Global Wealth Report 2021 en
Global Wealth Report 2021 en
Global Wealth Report 2021 en
Research
Institute
Global wealth report 2021
Thought leadership from Credit Suisse and the world’s foremost experts
Introduction
António Horta-Osório
Chairman of the Board of Directors
Credit Suisse Group AG
2
02 Editorial
35 Country experiences
Richard Kersley
Cover photo: Getty Images, Onfokus; photo right: Getty Images, Niccolo Guasti
Nannette Hechler-Fayd’herbe
Chief Investment Officer International Wealth Management
and Global Head of Economics & Research
Credit Suisse AG
nannette.hechler-fayd’herbe@credit-suisse.com
Now in its twelfth edition, the Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report is the
most comprehensive and up-to-date source of information on global
household wealth. Wealth creation in 2020 was largely immune to the
challenges facing the world due to the actions taken by governments and
central banks to mitigate the economic impact of COVID-19. Total global
wealth grew by 7.4% and wealth per adult rose by 6% to reach another
record high of USD 79,952. Overall, the countries most affected by the
pandemic have not fared worse in terms of wealth creation.
6
Compared to the overall trend since 2000, An overview of 2020
wealth growth in 2020 is slightly below average.
But is not dissimilar to the growth achieved in Table 1 summarizes the main features of wealth
2001, 2009, 2011 and 2018. In short, there is growth during 2020. Aggregate global wealth
nothing in the chart to suggest that the economic rose by USD 28.7 trillion to reach USD 418.3
upheaval in 2020 bore any resemblance to that trillion at the end of the year. In terms of current
experienced in 2008. Household wealth appears US dollars, total wealth grew by 7.4% and wealth
to have simply continued on its way, paying little per adult was up 6.0%. However, widespread
or no attention to the economic turmoil that depreciation of the US dollar accounted for 3.3
should have hampered progress. percentage points of the growth. If exchange
rates had remained the same as in 2019, total
wealth would have grown by 4.1% and wealth
per adult by 2.7%. Wealth per adult reached a
new record high in 2020 of USD 79,952. For
comparison, global average wealth in the year
2000 was USD 31,378. So, without making
allowance for inflation, average wealth is now 2.5
times its value at the start of the century.
The contrast between
The regional breakdown shows that total wealth
what has happened to rose by USD 12.4 trillion in North America and
by USD 9.2 trillion in Europe. These two regions
household wealth and accounted for the bulk of the wealth gains in
2020, with China adding another USD 4.2 trillion
what is happening in and the Asia-Pacific region (excluding China
and India) another USD 4.7 trillion. Total wealth
the wider economy can scarcely changed in Africa, and exchange rate
appreciation accounted for what little change
never have been more there was. India and Latin America both recorded
losses in 2020. Total wealth fell in India by USD
stark 594 billion, or 4.4% in percentage terms. This
loss was amplified by exchange rate depreciation:
at fixed exchange rates, the loss would have
been 2.1%. Latin America appears to have been
the worst-performing region, with total wealth
dropping by 11.4% or USD 1.2 trillion. With the
major economies stricken by the pandemic, this
would not have come as a surprise.
Africa 4,946 36 0.7 7,371 –2.1 –24 –1.0 26 0.9 –34 –8.5
Asia-Pacific 75,277 4,694 6.7 60,790 5.0 2,974 7.4 2,549 6.4 829 8.9
China 74,884 4,246 6.0 67,771 5.4 3,389 10.2 1,912 4.3 1,055 15.3
Europe 103,213 9,179 9.8 174,836 9.8 6,648 14.0 3,969 6.6 1,438 10.3
India 12,833 –594 –4.4 14,252 –6.1 119 3.8 –782 –6.8 –70 –5.8
Latin America 10,872 –1,215 –10.1 24,301 –11.4 –655 –11.1 –796 –10.5 –236 –17.0
North America 136,316 12,370 10.0 486,930 9.1 10,037 10.0 3,145 7.7 812 4.7
World 418,342 28,716 7.4 79,952 6.0 22,486 9.7 10,023 4.8 3,794 7.5
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
Overall, financial assets accounted for most House prices are less volatile than share prices,
of the gain in total wealth as they have done and significant year-on-year drops are relatively
in most years since the financial crisis. The uncommon. For much of the year, housing
increase of USD 22.5 trillion was slightly over markets were in limbo, with reduced activity
double the USD 10.0 trillion rise in non-financial from both buyers and sellers. Windfalls from
assets. A rough 2-to-1 split is also evident in unplanned savings and weariness from working
the regional breakdowns for North America, from home in confined spaces led buyers
Europe and China, but the contributions were
roughly equal in the Asia-Pacific region. Total
debts increased by 7.5% and would likely have
increased much more if households had not
been obliged to save more by the constraints
on spending. Total debt rose markedly in China Figure 2: Percentage change in USD exchange rate,
and Europe, but declined in Africa and in Latin share prices and house prices, 2020
America, even after allowance is made for
exchange rate depreciation. Canada
France
Turning attention to individual countries,
Germany
it is worth looking first at the factors that
usually account for much of the change in India
household wealth measured in USD units:
Italy
asset prices and exchange rates. Exchange
rate fluctuations are often the source of the Japan
biggest gains and losses, and it is already
Russia
evident that USD depreciation had a significant
impact on the outcome for 2020. Among the United Kingdom
countries covered in Figure 2 (G7 countries United States
plus China, India and Russia), the Eurozone
countries gained the most (9.2%). But China -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25
and Japan also appreciated by more than 5%.
USD exchange rate Share prices House prices
The only substantial depreciation occurred in
Russia (down 16.2%). Elsewhere, currency Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth
appreciation in Egypt, Switzerland, Australia, Databook 2021
8
to surface during the second half of 2020, trillion), Japan (USD 1.8 trillion) and the United
encouraged also by the low interest rates on Kingdom (USD 1.1 trillion). Losses were less
offer. The net result was a better-than-average common, with only six countries recording drops
year for home owners in most countries. House of more than USD 100 billion. Only India (down
prices moved ahead in the United States by USD 594 billion) and Brazil (down USD 839
10.8%, one of the fastest rates on record. billion) lost more than USD 500 billion.
They rose even more in Russia (up 22%) and
Turkey (up 31%), although these gains should
be set against the high currency depreciation in
both countries. Elsewhere, house prices rose
robustly in Austria, Canada, Czechia, Denmark,
Germany, Poland and Sweden, all of which
recorded increases between 8% and 11%.
Figure 3 shows that house prices also rose in
China, Japan, Italy and the United Kingdom, Household wealth
but never by more than 5%. They were broadly
representative of the other countries for which has been extremely
we have house price data.
resilient to the adverse
Leaders and laggards among countries economic conditions
Given the prevailing economic conditions,
countries were not expected to record large
increases in household wealth. However, the
confluence of rising asset prices and currency
appreciation has resulted in many substantial
gains. In terms of total wealth, we have come The change in wealth per adult is a better guide
to expect the United States to head the list, and to the comparative performances of different
it does so again. But the size of the increase countries. Figure 3 lists the countries where
is a surprise: USD 11.4 trillion was added to wealth per adult – measured in current US
the global wealth stock. This is well above the dollars – has risen most. Switzerland (up USD
contribution of second-placed China (USD 4.2 70,729) and Australia (up USD 65,695) top the
trillion). It is even higher than the combined list. Belgium and Sweden also gained more than
contributions of China, Germany (USD 2.8 USD 50,000, and Germany, the Netherlands
and the United States more than USD 40,000
each. Asset price rises played a role in some of
these countries, most notably the United States.
But currency appreciation is the main explanation
for most of these increases in average wealth.
Figure 3: Change in wealth per adult (USD), 2020: Unexpectedly, given the circumstances, few
Biggest gains and losses countries suffered a loss of wealth in 2020, and
the losses that did occur were quite modest.
Switzerland Currency depreciation caused wealth per adult to
Australia fall in Brazil, Chile and Russia, but by less than
Sweden USD 10,000. Our estimates suggest that the
Belgium United Arab Emirates (down USD 18,540) and
Netherlands Hong Kong SAR (down USD 26,419) suffered
USA
the greatest losses.
Germany
Denmark
Canada
Austria Wealth growth versus GDP growth
In a normal year, household wealth growth Figure 4: Growth of household wealth relative to GDP 2020 (%)
would be expected to move roughly in line Dashed line indicates no change in household wealth in 2020 in
with GDP growth, so that the points would domestic currencies
be scattered around the horizontal axis, or
perhaps slightly above the horizontal axis 20
Household wealth - GDP growth
10
Wealth per adult across countries Asia-Pacific region (excluding China and India) is
similar to its share of adults, and the same is true
Turning to the broader distribution of wealth for China. However, the adult population share
across countries and regions, the huge disparity is three times the wealth share in Latin America,
in average wealth levels is well illustrated by five times the wealth share in India, and over ten
the World Wealth Map (Figure 5). Nations with times the wealth share in Africa.
high wealth per adult (above USD 100,000) are
located in North America, Western Europe, and Among the 60 countries with the highest total
among the richer parts of East Asia, the Pacific wealth, the ranking of the top 20 countries
and the Middle East, with a sprinkling of outposts by mean and median wealth is given in Table
in the Caribbean. China and Russia are the core 2. Other countries such as Liechtenstein and
members of the “intermediate wealth” group of Monaco likely have very high average wealth, but
countries with mean wealth in the range of USD we lack the evidence to make judgements with
25,000–100,000. This group also includes more confidence. As usual, Switzerland heads the list
recent members of the European Union and with wealth per adult of USD 673,960, up USD
important emerging-market economies in Latin 70,730 on the year.
America and the Middle East. One step below,
the “frontier wealth” range of USD 5,000– A relentless series of gains by the United States
25,000 per adult is a heterogeneous group that (USD 505,420, up USD 41,870) have now
covers heavily populated countries such as India, pushed Hong Kong SAR (USD 503,340, down
Indonesia, Iran and the Philippines, plus most of USD 26,420) into third place, with Australia
Latin America and leading sub-Saharan nations (USD 483,760, up 65,700) close behind. There
such as South Africa. Fast-developing Asian is then a substantial gap until the cluster of the
countries like Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam also Netherlands, Denmark, Belgium, New Zealand,
fall within this category. Countries with average Sweden, Singapore and Canada appears with
wealth below USD 5,000 comprise the final wealth per adult in the range of USD 330,000
group, into which most of central Africa falls. to USD 380,000. Average wealth rose in 2020
in each of the top 20 countries listed, apart from
The overall regional disparities evident in Figure Hong Kong SAR.
