, its
ultimate parent company and cosubsidiaries as of December 31, 2019
Century Properties Group Inc. (CPGI) – incorporated in May 6, 1975, CPGI is the listed
Company of CPI with property development corporations as subsidiaries.
CPGI Subsidiaries
PHirst Park Homes Inc. - PHirst Park Homes Inc. was incorporated on August 31, 2018 and is
the firsthome division and brand of CPGI. Its projects are located within the fringes of Metro
Manila and its target market is first home buyers. Its current projects are located at Bo. San
Lucas in Lipa City and San Pablo, Laguna, which involve a multi-phase horizontal residential
property and offer both Townhouse units & Single Attached units. PHirst Park Homes is a joint
venture project between Century Properties Group Inc. and Mitsubishi Corporation with a 60-
40% shareholding, respectively.
Century Properties Management Inc. (CPMI) – incorporated in 1989, is one of the largest
property management companies in the Philippines, as measured by total gross floor area under
management. 100% owned by CPGI after acquisition of the shares of Mr. Romig.
Century Destinations and Lifestyle Corporation (formerly “Century Properties Hotel and
Leisure Inc.”) - CDLC, incorporated in March 27, 2014, is a newly formed wholly-owned
subsidiary of CPGI. CDLC shall operate, conduct and engage in hotel business and related
business ventures.
A2Global Inc. - A2Global Inc., incorporated in 2013, is a newly formed company wherein CPGI
has a 49% shareholdings stake. A2Global shall act as a sub-lessee for the project initiatives of
Asian Carmakers Corporation (ACC) and Century Properties Group Inc. in the development and
construction commercial office in Fort Bonifacio.
VALUE CHAIN OF THE COMPANY’S OPERATIONS
Assessing
Executing
Land Acquisition
The Company sources land for development through joint venture agreements with land
owners, or through direct purchases. Direct purchases can either be paid for in cash or on
installment basis. The land acquisition process consists of three main steps: identifying, assessing
and executing.
First, the Company identifies land with a focus on high growth areas within and outside
Metro Manila. During this time, the Company checks the title of the property to ensure there are
no encumbrances that will prevent development. Zoning and floor to area considerations are also
examined at this stage. The sources of land in the Philippines include privately owned
undeveloped property, government owned property, foreclosed bank assets and redevelopment of
existing properties as certain industries migrate outside of Metro Manila.
Second, the Company assesses the physical and financial suitability of the land. The land
must be topographically amenable to condominium or house and lot developments. The
Company also analyzes the macro demand and competing developments to develop a marketing
plan for the project, as well as run pro forma cash flows and profit and loss statements for the
project.
Project Design
The project design process involves the planning of the potential project, including
determination as to the suitable market segment, master planning, design of property and
landscape design. Development timetables vary from project to project, as each project differs in
scale and design.
After-sales Services
The Company provides maintenance services through its subsidiary CPMI on projects
that are fully turned over to the owners. The Company believes that CPMI’s management of the
completed projects increases their asset value.
The Company obtains feedback from the unit owners in order to provide quality home dwelling
units in the future and to enhance long-term relationships with them. Finally, the Company has
an in-house leasing department to handle the leasing and re-sale needs of its clients.
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Current Ratio remains the same at 2.1 but current assets and current liabilities increased in 2019.
The company remains to maintain a balance in its sources of capital. While debt increased in 2019, the
borrowings was used in the operations thereby increasing income and thus its equity.
The use of leverage by borrowing as a source of capital was not as efficient in 2019 as it was in
2018 thereby decreasing its debt-to-EBITDA ratio.
Revenue increased significantly in 2019 but costs also increased significantly. As a result, the
company had a decline in its gross profit ratio.
The company slightly maintained its net income margin despite its losses in foreign exchange
and changes in fair value of derivatives because of its increased revenue and the reduction of its
payment in interests and other charges during 2019.
The growth of the company remains robust with consistent increase in its ROE for the past few
years due to efficient use of the capital derived from its shareholders.
Note: For this section, major key movements are construed to mean a change of more than 30%
Economy - The economic situation in the Philippines significantly affects the performance of
the Company’s business. For the residential products, the Group is sensitive to changes in
domestic interest and inflation rates. Higher interest rates tend to discourage potential buyers
of residential units as mortgages become unaffordable to them. An inflationary environment
will adversely affect the Group, as well as the real estate industry, by increases in costs such
as land acquisition, labor and material.
