Indonesia: Road To The App Economy: by Dr. Michael Mandel
Indonesia: Road To The App Economy: by Dr. Michael Mandel
Indonesia: Road To The App Economy: by Dr. Michael Mandel
Indonesia’s growth rate has been slowing in recent years. In the second quarter,
GDP grew 4.7% over the same quarter of the previous year, the smallest gain since
2009. Part of that slowdown is due to global economic weakness that has hurt
commodity exports. However, that only points out the need to find another, more
sustainable engine for growth for the Indonesian economy.
President Joko Widodo, in office since October 2014, seeks to transform Indone-
sia from an economy that imports manufacturing products such as telecommuni-
cations equipment into one that produces them. Indeed, his administration’s em-
phasis on production has included domestic content rules for smartphones using
advanced networks, as a way of allowing Indonesia to participate in the global
App development is mobile revolution as producer rather than a consumer.
Many people mistakenly think of mobile apps as simply games or chat programs
or social media. Games and social media are important—but in reality, they are
only a small part of the App Economy. Apps are used by major multinationals,
banks, media companies, retailers, and governments. As of July 2015, there were
1.6 million apps available for Android, and another 1.5 million available on Ap-
ple’s App Store.1
App development is one route to economic success for a country such as Indone-
sia that has a large internal market. Today, many countries try to develop their
manufacturing sector as a means to growth, emulating China and Korea. Howev-
er, such a strategy necessarily requires a large investment in physical capital, not
just for the factories but for the transportation infrastructure and power grid as
well. Building and improving highways, rail lines, and ports is expensive and time
consuming.
Up to this point, Indonesia has not been focused on app development. Neverthe-
less, the country has a rapidly growing number of app developers—these are the
people who design and create the apps distributed domestically and internation-
ally. Moreover, Indonesian companies that do app development also have to hire
sales people, project managers, database programmers, and other types of work-
ers. Finally, each app developer supports a certain number of local jobs.
In this paper, we estimate that Indonesia has roughly 22,000 App Economy jobs
across the entire country. That’s based on our analysis of online job posting data,
as collected by the job search engine Indeed. (Note: Only public data was used in
this analysis. No personal data of individuals or businesses was used.)
In addition, we show that Indonesia comes in third in our App Economy ranking
of major Southeast Asia countries, behind Vietnam and just behind Singapore.
The result is based on our analysis of multi-country job posting data from job
search engine Indeed, which enables us to estimate the Southeast Asia App Econ-
omy Index.
Apps are the essential front door to the Internet. In the United States, most peo-
The demand for mobile ple use apps to access the Internet on their smartphones.3 They log onto the Face-
apps is only going to book app, or their bank app, or the app of their airline. One could spend an entire
day on the Internet while only using apps.
skyrocket in the future.
Moreover, the demand for new mobile apps is only going to skyrocket in the fu-
ture. One of the biggest changes coming is the Internet of Things, which is the use
of the Internet to help control physical devices and our physical environment.4
Farmers will increasingly use apps to aid their agricultural production, nurses and
doctors will use apps to manage patient care, and manufacturers will use apps to
control their factories.5
The implication is that production of mobile apps—both for the domestic and
global economies—could become an increasing source of growth in coming years
for Indonesia.
However, as we have researched the App Economy globally over the past 3 years,
we have found that a surprisingly broad range of enterprises are searching for
workers who have the ability to develop, maintain, or support mobile applica-
tions.6 Tiny app developers and mobile broadband providers; tech companies and
non-tech companies; multinationals, nonprofits, and the government —it’s just
amazing the types of enterprises that are hiring app developers these days.
Based on our analysis of the Indonesian App Economy, we have found these types
of companies who hire App Economy workers:
This is only a small sample of the companies that are currently hiring App Econ-
omy workers in Indonesia.
This virtuous circle could quickly make the App Economy an enormous creator of
jobs and income for Indonesia. Moreover, as Indonesian app developers gain
skills and experience, they could become a source of export revenue.
However, we can address the size of Indonesia’s App Economy using a methodol-
ogy originally developed in 2012 to estimate the number of App Economy workers
in the United States.7 This methodology was later applied to other countries, such
as Australia.
This methodology uses online help-wanted ads or job postings to assess the
strength of the App Economy. Note that job postings typically include an accurate
description of the skills and knowledge the employer is looking for. For example,
if a job posting requires that the job candidate have experience developing apps
for iOS—the iPhone/iPad operating system—then we can reasonably conclude
that the job is part of the App Economy. Similarly, if a job posting calls for experi-
ence using Android we can be reasonably sure that job is part of the App Econo-
my.