5 are reflected in the fact that North America
and Europe together account for 57% of total Ranking countries by median wealth per adult
household wealth, but contain only 17% of the favors those with lower levels of wealth inequality
world adult population. The wealth share in the and results in a different list. Switzerland (USD
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
Rank Country Mean wealth per adult (USD) Country Median wealth per adult (USD)
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
146,730, up USD 14,090) places sixth by this the wealth of those with a higher share of
criterion. The United States (USD 79,274, equities among their assets, e.g. late middle-age
up USD 10,157) disappears from the table individuals, men, and wealthier groups in general.
altogether, ranking 23rd overall. The top places However, those who had invested heavily in the
are occupied by Australia (USD 238,070, up industries worst affected – such as bricks and
32,280), closely followed by Belgium (USD mortar, retail, hospitality or airlines – would have
230,550, up USD 35,330). Hong Kong SAR lost ground. Home owners in most markets,
retains third place, and New Zealand, Denmark on the other hand, have seen capital gains due
and the Netherlands are also little affected. to rising house prices. The Knight Frank global
France, the United Kingdom and Canada are house price index indicates that, across 56
promoted into the top ten, replacing Sweden and countries, house prices rose by an average of
Singapore, which each drop about ten places. 5.6% in 2020, the fastest pace for three years,
although there was some variation, with India
and Spain seeing small declines.
The impact on women, minorities and the
millennials There have been large differences in income
shocks during the pandemic. In many high-
Wealth impacts of the pandemic have differed income countries the loss of labor or business
among population subgroups due to two main income was softened by emergency benefits
factors: portfolio composition and income and employment policies. In some high-income
shocks. Although stock markets struggled in countries, this assistance was so generous that
some countries like the United Kingdom, they disposable personal income rose overall – by
performed well in most countries after their 0.8% for 2020 versus 2019 in Germany, by
initial dive in March 2020. This tends to boost 2.3% in Canada, and by 7.2% in the United
12
States, for example. Similar interventions were the European Union from 5.8% of disposable
attempted in some other countries, but many income in 2019 to 12.57% in 2020. Globally,
middle-income countries and most low-income Moody's Analytics estimates that excess saving
countries lacked the means to offset income due to the pandemic totaled USD 5.4 trillion.
shocks strongly. This lack has become a more
serious problem in parts of Africa and Asia in
2021, as the pandemic intensified in countries
like India where it had previously been relatively
mild. The absence of income support in these
countries has especially affected vulnerable
groups like women, minorities and young people,
no doubt generating wealth shocks.
The reduction
So far, there is little data on the distribution of
income shocks within countries, although some in consumption
aspects are evident. The pattern of shocks to
labor earnings can be gauged to some extent opportunities due to
from unemployment data. Effects have varied
considerably across countries: high in North lockdowns, combined
America; low in much, but not all, of Europe and
Latin America; high in India; and low in China, with income-support
for example. In many countries, unemployment
peaked in April 2020, tripling in India to 24% programs, led to a
and quadrupling in the United States to 14.8%
compared with pre-pandemic levels. In contrast, rise in saving for many
over the same interval, unemployment rose
only from 3.3% to 4.2% in Germany and from people
5.3% to 6.0% in urban China. After April 2020,
unemployment began to fall gradually in many
countries and, by the end of 2020, it was below
its spring peak in most countries. For the 27
countries of the OECD as a whole, for instance,
the unemployment rate in December 2020 was
6.5% versus 5.3% a year earlier. Female workers initially suffered disproportionately
from the pandemic, partly because of their high
Looking across subgroups, the differential job representation in businesses and industries badly
impact of the pandemic shows up in features affected by the pandemic, such as restaurants,
common across countries. Female and hotels, personal service and retail. The International
young workers fared particularly poorly. For Labor Office reports that, before the pandemic,
example, while the overall number of people 40% of female workers globally were employed
employed in the United States fell by 13.0% in industries destined to be worst affected, while
between February and May 2020, the drop 36.6% of men were in those industries. The results
for workers aged less than 35 was 17.1%. were evident in labor force statistics at the start
Recent employment data by education level of the pandemic. For the OECD as a whole, for
are readily available for only a few countries, example, the female unemployment rate rose from
but there it shows that a greater proportion of 5.6% in Q4 2019 to 9.3% in Q2 2020, widening
the less educated lost their jobs. In Canada, for the gap with men, whose unemployment rate rose
example, between February and May 2020, less, from 5.3% to 8.5%. By Q4 2020, however,
employment of workers who did not graduate the female unemployment rate was down to 7.2%,
from high school fell 17.1%, while employment while the male rate was 7.0%, giving a gender
fell 14.7% for high school graduates and only difference similar to the pre-pandemic gap. Some
5.6% for university graduates. In the absence of significant differences in the patterns are evident
emergency benefits, those losing their jobs are across countries. In the United States, for example,
likely to run down their liquid assets or take on while female unemployment rose more than male
more debt, so that women, the young and the unemployment at the start of the pandemic, the
less educated would see a differential reduction female unemployment rate was down to 6.7% by
in wealth. In countries with strong emergency Q4 2020, compared to 7.1% for men. In the euro
benefits, however, this has not necessarily area, unemployment rose a little faster for men
been the case. The reduction in consumption than for women at the beginning of the pandemic,
opportunities due to lockdowns, combined with but, by Q4 2020, the 0.6 percentage-point gap
income-support programs, led to a rise in saving between female unemployment, at 8.4%, and male
for many people. As a result, household net unemployment, at 7.8%, was the same as the Q4
saving rates rose in OECD countries, e.g. in 2019 gap.
14
over the past year, vast numbers of individuals are Our estimates for past years are regularly
simultaneously subjected to an adverse shock, updated when new or revised data from
the importance of household wealth is difficult to reliable sources become available. We also
exaggerate. Countries with low wealth have been strive continuously to improve the methods
more exposed to the negative consequences of used to estimate the level and distribution of
COVID-19. Individuals with low wealth have had household wealth. The Credit Suisse Global
fewer options when facing emergency situations. Wealth Databook 2021 provides details of the
In short, household wealth has played a crucial role data sources and outlines the research methods
in determining the resilience of both nations and underpinning our results. It also contains much
individuals to the shocks caused by the pandemic. additional data.
Figure 1: The global wealth pyramid 2020 Distribution of wealth across individuals
< USD 10,000 USD 5.5 trn (1.3%) The wealth pyramid in Figure 1 summarizes
2,879 m
(55.0%) the distribution of wealth among all global
Wealth Total wealth
range (% of world) adults. The large base of low-wealth
holders underpins higher tiers occupied by
progressively fewer adults. We estimate that
Number of adults (% of world adults) 2.9 billion individuals – 55% of all adults in
the world – had wealth below USD 10,000 in
2020. The next segment, covering those with
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth
Databook 2021 wealth in the range of USD 10,000–100,000,
has seen the biggest rise in numbers this
century, more than trebling in size from
507 million in 2000 to 1.7 billion in mid-
2020. This reflects the growing prosperity
of emerging economies, especially China,
and the expansion of the middle class in the
than 1% of all
adults are increasingly dominant in terms of
total wealth ownership and their share of global
dollar millionaires
in 2000 to USD 191.6 trillion in 2020, and their
share of global wealth has risen from 35% to
46% over the same period.
18
Figure 2a: Regional composition of global wealth distribution concentration of African and Indian citizens in
in 2000 the base segment of the wealth pyramid, the
100%
dominance of China in the middle tiers and
Latin America
North America the substantial over-representation of North
90%
America and Europe in the top percentile.
80% Africa Also evident is the sizeable number of North
70% American and European residents in the
bottom global wealth decile, a reflection of
60% China
the ease with which individuals – especially
50% Europe younger adults – acquire debt in advanced
40% India economies, resulting in negative net wealth.
30% Note too, that while the bulk of Indian citizens
are located in the bottom half of the global
20%
distribution, significant numbers of Indian
10% Asia-Pacific
citizens also occupy the top wealth echelons.
0% This is less true for Africa.
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 99 100
Percentile The most notable feature of Figure 2 is the
prominence of China in the central section
of the charts. In 2020, China was firmly
Figure 2b: Regional composition of global wealth distribution centered in the middle, with the bulk of
in 2020 its citizens occupying global deciles 4–8.
However, China’s exceptional rate of wealth
100%
Latin America North America growth has moved the country profile to the
90% right over time, displacing the countries and
80% Africa regions with less-vigorous growth records.
70% As the comparison of Figures 2a and 2b
60% Europe shows, China has squeezed out members of
China the top decile and top 5% previously residing
50%
India
in Europe, in particular, and North America
40% to a lesser degree. These ex-members of
30% the top decile were simply overtaken by their
20% counterparts in China.
10% Asia-Pacific
0% High net worth individuals by country
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 99 100
Percentile
We now turn to a more detailed analysis of the
upper echelons of wealth holders, beginning
with the number of dollar millionaires in
individual countries. For any given country,
Figure 3: Number of dollar millionaires (% of world total)
the number depends on three factors: the size
by country 2020
of the adult population, average wealth and
wealth inequality. The United States scores
Switzerland, 2 India, 1 highly on all three criteria and has by far the
Netherlands, 2 Taiwan (Chinese Taipei), 1 greatest number of millionaires: 22.0 million,
Korea, 2 Sweden, 1 or 39.1% of the world total (Figure 3). This
Spain, 2
is far ahead of China, which is in second
place with 9.4% of all global millionaires. The
Italy, 3
Canada, 3 percentage in third-placed Japan (6.6%) has
Australia, 3 steadily eroded over the years and its position
United States, 39 is now threatened by Germany (5.3%). Next
France, 4
come the United Kingdom (4.4%), France
United Kingdom, 4 (4.4%), Australia (3.2), Canada (3.0%) and
Italy (2.6%). Spain, Korea, the Netherlands
Germany, 5 and Switzerland each host around 2% of
global millionaires, with India and Taiwan
Japan, 7
(Chinese Taipei) adding another 1% each,
China, 9
Rest of World, 11 along with Sweden, which has met the 1%
threshold for the first time, replacing Hong
Kong SAR.
Source Figures 2 and 3: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
Main gains Adults (thousand) with wealth above USD 1 m Main losses Adults (thousand) with wealth above USD 1 m
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
20
Table 2: Density of millionaires 2000–20, selected countries Netherlands, Denmark or Sweden (around
6%). But millionaire density is higher still in
the United States or Hong Kong SAR (above
Percentage of millionaires 8%), Australia (9%), and highest of all in
Country 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Switzerland (15%). As before, we disregard
countries like Monaco, for which we have no
Switzerland 3.6 5.7 9 8.9 14.9
firm evidence, but where millionaire density
Australia 0.8 2.9 6.4 5.7 9.4 could well be even higher.