The Company is exposed to geographic portfolio concentration risks due to the concentration
of its property portfolio in Metro Manila. A decrease in property values in Metro Manila
would have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition and results of
operations.
Competition - The Philippine real estate development industry is highly competitive. CPGI’s
primary competitors are real estate companies that also focus on developing residential and
commercial buildings in the Philippines. The entry of new competitors could also reduce the
Company’s sales and profit margins. The Company faces significant competition in
connection with the acquisition of land for its real estate projects. Its growth depends
significantly on its ability to acquire or enter into agreements to develop additional land
suitable for its real estate projects.
The Company operates in a highly-regulated environment and must obtain and maintain
various permits, licenses and other government approvals.
Environmental laws applicable to the Company’s projects could have a material adverse
effect on its business, financial condition or results of operations.
Natural or other catastrophes, including severe weather conditions, may materially disrupt
operations, affect the ability to complete projects and result in losses not covered by
insurance.
The Company derives a significant portion of its revenue from Overseas Filipino Workers
(“OFWs”), expatriate Filipinos, former Filipino citizens who have returned to the Philippines
(“Balikbayans”) and other overseas buyers, which exposes the Company to risks relating to
the performance of the economies where they are located.
The Company experienced work disruption during the community quarantine in the NCR
enforced by the government.
The Company experienced supply-chain challenges for its business operations.
The Company’s sales and collections performance we’re affected by the community
quarantine enforced by the government.
The Company experienced delays in project completions in because of the enhanced
quarantines enforced by the government.
All properties are located in the Philippines, exposing it to risks associated with the
Philippines.
Exposure to geographic portfolio concentration risks as substantial portion of the Company’s
properties are located in Metro Manila.
OPPORTUNITIES
Merger Analysis
The product market is the real estate industry that varies among the residential areas,
(condominiums, and subdivisions) commercial spaces, (buildings for office and administrative
uses) recreational and tourism areas, (hotels and country clubs) land improvement, (developing
areas into smart cities, central business districts or IT hubs) and other services such as REIT
(Real Estate Investment) Funds, storage spaces and more.
Century Property Group, Inc. currently holds 5.63% of the market. The property industry
in the Philippines is a competitive market with more than 30 companies competing in the
property industry. They provide real estate on residential and commercial spaces that are located
in NCR and currently expanding their operations in Region 3 and Region IV-A
With the merger of Century Properties group and Keppel, projects on the condominium
units will have an impact by having an improved sustainable urbanization approach; and having
more presence on the central business districts because of the key locations of Century and
Keppel with their sustainable urbanizations and combined amenities.
Pursuing an expansion on other key areas such as Baguio city, Cebu, Davao City, and
other key areas in Region 3 can be less burdensome due to increase in financial ratios. Current
ratio of Century Property was 2.13 and will increase to 2.14 after merging with Keppel; quick
ratio of Century Property was .96 and will remain the same after merging; debt-to-equity was
1.72 and will rise to 1.73, while asset-to-equity will rise to 2.86 from 2.72.
PESTEL Analysis
Political
The government is currently constructing various infrastructures to ensure that business
transactions are going smoothly by conducting projects that will ease the flow of traffic,
improve public utilities and provide more public utilities. It was estimated that this will
contribute in the increase of middle class affected by the improved economic conditions that
will create a demand in the real estate sector due to the increase of income.
Also, with the government eyeing to make amendments with the current status of the
Philippine’s offshore gaming sector, this will bring an influx of Chinese investors sector that
are heavily investing in the property industry and will employ a significant amount of
Chinese workers from the Philippine’s offshore gaming sector.
With Century Properties positioning their projects on the key central business districts in
NCR, investors will surely notice their properties and would take their company into
consideration.
Economic
According to PSA, China was the second largest foreign investor in the Philippines, with
the Philippine’s offshore gaming sector now being studied for tax effects that will bring a
significant amount of revenue in our country, Chinese investors will invest on properties that
will help their business to operate here in the Philippines.
OFW remittances are expected to have a quick recovery (V – shape recovery) after the
pandemic; therefore there will be surely a sufficient amount of income for many households
that will satisfy the demand for a low cost to midrange cost of economic housing.
Due to an influx of foreign and local investors coming to the Philippines and with the
help of the Build! Build! Build Program providing more infrastructures to ease of doing
business in the Philippines, more demand in commercial spaces for office use will be created
in the real estate industry.
With more income available in the local and foreign customers of the real estate industry,
Century Properties with one of a high market shares among several competitors in a
competitive industry, they will have an influx of customers.
