Paper:: Summarize Related Literature Review and Hypothesis Group 12
Paper:: Summarize Related Literature Review and Hypothesis Group 12
Paper:: Summarize Related Literature Review and Hypothesis Group 12
GROUP 12 :
TRẦN THỤY YẾN THU BAFNIU17051
NGUYỄN VÕ HÀ PHƯƠNG BAFNIU17032
NGUYỄN BẢO NGỌC BAFNIU17016
NGUYỄN HOÀNG THIÊN NHÃ BAFNIU17067
PAPER:
Product market competition and corporate investment: Evidence from China
This paper begins by showing that that domestic corporate investment decreases in the face of
global competition by another paper. Specifically, Mello and Wang (2012) and Frésard and
Valt 2015) all find that there is a negative relationship between competition and investment.
But this paper’s research takes the other perspective of these findings into account. Chinese
firms lost much of the investment opportunity in the US. After liberalization, Chinese firms
also faced greater competition from regional countries but also experienced the great
potential for growth when exporting to developed countries.
They find that firms in an environment of high and predictable growth will invest sooner in
the face of high competition trying to preempt their own first-mover advantage. Hence, they
test the hypothesis that investment and competition in high and predictable growth are
positively correlated. Especially, they study the relationship between product market
competition and corporate investment in China which country has experienced rapid growth
and large annual economic growth rate after its transition from a state-controlled economy to
a market-oriented one. Because of China’s significant and consistent economic growth, China
is an ideal setting for testing the hypothesis that that relation in a growing economy is
positive.
They find lots of evidence that is consistent with their hypothesis that the relationship
between investment and competition is positive.
First, based on a sample of Chinese manufacturing firms listed during 1999–2010, they find a
positive relation between corporate investment (measured as the change in net fixed assets
plus depreciation) and product market competition (proxied by three different measures: the
Herfindahl–Hirschman Index (HHI), the number of firms in the industry (N), and a
concentration ratio of the four largest firms in the industry (CR4)).
Second, causality may be in the opposite direction, as corporate investment can affect the
level and nature of the industry's product market competition (e.g., Spence, 1979). Based on a
quasi-natural experiment, Chinese manufacturing firms tend to increase investment in the
face of rising competition, consistent with their hypothesis.
Third, it is also possible that our cross-sectional analysis on competition and investment may
yield biased results due to omitted firm level variables that are constant over time. They again
find a positive relation between investment and competition.
Fourth, they argue that the competition-investment relationship is positive in China because
of its tremendous and predictable and thus profit opportunities.. Overall, they find that firms
do invest more when the firm, its industry, its province, and the country have higher growth
rates.
Fifth, they find that firms that invest more under high competition indeed subsequently
experience better firm performance. Therefore, the high level of investment in which firms
engage when competition is high is indicative of high NPV opportunities and low wait option
values. Hence, firms will invest more under high competition in a growing economy to
capture as much of the growth opportunities as possible.
Sixth, however, they recognize that in spite of predictable growth opportunities, some firms
may not invest more under high competition despite the profit potential that growth
opportunities provides. Therefore, they identify firms with high cash ratios. Overall, they find
that firms with higher predation risk and more cash invest more when competition is high.
That is, when the risk of losing market share is high, especially under high competition, firms
invest more.
In addition, they consider the firm's position in its industry. Autor et al. (2013) and Frésard
and Valta (2015) find a negative relation between competition and investment in developed
markets. However, in China's environment of high growth, leaders are best positioned to
capture investment opportunities. Overall, they find that the positive relation between
competition and investment is stronger for leader firms and for large firms, consistent with
their contention.
In brief, this paper reveals a clear positive relationship between product market competition
and corporate investment. They believe that this strong relation occurs when firms ample and
predictable growth opportunities. Therefore, by defining an environment (i.e., an economy
experiencing high growth) where the relation is strongly positive, they make a significant
contribution to the literature on product market competition and corporate investment. This
paper contrasts what Mello and Wang (2012), Autor et al. (2014), and Fresard and Valta
(2015) considered to have occurred during this time in developed countries. In a way, their
paper from the research is “the other side of the coin”.
2. Analyst forecast quality and investment level: Information intermediary and monitoring
agent review : A timely and transparent information environment and an effective monitoring
mechanism can help prevent managers from making investment decisions that deviate from
the optimal level, and that is also the function of analysts. There is a large body of literature
documenting the roles of financial analysts as intermediaries of information between
companies and investors.
*Financial analysts have an information advantage by providing both public and private
information to individuals and institutional investors.
*Financial analyst forecasts help minimize information asymmetry between insiders of the
company and external capital suppliers and between managers and shareholders.
*Expert analysis from external analysts is expected to play a monitoring role that helps to
increase the investment efficiency of firms by constraining management from making
suboptimal investments and reducing firms' cost of capital.
Based on the above views, they hypothesize that, analyst forecasts provide valuable
information on and monitor firms' investment activities, leading to higher investment
efficiency of firms. Specifically, we expect that the quality of
analyst earnings forecasts help to reduce over- and under-investment by firm and we form the
following hypothesis:
+analysts' forecast quality is positively associated with investment efficiency
+analysts' forecast quality is negatively associated with investment efficiency.