United States 3.8 5.3 5.8 7 8.8
Hong Kong SAR 2.3 2.1 3.4 5.8 8.3 Note that our estimates of the numbers of
USD millionaires are sometimes much higher
Netherlands 2.1 4.6 4 3.8 7.7
than those given in other wealth reports.
Sweden 0.8 2 4.6 4.7 7.3 We believe our estimates are more accurate
Denmark 1 2.4 3.6 3.4 6.7 because they derive from the application of
New Zealand 0.7 2.4 3.2 4.9 6.3 standard statistical techniques to solid data
from reliable sources.
Belgium 1.2 2.7 4.2 3.4 5.7
Canada 1.2 2.2 3.9 3.5 5.6
One reason why other wealth reports report
Singapore 1.1 1.4 3.3 3.1 5.5 lower numbers is that they cover only “investable
Ireland 1.4 3.5 3.3 3.5 5 assets,” which disregard owner-occupied homes.
France 0.9 2.4 4.6 3.3 4.9
We use a comprehensive definition of net worth
that encompasses both financial assets and
Austria 1.7 3 4.2 2.7 4.8
non-financial assets together with debts (but not
United Kingdom 1.7 3.3 3 4.2 4.7 “human capital”).
Germany 1 1.8 2.5 2.5 4.3
Norway 1.2 2.9 4.1 3.2 4.2 Second, our estimates are firmly founded on the
household balance sheets produced by national
Japan 2.4 2 3.7 2.2 3.5
statistical agencies. These aim to provide a
Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) 0.7 1 1.6 2.2 3.1 comprehensive coverage of the assets that
Spain 0.5 2 2.7 1.8 3 people would recognize as part of their personal
Italy 0.9 2 2.9 2.5 3 wealth: dwellings, land, savings, investments,
Korea 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.5
etc. But they also generally cover the market
value of pension funds assembled for the
China 0 0 0.1 0.3 0.5
purpose of paying current and future pensions
Mexico 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 to those enrolled in occupational pension
Russia 0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 schemes. This is a significant component of
Indonesia 0 0 0 0.1 0.1 household financial assets overall, and one that
people may tend to overlook.
India 0 0 0 0.1 0.1
Ultra high net worth individuals The United States was the country that gained
the most members (21,313). Along with
Further examination of the UHNW group at China, UHNW membership increased by more
end-2020 reveals 68,010 adults with wealth than a thousand in Germany (1,630), Japan
above USD 100 million, of which 5,332 are (1,580), the United Kingdom (1,400) and Korea
worth more than USD 500 million. The regional (1,010). Reductions in UHNW individuals were
breakdown of the UHNW group as a whole is uncommon and relatively small, with the biggest
dominated by North America with 114,380 falls occurring in Greece (down 110) and Hong
members (53%), while Europe has 38,110 Kong SAR (down 194).
(18%), and 28,130
22
Figure 5: Ultra high net worth individuals in 2020, top 20 countries
United States
China
Germany
United Kingdom
Japan
India
France
Canada
Italy
Switzerland
Australia
Korea
Russia
Hong Kong SAR
Taiwan (Chinese Taipei)
Spain
Sweden
Brazil
Singapore
Netherlands
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
The DFA show a share of 31.1% for the top 1% In most countries, wealth inequality declined
of households at the end of 2019, falling to 31.0% in the early years of the century, reflecting a
at the end of March 2020, and then gradually rising rise in the importance of non-financial assets,
to reach 31.4% at the end of 2020. These trends which tend to be distributed more evenly than
reflect the short, sharp drop of the stock market financial assets. China and India are two notable
in Q1 2020 and its subsequent strong recovery. exceptions, recording a strong upward inequality
The bottom 50% of families in the United States trend from 2000 to 2010. After the financial
actually saw a gradual rise in their small share of crisis, robust growth in financial assets caused
wealth from 1.8% at the end of 2019 to 2.0% at wealth inequality to rise at a fast pace in most
the end of 2020. Those between the 50th and countries until 2015, when it began to level out.
99th percentiles lost 0.5% of aggregate household The trends shown by the top wealth shares and
wealth. Note that the small rise estimated for the Gini coefficient are broadly consistent in this
the bottom half of the distribution overestimates respect. For the countries covered in Table 3,
the true figure because of mobility effects on the the wealth Gini in 2019 was above the 2000
membership of the “bottom half”: those who gained level in all countries except Germany and Japan,
wealth are more likely to move out of the bottom and the share of the top 1% in 2019 was similar
half; those who lose wealth are more likely to join. to or above the 2000 level everywhere bar
France, Italy and Japan.
Changes of this magnitude in the lower half
of the distribution have little impact on Gini For the countries listed in Table 3, the wealth
coefficient values and even less impact on Gini rose everywhere during 2020 bar the United
the shares of the top wealth groups. Table 3 States, where it declined marginally. Except for
summarizes our assessment of what happened France and Germany, the wealth share of the top
to wealth inequality in 2020 within selected 1% also increased, but remains at or below the
countries, placed in the context of wealth typical 35% share in all developed countries among
inequality trends this century. those listed. Thus the evidence points to widespread
rises in wealth inequality within countries during
By any standard, wealth inequality is high in all the pandemic year. However, the rise in wealth
countries and exceptionally high in some. As inequality was likely not caused by the pandemic
a rough guide, typical values would be 35% itself, nor its direct economic impacts, but was
for the share of the top 1% and 65% for the instead a consequence of actions undertaken to
share of the top 10%. A Gini value of 70 would mitigate its impact, primarily lower interest rates.
2000 2005 2010 2015 2019 2020 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019 2020
Brazil 84.7 82.8 82.2 88.7 88.2 89 44.2 45.1 40.5 48.6 46.9 49.6
China 59.9 63.6 69.8 71.1 69.7 70.4 20.9 24.3 31.4 31.5 29 30.6
France 69.7 67 69.9 70 69.9 70 25.7 21.1 21.1 22.5 22.4 22.1
Germany 81.2 82.7 77.5 79.3 77.9 77.9 29.3 30.5 25.9 32.3 29.4 29.1
India 74.7 81 82.1 83.3 82 82.3 33.5 42.2 41.6 42.5 39.5 40.5
Italy 60.1 59.5 63 67.1 66.4 66.5 22.1 18.3 17.3 22.8 21.8 22.2
Japan 64.7 63.2 62.5 63.5 64.2 64.4 20.6 19.1 16.9 18.2 17.8 18.2
Russia 84.7 87.2 90 89.5 87.3 87.8 54.3 60.3 62.6 63 57.1 58.2
United Kingdom 70.7 67.7 69.2 73.1 71.4 71.7 22.5 20.8 23.8 25.2 22.4 23.1
United States 80.6 81.1 84 84.9 85.1 85 32.8 32.7 33.3 34.9 35 35.3
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
24
Global wealth inequality During the early part of this century, a decline
in the within-country component reinforced the
Our dataset provides a unique opportunity to decline in the between-country component,
construct the distribution of wealth for the leading to a pronounced drop in global inequality.
whole world. From this, we estimate that the The share of the top 10% fell from 88.7% to
bottom 50% of adults in the global wealth 84.3% between 2000 and 2008, the share
distribution together accounted for less than of the top 1% from 48.3% to 42.7%, and the
1% of total global wealth at the end of 2020. Gini from 91.9 to 89.6. From 2009 onward,
In contrast, the richest decile (top 10% of the different inequality measures give different
adults) owns 82% of global wealth and the top verdicts, reflecting the weight given to different
percentile alone has nearly half (45%) of all parts of the distribution. The share of the
household assets. top 10% and the Gini coefficient continued
downward, recording 80.9% and 88.2%,
The trend over time in global economic wealth respectively, at the end of 2019. However, the
inequality is the outcome of two underlying wealth share of the global top 1% moved up
factors. Global inequality rises or falls in over this period, reaching 43.8% in 2019.
response to changes in wealth inequality
within countries: the so-called “within-country” Regarding what happened in 2020, the verdict
component. But it is also affected by changes is unanimous. The indices all agree that global
in the average wealth levels in countries wealth inequality rose in 2020 by a substantial
relative to the global average: the “between- amount: the share of the top 10% increased
country” component. This century, the rise of by 0.9 percentage points, the share of the top
household wealth in emerging markets, most 1% by 1.1 percentage points, and the Gini by
notably China and India, has narrowed wealth 0.6 points. Furthermore, with a single exception
differences between countries, so that the – the share of the top 1% in 2014 – the
between-country component has declined inequality rise in 2020 was significantly greater
quite rapidly. This has been the dominant than that recorded in any year this century. Of
factor governing the overall downward course, as on previous occasions, this rise may
inequality trend evident in Figure 6. However, be temporary. In particular, the exit from current
its influence has waned as average wealth in monetary policy in the months and years to
China has become closer to average global come may well reverse part or all of the rises
wealth and may change direction if wealth per seen in 2020.
adult in China overtakes the global mean.
Summary
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth
Databook 2021
Global wealth is projected to rise by 39% over the next five years,
reaching USD 583 trillion by 2025. Low- and middle-income countries are
responsible for 42% of the growth, although they account for just 33% of
current wealth. Wealth per adult is projected to increase by 31%, passing
the watershed mark of USD 100,000. The number of millionaires will also
grow markedly over the next five years, reaching 84 million, while the
number of UHNWIs should reach 344,000.
October 2019 October 2020 April 2021 The consensus now is that the world can expect
robust GDP growth in the coming years, and
especially in 2021. The latest estimates by the
Source: Estimates by the International Monetary Fund IMF in April 2021 suggest that global GDP in
2021 will total USD 93.9 trillion, just USD 1.5
trillion below the pre-pandemic forecast, and
that the shortfall will narrow to USD 0.7 trillion
by 2024. Growth in 2021 alone is predicted to
share of emerging
our results for 2020 bear witness. There is
less agreement here on what the future has
economies more
in store. However, with current values above
trend in many countries, most notably the
9.3% to 30.3%
will rise more slowly in the immediate future.
The pattern of wealth distribution may also
change, but whether wealth differentials will
widen or narrow is not easy to foresee. In short,
there are many factors that will determine the
difference between our wealth projections and
the eventual outcomes.