Especially in the tech field, the use of online job postings is quite common. Com-
panies post their openings on their website, or use job boards to place job post-
ings for software developers or engineers. In Indonesia, the ads may either be in
English or Indonesian.
Online job postings are collected and indexed in real-time by job search engines
such as Indeed (which for Indonesia is located at the URL id.indeed.com) or by
Monster (which for Indonesia is located at the URL www.monster.co.id). That is,
the job seeker can input relevant criteria into the job search engine, such as skills,
location, and so forth. And then the job search engine will return a list of all the
current job postings that match the criteria.
Job search engines are a wonderful source of data about the current labor market
in a country. The main positive is that job postings (or want ads) typically contain
detailed information about the skills that the employers want. What’s more, the
results are continually updated. And especially in tech fields, the expectation is
the potential employees will search for jobs using the Internet, so many compa-
nies are usually willing to post open positions online, because that’s where they
will find their workers.
On the other hand, job search engines do have certain problems. Obviously in
Indonesia many jobs will not be listed on online job postings, especially since
most people still don’t have smartphones. Moreover, unlike the United States and
Vietnam, many listed job postings on the websites of Indonesia tech firms are not
picked up by Indeed, Monster, or other job search engines, likely for legal rea-
sons. This requires us to do an adjustment to account for the missing data. Still,
analyzing the results of job search engines gives us information about the tech
labor market that can’t be gotten any other way.
The reason why we use iOS and Android is that these are the two major platforms
for mobile apps. (Windows, Blackberry, and Facebook have a much smaller
The key to growth is to share). Also, they will be the same no matter what language a country is using.
be a creator of mobile
Our procedure was to run a search for App Economy job postings on
apps, not simply a user.
id.indeed.com on August 5, looking for job postings that contain either the term
‘iOS’ or ‘Android’. Then we adjust for the missing observations. Then, based on
past research in other countries, we estimate the number of app-related jobs at
firms that do app development. Finally, we account for the number of non-tech
local jobs supported by app developers.8
The result: We find that Indonesia had roughly 22,000 App Economy jobs as of
August 2015. That’s up from nothing as of 2007, before the iPhone was intro-
duced.
Regional Comparisons
Obviously, Indonesia ’s App Economy lags behind industrialized countries such as
the United States, Japan and the United Kingdom. Equally clearly, Indonesia
cannot compare today to India and China in terms of app development.
It’s much more useful to compare Indonesia’s App Economy to other major coun-
tries in Southeast Asia—Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and Ma-
laysia. In order to do this, we searched for job postings contained the terms ‘iOS’
or ‘Android’ in Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thai-
land, using the Indeed sites for those countries.
By executing this search on each of these websites the same day, we were able to
identify the number of App Economy postings for each country.9 Note that for two
countries, Indonesia and Malaysia, we also removed a number of spurious App
Economy job postings that are caused by a particular job board.
In addition, we note that in all the countries except for Vietnam, job search en-
gines refrain from indexing some company websites. We therefore do an adjust-
ment to account for the missing data.
We then translate our results into a “Southeast Asia App Economy Index” for each
country, which divides the results of the search for that country by the average
number of job postings for all six countries (see Figure 3). In other words, the
higher the index number, the more job postings for App Economy jobs.
We can see that Vietnam has the highest Southeast Asia App Economy Index, fol-
lowed by Singapore and Indonesia (where Singapore is slightly but not signifi-
cantly ahead of Indonesia). Note that we have not ranked these countries against
countries such as India and China, which are clearly much stronger App Econo-
mies.
It’s worth saying a word about Singapore, which comes out lower than Vietnam
on the ranking and slightly ahead of Indonesia. Obviously Singapore has a much
more highly educated workforce. But many Singapore app developers actually
outsource their production to other countries, including Vietnam. Moreover, Vi-
etnam and Indonesia have much larger populations. Therefore, if we adjust for
population size, the Singapore App Economy looks much stronger.
Finally, for completeness, we show the SE Asia App Economy Index, without the
adjustment for omitted data. We see that Indonesia looks much weaker, which
clearly does not reflect the reality.
The implication: Countries are better off nurturing a strong position in mobile
app development. The key to growth is to be a creator of mobile apps, not simply
a user. That strategy creates a workforce with the right skills and training to pros-
per in the global economy going forward.
Endnotes