Nresourse Answer 2
Nresourse Answer 2
Nresourse Answer 2
Yohannes azegaj
ID No BER/1713/11
Instructors: Dr. Helen Berga
Transactions are affected at prevailing rate of exchange at that point of time and delivery
of foreign exchange is affected instantly. The exchange rate that prevails in the spot
1
market for foreign exchange is called Spot Rate. Expressed alternatively, spot rate of
exchange refers to the rate at which foreign currency is available on the spot.
For instance, if one US dollar can be purchased for birr 40 at the point of time in the
foreign exchange market, it will be called spot rate of foreign exchange. No doubt, spot
rate of foreign exchange is very useful for current transactions but it is also necessary to
find what the spot rate is. In addition, it is also significant to find the strength of the
domestic currency with respect to all of home country’s trading partners. Note that the
measure of average relative strength of a given currency is called Effective Exchange
Rate (EER).
A market in which foreign exchange is bought and sold for future delivery is known as
Forward Market. It deals with transactions (sale and purchase of foreign exchange)
which are contracted today but implemented sometimes in future. Exchange rate that
prevails in a forward contract for purchase or sale of foreign exchange is called Forward
Rate. Thus, forward rate is the rate at which a future contract for foreign currency is
made.
This rate is settled now but actual transaction of foreign exchange takes place in future.
The forward rate is quoted at a premium or discount over the spot rate. Forward Market
for foreign exchange covers transactions which occur at a future date. Forward exchange
rate helps both the parties involved.
4. How does the demand for a foreign exchange arise and how does the
supply of a foreign exchange arise? Explain
The demand (or outflow) of foreign exchange comes from those people who need it to
make payment in foreign currency.
1. When price of a foreign currency falls, imports from that foreign country become cheaper.
So, imports increase and hence, the demand for foreign currency rises.
2. When a foreign currency becomes cheaper in terms of the domestic currency, it promotes
tourism to that country. As a result, demand for foreign currency rises.
3. When price of a foreign currency falls, its demand rises as more people want to make
gains from speculative activities.
The supply (inflow) of foreign exchange comes from those people who receive it due to
following reasons
2
The supply of foreign currency rises in the following situations:
1. When price of a foreign currency rises, domestic goods become relatively cheaper. It
induces the foreign country to increase their imports from the domestic country. As a result,
supply of foreign currency rises.
2. When price of a foreign currency rises, supply of foreign currency rises as people want to
make gains from speculative activities.
Foreign exchange (Forex or FX) is the conversion of one currency into another at a
specific rate known as the foreign exchange rate. The conversion rates for almost all
currencies are constantly floating as they are driven by the market forces of supply
and demand.
The nominal exchange rate E is defined as the number of units of the domestic
currency that can purchase a unit of a given foreign currency. A decrease in this
variable is termed nominal appreciation of the currency. (Under the fixed exchange
rate regime, a downward adjustment of the rate E is termed revaluation.) An increase
in this variable is termed nominal depreciation of the currency. (Under the fixed
exchange rate regime, an upward adjustment of the rate E is called devaluation.)
3
e) Freely Floating or Flexible Exchange Rate:
A floating exchange rate is a regime where the currency price of a nation is set by
the foreign exchange market based on supply and demand relative to other
currencies. It is one that is determined by supply and demand on the open market.
But it doesn't mean countries don't try to intervene and manipulate their
currency's price, since governments and central banks regularly attempt to keep
their currency price favorable for international trade. Became more popular after
the failure of the gold standard and the Bretton Woods agreement.
Fixed exchange rate is the rate which is officially fixed by the government or
monetary authority and not determined by market forces. Only a very small
deviation from this fixed value is possible. In this system, foreign central banks stand
ready to buy and sell their currencies at a fixed price. A typical kind of this system
was used under Gold Standard System in which each country committed itself to
convert freely its currency into gold at a fixed price.
h) Arbitrage:
Arbitrage occurs when an investor can make a profit from simultaneously buying
and selling a commodity in two different markets.
i) Hedging:
Hedging – Setting up an investment positions which helps to protect against losses
from a related investment.
j) Speculation:
Speculation is the purchase of an asset (a commodity, goods, or real estate) with the
hope that it will become more valuable in the near future. In finance, speculation is
also the practice of engaging in risky financial transactions in an attempt to profit
from short term fluctuations in the market value of a tradable financial instrument—
rather than attempting to profit from the underlying financial attributes embodied in
the instrument such as value addition, return on investment, or dividends.