28
We believe the below-par performance in 2020
was a one-off event. Emerging economies
should regain momentum after this setback and
wealth should grow faster than in developed
markets over the next five years. Household
wealth is projected to grow at an average annual
rate of 9.7% in low- and low-middle-income
countries, and 9.4% in upper-middle-income
countries, compared to 5.8% in high-income The bulk of the wealth
nations. As a consequence, emerging economies
will account for 41.7% of the increase in gain by emerging
household wealth over the 5-year period and
their share of total global wealth will rise from economies can be
28.9% to 32.5% (see Figure 3).
traced to its two largest
The bulk of the wealth gain by emerging
economies can be traced to its two largest economies: China and
economies: China and India. We expect wealth
in India to grow very rapidly once the pandemic India
comes under control and memory fades of the
decline in 2020. We predict growth of 59.0%
over five years, raising wealth per adult to USD
20,880.
Figure 4: Total wealth in the United States, 1900–2025, and relative position of selected economies
(USD trillion, constant prices)
160
140
China 2025
120
China 2020
100
United Kingdom 2020
United Kingdom 2025
80
LATAM 2025
India 2025
60
LATAM 2020
India 2020
Eurozone 2025
China 2000
40
Eurozone 2020
20
0
1900
1905
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
30
Figure 5: Evolution of global wealth per adult by component The contrast between India and the United
Kingdom is interesting. Total wealth in the United
70,000 Kingdom currently corresponds to that of the
United States in 1959. It is expected to reach
60,000 USD 17.7 trillion in 2025, an improvement of
only three “USA years,” reflecting the likely effect
50,000 of Brexit and the COVID-19 pandemic on the
economy. As a consequence, we expect total
household wealth in India to overtake that of its
40,000
former colonial ruler within the next five years.
Fast recovery in Latin America in the aftermath
30,000 of the economic slowdown and the wealth
decline seen in 2020 lead us to predict that total
20,000 wealth in Latin America will be almost USD 14.5
trillion in real terms in 2025, a gain equivalent to
10,000 nine “US years” of growth starting in 1948.
0
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 The components of wealth
Financial assets Real assets Debts
Although global financial wealth has exceeded
Source: Original estimates by authors global non-financial wealth in every year this
century except 2008 (see Figure 5), financial
wealth has grown at a slower rate. While the
latter suffered badly during the financial crisis,
and again during the first quarter of 2020,
financial assets recovered quickly afterward and
Figure 6: Change in adult numbers (millions) by wealth grew faster than non-financial assets for 2020
segment and income group as a whole.
The number of
Belgium 515 786 271 52.6
Denmark 307 560 253 82.4
32
underperform Africa, where the number of More than half of all UHNWIs currently reside
millionaires is likely to increase by 75% to reach in North America, while countries in the APAC
483,000 in 2025. region (Asia-Pacific, including China and India)
are home to more than 57,000. This is already
considerably more than the roughly 38,000 living
Ultra high net worth individuals in Europe, and this difference in favor of APAC
should increase further. By 2025, the APAC
The number of Ultra High Net Worth Individuals region will likely host another 42,000 UHNWIs,
(UHNWI) is expected to speed up as increasing reaching a total of nearly 99,000, of whom
numbers of individuals pass the USD 50 million 57% will be from China. While Latin America
threshold. We envisage this number increasing accounts for 9% of global adults, only 2% of
by more than 25,000 each year on average, global UHNWIs reside in the region. Given the
adding 129,000 over five years, a rise of 60% projected modest performance of the larger
(Figure 7). countries in the region, we expect this trend
to continue and the region to add only 3,000
UHNWIs in the next five years.
Figure 7: Numbers of ultra high net worth individuals by region: 2020 and 2025
2025
America
North
2020
2025
Europe
2020
2025
China
2020
2025
Pacific
Asia-
2020
2025
India
2020
2025
America
Latin
2020
2025
Africa
2020
The COVID-19 pandemic made 2020 an exceptional year. For this reason,
it seemed appropriate to depart from our usual practice of providing
country pages that summarize wealth evolution and wealth distribution
in a number of key countries, and instead try to better capture the range
of experiences that have been seen around the world. This is done by
comparing the health challenges posed by the pandemic, the economic
impacts, the responses of governments and central banks, and the
consequences for household wealth for country groupings, which are
broadly representative of experiences around the world.
The selection of countries is constrained by the As regards the implications for household
availability of reliable data. For the most part, we wealth, the determining factor has not been
confine attention to countries that have official the scale of the health crisis, but the extent
balance sheet data. Most of these countries have to which governments have intervened to limit
reported figures for the total financial wealth of the economic consequences for employment
households at the end of 2020, and sometimes and household finances, and the extent to
total non-financial wealth as well. Typically, the which central banks have promoted relaxed
same nations have share price and house price credit facilities. In general, these interventions
series covering the whole of 2020 and beyond, have been confined to the richer nations. On
which helps to fill any gaps. However, some the whole, the actions have been well targeted
countries do not meet our highest standards. and highly successful in the short run, most
Brazil is one example, but it is difficult to describe especially among the groups that have benefited
the experiences of Latin America during the from the share price and house price rises
pandemic year without reference to its largest fostered by those interventions. However, the
economy. Even less is known about Nigeria, massive rise in public debt in those countries
but in the absence of an obvious alternative, we may well prompt remedial action, which could
chose it to partner South Africa. dampen wealth prospects in future.
The COVID-19 pandemic hit North America hard. Until its Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
successful vaccination drive in 2021, the United States was February 2020 – May 2021
one of the most badly affected countries in health terms.
80
Canada fared better than the United States in 2020, but its
recovery in 2021 was slower than the USA. 70
60
The economic effects of the pandemic were severe in both
the United States and Canada. In Q2 2020, real GDP fell 50
by 9.0% in the United States and by 11.3% in Canada. 40
Although GDP recovered somewhat in the summer in
30
both countries, it was still significantly lower in 2020 as a
whole than in 2019 – by 3.5% in the United States and by 20
5.4% in Canada. Unemployment increased sharply, from 10
a pre-pandemic 3.7% in the United States and 5.7% in
0
Canada to 13.1% in both countries in Q2 2020 before
Mar
May
Oct
Nov
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Apr
Dec
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
falling to 6.8% in the United States and 8.8% in Canada
during Q4 2020. Impacts were cushioned by generous Canada United States World
relief payments, loans to business and other public
assistance; and while stock markets in both countries Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
crashed in February-March, they recovered steadily. As
a result of these trends, real disposable personal income
rose in 2020: by 1.5% in Canada and 6.0% in the United
States. On the other hand, private consumption fell, so In current dollars, wealth per adult was USD 215,146 in
that households engaged in “excess saving,” amounting to the United States in the year 2000 and USD 114,618 in
USD 1.6 trillion in the United States according to recent Canada. It rose in both countries until 2006, before falling
estimates. At the same time, public debt rose markedly in 2008 due to the global financial crisis – by 13.9% in the
as a percentage of GDP during 2020: from 86.8% to United States and 22.9% in Canada. Wealth per adult had
117.8% in Canada, and from 108.2% to 127.1% in the recovered to its pre-crisis level by 2010 in Canada and by
United States. 2013 in the United States. At the end of 2020, it stood
38.8% above its 2007 level in Canada and 61.4% above
the 2007 figure in the United States.
Macroeconomic indicators
Canada United States
Population 38 332 million
Adult population 30 250 million
GDP 53,616 83,239 USD per adult
Mean wealth 332,323 505,421 USD per adult
Median wealth 125,688 79,274 USD per adult
Total wealth 9.9 126.3 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 1,682 21,951 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 14,767 100,350 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 1,546 20,914 thousand
Wealth inequality 71.9 85.0 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
36
The composition of wealth growth in these two countries Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
is revealing. The US housing market was in poor shape
for several years after the global financial crisis, reflected 600,000
in a 24.6% drop in average non-financial wealth between
2006 and 2011. It took until 2018 before this component 500,000
of wealth regained its 2006 level. In Canada, growth of
non-financial wealth was hardly interrupted by the global 400,000
financial crisis, perhaps suggesting what would have
happened in the United States without the boom and bust 300,000
in sub-prime mortgages and related assets in the years
leading up to the crisis. Financial assets have risen more 200,000
quickly in the United States than in Canada, reflecting the
better performance of its stock markets, where high tech 100,000
bulks larger and resource stocks smaller compared to
Canada. 0
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
Gross assets in the United States rose in value by 8.4%
in 2020, but household net worth increased even faster Canada United States
at 9.0% The difference was due to debt not keeping
pace with assets – rising only 3.5% – itself a reflection
of reduced consumption and higher saving. Within the
subcategories of assets, corporate equity showed the
Figure 3: Composition of wealth per adult (USD)
biggest increase (14.9%), while the important housing
component rose 7.1%. More than half the rise in assets
and net worth occurred during the final quarter of 2020.
600,000
The year began less well, with net worth falling 6.2% in Q1
2020, largely due to the stock market crash in February- 500,000
March. But net worth recovered fully in the second quarter.
Canada saw a similar increase in net worth (9.9%) – but 400,000
the rise was linked more to real assets and less to stocks
300,000
and equities.
200,000
Canada and the United States show contrasting trends
in wealth inequality. In Canada, the Gini coefficient and 100,000
the wealth share of the top 10% have been on a gradual
0
decline since 2000. The share of the top 1% also drifted
down until 2012, after which it rose slightly. Things have -100,000
been different in the United States, where all three of Financial Real Debts Net worth
these measures have trended upward. The contrast Canada United States
is most evident in the wealth share of the top 10% of
wealthholders, which has risen substantially in the United
States since 2007 – from 71.6% to 75.7% – but has
fallen in Canada from 57.1% to 56.5%. Since the global
financial crisis, stock prices have risen more in the United Figure 4: Wealth distribution relative to world (%)
States than in Canada, raising the shares of top wealth
groups, while house prices have risen faster in Canada, 60
lifting the wealth share of middle groups instead. The US
stock market outperformed the Canadian stock market 50
again in 2020, with Q4 share prices up 19.6% year-
on-year compared to 2.8% in Canada. According to the 40
Federal Reserve, the wealth share of the top 1% in the
United States rose from 31.0% to 31.4% in 2020. It is 30
unlikely that wealth concentration in Canada has risen to
a similar degree, given the much smaller rise in Canadian 20
stock prices.
10
0
<USD 10,000 USD 10,000 - USD 100,000 - >USD 1 m
USD 100,000 USD 1 m
Canada United States World
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
China and India have had very different experiences with Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic first surfaced February 2020 – May 2021
in China, but was brought under control there quickly.
