Demand Estimation Using Regression

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Demand Estimation using Regression SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square

Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

ANOVA

Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Price per week

Population of city
Monthly income
of riders
Average parking
rates per month
UMMARY OUTPUT

egression Statistics
0.97132295
0.94346827

0.93442319
5186.2581
30

df SS MS F Significance F
4 1.1222E+10 2.8E+09 104.3074 3.240692E-15
25 672431826 2.7E+07
29 1.1895E+10

Standard
Coefficients Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
17912.6113 80670.6644 0.2220 0.8261 -148231.732 184056.9546 -148231.732 184056.955
-659.9491 86.1876 -7.6571 0.0000 -837.4557 -482.4426 -837.456 -482.443

0.0990 0.0428 2.3140 0.0292 0.0109 0.1871 0.011 0.187

-0.8310 1.4201 -0.5852 0.5637 -3.7556 2.0937 -3.756 2.094

167.9447 63.7112 2.6360 0.0142 36.7289 299.1605 36.729 299.160


SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.5930481370776
R Square 0.3517060928912
Adjusted R Square 0.2479790677538
Standard Error 8.2447948144221
Observations 30

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 4 921.95062836865 230.487657092161 3.390689094046
Residual 25 1699.416038298 67.9766415319209
Total 29 2621.3666666667

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value


Intercept 24.00722108848 6.6001077119522 3.63739837836353 0.001249057547
X Variable 1 0.026964622082 0.0129486594604 2.08242576495175 0.047691740475
X Variable 2 -0.010612089796 0.0072409278233 -1.4655704427015 0.15523047254
X Variable 3 -0.41003224412 0.1339328195773 -3.0614769808786 0.005206520186
X Variable 4 0.8935307194527 0.3639442192042 2.45513095772325 0.021385163611
Significance F
0.0239467974483

Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


10.41404480339 37.6003973736 10.41404480339 37.6003973736
0.0002963587168 0.05363288545 0.0002963587168 0.05363288545
-0.0255250598052 0.00430088021 -0.025525059805 0.00430088021
-0.6858720495184 -0.13419243872 -0.685872049518 -0.13419243872
0.1439735689499 1.64308786996 0.1439735689499 1.64308786996
Y X1 X2 X3
Reported
Total overall
Annual police reported violent % of 18 to 24 year-olds
Year funding in crime rate per
crime rate per 1 in college
$/resident 100,000
million residents
residents

1 40 478 184 31
2 32 494 213 43
3 57 643 347 16

4 31 341 565 25
5 67 773 327 29
6 25 603 260 32
7 34 484 325 24
8 33 546 102 28
9 36 424 38 25
10 31 548 226 58
11 35 506 137 21
12 30 819 369 77
13 44 541 109 37
14 32 491 809 37

15 30 514 29 35
16 16 371 245 42
17 29 457 118 21
18 36 437 148 81
19 30 570 387 31
20 23 432 98 50
21 33 619 608 24
22 35 357 218 27
23 38 623 254 22
24 44 547 697 18
25 28 792 827 23
26 35 799 693 60
27 31 439 448 14
28 39 867 942 31
29 27 912 1017 24
30 36 462 216 23
X4 SUMMARY OUTPUT

% of people 25
years+
with at least 4
years of college

20 Regression Statistics
18 Multiple R 0.593048137078
16 R Square 0.351706092891
Adjusted R
19 Square 0.247979067754
24 Standard Error 8.244794814422
15 Observations 30
14
11
12 ANOVA
15 df SS
9 Regression 4 921.9506283686
36 Residual 25 1699.416038298
12 Total 29 2621.366666667
16

11 Coefficients Standard Error


14 Intercept 24.0072 6.6001
10 X1 0.0270 0.0129
27 X2 -0.0106 0.0072
16 X3 -0.4100 0.1339
15 X4 0.8935 0.3639
8
13
11
8
11
18
12
10
9
8
MS F Significance F
230.4876570922 3.390689094 0.0239467974
67.97664153192

Upper Lower Upper


t Stat P-value Lower 95% 95% 95.0% 95.0%
3.6374 0.0012 10.414 37.6004 10.414 37.600
2.0824 0.0477 0.0003 0.0536 0.000 0.054
-1.4656 0.1552 -0.0255 0.0043 -0.026 0.004
-3.0615 0.0052 -0.6859 -0.1342 -0.686 -0.134
2.4551 0.0214 0.1440 1.6431 0.144 1.643

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