6) How do you distinguish between depreciation and devaluation of a
currency? Appreciation and revaluation of a currency?
4
Depreciation
Depreciation occurs when a country's exchange rate goes down in the market.
The country's money has less purchasing power in other countries because of the
depreciation.
Devaluation
If a government decides to make its currency less valuable, the change is called
devaluation.
7)
5
Because devaluing the currency makes a nation's exports more competitive
in global markets, and simultaneously makes imports more expensive.
Higher export volumes spur economic growth, while pricey imports also
have a similar effect because consumers opt for local alternatives to
imported products. This improvement in the terms of trade generally
translates into a lower current account deficit (or a greater current account
surplus), higher employment, and faster GDP growth. The simulative
monetary policies that usually result in a weak currency also have a positive
impact on the nation's capital and housing markets, which in turn boosts
domestic consumption through the wealth effect.
1. Cost-push inflation
2. Demand-pull inflation
3. Fewer incentives in long-term to cut costs.
1. Cost-push inflation
If there is devaluation then there will be an increase in the price of imported goods. Imports
are quite a significant part of the CPI; therefore they will contribute towards cost-push
inflation.
2. Demand-pull inflation
With devaluation, there is likely to be an increase in AD. (AD = C+I+G+X-M), if exports are
cheaper, there will be more exports sold and the quantity of imports will fall. If the economy is
close to full capacity then higher AD will cause inflation.
6
To addresses such impacts the country must increase its currency value
8)
It has certain risks which investors should be aware of, one of them being
default on securities such as commercial papers. Money market consists of
various financial institutions and dealers, who seek to borrow or loan
securities. It is the best source to invest in liquid assets.
7
Medium of exchange. Money's most important function is as a medium of
exchange to facilitate transactions. Without money, all transactions would
have to be conducted by barter, which involves direct exchange of one
good or service for another. The difficulty with a barter system is that in
order to obtain a particular good or service from a supplier, one has to
possess a good or service of equal value, which the supplier also desires. In
other words, in a barter system, exchange can take place only if there is a
double coincidence of wants between two transacting parties. The
likelihood of a double coincidence of wants, however, is small and makes
the exchange of goods and services rather difficult. Money effectively
eliminates the double coincidence of wants problem by serving as a
medium of exchange that is accepted in all transactions, by all parties,
regardless of whether they desire each others' goods and services.
Store of value. In order to be a medium of exchange, money must hold its
value over time; that is, it must be a store of value. If money could not be
stored for some period of time and still remain valuable in exchange, it
would not solve the double coincidence of wants problem and therefore
would not be adopted as a medium of exchange. As a store of value, money
is not unique; many other stores of value exist, such as land, works of art,
and even baseball cards and stamps. Money may not even be the best store
of value because it depreciates with inflation. However, money is more
liquid than most other stores of value because as a medium of exchange, it
is readily accepted everywhere. Furthermore, money is an easily
transported store of value that is available in a number of convenient
denominations.
Unit of account. Money also functions as a unit of account, providing a
common measure of the value of goods and services being exchanged.
Knowing the value or price of a good, in terms of money, enables both the
supplier and the purchaser of the good to make decisions about how much
of the good to supply and how much of the good to purchase.
iii) How does the use of money overcome the problems with a barter
system? Explain
Money overcomes the problem of barter system by replacing the C-C economy with
monetary economy (where 'C stands for commodity).
In the barter system, there was a problem of double coincidence of wants. It
was very difficult to match the expectations of two different individuals. Thus,
money was invented to overcome the problem of double Coincidence of wants.
8
When there was no money, it was difficult to give common unit of value to
goods or commodities, but when money was evolved, it gave a common unit of
value to every goods and services.
Money facilitates the contractual future payments which were impossible at
the time of barter system.
iv) What is monetary policy and what are the tools of monetary
policy? At a theoretical level, when does monetary policy become
impotent or ineffective? Explain
Monetary policy: is an economic policy that manages the size and growth rate of
the money supply in an economy. It is a powerful tool to regulate macroeconomic
variables such as inflation and unemployment.
Central banks use various tools to implement monetary policies. The widely utilized policy
tools include:
A central bank can influence interest rates by changing the discount rate. The discount rate
(base rate) is an interest rate charged by a central bank to banks for short-term loans. For
example, if a central bank increases the discount rate, the cost of borrowing for the banks
increases. Subsequently, the banks will increase the interest rate they charge their
customers. Thus, the cost of borrowing in the economy will increase, and the money supply
will decrease.