It arrived in India later and spread at a rising rate in the 25
summer of 2020, when weekly deaths reached the
global average. The second wave, beginning in the early 20
fall of 2020, was initially less severe in India than in
many other countries, but gathered force. By the end of
15
the first quarter of 2021, health impacts in India were
rapidly becoming much more serious than at any earlier
10
point. These aspects are reflected by macroeconomic
developments in the two countries.
5
China was hit hardest in Q1 2020, when GDP fell by 6.8%.
Recovery began in Q2, with GDP growing by 3.1%. Real 0
Mar
May
Oct
Nov
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Apr
Dec
GDP for the year as a whole was 2.3% higher than in 2019,
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
and the IMF predicts growth of 8.4% in 2021 and 5.6% in China India World
2022. The second quarter of 2020 was the worst for India,
with a GDP decline of 25.6%. Recovery was relatively slow. Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
Real GDP fell 8.0% in 2020 compared with 2019. The
IMF forecasts a 12.6% rise this year, and 6.9% in 2022.
Quarterly stock market trends moved in the same direction
in China and India, but volatility was greater in India: in Q1 India in three years: in 2008 and 2011 due to exchange
2020, the market fell 8.9% in China, but by 26.8% in rate depreciation, and in 2009 in both local currency and
India. After the first quarter, the markets recovered in both USD. In 2020, wealth per adult was USD 67,771 in China
countries. At the end of 2020, year-on-year share prices and USD 14,252 in India. From 2000 to 2020, it grew at
were up 16.0% in India and 22.9% in China. an average annual rate of 14.9% in China and 8.8% in
India. Both of these growth rates comfortably exceeded the
Wealth per adult was USD 4,247 in China at the start of average annual growth rate (4.8%) for the world as a whole
the century and USD 3,069 in India. It rose in real terms over this period.
in China in every subsequent year, and only fell slightly in
Macroeconomic indicators
China India
Population 1,442 1,387 million
Adult population 1,105 900 million
GDP 13,394 2,902 USD per adult
Mean wealth 67,771 14,252 USD per adult
Median wealth 24,067 3,194 USD per adult
Total wealth 74.9 12.8 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 5,279 698 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 99,114 11,059 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 4,887 649 thousand
Wealth inequality 70.4 82.3 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
38
The composition of wealth growth has differed in these Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
two countries. The relative importance of financial assets
has steadily risen In China. They now account for 44.2% 80,000
of gross assets compared to 36.4% in 2000. The
70,000
corresponding ratios In India are 23.3% and 24.1%. The
growth of financial assets has been quicker in China due 60,000
to both high saving and strong stock market performance
in most years. Since 2000, financial assets per adult have 50,000
risen by 16.5% on average in China, far ahead of what is
40,000
still a good performance in India, where the average annual
growth rate was 8.7%. 30,000
20,000
At the end of 2020, wealth per adult in China was 5.4%
higher than a year earlier. Gross assets per adult rose by 10,000
6.3%. Gross assets outpaced net worth because debt
increased faster than assets, rising 14.6% over the year. 0
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
Most of the increase was in financial assets, which rose
9.6% compared to the 3.7% recorded for non-financial China India
assets. In India, financial assets per adult gained 2.0%,
while non-financial assets fell 8.4%, leading to a 6.2%
decrease in gross assets, while there was a 7.4% fall in
debt. Net worth per adult fell 6.1% in USD, but the drop
Figure 3: Composition of wealth per adult (USD)
was only 3.7% in Indian rupees.
10
0
<USD 10,000 USD 10,000 - USD 100,000 - >USD 1 m
USD 100,000 USD 1 m
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
France and Britain both suffered badly in health terms Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
during the COVID-19 pandemic, especially Britain. February 2020 – May 2021
COVID-19 had similar impacts in spring 2020, but France
recovered more quickly and its second wave in late 2020 140
was less severe. However, the United Kingdom began to 120
recover quickly in the first quarter of 2021, partly due to
a vigorous vaccination campaign, whereas the pandemic 100
resurged in France. Both countries responded to the first 80
wave with lockdowns, although Britain was slow to take
decisive action. Lockdowns were again imposed in both 60
countries in response to the second wave. 40
May
Oct
Nov
Apr
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Dec
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
Recovery began in Q3 2020, with quarterly growth close
to 20.0% in each country. For 2020 as a whole, real GDP France United Kingdom World
was down 8.3% in France and 9.9% in Britain. Growth
for 2021 is forecast to be 5.8% in France and 5.3% in Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
Britain. Unemployment rose much less in the pandemic
than it did in North America due to furlough schemes and
other measures. Unemployment rates increased from
pre-pandemic levels of 8.5% and 3.8% in France and fell 8.3% in the two countries, pushing the household
Britain, respectively, to 9.1% and 4.8% in Q3 2020. Relief saving rate in Q2 2020 to 26.5% in Britain and 26.8% in
payments led disposable income to rise somewhat in both France. Most of the additional savings are likely to be spent
France and Britain in 2020 by 0.4% on average; it is by the end of 2021. There was a large increase in public
expected to continue growing in France at 1.6% in 2021, debt, which rose in France from 98.1% of GDP to 113.5%
while falling 1.1% in Britain. Last year, private consumption in 2020, and from 85.2% to 103.7% in Britain.
Macroeconomic indicators
France United Kingdom
Population 65 68 million
Adult population 50 53 million
GDP 51,057 50,112 USD per adult
Mean wealth 299,355 290,754 USD per adult
Median wealth 133,559 131,522 USD per adult
Total wealth 15 15.3 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 2,469 2,491 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 26,013 26,383 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 2,257 2,280 thousand
Wealth inequality 70.0 71.7 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
40
Stock markets fell and then rose again in both France and Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
Britain in 2020, but UK equities performed less well overall
due to a more severe impact of COVID-19 and the looming 350,000
prospect of post-Brexit trade barriers with the EU. Share
prices hit their low on 20 March in both countries; by then 300,000
the French CAC 40 had fallen 32.9% and the UK FTSE-
250,000
100 had dropped 32.1%. Year-on-year, French shares fell
2.8% in 2020 and UK stocks were down 11.9%. 200,000
Wealth per adult has been similar in France and Britain 150,000
during 2000–20, with exchange rate changes accounting
for most of the year-on-year variation. At the end of 2020, 100,000
wealth per adult was USD 299,355 in France, very close
to the British figure of USD 290,754. In terms of real 50,000
domestic currencies, Britain has grown fastest – up 24.0%
0
since 2000 compared to 14.9% in France. 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
The composition of wealth has changed over the years France United Kingdom
in both France and Britain, with financial assets falling
in importance before the global financial crisis and then
rebounding to different degrees. In France, financial assets
were 46.2% of gross assets in 2000, but had dropped to
Figure 3: Composition of wealth per adult (USD)
35.2% by 2007, reflecting the stronger performance of
non-financial assets due to rising house prices. The share
of financial assets in Britain fell from 63.9% to 50.0% over 350,000
these years. Since 2008, that share has risen to 43.5% in
300,000
France and 55.5% in Britain, but has not regained its 2000
level in either country. 250,000
200,000
In 2020, net worth per adult in France rose 5.9%, while
150,000
gross assets increased 6.9%. The smaller rise in net worth
is due to debt rising 13.4%, outpacing asset growth. 100,000
Financial assets per adult increased 14.0%, while non- 50,000
financial assets went up only 1.9%. In Britain, non-financial 0
assets rose by 5.0%, financial assets by 8.7%, and gross
-50,000
assets by 7.1%. Debt rose only 4.7%, so growth of net
worth (7.5%) outpaced that of gross assets. -100,000
Financial Real Debts Net worth
Wealth inequality trends have been similar in France and France United Kingdom
Britain. Inequality declined in both countries between 2000
and 2007, partly reflecting the fall in the share of financial
assets, which are held disproportionately by high net worth
individuals. Over those years, the wealth Gini coefficient
fell from 69.7 to 67.7 in France and from 70.7 to 66.7 in Figure 4: Wealth distribution relative to world (%)
Britain. Since the global financial crisis, the trend has been
in the opposite direction. By 2020, the wealth Gini had 60
surpassed its 2000 level in both countries, standing at 70.0
in France and 71.7 in Britain. Top wealth shares tell a fairly 50
similar story, although the post-2007 rebound was not as
strong as for the Gini. In France, the wealth share of the 40
top 1%, for example, fell from 25.7% in 2000 to 20.3%
in 2007, but had risen to 22.1% by 2020. In Britain, this 30
share fell from 22.5% in 2000 to 20.2% in 2007, and was
20
at 23.1% in 2020.
10
0
<USD 10,000 USD 10,000 - USD 100,000 - >USD 1 m
USD 100,000 USD 1 m
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
Compared with some other high-income countries, Germany Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
and Austria had mild health impacts in the first wave of February 2020 – May 2021
COVID-19, which was widely credited to good public health
measures. Switzerland had more COVID cases than its 100
neighbors, likely because of its closer contact with Italy, 90
which had a very severe first wave. In the second wave, 80
Austria and Switzerland had both a higher peak and a more 70
rapid rise in cases than Germany. As elsewhere, lockdowns 60
and other regulations reduced output and consumption, 50
especially in spring and autumn of 2020. Similar economic
40
effects were felt in the pandemic’s third wave, which began
30
in March 2021.
20
GDP was hit hardest for three months beginning March 10
2020. Hence real GDP fell sharply in the first two quarters of 0
Mar
May
Oct
Nov
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Apr
Dec
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
2020: 11.4% on average across the three countries. It then
rose 8.3% in the final two quarters of the year. The most Austria Germany Switzerland World
severe initial drop (14.0%) and the smallest rebound (7.1%)
were in Austria. Over the full year 2020, real GDP fell 3.0% Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
in Switzerland, 4.9% in Germany, and 6.6% in Austria.
The IMF forecast GDP growth of 3.5% for both Austria
and Switzerland during 2021, after which it is expected
to gradually fall to 1.8% by 2026. In Germany, real GDP Disposable income rose slightly in 2020 – at an average
growth is predicted to be 3.6% in 2021 and to fall to 1.1% rate of 1.2% across these three countries – and is predicted
by 2026. by the IMF to rise by 1.5% in 2021. Meanwhile, private
consumption fell by 5.7% on average during 2020, creating
As in other major European economies, unemployment rose a temporary increase in saving and liquid assets that is well
less because of the pandemic than it did in North America positioned to be mostly reversed by consumption growth
– from an average pre-pandemic level of 3.3% in Germany, outstripping income growth over the next two years.
Austria and Switzerland to a peak of 4.5% in Q3 2020.
