Understanding Session 16 Retail Trade Market in India: ND TH

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Understanding

Session 16

Retail Trade Market in India

• Growing at CAGR OF 7.5 % . The estimated revenue is $470 Bn in 2011 to $ 675 Bn in 2015

• 6 million retail outlets

• Multitude of retail formats such as pan shops, small family-owned shops, supermarkets etc.

• At least 4-5 level of intermediaries

• Tier II and Tier III cities are developing and preparing to compete with large metropolitan

• Increase Focus of expansion to rural sector

About Case

 Protagonist: Amit Kumar, who is now the Area Sales Manager of NutriPack
 Nutri pack India subsidiary of Nutri Pack Limited, a global U.S, - based food company. 
 Turnover- 7.5 billion 
 Market share – 12% 
 Main Products – Nutrijams and Nutri Power (71% contribution of the company’s revenue),
Glucolin and Honeybeez. 
 Focus – 1. To increase the number of retail outlets
2. Convince Mandore to invest more in Nutri Power. 

Jalgaon District – Sachin Agency

 Major productive and agriculture center


 Population: 4.2 million, which is 16% of total pollution of central Maharashtra
 Major Operator: Sachin Agency, distributor of Nutri Power in entire Jalgaon area.
 Profit Margin Provided to Sachin Agency: 4.5%
 Jalgaon is growing at the rate of 15%, however, Sachin Agency is underperforming thereby
the company is unable to increase its retail presence.

Why Jalgaon?

 2nd in population, 4th in contribution.


 Per capita income is ranked third, this will result in high consumer demand, which means it
is right time to penetrate into the market.
         
District Value
2011 Value Contribution
Populatio Population CONTRIBUTION
District Population Contri(INRmillion Ranking
n (%) Ranking (%)
)
Aurangaba
36,95,928 14 3 98 15.53 3
d
Jalgaon 42,24,442 16 2 54 8.56 4
Dhule 20,48,781 8 5 39 6.18 5
Buldhana 18,88,039 7 4 31 4.93 10
Jalna 19,58,483 8 6 104.7 16.59 2
Nashik 61,09,052 24 1 170 26.94 1
Akola 18,18,617 7 8 33 5.23 8
Washim 11,96,714 5 9 34 5.39 9
Parbhani 18,35,982 7 7 35.3 5.59 6
Hingoli 11,78,973 5 10 32 5.07 7
Total 2,59,55,011       100  

District Ranking
as per
Population ANNUAL Per
per
Growth Rate capita income
Ranking as per capita
growth rate income
Aurangabad 27.33 1 222890.8 1
Jalgaon 22.33 2 162102 3
Dhule 14.71 9 101314 4
Buldhana 19.96 5 89156 5
Jalna 15.93 8 81051 6
Nashik 21.84 3 202628 2
Akola 11.6 10 79025 7
Washim 19.43 6 60788 9
Parbhani 17.23 7 56736 10
Hingoli 20.18 4 68894 8

NutriPower in Jalgaon

 NutriPower is a health drink and competes in the HFD category.


 The brand a successful market growth of 25% annually
 Cost of Product: Rs. 200 (higher the market price)
 Distribution: Sachin Agency is sole distributor in Jalgaon area, who gets a margin of 4.5%
 Nutripower, is market leader in Maharashtra with total coverage of 12,710 stores.
 However, in Jalgaon it has a reach of only 729 outlets which is 46% of the market, while the
competitor brand i.e Healthy has a coverage of 1418 outlets i.e 89% market share.
 Growth of outlets distributing NutriPower is 3.6% annually.
 New competitor in the market is Kidenergy, which is priced at Rs. 300

2008 2009 2010 2011


NutriPower 662 680 704 729
Growth (to total number
to outlets) 49.96% 50.86% 49.09% 45.91%
1325 1337 1434 1588

Predicted Growth

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015


no of outlets 729 948 1280 1800 2150
stores 1588 1757 1946 2154 2384
coverage 46% 54% 66% 84% 90%

growth 30% 35% 41% 19%

Growth for NutriPower

 Kumar needs to assure Mandore about the market potential in the category, because in
order to achieve the desired market share Mandore needs to invest more.

Nutri Jam in Jalgaon

 Market Leader in Maharashtra, with volume share of 34%.


 Nutri Jam has a high Weighted Distribution, this means even though the number of outlets
are less than the direct competitor Mazza, the sale of NutriJam is high per outlet.
 However, in Jalgaon its distribution is declining, and is only able to cover 25% of the market
share with an untapped market of 75%

2008 2009 2010 2011

NutriJAm 419 369 353 342


Growth/ Decline (to total 34.5182413 30.7759372
number to outlets) 39.52830189 5 3 26.92913386

1060 1069 1147 1270

Reason for Decline in Jalagaon

 Sachin Agency is only focusing to fulfilling targets and doesn’t wish to take any risk or
exposure.
 The agency does not want to invest more because the NutriJam is second in the market
irrespective of the fact that the market coverage is just 25%
 They are a lot of small retailers whom the agency does not offer credit and therefore the
brand is unable to reach the market.

Issue of Credit

 NutriPack offer Sachin agency a credit period of 14 days.


 On the other hand, Sachin Agency offers a credit period of 15 days, that too only to large
retailers.
 For small retailers it has to be pay on delivery.
 This has resulted in the reducing market share for NutriPack in Jalgaon
 NutriPack should increase the credit period for Sachin Agency by one day, i.e, 15 days, this
will assure him that he doesnot have pay money out of his pocket. By doing so, Kumar could
ask Sachin to give credit period to small retailers as well.

Issue of Margin

 Kumar wishes to increase the market share in the Jalgaon district and to do so he needs
Mandore to invest more.
 Kumar needs to assure Mandore about the market potential especially in case of NutriJam.
 NutriPack should also focus on increasing the margin for the distributor in order to get high
investments. (assuming that the investment increases in terms of manpower and vehicle)

Current ROI

ROI Net profit/Average Investment


22.73591549

Sale per store 74074.07407


Number of Stores 729
Revenues 54000000
Margin(4.5% of Investment) 2430000

Vans 18000*2*12 432000


Salary 4000*3*12 144000
Bonus 1000*3*12 36000
Driver 3000*2*12 72000
Delivery 3000*2*12 72000
Godown Keeper 3000*12 36000
Godown Helper 3000*12 36000
Comp Operator 7000*12 84000
Computer 500*12 6000
Printer 1000*12*2 24,000
Internet 450*12 5400
admin expense 500*12 6000
Telephone 500*12 6000
Interest on safety deposit 8% 80,000
Rent 3000*7*12 252000
Total Expenses 1291400
NET PROFIT 1378600

Net Investment (Capital Exp- Depreciation)


Days Recievable 2250000
Days Payable 2250000
Trade Claims 180000
Security deposit 1000000
Avg, Gross Investment 5680000

Increase in 30% investment and margin to 6% would result in profit for both the company as
well as the distributor.

2011 2012

Number of Store 729 948

margin 4.5% 6%

our revenue 53,999,946 70,222,152

distributor 2,429,998 4,213,329


revenue

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