Central banks usually set up the minimum amount of reserves that must be held by a
commercial bank. By changing the required amount, the central bank can influence the
money supply in the economy. If monetary authorities increase the required reserve
amount, commercial banks find less money available to lend to their clients and thus, money
supply decreases.
Commercial banks can’t use the reserves to make loans or fund investments into new
businesses. Since it constitutes a lost opportunity for the commercial banks, central banks
pay them interest on the reserves. The interest is known as IOR or IORR (interest on
reserves or interest on required reserves).
9
Open market operations
The central bank can either purchase or sell securities issued by the government to affect
the money supply. For example, central banks can purchase government bonds. As a result,
banks will obtain more money to increase the lending and money supply in the economy.
9).
10
Balance of Payment (BOP): is a statement which records all the monetary
transactions made between residents of a country and the rest of the
world during any given period. This statement includes all the transactions
made by/to individuals, corporate and the government and helps in
monitoring the flow of funds to develop the economy.
The purpose of balance of payments (BOP): is to summarize all transactions
that a country's individuals, companies, and government bodies complete
with individuals, companies, and government bodies outside the country.
These transactions consist of imports and exports of goods, services, and
capital, as well as transfer payments, such as foreign aid and remittances.
The BOP consists of three main components—current account, capital account, and
financial account.
Current Account:
This part of the balance of payments is regarded as the most important, as it shows a
nation’s trading strength. If payments are greater than receipts, there is a deficit which is
undesirable.
A — Visible Trade:
The money earned from Indian exports of goods (e.g., cars sold to Nepal) is credited (added)
to this account, whilst payments for imported goods (e.g., American aircraft sold in India)
are debited. The difference between the totals is known as the Balance of Trade.
B — Invisible Trade:
The income earned from the sale of Indian services abroad is known as an invisible export,
e.g., an insurance premium paid by a British ship-owner to an Indian broker. When Indian
residents spend money on foreign services, e.g., a week’s accommodation in London, they
are creating invisible imports, because payment is going out of India.
11
The main invisibles are as follows:
2. Interest, profits and dividends: The earnings from loans, companies and shares,
respectively, earn substantial surpluses for the Indian economy.
3. Other financial services: The earnings of solicitors, brokers, merchants and pensioners
also contribute benefits to the invisible account.
4. Transport: The earnings on passenger carrier by sea and air are two major items.
3. Official Financing:
The Balance for Official Financing (which used to be termed Total Currency Flow) shows the
balance of monetary movements into and out of the country. A positive figure reveals a net
inflow of funds into a country
Balance of Payments Surplus: The account by which the money coming into a nation is
more than the money going out in a particular time frame.
Balance of Payments Deficit: A balance of payments deficit means the nation imports
more commodities, capital and services than it exports. It must take from other
nations to pay for their imports
12
Autonomous transactions are those transactions which are carried out with economic
motive irrespective of the present position of the BOP.
These are the accommodating transactions of the government made only to bring
equilibrium in the Balance of Payment.
10.
ii) What are the criteria for evaluating an IMS? Explain each
Criteria for evaluating an IMS
Differences between the gold standard and the Bretton Woods system are as follows:
A Bretton wood is a system under which the currencies are pegged with dollar
whereas under the gold standard the currencies are pegged to gold.
14
The gold standard is a floating exchange rate system, whereas, the Bretton woods
system was different because it was a fixed exchange rate system.
iv) What were the reasons for the collapse of the Bretton Woods
system?
The collapse of the Bretton Woods system was due to internal inconsistency. The
American monetary discipline served as the nominal anchor for the Bretton
Woods system. But when the US started to inflate its economy, the international
monetary system based on the US dollar began to disintegrate.
It was destroyed, in the first place, on the most general level, because of
insufficient flexibility in the system. Exchange rates had hardened, a discussion of
alteration had become impossible outside of the dramatic circumstances of a
major crisis, and other sorts of adjustment (for instance, in fiscal policy) were too
contentious politically.
Second, the immediate disturbance that destroyed the system had a particular
cause, the monetary expansion of the United States in the late 1960s associated
with the Viet Nam war, and a very loose approach to monetary policy in the face
of an exchange crisis in 1971. The criticism that had been most cogently
expressed by General de Gaulle in the mid-1960s now seemed vindicated by the
manner of the collapse.