Macroeconomic indicators
Austria Germany Switzerland
Population 9 84 9 million
Adult population 7 68 7 million
GDP 59,370 55,578 105,577 USD per adult
Mean wealth 290,348 268,681 673,962 USD per adult
Median wealth 91,833 65,374 146,733 USD per adult
Total wealth 2.1 18.3 4.7 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 346 2,953 1,035 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 3,308 26,446 3,578 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 317 2,735 954 thousand
Wealth inequality 73.5 77.9 78.1 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
42
The Swiss stock market was relatively stable in 2020. The Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
Swiss Performance Index fell only 11.8% in the first quarter
and then steadily recovered to finish the year up 4.2%. The 800,000
DAX index in Germany showed larger fluctuations, dropping
700,000
25.0% in the first quarter and bounding back 23.9% in the
second quarter. Like the Swiss index, it was up for the year 600,000
by 3.6%. The Austrian ATX index was the most volatile,
falling 37.2% in the first quarter and falling again by 6.1%, in 500,000
the third quarter. It ended the year down 12.8%. 400,000
Wealth per adult at the end of 2020 was USD 268,681 in 300,000
Germany, USD 290,348 in Austria and USD 673,962 in 200,000
Switzerland. From 2000 to 2020 it grew by a factor of 2.6
in Austria, 2.9 in Switzerland and 2.8 in Germany. Growth 100,000
was strong in the years between 2000 and 2007, averaging
0
an annual rate of 9.9%. But the depreciation of the euro in 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
2008 prompted a drop in wealth by 5.6% in Germany and
6.4% in Austria. Switzerland countered the prevailing trends Austria Germany Switzerland
to achieve a 1.0% gain in 2008. Since 2009, the average
annual growth rate of real wealth per adult has been 3.2% in
Germany, 1.4% in Austria, and 4.4% in Switzerland.
Figure 3: Composition of wealth per adult (USD)
Wealth composition in these countries has changed relatively
little over the years. This reflects smaller fluctuations in the
relative price of financial and non-financial assets compared 800,000
to other leading European economies such as France, Spain
700,000
or Britain. On average across the three countries, financial
assets were 47.6% of gross assets in 2000, 47.5% in 600,000
2007 and 45.7% in 2020. 500,000
400,000
In 2020, net worth per adult rose 11.0% in Austria, 11.7% 300,000
in Switzerland and 17.7% in Germany, for an average 200,000
increase of 13.5% across the three countries. Gross assets
100,000
increased at a similar rate of 13.4%, indicating that debt rose
at about the same rate as assets. The relative importance 0
of financial and non–financial assets in household portfolios -100,000
changed little over 2020: the share of financial assets rose -200,000
from 38.1% to 39.7% in Austria, stayed steady at 41.2% in Financial Real Debts Net worth
Germany, and fell from 57.1% to 56.3% in Switzerland. Austria Germany Switzerland
0
<USD 10,000 USD 10,000 - USD 100,000 - >USD 1 m
USD 100,000 USD 1 m
Austria Germany Switzerland World
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
The health impacts of the pandemic have varied across Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
the Nordic nations. Denmark, Finland and Norway had a February 2020 – May 2021
less difficult experience in the first wave than most of the
100
high-income countries we feature. That was also true for
90
Finland and Norway in the second wave in December 2020
and January 2021, but cases in Denmark rose more steeply 80
than earlier. The third wave, which peaked in April 2021, was 70
milder than the earlier waves in each country. Throughout the 60
pandemic, Sweden, which had less restrictive public health 50
measures, suffered more severe health impacts. 40
30
All four Nordic countries experienced serious economic 20
impacts as a result of COVID-19, although initially Sweden, 10
without a broad lockdown, was less affected. Sweden’s 0
Mar
May
Oct
Nov
Apr
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Dec
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
GDP rose 0.3% in Q1 2020, in contrast to an average fall
of 1.4% in the three other countries. However, Sweden
Denmark Finland Norway
had the highest decline (8.0%) in the second quarter and Sweden World
finished 2020 with a 3.0% year-on-year drop in GDP, close
to the average 2.9% fall for all four countries. Denmark was Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
most severely affected for the year as a whole, with a 4.0%
drop in GDP; Norway was the least affected, suffering only a
1.4% decline. Unemployment rates, which rose only slightly
in Denmark and Norway, increased significantly in the run-up As in many other advanced countries, disposable personal
to the third quarter of 2020 both in Finland from a pre- income rose in Denmark, Finland and Norway in 2020 by an
pandemic 6.8% to 8.5%, and Sweden from 6.8% to 9.0%. average of 2.2%, while private consumption fell by 4.3%.
Stock market fluctuations varied, with first-quarter losses Consumption increases in 2021 are expected to largely
ranging from 5.9% in Norway to 20.4% in Finland. The reverse the resulting rise in personal savings. The trend was
fourth quarter saw year-on-year gains from 10.1% in Finland slightly different in Sweden, where disposable income fell by
to 28.5% in Denmark. 0.2% in 2020 and consumption declined by 4.1%, causing
a smaller rise in personal saving.
Macroeconomic indicators
Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Population 6 6 5 10 million
Adult population 5 4 4 8 million
GDP 75,188 61,247 87,560 67,876 USD per adult
Mean wealth 376,069 167,711 275,880 336,166 USD per adult
Median wealth 165,622 73,775 117,798 89,846 USD per adult
Total wealth 1.7 0.7 1.2 2.6 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 307 85 177 570 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 2,506 1,312 1,992 3,235 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 282 79 163 529 thousand
Wealth inequality 73.6 74.0 78.5 87.2 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
44
On average across these four countries, public debt rose Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
from 42.1% of GDP in 2019 to 47.6% in 2020. A small
further rise to 48.1% is expected in 2021. The biggest 400,000
increase was in Denmark, from 33.0% in 2019 to 43.4%
350,000
in 2020; the smallest was in Norway, from 40.9% to 41.4%.
300,000
Wealth per adult in 2000 was USD 110,450 in Denmark,
USD 96,282 in Norway, USD 77,253 in Sweden and USD 250,000
72,499 in Finland. These levels were lower than in many 200,000
countries with comparable income per capita. The likely
explanation is that more generous social benefits, especially 150,000
pensions and healthcare, make personal saving less pressing 100,000
in these countries. From 2000 to 2020, real personal wealth
per adult grew at an average annual rate of 5.9% in the 50,000
Nordic countries, with Sweden in the lead with 7.6% and
0
Finland recording the lowest growth (4.3%). This growth 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
was strongest from 2000 to 2007, averaging 14.0% per
year across the countries. All of them except Finland saw Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
a drop in 2008. Since 2009, the average annual growth
rate has been 0.7% in Norway, 1.1% in Finland, 3.9% in
Denmark and 5.0% in Sweden. Wealth per adult in Denmark
is now USD 376,069, above Sweden’s USD 336,166 and
Figure 3: Composition of wealth per adult (USD)
Norway’s USD 275,880. Finland still lags, at USD 167,711.
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
Like China and several other East Asian economies, Japan, Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
Korea, Singapore and Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) experienced February 2020 – May 2021
much less severe health impacts from COVID-19 than the
world as a whole. Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) has been virtually 14
COVID-free. Nevertheless, all three have suffered economic 12
impacts as a result of public health restrictions or reduced 10
international trade. These effects were strongest in Japan and
Singapore, and weakest in Taiwan (Chinese Taipei). 8
6
Each of these economies saw a drop in real GDP in the first
4
quarter of 2020 and all except Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) had
a further decline in the second quarter. On average, the total 2
fall over the first two quarters was 8.7%. The largest decline 0
(14.8%) was in Singapore. Japan was hit second hardest,
Mar
May
Oct
Nov
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Apr
Dec
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
with a drop of 8.8%. All four of them had positive growth in
the second half of 2020. Year-on-year, 2020 GDP was down Eastern Asia Japan
Korea Singapore
in Japan, Korea and Singapore, by 3.7% on average, but Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) World
increased in Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) by 3.1%. Japan, Korea
and Singapore saw unemployment rates rise from an average Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
of 2.9% in Q4 2019 to 3.7% in Q4 2020. But unemployment
did not change in Taiwan (Chinese Taipei).
Like the major European and North American economies, At the end of 2020, wealth per adult was USD 211,369
personal disposable income rose by 2.9% in Korea in 2020, in Korea, USD 238,862 in Taiwan (Chinese Taipei), USD
but fell in Japan, Singapore and Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) 256,596 in Japan and USD 332,995 in Singapore. This
by 3.5% on average. However, private consumption fell in century, household wealth per adult in US dollars grew at an
all of the countries by 6.3% on average, so that personal average annual rate of 4.9% in these four countries. Korea
saving rose somewhat. As elsewhere, public debt rose as a and Singapore led with growth rates of 7.4% and 5.8%,
percentage of GDP from an average of 105.0% across the respectively, with Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) close behind at
four countries in 2019 to 116.5% in 2020 and a forecast 4.9% and Japan at only 1.5%. Overall, growth was skewed
117.4% in 2021. toward financial assets, which on a per-adult basis rose at an
Macroeconomic indicators
Japan Korea Singapore Taiwan (Chinese Taipei)
Population 126 51 6 24 million
Adult population 105 42 5 20 million
GDP 46,812 37,340 69,049 32,371 USD per adult
Mean wealth 256,596 211,369 332,995 238,862 USD per adult
Median wealth 122,980 89,671 86,717 93,044 USD per adult
Total wealth 26.9 9 1.6 4.7 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 3,662 1,051 270 609 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 50,576 17,441 1,828 7,657 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 3,327 966 250 563 thousand
Wealth inequality 64.4 67.6 78.3 70.8 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
46
average rate of 5.6% across the four countries, compared Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
with 3.7% for non-financial assets. Debt per adult increased
at 3.5% per year. 350,000
Wealth growth in these countries was most robust before the 300,000
global financial crisis. Wealth per adult grew at an average rate 250,000
of 6.4% from 2000 to 2007. Since 2010, wealth per adult
has declined in Japan by 0.6% p.a., partly due to exchange 200,000
rate depreciation, without which wealth per adult would have
150,000
risen at an annual average rate of 1.8%. Over the same
period, wealth per adult grew at 3.9% p.a. in Singapore, 5.1% 100,000
in Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) and 5.5% in Korea. These post-
2010 wealth growth rates averaged 3.5% across the four 50,000
countries. Wealth growth has been less dominated by financial
0
assets during the last decade relative to the pre-global financial
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
crisis years, although they still grew at a faster annual rate
(4.2%) than non-financial assets (2.5%). Growth of debt per Japan Korea
adult has fallen to 2.8% per year. Singapore Taiwan (Chinese Taipei)
0
<USD 10,000 USD 10,000 - USD 100,000 - >USD 1 m
USD 100,000 USD 1 m
Japan Korea Singapore Taiwan (Chinese Taipei) World
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
After suffering COVID-19 health impacts in the first wave in Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
2020, first New Zealand and then Australia took control of February 2020 – May 2021
the pandemic and had few additional cases. New Zealand
was virtually COVID-free after May 2020. Australia followed 14
suit in October. Despite this, like many other countries in 12
East Asia and the Pacific, both suffered economic impacts
due to lockdowns and constraints on international trade. 10
However, the economic impact was weaker than in the high- 8
income countries of Europe and North America, where the
pandemic repercussions were much more severe. 6
4
Australia’s real GDP fell 7.3% in the first two quarters
of 2020, while New Zealand’s dropped by 10.3%. This 2
compares with average declines of 11.6% in North America 0
and 14.8% for France, Germany and the UK. GDP
Nov
Mar
May
Oct
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Apr
Dec
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
rebounded in the last two quarters of 2020, but finished
the year as a whole down 0.3% in New Zealand and down Asia-Pacific Australia New Zealand World
2.9% in Australia. The IMF expects GDP growth in 2021
of 4.5% in Australia and 4.0% in New Zealand, followed by Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
rates edging downward to 2.4% in both countries by 2025.