Social
A rise in the urban population especially in NCR over the past few years will have a
demand of real estate properties. The more population present, the more demand that will be
expected in the real estate industry; whether be it on the low cost housing, to midrange cost
up to the high end specs of the property.
One factor that affects the increase in urban population is due to the job market being
highly concentrated in the NCR where the central business districts are. One industry that has
a significant amount of workers that needs housing is the BPO industry. With the help of
PAG-IBIG some employees are looking for properties to settle in near their jobs.
Although, currently the effects on the pandemic is now recovering, the prices in the real
estate was greatly affected, with real estate dealers giving a more flexible payment schedules
and less amount of down payments that saw a lot of households taking the bait. COVID-19
also saw a lot of foreign investors temporarily halting their business in the Philippines that
greatly impact the economy of the Philippines; it will be projected that this effect will also be
normalized after the pandemic.
These social effects will have an impact on Century properties pricing on their real estate
expanding their target market to the middle class that will need a more affordable residential
property and a more flexible payment schedules.
Technological
Keppel Philippines Properties is the arm of Keppel Corporation, a multinational company
in Singapore that provides sustainable urbanization. One of their solutions for sustainable
urbanization is that they support safe and efficient harvesting of energy sources. They have
the technology to provide renewable energies, sustainable district cooling systems and an
efficient and sustainable delivery of oil and gas.
With Century properties and Keppel merging, new practices on construction and how
they will provide sustainable urbanization will give Century Properties an efficient and faster
ways of constructing their projects.
Legal
The Tax Reform Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) Law took effect in 2018 had
significant effects on the real estate sector; the estate tax is now at a uniform rate of 6% from
the 5% to 20% on the prior NIRC, it also gave an exemption of properties valued at Php 10
million below. Donor’s tax is also now at the uniform rate of 6% and now ignores the
relationship between the donor and the donee. And properties valued at Php 1.5 million and
higher on vacant lots and Php 2.5 million for house and lots and condominiums are now
subject to value added tax.
Due to the effects of TRAIN law on value added tax, Century properties have properties
that will fall under the threshold for value added tax.
Environmental
Keppel also provides solution to environmental problems; one of these solutions is the
waste-to-energy technology that provides non-recyclable waste materials into usable heat or
electricity through the process of incineration. The recovery of energy from waste generates
renewable energy and reduces reliance on landfills that produce methane. From individual
processes to full-scale plants, the proven and patented WTE technologies have been
successfully implemented in more than 100 facilities globally across Asia Pacific, Europe
and the Middle East. Through the proven technologies, Keppel help cities manage their waste
sustainably.
With the effect of merger of Century properties and Keppel, the projects that they will
undergo will surely adopt the practices of Keppel providing an efficient way to convert waste to
energies.
Overview
Keppel Philippines Properties, Inc. is a Philippines based Property Company. The
company golds investments in associates involved in property holding and development,
and also offer management consultancy services to associates.
The company engaged in the acquisition and development of land sites for residential,
office and commercial uses.
Keppel Philippines Properties, Inc. is a subsidiary of Keppel Land Limited, a property
company, where it is one of the flagship multinational companies with a global footprint
in more than 20 countries.
Keppel Philippines Properties’ headquarters are in Penthouse Benquet Centre Bldg,
Mandaluyong Central Post Office, Bicol, 1550, Philippines
Project Accomplished
1. Palmdale Heights
A middle-income residential development located in Pasig City. This is a 10-
storey condominium buildings; fifteen alternative buildings can rise within the
next 2-3 years during this massive complex.
2. The Podium
An upscale shopping mall in the Ortigas central business district that offers
approximately 150-specialty stores, restaurant and service shop malls designed
with a modern mis glass, curves and green. This was a joint project of Keppel and
a BDO Unibank.
3. Podium West Tower
The Podium West Tower is a joint venture between Singapore’s Keppel Land and
BDO Unibank. This is regarded by some quarters as a gamechanger that raise the
profile of the Ortigas business district as the preferred office address of many
local firms and multinational companies. The tower was pronounced as the #8
tallest in Mandaluyong City and as the #24 Tallest in the Philippines.
Key Statistics
1. Keppel Philippines Properties Inc. closed at 2.92, 22.18% above the 52 weeks low of
2.39 set on June 25,2020 this October 29, 2020
2. Price moved over 11.01% to 3.07%
3. Market Capitalization
The current market value of Keppel is P849.80 M. Investing in Keppel does not
necessarily bring in huge return in a short period of time, but on the long run
Keppel generally reward investors with a consistent increase in share value and
dividend payments since Keppel are have been established for so long and there is
a room for expanding and development of the company since it shows potential in
the future basing from the projects done last by Keppel.