Third, the trigger that demonstrated the incompatibility of different national
policy stances within the system was given by the larger flows of capital.
11. Write short notes on each of the following. Give examples,
where necessary
i) The Mint Parity Theory
When the currencies of two countries are on a metallic standard (gold or
silver), the rate of exchange between them is determined on the basis of
parity of mint ratios between the currencies of the two countries. Thus, the
theory explaining the determination of exchange rate between countries
which are on the same metallic standard (say, gold coin standard) is known as
the Mint Parity Theory of foreign exchange rate.
15
ii) Stocks versus Bonds
Bonds Stocks
Bonds are financial instruments that
Stocks are instruments that
highlight the debt taken of the issuing
highlight the interest of ownership
Meaning body towards the holders and a promise
issued by the company in exchange
to pay back at a later stage with interest
for funds
Govt. institutions, financial institutions,
Issuers companies, etc. Corporates
Status Holders are the lenders to the firm Stockholders are the owners of the
Relatively low
Risk Levels High
Form of Interest, as a fixed payment
Dividend, which is not guaranteed
Return
Liquidation and preference in terms of
Additional
repayment Shareholders get voting rights
benefit
Over the Counter
Market Centralized/Stock Market
Type of Debt
Equity
investment
Fixed at the time of purchase
Time of Depends on investors
maturity
16
Dutch disease is the apparent causal relationship between the increase in the
economic development of a specific sector (for example natural resources)
and a decline in other sectors (like the manufacturing sector or agriculture).
12.
i) What are the major factors (or forces) that have led to
increasing interdependence between or among nations?
Please make your own evaluation of these factors
Think of those individuals as a country and the flour as the products and
services we consume. This gives you an idea of the interdependence of human
societies. We fulfill our needs by relying on a massive network of other
people.
Nowadays, most countries are also interdependent because they rely on other
countries for supplying local demand and for selling local products. This
interdependence is strong, and one nation's actions often have consequences
on another's. For example, China's labor costs impact employment in other
countries, Russia's policies on gas affects transport costs in Europe, and air
pollution generated in the United States has global effects.
17
It leads to more efficient division of labor, greater specialization, increased
productivity, higher standards of living and wealth, and ultimately the end of
poverty. Recent economic growth has greatly contributed to the high standard
of living enjoyed by many within the developed world and raised living
standards of many people formerly living in abject poverty. Many others have
not made such gains.
13.
ii) What are the reasons for an IMPC and how does such
coordination take place? Discuss
The reasons for an IMPC
1. Trade flows:
Countries are connected via trade flows, for example, the exports of
one country are the imports of another and vice versa.
Changes in the volume of exports and imports will affect the
national incomes and employment levels of the trading partners.
In general, the policies that influence the current account position
of a country will have spillover effects on its trading partners’
current account positions.
2. International capital movement:
Like, policies that influence the domestic interest rate (and
thus affecting capital – inflow of capital outflow) will have effect on
trading partners.
How does such coordination take place?
18
a) The Exchange of Information:
• A minimal type of coordination is the exchange of information
between/among the authorities of two/more countries.
b) Mutually Consistent Policies:
• The exchange of information may provide the basis for
more active coordination in that the countries concerned
agree either formally or informally to adopt consistent
macroeconomic policy stances.
• In other words, each country takes into account the aims
and policies stance of other countries when formulating its
own policy stance.
c) Joint Action
• Having exchanged information and agreed on mutually
consistent target values for the objectives of economic
policy, the authorities could go one step further and
agree on joint action to achieve desired targets.
• Joint action would mean a concerted action (collective
action) to achieve the desired objective.
• In joint action, for example, fiscal and monetary
policies could be adjusted to maximize joint welfare.
iii) What are the benefits (advantages) and the costs
(disadvantages) of an IMPC and what should be the way
forward? Explain
Advantages
The benefits are associated with
the gains from trade and access to international capital markets.
It reduces of uncertainty and avoidance of
excessive deflation.
It has the potential to reduce the possibility of serious
conflict through the exchange of information.
It competitive manipulation of
exchange rates (or competitive devaluations) and can remove the
danger of excessive deflation.
Disadvantages
19
Lack of agreement on the precise policy mix
required.
It has a problem of how to distribute the gains from
successful policy coordination among the participants and
how to spread the cost of negotiating and policing
agreements.
14.