Unemployment in New Zealand rose from a pre-pandemic
rate of 4.1% to a peak of 5.3% in Q3 2020. Australia saw
a larger increase from 5.2% to 7.1%. The unemployment (5.9% versus 3.9%), the difference was small. Consumption
rate has now returned close to its pre-pandemic level in both in New Zealand declined by only 2.5%, less than disposable
countries. income, so that there was little change in personal saving.
There was also a smaller rise in public debt than seen in
Unlike most other high-income countries we review here, other advanced economies. Australia’s public debt rose
disposable income fell in Australia and New Zealand in 2020 from 47.5% of GDP in 2019 to 63.1% in 2020, and New
by 3.9% and 3.5%, respectively, and is not expected to Zealand’s went up from 32.1% to 41.3%. For comparison,
rebound completely in 2021. In addition, although private the average rise of 12.4 percentage points is roughly two-
consumption fell more than disposable income in Australia thirds of the average rise of 19.3 percentage points among
G7 countries.
Macroeconomic indicators
Asia-Pacific Australia New Zealand
Population 1,874 26 5 million
Adult population 1,238 19 4 million
GDP 13,429 69,318 54,173 USD per adult
Mean wealth 60,790 483,755 348,198 USD per adult
Median wealth 4,793 238,072 171,624 USD per adult
Total wealth 75.3 9.3 1.3 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 9,656 1,805 225 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 114,288 12,453 1,971 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 8,862 1,654 214 thousand
Wealth inequality 88.4 65.6 69.9 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
48
During 2020, stock markets fell and then rose again in both Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
Australia and New Zealand. However, the fluctuation was
greater in Australia, where share prices declined in Q1 2020 600,000
by 24.7% versus 17.7% in New Zealand. By the end of
2020, Australian share prices were down 0.7% compared to 500,000
a year earlier, but up by 13.1% in New Zealand.
400,000
Wealth per adult at the end of 2020 was USD 483,755 in
Australia, 38.9% above New Zealand’s USD 348,198. This 300,000
difference was similar to the 37.3% gap recorded in 2000.
Unsurprisingly, the average annual growth rates for wealth 200,000
per adult were also similar: 7.8% in Australia and 7.7% in
New Zealand. 100,000
400,000
Wealth inequality trends differ in Australia and New Zealand.
Both countries saw a slight decline in inequality from 2000 to 300,000
2007, but the paths have diverged since the global financial 200,000
crisis. In 2007, the wealth Gini was 63.4 in Australia and the
share of the top 1% of adults by wealth was just 19.7%. 100,000
Both of those figures are low in terms of global comparisons. 0
By 2020, the wealth Gini was up to 65.6 and the share of
-100,000
the top 1% was 20.5%. This rise in inequality is in line with
the moderate increase in financial assets relative to non- -200,000
financial assets since the former are less equally distributed. Financial Real Debts Net worth
Having started with higher wealth inequality than Australia in Australia New Zealand Asia-Pacific
2000, New Zealand tracked Australia’s small decline from
2000 to 2007. However, wealth inequality continued to fall in
New Zealand after 2008. By 2020, its wealth Gini had fallen
from the 72.0 level recorded in 2000 to 69.9, and the share
of the top 1% had dropped from 25.4% to 20.3%. The Figure 4: Wealth distribution relative to world (%)
contrast with Australia is explicable in terms of the large drop
in the relative importance of financial assets in New Zealand 70
over this period.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
<USD 10,000 USD 10,000 - USD 100,000 - >USD 1 m
USD 100,000 USD 1 m
Australia New Zealand Asia-Pacific World
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
Nigeria and South Africa – the two largest economies in Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
sub-Saharan Africa – have had very different experiences February 2020 – May 2021
during the pandemic. This stems from the fact that South
Africa experienced one of worst health impacts in 2020 80
and early 2021, while Nigeria had much lower-than- 70
average reported COVID-19 cases. Both countries have
60
suffered significant economic impacts, but these have been
more severe in South Africa. 50
40
In the first half of 2020, real GDP fell by 7.5% in Nigeria,
30
while South Africa, battered by the pandemic, saw a drop
of 17.0%. GDP rose in both countries in the second half 20
of 2020. For 2020 as a whole, real GDP was down 1.9% 10
in Nigeria compared with 2019, and down 7.0% in South
0
Africa. The IMF expects GDP growth of 1.1% in Nigeria
Mar
May
Oct
Nov
Apr
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Dec
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
and 2.0% in South Africa for 2021. The unemployment
rate in South Africa rose from 28.7% in 2019 to 29.2% Africa Nigeria South Africa World
in 2020, but is expected to jump much higher to 34.8%
in 2021, reflecting the greater severity of the COVID-19 Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
second wave and the associated economic disruption.
Comparable unemployment data are not available for
Nigeria.
income, so that the increase in personal saving in 2020
Real private consumption declined by 0.3% in Nigeria seen in many OECD countries does not appear to have
in 2020, but this does not appear to be because of the occurred in South Africa. As elsewhere, public debt rose as
pandemic: it fell 1.0% in 2019 and is forecast by the IMF a percentage of GDP in both Nigeria and South Africa in
to drop 0.8% in 2021. In contrast, real private consumption 2020, and is forecast to do so again in 2021. The increase
fell by 5.4% in 2020 in South Africa, but a 1.2% rise is from 2019 to 2020 was 5.9 percentage points in Nigeria
predicted for 2021. Again, one sees the greater impact and 10.6 percentage points in South Africa. Both of those
of the pandemic at work in South Africa. The decline in increases are relatively small compared to the average 19.3
consumption in South Africa mirrors the drop in national percentage-point increase recorded for the G7 countries.
Macroeconomic indicators
Africa Nigeria South Africa
Population 1,357 209 60 million
Adult population 671 96 38 million
GDP 3,547 4,970 7,519 USD per adult
Mean wealth 7,371 6,451 20,308 USD per adult
Median wealth 1,068 1,474 4,523 USD per adult
Total wealth 4.9 0.6 0.8 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 276 32 58 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 4,628 509 1,103 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 255 30 54 thousand
Wealth inequality 87.1 85.8 88.0 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
50
In both Nigeria and South Africa, share prices fell in the Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
first half of 2020 and rose in the second half. At the end
of 2020, share prices were down –0.9% year-on-year in 35,000
South Africa, but up 18.0% in Nigeria.
30,000
Wealth per adult amounted to USD 20,308 in South Africa
25,000
at the end of 2020, which was much higher than the
Nigerian figure of USD 6,451. South Africa is the outlier 20,000
here: the average for Africa as a whole is USD 7,371.
But there has been some convergence over the last two 15,000
decades. In 2007, for example, the corresponding levels
were USD 1,953 in Nigeria and USD 25,185 in South 10,000
Africa, i.e. wealth per adult in South Africa was 13 times
that in Nigeria in 2007, compared to a multiple of about 5,000
three times in 2020.
0
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
The current composition of assets in South Africa is similar
to 2000. Financial assets were 68.1% of total assets in Africa Nigeria South Africa
2000 and 64.4% in 2020. But the share of financial assets
fell prior to the global financial crisis, registering 59.8%
in 2008, and then rebounded, reflecting the rise in share
prices. In Nigeria, the share of financial assets has risen
Figure 3: Composition of wealth per adult (USD)
throughout the period: it was 46.9% in 2000, 57.7% in
2008 and 70.3% in 2020. Both countries saw an increase
in debt from 2000 to 2008 and a subsequent fall. The 25,000
debt-to-asset ratio in 2020 in South Africa was 16.2%
versus 15.7% in 2000; in Nigeria the ratio fell from 6.1% 20,000
to 4.5%.
15,000
Over the course of 2020, net worth per adult decreased by 10,000
5.7% in South Africa, mostly attributable to exchange-rate
depreciation of 4.7%. Financial assets fell from 65.5% of 5,000
all assets to 64.4%, while debt also dropped from 16.9%
0
to 16.2% of gross assets. In Nigeria, wealth per adult
fell 7.0%, again reflecting exchange-rate depreciation of -5,000
24.1%. As in South Africa, financial assets dropped slightly
as a percentage of gross assets, from 70.6% to 70.3%. -10,000
Financial Real Debts Net worth
Debt also fell slightly from 5.1% to 4.5% of gross assets.