4. Earnings Per Share
EPS of Keppel as of the 2nd quarter of this year valued at -0.32. This shows that
the company’s profitability was greatly affected by the pandemic caused by
COVID19. There are less investors in which are not willing to invest money
knowing they would loss the money. However, negative EPS is expected knowing
that most operation in the Philippines have ceased due to the government policy
that need to abide for the precautionary in handling the pandemic COVID19 thus,
a negative EPS is not necessarily a reason to panic.
5. Free Float valued
The shares of Keppel that can be publicly traded and are not restricted valued at
P23.84M. This shows that atleast 30% of the shares are cab be publicly traded.
This is a big free float that increase investors to buy since the free float of Keppel
are not that small in which it is more volatile.
6. Shares Outstanding valued at 299.3M
7. Average Volume 7.57K
8. Return on Investment -2.44%
9. Return on Asset
Significant Milestones
One of the milestones of Keppel where they seal a project to developed and operate a
maiden project in Johor, with a targeted 2020 completion date.
Keppel have been partnered with Phu Long to develop 3 land parcels in HCMC’s
Southern corridor.
Keppel Land and Keppel Urban Solutions celebrated the groundbreaking of
Saigon Sports City in HCMC, Vietnam.
Keppel Land acquired four properties in China for about RMB1.1 billion, and three land
plots in the Nha Be district of Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), Vietnam for about $76
million.
Alpha Investment Partners, on behalf of its funds under management, including AAMTF
III, and Allianz entered into agreements to acquire an 85% interest in a $1.5 billion Grade
A Office complex in Beijing, China.
It was announced that Keppel Bay Tower would become Singapore’s first commercial
building to be fully powered by renewable energy from 1 January 2020.
Keppel T&T divested its stakes in Keppel Logistics (Foshan) and Keppel Logistics
(Hong Kong) for about $39 million.
Keppel Land secured its first green loan facility of $170 million from HSBC Group
China for the development of Seasons City (Phase 1) in Sino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-City
(Tianjin Eco-City), China.
Keppel O&M signed a memorandum of understanding with the Maritime and Port
Authority of Singapore and Technology Centre for Offshore and Marine, Singapore to
develop the first autonomous vessel for operations in Singapore
Keppel Land deepened its presence in India with a US$25 million investment in
Smartworks, a leading pan-India flexible space solutions provider and entered into a joint
venture with Rustomjee Group to jointly develop additional homes and retail units as part
of the Urbania integrated township located in Thane.
Achieve a 28.8% reduction in carbon emissions intensity by 2030 from 2010 levels, in
addition to the target of a 16% improvement in carbon emissions intensity from 2020
business-as-usual levels.
Achieve a 16% improvement in carbon emissions intensity from 2020 business-as-usual
levels.
Assessment of Target
Keppel Philippine Properties provides solutions for sustainable urbanization, focusing on
energy & environment, urban development, connectivity and asset management in which it boost
to attain the vision and mission of Century Properties Building Passion where there vision is to
be the Philippines’ foremost developer of innovative, well-designed, sustainable residential and
commercial developments, and to be the trusted partner of global citizens in realizing their goals
of owning a home or an investment property in the Philippines. The merger acquisition can help
Century Properties to expand their market globally. Since Century Properties is one of the
leading real estate companies in the Philippines, they need to expand their market globally for
the future growth and development of the company. Keppel Corporation is geographically
diversified in Asia, with Singapore, China and Vietnam as its key markets, while it continues to
scale up in other markets such as Indonesia and India. Keppel Corporation can also maximize of
building the project of Century Properties since they are both focus on Real Estate. Century and
Keppel most project have been in the Ortigas Center where it a central business district located
within the joint boundaries of Pasig, Mandaluyong and Quezon City, within the Metro Manila
region in the Philippines. With an area of more than 100 hectares, it is Metro Manila's second
most important business district after the Makati CBD. This can reduce the lead time of the
project made in the market.
Even after the transaction the real estate market will still be a highly competitive market
since it is composing of more than 30 participants.
The effect of the transaction will show that the market concentration will be the same but
Century properties’ presence in the NCR especially in the central business districts will be
stronger since Keppel’s projects are within the heart of the business districts of Makati and
Ortigas.
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