Foreign investment, quite simply, is investing in a country other than your home one. It
involves capital flowing from one country to another and foreigners having an ownership
interest or a say in the business. Foreign investment is generally seen as a catalyst for
economic growth and can be undertaken by institutions, corporations, and individuals.
Investors interested in foreign investment generally take one of two paths: foreign portfolio
investment or foreign direct investment.
Foreign portfolio investment (FPI) refers to the purchase of securities and other financial
assets by investors from another country. Examples of foreign portfolio investments include
stocks, bonds, mutual funds, exchange traded funds, American depositary receipts (ADRs),
and global depositary receipts (GDRs).
ii) What are the basic motives for FDI and FPI? Discuss
20
Market-seeking investment is attracted by factors like host country‟ market size,
per capita income and market growth. For firms, new markets provide a chance to
stay competitive and grow within the industry as well as achieve scale and scope
economies. Traditionally, market size and growth as FDI determinants related to
national markets for manufacturing products sheltered from international
competition by high tariffs or quotas that triggered "tariff-jumping”. Apart from
market size and trade restrictions, MNEs might be prompted to engage in market-
seeking investment, when their main suppliers or customers have set up foreign
producing facilities and in order to retain their business they need to follow them
overseas.
The motivation of efficiency seeking FDI is to rationalize the structure of
established resource based or market-seeking investment in such a way that the
investing company can gain from the common governance of geographically
dispersed activities. The intention of the efficiency seeking MNE is to take advantage
of different factor endowments, cultures, institutional arrangements, economic
systems and policies, and market structures by concentrating production in a limited
number of locations to supply multiple markets. In order for efficiency seeking foreign
production to take place, cross-border markets must be both well developed and
open, therefore it often flourishes in regionally integrated markets .However it is
worth noting that many of the larger MNEs are pursuing pluralistic objectives and
most engage in FDI that combines the characteristics of each of the above categories.
The motives for foreign production may also change as, for example, when a firm
becomes an established and experienced foreign investor.
15. Write short notes on each of the following. Give examples,
where necessary
i) The International Debt Crisis
Debt crisis is a situation in which a government loses the ability of paying
back its governmental debt. When the expenditures of a government are
more than its tax revenues for a prolonged period, the government may
enter into a debt crisis. Various forms of governments finance their
expenditures primarily by raising money through taxation. When tax
revenues are insufficient, the government can make up the difference by
issuing debt.
Example:
The 1980s crisis.
The 1990s crises.
The Asian crisis of 1997-98.
21
ii) The Reasons for the International Debt Crisis
a) Official grants and loans (often concessional--i.e., at low interest
rates and with grace periods and long maturities).
b) Long-term commercial bank loans.
c) Short-term commercial bank loans.
d) Securities markets (bonds, equity).
22
terms of slower development that debt repayments impose
upon debtor nations.
The Debtor Nations – They claim that the
debt issue is not their making, but due to a
combination of external factors beyond their
control. They felt that the creditor banks
should consider the possibility of debt
forgiveness.
Possible Remedies to the Debt Crisis
There are three sets of proposals:
– Alter the structure and nature of the debt (Commercial
banks view) – e.g., lengthening the time horizon to make it
more manageable for repayment of the debt.
– Economic reform in the debtor nations (IMF and WB view)
– The argument is that the reforms will improve the debtor
nations’ ability to service their debts.
– Debt forgiveness – Write off part of the debts the debtors
owe by:
• Reducing the principal owed,
• Reducing the interest payments below the market rates,
• Mixture of the above two.
23
A moratorium continues to be in force until the issues causing its
enforcement are solved. Moratoriums can also be imposed to delay debt
payments under qualified circumstances, which make the lenders
incapable of paying off their debts. The process is called a debt
moratorium.
In legal terms, a moratorium can refer to a temporary postponement of a
law to allow the resolution of a lawful opposition.
Moratoriums are usually authorized when normal routines are
interrupted by a crisis.
For example, federal and state governments may grant moratoriums on
several financial activities immediately after a natural calamity or a
disaster. The governments may lift the restrictions once business returns
to normal.
Default
Default is the failure to repay a debt including interest or principal on a
loan or security. A default can occur when a borrower is unable to make
timely payments, misses payments, or avoids or stops making payments.
Individuals, businesses, and even countries can fall prey to default if they
cannot keep up their debt obligations.
References
www.elibrary.imf.org
Teacher hand outs
Ocw.mit.edu
www.google.com
24
25
26