Nigeria South Africa Africa
Wealth inequality has trended upward in Nigeria this
century. It has also risen in South Africa since 2007,
although it was relatively constant before that. At the end
of 2020, the Gini coefficient for wealth was 85.8 in Nigeria
and 88.0 in South Africa, up from 72.0 and 80.5 in 2000, Figure 4: Wealth distribution relative to world (%)
respectively. The share of the top 1% shows a similar story
in Nigeria, increasing from 28.3% to 44.2% over these 100
years. However, the share of the top 1% in South Africa 90
changed little, only increasing from 39.3% to 40.8%. 80
The sharper rise in the Gini coefficient in South Africa is
70
explained by rising wealth inequality lower down in the
distribution: the share of the bottom 90%, for example, fell 60
from 29.7% to 20.1%. The trend toward greater wealth 50
inequality is not representative for the Africa region as a 40
whole, which saw a fall in the Gini coefficient from 88.6 in 30
2000 to 87.1 in 2020, and a drop in the share of the top 20
1% from 46.6% to 43.4%. 10
0
<USD 10,000 USD 10,000 - USD 100,000 - >USD 1 m
USD 100,000 USD 1 m
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
Latin America is the world region hit hardest by COVID-19 Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
health impacts. Brazil and Mexico have its largest February 2020 – May 2021
economies and are the most populous countries in the
region. Chile has a smaller economy, but has been one of 120
the most dynamic in Latin America in recent decades. All
100
three countries suffered badly during the first wave of the
pandemic in the spring and summer of 2020, with infection 80
rates above the average for Latin America and much above
the world average. During the second and third waves 60
that began in late 2020, Brazil and Mexico stood out even
40
more, compared with both their region and the rest of the
world. Chile, on the other hand, has been less severely 20
affected than Latin America as a whole from the summer
of 2020 onward. Economic impacts have been severe in all 0
three countries.
Mar
May
Oct
Nov
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Apr
Dec
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
Brazil Chile Mexico
In the first half of 2020, real GDP fell by 11.0% in both South America World
Brazil and Chile, while Mexico, similarly affected in health
terms, saw a larger drop of 18.1%. GDP rose in all three Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
countries in the last half of 2020, but by varying amounts.
For 2020 as a whole, real GDP was down 4.1% in Brazil,
5.8% in Chile and 8.2% in Mexico. The IMF expects Chile
to grow most in 2021 by 6.2%, followed by Mexico at Personal disposable income dropped by an average
5.0% and Brazil at 3.7%. Unemployment rose significantly of 1.6% in the three countries during 2020. Private
in each country from an average rate of 7.5% at the end of consumption fell 2.4%, implying that any rise in personal
2019 to 10.7% in 2021 Q3, after which it edged down to saving was modest, unlike the experience in many
10.0% in Q4 2020. advanced economies. Public debt has risen in Latin
America as elsewhere. On average, across the three
countries, public debt rose from 56.4% of GDP in 2019
to 64.0% in 2020. Further small increases are expected
Macroeconomic indicators
Brazil Chile Mexico
Population 213 19 130 million
Adult population 153 14 85 million
GDP 8,938 17,215 12,203 USD per adult
Mean wealth 18,272 53,591 42,689 USD per adult
Median wealth 3,469 17,747 13,752 USD per adult
Total wealth 2.8 0.8 3.6 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 207 64 264 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 3,206 985 5,417 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 193 60 243 thousand
Wealth inequality 89.0 79.7 80.5 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
52
in 2021. Brazil went into the pandemic with the largest Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
public debt – 87.7% of GDP in 2019 – and saw the largest
increase in 2020 to 98.9% – a rise of 11.2 percentage 70,000
points. In contrast, the ratio rose by 7.3 percentage points
in Mexico and by just 4.3 percentage points in Chile. 60,000
Part of the explanation is that, despite having a skeptical
50,000
president, Brazil provided sizeable relief payments to low-
income people, pushing its pandemic-related spending to 40,000
7% of GDP.
30,000
In all three countries, share prices fell in the first half of
2020 and rose in the second half. At the end of 2020, 20,000
year-on-year share prices were up 1.3% in Brazil and
10,000
3.1% in Mexico, but down 14.9% in Chile. In the first four
months of 2021, they rose 1.7% in Brazil, 9.7% in Chile 0
and 10.0% in Mexico. 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
At the end of 2020, wealth per adult was USD 18,272 in Brazil Chile Mexico
Brazil, USD 42,689 in Mexico and USD 53,591 in Chile.
The corresponding figure for Latin America as a whole is
USD 33,475. Since 2000, wealth per adult has risen at
an average annual rate of 4.6% in Chile, 5.1% in Mexico
Figure 3: Composition of wealth per adult (USD)
and 5.8% in Brazil. These figures are broadly in line with
the average growth rate of 5.1% recorded for the Latin
American region.
60,000
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
Southern European countries have been among those Figure 1: Weekly COVID-19 deaths per million
hardest hit by the pandemic. Italy was the first country after February 2020 – May 2021
China to suffer a critically serious outbreak of COVID-19,
beginning in March 2020. Spain was also severely affected 140
shortly afterward. Greece initially had relatively few cases 120
of the disease but all three countries have had very trying
100
periods since late 2020. They have also all experienced
major economic impacts, including those due to reduced 80
tourist flows from northern Europe.
60
May
Oct
Nov
Aug
Sep
Mar
May
Apr
Dec
Jan
Apr
Feb
Jun
July
Feb
relatively small, with the average unemployment rate rising
from 13.4% at the end of 2019 to 14.1% in Q3 2020. Greece Italy Southern Europe
Unemployment grew most in Spain, where the rate rose from Spain World
13.8% to 16.6% in 2020 before easing back slightly in Q4
2020. Among these countries, the IMF expects real GDP Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse
Global Wealth Databook 2021
growth to average 4.8% in 2021 and 4.4% in 2022, before
falling to 1.2% in 2025. For 2021–22, the average annual
GDP growth rate is forecast to be 3.9% in Italy, 4.4% in
Greece and 5.5% in Spain. These increases reflect the fact that, while personal
disposable income fell by 2.2.% on average in 2020
In Italy, gross household saving averaged 17.6% of GDP across the three countries, private consumption fell even
during the first three quarters of 2020, compared to 10.3% more, by 8.9%. However, consumption is expected to rise
at the end of 2019. In Spain, the rise was from 6.3% to 6.8% in 2021, outstripping growth in disposable income
16.6% (fully comparable data are not available for Greece). by 2.8%. Hence the 2020 rise in personal saving may
well be short-lived.
Macroeconomic indicators
Greece Italy Spain
Population 10 60 47 million
Adult population 8 50 38 million
GDP 22,473 37,192 32,985 USD per adult
Mean wealth 104,603 239,244 227,122 USD per adult
Median wealth 57,595 118,885 105,831 USD per adult
Total wealth 0.9 11.9 8.6 USD trillion
US dollar millionaires 72 1,480 1,147 thousand
Top 10% of global wealthholders 1,786 23,460 16,402 thousand
Top 1% of global wealthholders 66 1,358 1,055 thousand
Wealth inequality 65.7 66.5 69.2 Gini index
Source: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021/EIU
54
The rise in public debt, on the other hand, is likely to persist. Figure 2: Wealth per adult 2000–20 (USD)
The ratio of public debt to GDP rose in Greece, Italy and
Spain from an average of 138.3% in 2019 to 161.9% in 300,000
2020 – a larger increase than seen, for example, in France,
Germany or the UK. The biggest rise was in Greece from 250,000
184.9% to 213.1%. The IMF expects a small decline in the
debt ratio over 2021–25 in all three countries. 200,000
20
10
0
<USD 10,000 USD 10,000 - USD 100,000 - >USD 1 m
USD 100,000 USD 1 m
Source Figures 2–4: James Davies, Rodrigo Lluberas and Anthony Shorrocks, Credit
Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2021
Professor Anthony Shorrocks is an Honorary editor of the academic journal Canadian Public
Professorial Research Fellow at the University of Policy. He has authored two books and over
Manchester, a Senior Research Fellow at the World 70 articles and chapters in books on topics
Institute for Development Economics Research ranging from tax policy to household saving and
UNU-WIDER) in Helsinki, and Director of Global the distribution of wealth. Publications include a
Economic Perspectives Ltd. After receiving his PhD number of articles and chapters on the distribution
from the London School of Economics (LSE), he of wealth authored jointly with Anthony Shorrocks
taught at the LSE until 1983, when he became and others, including “Estimating the Level and
Professor of Economics at Essex University, serving Distribution of Global Wealth, 2000–2014” (co-
also as Head of Department and Director of authored with Anthony Shorrocks and Rodrigo
Economic Research for the British Household Panel Lluberas, Review of Income and Wealth, 2017).
Study. From 2001 to 2009, he was Director of Jim has also written a series of articles on wealth
UNU-WIDER in Helsinki. He has published widely in Canada, including “Long Run Canadian Wealth
on income and wealth distribution, inequality, poverty Inequality in International Context” (co-authored
and mobility, and was elected a Fellow of the with Professor Livio Di Matteo, Review of Income
Econometric Society in 1996. Publications include and Wealth, 2021). In addition, he was the editor
“The age-wealth relationship: A cross section of the volume, “Personal Wealth from a Global
and cohort analysis” (Review of Economics and Perspective” (Oxford University Press 2008) and
Statistics 1975), “The portfolio composition of asset of “The Economics of the Distribution of Wealth,”
holdings in the United Kingdom” (Economic Journal (Edward Elgar Publishers, 2013). Recently he
1982), and, with Jim Davies and others, “Assessing wrote “Economic inequality and COVID-19 death
the quantitative importance of inheritance in the rates in the first wave: A cross-country analysis”
distribution of wealth” (Oxford Economic Papers (Covid Economics, March 2021).
1978), “The distribution of wealth” (Handbook of
Income Distribution 2000), “The world distribution Dr. Rodrigo Lluberas is an Analyst at the
of household wealth” in Personal Wealth from a Research department of Uruguay Central Bank.
Global Perspective (Oxford University Press 2008), He received his PhD in Economics from Royal
“The global pattern of household wealth” (Journal of Holloway College, University of London and his
International Development 2009), “The Level and MSc in Economics from University College
Distribution of Global Household Wealth” (Economic London. He has been a visiting scholar at the
Journal 2011), “Estimating the Level and Institute for Fiscal Studies and an Economist at
Distribution of Global Wealth, 2000–2014” (Review Towers Watson in London. Prior to undertaking
of Income and Wealth, 2017), and "Comparing his MSc, he worked for three years as an
Global Inequality of Income and Wealth", chapter economic analyst at Watson Wyatt Global
3 of Inequality in the Developing World (Oxford Research Services and more recently as a
University Press, 2021). research assistant at NESTA. His main areas of
expertise are pensions, consumption and wealth.
Professor James Davies has been a member Rodrigo is a co-author of “Estimating the Level
of the Department of Economics at the University and Distribution of Global Wealth, 2000–2014”
of Western Ontario in Canada since 1977 (Review of Income and Wealth, 2017).
and served as chair of that department from
1992 to 2001. He received his PhD from the
London School of Economics in 1979. Jim was Acknowledgments:
the director of the Economic Policy Research The authors would like to thank Kyle Boutilier,
Institute at UWO from 2001 to 2012. In 2010, University of Western Ontario, for his research
he completed a five-year term as managing assistance.
56
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